Episode Transcript
Transcripts are displayed as originally observed. Some content, including advertisements may have changed.
Use Ctrl + F to search
0:01
Don't miss your chance to spring
0:03
into deals at Lowe's. Right now,
0:05
get a free 60 volt Toro
0:07
battery when you purchase a select
0:09
60 volt Toro electric mower. Plus,
0:11
buy 3 19 .3 ounce vegetable
0:13
and herb Bonnie plants for just
0:16
$10. It's time to give
0:18
your yard a grow up. Lowe's, we
0:20
help, you save. Valid to 423. Selection
0:22
varies by location. While supplies last, discount
0:24
taken at time of purchase. Actual plant
0:26
size and selection varies by location. Excludes
0:28
Alaska and Hawaii. From the
0:30
Free Press, this is honestly an
0:32
I'm Barry Weiss. On Tuesday,
0:35
the Free Press published a major
0:37
scoop, the news of the State
0:39
Department launching the biggest shake -up in
0:41
decades in an effort spearheaded by
0:43
Secretary of State Marco Rubio. The
0:46
reorganization looks to eliminate
0:48
132 agency offices dedicated
0:50
to efforts like promoting
0:52
human rights, advancing democracy,
0:55
and combating extremism. It
0:57
will also lead to the State Department
0:59
eliminating hundreds of positions intended
1:01
for career officials. Last
1:03
but not least, top officials
1:05
are also being asked to
1:07
reduce their offices by an
1:09
additional 15%. So why does that
1:11
matter? For those of us far from Washington,
1:14
it's natural to ask that question. Well,
1:16
Secretary Rubio says that this will
1:19
make the department more efficient, eliminating
1:21
bloat and redundancy at a critical
1:23
time, one in which the US
1:25
is navigating one of the most
1:27
dangerous international moments since the end
1:29
of World War II. But
1:32
some, including critics of the Trump
1:34
administration, see it as a sign
1:36
of something more troubling. They see it
1:38
as a signal of America's
1:40
inward turn as we enter this
1:42
dangerous multipolar age. Today, Secretary
1:45
Rubio joins me on Honestly to
1:47
discuss his goals for restructuring the
1:49
department and also how the US
1:51
is responding to so many crises
1:53
at home and abroad. From
1:55
controversial deportations to the American attempt
1:57
to end the war in Ukraine
2:00
to the possibility of a new
2:02
Iranian nuclear deal. In his
2:04
confirmation hearing at the Senate, Secretary
2:06
Rubio talked about how the
2:08
post -war global order is obsolete. I
2:11
think a lot of us are feeling that way. But
2:13
the question is, what's going to
2:15
replace it. I ask that
2:17
and more of the man who
2:19
has been charged with overseeing one of
2:21
the most transformational shifts in our
2:23
relationship to the world in American history.
2:26
Stay with us. Ryan
2:34
Reynolds here for Mint Mobile.
2:36
I don't know if you
2:38
knew this, but anyone can
2:40
get the same premium wireless
2:42
for $15 a month plan
2:44
that I've been enjoying. It's
2:46
not just for celebrities, so
2:48
do like I did, and
2:50
have one of your assistance
2:52
assistance to switch you to
2:54
Mint Mobile today. I'm told
2:56
it's super easy to do
2:58
at Mint Mobile today. I'm
3:00
told it's super easy to
3:02
do at mintmobile.com. Thank
4:03
you. Well, I want to
4:05
start with a report that came
4:07
out today from Gabe Kaminski
4:09
and Maddie Rowley. And it's about
4:11
this major reorganization that is
4:14
now underway in your State Department.
4:16
It is the largest shakeup at
4:18
the State Department in decades, something
4:21
like 132 offices are being
4:23
cut. There's many other details. And
4:25
I want to understand
4:27
the significance here beyond cost
4:29
cutting. How does this
4:31
reorganization help advance American interests?
4:34
and the president's foreign policy abroad. Well,
4:36
I think that's important to point out. This
4:39
is not a cost -cutting exercise, although it
4:41
certainly will provide savings to the American taxpayer.
4:43
This is a policy exercise. And here's why. Foreign
4:46
policy, mature foreign policy, realistic foreign
4:48
policy, requires the balancing of both
4:50
policy geopolitical considerations, which often involve
4:52
pragmatism and some level of idealism,
4:54
you know, the promotion, for example,
4:56
of human rights or democracy and
4:58
things of that nature. So this
5:00
sort of balance. Well, Today, those
5:02
two entities are housed in two
5:04
different places. We have a group
5:06
of people that are our regions,
5:08
our embassies, and our regional bureaus that
5:10
oversee those embassies. And they're involved in
5:12
balancing our relationships with these countries. And
5:14
then you have these other entities that
5:16
are only looking at issues from a
5:18
single source standpoint, human rights, human trafficking,
5:20
whatever it may be. These two have
5:23
to be brought together. And so we
5:25
get rid of those bureaus that are
5:27
what they call functional bureaus. And instead,
5:29
we move that function. We're not getting
5:31
rid of, for example, a group of
5:33
people that care about human rights, but
5:35
we're putting those people in the regions
5:37
and in the embassies so that all
5:39
of our foreign policy is being balanced
5:41
within those bureaus. So say it's Western
5:43
Hemisphere. It's being balanced within the Western
5:45
Hemisphere and then ultimately empowering our embassies
5:47
to pursue mature foreign policy that takes
5:49
all of these factors into account. So
5:51
it really is about streamlining an entity
5:54
that's continued to grow. If I show
5:56
you the org chart. of what the
5:58
State Department looked like in the 70s.
