Episode Transcript
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today. Welcome
1:49
to NFL Daily, where we perceive
1:51
all the receptions. I'm Greg
1:53
Rosenthal. I'm here in the Chris
1:55
Wessling Podcast Studio with Patrick
1:57
Claibon, my friend, and coming to
2:00
us live from the East Coast.
2:02
Virginia, I believe. The man, Matt
2:05
Harmon, who created reception perception, who
2:07
has never seen a reception that he
2:09
has not perceived with utter clarity.
2:11
And that's why he's the man to
2:13
talk wide receivers and tight ends. What's
2:16
up, buddy? That was... That was the
2:18
most humbling and gratifying introduction I think
2:20
I've ever gotten on a show. You
2:23
know, it's funny. I guess if you
2:25
think about it, like the whole point
2:27
of reception perception is going beyond just
2:29
the catches and the production. So maybe
2:31
that was a bad name, you know,
2:33
because like it should be like route
2:35
perception or something. Now you've really got
2:37
me in a tailspin now about the
2:39
whole business. No, it sounds great because
2:42
it rhymes and I don't think anyone.
2:44
until I came along, really broke it
2:46
down to its root meaning, which is
2:48
that you have more of a depth
2:50
of perception than other people do. Yeah,
2:52
it's putting out front, hey, we're going
2:54
to contextualize the thing that you want
2:56
out of this process, which is a
2:58
reception, right? You run the routes and
3:00
you throw the ball in order to
3:02
have the reception. And so we are
3:04
going to perceive the receptions and the
3:06
man who birthed the idea from his
3:08
loins, which has been duplicated, I mean,
3:10
imitated, but never duplicated. Joining us on
3:13
the show to talk about past catchers.
3:15
Because again, you want the reception. That's
3:17
what you want. It's true. We have
3:19
tight ends today as well. And there
3:21
is a little part of me that
3:23
feels guilty when we just have Matt
3:25
on to talk receivers. It's like, oh,
3:27
it's draft season. Let's go break out
3:29
Harmon out of the closet to like,
3:31
let's move monkey and just talk receivers
3:33
and tight ends. That's not all you're
3:35
good for. You're a husband. You're
3:38
a great analyst of fantasy football that
3:40
used to do fantasy with Patrick here. I
3:42
believe you two guys probably attended each
3:44
other's wedding, so I'm feeling like I'm not
3:46
as close. But we did do a
3:48
podcast back in the day, Backyard Banter. I
3:50
mean, you're just more than just reception,
3:52
perception, and receivers, but that is kind of
3:54
your specialty, Harmon. Just accept it. I
3:57
mean, it would have been really weird if
3:59
you brought me on here. It's like,
4:01
all right, let's talk kickers. But we could
4:03
just talk whatever. It could just be
4:05
a normal show. You're a great analyst. Well,
4:08
I appreciate that. And yeah, I can
4:10
confirm I was at Patrick Claibon's wedding and
4:12
at mine. So yeah, boom, there we
4:14
go. We can officially put that confirmation out
4:16
there, but how is that chemistry going
4:18
to show up in this show though? Like,
4:20
will it, will people be able to
4:22
tell the difference that you guys are really
4:24
that tight? No, I
4:26
keep it professional with everybody on air.
4:28
Obviously, off air, as soon as
4:30
we click out of here, I'm going
4:32
to be very friendly with Claibon
4:34
and very antagonistic to you, Greg. But
4:36
that's just professionalism really here. But
4:39
I want to say here on the
4:41
tight end part of it, just
4:43
off the top, I don't chart tight
4:45
ends for reception perception. But that's
4:47
the best part of this is that
4:49
we'll do my very buttoned up,
4:51
like, all right, I've charted every route
4:53
of these guys for the wide
4:55
receivers. tight ends we're just going to
4:57
kind of shoot from the hip so it'll
4:59
be fun i'm looking forward to that's what
5:01
we're doing from with everyone and let's let's
5:03
just get into it let's let's talk receivers
5:05
and i don't know like your rankings harman
5:07
and i know patrick's got some hot takes
5:09
about these receivers i know if he has
5:11
a ranking perfect he's got some hot takes
5:14
and i've got some of my own as
5:16
well so i don't know if you have
5:18
a pure rankings after going through them all
5:20
but who's kind of in your top and
5:22
break it down by tears in in the
5:24
top OK, so, yeah,
5:26
I do have rankings. They are on
5:28
reception perception dot com, the stacked rankings
5:30
from multiple classes. So you can kind
5:32
of compare 2025 to 24, 23, et
5:34
cetera, et cetera. Number
5:37
one tier of his own is
5:39
Travis Hunter. To me, if we're just
5:41
viewing him as a wide receiver, I
5:43
mean. I really think it's undersold just
5:45
what an incredible pure football player he
5:47
is. Like, I think he should clearly
5:49
be the number one prospect in this
5:51
class. And it just like we
5:53
use generational all the time. And usually it's bad
5:55
analysis. Usually a player is not generational. This
5:57
guy actually is a once in a lifetime football
5:59
player. So there's that part of it just
6:02
straight up. But if we're just viewing him as
6:04
a wide receiver. He's one
6:06
of my favorite receivers I've ever evaluated
6:08
because he just checks every single box.
6:10
97th percentile success rate versus zone, 97th
6:12
percentile success rate versus press. I realize
6:14
he's obviously playing, you know, maybe some
6:16
lighter competition in the Big 12, but
6:18
he's dominating. He's obliterating that competition. He
6:20
also has rare ball skills, rare catching
6:22
ability. He's excellent in contested catch situations.
6:24
He rarely goes down on first contact.
6:26
My comparison for him, both as a
6:29
mover off the line of scrimmage, just
6:31
an overall receiver is like prime. Odell
6:33
Beckham so to me like he is
6:35
he's up there and perhaps even ahead
6:37
of some of the guys that went
6:39
in the top 10 of last year's
6:41
draft class so he's the only one
6:43
that I think is like a true
6:45
tier one you could take this guy
6:47
in the top 10 of any draft
6:49
he's a ready -made starter he could turn
6:51
into a superstar he's the only guy
6:54
like that in this class to me
6:56
I think the the thing that runs
6:58
people off because like you if you
7:00
listen like Steve Smith's thoughts on Travis
7:02
Hunter as a wide receiver, there's the
7:04
rawness. And I understand the Odell comp,
7:06
but then there's an aspect of route
7:08
running where I would like to equate
7:10
it to you have your standard golf
7:12
swing and then you have your non
7:14
-standard golf swings. But ultimately what matters
7:16
is where the ball winds up. And
7:19
if you're going for another cross -sport comp,
7:21
if you're going form basketball shooting, you
7:23
look at Klay Thompson, shoot the basketball,
7:25
and you're like, oh, that guy's a
7:27
much better shooter than this Steph Curry
7:29
character. But Steph has done it more
7:31
often and better than anybody who's ever
7:33
touched a basketball. And so I understand
7:35
if you're looking at Travis Hunter run
7:37
routes, and then you say, look at
7:39
Odell, and it's like, well, there's a
7:41
different look. There's plenty of different ways
7:44
to go about things. But
7:46
you can't dispute the fact that he is
7:48
still getting open. Well, he's also on the
7:50
field for 110 snaps and in the defensive
7:52
meeting rooms. Like the thing that struck out
7:54
to me, we're not going to spend too
7:56
much time on him just because you're a
7:58
victim of the circumstance of the NFL Daily
8:00
Week harm. And I feel like it's been
8:02
a big Travis on our week. We've definitely
8:04
talked about him and I'm with you. I
8:06
would absolutely. take him over
8:08
Harrison and neighbors as prospects, just that
8:10
receiver. To me, he is right there
8:13
with like the Jamar chases and the
8:15
best wide receiver prospects that, that we've,
8:17
that we've seen. And part of it
8:19
is just like the game slows down
8:21
for him at such an incredible level
8:23
that you can see the football intelligence.
8:26
And so if you add the intelligence
8:28
and then the ridiculously athletic, you know,
8:30
skills that, that he has just.
8:32
His ball skills and his reach and
8:34
everything is just absolutely next level. And
8:36
then you add in like 120 % of
8:38
the dog in him that he has.
8:40
Like, what more do you want? He,
8:43
to me, would be the number one
8:45
overall player just as a wide receiver
8:47
and as a cornerback. But I'm more
8:49
interested now because we haven't dove as
8:51
deeply into the rest of the
8:53
class. Let's say he's in a tier
8:55
of his own. There is a lot
8:58
of disagreement, I think, about how to
9:00
stack the next. three guys potentially, or
9:02
depending on how you feel, the next
9:04
five, six, and then on and on,
9:06
because it feels like it's a deep
9:08
class where there's a lot of guys
9:10
who are going to play important roles,
9:13
but different views on what types of
9:15
players that these guys are. So a
9:17
little bit agnostic, having broken down all
9:19
the film, where do you go after
9:21
Hunter? Yeah, I think
9:23
there's two guys that stand out from the
9:25
next chunk to me that I think
9:27
there's a gap between them and then everybody
9:29
else where I do agree with you
9:31
that everybody else is, you know, like late
9:33
round one, early round two type or
9:36
a very, very good. Day two player. The
9:38
two guys that stick out to me
9:40
are Tetra McMillan at Arizona and then Emeka
9:42
Buka at Ohio State. And the reason
9:44
I like Buka more than some of these
9:46
other players, he's just so reliable. And
9:48
I'm a sucker for like this type of
9:50
wide receiver because they tend to, you
9:52
know, like, OK, he's just a number two.
