Signalgate Sequel, Trump's Baby Boom Plans, and Netflix Earnings

Signalgate Sequel, Trump's Baby Boom Plans, and Netflix Earnings

Released Tuesday, 22nd April 2025
 1 person rated this episode
Signalgate Sequel, Trump's Baby Boom Plans, and Netflix Earnings

Signalgate Sequel, Trump's Baby Boom Plans, and Netflix Earnings

Signalgate Sequel, Trump's Baby Boom Plans, and Netflix Earnings

Signalgate Sequel, Trump's Baby Boom Plans, and Netflix Earnings

Tuesday, 22nd April 2025
 1 person rated this episode
Rate Episode

Episode Transcript

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more. This

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podcast is supported by Google. Hi,

1:12

I'm Dave, one of the product leads

1:14

on Google Gemini. We just launched Gemini

1:16

Canvas. It's my new

1:18

go -to for real -time collaboration with

1:20

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1:22

get feedback, iterate. all in

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one new interactive space, from

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Ask Gemini to leave feedback and suggestions,

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just like you would with a teammate. Check

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it out for free at

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gemini .google.com. We know how to

1:40

get people to fuck. Scott and Cara know how to

1:42

get people to fuck. Hi

1:46

everyone, this is Pivot from New York Magazine

1:48

and the Vox Media Podcast Network. I'm Cara

1:50

Swisher, R .I .P., Pope

1:52

Francis, who died doing what he

1:54

loved best, which was calling JD Vance an

1:56

asshole. So last night, my kid, my

1:58

14 year old, comes into room, middle the night,

2:00

all upset, and he said, dad, on my group

2:02

chat, it says we're bombing the Hooties in 1900

2:05

hours. Should I be worried? the

2:08

way, we're mixing, we're mixing.

2:10

We're mixing jokes. Scandals here.

2:12

We're mixing not scandals. I'm

2:14

serious. I think everybody, this is

2:16

my suggestion to everybody should

2:18

you decide that there's so much

2:20

There's so much ridiculously insane

2:22

deprived weirdness and competence every day

2:24

that we don't know where

2:26

to start every text message I

2:28

send out now I end

2:30

with 1700 hours cash at 15s

2:33

coming into Yemen. I'm Every

2:35

message I'm putting in fake military

2:37

information. He's referring Scott's referring

2:39

to the second signal gate or

2:41

probably the 10th probably the

2:43

20th Pete Hexeth was was including

2:45

his wife his personal lawyer

2:47

or friends in attacks on,

2:49

I think it's Yemen, right? Was

2:51

it Yemen? Yemen, yeah. Whatever. Jesus,

2:54

this guy's got to lay off

2:56

the whiskey. Yeah, that's who I want.

2:58

That's who I want commanding my

3:00

men in uniform. then, just add to

3:02

this, the Pope died, JD Man's

3:04

visit to Amos Jay, and the Pope

3:07

took his time to insult JD

3:09

Vance and his Easter, essentially, what JD

3:11

Vance represented in his Easter homily,

3:13

and then died soon after. But

3:15

one of the third things that just

3:17

came in is Christy Noem got her

3:19

bag snatched in DC, and it carried

3:21

$3 ,000 in cash she had in

3:23

it, which she accused the guy that

3:25

she sent to the El Salvador in

3:27

prison of being in MS -13 for holding

3:29

$1 ,500 in cash. Like, what was

3:31

she doing with cash? Like,

3:34

anyway, the stories, these people are just, I

3:36

feel, we're in a simulation, Scott. I'm just

3:38

so here for Christy Noem. It's such a,

3:40

it's such a Cinemax film waiting to happen.

3:42

She is getting a max. Yes. Anyway, she

3:44

lost her money. Sorry, Christy. You shouldn't be

3:46

carrying that much cash. Should we bring this

3:48

all back to me? Ask me what I

3:50

did this weekend. Oh, I will. Okay.

3:52

What did you do weekend? All this shit is

3:54

so upsetting and boring, Kara. Let's talk about the

3:56

dog. It's not. It's not boring. Let's talk about

3:58

the dog. So when I moved to Florida after

4:00

I lost everything in a way and my kid

4:02

didn't get into school because it was speech delayed

4:04

preschool, I'm like, that's it. We're out of here.

4:06

We're moving to Florida. We...

4:10

on a house, got it accepted, and then Goldman,

4:12

who at that time was managing my money because they

4:14

were investing in small entrepreneurs, came back and said,

4:16

last year you made negative one and a half million,

4:18

so don't qualify for a mortgage. So I had

4:20

to go home and tell my partner that we couldn't

4:22

get this house. I couldn't close because I couldn't

4:24

get a mortgage, which was really a nice conversation for

4:26

me. Anyways, we ended up

4:28

buying a home in Delray. We built this

4:30

home, and we had to

4:32

have a pool because we

4:35

had young boys, and every morning

4:37

on the weekends, we would...

4:39

up, make breakfast, and our

4:41

kids would immediately start jumping in the

4:43

pool with our dog Zoe. And I

4:45

would play, what is my favorite album

4:47

in the world? Is it my favorite

4:49

album? Other than The Damned at the

4:51

Torpedoes by Tom Petty. I played Morning

4:53

Phase by Beck. Have you ever listened

4:55

to this album? No. Oh, it

4:58

is so beautiful. I shall. It is so

5:00

beautiful. It won Best Album. It was probably

5:02

the biggest surprise of Best Album 12 or

5:04

14 years ago. It's an instrumental orchestral album.

5:06

Okay. Don't rush me through this. This is,

5:08

I'm revealing a little bit about my soul

5:10

to you. I'm trying to wait to see

5:12

where this is going. So last night, I

5:15

went to the Royal Albert Hall and I

5:17

saw Beck play with the Royal Albert Hall

5:19

Orchestra, which is one of the most talented

5:21

in the world. And

5:23

me and Bayotta just sat there

5:25

and cried for an hour a half,

5:27

remembering like our kids jumping into

5:29

the pool. Such a night. That

5:32

last night was literally the moment, also

5:34

the mushroom gummy self, but That

5:37

will be the moment, that's like

5:39

my crowning moment for London. And

5:41

it was such an outstanding

5:43

performance and took us back to

5:45

this really nice moment. Oh

5:48

my God, music is so powerful

5:50

that way. It is. But in

5:52

any case, do you wanna ask

5:54

me what I did this weekend?

5:57

Okay. Oh.

5:59

All right. What did you do this

6:01

weekend? We had Easter. We

6:03

did the Easter stuff. Did he rise?

6:05

Is he risen? He's risen.

6:07

Christ has died. Christ was

6:10

born. Christ died. You're more Jewish

6:12

than me right now. I'm

6:15

Catholic. I'm actually Catholic. You

6:17

can believe it. You know what I'm

6:19

excited for? Honestly, Conclave. Conclave. Like that movie,

6:21

did you see Conclave? I don't even

6:23

know what that is. It's a

6:25

movie. It was up for Oscars.

6:27

It's with Ray Fiennes. They're going to

6:29

have a conclave. It's when the

6:31

Cardinals get together and they all vote

6:33

and stuff. There's some interesting prospects

6:36

for New Pope, including a very young

6:38

one. I actually, I love, I

6:40

don't want to say I love Easter,

6:42

but Easter for me is something I got

6:44

to do. You know, I hide Easter

6:46

eggs. Where? Don't tell me. Because I don't

6:48

want anyone to know that I'm fucking

6:50

a chicken. Oh, my God. That's

6:53

good. Oh my God. I

6:55

had so many beautiful, my grandmother

6:57

used to make Easter foods in town.

6:59

He has risen. He has

7:02

risen. She went to Mass every day. She would

7:04

be very interested in who the new pope is.

7:06

Anyway, we'll see who the new pope is. He

7:08

was a good pope. He was a good pope.

7:10

You want to understand an organization that understands branding, burning

7:13

the ballots to create white

7:15

smoke that signifies a new pope,

7:17

the garb, the candles. The

7:19

outfits, yeah. The music, the artisanship. It's

7:21

almost like they're gay. It's very gay.

7:24

I'm so glad you said that. And what a shocker.

7:26

gay. And you can't sleep with women. And what do

7:28

you know? Oh, I know. What do you know? Conclave.

7:32

Conclave. You have to watch that movie. Do

7:34

yourself a favor and watch it with

7:36

your wife. It's a great movie. It has

7:38

Isabella Rossellini in it. And she's

7:40

a nun. Isabella Rossellini. She's a nun. She's

7:42

fantastic. She was up for an Oscar, I

7:44

think. Anyway, word of advice to the next

7:47

pope. Stay away from JD Vance. Anyway,

7:49

we have a lot to get to

7:51

today, including the Supreme Court handing Trump a

7:53

late night loss. Netflix

7:55

is staying strong, and market chaos yet

7:57

another Tesla setback this company is really

7:59

done for, I feel like. Signalgate,

8:02

too, has dropped, as we just

8:04

referenced. Defense Secretary Pete Hegg says, shared

8:06

attack plans for strikes in Yemen

8:08

in another group. SignalChat, including his wife,

8:10

brother, and personal lawyer. Heggseth is

8:12

blaming disgruntled former employees for leaking the

8:14

information about the use of his

8:16

chat. They are, in fact, Let

8:19

me tell you, these employees aren't being

8:21

quiet. One of them wrote a piece for

8:23

Politico saying how much BTS sucks. In

8:25

the group, there were around a dozen

8:27

people from Hexeth's personal and professional circles

8:29

and was named Defense Team Huddle. Hexeth

8:32

created the signal group himself and conducted

8:34

the chat from his private phone. It

8:37

just gets worse and worse. The details shared were

8:39

the same in the chat as Jeffrey Goldberg. It

8:41

looks like he cut and pasted. And who among

8:43

us has not cut and pasted more planned details

8:45

in all our group chats? I mean, Will

8:47

he go? Because now his people

8:49

are after him. His little, you know,

8:51

his little, his stormtroopers are after

8:54

him now. So do you think

8:56

he'll, he's finished or not? Or will

8:58

Trump not care? Well, I have a question

9:00

for you because what I saw, I

9:02

love news not noise with Jessica Yon.

