Tariff Twists and Turns, Meta Antitrust Trial, and Blue Origin Girls' Trip

Tariff Twists and Turns, Meta Antitrust Trial, and Blue Origin Girls' Trip

Released Tuesday, 15th April 2025
Good episode? Give it some love!
Tariff Twists and Turns, Meta Antitrust Trial, and Blue Origin Girls' Trip

Tariff Twists and Turns, Meta Antitrust Trial, and Blue Origin Girls' Trip

Tariff Twists and Turns, Meta Antitrust Trial, and Blue Origin Girls' Trip

Tariff Twists and Turns, Meta Antitrust Trial, and Blue Origin Girls' Trip

Tuesday, 15th April 2025
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equipment, dealer sets, final

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price. No one has

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ever described me as

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openly heterosexual. No

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one has ever said

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openly heterosexual podcaster.

1:57

And I'm Scott Galloway. Where are you,

1:59

Scott? You just... somewhere strange with

2:01

the wallpaper situation going on? I

2:03

am at the Colony Hotel in

2:05

Palm Beach where I just returned

2:07

from getting from the Department of

2:09

Motor Vehicles at Palm Beach Gardens

2:11

where my son is now a

2:13

licensed driver. How exciting. That's great.

2:16

I thought you were at Maralago

2:18

or something like that. No. I

2:20

ran into my friend Amendment Oz

2:22

yesterday and he came over and

2:24

he introduced me to RFK Jr.

2:26

They're hanging out. Oh, no. And

2:28

he gave me the cold shoulder.

2:30

I think it's because I've used

2:32

to have him on my pot.

2:34

I don't know. He was definitely

2:36

like cold to me. Who? R-F-K?

2:38

No, Memon and I are friends. R-F-K,

2:40

yeah, was noticeably cold to me. He's

2:43

very handsome, though. I did notice that.

2:45

Because he's a crank. Do you see

2:47

the latest? I don't want to go

2:49

into it. Four months until autism is

2:51

solved. That not just that all his

2:54

stuff he's taking information off he's saying

2:56

vaccines aren't necessarily a good thing on

2:58

the just he's such a fucking disaster

3:00

these people are setting themselves up for

3:03

a lot of pain years from now.

3:05

It's just the murders he is committing

3:07

right now as far as I'm concerned.

3:09

Well, in addition to the additional death,

3:12

disease, and disability across our populace, it's

3:14

made traffic much worse for me. That's

3:16

what I'm really upset about. Okay, all

3:18

right, okay. The traffic is awful down

3:21

here. But anyways, I'm at the Colony

3:23

Hotel, which I affectionately call, I think

3:25

there's a... whole cadre or cohort of

3:27

what I call 64 hotels and service

3:29

establishments and that is because of the

3:32

unprecedented prosperity that we've started to believe

3:34

is a normal operating system in America

3:36

in a series of fiscal and monetary

3:38

policies that literally on tax policies cram

3:41

all this prosperity in the top 1%

3:43

and the fact there's a lag time

3:45

you can't build a four or five

3:47

star hotel in a year it takes

3:50

10 years. These places are... overcapacity and

3:52

so I describe them as 64s and

3:54

that is six star prices with four

3:56

star service and These places are so

3:59

expensive and I don't mind paying a

4:01

lot of money if you get great

4:03

service. And you do good great service

4:05

at the Beverly Hotel or I don't

4:07

know, the Langham in London. I mean

4:10

there's just a ton of great hotels,

4:12

a great service. This is not one

4:14

of them. This is not one of

4:16

them. All right, Colony Hotel with RFK

4:19

there. That's all I need to know.

4:21

I'm not going there. No, RFK is

4:23

not here. I don't want to disparate.

4:25

It's a beautiful hotel in Palmage, by

4:28

the way. It's 74 and sunny. God,

4:30

it's so nice here. Good for you.

4:32

It's very nice here in Washington, too.

4:34

Anyway, we've got a lot to get

4:37

to today. There's also a lot of

4:39

tech stuff going on, including Metas. big

4:41

antitrust trial and of course women in

4:43

space, we'll get to that. But first,

4:45

let's get to tariffs because first, President

4:48

Trump now says nobody is getting off

4:50

the hook on tariffs despite granting exemptions

4:52

for smartphones, computers, and other electronics late

4:54

Friday, which is a lie apparently. Trump

4:57

posted on true social on Sunday that

4:59

products are just moving to a different

5:01

tariff bucket. He also says that semiconductor

5:03

tariffs are coming, but tariff exemptions or

5:06

whatever Trump wants to call them are

5:08

good news for Apple and video. and

5:10

Dell, at least for the time being.

5:12

Of course, Scott predicted Apple's reprieve on

5:15

our Friday episode. Let's listen. You want

5:17

to enrage a cult? Take iPhones to

5:19

$3,500. And then you're going to see

5:21

the largest, the most valuable company in

5:24

history, and American company lose the value

5:26

of the German GDP over the course

5:28

of a year. You're going to take

5:30

push back people's retirements. Apple's going to

5:32

have to withdraw all sorts of growth

5:35

plans. And you want to piss off

5:37

every, every. millennial and Gen X in

5:39

the world, take their iPhones at 3500

5:41

bucks. Apple is not going to have

5:44

any tariffs here. So in the interim

5:46

for that, you were absolutely correct, very

5:48

good, but what was... And then I

5:50

was not correct, right? Yes, I know.