9:54
He's more like a power slot receiver.
9:56
How much upside is there with that? Nobody
9:58
complains about the upside of Amon Ross
10:00
St. Brown when he pushes to like lead
10:02
the NFL in receptions every single year.
10:04
And he is cut from the same. Cloth
10:06
is a Buka to me. Great zone
10:08
beater, but I think he's good enough against
10:11
man coverage in reception perception to play
10:13
outside. Awesome hands. Again, he's just so reliable.
10:15
So he is a guy that I
10:17
would take in like the middle of the
10:19
first round. And yeah, OK, he's my
10:21
number two receiver. Big, big whoop.
10:23
You're getting a huge value on that
10:25
from what number two receivers, quote unquote, are
10:27
paid in the NFL right now. So
10:29
he's my three. And McMillan, I have a
10:31
little bit ahead of him just because,
10:33
you know, the size profiles really. good he's
10:35
just a like good strong x receiver
10:38
prospect not perfect which is why he's not
10:40
quite in that tier one level to
10:42
me there are some flaws in his game
10:44
but you know again somebody i'd be
10:46
really comfortable picking in the first round okay
10:48
so they're those two guys are 17
10:50
and 18 on daniel jeremiah's big board behind
10:52
matthew golden by the way who will
10:54
get to i'm sure soon let's let's start
10:56
with with the buka here because he's
10:58
someone i've gone back and forth with when
11:01
i watched him and then when i
11:03
talked to people and i'm like For
11:05
instance, our friend Mina Kimes thinks
11:07
he's diet Jackson Smith and Jigba. And
11:09
other people think he's better than
11:11
a Jackson Smith and Jigba. And he's
11:13
in that category. And the more
11:15
I watch, I kind of settled on
11:18
that. He's probably a little below
11:20
that for me. And it's what you
11:22
want to value. If you're like
11:24
Harmon, and I think more than any
11:26
player in this class, he feels
11:28
like a very safe single or double.
11:30
I kind of came down on
11:32
that. Maybe he's not. quite
11:35
special enough that if I had to like rank
11:37
him versus other guys in the past
11:39
like Smith and Jigba. I actually would put
11:41
him a little bit below, but he was
11:43
a professional in college. He's going to be
11:45
a professional in the pros. He's going to
11:47
be a good player. I think the
11:49
ceiling's a little lower, but that's fine because
11:52
of what Matt Harmon said. Now, is he
11:54
going to be a number two like Devonta
11:56
Smith is a number two? I don't necessarily
11:58
think that. No, I don't think he's
12:00
that type of number two, but he's going
12:02
to play in the NFL for a long
12:04
time. And in this draft where you don't
12:06
know anything after the top four or five,
12:08
like that has a lot of that.
12:10
Yeah. If we're, if, if the, If the
12:12
goal, right, is Devontae Smith, then that's going
12:14
to be tough to find in the draft
12:17
in general, other than Travis Hunter. With Ibuka,
12:19
I would like to see the explosion
12:21
if I'm going to have him ahead of
12:23
Golden, right, or even like Higgins, who we'll
12:25
get to, where I just need to see
12:27
the elite traits. I think some of the
12:29
things that, and I'm not saying this
12:31
is building Matt up, but it's building other
12:33
people up with Ibuka, is the uniform. and
12:35
there's a little Ohio State, and there's the
12:37
idea that, oh, you're getting Scary Terry. You're
12:39
getting pre -transfer JMO. You're getting Olave. I
12:41
don't see any of those. No, I agree.
12:44
That ability to explode away. And
12:46
north of 200, I would have liked to see
12:48
just a few more broken tackles and making
12:50
more plays in space. But I understand there is
12:52
an absolute value of knowing where somebody is
12:54
going to be and when they're going to get
12:56
there, and that's what makes him a safe
12:58
pick. But if I'm trying to hit home runs
13:01
in this draft, which I think is what
13:03
you should try to do. I think doubles
13:05
are fine. Doubles in this class. If he was
13:07
a running back, he would be David Montgomery
13:09
to me. That's
13:11
pretty good. It's really good. And it's
13:13
why I have him fourth. I do
13:15
have him behind Golden and T -Mac.
13:17
T -Mac, by the way, says he wants
13:19
to be called. T -Mac. So that's
13:21
what he, as his first name, essentially.
13:24
So I will do that. And I
13:26
do wonder, with the age, right, at
13:28
22, he probably never saw Tracy McGrady
13:30
play basketball. Ever. No, you're right. That's
13:32
fair. So he can take it, I
13:34
guess. It's fine. It's been a generation.
13:36
Agbuka will be like, you know what
13:38
he's really good at, Matt? And this
13:40
is probably where he banks really well
13:42
on reception perception. He's very
13:44
good at catching the football. You know how
13:46
when the quarterback throws it to him,
13:49
it's like this kind of crazy shape and
13:51
the ball comes at different speeds and
13:53
they come in different directions. A lot of
13:55
times with Egbuka, it's over the shoulder. He's
13:58
good at putting his hands up and
14:00
then he it. Like that's, I feel like
14:02
it gets pretty important thing. I kind
14:04
of feel like it gets underrated though at
14:06
wide receiver. Like he is actually all
14:08
these guys at the top are, have good
14:10
hands. I would say none of them.
14:12
They're all plus, but to me, he's like
14:14
extra plus. So do you want to
14:16
fight back against anything that Patrick said there?
14:19
I think it really is like what you
14:21
value. And this is kind of the
14:23
hard part about like ranking, especially the wide
14:25
receiver position. It's hard for any draft.
14:27
prospect in general and just an entire class
14:29
worth when you're not looking at it
14:31
for a specific team or a specific system
14:34
because like I love Amon Ross St.
14:36
Brown the player that I compare a Buka
14:38
to but he probably wouldn't be that
14:40
guy on every single team right like and
14:42
this is the the tough part with
14:44
this archetype of receiver is that You
14:46
get them when they're in the right offense
14:48
and you can flow the entire thing through them.
14:51
But then at the same time, like you
14:53
look at these guys who are primary power slot
14:55
players and, you know, sometimes because of the
14:57
size or build or whatever, they might get played
14:59
more outside in a certain system and it's
15:01
not quite the same statistical results. So I just
15:03
love a guy that I think is. B
15:06
plus, B plus, B plus, maybe A minus
15:08
as a zone beater across the board. And
15:10
I think I can drop him into pretty
15:12
much any offense and he's going to give
15:14
me a nice floor of a player. But
15:16
I do think there are certain systems and
15:18
certain offenses around the league where he'd actually
15:20
be one of the most productive wideouts in
15:22
the league. Just on the JSN comparison, just
15:24
because I want to come back to that.
15:27
I like JSN a touch more as a
15:29
prospect. I basically put it that I think
15:31
JSN was a flashier player because he was
15:33
a better man coverage beater than Ibuka is.
15:35
But I think Ibuka is a... a superior
15:37
dirty work guy and more of a rugged
15:39
receiver. Yeah, and they gave him the ball
15:41
so much because Egbuka, that is, in the
15:43
backfield. He played... running back,
15:45
fullback. Like he has a lot of
15:47
like, and he'd always get what's blocked. And
15:49
that's why I thought about Montgomery. Like
15:51
he's a seven to eight yard type of
15:53
guy. I don't know if he has
15:55
the downfield pop of, of St. Brown or
15:57
JSN in the end. I didn't evaluate
16:00
St. Brown, like coming out of college. So
16:02
it's hard to compare him to them.
