Gambling Guide to the Madness With Anthony Dabbundo and Cousin Sal

Gambling Guide to the Madness With Anthony Dabbundo and Cousin Sal

Released Wednesday, 19th March 2025
Good episode? Give it some love!
 Gambling Guide to the Madness With Anthony Dabbundo and Cousin Sal

Gambling Guide to the Madness With Anthony Dabbundo and Cousin Sal

 Gambling Guide to the Madness With Anthony Dabbundo and Cousin Sal

Gambling Guide to the Madness With Anthony Dabbundo and Cousin Sal

Wednesday, 19th March 2025
Good episode? Give it some love!
Rate Episode

Episode Transcript

Transcripts are displayed as originally observed. Some content, including advertisements may have changed.

Use Ctrl + F to search

0:01

When you hear the word Seattle

0:03

Supersonics, what comes to mind? Maybe

0:05

it's Sean Kemp, The Rainman, or

0:08

Gary Payton, The Glove, or maybe

0:10

an image of a tall and

0:12

skinny 19-year-old rookie, Kevin Duran.

0:14

For fans in Seattle, it's

0:16

something else. It's tragedy. It's theft.

0:18

An iconic team with an

0:20

incredible fan base that packed

0:22

its bags and shipped off for

0:25

Oklahoma City. From Spotify

0:27

in the Ringer, I'm Jordan Ritter Con.

0:29

I talked to players, politicians, owners,

0:32

and fans about how Seattle

0:34

lost the Sonics. You can listen

0:36

to it on the book of basketball

0:38

feed, on Spotify or wherever you

0:41

get your podcast. Did somebody

0:43

say free underwear? Did somebody

0:45

say free underwear? Trade up your

0:47

questionable old undies at a Duluth

0:49

Trading Store for a free pair

0:52

of buck naked. At the third

0:54

and maybe last, Underware Trade Up

0:56

event, April 12th and 13th, at

0:58

your Duluth Trading Store. It's brought to

1:00

by the Home Depot. It's starting to

1:02

look like spring, and spring starts with

1:04

savings at the Home Depot. There are

1:06

savings for every project, whether you're starting

1:08

with a queen slate, with convenient cordless

1:10

power, like a new pressure washer, relief blower,

1:13

or starting Love the Yard again. leaf blower or starting

1:15

in love the art again with color

1:17

for flowers and fresh mulch. Start your

1:19

spring with early savings at the Home

1:21

Depot. Shop now at Home depot.com. On

1:23

today's episode of One Shining Podcast, we

1:25

are doing the official OSP gambling guide to

1:28

the 2025 NCAA tournament and we're getting our

1:30

guys to help us out. We're going to

1:32

have Cousinsau on the show to make

1:34

sense of March and we're also going to

1:37

have our guy Anthony DeVundo come on the

1:39

show. We're going to talk. Fun facts of

1:41

the tournament, we're gonna talk favorite favorites by

1:43

region, favorite upsets by region, the first

1:45

one seed out, what round it might happen,

1:48

the number of one seeds to reach the

1:50

final four, the worst seed to reach the

1:52

final four, our final four futures, and of

1:55

course, our NCAA title picks, we've got a

1:57

lot to get to, again, we've got Sal,

1:59

we've got Anthony DeB. and Kyle what else

2:01

do we got before we get into today's

2:03

episode just gotta listen up make money five

2:06

stars on Spotify but first Woody Durham Welcome

2:23

in to One Shining Podcast. As promised

2:25

at the top of the show, we

2:27

are going to be doing a betting

2:29

guide, a one shining podcast, a betting

2:31

guide, a gambling guide, a best bets,

2:33

whatever you want to call it. We

2:35

had Cousin Sow, you know, coming on

2:37

the back end of the show, we

2:39

got Anthony DeBundo, coming up in a

2:41

second. I just wanted to start here

2:43

because again, it is March Madness, it

2:45

is the best time of the year.

2:47

I've had some friends of the program

2:49

reach of the program reach out to

2:52

me. Where are your picks? You have

2:54

these guests on and you are the

2:56

one that is asking all the questions,

2:58

but you're not giving us any answers.

3:00

So now I have my bracket. I

3:02

just figured out and filled out my

3:04

bracket. I am very excited to introduce

3:06

it and talk about it. I'm sort

3:08

of saying that in Jess because again,

3:10

nobody knows anything. as someone to listen

3:12

to, so I'm putting that out on

3:14

the forefront here. I've watched a lot

3:16

of college basketball games this season. Again,

3:18

shout out to our friends at YouTube

3:21

TV, but that probably means I don't

3:23

know anything. I have talked to Franfershilla,

3:25

a guy who knows a lot, he

3:27

also feels the same way, a lot

3:29

of smart-minded people in the world of

3:31

college basketball, know that brackets do not

3:33

do much. But again, it is a

3:35

lot of fun and we got games

3:37

going on. The first four is happening,

3:39

so we do have college basketball, March

3:41

madness is in fact happening, the first

3:43

four. then they'll have, you know, we

3:45

don't even know how far it'll go.

3:47

I'll probably get to a whole other

3:50

64 teams. at some point, but let's

3:52

do it. Let's talk some picks. Again,

3:54

first round, some games that I wanted

3:56

to circle that will be a whole

3:58

lot of fun to watch. Obviously, upsets,

4:00

right? We're talking about favorite upsets, favorite

4:02

favorites. We're gonna do that a little

4:04

bit with Anthony DeVundo. As far as

4:06

my favorite favorites, if we look at

4:08

each region, if I look at the

4:10

South, right, I mean, Auburn, that's a

4:12

tough match up if they get Louisville

4:14

or Creighton or Creighton. In the second

4:16

round we saw the one seeds last

4:19

year they all are two lost in

4:21

the sweet 16 the other two make

4:23

it to the national championship game North

4:25

Carolina loses to Alabama Houston loses to

4:27

Duke due to an injury to Jamal

4:29

shed right so both those teams go

4:31

out I think that all of it

4:33

will at least get to the elite

4:35

eight I think that Houston is the

4:37

one that I'm worried about early on

4:39

I have Houston getting knocked out by

4:41

Gonzaga by Gonzaga so that's an early

4:43

upset that I like to circle there

4:45

as a one- Zagga taking Houston's path

4:48

to the final four. So I got

4:50

the Zag's going all the way to

4:52

San Antonio. So that would be an

4:54

eight seed. If you go to Fando,

4:56

you can look right now, you can

4:58

take an eight seed, any eight seed

5:00

to get the final four, you could

5:02

get the final four, you could get

5:04

that a plus 500. So maybe go

5:06

take a swing on that. So I

5:08

like the Zag's at the beginning of

5:10

the season. I have enjoyed watching the

5:12

Zag's figured it out, figured out, figured

5:15

out, figured out, figured out, figured out,

5:17

figured out. I like Mark Few. I

5:19

feel like this might be his final

5:21

run, his final chapter, potentially a farewell

5:23

tour, but take the Zags there. I

5:25

know Houston fans are loving this. Anytime

5:27

that someone else picks against your team,

5:29

this is something that you want, this.

5:31

This is something that you want. You

5:33

know, if you're listening right now and

5:35

you're upset as a team, this is

5:37

something that you want. You know what

5:39

I mean? So if you're listening to

5:41

the Final. lead date in Michigan State.

5:44

This feels like a Flintstone type season.

5:46

I'm not going to say that Michigan

5:48

State's going to win the national championship,

5:50

but to Michigan State winning the region

5:52

as Coach Kaye taught us back in

5:54

2020. is the same sort of feeling

5:56

of winning a championship, right? You won

5:58

that region, you won the South. I

6:00

think Michigan State versus Auburn could happen

6:02

in the elite aid. I would take

6:04

Michigan State in that game just because

6:06

I think they're more organized. I think

6:08

they know who they are. I've tried

6:10

to figure out who the best player

6:13

on their team is and I think

6:15

it is the team, the team, the

6:17

team, the team, the team. That is

6:19

what Michigan State and the new version

6:21

of the Flint stones are. So I

6:23

think they win the South. Flipping

6:25

the new work, this is not so

6:27

much fun for me to talk about,

6:29

but I do have to be honest,

6:32

I have to be objective. We have

6:34

seen a lot of people that are

6:36

supposed to journalists show that they are

6:38

not objective, and they're just commentators like

6:40

me, just to commentate, but we've seen,

6:43

but we've seen that, based on the

6:45

bubble reaction, we don't have to get

6:47

into the minutia of that, but look

6:49

at new work, and look at what

6:52

Duke's got. This is a great. faces

6:54

a team that can legitimately

6:56

knock them out head to head just based

6:58

on talent until they get to the elite

7:00

aid and new work in a team that

7:02

could potentially do it. Obviously is Alabama, St.

7:04

Mary's is a team that could be a

7:06

wild card there, Wisconsin is a team, obviously

7:08

that a lot of people like that can

7:10

make a run. Maybe we have a 2015

7:12

redux where it's Duke v. Wisconsin to go

7:15

to the final four. I would still take

7:17

the Blue Devils there. So I got a

7:19

one seed coming out of the east, flipping

7:21

down to the west region out in San

7:23

Francisco. I like this Florida team. Now I

7:25

am a little bit worried about the Todd

7:27

Golden of it all, just as far as

7:29

like the coaching pedigree in the NCAA tournament.

7:31

But this team is deep. This team is

7:33

hot. This team has the wow factor. They

7:35

have a lot of talent. Of course, I

7:37

love Walter Clayton Jr. Will Richard is an

7:39

OSP. So he is a guy that we

7:41

need to watch in this tournament, in this

7:43

tournament, of course. and I'm very excited to

7:45

see what this part of the team looks

7:48

like and I got them going to the

7:50

final four. I think they're gonna face the

7:52

Johnny's in the elite eight and I think

7:54

it's gonna be Rick Patino versus Walter Clayton

7:56

Jr. I'm gonna give the edge to Florida.

7:58

I think Florida just has more talent. their

8:00

roster more depth on their roster. So they

8:02

get to the final four. So my final

8:04

final four picks right now, so I got

8:06

Michigan State Tom Mizzo, they get there. Congratulations.

8:08

He said he was gonna die trying to

8:11

get this team back to prominence. He does

8:13

it this season. Florida, I like them getting

8:15

into the final four. Shout out of the

8:17

final four. I like them getting into the

8:19

final four. Shout out to the final four.

