Armchair Analyst MLS Cup Tactical Preview

Armchair Analyst MLS Cup Tactical Preview

Released Thursday, 5th December 2024
Good episode? Give it some love!
Armchair Analyst MLS Cup Tactical Preview

Armchair Analyst MLS Cup Tactical Preview

Armchair Analyst MLS Cup Tactical Preview

Armchair Analyst MLS Cup Tactical Preview

Thursday, 5th December 2024
Good episode? Give it some love!
Rate Episode

Episode Transcript

Transcripts are displayed as originally observed. Some content, including advertisements may have changed.

Use Ctrl + F to search

0:00

Extra time is exactly how I find

0:02

out find out what's going

0:05

on in the Get lost, get

0:07

lost. Get lost! podcast has influenced me

0:09

a little bit as well. Everybody up

0:11

here! Every single day

0:14

goes into the office, into the

0:16

laboratory to try to cook up

0:18

some great stuff for you guys.

0:21

That's why he's here! Greetings folks,

0:23

and welcome to Extra

0:25

Time. I'm I'm your host, Matt

0:27

Matt Doyle, I'm Los .com's armchair

0:29

analyst. ready to give you,

0:31

that's right, a one -man

0:33

show, flying solo today because

0:35

Andrew Webe flew last

0:37

night night. to Carson for MLS

0:39

Cup 2024, presented by without his

0:42

his microphone. the level of That's the

0:44

level of professionalism that has achieved after

0:46

a decade and a half on the

0:48

You've got to respect it. got So

0:50

what have we got today? One thing

0:52

and one thing, only a tactical

0:54

breakdown of what to expect from the

0:56

the 29th MLS Cup. If If you're listening to

0:58

this, I'm sure you already know

1:00

that the game's on Saturday at at 4

1:02

.m. Eastern and that that you can watch

1:04

it for free on Apple TV. I'm

1:06

sure you also know that it's

1:08

the L.A. Galaxy the New York Red Bulls

1:10

with Red going for their record their record

1:12

6th MOS Cup the Red Bulls hoping for their first,

1:15

which would be their first their first cup win

1:17

of any sort. show on M.L.A. -game show passed with the

1:19

with the usual Weebie Sasha Bradley Bradley Bright the

1:21

rest of rest that starts at 2

1:23

p .m. at 2 p.m.m. Eastern. Gonna have a lot

1:25

of info on that one, so I

1:27

invite you all to crack open a

1:29

cold one and settle in for an

1:31

afternoon of what will hopefully be some

1:34

good soccer. a cold one. Okay, as as for

1:36

that. will it be? I it be? this in

1:38

my wrote about this in

1:40

my tactical preview column, which

1:42

is up on the website

1:44

right now. And right now, game

1:46

really breaks down into two

1:48

parts for me. The first

1:50

is how have the galaxy differed

1:52

without Ricky Pooge this season? He

1:54

is, of course, out with

1:56

an ACL tear after that

1:58

remarkable match -winning assist again. the Sounders

2:01

in the Western Conference Final. And

2:03

then the second part is how

2:05

have the Red Bulls changed over

2:07

the past two months ever since

2:09

they took a beating in the

2:11

Hudson River Darby in late September.

2:13

Remember that 5-1 game. Sandra Schwartz

2:15

kind of threw it all out

2:17

the window after that one and

2:19

the Red Bulls have become very

2:21

Red Bulls-ish again in regards to

2:23

their attitude towards completing passes and

2:25

having possession and stuff like that.

2:27

I think we start with Ricky

2:30

though, and we talked about this

2:32

a lot on Monday's show. He

2:34

is unique in how he plays

2:37

his role as a number 10,

2:39

who wants to also be in

2:41

number eight and will sometimes drop

2:44

all the way to the back

2:46

line and gets more touches than

2:48

anyone and it's heliocentric to an

2:51

extent that we've never really seen.

2:53

in MLS before and Greg Vani

2:55

has talked about this, talked openly

2:57

about how Ricky plays the position

3:00

in a way that Vani himself

3:02

is not necessarily all that comfortable

3:04

with. He had to learn to

3:07

be and with Ricky it's worth

3:09

learning to be that because he's

3:11

a world-class passer of the ball.

