Episode Transcript
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get on with the show. Welcome
0:47
to Broken Silicon, a gaming
0:49
hardware podcast. I am
0:51
your host, Holy Moly Tom.
0:54
I'm joined today by co -host. Easter
0:57
Dan, we'll just keep it simple. See,
1:00
that says the two things going on today. We're
1:02
probably going to have to make this one a little
1:04
shorter than usual, although it's not abnormal for us
1:06
to only go for like an hour, 20 an hour,
1:08
30, which I assume is what we'll about do.
1:11
And it should be easier because usually we record
1:13
at six or eight PM and I have
1:15
to admit, I've heard this on other podcasts too.
1:18
The earlier in the day we record,
1:20
we're recording very early afternoon instead of
1:22
in the evening, the quicker we
1:24
are to get through the information. Sure.
1:26
And I don't think it's just
1:28
like a, uh,
1:31
you're sharper. So you
1:34
speak quicker or have more
1:36
energy. I do think there's just
1:38
less talking off subject that I
1:40
already are. Oh yeah. Sure. And,
1:42
uh, I don't know. We, we've
1:44
got a a bit of a, I
1:46
don't know if you have a time crunch this
1:48
today, a bit of one, I guess, but
1:50
it depends who you ask. My girlfriend would say
1:52
we definitely do have a time crunch because
1:54
we have to go to her family's Easter thing.
1:56
Of course, Dan, you can see is in
1:59
the, in room he was in for a while,
2:01
a couple of years ago, a year ago,
2:03
a year ago. Yeah, something like
2:05
that. When he was staying with me in
2:07
Nashville. So Dan and my family is in
2:09
Nashville. Of course, our parents
2:11
are not to be seen, but they are
2:13
on the premises. their presence is
2:15
felt. Their presence is felt much
2:17
like the Lord Jesus on Easter. All
2:20
right, everybody. Let
2:22
us just jump into it. I don't
2:24
have any opening reader mails here. Perfect
2:26
again. Perfect. And
2:29
no corrections, because we're never wrong,
2:31
man. But of course, we
2:33
are often wrong, and you can submit corrections. And
2:35
the Moore's Law said, Discord, we
2:37
just did not get any this new cycle. But
2:40
yeah, let's get to the first story
2:42
here, which I mean, you could say
2:44
is a corrections of sorts. Just tons
2:46
of reviewers trying to correct Nvidia, the
2:48
story. Number one, RTX 50 60 Ti
2:50
reviewed and launched. So I'm doing a
2:53
quote, a few reviews here or a
2:55
couple of reviews and then get into
2:57
the editorialization. First from Linus tech tips,
2:59
which I highly recommend. I thought they're
3:01
basically refusal to do a review is an excellent
3:03
video. Linus said, Nvidia, you're
3:05
acting like that chick that used to be
3:07
hot. And she thinks she's still hot and
3:09
thinks I'm going to drop everything when she
3:11
comes calling, but I'm married with three kids
3:13
now. And not only do I love my
3:15
wife, but if we're being honest, you peaked
3:18
in a high school anyway. I'm not playing
3:20
your games anymore. And honestly, that's a hard
3:22
thing for me to say. I want to
3:24
have positive things to say about graphics cards.
3:26
I just don't for this review. Also, I
3:28
don't believe he could get through that bit
3:30
they did without laughing because how silly it
3:32
sounded. Now from Kit Guru. Personally,
3:35
I think there is a mixed bag
3:37
that really sums up this. card,
3:39
the 50, 60 TI. Let's start with
3:41
the negative points. It is just
3:43
a 31 % gain over not the
3:45
40, 60 TI, but the 30, 60
3:47
TI for rasterization was really seems
3:49
like quite underwhelming of a result considering
3:52
that that GPU launched at the
3:54
end of 2020. I think we'd all
3:56
hope for further progress in five
3:58
years in the context of today's market
4:00
though, it is delivering 15 % gains
4:02
over its predecessor, the 40, 60
4:04
TI 16 gigabyte at a lower
4:06
price. And that actually sounds not
4:08
that bad compared to just how
4:10
horribly bad other Blackwell GPUs are.
4:12
I mean, consider that the 50
4:14
70 was just one to 5
4:16
% of the 40 70 super. And
4:19
so there you go. At the end
4:21
of the day, the 50, 60
4:24
TI 16 gigabyte seems to offer decent
4:26
performance and a decent price at
4:28
MSRP. But the way Nvidia has handled
4:30
this launch is a cause for
4:32
tons of legit criticism. Namely, they are
4:34
refusing to provide eight gigabyte GPUs
4:37
for testing, almost certainly in order to
4:39
hide the horrible performance issues. In
4:41
fact, the biggest performance surprise in a
4:43
pause of light is how close
4:45
the 50, 60 TI 16 gigabyte got
4:47
to the 50 70 in tracing,
4:49
especially in hardware and box testing, focusing
4:52
on newer and more demanding titles.
4:54
But really this just illustrates Nvidia's
4:56
continued folly of a 70 class
4:58
card with 12 gigabytes with a
5:00
60 Ti's get 16 for some
5:02
of their models. It also implies
5:04
what we can expect for ray
5:06
tracing performance, namely. horrible ray
5:08
tracing performance for the 8 gigabyte
5:11
model. And meanwhile, American and
5:13
American centric reviewers, we must note, decried
5:15
the lack of supply for the 5060TI's launch.
5:17
However, it must be noted that the
5:19
situation is quite a bit different in
5:21
the European Union, where we see plentiful stock
5:23
even in second and third tier markets,
5:25
like some Eastern European countries. This fits What
5:27
we have reported on more is lies
5:30
that weeks ago by our sources in
5:32
the supply chain, we were told that new
5:34
launches would start to focus on Europe.
5:36
Will the U S gets cheaper to make
5:38
yet still overpriced for their quality basic
5:40
models to try to cope with tariff
5:42
surcharges. We also discussed how tariff uncertainty
5:44
results in hesitance or the real inability
5:47
for companies to ship goods into the
5:49
U S at all until the many
5:51
confusions and uncertainties clear up a bit.
5:53
Although finally the real big supplies for
5:55
this launch is that it seems gamers
5:57
are also even in Europe where there's
5:59
plenty of full supply, rejecting Nvidia's pricing, the
6:01
wholesale, the European union might have had
6:04
a decent launch, but you know what? They're
6:06
still sitting there and no one's buying
6:08
them up despite shortages. People do not want
6:10
Nvidia's crap anymore. And so the way
6:12
I would summarize that quite long right
6:14
up is, and we did a whole
6:16
dice ring talking about both the 50, 60
6:18
TI and what's going on with Nvidia's
6:21
mind share, but wreck, you know, just $2
6:23
a month. just $2 actually just gets
6:25
you access to that in hundreds of
6:27
dye shrinks. Um, so just, you know, consider
6:29
supporting some patron for that. But we
6:31
talked about that in great detail, like
6:33
what's happening to the mind share. And there's
6:35
a section where we say, well, the
6:37
50, 60 TI in a vacuum, isn't
6:39
really the worst card. Maybe it shouldn't be
6:42
the 50, 60, maybe it should be
6:44
the 50, 60, maybe it should just
6:46
have 12 gigabytes of lower price, but really
6:48
a near $400 card converted in European
6:50
union, maybe not in the U S
6:52
right now. 16 gigabytes for that level of
6:54
performance. Isn't that bad? But the problem
6:56
is, well, there's no, no founders addition.
6:58
I mean, that's a pretty big, but the
7:00
problem is the way Nvidia is hiding
7:03
the eight gigabyte card for this launch. I
7:05
think earns it a bad review anyways.
7:07
And so reviewers hated how Nvidia is
7:09
handling this. People are tired of Nvidia's
7:11
nonsense. There is supply in Europe, but people
7:13
don't want it. Um,
7:15
yeah, Dan, let me stop rambling.
7:17
What do you think? I
7:20
mean, like you said, at
7:22
what the purported MSRP of $430,
7:24
it's fine. But the problem
7:26
is there's not really an attempt
7:28
by Nvidia, even like day
7:30
one, to supply anything at MSRP.
7:32
Not in the United States,
7:35
in Europe they are, though. Yeah.
7:38
But Americans, but we do have to think
7:41
globally. Yeah, I know, but there
7:43
is. not much anchoring it to
7:45
that MSRP without a founders model. There's
7:47
no eight gigabyte models out there.
7:49
So nothing's really anchoring it to that
7:51
$430 MSRP. So a lot of
7:53
these cards, they're reported MSRP is closer
7:55
to like, like the day one
7:57
reviews that we saw were like $500
7:59
MSRP models. So in a
8:01
lot of ways, from what I'm,
8:04
my perspective, we're getting a 7800
8:06
XT with a few extra bells
8:08
and whistles a year and a
8:10
half later for about the same
8:12
price. And at 400 or $430,
8:14
I think the 50, 60 TI
8:16
is fine. That's a
8:18
decent progression in price performance
8:20
versus what we had last
8:22
generation. But I don't know,
8:24
it's just not there. The
8:26
models that they say exist
8:28
don't really exist in any
8:30
market. And at least in
8:32
the US, the supply is
8:34
terrible, which I don't think
8:36
you can live. completely at
8:38
the hands of NVIDIA. There's
8:40
some extenuating circumstances, I would
8:43
say, but, uh, yeah. Uh, okay.
8:45
I mean, fine GPU, bad
8:47
launch, I would say. Yeah.
8:51
Again, I just, if it had
8:53
12 gigabytes was called the
8:55
50, 60 for like 380 even
8:57
350. And it's
8:59
like, okay, you know, it's not, I
9:01
wouldn't give NVIDIA a glowing review, but
9:03
I'd be like, It's more, but boys,
9:05
it's stronger than the 40 60 and
9:07
it actually has 12 gigabytes, whatever. But
9:09
instead again, we have really a card
9:11
that just points out how much Nvidia
9:13
sucks right now. It has 16 gigabytes
9:15
in the EU. Maybe you can get
9:17
it for a good price in the
9:19
US. You can't. Um, and it just
9:21
kind of makes the 50 70 look
9:23
worse because it already is in some
9:26
scenarios performing close to a 50 70
9:28
because it actually has enough RAM unlike
9:30
the 50 70, but then you look
9:32
at that and you're like, well, maybe
9:34
I should just skip black wall altogether.
9:36
And I really think that is the
9:38
major story for the 50, 60 TI
9:40
is even in markets where it is
9:42
available at MSRP, people aren't flocking to
9:44
Nvidia. The 50 70 is coming
9:46
in stock at MSRP in the US every
9:48
now and then below MSRP in the EU.
9:51
For me, it's just the death of Nvidia's
9:53
mind share. Again, we did a whole
9:55
dice rink about this. And I don't want
9:57
to Relitigate all that, you know, for
9:59
those who've already listened to it on the
10:01
Patreon, but I really do have to
10:04
say that again, I'm a contrarian. So I
10:06
love having fun little opinions and seeing
10:08
if they play out. But I just, there's
10:10
a part of me that goes, I
10:12
think people are these people in the comments
10:14
that say Nvidia, people just flock back
10:16
to Nvidia when stuff is in stock. They're
10:19
not in Europe. And
10:21
Nvidia is more popular in Europe,
10:23
relatively speaking to the US versus
10:25
Radeon. And I
10:27
don't know. I think people are
10:30
severely, severely underestimating how much damage
10:32
to NVIDIA's mind share they have
10:34
done over the past three generations.