8:21

Shout out to the final four. And no,

8:23

not the Mike White from the White Lotus,

8:26

the Mike White, the head coach that used

8:28

to be a Florida when his dad was

8:30

the AD at Duke. And he was the

8:32

committee chair. People forget back in the day,

8:34

Duke, Kevin White used to be the committee

8:36

chair. But again, Florida versus Duke, Florida versus

8:38

Duke, Florida versus Duke in the national championship

8:41

game. I'm going to take the Gators to

8:43

win the national championship. And I do think

8:45

there's some Jerry West potential here, where. Maybe

8:47

Florida wins the national championship. But Cooper Flag

8:49

wins most outstanding player. This has happened in

8:51

NCAA tournament history in the past. We've had

8:53

multiple times where a player did not win

8:56

the championship, but he won most outstanding player.

8:58

I think Cooper Flag could do that. He

9:00

could have a big game against Kinsaga, have

9:02

a solid game against Florida. They still give

9:04

him the nod. So Florida to win the

9:06

national championship. Do Cooper Flag to win most

9:08

outstanding player. It's a very unique and strange

9:11

pick. anything so we're just having fun here.

9:13

The most fun that could actually happen by

9:15

the way as far as the reaction to

9:17

you know kind of the bubble and all

9:19

this sort of stuff the bubble boys are

9:21

upset. I think the funniest thing that could

9:23

happen as far as March Madness and as

9:26

far as matchups would be something like this,

9:28

like you know, let's say North Carolina, San

9:30

Diego State, they match up, North Carolina wins,

9:32

then North Carolina gets into the second round

9:34

against Old Miss, they somehow find a way

9:36

to win that game. Old Miss has been

9:39

a little inconsistent. Sean Padoula is someone that

9:41

they know. North Carolina could then face Iowa

9:43

State, they get a redemption. from the 2014

9:45

Buzzer Beater game. They win that one. Then

9:47

it's North Carolina, Michigan State. They face a

9:49

lot in the NCAA tournament last year. They

9:51

face each other. North Carolina won. They get

9:54

the best of them again. Then they face

9:56

Auburn, a team that dominated them in the

9:58

Maui Invitional. Auburn's not the same team that

10:00

dominated them in the Maui Invitional. Auburn's not

10:02

the same team that we saw the same

10:04

team that we saw in. That's the same

10:06

team that we win that game. It's a

10:09

redemption game. It's a redemption game. It's a

10:11

redemption game. It's a Redemption game. It's a

10:13

redemption game. It's a redemption game. It's a

10:15

redemption game. It's a redemption game. It's a

10:17

redemption game. It's a redemption game. Now that

10:19

would be a TV event, one that we've

10:21

not quite seen before. Now I say all

10:24

that in jest, I am joking as I

10:26

say that, I'm sure some people are rolling

10:28

their eyes, but that would be hilarious if

10:30

that were to happen, coming on the heels

10:32

of what we saw in 2022 in the

10:34

final four, the first and the only time

10:36

that these teams have faced in the final

10:39

four setting to see them face each other

10:41

at the national championship game. I don't know.

10:43

I would start pointing to the scriptwriters and

10:45

say, who did this? It would be great

10:47

with Mike White in the meme, right? With

10:49

Jason Isaac's character from White Lotus, if this

10:51

were to happen. But again, I like Florida.

10:54

to win the national championship at like Florida

10:56

v. Duke in the title game. We have

10:58

OSPs. These are our one shining players. There

11:00

are five guys that we want you to

11:02

watch in each region. This is the last

11:04

thing I want to give you before we

11:07

move on to our gambling guide with Anjou

11:09

Bundo. And let's the last thing I want

11:11

to give you before we move on to

11:13

our gambling guide with Anjou Dubundo. And let's

11:15

start in the last thing I want to

11:17

give you before we move on to our

11:19

gambling guide with Andrew. to watch him play

11:22

in the tournament. We got John Pulikidas out

11:24

of Yale. He's a guy who wears the

11:26

pink shoes and the lefty. He's just, he's

11:28

got a lot of game. If we could

11:30

do the Michael Jordan, he got game. That's

11:32

what it is for John Pulikidas. Danny Wolf,

11:34

the big bad wolf out of Michigan. I'm

11:37

excited to see what he looks like in

11:39

the tournament. A lot of people talking about

11:41

altitude. But I'm excited to see Michigan coming

11:43

off the big tin championship championship. What does.

11:45

What does Dusty may look like. We got

11:47

Jason Richardson son of Jason Richardson out of

11:49

Michigan State shout out to the Flint Stones

11:52

shout out to Jason Richardson for really turning

11:54

it on late in the season. So kudos

11:56

to him for this long run. We also

11:58

got our guy Donovan Dent from New Mexico

12:00

who played high school basketball out here in

12:02

California. He's a name that people know and

12:04

he's a name that he's a game that

12:07

he's a game and he's a game and

12:09

he's a game and he's a game and

12:11

he's a game. And he's a game that

12:13

he's a game. And he's a game that

12:15

he's a game that you need. And he's

12:17

a new head coach. The fact that you

12:19

can hire a new head coach. you will

12:22

know soon. We got Cale Love, my guy

12:24

out of Arizona, we got Jackson's Shellstad out

12:26

of Oregon, Augustus Marcellonus out of St. Mary's,

12:28

and LeBaron Phylon of Alabama. So those are

12:30

the five out in the east, in the

12:32

Midwest, we got a manual sharp from Houston,

12:34

Ian Shefflin from Clemson, Otaga, Oweh, from Kentucky,

12:37

Maeshack, aka, Maeshack Madness, from Tennessee, and Braden

12:39

Huff, we got Will Richard. from Florida. I

12:41

know a lot of people talk about condon,

12:43

a lot of people talk about Walter Clayton

12:45

Jr. but Will Richard, he just pops. He's

12:47

the woe, like he is that guy. Well,

12:50

the guy is Walter Clayton Jr. But that

12:52

guy is of course, Will Richard, we got

12:54

Derek Queen, a. D. Queen, from Maryland, I'm

12:56

excited to see what he looks like in

12:58

March. Bennet Stirth, we talked about him ad

13:00

nauseum as well, at Drake. excited to see

13:02

what he looks like in March. And finally,

13:05

our favorite O.S. Pierre and a guy who

13:07

was near and dear to our heart, and

13:09

his heart is bigger than anyone, potentially in

13:11

this NCAA tournament. He is Kyle's guy as

13:13

well, R.J. Lewis, out of St. John. So

13:15

there you have it. Our picks are OSP

13:17

years right there officially stamped I got my

13:20

final four Michigan State Duke Florida and Gonzaga

13:22

and of course we got five OSP years

13:24

for every region there's a lot of good

13:26

games a lot of things to watch we

13:28

appreciate everybody tuning in to kind of our

13:30

ramp up for the actual tournament itself I

13:32

just want to remind

13:35

people that we are

13:37

in the reactions business,

13:39

not the predictions business.

13:41

So, we fill out

13:43

these brackets, we talk

13:45

about these games, anything

13:47

is possible, anything can

13:50

happen. Again, we don't

13:52

like know -it -alls. We

13:54

don't like key is,

13:56

we like people that

13:58

understand that anything is

14:00

possible, anything can happen.

14:02

And we're very excited

14:05

to watch these games.

14:07

And without further ado,

14:09

let's turn it over

14:11

to our guy, Anthony

14:13

DeBundo. And let's talk

14:15

some favorite favorites, some

14:17

favorite upsets and some

14:20

more takes on March

14:22

Madness. We'll be right

14:24

back after the break. One

14:28

Shining Podcast is brought to you by FanDuel. The

14:30

beauty of the tourney, it's the underdogs, the

14:32

chaos, the stories that make you believe. It's why

14:34

we love college basketball. And now FanDuel is

14:36

turning the excitement up even higher. All through the

14:38

first two rounds of the tournament, bet correctly

14:40

on the lowest winning seat of the day. And

14:42

you'll win a share of $1 million in

14:44

bonus bets. Now, that's an upset you will not

14:46

be upset about. There's a lot of underdogs

14:48

to like. I am a big fan of Yale,

14:51

but if I'm saying that, maybe not take

14:53

them. I don't know. Do what you want to

14:55

do. FanDuel is the best place to bet

14:57

on the tourney. You can bet on everything from

14:59

spreads to money lines and team totals

15:01

plus so much more. Just visit fanduel.com/OSP

15:03

today and back your dog of the

15:05

day, because in March, anything can happen.

15:07

Must be 21 or older and president

15:09

in select states or 18 and older

15:11

and president in DC, opt in required.

15:14

Winning pre -live money line wager on

15:16

lowest seat required, each $1 million jackpot

15:18

to be split equally among all eligible

15:20

winners. Bonus bets are non -withdrawable and expire

15:22

seven days after a seat. Restricted supply

15:24

C terms at sportsbook .fanduel.com gambling problem

15:26

call 1 -800 -GAMBER or visit rg -help .com.

15:28

Joining us now as promised on one shining

15:30

podcast, this is his first appearance, but he

15:32

is officially a friend of the program. He's

15:35

the ringer's very own Anthony DeBundo and he

15:37

is here to help us figure out how

15:39

to gamble on the 2025 NCAA tournament. First

15:41

and foremost though, DeBundo, good to see you

15:43

man. How are you? How are you holding

15:45

up in March? Excited

15:48

to be here. Thanks for having me on

15:50

the pod. I think it's very exciting

15:52

and I'm trying to always find the balance

15:54

of like being smart and being a

15:56

little different from everybody else while

15:58

also not having a bunch of

16:00

upsets because I do think this is going

16:02

to be a chalky tournament and I know

16:05

that's like famous last words I'll regret saying

16:07

that I'll get old takes exposed but you

16:09

know when you look at the strength of

16:11

some of these top teams it is stronger

16:14

metrically and and kind of narrative wise that

16:16

it's been in past years. Yeah, I love

16:18

that you're locked in and we talked about

16:20

this offline, but in the Ringer universe, we

16:23

need as many college basketball people that actually

16:25

know about college basketball where they don't get

16:27

the deer in the headlights look as soon

16:29

as you start bringing up Colorado State

16:32

or one of these teams off

16:34

the beaten path. Instead, you have

16:36

a Colorado State or one of

16:38

these teams off the beaten path.

