Episode Transcript
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get people to fuck. Scott and Cara know how to
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get people to fuck. Hi
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everyone, this is Pivot from New York Magazine
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and the Vox Media Podcast Network. I'm Cara
1:50
Swisher, R .I .P., Pope
1:52
Francis, who died doing what he
1:54
loved best, which was calling JD Vance an
1:56
asshole. So last night, my kid, my
1:58
14 year old, comes into room, middle the night,
2:00
all upset, and he said, dad, on my group
2:02
chat, it says we're bombing the Hooties in 1900
2:05
hours. Should I be worried? the
2:08
way, we're mixing, we're mixing.
2:10
We're mixing jokes. Scandals here.
2:12
We're mixing not scandals. I'm
2:14
serious. I think everybody, this is
2:16
my suggestion to everybody should
2:18
you decide that there's so much
2:20
There's so much ridiculously insane
2:22
deprived weirdness and competence every day
2:24
that we don't know where
2:26
to start every text message I
2:28
send out now I end
2:30
with 1700 hours cash at 15s
2:33
coming into Yemen. I'm Every
2:35
message I'm putting in fake military
2:37
information. He's referring Scott's referring
2:39
to the second signal gate or
2:41
probably the 10th probably the
2:43
20th Pete Hexeth was was including
2:45
his wife his personal lawyer
2:47
or friends in attacks on,
2:49
I think it's Yemen, right? Was
2:51
it Yemen? Yemen, yeah. Whatever. Jesus,
2:54
this guy's got to lay off
2:56
the whiskey. Yeah, that's who I want.
2:58
That's who I want commanding my
3:00
men in uniform. then, just add to
3:02
this, the Pope died, JD Man's
3:04
visit to Amos Jay, and the Pope
3:07
took his time to insult JD
3:09
Vance and his Easter, essentially, what JD
3:11
Vance represented in his Easter homily,
3:13
and then died soon after. But
3:15
one of the third things that just
3:17
came in is Christy Noem got her
3:19
bag snatched in DC, and it carried
3:21
$3 ,000 in cash she had in
3:23
it, which she accused the guy that
3:25
she sent to the El Salvador in
3:27
prison of being in MS -13 for holding
3:29
$1 ,500 in cash. Like, what was
3:31
she doing with cash? Like,
3:34
anyway, the stories, these people are just, I
3:36
feel, we're in a simulation, Scott. I'm just
3:38
so here for Christy Noem. It's such a,
3:40
it's such a Cinemax film waiting to happen.
3:42
She is getting a max. Yes. Anyway, she
3:44
lost her money. Sorry, Christy. You shouldn't be
3:46
carrying that much cash. Should we bring this
3:48
all back to me? Ask me what I
3:50
did this weekend. Oh, I will. Okay.
3:52
What did you do weekend? All this shit is
3:54
so upsetting and boring, Kara. Let's talk about the
3:56
dog. It's not. It's not boring. Let's talk about
3:58
the dog. So when I moved to Florida after
4:00
I lost everything in a way and my kid
4:02
didn't get into school because it was speech delayed
4:04
preschool, I'm like, that's it. We're out of here.
4:06
We're moving to Florida. We...
4:10
on a house, got it accepted, and then Goldman,
4:12
who at that time was managing my money because they
4:14
were investing in small entrepreneurs, came back and said,
4:16
last year you made negative one and a half million,
4:18
so don't qualify for a mortgage. So I had
4:20
to go home and tell my partner that we couldn't
4:22
get this house. I couldn't close because I couldn't
4:24
get a mortgage, which was really a nice conversation for
4:26
me. Anyways, we ended up
4:28
buying a home in Delray. We built this
4:30
home, and we had to
4:32
have a pool because we
4:35
had young boys, and every morning
4:37
on the weekends, we would...
4:39
up, make breakfast, and our
4:41
kids would immediately start jumping in the
4:43
pool with our dog Zoe. And I
4:45
would play, what is my favorite album
4:47
in the world? Is it my favorite
4:49
album? Other than The Damned at the
4:51
Torpedoes by Tom Petty. I played Morning
4:53
Phase by Beck. Have you ever listened
4:55
to this album? No. Oh, it
4:58
is so beautiful. I shall. It is so
5:00
beautiful. It won Best Album. It was probably
5:02
the biggest surprise of Best Album 12 or
5:04
14 years ago. It's an instrumental orchestral album.
5:06
Okay. Don't rush me through this. This is,
5:08
I'm revealing a little bit about my soul
5:10
to you. I'm trying to wait to see
5:12
where this is going. So last night, I
5:15
went to the Royal Albert Hall and I
5:17
saw Beck play with the Royal Albert Hall
5:19
Orchestra, which is one of the most talented
5:21
in the world. And
5:23
me and Bayotta just sat there
5:25
and cried for an hour a half,
5:27
remembering like our kids jumping into
5:29
the pool. Such a night. That
5:32
last night was literally the moment, also
5:34
the mushroom gummy self, but That
5:37
will be the moment, that's like
5:39
my crowning moment for London. And
5:41
it was such an outstanding
5:43
performance and took us back to
5:45
this really nice moment. Oh
5:48
my God, music is so powerful
5:50
that way. It is. But in
5:52
any case, do you wanna ask
5:54
me what I did this weekend?
5:57
Okay. Oh.
5:59
All right. What did you do this
6:01
weekend? We had Easter. We
6:03
did the Easter stuff. Did he rise?
6:05
Is he risen? He's risen.
6:07
Christ has died. Christ was
6:10
born. Christ died. You're more Jewish
6:12
than me right now. I'm
6:15
Catholic. I'm actually Catholic. You
6:17
can believe it. You know what I'm
6:19
excited for? Honestly, Conclave. Conclave. Like that movie,
6:21
did you see Conclave? I don't even
6:23
know what that is. It's a
6:25
movie. It was up for Oscars.
6:27
It's with Ray Fiennes. They're going to
6:29
have a conclave. It's when the
6:31
Cardinals get together and they all vote
6:33
and stuff. There's some interesting prospects
6:36
for New Pope, including a very young
6:38
one. I actually, I love, I
6:40
don't want to say I love Easter,
6:42
but Easter for me is something I got
6:44
to do. You know, I hide Easter
6:46
eggs. Where? Don't tell me. Because I don't
6:48
want anyone to know that I'm fucking
6:50
a chicken. Oh, my God. That's
6:53
good. Oh my God. I
6:55
had so many beautiful, my grandmother
6:57
used to make Easter foods in town.
6:59
He has risen. He has
7:02
risen. She went to Mass every day. She would
7:04
be very interested in who the new pope is.
7:06
Anyway, we'll see who the new pope is. He
7:08
was a good pope. He was a good pope.
7:10
You want to understand an organization that understands branding, burning
7:13
the ballots to create white
7:15
smoke that signifies a new pope,
7:17
the garb, the candles. The
7:19
outfits, yeah. The music, the artisanship. It's
7:21
almost like they're gay. It's very gay.
7:24
I'm so glad you said that. And what a shocker.
7:26
gay. And you can't sleep with women. And what do
7:28
you know? Oh, I know. What do you know? Conclave.
7:32
Conclave. You have to watch that movie. Do
7:34
yourself a favor and watch it with
7:36
your wife. It's a great movie. It has
7:38
Isabella Rossellini in it. And she's
7:40
a nun. Isabella Rossellini. She's a nun. She's
7:42
fantastic. She was up for an Oscar, I
7:44
think. Anyway, word of advice to the next
7:47
pope. Stay away from JD Vance. Anyway,
7:49
we have a lot to get to
7:51
today, including the Supreme Court handing Trump a
7:53
late night loss. Netflix
7:55
is staying strong, and market chaos yet
7:57
another Tesla setback this company is really
7:59
done for, I feel like. Signalgate,
8:02
too, has dropped, as we just
8:04
referenced. Defense Secretary Pete Hegg says, shared
8:06
attack plans for strikes in Yemen
8:08
in another group. SignalChat, including his wife,
8:10
brother, and personal lawyer. Heggseth is
8:12
blaming disgruntled former employees for leaking the
8:14
information about the use of his
8:16
chat. They are, in fact, Let
8:19
me tell you, these employees aren't being
8:21
quiet. One of them wrote a piece for
8:23
Politico saying how much BTS sucks. In
8:25
the group, there were around a dozen
8:27
people from Hexeth's personal and professional circles
8:29
and was named Defense Team Huddle. Hexeth
8:32
created the signal group himself and conducted
8:34
the chat from his private phone. It
8:37
just gets worse and worse. The details shared were
8:39
the same in the chat as Jeffrey Goldberg. It
8:41
looks like he cut and pasted. And who among
8:43
us has not cut and pasted more planned details
8:45
in all our group chats? I mean, Will
8:47
he go? Because now his people
8:49
are after him. His little, you know,
8:51
his little, his stormtroopers are after
8:54
him now. So do you think
8:56
he'll, he's finished or not? Or will
8:58
Trump not care? Well, I have a question
9:00
for you because what I saw, I
9:02
love news not noise with Jessica Yon.