16:04
But in terms of a pro, I think
16:06
that the floor is, you know, maybe
16:08
higher than these other guys, but, but McMillan,
16:10
I kind of came into it and
16:12
I hate having some, you know, thoughts
16:14
ahead of time of what you hear and
16:16
maybe it's a little bit of a prejudice
16:18
and I expected to not like him as
16:21
much as I did for whatever reason and
16:23
I loved him and I think if it
16:25
wasn't for all the plays that he doesn't
16:27
have he's the number one guy I think
16:29
in maybe the last couple of classes where
16:31
if you only watched his targets he
16:34
would be ranked higher than if you
16:36
didn't watch the rest of his snaps. And
16:38
that's why I get why DJ's got
16:40
him number 18 overall. That's why I get
16:42
that he's not the, just the home
16:44
run number two behind Hunter, because I think
16:46
if it was just his targets, he's
16:48
probably the home run number two. I really
16:50
like golden too. And we'll, we'll get
16:52
to him. But I thought like the other,
16:55
the other snaps like weren't at, weren't
16:57
as good. Like he's a better guy. I
16:59
didn't actually tell me, cause I'm just
17:01
flying off the hip. Did you, grade
17:03
him better versus zone than man was
17:05
there a big difference there yeah like
17:07
it's actually pretty close percentile wise he's
17:09
a 59th percentile man coverage beater he's
17:11
a 60th percentile zone beater um so
17:13
it is like very neck and neck
17:15
uh but he's actually the in terms
17:17
of success rate versus man press and
17:20
zone relatively he's best against press coverage
17:22
which i actually kind of did like
17:24
I'd almost completely disagree with what you
17:26
said about him being like, I like
17:28
more watching him when he doesn't get
17:30
the ball, because I think when he
17:32
gets the ball, if you're just watching
17:34
his targets, you kind of bucket him
17:36
into this like big ball winning lack
17:38
of separation receiver because he's in so
17:40
many contested situations. But I think the
17:42
best parts of his game and the
17:44
reasons that I think he's. To
17:47
me, the number two, if we're putting out
17:49
Travis Hunter, he's the number one receiver in
17:51
this class. It's because he's so good on
17:53
these in -breaking routes, particularly posts and digs
17:55
and stuff like that. I kind of settled
17:57
on a Cortland Sutton comparison for him. Somebody
17:59
that is probably an ideal high -end two, but
18:01
you can get away with him being your
18:04
number one receiver. That's generally what I see
18:06
when I look at TMAC. It's a good
18:08
prospect profile overall. Not quite a tier one
18:10
player to me, but there's a lot. lot
18:12
of things to like about him he sneaks
18:14
up on you after the catch so really
18:16
it is like the plays where he the
18:18
ball doesn't go his way and you see
18:20
him as but he doesn't try that hard
18:22
that's my number one thing I think the
18:24
effort was bad hear you on that well
18:26
I think that's huge and that kind of
18:28
goes along and you never know at this
18:30
time of year what's true or
18:33
what's not with that kind of criticism. But
18:35
it reminded me a lot of A .D.
18:37
Mitchell from a year ago, who to
18:39
me had big red flags on his tape
18:41
that he just didn't try that hard
18:43
on a lot of plays. And that felt
18:45
like, well, McMillan. McMillan seemed so upset
18:47
all the time that he wasn't getting the
18:49
ball enough. He certainly wasn't interested in
18:51
run blocking or when he wasn't the primary
18:53
guy. And I'm thinking, this is the
18:55
most productive receiver in the last few years,
18:57
just about. He came in averaging 18
18:59
yards per catch. He had 1 ,300 yards
19:01
both. he's awesome. I really think it's going
19:03
to work out for the most part,
19:05
but I would want to get to the
19:07
bottom of that, that, that to me,
19:09
there were just a lot of, there were
19:11
a lot of routes where it's just
19:13
like, man, I'm not, I like
19:15
where he, there was a couple where he
19:17
just literally stood there. Well, I was like,
19:19
come on. Yeah. He probably should be better
19:21
than he is, but, but he's still, no,
19:23
no. Like when he was the primary guy,
19:25
I think like when he got the ball,
19:27
he was freaking incredible. I think to contextualize
19:29
some of those things, right. Okay,
19:31
so October 5th, loss. October 12th, loss.
19:34
October 19th, loss. October 26th, loss. November
19:36
2nd, loss. Some of these are by
19:38
like 27 points. Yeah, they're getting run
19:40
out of the stadium routinely. He's the
19:42
leading receiver. There's a guy we'll talk
19:44
about who had an even bigger number,
19:46
but he had like 44 % of
19:48
their passing yards were yards that were
19:50
thrown to T -Mac. And so like, and
19:52
I understand, but the... amount of volume
19:54
placed on him in the passing game,
19:56
especially at a big height and weight,
19:58
I could see where that could cause
20:01
you Do you think he's just tired,
20:03
maybe? Yeah, kind of frazzle in many
20:05
situations where if you're not the one
20:07
on a route, like... Why am I
20:09
selling out at 6 '4"? Well, because
20:11
you might get to number two on
20:13
the route. And I think, right, if
20:15
you go back and watch the Colorado
20:17
game, a lot of folks are like,
20:19
hey, the Colorado game showed that if
20:21
he plays some talent in the defensive
20:23
backfield, you're not going to get the
20:25
production. I saw him turn a defender
20:28
around and get six yards of separation
20:30
and a ball hit the water cooler
20:32
after it hit his hands. And then
20:34
I saw another deep pass that would
20:36
have been a spot foul on pass
20:38
interference that... in college football just got
20:40
15 yards and so you're taking away
20:42
the impact there where I just saw
20:44
this dude have nothing more than impact
20:46
yes in games that's why I would
20:48
bet on him in the end like
20:50
I just find him fascinating I think
20:52
he'd go in so many direct I've
20:54
heard Michael Pittman as a comparison and
20:57
then that's where like if he doesn't
20:59
have kind of the next level explosion
21:02
or something you got to be a try
21:04
hard player you're gonna need to block with
21:06
the type of inside player that he's gonna
21:08
be like and so that's you want him
21:10
to to be that guy but just for
21:12
a little background for people who aren't familiar
21:14
from Arizona like like I said 1300 plus
21:16
yards 1400 plus yards he came into this
21:18
season almost knowing he was gonna be a
21:20
high pick and that That's a tricky spot
21:22
to be in. You do wonder between him
21:24
and Will Johnson, two guys who
21:26
are kind of expected to be top five picks coming
21:28
into it. Their teams are much
21:30
better. Maybe that does explain a little bit
21:33
of whether it's effort or just... In
21:35
the end, he got it done. I actually
21:37
think he's a much better guy after
21:39
the catch than Cortland Sutton, for instance. He's
21:41
a good yak guy. He can dunk
21:43
on guys. He can do it all. I
21:45
think he has a great natural feel. That's
21:48
where I... I don't know that I have so
21:50
many comps just flying around, but like George Pickens,
21:52
like he's got a, he's got not as a
21:54
player, but just as a feel for the position.
21:56
I think he's got that he he's football smart
21:58
is, is I guess how I would put it.
22:01
Yeah. I like to do comps
22:03
in like kind of archetypes and
22:05
families of receivers. And I think
22:07
he belongs to the family of
22:09
receiver. That's like Michael Thomas, Drake,
22:11
London gap. you know,
22:13
Michael Pittman, Cortland Sutton, like these bigger
22:15
guys who are better separators than you
22:18
think. But I think he falls
22:20
closer to like the Sutton Pittman zone. But there's
22:22
no question that like if he fully dials in,
22:24
I think he could get a little bit closer
22:26
to Drake London. But I have a very high
22:28
opinion of Drake London. That's just where he was
22:30
making a lot of plays like down the field.
22:32
And like I said, was not like he would
22:34
go down at first contact. Basically, it's not like
22:36
he's breaking tackles, but he's a smooth. athlete
22:39
that made a lot of great plays
22:41
after the catch. So I find him fascinating.
22:43
I have him right there with Golden
22:45
and Evan really made a decision. So we'll
22:47
talk about Golden after the break. We'll
22:49
talk about the rest of a very fascinating
22:51
wide receiver class right after this. It's
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25:11
Back on NFL Daily.
25:13
A man with the
25:15
biggest water bottle I've
25:18
ever seen. Matt Harmon.
25:20
It's right next to me. You might as
25:22
well just show it off. It just feels a
25:24
little show -offy. It's a little bit. I mean...
25:26
I am better than you because I'm more
25:28
hydrated than you. That is for sure. Your water
25:30
bottle should increase with your mass, and Matt
25:32
has put on so much mass. It's true. Very
25:35
fit. That's what I mean. He's going to
25:37
be at the two -gallon water bottle very soon.
25:39
It's true. Matt is a
25:41
year away from – I guess
25:43
you're not going to be 6 '4",
25:45
like Tett McMillan. He's going to
25:47
be a draft site. The 2027
25:49
NFL draft will be at Matt
25:51
Harmon. The goal
25:53
is to next year at the Combine,
25:55
provided that they let me go back, is
25:57
to slip into one of the jumpsuits.
25:59
Well, definitely get into the bench. Slip into
26:02
one of the jumpsuits and see if
26:04
I can get some random beat writer to
26:06
start asking me questions. A
26:08
lot of buzz. A lot of buzz about Harmon's
26:10
body lately. Too much. Let's talk
26:12
about your next tier. Matthew
26:14
Golden, who you mentioned, Steve
26:16
Smith, for instance. It's
26:19
his number one wide receiver. Jeremiah
26:21
really has the top three basically
26:23
the same. 16, 17, 18 overall
26:25
on his board. But he does
26:27
have Golden first. Some people I
26:29
trust, we had on Ollie Connelly
26:31
earlier this week. He had Golden,
26:33
I believe, as his kind of
26:36
clear number two, along with TMAC.
