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0:00
Extra time is exactly how I find
0:02
out find out what's going
0:05
on in the Get lost, get
0:07
lost. Get lost! podcast has influenced me
0:09
a little bit as well. Everybody up
0:11
here! Every single day
0:14
goes into the office, into the
0:16
laboratory to try to cook up
0:18
some great stuff for you guys.
0:21
That's why he's here! Greetings folks,
0:23
and welcome to Extra
0:25
Time. I'm I'm your host, Matt
0:27
Matt Doyle, I'm Los .com's armchair
0:29
analyst. ready to give you,
0:31
that's right, a one -man
0:33
show, flying solo today because
0:35
Andrew Webe flew last
0:37
night night. to Carson for MLS
0:39
Cup 2024, presented by without his
0:42
his microphone. the level of That's the
0:44
level of professionalism that has achieved after
0:46
a decade and a half on the
0:48
You've got to respect it. got So
0:50
what have we got today? One thing
0:52
and one thing, only a tactical
0:54
breakdown of what to expect from the
0:56
the 29th MLS Cup. If If you're listening to
0:58
this, I'm sure you already know
1:00
that the game's on Saturday at at 4
1:02
.m. Eastern and that that you can watch
1:04
it for free on Apple TV. I'm
1:06
sure you also know that it's
1:08
the L.A. Galaxy the New York Red Bulls
1:10
with Red going for their record their record
1:12
6th MOS Cup the Red Bulls hoping for their first,
1:15
which would be their first their first cup win
1:17
of any sort. show on M.L.A. -game show passed with the
1:19
with the usual Weebie Sasha Bradley Bradley Bright the
1:21
rest of rest that starts at 2
1:23
p .m. at 2 p.m.m. Eastern. Gonna have a lot
1:25
of info on that one, so I
1:27
invite you all to crack open a
1:29
cold one and settle in for an
1:31
afternoon of what will hopefully be some
1:34
good soccer. a cold one. Okay, as as for
1:36
that. will it be? I it be? this in
1:38
my wrote about this in
1:40
my tactical preview column, which
1:42
is up on the website
1:44
right now. And right now, game
1:46
really breaks down into two
1:48
parts for me. The first
1:50
is how have the galaxy differed
1:52
without Ricky Pooge this season? He
1:54
is, of course, out with
1:56
an ACL tear after that
1:58
remarkable match -winning assist again. the Sounders
2:01
in the Western Conference Final. And
2:03
then the second part is how
2:05
have the Red Bulls changed over
2:07
the past two months ever since
2:09
they took a beating in the
2:11
Hudson River Darby in late September.
2:13
Remember that 5-1 game. Sandra Schwartz
2:15
kind of threw it all out
2:17
the window after that one and
2:19
the Red Bulls have become very
2:21
Red Bulls-ish again in regards to
2:23
their attitude towards completing passes and
2:25
having possession and stuff like that.
2:27
I think we start with Ricky
2:30
though, and we talked about this
2:32
a lot on Monday's show. He
2:34
is unique in how he plays
2:37
his role as a number 10,
2:39
who wants to also be in
2:41
number eight and will sometimes drop
2:44
all the way to the back
2:46
line and gets more touches than
2:48
anyone and it's heliocentric to an
2:51
extent that we've never really seen.
2:53
in MLS before and Greg Vani
2:55
has talked about this, talked openly
2:57
about how Ricky plays the position
3:00
in a way that Vani himself
3:02
is not necessarily all that comfortable
3:04
with. He had to learn to
3:07
be and with Ricky it's worth
3:09
learning to be that because he's
3:11
a world-class passer of the ball.