9:05

Yeah. And she said, what's going

9:07

on? Here's a phenomenon in journalism. I'm

9:09

curious to get your take on this

9:11

called taking out the trash. And that

9:13

is when your own team turns on

9:15

you and starts leaking everything, you're done. There's

9:18

no way to plug the boat. Do you

9:20

think that's what's going on here? Yeah. I

9:22

mean, they're explicit. One of them, who's a

9:24

spokesperson, John, I think it's Bulyat or something

9:26

like that. He wrote a whole piece saying,

9:29

you know, still saying he loves Donald Trump,

9:31

blah, blah, blah, but Pete Hex has to

9:33

go. Essentially, that's what this piece said, which

9:35

was explicit. You don't often do see an

9:37

explicit one. Now, this four people in

9:39

this group chat, Dropped a dime on him

9:41

and you could I could tell two of

9:43

them the one two or three who were

9:45

just fired by him for Things he lied

9:47

about these people didn't do what he said

9:50

they did so he turned around and fucked

9:52

them and then they're like You're not fucking

9:54

us. We're fucking you and yeah I think

9:56

there's and then the the guy in his

9:58

piece said more to come which is like

10:00

probably around his drinking or whatever But it

10:02

sounds like a fucking disaster there. I don't

10:04

know how Trump can save this. He's got

10:06

to dump him I think there's no question.

10:08

He has to dump him but it's Trump

10:10

so I mean, any other president, absolutely, he'd

10:12

be gone by yesterday, but maybe he's thinking

10:15

the Pope will give him cover or the

10:17

Pope's death will give him cover. I don't

10:19

know. I just think he's done. He's done.

10:21

I thought that the last one. I thought

10:23

that was, I thought that Waltz was going

10:25

to get fired. Yeah. Trump

10:28

has a different behavior system. But I wonder

10:30

if at some point the Joint Chiefs go,

10:32

you realize at some point people are

10:35

going to question orders for fear that

10:37

that service to air missiles are waiting

10:39

for them because shit for brains over

10:41

here is is playing is is next

10:43

thing he's going to put it out

10:45

on his nintendo we what the attack

10:47

plans are i mean at some point

10:50

that's funny not funny At some point,

10:52

this begins to compromise the safety and

10:54

security of our men and women in

10:56

uniform, if it hasn't already. Private is

10:58

a private phone who knows where he

11:00

was. Like, come on. Are Can

11:02

you just appoint his brother to some

11:04

sensitive defense position? brother is in the

11:06

defense department. Another friend of

11:08

his, a personal lawyer, was on this thing.

11:11

Like, I wouldn't put my, oh, God, this

11:13

whole thing is just the ice. It

11:15

seems like there's a deeper story here because

11:17

they were signaling it, this one person. And

11:20

to use your name in public to

11:22

do it, this guy is either kamikaze or

11:24

knows something. Like, this is gonna get

11:26

worse. So they're gonna find an elegant way

11:28

to get him out because Trump apparently

11:30

likes the way he looks. He is a

11:32

handsome man. Very handsome. In a kind

11:34

of a cheesy, unctuous way. He's a handsome

11:36

man. I think Trump

11:39

likes his look and feel, but they're gonna... someone

11:41

else who's more competent in there. He says he can

11:43

do five sets of 47 push -ups. I can do

11:45

five of 35. You should go back to Fox

11:47

News. That'd be great. He should go back. That's where

11:49

he belongs. So, speaking of which,

11:51

the Google and the Justice Department, speaking of

11:53

people in trouble, are headed to court as we

11:55

tape Monday to argue on how to remedy

11:57

the company's online search monopoly. The outcome

11:59

could result Google being forced to sell

12:01

off Chrome and share more data with

12:03

competitors. Witnesses from Microsoft, Mozilla, Perplexity and

12:05

OpenAir are set to take the stand.

12:07

Closing arguments will be on May 30th.

12:09

coming by August, and for once I

12:12

would agree with Bill Barr, the

12:14

former Attorney General. Just

12:17

a sack of shit, really. In an op

12:19

-ed he wrote in The Wall Street Journal, all

12:21

the solicitude we express for free

12:23

markets is hollow talk without a willingness

12:25

to confront bad actors that use

12:27

illegal practices to squelch rivals and establish

12:29

monopoly power. Well done, Bill

12:31

Barr. No one says you're stupid. But

12:33

anyway, what do you think is going to

12:36

happen here? Because they also lost the

12:38

advertising case to just last week. So this

12:40

is the first case. So they're in

12:42

the remedies section of it. I

12:44

think they feel the wolves

12:46

are circling and it does feel

12:48

real this time. It feels,

12:50

you know, while you were sleeping,

12:53

you know, we're so focused on everything

12:55

else that it does feel like the momentum

12:57

here is pretty staggering. I

12:59

wonder if they're just so smart and

13:02

they have so many connections. I wonder

13:04

if they're gonna do a blood offering

13:06

and offer to spend something or offer

13:08

a pretty big fine. Like

13:10

some sort of big bargain. No, I

13:12

can't. I think it has to be

13:14

a remedy. I think it has to

13:16

be a spin off. But yeah, they,

13:18

my guess is they offer to do

13:21

something prophylactically because I think they see.

13:23

But what? I don't know. It

13:25

has to be a spin off. A spin of their. ad

13:27

group, a spin of what used to be

13:29

DoubleClick. I'd like to see a spin of YouTube

13:31

because I think it'd be so incredibly valuable.

13:34

I think it'd be good for shareholders and be

13:36

pretty clean. They don't seem to want to

13:38

spin any of them, not Mark Zuckerberg, not Amazon,

13:40

not any of them. Well, they get to

13:42

share data and it's also, it all

13:44

comes back to money care. This

13:46

is the point it all

13:48

reverse engineers do and it's the

13:50

following. Except for Zuckerberg,

13:52

I think, just at this point likes control, although

13:54

maybe that's not true. The way

13:56

a CEO gets compensated is the following. There

13:59

is a subcommittee of the board called

14:01

the Compensation Committee. And basically, there

14:03

to approve, to make sure that we have

14:05

enough options in a private company for new

14:07

hires, and also to deal with the hardest

14:09

part, and that is CEO's compensation. And

14:12

we hire a Towers parent and we pay them $200

14:14

,000 or $300 ,000 because we don't like to do any

14:16

actual work ourselves. And they come in and they say,

14:18

okay, New York Times company, you're

14:20

a $5 billion revenue company in a

14:22

media space, 50 % is

14:24

the exact, exact median.

14:27

of CEOs of media companies making $5

14:29

billion. And this is what happens. You

14:31

say, well, Janet Robinson's doing

14:33

her level best. We'll pay her at

14:35

60 % because we don't, it feels

14:37

weird psychologically to pay someone average. But

14:40

keep in mind, this is the

14:42

average of CEOs and $5 billion media

14:44

companies. So you pay them, generally speaking,

14:46

60%. But what that means is when

14:48

you're paying everyone 20 % more than

14:50

the medium, it means every three and

14:52

a half years, the compensation is doubling.

14:55

And what that means is in 40

14:57

years, we've gone from CEOs making 30

14:59

times average worker salaries to 300 or

15:01

400. Now, essentially,

15:03

what happens is that

15:05

metric that scale you

15:07

get is based on

15:09

the size of the

15:11

company. So when the

15:13

Bank of America CEO says, I want

15:16

to make more money, Even if

15:18

he's making shitty acquisitions that may not

15:20

pay off in the long term,

15:22

his compensation goes up based on the

15:24

size of the company. So there's

15:26

this disincentive or your de -incentivized a

15:28

little bit from shareholder value, although you

15:30

have options, but everybody wants to

15:33

sit on the iron throne of all

15:35

seven realms versus Westeros. And this

15:37

is why I have always highlighted Jeff

15:39

Bukus. He sold the magazine group

15:41

about two years ago before magazines went

15:43

into decline. He sold He sold

15:45

the cable companies before the before the

15:47

deployment and cable company he sold

15:49

time he sold time Warner about. Five

15:52

years before it went into structural

15:54

decline because he said, my job is

15:56

to get shareholders as much money

15:58

as possible, even if it means putting

16:00

myself out of a job. So

16:02

do you imagine they would offer this?

16:04

I don't think they will. I

16:06

don't think it's just because of money.