9:05
Yeah. And she said, what's going
9:07
on? Here's a phenomenon in journalism. I'm
9:09
curious to get your take on this
9:11
called taking out the trash. And that
9:13
is when your own team turns on
9:15
you and starts leaking everything, you're done. There's
9:18
no way to plug the boat. Do you
9:20
think that's what's going on here? Yeah. I
9:22
mean, they're explicit. One of them, who's a
9:24
spokesperson, John, I think it's Bulyat or something
9:26
like that. He wrote a whole piece saying,
9:29
you know, still saying he loves Donald Trump,
9:31
blah, blah, blah, but Pete Hex has to
9:33
go. Essentially, that's what this piece said, which
9:35
was explicit. You don't often do see an
9:37
explicit one. Now, this four people in
9:39
this group chat, Dropped a dime on him
9:41
and you could I could tell two of
9:43
them the one two or three who were
9:45
just fired by him for Things he lied
9:47
about these people didn't do what he said
9:50
they did so he turned around and fucked
9:52
them and then they're like You're not fucking
9:54
us. We're fucking you and yeah I think
9:56
there's and then the the guy in his
9:58
piece said more to come which is like
10:00
probably around his drinking or whatever But it
10:02
sounds like a fucking disaster there. I don't
10:04
know how Trump can save this. He's got
10:06
to dump him I think there's no question.
10:08
He has to dump him but it's Trump
10:10
so I mean, any other president, absolutely, he'd
10:12
be gone by yesterday, but maybe he's thinking
10:15
the Pope will give him cover or the
10:17
Pope's death will give him cover. I don't
10:19
know. I just think he's done. He's done.
10:21
I thought that the last one. I thought
10:23
that was, I thought that Waltz was going
10:25
to get fired. Yeah. Trump
10:28
has a different behavior system. But I wonder
10:30
if at some point the Joint Chiefs go,
10:32
you realize at some point people are
10:35
going to question orders for fear that
10:37
that service to air missiles are waiting
10:39
for them because shit for brains over
10:41
here is is playing is is next
10:43
thing he's going to put it out
10:45
on his nintendo we what the attack
10:47
plans are i mean at some point
10:50
that's funny not funny At some point,
10:52
this begins to compromise the safety and
10:54
security of our men and women in
10:56
uniform, if it hasn't already. Private is
10:58
a private phone who knows where he
11:00
was. Like, come on. Are Can
11:02
you just appoint his brother to some
11:04
sensitive defense position? brother is in the
11:06
defense department. Another friend of
11:08
his, a personal lawyer, was on this thing.
11:11
Like, I wouldn't put my, oh, God, this
11:13
whole thing is just the ice. It
11:15
seems like there's a deeper story here because
11:17
they were signaling it, this one person. And
11:20
to use your name in public to
11:22
do it, this guy is either kamikaze or
11:24
knows something. Like, this is gonna get
11:26
worse. So they're gonna find an elegant way
11:28
to get him out because Trump apparently
11:30
likes the way he looks. He is a
11:32
handsome man. Very handsome. In a kind
11:34
of a cheesy, unctuous way. He's a handsome
11:36
man. I think Trump
11:39
likes his look and feel, but they're gonna... someone
11:41
else who's more competent in there. He says he can
11:43
do five sets of 47 push -ups. I can do
11:45
five of 35. You should go back to Fox
11:47
News. That'd be great. He should go back. That's where
11:49
he belongs. So, speaking of which,
11:51
the Google and the Justice Department, speaking of
11:53
people in trouble, are headed to court as we
11:55
tape Monday to argue on how to remedy
11:57
the company's online search monopoly. The outcome
11:59
could result Google being forced to sell
12:01
off Chrome and share more data with
12:03
competitors. Witnesses from Microsoft, Mozilla, Perplexity and
12:05
OpenAir are set to take the stand.
12:07
Closing arguments will be on May 30th.
12:09
coming by August, and for once I
12:12
would agree with Bill Barr, the
12:14
former Attorney General. Just
12:17
a sack of shit, really. In an op
12:19
-ed he wrote in The Wall Street Journal, all
12:21
the solicitude we express for free
12:23
markets is hollow talk without a willingness
12:25
to confront bad actors that use
12:27
illegal practices to squelch rivals and establish
12:29
monopoly power. Well done, Bill
12:31
Barr. No one says you're stupid. But
12:33
anyway, what do you think is going to
12:36
happen here? Because they also lost the
12:38
advertising case to just last week. So this
12:40
is the first case. So they're in
12:42
the remedies section of it. I
12:44
think they feel the wolves
12:46
are circling and it does feel
12:48
real this time. It feels,
12:50
you know, while you were sleeping,
12:53
you know, we're so focused on everything
12:55
else that it does feel like the momentum
12:57
here is pretty staggering. I
12:59
wonder if they're just so smart and
13:02
they have so many connections. I wonder
13:04
if they're gonna do a blood offering
13:06
and offer to spend something or offer
13:08
a pretty big fine. Like
13:10
some sort of big bargain. No, I
13:12
can't. I think it has to be
13:14
a remedy. I think it has to
13:16
be a spin off. But yeah, they,
13:18
my guess is they offer to do
13:21
something prophylactically because I think they see.
13:23
But what? I don't know. It
13:25
has to be a spin off. A spin of their. ad
13:27
group, a spin of what used to be
13:29
DoubleClick. I'd like to see a spin of YouTube
13:31
because I think it'd be so incredibly valuable.
13:34
I think it'd be good for shareholders and be
13:36
pretty clean. They don't seem to want to
13:38
spin any of them, not Mark Zuckerberg, not Amazon,
13:40
not any of them. Well, they get to
13:42
share data and it's also, it all
13:44
comes back to money care. This
13:46
is the point it all
13:48
reverse engineers do and it's the
13:50
following. Except for Zuckerberg,
13:52
I think, just at this point likes control, although
13:54
maybe that's not true. The way
13:56
a CEO gets compensated is the following. There
13:59
is a subcommittee of the board called
14:01
the Compensation Committee. And basically, there
14:03
to approve, to make sure that we have
14:05
enough options in a private company for new
14:07
hires, and also to deal with the hardest
14:09
part, and that is CEO's compensation. And
14:12
we hire a Towers parent and we pay them $200
14:14
,000 or $300 ,000 because we don't like to do any
14:16
actual work ourselves. And they come in and they say,
14:18
okay, New York Times company, you're
14:20
a $5 billion revenue company in a
14:22
media space, 50 % is
14:24
the exact, exact median.
14:27
of CEOs of media companies making $5
14:29
billion. And this is what happens. You
14:31
say, well, Janet Robinson's doing
14:33
her level best. We'll pay her at
14:35
60 % because we don't, it feels
14:37
weird psychologically to pay someone average. But
14:40
keep in mind, this is the
14:42
average of CEOs and $5 billion media
14:44
companies. So you pay them, generally speaking,
14:46
60%. But what that means is when
14:48
you're paying everyone 20 % more than
14:50
the medium, it means every three and
14:52
a half years, the compensation is doubling.
14:55
And what that means is in 40
14:57
years, we've gone from CEOs making 30
14:59
times average worker salaries to 300 or
15:01
400. Now, essentially,
15:03
what happens is that
15:05
metric that scale you
15:07
get is based on
15:09
the size of the
15:11
company. So when the
15:13
Bank of America CEO says, I want
15:16
to make more money, Even if
15:18
he's making shitty acquisitions that may not
15:20
pay off in the long term,
15:22
his compensation goes up based on the
15:24
size of the company. So there's
15:26
this disincentive or your de -incentivized a
15:28
little bit from shareholder value, although you
15:30
have options, but everybody wants to
15:33
sit on the iron throne of all
15:35
seven realms versus Westeros. And this
15:37
is why I have always highlighted Jeff
15:39
Bukus. He sold the magazine group
15:41
about two years ago before magazines went
15:43
into decline. He sold He sold
15:45
the cable companies before the before the
15:47
deployment and cable company he sold
15:49
time he sold time Warner about. Five
15:52
years before it went into structural
15:54
decline because he said, my job is
15:56
to get shareholders as much money
15:58
as possible, even if it means putting
16:00
myself out of a job. So
16:02
do you imagine they would offer this?
16:04
I don't think they will. I
16:06
don't think it's just because of money.
16:09
I think they just don't. They're
16:11
hoping to play the long game here
16:13
and just delay and delay and
16:15
obfuscate and delay. When, in fact,
16:17
they should have done it, so should Mark. They
16:19
should spin off YouTube. It would be a very
16:21
successful company. They need to spin
16:23
this thing off. They need to
16:25
just take their... lumps and do it,
16:27
because they clearly use data and
16:29
other advantages here to dominate the market.
16:32
And again, if Bill Barr and
16:34
Kara Swisher are in agreement, it is
16:36
a real moment in time, I
16:38
think. And real Republicans don't like this
16:40
stuff, right? The question is, is
16:42
Trump going to throw them some sort
16:44
of lifeline here? Although I'm not
16:46
quite sure what he can do, because
16:48
in the advertising case in Virginia,
16:50
there are state's attorneys general, but the
16:52
White House looks like it's continuing. with
16:56
Pam Bondi and I'm saying the White
16:58
House and Pam Bondi because there is no
17:00
independence between the Justice Department and the
17:02
White House anymore. So we'll
17:04
see. We'll see. We'll see. We'll see.