5:53

So what is the deal? Because Letnik

5:55

started, everyone thought Letnik was off script,

5:57

but then Trump underscored and added more

5:59

confusion to something that was already confusing

6:02

and seems very oligarchic and sudden and...

6:04

shifting. Apple was trying very hard to

6:06

deal with this. They're air-lefting 600 tons

6:08

of iPhones from India last week to

6:10

reportedly beat the tariffs. This flip-flopping is

6:13

really bad. Carolyn Leavitt. Of course it

6:15

goes against what they were saying. We're

6:17

going to make things in the US.

6:19

Karen Leavitt. Tracy Flicks said over the

6:22

weekend that Trump is still committed to

6:24

seeing more products and opponents made in

6:26

the US. She noted Trump's direction. Trump's

6:28

direction. Carolyn, sit down, you

6:30

27-year-old ignoramus, but

6:33

what do you

6:35

think about this

6:38

flippity-flopity-flopity-flop-ity-flop? The brand

6:40

U.S. has become

6:42

toxic uncertainty. There's

6:44

several organizations that track

6:46

an uncertainty index, and uncertainty in

6:48

the U.S. right now is greater

6:51

than COVID. Think about that. And

6:53

by the way, I'm going to

6:55

give you some anecdotes. I'm not

6:57

going to name the people because

7:00

they didn't want to be named.

7:02

But what I would tell our

7:04

listeners is that unlike the Trump

7:06

administration, my anecdotes are true. I'm

7:08

not lying. Over the weekend, I

7:11

talked to several CEOs. One is

7:13

the CEO of a huge catalog

7:15

in retail companies that does a

7:17

lot of housewares. This person has,

7:19

he thinks about $60 million in

7:21

outdoor furniture, waiting to hit the

7:23

stores for summer. that are on

7:25

ships en route from China, all

7:27

of a sudden he has to figure

7:29

out a way to get to the

7:31

port of Long Beach when they arrive

7:34

and write a check for

7:36

$85 million that he wasn't

7:38

expecting to write. And he has

7:40

to call his CFO. And this

7:42

is a publicly traded multi-million

7:44

dollar company. I can't just

7:47

like find 85 million bucks.

7:49

The 85 is for what? To

7:51

pay for the things now or what is

7:53

the 85 for? That's the correct question

7:56

because the way tariffs work is

7:58

the importer, the cap... the retailer

8:00

company taking delivery of outdoor furniture

8:02

from China, if these products, quote

8:04

unquote, cost 60 million, you have

8:07

to, with 145% tariff, you have

8:09

to, the person receiving the items,

8:11

the retailer in the US, has

8:13

to pay $85 million to the

8:15

US government in the form of

8:17

a tariff payment. So this individual

8:19

has to come up with $85

8:22

million to get the shit off

8:24

the boat in addition. unless they're

8:26

given a reprieve. But he can't

8:28

just sit on a boat. And

8:30

right now, he has to plan

8:32

for what the government is saying.

8:34

In addition, he's got to find

8:37

hundreds, if not thousands of people,

8:39

to go down to the port.

8:41

And when the stuff comes off

8:43

the boat... retag and reprice everything

8:45

because now the majority of retailers

8:47

that order their stuff out of

8:49

China have it tagged and priced

8:52

and attached to the actual physical

8:54

item in China. And wrapped, right?

8:56

Whatever if there happened to be

8:58

clothing or something like that? Whatever

9:00

it is. And so in addition,

9:02

he's like, okay, so I have

9:04

stopped all shipments from China. I've

9:07

told them stop producing, which is

9:09

going to take my inventory levels

9:11

way down and the only way

9:13

I'm going to get anywhere back

9:15

to even is if I... raise

9:17

prices, which I'm going to have

9:19

to do, in addition to more

9:22

expensive prices, i.e. inflation, my earnings

9:24

call is going to be a

9:26

shit show when I have to

9:28

explain that, oh yeah, I wasn't

9:30

expecting to pay an $85 million

9:32

unexpected straight from the bottom line

9:34

payment for tariffs that didn't exist

9:37

seven days before. And he has

9:39

to go into his office and

9:41

the CFO goes... All right, if

9:43

we've got to go borrow $85

9:45

million against the line, we can

9:47

do it. But if every retailer

9:49

is hitting their line, the interest

9:52

costs are going to go up.

9:54

Correct. And this is what played

9:56

out last week and why this

9:58

guy blinked yet again. The president

10:00

has access to more information than

10:03

any individual in history.

10:05

Between our security apparatus, the

10:07

brightest people in the world, a ton

10:09

of data that's digested, distilled for him.

10:11

He is the helm of the bobsled.

10:14

He technically has more insight into what

10:16

is going on in the world than

10:18

any individual. And I'm sure

10:20

two pieces of data were presented

10:23

to him in fairly stark terms.

10:25

Consumer confidence is plummeting. uncertainty is

10:27

skyrocketing, which all adds up to

10:29

a decline in spending and hiring

10:31

and insecurity, which has taken the

10:34

economy down. Now traditionally when an

10:36

economy goes down, people don't want

10:38

to borrow money, people don't want

10:40

to invest, so interest rates come

10:42

down, and that makes people more

10:45

confident, and it's sort of a

10:47

self-healing mechanism. In this instance, we

10:49

have a reduction in consumer spending,

10:51

the economy slowing down, but the

10:53

10-year spiked 50 points. So you

10:55

have... Everything getting more expensive

10:58

as the economy slows down.