16:40

Instead, you have a Colorado State

16:42

shirt on for the people that

16:44

are listening. figure out what team

16:46

you're locking in on. So just

16:48

generally speaking, as someone who doesn't

16:50

have a team in the tournament,

16:52

like how do you approach who

16:54

you root for? Do you have

16:56

a lot of like, you know, eggs

16:58

in different baskets or is it

17:01

all in one basket? Like, what's

17:03

the approach there? Yeah, I also

17:05

went to Syracuse and we're trying

17:07

to be nice. Like, what's the approach

17:10

there? Yeah, I was keeping a

17:12

Philly specific for you. as not made a

17:14

tournament. So it's very depressing here. We're kind

17:16

of looking for a figure like a Rick

17:18

Patino maybe to save basketball in our city.

17:20

We need somebody Richard Patino, maybe his son,

17:22

you know, I mean, he could be honest.

17:24

But that'd be great. I would sign up

17:26

Penn and Fran or in talks maybe. There's

17:28

some buzz. Villanova, of course, is a highly

17:31

sought after job, but it ends up being

17:33

just. you know you start to fall in

17:35

love with teams you watch throughout the year

17:37

maybe you bet on them a few times

17:39

and they cast tickets for you certain coaches

17:41

you really like watching and so over the

17:43

years like Nico Medbeds become one of my

17:45

guys Greg McDermott's become one of my guys

17:48

but I'm looking at the bracket now and I

17:50

don't really want to pick either in the first

17:52

round so it's really tough you try to separate

17:54

the bias and at the end of the

17:56

day you know coaches dominate this sport and

17:58

characters and narratives and And so I'm hoping

18:01

that Nico gets a good send off in

18:03

my heart, but my head says that maybe

18:05

they're gonna be a very popular, quote unquote,

18:07

upset pick that doesn't quite come through. Yeah,

18:10

I do think there's a triple threat when

18:12

you're making decisions on picks, right? There's your

18:14

heart, which I think a lot of us

18:16

kind of tend to go with our heart.

18:18

It's, you know, it's an innate thing to

18:21

do, a natural thing to do. There's our

18:23

head, which is all the metrics and the

18:25

many notes and the figures and the figures

18:27

and the facts and the figures and the

18:30

facts and the facts that we all go

18:32

through, all the little tidbits and the little

18:34

tidbits and the little tidbits, and the little

18:36

tidbits, and the little tidbits, and the little

18:39

tidbits, and the little tidbits, and the little

18:41

tidbits, are there. As far as like the

18:43

little nuances and the things that you look

18:45

towards before you make picks, is it as

18:47

small as like the basketball is being different

18:50

for some teams? Like we remember Purdue, I

18:52

was bringing this up the other day, like

18:54

Purdue in 2023 when they lose the FDU,

18:56

FDU believe it, right? They shoot Nike balls

18:59

all year, they're a good three-point shooting team,

19:01

they're around 40%, they get in the tournament,

19:03

they're playing with the NXT Evo. after the

19:05

game Matt Painter doesn't want to point fingers

19:08

but he does kind of point to the

19:10

basketball we've had some other coaches and teams

19:12

bring it up are you thinking about things

19:14

as little as those details when you're gambling

19:16

or are you trying to think more big

19:19

picture like what's the philosophy there? I mean,

19:21

I know a lot of people in the

19:23

gambling world, they made a lot of money

19:25

betting unders in any game where teams had

19:28

to switch balls, where like if both teams

19:30

were using the new ball, they were betting

19:32

unders and they were making a lot of

19:34

money in those tournaments, especially like first half

19:37

unders, because it is different. It's a very

19:39

precise thing. So it is weird that the

19:41

NCAA would do something like that, but you

19:43

know, some teams I think have started to

19:46

prepare for changes, they've kind of learned from

19:48

past mistakes, Purdue last year ends up being

19:50

one of the best shooting teams in the

19:52

tournament and gets all the championship. So yeah,

19:54

there's always my new things. I mean, you'll

19:57

hear all these little tidbits in the game.

19:59

gambling world. Early start times, people like first

20:01

half unders, delayed start times. So if the

20:03

first game of the region at the regional

20:06

site goes two hours and 25 minutes and

20:08

all of a sudden, maybe the players were

20:10

getting warmed up and prepared to start at

20:12

2.30, but now they're playing at 3.10. Does

20:15

that throw them off? Do you bet the

20:17

under there? So there's all reasons people are

20:19

looking to bet against human achievement and bet

20:21

against points. I tend to mess around with

20:23

those here and there, but it's not the

20:26

most fun way to bet the tournament necessarily.

20:28

So I think at the end of the day,

20:30

everybody's looking for the tiniest edge they can find. Yeah,

20:32

flight delays has been the big one in the past

20:34

48 hours. A lot of people talking about Texas A&M,

20:37

their flight being delayed and that might affect them in

20:39

their first round game against Yale. A lot of people

20:41

like Yale already. They saw the flight delay now. They

20:43

saw the flight delay. Now they're completely in on Yale

20:45

already. They saw the flight delay. Now they're completely in

20:47

on Yale, now they're completely in on Yale already. Now

20:49

they're completely in on the flight delay. Now they're completely

20:52

in on Yale, they're completely in on Yale, on Yale,

20:54

getting the completely in on Yale, getting the completely in

20:56

on Yale, getting the completely in on Yale, getting the

20:58

completely, getting the, getting the, getting the, getting the, getting

21:00

the, getting the, getting the, getting the, getting the,

21:02

getting the, favorite favorite in each region? We have

21:05

odds if you go to Fandel Sports Book right

21:07

now, you can look at the odds. You can

21:09

bet each region and figure out, and I want

21:11

to start in the South region, we obviously have

21:13

Auburn as the number one overall seed. Let's start

21:16

there. Is Auburn your favorite favorite in this region,

21:18

or is there somebody else better odds that you

21:20

kind of locked in on? This

21:22

is actually the toughest region for me to

21:24

pick a final four team because I generally

21:27

have a bias against Auburn Generally not love

21:29

their tournament profile over the past few years,

21:31

especially Had Yale last year I think a

21:33

lot of people were picking Auburn last year

21:35

as a stealth, you know, championship team the

21:38

Ken Palm metrics love them I do wonder

21:40

if people have kind of been thrown off

21:42

the scent of Auburn just because they had

21:44

a bad couple of games here at the

21:47

finish and it's not like the last four

21:49

games, right But it's not like they lost

21:51

to bad team. I mean, they lost to, you

21:53

know, Florida and Alabama here. Like, these are all

21:55

top 10 teams. And A and N. Yeah, these

21:58

are all top 12 teams. Right. Crazy. And

22:00

so I wonder if people have been

22:02

maybe thrown off the scent of Auburn.

22:04

I would have loved Iowa State, but

22:06

with the Gilbert injury now, I'm questioning

22:08

what their ceiling is. Michigan State fits

22:10

a trend that I don't like that

22:12

I want to get into when we

22:14

talk about St. John's, which is not

22:16

going to make producer Kyle happy, but

22:18

yeah, Auburn ended up kind of being

22:20

like the de facto winner of this

22:22

region for me because. Louisville, I think

22:24

a lot of people are talking about

22:26

the fact that it could be a

22:28

road game for them. They're playing in

22:30

Lexington. Auburn fans travel pretty well. I

22:32

imagine Auburn fans will have plenty of

22:34

people in Rup, if they were to

22:36

play this weekend. So ultimately, as much

22:38

as I love Louisville, I think that

22:40

might even be their toughest game between

22:42

the first round and the final four.

22:44

I kind of settled on Auburn is

22:46

the favorite favorite for this region. Yeah,

22:48

I think that's a good call. Minus

22:50

105, also the odds aren't that bad,

22:52

you know, based on the fact that

22:54

you have the number one overall seed,

22:57

the fact that, like you said, they're

22:59

all going to go to Rupp Arena

23:01

now that they know, the conversation is

23:03

about Louisville fans taking over Lexington, like

23:05

Auburn, this fan base is insane. So

23:07

that's something that they would take pride

23:09

in to go there, take over Rup,

23:11

Rup, Rup, Atlanta is an SEC, that,

23:13

Iowa, right? there at plus 500 but

23:15

like you said I don't really like

23:17

them then it's Texas saying them they

23:19

get Yale we potentially by the way

23:21

could get an Auburn Yale rematch in

23:23

the Sweet 16 like if Yale was

23:25

able to get through the first two

23:27

rounds they could face Auburn again and

23:29

pull Akitas could look at Bruce Pearl

23:31

and stare him down and we have

23:33

a you know one of those great

23:35

moments in the tournament but I think

23:37

you're right in the South Auburn feels

23:39

like the right pick let's go to

23:41

Newark let's go to the East region,

23:43

obviously the favorites. You're looking at this,

23:45

we're all we're all talking about Duke,

23:47

we're all talking about Cooper flag. Is

23:49

it that obvious that Duke is going

23:51

to win the East region or is

23:53

there another favorite favorite that you like?

23:55

Yeah, this was the easy one for

23:57

me. I mean, Duke's going to be

23:59

my national champion. I had Yukon a

24:01

couple years ago and then I tried

24:03

to get cute and not pick Yukon

24:05

last year, because I didn't, you know,

24:07

it's like, I think they're the best

24:09

team, but everybody's gonna have them. And

24:12

so maybe I'll be a little bit

24:14

different and go against them. But I

24:16

mean, when you pull up the Bart

24:18

Torvik attorney team cops for this Duke

24:20

team, it is pretty remarkable. And it's

24:22

not even close. When you compare Duke's

24:24

efficiency, so when the the Bart Torvik

24:26

efficiency metrics for those you don't know.

24:28

you can go on the website and

24:30

you can pull up most comparable teams

24:32

and it looks at turnover margins, rebounding

24:34

margins, effective field goal percentage, all the

24:36

nerd stats, the four factors that make

24:38

up these teams and the average number

24:40

of wins is over four. So on

24:42

average a team with Duke's profile gets

24:44

to the final four and there's a,

24:46

the whole list is littered with champions.

