Episode Transcript
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0:22
Welcome to the Making Sense Podcast. This
0:24
is Sam Harris. So
0:26
the reckoning has arrived. Donald
0:29
Trump has been reelected President of the
0:31
United States and it seems like
0:33
he's going to have both houses of Congress. Of
0:36
course we know he already has the Supreme Court. And
0:39
the question is what to make of all this?
0:42
Why did he win and why did the Democrats lose?
0:45
Well first, we should acknowledge that
0:47
this is the greatest comeback in American political
0:49
history. It's as if Nixon
0:51
got reelected to a second term after Watergate.
0:54
It's better than that. Or worse,
0:56
depending on what you think about Trump. Luckily
1:00
I hedged my bet here and I never said anything
1:02
too critical about the man. I've
1:04
always been very respectful of him and Elon
1:06
and the other innovators they have
1:08
around them. I mean let's be
1:10
honest, these guys just want to make America great again. Can't
1:13
you just give them a chance? All
1:16
kidding aside, I will let
1:18
you know when I receive my first audit from the
1:20
IRS. But what I
1:22
think is needed now is an honest assessment of
1:24
why Trump won. Because
1:26
it says a lot about our country that he did. It
1:29
says a lot about how divided we are. It
1:31
says a lot about the state of the media and
1:33
the effects of social media. But
1:36
above all, it says something that the Democratic
1:38
Party and our elite institutions need to hear.
1:41
Now obviously Trump's win
1:43
and Harris's loss were
1:45
determined by many factors. And
1:48
I think everyone's in danger of believing that their pet
1:50
issue explains everything that happened on
1:52
Tuesday. Now you could certainly
1:54
make the case that it was immigration and
1:57
the southern border. Or it
1:59
was inflation. and the cost of groceries. You
2:02
could even say it was the way Trump responded
2:04
to that first assassination attempt, which
2:06
among other things prompted Elon Musk to endorse
2:08
him within minutes. Or
2:11
it was Harris's weakness as a candidate and
2:13
the way the Democratic Party coronated her rather
2:15
than allow some competitive process to happen.
2:18
Or you could say that the blame lies with
2:21
Biden himself and his disastrous decision
2:23
to run for a second term. That
2:26
was pure hubris. And of course
2:28
this blame extends to all the people who covered for him
2:30
and lied to themselves or to the public
2:33
about his competence for over a year. Some
2:36
of this culpability fell on Harris herself. What
2:39
did she know about Biden and when did she know
2:41
it? She never had a good
2:43
answer for that question. Or
2:46
to come to one of my hobby horses, it
2:48
was her failure to have anything like a
2:50
sister soldier moment where she could put some
2:52
distance between her current self and the
2:54
Kamala Harris of 2019 who
2:56
seemed to be in lockstep with the far left of
2:58
the Democratic Party. The
3:00
truth of course is that all of
3:02
these things contributed and if one
3:05
or two of them had changed, we would
3:07
have had a different result. But
3:09
the Harris campaign and the Democratic
3:11
Party in the last hundred
3:13
days before the election weren't
3:15
in control of most of these
3:17
variables. They could
3:20
have messaged differently about all of them. I
3:22
think it would have been possible to talk about inflation
3:24
and immigration better than they did, but
3:26
their real failure in my view
3:29
was to not pivot to the political center
3:31
in a way that most people found credible.
3:34
So to return to my hobby horse, I
3:37
think there are some lessons that the Democrats really must
3:39
absorb from what is
3:41
undeniably a total political defeat.
3:45
They simply have to recognize that
3:47
several planks of their platform are
3:50
thoroughly rotten. Identity
3:52
politics is over. No
3:55
one wants it. Latinos and blacks
3:58
don't even want it. as
4:00
witnessed by the fact that they moved to Trump
4:02
in record numbers. Trump got
4:04
a majority of Latino men nationwide.
4:08
And in some counties he got a majority of
4:10
Latino men and women, even after
4:12
everything he has said about immigrants from Latin
4:14
America over the years. How
4:17
they're, quote, poisoning the blood of our people,
4:19
which is right out of Mein Kampf. A
4:22
comedian calls Puerto Rico a pile of garbage
4:24
at a Trump rally. And
4:26
the entire democratic machine and all
4:28
of liberal media seize
4:30
upon it like a nuclear bomb
4:32
has just vaporized an American city
4:35
and no one cared. Identity
4:38
politics is dead,
4:41
and we have to bury it. There's
4:43
one species of identity politics that
4:46
had an enormous effect on this election, and
4:49
most Democrats don't seem to realize it. Around
4:52
half a percent of American adults
4:54
identify as transgender or non-binary. That's
4:57
one in 200 people. And
4:59
yet the activism around this identity
5:02
has deranged our politics for as long
5:04
as Trump has been in politics. One
5:08
lesson I would be quick to draw
5:10
from this election is that Americans aren't
5:12
really in to seeing biological men
5:15
punch women in the face at the Olympics.