16:09

I think they just don't. They're

16:11

hoping to play the long game here

16:13

and just delay and delay and

16:15

obfuscate and delay. When, in fact,

16:17

they should have done it, so should Mark. They

16:19

should spin off YouTube. It would be a very

16:21

successful company. They need to spin

16:23

this thing off. They need to

16:25

just take their... lumps and do it,

16:27

because they clearly use data and

16:29

other advantages here to dominate the market.

16:32

And again, if Bill Barr and

16:34

Kara Swisher are in agreement, it is

16:36

a real moment in time, I

16:38

think. And real Republicans don't like this

16:40

stuff, right? The question is, is

16:42

Trump going to throw them some sort

16:44

of lifeline here? Although I'm not

16:46

quite sure what he can do, because

16:48

in the advertising case in Virginia,

16:50

there are state's attorneys general, but the

16:52

White House looks like it's continuing. with

16:56

Pam Bondi and I'm saying the White

16:58

House and Pam Bondi because there is no

17:00

independence between the Justice Department and the

17:02

White House anymore. So we'll

17:04

see. We'll see. We'll see. We'll see.

17:06

And give me one quick prediction.

17:08

I think it's a prophylactic. I think

17:10

they're so focused on shareholder value.

17:12

I think a prophylactic spin of WhatsApp,

17:15

Instagram or YouTube. But WhatsApp is

17:17

over at Facebook. I know. Well, right.

17:19

Or so is Instagram. But this

17:21

is Google. Right, but isn't Instagram

17:23

isn't meta also that case has got more

17:25

that is going. Yes, that is also that is

17:27

also But that's in the midst of the

17:29

case that hasn't but go ahead. Yeah. Anyways,

17:31

you asked for a prediction I think we're gonna

17:34

we're gonna see a spin in the next

17:36

12 to 24 months I've been and by

17:38

the way, I've been saying that for a long

17:40

time and I've been wrong Yeah, well, we'll

17:42

see. They are definitely, it looks like Tompkins isn't

17:44

going to save him a lifeline, but we'll see. He might do

17:46

that if he gets enough money. Just for

17:48

people who don't know, the production of Tesla's

17:50

Model Y has been delayed. This company

17:52

has one mess after the next recently. The

17:55

Model Y, more affordable version of Tesla's

17:57

electric SUV, was promised in the first half

17:59

of this year, a penalty to boost

18:01

sales. Production plans, we push back a few

18:03

more months, though Tesla will probably still

18:05

plan to produce them, maybe. They

18:07

think it's because he wants to double down on

18:09

robo -taxies and and the Optimus Prime, he thinks

18:12

that's where the future is, not in these

18:14

cars. Obviously, people are running circles

18:16

around them, including Japan and China and

18:18

others. And legally, it

18:20

settled a racial discrimination lawsuit after a

18:22

black and flu -illeged harassment, gender -based

18:24

insults, and racial slurs on bathroom walls,

18:26

which are pretty heinous. Tesla's also

18:28

facing a proposed class -action suit claiming

18:31

this one is amazing, too, claiming it

18:33

speeds up odometers so vehicles fall

18:35

out of warranty faster. What a... Oh,

18:37

my God. It's just all over

18:39

the place. So his car company's given

18:42

a lot of yips. We're

18:44

taping this on Monday, Tesla reports

18:46

earnings on Tuesday afternoon. Any

18:48

predictions? Like it looks like he's not

18:51

interested in making cars anymore or he's

18:53

making other things. He wants to shift

18:55

Tesla. And I think you're going to

18:57

merge XAI, X and this

18:59

together in a big - Can

19:01

Tesla? Yeah. And

19:03

make it an AI company. Make it

19:05

an AI company. That would

19:07

be really interesting and use the

19:09

AI kind of halo as a

19:11

means of propping up the company.

19:14

Actually, I think that's really interesting. Look,

19:16

this company should be a $14 stock.

19:18

And I'm not suggesting you invest here

19:21

because it's a meme stock and there's

19:23

forces outside of your control. And now

19:25

that the SEC has been neutered, who

19:27

knows what kind of manipulation has taken place

19:29

here. But it used to be the

19:31

CEO from the street, the best thing

19:33

you could do was Kind

19:35

of under promise and over deliver

19:37

and there's still a market for

19:39

that in traditional mature companies it

19:42

unfortunately the the ground has

19:44

shifted a bit that in the

19:46

kind of they get till you

19:48

make an economy it's over promise

19:50

and Delivered just enough you

19:52

can under deliver but just enough

19:54

so for example some of the

19:56

promises Elon has made 2200 days

19:58

ago. He said there would be

20:00

1 million Tesla Robo taxis

20:02

within the year So seven years

20:05

ago, we said we'd have robotoxys

20:07

in one year. Nine

20:09

years ago, he said all superchargers

20:11

were being converted to solar. That

20:13

hasn't happened. Another

20:15

nine years ago, he said, since Tesla started charging

20:18

customers for self -driving software that he said would be

20:20

able to drive from L .A. to New York

20:22

City autonomously by the end of 2017. He

20:24

said that that would happen by the end

20:26

of 2017. Yeah. He sent it to me on

20:28

stage at some point. Nearly eight years since

20:30

the second generation Tesla Roadster was announced, you can

20:33

still pre -order one on Tesla's website for 45K.

20:35

That's interesting. Some of the

20:37

promises that did come to fruition, but

20:39

the details were still a little fuzzy.

20:41

The Cybertruck was scheduled for production in 2021

20:43

and was supposed to cost $40 ,000. It

20:46

came to market in late 2023

20:48

and the base model was over

20:50

60K. And

20:52

it's a heinous looking vehicle. Yeah, it

20:55

makes no fucking sense. They're

20:58

currently getting hit with a

21:00

lawsuit concerning the alleged speeding up

21:02

of odometer readings. Tesla does

21:04

not have incentives to fib the

21:06

odometer numbers. Warranties expire faster,

21:08

meaning less Tesla -covered repairs and

21:10

extending the alleged range of the

21:13

Tesla, which is I

21:15

remember when I was buying used cars, I thought,

21:17

why don't people just fuck with the Spedometer?

21:19

They did, that was a big thing. It's fucking

21:21

with Spedometer. But that's literally kind of like

21:23

fraud on a difference for a masculine level. It

21:25

was like, do not ever accuse anyone of

21:27

fucking with the Spedometer, you know, the Spedometer or

21:29

whatever it is. So like,

21:31

I don't, I don't, I think he's

21:33

lost interest in it. I think you're, you're...

21:35

speculation that they might combine it all

21:37

into one company is really interesting. I hadn't

21:39

thought, I hadn't considered that. Because he

21:41

hid hiding X's shitty business within the X

21:44

line. right. By the way, they don't

21:46

have that many customers. What is their revenues?

21:48

Open AI is making $5 billion, $6

21:50

billion at least, you know, and actually growing.

21:53

They have to have customers, you know, it'll

21:55

just have this halo. So he's moving it

21:57

to a new meme stock, just a better

21:59

meme stock from, because the Tesla meme stock

22:01

isn't going so well. That meme is over.

22:03

And then he'll take, and then He's

22:06

getting all kinds of contracts. He might

22:08

be in charge of Golden Dome, all

22:10

this other stuff. And so he's got

22:12

better fish to fry, better women to

22:14

impregnate, I think, here. But anyway, let's

22:16

go on a quick break. When we

22:18

come back, the Supreme Court's late night

22:20

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24:50

pleasure. Scott,

24:58

we're back. The Trump administration has

25:00

a busy few days. Let's dig in

25:02

for a few. The Supreme Court handed

25:04

down a rare overnight order on Saturday,

25:06

blocking Trump from deporting a group of

25:08

Venezuelan immigrants in Texas. The court's order

25:10

bars the government for now from using

25:13

the Alien Enemies Act, a wartime law

25:15

from 1798. This was a 7 -2

25:17

ruling with Thomas and Alito in the

25:19

minority. Alito wrote in his dissent

25:21

the court's decision to intervene was not

25:23

necessary or appropriate. The Trump administration quickly

25:25

asked the Supreme Court to roll. back

25:27

the decision saying the order was premature

25:29

as lower courts had not properly weighed

25:32

in. It's none of his

25:34

business what they're going to do. Actually, they're working. This

25:36

guy is putting them to work in terms

25:38

of making decisions. they

25:41

might try to keep Trump in check,

25:43

or at least they're at least moving to

25:45

do so even before things like that.

25:47

Also, the Trump administration appears to be preparing

25:49

for a drastic overhaul of the State

25:51

Department, a plan described by one U .S.