24:48

So for me in this region with

24:50

a two seed that I actually think

24:52

will go out early and a three

24:54

seed that I think also might go

24:56

out early. Like this might end up

24:58

being a pretty friendly path for Duke

25:00

as well. I know a lot of

25:02

people are highlighting, you know, Arizona as

25:04

maybe a dark course there. I just

25:06

will never trust the, you know, Arizona

25:08

when they have to get into these

25:10

half court games and it comes down

25:12

to like half court efficiency. I just

25:14

don't think they hold up the same

25:16

way as otherwise. But anyway, yeah, so

25:18

here's the set. The 11 most comparable

25:20

teams to Duke this season, five of

25:22

them won the national championship championship championship.

25:25

Uh-huh. And it does feel like a

25:27

2015 year. I have said this, that

25:29

without Kay, Duke is due. It's been

25:31

10 years since they won a national

25:33

championship. I think 2022 they were on

25:35

their way to a national championship and

25:37

then the basketball gods, the Carmick Energy,

25:39

I don't know, whatever happened, whatever happened,

25:41

we all know, but I do know.

25:43

But I do feel like they're on

25:45

their way to a national championship and

25:47

then the basketball gods, the karmic energy,

25:49

I still feel like the need. Caleb

25:51

Love really take this team. I know

25:53

he can go on a run, he

25:55

can get hot, but seeing Duke again,

25:57

he might get too excited. They beat

25:59

them last year in Cameron, so maybe

26:01

there's some redemption there for Duke in

26:03

that game. I think we've already. seen

26:05

that so I think it's a good

26:07

call minus 135 you can take Duke

26:09

now we go over to the Midwest

26:11

Houston the one seed here plus 120

26:13

to make it out Tennessee right behind

26:15

him at plus 370 who do you

26:17

like in the Midwest is your favorite

26:19

favorite well I feel like I'm gonna

26:21

come across is a bit bit boring

26:23

here but I have three I have

26:25

three one seeds in my final four

26:27

now okay Gonzaga's getting a lot of

26:29

love and I get it If you

26:31

look at if you just pull up

26:33

Ken Palm, if you pull up Bart

26:35

Orvik, and you look at their efficiency

26:37

metrics, they project as a top 10

26:40

team. Gonzaga has a pretty good half-court

26:42

offense. If you go and just look

26:44

at the half-court offensive numbers, they end

26:46

up as one of the most efficient

26:48

half-court offenses in the country. And you

26:50

kind of need that, because Houston's not

26:52

going to let you run in transition,

26:54

like Gonzaga wants to. And you kind

26:56

of need shot shot making shot making.

26:58

For me, I've seen enough of those

27:00

guys at this Gonzaga team the last

27:02

couple years to not really fully trust

27:04

them against a more physical team, against

27:06

guards that are going to really get

27:08

up and bother them. And so Houston,

27:10

and the reason the nerds love Houston

27:12

is just shot volume. They get so

27:14

many extra possessions, extra shots from rebounds.

27:16

They're able to overcome potential deficiencies. And

27:18

they're shooting this year is better than

27:20

it's been in years past. So ultimately,

27:22

you know, I'm very boring. Will Warren

27:24

had a great stat on his sub

27:26

stack. The average efficiency margin of the

27:28

one seeds is by far, not even

27:30

close, like four points per 100 possessions,

27:32

better than it's ever been in the

27:34

history of the Ken Palm era. So,

27:36

you know, 2000 plus. And so I

27:38

just think that at the end of

27:40

the day, if you're filling out brackets,

27:42

it's going to be a lot of

27:44

chalk for me this year. Yeah, it's

27:46

kind of fascinating too. Like this is

27:48

a something's got to give game. Houston

27:50

number two scoring defense in the country.

27:52

They give up about 59 points per

27:55

game. Gonzaga number two scoring offense in

27:57

the country. They score around 87 points

27:59

per game. So this is going to

28:01

be a fascinating matchup if Gonzaga can

28:03

get past Georgia. We expect that to

28:05

be the case. I like the Zag

28:07

just basically taking that one seed from

28:09

Houston, but that game, like you said,

28:11

the physicality of Houston, they also feel

28:13

like last year was shed going down.

28:15

They have a little bit of juice

28:17

behind them. Calvin Sampson, here he's supposed

28:19

to do. They have a little bit

28:21

of juice behind them. Kelvin Samson, here's

28:23

the noise. He's going down. They have

28:25

a little bit of juice behind them,

28:27

Kelvin, they need to finally do it.

28:29

So Houston needs like a nice run. Plus

28:31

120 you can get them there. It's not

28:33

boring if you think it's true. So that's

28:35

a good news. Let's go to the West.

28:38

We got Florida is the one C there

28:40

minus 140 Texas Tech right behind him at

28:42

plus 550. Who's your favorite favorite out

28:44

in the West? I'm gonna go a

28:46

little different here. I'm gonna make the

28:49

final four. I like Texas Tech kind

28:51

of punted the big 12 tournament.

28:53

much to my dismay, I bet them

28:55

to win that tournament and then,

28:57

you know, it comes out on

28:59

the semifinal Friday, they're sitting by,

29:01

they're sitting guys and they're basically

29:03

going six deep against Arizona. Chance

29:05

and Darian both sat out and

29:07

everyone's like, wait a second, are these

29:10

guys actually hurt? And they're like, no,

29:12

they'll be back to the tournament. We'll

29:14

see you in the first round. Exactly,

29:16

maybe even they're thinking about three

29:18

weeks from now, when they could maybe

29:20

be in San Antonio. is an

29:22

elite offense that can keep Florida in the

29:25

half court. And I think that's the

29:27

big thing. As I've looked at Florida,

29:29

because I like Florida, I think Todd

29:31

Golden's a great coach, used to watch

29:33

the Dons all the time, Jamari Boulier,

29:35

like those, those teams were awesome to watch.

29:37

But Florida's profile has one big

29:39

red flag for me. Everybody's falling

29:41

in love with them, I get it, they just

29:44

ran through the SEC tournament, they just put

29:46

together an impressive three-game stretch,

29:48

but the one concern with me for

29:50

Florida. They are just 50 seconds in points

29:52

per possession in the half court offense this

29:55

season according to Synergy. It's unadjusted

29:57

numbers. They play a lot of good SEC teams.

29:59

Sure. But that's real to me. And Florida in

30:01

the SEC, a lot of those teams, Auburn, Alabama, they're

30:03

happy to run up and down the floor and play

30:06

at Florida's pace and get into a transitional battle. If

30:08

they get a team that's willing to slow it down,

30:10

make them execute in the half court, that's where I

30:12

think you're red flag exists. Yeah, I like that call.

30:14

Like you said, everybody's hot on Florida. I have said

30:16

this before on our selection Sunday show that that tends

30:18

to be the case where we fall in love with

30:21

one team. Auburn in 2023 was that team. Everybody had

30:23

Auburn, Walker, Kessler, Jabari, Smith. How can we stop this

30:25

group? It does feel like Florida has a little bit

30:27

of that same energy in the air, but they're a

30:29

very talented and deep team, but plus 550 getting Texas

30:31

Tech is pretty good, especially if those guys play like

30:33

they have all year like they have all year. They're

30:35

really good teams. St. John's though is sitting right there

30:38

at plus 650. I know you have a note on

30:40

St. John's that you want to point out, producer Kyle

30:42

Earmus, I know you don't want to hear this, but

30:44

why are you concerned about the Johnny's? Well, I mean,

30:46

we have a, we have a St. John's fan here,

30:48

but I think even the most optimistic John's fan would

30:50

have never seen it going this well. Right. They end

30:53

up top 10 in the country, they get a two

30:55

seed. Not even in their wildest dreams could have gone

30:57

this well. And historically, when teams come out of complete

30:59

nowhere to get a one or a two seed, they

31:01

tend to be a darling, a team that everybody has

31:03

a reason, they've been on the bandwagon all year, they

31:05

don't tend to do well in the tournament. The stat

31:07

is that there have been 39 teams now, Ken Palm

31:10

has just tracked this for a couple years. 39 teams

31:12

that entered the season unranked in the AP top 25

31:14

and then went on to get a one or a

31:16

two seed in the NCAA tournament. Tate, you wanna guess

31:18

how many of those teams have ever made the final

31:20

four? I'm gonna go probably zero, right? Like, it feels

31:22

like really. It feels like you're leading me to zero.

31:24

I'm not going to sound like I'm the smart guy

31:27

here, but I'm like, it might be zero. That's not

31:29

good. Zero. Zero. And the last few years, the teams

31:31

that fit this, Purdue, from two seasons ago, we all

31:33

know what happened to them. Marquette two years ago, kind

31:35

of similar to this John's Renaissance here, where it's like

31:37

the Shaka Renaissance. They went right through the Big East,

31:39

they got a big East, they got a big East,

31:42

they got a big East, big East, they got a

31:44

big East, they got a big East, they got a

31:46

big East, they got a big East, they got a

31:48

big East, they got a big East, they got a

31:50

big East, they got a big East, So that's the

31:52

red flag for St. John's and it applies to Michigan

31:54

State. So if you're thinking about that in your bracket,

31:56

these teams that come out of nowhere, and look, the

31:59

AP poll has bias toward the top teams. Everybody remembers,

32:01

sorry, Tate, North Carolina, they were preseason number one, didn't

32:03

make the tournament. I think it happens the other way,

32:05

and you can say, maybe we gave too much respect

32:07

to this name brand, who underperforms. But the other way

32:09

around, when its team comes out of nowhere to be

32:11

elite, you should always bat your eye and say, Are

32:14

we kind of at the top of maybe the outcome

32:16

for this school? Now the other part of the St.

32:18

John's thing is that I went and pulled up the

32:20

bar tour of a comparison for all of the St.

32:22

John's recent history. The average tournament wins is 2.4. There's

32:24

only one team that ever made the final four with

32:26

St. John's profile of the most 10 comparable. That team

32:28

was 2013 Louisville, who went on to win the national

32:31

championship, coached by none of then. Of course. So if

32:33

you want to squint and you want to make the

32:35

case, Patino's done it with a similar team before, right?

32:37

It's very much a Patino team, but it will not

32:39

be me picking St. John's. I will have Texas Tech

32:41

over them in the Sweet 16. I think that's a

32:43

very well argued case there. I think a lot of

32:46

people are going to say, wait a second, what's happening.

32:48

We thought it was his though. We thought it was

32:50

St. John's. I do say this, the AP voters are

32:52

less informed than ever because of the roster turnover. So

32:54

maybe this is a time where like that stat doesn't

32:56

apply because they had no. idea that

32:58

RJ Lewis was this good.