5:19
And if that sounds like transphobia to
5:21
you, you're the
5:23
problem. Political
5:25
equality, which we should want
5:28
for everyone, does not
5:30
mean that trans women are
5:33
women. Trans women are people
5:35
and should have all the political freedom
5:37
of people. But to say that
5:40
they are women and that making
5:42
any distinction between them and biological women
5:45
for any purpose is a
5:47
thought crime and an act of bigotry, that
5:50
is the precept of a new religion,
5:53
and it's a religion that most Americans
5:55
want nothing to do with. I
5:58
want to be very clear about that. this, I
6:01
have no doubt that there are
6:03
real cases of gender dysphoria. And
6:06
for those people, we
6:08
should want to give them all the
6:10
help they need to feel comfortable in
6:12
their own bodies and in
6:14
society. How we think
6:17
about this, how we understand it scientifically, all
6:19
of that is still in flux.
6:22
But there are four-year-olds who
6:25
apropos of nothing will
6:28
claim to be in the wrong body. You
6:30
know, they're born a boy, but they insist
6:32
that they're really girls, and
6:34
they never waver from this. And
6:37
it's pretty obvious in those cases that
6:40
something is going on neurologically,
6:42
hormonally, at the
6:45
core of their being that is
6:47
not a matter of them having been influenced
6:49
by the culture. But
6:51
conversely, there now seem to be
6:53
countless examples where the
6:56
possibility of social contagion is
6:58
obvious. We're due to the
7:00
success of trans activists in changing
7:03
institutions. These kids
7:05
are effectively in a cult being
7:08
brainwashed by a new orthodoxy.
7:11
These are radically different cases, and
7:14
we should not be bullied into
7:16
considering them to be the same.
7:19
I've spoken to many Democrats in
7:21
recent years and over the course
7:23
of this election, and a shocking
7:25
percentage of them imagine that all
7:27
the controversy about trans rights and
7:30
gender identity in kids is
7:32
just right-wing bigotry and
7:34
a non-issue politically. Whereas
7:37
it is obvious that for millions
7:39
of Americans, it might as
7:41
well have been the only issue in this election.
7:44
Not because they are transphobic
7:46
assholes, but because they simply
7:49
do not accept the new metaphysics and
7:51
even new biology mandated by
7:53
trans activists and the institutions that they have successfully
7:55
bullied and captured. And it's a matter of fact
7:58
that we should be able to do this. It's
8:00
important to say that not all trans people agree
8:02
with what these activists say and do. Having
8:05
the thought police suddenly proscribed the use
8:07
of the term woman and
8:10
demanding that we speak instead of
8:12
birthing person or menstruators or people
8:15
with ovaries or some other
8:17
Orwellian construction designed to test everyone's
8:19
patience and sanity, the
8:21
sight of people being deplatformed on
8:23
social media or fired from universities
8:26
for merely stating that there are
8:28
two biological sexes, I
8:30
actually know a professor who lost
8:32
her job at Harvard over this. Witnessing
8:35
an epidemic of gender confusion spread
8:37
through our schools, when
8:40
people with their own eyes could see
8:42
that this was a social contagion being
8:44
encouraged by the schools themselves, the
8:47
ultimate fruition of which in many
8:49
cases is irreversible medical procedures, we've
8:52
got an epidemic of teenage
8:54
girls wanting double mastectomies and
8:56
some are actually getting them based
8:59
on ideas being spread on TikTok
9:01
and any parent who resists this
9:03
trend gets demonized and under certain
9:06
conditions could lose custody of their
9:08
kids, well
9:10
congratulations Democrats, you
9:12
have found the most annoying thing in
9:15
the fucking galaxy and hung it around
9:17
your necks. I
9:19
know people who haven't been touched by this
9:21
issue personally for whom it was the
9:23
only issue that decided their vote, in
9:26
fact it is the issue that fully
9:28
radicalized Elon, and he's spoken about this
9:30
at length, do you think
9:32
Elon continuously messaging to 200 million
9:35
people on X and going
9:37
to Trump's rallies and donating
9:39
over a hundred million dollars to the campaign
9:42
and supporting him on podcasts and
9:44
doing everything else in his power to get Trump
9:46
elected might have accounted for a
9:48
few votes? Honestly
9:50
I think a doctoral dissertation and
9:53
perhaps several could be
9:55
written on how trans activism completely
9:58
destroyed democratic politics. politics,
10:00
without most Democrats knowing.