25:53

diplomat as bonkers crazy pants, and that's a

25:55

technical term, a draft that's

25:57

an ambassadorial term, bonkers crazy pants, that's

25:59

all the name of Scots in

26:02

my band, a draft of an executive

26:04

order reveals plans to shut down

26:06

embassies across Africa and eliminate State Department

26:08

offices. focusing on climate change, refugee,

26:10

and human rights. So the entire continent

26:12

of Africa and anything nice for

26:14

people. The draft also calls for ending

26:16

a foreign service exam, laying out

26:19

new hiring criteria in line with President's

26:21

foreign policy vision, which means you

26:23

have to agree with him. Secretary

26:25

of State Marco Rubio responded to New

26:27

York Times' report on the overhaul on ex

26:29

-writing, this is fake news. Oh,

26:32

little Marco. If

26:34

these plans do come to fruition, we'll see

26:36

how it affects our standing abroad. And

26:38

lastly, and then you can comment all these

26:40

things, Scott, the White House is reporting

26:42

looking into new policies that will incentivize more

26:44

Americans to get married and have kids

26:46

according to the New York Times. Some proposals

26:48

for those policies include a $5 ,000 cash

26:50

bonus given to every American mother after

26:52

delivery. I wish I got

26:54

that. Government -funded programs educating women

26:56

on their menstrual cycles to better

26:58

understand when they conceive. I

27:01

wouldn't be against it, except it

27:03

feels very controlling. Giving the

27:05

National Medal of Motherhood to moms with six

27:07

or more kids, I'm almost there. As we

27:10

discussed, this is a cause that's near and

27:12

dear to the hearts of Elon Musk, JD

27:14

Vance, Conservative Heritage Foundation, for his part. Trump

27:16

recently coined himself the fertilization president. He's

27:18

also pitching for the idea of baby

27:20

bonuses for a while. Let's listen to

27:22

what he said at CPAC in 2023.

27:25

We will support baby

27:28

bonuses. for a

27:30

new baby boom. How does that sound? That

27:32

sounds pretty good. I want a baby

27:34

boom. Oh,

27:38

you men are so lucky out there, you're

27:40

so lucky. You

27:42

are so lucky, men. He's

27:44

so gross. He's so incredibly gross.

27:46

Anyway, I like your thoughts. Let's

27:48

start with the first, which is

27:50

this Supreme Court situation briefly. Go

27:52

ahead. Well, one of the two

27:54

pillars of the way we approach

27:57

justice or how we prosecute

28:00

or acquit or deliver justice

28:02

and some general themes. And

28:04

Alito gave a very eloquent

28:06

speech on this. I

28:09

apologize, it was Justice Scalia

28:11

saying that every nation has a

28:13

really powerful bill of rights.

28:15

And we keep focusing on when

28:17

these decisions come down. But

28:19

that's not the bigger issue. Russia

28:21

has a bill of rights that says you

28:23

are entitled to free speech and anyone who

28:25

gets in the way of your free speech

28:28

should be immediately imprisoned. Where

28:30

a nation's metal and justice

28:33

system is proven or dissolves is

28:35

your willingness to enforce those

28:37

bill of rights. And that's

28:39

where we are now, is that for the first time

28:41

in our nation, it used to be when the

28:43

Supreme Court or lower court made a decision, it

28:45

was just a grievement it was going to be enforced. and

28:48

that the president wouldn't think of turning

28:50

back planes against a court order. And

28:53

we're giving the president credit right now.

28:55

It's almost as if we're saying, see,

28:57

he's actually listening to the Supreme Court

28:59

because we no longer have that certainty.

29:02

To me, that's really scary. The other

29:04

thing is generally speaking, we have

29:06

decided with our justice system that it

29:08

is worth the trade -off, and there's

29:10

always a trade -off, to have some

29:12

people who are guilty, be free, OJ,

29:16

versus imprisoning

29:18

innocent people. Joe Rogan just said this

29:20

yesterday, but go ahead. Who did? Joe

29:23

Rogan. Really? He likes due process. Yes,

29:25

he did. He said it's better than

29:27

that 100 people that are guilty get

29:29

off if one innocent person gets convicted.

29:31

I think that was this. And right

29:33

now, I can hear a lot of

29:35

Americans saying, okay, now do black people,

29:37

because I think there's a lot of

29:40

black Americans who've been incarcerated unfairly. But

29:42

those are kind of two pretty significant

29:44

tenants. And those have been, so the

29:46

notion that this Republican talking

29:48

point of, well, yeah, it's worth it.

29:50

If there's a couple people in El

29:52

Salvador that shouldn't be, it's worth the

29:54

general progress we've made. Meanwhile, they're 60

29:56

minutes at 75 % of these folks

29:58

haven't committed a crime. So

30:00

I think the bigger issue is

30:03

we just have to, at this point,

30:05

make sure that these decisions are

30:07

upheld because we have a strong man

30:09

who's kind of picking and choosing

30:11

it feels like what decisions he's going

30:13

to decide to comply with. In

30:15

terms of the I

30:18

do believe, I

30:21

mean, I think of a unifying theory

30:23

of everything around what the democratic message

30:25

should be, and I think it should

30:27

be the following, that anyone under the

30:29

age of 40 who works, should be

30:31

able to form a household, buy a

30:33

home, or at least afford rent, meet

30:35

somebody, and afford to have children. So

30:37

minimum wage of 25 bucks an hour,

30:40

national service, 7 million homes in 10

30:42

years. do away with capital gain

30:44

stacks and attack structure that transfers money from

30:46

young to old, universal child tax credit. There's a

30:48

ton of actual programs. I'd like to see

30:50

the Democrats actually put forward instead of fucking whining

30:52

all the time. But here's the

30:54

bottom line. It's about economic prosperity

30:56

such that if the 60 % of 30 -year -olds

30:58

have had a kid, now it's 27%, want

31:00

to take it back to 40, that's fine.

31:03

But at the same time, if they decide

31:05

they want to not have kids and spend

31:07

that money on brunch in St. Bart's, that's

31:09

their right. So I want

31:11

a program that takes the people under

31:13

the age of 40 that are 24 %

31:15

less wealthy than they were 40 years

31:17

ago and not the 72 % wealthier

31:19

of people over the age of 70

31:21

and levels up young people and gives

31:23

them a chance to meet each other. and

31:26

gives them economic viability, but only rewarding

31:28

them for some sort of kind of weird

31:30

propagation. The reality Having babies, right. It's

31:32

a good thing to have babies. I mean,

31:34

I've had four kids. I love children. It's

31:36

that it should be one is your choice

31:38

if you want or don't want them. But

31:41

this idea that you didn't put anything else

31:43

in place, like why isn't he talking about

31:45

daycare if you really want people to have

31:47

kids? Give national daycare

31:49

to everybody hundred good daycare like

31:52

if you really want to have kids

31:54

This is very similar to the

31:56

abortion thing if you really want people

31:58

not to have as many abortions

32:00

Make it so it's easy to have

32:02

children perhaps and maybe people would

32:04

make different decisions It's the same they

32:06

never want to solve and they

32:08

also don't like the kids after they're

32:10

born, right? They don't help any

32:12

of those kids that get born in

32:15

problematic homes and everything else. So

32:17

all they want is, and

32:20

you can see it, his giveaway was, uh -huh, man, you're

32:22

going to get to fuck. I think that's really what

32:24

he was saying. He was saying that.

32:26

I don't think it. So this

32:28

idea of baby bonuses is... Fine,

32:30

that seems fine. The

32:32

idea of IVF being inexpensive, great.

32:36

It's all like individual, but it's not followed

32:38

by anything that really matters to people

32:40

who have kids, which is daycare or childcare,

32:42

which is important at every income level,

32:44

by the way. Even if you can afford

32:46

it, it's difficult. Same thing with elder

32:48

care, by the way, on the other side,

32:50

all so hard. But

32:52

they don't want to do any of this

32:54

thing. They just want like men to like have

32:56

14 babies, Elon, but what do you care

32:59

if you're a shitty father, right? None of that

33:01

matters. So I don't,

33:03

you know, it just for people

33:05

to realize that these expanded

33:07

child tax credit would be. or

33:10

a baby bonus to require an act of

33:12

Congress, by the way. But like

33:14

expand child tax credit, that's a great idea

33:16

too. That's right. But just the other

33:18

things matter much, much more. And Scott is

33:20

100 % right. If you don't want to

33:22

have kids, you should not be like, you

33:25

kind of, do you remember when people

33:27

were giving money to people, giving people

33:29

their college for giving the loans? Why

33:32

does people who have babies get it and

33:34

people that don't get it? There's that moment.

33:37

Right? Like, why do they get money? Because we

33:39

want them to have babies? That's kind of sick.

33:41

You need young people who are economically viable. And

33:43

if you want to talk about a baby boom,

33:45

you got a reverse engineer to why the baby

33:47

boom happened. And effectively, it

33:49

was the following. We don't like to talk

33:51

about this because some of it sounds

33:53

politically off -putting, but seven million men came

33:56

home for more. And they had demonstrated heroism

33:58

and uniform and they were fit. And

34:00

we put a bunch of money in middle

34:02

-class homes through the GI Bill, through FHA

34:04

loans. And we said, okay, young people,

34:06

here's a bunch of attractive men. Quite frankly,

34:08

we aren't producing enough attractive men for

34:11

the women who have ascended. And we should

34:13

do nothing, including some sort of weird

34:15

tax credit that somehow pulls women

34:17

out of the workforce and how we

34:19

should do nothing to get in the way

34:21

of women's incredible ascent. What we need

34:23

to do is lift up men who quite

34:25

frankly aren't keeping pace. And the way

34:27

you lift up men is by lifting up

34:29

all people under the age of 40

34:31

and giving them a chance to meet, giving

34:33

them a chance to fall in love,

34:35

giving them economic viability. We

34:37

have to get them together. Do you

34:39

realize, and I know this sounds 40

34:42

% of nightclubs in London have

34:44

gone away since COVID. If

34:46

people aren't going into work, they're not going into

34:48

bars, they're not going to church. Where

34:50

does a man or where does a woman

34:52

Who has a much finer filter for sex,

34:54

because quite frankly the downside of sex is

34:56

so much greater, ever have the opportunity to

34:58

let a man demonstrate excellence. Like

35:01

where, if you talk to people who have been

35:03

married longer than 30 years, 75 % of them

35:05

say that one was much more interested in the

35:07

other in the beginning and was always the man

35:09

that was more interested. Women are just more choosy

35:11

for very strong instinctual and biological reasons. So

35:13

where does the man have an opportunity

35:15

to demonstrate excellence? And now you have

35:17

men who, quite frankly, aren't demonstrating excellence.

