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This BBC podcast is supported by
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ads outside the UK. the and
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thank you for downloading the More
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or Less more or less podcast. We're that looks
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at the numbers in the news, the
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and I'm Charlotte and I'm Charlotte McDonald.
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Today we're lining up the fireworks to
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bring you more you of the year, of
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and this time this time your own your
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own picks. We We asked you to send
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in your your numbers of 2024, the
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figures and stats that have caught
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your eye, have and which feels significant
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at this particular moment in time. Let's
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start with our first number. in
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time. Let's start with our
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first number from of the
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year is 1 .62 year is
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the average number of degrees
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above the pre -industrial level the
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on average over the past
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12 months. on average over the
0:48
past 12 months. 1.62 .62 it's at
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1.5 degrees, the isn't 1 .5 degrees the
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figure we always hear as the
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threshold figure when reporting on climate
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change? Amanda Amanda Maycock, in a professor
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in climate dynamics at the University
1:01
of Leeds in the UK. UK. Now
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in 2015, the governments of the world
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signed the Paris Agreement which set up up
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the targets to limit the increase
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in the global average temperature to well
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below two degrees and to pursue
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efforts to limit the temperature increase to
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one and a half degrees. one This
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year is the first year where
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we will have exceeded that one and
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a half degree threshold. and a half However,
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it's important to note that that
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target is referring to the long is referring
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to temperature over many years, rather than
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just the value in a single
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year. year. So we we haven't breached
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the commitments from the Paris from the Paris
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least not yet, at least not yet.
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.62 degrees figure that Gary
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spotted spotted the period from
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November 2023 to October
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2024. It comes It comes from
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a report released via the EU's
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Copernicus Climate Change Change Service. So does
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this mean that we can expect
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a rise above 1 .62 degrees
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next year? next Not necessarily. So
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we have a long -term increase. in
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temperature and on top of that we
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have these bumps and wiggles from
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year to year. year know that this
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year has been particularly warm partly because
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of a phenomenon known as the
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El as the El Oscillation. that's the
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weather pattern that causes water in
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the eastern Pacific to heat up more
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than normal. But it's quite possible
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that next year the temperature will drop
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back down again a little bit again
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we don't have another El Nino
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event another El the temperature will be a
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little bit below 1 .5 below 1.5 degrees.
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But these year to year wiggles are
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not the thing that the Paris that
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concerned with. They're concerned with the
2:35
long with. climate and the warming level
2:38
of that. However, as it stands, based
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on our current greenhouse gas emissions greenhouse
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gas emissions we expect to happen over the
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coming years to those emissions, it
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is looking likely that the one
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and a half degree target would be
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broken sometime in the early 2030. sometime
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in the early 2030s. Is this year's
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specific temperature increase of
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1 .62 degrees something we
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should be aware of. is It
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is telling us that we're on this
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trajectory into a warmer climate that we've
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been on for many decades now. So
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this should be a warning bell to
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us all that we need to up
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our action to up try to mitigate our
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greenhouse gas emissions and to combat further
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climate change. to combat further climate change.
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is is a new year's for us
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all. us all. On to to our next listeners
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number of the year. of It comes
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to us from comes to us from Emil
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Richmond. the year of the .7
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billion, the number in in 2054, that
3:31
there will be people over
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65, 65. An an incredible rise
3:36
from the current 830 million.
3:38
million. over double the population
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of over over in about
3:42
30 years years time. That is
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indeed indeed an astonishing We called on We
3:46
called on someone who can help
3:48
us make sense of it. it. My
3:50
My name is Jennifer Dowd and I'm a
3:52
I'm a professor of and population health
3:54
at the University of Ottawa. of
3:57
Oxford. Demographers how to to
3:59
count people. So where does
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this figure come from? from? And how
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accurate is it? it? This number from
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the most recent from the the UN
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world prospects. I would say
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this say quite reliable quite because
4:11
the people who are over
4:14
65 in 2054 are already
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born a we have quite a
4:18
good idea of how many
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of them there are and
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have to make some assumptions
4:24
about mortality. Is this this down
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to people simply living longer? But
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that's a misconception, says Jennifer. says
4:30
It's actually what I would
4:32
call a demographic call a of
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changes in fertility from the past.
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So if you think about
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the size of the about the
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older population in 2054, in
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it's a function of how
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many people were born, let's
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say, from 1954 to 1989.
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which I which I find scary because
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it means that Taylor Swift, famously born
4:54
in 1989, will actually be 65
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in 2054. 65 in But it also means
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that in this sense, in the demography
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of old age is already written. So
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So 1954 was still squarely in the
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baby boom when people on
5:07
average were having four to five
5:09
babies. People are now having fewer
5:11
children. So the the size of the
5:13
population coming up behind the older generations
5:15
older will not be so large. be
5:17
so And it does mean that eventually
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eventually will run its course will run age
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groups will be closer to the
5:23
same size in the long run. run.