10:36
And it just seems like Blackwell,
10:38
where everything's gone wrong at once
10:40
is the culmination of that. Yeah,
10:43
it really is just Blackwell
10:45
overall has deficiencies that aren't
10:47
typical of NVIDIA. And I
10:49
wonder if that's just catalyzing
10:51
the collapse of their mind
10:53
share with at least
10:55
this generation, I'm curious if it is
10:57
a one -off and if they recover with
10:59
the next generation of people care or
11:01
people are just turned off from Nvidia
11:03
right now. Because Blackwell, I
11:06
mean, you have the issues
11:08
with drivers, you have the issues
11:10
with ROPs, you have, like
11:12
you have these amateurish issues and
11:15
they're just not really delivering
11:17
that much of a generational uplift.
11:19
Ironically, except with the 50
11:21
60 ti, which is probably
11:24
relatively speaking one of the
11:26
better cards this generation from
11:28
Nvidia, but it really does
11:30
just seem like Yeah, people
11:32
don't want them Yeah, um, I
11:35
don't know Let me see here. I
11:37
have a variety rights and it says
11:39
did Nvidia hire the former radion PR
11:41
team for black? Um,
11:43
I think they may have hired
11:45
the rdn a1 driver team Yeah.
11:48
I don't think they have the
11:50
same issues that a radion had where
11:52
they just had dubious claims everywhere
11:54
that people are like, I don't know
11:56
if I trust these. Yeah. Yeah.
11:58
It's not like they have the same
12:00
issues of radion. Although you could
12:02
point to RDNA three, of course, having
12:04
those ridiculous claims for the performance
12:06
of Navi 31, but even that wasn't
12:08
really Nvidia scale. They were off
12:10
20. percent NVIDIA is usually off by
12:12
a factor. Didn't they claim
12:14
the 50, 60 TI is 50 times faster
12:16
than the 40, 60 TI in some
12:18
insane scenario. I can't remember
12:21
anymore. Was the 50, 60 TI
12:23
supposed to be the one that
12:25
gave us 40, 90 performance? No,
12:27
no, no. was the 50, 70. That
12:29
was the 50, 70. Okay. So believe that
12:31
there's a new claim out there right
12:33
now. that they're saying
12:35
it's 50 times faster than the
12:37
30, 60 Ti or 40, 60
12:40
Ti. So again, well that's good.
12:42
Nvidia for RDNA three claiming 70
12:44
% instead of 40 % is still
12:46
not Nvidia's tier, but no, I
12:48
actually don't think, you know, they
12:50
hired the radion PR team and
12:52
maybe the RDNA one driver team.
12:54
I just think that Nvidia's PR
12:56
team has cried wolf one too
12:59
many times. And you see this,
13:01
it's like, I've asked, people
13:03
right at AMD, like,
13:06
you know, when I leak the IPC for
13:08
Zen five being like at least 15 %
13:10
or higher, or I think I said 16 %
13:12
or higher was the final thing. And then
13:14
it was like, whatever they said, it was
13:16
16 or 17%. I don't even remember at
13:18
the top of my head, but I remember
13:20
AMD engineers going, Yeah, I think
13:23
that you could fairly claim 15 or something,
13:25
but maybe they'll try 20. I hope they
13:27
don't because I don't think most people will
13:29
see it as a 20 % IPC increase.
13:31
This happens all the time when I talk
13:33
to people at Intel or AMD or Nvidia
13:35
where they're like, well, this is where the
13:37
performance is. I don't know what marketing will
13:40
claim. And I wonder if there's going to
13:42
be massive pushback next generation from engineering
13:44
that will actually be listened to at Nvidia.
13:46
Like we've been telling you for three generations,
13:48
not to say this two to four X
13:50
crap. Now no one even
13:52
believes us when we're not lying
13:54
like and so we can't even
13:56
market you guys have realized you've
13:58
created a situation where you can't
14:00
even market Nvidia graphics cards anymore. Oh
14:03
Yeah, I mean, I made jokes
14:05
about this. I think Starting with
14:07
ampere like their claims are so
14:09
outlandish that they don't even feel
14:11
dishonest at a certain point You
14:13
just kind of see them and
14:15
laugh and you're like, okay, Nvidia
14:17
cool. We're getting what
14:19
from a over the course of
14:21
two to three generations, what a
14:23
10x uplift in performance according to
14:25
their charts, if you do the
14:27
multiplication. And everybody knows it's dishonest,
14:30
but at a certain point that does
14:32
bite you in the ass where, yeah,
14:34
I don't even know why you would pay
14:36
attention to their marketing anymore. It's
14:39
completely decoupled from reality at
14:41
this point. So why not
14:44
just wait for reviews? Well,
14:46
it has at least created a whole
14:48
cottage industry for people like me and Hardware
14:50
and Box and Gamer's Nexus to read
14:52
through the data and find the two things
14:54
where we can go, oh, I found
14:56
it. There's the real performance. So it does
14:58
allow us to make videos selfishly. I
15:01
don't mind it that much. You've become a
15:03
Jensen Wang oracle. Yes, like it allows
15:05
us to profit, I suppose, off of their
15:07
lives by finding a way to tell
15:09
you all the truth. But outside of that,
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I think it's pretty bad. This
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today. The
16:35
Forbidden Juice writes in, beginning of Gamers
16:37
Next, it says, just like Gamers Next's video
16:39
on Nvidia driver woes, it's a quite
16:42
damning for Steve to say that they are
16:44
trying their best to be like Intel
16:46
alchemists at launch. I have to say you
16:48
must feel vindicated now. Having said for
16:50
the past years, Hey guys, Nvidia has made
16:52
bad drivers before. I always did believe
16:54
that to be the case. And this launch
16:56
just proves it looks like Nvidia not
16:58
only phoned in their hardware, but their software
17:00
as well. Yeah. And I've seen carbon
17:03
cry, you know, who's part of the Moore's
17:05
law said team pointing that out to
17:07
me as well, that we should highlight this,
17:09
that since the start of Moore's law
17:11
is dead, When people are like AMD's drivers
17:13
are bad. I've been like, they're not,
17:15
they're fine. I mean, I even switched to
17:17
AMD for like five years or so
17:19
because our Nvidia cards during the 500 series
17:21
were just unusable with their drivers. And
17:24
then AMD was great. You know, every now
17:26
and then there's a miss. And
17:28
then Nvidia, I'd say after Kepler had
17:30
pretty solid drivers and then something just
17:32
started to go wrong here with Blackwell
17:34
really badly. But there's always blips here
17:36
and there. And I've never felt like
17:38
you can just say Nvidia's drivers are
17:40
more stable, except for like, again, maybe
17:42
RDNA one through three to a degree,
17:44
but it's a slight degree. And I
17:47
don't know if I use the term
17:49
vindicating, but I would remind people Nvidia
17:51
has always had periods where they've worse
17:53
drivers than AMD, sometimes far worse drivers.
17:55
And this narrative being popped, I love
17:57
it. Cause now we can just focus
17:59
on if the card is good and
18:01
I don't have to deal with people
18:03
saying, Oh yeah, but you know, it
18:05
really does feel sometimes like, yeah, if
18:07
it gets repeated in forums enough, does
18:09
it become the truth? Because that does
18:12
seem to be the origin of the.
18:15
Nvidia just has blanket more stable drivers
18:17
than AMD. This was like, if,
18:19
if I tell myself this enough on
18:21
Tom's hardware and Reddit, maybe it
18:23
becomes true. I mean, to a degree,
18:25
I feel like there's people who
18:27
have always bought Nvidia and they have
18:29
to have something they can tell
18:31
themselves for why Nvidia is more popular
18:33
than AMD outside of they just
18:35
happened to be like they played the
18:37
market better, you know, with marketing
18:40
and how they position their cards for,
18:42
from like, I don't know, I
18:44
don't know if the 200 series, but
18:46
certainly whether you like it or
18:48
not, they are me actually out started
18:50
out sell the five 400 and
18:52
the 500 series started out sell AMD
18:54
or be close and like 500
18:56
series through max, which interestingly, I
18:58
would say pop probably the worst. Probably
19:00
the worst architecture NVIDIA has come out with
19:02
since I've been in PC gate, a
19:04
fan of PC games to like pre nine,
19:07
nine thousand GT GT X to like
19:09
find a worse one. Like maybe I think
19:11
the five thousand was pretty bad supposedly,
19:13
but you know, but that's like what to
19:15
that's like Oh five or something. We're
19:17
going, we're going far back. We're going for
19:19
like five, like somewhere between Oh three
19:21
and Oh six or something. Okay. All
19:23
right. Let us now then move on
19:25
to story number two, our ticks, 5
19:27
,000 supply rush leak. Now this was
19:30
something that wasn't initially necessarily going to
19:32
be a story, but late Friday night,
19:34
I started getting these quotes from sources
19:36
in retail. And so I just want
19:38
to read two of them. The first
19:40
one here. on Friday, which is April
19:42
18th. We, the speed and a major
19:44
online retailer received about 10 times as
19:46
many black wall cards as usual to
19:48
our warehouse. So it seems that NVIDIA
19:50
is realizing they have a problem here.
19:52
It was mostly RTX 50 70 and
19:54
50 70 TI's with some 16 gigabyte
19:56
50, 60 TI's. Nope, no eight gigabyte
19:58
models a handful of 50, 80s. And
20:00
so yeah, they're mostly targeting RNA for
20:03
performance here. No RTX 50 90s. And
20:05
I did follow up on this, like
20:07
10 times as many, like maybe to
20:09
this warehouse, a shipment of like I
20:11
know somewhere around like 300 graphics cards
20:13
when usually they'll receive 20 or 30.
20:15
So this isn't like they sent twice
20:17
as many and it won't make an
20:19
impact. This is one warehouse. Something's
20:21
going on here. Also
20:23
another source. We, this the
20:25
person that works at a major U S
20:27
retailer says, just received a couple hundred black
20:29
hole GPS or a location today. Again, this
20:31
was the 18th. And I also asked a
20:33
friend of mine that works at a different
20:35
location. This place is brick
20:37
and mortar stores. They received over a hundred
20:39
there for their location as well. Usually
20:42
received 10 to 30. So I don't know
20:44
what's going on here, but for sure,
20:46
but at least short term, it seems like
20:48
all of a sudden in video, I
20:50
don't know if there's applying as many cards
20:52
as AMD, but yeah, this would be
20:54
about as many as four has been receiving.
20:56
a couple of times a week, at
20:58
least in one shipment. And they're all cards
21:00
that mostly seem to focus on RDNA
21:02
for performance. So I don't know how short
21:04
lived this will be. I don't know
21:06
if Nvidia just realized they screwed up a
21:08
few months a month ago. And this
21:10
is the first cards who arrive off of
21:12
boats in the United States or whatever.
21:14
But I think this is worth pointing out.
21:17
If you're looking for graphics cards, they're
21:19
appearing in stock. And I have noticed that
21:21
going on Best Buy's website, for example,
21:23
I have started to see them. So just
21:25
an FYI to everybody. At least right
21:27
now, this second Nvidia is all of a
21:29
sudden ratcheting up supply on an extra
21:31
couple of cards a week, hundreds more to
21:33
multiple locations. I mean, if my mental
21:35
math is right, that sounds like it's at
21:37
least getting into the same ballpark as
21:39
what AMD is supplying to brick and mortar
21:41
stores, which in every shipment. Yeah. Yeah.
21:43
Normally you would think they would ship a
21:45
lot more, but, uh, I feel like
21:47
that's something like this should have a material
21:49
impact on, uh, supply
21:52
and hopefully maybe for the next
21:54
couple weeks, you see prices
21:56
go down a little bit or
21:58
maybe not balloon to like
22:00
$1 ,000. So hopefully for like
22:02
$1 ,000 plus for like a 5070.