33:00

They had no idea that

33:03

Jace Richardson would end up

33:05

starting and being basically the

33:07

star of this team. So

33:09

maybe there's some, some factors

33:11

that are in there, but

33:13

that does give me a

33:15

chill down my spine as

33:18

you say that because I

33:20

believe in the old guys

33:22

and we love nostalgia. We

33:24

love the idea that this

33:26

is to be the first

33:28

year that to the two

33:30

pointer is actually worth more

33:32

than the three pointer in

33:35

college basketball. We've officially reverted

33:37

back because we've taken so

33:39

many bad threes that now

33:41

two is worth more than

33:43

three. And the two guys

33:45

that have basically applied this

33:47

idea to their teams throughout

33:50

has been Rick Petino and

33:52

Tom Izzo. And I think

33:54

that's why a lot of

33:56

people have fallen back in

33:58

love with these guys. And

34:00

it's very funny because Rick

34:02

Petino famously took Providence and

34:04

said, why don't we shoot

34:07

the three? Now he's like,

34:09

why don't we just get

34:11

to the basket, miss it,

34:13

get a rebound, get another

34:15

possession, get a better shot.

34:17

And hey, if we miss

34:19

that one, we'll get another

34:22

rebound and we'll get another

34:24

possession. I mean, they lead

34:26

the country and extra scoring

34:28

chances. That's the reason I

34:30

like the Johnny's Houston right

34:32

behind them as well. So

34:34

those two teams, they can,

34:36

they can create other opportunities

34:39

for themselves. Let's do some

34:41

upsets. We'll go region by

34:43

region again. We'll go back

34:45

to the south. Obviously you

34:47

like Auburn as the favorite.

34:49

Who's your favorite upset in

34:51

the south? Which one is

34:53

sticking out to you? I

34:56

bet the Ivy team basically

34:58

every year. It was one

35:00

year. There was one year

35:02

where Penn was like a

35:04

16 seed. They kind of

35:06

stole the bid. I didn't

35:08

bet them against Illinois, but

35:11

pretty much every year I

35:13

bet the Ivy, the Ivy's

35:15

always good to me. So

35:17

yeah, Yale plus seven and

35:19

a half and with the

35:21

money line and in my

35:23

brackets. And if you want

35:25

to get really crazy, I

35:28

don't think Michigan is all

35:30

that. I think everybody's picking

35:32

UC San Diego there. I

35:34

think Yale would have a

35:36

chance against either. I mean,

35:38

if you want to get

35:40

really crazy at Fandle right

35:43

now, plus nine 20 on

35:45

Yale to make the sweet

35:47

16, like it's a really

35:49

good rim defense. They rebound

35:51

really well. I think it's

35:53

a good matchup for them

35:55

against A &M because they force

35:57

you to shoot and A

36:00

&M can't just physically unable

36:02

to shoot the ball. Maybe

36:04

we'll tailor. A &M's offense, like

36:06

the way that they get

36:08

fired up is missing shots

36:10

and getting rebounds. I mean,

36:12

it's a very funny. to watch.

36:15

You're like, these guys, they just brick the hell out

36:17

of the basketball. And the better the brick, the better

36:19

the rebound, the better the opportunity for a little lay-in.

36:21

So I think that's a great call and a great

36:23

coach there as well with James Jones at Yale, a

36:25

guy who has been there since the 20th century. So

36:27

he knows what's going on. He's a guy who has

36:29

been there since the 20th century. So he knows what's

36:32

going on. one seed in the sweet 16. That is

36:34

the perfect David versus Goliath moment that the NCAA turned

36:36

it on. So I think that's a really good call.

36:38

Let's go to the east. Let's go to

36:40

Newark. Who's your favorite upset there? Yeah,

36:42

the east, I mean, a lot of

36:44

people are, I'm kind of, I'm between two

36:47

here. So VC you over BYU in

36:49

the first round. I love the

36:51

match up. It is tough situationally,

36:53

right? VCU has their Sunday conference

36:55

championship win. And then. they

36:57

have to go to Denver to play BYU

36:59

on Thursday, quick turnaround. And I

37:02

think the one question has always

37:04

been about the Mountain West and

37:06

about these elevation teams, BYU

37:09

included, New Mexico. When they come

37:11

down to sea level, are they as good? Do

37:13

they have an outsized advantage at the

37:15

home court because of where they play?

37:17

Well, BYU doesn't have to come down to

37:19

C level to play this game. They get

37:22

to play up at, up at elevation. So

37:24

that does work in work in their favor.

37:26

is making the Sweet 16 in my bracket.

37:28

And then my other upset, not first round,

37:31

but St. Mary's to beat Alabama. I think

37:33

people fell in love with the Alabama

37:35

team last year, which made all the way to

37:37

the Final Four, which rode some hot shooting,

37:39

which made some incredible plays down the

37:41

stretch, but it's easy to forget. Like

37:43

they were really in a sweat and tied

37:45

with Grand Canyon with like four minutes

37:48

to go. And they pulled that game

37:50

out very late against Carolina. The margins

37:52

are not very big for this Alabama

37:55

team. You mentioned extra second chance opportunities.

37:57

Alabama's shot volume numbers are not.

37:59

not all that impressive. They're a shot

38:01

making team. And so if the shots

38:04

go in, yeah, they're gonna win. But

38:06

if they just have an off-ish shooting

38:08

night, Mary's is a rebounding juggernaut, and

38:10

Mary's is very comfortable. They play in

38:12

Zaga three times every year. They're very

38:14

comfortable slowing down a transition juggernaut and

38:16

forcing them to play in the half

38:18

court. I think Mary's is a sneaky

38:20

underdog, and I actually have them in

38:22

my bracket making it all the way

38:24

to the lead eight. So I'll probably

38:26

forget that, I'll probably regret that, but

38:28

Mary's and I think this is your

38:30

maybe Randy Bennett squad finally makes another

38:32

second weekend. And I like that call

38:34

too because it goes back to what

38:36

you're saying about Florida being able to

38:38

slow down Alabama the fastest team in

38:40

the country to have a team that

38:42

plays so slow to get them in

38:44

a game in the half court to

38:46

slow them down to basically say hey

38:48

Mark Sears you beat us. Let's put

38:50

down to the Midwest. You like Houston

38:52

as the favorite. Who do you like

38:54

as the upset down here? So I

38:56

didn't pick a single upset in the

38:58

first round. Okay. So I have a

39:00

lot of chalk here. I mean, I

39:02

think McNeese and High Point are both

39:04

gonna get a lot of love. High

39:06

Point's a really interesting team because the

39:08

best team they played all year was

39:10

North Texas. And their defense doesn't look

39:12

like it holds up against any competent

39:14

competition. So I feel like Purdue maybe

39:16

might be able to name their score

39:18

here. I do have Clemson beating Purdue,

39:20

so I took Clemson to make the

39:22

Sweet 16. We talked about them on

39:24

Through the Ringer last week. I think

39:26

Clemson, if they had been put in

39:28

a better section and didn't have to

39:30

place Houston there, I might have had

39:32

them going even further. But yeah, Clemson

39:34

to make the Sweet 16. And you

39:36

know, I think the big question is,

39:38

Kentucky is similar to Alabama, or Kentucky

39:40

has a bunch of injury questions now.

39:42

So there's some real uncertainty about them.

39:44

Could that open the door? for the

39:47

Alaini, but the problem is like what

39:49

Alaini are showing up? They're the team

39:51

that if you pick them to go

39:53

to the elite eight, they'll bust your

39:55

bracket because they're going to lose to

39:57

Xavier or Texas. But if you pick

39:59

them to lose in the first round,

40:01

they'll probably make the final four. So

40:03

they're a really tough, tough solve the

40:05

Alaini this season. I don't understand them

40:07

last year. I don't understand them this

40:09

year, so. You never know who's going

40:11

to show up. I just can't bet

40:13

on them having a string of games

40:15

that are consistent. You know what I

40:17

mean? When I look at Illinois, it's

40:19

like Bob Knight used to say, never

40:21

judge a team by their best game,

40:23

never judge a team by their worst

40:25

game, never judge a team by their

40:27

worst game, try to find somewhere in

40:29

the middle, right? Like Illinois, the middle

40:31

was even strange. Like we don't even

40:33

know what the middle is. We don't

40:35

know if it's top half middle or

40:37

bottom half middle or bottom half middle,

40:39

because that's middle, because that's half middle

40:41

or bottom half middle, because that's middle,

40:43

because that's half middle, because that's, because

40:45

that's just how stark the bottom half

40:47

middle, because that's just how stark the

40:49

I like that call and like you

40:51

said this is probably the chalkiest region

40:53

that's why I feel like every bracket

40:55

you see is Houston versus Tennessee in

40:57

the elite to go to the final

40:59

four that's just kind of what it

41:01

is let's go to the west you

41:03

like Florida as the favorite who do

41:05

you like is the upset down here

41:07

yeah so I have Texas Tech over

41:09

Johns I have Florida Maryland so I

41:11

do have one four three two I'm

41:13

sorry I got lost with Florida you

41:15

like Texas Tech is a favorite sorry

41:17

yeah upset we're down to the upset

41:19

my bed to the upset my bed

41:21

about that Yeah, who is the, who

41:23

is the upset in Colorado State, Memphis?

41:25

Because this is the most fascinating conundrum.