3:14

You can't replicate that. And so

3:16

what we've seen in the five

3:18

games this year from the Galaxy

3:20

in which Ricky hasn't played is

3:23

that they haven't tried to replicate

3:25

it. Whether it's Mark Delgado or

3:27

Diego Fugundez or Marco Royce, who

3:30

I don't think is going to

3:32

play much in this one, even

3:34

though the Galaxy are making noise

3:37

like he's healthy. I've heard from

3:39

sources at the team that... 20

3:41

minutes tops is what they're hoping

3:44

for from Royce and they're you

3:46

know set the I would take

3:48

the under on that number but

3:50

anyway whoever it is out there

3:53

in place of Ricky is not

3:55

going to do the things that

3:57

Ricky does in terms of dropping

4:00

shape and making the midfield shape

4:03

the rest of those guys react

4:05

almost entirely to him. And that's

4:07

what Vanny meant when he said

4:10

he wasn't necessarily comfortable with how

4:12

Ricky played the position. He had

4:15

to learn to sort of accept

4:17

the parts of Ricky's game that

4:19

are I guess kind of different

4:22

from how Vanny himself sees the

4:24

game. You don't have to do

4:27

that if it's Mark Delgado and

4:29

Diego Fagoodness on the team sheet

4:31

in those spots. So they're both

4:34

really talented players. There's a reason

4:36

that the Galaxy were still really

4:38

good team, three one and one

4:41

in those five games without Ricky.

4:43

It's because they have a lot

4:46

of good talent in that midfield,

4:48

but they're good talent in terms

4:50

of you plug them into a

4:53

role. and you ask them to

4:55

play that role without breaking the

4:57

team shape on either side of

5:00

the ball. And that's what they

5:02

did and it made them I

5:05

think stronger defensively,

5:07

more structured defensively, less prone to

5:09

the types of turnovers, that at

5:11

times, especially against pressing teams, really

5:13

killed the Galaxy this year. You

5:16

know, on balance, I do think

5:18

that the Galaxy are obviously a

5:20

better team with Ricky out there,

5:22

but it's a lot of variants,

5:24

right? There's the ability to bury

5:26

a good defensive team, like Minnesota

5:29

United, what was it, six to

5:31

two? but there's also the ability

5:33

to go to Portland and lose

5:35

for two in a game that

5:37

maybe wasn't that close. You know,

5:40

because teams can just sort of

5:42

camp on you and know that

5:44

this one player is going to

5:46

try to do so much that

5:48

there are going to be chances

5:51

to go in the other direction.

5:53

I don't think that's the, like,

5:55

we're not going to see that

5:57

version. the galaxy in this game.

5:59

We're gonna see a box standard

6:01

for three three. If anything, I

6:04

think it'll look, I mean the

6:06

best comparison I would have would

6:08

be like some of those really

6:10

good sporting Kansas City teams of

6:12

a long time ago, where there

6:15

was a clear back point and

6:17

then two other central midfielders who

6:19

would kind of shuttle between an

6:21

eight and a 10 win the

6:23

ball and go a lot of

6:25

pressing, but also a lot of

6:28

retreating into a low block. draw

6:30

the opponent upfield. I mean, honestly,

6:32

in some ways, it's similar to

6:34

what we saw from Orlando City

6:36

in the first half of the

6:39

Eastern Conference final against the Red

6:41

Bulls. Like, they gave the Red

6:43

Bulls a lot of incentive to

6:45

come upfield with the idea that

6:47

they would hit in between, behind

6:50

through their wingers. and you know

6:52

they're number 10 and I think

6:54

the galaxy with Peck and Painsell

6:56

is the wingers and you know

6:58

maybe Fagunda is releasing early and

7:00

trying to be a little bit

7:03

more of a number 10 than

7:05

say Delgado will they can replicate

7:07

the types of things that Orlando

7:09

had success with and that NYC

7:11

of CFC had success with in

7:14

the Eastern Conference semi-finals. So I

7:16

think that's what we'll see. A

7:18

buddy of mine, Zeb Bush, who

7:20

does great work for American soccer

7:22

analysis, he pulled some data for

7:24

me, just to give you an

7:27

idea of how much of what

7:29

the Galaxy do has come down

7:31

to Ricky. He completed 426 passes

7:33

into the final third this year,

7:35

which is more than 30% of

7:38

the Galaxy's total amount. That is

7:40

an insane amount of burden for

7:42

one player. And for Ricky, it's

7:44

not a burden, right? Like he

7:46

has to play that way, and

7:49

he refused to play any other

7:51

way, even when he was on

7:53

Barcelona, which why he's not on

7:55

Barcelona anymore. It's much more structured,

7:57

much more positional. Without Ricky, you

7:59

know. five games, the distribution of

8:02

passes into the final third was

8:04

much more equitable. It was Delgado

8:06

who led the team, but also

8:08

Fagundez was right there with him,

8:10

sort of shoulder to shoulder. And

8:13

then the other thing was Mickey

8:15

Yamani, the right fullback, he got

8:17

much more involved, much further upfield.

