Episode Transcript
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0:00
Capital Razors, I want to give
0:02
you $11 ,000 worth of goodies. I'm
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talking about Capital Raising Closing Scripts,
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the viral capital playbook, over 20
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hours of Capital Raising sessions from
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our previous events like Raise Fast,
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a summit where we showed people how to
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raise $5 million in 30 days. Plus,
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I want to give you access to a
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community of hundreds of Capital Razors who
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are active in our group, helping you out,
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answering your questions. If you want to
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learn more about that, just go to raisingcapital
0:27
.com. It's
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short for Capital Razor's
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Edge. So again, raisingcapital .com
0:34
forward slash CRE and I'll
0:36
see you inside. we
0:39
all know that real estate has created
0:41
more millionaires than pretty much any other business.
0:44
The problem is, it's also created a
0:46
lot of heartaches and bankruptcies. Sure,
0:49
we can get access to a
0:51
ton of real estate education on the
0:53
internet, but that's precisely the problem.
0:55
How can we tell which strategies will
0:57
consistently produce asymmetric returns and which
0:59
should be avoided at all costs? My
1:02
goal is to give real estate
1:04
entrepreneurs, capitalraisers, and investors all of the
1:06
secrets so that we can grow
1:08
our portfolios without dealing with costly
1:11
investment nightmares. And that's
1:13
what this program is all about. I'm Hunter
1:15
Thompson and welcome to the Cash Flow
1:17
Connections Real Estate Podcast. How's
1:21
it going, everyone? Welcome back to the
1:23
show today. We are going to talk
1:25
about how to capture, how to take
1:27
advantage of what I believe to be
1:29
this once in a generation. type of
1:31
opportunity. If you're listening to this right
1:33
now, it means that you're somewhere in a
1:35
massive growth curve of your business. You wouldn't
1:37
be listening to this podcast because of the
1:40
jokes. You wouldn't be listening to this podcast
1:42
because of the random stories I tell. You're
1:44
listening to this podcast because you believe that
1:46
you are at the bottom of a massive
1:48
mountain and at the top of the mountain
1:50
is financial freedom most of the time. Now, some
1:52
of you believe you're at the bottom of
1:54
the mountain, but you're actually about halfway up at
1:56
others. Think you're at the bottom of the
1:58
mountain, but you see the mountain is way less tall than
2:00
it is. And I'm here to tell
2:02
you what you have in front of you
2:04
is a ton of work, but it
2:06
is also potentially way higher than you could
2:08
possibly imagine, meaning way more work, but
2:10
the highs can be way higher. Meaning if
2:13
you're thinking about financial freedom for yourself,
2:15
what are you thinking about for the next
2:17
generation? What are you thinking about for
2:19
the generation after that? And
2:21
one of the reasons you listen to this is
2:23
you want to expand your vision of what you
2:25
think is possible. I'm here to tell you that
2:27
the next level is possible. I'm going to talk
2:29
about tactics and strategy and the opportunity in just
2:31
a second, but let me just tell a quick
2:33
story. A lot of people listen
2:35
to this show view financial freedom as
2:37
being able to pay off all of
2:39
your expenses by your passive income. Number
2:41
one goal was you see what your
2:43
number of dollars of expenses on a
2:46
monthly basis is. See what the amount
2:48
of real estate you'll have to buy
2:50
or how much money you're going to have
2:52
to make to pay off all those expensive through
2:54
real estate. And you start to create
2:56
a battle plan. But
2:58
then I was thinking about
3:00
that, creating that battle plan at
3:02
an event. And a
3:04
guy in the back of the audience said,
3:06
Hey, I want to speak real quick.
3:08
Can I come to the audience and make
3:10
an announcement? And the host of the
3:12
event recognized the person and said, yeah, come
3:14
up here, tell them what you want
3:16
to say. And he got up there and
3:18
said, I just achieved. my number one
3:20
financial goal. And I'm thinking, okay, cool,
3:22
this guy's making $10 ,000 a month
3:25
passively. That's cool. And he goes,
3:27
my number one financial goal was that
3:29
my passive income would be 10
3:31
times my expenses. It's like, is
3:33
that legal? So like
3:36
if his expenses are like 20 grand
3:38
a month, he's making $200 ,000 a month
3:40
passively. So
3:42
that is what's possible. And by the way,
3:44
this guy wasn't 80 years old or something
3:46
like that. Maybe you can make the
3:48
case that his expenses were really low and
3:50
it was $8 ,000 a month or $6 ,000
3:52
a month. Well, still, my
3:54
friend, still, regardless of what it was, real
3:57
estate is not like
3:59
entrepreneurship. There doesn't need to be comps just
4:01
because someone down the street is charging $1
4:03
,600 a month. In the world of entrepreneurship,
4:05
doesn't mean that that's where you're going to
4:07
max out because whatever number you're looking for,
4:09
you can add a comma or a bunch
4:11
of commas and there's still people doing that
4:13
out there as well. timing
4:16
matters. And that's what I want to
4:18
talk to you about today. So how
4:20
do you capture this moment? Let's talk
4:22
about what this moment is. Right now,
4:24
2024, around half a million apartment units
4:26
are going to be delivered this year.