10:05
Of course, people will be doing an
10:07
autopsy on this election for quite some
10:09
time, but there is
10:11
some polling already
10:14
that suggests that cultural issues
10:16
in general, and this issue
10:18
in particular, were the greatest
10:20
drivers of swing voters turning to Trump.
10:23
For the purpose of this poll, a swing voter is
10:26
defined as those who are undecided
10:28
in the presidential race, or who
10:30
have changed their voting preference since 2020, voting Democrat
10:34
in one election and Republican in the other, or
10:36
they were independents, who had either
10:38
indicated that they split their votes between Democrats
10:40
and Republicans, or who
10:42
hold either a favorable or unfavorable view
10:45
of both Trump and Harris. So
10:47
these were the people whose votes were in play.
10:50
And according to this
10:52
poll over at blueprint2024.com,
10:55
titled Why America Chose Trump,
10:57
Inflation, Immigration, and the Democratic
10:59
Brand, when you segment the
11:01
respondents in this way, for these
11:04
swing voters, the strongest predictor
11:06
of a vote for Trump was
11:08
their response to the following
11:11
statement. Kamala Harris
11:13
has focused more on cultural
11:15
issues like transgender issues, rather
11:17
than helping the middle class. So
11:20
transgender issues are flagged as
11:22
the example of progressive
11:25
politics in the Democratic Party. Now,
11:28
you might want to say that neither
11:30
Harris nor Biden campaigned as
11:32
a vocal trans activist, and
11:35
that's true. But
11:38
honestly, if you wanted to account
11:40
for Harris's loss and Trump's win
11:42
in the briefest possible
11:45
space, and also
11:47
indicate the hold that the
11:49
far left has had over
11:52
Democratic politics and the
11:54
Biden administration, I think it
11:56
would be hard to do better than to
11:58
juxtapose the following statement. two
12:00
facts. On his
12:02
first day in office, President Biden
12:05
signed an executive order ensuring
12:08
that trans girls could
12:10
have access to girls restrooms,
12:12
locker rooms, and girls
12:14
sports. It took him
12:17
two and a half years to
12:19
sign an executive order addressing the
12:21
chaos at the southern border. Why
12:24
did he wait so long? Because the
12:26
far left has always said
12:28
that a concern about the southern border
12:30
is racist. What
12:34
more needs to be said about the
12:36
degree to which the Democratic Party and
12:38
the Biden administration lost
12:40
touch with the will of the
12:42
American people? As
12:45
for the topic of trans rights and
12:48
gender dysphoria, what Harris needed
12:50
to do at a minimum is
12:53
express her understanding that this
12:55
issue is complex. That
12:58
there's a legitimate concern about social
13:00
contagion. That in certain cases there's
13:03
a conflict between giving trans
13:05
women and girls everything they
13:07
want and protecting
13:09
the rights of biological
13:11
women and girls. And
13:13
the jury is still out on
13:15
many questions here. And policy
13:17
in Europe has changed
13:20
radically in recent years for
13:22
understandable reasons. Right? This topic
13:26
is a total mess ethically
13:29
and politically. And
13:31
the orthodoxy among Democrats and in
13:33
the elite institutions that they have
13:35
influenced is that the
13:38
trans activist line is
13:40
the only ethical line to
13:42
take. But the truth
13:44
is every shibboleth that came out
13:46
of the far left in recent years contains
13:49
within it the same recipe for
13:51
the destruction of democratic politics. Each
13:54
is like an evil hologram.
13:56
We take the term Latin X. That
14:00
for? Only 3% of
14:02
Latinos are in favor of this silly
14:04
rebranding of their ethnicity. Again,
14:07
Trump did better among Latinos
14:09
than any Republican in memory.
14:12
Do you think it was because there wasn't enough
14:14
identity politics rammed down their throats from the left?
14:16
Do you think they just need to see some
14:18
more white people admonished for the sin of cultural
14:20
appropriation? You think another lecture about
14:23
sensitive Halloween costumes might do the trick?
