Episode Transcript
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0:10
And
0:19
welcome
0:30
And welcome to Gleam
0:32
the geek the geek by
0:34
black by Black Stag Brewing. a liquor
0:36
store near you near you. I'm
0:38
John bonus of the Twins with me. Aaron Gleam
0:41
York York Times. No. The athletic
0:43
New York Times subsidiary. Is
0:45
that right? Yes. Okay. that
0:47
right? Yes. Okay. We'll go with that. Yeah. I'll
0:50
tell you this, we I'll tell you this. We
0:52
had a, the You've already
0:54
sidetracked the show, saying by
0:56
saying times. I like saying your curveballs early.
0:59
throwing your keys early. of the front
1:01
it's not It's not that difficult.
1:03
I'm willing to be sidetracked
1:05
easily. easily. Well, there ain't a
1:07
there of a lot of not to
1:09
to get sidetracked right now. true, yeah.
1:11
we'll get to the we'll get
1:14
and trades in a minute, but
1:16
first. That's right. in a minute. But first.
1:18
We had a a, like a zoom
1:20
with we being the the athletic
1:22
staff. Okay. Had a had
1:24
a zoom with a
1:26
woman from which is the new is
1:28
the new media. Not
1:30
new, new, to Twitter, to
1:33
Twitter, X, whatever. And she
1:35
us through through like. I'm
1:37
already on on there, you're on there. How to skit? I
1:40
don't like that. that. just going to
1:42
call it toy call it a maybe. a posting,
1:44
the features that maybe we didn't know
1:46
about and how to get verification, to
1:48
which is why I thought of
1:50
this, why I thought of this, there aren't aren't like,
1:52
well, there used there used to be
1:54
on Twitter back on Twitter back in the day.
1:56
There used to be check marks that
1:58
said you were verified. And now. just pay eight
2:01
bucks for a bucks it has the
2:03
opposite effect, but the opposite There isn't
2:05
that on there isn't that on Blue
2:07
Sky instead on Blue It's
2:09
not a good system, it's told good but
2:11
they might be changing it. told you
2:13
this but you know is that like
2:15
instead of being like Blue Sky how you
2:17
know is that like whatever, which
2:19
I am. like me. Gleeman dot
2:22
Blue not whatever. You
2:24
can be like Aaron Gleeman at
2:26
the York Times. Times. Right. And that's
2:29
the verification because in order to
2:31
get that handle that parent company has
2:33
to like verify you on that
2:35
end got it on that end. you
2:37
have to get the parent company you
2:39
you have to get the the parent company
2:41
try to kind of have the
2:43
same you have to get the right. I think like the
2:45
that I know it exists now Try
2:47
to can ask of have the is that once
2:49
upon a time. For twins mainly. I the real that I
2:51
know what much, but whatever he is
2:53
the real Seth. I hate to see a to see
2:55
a second one. I have seen
2:57
a second one. brother looks like you're not
2:59
correct. He's like you and your
3:01
brother your rarely seen two sets of
3:03
brothers two more of you and your brother
3:05
like than you and your brother at name?
3:08
uh, what is Seth's met him
3:10
multiple times, I I've met him
3:12
nice guy. know, I apologize. Super nice
3:14
guy. You nicer Way nice. Too fairly. Friday
3:16
But anyway, my point
3:18
was, point was. that we can't be
3:20
New York Times because we can't can't
3:22
be name name at New
3:24
York Blue Skye because we're not because
3:26
we're not New New York Times
3:28
employees. so when we're saying Aaron of the
3:30
New York Times, I thought, Times I
3:32
thought not I'm Blue Sky gonna be so I
3:34
Sky, to be Aaron Cleman dot athletic maybe they'll
3:36
work on on I don't know.
3:38
I don't know know I I
3:40
just like I I just I get
3:42
to that I get to as you as athletic Yeah,
3:45
well you saw saw how quick
3:47
I walked in here. here. Yeah, so
3:49
you're very I'm about a week
3:51
away from getting rolled rolled into
3:53
place. Pretty much. If I If I
3:56
didn't... like have more, I more,
3:58
it's I got, it's, I don't know if it's. just
4:00
a low bar for embarrassment, but
4:02
I'm not going to be one
4:04
of those guys who has a
4:06
scooter, even though I probably could
4:08
use one right now. I just
4:10
view you and Stu Thornely jousting
4:12
in the twins hallways, the target
4:14
field hallways. Stu rides around in
4:16
that thing and just, he'll like
4:18
use it to hold the elevator,
4:20
like he'll just plow into the
4:22
elevator basically and hold it and
4:24
like. Yeah, he really has the
4:26
opposite mindset that I have, which
4:29
good for him. He leads into
4:31
it, baby. Yeah. Yeah, me, I
4:33
like to just limp around. Anyway,
4:35
it's winter meetings, uh, Eve, sort
4:37
of, kind of. People will be
4:39
flying to, uh, not me, but
4:41
people will be, I'm skipping this
4:43
year, but people will be, they'll
4:45
try to go on without me,
4:47
believe me. Uh, going to Dallas
4:49
starts Monday morning, starts Monday morning,
4:51
Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, I guess technically
4:53
Thursday, but a lot of people
4:55
leave, Wednesday is the annual winter
4:57
meetings in Dallas, Texas, which is,
4:59
we talked a little bit about
5:01
it on the Patreon side, like,
5:03
I think people may be. play
5:07
it up as a bigger deal than
5:09
it is. Yeah, we went into it
5:11
a lot. We went to do a
5:13
lot of the Patriots. Yeah, and the
5:15
only reason I won't go back into
5:17
like the minutiae of it, but I've
5:19
gone to, I want to say five
5:22
or six of them in kind of
5:24
two different eras of my life. I
5:26
went to the last two or three
5:28
of this era. Right. Did she limp
5:30
around also? But we're going to unpack
5:32
that at some point. That I'm like
5:34
Taylor Swift? No, we're going to pack
5:36
the eras. The errors in my life.
5:38
The errand eras. A lot of coach.
5:40
Yeah. There was the couch era. We're
5:42
getting back. Then there was the six
5:45
month not on a coach era and
5:47
then there was the couch era. That's
5:49
pretty much it. There used
5:51
to be a coach in St. Paul
5:53
when there was a coach in Montana
5:55
and I was coaching me. That's really
5:58
the only. That's it. It's not that
6:00
great of a concert, really. Oh, special
6:02
guest though. me, I'll bring everybody up.
6:04
Gracie Abrams will come out. Anyway, easily
6:06
sidetracked today. But the reason I say
6:09
that the winter meetings can get kind
6:11
of overblown from a fan perspective is
6:13
that it's something everyone talks about because
6:15
it's like a mile marker of the
6:17
off season in a way. And it's
6:20
a media event is really what it
6:22
is. It's become that because when the
6:24
winter meetings first started decades and decades
6:26
ago. It was truly just a way
6:29
for all the front office people to
6:31
get together in the same rooms because
6:33
calling each other on the phone long
6:35
distance was I'm talking you know decades
6:37
ago was the only way to do
6:40
it but now that you can have
6:42
zooms and you can have group chats
6:44
and you can have God knows what
6:46
slack whatever There isn't really a neat,
6:48
like if Derek Fallview wants to talk
6:51
to the GM of whoever, he can
6:53
do it very easily. It's similar, it's
6:55
probably most similar to like an industry
6:57
convention. Yes, it's just that this industry
6:59
is the baseball industry. Yes, well, and
7:02
there is a trade show attached to
7:04
it, there's a job fair attached to
7:06
it. But for the most part, it's
7:08
become. a media event in that hundreds
7:10
of media members including clubs like me
7:13
go and there's a you know giant
7:15
media workroom where everybody sits and types
7:17
away on their laptops and they hold
7:19
at least once a day each team
7:21
holds like an availability up in their
7:24
suite which you go to and then
7:26
any key moves there's like a you
7:28
know availability for press conferences and Boris
7:30
always does his annual where he goes
7:32
up in front and everybody runs like
7:35
he's the president talking. And I think
7:37
it used to be sort of driven
7:39
in popularity and in part media popularity
7:41
because deals used to get done there.
7:43
Like a lot of that where the
7:46
free ages would show up there, there'd
7:48
be a big, you know, the biggest
7:50
free ages would do a big show
7:52
and so on. But similar to what
7:54
I was saying about the front offices,
7:57
there's no extra incentive to do it
7:59
during the winter meetings. This is exactly
8:01
what I'm going to get to, is
8:03
that it also be like where we
8:05
talk and that sort of thing. But
8:08
now there's so many more ways to
8:10
communicate. the primary reason I think for
8:12
most media to go there is You
8:14
get a lot of off-the-record talk with
8:16
your own GM and or coach Because
8:19
everybody's just there killing time for three
8:21
days and you might as well have
8:23
breakfast with Rocco the primary reason I
8:25
think is is Marriott points for most
8:27
of the writers I would say I've
8:30
never gotten a single Marriott point because
8:32
I travel once a year and I'm
8:34
too stupid to sign up but Talking
8:36
to beat writers including Dan they're obsessed
8:38
with me. They're all stay at Marriott.
8:41
Yes the entire beat writing infrastructure revolves
8:43
around there must be something better about
8:45
Marriott's I don't know Marriott's I really
8:47
don't know but yeah you're right about
8:49
that so that starts Monday and yeah
8:52
you're right I mean it's it's a
8:54
way for In
8:56
the Twins case, let's say, well, we
8:58
have talked to them because they changed
9:00
front office and they did the ownership
9:02
thing. But for a lot of teams,
9:04
you talked to them last day of
9:07
the season or two days after the
9:09
season, which is, you know, first week
9:11
of October. And so it's been two
9:13
months since you've had any sort of
9:15
scheduled media availability for some of these
9:17
teams. And if the twins hadn't shaken
9:19
up the front office, we wouldn't have
9:21
had any with them. We just happened
9:23
to have had some. And so yeah,
9:26
to be able to go up into
9:28
the team suite and talk to them
9:30
off the record and you can get
9:32
some info for the off-season ahead, but
9:34
you can also kind of, and this
9:36
is a big part of what I've
9:38
learned, doing this job for four or
9:40
five years now, you bank stuff for
9:42
the long winter ahead. Oh yeah, right,
9:44
which is ideas, topics, topics. You describe
9:47
those things as quotes, right. And you
9:49
go, well, that's kind of interesting. Nobody
9:51
really needs to know that today. But
9:53
two months from now, or when the
9:55
guy reports the spring training, I can
9:57
tell the story of whatever. So that's
9:59
what it's become built into the winter
10:01
meetings, though, are two things that will
10:03
be of interest to twins fans fans.
10:06
is on Tuesday afternoon I want to
10:08
say is the draft lottery right the
10:10
third third annual yeah yeah third annual
10:12
draft lottery now I have attended each
10:14
of the first two draft lotteries in
10:16
person and let me tell you there's
10:18
never been a less and a more
10:20
underwhelming event and last year's was hosted
10:22
by Brad Paisley as I talked about
10:25
on the patreon and even that couldn't
10:27
do we know who's hosting it this
10:29
year Are they trying to get that
10:31
again? I don't think he's going to
10:33
be Brad Paisley. Like maybe his mother...
10:35
Joe Paisley or something. Yeah,
10:37
I don't, I don't think, but they
10:39
try to turn it into a made
10:41
for TV event and it just, it
10:43
just isn't. Because for one thing, I
10:45
mean, even like the NBA draft lottery
10:47
is not that interesting. Like, it's a
10:50
five minute thing. But even that isn't
10:52
in front of like a live studio
10:54
audience either, right? Like that's just, it
10:56
either, technically. At least in the NBA,
10:58
draft lottery, the guy's number one pick,
11:00
number three pick, number five pick, you
11:02
go, this guy's going to play this
11:04
year. People are going to immediately know
11:06
who he is. Right. MLB it's like
11:08
oh this guy will go to cedar
11:10
rapids for a year and a half
11:12
and then maybe you'll see him with
11:15
the Saints two years from now and
11:17
then so that's a big difference but
11:19
of note to the twins because they
11:21
missed the playoffs they are in the
11:23
draft lottery I believe I saw they
11:25
have a one point something percent chance
11:27
of getting the number one pick and
11:29
like a ten percent chance something like
11:31
that of moving into the top six
11:33
because they draw for the top six
11:35
and then after that it just fills
11:37
out which would be great. I mean
11:40
if you think back to the inaugural
11:42
one two years ago, I think they
11:44
were supposed to pick in the low
11:46
teens and end up picking fifth. And
11:48
what was a five person draft? And
11:50
they got walk and a strong five
11:52
person. Yes, I mean, they couldn't have
11:54
worked out. Well, number one pick would
11:56
have been Paul Skeens. That would have
11:58
been a pretty good. But it worked.
12:00
brilliantly for them and then last year
12:02
the Brad Paisley hosted one I was
12:05
sitting there and the Guardians had just
12:07
narrowly missed the playoff similar to the
12:09
twins this year and had like a
12:11
you know point eight percent or a
12:13
one point two percent something like that
12:15
chance and they got the number one
12:17
pick so you know it can happen
12:19
with the twins I think certainly even
12:21
moving into the top six while this
12:23
is not considered a you know, great
12:25
draft class, I think it's considered just
12:27
sort of a normal draft class. That
12:30
would be big, not only from a
12:32
talent standpoint, but also just a money
12:34
to spread around standpoint, because the difference
12:36
between like having the 13th pick and
12:38
having the fifth pick is multiple million
12:40
dollars that you can either spend, not
12:42
that guy, or spread around to other
12:44
picks. Ultimately, your reward is you get
12:46
to spend more on draft picks than
12:48
other teams. So perhaps the pull ads
12:50
are rooting against. Is there a way
12:52
for us to drop down in the...
12:55
And then Wednesday is Well,
12:57
Becky jokes a lot about the Rule
12:59
5 draft in our house because... She
13:01
doesn't know the first four rules? No,
13:03
she doesn't care at all. She just
13:05
hears me talk about it. She hears
13:07
us talk about it. She hears us
13:09
talk about it. She sees me slacken
13:12
metadata about it. Do you think there's
13:14
a fan base that talks more about
13:16
the Rule 5 draft than the truth
13:18
fan base? No. I mean, I can
13:20
explain why. Yeah, it's very easy. Shane
13:22
Becky and Johans Santana. Correct. When the
13:24
best picture in the history of the
13:26
franchise, and one of the better players
13:28
on a World Series team in Shane
13:30
Mac, and they've had some good ones
13:32
prior to that too. I mean they've
13:35
also had like Ryan Presley was a
13:37
great rule 5 pick, only about half
13:39
for the twins, but you know. Was
13:41
Blackburn in a Rule 5 pick? No.