26:38
Actually, not clear, but kind of
26:40
those two grouped together as a
26:42
strong two behind Hunter. So where
26:44
do you have Golden? And give
26:46
me kind of this tier, what
26:48
you have lined up. Yeah,
26:50
Golden's my next guy after
26:52
Agbuka. And I really like Matthew
26:54
Golden. And what's the rest of the tier first before
26:57
we get into Golden? I want to hear, or is
26:59
he all by himself? No, Luther
27:01
Burden and Jalen Knoll actually out of
27:03
Iowa State. This is kind of like
27:05
the guys that I think are late
27:07
first rounders, early second rounder types. I
27:09
think Golden's a really good player. He
27:11
comes out excellent in terms of success
27:13
rate versus zone coverage. I don't think,
27:15
I think his... I think his route
27:17
running like in the short area is
27:19
not ideal, but he's an excellent like
27:21
once he builds up speed, he and
27:23
to be honest you, I never saw
27:25
him as like a four sub four
27:27
three player, but he's obviously fast. He
27:29
brings you verticality. It's really he's more
27:31
like just. when he snaps off routes,
27:33
again, particularly in breakers, he just gets
27:35
so, so significantly open, particularly against like
27:37
off. Yeah, it really pops. And he,
27:39
to me, would fit so well in
27:41
a positioning that like Jordan Addison found
27:43
himself in, which is he's across from
27:45
a great number one and he can
27:47
be a very, very good number two
27:49
that gives you maybe not consistent production,
27:51
but like chunk plays and explosives down
27:53
the field, probably from like that offensive
27:56
family tree as well. So I really
27:58
like Golden. I think he does. He's
28:01
got good hands in contested situations. He's
28:03
actually one of these guys that the
28:05
harder and more difficult the catch, the
28:07
higher the catch rate is. And then if
28:09
it's just some of the more routine
28:11
stuff underneath, he will occasionally put too
28:13
many balls on the ground. So to
28:15
me, I think there's more upside with some
28:18
of the other guys. I think... looks
28:20
like just more of like a, like
28:22
a good solid number two receiver in
28:24
the NFL. Who's probably going to be more
28:26
tactically valuable to a team because he
28:28
opens up space for guys underneath. Then
28:30
he will be like productive in a
28:32
top receiver role. When you ran all the
28:34
numbers. So people who aren't familiar, you
28:36
should check out Matt Harmon on all
28:38
the podcasts he does. He does some football
28:41
301 with Nate Tice. He's got his
28:43
own podcast with his fantasy podcast at
28:45
Yahoo, but he also does reception perception.
28:47
That's his site. That's the supplementary. supplementary
28:49
income that he makes, which is important
28:52
in the game. You got your big job,
28:54
but then he's got a little side
28:56
job. And so if you are into football,
28:58
I highly recommend checking that out, subscribing.
29:00
When you broke it all down, and this
29:02
is proprietary stuff here, when you broke
29:04
it all down with Golden, I'm curious if
29:07
anything stuck out just like in terms
29:09
of how he wins or whether he was
29:11
just kind of consistent across the board. No,
29:14
I think if you look at like
29:16
his route tree, like the route... by
29:18
route chart. It really is the stuff down
29:20
the field. Nines, posts, corners, digs, outs.
29:22
But where I think and this is
29:24
just what I get hung up on is
29:27
that he's kind of average to below
29:29
average on curls and slants and stuff like
29:31
that, where he's going to just like
29:33
rack up consistent production. I think that's
29:35
the part where I didn't really see like
29:37
a clear cut round one player. And
29:39
I saw more of a very good
29:41
complimentary guy. Again, if he lands in a
29:43
spot like once the draft happens, he
29:46
lands. in a spot like Dallas where he
29:48
is across from a great number one
29:50
wide receiver like then I think that's
29:52
a really good situation for him but
29:54
where I wouldn't want him to go is
29:56
somewhere where he has to then step
29:58
into that number one wide receiver role because
30:00
I think he's more again more tactically
30:02
valuable and like as a compliment than
30:04
he is as a true number one yeah
30:07
it did the landing spot always is
30:09
going to matter for for all of
30:11
these guys but I think when you have
30:13
elite traits like his explosiveness is elite
30:15
and You look at the tape and
30:17
it shows up there. So like Matt mentioned in
30:19
the end breakers, I think there were a lot
30:21
of passing yards that Quinn Ewers might've left on
30:23
the table. Yes. Having golden.
30:26
Although he let him almost show off the
30:28
ball skills because he was, I had
30:30
a lot of great catches because they were
30:33
on bad, bad, bad throws. But the
30:35
Quinn's been doing that for a few prospects.
30:37
Yeah. It's had some guys in some
30:39
situations where like we, we might've underrated Xavier
30:41
worthy because of, because of the way
30:43
things kind of turned out there. And so
30:45
like, I know they had him returning
30:48
kicks. I didn't necessarily see
30:50
the broken tackles as a kicker because
30:52
you get this idea that, oh, this is
30:54
a kick return and you get him
30:56
the ball in space, he's going to make.
30:58
There wasn't a lot of that, but
31:00
the explosion. leapt off the screen in a
31:02
capacity to me that i can't push
31:04
him down past other guys who don't have
31:06
yeah to me he's so smooth i
31:08
i went back and forth between him and
31:10
mcmillan in the end but to me
31:12
i would have them kind of clearly ahead
31:14
because to me he's not a similar
31:17
player to buka but to me he has
31:19
a very high floor and maybe i'm
31:21
wrong about that he he came on and
31:23
had a big year but he seems
31:25
very good at a lot of things. Just
31:27
a solid, as you're saying, wide receiver
31:29
too. But I do think there's a little
31:31
potential for him to be closer to
31:33
a Devonta Smith. Not that he's exactly the
31:35
same player, but in the same way
31:37
that when people were saying, well, the size
31:39
is not ideal size. I don't care.
31:41
The way he played, he plays very strong
31:43
for his size. So I'm not worried
31:46
about his size. He pushed guys off press
31:48
coverage. He almost he he brought it
31:50
on and I thought he succeeded a lot
31:52
when he did it. And so that
31:54
to me was like, hmm, is there even
31:56
more here where he can be like
31:58
a really one of the best second receivers
32:00
in the league or a top 25
32:02
receiver? You mentioned McLaurin and I think it
32:04
was was it John Ledyard who made
32:06
that comparison? And I can kind of see
32:08
that like in a perfect world. Maybe
32:10
he wins a little bit like McLaurin and
32:13
obviously, you know. McLaurin's like all
32:15
pro level. That's next level. But you've got
32:17
to see how McLaurin fell in the draft. And
32:19
I kind of see that. And so I
32:21
like him a lot. I think it's a really
32:23
good wide receiver class. To me, there's a
32:25
pretty big drop off after those four, but not
32:27
for you. You have Burden and you have
32:29
Noel in this class. So kind of go through
32:31
your process and what you think about those
32:33
two guys. Yeah, with
32:35
Burden... He's
32:37
a tough one, man, because I think
32:39
if you grade to the flashes, I
32:41
think he looks like he could be
32:43
the best receiver in this class. The
32:45
problem is that it's not all flashes.
32:47
I do think he's a bit of
32:49
a similar to T -Mac, where I
32:51
think T -Mac's a bit of a misunderstood
32:53
player. Is this just like big non
32:55
-separation ball winner? I think Luther Burden
32:57
is a little bit too miscast because
32:59
of how he was used as like
33:01
a Mickey Mouse. pop gun receiver like
33:03
just kind of a design touches gadget
33:05
player there's actually to me a lot
33:08
more to his game potentially as a
33:10
as a man coverage beater again it
33:12
is flashes because he faced more zone
33:14
coverage than any receiver I've charted this
33:16
year and only one other prospect in
33:18
like the entire prospect database I have
33:20
which is about 150 players now has
33:22
faced more zone coverage than him and
33:24
it's just because of that role that
33:26
he's playing in so again it's flashes
33:28
but still 68th percentile success rate versus
33:30
man coverage right over 70%, which is
33:32
an encouraging number. It's primarily on these
33:34
like outbreaking routes where he was really,
33:36
really good. I mean, 90 .9 % success
33:38
rate on out routes, really, really encouraging
33:40
number for him. The problem is he's
33:42
facing all that zone coverage and he's
33:44
like an average zone beater. He
33:46
just gets caught up. Sometimes he runs
33:48
himself into zone coverage. He doesn't have
33:51
the best feel for it. So I
33:53
think there's. Honestly, the
33:55
best way to say it is how
33:57
good is Luther Burden going to be? That's
33:59
up to Luther Burden because he's another
34:01
guy that came into this year with a
34:03
lot of hype as just that he's
34:05
going to be a top 10 pick. He's
34:07
the best receiver in this class. And
34:09
people kind of think he mailed in this
34:11
season. And I think normally I wouldn't
34:13
say something like that, but I think it
34:16
shows up at times that he's just
34:18
not fully engaged with what's going on. I
34:20
think that's true. So I went back
34:22
and... Someone was like, you
34:24
got to watch his junior tape
34:26
or something. But I thought
34:28
it was there too. He maybe
34:30
popped a little more, but the
34:32
effort kind of came and went
34:34
a little bit with those two
34:36
earlier. He is a very exciting
34:39
player, but I struggle, and maybe
34:41
you're going to push back here,
34:43
Patrick, how does he fit into
34:45
a team? I think that is
34:47
sometimes lost in the draft mix,
34:49
the industrial complex. If there's
34:51
one thing that's probably missing the most
34:53
that I would say is a knowledge
34:56
of like how teams work and what's
34:58
working in the league and how he's
35:00
going to fit. And I'm not burden
35:02
feels like. man you better have a
35:04
plan for him and I'm not totally
35:06
sure so I hear you that it
35:08
could be really exciting but it could
35:10
be to me he looks like for
35:13
most teams like a fourth receiver that
35:15
you're like how do we use this
35:17
guy yeah and there's that danger of
35:19
the the gadget guy right right that
35:21
gets misused and I think the difficulty
35:23
and what needs to be done is
35:25
you need to evaluate what he can
35:27
do because I'm not sure Missouri was
35:29
was really featuring that Especially in 2024,
35:32
they brought on Kirby Moore as the
35:34
new offensive coordinator after the 2023 season.