14:26
Much of Democratic politics has
14:28
become a bad SNL sketch. Democrats
14:31
simply have to understand that this is one
14:34
of the reasons that we're getting four more
14:36
years of Donald Trump. Four
14:38
more years of this man holding more
14:40
power and responsibility than any person on
14:42
Earth. If it sounds
14:44
like I'm blaming far-left activists for this, along
14:47
with everyone who bent the knee to them,
14:50
I am. Sure, inflation
14:52
didn't help, but the Harris
14:54
campaign and the Democratic Party couldn't
14:57
change the price of groceries. They
15:00
could control whether the Vice President
15:02
gave a rational accounting of why
15:04
she no longer supports taxpayer-funded gender
15:06
reassignment surgeries for undocumented immigrants in
15:09
detention. You know how many ads
15:11
the Trump campaign ran on that
15:13
issue? In some markets, it
15:15
was a third of their ad spend. She's
15:18
for they, them. He's for
15:20
you. Someone find me
15:23
the video where Harris made any sense
15:25
at all on this topic. And
15:28
the same can be said for all the other cultural
15:30
issues that have been poisoned by the far left. Literally
15:33
everyone I know who voted
15:36
for Trump, and this includes
15:38
some extraordinarily influential people, like
15:40
Elon, literally everyone
15:43
was focused on cultural issues. It
15:46
wasn't inflation for them. It
15:48
was trans activism and the
15:50
insanity at the southern border, and
15:53
DEI policies, and
15:55
homelessness and crime in our cities, and
15:57
the unwillingness of Democratic is
16:00
to do anything about it. The fact
16:02
that when you go into a CVS and you
16:04
need to call a locksmith to liberate some razor
16:06
blades and Tylenol, that is
16:08
an absolute disgrace. It
16:11
is a clear degradation of the quality of
16:13
life in American cities. And
16:15
these things mattered on Tuesday when people went
16:17
to the polls. And most
16:19
of our largest cities are run by Democratic mayors,
16:22
at least two thirds of the top 100. I
16:25
think it's a higher percentage of the top 20. What
16:28
are the Democrats doing about
16:30
homelessness? The Democratic
16:32
Party largely owns this problem.
16:35
And for years, Democrats have been acting like the
16:38
answer to it is for everyone just to become
16:40
more tolerant. They won't police
16:42
the streets, but they'll police the
16:44
language. These people are
16:46
not homeless, they're unhoused. Okay,
16:49
great. Anyone who lives in
16:51
a city, who has to
16:53
shepherd their kids past some raving lunatic
16:55
standing outside the supermarket, or
16:57
who knows that there are whole sections of town that
16:59
he shouldn't even set foot in because
17:02
they look like the third act of a zombie movie,
17:04
many of these people are
17:07
done with your politics. And
17:09
so are millions who don't live in big cities,
17:12
but visit them, or just see the images
17:14
on social media. No one
17:16
wants to live like this. This
17:18
is the sort of issue that was easily
17:20
and justifiably weaponized against
17:22
Democrats in this election. Or
17:25
take the Hamas supporters on our college campuses.
17:28
You don't have to be Jewish to
17:31
see how shameful this is. This
17:34
is an assault not just on Jews and
17:36
Israel, but on Western civilization.
17:39
Or let's just call it what it is, real
17:41
civilization. If the
17:43
Democratic Party can't figure
17:45
out that civilization needs to
17:47
be defended from barbarism, what
17:50
do you expect is going to happen in a presidential election?
17:54
Yes, Biden and Harris were not
17:56
terrible on this issue, but
17:58
they talked out of both sides. at their mouths. They
18:01
bent over backwards to not
18:04
offend the people who were totally
18:06
confused in the Democratic Party
18:08
about what happened on October 7th and
18:11
about the problem of Islamism and
18:13
Jihadism worldwide who think in terms
18:15
of Islamophobia rather than really
18:17
protecting human rights. Here's
18:20
one clue on the path back to sanity
18:22
on this issue, which you may have missed.
18:25
The hijab is not a symbol
18:27
of female empowerment. Most
18:30
of the women throughout the world who wear the veil
18:32
are forced to by men who
18:35
will beat the shit out of them if they don't.
18:38
It might be time to figure this
18:40
out if you actually care or want
18:42
to credibly pretend to care about
18:44
the rights of women on planet
18:46
Earth. There
18:49
is simply no question that democratic moral
18:51
confusion on many of these issues cost
18:54
Harris millions of votes. So
18:57
that's the reckoning that has to happen now
18:59
among Democrats. And I hope
19:01
it does. But the concern
19:03
now is that four more years of
19:05
Trump and Trumpism will prevent it. Trump
19:08
is such a provocation to the left
19:11
and to liberal institutions that
19:13
Democrats could find themselves doubling down on all
19:15
their delusions. Needless to say,
19:17
this will be exactly what Trump and the MAGA
19:20
cult want, because it will
19:22
be politically suicidal. If
19:24
you are a Democrat who voted for Harris,
19:27
please absorb this. You
19:30
lost more people of color than
19:32
you ever have in a presidential
19:35
election while running
19:37
against Archie Bunker. Worse,
19:40
Trump is actually supported by
19:42
real racists and white supremacists.
19:45
And that still wasn't enough of a problem.