11:00

That's called stagflation, which is

11:02

a bridge to a depression.

11:04

The 10-year went up 50

11:06

bips in five days, and

11:09

let's bring that down to

11:11

a number. Okay. All right.

11:13

We have a $34 trillion deficit,

11:15

meaning every... basis point increase

11:18

in the cost of the tenure. If

11:20

it goes from 4% to 4.1% it's

11:22

another three and a half billion dollars

11:24

in interest payments we have to make

11:26

on our national debt. I'm not even

11:28

talking about the incremental cost of consumers

11:30

of their student loans, their mortgages, and

11:32

their credit cards. I'm just talking about

11:34

the interest on the debt we have

11:36

to pay. So when it spikes 50

11:38

basis points, right, on three and a

11:40

half billion dollars per basis point in

11:42

incremental interest expense, all of a sudden

11:44

in a few days in a few

11:46

days. America has to come

11:49

up with another $175

11:51

billion in interest payments

11:53

to foreign creditors. Our

11:55

entire veterans affairs budget

11:58

is 300 billion. So

12:00

they have figured out a way

12:02

to reduce the economy, to send

12:04

the economy into what looks like

12:06

a low-grade coma, while interest rates

12:08

are going up. This is the

12:10

worst of all worlds. Right, right.

12:12

And they're not getting, and the

12:14

85 million dollars this guy has

12:16

to pay is going to the

12:18

government, but it's now going to

12:20

be sucked up in interest rate

12:22

payments. It's just like, so we're

12:24

going to lose so much money

12:26

every which way you lose. How

12:28

companies proceed is impossible at this

12:30

point? What do you do? What

12:32

do you just stop payments? That's

12:34

what you stop doing, and then

12:36

you lay people off, and then

12:38

you hunker down until this lunatic

12:40

is either he loses at the

12:42

midterm and he gets investigated out

12:45

the ying yang, which he should

12:47

be, honestly. Or it's rendered impossible

12:49

for him to do anything. That's

12:51

say, his lawlessness continues. He's defying

12:53

the Supreme Court on immigration. He's

12:55

defying everybody on every single thing.

12:57

He doesn't weigh 224 pounds. He

12:59

weighs like at least 250 pounds.

13:01

Anyway, that was just this thing.

13:03

Let's stop China then, because this

13:05

is an opportunity as we've talked

13:07

about with President Gee. He currently

13:09

is visiting Vietnam and other countries

13:11

in Southeast Asia, presenting China as

13:13

a reliable ally and trading partner.

13:15

China also spent at exports on

13:17

a wide range of critical minerals

13:19

and magnets. China is holding steady

13:21

here and they are willing to

13:23

endure pain, but they're also doing

13:25

the correct thing, which is to

13:27

visit partners and show themselves to

13:29

be reliable partners. What will Trump

13:31

do next? Because I see him

13:33

more in this press conference in

13:35

the Oval Office. He's defying the

13:37

Supreme Court. He's defying the Fed.

13:39

every anyone he can defy and

13:42

when he makes a good decision

13:44

he defies his good decisions so

13:46

what what do companies do and

13:48

how do you look at China's

13:50

role here because I think they're

13:52

benefiting enormously from his idiocy I

13:54

don't know what else to call

13:56

it stupidity so I never miss

13:58

a chance to boast. The CEO

14:00

of one of the most iconic

14:02

German automobile manufacturers reached out and

14:04

said, we'd love to come, we'd

14:06

love to host you and come

14:08

come every speak to the management

14:10

team of the board. And I

14:12

said, and I was trying to

14:14

arrange states. And then he called

14:16

me and he said, can I

14:18

ask you something? I said, of

14:20

course, he goes, what would you

14:22

do if you were us, given

14:24

what's going on in the US?

14:26

And Cara, as a guy who

14:28

is always willing to run other

14:30

people's No idea what to do

14:32

here other than, and I hate

14:34

to say this because I love

14:37

America, other than figure out a

14:39

series of partners that are more

14:41

reliable and I said, oh, we're

14:43

doing that. And going to that

14:45

notion around, let's talk about China

14:47

now, China since COVID or since

14:49

2019 has reduced its percentage of

14:51

its total exports to the US

14:53

from 24 to 17 percent. We

14:55

have reduced ours by 4%. So

14:57

we're both diversifying away from each

14:59

other. They have diversified it, nearly

15:01

double the clip we have. The

15:03

basic premise is that we can

15:05

hurt them more than they can

15:07

hurt us so they will cry

15:09

uncle. So let's assume we could

15:11

hurt them more than they could

15:13

hurt us. That is a pretty

15:15

shaky thesis because, well, the administration

15:17

wants you to believe that we're

15:19

the only customer at the country

15:21

club and they have to be

15:23

nice to us. Right. The number

15:25

one trading partner with China is

15:27

the association of Southeast Asian nations,

15:29

ASEAN, at one trillion. Who's number

15:31

two? The EU, at 900 billion.