13:43
Diamond. Diamond. That's right. Thank you. But
13:45
yeah, when that happens, people are, you
13:47
know, you get another 30 years of
13:49
people caring about. Every time you get
13:51
a sigh young winner from the Rule
13:53
5, you get 30 years of people
13:55
caring about it. Johan, before people correct
13:57
us, which they love to do. And
14:00
I don't blame you. There's a lot,
14:02
there's plenty to correct. Think of this
14:04
show as just a rough draft. Sure,
14:06
that's right. Now is there going to
14:08
be a final copy? No. But there's
14:10
just a rough draft. It's a run-through.
14:12
Like we're on Broadway, but we're just,
14:14
this is the run-through. And then you
14:16
say, well, when do you guys open?
14:18
No, we just like to run. We
14:20
just like to do dress rehearsals. Yeah,
14:23
just that's right. A dress rehearsal for
14:25
what? Good question. I don't know. Just
14:27
our own entertainment. But Johan was picked
14:29
by the Marlins from the Astros organization.
14:31
He had been like a single a
14:33
pitcher and wasn't even of note at
14:35
all. and but they had a prearranged
14:37
trade 40 remember who they trade Jared
14:39
Camp that's pretty good John yep look
14:41
at you right-handed picture made the majors
14:43
I want to say but didn't turn
14:45
into anything so you'll see that a
14:48
lot like the team with the number
14:50
one pick will like draft for someone
14:52
in that spot because when you get
14:54
the number one pick or even the
14:56
number two pick in the rule five
14:58
draft which it just goes by record
15:00
it's the same right so they're bad
15:02
teams but a team that's decent let's
15:04
say might say might love a guy
15:06
who's available and know they have no
15:08
shot to get them with the 15th
15:11
pick so they might say we take
15:13
this guy trade him to us we'll
15:15
give you know x you can't trade
15:17
pick so you actually take the player
15:19
the draft for him so they did
15:21
an immediate trade yohan took a few
15:23
years but turned into a great player.
15:25
They've changed the rules for the rule.
15:27
So that's Wednesday afternoon. That's right. It's
15:29
basically the last event of the winter
15:31
meetings. Right after that people start calling
15:34
home. In fact, let me tell you
15:36
this. It's also just in a giant.
15:39
when they have weddings and stuff like
15:41
that. Yeah, it's a room in a
15:43
ballroom, a hall in a hotel, right.
15:46
In, last year was in ballroom D,
15:48
Iraq or something. Right, yeah, that's right.
15:50
There's a wedding on there three, three
15:52
hours later. Yeah, that's right. People bring
15:54
their luggage to the rule five drafts.
15:57
That's what usually happened. rules to the
15:59
rule five draft how many five years
16:01
ago maybe to add an extra year
16:03
yeah it used to be if you
16:05
were a college pick you had three
16:08
years until you were eligible three years
16:10
of the minor leagues okay and four
16:12
years for a high school or teenage
16:14
signing and they added a year to
16:17
those i think i have that right
16:19
i might be off right here but
16:21
yeah this is a rough draft one
16:23
because i remember it as being four
16:25
and five and now it's five and
16:28
six but it's not six it's not
16:30
six because six year minor league for
16:32
agent okay oh anyway they added a
16:34
year and what that does is fins
16:37
the pool considerably because you have an
16:39
extra year to decide on all these
16:41
guys and so if you look at
16:43
like the talent pool available it's much
16:45
much worse because you just you're creating
16:48
it is much less likely that something
16:50
like the satano or whatever you're just
16:52
creating far fewer like actual difficult protection
16:54
decisions and so if you look at
16:56
like how many picks have actually been
16:59
made in the rule five it's shrunk
17:01
and like it used to be 20
17:03
picks now a lot of teams just
17:05
pass in the first round. So from
17:08
the twins perspective this year. I
17:11
felt like when I previewed it,
17:13
because I always preview it, my
17:15
first year at the athletic, I'd
17:17
been at the athletic for two
17:19
months in 2019, and my editor
17:21
was Zach Pierce, who's awesome. It
17:23
was back when the athletic was
17:25
very compartmentalized, it was Minnesota athletic,
17:27
and he said, well, what ideas
17:29
you got for the off season?
17:31
I said, well, we got to
17:33
a Rule 5 preview, and he
17:35
was like, why? He's like, we've
17:37
got to. Who cares about it?
17:40
Let's do it once. If the numbers
17:42
are good, I say I told you
17:44
so. Right. If the numbers you have
17:47
to do it for the rest of
17:49
your life. Correct. But he quit as
17:51
our editor. You didn't think about that.
17:53
I'll do it every year. But here's
17:55
the thing. The numbers are always good.
17:57
It always performs well as an article.
17:59
And the matter the talent level is.
18:01
This year, I think I listed eight
18:03
guys or something like that. I felt
18:05
like they had four, I probably would
18:07
have protected, at least three I would
18:09
have protected, and four I maybe would
18:12
have protected. They ended up only protecting
18:14
two players. They protected two pitchers. Mark
18:16
O'Raya, who was the biggest no-brainer. He's
18:18
one of those probably three to five
18:20
best pitching prospects. And then also Travis
18:22
Adams who I think I had fourth
18:24
on my list or fifth on my
18:26
list, but he's like a kind of
18:28
run-of-the-mill durable back-end starter and those guys
18:30
are very easy to pluck away from
18:32
teams in the Rule 5 because they
18:34
can just slot them into a long
18:36
relief roll or whatever. The two that
18:39
I was a little surprised that they
18:41
didn't protect We're a pair of right-handed
18:43
hitters, kind of corner bat types, which
18:45
is Kalei Rosario, who I think is
18:47
probably the bigger name, but the lesser
18:49
prospect. And then Ricardo Olivar, who I
18:51
personally am a big fan of, I
18:53
think I'm probably maybe the... high man
18:55
on him which is potentially a way
18:57
of saying I overrate him we'll see
18:59
but he's a catcher left fielder Rosario
19:01
is just a you know poor defensive
19:04
right field there both are right-handed hitters
19:06
Rosario is more of like a low
19:08
batting average high-power guy or Olivar is
19:10
more of like a you know controlled
19:12
strike zone hitline drives type of guy
19:14
neither of them were protected now they're
19:16
both certainly talented enough to get picked
19:18
but the issue with players like that
19:20
are are you really going to because
19:22
If you take a play in the
19:24
Rule 5 draft, it costs you $100,000
19:26
and you have to keep them in
19:28
the major leagues on your major league
19:31
roster for the entire season. And if
19:33
the moment you try to take them
19:35
off the major league roster, they're offered
19:37
back to their original team for half
19:39
the money. So you just lose $50,000
19:41
in the player. And so part of
19:43
the Rule 5 draft is just talent.
19:45
Like, is this guy good enough to
19:47
get taken? But a big part of
19:49
it, at least half of the decision
19:51
making involves, do we think one of
19:53
the other 29 teams will actually take
19:56
this guy and keep him in the
19:58
all season and with a backup shortstop
20:00
or a backup catcher or a middle
20:02
reliever or like Travis Adams, a fourth
20:04
outfielder, a fourth outfielder or a back-end
20:06
starter who can be a long reliever,
20:08
those guys can just fill bit rolls
20:10
on your team and not hurt you
20:12
either way and then you try to
20:14
develop them as much as you can.
20:16
But with a right-handed hitting, you know,
20:18
right-fielder, right, it's like, do you really
20:20
want that guy to get 150 at
20:23
bats in a platoon roll? And he's
20:25
probably not ready. And both of them
20:27
have played above double A. They're both
20:29
pretty young. So the twins are taking,
20:31
in my mind, at least a fairly
20:33
big risk with those two of leaving
20:35
them unprotected. There's a pitcher named Christian
20:37
McCloud who is a kind of a
20:39
left-handed Adams type who could get taken,
20:41
but he's got more of an injury
20:43
history. Here's one name,
20:45
you brought up under a different context
20:48
the other day, Jovani Moran, who
20:50
was signed to a two-year minor league
20:52
deal after being dropped from the 40-man
20:54
roster and he's missed all of
20:56
last season following Tommy John's surgery. Now,
20:59
before Tommy John's surgery, I'm not going
21:01
to say he was a reliable
21:03
reliever, but he showed flashes of being
21:05
a good major league reliever. Lefty with
21:08
a pretty good fastball and a
21:10
great change up control issues. That's a
21:12
very nice way of saying that. Didn't
21:14
know where the hell the ball
21:16
was going after time. So who knows
21:19
what he's going to look like after
21:21
an elbow surgery, obviously, and a
21:23
year and a half on the sidelines,
21:25
he might come back and you know,
21:28
he might not be able to
21:30
hit the broad side of a barn.
21:33
Since they, so it's been like three
21:35
weeks since they made their two protections
21:37
and the rosters get locked at that
21:39
point so you can't add any relate.
21:41
I've heard from people from other organizations
21:43
who are kind of sniffing around some
21:45
twins, some unprotected twins, to the point
21:47
that some names I'd expect, some names
21:49
I wouldn't expect. There's a guy named
21:51
Will Hollins who's like a center fielder
21:54
shortstop. that triple last year, could be
21:56
a utility type of guy. There's a
21:58
few other names, but to the point
22:00
that now I'm starting to think they'll,
22:02
they might lose somebody. I mean, that
22:04
is the other reason to watch the
22:06
rule five draft is because even if
22:08
your organization doesn't acquire somebody like a
22:10
Johan Santana, people might lose somebody. Right.
22:12
But they even really, I'm trying to
22:14
think, the last guy they lost Akil
22:16
Badu. Akil Badu is the big one.
22:18
Which that looked really bad for a
22:20
year and now looks inconsequential basically because
22:22
he's sort of a fifth outfielder type
22:24
or whatever. So yeah, I wouldn't be.
22:27
He is what he was when they
22:29
drafted him essentially. He's a fifth outfielder.
22:31
Yeah. That's true. How they kept him
22:33
on the rest? I mean, that's why
22:35
I remember the when he then, I
22:37
think he might have finished like third
22:39
in the third in the rookie, like
22:41
third in the rookie, like third in
22:43
the rookie, the rookie, the rookie year,
22:45
the rookie year, the rookie year, the
22:47
rookie year voting for the year voting
22:49
for, the Tigers, the Tigers, the Tigers,
22:51
the Tigers, the Tigers, the Tigers, three
22:53
years, three years, three years, three years,
22:55
three years, three years, three years, three
22:57
years, three years, three years, three years,
22:59
three years, three years, three years And
23:02
I remember when he was playing well
23:04
for the Tigers that first year, asking
23:06
somebody with the twins, like, do you
23:08
guys regret leaving him unprotected? And the
23:10
answer was, well, yeah, obviously he's doing
23:12
well for them, but the logic behind
23:14
it seemed fairly sound, which is he
23:16
had had a injury. and hadn't really
23:18
played I don't think above high A
23:20
and I think that was in 2021
23:22
which means he was coming off a
23:24
2020 season where he didn't even play
23:26
minor league baseball right that's right so
23:28
it had been like over a year
23:30
since he had had any game action
23:32
so unless they had a drone flying
23:35
over a CHS that's exactly nobody saw
23:37
him doing anything it was a leap
23:39
of faith by the Tigers and you
23:41
know maybe there are a lot of
23:43
leaps of faith in between the 2020
23:45
career five draft like there are a
23:47
lot of people like oh i hear
23:49
i hear from such and such correct
23:51
so and so is doing something which
23:53
is they're trying to sneak him through
23:55
which is the type of sniffing around
23:57
i'm getting right which is what you
23:59
know about this guy what was his
24:01
health at the end of the year
24:03
all this type of stuff so we'll
24:05
see that's uh that's Wednesday and I
24:08
don't know I don't expect certainly at
24:10
the twins level it sounds like like
24:12
Juan Soto might be on the verge
24:14
of signing sure but at the twins
24:16
level they're they're waiting for the trickle-down
24:18
economics of this thing by any I
24:20
mean I don't expect them to make
24:22
might hope that the winter meetings are
24:24
a place where they could, if they
24:26
are interested, doing some trades or shaking
24:28
up the roster a little bit, making
24:30
some deals. That would be a place
24:32
where, you know, that sort of thing
24:34
is more easily discussed than, you know,
24:36
if you have a zoom call slash
24:38
text via whatever. But I will tell
24:41
you, the source was the update given
24:43
internally was, quote, we have no irons
24:45
in the fire. Yeah, that's bad to
24:47
borrow. So, you know, I don't know
24:49
that we're... They can neither afford a
24:51
fire nor an iron. And I hear,
24:53
I won't see an onion. They can't
24:55
even afford an onion. No onions in
24:57
the fire either. Before we move on
24:59
to some coaching news by the 20th.
25:01
You know what is fire? Black stack
25:03
brewing. Black stack front brewing is absolutely
25:05
far. And I'm going there tonight. Shockingly.
25:07
I'm going to the tap room. Say
25:09
how to Becky? I sure she'll be
25:11
there with you. That bonus is permanent
25:13
third wheel. I have not invited Becky.
25:16
We'll have to maybe respond there. She
25:18
just spawns there. Like she just showed
25:20
up. We're going to meet, I think
25:22
we're going to meet up with the
25:24
owner Cooper. Maybe get a little tour
25:26
or such stuff. Yeah. I like black
25:28
stack brewing. I've been there a couple
25:30
times over the last few months. I'm
25:32
looking forward to going there with some
25:34
new friends and then I'm actually with
25:36
our goddaughter. But the truth is you
25:38
don't have to go to the tap
25:40
room anymore. You can just go to
25:42
your liquor store because that's the beauty
25:44
of black stack brewing is that all
25:46
those people who you know, would make
25:49
the trek to the tap room to
25:51
get their, you know, well-recognized beer, now
25:53
can just go to their liquor store.