4:29
Half a million. That is a
4:31
very significantly high number. 2025,
4:34
things start to cool down dramatically depending on
4:37
who you listen to, real page, co -star,
4:39
you're going to see a number in
4:41
the 400 ,000s. But here's the act factor. In
4:44
2026, the number
4:46
of new apartment units that
4:48
are planned to be delivered
4:50
in 2026 is around 250 ,000,
4:52
less than half of the
4:54
amount that came online in
4:57
2024. And in order
4:59
to see a number that low, you
5:01
got to look back to 2014 or so,
5:03
meaning that
5:05
there is going to be a
5:07
massive surge in demand for a
5:09
product that is going to be
5:12
supply constrained for the first time
5:14
in about 15 years, something
5:16
close to that, 10 to 15 years. And
5:19
that is what I want you to capture.
5:21
Now, in order to do that, You
5:24
cannot wait until 2026, because two things
5:26
are going to happen in 2026. 2026
5:28
is going to come around. The
5:30
new apartment units is going to drop
5:32
by 50%. Rents are going to start
5:34
increasing. And all of a sudden, the
5:36
play is going to be so easy
5:38
to know, looking at the data, that
5:40
prices are going to be bid up.
5:42
buy people that are already engaged in
5:44
the space that already have contacts that
5:46
have already done deals with lenders that
5:48
have already been underwritten a billion times
5:50
and can rinse and repeat that have
5:52
a high degree of confidence of close
5:54
from sellers because they're already participating in
5:56
the market. So the money
5:58
that you're going to raise in 2026 when it's
6:00
so easy that people don't even want to
6:02
give you credit for it in 10 years.
6:05
The money you'll raise at that
6:07
time it will be as a result of
6:09
the work you put in now. The
6:12
work you put in now, I
6:14
was listening to a short
6:16
reel with Brandon Turner over at
6:18
Bigger Pockets. He has
6:21
raised around $400 million from equity.
6:24
And that is not from
6:26
institutions and family offices, but
6:28
hundreds or thousands of listeners
6:31
of his show. And
6:33
the number one takeaway had from this reel
6:35
was that if you have guidance to
6:37
someone of how to raise money, It is
6:39
that you cannot drink from a well
6:41
you haven't dug yet. And so
6:43
you are now on the clock
6:45
to get this well dug. So
6:48
how would I do this? How would I take advantage of
6:50
this once in a lifetime opportunity? Number
6:52
one, go all in
6:54
on a niche so that you can speak
6:56
to people's souls. A quote I
6:58
had recently that I posted and
7:00
has been shared a bunch is
7:02
that people take action when
7:04
they think something uniquely applies
7:06
to them. So when I go
7:09
to create content, I try to speak
7:11
to my listeners' souls so
7:13
that they feel obligated in
7:15
a lot of ways to take the
7:17
next rational step. Now, I'll
7:20
give you an example of what not to do so you
7:22
can kind of reverse engineer what might be a good
7:24
idea. If I'm
7:26
talking to no
7:28
one, essentially, by saying,
7:30
hey, busy professionals, right,
7:33
it doesn't give me clear understanding of who that
7:35
person is, what their goals are, what their
7:37
pain points are, and how to get them to
7:39
take the next rational step. And
7:42
by the way, no one refers to themself as a
7:44
busy professional. But if I use
7:46
the term, hey, are you
7:48
a burnt out CPA who's sick of
7:50
getting crunched every time it's September
7:52
15th because of tax deadlines? That
7:55
all of a sudden makes me
7:57
think, wow, this person is literally reading
7:59
my mind. So this is why
8:01
I talk about having a niche because Using
8:04
a niche is the only way to get someone
8:06
to think it actually does uniquely apply to
8:08
them like they go oh my gosh this person
8:10
is exactly me just six months ago or
8:12
six years ago. I want you pick
8:14
a next you can actually learn the language you can
8:16
start to dig that well. You can
8:18
start to be in a position to say that
8:20
the money you'll raise in twenty twenty six is
8:22
because the work you did in twenty twenty five
8:24
and the money you raise in twenty twenty four
8:26
is because the work you did in twenty twenty
8:28
three. So. Whatever
8:31
you can do to take massive action to
8:33
pick a niche and go all in and
8:35
start to build out that infrastructure is going
8:37
to work. But keep in mind that this
8:39
opportunity is freaking massive. Another data point that
8:41
I want you to be mindful of and
8:43
why I continue to call this a once
8:46
a generation type of opportunity. The
8:48
distress that's happening right now,
8:50
particularly in commercial real estate, but
8:52
my focus in multifamily as
8:54
many of you likely know, with
8:56
25 % discounts to peak prices.