8:19

Because if you look at the

8:21

way he would play, when Ricky's

8:23

out there, he would have to

8:26

kind of hold his runs a

8:28

little bit, be less of an

8:30

attacking threat, and more, I think,

8:32

focused on rest defense because of

8:34

those turnovers. Well, when you have

8:37

a more structured three men central

8:39

midfield in front of you, you

8:41

don't have to worry about that

8:43

as much. You're able to get

8:45

forward and get into the attack.

8:48

And so he ended up being

8:50

a possession weapon and an attacking

8:52

weapon in those five games in

8:54

a way that he really wasn't.

8:56

for most of the rest of

8:58

the season, including into the playoffs.

9:01

That's not to say he hasn't

9:03

been a really good player. I

9:05

think he's actually given them, no

9:07

matter who's been out there, he's

9:09

given them a ton of what

9:12

they need, just with his smarts

9:14

and his positioning, and he doesn't

9:16

need to be at the center

9:18

of it all. And we've seen

9:20

the same from the left back

9:23

in John Nelson. He's had some

9:25

good moments already in these playoffs

9:27

and he's done a wonderful job

9:29

filling in after winning the start,

9:31

really being handed the starting job

9:34

via injury mid-season, but locking it

9:36

down since then. But he is

9:38

more involved. in terms of creating

9:40

attacking sequences in these games without

9:42

Ricky. It's a really interesting dynamic.

9:45

In a lot of ways, I

9:47

think it does make the galaxy

9:49

easier to prepare for because everybody's

9:51

played against a 433 at this

9:53

point, especially one without a genius

9:56

chance creator. Central midfield. The flip

9:58

side, again, it's that variance thing.

10:00

I think it raises the floor

10:02

for this team. And when you

10:04

add in the fact that there's

10:06

central defense has been so good

10:09

since Garces came into the lineup

10:11

with, I think there's about four

10:13

games left in the regular season.

10:15

They've been a top five defense

10:17

in the league in terms of

10:20

non-penalty expected goals per 90. And

10:22

they were I think a bottom

10:24

10 defense in the league in

10:26

the first 30 games of the

10:28

year. So you can see it's...

10:31

one guy making a lot of

10:34

difference in an area where for

10:36

most of the year I had

10:38

really questioned the galaxy I really

10:40

didn't think that they would be

10:43

an MOS cup contender because of

10:45

that inability to stay structured and

10:47

that inability to put out fires

10:49

at the back and it's all

10:52

sort of come together through throughout

10:54

this playoff run and I think

10:56

it probably even takes a step

10:58

forward. in this game

11:00

just because of what that three-man

11:03

midfield will look like. On the

11:05

flip side, as I said, the

11:07

Red Bulls got drilled in the

11:10

end of September that 5-1 lost

11:12

to NYC and the Hudson River

11:15

Darby and Senator Shorts, to his

11:17

credit, had tried to soften some

11:19

of the edges on energy during

11:22

soccer throughout the year they were

11:24

hitting more short passes more passes

11:26

through midfield completing a higher percentage

11:29

of them fewer passes going direct

11:31

it was still the Red Bull

11:33

game model but it was married

11:36

to this idea that If the

11:38

opportunity is there to use the

11:40

ball, then you should use the

11:43

ball. And they did well with

11:45

that, I thought, as long as

11:47

Emil Forsberg was available. But once

11:50

he went out injured in early

11:52

July. didn't have that one guy

11:54

who could unlock a defense. And

11:57

we saw, I mean, we saw

11:59

what a struggle it was from

12:02

for the three and a half

12:04

months that Forsburg was out, this

12:06

team won two games. I think

12:09

it's two out of 20 total

12:11

across all competitions, like that is

12:13

just brutal soccer. And the final

12:16

straw was that that loss. And

12:18

since that loss to NYC, We

12:20

have seen this team go back

12:23

to doing some Red Bulls things

12:25

in terms of high pressing, which

12:27

of course they did the second

12:30

half of decision day against the

12:32

crew and then the first half

12:34

of that game one against the

12:37

crew. But even beyond that, they've

12:39

become a root one team. And

12:41

I'm gonna give you some numbers.