35:36
And they went from the 29th ranked
35:38
offense in college football to 55. The
35:40
points per game dropped by seven. And
35:42
you just watch and you're like, OK,
35:44
show me what you can do, Luther.
35:46
And the offense is keeping you from
35:49
seeing that. I really don't think just
35:51
in terms of evaluating. what
35:53
the offense gave him an opportunity to do,
35:55
like, because it was the same quarterback. And
35:58
you're just wondering, like, the
36:00
crispness of, if you're going to ding Luther
36:02
on the crispness of the routes and the way
36:04
he proceeds, I kind of want to see
36:06
the offense operate in that capacity. It felt a
36:08
little like Tyler Warren, who we'll get to.
36:10
It was just kind of like, hey, run over
36:12
there. You know, just like, just
36:14
kind of run over there and we'll
36:16
figure it out. I don't know. But
36:18
one thing, right, he punishes bad tackling.
36:20
If you are not in the proper
36:22
position, Luther is going to make you
36:24
play. And if you're a Nick Imanwari
36:26
fan, the South Carolina game, when there
36:28
was one -on -one, Nick got him on
36:30
the ground. But then to the same
36:32
extent, when you finish that game, Luther
36:35
runs a slot fade with a minute and 30
36:37
seconds to go and wins the game. So
36:39
you saw his ability to
36:41
separate and to make plays
36:43
the catch point. You
36:47
need to have maybe if the tackling
36:49
is not up to snuff, he's going to
36:51
make you pay. But if guys are
36:53
out there and can move and have the
36:55
physical capacity. he's not breaking tackles
36:57
to the extent that you'd want like okay this
36:59
is our this is our Debo Samuel which
37:01
like nobody should do that anymore stop doing that
37:03
but like if you think but he is
37:05
that he is that guy in this class if
37:07
those guys haven't worked lately maybe that's what
37:09
it is but he's so much better against man
37:12
coverage than a guy like Debo Samuel that's
37:14
where that's where I get I come down with
37:16
him that I think there is more to
37:18
his game there's room to grow there and like
37:20
I mean like he could use him like
37:22
Rasheed Rice has used with the Kansas city chiefs.
37:24
So if you don't like Luther Burden's usage,
37:26
I better not hear you saying like Rasheed Rice
37:28
is one of the best young receivers in
37:30
the league. Like I just, I think you can
37:32
use him in that way and you can
37:34
develop more from there. Maybe it's, maybe it's just
37:36
the time in like the NFL evolution that
37:38
we're doing this show that I'm just like less
37:41
into these guys now than I would have
37:43
been like to me, if he was going to
37:45
be a chiefs receiver, he feels more like
37:47
Canary is Tony, but I, I'm, I want to
37:49
go back and watch. I don't feel like
37:51
I watched enough of, all these guys, and sometimes
37:53
it's the games that you catch them. And
37:55
I did try to go back to the older
37:57
ones. I mean, he's a really exciting player.
37:59
I think he's one where fit is going to
38:01
matter even more than most. I think that's
38:03
true of Noel, though, as well. So it's interesting
38:05
that you put him on your list, this
38:07
high Jalen Noel. So he's 5 '10", 194. Very
38:10
interesting profile. Fast 40.
38:13
but was more of like a vertical slot
38:15
guy. And so that's the type of role
38:17
I think he would have in the NFL. The
38:19
trick is to me, kind of going back to
38:22
what I said with Burden too, is like how
38:24
many teams know how to use that? How many
38:26
of those guys really are there? You kind of
38:28
need to do a lot of things. Do you
38:30
think he can do a lot of things, Jalen
38:32
Noel? Oh, yeah. This
38:34
is my type of receiver. From
38:36
a reception perception standpoint, he's very
38:38
similar to Lad McConkie last year
38:40
from a man coverage standpoint. From
38:42
more of a full profile standpoint,
38:44
I actually think he compares pretty
38:46
well to Josh Downs, who... I
38:49
mean, Josh Downs would be a much more
38:51
productive player if he wasn't playing in that Colts
38:53
offense, because I think he can give you
38:55
a lot of that like downfield stuff. You saw
38:57
that with Drake May at UNC. So, yeah,
38:59
Noel, I agree with you more of like a
39:01
vertical slot receiver, which that's what I want
39:03
out of my slot. Like, I don't want them
39:06
to just be that pop gun slot receiver.
39:08
Maybe Christian Kirk is a comp. Christian Kirk said,
39:10
like, again, in that same, I think, family
39:12
of players as well. And I mean, I think
39:14
Kirk. He got a lot of
39:16
grief for the contract that he signed,
39:18
but he was a really useful player
39:20
for Jacksonville for a while. So I
39:22
just this is the type of player
39:24
that I think gets pushed down because
39:26
they don't fit like traditional positional size
39:28
and kind of deployment. But you get
39:30
them in an NFL receiver room and
39:32
whether they're the two or the three
39:34
or whatever, they're just a really, really
39:36
useful player. You got to find the
39:38
right. the right fit. He, he
39:40
does feel unless he, but you're saying
39:42
he can do more. And I, and I
39:44
like that. I want to go back
39:47
and watch a little Jalen Noel more. My
39:49
question with Noel is why Noel before
39:51
Higgins? Okay. Yeah. And, and that can be
39:53
a transition to your next group, which
39:55
I assume Jaden Higgins, his teammate, they complimented
39:57
each other very well. I thought at
39:59
Iowa state, but you have Higgins lower. Give
40:01
me your next tier. And then, and
40:03
then, yeah, let us know why, why lower.
40:06
Yeah, we're like now in the squarely
40:08
day two zone, which I'm not
40:10
like Higgins is not next on my
40:12
list here. I've got guys like
40:14
Jack Bash, Kyle Williams, Trey Harris. Oh,
40:16
so you hate him. I
40:18
mean, I don't hate Jaden Higgins, but
40:20
I am a little confused why everybody's a
40:23
lot higher on Jaden Higgins than some
40:25
of these other guys because he just doesn't
40:27
separate enough to me. That's
40:29
the problem here, especially against press man
40:31
coverage. So to me, I don't think
40:33
he profiles as an NFL X receiver.
40:35
Teams are talking about, like Greg, where...
40:37
the league is going like teams are
40:39
moving away from this non -separation you
40:41
know big x receiver like what people
40:43
think mcmillan is i think higgins actually
40:45
is now that's not useless in the
40:47
nfl and by the way like i
40:49
felt Very similar. A lot of the
40:51
parts of Jaden Higgins profile in terms
40:53
of him being like a below average
40:55
press man coverage success rate player. Very
40:57
similar to like Keon Coleman last year.
40:59
I did this whole breakdown on YouTube
41:01
about it where like these guys that
41:03
are sub 35th percentile in press and
41:05
man coverage and reception perception. All the
41:07
prospects that were that way that have
41:09
gone on to be successes in the
41:11
NFL. They've transitioned from outside receivers to
41:13
big slot receivers in the NFL. Juju
41:15
Smith Schuster. I've mentioned Rasheed Rice. I'm
41:17
on Ross St. Brown was this. guy
41:19
so like there's a path for higgins
41:21
but he is very much one of
41:23
these guys like tell me what team
41:25
he's playing for like tell me how
41:28
this coaching staff is using him because
41:30
i think if he is used the
41:32
right way then i think like okay
41:34
he could be in that in that
41:36
like arc type of player where he's
41:38
this jumbo slot receiver who's really good
41:40
against zone coverage who catches everything He's
41:43
got like an alligator arm thing, like kind
41:45
of that 90 degree angle in contested situations.