41:27

I think if you're filling out bracket

41:29

pools and you go on ESPN right

41:32

now, the majority of the people are

41:34

picking Memphis as the five-seat. And then,

41:36

you know, the guy who wants to

41:38

be sharp, you know, at the water

41:40

cooler is saying, you know, I really

41:42

like Colorado State as an upset. But

41:44

if you go pull up a sports

41:46

book, Colorado State's minus two and a

41:48

two and a favorite. Not insignificant significant

41:50

favorite. So how do you call it

41:52

like that? The hottest people in the

41:54

country right now, like they have the

41:56

most momentum in the country. They're shooting

41:58

46% from three in the last 10

42:00

games. They want all 10. But I'm

42:02

getting, I'm getting similar vibes to New

42:04

Mexico from last year with this Colorado

42:06

State team. Colorado State, peaks at the

42:08

right time, goes through the conference. The

42:10

only reason they get in is because

42:12

of that. New Mexico last year, same

42:14

thing. They went four and four to

42:16

win Mountain West. They beat San Diego

42:18

State on the final day. They beat

42:20

Colorado State. They were playing really well,

42:22

playing their best basketball. They were a

42:24

10 seed. They were playing really well,

42:26

playing their best basketball. They were a

42:28

10 seed who was minus two and

42:30

a half in the first round against

42:32

7 seed Clemson. Everybody, including myself, and

42:34

sure enough. They were absolutely destroyed and

42:36

the game was over at the under

42:38

12th So I kind of think Colorado

42:40

State might be heading down the similar

42:42

path Okay, and have a you know

42:44

a neat clipper. It is great. I

42:46

love Colorado State. I'm wearing the shirt

42:48

feel a sac religious betting against Nico,

42:50

but if you kind of sort the

42:52

data Memphis is Ken Palm metrics aren't

42:54

that good. That's because Memphis doesn't destroy

42:56

the bad teams in the AAC like

42:58

they maybe could or should. They kind

43:00

of sleepwalk through those bad games. They

43:02

play with their food. Right. The AAC

43:04

tournament, it was kind of like, oh,

43:06

they got it to single digits. Let's,

43:08

Dane Danger, you get us on a

43:10

6-0 run here and then you get

43:12

us on a 6-0 run here. And

43:15

then they're like, you get us on

43:17

a 6-0 run here and then they're

43:19

like back up by 6-0 run. You

43:21

get us on a 6-0 run. Memphis

43:23

has an angle too where they're like,

43:25

we keep getting screwed and Pinney has

43:27

to send a message to his haters,

43:29

which is, I like where your line

43:31

of thinking is right here. And Memphis

43:33

and the non-con, much more impressive resume

43:35

than anything Colorado State did. And then

43:37

the other part of this, we saw

43:39

Memphis play in the first round two

43:41

years ago against a Mountain West team,

43:43

Boise State, and they kind of rolled

43:45

Boise State, and they kind of rolled

43:47

Boise, had its limitations. you know, the

43:49

two guards, but I just, I've gotten

43:51

to my head, I feel like this

43:53

is a little bit too much love

43:55

for Colorado State, so Memphis is my

43:57

quote unquote. upset pick in a plus

43:59

two and a half is the five

44:01

seed. But the thing is, like I

44:03

said, in brackets, you might have more

44:05

leverage going with Colorado State just because

44:07

the majority of the people, the average

44:09

college hoops fan, will see Memphis, and

44:11

they'll say, oh yeah, I know Memphis,

44:13

Memphis, into the next round. What are

44:16

your thoughts on Drake? It does feel

44:18

like Drake is one of those teams

44:20

that everybody and the water cooler guy,

44:22

he knows about Drake, he knows they

44:24

have D2 players, he knows Ben mixed

44:27

something. He doesn't know it's McCollin, but

44:29

he knows this mixed something and he

44:31

knows this mixed something and he knows

44:33

this mixed something and he likes this

44:35

mixed something and he likes this team

44:38

and now he's talking about them

44:40

making a team and he's talking like

44:42

the water cooler conversation. he comes in

44:44

the day after the game and he's

44:46

like did you see the Drake A man they had

44:48

it they had him beat they were up

44:50

double digits and then Miami they they choked

44:53

and like but I was I was right

44:55

it should have been Drake and then he

44:57

does it again and now different core different

44:59

coach same thing though do you trust the

45:01

guy the third time when he comes up

45:03

and he says hey I really like Drake this

45:05

year to pull off an upset yeah that guy

45:07

is me I have been on Drake last two

45:10

years the boy who tried Drake that's it So

45:12

I got one more in me. I'm going to

45:14

pick Drake only because I like I said I have

45:16

Texas Tech going through that section and to

45:18

be honest like these 6-11 7-10-8-9 games when

45:21

you only have them going one round It's

45:23

not going to make or break your bracket.

45:25

Yeah, I do think the spread's a little

45:27

high and Drake could get Drake and get

45:29

you in the half court and really

45:31

grind down games and make Missouri. That's

45:34

my one thing about the SEC and maybe

45:36

why they end up a little overrated

45:38

in this tournament is that so many of

45:40

these teams like to play this running gun style, up

45:42

and down, get up, you know, score a bunch of

45:44

points. The tournament traditionally isn't like that. You

45:46

know, you'll get games, but for the

45:49

most part, teams want to force you

45:51

into the half-court more, especially the late

45:53

game. What does Missouri look like there versus Drake?

45:55

And if Drake has to operate there, I think

45:57

they can score on just about anybody in the...

45:59

in the late half court, but especially Missouri,

46:02

whose defense has really fallen off a cliff

46:04

here in the second half. Yeah, and that

46:06

was Mazoo's calling card, and that's the reason

46:08

they looked so good, you know, back in

46:11

January, February, and like you said, they've kind

46:13

of fallen off a cliff there. There's some

46:15

bracket specials that we have on Fando right

46:18

now, and they have number of number one

46:20

seeds to reach the final four. You can

46:22

get. at 0 and plus 1,000 that's the

46:24

heavy favorite there four is plus 1600 as

46:27

well you have three based on your favorite

46:29

favorites going to the final four and you

46:31

could get that number plus 290 you locking

46:34

that in you like three number one seeds

46:36

in the final four yeah and it goes

46:38

back to what I said earlier about you

46:40

know the Will Warren stat about just how

46:43

dominant these one seeds have been from an

46:45

efficiency perspective and you know the spreads on

46:47

some of these teams are gonna be bigger

46:50

than they usually have to go back to

46:52

last year When North Carolina played Michigan State

46:54

in the second round, the spread was three

46:56

and a half. This year, like Auburn Louisville,

46:59

I think we were all like, oh, that

47:01

could be a tough game for Auburn. They're

47:03

gonna be like mine is nine and a

47:05

half, 10 point favorites here. So it's a

47:08

much bigger ladder to climb to pull some

47:10

of these upsets just based on how these

47:12

teams grade out metrically. And honestly, for that

47:15

reason, I only picked one team seated 13

47:17

or lower to win a first round game

47:19

and it was Yale. Like I have Zona

47:21

going on, I have Clemson, Purdue, Maryland I

47:24

think will be fine. So only one team

47:26

seated 13 or below that I think will

47:28

win and it's the course the Ivy who

47:31

always seems to have a moment here in

47:33

March. Yeah, and I blame Seth Davis because

47:35

he calls out every single one of these

47:37

upsets and basically jinxes it from happening as

47:40

soon as High Point gets shown and they're

47:42

celebrating. He's like, I'm taking High Point over

47:44

Purdue. Alan Huss and everyone's like, are you

47:47

kidding me? Is this really happening right now?

47:49

This is my nightmare. So I'm like, are

47:51

you kidding me? Is this really happening right

47:53

now? This is my nightmare. You could get

47:56

that's my nightmare. You could get that. So

47:58

that would be a three three. Yeah, plus

48:00

five. You could get that. I'm curious. What

48:03

do you think? Who's the craziest team that

48:05

you could see and be like that team

48:07

could make the final four because I have

48:09

one. I think it's an eight seed. I

48:12

don't know what eight seed it is. I

48:14

think it's Gonzaga. I think that would be

48:16

my eight seed pick that can make the

48:18

final four. And if you did an eight

48:21

seed, that would be plus 500, which is

48:23

by the better odds, better odds than the

48:25

seven odds than the seven. or the four

48:28

seed making the final fours. So it seems

48:30

like the odds makers are worried about the

48:32

eight seeds as well. So I would go

48:34

Gonzaga. What about you? Well, you got the

48:37

eight seed line this year. You have the

48:39

Gonzaga who is the third favorite in that

48:41

region. And then Yukon, who will have some

48:44

inertia as the two-time defending champs, even though,

48:46

you know, couldn't see them doing it. But

48:48

the team I like is low of all.

48:50

You know, I talked short-handed. You know, UNC

48:53

wouldn't surprise me to see them in the

48:55

second weekend. They're going to be a favorite,

48:57

I think, against all this if they get

49:00

there. And then, you know, I would say

49:02

they can hang with them. A little, a

49:04

little tangent here. That's my favorite thing that's

49:06

happening right now. Like obviously it's a crime

49:09

that Carolina got in the tournament, right? That's

49:11

what everyone says on TV. It's a crime

49:13

they got in the tournament. But immediately they

49:15

say, however, or with that being said. I

49:18

have them going to the Sweet 16 and

49:20

it is like it's without it like every

49:22

single time. It's like get them out of

49:25

my face. This is an absolute travesty. They

49:27

should be sued. We should get rid of

49:29

the Instead Committee. With that being said, I

49:31

like North Carolina getting the Sweet 16. It's

49:34

my favorite thing going right now. But back

49:36

to what we were discussing. Great tangent. You're

49:38

not wrong on that. And some of the

49:41

comps for North Carolina on the bar tour

49:43

of a comp machine. have them winning a

49:45

game or two so and that's beyond not

49:47

even counting the game on Tuesday against San

49:50

Diego State so there's some there's some love

49:52

for the not from the media but from

49:54

the metrics like the metrics media mafia I've

49:57

always had a contentious relationship with because like

49:59

I like the basketball speaking for itself sometimes

50:01

and when people start giving me you know

50:03

numbers as opposed to what actually happened in

50:06

the game like especially after the fact like

50:08

I watched the game happen and they're like

50:10

well this is what actually should have happened

50:12

it's like no I just watched it happen

50:15

so I'm done with this I'm not doing

50:17

a retroactive captain hindsight here but it's very

50:19

funny now that now the metrics are the

50:22

ones that are basically getting North Carolina into

50:24

the field and I've had to go a

50:26

complete complete 180 I love math and I

50:28

love the metrics and thank you to the

50:31

metric media mafia shout out to you guys.

50:33

got you guys in the tournament. I did,

50:35

I did kind of have a moment when

50:38

they had the selection committee on to talk

50:40

about how they picked the field and give

50:42

their like PR answers after the bracket gets

50:44

revealed. And the guy's like, yeah, you know,

50:47

we really incorporated Bart Torvik this year. I

50:49

was like, imagine six years ago, if you

50:51

had went to like the media nerd number

50:54

math, what do you call them? The metrics

50:56

media mafia, who I consider myself part of.