25:55
So you're going to be going to
25:57
like various holiday events, you're going to
25:59
be responsible for bringing you a six
26:01
pack or something like that, or maybe
26:03
you're having a holiday event, or maybe
26:05
you're having people over grab good on
26:07
the liquor store and ask for Black's
26:09
Day. Or maybe you've just spent a
26:11
lot of time with your family over
26:13
the holidays and you need to drink
26:15
some beer. They've got some very high
26:17
ABV IPAs that will help you. in
26:19
a number of liquor stores and the
26:22
list is growing you can go to
26:24
Blackstack's website and they have like where
26:26
to find us page that's right and
26:28
also if your your neighborhood liquor store
26:30
doesn't carry them tell them and they
26:32
can start carrying they also have some
26:34
lower ABB beers as well like there
26:36
check out Blackstack the you can go
26:38
see them they're like 94 and 280
26:40
ish but also just go look for
26:42
them in your local store that's right
26:44
Harry's raisers they have a long-time sponsor
26:46
of ours, but they have a holiday
26:48
craft set which is a great gift
26:50
or you can just buy it for
26:52
yourself and get a good shave in
26:55
2025. That's exactly right. You can get,
26:57
it includes a razor with a craft
26:59
handle, your choice of foaming shave gel
27:01
or shave and cream. two extra blades
27:03
and then also a travel blade cover
27:05
now they like I said they've been
27:07
a long-time sponsor yeah I mean they
27:09
have these new long-time sponsor because I've
27:11
been a long-time user I love my
27:13
I will just challenge you this if
27:15
you haven't used Harry's razors yet and
27:17
you're using your old razor Try using,
27:19
and you want to get a really
27:21
good close shave. Try just shaving yourself
27:23
the way you normally do, go with
27:25
the grain that's usually up to down.
27:27
And then lather up again and try
27:30
going down up, which is against the
27:32
grain. You're going to end up with
27:34
one of two things. If you don't
27:36
have Harry's razor, you're going to go.
27:38
If you're going to end up with
27:40
one of two things, it's going to
27:42
go. If you don't have Harry's razor,
27:44
it's a brand new. And you're going
27:46
to know what the, you're going to
27:48
want to keep touching your face throughout
27:50
the day. You're going to be like,
27:52
I can't believe that I am this
27:54
smooth on my face. Boy, sometimes I
27:56
walk in and Johnny's just rubbing his
27:58
own face. I do. I'm thankful that
28:00
that's always, never mind. What I was
28:03
going to say is over the years
28:05
when they've had a new offer, they've
28:07
sometimes sent us a sample and I'm
28:09
always very impressed wrapping. comes in a
28:11
rich sleek green gift box that will
28:13
stand out and you can personalize it
28:15
with engraving options. It's a risk repurchase.
28:17
Harry offers a 100% money back guarantee
28:19
ordered by December 12th to receive your
28:21
How Day craft set by Christmas. I
28:23
think it'll start to be available. Either
28:25
now or by certainly by Monday. That's
28:27
right. Yep. And you just need to
28:29
go to get the holiday craft set
28:31
in the green box the free handle
28:33
engraving Harry's com slash gremlin. That's H-A-R-R-R-Y-S
28:36
Harry's.com/gremlin for the Harry's holiday craft set.
28:38
I didn't know you have a god
28:40
daughter son. I have a god daughter.
28:42
You know the family actually. What kind
28:44
of sick goes. Yeah,
28:47
especially because they're Lutheran and we're Catholic.
28:49
Well, my wife's Catholic. I was racial.
28:51
That's the least of my problems with
28:53
you. Religion won't even come into it.
28:55
I hope this kid likes beer. Oh,
28:58
I'm working on that. Yeah, I figured.
29:00
I saw you with a friend of
29:02
ours dog the other day working on
29:04
that. Yeah, by the way, with the
29:07
people she already has at her life.
29:09
Yeah, they're going to beer. Yeah, they're
29:11
going to Blackstack brewing tonight, of course
29:13
they're into beer. True. Let's talk a
29:15
little bit about coaching staff stuff. So
29:18
the twins announced a month ago, maybe,
29:20
that Matt Borgshulte was going to replace
29:22
David Poppins. Did they actually announce it
29:24
or did we just find it out?
29:26
That's a good question. I can't remember.
29:29
I was trying to remember if they
29:31
actually announced it, because when they were
29:33
making the announcements yesterday, I was like,
29:35
are we going to finally get the
29:37
Borgshold announcement? But I might have just
29:40
missed it. Well, there was no like
29:42
zoom with him. Like zoom with him.
29:44
Like zoom with him. Like zoom with
29:46
him. Matt Borgsholti is the hitting coach
29:49
which we knew a month ago, either
29:51
because they announced it or because everyone
29:53
reported it. Yeah, that's a good question.
29:55
It's always a good question with them.
29:57
They hold things weirdly, but they revealed
30:00
the rest of the Rocklebaldelli's, I think,
30:02
11-person staff, I want to say. 2025,
30:04
which includes three new people. And in
30:06
addition to Bork Sheltie, so a total
30:08
of four new people, and then some
30:11
changing roles for a couple of the
30:13
holdovers. We're going to go over those
30:15
in a second. The ones that haven't
30:17
changed, let's go over those first, just
30:19
so people know, Rocco Dan Baldelli is
30:22
still the manager. We knew that on
30:24
the last day of the season when
30:26
fall. We knew his middle name was
30:28
Dan on the last day of the
30:30
season for a while now. I'm starting
30:33
to doubt that. Anyway, first
30:35
draft. If only we had a way
30:37
to look that up. Jayce Tingler, don't
30:40
know his middle name, but it's a
30:42
good name. It is. Becky likes Jayce
30:44
Tingler because she thinks it's just a
30:47
great name. That's a good name. My
30:49
goal is to introduce her to him
30:51
at some point and say, here's your
30:54
favorite name in the majors, Jayce
30:56
Tingler. I would think that would be...
30:58
You don't need them. I like having
31:00
the last name bonus. I like that.
31:03
Even though most people can't pronounce it
31:05
correctly the first time they say. But
31:07
having a last name, tingler? Yeah. I
31:10
feel like you could do something.
31:12
I feel like you could play with
31:14
that a little bit. Leaming in the
31:16
tingler. Yikes. Yeah. I don't like that.
31:20
Tingler yeah, anyway, I don't need to know
31:22
about last night now. We've been mocking. I
31:24
don't know I never liked my last name
31:26
I want I think I've told the story
31:29
before when I was this is gonna insult
31:31
one side of my family, but whatever when
31:33
I was like 16 17 and I was
31:35
thinking about going into writing yeah My
31:38
plan was to change my pen name
31:41
to... What was it going to be?
31:43
The other side of my family's name.
31:45
Oh, okay. And then I got a
31:47
gig with Roto World in college and
31:49
hadn't done it. Right. And I don't
31:51
want to say like I got known
31:53
or anything, but... Well, you had a
31:56
blog by that point, too. Right. I
31:58
had a blog and I had clips
32:00
and stuff like that, so no. late
32:02
to do it so now I'm just
32:04
gleaming. Although even then it was errand
32:06
space probably, I don't know if you
32:08
went into your last name. Did you
32:11
have your last name? I mean it's
32:13
sad there, but it wasn't. I wasn't
32:15
shouting it from the rooftops. Okay. Like
32:17
I do now where the first word
32:19
is gleaming and the geek. We should,
32:21
let me, on year, how about on
32:24
year 20? See now that is what
32:26
we should be doing. That's not my
32:28
doing by the way, I don't want
32:30
my name as the promo code. That's
32:32
just what they send us. Yeah, that's
32:34
right. Because they just look what the
32:36
day of the show is, they take
32:39
the first. How would you like it
32:41
if our promo code was tingler? We
32:43
could do that. We got a few
32:45
where it's been geek. We haven't a
32:47
couple of people be with geek. That's
32:49
fine. That's fine man. Let's fine man.
32:51
Let's fine. Let's fine. Let's fine with
32:54
me. Let's fine. Let's fine. Let's fine
32:56
with me. Let's. Let's fine with me.
32:58
Let's fine. the trio of pitching coaches
33:00
which is Pete Mackey as the primary
33:02
pitching coach Luis Rodriguez or Ramirez excuse
33:04
me as the assistant pitching coach and
33:06
then Colby Suggs as the bullpen coach
33:09
which is basically just an assistant pitching
33:11
coach who sits out in the bullpen
33:13
during the game that remains unchanged so
33:15
the trio of pitching is the same.
33:17
who's probably not real well known to
33:19
people, is the quality control coach, which
33:22
basically means he kind of runs the
33:24
day-to-day aspect of it, the timing of
33:26
everything, the scheduling of everything, especially particularly
33:28
during spring training, all Ralph, you know.
33:30
The fact that they're doing this work
33:32
out at 930 and this work out
33:34
at 1015 is the choice made by
33:37
Nate. Everybody's complaining to me. That's about
33:39
everything. He's in the same role and
33:41
then the controversial one I suppose based
33:43
on my Twitter replies and my blue
33:45
sky replies also is Tommy Watkins remaining
33:47
in the third base coach slash outfield
33:49
coach role. I'm not surprised by that,
33:52
but I get that people. Assumed
33:55
I guess even that if he remained
33:57
on the staff he might no longer
33:59
be the third base coach that water
34:01
got pretty hot at the end of
34:03
the season. But as we've talked about
34:05
a lot over the years on this
34:07
show, and I guess that in and
34:09
of itself is proof of what I'm
34:11
about to say, think in your heads,
34:13
whether you're twins fan, whether you're a
34:15
fan of another team. of
34:18
a popular third base coach. Respected, touted
34:20
third base coach. There isn't. It's a
34:22
lot of credit. I mean, maybe there's
34:24
one, I don't know. And now think,
34:26
how many third base coaches have been
34:28
run out of that job because everyone
34:30
was furious? And now think, if everyone
34:32
who's in that job, as a great
34:34
railing givens in justified said, if you
34:36
run into an a-hole in the morning,
34:39
and then you run into an A-hole
34:41
in the afternoon and then you run
34:43
into an A-hole at night, maybe you're
34:45
the A-hole. If every third base coach...
34:47
Is in the opinion of fans doing
34:49
a horrendous job? Perhaps it's the job
34:51
itself. Maybe it lends itself to, you
34:53
know, criticism, I would say. But with
34:55
that said, he will, he'll remain in
34:57
that role. Here are the changes that
34:59
we can go through. I might have
35:01
botched that real and given school, but
35:04
you get the idea. Again, rough draft
35:06
of his show. We'll get in post,
35:08
we'll fix it. Have you watched the
35:10
entire series of Justifers? I have seen
35:12
it. I need to watch that. It's
35:14
a great show. Took me like four
35:16
years of it and I think I'd
35:18
love it. To talk Becky into watching
35:20
it. And here's what often happens, here's
35:22
a little glimpse behind the scene of
35:24
Casa de Gilemon. I will say this
35:27
is one of my all-time favorite shows.
35:29
Now some of those, that's not the
35:31
way, right. Some of those she's not
35:33
into, I get that, but this one
35:35
I said, this is a legitimately good
35:37
show. The lead is both charming and
35:39
incredibly good looking by my estimation, so
35:41
she can watch him on screen. And
35:43
she said, no, no, I don't want
35:45
to watch it. I watched it a
35:47
second time, like with her in the
35:50
other room, like with her in the
35:52
other room, like with her in the
35:54
other room, And then here's what always
35:56
does it. She won't look at, uh...
35:58
No. would think that. I was like,
36:00
this guy with the cowboy hat, he's
36:02
doing nothing for you anyway. She needs
36:04
like Ricky Rubio or somebody to come
36:06
on. Here's what convinces her to watch
36:08
something. There are
36:10
three local influencers that you know.
36:13
Okay. One is named Randball Stu.
36:15
Okay. One is named Brandon Broxy.
36:17
Really? And one is named... Broxy's
36:19
an influence. Yep. To her. Yeah.
36:21
All right. And one is named
36:23
Zach Floyd. Now these are lovely
36:25
people. Yeah. These are three of
36:28
the favorite people I've met. Love
36:30
them. In my life. Yes. Great
36:32
to have a beer with, great
36:34
to go to a Jason Isbell
36:36
show and sway silently next to,
36:38
which I've done several times with
36:41
them. Influencers, style influencers, I don't
36:43
know that I call them that,
36:45
but here's what happens. I think
36:47
I trust that three-some on entertainment.
36:49
Don't call them with three-some, please.
36:51
Because that, but here's what happens.
36:53
For years I'm saying, watch Justify
36:56
with me. No, no, no, I'm
36:58
not into it. It's not a
37:00
cowboy show. They had
37:02
some back and forth one day
37:04
on Twitter where it was like
37:06
somebody posted a gift of railing
37:08
givens and there is dude's like
37:11
oh man I'm gonna watch that
37:13
again great show my favorite show
37:15
next morning she's like we should
37:17
watch justified Perfect. It's like, what
37:19
do you mean? Perfect. Have you
37:21
thought about, I mean, similar to,
37:23
you know, advertisers approaching us to
37:25
talk about their fantastic products? I
37:28
approach, Broxy, Stu, Floyd, and tell
37:30
them, talk about this. That's right.
37:32
Well, I'll, okay, I'll expand this
37:34
now. One of my favorite documentaries
37:36
I've ever seen is called Hero
37:38
Dreams of Sushi. I believe a
37:40
one academy order was nominated. It's
37:42
like 10 years ago, something like
37:45
that. It's about like a small
37:47
sushi restaurant that's been in some
37:49
small place in Japan, I think,
37:51
in like a subway station. It's
37:53
like got four seats. It's like
37:55
the greatest sushi. And it's about
37:57
the Guy Hero. hero like our
37:59
spelling right J-I-I-R-I I think who's
38:01
like the master sushi man I
38:04
just thought it was a fascinating
38:06
like look at someone's craft okay
38:08
for 10 years now I've been
38:10
trying to get her to watch
38:12
it and we watch every documentary
38:14
sure you will not watch it
38:16
to the point that we do
38:18
a top chef competition every year
38:21
we watch that show okay each
38:23
draft a team oh okay I
38:25
thought you're gonna actually tell where
38:27
you cook oh god no No,
38:29
in fact I usually order DoorDash
38:31
while we're watching Top Chef. And
38:33
the winner of that competition, it's
38:35
like a fantasy draft scoring, gets
38:38
to force the other person to
38:40
watch any piece of media up
38:42
to and including three hours. Okay.
38:44
For four consecutive seasons of Top
38:46
Chef, I have been playing to
38:48
win to force her to watch
38:50
Hero Dreams of Sushi, a I
38:52
think 98% Rotten Tomatoes document, and
38:55
she beats me every single year.
38:57
So to your point. That's funny.
38:59
Close circuit to stew or Brandon
39:01
or Zach. Yeah, she listens. Yeah,
39:03
that's the problem. She listens now.