6:00
And what it looks like today, it's
6:02
unrecognizable. So we have to bring back
6:04
some stability, some organizational streamlining that allows
6:06
us to further foreign policy in a
6:08
way that balances all of the things
6:10
we have to take into consideration when
6:12
we pursue foreign policy and we can
6:14
deliver it efficiently and fast. One
6:17
more point, I know it's been a long
6:19
answer to a very short question, but it's
6:21
important to talk about it. As the Secretary
6:23
of State, I get these memos. They're called
6:25
these decision memos. And if you look at
6:27
all of the boxes that have to be
6:29
checked before it even gets to me, in
6:31
some cases, it has to be checked by
6:33
six or seven people in one bureau alone
6:35
before it gets to me. That's way too
6:38
long. It almost renders the State Department irrelevant.
6:40
We have to shorten that approval process,
6:42
and the way to do it is
6:44
to get rid of all these offices
6:47
that are all chiming in, any one
6:49
of whom could slow action for an
6:51
indefinite period of time. Secretary, if you
6:53
are a normal American and you don't
6:55
know much about the bureaucracy at the
6:57
State Department, and you just look at
6:59
the headline out of today, you will
7:01
see that many of the offices that
7:03
are being cut seem to broadly be
7:05
about America's soft power role in the
7:07
world. things like the promotion of human
7:09
rights, fighting extremism, promoting democracy abroad. And
7:12
I think critics of the administration are
7:14
already saying in reaction to this news,
7:16
this is sort of yet another sign
7:18
that the Trump administration is pulling back
7:20
from the world and leaving the vacuum
7:22
to be filled by other contenders like
7:24
China and Russia. What does that
7:26
perspective get wrong? Is this a sign
7:29
that America is no longer in the self
7:31
-power business? Yeah. Well, first of
7:33
all, I don't think anyone should be to
7:35
enthusiastic about China or Russia promoting human rights
7:37
or democracy anywhere in the world. So it's
7:39
not like they're going to displace us from
7:41
that. No, no, no. They don't mean I'm
7:43
sorry. They don't mean displacing America from the
7:45
human rights promotion business, simply that in the
7:47
same way that China, you know, advances its
7:49
own interest in Africa through the Belt and
7:51
Road Initiative, America has historically after the Cold
7:53
War, as you know, advanced ours through many
7:55
of these offices. And people say. we should
7:57
still be in that business. And I think
7:59
the Trump administration has a different answer to
8:01
that. Well, the answer is we still are,
8:03
but we're going to do it in a
8:06
way that's balanced across all of our other
8:08
equities. So for example, we're still going to
8:10
be involved in those things, caring about human
8:12
rights, but it's going to be run at
8:14
the embassy and regional level, not out of
8:16
some office in Washington DC that has that
8:18
title. And so just we need to be
8:20
grownups here about how we talk about this.
8:23
Promoting democracy and human rights in our relations,
8:25
for example, with some country in the Middle
8:27
East. is probably going to look different than
8:29
it would with some country in Central America
8:31
or South America. That's just a geopolitical reality. In
8:34
geopolitical reality, we are going to have to
8:36
have partnerships and alliances with countries whose system of
8:38
government maybe is not like ours, whose view
8:40
on religious tolerance, for example, may not be like
8:42
ours. And we may not like that. And
8:44
it doesn't mean we don't wish it was different.
8:47
But we still have to have relations with
8:49
these countries because it serves a geopolitical purpose. It
8:51
serves the national interest of the United States.
8:53
The national interest of the United States in the
8:55
Middle East is stability. of
8:57
the United States in the Middle East
8:59
is preventing groups that would attack us here
9:01
in the homeland from taking root. The
9:03
national interest of the United States and Central
9:06
America is different. It's migration. It's drugs.
9:08
It's hoping to have countries that are prosperous
9:10
so people don't migrate here and don't
9:12
join drug cartels. So we have to have
9:14
foreign policies in different parts of the
9:16
world that are different. And we have to
9:18
have the regions and the embassies run
9:21
it, not some. office in Washington that sort
9:23
of applies the same standard all across
9:25
the board. That's just not realistic foreign policy
9:27
in today's world. 20 years ago, I
9:29
think if you asked the secretary of state
9:31
and certainly the president, is the national
9:33
interest of the United States stability or democracy?
9:36
I think they might have said democracy
9:38
instead of stability. Was that view
9:40
wrong? Was it foolish? Well,
9:42
I think it was a different world. If
9:44
you go back 20 years, we were a unipolar
9:46
power and we were often called in to do
9:48
things because nobody else could or would. We don't
9:50
live in that world anymore. We now
9:52
live in a world with a near peer
9:54
adversary in China. We live in a
9:56
world where while Russia's economy is not large,
9:58
they have the ability to project power and
10:01
destabilize. We live in a world with a
10:03
nuclear armed North Korea, with a nuclear ambitious
10:05
Iran. We live in a world where there
10:07
are both opportunities and real challenges in the
10:09
Middle East. We live in a world where
10:11
in Africa, countries are going in two directions.