3:14
You can't replicate that. And so
3:16
what we've seen in the five
3:18
games this year from the Galaxy
3:20
in which Ricky hasn't played is
3:23
that they haven't tried to replicate
3:25
it. Whether it's Mark Delgado or
3:27
Diego Fugundez or Marco Royce, who
3:30
I don't think is going to
3:32
play much in this one, even
3:34
though the Galaxy are making noise
3:37
like he's healthy. I've heard from
3:39
sources at the team that... 20
3:41
minutes tops is what they're hoping
3:44
for from Royce and they're you
3:46
know set the I would take
3:48
the under on that number but
3:50
anyway whoever it is out there
3:53
in place of Ricky is not
3:55
going to do the things that
3:57
Ricky does in terms of dropping
4:00
shape and making the midfield shape
4:03
the rest of those guys react
4:05
almost entirely to him. And that's
4:07
what Vanny meant when he said
4:10
he wasn't necessarily comfortable with how
4:12
Ricky played the position. He had
4:15
to learn to sort of accept
4:17
the parts of Ricky's game that
4:19
are I guess kind of different
4:22
from how Vanny himself sees the
4:24
game. You don't have to do
4:27
that if it's Mark Delgado and
4:29
Diego Fagoodness on the team sheet
4:31
in those spots. So they're both
4:34
really talented players. There's a reason
4:36
that the Galaxy were still really
4:38
good team, three one and one
4:41
in those five games without Ricky.
4:43
It's because they have a lot
4:46
of good talent in that midfield,
4:48
but they're good talent in terms
4:50
of you plug them into a
4:53
role. and you ask them to
4:55
play that role without breaking the
4:57
team shape on either side of
5:00
the ball. And that's what they
5:02
did and it made them I
5:05
think stronger defensively,
5:07
more structured defensively, less prone to
5:09
the types of turnovers, that at
5:11
times, especially against pressing teams, really
5:13
killed the Galaxy this year. You
5:16
know, on balance, I do think
5:18
that the Galaxy are obviously a
5:20
better team with Ricky out there,
5:22
but it's a lot of variants,
5:24
right? There's the ability to bury
5:26
a good defensive team, like Minnesota
5:29
United, what was it, six to
5:31
two? but there's also the ability
5:33
to go to Portland and lose
5:35
for two in a game that
5:37
maybe wasn't that close. You know,
5:40
because teams can just sort of
5:42
camp on you and know that
5:44
this one player is going to
5:46
try to do so much that
5:48
there are going to be chances
5:51
to go in the other direction.
5:53
I don't think that's the, like,
5:55
we're not going to see that
5:57
version. the galaxy in this game.
5:59
We're gonna see a box standard
6:01
for three three. If anything, I
6:04
think it'll look, I mean the
6:06
best comparison I would have would
6:08
be like some of those really
6:10
good sporting Kansas City teams of
6:12
a long time ago, where there
6:15
was a clear back point and
6:17
then two other central midfielders who
6:19
would kind of shuttle between an
6:21
eight and a 10 win the
6:23
ball and go a lot of
6:25
pressing, but also a lot of
6:28
retreating into a low block. draw
6:30
the opponent upfield. I mean, honestly,
6:32
in some ways, it's similar to
6:34
what we saw from Orlando City
6:36
in the first half of the
6:39
Eastern Conference final against the Red
6:41
Bulls. Like, they gave the Red
6:43
Bulls a lot of incentive to
6:45
come upfield with the idea that
6:47
they would hit in between, behind
6:50
through their wingers. and you know
6:52
they're number 10 and I think
6:54
the galaxy with Peck and Painsell
6:56
is the wingers and you know
6:58
maybe Fagunda is releasing early and
7:00
trying to be a little bit
7:03
more of a number 10 than
7:05
say Delgado will they can replicate
7:07
the types of things that Orlando
7:09
had success with and that NYC
7:11
of CFC had success with in
7:14
the Eastern Conference semi-finals. So I
7:16
think that's what we'll see. A
7:18
buddy of mine, Zeb Bush, who
7:20
does great work for American soccer
7:22
analysis, he pulled some data for
7:24
me, just to give you an
7:27
idea of how much of what
7:29
the Galaxy do has come down
7:31
to Ricky. He completed 426 passes
7:33
into the final third this year,
7:35
which is more than 30% of
7:38
the Galaxy's total amount. That is
7:40
an insane amount of burden for
7:42
one player. And for Ricky, it's
7:44
not a burden, right? Like he
7:46
has to play that way, and
7:49
he refused to play any other
7:51
way, even when he was on
7:53
Barcelona, which why he's not on
7:55
Barcelona anymore. It's much more structured,
7:57
much more positional. Without Ricky, you
7:59
know. five games, the distribution of
8:02
passes into the final third was
8:04
much more equitable. It was Delgado
8:06
who led the team, but also
8:08
Fagundez was right there with him,
8:10
sort of shoulder to shoulder. And
8:13
then the other thing was Mickey
8:15
Yamani, the right fullback, he got
8:17
much more involved, much further upfield.