39:05
Don't listen. Yeah. Anyway, back to
39:07
the coaching staff. Hank Conger. Another
39:09
great last name. Yeah, good. I
39:11
mean, the Hank Congress is a
39:14
great name. They've got a lot.
39:16
Sugs? Let's not overlook the name
39:18
Rocco Baldelli. Yeah, that's true. That's
39:20
a pretty great epic name. Uh,
39:22
Hank Conger had been the first
39:24
base coach slash catching coach. He
39:26
will remain the catching coach. He's
39:28
a former Major League catcher, obviously.
39:31
He's moving from first base coach
39:33
to assistant bench coach, which is
39:35
technically a promotion, I think. I
39:37
think a lot of it is
39:39
getting him off his feet. I
39:41
know he said some health problems,
39:43
similar to one you have with
39:45
your legs and your feet. Oh
39:48
yeah, right. I think he eats
39:50
too many steaks and drinks too
39:52
much beer perhaps. I don't want
39:54
to speak for anyone. I don't
39:56
know. Hank's a fun guy. And
39:58
so he's now this. bench
40:01
coach and Ramone Borrego, I hope
40:03
I'm saying that correctly, it will
40:05
now take over as the first
40:07
base coach and he will be
40:09
the slash infield coach which had
40:11
been Tony Diaz's gig and he
40:13
was among the four coaches let
40:15
go a month or so ago.
40:17
Borrego was has spent 20 years
40:19
in the organization, most of that
40:22
as a manager. I think you've
40:24
started, I think he was a
40:26
player in 1994 drafted or 1995
40:28
or something. He's most recently been,
40:30
I think, oh no, I'm sorry.
40:32
Oh no, that's right. It's 20-something.
40:34
21 years. You're right. Being able
40:36
to coach and insurance mentality. That's
40:38
almost 30. Yep. Compared to zero.
40:40
He past three or four years
40:42
was the double A Wichita Wichita
40:45
manager. And before that was the
40:47
Fort Myers manager and before that
40:49
was the rookie ball manager. He's
40:51
been a huge part of their
40:53
farm system and their organization and
40:55
their player development for a long
40:57
time now. I know from talking
40:59
to rookies, let's say, or prospects
41:01
when they come up and you
41:03
ask him, you know, who played
41:06
a big role in your development?
41:08
He is a common name that
41:10
is cited, both from a on-field,
41:12
but also off-field standpoint, mentorship standpoint.
41:14
And if you think back to...
41:16
what happened at the end of
41:18
last season when a lot of
41:20
the young hitters kind of collapsed
41:22
and there was some i don't
41:24
know i say in fighting but
41:26
sure quotes going around that people
41:29
didn't like well he has coached
41:31
and managed all these dudes right
41:33
uh... yep he's been rois louis
41:35
is manager in three different seasons
41:37
he's managed i mean name a
41:39
young twins hater and they've come
41:41
up and played under him and
41:43
also i just like the idea
41:45
of 20 years of by all
41:47
accounts a well respected run long
41:50
before the fall of the era
41:52
and in fact he was in
41:54
fact a player of the twins
41:56
organization 1996 right so he made
41:58
he topped out at AAA like
42:01
that's how long ago Yeah, 2002.
42:03
Yeah, right Wow, that's uh, so
42:05
yes, he's he's been around for
42:07
a long time and yeah, I
42:09
do like that he's been somebody
42:12
that had that most of the
42:14
especially the younger players Yes, have
42:16
had experience with quite a bit
42:18
and I mean he's been at
42:20
double A for what seven years?
42:22
You know three or four years?
42:24
No, no, no before Wichita before
42:26
So he's a new first base
42:29
coach and in field coach. And
42:31
beyond that then, we mentioned Matt
42:33
Borgshellty who had been, well if
42:35
you go back four years, he
42:37
was the Twins triple hitting coach.
42:39
And that off season, he had
42:41
done that for a couple years
42:43
and was, I would say, pretty
42:46
well respected there too. They, opted
42:48
not to promote him to the
42:50
Major League Hitting Coach, which was
42:52
open, and instead brought in David
42:54
Popkins from the Dodgers organization. He
42:56
had been the Dodgers High A
42:58
hitting coach. And three years later,
43:01
they fired Hopkins into assistance and
43:03
then went back to Borg Shelty
43:05
who had spent the last three
43:07
years as the co-hitting coach. for
43:09
the Baltimore Orioles in the majors
43:11
and during that time the Orioles
43:13
I think ranked like first or
43:15
second run scored had a ton
43:18
of good young hitters and they
43:20
basically I essentially said how about
43:22
a do-over on that right yeah
43:24
I'm sure there was some money
43:26
involved and I'm sure there was
43:28
a new title because he's the
43:30
primary hitting coach now they also
43:33
needed a name to offset the
43:35
really good names you don't think
43:37
Borg shalties are good that's really
43:39
that's probably said that So
43:42
he's the primary hitting coach so
43:44
he technically replaces David Hopkins. He
43:46
now has two new assistants that
43:48
they named yesterday. I'm gonna pray
43:50
I pronounce this correctly. Trevor Amicone
43:52
who had been for the last
43:54
couple years the Yankees AAA hitting
43:56
coach. Right. then Raiden Sierra, which
43:58
is a great name, like that
44:00
absolutely had been. He's, he offsets
44:02
the pork shoulder for sure. I
44:04
stick to the positives. Let's talk
44:06
about the great names. We don't
44:08
need the, Raiden Sierra who. Coached
44:10
in the minors for the twins
44:12
in the low minors for a
44:14
few years, but last year Was
44:16
their minor league assistant hitting coordinator?
44:18
Which basically means he's going place
44:20
to place kind of feeling in
44:22
the blanks and helping run their
44:24
development on the hitting side Both
44:26
pretty young. I mean Borgsholdi himself
44:28
is right 30s. These are all
44:30
three pretty young guys It's interesting
44:32
to hire a guy from triple
44:34
Yankees much like hiring someone from
44:36
the Dodgers or the race or
44:38
something like that there's a or
44:40
Cleveland on the pitching side let's
44:42
say there's kind of a built-in
44:44
assumption that the Yankees themselves made
44:46
a good hire probably when they
44:49
brought it hurt you right right
44:51
right so it's almost like you
44:53
passed the first background check there
44:55
just because it's like well the
44:57
Yankees hired them right all the
44:59
Dodgers hired them well that you
45:01
know that didn't work out necessarily
45:03
with Hopkins we should know we
45:05
talked about this at the time
45:07
got a job before Borgshulte. He
45:09
was hired as the new Blue
45:11
Jays hitting coach, which I don't
45:13
know that I necessarily would think
45:15
that's a worse job than the
45:17
Twins hitting coach. No, I would
45:19
think for a year at least
45:21
he's got Vlad Guerrero to work
45:23
with. Interesting. Anyway, so that's the
45:25
new... Potentially Soto. Well, yeah, we'll
45:27
see. Should we talk about that
45:29
after our sponsor? Sure. So, but
45:31
that's the new coaching staff. That's
45:33
a decent amount of turnover, obviously.
45:35
It's not the amount or level
45:37
of turnover that the, you know,
45:39
fans with the pitchforks wanted. Obviously,
45:41
that would have started with the
45:43
front office or the manager or
45:45
something. But I will say this,
45:47
like, the team is for sale.
45:49
The two decade president is phasing
45:51
out, stepping down, however you want
45:53
to do it. There's been a
45:55
movement. the front office that they've
45:57
basically promoted the number two to
45:59
kind of a one B situation
46:01
right now with Jeremy Zoll and
46:03
they blew up the GM left
46:05
well yeah the old number two
46:07
they had Levine left right and
46:09
they completely overhauled the entire hitting
46:11
department of the coaching staff. That's
46:13
a fair amount of change. That's
46:15
a decent amount. You know, even
46:17
if it didn't quite check every
46:19
box that everyone was looking for.
46:22
So that's the coaching staff. I
46:24
really, I wish I knew more
46:26
about some of these guys to
46:28
tell you. Hopefully, you know, if
46:30
you actually meet them or they
46:32
do a zoom or something like
46:34
that, I can get some more
46:36
background on them. But that's, I
46:38
don't know. Here's a thing. I'm
46:41
not convinced teams themselves can predict
46:43
who will make a good manager
46:45
or a good coach. And so
46:47
certainly podcasters who have never met
46:50
these guys cannot predict it. I
46:52
mean, it's like hiring anybody in
46:54
any position. True, but I would
46:56
say if you look back at
46:58
like, and I think this is
47:00
true like NFL coaching, all sorts
47:02
of stuff, if you look back
47:04
at like the hireings, especially on
47:06
like a manager front. Every
47:09
off-season there's seven new managers, whatever
47:11
it is. If you look back
47:13
and determine in your mind who
47:15
the most kind of praised hiring
47:17
was, I bet that person had
47:19
a less than 50% success rate.
47:21
It could be. A lot of
47:24
the times the guys who just
47:26
weren't thought of as anything. And
47:28
on a coaching front or assistant,
47:30
like I don't think anybody has
47:32
any ability to predict that. So
47:34
we'll see. Interesting mix of, you
47:36
know, inside the organization, outside the
47:38
organization, people, but you know, youth
47:40
and age, you know, it's a,
47:42
it's a, I don't know if
47:44
they were, I mean, I think
47:46
coming out of last season, there
47:48
was certainly a, um, And
47:51
I think we've seen this even
47:54
when Palanco left Santana would came
47:56
in in part not just to
47:58
replace his bat but also because
48:00
of the felt like they needed
48:02
some chemistry, you know, to replace
48:04
Jorge Polanco's impact. I wouldn't be
48:06
shocked if part of these the
48:08
coaching hires on this peat beyond
48:10
the experience and sort of where
48:13
they're from and just their excellence
48:15
in doing their job is also
48:17
based on, you know, we also
48:19
need just a little different mix
48:21
of personalities amongst the coaching staff
48:23
or in the locker room. I
48:25
mean, I would say. half of
48:27
coaching is being a therapist basically
48:29
on a daily basis or a
48:31
wrangler or a whatever is needed,
48:34
a friend, whatever, bringing in a
48:36
different mix like that maybe allows
48:38
you to reach different people at
48:40
different times. Yeah, I mean I
48:42
think this is true on a
48:44
team level too, but I also
48:46
like we talk a lot about
48:48
how People tend to, I think
48:50
fans and media members, tend to
48:53
overstate the stickiness of performance on
48:55
a team level from year to
48:57
year. Sure. And we're seeing that
48:59
now with the twins, which the
49:01
fan base is understandably just in
49:03
the worst mood after what happened.
49:05
how it is is how it
49:07
is and every comment is like
49:09
well if they don't do anything
49:11
big this obviously then they're doomed
49:14
next season it's like i don't
49:16
know most of the projections that
49:18
are you know clean slate in
49:20
this thing right have them in
49:22
a fairly decent light and i
49:24
think that's true from like a
49:26
chemistry or club house or coaching
49:28
or interpersonal Aspect too, which is
49:30
all that stuff is important and
49:32
there are sometimes where it's like
49:35
we got to make a change
49:37
like this isn't working Nobody likes
49:39
working with this person. I don't
49:41
think that was the case in
49:43
this I mean popkins and assistance
49:45
were pretty popular Tony Diaz is
49:47
one of the nicest guys I've
49:49
ever met all that But I
49:51
think there's value sometimes in like
49:54
just hit and reset even if
49:56
almost like a change for change
49:58
sake Like just, all right, it's
50:00
new, new season, like, uh, new
50:02
faces, new voice, literally and figuratively,
50:04
new approach to certain things. Yeah,
50:06
even if you're gonna. shake something
50:08
up. Let's shake this up. And
50:10
I think it's easier to do
50:12
that with a coaching staff, obviously,
50:15
than an entire roster full people.
50:17
Perhaps you are thinking of shaking
50:19
up your financial stuff. Mm-hmm. And
50:21
I will, I'm sitting across the
50:23
table from somebody who's recently discovered
50:25
the value of investing. Yeah, sure.
50:27
Yeah. As opposed to the lottery.
50:29
Lottery. You know, it's, it may
50:31
be that one of those things
50:33
where, you know, here, hey, the
50:36
2024's been a really good year
50:38
for the market in a lot
50:40
of ways, and you're kind of
50:42
cringing going. You know, maybe I
50:44
should be looking into what's the
50:46
market. Yeah, I should be looking
50:48
into investing, but I get why
50:50
you don't, it's scary. Yes. Like
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you don't want to do something
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50:57
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that's B-U-Y-C-O-N, buyracon.com/gleam. Okay. Yeah, Juan
53:24
Soto is supposedly close to signing.
53:26
I am going to go out
53:28
on a limb and say it
53:30
won't be with the twins. Here's
53:32
the mind of Dan Aids, which
53:34
we often talk about on this
53:37
show. Because it needs to be
53:39
documented for like science. I was
53:41
afraid you're going to say for
53:43
legal reasons. Yeah, well, maybe that
53:45
too. He said, uh... He had
53:47
a tweet out there or whatever
53:49
you said? He said two days
53:51
ago. Hey, what do you think
53:53
of this thing? Actually I'm going
53:55
to do... is a text. Okay,
53:58
it's not a tweet. Oh, text.
54:00
But this is a trial balloon
54:02
for a possible tweet, which is
54:04
often what happens with day and
54:06
a's. Think, read this in your
54:08
mind in like the Beavis and
54:10
Butthead Boy. What do you think
54:12
of this one? Quote, Unsourced. The
54:14
twins have been informed they're no
54:17
longer in the running to sign
54:19
one. And I said, that's great.
54:21
I said, it's an eff and
54:23
bore it off season off season.
54:25
A hut day. I
54:28
love that. He should have done
54:30
that. That'd have been great. Sure.
54:32
Why not? It's not your New
54:34
York Times subsidiary that he's ruining.
54:36
I'm not the truth. I'm going
54:38
to truth. Daily Account will steal
54:40
that. Sure. Yeah. Make sure to
54:42
market parody like you do with
54:45
ramball stew stuff. A
54:47
lot of years, even for the twins
54:49
who obviously don't typically spend that much
54:51
in for agency, although they've signed a
54:53
top five guy in two out of
54:55
the last, or three of the last
54:57
seven off seasons or something like that
55:00
with two careers in a Donaldson. you
55:02
can at least do kind of the
55:04
connecting dots at this point in a
55:06
lot of off seasons even for the
55:08
twins and say well okay they're not
55:10
gonna sign so-and-so but once this guy
55:12
signs and this guy signs and then
55:14
there'll be some musical chairs going on
55:17
and people pivot and I think Nelson
55:19
Cruz could be available right or right
55:21
whatever I mean where we Donaldson himself
55:23
was that true and for that matter
55:25
Korea you are correct and but this
55:27
time I don't think there's
55:29
really a pivot to be made because
55:32
they don't have any money to pivot.
