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Inference for Change-Point and Related ProcessesEpisode from the podcastInference for Change-Point and Related Processes
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The Volatility of International Migration Flows: Estimating Past Trends in Nordic Countries and Lessons for Forecasting with Uncertainty.

The Volatility of International Migration Flows: Estimating Past Trends in Nordic Countries and Lessons for Forecasting with Uncertainty.

Released Monday, 3rd February 2014
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The Volatility of International Migration Flows: Estimating Past Trends in Nordic Countries and Lessons for Forecasting with Uncertainty.

The Volatility of International Migration Flows: Estimating Past Trends in Nordic Countries and Lessons for Forecasting with Uncertainty.

The Volatility of International Migration Flows: Estimating Past Trends in Nordic Countries and Lessons for Forecasting with Uncertainty.

The Volatility of International Migration Flows: Estimating Past Trends in Nordic Countries and Lessons for Forecasting with Uncertainty.

Monday, 3rd February 2014
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Abel, G (Austrian Academy of Sciences)Tuesday 21 January 2014, 14:00-15:00

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Inference for Change-Point and Related Processes

In many applications data is collected over time or can be ordered with respect to some other criteria (e.g. position along a chromosome). Often the statistical properties, such as mean or variance, of the data will change along data. This feature of data is known as non-stationarity. An important and challenging problem is to be able to model and infer how these properties change. Examples occur in environmental applications (e.g. detecting changes in ecological systems due to climatic conditions crossing some critical thresholds), signal processing (e.g. structural analysis of EEG signals), epidemiology (e.g. early detection of hospital infections from changes in patient’s antibody levels), bioinformatics (e.g. detecting changes in copy number variation), and finance (e.g. changing volatility). As technology advances, and ever larger and complex data are collected, the need to model changes in the statistical properties of the data, and the difficulty of making inference for these models increases.Read more at www.newton.ac.uk/programmes/ICP/

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