12:44

before the loss to NYU FCFC

12:46

in September, the Red Bulls took

12:49

599 touches per 90, which was

12:51

22nd in the league. So still

12:53

in the bottom third of the

12:56

league. After, that's down to 476

12:58

touches per 90, which is dead

13:00

last by a mile. Everybody else

13:03

has taken at least 540 touches

13:05

per 90. So we're talking 17%

13:07

gap between the 29th place team

13:10

and the league which is a

13:12

Red Bulls and 28th. Before that

13:14

5-1 loss they were at 79.4%

13:17

passing accuracy 26th in the league

13:19

so still not a team that

13:21

prizes passing accuracy they still We're

13:24

always going to focus on winning

13:26

a lot of 50-50s, second balls,

13:28

huge part of the game model.

13:31

But since it is, second balls

13:33

are not just a huge part

13:36

of the game model, they are

13:38

the game model. And you can

13:40

see it in the passing accuracy,

13:43

they're down to 73.6% passing accuracy

13:45

over the past two months. Again,

13:47

dead last in the league by

13:50

a mile. Before this is an

13:52

interesting one to me before that

13:54

loss 3.48 attempted switches per 90

13:57

which midtable which is a 14th

13:59

in the league so they wanted

14:01

to to actually use the width

14:04

of the field it makes sense

14:06

because they were playing that 4222

14:08

and they were getting a lot

14:11

of the attack out of those

14:13

overlapping fullbacks since the loss they

14:16

have gone to five at the

14:18

back and they are down to

14:20

1.43 switches attempted per 90 minutes

14:23

which is 27th in the league.

14:25

So they're hitting I think 40%

14:27

as many switches per 90 over

14:30

the past two months. And that

14:32

tells you the very obvious thing

14:34

if you've been watching this team.

14:37

They get the ball and they

14:39

go vertical, like as often as

14:41

possible, long and vertical. And that's

14:44

where the next numbers come in.

14:46

Before that loss. 36% of their

14:48

passes were forward, which is a

14:51

high number, fifth in the league.

14:53

The teams ahead of them are

14:55

like Philly and St. Louis, you

14:58

know, teams that always want to

15:00

play north-south, but, you know, not

15:03

a standard deviation higher than that,

15:05

right? Like, the Red Bulls were

15:07

in that group or even a

15:10

little bit behind the leaders. After,

15:12

after that loss, 45% of their

15:14

passes are played forward. Not even

15:17

like the most, the most, Dyer

15:20

moments of Gary Smith era,

15:22

absorb and counter Nashville F.C.

15:24

were over 40%. No one

15:26

in the league this year

15:29

was even close to 40%.

15:31

And here the Red Bulls

15:33

are over their past nine

15:35

games all competitions. 45% of

15:38

their passes are played forward.

15:40

I think if there's one

15:42

number that tells you I

15:44

mean, as much as possible

15:46

about the change in the

15:49

way this team has set

15:51

themselves up tactically and what

15:53

they've looked for, if there's

15:55

one number that does it,

15:58

it's that. soon as you

16:00

turn the ball over, the

16:02

Red Bulls are going to

16:04

try to get vertical in

16:07

as few touches as possible

16:09

and almost half the time,

16:11

that is their first touch.

16:13

It's really an incredible thing

16:16

and it's obviously something to

16:18

look out for in this

16:20

game on Saturday. And here's

16:22

one more that I think

16:24

does a good job of

16:27

telling a story. Before that

16:29

lost at my CFC, 14.1%

16:31

of their passes were long

16:33

balls. Pretty high number. That's

16:36

fourth in MLS. Since that

16:38

game, 21.1% of their total

16:40

passes. So more than one

16:42

in five are long balls.

16:45

No one else in MLS.