8:19
Because if you look at the
8:21
way he would play, when Ricky's
8:23
out there, he would have to
8:26
kind of hold his runs a
8:28
little bit, be less of an
8:30
attacking threat, and more, I think,
8:32
focused on rest defense because of
8:34
those turnovers. Well, when you have
8:37
a more structured three men central
8:39
midfield in front of you, you
8:41
don't have to worry about that
8:43
as much. You're able to get
8:45
forward and get into the attack.
8:48
And so he ended up being
8:50
a possession weapon and an attacking
8:52
weapon in those five games in
8:54
a way that he really wasn't.
8:56
for most of the rest of
8:58
the season, including into the playoffs.
9:01
That's not to say he hasn't
9:03
been a really good player. I
9:05
think he's actually given them, no
9:07
matter who's been out there, he's
9:09
given them a ton of what
9:12
they need, just with his smarts
9:14
and his positioning, and he doesn't
9:16
need to be at the center
9:18
of it all. And we've seen
9:20
the same from the left back
9:23
in John Nelson. He's had some
9:25
good moments already in these playoffs
9:27
and he's done a wonderful job
9:29
filling in after winning the start,
9:31
really being handed the starting job
9:34
via injury mid-season, but locking it
9:36
down since then. But he is
9:38
more involved. in terms of creating
9:40
attacking sequences in these games without
9:42
Ricky. It's a really interesting dynamic.
9:45
In a lot of ways, I
9:47
think it does make the galaxy
9:49
easier to prepare for because everybody's
9:51
played against a 433 at this
9:53
point, especially one without a genius
9:56
chance creator. Central midfield. The flip
9:58
side, again, it's that variance thing.
10:00
I think it raises the floor
10:02
for this team. And when you
10:04
add in the fact that there's
10:06
central defense has been so good
10:09
since Garces came into the lineup
10:11
with, I think there's about four
10:13
games left in the regular season.
10:15
They've been a top five defense
10:17
in the league in terms of
10:20
non-penalty expected goals per 90. And
10:22
they were I think a bottom
10:24
10 defense in the league in
10:26
the first 30 games of the
10:28
year. So you can see it's...
10:31
one guy making a lot of
10:34
difference in an area where for
10:36
most of the year I had
10:38
really questioned the galaxy I really
10:40
didn't think that they would be
10:43
an MOS cup contender because of
10:45
that inability to stay structured and
10:47
that inability to put out fires
10:49
at the back and it's all
10:52
sort of come together through throughout
10:54
this playoff run and I think
10:56
it probably even takes a step
10:58
forward. in this game
11:00
just because of what that three-man
11:03
midfield will look like. On the
11:05
flip side, as I said, the
11:07
Red Bulls got drilled in the
11:10
end of September that 5-1 lost
11:12
to NYC and the Hudson River
11:15
Darby and Senator Shorts, to his
11:17
credit, had tried to soften some
11:19
of the edges on energy during
11:22
soccer throughout the year they were
11:24
hitting more short passes more passes
11:26
through midfield completing a higher percentage
11:29
of them fewer passes going direct
11:31
it was still the Red Bull
11:33
game model but it was married
11:36
to this idea that If the
11:38
opportunity is there to use the
11:40
ball, then you should use the
11:43
ball. And they did well with
11:45
that, I thought, as long as
11:47
Emil Forsberg was available. But once
11:50
he went out injured in early
11:52
July. didn't have that one guy
11:54
who could unlock a defense. And
11:57
we saw, I mean, we saw
11:59
what a struggle it was from
12:02
for the three and a half
12:04
months that Forsburg was out, this
12:06
team won two games. I think
12:09
it's two out of 20 total
12:11
across all competitions, like that is
12:13
just brutal soccer. And the final
12:16
straw was that that loss. And
12:18
since that loss to NYC, We
12:20
have seen this team go back
12:23
to doing some Red Bulls things
12:25
in terms of high pressing, which
12:27
of course they did the second
12:30
half of decision day against the
12:32
crew and then the first half
12:34
of that game one against the
12:37
crew. But even beyond that, they've
12:39
become a root one team. And
12:41
I'm gonna give you some numbers.