17:06
And give me one quick prediction.
17:08
I think it's a prophylactic. I think
17:10
they're so focused on shareholder value.
17:12
I think a prophylactic spin of WhatsApp,
17:15
Instagram or YouTube. But WhatsApp is
17:17
over at Facebook. I know. Well, right.
17:19
Or so is Instagram. But this
17:21
is Google. Right, but isn't Instagram
17:23
isn't meta also that case has got more
17:25
that is going. Yes, that is also that is
17:27
also But that's in the midst of the
17:29
case that hasn't but go ahead. Yeah. Anyways,
17:31
you asked for a prediction I think we're gonna
17:34
we're gonna see a spin in the next
17:36
12 to 24 months I've been and by
17:38
the way, I've been saying that for a long
17:40
time and I've been wrong Yeah, well, we'll
17:42
see. They are definitely, it looks like Tompkins isn't
17:44
going to save him a lifeline, but we'll see. He might do
17:46
that if he gets enough money. Just for
17:48
people who don't know, the production of Tesla's
17:50
Model Y has been delayed. This company
17:52
has one mess after the next recently. The
17:55
Model Y, more affordable version of Tesla's
17:57
electric SUV, was promised in the first half
17:59
of this year, a penalty to boost
18:01
sales. Production plans, we push back a few
18:03
more months, though Tesla will probably still
18:05
plan to produce them, maybe. They
18:07
think it's because he wants to double down on
18:09
robo -taxies and and the Optimus Prime, he thinks
18:12
that's where the future is, not in these
18:14
cars. Obviously, people are running circles
18:16
around them, including Japan and China and
18:18
others. And legally, it
18:20
settled a racial discrimination lawsuit after a
18:22
black and flu -illeged harassment, gender -based
18:24
insults, and racial slurs on bathroom walls,
18:26
which are pretty heinous. Tesla's also
18:28
facing a proposed class -action suit claiming
18:31
this one is amazing, too, claiming it
18:33
speeds up odometers so vehicles fall
18:35
out of warranty faster. What a... Oh,
18:37
my God. It's just all over
18:39
the place. So his car company's given
18:42
a lot of yips. We're
18:44
taping this on Monday, Tesla reports
18:46
earnings on Tuesday afternoon. Any
18:48
predictions? Like it looks like he's not
18:51
interested in making cars anymore or he's
18:53
making other things. He wants to shift
18:55
Tesla. And I think you're going to
18:57
merge XAI, X and this
18:59
together in a big - Can
19:01
Tesla? Yeah. And
19:03
make it an AI company. Make it
19:05
an AI company. That would
19:07
be really interesting and use the
19:09
AI kind of halo as a
19:11
means of propping up the company.
19:14
Actually, I think that's really interesting. Look,
19:16
this company should be a $14 stock.
19:18
And I'm not suggesting you invest here
19:21
because it's a meme stock and there's
19:23
forces outside of your control. And now
19:25
that the SEC has been neutered, who
19:27
knows what kind of manipulation has taken place
19:29
here. But it used to be the
19:31
CEO from the street, the best thing
19:33
you could do was Kind
19:35
of under promise and over deliver
19:37
and there's still a market for
19:39
that in traditional mature companies it
19:42
unfortunately the the ground has
19:44
shifted a bit that in the
19:46
kind of they get till you
19:48
make an economy it's over promise
19:50
and Delivered just enough you
19:52
can under deliver but just enough
19:54
so for example some of the
19:56
promises Elon has made 2200 days
19:58
ago. He said there would be
20:00
1 million Tesla Robo taxis
20:02
within the year So seven years
20:05
ago, we said we'd have robotoxys
20:07
in one year. Nine
20:09
years ago, he said all superchargers
20:11
were being converted to solar. That
20:13
hasn't happened. Another
20:15
nine years ago, he said, since Tesla started charging
20:18
customers for self -driving software that he said would be
20:20
able to drive from L .A. to New York
20:22
City autonomously by the end of 2017. He
20:24
said that that would happen by the end
20:26
of 2017. Yeah. He sent it to me on
20:28
stage at some point. Nearly eight years since
20:30
the second generation Tesla Roadster was announced, you can
20:33
still pre -order one on Tesla's website for 45K.
20:35
That's interesting. Some of the
20:37
promises that did come to fruition, but
20:39
the details were still a little fuzzy.
20:41
The Cybertruck was scheduled for production in 2021
20:43
and was supposed to cost $40 ,000. It
20:46
came to market in late 2023
20:48
and the base model was over
20:50
60K. And
20:52
it's a heinous looking vehicle. Yeah, it
20:55
makes no fucking sense. They're
20:58
currently getting hit with a
21:00
lawsuit concerning the alleged speeding up
21:02
of odometer readings. Tesla does
21:04
not have incentives to fib the
21:06
odometer numbers. Warranties expire faster,
21:08
meaning less Tesla -covered repairs and
21:10
extending the alleged range of the
21:13
Tesla, which is I
21:15
remember when I was buying used cars, I thought,
21:17
why don't people just fuck with the Spedometer?
21:19
They did, that was a big thing. It's fucking
21:21
with Spedometer. But that's literally kind of like
21:23
fraud on a difference for a masculine level. It
21:25
was like, do not ever accuse anyone of
21:27
fucking with the Spedometer, you know, the Spedometer or
21:29
whatever it is. So like,
21:31
I don't, I don't, I think he's
21:33
lost interest in it. I think you're, you're...
21:35
speculation that they might combine it all
21:37
into one company is really interesting. I hadn't
21:39
thought, I hadn't considered that. Because he
21:41
hid hiding X's shitty business within the X
21:44
line. right. By the way, they don't
21:46
have that many customers. What is their revenues?
21:48
Open AI is making $5 billion, $6
21:50
billion at least, you know, and actually growing.
21:53
They have to have customers, you know, it'll
21:55
just have this halo. So he's moving it
21:57
to a new meme stock, just a better
21:59
meme stock from, because the Tesla meme stock
22:01
isn't going so well. That meme is over.
22:03
And then he'll take, and then He's
22:06
getting all kinds of contracts. He might
22:08
be in charge of Golden Dome, all
22:10
this other stuff. And so he's got
22:12
better fish to fry, better women to
22:14
impregnate, I think, here. But anyway, let's
22:16
go on a quick break. When we
22:18
come back, the Supreme Court's late night
22:20
rebuke to Trump. Support
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pleasure. Scott,
24:58
we're back. The Trump administration has
25:00
a busy few days. Let's dig in
25:02
for a few. The Supreme Court handed
25:04
down a rare overnight order on Saturday,
25:06
blocking Trump from deporting a group of
25:08
Venezuelan immigrants in Texas. The court's order
25:10
bars the government for now from using
25:13
the Alien Enemies Act, a wartime law
25:15
from 1798. This was a 7 -2
25:17
ruling with Thomas and Alito in the
25:19
minority. Alito wrote in his dissent
25:21
the court's decision to intervene was not
25:23
necessary or appropriate. The Trump administration quickly
25:25
asked the Supreme Court to roll. back
25:27
the decision saying the order was premature
25:29
as lower courts had not properly weighed
25:32
in. It's none of his
25:34
business what they're going to do. Actually, they're working. This
25:36
guy is putting them to work in terms
25:38
of making decisions. they
25:41
might try to keep Trump in check,
25:43
or at least they're at least moving to
25:45
do so even before things like that.
25:47
Also, the Trump administration appears to be preparing
25:49
for a drastic overhaul of the State
25:51
Department, a plan described by one U .S.
25:53
diplomat as bonkers crazy pants, and that's a
25:55
technical term, a draft that's
25:57
an ambassadorial term, bonkers crazy pants, that's
25:59
all the name of Scots in
26:02
my band, a draft of an executive
26:04
order reveals plans to shut down
26:06
embassies across Africa and eliminate State Department
26:08
offices. focusing on climate change, refugee,
26:10
and human rights. So the entire continent
26:12
of Africa and anything nice for
26:14
people. The draft also calls for ending
26:16
a foreign service exam, laying out
26:19
new hiring criteria in line with President's
26:21
foreign policy vision, which means you
26:23
have to agree with him. Secretary
26:25
of State Marco Rubio responded to New
26:27
York Times' report on the overhaul on ex
26:29
-writing, this is fake news. Oh,
26:32
little Marco. If
26:34
these plans do come to fruition, we'll see
26:36
how it affects our standing abroad. And
26:38
lastly, and then you can comment all these
26:40
things, Scott, the White House is reporting
26:42
looking into new policies that will incentivize more
26:44
Americans to get married and have kids
26:46
according to the New York Times. Some proposals
26:48
for those policies include a $5 ,000 cash
26:50
bonus given to every American mother after
26:52
delivery. I wish I got
26:54
that. Government -funded programs educating women
26:56
on their menstrual cycles to better
26:58
understand when they conceive. I
27:01
wouldn't be against it, except it
27:03
feels very controlling. Giving the
27:05
National Medal of Motherhood to moms with six
27:07
or more kids, I'm almost there. As we
27:10
discussed, this is a cause that's near and
27:12
dear to the hearts of Elon Musk, JD
27:14
Vance, Conservative Heritage Foundation, for his part. Trump
27:16
recently coined himself the fertilization president. He's
27:18
also pitching for the idea of baby
27:20
bonuses for a while. Let's listen to
27:22
what he said at CPAC in 2023.