50:58

Okay, like six years ago. We were doing

51:00

Bart Torvik before anybody knew who Bart was,

51:03

great guy on Twitter by the way, Twitter

51:05

with him a bunch. And it's, it's like,

51:07

imagine him having input. The fact that that's

51:10

now a thing we talk about, that Bart

51:12

Torvik, who is like the second cousin of

51:14

Ken Palm, and in some ways, you know,

51:16

as good if not better than Ken Palm

51:19

for some of the metrics he has. He

51:21

might have marked and corrected Ken Palm, but

51:23

I think. it's crazy how far we've come

51:25

and I think it's ultimately better for the

51:28

sport but I don't want to end up

51:30

where some college football debates go where it's

51:32

like well you know Alabama went eight and

51:35

five this year, but on a neutral field,

51:37

we'd make them a favorite against this 12

51:39

in one team, Indiana, so they can't get

51:41

in the field. Or they should be in.

51:44

And that's a little too much. Yeah, like

51:46

the college football argument was basically like on

51:48

a neutral site, who's the favorite? That should

51:51

be who's in. And if you did that

51:53

for the NCAA tournament, people with heads explode

51:55

and be like, what are you talking about?

51:57

But it's literally the exact same thing. you

52:00

go title pick. This is obviously something

52:02

that everybody asked that when you do

52:04

your bracket to fill it out. We

52:06

got the national championship odds here courtesy

52:08

a fan. Duke is the favorite of

52:11

plus 290 Florida plus 340 Auburn plus

52:13

550 Houston plus 600. Those are the

52:15

one seed those are the odds and

52:17

then the next closest is Alabama plus

52:19

2,000 Tennessee plus 2300. Who do you

52:21

have winning the national championship?

52:24

Play Hue Lewis in the news it's

52:26

hip to be square. I'll take the

52:28

Duke Blue Devils. They have actually taken

52:30

money. I mean, I bet them at

52:33

plus 350, about an hour after

52:35

the bracket came out. Now they're

52:37

down to plus 290. I think a

52:39

lot of people are starting to,

52:41

it's setting in a bit. One,

52:44

just how good they are. Two,

52:46

just how kind of soft this

52:48

region is, where it wouldn't shock

52:50

me if they got to play

52:52

a non-elite team in the elite

52:54

eight with Alabama potentially going.

52:56

2012 Kentucky, 2016, 2016,

52:59

Arizona, 2010, Duke, 2008,

53:01

Kansas, 2015, Duke, 2015,

53:03

Kentucky, 2014, Arizona. All of

53:06

those teams, except for one,

53:08

made the final four, and six

53:10

of those teams won the national

53:13

title. So that's just what we're

53:15

dealing with here. And if I'm

53:17

gonna be wrong, I'm happy to

53:20

be wrong with the best team. I'm

53:22

right there. It pains me to pick

53:24

Duke, by the way. No, this is

53:26

my nightmare. I do think someone, you

53:29

know, you kind of put up the

53:31

bat signal and you say someone has

53:33

to stop these guys as a Carolina

53:35

guy myself, like someone has to go

53:38

out there and actually try to stop

53:40

these guys, I don't think someone has

53:42

to go out there and actually try

53:44

to stop these guys, I don't think

53:47

they can lose, to go out there

53:49

and actually try to stop these guys,

53:51

I don't think that they could, you

53:53

know, throw some different... junk defenses to

53:55

maybe throw them off, get Cooper flagging

53:57

his head a little bit. So Oregon.

53:59

would This

57:13

message is brought to you by Apple card.

57:16

Apple card is a no-fee credit card that

57:18

gives you daily cash back every day. That's

57:20

3% back at Apple and 2% back on

57:22

every purchase made with Apple card using Apple

57:25

Pay. Apply for Apple card the wild app

57:27

on your iPhone today. you

58:30

know, things like that, and maybe stay

58:32

away from some of the obvious ones,

58:34

but I kind of feel like Fandel

58:37

should be seating these teams anyway, because

58:39

you do have some seeds that are

58:41

higher than the lower seeds that are

58:43

favored. So it gets a little weird.

58:45

I can't do enough. It is the

58:47

best. It is a little bit wonky,

58:50

right? Because there are the seed lines,

58:52

but then there are the actual lines,

58:54

and that can get confusing. An example

58:56

of that Colorado State versus Memphis, Colorado

58:58

State is favored in that game by

59:01

about two and a half. Memphis is

59:03

obviously the five seed, Colorado State is

59:05

favored in that game by about two

59:07

and a half. Memphis is obviously the

59:09

five seed, Colorado State's the five seed,

59:11

Colorado State's favored in that game by

59:13

about two and a half. Who do

59:15

you? in this one, so. I have

59:18

the winner of this going to the

59:20

final four. No, I don't. By the

59:22

way, speaking of brackets, if someone wins,

59:24

one of these years, one of these

59:26

outer bracket teams is gonna win

59:28

three games. It's gonna screw everything

59:30

up. So the aesthetics are already

59:33

messed up. I'll take Xavier minus

59:35

two and a half. You know, it's a

59:37

small number with the Musketeers, seven

59:39

game winning streak before dropping a

59:41

close one to Marquette in the

59:43

Big East quarterfinal. Zach Fremantle, good

59:45

inside force. Texas doesn't seem to

59:47

have that. And Xavier has won at least one

59:49

game in each of the last five, thorny appearances.

59:52

Sean Miller puts together a W and

59:54

a cover. They avenged the 12-point loss

59:56

from a couple years ago in a

59:58

tournament. They should have the. route advantage to

1:00:00

going from Cincinnati area traveling to Dayton. So

1:00:03

give me 7368 musketeers. Yeah, it does feel

1:00:05

like all things are pointing toward Xavier making

1:00:07

a run to the Sweet 16. I actually

1:00:09

like them over Kentucky in the second round.

1:00:12

So I think they get past Texas. Texas

1:00:14

is a team that I like the talent

1:00:16

of this team, Trey Johnson, Tremont, Mark, those

1:00:18

two guys in the back court, but it

1:00:20

does seem, Mark, those two guys in the

1:00:23

back court, it feels, if you watch those

1:00:25

two guys in the back court, it feels,

1:00:27

if you watch those two guys in the

1:00:29

back court, but it, Mark, Mark, those two

1:00:32

guys in the two guys in the two

1:00:34

guys in the, Mark, Mark, Mark, Mark, those

1:00:36

two guys in the two guys in the,

1:00:38

Mark, Mark, Mark, Mark, Mark, of the umbrage

1:00:41

that was sent towards North Carolina. Maybe Xavier

1:00:43

deserved a little bit of that as well.

1:00:45

They were able to avoid that. So all

1:00:47

things are pointing towards X. I like them

1:00:50

in this game. Next up line look ahead.

1:00:52

We got American taking on Mount St. Mary's

1:00:54

plus two and a half and this one.

1:00:56

Who do you like in this one? I

1:00:58

know you've been watching these teams all season

1:01:01

long. Yeah, oh yeah, I can't get enough

1:01:03

of these teams. In fact, I'm going to

1:01:05

be sad when one of them goes away.

1:01:07

Yeah, one 28 and a half seems a

1:01:10

little low. I was going to maybe jump

1:01:12

on the over. They're similar to these teams.

1:01:14

Both won their conference tournaments, obviously. Both of

1:01:16

these schools went 22 and 12 in the

1:01:19

regular season. Both have four game winning streaks.

1:01:21

Mount St. Marys, 21 and 12 against a

1:01:23

spread. I don't know, neither is good, but

1:01:25

my deciding factor is American lost by 52

1:01:28

to your crap tar heels. So they should

1:01:30

be relegated to whatever tournament is too below

1:01:32

the NIT. Did me, he's Mount St. Mary's

1:01:34

plus two and a half. I like that.

1:01:37

They're gonna have to take some of the

1:01:39

pain now that they have lost to Carolina

1:01:41

about that amount. They also should not belong

1:01:43

in the tournament. I'm gonna go with American,

1:01:45

a couple of my good friends out here,

1:01:48

they went to American, they went to American,

1:01:50

they went to American, they went to American,

1:01:52

they went to American, they went to American,

1:01:54

they went to American, they went to American,

1:01:57

they went to American, they went to American,

1:01:59

they went to American, they went to American,

1:02:01

they went to American, they went to American,

1:02:03

they went to American, they went to American,

1:02:06

they went to American, they went to American,

1:02:08

they're gonna have to, they're gonna have to,

1:02:10

they're gonna have to, they're gonna have to

1:02:12

take some, they're gonna have to take some,

1:02:15

they're gonna have to take some, they're gonna

1:02:17

have to take some, they're gonna have to

1:02:19

take some, they're gonna have to take some,

1:02:21

they're They're 20th in the countries. So American,

1:02:23

they protect the basketball, I like teams that

1:02:26

do that in March, so I'm gonna take

1:02:28

them to win this game. If you go

1:02:30

to Fandel Sportsbook right now, they got a

1:02:32

lot of specials up, Sow, and a lot

1:02:35

of different ways that you can bet the

1:02:37

NCAA tournament, you can basically, you can bet

1:02:39

the NCAA tournament, you can basically decide if

1:02:41

you can do some futures, you can do

1:02:44

some parlays, I wanted to run by you,

1:02:46

they're calling it the One Shining Parlay, you

1:02:48

can get it at plus 342. What do

1:02:50

you think about that? Do you like it?

1:02:53

I mean, I love it because I have

1:02:55

both teams to make the final four. So

1:02:57

I'd even go further with Michigan State there.

1:02:59

But plus 348 for Michigan State to win,

1:03:01

I guess that would be three games. Right

1:03:04

now, I'm good. I like that. I have

1:03:06

a similar one with Duke Final Four and

1:03:08

Maryland to make the Sweet 16. You don't

1:03:10

get a lot for it. I think it's

1:03:13

like plus 180. I like this Maryland team.

1:03:15

I really do. The Crab Five, right? They

1:03:17

had nice Big Ten wins. They call them

1:03:19

the Crab Five because they're not very deep.