12:44
before the loss to NYU FCFC
12:46
in September, the Red Bulls took
12:49
599 touches per 90, which was
12:51
22nd in the league. So still
12:53
in the bottom third of the
12:56
league. After, that's down to 476
12:58
touches per 90, which is dead
13:00
last by a mile. Everybody else
13:03
has taken at least 540 touches
13:05
per 90. So we're talking 17%
13:07
gap between the 29th place team
13:10
and the league which is a
13:12
Red Bulls and 28th. Before that
13:14
5-1 loss they were at 79.4%
13:17
passing accuracy 26th in the league
13:19
so still not a team that
13:21
prizes passing accuracy they still We're
13:24
always going to focus on winning
13:26
a lot of 50-50s, second balls,
13:28
huge part of the game model.
13:31
But since it is, second balls
13:33
are not just a huge part
13:36
of the game model, they are
13:38
the game model. And you can
13:40
see it in the passing accuracy,
13:43
they're down to 73.6% passing accuracy
13:45
over the past two months. Again,
13:47
dead last in the league by
13:50
a mile. Before this is an
13:52
interesting one to me before that
13:54
loss 3.48 attempted switches per 90
13:57
which midtable which is a 14th
13:59
in the league so they wanted
14:01
to to actually use the width
14:04
of the field it makes sense
14:06
because they were playing that 4222
14:08
and they were getting a lot
14:11
of the attack out of those
14:13
overlapping fullbacks since the loss they
14:16
have gone to five at the
14:18
back and they are down to
14:20
1.43 switches attempted per 90 minutes
14:23
which is 27th in the league.
14:25
So they're hitting I think 40%
14:27
as many switches per 90 over
14:30
the past two months. And that
14:32
tells you the very obvious thing
14:34
if you've been watching this team.
14:37
They get the ball and they
14:39
go vertical, like as often as
14:41
possible, long and vertical. And that's
14:44
where the next numbers come in.
14:46
Before that loss. 36% of their
14:48
passes were forward, which is a
14:51
high number, fifth in the league.
14:53
The teams ahead of them are
14:55
like Philly and St. Louis, you
14:58
know, teams that always want to
15:00
play north-south, but, you know, not
15:03
a standard deviation higher than that,
15:05
right? Like, the Red Bulls were
15:07
in that group or even a
15:10
little bit behind the leaders. After,
15:12
after that loss, 45% of their
15:14
passes are played forward. Not even
15:17
like the most, the most, Dyer
15:20
moments of Gary Smith era,
15:22
absorb and counter Nashville F.C.
15:24
were over 40%. No one
15:26
in the league this year
15:29
was even close to 40%.
15:31
And here the Red Bulls
15:33
are over their past nine
15:35
games all competitions. 45% of
15:38
their passes are played forward.
15:40
I think if there's one
15:42
number that tells you I
15:44
mean, as much as possible
15:46
about the change in the
15:49
way this team has set
15:51
themselves up tactically and what
15:53
they've looked for, if there's
15:55
one number that does it,
15:58
it's that. soon as you
16:00
turn the ball over, the
16:02
Red Bulls are going to
16:04
try to get vertical in
16:07
as few touches as possible
16:09
and almost half the time,
16:11
that is their first touch.
16:13
It's really an incredible thing
16:16
and it's obviously something to
16:18
look out for in this
16:20
game on Saturday. And here's
16:22
one more that I think
16:24
does a good job of
16:27
telling a story. Before that
16:29
lost at my CFC, 14.1%
16:31
of their passes were long
16:33
balls. Pretty high number. That's
16:36
fourth in MLS. Since that
16:38
game, 21.1% of their total
16:40
passes. So more than one
16:42
in five are long balls.
16:45
No one else in MLS.
16:47
is over 16.6%. So we're
16:49
talking 25% more long balls
16:51
than anybody else in the
16:53
league. Like it's not energy
16:56
drink soccer. It's not like
16:58
they've done. a little bit
17:00
of that. We talked about
17:02
this on Monday show, Kaylin
17:05
and Weebie. They've done some
17:07
of that against the crew
17:09
especially. They came up field,
17:11
I think were baited into
17:14
it a little bit against
17:16
Orlando City in the Eastern
17:18
Conference final, but this is
17:20
not traditional Red Bull stuff.