27:25
We will support baby
27:28
bonuses. for a
27:30
new baby boom. How does that sound? That
27:32
sounds pretty good. I want a baby
27:34
boom. Oh,
27:38
you men are so lucky out there, you're
27:40
so lucky. You
27:42
are so lucky, men. He's
27:44
so gross. He's so incredibly gross.
27:46
Anyway, I like your thoughts. Let's
27:48
start with the first, which is
27:50
this Supreme Court situation briefly. Go
27:52
ahead. Well, one of the two
27:54
pillars of the way we approach
27:57
justice or how we prosecute
28:00
or acquit or deliver justice
28:02
and some general themes. And
28:04
Alito gave a very eloquent
28:06
speech on this. I
28:09
apologize, it was Justice Scalia
28:11
saying that every nation has a
28:13
really powerful bill of rights.
28:15
And we keep focusing on when
28:17
these decisions come down. But
28:19
that's not the bigger issue. Russia
28:21
has a bill of rights that says you
28:23
are entitled to free speech and anyone who
28:25
gets in the way of your free speech
28:28
should be immediately imprisoned. Where
28:30
a nation's metal and justice
28:33
system is proven or dissolves is
28:35
your willingness to enforce those
28:37
bill of rights. And that's
28:39
where we are now, is that for the first time
28:41
in our nation, it used to be when the
28:43
Supreme Court or lower court made a decision, it
28:45
was just a grievement it was going to be enforced. and
28:48
that the president wouldn't think of turning
28:50
back planes against a court order. And
28:53
we're giving the president credit right now.
28:55
It's almost as if we're saying, see,
28:57
he's actually listening to the Supreme Court
28:59
because we no longer have that certainty.
29:02
To me, that's really scary. The other
29:04
thing is generally speaking, we have
29:06
decided with our justice system that it
29:08
is worth the trade -off, and there's
29:10
always a trade -off, to have some
29:12
people who are guilty, be free, OJ,
29:16
versus imprisoning
29:18
innocent people. Joe Rogan just said this
29:20
yesterday, but go ahead. Who did? Joe
29:23
Rogan. Really? He likes due process. Yes,
29:25
he did. He said it's better than
29:27
that 100 people that are guilty get
29:29
off if one innocent person gets convicted.
29:31
I think that was this. And right
29:33
now, I can hear a lot of
29:35
Americans saying, okay, now do black people,
29:37
because I think there's a lot of
29:40
black Americans who've been incarcerated unfairly. But
29:42
those are kind of two pretty significant
29:44
tenants. And those have been, so the
29:46
notion that this Republican talking
29:48
point of, well, yeah, it's worth it.
29:50
If there's a couple people in El
29:52
Salvador that shouldn't be, it's worth the
29:54
general progress we've made. Meanwhile, they're 60
29:56
minutes at 75 % of these folks
29:58
haven't committed a crime. So
30:00
I think the bigger issue is
30:03
we just have to, at this point,
30:05
make sure that these decisions are
30:07
upheld because we have a strong man
30:09
who's kind of picking and choosing
30:11
it feels like what decisions he's going
30:13
to decide to comply with. In
30:15
terms of the I
30:18
do believe, I
30:21
mean, I think of a unifying theory
30:23
of everything around what the democratic message
30:25
should be, and I think it should
30:27
be the following, that anyone under the
30:29
age of 40 who works, should be
30:31
able to form a household, buy a
30:33
home, or at least afford rent, meet
30:35
somebody, and afford to have children. So
30:37
minimum wage of 25 bucks an hour,
30:40
national service, 7 million homes in 10
30:42
years. do away with capital gain
30:44
stacks and attack structure that transfers money from
30:46
young to old, universal child tax credit. There's a
30:48
ton of actual programs. I'd like to see
30:50
the Democrats actually put forward instead of fucking whining
30:52
all the time. But here's the
30:54
bottom line. It's about economic prosperity
30:56
such that if the 60 % of 30 -year -olds
30:58
have had a kid, now it's 27%, want
31:00
to take it back to 40, that's fine.
31:03
But at the same time, if they decide
31:05
they want to not have kids and spend
31:07
that money on brunch in St. Bart's, that's
31:09
their right. So I want
31:11
a program that takes the people under
31:13
the age of 40 that are 24 %
31:15
less wealthy than they were 40 years
31:17
ago and not the 72 % wealthier
31:19
of people over the age of 70
31:21
and levels up young people and gives
31:23
them a chance to meet each other. and
31:26
gives them economic viability, but only rewarding
31:28
them for some sort of kind of weird
31:30
propagation. The reality Having babies, right. It's
31:32
a good thing to have babies. I mean,
31:34
I've had four kids. I love children. It's
31:36
that it should be one is your choice
31:38
if you want or don't want them. But
31:41
this idea that you didn't put anything else
31:43
in place, like why isn't he talking about
31:45
daycare if you really want people to have
31:47
kids? Give national daycare
31:49
to everybody hundred good daycare like
31:52
if you really want to have kids
31:54
This is very similar to the
31:56
abortion thing if you really want people
31:58
not to have as many abortions
32:00
Make it so it's easy to have
32:02
children perhaps and maybe people would
32:04
make different decisions It's the same they
32:06
never want to solve and they
32:08
also don't like the kids after they're
32:10
born, right? They don't help any
32:12
of those kids that get born in
32:15
problematic homes and everything else. So
32:17
all they want is, and
32:20
you can see it, his giveaway was, uh -huh, man, you're
32:22
going to get to fuck. I think that's really what
32:24
he was saying. He was saying that.
32:26
I don't think it. So this
32:28
idea of baby bonuses is... Fine,
32:30
that seems fine. The
32:32
idea of IVF being inexpensive, great.
32:36
It's all like individual, but it's not followed
32:38
by anything that really matters to people
32:40
who have kids, which is daycare or childcare,
32:42
which is important at every income level,
32:44
by the way. Even if you can afford
32:46
it, it's difficult. Same thing with elder
32:48
care, by the way, on the other side,
32:50
all so hard. But
32:52
they don't want to do any of this
32:54
thing. They just want like men to like have
32:56
14 babies, Elon, but what do you care
32:59
if you're a shitty father, right? None of that
33:01
matters. So I don't,
33:03
you know, it just for people
33:05
to realize that these expanded
33:07
child tax credit would be. or
33:10
a baby bonus to require an act of
33:12
Congress, by the way. But like
33:14
expand child tax credit, that's a great idea
33:16
too. That's right. But just the other
33:18
things matter much, much more. And Scott is
33:20
100 % right. If you don't want to
33:22
have kids, you should not be like, you
33:25
kind of, do you remember when people
33:27
were giving money to people, giving people
33:29
their college for giving the loans? Why
33:32
does people who have babies get it and
33:34
people that don't get it? There's that moment.
33:37
Right? Like, why do they get money? Because we
33:39
want them to have babies? That's kind of sick.
33:41
You need young people who are economically viable. And
33:43
if you want to talk about a baby boom,
33:45
you got a reverse engineer to why the baby
33:47
boom happened. And effectively, it
33:49
was the following. We don't like to talk
33:51
about this because some of it sounds
33:53
politically off -putting, but seven million men came
33:56
home for more. And they had demonstrated heroism
33:58
and uniform and they were fit. And
34:00
we put a bunch of money in middle
34:02
-class homes through the GI Bill, through FHA
34:04
loans. And we said, okay, young people,
34:06
here's a bunch of attractive men. Quite frankly,
34:08
we aren't producing enough attractive men for
34:11
the women who have ascended. And we should
34:13
do nothing, including some sort of weird
34:15
tax credit that somehow pulls women
34:17
out of the workforce and how we
34:19
should do nothing to get in the way
34:21
of women's incredible ascent. What we need
34:23
to do is lift up men who quite
34:25
frankly aren't keeping pace. And the way
34:27
you lift up men is by lifting up
34:29
all people under the age of 40
34:31
and giving them a chance to meet, giving
34:33
them a chance to fall in love,
34:35
giving them economic viability. We
34:37
have to get them together. Do you
34:39
realize, and I know this sounds 40
34:42
% of nightclubs in London have
34:44
gone away since COVID. If
34:46
people aren't going into work, they're not going into
34:48
bars, they're not going to church. Where
34:50
does a man or where does a woman
34:52
Who has a much finer filter for sex,
34:54
because quite frankly the downside of sex is
34:56
so much greater, ever have the opportunity to
34:58
let a man demonstrate excellence. Like
35:01
where, if you talk to people who have been
35:03
married longer than 30 years, 75 % of them
35:05
say that one was much more interested in the
35:07
other in the beginning and was always the man
35:09
that was more interested. Women are just more choosy
35:11
for very strong instinctual and biological reasons. So
35:13
where does the man have an opportunity
35:15
to demonstrate excellence? And now you have
35:17
men who, quite frankly, aren't demonstrating excellence.