15:34

We're number three. So yeah, we

15:36

have a lot of power. But

15:38

if they wanted to, and you

15:40

want to talk about restraint. If

15:42

they wanted to go into the

15:44

market and take the tenure from

15:46

450 to 550 and create inflation

15:48

while the economy is going down,

15:50

they could do that. But what

15:52

they realize is that if they

15:54

really hurt and need cap their

15:56

third biggest customer, it would be

15:58

bad for them as well. They

16:00

are not stupid. In addition, let's

16:02

discount all of that. And let's take

16:04

the administration at its word that

16:06

Howard Lutnik, that we're the biggest

16:08

consumer and they would be fucked

16:10

without us. China has its own

16:12

troubles. Here's the issue or the

16:14

piece of calculus they are missing.

16:17

When Americans find, when they're

16:19

watching the Logan Paul Mike Tyson

16:21

fight, and it starts, the bandwidth

16:23

slows down, they go fucking ape

16:25

shit, and they call their cable

16:27

company. I just did that today. When

16:29

you talk about women are

16:32

born with a much higher

16:34

tolerance for pain because they

16:36

have to endure childbirth, men

16:39

have much lower tolerance of

16:41

pain. We're the man in

16:43

this relationship. China stars tens

16:46

of millions of people when

16:48

they think it's good long

16:50

term for the country. Do

16:53

you realize the pain threshold

16:55

of America relative to China?

16:57

into doing a decision they

17:00

don't want to do? It's nuts.

17:02

This is just absolutely nuts. Bo

17:04

and Yang did a very funny

17:06

thing on S&L this idea. They

17:08

are made for pain. But wait, I'm

17:10

just wondering which side is more

17:13

willing to endure hardship for the

17:15

glory of their nation? The one

17:17

that's been around for thousands of

17:19

years or the one that's sending

17:22

Katie Perry to space? Look at

17:24

us in the 70s when we

17:26

had a much higher tolerance. for

17:28

paying when we didn't have Netflix

17:30

and shows on demand and couldn't

17:33

get a pack of gum delivered

17:35

to us within 15 minutes.

17:37

We left Vietnam after we

17:39

had, we had decided we

17:41

can't take any more when

17:43

we had lost 58,000 servicemen.

17:45

At that point, the Vietnam,

17:47

they had lost a million

17:49

people and we cried uncle

17:51

to think this, I mean,

17:53

the calculus here is just so

17:56

incredibly. Ignor and in addition to

17:58

the performative defiance of on everything

18:00

like there's not anywhere they're not losing

18:02

and being performatively define and then dragging

18:05

people who were not like this like

18:07

Marco Rubio into this performative defiance that's

18:09

what I would call it and it's

18:11

just it's like it's like Saul my

18:14

son this you know I'm not going

18:16

to you know he he does this

18:18

thing where he does his arms you

18:20

know when you see a toddler like

18:23

I'm not gonna do anything and that's

18:25

what it feels like I feel like

18:27

I'm dealing with like a three-year-old or

18:29

something like that first off it's corruption

18:32

all all over the place because, okay,

18:34

you give me a million bucks, you're

18:36

the cult of iOS, just kidding, the

18:38

tariffs, what are we back there now?

18:41

98% of the companies in America who

18:43

are dependent upon exports for their well-being

18:45

are small and medium-sized business. Another CEO

18:47

I spoke to this weekend, a friend

18:50

of mine from my fraternity at college.

18:52

He has a specialty products company. You

18:54

know when you go to a conference

18:56

and all the cups, the fleeces, the

18:58

banners, the signage? I have a lot.

19:01

I'm wearing one right now. There you

19:03

go. Okay. That's a big business. He

19:05

has a family-run business that he's worked

19:07

out for 30 years since we got

19:10

out of college. He's built a really

19:12

nice life, right? Slowly but surely over

19:14

the last 30 years. Everything's gone to

19:16

China. About 80% of his products are

19:19

produced out of China. He also has

19:21

to go down to the port and

19:23

sign a check for a couple million

19:25

bucks, which he doesn't have to get

19:28

the shit off the boat. He's told

19:30

China to stop shipping everything. And he

19:32

doesn't have time to figure out new

19:34

rooting relationships. He's basically said, Scott, this

19:37

is COVID times 10. I'm not going

19:39

to get any relief. I don't know

19:41

when this is coming to an end,

19:43

and literally my business has come to

19:46

a halt. At campuses, and I know

19:48

this firsthand, some of the biggest organizations,

19:50

companies, recruiters, have said the following. We're

19:52

putting a pause. on interviews and hiring.

19:55

And a pause sounds benign, but when

19:57

you pause hiring for three months for

19:59

new grads out of college, in three

20:01

months when they resume, they don't double

20:04

the pace. They basically reduce hiring for

20:06

a 25 or 50% for that year.

20:08

It's not as if they decide, now

20:10

we're going to go crazy with hiring

20:13

when we start again. So you have

20:15

a reduction in the number of jobs

20:17

for kids coming out of college. You

20:19

have stocks are going to get the

20:22

shit cacked out of them. You have

20:24

small and medium-sized businesses that don't know

20:26

what to do. You have earnings calls,

20:28

which are going to be an absolute

20:31

shit show. and you have the threat

20:33

of stagflation and all of this is

20:35

the chickens coming to roost because countries

20:37

don't go out of business because they're

20:39

invaded they go out of business because

20:42

they go broke and we have borrowed

20:44

so much fucking money we are so

20:46

debt laden yeah that we no longer

20:48

have that bullet to fire i mean

20:51

one of the things that's very that's

20:53

astonishing here is that we think we

20:55

have choices and that's the problem With

20:57

this entire thing is we do not

21:00

have the choices being and this is

21:02

not being an America like is a

21:04

bunch of losers This is self-inflicted Damage

21:06

that we're doing to ourselves definition of

21:09

on goal, you know, exactly Right we

21:11

should be running like just three months

21:13

ago You're talking about how the US

21:15

is dominating everything right when the transition

21:18

was happening three or four months ago.