19:48
Who do you think your identity politics is
19:51
for? You're really going
19:53
to keep celebrating pornographers of racial
19:55
grievance like Ta-Nehisi Coates and Ibram
19:57
X. Kendi? Should we just give
19:59
another Pulitzer to the 1619 Project
20:01
and congratulate ourselves. You
20:04
really think racism is
20:07
the problem in America. And
20:09
what we saw this week was just a
20:11
victory for white male identity politics. That's
20:14
how you're gonna explain Trump's popularity at this
20:16
point. Trump
20:18
gained support from
20:21
every racial group except
20:23
white people, right?
20:26
Or he lost one percentage point when
20:28
compared to 2020. You're
20:30
going to chalk that up to
20:32
racism. We're about five
20:34
days out from the election when I'm recording this. And
20:38
I'm still hearing prominent Democrats
20:40
say things like, America
20:42
was never going to elect a black
20:45
woman for president in the year 2024. That's
20:48
not the issue. And if you keep
20:50
this up, you're
20:52
gonna get president Candace fucking Owens
20:55
someday, wouldn't that be
20:58
a perfect rejoinder to this stupidity? I
21:02
hope it's obvious from everything I've
21:04
said and written for years and
21:06
from the first half of this podcast that
21:09
I understand the frustration and
21:12
even revulsion that people feel for
21:14
the far left and for
21:16
the progressive orthodoxy that has infected
21:18
our institutions for the
21:20
sincerestness and thought policing and
21:23
the gaslighting and the line. I
21:26
understand the degree to which our institutions
21:29
have been bent by this. And
21:32
anyone who's followed my work from the beginning
21:35
knows that I've been outraged by this encroaching moral
21:37
blindness for at least 20 years, long
21:40
before our wokeness or black
21:42
lives matter or trans activism
21:45
or defund the police. In
21:47
the years after September 11th, 2001, when
21:51
I began to focus on the problem of
21:53
Islamism and jihadism, I was
21:55
complaining about just this. I
21:58
could see that anyone who described these
22:00
problems too honestly would
22:03
get tarred as a racist, as though
22:05
that made any sense. I saw how
22:07
someone like Ayaan Hirsi Ali was
22:09
treated like an untouchable by left-wing
22:11
think tanks and liberal writers. How
22:14
even Nicholas Kristof at the New York Times,
22:17
whose whole shtick was to show his concern
22:19
about the rights of women in the developing
22:21
world, even he felt
22:23
obliged to condemn Ayaan as
22:26
an Islamophobe. This
22:28
is a woman who is quite literally being
22:30
hunted by Muslim theocrats in one
22:32
of the most cosmopolitan societies we have,
22:35
modern Holland. For years,
22:37
I witnessed journalists obfuscate
22:39
about the threat of Islamic
22:42
extremism. Someone was found
22:44
just stabbing people in a European city
22:46
or mowing them down with
22:48
his car, shouting, Allahu
22:50
Akbar, and it would be
22:52
reported that the motive for the crime was
22:54
still mysterious. And the perpetrator
22:56
would be described at most as an immigrant. Sometimes
23:00
every detail like this was
23:02
suppressed and you'd have no idea what
23:04
happened, just random mass murder. Needless
23:07
to say, this kind of politically
23:09
correct dishonesty has since spread to
23:12
many other topics, as
23:14
the left-wing hatred of Western
23:16
civilization and capitalism and
23:18
white people has distorted everything
23:20
left of center. I
23:24
understand how infuriating this
23:26
is, especially on an issue
23:28
that touches your life directly. I
23:31
know what it's like to read an article in the New York Times
23:34
and to spot obvious lies,
23:37
but the alternative to
23:39
the failure of journalism simply
23:41
isn't the fire hose
23:43
of lies and half-truths and
23:45
conspiracy theories that you find on
23:47
X. And it's
23:50
not the calculated and ever-present distortion
23:52
you find in right-wing news channels
23:55
that never had any journalistic standards to
23:57
violate in the first place. simply
24:00
no alternative to
24:02
healthy institutions that maintain
24:05
their credibility even
24:07
when they make mistakes by
24:09
reliably correcting their errors. And
24:12
when they fall short of this standard, they
24:14
can be pressured to do better because
24:17
they have intellectual and moral
24:19
scruples. It's an imperfect
24:21
process, but it's the best we've
24:24
got. Elon Musk
24:26
never corrects his errors. Tucker
24:29
Carlson never corrects
24:31
his errors. Donald
24:34
Trump never makes errors because
24:36
he never stops lying. He's
24:39
playing tennis without the net, and
24:41
his fans love it. Putting
24:44
your faith in deranged
24:47
personalities isn't a
24:49
viable alternative to having truly
24:51
liberal institutions that you
24:53
can trust and that can be
24:56
obliged to earn your trust back when
24:58
they fail. I
25:00
understand how satisfying it is to
25:03
find a new bully to beat
25:05
up the other bullies who've been
25:07
making you miserable. But
25:10
the problem is, this new bully
25:12
is worse. This
25:14
new bully has no principles. This
25:16
new bully has no journalistic
25:18
or academic or scientific conscience
25:20
to appeal to. Whatever
25:23
might be wrong with a person like
25:25
Anthony Fauci or Francis Collins or
25:27
any of the other doctors who have been
25:29
demonized right of center for their approach to
25:32
setting COVID policy, at least
25:34
they are real doctors and
25:37
scientists who have some professional
25:39
scruples and reputations to protect
25:42
among people who actually know something
25:44
about medical science. RFK
25:47
Jr. has none of that.