17:23
This is proper footy. This
17:25
is like you're watching Burnley
17:27
in the championship. And it
17:29
hasn't been seamless, right? Like
17:31
they're not. They're
17:34
not here strictly because of
17:36
tactics. They're here because in
17:38
large part, I think Carlos
17:40
Coronel has been the best
17:43
player in these playoffs. He
17:45
stood on his head making
17:47
one huge save after another,
17:50
saved, I think it's about
17:52
four goals, over expected goals
17:54
on target. And when you
17:56
have a hot goalkeeper and
17:59
you have DPs who are
18:01
doing just enough, not absorb?
18:03
Why not sit back and
18:05
say, okay, we're gonna trade
18:08
possession and feel position for
18:10
space to counter attack into?
18:12
And if we're not. burying
18:15
those counter-attacks, at the very least
18:17
we can damage you on set
18:20
pieces. And that's been, there's plan
18:22
A and plan B for the
18:24
Red Bulls this postseason, and there
18:27
hasn't really been a plan C.
18:29
And it's not a criticism of
18:31
sound for shorts to say that.
18:34
It's just he understood what clubs.
18:37
in the bag he should be
18:39
playing on this course and he
18:41
has played them relentlessly and just
18:43
for the second time in club
18:45
history it's the final game of
18:47
the season and the Red Bulls
18:50
are still standing they're 90 minutes
18:52
away from potentially their first ever
18:54
cup win of any sort so
18:56
no criticism of Sandra Schwartz even
18:58
though you could probably tell it's
19:00
not my favorite type of soccer
19:02
to watch. So then what do
19:04
I think we'll decide this
19:07
match. I think this is a
19:09
fun note. And again, credit to
19:12
my buddy Seth Bush for digging
19:14
this one up. In those five
19:16
games, the Galaxy played without Ricky,
19:19
their passes allowed per defensive action,
19:21
which is a rough measure of
19:23
how high in hard teams press,
19:26
goes from ninth in the league.
19:28
So the pretty high pressing team
19:30
with Ricky, down to 26th. And
19:33
I went back and I watched
19:35
most of those games and I'm
19:37
pretty sure that's by design because
19:40
Ricky's such an undisciplined defensive player
19:42
that you can't be without the
19:44
ball for too long. If he's
19:47
not getting touches literally every minute,
19:49
he's going to go seeking the
19:51
ball and he is going to
19:54
break your defensive shape. So that's
19:56
something that think Vanny had to
19:59
build into his team was we
20:01
need to get the ball back
20:03
A.S.A.P. so that our genius chance
20:06
creator doesn't get a TV and
20:08
he can get on the ball
20:10
and he could try to make
20:13
something magic happen. And hey, 65
20:15
points in a place in MOS
20:17
Cup, you can't argue with that.
20:20
When he's not out there, it
20:22
goes back to that structure I
20:24
was talking about. It goes back
20:27
to the fact that they're not
20:29
as prone to turning the ball
20:31
over in bad spots. And in
20:34
fact, their Delgado especially, but Fagoodenas
20:36
is also very good understanding the
20:38
shape the team needs to be
20:41
in defensively. So they take less
20:43
risks. They take fewer... chances in
20:45
terms of who and where they're
20:48
going to press because they don't
20:50
have anybody out there who's got
20:52
those itchy feet, who needs to
20:55
get the ball back, A-S-A-P. And
20:57
instead it makes sense for them.