10:13
Some are developing economically, others are falling into
10:16
chaos. It's just a very different world. And
10:18
in that world with that many problems, especially
10:20
big ones like like China, the United States
10:22
has to make a mature decision about
10:24
how to prioritize the use of our national
10:26
power. There are some issues in the world
10:28
that matter more than others from our national
10:30
interest perspective. That doesn't mean we don't care
10:32
about some terrible humanitarian crisis somewhere on the
10:35
planet, but we can't put that ahead of
10:37
some critical long -term challenge to the national interest
10:39
of the United States. So we have entered
10:41
an era where we have to, we are
10:43
the most powerful country in the world. but
10:45
neither our power nor our resources have ever
10:47
been infinite. And so we
10:49
have to prioritize them in a mature and
10:51
sustainable way in this new era in which
10:53
we live in. In essence, the
10:56
world order is changing and we need
10:58
to adjust our foreign policies to serve our
11:00
national interest in that new world that's
11:02
taking shape. Okay, well, let's talk about what
11:04
I think is arguably the biggest story
11:06
in America right now, which is the fight
11:08
over deportations. And curious how
11:10
that should rank in terms of...
11:13
that you just lined up for
11:15
me. But the president suggested in
11:17
an Oval Office meeting with President
11:19
Bukele of El Salvador, that
11:21
American citizens might be deported to
11:23
El Salvador. Here's what he said.
11:25
He said that Bukele, in addition
11:27
to the prison, I think it's
11:29
pronounced cicat, you'll correct me if
11:31
I'm wrong, might have to build
11:33
new places to house deported American
11:35
citizens. And over the weekend, your
11:38
old colleague in the Senate, John
11:40
Kennedy, a Republican from Louisiana, hardly
11:42
a squish, he was unequivocal in
11:44
saying that the president cannot do such a
11:46
thing. He said, have our own laws, we
11:48
have the Eighth Amendment to the Constitution, we
11:51
shouldn't send prisoners to foreign countries. So is
11:53
he correct? Should we take the president seriously
11:55
but not literally in that Oval Office meeting?
11:57
Which is it? Well, two things. The first,
11:59
the president talked about the most dangerous and
12:01
vile criminals imaginable. And the question is whether
12:03
you could send them to be in a
12:05
prison in some other country. But the second
12:07
point the president made, and I was there
12:10
when he said it, and I was there
12:12
when he said it in the past is,
12:14
I don't know about the legalities of that.
12:16
You'll have to ask DOJ. Maybe that's not
12:18
possible because of our laws. So he acknowledged
12:20
that in his statement. I think the broader
12:22
point on deportations, and it's the one that
12:24
really is in the news these days, is
12:26
We have people here illegally in this country
12:29
from other countries. And one of
12:31
the things we've done at the State Department
12:33
is work with those countries to take back
12:35
their citizens, to take back people that are
12:37
citizens. That's where you deport people. You deport
12:39
them back to the country that they came
12:41
from. They are unlawfully in the country, and
12:43
that's where they're supposed to be returned. And
12:45
that's what we've worked on doing. In the
12:47
case of El Salvador, in addition to that,
12:49
they've been willing to take trained at Agua
12:51
gang members because Venezuela was refusing to take
12:53
them. And this is now a designated terrorist
12:55
organization, one of the most dangerous gangs in
12:57
the history of the world that's infiltrated our
12:59
country and we want them out of our
13:02
country. We don't want them in our country.
13:04
One of the things the president and you
13:06
have done in the past 90 -something days, it
13:08
feels like it's been a lot longer than
13:10
that, has been to successfully, I
13:12
cannot even imagine how long it's
13:14
felt for you, has been
13:16
to successfully close the southern border.
13:18
And yet that story has
13:20
been just totally overtaken with the
13:22
story of some of these
13:24
individual deportations that have captured the
13:26
national conversation and that many
13:28
people, even people that voted for
13:30
Trump are opposed to. And
13:32
so I want to just ask
13:34
you a bigger question, which
13:37
is what message is the president
13:39
trying to send with these
13:41
deportations? You know, there's, is
13:43
it about... people from coming or is
13:45
it about terrifying people that have been
13:47
here for years that have paid taxes
13:49
for many, many years and might even
13:51
have American children? Should they be scared
13:53
of deportation? Like what is the message
13:55
that the president and the State Department
13:58
is trying to send? Well, two
14:00
things. The State Department isn't involved necessarily in
14:02
the issue of migratory enforcement. We're involved in
14:04
making sure that foreign countries take back the
14:06
citizens that are in our country illegally of
14:08
their countries. So I would say two things.
14:10
Number one, mass migration. is
14:13
almost entirely based on an incentive system. People
14:15
were coming to this country under Joe Biden
14:17
because they knew if they got to the border
14:19
and claimed asylum, said these magic words, they
14:21
would be allowed to come in and they would
14:23
be allowed to stay. Almost 90 % success rate,
14:25
if you said the magic words. So people
14:27
were coming. Now they know that if they
14:29
come, they won't get to stay and they've stopped
14:31
coming, which is why it's the most secure border we've
14:33
had in modern history. And in fact, we've seen
14:36
a new phenomena, which is people that were on their
14:38
way here sort of do a U turn and
14:40
go back. We've seen that play out. to
14:42
know its achievement because it stops the problem.