35:19
As women have ascended the earnings ladder
35:22
and can contribute more to a relationship,
35:24
men have not filled that gap. You
35:26
know what have had more babies, JD
35:28
Vance, in case you're interested. And by
35:30
the way, I have more children than
35:32
you again. Let me stress that is
35:34
$25. Hello. Who's
35:38
like that would be a baby
35:40
boom that would go housing 100 would
35:42
cause a baby if you really want
35:44
to do it We are current we
35:46
should run the fucking government Scott Calis
35:48
seven million seven million new homes manufactured
35:50
homes that cost 30 to 50 % less
35:53
than homes built on site $25 an
35:55
hour minimum wage national service do
35:57
away the long -term capital gains More night
35:59
quite frankly subsidies to places businesses whether
36:01
it's put shack whether it's
36:03
whether it's bars to get young people
36:05
together, whether it's nonprofits, sports
36:07
leagues, anything that gets
36:10
people together so they can go, you
36:12
know what, I didn't like him
36:14
at first, but he's funny. He's
36:16
nice to his parents. We
36:18
know how to get people to fuck. Scott
36:20
and Cara know how to get people to fuck.
36:22
I'm going to go out with a group
36:24
of people. I'm going to have a few drinks
36:26
and maybe make a few bad decisions in
36:28
my payoff. The most rewarding thing in life is
36:30
the opportunity to partner with
36:33
someone fall in love and raise children with
36:35
a competent person and have a government
36:37
that has wind in your sales to be
36:39
economically viable so you're not fucking stressed
36:41
all the time. My point is we need
36:43
to level up young people. I don't
36:45
like programs that target specifically one gender because
36:47
I think it gets politicized. We need
36:49
to level up all young people. Yes, I
36:51
agree. Can I ask you a question?
36:53
Of course. So were you the one that
36:55
was, you know, you said after 30
36:57
years they say which one liked one more?
37:00
Your wife liked. you less than
37:02
you liked her correct at the beginning. I'm
37:04
just guessing. Is that right? I'll give you the
37:06
exactly what happened. You've told me the story,
37:08
but go ahead. I saw someone wearing nothing but
37:10
a thong who was wearing at a pool
37:12
party at the Raleigh Hotel. And
37:14
I promised myself, I'm going to speak
37:16
to that person before I leave to
37:18
that woman. And she was with another
37:20
woman and another guy. And without the
37:22
benefit of alcohol in the
37:24
light of the midday sun, I thought I'm gonna go
37:26
up and I'm gonna introduce myself. And I'm like, you
37:28
can make all sorts of reasons not to take your
37:30
shot. It's like, how do you do it? What do
37:32
you say? So I went out to the valet, I
37:34
got so angry myself, I went back in and I
37:36
walked right up to him and I said, hi, I'm
37:38
Scott. And I introduced myself, where
37:41
are you guys from? 18 months later, our
37:43
son's middle name is Raleigh. But I'm saying
37:45
she liked you. Well, I'm
37:47
going. My story is obviously take too long. And I
37:49
said to them, I hung out with them that day. And
37:51
I said, come to my place and I'll make you
37:53
dinner. I have no idea how to make dinner. So I
37:55
called George and Holly Mattson, who I was sharing a
37:57
place and continue them in Miami with. And I said to
37:59
Holly, it was out on a boat with George. I
38:01
said, you need to get home and make dinner for me
38:03
and these three people because I'm really into this one
38:05
ridiculously cool hot woman. And we had a
38:07
few drinks. were having a great dinner. We sat down on the
38:09
couch and I sat down across from her and I said,
38:12
look, I'm like, I pride myself
38:14
on my transparency. This is exactly what happened.
38:16
There's no adjectives or embellishments. I said,
38:18
look, I pride myself on my
38:20
transparency. I feel a really nice vibe with you
38:22
and I'm super interested in you. And I
38:24
just feel a really nice connection with you. Do
38:26
you feel the same? And she paused and
38:28
thought about it and she said, no.
38:31
And the worst part was the pause so
38:34
she can think about it. But
38:37
she looked around and paused and went
38:39
like she really wanted to give me an
38:41
honest answer She was moved by my
38:43
transparency. She's like let me think no No
38:45
No. And then the next weekend, I
38:47
lied to her and said I was going
38:49
to a party. It was actually the
38:51
rehearsal party for my friends, George and Holly
38:53
Matts in a rehearsal party. And she
38:55
showed up in jeans and a Led Zeppelin
38:57
t -shirt and she was about to kill
38:59
me because I lied to her. It
39:01
was a rehearsal dinner. And we
39:03
spent every weekend together for the next, you know,
39:05
three years. Well, there you go. You
39:07
worked on it. Well, that's good. You know, with
39:09
Amanda and I, it was equal. I have to say
39:12
it was equal. Although I did say to her,
39:14
I can't believe she's actually agreed to marry me. I
39:17
said, I'm beachfront proper. I was single for a very
39:19
short amount of time. I haven't been single since I've
39:21
been in. I remember you were dating someone and then
39:23
you weren't and then you were dating Amanda. I don't
39:25
want to talk about that relationship, but
39:27
Amanda, we went out right away, like immediately
39:29
after we were fixed up by friends
39:31
of ours on a blind date. We're fixed
39:33
up on a blind date, but I
39:36
literally said to her something very seen after,
39:38
like we started seeing each other. It
39:40
was very equal, I have to say, was
39:42
that I was beachfront property and she
39:44
better cry. Do
39:47
you like that? Beachfront property? I know.
39:49
Is that the most obnoxious thing ever? Yeah,
39:51
that's pretty bad. I'm beachfront property. You
39:53
better grab it now. It's going fast, going
39:55
fast. I'm like a bad condo that's
39:57
been repossessed in an auction. You're
39:59
lucky to have me. Can I
40:01
have a very brief thing on this
40:03
bonkers crazy pants? Getting rid of
40:05
our African embassies across Africa and
40:08
also cutting all the things that make
40:10
us Americans, which are refugee help,
40:12
human rights, climate change, et cetera.
40:14
Any thoughts? Look, I don't... view
40:16
is that with brand, what is
40:19
a brand? This is a brand,
40:21
right? A brand is unearned margin
40:23
because of soft power, the promise
40:25
of what you will get if
40:27
you buy this brand. And
40:29
you got to deliver against the performance. And
40:31
the promise is what I would
40:34
refer to in terms of aid overseas
40:36
is soft power. people
40:38
feel good about us. When you see the, when
40:40
you see an American embassy, you know, it's going
40:43
to be well staffed, you know, they're polite. You know
40:45
that if you're an American abroad and you get
40:47
mistreated, you go straight to the embassy. And
40:49
the fact that we're reducing our soft
40:51
power all over the world, all that
40:53
means is a reduction in the promise reduction,
40:56
our brand, which will reduce our unearned
40:58
margin across our business relationships, our safety. Do
41:00
you think how many people, and the
41:02
problem is you're not even going to
41:05
realize how much damage damage it does.
41:07
Do you realize how many people call
41:09
our intelligence services when they suspect a
41:11
terrorist cell somewhere? They call American embassies
41:13
because they're like, you know what, those
41:15
are nice people. They're the good guys
41:17
and we're losing that. This is the
41:19
reduction in soft power across America. Also
41:22
across Africa, we've just decided to
41:24
give Africa over to China. Which,
41:26
by the way, has been a
41:28
hotbed for quite frankly, it's
41:31
not only
41:33
playing Not playing offense America's
41:35
probably Africa likely will have the greatest
41:37
GDP growth over the next 40 or
41:40
50 years. It's just kind of time,
41:42
right? And it has
41:44
huge unbelievable human potential Unbelievable natural
41:46
resources at some point Africa is
41:48
gonna have its moment and we
41:50
want to be in there in
41:52
establishing strong business and military relationships
41:55
You know in addition, there are
41:57
some hotbeds of terrorist activity in
41:59
Africa and we want African Nations
42:01
and governments cooperating with us it all comes
42:04
down to the same thing to believe that you
42:06
can build a bubble around your shores is
42:08
just naive I've always believed you not only take
42:10
the fight To foreign nations, you
42:12
take the empathy and the goodwill. It has
42:14
to be a carrot and a stick. Yeah, I
42:16
agree. This is it's an astonishing thing. We're
42:18
just giving up literally. I know it sounds dumb.
42:20
Do you remember like sort of the image
42:22
I have of you, this, you know, Hershey
42:25
bars by GIs and stuff like that, like
42:27
all this stuff we did. It sounds like it's
42:29
such a trope, but it's so like we
42:31
are the good week. We've not always been the
42:33
good guys, but we're the good guys. And
42:35
now the Chinese are going to be the good
42:37
guys. And they are not the good guys,
42:39
by the way. It's just grotesque. Anyway, let's
42:41
go on a quick break. We come
42:44
back. China's latest salvo in the trade war
42:46
and Netflix. Ryan
42:51
Reynolds here for Mint Mobile.
