Did Trump make billions with his meme-coin?

Did Trump make billions with his meme-coin?

Released Saturday, 25th January 2025
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Did Trump make billions with his meme-coin?

Did Trump make billions with his meme-coin?

Did Trump make billions with his meme-coin?

Did Trump make billions with his meme-coin?

Saturday, 25th January 2025
Good episode? Give it some love!
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0:00

This BBC podcast is supported

0:02

by ads outside the UK. Hello

0:04

and thank you for downloading the

0:06

more or less podcast with the

0:08

programme that looks at the numbers

0:10

in the news and I'm Charlotte

0:13

McDonald. It's been a busy

0:15

week for Donald Trump. The

0:17

office of President of the United

0:19

States. He was sworn in as

0:21

the 47th President of the

0:23

United States. Signed a wallop

0:25

of executive orders. The Golden

0:27

Age of America begins. and

0:29

launched his own currency. Well,

0:32

a currency of sorts. Yes,

0:34

Donald Trump has reduced something

0:36

called a mean coin, and

0:38

the headlines got pretty excited

0:40

about it, with the telegraph

0:42

stating, Trump becomes one of

0:45

world's richest men after $43

0:47

billion crypto coin launch. But is

0:49

this really true? And what is a

0:51

mean coin anyway? Let's start

0:54

with the BBC's cyber correspondent Joe

0:56

Tidy, who is the proud owner

0:58

of some Malania coin, the First Lady's

1:00

own venture into mean coin land. A

1:02

mean coin is a bit of a joke,

1:05

cryptocurrency really. People can create

1:07

coins themselves, anyone can do

1:09

it, and there are thousands

1:12

of them. Cryptocurrency is a

1:14

digital form of currency created using

1:16

encryption algorithms. sexy, huh? Some, such

1:19

as Bitcoin, are able to be

1:21

used like regular currency in some

1:23

places. Meme coins don't work quite

1:25

like that. There are shops and online

1:28

services where they'll trade Bitcoin for

1:30

everything from coffees to houses in

1:32

some countries, but with Meme coins

1:34

there's no real purpose to them.

1:36

They're just sort of fun, and

1:38

they're a way of making money,

1:40

essentially. People can speculate on these

1:43

coins, and they go up and

1:45

down in value quite wildly. The

1:47

T's and C's for Trump's meme

1:49

coin are totally explicit about this.

1:51

They say it's intended to

1:53

function as an expression of

1:56

support for and engagement with

1:58

the ideals and beliefs. embodied

2:00

by the symbol Trump and the

2:02

associated artwork. And they're definitely not.

2:04

An investment opportunity, investment contract, or

2:06

security of any type. This might

2:08

be the intention. You can be

2:11

the judge, but they are definitely

2:13

being traded as if they are

2:15

a financial asset. The basic concept

2:17

for buying mien coins is to

2:19

trade them in the hopes that

2:21

someone, somewhere, will pay more for

2:23

them than you. But this is

2:25

all a risk, a speculation as

2:27

the Victorians would call it. The

2:29

value of any cryptocurrency is constantly

2:31

in flux, and meme coins are

2:33

especially volatile. The idea is that

2:35

there is scarcity. There are only

2:37

a certain number of coins that

2:39

are ever going to be minted

2:42

and created, and if I own

2:44

some of those coins now, then

2:46

someone will want to pay more

2:48

in the future. It's basically

2:50

a bit like old-fashioned coin collecting.

2:52

The new numismatists, if you will.

2:55

Each of these little trump coins

2:57

is unique. They cannot be replicated.

2:59

However, instead of physical binders with

3:02

meticulously ordered coins, lovingly displayed, you

3:04

get a virtual wallet and a

3:06

little graphic of a coin with

3:09

Trump's face on it. Although it

3:11

turns out that there are right

3:13

faf to actually get hold of.

3:16

It was a real process and

3:18

it just reminded me that this

3:20

isn't really for the kind of

3:23

the faint-hearted Malania supporters. These are

3:25

people who are already in cryptocurrency

3:27

who potentially are trying to make

3:30

money. But how much money has

3:32

this whole enterprise actually made Trump?

3:34

Is it really 43 billion dollars

3:37

like the telegraph said? That's the

3:39

claim, but it's a dubious claim

3:41

at best. I'm

3:44

Molly White. I am an independent

3:46

writer and researcher of the cryptocurrency

3:48

industry and the tech industry more

3:51

broadly, and I write the citation-needed

3:53

newsletter. The calculations the newspapers used

3:55

to get to the billions of

3:58

dollar values are fairly simple. They

4:00

rely on... on two basic things.