14:44
That still leaves us with a fundamental challenge.
14:46
And that is that we have in this country
14:48
millions of people, some who have been here many
14:50
years, some who have been here for a year
14:52
and a half or two, who are unlawfully in
14:54
the United States. And it's this simple. If you
14:57
say the speed zone is 70 miles an hour, but
14:59
people know they're not going to get a
15:01
ticket unless they go 90 miles an hour, no
15:03
one's going to drive under the speed limit.
15:05
You have to have laws and laws have to
15:07
be enforced. If you don't enforce your laws,
15:09
then your laws become meaningless. And that's what's happened
15:11
in this country over the last 20 years.
15:13
We were not enforcing our immigration laws, and now
15:15
we are. Obviously, they're going to
15:17
prioritize the most dangerous people, dangerous criminals. If
15:19
you look at the manifest of these
15:21
flights of people that are being deported, these
15:23
are some of the most vile human
15:25
beings imaginable that we're getting out of our
15:28
country, sex offenders, rapists, killers. That's who
15:30
we're prioritizing and being sent out. But let
15:32
there be no doubt. We have immigration
15:34
laws. And if you are in violation of
15:36
those immigration laws, you have no right
15:38
to be in the country. Now, some will
15:40
choose to leave voluntarily. Others
15:42
may get caught up and be forced to leave. But
15:44
they are prioritizing the most
15:46
dangerous. But that said, there's
15:49
no point in having immigration laws if
15:51
you have no intent to enforce them.
15:53
Okay, let's talk about Iran. Both
15:55
you and President Trump were profoundly
15:57
opposed to Barack Obama's nuclear deal known
15:59
as the JCPOA. The Iran deal,
16:02
and this was what the president said
16:04
in 2018 when he withdrew from
16:06
the deal, the Iran deal was one
16:08
of the worst and most one -sided
16:10
transactions the United States has ever
16:12
entered into. You yourself called it disastrous.
16:15
Now it looks like the administration is
16:17
heading into another deal. So simple
16:19
question. What would a good deal with
16:21
Iran look like? Well, you know,
16:23
we have good people negotiating that and involved
16:25
in it, obviously. Let me just say a
16:27
couple of things about the previous deal and
16:29
then I'll compare it to now. The previous
16:31
deal was bad for a number of reasons.
16:33
It gave Iran immediate and full sanctions relief
16:35
in exchange for enrichment capabilities that at any
16:37
point could be weaponized in the future. They
16:39
got to keep that permanently. They got to
16:41
keep the sanctions relief permanently. And they only
16:43
had to live by the enrichment limitations for
16:45
a defined period of time. In fact, right
16:48
now we are entering that period of time
16:50
in which the requirements of that deal would
16:52
have expired. So it was a bad deal
16:54
all the way around. We gave them. permanent
16:56
concessions for temporary concessions on their part. So
16:58
now we've reached that point. Let me make
17:00
a second point, and that is the worst thing
17:02
that could, we do not want a war.
17:04
We do not want to see war. This is
17:06
not a president that campaigned on starting wars.
17:08
And as he said very clearly, Iran is not
17:10
going to have a nuclear weapon, and he
17:12
reserves every right to prevent that from happening, but
17:14
he would prefer it not happen. He would
17:16
prefer that there not be need to resort to
17:18
military force, either by us or anybody else.
17:20
He would prefer that it be something that we
17:22
can negotiate. have shown a
17:24
willingness to talk, we're going to talk to
17:26
them. If there is a chance at peace,
17:28
we're going to give peace and a peaceful
17:30
resolution to this challenge every opportunity to succeed. Our
17:33
priorities remain the same. If Iran wants
17:35
a civil nuclear program, they can have one
17:37
just like Many other countries in the world
17:39
have one, and that is they import enriched
17:41
material. Now, we're not going to negotiate this
17:44
in the press. We're not going to negotiate
17:46
this publicly because it undermines negotiations. But there's
17:48
a pathway to a civil peaceful nuclear
17:50
program if they want one. But if they
17:52
insist on enriching, then they will be the
17:54
only country in the world that doesn't have
17:56
a weapons program, quote unquote, but is enriching.
17:58
And so I think that's problematic. But again,
18:00
let's give peace every chance here to succeed.
18:03
I don't want to see a war.
18:05
The president certainly doesn't want to see one
18:07
either. Some who are watching
18:09
these negotiations unfold and who have
18:11
watched the JCPOA and then it's
18:13
unraveling are warning that this deal
18:15
is on a path potentially to
18:18
be similar or weaker to the
18:20
JCPOA. And one of the reasons
18:22
they're saying that is because Steve
18:24
Witkoff gave an interview in which
18:26
he said that the goal should
18:28
be to ensure that Iran's uranium
18:31
enrichment would be capped at something
18:33
like 3 .5 % for civilian use
18:35
and verified. are
18:37
saying, that is a very bad
18:39
sign, is because they're saying, why
18:41
shouldn't the US's position be zero
18:44
enrichment and the complete elimination of
18:46
the program? Yeah, well, I
18:48
think Steve, subsequently. followed up by
18:50
clarifying that what he meant is that
18:52
that would be the limit of what they
18:54
would be allowed to import for their domestic
18:56
program. And they do that now. They do
18:58
have a nuclear reactor that imports Russian enriched
19:00
material at 3 .67. And that's what
19:03
you need for, but they don't enrich it
19:05
themselves. So I think what Steve was,
19:07
the point he was trying to make in
19:09
that interview, and it subsequently clarified was he's
19:11
talking about the level of enrichment that they
19:13
would be allowed, the level of enriched material
19:15
that they would be allowed to import from
19:17
outside, like multiple countries around the world do.