22:04
So hopefully in a bad year, we
22:06
have a couple more weeks of decent
22:08
supply if you need to buy something.
22:10
Like I could see this being the
22:12
last time you actually want to buy
22:14
for a long time. Yeah. So I
22:16
guess that's kind of the conclusion we
22:18
would make. Keep your eyes open. this
22:21
month, this month being late, like
22:23
late April. Keep your eyes open. Late
22:25
April, mid, mid May, maybe. And
22:27
we're hearing similar things in Europe as
22:29
well. Of course, as I've already
22:31
harped about on this episode. So like
22:33
just Europe, US, keep your eyes
22:35
open. Something's going on here where things
22:37
are being supplied in higher numbers
22:39
than have been for months. If you
22:42
miss the first wave this wave
22:44
will probably cost a little more on
22:46
average But then again, I don't
22:48
know prices are seemingly going down in
22:50
Europe like this might be your
22:52
chance right here before who knows what
22:54
happens with tariffs again All right,
22:56
let us now move on from that
22:58
brief update to story number three RX
23:01
90, 60 XT and RX 90, 70
23:03
GRE specs leaked and release date has
23:05
been pushed back. So first quoting from
23:07
my leak from the, about the 90,
23:09
60 XT and 90, 70 GRE a
23:11
couple of weeks ago. So the RX
23:13
90, 60 XT will be five to
23:15
12 % weaker, most likely than the
23:17
7 ,700 XT, but probably also a solid
23:19
at least 10 % faster than the
23:21
40, 60 TI. So yes, this leak
23:23
came out before the 50, 60 TI
23:25
launch, you would say. It's probably going
23:27
to come in slightly weaker than the
23:29
five 50, 60 TI, but slightly stronger
23:31
than the 40, 60 TI. Um,
23:33
and so yeah, it's stronger than the
23:35
old $400 cards. Now I say 400
23:37
and it's the pricing and I highlight
23:39
that price point because this is the
23:41
part that has surprised me from what
23:43
I was told. I was told that
23:46
the 90, 60 XT might cost below
23:48
400, possibly well below between 329 to
23:50
379 for the 16 gigabyte model with
23:52
me. Suggest, I would suggest
23:54
probably 350 will be the price or,
23:56
you know, And I know that a lot
23:58
of us were hoping that the 90,
24:00
60 XT was going to like beat
24:02
the 7 ,700 XT, but I got to
24:04
say if it did, it'd probably be
24:06
400. If it's three 30 or $350
24:08
for almost 7 ,700 XT, which means almost
24:10
6 ,800 performance, except that actually at 16
24:12
gigabytes of RAM, that's pretty good. That's
24:15
about the same price the 7 ,600 XT
24:17
was with the same amount of RAM
24:19
for 30 % more performance, uh, and, or,
24:21
and, or maybe even more than that.
24:23
Um, and the eight gigabyte model sounds
24:25
like it will probably be two 99, which
24:27
again, I don't know much to say
24:29
about that. The most I can say about
24:31
a two 99, eight gigabyte, 90, 60
24:33
XT is that they are giving you
24:35
better than 40, 60 TI performance for
24:37
the old price of the 40, 60. So
24:40
I guess it's fair from the perspective
24:42
of you're getting like a 6 ,800 level
24:44
of performance for 1080p gaming, but Generally
24:46
speaking, I won't recommend this if the
24:48
price is even within a hundred dollars
24:50
of the 16 gigabyte model And so let
24:52
me see here. Well, okay anyways moving
24:54
on to the editorialization With gamers no
24:56
longer holding space for Nvidia can gamers
24:58
now hold some for radion? Well, yes and
25:00
no the 90 60 XT seems like
25:02
a winner with decent performance and a good
25:05
MSRP and our sources say that significant
25:07
volume will be available more than they
25:09
had for the 90 70 and the
25:11
90 70 XT launch but It will still
25:13
not be enough, most likely as Nvidia
25:15
vacates the market. We'll see how that
25:17
develops though. And AMD simply cannot keep
25:19
up with market demand in less Nvidia starts
25:21
quadrupling supply, even from 10 X in
25:23
supply, by the way, expect to see
25:25
MSRP cards sold out in minutes, queues
25:27
at micro centers and continued shortages. But the
25:30
MSRP and launch supply seem to show
25:32
that AMD is still trying to exploit
25:34
Nvidia's weakness, which is good. Although admittedly alongside
25:36
the good news, we also have some
25:38
bad. We can confirm there is something
25:40
weird going on with the 90s, 60s encoders,
25:42
most likely with sources telling us that
25:44
AMD won't confirm to them if it
25:46
has hardware encoding. Now most people don't
25:48
really use encoders or need them. Most CPUs
25:50
now have good encoders and they're integrated,
25:52
uh, graphics. And let's, I guess you're
25:55
on a M four, but people who
25:57
do encode decode a lot should. Keep
25:59
mind with this when they look at reviews
26:01
and watch for if they include them. Uh, worse
26:03
also though, the 90, 60, 60 is seemingly
26:05
being delayed. I had heard they're trying to
26:07
launch by April 24th. I think months ago, me
26:09
and other people leaked April was going to
26:11
be the launch tape. And now I'm hearing that
26:14
it has been pushed back into later in
26:16
quarter two. And most sources tell me this is
26:18
due to tariffs, like everything we can't avoid
26:20
bringing up tariffs. Unfortunately. Um, we're
26:22
on video responded by launching the 50,
26:24
60 is planned. Uh, I
26:27
don't know. So I don't know. Hopefully that
26:29
means there'll still be supply as well, which is the
26:31
final thing I would note about this, which is like
26:33
a week and a half ago or something, right? I
26:35
was told there should be more supply than the 90
26:37
70 and 90 70 XT. Um,
26:39
but now that I'm hearing it's being delayed
26:41
due to tariffs, I don't know, at least in
26:43
the U S if the supply will be
26:45
as good as we thought, hopefully it will be
26:47
though. Oh, and I forgot to mention this,
26:50
90 70 GRE, 48 compute units, one 92 bit.
26:52
The great radion edition continues. I don't
26:55
have much to say expect that
26:57
to be I
26:59
guess probably 20 to 30 %
27:01
faster than the 90, 60 XT.
27:03
Well, having less RAM, I haven't
27:05
been given a price. It's not,
27:07
it's mostly for the Chinese market.
27:09
They can even sell it there.
27:11
I don't know. Um, for
27:14
this day and age, what would I
27:16
even price that? If it's three 50 for
27:18
a 16 gigabyte card for 29, I
27:20
guess the same as the 16 gigabyte 50,
27:22
60 TI, it was 20 % faster. I
27:25
don't know. I'd probably do three 99. Anyways,
27:27
Dan, what do you think of all this? I
27:31
mean, if
27:33
the 9060 XT is
27:35
close, if the
27:37
16 gigabyte model is like
27:39
$350 and at the
27:41
upper end of that performance
27:43
expectation, it seems pretty
27:45
great. Although, once again, in
27:48
this day and age, it's really hard to talk
27:50
about anything in reference to MSRP because I
27:52
think everything is just going, at least in the
27:54
US, is going to go way
27:56
above MSRP because of
27:58
the insane volatility we've decided
28:00
to throw into the
28:02
market for no reason. So
28:05
yeah, if it's relatively speaking
28:07
about that same golf in
28:09
price between that and the
28:11
50, 60 TI, I think
28:13
the 90, 60 XT is
28:15
probably the better choice, but
28:18
we'll see how that shakes
28:20
out. Yeah. Well,
28:22
on this note, Part DB and
28:24
me, right? Senate says the arcs
28:26
90 cent of GRE sounds dumb
28:28
from a naming perspective alone. So
28:30
now we have a supposedly great
28:33
radion edition that is weaker than
28:35
the car that has no suffix,
28:37
the 90 70. And it counters
28:39
to the previous example where the
28:41
GRE models were typically more powerful
28:43
than the vanilla ones with no
28:46
suffix on models in the US.
28:48
Yes. The 90, no, the 7 ,900
28:50
GRE was, I guess, Weaker
28:52
than the XT, but the XT
28:54
did have the XT moniker and
28:56
there was no 7900 non XT
28:59
But I believe the 6700 GRE
29:01
could mean anything like there was
29:03
a 10 gigabyte model with a
29:05
You know the GRE is the
29:07
I don't know they don't make
29:09
any sense to me I do
29:11
agree the great Radeon edition suffix
29:14
makes I mean just really this
29:16
is becoming the SE like
29:18
50, 60 from Jeremy where SE
29:20
is just like they had the 50,
29:22
60 TI, the 50, 60. And
29:24
then the worst, worst, worst yields 50,
29:27
60 SE, but it's sold to
29:29
China. So they, they want to pander
29:31
to GRE, which used to meant
29:33
mean great Radeon edition. See, this is
29:35
where I go. I still don't
29:37
think NVIDIA has hired Radeon marketing because
29:39
this is all types of levels
29:42
of blunders that I can't even get
29:44
into. Well, they need the GRE
29:46
because I mean, it needs
29:48
to be a 70 because it's just that. So
29:51
they can say the Chinese
29:53
market has a 70 for them.
29:56
Because I mean, they used to do
29:58
like have like five if
30:00
I'm remembering correctly, like this might
30:03
make more sense as like a
30:05
90, 65 or whatever. I
30:07
just put on it like Nvidia
30:09
does with 50 90 D the call
30:11
call it these 90 70 dragon,
30:14
which sounds cool. The dragon great radion
30:16
sounds like this should be the
30:18
best model. Dragon just means a special
30:20
model because in China, they don't
30:22
care as much about VRAM. And so
30:24
you can remove, you know, 20 %
30:26
of the price and 10 % of
30:28
the performance and sacrifice VRAM inches
30:30
popular in China. I would just call
30:32
it the dragon addition to fully
30:35
pander to that market and not try
30:37
to cling to a rabbit moniker
30:39
that doesn't exist anymore and is really
30:41
counterintuitive. Well, now we're on to
30:43
the, we're just calling it great radio
30:45
on edition, which I don't know,
30:47
sounds like 1984 ish to me for
30:49
some reason where it's like there's
30:51
some weird double speaking there, but I
30:53
guess that's what we're calling it.
30:56
Yeah. All right. Smash actually
30:58
writes in and says, well, AMD is
31:00
released any more variants of the 9 ,000
31:02
series probably, but he says, such as
31:04
new models, white versions in the light.
31:06
Cause it seems like all AIBs are
31:08
recent releasing like 20 different variants for
31:10
50 series GPUs. Or is this a
31:12
case of Nvidia playing them off to
31:14
not allow things for AMD? Look,
31:17
I think there is something. I mean,
31:19
look at MSI said they're not even
31:21
making a RDNA for graphics cards. This
31:23
Jen. like trying to pander
31:25
to getting more NVIDIA supply at the
31:27
same time. Yeah. I mean, I think
31:29
NVIDIA is like multiple times trying to
31:31
make aces, like have more models for
31:33
them than Radeon. So there's some of
31:36
that, but I will say this. If
31:38
we agree NVIDIA has like 80 % of
31:40
the market, wouldn't you expect there to
31:42
be like four times as many models
31:44
to pander to that portion of the
31:46
market? Just trying to
31:48
point out the obvious here.
31:50
Like, Like maybe it isn't
31:53
a conspiracy. Maybe Nvidia just gets more models because
31:55
they have more market share. Yeah.