16:47

is over 16.6%. So we're

16:49

talking 25% more long balls

16:51

than anybody else in the

16:53

league. Like it's not energy

16:56

drink soccer. It's not like

16:58

they've done. a little bit

17:00

of that. We talked about

17:02

this on Monday show, Kaylin

17:05

and Weebie. They've done some

17:07

of that against the crew

17:09

especially. They came up field,

17:11

I think were baited into

17:14

it a little bit against

17:16

Orlando City in the Eastern

17:18

Conference final, but this is

17:20

not traditional Red Bull stuff.

17:23

This is proper footy. This

17:25

is like you're watching Burnley

17:27

in the championship. And it

17:29

hasn't been seamless, right? Like

17:31

they're not. They're

17:34

not here strictly because of

17:36

tactics. They're here because in

17:38

large part, I think Carlos

17:40

Coronel has been the best

17:43

player in these playoffs. He

17:45

stood on his head making

17:47

one huge save after another,

17:50

saved, I think it's about

17:52

four goals, over expected goals

17:54

on target. And when you

17:56

have a hot goalkeeper and

17:59

you have DPs who are

18:01

doing just enough, not absorb?

18:03

Why not sit back and

18:05

say, okay, we're gonna trade

18:08

possession and feel position for

18:10

space to counter attack into?

18:12

And if we're not. burying

18:15

those counter-attacks, at the very least

18:17

we can damage you on set

18:20

pieces. And that's been, there's plan

18:22

A and plan B for the

18:24

Red Bulls this postseason, and there

18:27

hasn't really been a plan C.

18:29

And it's not a criticism of

18:31

sound for shorts to say that.

18:34

It's just he understood what clubs.

18:37

in the bag he should be

18:39

playing on this course and he

18:41

has played them relentlessly and just

18:43

for the second time in club

18:45

history it's the final game of

18:47

the season and the Red Bulls

18:50

are still standing they're 90 minutes

18:52

away from potentially their first ever

18:54

cup win of any sort so

18:56

no criticism of Sandra Schwartz even

18:58

though you could probably tell it's

19:00

not my favorite type of soccer

19:02

to watch. So then what do

19:04

I think we'll decide this

19:07

match. I think this is a

19:09

fun note. And again, credit to

19:12

my buddy Seth Bush for digging

19:14

this one up. In those five

19:16

games, the Galaxy played without Ricky,

19:19

their passes allowed per defensive action,

19:21

which is a rough measure of

19:23

how high in hard teams press,

19:26

goes from ninth in the league.

19:28

So the pretty high pressing team

19:30

with Ricky, down to 26th. And

19:33

I went back and I watched

19:35

most of those games and I'm

19:37

pretty sure that's by design because

19:40

Ricky's such an undisciplined defensive player

19:42

that you can't be without the

19:44

ball for too long. If he's

19:47

not getting touches literally every minute,

19:49

he's going to go seeking the

19:51

ball and he is going to

19:54

break your defensive shape. So that's

19:56

something that think Vanny had to

19:59

build into his team was we

20:01

need to get the ball back

20:03

A.S.A.P. so that our genius chance

20:06

creator doesn't get a TV and

20:08

he can get on the ball

20:10

and he could try to make

20:13

something magic happen. And hey, 65

20:15

points in a place in MOS

20:17

Cup, you can't argue with that.

20:20

When he's not out there, it

20:22

goes back to that structure I

20:24

was talking about. It goes back

20:27

to the fact that they're not

20:29

as prone to turning the ball

20:31

over in bad spots. And in

20:34

fact, their Delgado especially, but Fagoodenas

20:36

is also very good understanding the

20:38

shape the team needs to be

20:41

in defensively. So they take less

20:43

risks. They take fewer... chances in

20:45

terms of who and where they're

20:48

going to press because they don't

20:50

have anybody out there who's got

20:52

those itchy feet, who needs to

20:55

get the ball back, A-S-A-P. And

20:57

instead it makes sense for them.