19:19
for their peaceful civil nuclear programs. If
19:22
the United States wanted to take
19:24
out Iran's nuclear program with a strike,
19:26
does it have the capability to
19:28
do so? Or is everything buried so
19:30
deep underground that there's no guarantee? Yeah,
19:33
look, I think logistically, I
19:35
probably don't want to discuss all the logistics of
19:37
it. Suffice it to say that I do believe the
19:39
United States has options, but we don't want to
19:41
ever get to that. We really don't. Maybe we
19:44
could talk about it in a signal group together. Let's
19:47
say this to you. Let me
19:49
put it to you this way, okay? We don't want
19:51
it to get to that point. We're not at a
19:53
stage now where we're going to be making threats or
19:55
anything of this nature, because honestly, this is not a
19:57
president that ran on the promise of starting wars or
19:59
armed conflicts. We've gotten involved in this
20:01
Houssi situation. It's a favorite of the world that
20:04
we're doing, because these guys basically had shut down
20:06
shipping in the Red Sea. That needed to end.
20:08
But this is not a president that's looking to
20:10
start wars. He's a president that's looking to stop
20:12
them and to prevent them. That's why we've
20:14
been focused on Ukraine. That's why we're
20:16
having these talks with the Iranians. I
20:18
would tell everybody that we're a long
20:20
ways away from any sort of agreement
20:22
with Iran. We recognize it's difficult and
20:24
hard. Oftentimes, unfortunately, peace is. But
20:26
we're committed to achieving a peaceful outcome that's acceptable
20:28
to everyone. It may not be possible. We don't
20:30
know. I don't even know if Iran knows how
20:32
to make a deal. They've got their own internal
20:34
political dynamics in their country they have to work
20:36
through. But we would want to achieve a peaceful
20:38
resolution to this and not resort to anything else
20:40
or even speculate about it at this point. OK,
20:42
just one last question, and then I want to
20:44
go. Russia and Ukraine, Tucker Carlson
20:46
has said that a strike on Iran's
20:49
nuclear facilities, now I'm quoting from
20:51
him, would almost certainly result in thousands
20:53
of American deaths at bases throughout
20:55
the Middle East and the cost the
20:57
United States billions of dollars. Those
20:59
aren't guesses, those are the Pentagon's own
21:01
estimates. A bombing campaign against Iran will
21:03
set off a war and it will
21:05
be America's war. Is that true? I
21:08
think, here's what I can
21:10
say. Any military action at this
21:12
point in the Middle East, whether it's against
21:15
Iran by us or anybody else, could
21:17
in fact trigger a much broader conflict that
21:19
will not be the sort of thing
21:21
that people become accustomed to watching on television,
21:23
which is, well, a couple of drones
21:25
got shot down, but we took out a
21:27
hundred fighters or whatever. This will be
21:29
more complex. I think we have to recognize,
21:31
and it's important to be honest about
21:33
it, Iran has taken both under sanctions and
21:36
because of sanctions relief under Obama, they
21:38
have spent billions of dollars dollars developing military
21:40
capabilities that we're seeing, for example, being
21:42
used in Ukraine right now with drones and
21:44
the like, is the United States capable
21:46
of defeating and confronting all that? Absolutely we
21:48
are. I think it's important
21:50
to understand it's much more complex than it
21:52
would have been 10 years ago or five
21:54
years ago. But that's why we
21:57
hope to avoid this. So when you hear
21:59
people make the points that they've made, it's true.
22:01
Any sort of armed conflict in the region is
22:03
going to be much messier than what people are
22:05
used to seeing or that we would want. And
22:07
that's why the president is so committed to the
22:09
peaceful resolution, the prevention of an
22:11
armed conflict in this scenario. although
22:13
he reserves every right to prevent Iran from
22:15
getting a nuclear weapon. He preferred peace. He has
22:17
said that repeatedly. And that's why
22:19
we want to end the war in Ukraine if
22:22
that's possible. Okay, so let's talk about that.
22:24
Is it possible? On Sunday, President
22:26
Trump said he hoped that Russia and Ukraine
22:28
would make a deal this week. What
22:31
are the remaining obstacles to such a deal? Is
22:33
there a chance that we could hear about a deal
22:35
by the end of the week, as Trump said? Well,
22:37
I don't know about by the end of the week. I'm
22:39
hopeful that we can get to something quickly. And I remain
22:41
hopeful that we can get something done because this is a
22:44
terrible war and it needs to end. Because
22:46
it has no military solution. There is no
22:48
military solution to this war. We have to be
22:50
frank. Russia's not just going to roll
22:52
over Ukraine and take the whole country. And Ukraine's not going
22:54
to push them all the way back to where they
22:56
were before 2014. So what I would
22:58
say we're involved in is understanding what is
23:00
the Russian position. We have a better understanding
23:02
of that now because we've actually spoken to
23:04
them after three years of not speaking to
23:06
them. What is the Ukrainian position? And
23:09
figure out, are these guys even in the
23:11
same neighborhood? Because if they're in completely different zip
23:13
codes, then we may have to conclude that
23:15
they're so far apart that peace is impossible at
23:17
this time. We've done our best. We've put
23:19
a lot of time and energy at the highest
23:21
levels of our government. We'll continue to be
23:23
willing to do so as long as there is
23:26
a realistic path forward. If at some point
23:28
we determine that we're just too far apart and
23:30
not enough movement is happening, We may
23:32
need to move on to other priorities, because there
23:34
are a lot of important things happening in the world.