31:57
I mean, you, why
31:59
would you just, why would you have
32:01
the same number of production lines
32:03
for four times fewer cards? Yeah. I
32:05
don't think you would. a quick
32:07
jumper rights. And it says, Tom, I
32:09
think there's a silver lining to
32:12
the ongoing GPU shortages. First it's giving
32:14
AMD an opportunity to build a
32:16
stronger position and gain market share. We
32:18
saw with CPUs that it took
32:20
time for a hardware manufacturers to properly
32:22
embrace AMD, but now they're implementing
32:24
numerous optimizations for AMD platforms. Another positive
32:26
development is that reviewers have started
32:29
conducting value for money analysis based on
32:31
real world availability data. This seems
32:33
like a healthy shift in the review
32:35
landscape. Yeah, sure. After all, it
32:37
doesn't make sense for reviewers to strongly
32:39
recommend GPUs that are perpetually understocked
32:41
or where most available inventory consists of
32:44
overbuilt overpriced AIB models. You think
32:46
these developments might lead to a more
32:48
balanced GPU ecosystem in the long
32:50
run. I think the continued
32:52
shenanigans have forced reviewers to become
32:54
smarter and how they analyze things.
32:56
And I think that's a good
32:58
thing. We're to be a fluke
33:00
like how. the
33:03
30 series panned out and then the
33:05
40 series is normal. The 50 is
33:07
normal. And then there was a fluke
33:09
again. Maybe no one really learned the
33:11
lesson, but certainly I guess I would
33:13
agree that I like that radion has
33:15
an opening right now. And I think
33:17
it's probably good that every reviewer has
33:19
been forced to finally get through their
33:21
heads. You can't just go 20 %
33:23
less, 20 % more. I say good. And
33:26
these reviews are really turning into like
33:28
an analysis of the market, which they
33:30
always should have been. Well,
33:32
they have to in this day
33:34
and age where in the past
33:36
they really didn't have to as
33:38
much because I don't know when
33:40
I was younger You could typically
33:42
find a couple models that were
33:44
close to our at MSRP and
33:46
GPUs would typically fall in price
33:48
within a year of being released
33:50
And that's just not the market
33:52
we exist in anymore. So MSRP
33:55
is continue to be less and
33:57
less relevant. So you have to look
33:59
at them from the holistic view,
34:01
like what are these actually selling for?
34:03
Where in the past, you can,
34:05
even if you're doing a somewhat dumb
34:07
analysis, that dumb analysis pretty much
34:09
works because if you're hunting hard enough,
34:11
you could find it a $350
34:13
MSRP model for any GPU. If the
34:15
MSRP was a was $350 for
34:17
now, hell, the cheapest thing you
34:19
might find for a 350 MSRP is like 600.
34:25
J H H 50 series available on
34:27
eBay writes in Justin Wang says
34:29
50 series available on eBay. Okay. With
34:31
AMD having promised that the future
34:33
is fusion, why is no one holding
34:35
them accountable for their lack of
34:37
success and doing already R and D
34:39
into the field of fusion? You
34:42
know, guys, this is a joke. We
34:44
will include the AMD future is fusion logo
34:46
for this one, but I have to
34:48
say I don't know why I let this
34:50
question get through. Cause I don't think
34:52
there's much for us to say. Well, do
34:54
you think they're going to achieve cold
34:56
fusion at AMD Tom? The only thing I'll
34:59
say is that is one of those
35:01
like science magazine articles we see every five
35:03
seconds, you know, of like in Paris,
35:05
they've almost achieved cold fusion. You know what
35:07
I mean? Yeah. Yeah. The
35:09
battery was annoying one for
35:11
me. Yeah. That big story about
35:13
fusion with the, the What
35:15
was it we've got we've achieved
35:17
ignition with fusion and that
35:19
was going everywhere for two weeks
35:21
All right, let me know
35:23
when I'm charging a car and
35:25
because of fusion powering some
35:27
power plant All right, let us
35:29
now move on to
35:31
story number four. Are you
35:33
too depressed to go outside because
35:36
of how expensive Microsoft software
35:38
is? Well, there's absolutely no need
35:40
for that. Just go to
35:42
cdkeyoffer .com. That's right. This piece
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of content is once again sponsored
35:46
by cdkeyoffer .com. And I say
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once again, because they've been
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a fantastic sponsor of Moore's Laws
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Dead and its community for
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many years. And that's because they
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always deliver the best pricing
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reliably for Microsoft products like
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Windows operating systems, Office software, and
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they also sell games and other
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things as well. So make sure
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you check them out, especially during
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their Easter sale going on right
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now. And if you do, use
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then dye shrink to save 3
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the website. The community uses them.
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I use them for my new Zen
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4 X3D desktop, and Jesse here needs to
36:29
stop moping around, and I think use
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them as well. So that's once again, support
36:33
Moore's Laws Dead by going to cdkeyoffer .com
36:35
through the links below today. Okay,
36:38
Jesse, it's okay. Moore's
36:43
Laws Dead Zen 6 leaks
36:45
seemingly confirmed. All right,
36:47
first here, we're just going to read
36:49
from an AMD press release. AMD today
36:51
announced its next generation AMD epic processor
36:53
codename venus is the first HPC
36:55
product in the industry to be taped
36:58
out and brought up on the TSMC
37:00
advanced two nanometer process technology. This
37:02
highlights the strength of AMD and
37:04
TSMC semiconductor manufacturing partnerships to co
37:06
-optimize new design architecture with leading edge
37:08
process nodes. It also marks a
37:10
major step forward in the execution
37:12
of the AMD data center CPU
37:14
roadmap with Venice on track to
37:16
launch next year. AMD has also
37:18
announced the successful bring up in
37:20
validation of its fifth generation Epic
37:22
CPU products and TSMC's new fab
37:24
facility in Arizona, underscoring his commitment
37:26
to U S manufacturing. saying,
37:29
we are proud to have AMD be
37:31
a lead HPC customer for our advanced
37:33
two nanometer process technology in the TSMC
37:35
Arizona fab. It's good. They're making it
37:37
there though. I suppose it wouldn't be
37:39
a 2025 news episode without more on
37:41
our several Zen six leaks. It seems
37:43
this time we have something perhaps more
37:45
exciting than the leak itself. It's confirmation
37:47
breaking the tradition of Apple being the
37:49
first to TSMC's newest node. That's a
37:51
big deal. AMD and TSMC announced that
37:53
it is AMD's Venice to be the
37:55
first HPC product out in N two.
37:58
This confirms information about chiplets of Zen
38:00
six using N two for the core
38:02
chiplets. By the way, let me just
38:04
jump in here. How many of you
38:06
losers in the comments called me stupid
38:08
for saying AMD is going from four
38:10
nanometer skipping three to two. I was
38:12
right again. You were wrong. I'm sorry.
38:14
I have to dunk sometimes on you
38:16
losers because I'm so sick of this,
38:18
like making stuff up. There's no way
38:20
this would happen. It is happening. Well,
38:23
this channel is first and we also
38:25
were called stupid for saying that some Zen
38:27
six products were launched in 26. They're
38:29
going to nerds. They're going to subscribe to
38:31
us on YouTube. All right, go on,
38:34
Dan. Well, I guess that was confirmed within
38:36
a couple months or not even a
38:38
couple of months, a couple of weeks, right?
38:40
Yeah. were talking about this story. I
38:42
think last news episode to be fair, we've
38:44
been talking about this in a series
38:46
of Zen six leaks and there's been Zen
38:48
six leaks. Many a long time
38:50
ago years ago where we were suggesting it could
38:52
be two nanometer as well But yes, we
38:54
I would say we doubled and tripled down over
38:56
the past two months. Yeah, so
38:58
Fist bump fist bump remember supports on
39:01
patreon Supports on patreon people that are
39:03
this is real journalism We're doing to
39:05
bring in this stuff and I don't
39:07
know how much I really have to
39:09
say about it though You know, we've
39:11
already confirmed all of this. It's nice
39:14
to see it publicly confirmed Um,
39:16
I guess the only thing I would
39:18
especially note, it's not really new, but exciting
39:20
as them saying 2026, you know, who
39:22
knows maybe that's just tape out, but I've
39:25
long heard that some products should launch
39:27
for Zen six, uh, next year. I even
39:29
heard for a while that some could
39:31
launch this year, maybe, but I don't think
39:33
so. But I think, yeah, I think
39:35
it's pretty clear AMD is going to have
39:37
Zen six out before Nova Lake, most
39:39
likely, which we're about to get to. And
39:42
so there's just, AMD is not
39:44
sitting still, as I keep saying, there's
39:46
always something new around the corner. Buy
39:49
now if you need something now. If
39:52
you don't, there will be Zen 6. If you
39:54
say, going to wait till Zen 6, but I
39:56
could use something now, but I'm to wait. Just
39:58
remember, then there will be Zen 7 within two
40:00
years after that. So. Well, but Zen
40:02
7 is when they'll stop, right? Yeah,
40:04
that's when they will just stop making new things
40:06
because of course. And then that's like, we have
40:08
a wins the next Sandy Bridge where I can
40:11
just hold on to something for 10 years. never
40:13
again. Cause there's competition. Although
40:15
I don't know if you bought a
40:17
5 ,800 or 5 ,700 or yeah, no,
40:19
like 5 ,800 years ago, it's still probably
40:21
fine for most things. Yeah. I think
40:23
the only thing that's changed is I
40:25
think people forget that when Sandy bridge
40:27
came out, most people gamed at 60
40:29
frames per second. And of course that
40:31
might still work even in a lot
40:33
of games now with an Sandy bridge,
40:35
I seven, maybe not an I five
40:37
and one. 44 Hertz was pretty much
40:39
a thing. And so that's remained the
40:41
thing until now. I think a thing
40:43
that's changed is it went from most
40:46
people gaming at 60 some at 144
40:48
to most gaming at 1 a 44
40:50
mini wanting to game at 240 360.
40:52
There's like 500 Hertz monitors now. And
40:54
so I do think every now and
40:56
then people need to remember like, Oh,
40:58
my CPU is, you know, whatever. Like
41:00
I, I, I'm right now using a
41:02
Zen for X 3d CPU upgraded my
41:04
desktop and most of my games can
41:06
run to 40 Hertz, but some I
41:08
might cap at 200 or lower. And
41:11
it's like, well, you see, you could use
41:13
a faster CPU. And it's like, well, to
41:15
be fair, we used to be okay with
41:17
120 and now we're like at 240 Hertz
41:19
and way more complicated games. And so I
41:21
guess there's more of a push to upgrade
41:23
now though, because the monitors just keep getting
41:25
so much better. There's a real monitor stagnation
41:27
for like a decade of while ago. Yeah.
41:30
Um, all right. AI Hollow Knight writes
41:32
and it says, can you 3D stack
41:34
TSMC and three family nodes with TSMC
41:36
and six, there's a way too much
41:38
demand. I think for N four and
41:40
N three wafers, but N six is
41:42
a ton of unused capacity. Uh, example,
41:44
could a three nanometer Zen six CCD
41:46
still use N six for the V
41:48
cash? Or does it have to be
41:50
N four? Um, I guess
41:53
I can't confirm the V cash thing, but
41:55
like which node they're going to use
41:57
for this generation of V cash for So
42:00
that wouldn't surprise me if they stuck with six
42:02
nanometer or something. Although, yeah, I don't know. We'll
42:04
have to see on that one. I guess, I
42:06
don't know. I don't know what note it is.