55:34
And maybe there's a pivot at some
55:36
point with some dominoes falling with some
55:39
trades obviously and I think what we
55:41
can go over here is there's been
55:43
a decent amount of early activity and
55:46
by early I just mean pre-winter meetings
55:48
activity and especially on the starting pitching
55:50
front. You know, you saw Blake Snell.
55:53
What we're seeing is the starting pitching
55:55
market looks a little stronger than we're
55:57
seeing a couple things. One is they're
55:59
signing. more than most projections. Now that
56:02
can just mean the projections weren't good,
56:04
but whatever. But I mean those projections
56:06
are based on past salaries, so we're
56:09
seeing a significant raise over what we,
56:11
a bigger raise than we expected to
56:13
see over previous years. Yeah, I mean,
56:16
it's just looking at similar guys last
56:18
year, the year before and that's. But
56:20
we're also seeing, and I think. Maybe
56:24
people will read too much into this
56:26
if they don't recognize the second factoid,
56:28
which is the vast majority, almost all
56:30
of these five or six for agent
56:32
starters, prominent for agent starters who have
56:35
signed, are Scott Boris clients. And so
56:37
if you look at the market without
56:39
knowing who they're represented by, especially when
56:41
someone like Scott Boris, who's such a
56:43
big part of everything. You go, oh
56:46
my god, pictures are coming off the
56:48
board, teams are moving quickly. Well, think
56:50
of what happened to Scott Boris and
56:52
his many high profile clients last off
56:54
season, which is he took the opposite
56:56
approach, which he often does. He often
56:59
will let the market sort of, you
57:01
know, gas itself out and then step
57:03
in late when everyone doubts or there's
57:05
no money to be had. I mean,
57:07
certainly some big names that happen to
57:10
occur. Yes, put it backfired badly to
57:12
the stop season to the point that
57:14
there were articles written and certainly people
57:16
talking as he lost his fastball after
57:18
30 years of doing this or whatever.
57:20
And so it's no surprise that his
57:23
reaction to that was, let's get these
57:25
guys off the board. early the surprise
57:27
though is it hasn't seemed to hurt
57:29
no the deals there yeah let's say
57:31
this one thing if you say oh
57:34
what Boris is panicking he's taking low-ball
57:36
offers no he's not taking low-ball right
57:38
these are well it remains to be
57:40
seen well it's possible that the market
57:42
is just gonna be very inflated overall
57:44
we haven't all I'm saying is we
57:47
haven't seen what the market necessarily is
57:49
we've seen Scott Boris clients so far
57:51
what their actions are Fair. But let's
57:53
go through some of those. So Blake's
57:55
now signed like a $180 million deal
57:58
with the Dodgers, who is a Boris
58:00
client who had. settle for a one-year
58:02
deal last off season. That's right. Yeah,
58:04
he was one of the guys who
58:06
got burned, but turned out okay for
58:08
him. That's the thing. If you add
58:11
in last off season. That's part of
58:13
his talking point though on these, you
58:15
know, is waiting out the market is
58:17
that even if you do end up
58:19
taking a short-term deal, then kick-ass that
58:22
year and yet you get a long-term
58:24
deal. Right. Sometimes you don't kick-that year
58:26
with the opt-out. and you add it
58:28
to a hundred eighty million he just
58:30
got from the Dodgers he basically just
58:32
got a seven-year two hundred ten million
58:35
dollar deal which he would have been
58:37
thrilled to get had the qualifying offer
58:39
last year too of hanging over him
58:41
didn't he yeah yeah so i mean
58:43
but he was also you get around
58:46
that little obstacle as well here's the
58:48
funny yeah i guess he won the
58:50
sai young award two years ago and
58:52
couldn't get this type of offer it's
58:54
strange but the uh... the uh... the
58:56
other The other starters who have signed,
58:59
second biggest one was actually yesterday. I
59:01
will set this as the leader in
59:03
the clubhouse for strangest deal of the
59:05
off season and I would not expect
59:07
it to be topped. Or Twins Daily
59:10
Slack on this one. Yeah, which is
59:12
Luis Severino, who's perfectly solid number three
59:14
starter type of guy. Former Yankee pitched
59:16
last year for the Mets coming back
59:18
from injury, had a good solid season,
59:20
but not a lot of strikeouts. uh...
59:23
signed a three-year sixty seven million dollar
59:25
deal and he had the qualifying offer
59:27
which means cost a draft pick right
59:29
now if you haven't heard the news
59:31
thinking your head i don't know twenty
59:34
five teams you think might have signed
59:36
him to that deal It
59:38
wasn't one of those 25 teams,
59:41
though. I don't know who the
59:43
25 you named, but it wasn't
59:45
one of those. It was the,
59:47
not even Oakland, the Sacramento Athletics,
59:50
who, he now represents half of
59:52
their payroll for 2025. Literally. They
59:54
have a $46 million projected payroll
59:57
and he's making $23 million. teams
59:59
spending money. And they're still at
1:00:01
a $50 million payroll. They got
1:00:04
another $50 million to spend before
1:00:06
I would even say they're trying.
1:00:08
Old gleam in the geek terms.
1:00:12
Why 20-something million on a 30-something-year-old number
1:00:14
three starter? And why three years and
1:00:16
why give up a draft? They should
1:00:18
not be making any signings that give
1:00:20
up a draft pick ever. Right. No
1:00:22
team needs draft picks more than the
1:00:25
Oakland or the A's. It's going to
1:00:27
take me a while to get over
1:00:29
that. I mean, I... I mean, and
1:00:31
he's already gotten the qualifying hour, I
1:00:33
was just like, well, they think maybe
1:00:35
they'll, you know, he'll thrive and they'll
1:00:38
trade him away at the deadline? But
1:00:40
who wants a three-year deal, too? That's
1:00:42
the other thing is, it seems, so
1:00:44
like most of the projections on him,
1:00:46
well, actually... last month
1:00:48
when he got the qualifying offer there were
1:00:50
some people that speculate he would just take
1:00:53
the qualifying offer which is one year twenty
1:00:55
one million he turned that down then most
1:00:57
the projections were like yeah twenty million a
1:01:00
year for two years you know two forty
1:01:02
two to forty five something like that maybe
1:01:04
even a little higher three sixty seven is
1:01:06
above and beyond anybody right his expectation it
1:01:09
seems clear to me that this was twofold
1:01:11
one they had i mean
1:01:13
they just had to pay a premium
1:01:15
to get him and probably to get
1:01:18
anyone and if i were to guess
1:01:20
i would say he was not their
1:01:22
number one target or even their number
1:01:25
one targeted mid rotation starter i'm gonna
1:01:27
guess they were in the market for
1:01:29
some similar guys maybe slightly higher rated
1:01:31
or ranked free agents and those guys
1:01:34
said The A's, what? Because they have
1:01:36
two things working against them. The first
1:01:38
is they're just not contenders. They haven't
1:01:40
won for five years. Now, if they
1:01:43
add some talent and they keep adding
1:01:45
some talent, you could maybe become a
1:01:47
contender. And then the other thing is
1:01:50
the one you just mentioned, which is
1:01:52
not that Oakland was any great place
1:01:54
to play, but they're going to be
1:01:56
playing in a literal AAA ballpark in
1:01:59
Sacramento for probably at least the next
1:02:01
two or three years. this hypothetical, you
1:02:03
know, move to Las Vegas, which may
1:02:06
or may not happen at this point.
1:02:08
So to get a veteran guy who,
1:02:10
by the way, has spent his entire
1:02:12
career playing in New York for the
1:02:15
Yankees and the Mets, to sign with
1:02:17
the non-Oakland A's and play at a
1:02:19
triple-third year on their chip. I really
1:02:22
think that's probably what happened. Yeah, I
1:02:24
mean, our take on it was that
1:02:26
the A's are looking to do what
1:02:28
the Royals kind of did last year
1:02:31
is let's let's and I don't mean
1:02:33
in terms of like being good. No,
1:02:35
I mean, in terms of like, yeah,
1:02:37
sign up, sign enough names to show.
1:02:40
Hey, we're investing in this team to
1:02:42
try and convince Las Vegas or whoever
1:02:44
to build you a stadium. Like this
1:02:47
is what we're gonna. Luis Severino. by
1:02:49
the way in the year 2025 not
1:02:51
the year 2019 when he was well
1:02:53
yeah but you take a look I
1:02:56
mean you look at the people that
1:02:58
the royal signed it was I mean
1:03:00
other other than the enormous contract extension
1:03:03
to to their shortstop I mean they
1:03:05
didn't go and make a bunch of
1:03:07
big signings either no but Michael Walker
1:03:09
similar guys they do I have no
1:03:12
problem like like I'm saying I
1:03:15
have no problem. They're trying to convince
1:03:17
people they're trying. That's what they're doing.
1:03:19
Well, also, literally an hour after the
1:03:21
signing, they announced season tickets were for
1:03:23
sale, or tickets were for sale for
1:03:26
next year in Sacramento, which is an
1:03:28
interesting time. I just can't imagine Luis
1:03:30
Severito. I was like, but again. I'm
1:03:32
all for owners spending money. I mean,
1:03:35
they have one of the worst owners
1:03:37
in sports in John Fisher, but he's
1:03:39
a multi-billionaire. Spend some money. It's ridiculous
1:03:41
that they had a $25 million projected
1:03:43
payroll before yesterday. It's ridiculous that even
1:03:46
after making this signing that were like,
1:03:48
that's a crazy signing, they have a
1:03:50
$40-something million projected payroll. If this is
1:03:52
the first of, like, you said, Royals,
1:03:55
like three moves like this or four
1:03:57
moves like this, where they're going to
1:03:59
sign another. starter or
1:04:01
reliever and out for something like that
1:04:03
right and get the payroll I mean
1:04:05
how they could sign two more Luis
1:04:07
Severino's and have a 90 million dollar
1:04:09
payroll yes which would rank you know
1:04:12
28th and MLB yeah it'll be 40
1:04:14
million dollars less than the twins right
1:04:16
right right yeah that makes much more
1:04:18
sense because then you're doing what I
1:04:20
think all team should do which is
1:04:22
whether you're rebuilding or contending spend money
1:04:24
and try to win five more games
1:04:26
that's what you should always do But
1:04:29
if that, if this is just the
1:04:31
move, and they have, they end up
1:04:33
with like a 60 million dollar payroll,
1:04:35
one third of which is going to
1:04:37
a past his prime Louis Severino, it's
1:04:39
just a real strange deal. So the
1:04:41
other prominent pitching moves were actually fairly
1:04:43
similar. Kakuchi signs 363. Similar in terms
1:04:46
of money. Right. Yeah. But Kakuchi did
1:04:48
went to a contending team. Yes. I
1:04:50
would much rather of Kakuchi for 363
1:04:52
without a draft pick involved than Severi.
1:04:54
I mean, I'd rather pay Kakuchi $100
1:04:56
million than Severino. 67 million. If those
1:04:58
were my two options. How about Pablo
1:05:00
Lopez at 363? You like that one?
1:05:03
Yeah, 64 and a half. 64 and
1:05:05
ever. Well, that's what we talked about
1:05:07
earlier, which is like, you know, Pablo
1:05:09
Lopez had what he would be the
1:05:11
first to tell you. He would have
1:05:13
been a free agent on this market.
1:05:15
correct if they hadn't signed him to
1:05:17
extension he would have been in this
1:05:20
mark he had an inconsistent season his
1:05:22
overall performance was worse than he had
1:05:24
hoped he would be the first to
1:05:26
tell you that uh... but if you
1:05:28
were free agent right now and by
1:05:30
the way he's younger than all these
1:05:32
guys he's twenty nine i think I
1:05:34
think he'd get a hundred million no
1:05:37
problem. I mean he would get a
1:05:39
five-year 120 something million dollar deal right
1:05:41
no problem look at some of these
1:05:43
prices and so while the twins payroll
1:05:45
situation has caused people to look at
1:05:47
his next three years which are worth
1:05:49
21 and a half million a year
1:05:51
and go that doesn't really fit that
1:05:54
well in a hundred and thirty million
1:05:56
dollars especially when you're also paying Korea
1:05:58
30-something million is he a trade candidate
1:06:00
because of that money it's the shame
1:06:02
of it is he's undervalued with I
1:06:04
mean that's a team-friendly contract except in
1:06:06
the circumstances where the team itself has
1:06:08
imposed a payroll that is ridiculous he
1:06:11
is the one guy that you could
1:06:13
trade away and it would both save
1:06:15
you money and get you back the
1:06:17
significant value yeah probably I mean I
1:06:19
mean that is that is 21 million
1:06:21
dollars off the books and you get
1:06:23
you get decent I don't know that
1:06:25
you get a you know middle of
1:06:28
the order bat for him, but you
1:06:30
would get some significant return back. Yeah,
1:06:32
I mean think of whoever was bidding
1:06:34
on Savarino who finished runner-up right if
1:06:36
you would have said well too bad
1:06:38
you didn't get Luis Savarino right what
1:06:40
do you want to give us for
1:06:42
three years of Pablo Lopez at a
1:06:45
cheaper price I mean you would think
1:06:47
so Kakucci gets three years 63 million
1:06:49
which you know tells you at that
1:06:51
point number two number three starters 20
1:06:53
something million dollars a year basically. Frankie
1:06:55
Montes who once upon a time was
1:06:57
a off talked about trade target on
1:06:59
the show but then got hurt and
1:07:02
really hasn't been the same last year
1:07:04
came back healthy actually pitched a lot
1:07:06
last year for the Reds and the
1:07:08
Brewers but had a high four ERA
1:07:10
give too many homeowners strikeout rate was
1:07:12
down but could be a kind of
1:07:14
a bounce back guy got two years
1:07:16
34 million dollars from the Mets And
1:07:19
then Matthew Boyd, who has been injured
1:07:21
throughout his career for the Tigers, we've
1:07:23
seen him a lot just in the
1:07:25
house. The guy who's out a perennial,
1:07:27
he's gonna break through, yeah, the candidate
1:07:29
for a long time, last year, latched
1:07:31
on with the Guardians last year on
1:07:33
on like an incentive, late in one
1:07:36
year deal, made eight starts, plus I
1:07:38
think one playoff start, eight good starts,
1:07:40
like in the second half for them,
1:07:42
through like 40 innings basically, got a
1:07:44
two year, 29 million dollar deal. both
1:07:46
I mean I kind of wasn't wondering
1:07:48
if there's gonna be a one year
1:07:50
plus option or something I agree but
1:07:52
what we're seeing is basically an extra
1:07:55
year And actually in the light of
1:07:57
these other deals, whether it's Snell, Severino,
1:07:59
Boyd, Montes, I love 363 for Kakuchi.