23:36
This is not our war. We didn't start this
23:38
war. We're trying to help everybody end it. But they
23:40
may be too far apart. But I hope not.
23:42
We should be optimistic. We should be
23:44
willing, as we are, to do whatever
23:46
it takes to bring the two sides
23:48
closer. And hopefully we can be
23:50
successful. But ultimately, it's not up to us.
23:52
It's up to Russia, and it's up to
23:55
Ukraine. They have to make the decision that
23:57
they're willing to move closer to one another.
23:59
And we need to start to see progress.
24:01
A lot of Republicans and a lot of
24:03
conservatives have become skeptical of NATO as an
24:05
institution. They question the outsize
24:07
funding the US provides, whether or not
24:09
it's in our interest to remain in
24:11
it. Why is NATO a
24:13
good idea if you still think of the
24:15
good idea? And what would you say to
24:17
people in your party that think NATO should
24:19
be dissolved? Well, I think there's two separate
24:21
issues involved. Is NATO a good idea as
24:24
a concept? And as, yeah, it is. I
24:26
think alliances are always good. To be able
24:28
to enter into a defense alliance with advanced
24:30
economies and advanced militaries, it's a force multiplier
24:32
for the United States. So absolutely NATO is
24:34
in our interest. Now the question is what
24:36
kind of NATO? It has to be a
24:38
NATO in which your partners are carrying their
24:40
weight. And when you see a NATO where
24:43
you have countries that are spending 1%, 1 .1
24:45
% of their GDP, 1 .2%, then that's really
24:47
not an alliance. That's a dependency. Now,
24:49
to be fair, there are other countries like Poland
24:51
that are doing more than their fair share. And there
24:53
are other countries that frankly have not invested in
24:55
their defense capabilities for almost three decades. So
24:58
what the president's point has been is
25:00
he wants to be in NATO, but
25:02
a NATO that's real, a NATO that
25:04
actually is strong, a NATO in which
25:06
every partner is contributing at scale. And
25:08
we haven't had that. Now, we've started
25:10
to see movement. We have. We've started
25:12
to see more and more countries dedicate
25:14
more and more money to their defense,
25:16
thanks to the pressure that President Trump
25:18
has put on. And by the way,
25:21
virtually every American president in
25:23
the last 25 years
25:25
has complained that NATO partners
25:27
aren't doing enough. President
25:30
Trump is the only one that's actually insisted on it
25:32
in a way that's actually gotten results. So
25:34
it's on a good trajectory. So NATO
25:36
is good as long as NATO is real,
25:38
as long as it's a real defense
25:40
alliance, not the United States and a bunch
25:43
of junior partners that aren't doing their
25:45
fair share. One of the areas where it's
25:47
unclear to many people if it's strategic
25:49
and a Trump. sort of negotiating tactic
25:51
or sincere, is the question of tariffs. And
25:53
that's because there have been sort of
25:55
two messages coming out of the White House.
25:58
There's the Peter Navarro School, which is
26:00
basically tariffs are an end in
26:02
and of themselves. They're a way to
26:04
rebuild American industries that have suffered
26:06
from foreign competitions. And then the
26:08
other view, and this is more the
26:10
Treasury Secretary, is they're strategic. They are
26:12
pressure position. They are a way to
26:15
extract meaningful concessions from other countries and
26:17
get them to move. I
26:19
think it's both and I think both
26:21
are legitimate. I think there are some industries
26:23
that are critical to the future of
26:26
the United States and we have to have
26:28
a domestic capability. We have to be
26:30
able to do things like build ships. We
26:32
have to be able to do things
26:34
that are critical to our national security, our
26:36
pharmaceutical industry. And then there's the broader
26:38
question of whether the state of current global
26:40
trade as fair to the United States,
26:42
and unfortunately, across multiple administrations and presidents in
26:44
both parties, especially since 1991, we
26:46
have allowed very dangerous trade imbalances to
26:48
build up. As I travel around
26:51
the world and virtually every country I go
26:53
to, you can't find an American car on
26:55
the road. Many American products are not allowed
26:57
in, sometimes because of tariffs, sometimes because of
26:59
non -tariff barriers, all kinds of things they
27:01
put up. That just can't continue. Maybe that
27:03
made sense 50 years ago when these were
27:05
poor developing countries that we hoped wouldn't fall
27:08
into the Soviet orbit. But now these are
27:10
advanced economies. The EU, if you take
27:12
the EU holistically, its economy is
27:14
the same as the United States. These are
27:16
advanced economies. Why would there be such a
27:18
massive trade imbalance between two advanced economies, the
27:20
EU and the United States? That's not sustainable.