42:08
Don't write that down. But I will say this
42:10
AI Hollow Knight. I feel like I keep seeing
42:12
in the Moore's Oz at discord, like saying, what
42:15
are they going to do about capacity? What are
42:17
they going to do about capacity? And I would
42:19
remind you, I have leaks that they are probably
42:21
going to use six nanometer for some of the
42:23
IO guys for desktop. And they're
42:25
using three nanometer for the others. And they're
42:27
using three nanometer for a lot of the
42:29
APUs. So I know you're worried about capacity,
42:31
but for two nanometer, those chiplets are like
42:33
not that big. I think I, yeah, least
42:36
there's 75 millimeter squared. And
42:38
everything else is pretty much using
42:40
other nodes. And they're still
42:42
leaving six nanometer capacity for like the
42:44
PlayStation six and some other products. Give
42:47
it to give it a year and a
42:49
half. Like two nanometer will be in demand, but
42:51
they're still going to use a lot of
42:53
three nanometer. And I, I'm not
42:55
sure how, and they're still using four
42:57
nanometer for a much of graphics
42:59
cards for the next two years. I
43:01
don't, and the PS4 pro. So
43:04
I, I don't know. Let's
43:06
not assume there will be
43:08
the same supply constraints. Will it
43:10
be some, yes, but there's
43:12
always supply constraints when new products
43:14
use bleeding edge nodes. And
43:17
I just think that's something you have
43:19
to accept. There's always going to be
43:21
a supply constraint. when Zen set two
43:23
uses seven nanometer and then they move
43:25
to, you know, five and then four
43:27
nanometer and that's be, they accept it
43:30
because that's the beginning of the generation
43:32
and people are still buying Zen three
43:34
AI Hollow Knight. And so that's why
43:36
it's new. It's going to have supply
43:38
constraints and then it won't for most
43:40
of its product life. Yeah.
43:43
And we still live in
43:45
a world where AMD is
43:47
trying to penetrate the market
43:49
more. So, going
43:51
for unlimited supply or might be a
43:53
stupid idea for them. Yeah. And I
43:55
think this is just, let's, we don't
43:57
know how much supply they're buying up.
43:59
The fact that you're leapfrogging apple on
44:01
this one is actually pretty crazy to
44:03
me. I mean, who knows, Zen six
44:05
could be the generation where they really
44:07
go for it with OEMs. And you
44:09
know, they, they want to win. They
44:11
want to keep the performance crown over
44:14
Intel and I, you know, so we'll
44:16
see, you know, maybe they'll be expensive,
44:18
but they just buy up a ton
44:20
of the capacity. Like they're actually willing
44:22
to outfit Apple for some of this.
44:24
Uh, and let's wait and see how what
44:26
happens here. It's already crazy. They're going
44:29
with two nanometer. I don't think they go
44:31
with two nanometer to like make 10
44:33
wafers. Like this would probably be some massive
44:35
strategy here and they're using the plant
44:37
in Arizona. So that's more capacity. too. So
44:39
I don't know. I wouldn't assume they're
44:41
just doing this to win a benchmark. They're
44:43
also probably doing this because they have
44:45
some bigger plan to actually have enough supply.
44:49
AI generated fish writes in and says
44:51
piercing together what we know so far
44:53
about Strix Halos launch. What's the bottleneck
44:55
in production here? It's not using standard
44:57
desktop chiplets. Is that it? Or the
44:59
low OEM demand due to high pricing
45:01
and unproven demand for a new type
45:03
of APU. I want to get excited
45:05
about Medusa Halo, but AMD does not
45:07
have a history of height, but does
45:09
have a history of hyping things. And
45:11
then their GPUs are in one to
45:13
three laptops, which are in low supply
45:15
and weirdly specced out. So I'd say
45:17
two things. AI generated fish. Number one.
45:19
It's new. So same thing happened with
45:21
Renoir, a new APU platform, AMD competing
45:24
in a market or a segment they
45:26
hadn't before, before it was just standard
45:28
laptop. Now it's, I mean, Apple mega
45:30
APUs, Apple like mega APUs. And anytime
45:32
there's a new platform, it's going to
45:34
take time to develop. And over time,
45:36
Renoir had hard to get, Cezanne, not
45:38
as hard to get Rembrandt, very hard
45:40
to get it first, then easy to
45:42
get Phoenix, a little easier to get
45:44
and hot point, easy to get Strix,
45:46
easy to get. Like it's probably going
45:48
to be a similar cadence, maybe faster
45:50
or more accelerated. But I think with
45:52
the Halo series, we're just like, this
45:54
is brand new stuff. So just let
45:56
them cook. You know, yeah. Yeah.
45:59
Yeah. I mean, hopefully Medusa Halo,
46:01
uh, there's, they already have their
46:03
relationships built or to introduce more
46:06
models that they designed with strict,
46:08
with Strix Halo in mind. Like
46:10
a D -Day metaphor, Strix Halo
46:12
is the first guys on the
46:14
beach. Medusa may land easier.
46:17
Yeah. What do you want me to say guys?
46:19
I'm getting my, I'm a white guy. My
46:22
thirties. I'm going to start making world war two
46:24
references. It's going to happen pretty soon. It's
46:26
just to be, I don't think it's going to
46:28
be the history channel that that jokes too
46:30
old because the history channel isn't the history channel
46:32
anymore. It's pond stars now, but the history
46:34
channel is now pond stars and aliens and aliens.
46:36
I don't, I don't think I'll be watching
46:38
that. I'll be watching just tons of YouTube documentaries
46:40
probably, but, but here's the second point. It
46:43
does have unique CCDs. And I
46:45
don't think that helped. And
46:48
I will be curious. And I
46:50
think we can kind of see a
46:52
lineage to Zen 6 here. The
46:54
CCDs and the way the fabric connects
46:56
to the IO dye is different from
46:58
desktop Zen 5 with Strix Halo. And
47:01
it's lower latency. There are some benchmarks
47:03
where a wildly outperforms desktop Zen 5.
47:05
And so I think there's something there
47:07
where they learn things making Strix Halo
47:09
that didn't get into Granite Ridge desktop
47:11
Zen 5. that will probably be in
47:13
Zen six and hopefully all of Zen
47:15
six. So it is all interchangeable. And
47:17
so even though I know there's like
47:19
an end to X and then an
47:21
end to P variant for Zen six,
47:23
I do hope they're more interchangeable so
47:25
that like, at least some models are
47:27
easier to supply because I will admit
47:29
the unique CCD thing probably is not
47:31
helping supply. Yeah.
47:33
I mean, if they're more modular
47:36
next generation, that would be great. So
47:38
they could hopefully shift supply more
47:40
easily back and forth to whatever is
47:42
in demand. Um, bull
47:44
dead writes in and says, is
47:46
the reason that we're not seeing
47:48
all that much NPU utilization is
47:50
because software developers are waiting on
47:52
first party, possibly even open source
47:54
software to implement NPU and GPU
47:57
load balancing because AMD just launched
47:59
a new LLM client whose selling
48:01
point seems to just be NPU
48:03
IGPU load balancing. Uh, and I'm
48:05
going to skip some of this here. Once
48:07
installed, you launch guy and begin exploring its
48:09
various agents and capabilities or two versions. Um,
48:12
Yeah, so I Don't know
48:14
Dan. Why do you think nothing
48:16
uses these NPUs that take
48:18
up die space yet? I
48:22
Don't know I mean
48:24
I don't I just
48:26
don't think that I
48:28
think There was over
48:30
-enthusiasm about the hardware
48:32
before anybody actually thought
48:34
of a software solution
48:36
solution it was solving
48:38
like I think there's a
48:40
ton of enthusiasm because it's useful
48:42
in research and then people didn't
48:44
realize that it's not that useful
48:46
outside of a few applications. I
48:49
don't know. Yeah, I mean, because
48:51
look at like the whole
48:53
Microsoft recall thing with Windows 11
48:56
that they like just backtracked
48:58
on. I don't and they still
49:00
I don't know someone's probably gonna write
49:02
in the comments that they actually are
49:04
implementing it tomorrow And I was an
49:06
idiot for saying this I but clearly
49:08
this just all the AI features I
49:10
will say aren't being rolled out as
49:12
smoothly as initially people thought they would
49:14
and I don't really have a solid
49:16
answer, right? I
49:18
I think I think
49:20
at the end of the day, no one's finding
49:22
a super useful thing to use these for,
49:24
or the MPUs are still aren't strong enough to
49:26
use them well. And I can
49:28
say that like using the MPU and
49:31
not even using it, using the co
49:33
-pilot button on this mini's for mini
49:35
PC I've had over here when I
49:37
mess around with it that doesn't use
49:39
the MPU. I mean,
49:41
I would tell it what its name
49:43
is. It would forget it in
49:45
30 minutes and it There were just
49:47
some, it was more accurate for
49:49
sure than Google's Gemini AI, but
49:52
it hedged so hard to not
49:54
be inaccurate that it wasn't useful half
49:56
the time when I used a
49:58
co -pilot to search things on the
50:00
web for me. So I just think
50:02
that there's a thing here where
50:04
it's just, it's just not really that
50:06
ready and either it needs more
50:08
processing power than the NPUs can provide
50:10
or At the end of
50:13
the day, no one, it's a chicken and egg
50:15
problem where like developers don't know, is the MPU
50:17
good enough? Should we put everything into making a
50:19
40 tops requirement? Do the thing we want it
50:21
to, and we know new ones may be there,
50:23
but we don't know if anyone will use this. I
50:26
don't know. I think there's a chicken and egg of
50:28
like trying to find a useful use of this and
50:30
deciding if this is where we stop. Does that make
50:32
sense? Yeah. All
50:35
right. Let us now
50:37
then move on. to
50:41
story number five Intel's next generation
50:43
Nova Lake CPUs will seemingly use a
50:45
new LGA 1954 socket. So I'm
50:47
going to quote here from Tom's hardware.
50:50
And then I actually have a
50:52
couple of leaks shipping document source from
50:54
NBD LTD purport that Intel might
50:56
switch to the LGA 1954 platform for
50:58
its next generation, Novel a processors
51:00
on desktop via all rack. This is
51:02
Accompanied by PCH tooling, likely intended
51:05
for the 900 series chipsets. Importantly, these
51:07
listings do not indicate an imminent
51:09
launch, especially since Noble Lake has officially
51:11
been confirmed as a 2026 product.
51:13
What's really official that Intel says, but
51:15
Noble Lake is officially part of
51:18
Intel's product family. So they have acknowledged
51:20
it exists. At least I agree
51:22
with that. Such a supersede aero lake
51:24
next year for a liminary silicon
51:26
confamurations, alleged two clusters of eight core
51:28
coyote co B cores. These are
51:30
an Arctic Wolf E cores. This is
51:33
of course, exclusively leaked by this
51:35
channel. Accompanimented by four low power LPE
51:37
cores in the SOC title, adding
51:39
up to 52 hybrid cores. Intel's engineers
51:41
explore, yeah, let's skip ahead
51:43
here. The information within the manifest implies
51:45
that Intel's actively distributing LGA 1954 testing
51:47
hardware to its global facility specifically. These
51:49
are not fully fledged motherboards, but appear
51:51
to be some form of specialized interposer
51:53
to test voltage regulation for the upcoming
51:55
platform. Either way, these kids are designated
51:58
as Novel Lake S. the short as
52:00
N V L S the shorthand for
52:02
no link S. So this heavily does
52:04
suggest that. No, I want to say
52:06
throw two last minute leaks here. Cause
52:08
I, this is a last minute story
52:10
added to the notes. And then I
52:12
reached out to a couple of sources. One
52:15
source tells me that it's not
52:17
necessarily finalized, but they have heard about
52:19
an LGA 1954. I'm actually looking
52:21
at what they said to me on
52:23
the side monitor right now. Um,
52:25
and that it was originally possibly some
52:27
embedded thing, but they might use it also
52:29
as they socket and eventually platform for
52:31
Novel Lake and possibly even the arrow Lake
52:33
refresh this person claims. So though I'm
52:36
wondering if they mixed that up. And the
52:38
only reason they would do that is
52:40
if they made the NPU so much stronger
52:42
that they needed, or they claimed to
52:44
need new pants. I don't know. Amy seems
52:46
to be able to do a lot
52:48
without needy new pinouts, but whatever, um, or
52:50
not new pinouts, new pin configurations. Um,
52:52
but I have another source here. Um,
52:54
an Intel source that tells me
52:56
they were debating whether Nova Lake should
52:58
continue on LGA 1851 or 1954.