4:02

First, the fact that a billion

4:05

Trump coins would exist within the

4:07

next three years. Most cryptocurrencies have

4:09

a total cap of supply. So

4:12

for example, Bitcoin will never have

4:14

more than 21 million bitcoins. That's

4:16

the total cap. And the same

4:19

thing is true with the Trump

4:21

meme coin where they've only issued

4:23

200 million of them to date,

4:26

but eventually they will issue up

4:28

to 1 billion of these Trump

4:30

tokens on sort of a schedule.

4:33

Only a small proportion of these

4:35

coins are available to the public.

4:37

Most of them have been allocated

4:39

to companies affiliated with Donald Trump.

4:42

These own 80% of the coins.

4:44

Next thing, how much are they

4:46

worth? Well, you can't buy anything

4:49

with them. So they're only worth

4:51

what people are willing to pay

4:53

for them. The price of any

4:56

given cryptocurrency token is based on

4:58

the going price on a cryptocurrency

5:00

exchange, which is usually, you know,

5:03

the price that these tokens most

5:05

recently traded hands or the offer

5:07

prices on these tokens. This price

5:10

has been all over the place.

5:12

It peaked at over $70 per

5:14

coin over the weekend, at time

5:17

of recording. It's sitting in the

5:19

30s. The two numbers, the supply

5:21

and the price, are how you

5:24

get to a massive valuation. There's

5:26

something called the fully diluted valuation

5:28

of a token, and that is

5:31

multiplying the token price by the

5:33

total future possible number of tokens

5:35

that could circulate. So that again

5:38

is how the prices of, you

5:40

know, $53 billion are being achieved

5:42

because there could in the future

5:45

be up to one billion Trump

5:47

tokens circulating and at a price

5:49

of, say, $53 you multiply that

5:52

by that billion and you get

5:54

the fully diluted valuation. News outlets

5:56

have just multiplied the Trump mean

5:59

coin price by the theoretical. number

6:01

of all coins he could have

6:03

a share of. That's 80% of

6:06

1 billion, so 800 million. Most

6:08

of these coins do not exist

6:10

on the market yet, and there

6:13

is absolutely no guarantee that the

6:15

existing Trump tokens will retain their

6:17

value in a market that is

6:20

famously floppy. Trump's businesses also have

6:22

to be incredibly careful how they

6:24

sell off their 80% share, as

6:27

flooding the market could destroy the

6:29

value completely. There's also the issue

6:31

that a lot of these coins

6:34

were not bought with actual dollars.

6:36

Instead, people use other cryptocurrency, such

6:38

as one called salana, to purchase

6:41

them. And so then you have

6:43

this question of, okay, so is

6:45

every Trump token actually worth X

6:48

amount of salana, and then is

6:50

that amount of salana actually worth

6:52

the amount of dollars? At very

6:55

small numbers, it's fairly safe to

6:57

assume that a major cryptocurrency like

6:59

Solana could be cashed out for

7:02

dollars to the extent that the

7:04

price reflects, but once you get

7:06

above large numbers, especially when you're

7:09

talking about billions of US dollars,

7:11

those assumptions very quickly fall apart.

7:13

So, has Trump earned himself 43

7:16

billion dollars? He has not. We

7:18

don't really know if Trump has

7:20

made money from this venture yet,

7:23

or if he will in the

7:25

future. Forbes magazine, who do the

7:27

big list of billionaires, currently say

7:30

his meme coin project adds zero

7:32

dollars to his net worth. Trump

7:34

and his companies might have sold

7:37

some of their cut already for

7:39

millions. They might sell more in

7:41

the future for billions. We don't

7:44

know. Whatever he makes, he somehow

7:46

managed to use his popularity to

7:48

create that money from basically thin

7:51

air. Saying that. Saying that. it

7:53

does seem like someone has already

7:55

made some serious money. According to

7:58

bubble maps... a company that tracks

8:00

the public crypto data one minute

8:02

after the Trump coins were released,

8:05

one anonymous account known only as

8:07

6Q SC2, bought millions of dollars

8:09

worth of the meme coin before

8:12

selling most of them later for

8:14

a massive profit. One estimate says

8:16

they might have made more than

8:19

85 million dollars in a couple

8:21

of days. As for Joe, he's

8:23

going to cash in quick and

8:26

make sure his potentially newfound meme

8:28

coin wealth or keep him as

8:30

grounded as ever. Oh, I won't.

8:33

I will retire to an island

8:35

somewhere and forget a movie. Uh-huh.

8:37

Maybe whole booking that flight. Joe's

8:40

token value has dropped from $30

8:42

to $8. Maybe enough for a

8:44

pack of peanuts on the plane.

8:47

Well, that's all we have time

8:49

for this week. Thanks to Molly

8:51

White and Joe Tidy. Do remember

8:54

to keep your thoughts and comments

8:56

coming in to more or less

8:58

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