27:22
That needs to be recalibrated and that's to
27:24
be fixed. In the case of the Chinese,
27:27
it's an export -driven economy. They can sell
27:29
and export whatever they want into the
27:31
US, but they severely restrict what we
27:33
can send them. That's not sustainable. That
27:35
has to be confronted. And we don't
27:37
have 10 years to figure this out
27:39
now. We have like one, two, or
27:41
three years to figure it out. So
27:43
I think it's a combination of both
27:46
industries that we need in our country
27:48
and need to be protected, but also
27:50
the broader issue of resetting the baseline
27:52
for global trade in a way that's
27:54
sustainable to the national interest of the
27:56
United States. The Treasury Secretary reportedly told
27:58
investors at this closed -door JP Morgan
28:00
summit today, and I'm quoting from him,
28:02
there will be a de -escalation. I'm
28:05
reading in President Trump's trade war with
28:07
China in the very near future. And
28:09
then he added this, no one thinks
28:11
the current status quo is sustainable. So
28:14
what can we expect next?
28:17
Well, I can't answer for what he said. I wasn't
28:19
in that meeting and I certainly don't speak. It's
28:21
not the State Department is not running
28:23
the tariff negotiations. I will say this, you
28:26
know, as far as people are talking
28:28
about the price that tariffs are going to
28:30
have on the US economy, it's also
28:32
having a tremendous price on the Chinese economy.
28:34
That's an export driven economy. Their entire
28:36
economy is built not on consumption domestically, but
28:38
on what they can overproduce and dump
28:40
onto economies all over the world. all over
28:43
the world. The Europeans had to stop
28:45
them from selling electric cars or they were
28:47
going to wipe out the European electric
28:49
car industry. So I think China
28:51
is paying a heavy price. So I would
28:53
say, without commenting on what the Secretary
28:55
of Treasury said, that yeah, there's vulnerability to
28:57
the Chinese side as well. But at
28:59
some point, this issue had to be brought
29:01
to a head because the trade imbalance
29:04
and the unfairness that exists between the Chinese
29:06
and the United States is simply unsustainable.
29:08
It's more than unsustainable. It's dangerous. It's
29:10
geopolitically dangerous. and
29:12
it needed to be confronted and we
29:14
can't wait any longer to do it. We've
29:16
allowed this to go on for 25
29:18
years and it cannot continue or we're gonna
29:20
wind up living in a world in
29:22
which we depend on China for everything critical
29:25
to our security and to our prosperity.
29:27
And that's not a world that we intend
29:29
to leave for our children and grandchildren.
29:31
Is China the number one defense priority that
29:33
America faces? I think China is the
29:35
number one challenge on every front that I
29:37
can imagine, geopolitically, national security, economically, industrially.
29:39
And look, the president says this all the
29:41
time and I agree. We don't blame
29:43
the Chinese. The Chinese have done what we
29:45
would have done if we were the
29:47
leaders of China. They looked, previous leaders in
29:49
this country and around the world allowed
29:51
them to cheat and steal and get these
29:53
unfair advantages and they took them. Why
29:56
wouldn't they? But now it's gotta be fixed.
29:58
It's gotta be fixed. Let's look just
30:00
objectively at where we stand versus China. The
30:02
US Navy is the smallest it has
30:04
been since World War I. Our army is
30:06
the smallest it has been since World
30:08
War II. Our air force is smaller and
30:10
older than it used to be. And
30:12
meanwhile, China has the world's largest army and
30:14
the world's largest navy. They build more
30:16
ships in a month. I think this will
30:18
shock people than we do in a
30:20
year. And meantime, we are cutting
30:22
defense spending. What are
30:25
we doing to prepare for
30:27
a possible war with
30:29
China? And if one came,
30:31
could we win it? What
30:33
we want to do is prevent a
30:35
war from China by being strong enough to
30:37
make them understand that they could never
30:39
win a war against the United States A
30:41
war against China would be a terrible
30:43
thing. I know but if I'm China and
30:45
I'm looking at that reality I'm thinking
30:47
I could win this and that's how that's
30:50
why it's dangerous because China is undertaking
30:52
the fastest most rapid most expansive peacetime military
30:54
buildup in the history of the world,
30:56
not in modern history, in the history of
30:58
the world. Meanwhile, the United States has
31:00
lagged behind for a variety of different reasons.
31:02
You talk about the Navy as an
31:04
example. We don't have a shipbuilding industry. We
31:06
have some shipbuilding in the United States,
31:08
but not nearly at the scale the Chinese
31:10
do. It's not just that we're not
31:12
spending the money on it. We don't have
31:14
the ability to do it because we
31:16
allowed the nation to be deindustrialized. We allowed
31:18
the United States to become deindustrialized, especially
31:21
since 1991, with both free trade agreements
31:23
and the cheating that we allowed when we
31:26
that allowed China to ascend to the World
31:28
Trade Organization. And what it has done
31:30
is deindustrialized this. We can't just build ships.
31:32
Boeing struggles to build planes. We
31:34
can't make pharmaceuticals. We depend on China for
31:36
88 % of all the active ingredients in
31:38
most of the pharmaceuticals that we rely
31:40
on in our country. You can go down
31:43
issue after issue after issue. And you
31:45
can see that it's not just that we're
31:47
not spending money on it. It's that
31:49
we can't do it because the industries that
31:51
would produce it domestically were
31:53
long gone. They were outsourced. They were
31:55
sent somewhere else, not just to China,
31:57
but other places, but primarily to China.