53:00
Last I heard, and I have specifically
53:03
heard of a 1954, meaning this
53:05
person can't confirm if they're going to
53:07
use it, but they've heard of
53:09
this configuration and seeing this being shipped
53:11
with Nova Lake. That's why we
53:13
made this main story too. Cause sources last minute confirmed
53:15
this to me. So like, yeah, it sounds like at a
53:17
minimum, Nova Lake's going to require a new socket. So
53:19
what do you think of that, Dan? Not
53:22
that much to say other
53:25
than, good job Intel, just
53:27
keep that platform longevity not
53:29
being a thing. When
53:32
you're on the back foot,
53:34
really losing market share and trust
53:36
with consumers, having platforms
53:39
that last a quarter or
53:41
half as long as your competitor
53:43
really doesn't help. Yeah,
53:45
I mean... One thing I would
53:47
say is I continue to
53:49
believe that this isn't necessarily like
53:51
a nefarious thing. It's an
53:53
incompetent problem. It's like, you
53:55
can't convince me that it was all
53:57
due to milking. I think that was
53:59
explained some of it, but I don't
54:01
know. When you go back and look
54:03
at that, they had Kaby Lake and
54:05
then they went to coffee like one
54:07
and then coffee like two and then
54:09
comment like, I believe these all require
54:12
different sockets. To me, there's just
54:14
something there where there's a lack of uniform
54:16
leadership and there's no one at the top going,
54:18
Hey guys, we're going to be competing with
54:20
AMD really hard. Maybe we should just go to
54:22
the Comet Lake socket now so that all
54:24
these are on the same socket because surely that's
54:26
just something we should get ahead of. That's
54:28
something I believe AMD is done where they go.
54:30
Does Zen six really need a new platform
54:32
for consumers? Are they really going
54:34
to buy expensive DDR six right when it
54:36
launches? Maybe we should just, if it can support
54:38
DDR five, do that, which is what I
54:40
believe they're doing with Zen six on AM five
54:42
to support it. And then you look at
54:45
Zen seven and they're like, you know, okay, well
54:47
Zen seven is definitely going to require DDR
54:49
six. Well, what was then eight probably required? Let's
54:51
plan ahead for a socket when you need,
54:53
you know, and Intel doesn't do that. Yeah.
54:55
It could, or from the outside, it
54:57
does seem to speak to a lack
54:59
of cohesiveness or communication between the various
55:01
teams working on different architectures that Intel
55:04
where I don't know, it seems like
55:06
they're all just doing their own thing
55:08
at a certain point. Yeah.
55:10
Or that's a possible explanation. I don't
55:12
know if there's anything to that, but
55:14
yeah. And it's like, we've seen pictures.
55:16
Actually, I may know a source and
55:18
maybe get, be able to physically get
55:20
a hold of one of those meteor
55:22
like desktop chips. And it's just like,
55:24
so you thought meteor like might be
55:26
on LGA 1700, but then it was
55:29
1851. And then you would go
55:31
to Aero Lake, but then it wasn't. So
55:33
that was kind of a waste to have Aero
55:35
Lake use a new platform. If you're just
55:37
going to go to another one, to me, you
55:39
know, all of this is just that, them
55:41
not planning ahead and going, huh, hmm,
55:43
if Meteor Lake's not going to use 1851,
55:45
maybe we should just skip 1851 and whatever
55:47
we're going to use after that should be
55:49
what Aero Lake's on, especially if there's a
55:51
small chance Aero Lake refresh will even be
55:53
on it. That's just ridiculous. Um,
55:56
PRTD. B N M E writes in and
55:58
says, in light of the LGA 1954
56:00
rumors, they remind me of an aspect of
56:02
Intel's market dominance. It's stagnation 10 years
56:04
ago. Intel had LGA 1156, then 1155, then
56:06
50, then 51, where the difference between
56:08
those sockets were just a few pins, sometimes
56:11
even going down and then back up.
56:13
It is clear to me now that the
56:15
reason they did that is to force
56:17
motherboard upgrades once every other generation. See back
56:19
then, I think that is. pretty much
56:21
true. Yeah. Well, the physical sockets
56:23
themselves are similar to each other. My question
56:25
is that with the LGA 1954 rumors, what
56:27
is preventing Intel from designing a single socket
56:29
that can last for many generations? Why is
56:31
it that they always limit their socks to
56:33
two generations of a similar architecture? Well, they
56:35
do not have the market of mantra diamonds
56:37
that once had 10 years ago to justify
56:39
it anymore. Again, what we
56:41
just said, I probably should have
56:43
read this question before he kept
56:45
talking about it. You know, like,
56:47
I think it's like no one
56:49
told one team that, Hey, we
56:51
should make 1954 be what you
56:53
have, uh, aerolake use. And we
56:56
should skip 15 1851. If meteor like
56:58
isn't actually going to be launched on it.
57:00
They didn't. And so now there's just,
57:02
again, it's a huge company, a bloated company
57:04
still that just has people working on
57:06
different products. None of them talk to each
57:08
other. All of a sudden we just
57:10
get new platforms every year or so because
57:12
they aren't talking to each other. That,
57:14
that, that's my answer. Yeah,
57:16
I mean it really speaks
57:18
to the fact that
57:20
What I mean Intel is
57:23
bigger than AMD and
57:25
Nvidia combined And they put
57:27
out worse products than
57:29
both of them. It's it's
57:32
kind of crazy. Yeah
57:34
All right. Well, let us
57:36
now move on to
57:38
story number six. All right
57:41
PlayStation 6 handheld leaked
57:43
again uh, quoting from tech
57:45
power up, uh, with carbon cry noting that
57:47
it was heavily edited for readability. The
57:49
mysterious handheld is said to be powered
57:51
by a 15 watt SSC manufactured on a
57:53
non -specific three man meter node. According
57:55
to Kepler L two on Twitter that posted
57:57
that play stations are in hand world
58:00
is capable of running PS five generation
58:02
games is something we've already confirmed. However, at
58:04
reduced resolution and affirming due to bandwidth
58:06
and power restrictions, they also see a PS
58:08
six portable gaming performance being somewhere between
58:10
the Xbox S and the PlayStation five,
58:12
depending on what Sony decides to do. But
58:14
Yeah. So there's that. There's also PlayStation
58:16
portable leaks that keep percolating on NeoGaff
58:18
as well. Half of these are just people
58:21
talking that seems semi -informed by friends,
58:23
by the way. Um, so, but long story
58:25
short, multiple leaks are continuing to come
58:27
out that echoed the exclusive reporting of Moore's
58:29
law instead. I believe about a year
58:31
ago now on an upcoming PlayStation handheld,
58:33
specifically Kepler thinks that the handheld will play
58:35
PlayStation five titles, lowers those solutions. And
58:37
they say the SSC is designed for
58:40
15 Watts, a similar power level to steam
58:42
decks, Van Gogh, APU with a better
58:44
note in underlying architecture, PlayStation six portable.
58:46
Therefore could truly push handheld gaming forward, assuming
58:48
it launches within a few years, as
58:50
one would hope given the length of
58:52
the current generation consoles. And so
58:54
what I mostly take this is,
58:56
is again, the leaks we've put
58:59
out are being further confirmed. And
59:01
I would just add that. Yeah,
59:03
the PlayStation 6 one is also heavily
59:05
rumored in circles that seem to know things
59:08
ahead of time as well And I
59:10
continue to believe that is the move Sony
59:12
should make is they should skip a
59:14
PlayStation 5 portable Especially if it would be
59:16
different hardware and just make a ps6
59:18
model so that it can keep going forward
59:20
Keep so that you have that one
59:22
design that can go on for the next
59:25
10 years instead of a ps5. That's
59:27
about to be replaced in two years Yeah,
59:29
I mean with a ps6 portable And
59:32
if it could run the same
59:34
titles as the PS six, just at
59:36
a lower resolution, that would be
59:38
pretty cool. Yeah. Um,
59:41
all right. Let me see here.
59:43
Let me skip this one and
59:45
just go to the final story,
59:47
which is quite a long one.
59:49
Let me say story number seven
59:51
tariff update and video misleads customers.
59:53
Andy projects losses and Apple air
59:55
lifts iPhone. So I'm just going
59:57
to quote little things here. from
59:59
various sources and get to the
1:00:01
editorialization. First sources from Reuters. NVIDIA
1:00:03
did not warn at least some
1:00:05
major customers in advance about new
1:00:07
U .S. export rules. It was told
1:00:09
about a week ago requiring it
1:00:11
to obtain licenses to sell its
1:00:13
China -focused artificial intelligence chips, like
1:00:15
the 5090D, I believe. According
1:00:17
to two sources familiar with the matter, Reuters
1:00:19
quoted it again from a different
1:00:21
article. Meanwhile, Nvidia said it would take
1:00:24
$5 .5 billion in charges after the
1:00:26
U .S. government limited exports of its
1:00:28
H20 artificial intelligence chips to China,
1:00:30
a key market for one of its
1:00:32
most popular chips. And at the
1:00:34
same time, AMD expects charges of up
1:00:36
to $800 million due to the
1:00:38
latest curves by the Trump administration exports
1:00:40
of advanced processors from China that
1:00:42
companies sell on Wednesday. Now moving on
1:00:44
to the verge who quotes is
1:00:46
being quoted that razors up plumbing blade
1:00:48
16 and other laptops are no
1:00:50
longer available for pre -order or purchase
1:00:53
in the United States. When asked recently
1:00:55
if tariffs might affect razors prices
1:00:57
or availability as public relations manager Andy
1:00:59
Johnson told the verge, we do
1:01:01
not have a comment on this stage
1:01:03
regarding tariffs. Yeah. Seems like you're
1:01:05
just scared to admit what you're already
1:01:07
doing. Now reporting from heist .de as
1:01:09
the Taiwanese financial newspaper commercial times
1:01:11
reports, Acer, ASUS Lenovo, Dell and HP
1:01:13
are suspending deliveries to the US.
1:01:15
This means that the availability of new
1:01:17
products there is likely to be
1:01:20
limited for the foreseeable future. And finally,
1:01:22
quoting Reuters again, tech giant Apple.
1:01:24
Chartered cargo flights to very 600 tons
1:01:26
of iPhones or as many as
1:01:28
1 .5 million of them to the
1:01:30
United States from India after it stepped
1:01:32
up production there in an effort
1:01:34
to beat President Donald Trump's tariffs sources
1:01:36
told writers. So yep, tariffs are
1:01:38
here and everybody's winning, right? Sarcasm aside,
1:01:40
we see exactly what we expected
1:01:42
and reported on previously. Companies are tallying
1:01:44
millions and billions in near immediate
1:01:46
losses. Others are rushing to ship in
1:01:49
their products. If their margins could
1:01:51
sustain things like airlifting and others are
1:01:53
taking the more obvious response. to
1:01:55
just wait. No one is sure what will
1:01:57
happen with tariffs. No one can even say precisely
1:01:59
how they work and how they will be
1:02:01
enforced, at least of all the U S government
1:02:03
can't even seem to say it seems what
1:02:05
is clear is the continued tech blockade of China.