21:00

to draw that line a little

21:02

bit deeper, try to coax the

21:04

opponents up the field, and then

21:07

draw a line of confrontation maybe

21:09

at midfield or even past midfield

21:11

a little bit. Let those opponents

21:14

get comfortable knocking the ball around

21:16

and then spring a trap on

21:18

them. get into a situation where

21:21

you can isolate one of the

21:23

wingers, either Gabriel Peck on the

21:25

right side or Joseph Painsell on

21:28

the left side, isolate them in

21:30

the channel and create the types

21:32

of transition opportunities that the galaxy

21:35

are, I mean, they are absolutely

21:37

lethal in those moments. Those guys,

21:39

and Day on Yovitch as well,

21:42

all. double figure goals. And as

21:44

well, Yevel doesn't have double figure

21:46

assists, but he's got 20 goals

21:49

and eight assists. And I think

21:51

about 2,400 minutes across all competitions,

21:54

like that's really, really good. They're

21:56

all ruthless finishers. They're all really

21:58

smart about. chances. And they're all

22:01

on selfish in those moments. And

22:03

to me, that is what the

22:05

galaxy are gonna be in this

22:08

one, right? And. It's

22:11

not to say that the

22:13

midfield is not going to

22:15

have no bearing. Like if

22:17

you told me that the

22:19

game's only goal came from

22:21

a turnover in which that

22:23

front three got out on

22:25

the run, but it was

22:27

actually Fagundas with a delayed

22:29

run, you know, finishing a

22:31

pullback from 16 yards, I

22:33

would say yeah. Yeah, that

22:35

sounds like something that could

22:37

definitely, definitely happen. You know,

22:39

if you told me that

22:41

it was the galaxy... 70%

22:43

of the ball and breaking

22:45

the opponents down, breaking the

22:47

Red Bowl backline down with

22:49

an 18 pass movement, you

22:51

know, 14 of which were

22:53

in the attacking third, I

22:55

would say that that just

22:58

seems less likely in this

23:00

one because they're not going

23:02

to have Royce for, you

23:04

know, anything above like a

23:06

C minus version of him.

23:08

So I think. what

23:10

we saw in the first half of

23:13

that Eastern Conference final, where Orlando actually

23:15

enticed the Red Bulls to get on

23:17

the ball and get up field, I

23:19

think that Vani's gonna take a page

23:22

from Oscar Perey has playbook in that

23:24

regard. We saw a bunch of it

23:26

in those five games without Ricky. And

23:28

the other thing to note here is

23:31

that. I've been

23:33

super critical of the galaxy

23:35

defensively for most of the

23:37

year, but I went back

23:39

and I watched that Western

23:41

Conference final. And I think

23:43

I mentioned this on Monday

23:45

show. I was really impressed

23:47

with how, even with Ricky

23:49

out there, how structured they

23:51

were and how aware and

23:53

alert they were of everything

23:56

that could possibly go. they

23:58

weren't tight through the middle

24:00

specifically with regards to Jackson

24:02

Reagan's line breaking passes. Reagan

24:04

is so good at those.

24:06

He. I mean those passes

24:08

against LAFC, who's a really

24:10

good defensive team, I think

24:12

they started a number of

24:14

failure cascades for LAFC where

24:17

they had to scramble. And

24:19

the Galaxy almost never got

24:21

into those scramble situations defensively.

24:23

And that'll really, not that

24:25

the Red Bulls I think

24:27

will try to do that

24:29

too much, especially if they're

24:31

not going to start Noah

24:33

Ella, who is by far

24:35

the best passer among their

24:37

four centerbacks. But I... I

24:41

just, I don't think they'll

24:43

be vulnerable, the galaxy, in

24:45

that situation, in a way

24:47

that they were, I mean,

24:49

as recently as the elimination

24:52

against the sounders in the

24:54

League's Cup, right? Like they

24:56

were, not exactly played off

24:58

the field, but like any

25:01

time the sounders were playing

25:03

the ball up the gut,

25:05

the galaxy were just immediately

25:07

chasing the game. There

25:09

wasn't any of that. There really

25:12

hasn't been any of that from

25:14

them in these playoffs so far.

25:16

What there has been, and this

25:18

will play to the Red Bull

25:20

strengths, is the galaxy aren't great.

25:22

first ball, second ball soccer, right?

25:25

And that's what the Red Bulls

25:27

have done. Hit a long ball,

25:29

try to knock down that long

25:31

ball into the path of an

25:33

on-rushing midfielder or a second forward

25:35

and just go from there. It's

25:38

not that the Galaxy are bad

25:40

at it. I think since Garces

25:42

has come into the lineup, they

25:44

have a... physical element that they

25:46

were lacking and Maya Yoshida is

25:48

still very good at reading the

25:51

game as you would expect from

25:53

someone of his experience but it's

25:55

not their strong suit and this

25:57

is you know if you're a

25:59

red fan. This

26:01

is your hope is that

26:04

it looks like one of

26:06

those two crew games. We

26:08

were the first one where

26:10

the Red Bulls were able

26:12

to press pretty effectively for

26:14

30 minutes before retreating into

26:16

that shell or the second

26:18

one where they were able

26:20

to do that first ball,

26:22

second ball and create chances.