31:59
That's dangerous. It cannot continue. In your
32:01
Senate confirmation hearing, you talked about how
32:03
the post -war global order is not
32:05
just obsolete. It is a weapon
32:07
being used against us and that right
32:09
now we're being called to create a
32:12
free world out of the chaos. And
32:14
I think a lot of people
32:16
have different explanations clearly about how we
32:18
got to a place where the
32:20
post -war global order is obsolete, but
32:22
everyone is seeing the reality of that.
32:24
And I think feeling a lot
32:26
of anxiety and concern from many different
32:28
points along the political spectrum about
32:30
what is going to replace it. And
32:32
I think some people are feeling
32:34
that the U .S. has almost accepted
32:36
a declineist position and we're now in
32:38
a kind of managed decline. So
32:40
I've wanted for a while to ask
32:42
you two questions. Are we in
32:44
decline and is the role of our
32:47
leadership to manage it as best as they
32:49
can? And the second is what comes
32:51
next? What is the new global order going
32:53
to look like? And what are some
32:55
of the parameters of the American position inside
32:57
of it? Well, the only reason why
32:59
the US would ever be in decline is
33:01
if we made bad decisions and continued
33:03
to allow them to perpetuate. I think the
33:05
road we were on under Joe Biden
33:07
and previous administrations before that put us on
33:09
a road to decline. I think what
33:12
the President and President Trump is doing now
33:14
is addressing the causes of it. You
33:16
talk about the post -Cold War era and
33:18
why it's bad. That post -Cold War era
33:20
basically said free trade is important above everything
33:22
else. We've now recognized that there are
33:24
industries critical to a country and its national
33:26
security and national interests that you have.
33:28
have to be able to have domestically you
33:30
can't rely on foreign sources for. And
33:32
that's why we're addressing that in a trade
33:34
space. I think we realize that
33:36
mass migration is not something that we
33:38
can just tolerate. It undermines your country. It
33:40
undermines your security. And that had to
33:42
be addressed. I think you look at
33:45
our alliances around the world and I get
33:47
it. You're a country that has this vast social
33:49
safety network that you have high taxes to
33:51
pay for and you're spending very little on your
33:53
national security because America's got your back. That
33:55
can't be sustained. We can't continue to engage in
33:57
that way. That has to be. that we've
33:59
talked about NATO a moment ago. You
34:01
think about all these conflicts going on in the
34:03
world. We have to prioritize them.
34:05
I think if we become a country
34:07
that spreads itself too thin, that basically
34:09
is trying to go 100 % all
34:11
in on five major conflicts around the
34:13
planet, you begin to exhaust overreach and
34:15
overextend yourself, even for the most powerful
34:17
country in the world. So I think
34:20
we're beginning to address this. all
34:22
of these challenges that could lead to
34:24
American decline, not because somebody else, but because
34:26
of the things we failed to do.
34:28
And that includes rebuild our industrial capabilities here
34:30
at home. One final point I would
34:32
make is we are entering an era in
34:34
which our foreign policy has to be
34:37
more focused, more pragmatic, and more balanced. And
34:39
that is that we have to clearly
34:41
define what is our national interest. Remember
34:43
what the issue is, and then we
34:45
have to pursue that. And that means balancing
34:47
things that in the past weren't balanced.
34:49
In the past, it was democracy promotion at
34:51
any cost, or human rights promotion at
34:54
any cost. We're not abandoning democracy. We're not
34:56
abandoning human rights. We're just saying that
34:58
has to be part of the overall analysis
35:00
when we decide where to spend our
35:02
time and what to spend our money on.
35:04
Secretary Rubio, the poem on the Statue
35:06
of Liberty, the Emma Lazarus poem, give me
35:08
your tired, your poor, your huddled masses
35:10
yearning to breathe free. Is that
35:13
still true? Yeah, and there's
35:15
laws that allow people to come here every
35:17
day. You know, the United States, every year
35:19
on average, about a million people legally enter
35:21
the United States on a green card and
35:23
three to five years later can become United
35:25
States citizens. We remain, despite all the specter
35:27
out there, the most generous country in the
35:29
world in terms of allowing people to come
35:31
to the United States. All we're asking is
35:33
that they do it through a process. All
35:36
we're asking is that they even The
35:38
most generous charities in the United States
35:40
generally require people that show up for
35:42
help to fill out a paper and
35:44
wait in line and sort of have
35:46
their case evaluated. So we're not a
35:48
charity, but when it comes to our
35:50
immigration policies, no country in the
35:52
world allows as many people to come in.
35:54
We just ask people to do it legally through
35:56
an appropriate process. What we can't be
35:58
is a country where you can just show up
36:00
at the border and say, I'm here and I'm here
36:02
to stay. No questions asked. That's, That's lunacy. Secretary
36:05
of State Rubio, thank you so much for
36:07
the time. I really appreciate it. Thank you.
36:11
Thanks for listening. If you
36:13
liked this conversation, if it made you
36:15
think differently, then share it with your
36:17
friends and family and use it to
36:19
have an honest conversation of your own.
36:22
Last but not least, if you want
36:24
to support the kinds of conversations we
36:26
have here on Honestly, there's just one
36:28
way to do it. It's by going
36:30
to the free press at VFP.com and
36:32
becoming a subscriber today. you
Podchaser is the ultimate destination for podcast data, search, and discovery. Learn More