1:02:07
And it is a blockade at this point,
1:02:09
by the way. Now even products
1:02:11
designed to get through sanctions are barred. AMD and
1:02:14
Nvidia are expecting significant losses. And it seems
1:02:16
Nvidia might have hoped, and I think this is
1:02:18
an interesting thing read in between the lines
1:02:20
here. NVIDIA might have hoped to
1:02:22
prevent the tightening of sanctions. And
1:02:24
maybe that's why they didn't tell their partners
1:02:26
yet. Cause he, I believe he had like
1:02:28
a, let me continue. See the way sanctions
1:02:31
work is that companies are told ahead of
1:02:33
time to prepare or to raise concerns, but
1:02:35
for Reuters sources, NVIDIA didn't give advanced warning
1:02:37
to at least some of their customers. And
1:02:39
that likely means that Jensen Wang hoped to
1:02:41
convince Trump to allow age 20 sales into
1:02:43
China, but failed at least for now. Cause
1:02:45
I believe they had some dinner or something.
1:02:49
Then after the dinner, he had to
1:02:51
tell them too late. It'll be interesting
1:02:53
to see if Singapore becomes Nvidia's largest
1:02:55
market for future earnings. Like it already
1:02:57
seems to be to smuggle and stuff
1:03:00
to China. Also DHL. Yes. The massive
1:03:02
shipping company DHL just suspended deliveries to
1:03:04
the U S for anything that costs
1:03:06
over $800, which is a lot of
1:03:08
things you use DHL for. So that
1:03:10
was the last minute edition. By the
1:03:12
way, that is just Guys, not just
1:03:14
like companies, DHL doesn't want to bother
1:03:16
with shipments to America anymore. Unless it's
1:03:19
cheap ones that I think get through
1:03:21
that de minimis thing, get through that
1:03:23
tear. Yeah. Uh,
1:03:25
well, I, I guess those are
1:03:27
the, uh, the versions of
1:03:29
getting around tariffs that, uh, everybody
1:03:31
is discussing. There's some companies
1:03:33
that are like, screw it. Uh,
1:03:36
we're just not dealing with
1:03:38
them right now. Uh, you have
1:03:40
I apple that's hoping to
1:03:42
get around tariffs by uh,
1:03:44
changing shipping routes. And then Nvidia,
1:03:46
that's just hoping they could, uh,
1:03:48
reason with Trump, uh, last minute
1:03:50
and even lying to customers. Cause
1:03:52
they felt like they had to
1:03:54
be able to, but now they
1:03:56
didn't. And it's going to backfire
1:03:58
on them even harder. Or
1:04:01
who knows, maybe it won't, maybe
1:04:03
in a week and a half though,
1:04:05
those sanctions will just be reversed
1:04:07
because everything is stupid and erratic. Yeah.
1:04:09
And so. Like one spiel I
1:04:11
want to say too is like I've
1:04:13
actually our tariff content has had
1:04:15
higher upfoot ratios than average So anyone
1:04:17
who thinks that this is a
1:04:19
popular subject is wrong It is a
1:04:21
popular subject because this is affecting
1:04:23
everybody and people want I think there's
1:04:25
a hunger out there for people
1:04:27
who want people who cover the tech
1:04:29
space to not be Babies and
1:04:31
scared to talk about the number one
1:04:33
thing affecting gaming hardware this year
1:04:35
because it is tariffs and so more
1:04:37
so I said we're not afraid
1:04:39
to do that And it's reflected
1:04:41
mostly positively. Now, of course, there
1:04:43
are some people that are attack us.
1:04:45
And, you know, there's the usual
1:04:48
canned things like graphics cards are exempt
1:04:50
or not. Or like all
1:04:52
these other things. And, you know, half of those
1:04:54
annoying comments are probably just confused because we're
1:04:56
all confused and the news changes every day. And
1:04:58
they're clinging to the thing that they think
1:05:00
will make them right for what they are pretending
1:05:02
as a sports team. It's not a sports
1:05:04
team. This is stuff where things are being hurt
1:05:06
and people are being hurt. So. you
1:05:08
know, actually think about what you're rooting for.
1:05:10
This isn't sports anymore, people. This is real
1:05:12
policy that is changing things. And I guess
1:05:14
that's my main point I want to make
1:05:16
right now is when people say things like,
1:05:18
that's not true. This was just said, for
1:05:21
the most part, when me and Dan talk
1:05:23
about tariffs on this channel, we're talking about
1:05:25
things that have already happened. You can't tell
1:05:27
us we're wrong. HP did suspend
1:05:29
sales. And even if they started them again,
1:05:31
there will be a gap in sales
1:05:33
that will raise prices. DHL
1:05:35
did stop shipping for things over $800.
1:05:38
You can't say we're wrong. We're
1:05:40
reporting on things that have already
1:05:42
happened, like companies focusing new supply
1:05:44
of Nvidia cards, mostly to Europe. That
1:05:47
has happened. That is not a
1:05:49
theory, right? And so that's what
1:05:51
I would say is the chaos is
1:05:54
the problem. You can, I'm
1:05:56
sure on Monday before this episode comes
1:05:58
out, then on Tuesday after and Wednesday,
1:06:00
these will just change and yo yo
1:06:02
back and forth. But try to notice
1:06:04
like we're reporting on Apple. They have
1:06:06
airlifted iPhones until probably until December, but
1:06:09
NVIDIA and AMD are taking immense losses.
1:06:11
Will they recover them in the future?
1:06:13
Sure. Say they will. If you want
1:06:15
to believe they will, but we're recording,
1:06:17
we're reporting on the problems that have
1:06:19
already happened in telling you how that's
1:06:22
going to affect you now. So those
1:06:24
comments that say we're wrong, we're not
1:06:26
wrong. We reported on something that happened
1:06:28
a day or a week ago and
1:06:30
how that's going to affect you in
1:06:32
the future because we're not mostly bothering
1:06:34
to try to guess how this will
1:06:37
pan out. We just know
1:06:39
it will probably be bad even if things go
1:06:41
in a certain way. Well, and it's hard
1:06:43
to predict exactly how things will pan out because,
1:06:45
uh, the way a lot
1:06:47
of these policies are written, even
1:06:49
experts aren't, don't seem to understand
1:06:51
what they say half the time.
1:06:53
Yeah. Like, you know, I just
1:06:56
had Hogue on, uh, broken
1:06:58
silicon who's a. a
1:07:00
business attorney that often deals with
1:07:02
disputes, having to do a tariffs
1:07:04
and trade. And I would quote
1:07:06
him here again. I really recommend this episode. I think it's
1:07:08
one of the better ones over the past couple of
1:07:10
years. The way he put it is
1:07:13
I could, it is my job to do this.
1:07:15
Sometimes I could sit down right now, Tom
1:07:17
and tell you exactly how much it would cost
1:07:19
to switch versus now. I could go through every
1:07:21
component and every little thing and where it comes
1:07:23
from. And I could genuinely like that is my
1:07:25
job. Sometimes I could genuinely tell you what it
1:07:27
would cost, but I'm not going to spend
1:07:29
billable hours doing that for customers because I know
1:07:31
that we'll change the next day and that would
1:07:33
be a waste of their money. You
1:07:36
know, so yeah, I mean, that's what it
1:07:38
all comes down to. These things are changing
1:07:40
back and forth. But at the end of
1:07:42
the day, I guess the end of my
1:07:44
major point too is at the end of
1:07:46
the day, even if you see tomorrow Trump
1:07:48
say he's lifted this and that and that
1:07:50
tariff, a lot of companies are still going
1:07:52
to suspend trade with the US and move
1:07:54
production out of the US or away from
1:07:57
having to depend on the US, I would
1:07:59
say. because they don't know if that's
1:08:01
going to change in a week. And they're
1:08:03
going to give it 90 days. So I
1:08:05
think there's going to be at least three months
1:08:07
of like, just people don't want to bother
1:08:09
talking to the US. Well, they wait to see,
1:08:12
you know, like a, like a wild
1:08:15
cat has just emerged at like a dinner party
1:08:17
and everyone's like, there's a tiger walking around.
1:08:19
Let's just not move. And then wait to make
1:08:21
sure the tiger's gone before we start talking
1:08:23
again. That's what's going to happen. Yeah,
1:08:26
techno writes in with the US economy being
1:08:28
made weaker by tariffs and other political situations. He
1:08:30
copped. Could we actually see the return to
1:08:32
normal prices in the rest of the globe? Since
1:08:34
Nvidia and AMD based their card MSRPs on
1:08:37
the US dollar, then convert for elsewhere. Presumably the
1:08:39
dollar continues to weaken at this rate for
1:08:41
the next few months. Yeah. The US dollar is
1:08:43
weakening. We could see prices drop by around
1:08:45
10 to 15 % in global markets by the
1:08:47
summer, meaning that after inflation, the 58 would have
1:08:49
a similar MSRP to that of the 10
1:08:51
80 in many European countries. I
1:08:53
don't say 10 80. But the
1:08:56
overall premise is plausible. Yes. If the
1:08:58
US dollar weakens and more supply
1:09:00
is sent to countries that are not
1:09:02
the US compared to previous generations
1:09:04
traditionally. Yeah. You're already seeing it.
1:09:06
You are seeing prices for RTX go
1:09:08
down in Europe where they go up
1:09:10
in the US. Yes. Again, this is
1:09:12
us not predicting. It's already happened. It's
1:09:15
already happened. Yeah. I mean, that
1:09:17
also depends on, well,
1:09:19
not, I mean, you could see relative
1:09:21
MSRPs go down, but I wouldn't. Bet
1:09:24
that that will reliably make
1:09:26
prices go down permanently. They
1:09:28
if supply goes down you
1:09:30
might just see Prices go
1:09:32
up like they are in
1:09:34
the US globally to although
1:09:36
probably not as fairly because
1:09:38
we're not dealing With if
1:09:40
that GPU was assembled in
1:09:42
China, you're not dealing with
1:09:44
whatever the hell we're at
1:09:46
185 percent again, it's it's
1:09:49
effectively a blockade so All
1:09:51
right now let us move
1:09:53
on to the wrap up.
1:09:55
All right. First one here,
1:09:57
Dan, dragon range refresh is
1:09:59
official. I got to say,
1:10:01
I don't have a lot
1:10:03
to say about rebranding Zen
1:10:05
for, for rebranding on strikes
1:10:07
again. mean, I'm sure this
1:10:09
is just leftover Zen for
1:10:11
supply that's been higher because
1:10:13
it is easier to bend
1:10:15
it higher. Um,
1:10:17
I would be surprised if this was
1:10:19
around for a long time, unless
1:10:21
genuinely this is just how they're deciding
1:10:24
to get rid of oversupply. I
1:10:26
mean, I guess they have to keep
1:10:28
making Zen forward to a degree
1:10:30
for their server customers. Presumably
1:10:33
they have some deal
1:10:35
strike in with an OEM
1:10:37
to put these in
1:10:39
laptops. So it'll probably be around
1:10:41
for some amount of time. Yeah. That's true. Yeah.