1:08:01
And I'm not like the biggest, I
1:08:03
mean, he's been inconsistent, believe it. He
1:08:05
was awesome down the stretch last year.
1:08:07
I'm not confident that the angels are
1:08:09
going to be the team to keep
1:08:12
him on track, obviously, but 20 million
1:08:14
a year for some of these other
1:08:16
guys. I'll take him just in terms
1:08:18
of like the raw stuff and upside
1:08:20
over all of them. to wrap this
1:08:22
around and bring it to the twins,
1:08:24
they weren't going to be in the
1:08:26
mix for any of these guys. You
1:08:29
know, basically if your question to us
1:08:31
is, do you think the twins have
1:08:33
any chance of signing this guy? I
1:08:35
can tell you regardless of who this
1:08:37
guy is. No, probably not. But all
1:08:39
of a sudden now, Chris Paddock. Well,
1:08:41
I mean, we, with us, one year,
1:08:43
Joe Ryan, Bailey Over, Pablo Lopez. Right,
1:08:46
but that's a completely different thing. Chris
1:08:48
Paddock at seven and a half million
1:08:50
dollars for 2025, which is a one
1:08:52
year deal, basically, and he's a free
1:08:54
agent. I'm not sitting here saying he's
1:08:56
a better bet than those guys. I'm
1:08:58
not sitting here saying, you know, we
1:09:00
talked about Boyd's injuries in the month.
1:09:03
Yeah. He didn't pitch in the second
1:09:05
half. Yeah. The Boyd of the Montes
1:09:07
deals give you a lot of hope
1:09:09
for patting. I mean, those guys are
1:09:11
getting... You can like take a look
1:09:13
at the others and go, well, these
1:09:15
guys are kind of premier guys, they're
1:09:17
being snapped, no wonder they're being paid,
1:09:20
you know, you know, a premium, a
1:09:22
premium, he's a premium, he belongs, he
1:09:24
belongs to an entirely different, he belongs
1:09:26
to an entirely different, he belongs to
1:09:28
an entirely different class, he's a different
1:09:30
class, he's a different class, he's, he's,
1:09:32
he's, he's a different, he's, he's a
1:09:34
different, he's, he's, he's a different, he's,
1:09:37
he's, he's, he's, he's, he's, he's, he's,
1:09:39
he's, he's, His class of pictures isn't
1:09:41
that much different than say... No, I
1:09:43
mean, performance-wise, he was no worse than
1:09:45
Montes last year. Now, he pitched a
1:09:47
lot less than Montes last year. And
1:09:49
Chris Paddock is one of the most
1:09:51
injured pitchers of the last 10 years.
1:09:54
He might have thrown more innings than
1:09:56
Boyd over the last five years. It's
1:09:58
probably pretty close. So, I think... you
1:10:00
know, under normal circumstances. if
1:10:02
they they had hundred eighty million we wouldn't even
1:10:05
be having this conversation. even be We'd
1:10:07
just be like, he's the fifth starter,
1:10:09
would we might be just he's the to
1:10:11
the bullpen. honestly we might million saying sort
1:10:13
of the luxury item. million as for
1:10:15
a pitching staff when you're already at
1:10:17
your payroll limit. you're already at your have
1:10:19
said now I have are probably sick of
1:10:21
hearing probably sick months or three months. months
1:10:23
or three months that of the
1:10:25
veteran guys on one-year guys on
1:10:27
one year deals who be of
1:10:29
could be superfluous which is seven and a
1:10:31
half a half million and and at
1:10:33
at ten million To to me, should it should
1:10:36
be much, much, much easier to move
1:10:38
salary. at his full salary. You would
1:10:40
think so. And get something in the it is
1:10:42
right now. Have we seen any now. Have we
1:10:44
seen any catcher signed? Yes. Okay. Travis
1:10:46
Darno signed. Gaggioca signed.
1:10:48
other guys. All few other guys, all
1:10:50
for less than 10 million, opposite. We been
1:10:52
the opposite. We can go through these
1:10:54
pitching moves and one of these every one
1:10:56
of these early signings make seven and a one
1:10:58
year, seven and a half million dollar
1:11:01
deal look like a relative bargain. And
1:11:03
then you can look at the three or four
1:11:05
catching signings and go. and go, who's
1:11:07
to trade for to is when they could have just
1:11:09
signed when they for six million a year or something
1:11:11
like that. for six million a year or
1:11:13
stronger. that. So I'm even my conviction
1:11:15
that I'm correct on that I'm
1:11:17
the face in the face of. every
1:11:20
guest we've had on the show. the show saying
1:11:22
saying that's wrong and multiple twins
1:11:24
people at the end of
1:11:26
the season end this idea
1:11:28
to them I me this idea to them
1:11:30
move me oh no we'll see we
1:11:32
mean so we'll see um I mean if the
1:11:35
that have signed early. signed early are
1:11:37
at at a than the pitchers that
1:11:39
have signed early, right? I mean, it's a high level
1:11:41
the Well, have signed early, right? mean,
1:11:44
right? So the- But also Vasquez does right, right? level than
1:11:46
Paddock probably? In have a less high level
1:11:48
course. Of probably, No, terms of upsides. Of
1:11:50
course. like, my point being is be, it
1:11:52
might be might be interesting to see
1:11:54
what happens if they court, you know, of
1:11:56
weight out the market a little bit
1:11:58
on the bit on the catcher thing. not saying that
1:12:00
they're not going to have to eat any
1:12:02
salary on it. I'm just saying, eat any salary optimistic still
1:12:04
get something for them if they they should also
1:12:06
note. We were talking about
1:12:08
the if lottery We but MLB announced were
1:12:11
talking about the draft What are they
1:12:13
called? earlier, but the MLB announced the, what are
1:12:15
they called, competitive balance out like
1:12:17
a dozen or so, I think year was
1:12:19
or so, I think this year was 15 picks.
1:12:23
Half of them are between the the
1:12:25
and second round. are called those are called competitive
1:12:27
and then half of them are between
1:12:29
the second and the third round. are
1:12:31
called competitive balance B picks, are called and
1:12:33
they're distributed. balance B picks, and based on
1:12:35
a formula from MLB. I don't
1:12:37
know if it's a formula or not,
1:12:39
but it's basically market size and
1:12:41
revenue and record. basically And the
1:12:43
goal is to... record. And the goal is
1:12:45
to reward teams. that are are trying.
1:12:47
but are trying are trying
1:12:50
under. circumstances. circumstances. of
1:12:52
the idea behind revenue
1:12:54
of the idea behind revenue sharing. like
1:12:56
the Twins is uh... or
1:12:58
the know, teams like whatever, the
1:13:00
they're the pirates or whatever.
1:13:02
and they're putting forth an effort
1:13:04
and they're winning games and they're
1:13:06
not just taking their money and trotting out
1:13:08
a $60 million payroll, at the end of at the
1:13:10
end of each season, the formula
1:13:12
will spit spit some picks for
1:13:14
them. for So them. So the twins. Got a
1:13:17
a competitive balance a pick awarded
1:13:19
yesterday. Slapped guess? between in
1:13:21
between the and second round. Yes,
1:13:23
end up being. up being
1:13:26
Basically like the 35th overall pick yeah, had
1:13:28
36th something like that like that overall
1:13:30
overall right, but it So right, but
1:13:32
it goes behind right cusp. That's
1:13:35
gonna be that's right a
1:13:37
few of them, but them, but
1:13:39
That is, and they've and they've gotten
1:13:41
past, in the past the second and third round.
1:13:43
Yeah, between the to and third round. one is going
1:13:45
to happen in the first one to lose are going
1:13:47
to lose some picks. People are going to gain
1:13:49
some based on the free free that are signed, signed,
1:13:51
That's why we don't know the exact number. exact
1:13:53
number, Because it depends on the contract on the contract signed
1:13:56
by the But the 35th pick in the draft,
1:13:58
and I bring this up bring this up note about. about
1:14:00
competitive balance round picks.
1:14:02
those are the only draft picks that can
1:14:04
be traded. be traded. MLB for the
1:14:06
entire history of the draft the
1:14:08
entire history of the draft prior to like
1:14:10
the years ago where you the only trade where
1:14:12
you could not trade draft picks drove know
1:14:15
that drove people nuts and it was hard
1:14:17
to explain to people why. to people why. And
1:14:19
now it's even harder to explain to now
1:14:21
there are 15 picks out of a 15 picks
1:14:23
out year a you can trade. you can I
1:14:25
bring this up for a couple for a One,
1:14:27
reasons. One, not saying the twins will trade
1:14:29
it, will trade it, but. you know, essentially a
1:14:31
late first round pick, pick overall,
1:14:34
let's say, has huge value.
1:14:36
Yes, I mean, i mean The
1:14:38
35th pick in in any draft will
1:14:40
immediately be one of their of best
1:14:43
prospects. prospects. Sure. know, I think Matt
1:14:45
Wallner was a comp pick. I
1:14:47
think I think was a comp pick.
1:14:49
Was pick. a comp pick? pick? Yes, or
1:14:51
he was or he was just second round,
1:14:53
maybe, he might have he might have been a
1:14:55
cop. I mean I mean, second. was He's around
1:14:57
30s. He the mid in the mid 30s. of good
1:14:59
players go in the mid in the mid 30s. and you
1:15:01
know in terms of You know, in terms
1:15:03
of trying to slap a value on that of
1:15:06
all it mean, first of all, it adds a
1:15:08
couple or dollars or three million dollars to
1:15:10
your bonus pool, to sign can be used that's
1:15:12
Well, that's minimally what the value is, because
1:15:14
every team is thrilled to give a guy
1:15:16
$3 million. dollars The real world value of
1:15:18
that, because then you get that guy, know for minimum
1:15:21
know, for minimum three years and three years and
1:15:23
arbitration, you whole whole career for three
1:15:25
million dollars. It's probably closer like ten
1:15:27
million dollars in terms of like excess
1:15:29
value. terms of like And so I bring this up
1:15:31
for a couple this One, I think most likely
1:15:33
they'll just draft a player likely that pick, which
1:15:35
they should do. player with that pick which
1:15:37
a free prospect like a free
1:15:40
but basically but they could incorporate that
1:15:42
into a trade and essentially you're kind
1:15:44
of trading a top prospect
1:15:46
without having met that top prospect
1:15:48
yet. yet. the reason that teams
1:15:50
like that is, first of
1:15:52
all, they can choose the guy
1:15:54
they want. and also they then
1:15:56
they the get the money to spread around
1:15:58
to other prospects. I've also
1:16:00
already got got this came out last
1:16:02
night. night people could they
1:16:04
attach that attach that pick to let's
1:16:06
say, and use that pick to
1:16:09
move pick to move Vasca's
1:16:11
entire absolutely if you wanted If you
1:16:13
wanted to move Christian Vasquez's entire
1:16:15
salary attach that pick pick it's done, the
1:16:17
the problem is that that pick is
1:16:19
worth more than more than him right or clearing
1:16:21
his salary I I think that would
1:16:23
be an overpay an overpay is a it
1:16:26
is a nice uh Freebie,
1:16:28
you know the Brewers know the one,
1:16:30
a and a bunch of got one got one,
1:16:32
I think I got the the Twins third
1:16:34
highest one. best And so it gives
1:16:36
them highest one, and so it gives them
1:16:39
another trade chip and to to
1:16:41
able to basically trade a
1:16:43
top prospect. but
1:16:45
not have it be someone who anyone
1:16:47
is emotionally attached to yet. yet. know what
1:16:49
mean? what I mean? Seth has not had a
1:16:52
chance to become Facebook friends with their
1:16:54
grandparents yet. know what I mean? You know
1:16:56
what so this is just a nameless,
1:16:58
faceless, faceless, July, when when he's drafted and
1:17:00
everyone meets the the people will be like,
1:17:02
be don't trade him, trade that's so that's a
1:17:04
Before we get to some other we get
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let's talk about our last couple of
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gleam. Okay. Let's
1:20:03
hit some other
1:20:06
news and notes
1:20:08
here. So. I
1:20:11
was thinking, uh, we should also mention,
1:20:14
speaking of contracts I did not expect,
1:20:16
Kyle Farmer got a one year, three
1:20:18
and a half million, plus a team
1:20:21
option, or a mutual option for 2026.
1:20:23
Right. I'm fascinated that he continues to
1:20:25
get paid pretty well. That part makes
1:20:28
sense. He's a viable backup, good club.
1:20:30
Oh, sky, all that stuff. Versable. but
1:20:32
that every deal he signs including the
1:20:35
one he signed last year with the
1:20:37
twins as an arbitration eligible player was
1:20:39
like a one year six million with
1:20:42
a six million dollar option for this
1:20:44
year right which they declined and had
1:20:46
to give him two hundred fifty thousand
1:20:48
hour how does he keep getting options
1:20:51
added on to these contracts as like
1:20:53
a utility guy it's really strange like
1:20:55
who why are teams like we got
1:20:58
lock him up for next year because
1:21:00
if he has that breakout year at
1:21:02
age 35 whatever it is very strange
1:21:05
he's going to the Colorado Rockies which
1:21:07
honestly If I were kind of a,
1:21:09
you know, mid-30s utility guy looking for
1:21:12
a last contract. It's not a bad
1:21:14
one to target. Colorado is a great
1:21:16
place. You might play a decent amount
1:21:18
because they're not real good. We just
1:21:21
saw them give like 300 a batch
1:21:23
to Jake Cave last year. And if
1:21:25
you're looking to like stave off late
1:21:28
career decline, course field is a hell
1:21:30
of a drug. Of course. Course field
1:21:32
can make a 220 hitter look like
1:21:35
a 260 hitter with no problem. So
1:21:37
yeah, Cal Farmer did well. I did
1:21:39
not expect to be the first Twins
1:21:42
free agent off the board. You know
1:21:44
what I mean? Yeah. Of all their...