8:58
That alone is historically significant. Now,
9:01
that doesn't mean that it's a great time
9:03
to buy, but at least it's like a holy
9:05
crap. Historically speaking, anytime there was a 20
9:07
plus percent discount, it was historically a great time
9:09
to buy. There's more to
9:11
it than that. It's not just that prices
9:13
are down. It's why they're down, which
9:15
is almost exclusively tied to interest
9:17
rates rising faster than they've risen
9:20
in 40 years, meaning that
9:22
we don't see massive unemployment. We
9:24
don't see massive shell shock. Sure.
9:26
There is oversupplied markets, but that
9:28
may be responsible for people reducing
9:30
rents or giving a free month
9:32
of rent or something like that.
9:34
That is on the margins. That's
9:36
not creating massive distress across thousands
9:38
of apartments in the United States,
9:40
but interest rates are. And
9:43
so it is almost, not technically because
9:45
it's out into the future, but it's
9:47
almost a fact that the Fed is
9:49
about to start lowering rates. Now,
9:52
is it going to be 25 basis points or
9:54
50 basis points or 100 basis points or
9:56
125? You can look at the futures
9:58
market and see what the market actually thinks. But
10:01
the question I have for you is, if
10:03
the Fed lowers rates, how
10:06
much easier is that going to be for you to do deals? Because
10:09
think about it, it's not just going to make it
10:11
easier for your numbers to pencil. It
10:13
will also make it easier for the seller
10:15
to sell his deal and get into
10:17
a new deal because it's going to make
10:19
his numbers easier to pencil as well.
10:21
If a seller wants 20 million dollars, they
10:23
don't care if interest rates go down
10:25
and now they want to make 21. Obviously,
10:28
it'd be nice if they could, but you get where
10:30
I'm going with that. A lot of people that
10:32
are selling right now are selling because they're deeply distressed.
10:35
So when they say they need 20
10:37
million, it's usually because they need
10:39
20 million to pay off the existing
10:41
loan, my friends. And
10:43
so if interest rates go down, they're like,
10:45
oh my gosh, thank goodness, because
10:47
I'll be able to pay off the existing loan if
10:49
they are in fact distressed, which is who you want
10:51
to be buying from right now. So my
10:54
guidance to you is put in the
10:56
work right now, play the long game,
10:58
and don't settle for this super quick fixes
11:00
that are out there. Like if you're
11:02
just trying to hammer. your existing list. If
11:04
you're trying to hammer the people that
11:06
you've already had invest with you, you know
11:08
deep down that is not a strategy
11:10
that's going to help you get to the
11:13
next level. It may get you
11:15
to the next deal. It may get you
11:17
out of escrow. It may help you not
11:19
lose your earnest money deposit, but
11:21
you've got to take time
11:23
to put in to building
11:25
your capital raising system. I
11:28
just listened to a call with someone
11:30
on our team where someone came in
11:32
That was thinking about getting coaching and
11:35
consulting from us. And they just keep
11:37
hammering this point that they don't want
11:39
to be focused on raising money. They
11:41
just want to do deals. And
11:43
they're like, can you just hire someone to do it? And
11:45
I'm just like, you are
11:48
the number one capital raiser of your
11:50
business and are going to be for
11:52
years. You think you could just come
11:55
in and buy an investor list and
11:57
handle all of that for like $1
11:59
,000 or something like that? Lean
12:01
in, take the time, whether it's three hours a
12:03
day or three hours a week, that will give
12:05
you the most pronounced results in your business, but
12:08
you've got to do it now to capitalize on
12:10
what's going to happen in 2026. I
12:12
hope that helps. All right, so I've
12:14
got some bad news. This episode
12:16
is over, but I'm probably answering questions
12:18
during one of our live Q &As
12:20
in our online classroom for capitalraisers.
12:22
How nice would that be to be
12:24
able to ask me questions directly
12:26
every single week? Also, to supercharge your
12:28
experience in this online classroom, we
12:30
threw in over 20 hours of capital
12:32
raising trainings, including my capital raising
12:34
closing scripts, our investor referral program and
12:36
much, much more. If you want
12:38
access to all this and you want
12:40
to ask me questions directly every single
12:43
week, just go to
12:45
raisingcapital .com forward slash
12:47
CRE to learn more.
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