26:24

They did the same thing

26:26

a little bit against NYCFC

26:28

though. NYCFC did a really

26:30

good job of putting Cornell

26:32

under constant pressure in a,

26:34

I mean, Cornell's performance in

26:36

that game. was an all-timer.

26:38

And that's it, right? Like

26:40

if you're choosing to play

26:42

the needless brothers who've both

26:44

been pretty good, and Andreas

26:46

Reyes, who has been good,

26:48

but like begging to get

26:50

sent off, you're choosing long

26:52

ball, second ball, over. the

26:55

ability to build from the back

26:57

in the way that this team

27:00

did for the first eight months

27:02

of the year. And again, I'm

27:05

not going to criticize Sandra Schwartz

27:07

for that because look at where

27:09

the Red Bulls are now. I

27:12

certainly didn't have them going this

27:14

far. I don't think there are

27:16

many people who did even Red

27:19

Bulls fans, who I'm still friends

27:21

with didn't have much hope that

27:24

this would be the team that

27:26

made it back to MLS Cup

27:28

for the first time in. 16

27:31

years. I was at that game

27:33

16 years ago. I will say

27:35

that we walked into the Red

27:38

Bull Sands, we walked into that

27:40

MOS Cup final with zero expectations

27:43

that we would walk out with

27:45

a trophy. That Columbus crew team

27:47

was fully healthy and they were

27:50

so far superior to even the

27:52

best version of the 2008 Red

27:54

Bulls. I think it is a

27:57

much closer, much tighter matchup this

27:59

time. with Emil

28:01

Forsberg back and with Coronel

28:04

playing like this and with

28:06

Ricky Hurt, you get the

28:08

Red Bulls at a level

28:11

that feels at least championship

28:13

adjacent and you get. the

28:15

galaxy at a level that

28:18

is much, yeah I don't

28:20

say much, but is less

28:23

dynamic than what we've seen

28:25

from them throughout these playoffs.

28:27

I still think that the

28:30

galaxy are the favorites. I

28:32

wouldn't be shocked if they

28:34

lost, I'd be a little

28:37

surprised, but not shocked. Whereas

28:39

2008, it would have been

28:41

shocking to me and everyone

28:44

else if the Red Bulls

28:46

had won that game. You

28:50

can probably tell from the

28:52

way I framed that that I

28:54

am picking the galaxy. They're in

28:57

Carson. They haven't lost all

28:59

year in Carson. Their only

29:01

home lost this year was in

29:03

Pasadena in El Trafico. And

29:05

even without Ricky, they've got

29:07

matchwinners, Peck and Painsell have been

29:10

phenomenal. Yovilich, we saw what he

29:12

could do against the sounders.

29:14

Cornell has been, like I

29:16

said, the best player in these

29:19

playoffs. John McCarthy is a

29:21

former MOS Cup MVP. He's

29:23

not going to be overawed by

29:25

this moment is what I'm saying.

29:27

And like, when they've had

29:29

to call on him in

29:31

this postseason, he has mostly delivered.

29:34

He hasn't been as, you

29:36

know, mind-bendingly outstanding as Cornell,

29:38

but he hasn't had to be.

29:40

Garsis and Yoshida together, they don't

29:43

make mistakes. They don't give

29:45

you the types of chances

29:47

that the galaxy were just sort

29:49

of handing away for free

29:51

earlier in the season. The

29:53

numbers, like I have them before

29:55

me now, before Garsis, they were

29:58

allowing. non-penalty expected goals per

30:00

90, which was 21st in

30:02

the league. So a bottom third

30:04

of the league defense. In

30:06

the eight or nine games,

30:08

since Garces has been in the

30:11

lineup, it's 1.05 non-penalty expected

30:13

goals per 90, which is

30:15

a top five mark. in the

30:17

league. The Red Bulls could still

30:20

do it. I think there

30:22

are better team on set

30:24

pieces and we've seen the Galaxy,

30:26

this Galaxy team, be vulnerable.