35:19

As women have ascended the earnings ladder

35:22

and can contribute more to a relationship,

35:24

men have not filled that gap. You

35:26

know what have had more babies, JD

35:28

Vance, in case you're interested. And by

35:30

the way, I have more children than

35:32

you again. Let me stress that is

35:34

$25. Hello. Who's

35:38

like that would be a baby

35:40

boom that would go housing 100 would

35:42

cause a baby if you really want

35:44

to do it We are current we

35:46

should run the fucking government Scott Calis

35:48

seven million seven million new homes manufactured

35:50

homes that cost 30 to 50 % less

35:53

than homes built on site $25 an

35:55

hour minimum wage national service do

35:57

away the long -term capital gains More night

35:59

quite frankly subsidies to places businesses whether

36:01

it's put shack whether it's

36:03

whether it's bars to get young people

36:05

together, whether it's nonprofits, sports

36:07

leagues, anything that gets

36:10

people together so they can go, you

36:12

know what, I didn't like him

36:14

at first, but he's funny. He's

36:16

nice to his parents. We

36:18

know how to get people to fuck. Scott

36:20

and Cara know how to get people to fuck.

36:22

I'm going to go out with a group

36:24

of people. I'm going to have a few drinks

36:26

and maybe make a few bad decisions in

36:28

my payoff. The most rewarding thing in life is

36:30

the opportunity to partner with

36:33

someone fall in love and raise children with

36:35

a competent person and have a government

36:37

that has wind in your sales to be

36:39

economically viable so you're not fucking stressed

36:41

all the time. My point is we need

36:43

to level up young people. I don't

36:45

like programs that target specifically one gender because

36:47

I think it gets politicized. We need

36:49

to level up all young people. Yes, I

36:51

agree. Can I ask you a question?

36:53

Of course. So were you the one that

36:55

was, you know, you said after 30

36:57

years they say which one liked one more?

37:00

Your wife liked. you less than

37:02

you liked her correct at the beginning. I'm

37:04

just guessing. Is that right? I'll give you the

37:06

exactly what happened. You've told me the story,

37:08

but go ahead. I saw someone wearing nothing but

37:10

a thong who was wearing at a pool

37:12

party at the Raleigh Hotel. And

37:14

I promised myself, I'm going to speak

37:16

to that person before I leave to

37:18

that woman. And she was with another

37:20

woman and another guy. And without the

37:22

benefit of alcohol in the

37:24

light of the midday sun, I thought I'm gonna go

37:26

up and I'm gonna introduce myself. And I'm like, you

37:28

can make all sorts of reasons not to take your

37:30

shot. It's like, how do you do it? What do

37:32

you say? So I went out to the valet, I

37:34

got so angry myself, I went back in and I

37:36

walked right up to him and I said, hi, I'm

37:38

Scott. And I introduced myself, where

37:41

are you guys from? 18 months later, our

37:43

son's middle name is Raleigh. But I'm saying

37:45

she liked you. Well, I'm

37:47

going. My story is obviously take too long. And I

37:49

said to them, I hung out with them that day. And

37:51

I said, come to my place and I'll make you

37:53

dinner. I have no idea how to make dinner. So I

37:55

called George and Holly Mattson, who I was sharing a

37:57

place and continue them in Miami with. And I said to

37:59

Holly, it was out on a boat with George. I

38:01

said, you need to get home and make dinner for me

38:03

and these three people because I'm really into this one

38:05

ridiculously cool hot woman. And we had a

38:07

few drinks. were having a great dinner. We sat down on the

38:09

couch and I sat down across from her and I said,

38:12

look, I'm like, I pride myself

38:14

on my transparency. This is exactly what happened.

38:16

There's no adjectives or embellishments. I said,

38:18

look, I pride myself on my

38:20

transparency. I feel a really nice vibe with you

38:22

and I'm super interested in you. And I

38:24

just feel a really nice connection with you. Do

38:26

you feel the same? And she paused and

38:28

thought about it and she said, no.

38:31

And the worst part was the pause so

38:34

she can think about it. But

38:37

she looked around and paused and went

38:39

like she really wanted to give me an

38:41

honest answer She was moved by my

38:43

transparency. She's like let me think no No

38:45

No. And then the next weekend, I

38:47

lied to her and said I was going

38:49

to a party. It was actually the

38:51

rehearsal party for my friends, George and Holly

38:53

Matts in a rehearsal party. And she

38:55

showed up in jeans and a Led Zeppelin

38:57

t -shirt and she was about to kill

38:59

me because I lied to her. It

39:01

was a rehearsal dinner. And we

39:03

spent every weekend together for the next, you know,

39:05

three years. Well, there you go. You

39:07

worked on it. Well, that's good. You know, with

39:09

Amanda and I, it was equal. I have to say

39:12

it was equal. Although I did say to her,

39:14

I can't believe she's actually agreed to marry me. I

39:17

said, I'm beachfront proper. I was single for a very

39:19

short amount of time. I haven't been single since I've

39:21

been in. I remember you were dating someone and then

39:23

you weren't and then you were dating Amanda. I don't

39:25

want to talk about that relationship, but

39:27

Amanda, we went out right away, like immediately

39:29

after we were fixed up by friends

39:31

of ours on a blind date. We're fixed

39:33

up on a blind date, but I

39:36

literally said to her something very seen after,

39:38

like we started seeing each other. It

39:40

was very equal, I have to say, was

39:42

that I was beachfront property and she

39:44

better cry. Do

39:47

you like that? Beachfront property? I know.

39:49

Is that the most obnoxious thing ever? Yeah,

39:51

that's pretty bad. I'm beachfront property. You

39:53

better grab it now. It's going fast, going

39:55

fast. I'm like a bad condo that's

39:57

been repossessed in an auction. You're

39:59

lucky to have me. Can I

40:01

have a very brief thing on this

40:03

bonkers crazy pants? Getting rid of

40:05

our African embassies across Africa and

40:08

also cutting all the things that make

40:10

us Americans, which are refugee help,

40:12

human rights, climate change, et cetera.

40:14

Any thoughts? Look, I don't... view

40:16

is that with brand, what is

40:19

a brand? This is a brand,

40:21

right? A brand is unearned margin

40:23

because of soft power, the promise

40:25

of what you will get if

40:27

you buy this brand. And

40:29

you got to deliver against the performance. And

40:31

the promise is what I would

40:34

refer to in terms of aid overseas

40:36

is soft power. people

40:38

feel good about us. When you see the, when

40:40

you see an American embassy, you know, it's going

40:43

to be well staffed, you know, they're polite. You know

40:45

that if you're an American abroad and you get

40:47

mistreated, you go straight to the embassy. And

40:49

the fact that we're reducing our soft

40:51

power all over the world, all that

40:53

means is a reduction in the promise reduction,

40:56

our brand, which will reduce our unearned

40:58

margin across our business relationships, our safety. Do

41:00

you think how many people, and the

41:02

problem is you're not even going to

41:05

realize how much damage damage it does.

41:07

Do you realize how many people call

41:09

our intelligence services when they suspect a

41:11

terrorist cell somewhere? They call American embassies

41:13

because they're like, you know what, those

41:15

are nice people. They're the good guys

41:17

and we're losing that. This is the

41:19

reduction in soft power across America. Also

41:22

across Africa, we've just decided to

41:24

give Africa over to China. Which,

41:26

by the way, has been a

41:28

hotbed for quite frankly, it's

41:31

not only

41:33

playing Not playing offense America's

41:35

probably Africa likely will have the greatest

41:37

GDP growth over the next 40 or

41:40

50 years. It's just kind of time,

41:42

right? And it has

41:44

huge unbelievable human potential Unbelievable natural

41:46

resources at some point Africa is

41:48

gonna have its moment and we

41:50

want to be in there in

41:52

establishing strong business and military relationships

41:55

You know in addition, there are

41:57

some hotbeds of terrorist activity in

41:59

Africa and we want African Nations

42:01

and governments cooperating with us it all comes

42:04

down to the same thing to believe that you

42:06

can build a bubble around your shores is

42:08

just naive I've always believed you not only take

42:10

the fight To foreign nations, you

42:12

take the empathy and the goodwill. It has

42:14

to be a carrot and a stick. Yeah, I

42:16

agree. This is it's an astonishing thing. We're

42:18

just giving up literally. I know it sounds dumb.

42:20

Do you remember like sort of the image

42:22

I have of you, this, you know, Hershey

42:25

bars by GIs and stuff like that, like

42:27

all this stuff we did. It sounds like it's

42:29

such a trope, but it's so like we

42:31

are the good week. We've not always been the

42:33

good guys, but we're the good guys. And

42:35

now the Chinese are going to be the good

42:37

guys. And they are not the good guys,

42:39

by the way. It's just grotesque. Anyway, let's

42:41

go on a quick break. We come

42:44

back. China's latest salvo in the trade war

42:46

and Netflix. Ryan

42:51

Reynolds here for Mint Mobile.