1:21:46
Yeah, okay. Not the dance, some huge
1:21:48
class, but like Kepler and Santana and
1:21:51
some other guys. Yeah, it's true. How
1:21:53
far and we're getting like three and
1:21:55
a half, four million dollars guaranteed. It's
1:21:58
a pretty good thing. Speaking of Jay
1:22:00
Cave. Yeah, went to Korea. Your favorite
1:22:02
team, the Dusin Bears. Not my favorite
1:22:05
team, but I like... like, I enjoyed
1:22:07
my, maybe, I enjoyed my visit to
1:22:09
their, to their stadium. Jake Cave, Seoul
1:22:12
Korea. I would, I would advise people,
1:22:14
go to baseballreference.com, which is the greatest
1:22:16
website in the history of the world,
1:22:19
and even better than Twins Daily. You
1:22:21
guys are number two. And look up
1:22:23
Jake Cave. And whatever you think, however
1:22:25
many seasons you think he played and
1:22:28
however many games and at bats, you
1:22:30
think he accumulated over the years, it's
1:22:32
more. Yeah. And however much money you
1:22:35
think he made, it's more. And I
1:22:37
bet he has a blast in Korea.
1:22:39
He'll pay off a ride and so
1:22:42
we'll see. Now
1:22:45
also while you're on that page,
1:22:47
look up the last season in
1:22:49
which he had an above average
1:22:51
OPS. Then think to yourself, how
1:22:53
did he keep playing for five
1:22:56
years since then? He is a
1:22:58
hell of a guy. Yeah. So
1:23:00
we'll see all that translates to
1:23:02
Korea. Last thing I want to
1:23:04
say. You know, he's
1:23:06
a very cheap free agent option. So
1:23:09
cheap in fact that he took a
1:23:11
million dollars to go to Korea. Kyle
1:23:13
Farmer, not as cheap as I expected,
1:23:15
but he was a cheap free agent
1:23:17
signing for the Rockies. I don't know
1:23:19
if three is much different than I
1:23:21
expected. Wow. I would have bet on
1:23:23
a minor league deal if you said,
1:23:25
will he get a minor league deal
1:23:27
or three and a half million guaranteed?
1:23:29
I would have bet on a minor
1:23:31
league deal. I think I would have
1:23:33
probably gone the other way, but... Well,
1:23:35
that's easy to say, no, John. You
1:23:37
make yourself look good, buddy. You put
1:23:39
yourself over. Yeah, that's easy. That's my
1:23:42
job, usually. We should maybe be... That
1:23:44
would be an interesting over-under episode for
1:23:46
us to kind of go through... How
1:23:48
much... What will the contracts be? Not
1:23:50
necessarily... Maybe a few of the top
1:23:52
guys, maybe if you guys we think
1:23:54
the twins might target, maybe a few
1:23:56
of the guys that are leaving the
1:23:58
guys that are leaving. Just a fun
1:24:00
episode. Just Santana Kepler would be. Santana
1:24:02
Kepler would be. All right, we'll see
1:24:04
if either of us can remember that
1:24:06
between now and the next episode. some
1:24:08
other cheap free agent options that if
1:24:10
twins fans are being even somewhat realistic.
1:24:12
Honestly if you're being really realistic even
1:24:15
some of these guys are probably sure
1:24:17
because they just they have no money
1:24:19
like as of now they have negative
1:24:21
money probably as of now but I
1:24:23
wrote about some of these guys so
1:24:25
we can just to run through them
1:24:27
very very quickly but if you're looking
1:24:29
for a bat you know, they lost
1:24:31
Carlos Santana, which means first base is
1:24:33
now open. Alex Kirloff retired, which means
1:24:35
to some extent, first base DH left
1:24:37
field, does a something of an opening.
1:24:39
You could fill first base with Miranda
1:24:41
and Julian, you could fill DH just
1:24:43
with a, you know, rotating assortment of
1:24:45
guys, which I actually think they would
1:24:47
prefer to do post Nelson Cruz. They've
1:24:50
generally done that when possible. I
1:24:52
also think if you're not getting
1:24:54
a real a middle of the
1:24:56
order bat why not just fill
1:24:59
it with yeah mix and match
1:25:01
guys guys who do you day
1:25:03
off all that stuff I also
1:25:05
have been saying for approximately 20
1:25:07
years that they should sign or
1:25:09
trade for a competent right-handed hitting
1:25:11
corner out fielder who can you
1:25:13
know hit left-handed pitching. It seems
1:25:16
clear to me that they disagree
1:25:18
that that's needed because they've basically
1:25:20
never done it and when they
1:25:22
have done it it's been like
1:25:24
a trade for Jordan loophole who's
1:25:26
a mirely guy. and then also
1:25:28
just like uh you know backup
1:25:30
center field there could be a
1:25:33
could be in play sure maybe
1:25:35
a utility type to replace farmer
1:25:37
let's say so with that in
1:25:39
mind here are some low-cost
1:25:41
fits and the way I determined
1:25:44
low-cost was I took the athletics
1:25:46
big board which listed 40 guys
1:25:48
uh-huh I was part of the
1:25:50
voting panel for that and I
1:25:52
crossed all them all that's how
1:25:54
you start with the 40 first
1:25:56
yeah and if I'm being honest
1:25:58
even like the guys in the
1:26:00
because we We actually ranked it
1:26:02
to 60 I think because we
1:26:04
didn't know who was going to
1:26:06
like take a qualifying offer and
1:26:08
all that. I actually eliminated the
1:26:10
top 50. Okay. So 41 through
1:26:12
50 weren't known but I crossed
1:26:14
those up too. So here's what
1:26:16
I was left with. These are
1:26:18
not top 50 free agents which
1:26:20
to me says they're most likely
1:26:22
going to be available for a
1:26:24
one year deal perhaps similar to
1:26:26
or lower than the $5 million
1:26:28
contract that Santana got last year.
1:26:30
Well, okay. Number one. A gentleman
1:26:32
named Carlos Santana would be a
1:26:34
pretty good fit. He's an older
1:26:36
gent, but I've heard good things
1:26:38
about the defense and certainly did
1:26:40
not look old last year on
1:26:42
any level. I fear, weirdly, you
1:26:44
don't see a 39 year old
1:26:46
whose market is on the rise.
1:26:49
I think he's going to get more
1:26:52
than $5 million certainly. I've heard that
1:26:54
he's been talking to some other teams.
1:26:56
I don't know that he's talking to
1:26:58
the twins. I honestly won't be shocked
1:27:00
if he gets a two-year deal. or
1:27:02
like a one year with an option
1:27:04
that has some kind of decent buyout.
1:27:07
I think he'll certainly get more than
1:27:09
five million, which unfortunately, even if the
1:27:11
twins were interested, that might take them
1:27:13
all the running for him. I can't
1:27:15
believe I'm sitting here and saying a
1:27:17
39 year old, basically platoon guy, he
1:27:20
wasn't very good from the left side,
1:27:22
he was okay. But yeah, at that
1:27:24
price point. Yeah. I mean
1:27:26
if I can be convinced he'd be
1:27:28
at six I have trouble seeing a
1:27:31
two-year 12 or two-year right but the
1:27:33
problem is if everyone thinks he sounds
1:27:35
good for six million yeah somebody's gonna
1:27:38
have to think he sounds good for
1:27:40
12 million that's how the twins ended
1:27:42
up with Vasquez on a three-year deal
1:27:45
sure so he would be a cheap
1:27:47
if you could get him for a
1:27:49
one million now raise over last year
1:27:52
Why would you not do it in
1:27:54
my opinion? Josh Bell is another switch
1:27:56
hitting first baseman. Yeah, who is much
1:27:59
much much worse. to
1:28:01
the point that he's probably more of
1:28:03
a D.H. He's huge, so he's going
1:28:05
to be a much different look than
1:28:07
Santa Ana, but he's just kind of
1:28:09
awkward around the bag. I don't know
1:28:11
that he's the worst, but he's just
1:28:13
not a good defender, but he's just
1:28:15
not a good defender, has had an
1:28:17
up and down career, but has shown,
1:28:19
you know, 30 home or power has
1:28:21
been an all-star type of hitter. I
1:28:23
mean, he's someone who in a good
1:28:25
year is going to be much better
1:28:27
than Carlos Santaos, In kind of an
1:28:29
average year, he'll probably be worse than
1:28:31
Carlos Santana. And then the other first
1:28:33
baseman is Justin Turner. who if you
1:28:35
like a 39 year old Carla Santana
1:28:37
why not like a 40 year old
1:28:39
Justin Turner? Right? Yeah. Who's been a
1:28:41
great player for the Dodgers and more
1:28:43
recently Red Sox and Blue Jays and
1:28:45
Mariners in the second half of last
1:28:47
year. He's lost some power and he
1:28:49
used to be a third baseman now
1:28:51
he's like first base DH but he's
1:28:53
pretty decent from what I saw last
1:28:55
year at first base right handed hitter
1:28:57
as opposed to a switch hitter not
1:28:59
much of a power guy more of
1:29:01
a batting average draw walks control to
1:29:03
strike zone type of guy but If
1:29:05
you're just looking for a cheap one-year
1:29:07
deal, he would probably be someone who
1:29:09
would be available. I could see that.
1:29:11
He's a good fit. Outfield-wise, one of
1:29:13
the guys we've talked about seemingly every
1:29:15
year for 10 years is Randall Grichick,
1:29:17
who's just your prototypical fourth out-fielder, right-handed
1:29:20
hitter. could play in center as a
1:29:22
stretch but can be in left and
1:29:24
right knocks around lefties every single year
1:29:26
puts up enough of a fight against
1:29:28
righties that if you need him a
1:29:30
couple times a week against righties he's
1:29:32
not the end of the world there
1:29:34
generally been available on one year deals
1:29:36
has actually had a really good year
1:29:38
last year after a couple of mediocre
1:29:40
years. Harrison Bader is a guy we
1:29:42
talked about last off season as kind
1:29:44
of a Michael Taylor Esk, mostly defense
1:29:46
and speed, but does have some pop.
1:29:48
He got 10 million from the Mets
1:29:50
last year, but then didn't have a
1:29:52
particularly good year, so maybe he could
1:29:54
be a little bit cheaper. And then
1:29:56
the non-tender group, which provides kind of
1:29:58
a second wave of free agency. Austin
1:30:01
of mid-tier free ages. Yeah, I mean
1:30:03
they're by definition right they were not
1:30:06
wanted at their projected arbitration salaries Chris
1:30:08
these Phillies traded for and then cut
1:30:10
Austin Hayes after he had some health
1:30:12
problems and didn't hit much But if
1:30:15
you look at Austin Hayes first of
1:30:17
you well, he's younger than most of
1:30:19
these guys I think he's like 28-29.
1:30:21
He's been a borderline regular like an
1:30:24
everyday type of guy, but probably he's
1:30:26
a right-handed hitter corner outfielder played a
1:30:28
long time for the Orioles good
1:30:31
career numbers against lefties, mediocre career numbers
1:30:33
against righties, and not a great defender,
1:30:35
but a okay defender, he would be
1:30:37
similar to Grichik, a younger version of
1:30:40
Grichik if you get him. The Phillies
1:30:42
caught him instead of paying him $6
1:30:44
million. So my presumption is he's gonna
1:30:46
get $4 million or something. Yeah. Ramone
1:30:48
Laureano who we saw with Oakland and
1:30:51
Cleveland and bounced around he had a
1:30:53
decent bounce back with the Braves he's
1:30:55
a guy who right-handed hitter good in
1:30:57
the corners can be stretched in center
1:30:59
if needed this is kind of the
1:31:02
type that I would be targeting AAS
1:31:04
Dylan Carlson who was with the Cardinals
1:31:06
traded I think to Tampa Bay kind
1:31:08
of had a disappointing here he's a
1:31:11
younger guy but again borderline center field
1:31:13
they're good in the corners he's actually
1:31:15
a switch hitter but better against Rides
1:31:17
that would be a fit Those are
1:31:19
the kind of names that's not exciting.
1:31:22
Trust me. John is not jumping up
1:31:24
and down in his chair. He's taking
1:31:26
his pants off, which is strange, but
1:31:28
I don't, that's separate me. I'm just
1:31:30
rubbing my face. That's your face. Okay.
1:31:33
Boy, we got a different definition of
1:31:35
that. Okay. Yeah, I mean, I'm trying
1:31:37
to. That's what I'm expecting, sort of.
1:31:39
A lot of these names are names
1:31:41
where you would go. Do we not
1:31:44
have anybody in the organization that can
1:31:46
kind of handle that to that level?
1:31:48
I mean, you're looking at a low
1:31:50
700 OPS and a lot of these
1:31:53
bases are almost hoping for a load
1:31:55
of low. That's my point. don't really
1:31:57
have that kind of... I mean, for
1:31:59
instance, when they traded for Manny Margot
1:32:01
last year, and he, they got his
1:32:04
salary paid down to $4 million. It
1:32:06
was a trade, but it was essentially
1:32:08
a one-year four million dollar deal. He
1:32:10
was replacing Michael A. Taylor, who refused
1:32:12
to take similar money until it was
1:32:15
too late, ended up actually signing an
1:32:17
identical four million dollar deal with the
1:32:19
pirates, but it was after the Twins,
1:32:21
they would have preferred Michael A. Taylor,
1:32:24
although he hit like one six, good
1:32:26
defensively, tough year. And the question in
1:32:28
retrospect, or even at the time with
1:32:30
Margot, was what you just said is,
1:32:32
don't they have someone internally who can
1:32:35
do that for the minimum salary and
1:32:37
has more upside? The answer is no.
1:32:39
Austin Martin was at the time who
1:32:41
they would have positioned in that role.
1:32:43
What we learned about Austin Martin, and
1:32:46
I'm not saying this can't change because
1:32:48
he's still young, but not a legitimate
1:32:50
center fielder defensively last season. Pretty bad,
1:32:52
and I would say surprisingly bad even
1:32:55
in left field. And you know, enough
1:32:57
of a hitter that no worse of
1:32:59
a hitter than Margo, really. but that
1:33:01
type of hitting only works if you're
1:33:03
a good defender. Now, Margot also hit
1:33:06
poorly and wasn't a good defender either,
1:33:08
but had previously been a good defender.