25:49
He's just a cowboy taking shots at
25:52
the establishment. The
25:54
Joe Rogan Podcast is not
25:56
a substitute for The Wall Street
25:58
Journal or The Kennedy School. school at Harvard.
26:01
It is simply not progress to
26:04
have a comedian like Dave Smith,
26:06
who's apparently done his own research,
26:09
interviewed about the history of the Middle East
26:11
or the war in Ukraine like
26:13
he's the next Henry Kissinger. All
26:16
of this free access to information
26:19
is making us dumber. Of
26:22
course, I blame Trump and social
26:25
media for how divisive our politics
26:27
have become. Trump
26:29
is what you get when 51% of a
26:31
society just declares bankruptcy on core
26:33
moral values and political principles
26:36
and journalistic ethics and
26:38
necessary institutions. There is
26:41
no real defense of
26:43
Trump and Trumpism. All
26:45
his defenders act like his critics just don't
26:47
like the man's style. He's just
26:49
too crass or bombastic. Or
26:51
they think we're worried about hypothetical things that
26:54
might never happen. We're worried
26:56
he might become a fascist in the
26:58
future, and needless to say these concerns
27:00
are telltale signs of Trump derangement syndrome.
27:03
But none of that is true. The
27:06
problem with Trump isn't his
27:08
style, and it's not merely what
27:10
might happen in the future. The
27:12
problem is what has already happened. It's
27:15
the damage that Trump has already caused
27:17
to our democracy. And
27:19
it's the fact that he has turned the Republican
27:21
Party into a personality cult that
27:24
celebrates all this damage as a sign
27:26
of progress. For instance, while many of
27:28
us really wanted Kamala Harris to win
27:30
on Tuesday, we are also breathing a
27:33
sigh of relief that she didn't win
27:35
by a very narrow margin. Why
27:38
are we relieved about this? Because
27:41
Trump and Elon and
27:43
several other high-profile freaks
27:46
spread so many lies and
27:48
conspiracy theories about election fraud
27:51
that they effectively rigged our
27:53
society to explode. On
27:56
the day of the vote, Trump
27:58
and Elon were both spreading lies. about
28:00
a terrible fraud being perpetrated in Pennsylvania.
28:04
Now that Trump won, where's
28:06
the concern about fraud? It
28:08
just evaporated. I guess Elon
28:10
looked into it and our voting machines are fine
28:12
now, right? Pay
28:14
attention to what happened here. These
28:17
guys imposed a serious risk of
28:19
injury on our whole society
28:22
for purely selfish reasons. And
28:24
the fact that we're now relieved to have
28:26
avoided a civil war is
28:29
itself an injury to our democracy
28:32
and to our social order. Is
28:35
this too ethereal a point to
28:37
understand? If someone rigs
28:39
your house to explode and
28:41
the bomb just happens to not go off for
28:44
reasons that they didn't actually control,
28:47
it seems to me that they don't get to say, well,
28:50
no harm, no foul. Let's just move on.