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by location. Excludes Alaska and Hawaii. Scott,
44:24
we're back. China is warning countries not
44:26
to make any trade deals with the U
44:28
.S. at China's expense and is threatening retaliation
44:30
against countries that do. They're doing the
44:32
carrot and stick situation. China said it was
44:34
responding to the foreign media reports that
44:36
the Trump administration was trying to pressure other
44:38
countries as a negotiating tactic, harming the
44:40
interests of others for one's own selfish and
44:42
short -sighted gains, as like negotiating with a
44:44
tiger for its skin. Oh, that's
44:46
an interesting metaphor. The Chinese Ministry of Commerce
44:48
said in a statement, they went on to
44:50
say, in the end, it will only lead
44:53
to a lose -lose situation. Why do the Chinese
44:55
seem so reasonable at this moment? What
44:57
does it make of the strategy? I
44:59
mean, obviously, they're going to have to threaten,
45:01
too, because we're threatening, presumably. Our threats
45:03
mean less and less. I do think that
45:05
one of Obama's biggest mistakes was not
45:07
responding when Syria crossed that red line. You
45:10
should make very, very... Few threats,
45:12
but what they should be is
45:14
not threats. They should be promises
45:16
and Unfortunately now we're just we're
45:18
threatening everybody and so no one takes
45:20
this seriously though I just don't
45:22
think we have there's no veracity
45:24
with our threats it because it's
45:26
like well He didn't threaten Canada,
45:28
but he came after them for
45:30
no apparent reason and then when
45:32
he threatens to ban tiktok He does
45:34
Harvard. It was a mistake. We
45:36
are not a serious people. It
45:38
just doesn't We have absolutely no
45:40
authority or reliability. We
45:43
come home every day to
45:45
a drunk manic depressive bipolar mate.
45:47
We don't know who we're
45:49
waking up against or we don't
45:51
know who we're waking up
45:53
with every morning. And the
45:55
fact that any nation is going to
45:57
respond and back down other than saying,
45:59
oh, okay, sorry. And wow, have you
46:01
lost weight, Mr. President? And then to
46:03
just back channels to China and say,
46:05
hey, we really should have those talks
46:08
we were talking about, about lowering trade
46:10
barriers. In China, oh my God, they
46:12
must be licking their chops, as is Vietnam, as
46:14
is Turkey, as is the EU.
46:16
The EU is, I mean, obviously
46:19
this hurts them. But they're making all sorts
46:21
of, they're doing all sorts, they're working
46:23
overtime. They're doing all sorts of trade deals
46:25
right now. Yeah, and they still don't want
46:27
to turn their back on us if they
46:29
don't have to. Anyway, amid all the economic
46:31
turmoil and confusion, one company that is
46:33
weathering the storm is finding people worried about
46:35
this Netflix. The company reported in its Q1
46:37
earnings last week, beating revenue and earnings targets.
46:39
And the letter to shareholders Netflix said
46:41
the revenue and profit growth outlook remained solid.
46:44
It's not making any changes to its forecast
46:46
for the year. Look, this is
46:48
the one company that stays Going even
46:50
despite the volatility because it requires I
46:52
would imagine maybe making they make a
46:54
lot of films elsewhere But a lot
46:56
of their stuff is sort of tariff
46:58
protected in a weird way. Correct. Yeah,
47:00
I don't see how it's subject I
47:02
mean eventually eventually it'll impact them but
47:04
I mean this is This is arguably
47:06
I mean we always say this about
47:08
a lot of companies but one of
47:10
the best managed companies in the world
47:12
But arguably the best pivot in the
47:14
world they were sending out DVDs a
47:16
real insight was they said The
47:18
real insight was the best broadband in
47:21
the world is the US postal system. The
47:23
rather than trying to send a movie
47:25
over pipes, send it in the mail. And
47:27
then when the pipes caught up to
47:29
the mail, they said, we're pivoting. And that
47:31
was the ultimate pivot and it worked. They
47:34
then adopted a page out of Bezos
47:36
playbook and said, if we campaign a
47:38
really compelling vision for this company and
47:40
deliver against it, On an incremental basis,
47:42
we can attract more cheap capital, which
47:44
gives us more and more money. And
47:46
we're just going to literally outspend. We're
47:48
going to overwhelm the competition with capital,
47:50
and they spend $18 billion a year.
47:52
And then when they kind of pulled
47:54
ahead and it was clear no one
47:56
was going to be able to caption
47:58
in terms of capital, they then globalize
48:00
the industry and did to LA what
48:02
Tokyo did to Detroit. And that is
48:05
they moved huge production facilities overseas. And
48:07
now they can, on $18
48:09
billion in content, which is
48:11
what... Five to eight
48:13
times what HBO Apple all of them
48:15
spent Apple. I think spends five billion
48:17
They can spend if they're spending three
48:19
times what another company spends in gross
48:21
dollar volume They can produce four times
48:24
the content because that's just a better
48:26
managed company about I think now almost
48:28
40 or 50 % or maybe even more
48:30
of their capital is spent overseas in
48:32
production than spent domestically. Yeah, they really
48:34
were smart about that. They also brought
48:36
shows from there, either remade them or
48:38
use them from there. They were very
48:40
good about the globalization. Let
48:42
me say, let me give kudos to
48:44
Reed Hastings, who has stepped down as
48:47
executive, he was executive
48:49
chairman. He was very quite
48:51
involved to chairman of the board. I
48:53
met Reed when he was moving those
48:55
DVDs very early in Netflix's history. And
48:57
there had been a series of companies
48:59
like this, if you recall, that were
49:02
trying to do this, what he was
49:04
doing. I did a very famous
49:06
interview. I think it was 2007, maybe,
49:08
with him, the head of Hulu at the
49:10
time, Jason Kylar, and Chad Hurley, who's
49:12
the head of YouTube. And we
49:14
were We were put down in
49:16
a basement, and I always thought that
49:19
these three, especially Reed Hastings, really
49:21
had a vision for the future. But
49:23
he really, even though he's dropping
49:25
his status, he's the pivotal person who
49:27
made a lot of the decision.
49:29
And he's smartly followed with executives that
49:31
he has cycled out some that
49:33
haven't worked, even though if they did
49:35
well for a while, I
49:38
have to say he really has to
49:40
go down as one of the greatest.
49:42
Agreed. But I mean, and kudos to
49:44
Reed, you brought in... Sarandos and Ted,
49:46
whose job as a young man, he
49:48
ran six or eight video rental stores.
49:50
I mean, the guy just has a
49:52
feel for content. And
49:54
they now are leveraging their
49:56
platform. They're going into
49:58
video games, they're going into
50:01
sports, they're going into, this
50:03
is a scary one, they're going into podcasting.
50:06
The really interesting thing would be the
50:08
clash of the Titans, the celebrity
50:10
death match would be if Alphabet spun
50:12
YouTube. I mean,
50:14
the war between Netflix and
50:17
HBO and Disney, and
50:19
that's not the war. That's over. The
50:21
war, if there is one, is between Netflix
50:23
and YouTube. That's why they should spin
50:25
it off. By the way, YouTube happens to
50:27
be bigger, by the way. 13 % versus
50:29
Netflix at 11. Yeah. Anyway, you're right.
50:31
And who would be the CEO of that?
50:33
I mean, they would try to get
50:35
serandos, obviously, right? They try to grab him,
50:38
but... Of YouTube? Yeah. Oh, I think
50:40
Neil Mohan's done an incredible job. I'm just
50:42
wondering if they would go. But that
50:44
would be great. He has. And before that,
50:46
another person who I had great regard
50:48
for, Susan Wojcicki, who died, also did a
50:50
great job there while she was running
50:52
it. And she was one of the very
50:54
earliest, in fact, one of the earliest
50:56
Google executives. They started Google in her garage.
50:59
So yeah, you're right. YouTube versus Netflix
51:01
is the story. It's really the story.
51:03
Anyway, all right, Scott, one more quick
51:05
break. We'll be back for wins and
51:07
fails. This
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52:11
florist of Mother's Day. Hi,
52:13
folks. This is Kara Swisher. This week
52:15
on my podcast, On With Kara Swisher,
52:17
I'm speaking with philanthropist, businesswoman, and woman's
52:20
rights advocate, Melinda French Gates, on
52:22
how she's refocused after her divorce from tech
52:24
mogul Bill Gates. We talk about why investing
52:26
in women in politics and business is playing
52:28
the long and smart game, and we discuss
52:30
her new memoir the next day. My mom
52:32
used to say to me as I was
52:35
growing up, set your own agenda or someone
52:37
else will. I know society
52:39
is better off. when women are
52:41
in positions of power. I really
52:43
enjoy this conversation because it's an
52:45
interesting moment where women in technology
52:47
are having much more of an
52:49
important impact than men who are
52:51
still moving fast and breaking things.
52:53
Have a listen to On with
52:55
Kara Swisher wherever you get your
52:57
podcasts. Okay,
53:04
Scott, let's hear some wins and fails.
53:06
Why don't you go first this week?
53:08
You have an easier time disassociating than
53:10
me. I've been so stressed and upset
53:12
about everything that's going on that to
53:14
just be at the Royal Albert Hall,
53:16
listening to beautiful music that reminded me.
53:18
I think it was Gloria Vanderbilt, Anderson
53:20
Cooper's mother, who said that the happiest
53:23
time in her life or the happiest time she
53:25
believes in anyone's life is when you're, when
53:27
you have young kids at home. And I do
53:29
think I'll look back on that and look
53:31
at that as the happiest time in my life.