41:47
Like, let's use that whole wingspan. Let's stretch
41:49
those arms out a little bit arms are
41:51
short, though? I feel like there's a couple.
41:53
No, he's the one with the massive wingspan.
41:56
And I think he leaves some of it
41:58
on the table. The arms are short, which
42:00
is a tough one. I liked him less
42:02
the more I watched him. I liked him
42:04
a lot right away. And then he felt
42:06
had the same experience. He felt like it
42:08
was kind of... inconsistent,
42:11
which you don't want because I don't,
42:13
and this is where I probably disagree
42:15
on Burden to consensus was I didn't
42:17
think his skills, Higgins that is, were
42:19
special enough to kind of make up
42:21
for it. And I actually kind of
42:23
felt that with Burden too. I thought
42:26
to be that type of player, you
42:28
have to really snap. You have to
42:30
be really special. And I didn't quite
42:32
get there for him. So I'm kind
42:34
of with you on Higgins that I
42:36
think he's an NFL player, but I
42:39
don't think in the end I came
42:41
like as high on him. Yeah. It's
42:43
the, it's again, the traits, right. To,
42:45
I can't run away from those when
42:47
those are, those are something when you've
42:49
got the, the wingspan, right. And I
42:51
understand, and Matt's absolutely right about the
42:54
criticism of up at the cap, at
42:56
the catch point where that's a place
42:58
where if you're trying to separate him
43:00
and McMillan, like there's a notable difference
43:02
there. But just to have that explosion
43:04
in this. And if you want to
43:07
like watch that, that Houston game, I
43:10
saw him making guys miss at
43:12
that height and weight. It's
43:14
exciting. It gets me excited and thinks, well,
43:17
the ceiling is there. And, again, you're trying
43:19
to hit these home runs. And they –
43:21
There were multiple teams that literally had no
43:23
answer for him. That's fair. That's why I
43:25
think it was all like some games were
43:27
good and then some games just didn't seem
43:29
like he had a great feel. That's probably
43:32
what I value the most. I mean, it's
43:34
all about how you were raised as a
43:36
fan or a wannabe draft. I go back
43:38
to like, I always liked like the Keery
43:40
Colbert and Mark Clayton types. The real receivers
43:42
receivers that maybe kind of like an Abuka
43:44
or a Golden who you feel like you
43:46
know what you're getting and they really can
43:49
run the routes and they can snap. off
43:51
and they can do everything but my other
43:53
type and there is one in this class
43:55
and we already talked about him on my
43:57
last show so I'm not going to repeat
43:59
myself but my guy in this class to
44:01
try to hit a home run is definitely
44:03
Kyle Williams and to me if you told
44:06
me he's your third or fourth receiver in
44:08
this class I get it like I would
44:10
be fine taking him personally in the first
44:12
round because I see it all I love
44:14
it I love me some Kyle Williams why
44:16
don't you love him quite as much as
44:18
me Matt Harmon I mean I don't know
44:20
he's pretty highly ranked for me uh and
44:23
again i think he's a guy that is
44:25
like i would put him in a tier
44:27
ahead of even jayden higgins like i mean
44:29
he's kind of like the middle like a
44:31
sort of a no man's land between like
44:33
you're not quite like around one guy but
44:35
you're not like a clear okay why isn't
44:37
he around one guy because he is a
44:40
guy i kept watching and being like yeah
44:42
what am i missing because he's got he's
44:44
got so many dogs in him all of
44:46
the dogs are in him Can
44:49
I be vulnerable here in terms
44:51
of why is he not around one
44:53
guy? Part of this is because
44:55
I think he's the type of receiver
44:57
I've fallen for way too hard
44:59
in the past where he's like a
45:02
smaller separator who does win at
45:04
all three levels. But because of the
45:06
size and the frame, like how
45:08
many quarterbacks really want to take that
45:10
throw? Like maybe there's a little
45:12
bit of like Elijah Moore scarring here,
45:14
honestly, because I think he's of
45:16
Andy Isabella. No, he's not. Don't
45:19
put me in the Andy Isabella fan club
45:21
here. But no, I think I think with
45:23
Kyle Williams, he does come from a lower
45:25
level. That's part of it, too. You know,
45:27
he's not quite like these guys that have
45:29
only lined up on. one side of the
45:31
field at one outside receiver position, like 70
45:33
plus percent of their snaps in reception perception.
45:36
It's actually like a long list of red
45:38
flags there. He's not quite in
45:40
that bucket, so he does miss that for
45:42
me, but it was pretty close. I think
45:44
he's just a guy that can play all
45:46
three receiver positions. He can make plays after
45:48
the catch. He beats man coverage. So, yeah,
45:50
it's hard to find a lot of flaws.
45:53
I don't see the flaws. I guess he's
45:55
not. He doesn't have the size or whatever,
45:57
but if you're. If I
45:59
needed to pick one player from
46:01
this class that would make Pro
46:03
Bowls, I think that isn't going
46:05
to get taken in these top...
46:07
I don't really seem that far
46:09
apart from T -Mac or Golden. To
46:11
me, he's right there for me
46:14
personally because I just... I don't
46:16
know, man. And I like to
46:18
celebrate. He just seems like an
46:20
NFL player to me. I just...
46:22
He seems like a... like
46:24
receiver smart is, is the word I would
46:26
use where he knows how to do everything. And
46:28
he's super explosive. Like he's a home run
46:31
hitter and he can hit some doubles too. I
46:33
don't know. A little Washington state, Kyle Williams
46:35
for you. Go Cougs. Like to me, he's not
46:37
that different than Jamison Williams as a, as
46:39
a prospect who I probably overrated too. Maybe I'm
46:41
like you, maybe I'm like, okay, maybe that's
46:43
too much. That's too much. I
46:45
don't know. I don't know. You don't
46:47
see him like out running the entire
46:49
deal. He's not, he doesn't have the,
46:51
the like just pure home run speed
46:54
like that, but he's got enough of
46:56
it. to me the the explosion in
46:58
the separation like to put him in
47:00
that category I just I didn't see
47:02
it to the extent where I watched
47:04
a little a little Williams and then
47:06
I'm like wait let's let's go on
47:08
to somebody else oh how dare you
47:10
what a hater I'm not I'm not
47:13
trying to hate celebrating the explosion of
47:15
other guys because I am biased towards
47:17
that okay so that that's Harmon's big
47:19
group there We got to
47:21
get to the tight ends before we, before
47:23
we wrap up. So, so we will, unless
47:25
you just have something that you are dying
47:27
to say about that group of wide receivers
47:29
that Matt Harmon just feels like passionately about
47:31
and have to get in. I love Jack
47:33
Bash. Oh, you do. I love, I, yeah,
47:35
I love Jack Bash, dude. The guys, he's
47:37
a really good player. Gets
47:39
open, catches everything. He's
47:42
really he's talk about sneaks up on you after
47:44
the catch. Like he really breaks a lot of tackles
47:46
in the open field. Maybe a
47:48
guy that needs to play in the slot
47:50
because he certainly like I mean, he's
47:52
like nine route success rate, his corner route
47:54
success rate. They just flat out stink
47:56
like he doesn't get open down the field.
47:58
That worries me a little going to
48:00
the end. mean, but I guess when you're
48:02
open everywhere else, like just find the
48:04
right deployment for this player. I think he
48:06
just makes a lot of sense with
48:08
a team like Jacksonville that, you know, you've
48:11
got Liam Cohen there. You're coming from
48:13
like. that Rams organization from the front office
48:15
perspective. They've just made such good use
48:17
of this type of receiver. Like, why can't
48:19
he just be in the role that
48:21
Chris Godwin was in for Liam Cohen last
48:23
year? I think that just makes so
48:25
much sense. I don't think he has the
48:27
juice personally. Well, I mean, since we're
48:29
going to talk tight end at 218 pounds,
48:31
could he fulfill the receiving role that
48:33
like Evan Ingram? And I understand it was
48:35
a different offense. of has. Yeah, there's
48:37
times his career he has. Or like not.
48:39
I was going to see Zach Richardson.
48:41
I just, I do worry about him that
48:43
there's not a lot of team. I
48:45
think he has a very specific skill set
48:47
and I think we've seen guys like
48:49
him. To me, in
48:51
terms of that snap and that, I do
48:53
worry about him getting open against NFL players, but
48:56
we'll see. There's a lot of smarter
48:58
people than me, including you and Jeremiah. Love
49:00
him. And so I hope I'm wrong being a
49:02
little more down on him. Let's talk about
49:04
the tight end. There's so many times where a
49:06
guy goes to Mobile and has that week
49:08
where it's like, It feels
49:10
obvious. And then in hindsight, we look back
49:12
and like, oh, yeah, we should have known after what he
49:15
did to all those dudes. Obvious in a
49:17
positive way. Yeah. Like, why weren't we
49:19
on board sooner? That's interesting because I would
49:21
say Kyle Williams and Besch maybe helped
49:23
themselves as much as anyone. So they're two
49:25
guys that were down in Mobile. And
49:27
as they say, that's where the NFL draft
49:29
starts. Let's take one more break and
49:31
then we'll wrap up with the tight ends.