21:20

Now we are just doing it to

21:22

ourselves and I think most people understand

21:24

that but we have to move on

21:27

but this is just what is fucking

21:29

disaster now Apple stock in the video

21:31

stock is up today because they are

21:33

hoping that these things stay in place,

21:36

but they might not. And so you

21:38

might see an impact. Lots of shares

21:40

are down right now. Apple and Aviti

21:42

are up because they've gotten this break,

21:45

but who knows what's coming? Because this

21:47

is this idea that he wants to

21:49

continue to hold over people's head, that

21:51

he could grab these anytime. Anyone who

21:54

can't get in on this gravy train,

21:56

you use the Vietnam thing? I used

21:58

it yesterday on one of our socials.

22:00

This is like if you're not on

22:03

the hell of... copter out of Saigon,

22:05

you are fucked. Like everyone else is

22:07

fucked. We'll see what political implications that

22:09

has, but we'll see where it goes.

22:11

Anyway, Scott, let's go on a quick

22:14

break when we come back. The antitrust

22:16

trial that Marxists have tried so hard

22:18

to shut down. And he looks so

22:21

nice at the inauguration. LinkedIn.

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You know that feeling when things

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ordering a steak dinner at a

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seafood restaurant or wearing shorts to

22:31

an ice hockey game? On their

22:34

own, they're fine, but there's a

22:36

time and place for everything. It's

22:38

kind of like that for B2B

22:40

marketers. It's all about selling the

22:42

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22:44

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That's K -I -N -S -T -a.com/pivot. Scott,

25:27

we're back. Apparently putting on

25:29

a tie and kissing up

25:31

to Trump didn't do the

25:33

job. The FTC is facing

25:35

off against Metta in a

25:37

blockbuster anti -trust trial getting

25:39

underway this week. The case

25:41

goes back to Trump's first

25:44

term in 2020, if you

25:46

can believe it, with the

25:48

government alleging Metta violated competition

25:50

laws by acquiring Instagram and

25:52

WhatsApp. For its part, Metta

25:54

says regulators should be supporting

25:56

innovation and also faces fierce

25:58

competition from TikTok, Snap and

26:00

other platforms. I find this

26:02

to be a little bit

26:05

of a weak trial. Be

26:07

honest with you. I think

26:09

there's others that are stronger,

26:11

but the trial is expected to last about seven

26:13

to eight weeks. Mark Zuckerberg and Cheryl Sandman recalled to

26:15

stand among others. This is the case that Mark Zuckerberg

26:17

has been trying to stop. It's interesting that Trump has

26:19

not intervened. Zuckerberg has visited the White House three times

26:21

since Trump took office. Meta also donated $1 million to

26:23

Trump's inaugural fund and settled a lawsuit with Trump for

26:25

$25 million back in January, which they did nothing. It

26:28

also just named former Trump advisor, Deena Powell McCormick, to

26:30

Meadows Board. She's also the wife of

26:32

Senator David McCormick from Pennsylvania. FTC had

26:34

Andrew Ferguson has been vocal about reigning

26:36

in tech, but also said he... obey

26:38

lawful orders if Trump asked him to

26:40

drop the suit. I think he would.

26:43

He's been wearing the Trump. Have you

26:45

seen the gold-headed Trump that people are

26:47

wearing? I think it was him. Yeah,

26:49

I think it was Ferguson that was

26:51

wearing it. Anyway, oh, Brendan Carr was

26:53

wearing it, excuse me, the head of

26:56

the FCC. So he said he would

26:58

follow what Trump says and thoughts on

27:00

this. If metal loses a remedy could

27:02

be divesting Instagram and WhatsApp, the judge

27:04

will decide the case for the remedy

27:06

is James Bozburg who's been clashing with

27:09

Trump over deportations and many other issues.

27:11

Talk about this case a little bit

27:13

and what you think will happen here.

27:15

It is going on so it's not

27:17

been stopped by any means. Well Zuck

27:19

is the most disliked person in America

27:21

under the age of the age

27:23

of 30. He's got a two-thirds

27:25

unfavorable rating. Yeah, it is kind of

27:27

crazy. He's even less popular than

27:29

Musk. And think about, think about

27:32

when you're the most disliked person amongst

27:34

a group of people who is

27:36

literally ground zero for your product,

27:38

and two-thirds of those people use

27:40

your product, and yet you are

27:42

the most disliked person in America. I'm

27:44

hopeful. I had Jonathan Cantor on prophecy and

27:47

Jonathan said. Explain who he is. He was

27:49

the former head of antitrust at the, was

27:51

he at the DOJ? He was a justice,

27:54

right? I said, I'm really sad that you

27:56

and Lena are gone. I just don't see

27:58

anything happening and he said he actually said,

28:00

you know, you underestimate some of the

28:03

people that are still there. There's still

28:05

some people there. They're pretty committed and

28:07

quite frankly, sort of, you know, antitrust

28:10

badasses that are going to make a

28:12

very powerful argument. I've become so cynical,

28:14

Kara. I know what I want to

28:17

happen. I think that they're going to

28:19

play slowball. I mean, look at how

28:21

strategic Zuckerberg is. He put Dana White

28:24

on the board. He's put this basically

28:26

this Trumpite on the board. He's figured

28:28

out the existential threat to my business.