42:53

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by location. Excludes Alaska and Hawaii. Scott,

44:24

we're back. China is warning countries not

44:26

to make any trade deals with the U

44:28

.S. at China's expense and is threatening retaliation

44:30

against countries that do. They're doing the

44:32

carrot and stick situation. China said it was

44:34

responding to the foreign media reports that

44:36

the Trump administration was trying to pressure other

44:38

countries as a negotiating tactic, harming the

44:40

interests of others for one's own selfish and

44:42

short -sighted gains, as like negotiating with a

44:44

tiger for its skin. Oh, that's

44:46

an interesting metaphor. The Chinese Ministry of Commerce

44:48

said in a statement, they went on to

44:50

say, in the end, it will only lead

44:53

to a lose -lose situation. Why do the Chinese

44:55

seem so reasonable at this moment? What

44:57

does it make of the strategy? I

44:59

mean, obviously, they're going to have to threaten,

45:01

too, because we're threatening, presumably. Our threats

45:03

mean less and less. I do think that

45:05

one of Obama's biggest mistakes was not

45:07

responding when Syria crossed that red line. You

45:10

should make very, very... Few threats,

45:12

but what they should be is

45:14

not threats. They should be promises

45:16

and Unfortunately now we're just we're

45:18

threatening everybody and so no one takes

45:20

this seriously though I just don't

45:22

think we have there's no veracity

45:24

with our threats it because it's

45:26

like well He didn't threaten Canada,

45:28

but he came after them for

45:30

no apparent reason and then when

45:32

he threatens to ban tiktok He does

45:34

Harvard. It was a mistake. We

45:36

are not a serious people. It

45:38

just doesn't We have absolutely no

45:40

authority or reliability. We

45:43

come home every day to

45:45

a drunk manic depressive bipolar mate.

45:47

We don't know who we're

45:49

waking up against or we don't

45:51

know who we're waking up

45:53

with every morning. And the

45:55

fact that any nation is going to

45:57

respond and back down other than saying,

45:59

oh, okay, sorry. And wow, have you

46:01

lost weight, Mr. President? And then to

46:03

just back channels to China and say,

46:05

hey, we really should have those talks

46:08

we were talking about, about lowering trade

46:10

barriers. In China, oh my God, they

46:12

must be licking their chops, as is Vietnam, as

46:14

is Turkey, as is the EU.

46:16

The EU is, I mean, obviously

46:19

this hurts them. But they're making all sorts

46:21

of, they're doing all sorts, they're working

46:23

overtime. They're doing all sorts of trade deals

46:25

right now. Yeah, and they still don't want

46:27

to turn their back on us if they

46:29

don't have to. Anyway, amid all the economic

46:31

turmoil and confusion, one company that is

46:33

weathering the storm is finding people worried about

46:35

this Netflix. The company reported in its Q1

46:37

earnings last week, beating revenue and earnings targets.

46:39

And the letter to shareholders Netflix said

46:41

the revenue and profit growth outlook remained solid.

46:44

It's not making any changes to its forecast

46:46

for the year. Look, this is

46:48

the one company that stays Going even

46:50

despite the volatility because it requires I

46:52

would imagine maybe making they make a

46:54

lot of films elsewhere But a lot

46:56

of their stuff is sort of tariff

46:58

protected in a weird way. Correct. Yeah,

47:00

I don't see how it's subject I

47:02

mean eventually eventually it'll impact them but

47:04

I mean this is This is arguably

47:06

I mean we always say this about

47:08

a lot of companies but one of

47:10

the best managed companies in the world

47:12

But arguably the best pivot in the

47:14

world they were sending out DVDs a

47:16

real insight was they said The

47:18

real insight was the best broadband in

47:21

the world is the US postal system. The

47:23

rather than trying to send a movie

47:25

over pipes, send it in the mail. And

47:27

then when the pipes caught up to

47:29

the mail, they said, we're pivoting. And that

47:31

was the ultimate pivot and it worked. They

47:34

then adopted a page out of Bezos

47:36

playbook and said, if we campaign a

47:38

really compelling vision for this company and

47:40

deliver against it, On an incremental basis,

47:42

we can attract more cheap capital, which

47:44

gives us more and more money. And

47:46

we're just going to literally outspend. We're

47:48

going to overwhelm the competition with capital,

47:50

and they spend $18 billion a year.

47:52

And then when they kind of pulled

47:54

ahead and it was clear no one

47:56

was going to be able to caption

47:58

in terms of capital, they then globalize

48:00

the industry and did to LA what

48:02

Tokyo did to Detroit. And that is

48:05

they moved huge production facilities overseas. And

48:07

now they can, on $18

48:09

billion in content, which is

48:11

what... Five to eight

48:13

times what HBO Apple all of them

48:15

spent Apple. I think spends five billion

48:17

They can spend if they're spending three

48:19

times what another company spends in gross

48:21

dollar volume They can produce four times

48:24

the content because that's just a better

48:26

managed company about I think now almost

48:28

40 or 50 % or maybe even more

48:30

of their capital is spent overseas in

48:32

production than spent domestically. Yeah, they really

48:34

were smart about that. They also brought

48:36

shows from there, either remade them or

48:38

use them from there. They were very

48:40

good about the globalization. Let

48:42

me say, let me give kudos to

48:44

Reed Hastings, who has stepped down as

48:47

executive, he was executive

48:49

chairman. He was very quite

48:51

involved to chairman of the board. I

48:53

met Reed when he was moving those

48:55

DVDs very early in Netflix's history. And

48:57

there had been a series of companies

48:59

like this, if you recall, that were

49:02

trying to do this, what he was

49:04

doing. I did a very famous

49:06

interview. I think it was 2007, maybe,

49:08

with him, the head of Hulu at the

49:10

time, Jason Kylar, and Chad Hurley, who's

49:12

the head of YouTube. And we

49:14

were We were put down in

49:16

a basement, and I always thought that

49:19

these three, especially Reed Hastings, really

49:21

had a vision for the future. But

49:23

he really, even though he's dropping

49:25

his status, he's the pivotal person who

49:27

made a lot of the decision.

49:29

And he's smartly followed with executives that

49:31

he has cycled out some that

49:33

haven't worked, even though if they did

49:35

well for a while, I

49:38

have to say he really has to

49:40

go down as one of the greatest.

49:42

Agreed. But I mean, and kudos to

49:44

Reed, you brought in... Sarandos and Ted,

49:46

whose job as a young man, he

49:48

ran six or eight video rental stores.

49:50

I mean, the guy just has a

49:52

feel for content. And

49:54

they now are leveraging their

49:56

platform. They're going into

49:58

video games, they're going into

50:01

sports, they're going into, this

50:03

is a scary one, they're going into podcasting.

50:06

The really interesting thing would be the

50:08

clash of the Titans, the celebrity

50:10

death match would be if Alphabet spun

50:12

YouTube. I mean,

50:14

the war between Netflix and

50:17

HBO and Disney, and

50:19

that's not the war. That's over. The

50:21

war, if there is one, is between Netflix

50:23

and YouTube. That's why they should spin

50:25

it off. By the way, YouTube happens to

50:27

be bigger, by the way. 13 % versus

50:29

Netflix at 11. Yeah. Anyway, you're right.

50:31

And who would be the CEO of that?

50:33

I mean, they would try to get

50:35

serandos, obviously, right? They try to grab him,

50:38

but... Of YouTube? Yeah. Oh, I think

50:40

Neil Mohan's done an incredible job. I'm just

50:42

wondering if they would go. But that

50:44

would be great. He has. And before that,

50:46

another person who I had great regard

50:48

for, Susan Wojcicki, who died, also did a

50:50

great job there while she was running

50:52

it. And she was one of the very

50:54

earliest, in fact, one of the earliest

50:56

Google executives. They started Google in her garage.

50:59

So yeah, you're right. YouTube versus Netflix

51:01

is the story. It's really the story.

51:03

Anyway, all right, Scott, one more quick

51:05

break. We'll be back for wins and

51:07

fails. This

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52:11

florist of Mother's Day. Hi,

52:13

folks. This is Kara Swisher. This week

52:15

on my podcast, On With Kara Swisher,

52:17

I'm speaking with philanthropist, businesswoman, and woman's

52:20

rights advocate, Melinda French Gates, on

52:22

how she's refocused after her divorce from tech

52:24

mogul Bill Gates. We talk about why investing

52:26

in women in politics and business is playing

52:28

the long and smart game, and we discuss

52:30

her new memoir the next day. My mom

52:32

used to say to me as I was

52:35

growing up, set your own agenda or someone

52:37

else will. I know society

52:39

is better off. when women are

52:41

in positions of power. I really

52:43

enjoy this conversation because it's an

52:45

interesting moment where women in technology

52:47

are having much more of an

52:49

important impact than men who are

52:51

still moving fast and breaking things.

52:53

Have a listen to On with

52:55

Kara Swisher wherever you get your

52:57

podcasts. Okay,

53:04

Scott, let's hear some wins and fails.

53:06

Why don't you go first this week?

53:08

You have an easier time disassociating than

53:10

me. I've been so stressed and upset

53:12

about everything that's going on that to

53:14

just be at the Royal Albert Hall,

53:16

listening to beautiful music that reminded me.