1:33:10
And, you know, someone like DeShan Kursi,
1:33:12
who I'm a believer in, is a
1:33:14
very good defensive center fielder and I
1:33:17
think could probably out hit both of
1:33:19
those guys but he's left-handed. And so
1:33:21
as you're looking for a backup for
1:33:23
Buxton the preference would be to have
1:33:26
it be a right-handed hitter so that
1:33:28
if Buxton is healthy enough to play
1:33:30
center you can still use that right-handed
1:33:32
hitter to platoon in the corners with
1:33:34
the left-handed hitter. the original plan for
1:33:37
Michael A. Taylor two years ago. Right,
1:33:39
exactly. And now even at first base,
1:33:41
where you say, well, what do they
1:33:43
need to sign, you know, Justin Turner
1:33:45
for and hope to squeeze out one
1:33:48
more semi-productive year for $6 million, why
1:33:50
not take that $6 million, use it
1:33:52
on something else, and just hand the
1:33:54
job to a minimum salaried internal guy?
1:33:56
Well, the internal guys are Miranda or
1:33:59
Julie. And I'm not completely against that
1:34:01
idea. I actually might do that if
1:34:03
I were the twins. You can basically
1:34:05
platoon those two, lefty and a righty,
1:34:08
and then use them, you know, as
1:34:10
needed elsewhere, because you'll have one on
1:34:12
the bench every day if they're a
1:34:14
platoon, someone can play DH too. They're
1:34:16
going to combine, cost the minimum salary.
1:34:19
So that saves you five million bucks
1:34:21
basically compared to Santana or Turner or
1:34:23
Bell. but it's one thing to say
1:34:25
that in the abstract it's another thing
1:34:27
to watch them every day right you
1:34:30
know mid may and go how many
1:34:32
throws from third have bounced and been
1:34:34
an error because Santana would have scooped
1:34:36
it in Miranda or Julian just aren't
1:34:39
comfortable at first base or whatever so
1:34:41
it's it's one how many third strikes
1:34:43
are we gonna watch Julie take or
1:34:45
right or how many weak ground balls
1:34:47
if you have Miranda gonna swing it
1:34:50
outside you don't have to be me
1:34:52
listen no my point is that these
1:34:54
guys all we know what they're we
1:34:56
know what their weaknesses are yes and
1:34:58
just because they're cheap doesn't mean they've
1:35:01
lost those weaknesses. Right? Like we know
1:35:03
those weaknesses, we were going to remember
1:35:05
those weaknesses because we remember them from
1:35:07
last season, so. And the fear I
1:35:10
guess, I agree with all that, you're
1:35:12
right. Now we don't know, it's not
1:35:14
that these other guys, Justin Turner has
1:35:16
some weaknesses, right? Right, you might just
1:35:18
be cooked, right? But I will say,
1:35:21
you know, we had a similar conversation
1:35:23
about first basin DH last year with
1:35:25
Kirloaf in the mix, really. And
1:35:28
it was like, well, why sign Santana
1:35:30
for $5 million, $5.25 million? When you
1:35:32
could just hand that job to Kirlov.
1:35:35
You could just, well, they didn't trust
1:35:37
Kirlov defensively. They didn't trust that Kirlov
1:35:39
could stay healthy. They were proven correct,
1:35:42
unfortunately, on both fronts. And. Santana
1:35:44
outperformed what they probably would have expected
1:35:47
even from a healthy care off all
1:35:49
around. And so there is that hope
1:35:51
when you look at a guy like
1:35:54
Turner or Santana or Josh Bell where
1:35:56
it's like we can point to seasons
1:35:58
they've had. Now sometimes they were three
1:36:01
years ago or 10 years. ago, but
1:36:03
we can point to seasons they've had
1:36:05
where they've been a really good solid
1:36:08
valuable regular. We cannot point to seasons
1:36:10
that Julian has had certainly at first
1:36:12
base or full seasons that Miranda has
1:36:15
had, but also those guys can't do
1:36:17
it unless they're given the opportunity, but
1:36:19
the real I think risk is. It's
1:36:22
not so much choosing, you know, a
1:36:24
six million dollar veteran over your in-house
1:36:26
options. It's what happens if you just
1:36:29
say screw it. Moran is our first
1:36:31
baseman now and then he gets hurt
1:36:33
as he's done all three of the
1:36:36
seasons basically. Right. Then who's your first
1:36:38
baseman? Julian? Okay. What if he just
1:36:40
doesn't hit or he gets hurt or
1:36:42
you want somebody to hit left? Then
1:36:45
who do you have? Then it's, you
1:36:47
know, you and your son, you know,
1:36:49
time for, you know, time. Turns out
1:36:52
first baseman you need somebody can actually
1:36:54
hit. But I mean, I even say
1:36:56
that in center field. Like, okay, you
1:36:59
can say, why sign Harrison Bader when
1:37:01
you can just hand that job to
1:37:03
Austin Martin? Unfortunately, I
1:37:05
think the focus on whenever there's a
1:37:08
payroll situation like this is, oh, they're
1:37:10
not going to be able to go
1:37:12
out and sign a kakuchi or a
1:37:14
whoever, somebody who's kind of interesting and
1:37:16
impactful, but the real... loss is the
1:37:19
depth. Yeah, that's right. I mean, it's
1:37:21
the backups and the fourth outfielders and
1:37:23
the middle relievers and you're forced to
1:37:25
make a decision between luxury items for
1:37:27
5 million or 3 million or even,
1:37:30
you know, something. Or, all right, well,
1:37:32
let's just cross our fingers and hand
1:37:34
this to the AAA guy. I mean,
1:37:36
it also cuts both ways, right? On
1:37:39
the one hand, you can take a
1:37:41
look at and say. Plus it costs
1:37:43
$6 million to have two insurance policies.
1:37:45
Right. Right. I mean, which is nice.
1:37:47
Which is great. Right. If you had
1:37:50
$30 million. That's right. But if you
1:37:52
have negative $10 million. But also, because
1:37:54
they're veterans, it's also, and because you
1:37:56
know, this, because you value that debt,
1:37:58
then you've also. six million dollars and
1:38:01
two guys who if they don't produce
1:38:03
if they are end up like a
1:38:05
couple of times last year or the
1:38:07
last few years well they're still on
1:38:09
the roster you're not getting rid of
1:38:12
them the way I mean you don't
1:38:14
have necessarily a better option if you've
1:38:16
got Austin Martin's centerfield because if he
1:38:18
stinks you're just gonna send him to
1:38:20
AAA And now you don't have another
1:38:23
option? Like there is no better option?
1:38:25
To ditch the poor performing player when
1:38:27
it's a rookie. Or get creative, yeah.
1:38:29
Whereas with like, wow, Manny Margo, Joe
1:38:31
Gallo, those type of guys. Yeah, no,
1:38:34
I mean, you're right about that. I
1:38:36
think. That,
1:38:39
like, when we talk about, like, all
1:38:41
these... And at least then you get
1:38:43
six million dollars in your pocket. But
1:38:46
to what else? The poll ads have
1:38:48
it in their pocket. That's the thing,
1:38:50
like, yeah, like, they need, like, more
1:38:52
skidoos for their yards. I don't know
1:38:55
why yacht is always the... I don't
1:38:57
even know. I don't know those commercial
1:38:59
properties. It's sad to say like, oh
1:39:02
I'm reading off a 40 year old
1:39:04
Justin Turner, Randall Gritchik. You know, not
1:39:06
that these are bad players, Austin Hayes,
1:39:08
who just got cut instead of giving...
1:39:11
These aren't bad players, these are role
1:39:13
players, these are good solid role players.
1:39:15
And it's sad that we're like, well
1:39:18
unless something changes. with like a Vasquez
1:39:20
trade. I'm not sure we can afford
1:39:22
them. I'm not sure they can afford
1:39:25
them. That's crazy. But then it's also
1:39:27
weird to say, well they got to
1:39:29
trade Vasquez and or Paddock to clear
1:39:31
the money so that you can sign
1:39:34
a role player at a different spot
1:39:36
basically. Now there is some logic to
1:39:38
that like okay sure. Maybe your need
1:39:41
in the outfield or at first base
1:39:43
is more than your need as a
1:39:45
backup catcher or a six starter or
1:39:48
whatever. That's possible you just sort of
1:39:50
reallocating reallocatingating resources resources in a way.
1:39:52
But it's just a really weird, I
1:39:54
would maybe pathetic situation to be in
1:39:57
where it's like how can we make
1:39:59
three moves to clear enough money to
1:40:01
sign Justin term. You're having Peter to
1:40:04
pay Paul? Yeah, and Paul is some
1:40:06
old guy. Like you're not even... I
1:40:08
wonder who the original Peter and Paul
1:40:11
were in this, were they talking about
1:40:13
the... Did they know Mary, Peter Paul,
1:40:15
Mary? Wasn't that a... My mom loved
1:40:17
Peter Paula there? Is that why they
1:40:20
were named that though? Because it's the
1:40:22
apostles and Mary? I don't think so.
1:40:24
You're the Bible guy. I mean I
1:40:27
think their names were Peter Paul and
1:40:29
Mary like it wasn't uncommon to have
1:40:31
Christian names in the late 50s or
1:40:34
60s. People really liked your, and by
1:40:36
people I mean two people. Your religious
1:40:38
history lesson? My breakdown of the Egypt?
1:40:40
Yeah, with Betsy. I guess I'll put
1:40:43
Betsy as a third person who liked
1:40:45
it. That's canceled out by me hating.
1:40:47
That's right. But also me hating things
1:40:50
doesn't really register at this point. Yeah,
1:40:52
a couple people were like, I just
1:40:54
signed up for a history podcast with
1:40:57
bonus. And I was like, just get
1:40:59
drunk and read a Wikipedia. Like, what's
1:41:01
the, what do you mean, a history
1:41:03
podcast with bonus? Bonet, let's get bonus.
1:41:06
I think I might do that tonight,
1:41:08
actually. Get drunk, record it. It can
1:41:10
be a page. It can be a
1:41:13
start at Black Stack Brewery. I have
1:41:15
seen pieces of it. I've never really
1:41:17
watched it. They take a comedian, they
1:41:20
apply them with a bunch of alcohol,
1:41:22
they have them tell without like a
1:41:24
script, the history of some event that
1:41:26
I think they've chosen. They know, historical
1:41:29
something. And then they have like actors
1:41:31
acted out, but in the way they
1:41:33
told it. That's awesome. It's pretty funny.
1:41:36
I would like John to really focus
1:41:38
on, for instance, I don't know, Minnesota
1:41:40
Twins history? Like over the last 10
1:41:42
years? I came out with Jared Camp.
1:41:45
Yeah, that was good. I was surprised
1:41:47
by that. I was honestly surprised by
1:41:49
that. All right. Yeah. What side of
1:41:52
the play? This is Chris Barbilly. That's
1:41:54
going to end up being our t-shirt.
1:41:56
We finally make a t-shirt. 20 years.
1:41:59
Yeah, that's it. We really did intend
1:42:01
to have a t-shirt by now, but
1:42:03
things got in the way. I don't
1:42:05
know why. Maybe next year. Okay, that
1:42:08
is it for us. We will be
1:42:10
back in a couple weeks. Well, we'll
1:42:12
be maybe a week probably on the
1:42:15
Patreon. That's right. Yeah, that's right. Hopefully
1:42:17
a couple weeks with some reaction to
1:42:19
rule five or lottery hopefully when the
1:42:22
twins Get the number one pick and
1:42:24
take ten guys in the rule five
1:42:26
draft. We'll have lots of super fun.
1:42:28
Yeah, that's or Dan Hayes falls down
1:42:31
and escalator and Dallas or something Dan
1:42:33
Hayes at the GM meetings? Well, here's
1:42:35
why I say this. Okay slipped and
1:42:38
fell at the GM meetings which were
1:42:40
in San Antonio like a month ago
1:42:42
and the only reason I know this
1:42:45
because Dan Shurzell didn't tell me. No,
1:42:47
of course. Derek Fauve told me. And
1:42:49
let me describe, he told me, I
1:42:51
would describe him as excitedly told me.
1:42:55
Like I saw him at the
1:42:57
thing a few couple weeks ago
1:42:59
when he slipped and fell. Do
1:43:01
we know like any more details?
1:43:03
Uh, it was raining. Okay. And
1:43:06
he was trying to like hop
1:43:08
a curb or something and fell.
1:43:10
Like just wiped out. Oh no.
1:43:12
It's worse. Fall would be like
1:43:14
sidled up to me in the
1:43:16
clubhouse. I was like, one of
1:43:18
the biggest days of his life
1:43:21
probably. And he's like, you know,
1:43:23
San Antonio's raining out. guy
1:43:26
over he fell. Pretty bad. Ask him about it. I was
1:43:28
like, Dan, did you fall in San Antonio? And he's like,
1:43:30
eh, you know, uh, you know, and then somebody who was
1:43:32
there, Bobby or somebody was like, oh, yeah, he fell. I
1:43:34
was like, this is great. Anyway, those are my sources. I
1:43:36
got sources. I'm going to play with that. I learned some
1:43:38
other stories about Dan Hays this week that were pretty interesting.
1:43:40
Is that right? All right, let's thank our sponsors. Why has
1:43:42
this show just become like the day in his power hour?
1:43:44
I don't know. We got to get him back on the
1:43:47
we'll get him on the page. Maybe next week and people
1:43:49
live in the live from the winter meetings. Get Danny. That's
1:43:51
where you're gonna want him. It's not like he's anything
1:43:53
else to do. do. No, but but
1:43:55
the blood alcohol level level. Well,
1:43:57
I don't have a problem with
1:43:59
that. people wonder, by the
1:44:01
way, people why I sometimes get
1:44:03
angry with him when he's on
1:44:06
the show. the show. You start start
1:44:08
to put the pieces together. Thank you
1:44:10
to a black you to of all. first
1:44:12
of all. let's do a presenting Our
1:44:14
presenting sponsor, Blackstack going I'm going
1:44:16
to see you tonight, Blackstack. Hey, I'm
1:44:18
I'm excited about it. John talks
1:44:20
talks about them like when a
1:44:22
guy goes off to war
1:44:25
and his girlfriend sends him letters.
1:44:27
letters. I'll see see you tonight, honey. See
1:44:29
you the night, honey. You guys can can see
1:44:31
him too. stop by at liquor
1:44:33
by a liquor thanks to our Also, thanks
1:44:35
to our other sponsors, Better Help and Factor and Raycon and
1:44:37
Acorns and We will be back
1:44:39
next week, maybe with something, week,
1:44:41
maybe with a something, maybe with a live, Dad,
1:44:44
He's live for Dad, He's for the .com live for the
1:44:46
Otherwise, we will talk to
1:44:48
you in a couple meetings. on the frequently-new
1:44:50
episode. gleamon
1:44:52
and the geek.
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