28:31

isn't distribution, isn't innovation, it's political, and

28:33

so I am absolutely musling up with

28:35

all sorts of contacts into the White

28:38

House, and the reality is this White

28:40

House can be bought. And not only

28:42

can the White House be bought, so

28:45

can the Democratic caucus with enough money.

28:47

So I believe they have become masters

28:49

at slowing these things down and letting

28:52

them die a slow death. I hope

28:54

I hope I'm wrong. These companies have

28:56

figured out a way to avoid all.

28:59

regulation. I don't see why this would

29:01

be any different. I think they're surprised

29:03

the trial is going forward. Let me

29:06

just read from the opening statements by

29:08

the two lawyers. This is Daniel Matheson,

29:10

the FTC's lead litigator. For more than

29:13

a hundred years, American public policy has

29:15

insisted firms must compete if they want

29:17

to succeed. The reason we are here

29:20

is Meta broke the deal. They decided

29:22

that competition was too hard to be

29:24

easier to buy out their rivals than

29:27

compete with them. This is the buyer-berry

29:29

argument. This is a guy named Mark

29:31

Hansen. from a big law firm, Kellogg

29:34

Hansen. This case is a grab bag

29:36

of FTC theories at war with fact

29:38

and at war with law. The facts

29:41

are going to prove the FTC's theories

29:43

are all wrong. You know, it's a

29:45

very, it is a difficult try. I've

29:48

talked to a lot of lawyers. The

29:50

FTC would like it to divest these

29:52

companies. Legal experts say it might be

29:55

hard to win. I'll read directly from

29:57

the New York Times. That's because the

29:59

government must prove something unknowable that meta

30:02

formerly known as Facebook wouldn't have achieved.

30:04

the same success without the acquisitions. It's

30:06

also extremely rare to try to unwind

30:09

mergers approved years before. So that's one

30:11

of the difficult ones, even though this

30:13

is somewhat of a bipartisan effort. It's

30:15

just for people to know, there's three

30:18

going around to go to trial. The

30:20

DOJ won its case against Google. Federal

30:22

judges hearing. arguments about remedies and a

30:25

potential breakout and there's a separate trial

30:27

with the DOJ for monopolizing ad technology

30:29

by Google that's still going on. Justice

30:32

Department has also sued Apple and the

30:34

FTC has sued Amazon accusing companies of

30:36

I had to trust violations. Those trials

30:39

are coming up later just for people

30:41

to get a background. But if they

30:43

do spin it off, it would be

30:46

unprecedented. Well, I mean, the baby bills

30:48

are broken up. The aluminum, the sisters,

30:50

the sisters, the sisters, the sisters, whatever.

30:53

It does, it does happen. And generally

30:55

speaking, when we look back in economic

30:57

history, there's never been a breakup that

31:00

hasn't turned out well for everybody. So

31:02

it's one of the few things that

31:04

kind of always works or breakups. The

31:07

problem is to your point, we should

31:09

have a much higher bar for approving

31:11

mergers because quite frankly the job of

31:14

the government is to prevent a tragedy

31:16

of commons and the easiest way to

31:18

do that is preventive. And that is

31:21

not let these companies be acquired to

31:23

begin with. I mean even there's been

31:25

a lot of officials in the government

31:28

say we screwed up letting meta acquire

31:30

Instagram. then probably should have never let

31:32

Google acquire what was a double click

31:35

and or YouTube. That was Google, yeah,

31:37

Google, yeah. But, so there probably needs

31:39

what this says is it is very,

31:42

it is very difficult to unwind a

31:44

merger and force a spend. What is

31:46

easier is to block an acquisition. And

31:49

I think the bar should be pretty

31:51

low to block an acquisition for a

31:53

company once it gets above a certain

31:56

dominance in its own category. I think

31:58

that's what... The argument they make so

32:00

effectively the resonates to the public is

32:03

that capitalism means making more money and

32:05

they should let just be capitalist and

32:07

the market do its thing. What they

32:10

don't realize is that the concentration of

32:12

industry has led to massively higher prices,

32:14

whether it's chicken, whether it's pharma, whether

32:17

it's health care. Right. This is harder.

32:19

And think about the way I look

32:21

at it is the hard part is

32:24

some of these costs are non-economic, but

32:26

for God's sakes, look at the rents

32:28

and the increase in emotional prices that

32:31

meta has levying on every parent globally.

32:33

Yeah, and ad businesses that have been

32:35

destroyed because they dominated and stuff like

32:38

that. I covered this. And then 2014,

32:40

it paid $19 billion for WhatsApp. Both

32:42

were crazy prices at the time, although

32:45

Instagram certainly has yielded a lot. There

32:47

is a paper trail of emails between

32:49

executives talking about the startups because they

32:52

were threats. I wrote about that at

32:54

the time. The lawyers mentioned the documents.

32:56

Zuckerberg was so paranoid and he talked

32:59

about in emails neutralized. a potential competitor.

33:01

And then Zuckerberg wrote to Sandberg, Messenger,

33:03

isn't beating WhatsApp. Instagram was growing so

33:06

much faster than us. We had to

33:08

buy them for a billion. So because

33:10

there's such bad product people at Facebook

33:12

and account underscore this enough, they had

33:15

to buy or bury. It's a very

33:17

famous phrase in tech, buy or bury.