53:18

I think it was Gloria Vanderbilt, Anderson

53:20

Cooper's mother, who said that the happiest

53:23

time in her life or the happiest time she

53:25

believes in anyone's life is when you're, when

53:27

you have young kids at home. And I do

53:29

think I'll look back on that and look

53:31

at that as the happiest time in my life.

53:33

But feeling that music and that venue, it

53:35

was just so extraordinary and just absolutely gave me

53:38

an hour of peace and emotion to share

53:40

with someone I care great deal about in the

53:42

content. I mean, we just knew exactly how

53:44

we were both feeling. I felt very connected to

53:46

London. I felt very connected to music. And

53:49

it was just a nice hour of

53:51

respite. Does anything else remind you of

53:53

that? Like Saul was wearing this shirt

53:55

that Louie used to wear this weekend

53:57

and that gave me the chills in

53:59

a good way. You know what is

54:01

incredible is a woman who used to

54:03

work with me at L2. I

54:06

don't think I'm speaking out of school. I wouldn't say

54:08

her name, but she just took on a strategy

54:10

role at Apples and she's overseeing memories. You

54:12

know that, do you have those things that pop up? Yeah,

54:14

oh my gosh that I'm you know, as

54:17

you know, I'm passing with death. I'm just

54:19

gonna play that shit over and over and

54:21

live my life again Those that does music

54:23

does sing certain people does I mean that's

54:25

and the piece of advice I would give

54:27

to anyone especially men who have a tough

54:29

time with this You know from the I've

54:31

said this from the age of 29 to

54:33

45 I didn't cried and cry when I

54:35

got divorced and in crime on my mom

54:37

died I just kind of forgot how and

54:39

It is a real gift to in

54:42

a practice, an effort to really lean into

54:44

your emotions. If you hear something funny, force

54:46

you to say, this is one the things

54:48

I really like about you. You laugh out

54:50

loud. You have a wonderful laugh and it's

54:52

infectious. And it gives everyone else

54:54

permission to laugh and it just makes everything a little lighter.

54:58

If something upsets you or it moves

55:00

you sentimentally, let yourself weep, let yourself

55:02

cry, because it informs what's important to

55:04

you. When you see a piece of

55:06

art or a piece of creative that

55:08

inspires you, Sometimes I even rewind

55:10

it 15 or 30 seconds and say, wow, this is

55:12

such a wonderful scene. I want to watch it

55:14

or I listen to music. Really lean

55:16

into your emotions because our advantage is the

55:18

species. You're a crier. You're crier.

55:20

Oh, I cry at the drop of a hat. You do.

55:22

I cry at the drop hat. I'm scared to watch certain

55:24

movies with you. And it's one of the things I like.

55:26

I like the messy part of myself. My

55:28

kids see me cry all the time.

55:31

Your fail. Excuse me, your fail. Don't

55:33

rush me through my personal parables as

55:35

I open myself to you and you

55:37

jab. You jab. But

55:40

my lesson here is our advantage as

55:42

a species is our cooperation and the way

55:44

we cooperate as we communicate a close

55:46

second is we're able to feel things that

55:48

part of our brain is bigger with

55:50

the exception of elephants and killer whales Which

55:52

by the way should not be locked

55:54

up in tanks when you realize how emotional

55:56

they are If you don't lean

55:58

into your emotions, you're not taking advantage of what

56:00

it means to be human. And it's very rewarding. It

56:02

really informs your life. Otherwise, you're like me 29

56:04

to 45 and just kind of sleep walking through life

56:06

and thinking, okay, how do I make more money

56:08

and have more sex? Which was as

56:11

an empty meaningless experience, because it's a pretty

56:13

good empty meaningless experience, but this is better. Anyways,

56:15

my win is the Royal Albert Hall and

56:17

back and listening to morning phase and thinking about

56:19

my boys. My fail

56:22

is at the end of the day,

56:24

Management is just one thing. It's

56:26

your ability to allocate capital to a

56:28

greater return than your peer group. And

56:31

the cruel truth of capitalism is

56:33

every organization has a finite or scarce

56:35

amount of resources. So Tim Cook's

56:37

job is just to allocate capital more

56:39

efficiently than the CEO of Metta

56:41

or Samsung. And the president

56:43

has more capital to allocate than anyone

56:45

in history. And the best

56:47

allocation of capital, and we talked

56:50

about this, is the investment

56:52

in our universities. And probably the

56:54

greatest innovation in history was

56:56

our race to split the atom.

56:59

If we hadn't gotten there first and Hitler

57:01

had, we'd be doing this podcast in

57:03

German. And that effort, and one of

57:05

the things I don't think they did a

57:07

great job of in the movie Oppenheimer, was

57:09

nodding to all of the universities

57:12

that were involved. Oh, yeah, you're right.

57:14

And I'm going to get some

57:16

wrong here. But Caltech, Berkeley, Wash

57:18

U, Purdue, University

57:20

of Minnesota, Chicago, you remember

57:23

Chicago played a huge role, Rochester,

57:26

Princeton. All of

57:28

these universities were working on different

57:30

things from the effects of radiation to

57:32

the risk of us lighting the

57:34

atmosphere on fire. And

57:36

these individuals were so

57:38

who had this incredible

57:41

esoteric, generic, ridiculously

57:43

mild, deep any centimeter wide expertise in

57:45

something, we're all coordinated by the

57:47

army and the government to try and

57:49

figure out a way to get

57:51

there first to literally save the world.

57:53

That has happened every day since

57:56

then and has given us

57:58

unbelievable return on investment. And it's

58:00

not only capital through investments

58:02

in our great universities, but it's

58:04

the ability to attract the

58:06

best human capital that know how

58:08

to deploy this capital because

58:10

they're so brilliant. And

58:13

when you start Sending out Aaron

58:15

emails which by the way and

58:17

up are not legal telling people

58:19

graduate students to self -deport. Let me

58:21

give you a basic rundown on

58:23

who our students are in our

58:25

universities. The undergrads at our elite

58:28

universities are a mix of rich

58:30

kids and freakishly remarkable Americans. and

58:32

then a combination of the two from foreign countries.

58:34

At business school, I won't speak for other graduate schools,

58:37

the MBAs are the following. The Americans at business

58:39

schools are what I affectionately call the elite and the

58:41

aimless. They're good smart kids who hated their first

58:43

job, don't know what the fuck to do with their

58:45

lives, so they go back to business school to

58:47

try and figure it out. There's nothing wrong with that,

58:49

I was one of those people. And

58:51

then the foreign students are the

58:53

richest kids from Paraguay, whose dad

58:55

owns the licensing agreement from L

58:57

'Oreal and the ultimate luxury brand

58:59

is to send their kid to

59:02

NYU or to Stanford. And by the way, those are

59:04

the kids you want to party with because they're rich

59:06

kids and they love to party and also they're going

59:08

to be running their country at some point. And then

59:10

there's the PhD students. The PhD

59:12

students, we don't cash their check for

59:14

$72 ,000. We pay them.

59:16

and they come here and take on a

59:18

very narrow topic and they're so good at

59:20

what they do that they teach students and

59:22

then they go on to do nothing but

59:24

focus on a tiny part of the world

59:26

and decide, I am going to know more

59:28

about this tiny part of the world than

59:30

anyone in the world. Arguably the most impressive

59:33

cohort in America is our PhD students. We

59:35

get the Tom Brady's of

59:37

every nation who decides, I'm

59:40

super into liquid particle propulsion

59:42

dynamics and I'm going to

59:44

go to the university of

59:46

Wisconsin and Madison and devote my life

59:48

to it. We find these people that

59:51

have done nothing but go so fucking

59:53

deep around this specific topic that they

59:55

know more about it than anyone in

59:57

the world. And yet we've

59:59

decided we want to scare these people

1:00:01

from coming here. We haven't. One person

1:00:03

has decided. Well, we elected this guy.

1:00:05

But it's as if we're a team

1:00:07

and we get the number one draft

1:00:09

choices from everywhere. And then Tom Brady

1:00:11

shows up and we said, you know,

1:00:13

Tom, I hate to say this, but

1:00:15

there's a chance you might show up

1:00:17

one day, and ice might be

1:00:19

there and ruin you and your family's life

1:00:21

for no goddamn good reason. We

1:00:24

are scaring away one of

1:00:26

our core competences. Our core

1:00:28

advantages globally is not only

1:00:30

the fact that we allocate

1:00:32

capital to this university, but

1:00:34

we attract the finest human

1:00:37

capital to allocate this capital,

1:00:39

resulting in unbelievable innovation that

1:00:41

has driven prosperity, that has

1:00:43

driven unearned margin, My

1:00:45

fail is an unnecessary turning away

1:00:47

of the strongest human capital in the

1:00:49

world and that is our of

1:00:52

me Yeah, you meet it. Just trust

1:00:54

me on this. You meet a

1:00:56

PhD student From India. I don't care

1:00:58

what fucking field there are you're

1:01:00

talking to someone who was the best

1:01:02

at their elementary school then the

1:01:04

best in their region and the best

1:01:06

in their Their state and then

1:01:09

the best at IIT and then figured

1:01:11

out a way to come to

1:01:13

the University of Pennsylvania and study

1:01:15

options theory and helps banks figure this

1:01:17

shit out. It is incredible what

1:01:20

they're doing here, the destruction around, not

1:01:22

just there, but in any case.