53:33
But feeling that music and that venue, it
53:35
was just so extraordinary and just absolutely gave me
53:38
an hour of peace and emotion to share
53:40
with someone I care great deal about in the
53:42
content. I mean, we just knew exactly how
53:44
we were both feeling. I felt very connected to
53:46
London. I felt very connected to music. And
53:49
it was just a nice hour of
53:51
respite. Does anything else remind you of
53:53
that? Like Saul was wearing this shirt
53:55
that Louie used to wear this weekend
53:57
and that gave me the chills in
53:59
a good way. You know what is
54:01
incredible is a woman who used to
54:03
work with me at L2. I
54:06
don't think I'm speaking out of school. I wouldn't say
54:08
her name, but she just took on a strategy
54:10
role at Apples and she's overseeing memories. You
54:12
know that, do you have those things that pop up? Yeah,
54:14
oh my gosh that I'm you know, as
54:17
you know, I'm passing with death. I'm just
54:19
gonna play that shit over and over and
54:21
live my life again Those that does music
54:23
does sing certain people does I mean that's
54:25
and the piece of advice I would give
54:27
to anyone especially men who have a tough
54:29
time with this You know from the I've
54:31
said this from the age of 29 to
54:33
45 I didn't cried and cry when I
54:35
got divorced and in crime on my mom
54:37
died I just kind of forgot how and
54:39
It is a real gift to in
54:42
a practice, an effort to really lean into
54:44
your emotions. If you hear something funny, force
54:46
you to say, this is one the things
54:48
I really like about you. You laugh out
54:50
loud. You have a wonderful laugh and it's
54:52
infectious. And it gives everyone else
54:54
permission to laugh and it just makes everything a little lighter.
54:58
If something upsets you or it moves
55:00
you sentimentally, let yourself weep, let yourself
55:02
cry, because it informs what's important to
55:04
you. When you see a piece of
55:06
art or a piece of creative that
55:08
inspires you, Sometimes I even rewind
55:10
it 15 or 30 seconds and say, wow, this is
55:12
such a wonderful scene. I want to watch it
55:14
or I listen to music. Really lean
55:16
into your emotions because our advantage is the
55:18
species. You're a crier. You're crier.
55:20
Oh, I cry at the drop of a hat. You do.
55:22
I cry at the drop hat. I'm scared to watch certain
55:24
movies with you. And it's one of the things I like.
55:26
I like the messy part of myself. My
55:28
kids see me cry all the time.
55:31
Your fail. Excuse me, your fail. Don't
55:33
rush me through my personal parables as
55:35
I open myself to you and you
55:37
jab. You jab. But
55:40
my lesson here is our advantage as
55:42
a species is our cooperation and the way
55:44
we cooperate as we communicate a close
55:46
second is we're able to feel things that
55:48
part of our brain is bigger with
55:50
the exception of elephants and killer whales Which
55:52
by the way should not be locked
55:54
up in tanks when you realize how emotional
55:56
they are If you don't lean
55:58
into your emotions, you're not taking advantage of what
56:00
it means to be human. And it's very rewarding. It
56:02
really informs your life. Otherwise, you're like me 29
56:04
to 45 and just kind of sleep walking through life
56:06
and thinking, okay, how do I make more money
56:08
and have more sex? Which was as
56:11
an empty meaningless experience, because it's a pretty
56:13
good empty meaningless experience, but this is better. Anyways,
56:15
my win is the Royal Albert Hall and
56:17
back and listening to morning phase and thinking about
56:19
my boys. My fail
56:22
is at the end of the day,
56:24
Management is just one thing. It's
56:26
your ability to allocate capital to a
56:28
greater return than your peer group. And
56:31
the cruel truth of capitalism is
56:33
every organization has a finite or scarce
56:35
amount of resources. So Tim Cook's
56:37
job is just to allocate capital more
56:39
efficiently than the CEO of Metta
56:41
or Samsung. And the president
56:43
has more capital to allocate than anyone
56:45
in history. And the best
56:47
allocation of capital, and we talked
56:50
about this, is the investment
56:52
in our universities. And probably the
56:54
greatest innovation in history was
56:56
our race to split the atom.
56:59
If we hadn't gotten there first and Hitler
57:01
had, we'd be doing this podcast in
57:03
German. And that effort, and one of
57:05
the things I don't think they did a
57:07
great job of in the movie Oppenheimer, was
57:09
nodding to all of the universities
57:12
that were involved. Oh, yeah, you're right.
57:14
And I'm going to get some
57:16
wrong here. But Caltech, Berkeley, Wash
57:18
U, Purdue, University
57:20
of Minnesota, Chicago, you remember
57:23
Chicago played a huge role, Rochester,
57:26
Princeton. All of
57:28
these universities were working on different
57:30
things from the effects of radiation to
57:32
the risk of us lighting the
57:34
atmosphere on fire. And
57:36
these individuals were so
57:38
who had this incredible
57:41
esoteric, generic, ridiculously
57:43
mild, deep any centimeter wide expertise in
57:45
something, we're all coordinated by the
57:47
army and the government to try and
57:49
figure out a way to get
57:51
there first to literally save the world.
57:53
That has happened every day since
57:56
then and has given us
57:58
unbelievable return on investment. And it's
58:00
not only capital through investments
58:02
in our great universities, but it's
58:04
the ability to attract the
58:06
best human capital that know how
58:08
to deploy this capital because
58:10
they're so brilliant. And
58:13
when you start Sending out Aaron
58:15
emails which by the way and
58:17
up are not legal telling people
58:19
graduate students to self -deport. Let me
58:21
give you a basic rundown on
58:23
who our students are in our
58:25
universities. The undergrads at our elite
58:28
universities are a mix of rich
58:30
kids and freakishly remarkable Americans. and
58:32
then a combination of the two from foreign countries.
58:34
At business school, I won't speak for other graduate schools,
58:37
the MBAs are the following. The Americans at business
58:39
schools are what I affectionately call the elite and the
58:41
aimless. They're good smart kids who hated their first
58:43
job, don't know what the fuck to do with their
58:45
lives, so they go back to business school to
58:47
try and figure it out. There's nothing wrong with that,
58:49
I was one of those people. And
58:51
then the foreign students are the
58:53
richest kids from Paraguay, whose dad
58:55
owns the licensing agreement from L
58:57
'Oreal and the ultimate luxury brand
58:59
is to send their kid to
59:02
NYU or to Stanford. And by the way, those are
59:04
the kids you want to party with because they're rich
59:06
kids and they love to party and also they're going
59:08
to be running their country at some point. And then
59:10
there's the PhD students. The PhD
59:12
students, we don't cash their check for
59:14
$72 ,000. We pay them.
59:16
and they come here and take on a
59:18
very narrow topic and they're so good at
59:20
what they do that they teach students and
59:22
then they go on to do nothing but
59:24
focus on a tiny part of the world
59:26
and decide, I am going to know more
59:28
about this tiny part of the world than
59:30
anyone in the world. Arguably the most impressive
59:33
cohort in America is our PhD students. We
59:35
get the Tom Brady's of
59:37
every nation who decides, I'm
59:40
super into liquid particle propulsion
59:42
dynamics and I'm going to
59:44
go to the university of
59:46
Wisconsin and Madison and devote my life
59:48
to it. We find these people that
59:51
have done nothing but go so fucking
59:53
deep around this specific topic that they
59:55
know more about it than anyone in
59:57
the world. And yet we've
59:59
decided we want to scare these people
1:00:01
from coming here. We haven't. One person
1:00:03
has decided. Well, we elected this guy.
1:00:05
But it's as if we're a team
1:00:07
and we get the number one draft
1:00:09
choices from everywhere. And then Tom Brady
1:00:11
shows up and we said, you know,
1:00:13
Tom, I hate to say this, but
1:00:15
there's a chance you might show up
1:00:17
one day, and ice might be
1:00:19
there and ruin you and your family's life
1:00:21
for no goddamn good reason. We
1:00:24
are scaring away one of
1:00:26
our core competences. Our core
1:00:28
advantages globally is not only
1:00:30
the fact that we allocate
1:00:32
capital to this university, but
1:00:34
we attract the finest human
1:00:37
capital to allocate this capital,
1:00:39
resulting in unbelievable innovation that
1:00:41
has driven prosperity, that has
1:00:43
driven unearned margin, My
1:00:45
fail is an unnecessary turning away
1:00:47
of the strongest human capital in the
1:00:49
world and that is our of
1:00:52
me Yeah, you meet it. Just trust
1:00:54
me on this. You meet a
1:00:56
PhD student From India. I don't care
1:00:58
what fucking field there are you're
1:01:00
talking to someone who was the best
1:01:02
at their elementary school then the
1:01:04
best in their region and the best
1:01:06
in their Their state and then
1:01:09
the best at IIT and then figured
1:01:11
out a way to come to
1:01:13
the University of Pennsylvania and study
1:01:15
options theory and helps banks figure this
1:01:17
shit out. It is incredible what
1:01:20
they're doing here, the destruction around, not
1:01:22
just there, but in any case.