21:00
to draw that line a little
21:02
bit deeper, try to coax the
21:04
opponents up the field, and then
21:07
draw a line of confrontation maybe
21:09
at midfield or even past midfield
21:11
a little bit. Let those opponents
21:14
get comfortable knocking the ball around
21:16
and then spring a trap on
21:18
them. get into a situation where
21:21
you can isolate one of the
21:23
wingers, either Gabriel Peck on the
21:25
right side or Joseph Painsell on
21:28
the left side, isolate them in
21:30
the channel and create the types
21:32
of transition opportunities that the galaxy
21:35
are, I mean, they are absolutely
21:37
lethal in those moments. Those guys,
21:39
and Day on Yovitch as well,
21:42
all. double figure goals. And as
21:44
well, Yevel doesn't have double figure
21:46
assists, but he's got 20 goals
21:49
and eight assists. And I think
21:51
about 2,400 minutes across all competitions,
21:54
like that's really, really good. They're
21:56
all ruthless finishers. They're all really
21:58
smart about. chances. And they're all
22:01
on selfish in those moments. And
22:03
to me, that is what the
22:05
galaxy are gonna be in this
22:08
one, right? And. It's
22:11
not to say that the
22:13
midfield is not going to
22:15
have no bearing. Like if
22:17
you told me that the
22:19
game's only goal came from
22:21
a turnover in which that
22:23
front three got out on
22:25
the run, but it was
22:27
actually Fagundas with a delayed
22:29
run, you know, finishing a
22:31
pullback from 16 yards, I
22:33
would say yeah. Yeah, that
22:35
sounds like something that could
22:37
definitely, definitely happen. You know,
22:39
if you told me that
22:41
it was the galaxy... 70%
22:43
of the ball and breaking
22:45
the opponents down, breaking the
22:47
Red Bowl backline down with
22:49
an 18 pass movement, you
22:51
know, 14 of which were
22:53
in the attacking third, I
22:55
would say that that just
22:58
seems less likely in this
23:00
one because they're not going
23:02
to have Royce for, you
23:04
know, anything above like a
23:06
C minus version of him.
23:08
So I think. what
23:10
we saw in the first half of
23:13
that Eastern Conference final, where Orlando actually
23:15
enticed the Red Bulls to get on
23:17
the ball and get up field, I
23:19
think that Vani's gonna take a page
23:22
from Oscar Perey has playbook in that
23:24
regard. We saw a bunch of it
23:26
in those five games without Ricky. And
23:28
the other thing to note here is
23:31
that. I've been
23:33
super critical of the galaxy
23:35
defensively for most of the
23:37
year, but I went back
23:39
and I watched that Western
23:41
Conference final. And I think
23:43
I mentioned this on Monday
23:45
show. I was really impressed
23:47
with how, even with Ricky
23:49
out there, how structured they
23:51
were and how aware and
23:53
alert they were of everything
23:56
that could possibly go. they
23:58
weren't tight through the middle
24:00
specifically with regards to Jackson
24:02
Reagan's line breaking passes. Reagan
24:04
is so good at those.
24:06
He. I mean those passes
24:08
against LAFC, who's a really
24:10
good defensive team, I think
24:12
they started a number of
24:14
failure cascades for LAFC where
24:17
they had to scramble. And
24:19
the Galaxy almost never got
24:21
into those scramble situations defensively.
24:23
And that'll really, not that
24:25
the Red Bulls I think
24:27
will try to do that
24:29
too much, especially if they're
24:31
not going to start Noah
24:33
Ella, who is by far
24:35
the best passer among their
24:37
four centerbacks. But I... I
24:41
just, I don't think they'll
24:43
be vulnerable, the galaxy, in
24:45
that situation, in a way
24:47
that they were, I mean,
24:49
as recently as the elimination
24:52
against the sounders in the
24:54
League's Cup, right? Like they
24:56
were, not exactly played off
24:58
the field, but like any
25:01
time the sounders were playing
25:03
the ball up the gut,
25:05
the galaxy were just immediately
25:07
chasing the game. There
25:09
wasn't any of that. There really
25:12
hasn't been any of that from
25:14
them in these playoffs so far.
25:16
What there has been, and this
25:18
will play to the Red Bull
25:20
strengths, is the galaxy aren't great.
25:22
first ball, second ball soccer, right?
25:25
And that's what the Red Bulls
25:27
have done. Hit a long ball,
25:29
try to knock down that long
25:31
ball into the path of an
25:33
on-rushing midfielder or a second forward
25:35
and just go from there. It's
25:38
not that the Galaxy are bad
25:40
at it. I think since Garces
25:42
has come into the lineup, they
25:44
have a... physical element that they
25:46
were lacking and Maya Yoshida is
25:48
still very good at reading the
25:51
game as you would expect from
25:53
someone of his experience but it's
25:55
not their strong suit and this
25:57
is you know if you're a
25:59
red fan. This
26:01
is your hope is that
26:04
it looks like one of
26:06
those two crew games. We
26:08
were the first one where
26:10
the Red Bulls were able
26:12
to press pretty effectively for
26:14
30 minutes before retreating into
26:16
that shell or the second
26:18
one where they were able
26:20
to do that first ball,
26:22
second ball and create chances.