30:28

about or vulnerable on set

30:30

pieces, even in these playoffs. The

30:32

Red Bulls can do that first

30:35

ball, second ball thing. That

30:37

is a distinct advantage for

30:39

them. So I do like the

30:41

Galaxy's ability to deal with

30:43

it a little bit better.

30:45

If Delgado is next to Edwin

30:48

Cerrio, kind of playing in a

30:50

double pivot and looking to

30:52

clean that up and you

30:54

don't let Emil Forsberg, you know.

30:56

get on that ball immediately.

30:58

You don't let, whether it's

31:00

Stroud or Edelman or Carbillo, if

31:03

he's back and available for this

31:05

one, you don't let them

31:07

win the ball off the

31:09

knockdown and score the kind of

31:12

scorcher that Carbile had against,

31:14

against NYCFC. So I think

31:16

the Galaxy are a little bit

31:18

better built to deal with that

31:21

than they might have looked

31:23

at at first glance. But

31:25

still, it's a... Yeah,

31:28

I mean, there's a path for

31:30

the Red Bulls. There is a

31:32

path for them to do this

31:35

thing. But I am picking the

31:37

Galaxy. I'm picking the home team

31:39

in MLS Cup. It's been a

31:42

dominant run for home teams for

31:44

most of the past 10 years.

31:46

And that's what I think will

31:49

continue to see in this one.

31:51

But we'll see the game is

31:53

on for free on Apple TV

31:56

on Saturday at 4 p.m. Eastern

31:58

1 p.m. Pacific that pregame I

32:00

said at the start of the

32:03

show was that it starts at

32:05

2 o'clock. It actually starts at

32:07

2.30 p.m. You could catch Weebi

32:10

and Sasha, Brad, Kaylon Kyle, Kevin

32:12

Egan, all the rest of the

32:14

gang on that one, breaking everything

32:17

down. I'm looking forward to watching

32:19

that. I will be on my

32:21

couch with a hefty pour of

32:24

something wonderful for that game. Oh,

32:26

you know what, there's one more

32:28

thing I wanted to cover. The

32:31

Club World Cup draw was announced

32:33

today. And obviously, we're going to

32:35

be talking about this a ton

32:38

on this show over the next

32:40

seven months, eight months, however long.

32:42

But just so we have it

32:45

on the record. Inter Miami, get

32:47

Palmeris and Porto for their first

32:49

two group opponents in the Club

32:52

World Cup. The Seattle Sounders get

32:54

PSG and Athletico. So, Miami got

32:56

a much kinder draw. I still

32:59

don't think either of the MLS

33:01

teams will be expected to advance.

33:03

Anders is in the chat right

33:06

now begging me to provide analysis

33:08

of Seattle's group. I will say

33:10

that PSG has been abominable this

33:13

year. And I would I would

33:15

sacrifice maybe two fingers, maybe even

33:18

a foot for the sounders to

33:20

pull that one off, but I'm

33:22

not going to go into that

33:25

game expecting it. So. I just

33:27

wanted to put a bow on

33:29

that one. We will have more

33:32

talk about that in the months

33:34

to come. On Monday, we will

33:36

have an MLS Cup rematch, excuse

33:39

me, MLS Cup recap, and then

33:41

a look ahead to the expansion

33:43

draft, which is coming in the

33:46

middle of next week, San Diego.

33:48

officially take their bows as the

33:50

30th MLS team. And then in

33:53

the weeks ahead, we have the

33:55

reentry draft, we have free agency,

33:57

we have the MLS super draft.

34:00

then we have like three weeks

34:02

of off season, which I

34:04

am looking forward to. And I

34:06

am also looking forward to

34:08

this looking forward to this MLS I appreciate

34:10

you guys sticking with me with

34:13

minutes, not bad bad for a monologue

34:15

right there. And I appreciate you

34:17

guys sticking with us all

34:19

year long. The big game is

34:21

coming up. It's less than

34:23

48 hours away than 48 I hope

34:25

you guys all enjoy it

34:27

and we will talk to you

34:29

soon. Thank you.

Unlock more with Podchaser Pro

  • Audience Insights
  • Contact Information
  • Demographics
  • Charts
  • Sponsor History
  • and More!
Pro Features