1:01:24
Okay, mine are. I have so
1:01:26
many wins today. One, I recommend you
1:01:28
reading Larry David's My Dinner with Adolf.
1:01:30
which is a sort of attack. It's
1:01:32
a very funny thing of him having
1:01:34
dinner with Adolf Hitler and making fun
1:01:36
of Bill Maher. It's very, very, very
1:01:38
funny. Bill Maher needs to step down
1:01:40
on defending. Nobody thinks you shouldn't have
1:01:43
had dinner with him, Bill. They just,
1:01:45
you're moving into Gale King territory here
1:01:47
in defensiveness. But it's really funny,
1:01:49
Larry David's little essay in the New
1:01:51
York Times, and I love Larry David so
1:01:53
much. My other win
1:01:55
is, more seriously, is Alaska
1:01:57
Senator Lisa Murkowski. one of the
1:01:59
few Republicans criticizing Trump. She
1:02:01
admitted last week she was afraid
1:02:04
and fears retaliation, but she's
1:02:06
doubling down and being sort of
1:02:08
a leader in that way. And
1:02:11
she has won despite an attack
1:02:13
by Trump in the last election.
1:02:15
So she's safer than most people
1:02:17
at this moment in time, but
1:02:19
good for her for doing that.
1:02:21
And I think it's infectious, just
1:02:23
like Scott was just talking about
1:02:25
at universities. When Harvard
1:02:27
did it, then MIT did it, then
1:02:29
others did it. Columbia looks like it
1:02:31
might be finding it's fine at some
1:02:34
point. So I really admire
1:02:36
her for doing that. Also, just for
1:02:38
a little thing, this is a
1:02:40
picture speaking of medical students. This is
1:02:42
a picture my mom found of
1:02:44
my dad from, it fell out of
1:02:46
a drawer of hers this week.
1:02:48
And this is me as a kid.
1:02:51
My mom's pregnant with my brother, but there's our
1:02:53
little family. Being very feckin' Donald Trump.
1:02:55
But we did it because my dad
1:02:57
was a poor guy, like you said, and
1:02:59
he got a break. He went
1:03:01
to the Navy, paid for medical
1:03:03
school, built his family, was
1:03:06
able to lift himself up from not
1:03:08
poverty in West Virginia, but not means
1:03:10
in order to go to West Virginia
1:03:12
and to go to school there and
1:03:14
stuff. That's nice. And then my
1:03:16
fail is this continued, it's sort of
1:03:18
coming together. Wired has a
1:03:20
piece of something I have talked about
1:03:22
on this podcast. The scale at which
1:03:25
Doge is seeking to interconnect data, including
1:03:27
sensitive biometric data, is unprecedented, raising alarms
1:03:29
with experts who fear it may lead
1:03:31
to the disastrous privacy violations for citizens
1:03:33
and immigrants alike. I've always said their
1:03:35
game was uniting the data. I
1:03:37
heard this weekend, I'm not going to
1:03:39
say who it was by someone who's
1:03:41
considering leaving the United States. European countries
1:03:44
are offering our greatest technologists, speaking of
1:03:46
what you're talking about, Scott,
1:03:48
it dovetails perfectly. Countries
1:03:51
are trying to get our technologists to
1:03:53
go there by giving them visas, so they're
1:03:55
safe. And a lot of people
1:03:57
who I never thought would consider it are
1:03:59
considering it because they feel retaliation. The
1:04:02
thing, the executive order against Chris
1:04:04
Krabs has been chilling to a lot
1:04:06
of people I know who've been
1:04:08
working on really important things. And the
1:04:10
whole point of Doge is to
1:04:12
unite this data, as I've said, to
1:04:14
create an Uber data situation, which
1:04:16
has never been united, to create an
1:04:18
ability to cross -reference things that have
1:04:20
never been cross -referenced, and for good
1:04:22
reason. It's not for efficiency.
1:04:24
They don't do it. It's because we're scared
1:04:26
of creating a surveillance state the way they
1:04:29
have in China. And so the
1:04:31
fact that it's a reverse brain drain going
1:04:33
on, really dovetails on what Scott was
1:04:35
talking about, is we are rejecting the finest
1:04:37
from elsewhere but our own people. people
1:04:39
will be leaving our country to develop
1:04:41
in other countries. And that is the biggest
1:04:43
tragedy of this. And at the same
1:04:45
time, the government is creating an Uber
1:04:48
database. I have said this
1:04:50
over and over again. I know
1:04:52
you said Elon's leaving, but the legacy
1:04:54
of what he's doing here is
1:04:56
incredibly dangerous for our freedom as far
1:04:58
as I'm concerned. So I think
1:05:00
we should pay a lot of attention
1:05:02
to these databases being joined in
1:05:04
a way that you'll be searchable and
1:05:06
findable. And there will be
1:05:08
so many mistakes in the data that
1:05:10
it's terrifying. A lot of people consider
1:05:12
dead, that aren't dead, have to prove
1:05:14
they're not dead now, people that are
1:05:16
getting arrested, that are American citizens now.
1:05:18
We shouldn't be arresting these immigrants without
1:05:20
due process. But now it's
1:05:23
moving because of mistakes and everything else
1:05:25
and also... It will not be mistakes
1:05:27
at some point. So we should be
1:05:29
very wary about what Doge is doing
1:05:31
in that regard and pay attention even
1:05:33
if Elon's been out of the news
1:05:35
a little bit recently because of so
1:05:38
many other Ridiculous situations. So I just
1:05:40
please pay attention to that wire. It
1:05:42
has a great story on that this
1:05:44
week And so that is my fails.
1:05:46
We don't pay attention They will have
1:05:48
all our information and then do terrible
1:05:50
things to us. I'm so kind of
1:05:53
sort of blown away by your your
1:05:55
speculation or thesis that They're
1:05:57
all of these, both the government and
1:05:59
Musk are bringing all this information together
1:06:01
to develop sort of one like, I
1:06:03
don't know, Skynet of surveillance, of
1:06:05
surveillance control and capital. It'll be
1:06:07
used against immigrants first, but it's
1:06:09
always, you know, it's always for
1:06:11
more. And by the way, I
1:06:13
don't want Democrats having this power
1:06:15
either, FYI. I don't want any
1:06:17
of them having this power, right?
1:06:20
You can have your opinion about whatever
1:06:22
you thought about. the various
1:06:25
things of leaking information, but
1:06:27
the government should never have this
1:06:29
much power and information about
1:06:31
people in one place. It will
1:06:33
always be abused, as has
1:06:35
been shown throughout history. Anyway, we
1:06:37
want to hear from you. Send
1:06:39
us your questions about business tech or
1:06:42
whatever is on your mind. Go
1:06:44
to nymag.com -pivot, submit a question for
1:06:46
the show, or call 8551 -pivot. Elsewhere
1:06:48
in the Kara and Scott universe, I
1:06:50
talked with Melinda French Gates and
1:06:52
on with Kara Swisher. Let's listen. I
1:06:55
never, never would have
1:06:57
guessed that USAID would essentially
1:06:59
be folded. You know,
1:07:02
it was endorsed by Republican
1:07:04
and Democratic administrations because they saw
1:07:06
that people could live where
1:07:08
they were if they had good
1:07:10
health and they had peace
1:07:12
and some chance for prosperity. And
1:07:15
so to see that, you know, 16
1:07:18
million women won't have access to
1:07:20
maternal health services because of that
1:07:22
pullback? How does that make us
1:07:24
look better? How does that help
1:07:26
us with peace? It's
1:07:28
just what you were saying, Scott. Same
1:07:30
thing. You and Melinda Gates are on
1:07:33
the same wavelength. But also,
1:07:35
I'll be interviewing Lisa Sue, the CEO
1:07:37
of AMD, Speaking of Badass Women, live
1:07:39
on stage at Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg
1:07:41
Center in Washington, D .C., this
1:07:43
coming Monday, April 28th, a week from
1:07:45
now. If you want to hear a smart
1:07:47
conversation about semiconductor chips, industrial policy in
1:07:49
the future of AI, Google Keraswisher and
1:07:51
Lisa Sue, SU, to RSVP,
1:07:53
tickets are free. Okay, that's
1:07:55
the show. Thanks for listening to Pivot.
1:07:57
Be sure to like and subscribe to
1:08:00
our YouTube channel. We'll be back on
1:08:02
Friday. Scott, read us out. Today's show
1:08:04
is produced by Larry Naim and Zoe
1:08:06
Marcus and Taylor Griffin. Ernie and her
1:08:08
Todd engineered this episode. Jim Mackle edited
1:08:10
the video. Thanks also to Drew
1:08:12
Burroughs, Ms. Severo, and Dan Chalon. The
1:08:14
shot crew of Vox Media's executive producer
1:08:16
podcast. Make sure you subscribe to the
1:08:18
show wherever you're listening to podcasts. Thanks
1:08:20
for listening to Pivot from New York
1:08:22
Magazine of Vox Media. You can subscribe
1:08:24
to the magazine at nymag.com. We'll
1:08:27
be back. Later this
1:08:29
week for another breakdown of
1:08:31
all things and business, back's
1:08:33
morning phase. Trust me.
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