26:24
They did the same thing
26:26
a little bit against NYCFC
26:28
though. NYCFC did a really
26:30
good job of putting Cornell
26:32
under constant pressure in a,
26:34
I mean, Cornell's performance in
26:36
that game. was an all-timer.
26:38
And that's it, right? Like
26:40
if you're choosing to play
26:42
the needless brothers who've both
26:44
been pretty good, and Andreas
26:46
Reyes, who has been good,
26:48
but like begging to get
26:50
sent off, you're choosing long
26:52
ball, second ball, over. the
26:55
ability to build from the back
26:57
in the way that this team
27:00
did for the first eight months
27:02
of the year. And again, I'm
27:05
not going to criticize Sandra Schwartz
27:07
for that because look at where
27:09
the Red Bulls are now. I
27:12
certainly didn't have them going this
27:14
far. I don't think there are
27:16
many people who did even Red
27:19
Bulls fans, who I'm still friends
27:21
with didn't have much hope that
27:24
this would be the team that
27:26
made it back to MLS Cup
27:28
for the first time in. 16
27:31
years. I was at that game
27:33
16 years ago. I will say
27:35
that we walked into the Red
27:38
Bull Sands, we walked into that
27:40
MOS Cup final with zero expectations
27:43
that we would walk out with
27:45
a trophy. That Columbus crew team
27:47
was fully healthy and they were
27:50
so far superior to even the
27:52
best version of the 2008 Red
27:54
Bulls. I think it is a
27:57
much closer, much tighter matchup this
27:59
time. with Emil
28:01
Forsberg back and with Coronel
28:04
playing like this and with
28:06
Ricky Hurt, you get the
28:08
Red Bulls at a level
28:11
that feels at least championship
28:13
adjacent and you get. the
28:15
galaxy at a level that
28:18
is much, yeah I don't
28:20
say much, but is less
28:23
dynamic than what we've seen
28:25
from them throughout these playoffs.
28:27
I still think that the
28:30
galaxy are the favorites. I
28:32
wouldn't be shocked if they
28:34
lost, I'd be a little
28:37
surprised, but not shocked. Whereas
28:39
2008, it would have been
28:41
shocking to me and everyone
28:44
else if the Red Bulls
28:46
had won that game. You
28:50
can probably tell from the
28:52
way I framed that that I
28:54
am picking the galaxy. They're in
28:57
Carson. They haven't lost all
28:59
year in Carson. Their only
29:01
home lost this year was in
29:03
Pasadena in El Trafico. And
29:05
even without Ricky, they've got
29:07
matchwinners, Peck and Painsell have been
29:10
phenomenal. Yovilich, we saw what he
29:12
could do against the sounders.
29:14
Cornell has been, like I
29:16
said, the best player in these
29:19
playoffs. John McCarthy is a
29:21
former MOS Cup MVP. He's
29:23
not going to be overawed by
29:25
this moment is what I'm saying.
29:27
And like, when they've had
29:29
to call on him in
29:31
this postseason, he has mostly delivered.
29:34
He hasn't been as, you
29:36
know, mind-bendingly outstanding as Cornell,
29:38
but he hasn't had to be.
29:40
Garsis and Yoshida together, they don't
29:43
make mistakes. They don't give
29:45
you the types of chances
29:47
that the galaxy were just sort
29:49
of handing away for free
29:51
earlier in the season. The
29:53
numbers, like I have them before
29:55
me now, before Garsis, they were
29:58
allowing. non-penalty expected goals per
30:00
90, which was 21st in
30:02
the league. So a bottom third
30:04
of the league defense. In
30:06
the eight or nine games,
30:08
since Garces has been in the
30:11
lineup, it's 1.05 non-penalty expected
30:13
goals per 90, which is
30:15
a top five mark. in the
30:17
league. The Red Bulls could still
30:20
do it. I think there
30:22
are better team on set
30:24
pieces and we've seen the Galaxy,
30:26
this Galaxy team, be vulnerable.