1:03:22

If one of them gets hurt, they're kind

1:03:24

of screwed. Not a deep bench. They lost

1:03:26

to Michigan State by three. They lost to

1:03:28

Michigan by one on Saturday in the semi-finals

1:03:31

of the Big Ten tournament. I think they

1:03:33

just get by Bryce Drew's Grand Canyon team

1:03:35

and then Memphis or Colorado State. Should be

1:03:37

easy enough. Kevin Willard, let's go. It also

1:03:40

feels like Maryland if you've been watching this

1:03:42

season. They have had four games that have

1:03:44

ended in buzzer beaters that have just been

1:03:46

absolutely heartbreaking. The most recent was against Michigan,

1:03:48

Trey Dallinson drills down the entire court, nobody

1:03:51

stops the ball. He finishes and wins the

1:03:53

game with the left-handed layup. They had the

1:03:55

tray hollum with the left-handed layup. They had

1:03:57

the tray hollum and heave from half-court at

1:04:00

home against Michigan State, right. So they've had

1:04:02

some bad things. to go against them. What

1:04:04

do you like here as a special? This

1:04:06

is ballsy, Tate. I'm going no SEC teams

1:04:09

in the final four, maybe like a quarter

1:04:11

of the... bracket is SEC teams. If you

1:04:13

get rid of the 16 seeds, yeah, so

1:04:15

if it's 14, it's essentially 14 out of.

1:04:18

That'll like 50 really right because if you

1:04:20

get rid of the 16 seasons a couple

1:04:22

of 15s anyway I have Houston Michigan State

1:04:24

Duke and Maryland in the final four incidentally

1:04:26

that pays 172 no SEC teams in the

1:04:29

final four plays pays plus 750 lots of

1:04:31

good teams and not in the SEC Tate

1:04:33

if you don't like the ones I just

1:04:35

named how about St. John's how about Wisconsin

1:04:38

how about Michigan about Illinois I think the

1:04:40

big 10 makes more noise than people expect

1:04:42

The SEC teams could be exhausted from playing

1:04:44

each other at high level all year. Yeah,

1:04:47

and a lot of times when you had

1:04:49

these super conferences and everyone's talking about how

1:04:51

great they are, we've seen it with the

1:04:53

big 12 in recent memory, it feels like

1:04:56

it doesn't go their favor when we get

1:04:58

to the actual incident. It feels like it

1:05:00

doesn't go their favor when we get to

1:05:02

the actual incident, a tournament, or a tournament.

1:05:04

It feels like it doesn't go their favor

1:05:07

when we get to the actual. you saw

1:05:09

another special worst seed to reach the final

1:05:11

four. They got all the odds here. I'm

1:05:13

gonna take an eight seed to make the

1:05:16

final four and more specifically I'm gonna take

1:05:18

the eight seed Gonzaga. Now you don't have

1:05:20

to pick which eight seed is gonna be

1:05:22

there. You can get the odds. You don't

1:05:25

have to pick which eight seed is going

1:05:27

to be there. You can get the odds

1:05:29

at plus 500. I think Louisville has a

1:05:31

plus 500. I think. So it does feel

1:05:34

like the odds makers are worried about these

1:05:36

eight seeds and you can get some value

1:05:38

at plus 500. That's pretty good. You know

1:05:40

what I'll book that bad because it's not

1:05:43

going to win. But that's fine. Let's go.

1:05:45

Should we go to Thursday games? Yeah. That's

1:05:47

a good. That's a good. Yeah. That's a

1:05:49

good. That's a good. Should we go to

1:05:51

Thursday games? Yeah. That's a good. That's a

1:05:54

good. That's a good. That's a good. That's

1:05:56

a good. That's a good. That's a good.

1:05:58

That's a good. That's a good. That's a

1:06:00

good. That's a good. That's a good. That's

1:06:03

a good. That's a good. That's a good.

1:06:05

That's a good. That's a good. That's a

1:06:07

good. That's a good. That's a good. That's

1:06:09

a good. That's a good. That's a good.

1:06:12

That's a good. That's a good. That's a

1:06:14

good. first games and you get plus 159.

1:06:16

You're getting a ton because St. John's is

1:06:18

just such a huge favorite. They'll be like

1:06:21

minus 3,500, but plus 159. This is the

1:06:23

greatest Italian American matchup. since Marino Montana back

1:06:25

in 85 I think 40 years ago gives

1:06:27

Tommy DeVito a nice little break from the

1:06:29

Italian stereotypical jokes. Where is Sean Stallado? He's

1:06:32

got to be at this game. Where is

1:06:34

Sean Stallado too? He should be there. But

1:06:36

it's also what everybody wants to see so

1:06:38

it's not going to happen and we're going

1:06:41

to see Kansas and will self-self ruin it.

1:06:43

But anyway, I'm going with the parla. I'm

1:06:45

doing a Patino Calipari plus 159. I like

1:06:47

that. And I like that they have odds

1:06:50

on that. Shut up to our friends at

1:06:52

Fandel for making that possible. I do feel

1:06:54

like the wise guys, like if it is

1:06:56

Patino Calipari, like all of the wise guys

1:06:59

should get together on the East Coast, take

1:07:01

a trip up to Providence and watch this,

1:07:03

take a trip up to Providence and watch

1:07:05

this game, and watch the East Coast, take

1:07:07

a trip up to Providence and watch this

1:07:10

game, and watch, take a trip up to

1:07:12

Providence and watch this. You can make your

1:07:14

own concoctions and decide what you want to

1:07:16

do for March Madness. Let's track to the

1:07:19

future here. Last thing before we go, you're

1:07:21

best bet, Sal. If you look at the

1:07:23

whole landscape, you look at all the specials,

1:07:25

you say, my gut, my heart, my head,

1:07:28

everything is telling me this is the best

1:07:30

bet for March. You know, that's my favorite

1:07:32

tab on Fandel, the MYOC, make your own

1:07:34

concoctions as Tate. Two number one seeds to

1:07:37

reach the final four at plus 135. I

1:07:39

think you like this as well. Now four

1:07:41

number ones has only happened once in 2008

1:07:43

since they did this. When they do the

1:07:46

64 teams and back in 85, right? So

1:07:48

we're talking 40 years only happened once. Three

1:07:50

number one seeds making it only happen five

1:07:52

times two is the magic number tape. That's

1:07:54

the sweet spot. Houston and Duke for me.

1:07:57

That's it plus 135 not a great payment

1:07:59

but that's what it's going to be yeah

1:08:01

I'm right there with you I think number

1:08:03

one seeds. My two my flavor I'm gonna

1:08:06

go Duke in Florida but again I think

1:08:08

it's gonna be two one seeds they're in

1:08:10

the final four the fact that you can

1:08:12

get plus money there is great and I

1:08:15

think that Duke's gonna make the final four

1:08:17

I think they're gonna make the national championship

1:08:19

game and I think they're gonna make the

1:08:21

national championship game and I think they're gonna

1:08:24

go win the national championship game and even

1:08:26

if they don't win the national championship game

1:08:28

and even if they don't. Duke continues to

1:08:30

win and win and win. So if you

1:08:32

want to bet now, Cooper Flag MOP, I

1:08:35

think that is the best bet of the

1:08:37

tournament. So I love Duke. It took us

1:08:39

a whole 25, 30 minutes, whatever it is,

1:08:42

I knew it, I knew deep down, you

1:08:44

loved Duke, hey, congratulations. Must be a

1:08:46

ring. What a 180 it has been

1:08:48

in my life to get here at

1:08:50

this point. Last thing, we got to

1:08:53

promote Vegas, we got to promote Vegas.

1:08:55

I'll turn it over to you, That's

1:08:57

it. Thursday and Friday, 4 p.m. 10

1:08:59

p.m. it's a free watch party at

1:09:02

the Jimmy Kimmel Comedy Club. Some of

1:09:04

these places, Caesar's Palace, you have to

1:09:06

pay $400 to get a seat to watch

1:09:09

basketball. No, you'll get to watch

1:09:11

with us and it's the opposite. There's

1:09:13

prize money, thousands of dollars of prize

1:09:15

money and you get to shake hands

1:09:17

with me and Tate and Kenny Maine

1:09:19

and Harry will have his shirt off.

1:09:22

Lots of fun going on. Matthew Kyle will be

1:09:24

there. Yeah, come join us. Harry usually has a

1:09:26

few haters and hecklers in the building, which is

1:09:28

always fun to see. There's a lot of back

1:09:30

and forth. We had a great time last year.

1:09:32

We're going to have an even better time this

1:09:35

year. Come join us. Now, you're the best. Thanks

1:09:37

so much for coming to the show as always,

1:09:39

man. See you buddy. See you Thursday. All right, there

1:09:41

you have it. Cousin Sal, Anthony DeBundo. Thanks

1:09:43

to those guys for coming on the show.

1:09:45

We are officially here. There is NCAA tournament

1:09:48

basketball that is happening tonight. If you're listening

1:09:50

on Tuesday night, North Carolina will be playing

1:09:52

San Diego State. Pray for me as that

1:09:54

is happening in real time right now. Again,

1:09:56

it's the best time of the year. We

1:09:59

got college basketball. on our television screens. And

1:10:01

in case you missed it, it update here,

1:10:03

we will be reacting to every single

1:10:05

day of games, not waiting till the round

1:10:07

is over. We will be reacting on

1:10:09

Thursday night, Friday night, Saturday night, Sunday night.

1:10:11

how the know how the work the week work.

1:10:13

We're gonna be reacting after every one one

1:10:16

of these days of games appreciate everybody tuning

1:10:18

in to one shining It's going to be

1:10:20

a great tournament. a It's going to be

1:10:22

a fun tournament to be we will see you

1:10:24

and we night. Thursday night Let's started. Thanks

1:10:49

again to our friends at

1:10:51

at Van Dool must be or

1:10:53

older and present and select states for

1:10:55

with Kansas Star with Kansas Star

1:10:57

Casino or 18 Plus and DC call

1:10:59

problem call or visit gambler visit

1:11:01

rg.com, call one eight eight seven eight nine

1:11:03

seven seven seven seven visit or visit

1:11:05

.org org slash chat in Connecticut

1:11:07

or visit MD -help .org in

1:11:09

Maryland. Hope is here.

1:11:11

Visit gambling -help -line -ma .org

1:11:13

or call 800 eight -5050

1:11:15

five zero five zero for in four

1:11:17

call 1 in massachusetts or call

1:11:19

one text eight hope in

1:11:21

New York.

Rate

Join Podchaser to...

  • Rate podcasts and episodes
  • Follow podcasts and creators
  • Create podcast and episode lists
  • & much more

Episode Tags

Do you host or manage this podcast?
Claim and edit this page to your liking.
,

Unlock more with Podchaser Pro

  • Audience Insights
  • Contact Information
  • Demographics
  • Charts
  • Sponsor History
  • and More!
Pro Features