1:01:24

Okay, mine are. I have so

1:01:26

many wins today. One, I recommend you

1:01:28

reading Larry David's My Dinner with Adolf.

1:01:30

which is a sort of attack. It's

1:01:32

a very funny thing of him having

1:01:34

dinner with Adolf Hitler and making fun

1:01:36

of Bill Maher. It's very, very, very

1:01:38

funny. Bill Maher needs to step down

1:01:40

on defending. Nobody thinks you shouldn't have

1:01:43

had dinner with him, Bill. They just,

1:01:45

you're moving into Gale King territory here

1:01:47

in defensiveness. But it's really funny,

1:01:49

Larry David's little essay in the New

1:01:51

York Times, and I love Larry David so

1:01:53

much. My other win

1:01:55

is, more seriously, is Alaska

1:01:57

Senator Lisa Murkowski. one of the

1:01:59

few Republicans criticizing Trump. She

1:02:01

admitted last week she was afraid

1:02:04

and fears retaliation, but she's

1:02:06

doubling down and being sort of

1:02:08

a leader in that way. And

1:02:11

she has won despite an attack

1:02:13

by Trump in the last election.

1:02:15

So she's safer than most people

1:02:17

at this moment in time, but

1:02:19

good for her for doing that.

1:02:21

And I think it's infectious, just

1:02:23

like Scott was just talking about

1:02:25

at universities. When Harvard

1:02:27

did it, then MIT did it, then

1:02:29

others did it. Columbia looks like it

1:02:31

might be finding it's fine at some

1:02:34

point. So I really admire

1:02:36

her for doing that. Also, just for

1:02:38

a little thing, this is a

1:02:40

picture speaking of medical students. This is

1:02:42

a picture my mom found of

1:02:44

my dad from, it fell out of

1:02:46

a drawer of hers this week.

1:02:48

And this is me as a kid.

1:02:51

My mom's pregnant with my brother, but there's our

1:02:53

little family. Being very feckin' Donald Trump.

1:02:55

But we did it because my dad

1:02:57

was a poor guy, like you said, and

1:02:59

he got a break. He went

1:03:01

to the Navy, paid for medical

1:03:03

school, built his family, was

1:03:06

able to lift himself up from not

1:03:08

poverty in West Virginia, but not means

1:03:10

in order to go to West Virginia

1:03:12

and to go to school there and

1:03:14

stuff. That's nice. And then my

1:03:16

fail is this continued, it's sort of

1:03:18

coming together. Wired has a

1:03:20

piece of something I have talked about

1:03:22

on this podcast. The scale at which

1:03:25

Doge is seeking to interconnect data, including

1:03:27

sensitive biometric data, is unprecedented, raising alarms

1:03:29

with experts who fear it may lead

1:03:31

to the disastrous privacy violations for citizens

1:03:33

and immigrants alike. I've always said their

1:03:35

game was uniting the data. I

1:03:37

heard this weekend, I'm not going to

1:03:39

say who it was by someone who's

1:03:41

considering leaving the United States. European countries

1:03:44

are offering our greatest technologists, speaking of

1:03:46

what you're talking about, Scott,

1:03:48

it dovetails perfectly. Countries

1:03:51

are trying to get our technologists to

1:03:53

go there by giving them visas, so they're

1:03:55

safe. And a lot of people

1:03:57

who I never thought would consider it are

1:03:59

considering it because they feel retaliation. The

1:04:02

thing, the executive order against Chris

1:04:04

Krabs has been chilling to a lot

1:04:06

of people I know who've been

1:04:08

working on really important things. And the

1:04:10

whole point of Doge is to

1:04:12

unite this data, as I've said, to

1:04:14

create an Uber data situation, which

1:04:16

has never been united, to create an

1:04:18

ability to cross -reference things that have

1:04:20

never been cross -referenced, and for good

1:04:22

reason. It's not for efficiency.

1:04:24

They don't do it. It's because we're scared

1:04:26

of creating a surveillance state the way they

1:04:29

have in China. And so the

1:04:31

fact that it's a reverse brain drain going

1:04:33

on, really dovetails on what Scott was

1:04:35

talking about, is we are rejecting the finest

1:04:37

from elsewhere but our own people. people

1:04:39

will be leaving our country to develop

1:04:41

in other countries. And that is the biggest

1:04:43

tragedy of this. And at the same

1:04:45

time, the government is creating an Uber

1:04:48

database. I have said this

1:04:50

over and over again. I know

1:04:52

you said Elon's leaving, but the legacy

1:04:54

of what he's doing here is

1:04:56

incredibly dangerous for our freedom as far

1:04:58

as I'm concerned. So I think

1:05:00

we should pay a lot of attention

1:05:02

to these databases being joined in

1:05:04

a way that you'll be searchable and

1:05:06

findable. And there will be

1:05:08

so many mistakes in the data that

1:05:10

it's terrifying. A lot of people consider

1:05:12

dead, that aren't dead, have to prove

1:05:14

they're not dead now, people that are

1:05:16

getting arrested, that are American citizens now.

1:05:18

We shouldn't be arresting these immigrants without

1:05:20

due process. But now it's

1:05:23

moving because of mistakes and everything else

1:05:25

and also... It will not be mistakes

1:05:27

at some point. So we should be

1:05:29

very wary about what Doge is doing

1:05:31

in that regard and pay attention even

1:05:33

if Elon's been out of the news

1:05:35

a little bit recently because of so

1:05:38

many other Ridiculous situations. So I just

1:05:40

please pay attention to that wire. It

1:05:42

has a great story on that this

1:05:44

week And so that is my fails.

1:05:46

We don't pay attention They will have

1:05:48

all our information and then do terrible

1:05:50

things to us. I'm so kind of

1:05:53

sort of blown away by your your

1:05:55

speculation or thesis that They're

1:05:57

all of these, both the government and

1:05:59

Musk are bringing all this information together

1:06:01

to develop sort of one like, I

1:06:03

don't know, Skynet of surveillance, of

1:06:05

surveillance control and capital. It'll be

1:06:07

used against immigrants first, but it's

1:06:09

always, you know, it's always for

1:06:11

more. And by the way, I

1:06:13

don't want Democrats having this power

1:06:15

either, FYI. I don't want any

1:06:17

of them having this power, right?

1:06:20

You can have your opinion about whatever

1:06:22

you thought about. the various

1:06:25

things of leaking information, but

1:06:27

the government should never have this

1:06:29

much power and information about

1:06:31

people in one place. It will

1:06:33

always be abused, as has

1:06:35

been shown throughout history. Anyway, we

1:06:37

want to hear from you. Send

1:06:39

us your questions about business tech or

1:06:42

whatever is on your mind. Go

1:06:44

to nymag.com -pivot, submit a question for

1:06:46

the show, or call 8551 -pivot. Elsewhere

1:06:48

in the Kara and Scott universe, I

1:06:50

talked with Melinda French Gates and

1:06:52

on with Kara Swisher. Let's listen. I

1:06:55

never, never would have

1:06:57

guessed that USAID would essentially

1:06:59

be folded. You know,

1:07:02

it was endorsed by Republican

1:07:04

and Democratic administrations because they saw

1:07:06

that people could live where

1:07:08

they were if they had good

1:07:10

health and they had peace

1:07:12

and some chance for prosperity. And

1:07:15

so to see that, you know, 16

1:07:18

million women won't have access to

1:07:20

maternal health services because of that

1:07:22

pullback? How does that make us

1:07:24

look better? How does that help

1:07:26

us with peace? It's

1:07:28

just what you were saying, Scott. Same

1:07:30

thing. You and Melinda Gates are on

1:07:33

the same wavelength. But also,

1:07:35

I'll be interviewing Lisa Sue, the CEO

1:07:37

of AMD, Speaking of Badass Women, live

1:07:39

on stage at Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg

1:07:41

Center in Washington, D .C., this

1:07:43

coming Monday, April 28th, a week from

1:07:45

now. If you want to hear a smart

1:07:47

conversation about semiconductor chips, industrial policy in

1:07:49

the future of AI, Google Keraswisher and

1:07:51

Lisa Sue, SU, to RSVP,

1:07:53

tickets are free. Okay, that's

1:07:55

the show. Thanks for listening to Pivot.

1:07:57

Be sure to like and subscribe to

1:08:00

our YouTube channel. We'll be back on

1:08:02

Friday. Scott, read us out. Today's show

1:08:04

is produced by Larry Naim and Zoe

1:08:06

Marcus and Taylor Griffin. Ernie and her

1:08:08

Todd engineered this episode. Jim Mackle edited

1:08:10

the video. Thanks also to Drew

1:08:12

Burroughs, Ms. Severo, and Dan Chalon. The

1:08:14

shot crew of Vox Media's executive producer

1:08:16

podcast. Make sure you subscribe to the

1:08:18

show wherever you're listening to podcasts. Thanks

1:08:20

for listening to Pivot from New York

1:08:22

Magazine of Vox Media. You can subscribe

1:08:24

to the magazine at nymag.com. We'll

1:08:27

be back. Later this

1:08:29

week for another breakdown of

1:08:31

all things and business, back's

1:08:33

morning phase. Trust me.

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