30:28
about or vulnerable on set
30:30
pieces, even in these playoffs. The
30:32
Red Bulls can do that first
30:35
ball, second ball thing. That
30:37
is a distinct advantage for
30:39
them. So I do like the
30:41
Galaxy's ability to deal with
30:43
it a little bit better.
30:45
If Delgado is next to Edwin
30:48
Cerrio, kind of playing in a
30:50
double pivot and looking to
30:52
clean that up and you
30:54
don't let Emil Forsberg, you know.
30:56
get on that ball immediately.
30:58
You don't let, whether it's
31:00
Stroud or Edelman or Carbillo, if
31:03
he's back and available for this
31:05
one, you don't let them
31:07
win the ball off the
31:09
knockdown and score the kind of
31:12
scorcher that Carbile had against,
31:14
against NYCFC. So I think
31:16
the Galaxy are a little bit
31:18
better built to deal with that
31:21
than they might have looked
31:23
at at first glance. But
31:25
still, it's a... Yeah,
31:28
I mean, there's a path for
31:30
the Red Bulls. There is a
31:32
path for them to do this
31:35
thing. But I am picking the
31:37
Galaxy. I'm picking the home team
31:39
in MLS Cup. It's been a
31:42
dominant run for home teams for
31:44
most of the past 10 years.
31:46
And that's what I think will
31:49
continue to see in this one.
31:51
But we'll see the game is
31:53
on for free on Apple TV
31:56
on Saturday at 4 p.m. Eastern
31:58
1 p.m. Pacific that pregame I
32:00
said at the start of the
32:03
show was that it starts at
32:05
2 o'clock. It actually starts at
32:07
2.30 p.m. You could catch Weebi
32:10
and Sasha, Brad, Kaylon Kyle, Kevin
32:12
Egan, all the rest of the
32:14
gang on that one, breaking everything
32:17
down. I'm looking forward to watching
32:19
that. I will be on my
32:21
couch with a hefty pour of
32:24
something wonderful for that game. Oh,
32:26
you know what, there's one more
32:28
thing I wanted to cover. The
32:31
Club World Cup draw was announced
32:33
today. And obviously, we're going to
32:35
be talking about this a ton
32:38
on this show over the next
32:40
seven months, eight months, however long.
32:42
But just so we have it
32:45
on the record. Inter Miami, get
32:47
Palmeris and Porto for their first
32:49
two group opponents in the Club
32:52
World Cup. The Seattle Sounders get
32:54
PSG and Athletico. So, Miami got
32:56
a much kinder draw. I still
32:59
don't think either of the MLS
33:01
teams will be expected to advance.
33:03
Anders is in the chat right
33:06
now begging me to provide analysis
33:08
of Seattle's group. I will say
33:10
that PSG has been abominable this
33:13
year. And I would I would
33:15
sacrifice maybe two fingers, maybe even
33:18
a foot for the sounders to
33:20
pull that one off, but I'm
33:22
not going to go into that
33:25
game expecting it. So. I just
33:27
wanted to put a bow on
33:29
that one. We will have more
33:32
talk about that in the months
33:34
to come. On Monday, we will
33:36
have an MLS Cup rematch, excuse
33:39
me, MLS Cup recap, and then
33:41
a look ahead to the expansion
33:43
draft, which is coming in the
33:46
middle of next week, San Diego.
33:48
officially take their bows as the
33:50
30th MLS team. And then in
33:53
the weeks ahead, we have the
33:55
reentry draft, we have free agency,
33:57
we have the MLS super draft.
34:00
then we have like three weeks
34:02
of off season, which I
34:04
am looking forward to. And I
34:06
am also looking forward to
34:08
this looking forward to this MLS I appreciate
34:10
you guys sticking with me with
34:13
minutes, not bad bad for a monologue
34:15
right there. And I appreciate you
34:17
guys sticking with us all
34:19
year long. The big game is
34:21
coming up. It's less than
34:23
48 hours away than 48 I hope
34:25
you guys all enjoy it
34:27
and we will talk to you
34:29
soon. Thank you.
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