49:39
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on NFL Daily, wrapping up with the tight ends.
52:36
And this is just going to be vibes. Harmon,
52:38
for some reason, doesn't do tight
52:40
ends on reception perception. I mean,
52:42
they are receivers, Matt. Okay,
52:45
can I tell you why? Because it can probably
52:47
take too long. Wow. I
52:49
mean, you spoiled it there. I was going
52:51
to give you the dork reason, which
52:53
is, you know, I've been charting receivers now
52:55
for 12 years. I've been doing reception
52:57
perception. So like, okay, I can tell you
52:59
this player has, you know, is this
53:01
percentile versus man coverage. Like this is the
53:03
type of role, the type of offense,
53:05
everything that he could play in. can compare
53:07
it to the previous years. That's really
53:09
cool. I like that. Yeah. I mean, you've
53:11
got guys in the database that have
53:13
been through there their entire career. Like Mike
53:15
Evans' entire career is in the reception
53:17
perception database. You know, if we start over
53:20
with tight ends, we're going back to
53:22
square one. I don't know what to say.
53:24
Right. But how old are you, Herman?
53:26
You're still a young man. How old are
53:28
you? Well, and I'm 33. I'll be
53:30
34 this year. How long do you plan
53:32
to be on this business? This
53:34
leads me to my second point of
53:36
why I'm not going to do it,
53:38
which is I'm a happily married man.
53:40
I'm trying to say a happily married
53:42
man, buddy. I got enough receivers to
53:44
deal with. You know the requests that
53:46
come in in the reception perception discord?
53:48
It's like, hey, chart Ricky White out
53:50
of UNLV. There's too many receivers. I
53:52
got enough on my plate. Okay, but...
53:54
is where, you know, I would never
53:56
had a chance to work exactly with
53:58
you. We were both at NFL media
54:00
at the same time. And it was
54:02
what a star Harmon was, a shooting
54:04
star. And they messed up letting Harmon
54:06
go from the fantasy department. But, you
54:08
know, he had a great opportunity. But
54:10
if I was going to give you
54:12
advice sort of in a boss role
54:14
here, I would say like, well, forget
54:16
Ricky White, you know. Tyler Warren and
54:18
Colston Loveland, these top guys, they're more
54:20
box office than your fourth to seventh
54:23
round receivers. So maybe just don't do
54:25
receiver 23 through 60 and just do
54:27
like the stars of the tight ends.
54:29
And that would be good for just
54:31
people's interest. People would pay for that.
54:33
That's what I'm saying. It sounds like,
54:35
Greg, you want to do the tight
54:37
end. A potential investor in reception perception.
54:39
A potential investor right here. I like
54:41
bringing you back to more our level,
54:43
which is we're not just doing off
54:45
vibes. We watch these guys, but we're
54:47
not breaking it down like Harmon does.
54:49
I do think you should weigh Harmon's
54:51
opinions. No offense, Patrick. More than ours
54:53
in the previous conversation. But this one,
54:55
we're on equal footing. We're all even
54:57
playing. So do you like... I'm going
54:59
to start with Patrick then. because
55:02
it feels like there's a big two.
55:04
It feels like there's a big four
55:06
at tight end this year, but really
55:08
the two guys, Colston Loveland and Tyler
55:10
Warren, who Jeremiah again has in the
55:12
top, I think 10 of his overall
55:14
players. I'm not sure where Loveland landed
55:16
there. They feel like the
55:18
big two. Do you have a favorite between
55:20
those two? um yes i have a
55:23
big two but it's one of those is
55:25
not in it okay tyler warren is
55:27
such a mechanized destroyer of worlds that does
55:29
so many different things he has to
55:31
be the te1 the explosion is quantified by
55:33
the titan by the combine work leaps
55:35
off the screen so he's my te1 harold
55:37
fanon jr is one
55:39
of my favorite players in this
55:41
draft. The production is off the
55:43
charts. I have beef with our
55:45
production score from NGS, which somehow
55:48
has Warren as more productive than
55:50
Harold Fannin Jr., who literally had
55:52
more catches at tight end than
55:54
anybody in the history of college
55:56
football last year. He is 20
55:58
years old. Shout
56:00
out to Michael Florio. I'm
56:02
keeping track of ages here,
56:04
where... He will be 21
56:07
coming up in July. So
56:09
he's a full year younger
56:11
than Colston Loveland. He
56:13
ran that 4 -7 in Indy. Okay.
56:16
Also 4 -7 in Indy, Keenan Allen, right?
56:19
When somebody does things so differently in
56:21
a different way and they still produce,
56:23
I think that's unique and unique talent
56:25
is what you want. I am a
56:27
Harold fan and junior guy. I love
56:29
that because, you know, going way back
56:31
to the combine when we talked with
56:34
Nate Tice, he is as well and
56:36
just thinks he's such a unique player.
56:38
And I actually think bucketing those two
56:40
guys, Matt, makes sense because I sort
56:42
of don't know fully what to do
56:44
with him. And I'm with... Patrick in
56:46
the sense that I actually would feel
56:49
more comfortable probably going, drafting Fannin ahead
56:51
of his consensus than I would, which
56:53
would probably be what second round. If
56:55
you really want to make sure you
56:57
get Harold Fannin, then I would bet
56:59
in the farm on a top 10
57:02
pick for Tyler Warren, just because I'm
57:04
just not sure. He's so unique that
57:06
I'm just not sure. Is he, is
57:08
he special enough to be like, Almost
57:10
different than any tight end out there
57:12
where he is not to give the
57:14
Debo comparison again, but he's like tight
57:17
end Debo. You know, it's like just
57:19
this guy you got to get the
57:21
ball to that's got to run people
57:23
over and just destroy you. Yeah,
57:26
that's my thing with Tyler Warren is I
57:28
do think he's very similar to some of
57:30
the receivers we talked about where it's like
57:32
what team and like what offensive coordinator is
57:34
he playing for? Because I think he's kind
57:36
of gotten a reputation as he's just a
57:38
traditional inline tight end who's really good as
57:40
a blocker. But I think that's just because
57:42
he plays in the Big Ten and he's
57:44
like a tough guy, you know, because I
57:46
think he's more of like a singular design
57:48
touches type of player. Like the
57:50
positive side of that is that. Like the Raiders
57:52
did a lot of work to design things for
57:54
Brock Bowers last year, which I'm not saying this
57:57
to take anything away from Bowers. It's because they
57:59
didn't have anybody else to throw the football. careful
58:01
here. Be careful here. I mean, but I
58:03
just, I'm not, again, I'm not taking anything
58:05
away from Bowers, but like when a tight
58:08
end is that much farther, the most productive
58:10
player on your team, like most concepts in
58:12
a playbook don't like run through the tight
58:14
end. So I think you just have to
58:16
take that like extra work to make him
58:18
Tyler Warren. That is depending on where he
58:20
goes. The production is
58:22
worth the squeeze that you're putting into
58:24
it there. But if he lands with
58:26
the team, like a Ben Johnson, right?
58:28
I think he could really find ways
58:30
to use him because he's not too
58:32
dissimilar to Sam Laporta, who I think
58:34
is another guy that kind of because
58:36
he comes out of Iowa, he gets
58:38
this reputation as a rugged tight end.
58:40
But the Lions have had to do
58:42
a lot to design things for Sam
58:44
Laporta. And obviously, it's been more than
58:46
worth it for them. See, if I
58:48
was a reception perception guy, I would
58:50
be curious how... He if he if
58:52
he was rather Tyler Warren, I would
58:54
be curious how he would play out
58:56
on that because he seems even more
58:58
like a burden type, which is just
59:01
kind of like, hey, run over there
59:03
and throw it. And I do worry
59:05
it's really hard to like evaluate football.
59:08
Smarts, for lack of a better word, on the
59:10
field, but he's such a unique player and
59:12
it took him so long to get on the
59:15
field that that worries me a lot. And
59:17
the people I trust that I've asked around the
59:19
league are. quite low on his blocking in
59:21
fact like it might be a huge negative whereas
59:23
colston loveland who's lighter and stuff he just
59:25
fits more what you see as a tight end
59:27
and he kind of fits more of a
59:29
mold of a guy that like yeah he's not
59:31
much of a blocker in college but like
59:33
we can build him up and we can teach
59:35
him that and the want to is all
59:37
there and warren's just such a unique player and
59:39
his unique Skill is not
59:41
route running. It's just like, watch
59:44
out. Here comes Tyler Warren. And
59:46
it's so unique and it's so awesome
59:48
that it really might work. So
59:50
I'm with you. I think the Jets
59:52
are another interesting spot too because
59:54
they're going to be running a Lions
59:56
-type offense with their coordinator and Tanner
59:58
Engstrom. But if you're asking him... to
1:00:01
just play tight end, I'm more worried.