5:26
And while this population shift does
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bring plenty of challenges, of Jennifer
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says says shouldn't cause
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panic. panic. It It certainly is something
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that societies need to be prepared
5:36
for because of public spending on
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pensions and medical care. care, But
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I also think. lot A lot of demographers
5:42
would argue that we're a little a little We're
5:44
scared of population aging. You know older people
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are living longer but also healthier
5:48
than they they were in the past on
5:50
average, still contributing a lot
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to society, their spending their retirement savings,
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quite and I am quite sure that
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it's Taylor Swift Taylor Swift. will be
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contributing a lot to the... economy. And just
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And just imagine all the
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eras for between now and
6:05
then. number comes Our final
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number comes from loyal
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listener read in the Times newspaper that 80% of
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just read in a Times still use fax
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of German companies still use fax
6:16
machines Can third use them regularly. And
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Can this really be true, and
6:20
is it the reason for their
6:22
current economic concerns? had Lizzy had look
6:24
look into this. Hello, Lizzie. Hi Charlotte, well
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as as usual, I started out
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by looking into the key component
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of the question. You mean where
6:32
the statistic came from? No. from? What
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a a machine is. is. So fax machines,
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or facsimile machines, do what the
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name suggests. They create a copy
6:40
of a document. a So, like,
6:42
basically a scanner a photocopier, but the
6:44
copy is printed out at the
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other end of a phone line.
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of a I mean, I think most
6:50
people know that. people know I mean,
6:52
mean... most older people. Anyway, onto the on
6:54
to the statistics. this number comes from
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a report published in 2023 by which is
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a which is a digital association based
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in Germany that aims to digitize
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the German business sector. This report found
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that 8 % of 8% of that they
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surveyed did still use fax machines,
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but in a new report published by
7:11
them in 2024, that number had
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fallen to 77%. Do we have an
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idea of how much they them? I them?
7:18
because just because you have something doesn't
7:20
actually mean you use it a lot.
7:22
mean you use it a lot. I mean, I've got running shoes. Right.
7:24
So they published another I mean, that said of
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this % of companies use them very
7:28
often them 13 % and say they
7:30
use them often. them If we look
7:32
at the paper at the paper numbers off,
7:34
then their use them then 40% use very
7:36
often. or very the people who
7:39
fax who fax, half use them regularly,
7:41
and again, that and falling. that numbers
7:43
falling. Why are are people still using
7:45
fax machines? have so many other options
7:47
now. now. Some Some companies claim it's to meet
7:49
legal requirements. Legal requirements? Yeah, so this is
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a is a classic case of the
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law being to to change. years in For years
7:55
in Germany other many other countries, emails
7:57
weren't seen as sufficient or legal emails fa...
7:59
weren't in court. Facts are considered to
8:02
hold the same value, legally speaking,
8:04
as an original contract. However, that's
8:06
now changing and the German government
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are amending the law to include
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emails and these signatures as legal
8:12
forms of text. Okay, but what
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about listener Matt's question? Does it
8:16
damage their economy? Well... Germany faces
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problems such as an aging population,
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the knock-on effects of COVID, global
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demand shifting from manufactured goods to
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services, but the International Monetary Fund
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also believes that productivity could be
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boosted by cutting red tape. Many
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government services are also not digitised.
8:33
So there's a problem, but can
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we blame this all on the
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little fax machine? I think they've
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become a symbol for clunky, sluggish
8:42
bureaucracy rather than the root of
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it, but Germany isn't the only
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country with a reliance on facts.
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Japan is still a huge fan
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of the facts. Thanks, Lizzy. That's
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a wrap on last year's numbers,
8:54
but we will soon be ringing
8:56
in the new ones for 2025.
8:59
Thanks to all of our experts.
9:01
Until next week. Goodbye. Yoga
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is more than just exercise.
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It's the spiritual practice that
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millions swear by. And in
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2017, Miranda, a university tutor
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from London, joins a yoga
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school that promises profound transformation.
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It felt a really safe
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and welcoming space. After the
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yoga classes, I felt amazing.
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But soon, that calm, welcoming
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atmosphere leads to something far
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darker, a journey. that leads
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to allegations of grooming, trafficking
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and exploitation across international borders.
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I don't have my passport,
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feeling like they can leave.
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World of Secrets is where
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untold stories are unveiled and
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dark side of the wellness
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industry, where the hope of
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to disturbing accusations. breakthrough You just
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get sucked in so gradually,
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you don't so skillfully, that
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there, I that, believe know,
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me, was for some
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Revealing the hidden secrets of
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and for other people to
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in bring it into the
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the power. take back the power. World of Secrets,
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season six, the bad Bad Guru. Listen
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wherever you get your podcasts.
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