28:53
Let's agree to disagree about what happened here. No,
28:57
you put our whole democracy at
28:59
risk with your lies. You
29:02
knowingly raised the temperature and the
29:04
pressure on your side of the
29:06
electorate, again, with
29:08
lies and ran the
29:10
risk of producing serious violence if
29:13
things had gone the other way. I
29:15
mean, honestly, there was a moment on Tuesday night when
29:18
the tide had fully turned against Harris, when
29:20
the needle over the New York Times website was giving
29:22
Trump an 89% probability of winning, but
29:26
the blue wall states had not been decided. It
29:29
was still possible at that point for Harris to
29:31
win. One in 10 chance
29:33
events happen all the time. But
29:35
I remember thinking that I hope she doesn't
29:37
win now, because at
29:40
that point, given the optics, given
29:42
that Republicans really thought they had it in
29:44
the bag and that even
29:47
Democrats seem to think that and
29:49
thought that publicly in plain view
29:51
of everyone on television and social
29:53
media, if Harris's luck
29:55
had turned at that point and
29:57
she had won, we could have had a civil
29:59
war. 4, given the degree
30:02
to which conspiracy thinking had
30:04
been weaponized by Trump and
30:06
his enablers. Again, even
30:08
on election day itself, these
30:11
lies had been spread
30:13
consciously, deliberately. Elon
30:15
did this personally to hundreds
30:18
of millions of people on the social
30:20
media platform that he owns. Given
30:23
all of that, honestly, I
30:25
think it simply wasn't safe for Harris to
30:27
win a free and fair election at that
30:29
point. That is a
30:31
totally crazy thought to have had on election
30:35
night in America in the
30:37
year 2024. Where
30:40
do we send the bill for the
30:42
damage that has been done to
30:44
our country? Half
30:47
of our society just elected
30:49
a man to the presidency who
30:51
they know would not
30:53
have accepted the results of the election had
30:55
he lost. As President Harris
30:58
conceded the next day, as
31:00
everyone knew she would, there is
31:02
probably no one who supported Trump
31:05
who thinks that he would have done what
31:08
they fully expected Harris to
31:10
do, which is to protect
31:12
the most important norm of our democracy,
31:14
the very thing that makes it possible,
31:17
the peaceful transfer of power. And
31:19
the astonishing thing is
31:21
that Trump supporters are totally okay
31:24
with this asymmetry. They expected
31:26
Harris to concede and would have demanded
31:28
that she do it, and
31:31
yet they know Trump wouldn't have conceded
31:33
if he lost, understanding
31:35
all the risk this would have
31:37
posed to our social fabric. And
31:40
they are fine with that. That
31:43
is already the ruination of
31:45
our politics. That
31:48
is what the path to fascism looks
31:50
like. We are already on
31:52
it. There is nothing
31:54
hypothetical about this. Bad
31:57
things have already happened. true
32:01
whatever happens over the next four
32:03
years. It's like in
32:05
the film The Exorcist. If
32:07
your kid has stigmata and is
32:09
vomiting green goo in all directions and
32:12
is moving furniture with her mind, you
32:15
should admit that you have a
32:17
problem. It shouldn't require Satan himself
32:20
to make an appearance. What
32:23
is so frustrating about Trump supporters
32:25
is that they refuse to acknowledge any of this.
32:28
They simply refuse to acknowledge
32:31
how pathological our situation is
32:34
and how pathological Trump himself has
32:36
made it. Whatever story
32:38
you have in your head about all the
32:41
good Trump might do in a second term,
32:43
he's a disruptor. He's got
32:46
all the tech bros in there with him. He's
32:48
just crazy enough to scare our enemies. Or
32:51
he's just a bullshitter and he won't do half of what he claims
32:53
he'll do so don't worry about it. Whatever
32:55
story you're telling yourself, here
32:57
is what is true now. We
33:00
are returning a man to the Oval Office
33:03
who as a sitting president would
33:05
not commit to a peaceful transfer of power and
33:08
who tried to steal the 2020 election all
33:12
the while claiming it was being stolen
33:14
from him. And he has lied about
33:16
this ever since, knowing
33:18
that these lies stand as
33:21
a continuous provocation to
33:23
violence. And there are court
33:25
cases pending seeking to hold him
33:27
accountable for all of this. Cases
33:29
which now that he'll be in control of the
33:31
Justice Department will be dismissed. We're
33:34
putting Trump back in power when
33:37
we know that he can't honestly
33:39
discharge his oath of office because
33:41
he has no respect for the Constitution. And
33:43
half of our society is not only willing to
33:46
run this risk, they are
33:48
positively jubilant about it. At
33:50
a minimum, you should acknowledge
33:53
that these events have seriously injured
33:55
our politics. Again, whatever
33:57
happens over the next four years. And
34:01
I have something that I really must say to Joe
34:03
Rogan and the other podcasters who
34:05
interviewed Trump. You
34:08
can't have it both ways. You
34:10
don't get to say that this was the podcast
34:12
election and that these long-form
34:14
conversations are incredibly important for people to
34:17
hear so that they can make up
34:19
their mind about who to vote for and
34:21
then take no journalistic responsibility
34:23
whatsoever to get your facts
34:25
straight or to expose obvious
34:27
lies when you're talking to the most
34:29
prolific liar on earth. You
34:32
don't get to spout endless conspiracy
34:34
theories about how our election system
34:36
is dangerously broken and
34:38
vulnerable to fraud. And then
34:40
when your candidate wins, say, oh,
34:43
well, Trump's victory was just too big for them to
34:45
rig the election. No. How
34:48
about realizing that there was nothing significantly
34:50
wrong with our election system in the
34:52
first place and that all
34:54
these concerns about fraud were
34:56
lies coming from your
34:58
candidate and his surrogates. And
35:01
they were telling these lies in
35:03
preparation for not accepting the results
35:05
of the election had he lost.