1:00:03
And that's why I like Loveland more. Cause
1:00:05
to me, it's like, I would take
1:00:07
Loveland on 26, 27 teams. And that's where
1:00:09
I like it to me. He's like
1:00:11
maybe a Laporta plus even where like, I
1:00:13
can see the, I can see the
1:00:15
receiver skills. I think he's going to step
1:00:17
into the league and be a nice
1:00:19
tight end for you right away. But I
1:00:21
think in his usage at Penn state,
1:00:23
he was a victim of his ability to
1:00:25
where it's like, okay, well he's our
1:00:27
wildcat quarterback, not because like we're trying to
1:00:29
force feed Tyler Warren, but because he's,
1:00:32
the best and the best athlete best player
1:00:34
by far they could put in that
1:00:36
position and so he's going to get those
1:00:38
volume target opportunities not because like that's
1:00:40
how you get him the ball but because
1:00:42
he's he's the best player on the
1:00:44
team to do that to where like a
1:00:46
few years ago like all those plays
1:00:48
would have been going to like saquon all
1:00:50
right or just like any other good
1:00:52
penn state player but because it was him
1:00:54
Like that's, that's where a large volume
1:00:56
of his opportunity came from. But then you
1:00:58
see him when he is split out
1:01:00
wide, when he is in the slot running
1:01:02
a seam, like he teleports away from
1:01:04
corners and safeties. Like the explosion is there.
1:01:06
It picks up. You're right. Like to
1:01:08
an extent, he didn't test at all, which
1:01:10
is a little bit of a worry,
1:01:12
but, uh, but he,
1:01:15
He's one of two players, at least in this
1:01:17
class, where I think, well, would
1:01:19
Taysom Hill Plus really be a bad
1:01:21
outcome? Taysom Hill's a pretty useful
1:01:23
player. I'd be a little worried. Both
1:01:25
him and Jalen Milrow, who are
1:01:27
very different players, and I think Milrow
1:01:29
would be plus plus. But I'm
1:01:31
like, actually, Taysom Hill Plus Plus would
1:01:33
be kind of great. I would
1:01:36
be a little worried about taking him
1:01:38
in the top 10. Between the
1:01:40
rest of the tight ends. Harmon, who
1:01:42
stands out to you? Who do
1:01:44
you like? Who don't you like? Yeah.
1:01:47
Terrence Ferguson from Oregon, I think is like
1:01:49
a classic, like bet on an athlete, bet
1:01:51
on the traits. And I do think he
1:01:53
actually could end up being really productive down
1:01:55
the line in his career. Maybe not like
1:01:57
right away, but that just seems like the
1:02:00
type of tight end who hits. I think
1:02:02
I like his ball skills. I like... just
1:02:04
the movement skills for him. And then Mason
1:02:06
Taylor from LSU. I know a
1:02:08
lot of people really like Mason Taylor.
1:02:10
I do as well. He just is, it
1:02:12
seems like a good, like maybe you're
1:02:14
not hitting the a plus like outrageous high
1:02:16
upside tight end, but something in like
1:02:18
kind of that Zach Ertz ish range where
1:02:21
he just catches everything and he becomes
1:02:23
a really good complimentary part of your passing
1:02:25
game. I think those are the other
1:02:27
two guys you got to kind of watch
1:02:29
out for. Yeah. A player that was
1:02:31
exceedingly productive from the moment he got to
1:02:33
LSU. to where it feels safer. I
1:02:35
would say Mason Taylor, to me, is a
1:02:37
safer prospect than Loveland, just in terms
1:02:39
of as a pass catcher. Because I know
1:02:41
blocking is important. And yeah, ideally, these
1:02:43
guys are going to be Gronk or George
1:02:46
Kittle. None of them
1:02:48
are coming into the NFL, really. Almost none
1:02:50
of them. I'm
1:02:52
evaluating them as pass
1:02:54
catchers. Yeah, I prefer... Taylor
1:02:57
to Loveland. To me, Loveland, and I
1:02:59
did go back to watch a couple of
1:03:01
the games before when he had J .J.
1:03:03
McCarthy as his quarterback, which definitely helped. I
1:03:06
think he has a higher ceiling
1:03:08
off the bat, but I'm with you
1:03:10
that in this class where so
1:03:12
much feels uncertain, if I'm comparing Mason
1:03:14
Taylor to some of these DL5
1:03:17
guys who it's just like, man, it
1:03:19
feels like there's a 50 % chance
1:03:21
they're going to be total bust. Taylor
1:03:24
feels like a first -round prospect
1:03:26
to me. He feels very much
1:03:28
like the tight end Agbuka, where
1:03:30
he's going to be good. And
1:03:32
if the outcome really is Ertz
1:03:34
or closer to Goddard, that's even
1:03:36
better than that. If you put
1:03:38
Goddard back in the draft... Like,
1:03:40
he's going top 20. Because
1:03:43
you can lock in like a plus.
1:03:45
If you can lock in a plus
1:03:47
starter at any position, especially tight end,
1:03:49
I like him a lot too. And
1:03:51
there's really differing opinions on Arroyo because
1:03:53
that type of player has busted a
1:03:55
lot lately, which is like the big
1:03:57
receiver, essentially. And yet, I'm into him.
1:03:59
I don't have him too far behind
1:04:01
Taylor. I like these tight ends. I
1:04:03
would not mind taking these tight ends
1:04:05
again ahead of... those two guys ahead
1:04:07
of wide receiver 5, 6, 7 for
1:04:09
me. I have Kyle Williams up with
1:04:11
Golden and stuff, but after that, I
1:04:13
think Arroyo is a really good pass
1:04:15
catcher, and I'm into it. I would
1:04:17
just like, when you're playing with a
1:04:19
quarterback that's going to go number one
1:04:21
overall and you only miss one game,
1:04:23
the 35, I'm going to need more
1:04:26
production out of him to leapfrog these
1:04:28
guys. Sorry, Matt. What were you going
1:04:30
to say? No, you're good, man. I
1:04:32
just think it's a really interesting tight
1:04:34
end class as well. And get these
1:04:36
guys in the room, maybe develop a
1:04:38
few of them. I wouldn't be surprised
1:04:40
if there is a couple of guys
1:04:42
who are kind of close to those
1:04:44
wide receivers here and maybe they end
1:04:46
up being more just useful. And the
1:04:48
crazy thing is there are wide receivers
1:04:50
and probably a tight end or two
1:04:52
that we just didn't even talk about.
1:04:54
And that they're not only going to
1:04:56
be starting within a year or two,
1:04:58
they will be like impact big time
1:05:00
players. And it's just, we don't have
1:05:02
all the time in the world, but
1:05:04
it was great to talk to you,
1:05:06
Matt Harmon. Here's what we're going to
1:05:08
do. I'm making a, I mean, it's
1:05:11
more of a threat than a promise
1:05:13
because, you know, newsflash, not everyone like
1:05:15
loves going on other people's podcasts. It's
1:05:17
ultimately like other, it's more work. And
1:05:20
I'm going to try to get you to do
1:05:22
more work. And it's going to be a podcast
1:05:24
that's not just about wide receivers next time. There
1:05:26
it is. All right.
1:05:28
I will take you up on that and we'll see.
1:05:30
I might just end up sneaking in wide receiver
1:05:32
talk anyway. mean, no, it's not like we can't talk
1:05:35
about it. Maybe it'll be like workout tips. We're
1:05:37
deep into the we can talk. We can talk
1:05:39
about that. We can talk about, you know, egg
1:05:41
quality, all kinds of things, man. So it was good.
1:05:43
It was good to see you both. going to
1:05:45
be out in L .A. next week for our Yahoo
1:05:47
Sports live draft show. So I hope to see
1:05:49
you both. Yeah, I would normally
1:05:51
say like we should get you in here, but
1:05:53
you're going to be busy. So everyone check
1:05:55
them out at Yahoo. We're going to
1:05:57
be here in the studio on draft night, by
1:05:59
the way, Patrick. I don't know if I've
1:06:01
mentioned that. I have to you. Shout out to
1:06:03
that. No, we've talked about it to the
1:06:06
listeners. That's it for today's show. We are back.
1:06:08
So this is actually going to be the
1:06:10
last NFL daily. You hear for
1:06:12
a few days because we have a
1:06:14
40s and free agents with Daniel Jeremiah.
1:06:16
That's going to drop on Thursday. Then
1:06:18
we're back with another 40s and free
1:06:20
agents. That's going to go Monday morning.
1:06:22
And then we're off every single day
1:06:24
next week to cover the NFL draft.
1:06:26
And yeah, when when Matt Harmon's lugging
1:06:28
around that gallon water bottle, football's back. Welcome
1:06:36
to NFL Daily, where we do
1:06:38
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