33:19

And so that's what the government is

33:22

alleging here. And also keeping it out

33:24

of... other competitors hands is another one

33:26

to build a moat around the monopoly

33:29

and so what's that was that for

33:31

them so it should be really really

33:33

interesting I think we'll see what happens

33:36

in this trial but so far the

33:38

Trump administration is not doing pay or

33:40

play here they're just letting it go

33:43

which is to me interesting I don't

33:45

know you have any thoughts on that

33:47

well yeah he doesn't he doesn't like

33:50

these guys and it's one it looks

33:52

as if Instagram would be worth about

33:54

a hundred to two hundred billion dollars

33:57

right now. Now granted, it might not

33:59

have had the same level of success.

34:01

had not been able to cooperate and

34:04

share data. But what's interesting is within

34:06

about 40 days of one another was

34:08

the best and likely the worst acquisition

34:11

in tech history. And they looked remarkably

34:13

similar at the time. And the best,

34:15

you would argue, maybe other than

34:17

the acquisition of YouTube. But Mark

34:20

Zuckerberg bought Instagram for a billion

34:22

dollars. It's worth 100 to 200,

34:24

if not more now. And within

34:26

a month or 45 days, the worst.

34:28

acquisition and text. Do you

34:31

remember what it is? I'm thinking

34:33

it's Yahoo. Exactly. Tumblr.

34:35

I broke that story, Mr. Scott

34:38

Galloway. I know you did.

34:40

So Facebook acquires Instagram for

34:42

a billion. It's worth 100

34:44

to 200 billion. Yahoo slash

34:46

Marissa Mayor acquires Tumblr for

34:49

1.2 billion. And I believe

34:51

about seven years later, they

34:53

sold it for $3 million.

34:55

Yeah, it's worth nothing now. I just ran

34:57

into some Tumblr people. What a great site

34:59

that was, though. You know what I mean?

35:01

It really was. I liked Tumblr a lot.

35:03

It was a very innovative site. But you're

35:06

right. It's just, this is just, come on.

35:08

This is what Mark Zuckerberg played from the

35:10

Bill Gates, Byerberry. playbook. Sorry, this

35:12

is what this is. We'll see

35:14

if they can decide if Facebook

35:17

will make the argument, that there's

35:19

plenty of competition, and that there's

35:21

lots and lots, there's, you know,

35:23

whatever, blue sky, whatever. But the

35:26

fact of the matter is, two

35:28

things, both for Google and for

35:30

Facebook. When have you seen a

35:32

new fresh social network get built?

35:35

If not buried, like, you know,

35:37

Snapchat is doing its level best,

35:39

but Mark keeps stealing his things

35:41

because he can't buy it. He couldn't

35:43

buy it. And so he decided to

35:46

bury it. That's what they did with

35:48

Snapchat. And when have you last seen

35:50

a new search engine that really had

35:52

any kind of traction? And you were

35:54

close with a guy who did the

35:57

one who left Google and tried to

35:59

do it. too high and then when

36:01

Apple does a deal with these companies

36:03

and makes them the de facto map

36:06

or or whatever map or search engine

36:08

it sort of puts the nail in

36:10

the coffin for every other competitor and

36:13

the similar thing we just talked about

36:15

the terrorists if you can get an

36:17

out like Apple did you're great if

36:19

you can't like your your furniture guy

36:22

you're fucked like that's really it and

36:24

this is corruption it's corruption everywhere It's

36:26

an autocrat. It's not systemic. And also,

36:29

just to put a fine point on

36:31

the concentration of industry, this is happening

36:33

up and down industries. U.S. higher education

36:36

is a cartel. There's two great universities

36:38

in every city and the people who

36:40

give you accreditation such that you have

36:43

access to student loans are run by

36:45

the incumbents. My old company, L2, got

36:47

acquired by a large research company that

36:50

everybody hates and everybody uses. And I

36:52

couldn't figure out after they acquired us

36:54

the series of decisions they made. I

36:56

felt like it was George Kistanz, where

36:59

everything I thought they should do, they

37:01

did the exact opposite. I just didn't

37:03

understand the decisions they were making, and

37:06

it finally dawned on me about 18

37:08

months later, and I'm just speculating. I'm

37:10

like, I think they thought, OK, we'll

37:13

pay 3% of our market cap for

37:15

this company, because they're nipping at our

37:17

heels around CMOs. And if they will

37:20

squeeze them for cash flow. It was,

37:22

I think, I'm like, I think I've

37:24

just been aquacilt. Yep, yep, aquacilt. That's

37:26

what it is. Yeah, that buyer baron.

37:29

And it's like, okay, a competitor goes

37:31

away. They, they get some cash flow

37:33

back. And quite frankly, for two or

37:36

three percent dilution, just not having someone

37:38

running around nipping at your heels, establishing

37:40

a wedge in your business. And I

37:43

remember thinking, why on earth are they

37:45

doing? Nothing with us. Why are they

37:47

not driving the business? I do not

37:50

they understand me. I'm a genius. I've

37:52

been there. They've domesticated me. and then

37:54

you left and then you left. Poor

37:56

me with my big fucking bag of

37:59

money, but you did get a bag

38:01

of money. But this is what happens.