1:10:43
So, but I don't have anything to say
1:10:45
about this. Zenfors fine,
1:10:48
you're using a Zenfors system. Zenvive
1:10:50
is better. Zenfors fine. Van
1:10:52
Gogh might finally be coming
1:10:55
to do it yourself. I thought
1:10:57
this was interesting. Let
1:10:59
me see here. There's a
1:11:01
rise in AI Z2 stream. Then
1:11:03
there was the Z2A. And a
1:11:05
lot of people weren't sure what
1:11:07
that was, but new data is
1:11:09
emerging that the Z2A APU may
1:11:11
be Van Gogh and we might
1:11:13
be able to finally benchmark. You
1:11:16
know, I, you know, there might be
1:11:18
other handhelds that have the same APU and
1:11:20
the steam deck or who knows, I
1:11:22
think it would be interesting if a mini
1:11:24
PC got busy to a, and then
1:11:26
you could really do some heavy, heavy testing
1:11:28
with different TDP levels and like a
1:11:31
more traditional form factor. I think that'd be,
1:11:33
so I know that's something to watch
1:11:35
out for. Nvidia
1:11:38
supposedly fixes drivers. Although,
1:11:41
you know, let me look here. Dead
1:11:43
AI writes in and says Nvidia can't keep
1:11:45
getting away with this crap. The newest
1:11:47
driver fixes black screens. I was having black
1:11:49
screen issues. It had fixed them by
1:11:51
the way, but broke driver telemetry that's emerging
1:11:53
like clock speed, temp, power monitoring, what
1:11:55
is going, and it's also affecting the 30
1:11:57
of the 40 series. What is wrong
1:11:59
with them? How can they keep effing things
1:12:02
up this badly? And I editorialized that
1:12:04
a little bit, but there's, there's a lot
1:12:06
of not saying effing crap. A lot
1:12:08
of more swearing that I just got to
1:12:10
skip, but I don't know for me,
1:12:12
the new Nvidia drivers seem to fix some
1:12:14
issues that I did have. Um, I
1:12:16
didn't really have any issues, but I just
1:12:18
moved to a 4k OLED to 40
1:12:20
Hertz monitor. So I got that a two
1:12:22
40 Hertz, uh, 1440 P one and
1:12:24
then my old 4k one 21. So I'm
1:12:26
kind of pushing the limits of what
1:12:28
the bandwidth, the 40 90 can supply over
1:12:30
display board. I think that was causing
1:12:32
some black screen issues. They're gone now. They're
1:12:35
all fixed. So I'm happy about that.
1:12:37
And luckily I don't really monitor anything anymore
1:12:39
because I just don't overclock my 40
1:12:41
90 anymore. I just have it in the
1:12:43
low power bio switch and I'm letting
1:12:45
it run. But yeah, I don't know. This
1:12:47
is more evidence that Nvidia may have
1:12:49
fixed one problem and caused another. And I
1:12:51
don't know. It just feels like they
1:12:53
hired the RDNA one driver team. Yeah.
1:12:56
Good job. Also Nvidia Zora RTX
1:12:58
demo was provided. I actually meant
1:13:01
to try it out, but I
1:13:03
couldn't before you showed up Dan
1:13:05
for Easter weekend. But
1:13:07
it is a rather large download to
1:13:09
an instructing a 108 like gigabyte zip
1:13:12
was actually kind of annoying. So that's
1:13:14
why I didn't get to it, but
1:13:16
I'll probably be messing with that for
1:13:18
the next week. It'll be interesting. TSMC
1:13:20
moves 30 % of two nanometer to the
1:13:22
U S again, and worth noting that
1:13:24
more that this thing is happening again, to
1:13:26
go to that reader mail about what
1:13:29
is AMD going to do with two nanometer
1:13:31
supply. I don't think they would have
1:13:33
chosen two nanometer air hollow night. unless they
1:13:35
thought they could get a enough supply
1:13:37
and TSMC is rapidly expanding it in the
1:13:39
United States. So maybe it won't be
1:13:41
a big issue. Now this
1:13:43
one's, again, these are not
1:13:45
major stories, but I think this
1:13:47
is worth mentioning. Nvidia, I'm
1:13:49
sorry. I always do that. Nintendo
1:13:51
revised the switch to product
1:13:53
info and removed variable refresh rate
1:13:55
support from official sites. I
1:13:59
don't know what that means. What is going on with
1:14:01
Nintendo? I
1:14:03
don't know. Like we said last
1:14:05
time talking about the switch, something weird
1:14:07
is going on internally at Nintendo. Uh,
1:14:10
we, I know we've been speculating about
1:14:12
that for like a couple of years
1:14:14
now at this point, but there's too
1:14:16
much weird shit at this point to
1:14:18
deny. Like something has to
1:14:21
be going on there. I'm trying to
1:14:23
remember if there was anything equivalent with
1:14:25
like Sony like this. Cause I, to
1:14:27
my memory, right? Sony
1:14:29
eventually added 1440p support.
1:14:32
to the PlayStation five way longer. It took
1:14:34
them to put it on there than
1:14:36
I thought it should have taken, but they
1:14:38
did add it and they didn't claim
1:14:40
it had it and tell it did. And
1:14:42
I don't think they really, and they
1:14:44
added free sync support later. I don't remember
1:14:46
them saying it's like on the box,
1:14:48
free sync and tell it and then removing
1:14:50
it like. They tend to just take
1:14:52
a long time to add stuff, but they eventually
1:14:54
do at PlayStation. Can you
1:14:56
think of anything? Like they removed the
1:14:58
4K, I have to mention this or
1:15:01
the 8K thing from their boxes, I
1:15:03
guess. So I guess
1:15:05
that's comparable, but they didn't
1:15:07
brag about it running 8K a
1:15:09
whole lot. And in Nintendo put
1:15:11
VRR and a lot of official
1:15:13
announcements and they now removed it.
1:15:16
This thing's been done for years. How could they
1:15:18
not know if they're going to have VRR
1:15:20
support? I
1:15:22
don't know. I mean, I'm
1:15:24
holding on and just hoping
1:15:26
this is some weird oversight, like
1:15:28
they omitted it from some
1:15:31
marketing material, but I don't know.
1:15:34
Or yeah,
1:15:37
I really don't know why at the
1:15:39
last minute, they're like, no, no more
1:15:41
VRI support that almost that makes no
1:15:43
sense to me. Yeah. All right.
1:15:46
And the final one here, I just threw
1:15:48
it in because it involves tech. And this
1:15:50
is insane to me. Tesla sued for allegedly
1:15:52
faking odometer readings to avoid warranty repairs. And
1:15:54
it's not the first time someone's claimed
1:15:57
this. I believe this is them. Like they
1:15:59
change the odometer so they don't need
1:16:01
to pay for a warranty at the last
1:16:03
minute or something. So
1:16:05
like you're about to be out of warranty. And then
1:16:07
they speed it up so they don't have to do
1:16:09
it. I'm starting to think
1:16:11
I shouldn't get a Model Y, Tom. Yeah.
1:16:13
I don't know. Besides the fact that it feels
1:16:15
really cheap compared to competing cars. Yeah.
1:16:18
I say that as someone who
1:16:20
tried out a Model Y somewhat recently
1:16:22
and was, man, was I unimpressed
1:16:24
compared to the competition. I
1:16:27
don't what to say. I mean, there's
1:16:29
not really a whole lot to say.
1:16:31
It's not even gaming hardware, but it
1:16:33
involves tech. And it's like, that sounds
1:16:35
highly illegal for multiple reasons. There's
1:16:37
the model. I have Navi 23 in
1:16:39
it or whichever. I don't remember some, some,
1:16:41
some, some tasks to. Okay.
1:16:44
So it's tangentially
1:16:46
related. Sure. Sure. Sure.
1:16:48
All right. Well, that is going
1:16:51
to do it for this
1:16:53
shorter, but I still, I think
1:16:55
fully featured episode of broken
1:16:57
silicon like the model Y. I
1:17:00
argue if it has full, if it's
1:17:02
fully featured, when I have to use a
1:17:04
frickin' touchscreen to control the AC. Just
1:17:08
give me dials on cars, guys. The dials
1:17:10
still work. The dials and the buttons. Give me
1:17:12
the dials and the buttons. Don't give me
1:17:14
a button too for like reverse. Let me move
1:17:16
a stick because then otherwise have to like,
1:17:18
which button do I press the right one? You're
1:17:20
dangerous. dangerous. But
1:17:23
yeah, you know, as
1:17:25
usual, remember support Moore's Law instead on YouTube. I
1:17:28
think like, almost half of you aren't
1:17:30
even subscribed. Please double check that you're subscribed
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1:17:40
We just put out another over one
1:17:42
hour dye shrink, kind of a bonus broken
1:17:44
silica and going over Nvidia's mind share
1:17:46
and the 50 60 Ti situation. And
1:17:49
we just did some interviews with
1:17:51
developers. There's a ton of just hundreds
1:17:53
of dye shrinks. They are feet. If, you know,
1:17:55
if you just join us at the lowest tier,
1:17:57
you can ask the discord where you can interact
1:17:59
with me, Dan, the team. There's people who work
1:18:01
at Intel and AMD and Nvidia in the Morse
1:18:03
laws at discord where people will ask questions and
1:18:05
they will go, yes, that is how that driver
1:18:07
works. That's why that happened. Like there's thousands of
1:18:09
people in that discord that work in this industry.
1:18:12
And it's probably, I, many people say
1:18:14
it's one the most knowledgeable discords ever
1:18:16
and one of the most civil. discords
1:18:19
ever. I'm very proud of how, uh, not
1:18:22
polite, but how, how civil we've kept
1:18:24
it there. So please join us on
1:18:26
Patreon if you can. That's the best
1:18:28
way to show support. And then I
1:18:30
don't know, Dan, any final words? Happy
1:18:33
Easter. Happy Easter, everybody. And
1:18:35
I will have Gerard edit
1:18:37
this in the beginning. So,
1:18:39
you know why I said
1:18:41
this? I said, holy moly,
1:18:43
because Dan caught Jesse. Messing
1:18:46
with a mole in the yard. And
1:18:48
I never made it clear why I said
1:18:50
Holy moly at the beginning. It
1:18:52
is because Jesse messed with a
1:18:54
mole and she didn't hurt it.
1:18:56
At least not pretty. The mole
1:18:58
of successfully burrowed back underground after
1:19:00
I told her to get away
1:19:02
from it. So we watched it.
1:19:04
She wasn't biting it. I think
1:19:07
she was just kind of poking
1:19:09
it slowly with her paw. Like
1:19:11
what is it? Oh,
1:19:13
and she was doing this. She didn't bite
1:19:15
it at all, but she was like with
1:19:17
her nose, like, Oh, like, like that a
1:19:19
little bit. Like, so
1:19:23
almost trying to play with it. So we
1:19:25
don't think Jesse is a mole killer. I would
1:19:27
not trust her around a rabbit though. She
1:19:29
looks like she wants to get rabbits, but, and,
1:19:31
uh, and squirrels. But yes, that is why
1:19:33
I said Holy moly and Dan said Easter. The
1:19:35
point I was going to make is those
1:19:37
are the two things that were. news for us
1:19:39
today. And it is an hour, over an
1:19:42
hour later that I am correcting this, but we
1:19:44
will try to make Gerard edit in the
1:19:46
video in the beginning as well. Like this is
1:19:48
why Tom said, holy moly, we will say
1:19:50
later, but thank you for watching. Thank you for
1:19:52
listening. Have a good week, everybody. Goodbye.
1:20:03
Tom that guy is me and I
1:20:05
am indeed the creator editor writer
1:20:07
and showrunner of Moore's Laws Dead podcast
1:20:09
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it's not just me Moore's Laws Dead
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3, and of course, Angel of Kareem.
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of course, of course, thank you to Zahara for the
1:24:27
music.
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