35:08
And you let your platform be used
35:10
for that purpose by people who were
35:12
willing to shatter our politics and even
35:15
risk provoking a civil war out
35:17
of personal self-interest. Every
35:20
podcaster who interviewed Trump managed
35:22
to make it seem like all the bad things that have
35:24
ever been said about him were the result
35:26
of some left-wing elite media
35:28
conspiracy. To interview
35:30
Trump or his
35:32
surrogates responsibly would have
35:35
required that you put them on the
35:37
spot for any number of odious things
35:39
he has said and done and for things
35:41
he said he intends to do in his second
35:43
term, all of which are
35:45
well-documented and many of which
35:47
should be totally disqualifying in a presidential candidate.
35:50
It's not enough to just turn on the
35:52
microphones and have a conversation. And
35:55
it doesn't matter that it's three hours long.
35:57
If all you're going to do is launder
35:59
the man's lies... by ignoring them
36:01
in the interests of maintaining good vibes.
36:04
There is a complacency and
36:06
an amorality to the way you
36:08
approach this that was actively harmful.
36:12
And all you people with Twitter files
36:14
derangement syndrome, just how fair
36:16
and balanced are things over there at X
36:18
now? Is it the bastion of
36:21
free speech you were hoping for? You
36:23
think having a platform run by a manic
36:25
billionaire who doesn't trust any of his own
36:27
moderators to vet information so he fires them,
36:30
but trusts random conspiracists and lunatics
36:32
so he personally amplifies their lives
36:34
to 200 million followers?
36:37
You think this is progress? Do
36:41
you think you'd feel the same way if a
36:43
left-wing billionaire was boosting activist garbage
36:45
to his 200 million followers every
36:47
hour on the hour? And
36:51
perhaps a note to journalists
36:53
and scientists and writers and
36:56
people with actual reputations to protect
36:59
and lives to live? None
37:01
of this gets any better until you all decide to leave
37:03
X. You know
37:05
it's a cesspool. You know
37:07
it's harming our society. Most
37:10
of you know it's harming your lives personally.
37:13
By merely being there and making it seem
37:15
like everyone has to be there because everyone
37:17
is there, you are helping
37:19
to build the tool that is making
37:22
fact-based conversation impossible. Our
37:24
society is being riven
37:26
by lies and
37:29
social media and X in particular is
37:31
largely responsible for this. Of
37:34
course I get that some breaking
37:37
news happens there first and
37:39
some news might only happen there, but
37:43
if that's a feature of social media
37:45
that we simply must conserve, well then
37:47
we have to instantiate it elsewhere, not
37:50
on a platform, owned and
37:53
run and entirely dominated
37:55
by a meme junkie who
37:58
lost all of his principles years
38:00
ago. Once
38:02
again, everything I've been talking about
38:05
and complaining about has already happened.
38:09
But looking forward, of
38:11
course there are reasons to be worried
38:13
about a second Trump term. Is RFK
38:15
Jr. really going to be setting medical
38:17
policy for the country? That
38:19
should make your head explode. Is
38:22
Trump going to weaken our international alliances? Will
38:25
he pull us out of NATO? If we
38:27
have fewer biological men in women's sports,
38:29
are we also going to have fewer
38:31
democracies? Is that a fair trade?
38:34
Is Trump going to call the MyPillow guy
38:36
and the Pizzagate dummies for advice on how
38:38
to run the world? Or
38:41
will he suddenly pivot and surround
38:43
himself with competent ethical advisors? Well,
38:46
we'll have to wait and see. Needless
38:48
to say, I will respond to whatever happens
38:51
on this podcast, but
38:53
I'm not going to spend the next four years obsessing
38:56
about Donald Trump. As
38:58
I said before, I consider him one of
39:01
the greatest opportunity costs for humanity to appear
39:03
in my lifetime. The
39:05
fact that we've had to think about this man continuously
39:07
for a decade is
39:10
just an incredible piece of bad luck. So
39:14
I'm going to do my best to
39:16
pick my moments here. I'm sure
39:18
there will be many over
39:20
the next four years, but I
39:22
am just not willing to give more of
39:24
my time to politics than is absolutely necessary.
39:28
And I will be sure to tell you when I receive
39:30
that first IRS audit. Thanks
39:32
for listening. you
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