38:03

That's what they have. They have bags

38:06

and bags of money every day. They

38:08

show up to an entrepreneur and they

38:10

say, tell you what. We're going to

38:13

make you rich. Just stop bothering and

38:15

competing against us. Stop bothering us and

38:17

stop competing. In this case, Trump ain't

38:20

playing. So we'll see where it goes

38:22

from here. One of the things that

38:24

Met is doing, I got texted by

38:27

a metaperson day, they're like, can you

38:29

believe us? And I'm like, yes, yes,

38:31

I can. Sure we can. And by

38:33

the way, you know what, if they

38:36

take off Instagram, good for capitalism, if

38:38

they do, if they take off WhatsApp,

38:40

WhatsApp, Good for capitalism. If they spin

38:43

off YouTube, good for capital. We're capitalist,

38:45

Scott and Tara, because we think that's

38:47

good for this country. It's good for

38:50

competition, and maybe you'll do a little

38:52

better in your other things if you

38:54

have to not just buy. It's good

38:57

for the stock price. Yeah, if you

38:59

can't just buy your wife or husband

39:01

or whatever, it's good for everybody. All

39:03

right, Scott, let's go on a quick

39:06

break when we come back. Blue Orange

39:08

and sends an all female crew into

39:10

space and all female crew into space.

39:13

We must be very careful here, but

39:15

nonetheless. We'll find out what God has

39:17

to say. Oh, I can't wait to

39:20

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42:25

Scott, we're back. El Salvador's president says

42:28

he won't order the return of

42:30

a Maryland man named Kilmar Abrego

42:32

Garcia, who was mistakenly deported. They've

42:34

admitted he is mistakenly deported. President

42:36

Bue Kale, who I'm just going

42:38

to call Sleezy club owner, appeared

42:40

with President Trump at the White

42:42

House. By the way, he wasn't

42:44

wearing a tie. I think it

42:46

was very, it wasn't very stately

42:48

of him to appear looking like

42:50

he's about to, you know, do

42:52

an ecstasy dance or something. The

42:54

two appeared as Trump administration was

42:57

digging into its heels, refusing to

42:59

bring Garcia back to the U.S.

43:01

At one point, Salvador resident Bukalay

43:03

called him a terrorist. There's no

43:05

proof of how could I bring,

43:07

how can I smuggle a terrorist

43:09

back into the country? Stop it,

43:11

you unctious piece of shit. A

43:13

Supreme Court ruling is directing the

43:15

government to, quote, facilitate the return.

43:17

That's a weird word. Now, Trump

43:19

administration is arguing that what facilitate

43:21

means saying they just need to

43:23

remove any obstacles to return and

43:25

not actually bring him back. Also, the

43:28

agenda for today's White House meeting, political

43:30

reports, a team of defense contractors, is

43:32

pitching the White House on a plan

43:34

to expand deportations to El Salvador. I'm

43:36

not sure what's more frightening the legal

43:39

implications the administration closing up to another

43:41

unsavory leader with this guy is This

43:43

one calls himself the world's coolest dictator.

43:45

He's certainly the world's most oily dictator.

43:47

I've seen of late He just seems

43:49

just completely just in it for the

43:52

money. He's very popular. Let me say

43:54

and I'll solve it or I know

43:56

a lot of people from Salvador and

43:58

they like him because he cleaned up

44:00

a lot of the gang

44:03

violence there by just arresting

44:05

everybody. Very similar to the

44:07

Philippines with Duterte. But of

44:09

course, he's gone overboard, as

44:11

they all do, with limited

44:13

power. And so they're just

44:15

pretending this guy's a terrorist.

44:17

And just, you know, when

44:19

reporters were justifiably asking about

44:21

this, Trump mocked them. He

44:23

then Rubio jumped in about

44:25

that the Supreme Court has

44:27

no purchase over the way

44:29

the government decides to do

44:32

foreign policy only the president

44:34

does. What a waste of

44:36

breath that guy has become.

44:38

So anyway, thoughts, legal implications,

44:40

world's clueless dictator. Look El

44:42

Salvador was with the murder capital

44:44

of the world and so this

44:46

guy's very popular, but basically basically

44:48

he just started rounding of people

44:50

who had, you know, a tattoo

44:52

that said they had a gang

44:55

affiliation. So there's tremendous collateral damage

44:57

there and you have to decide,

44:59

do you opt for rights and

45:01

wisdom crime and inconvenience and cost

45:03

or do you go full autocrat?

45:05

And we said this on the

45:07

last show. When you round up

45:09

people, it takes a different complexion.

45:11

This is a form of rounding

45:13

up people. This is, there are,

45:15

there are just some innocent people

45:17

being rounded up. And what is

45:19

just insane is these people supposedly,

45:21

you know, are Christians, right? They

45:23

all, they're all very fond of

45:25

holding the Bible. If you know

45:27

that you have taken an innocent

45:29

person and sent them to a

45:32

healthscape, And Bill Maher summarized it

45:34

perfectly. We can bring a man

45:36

back from space, but you don't,

45:38

we can't get someone back from

45:40

El Salvador? Of course we could

45:42

get them back. Of course we

45:44

could get them back. And then

45:46

the weirdest moment was this weirdo

45:48

Christie Noam posing it with guns

45:50

after having a Sephora explode all

45:52

over her face. It felt like

45:54

a fucking Cinemax film where she

45:56

was going to start having sex

45:58

with all the... prisoners. It's like,

46:00

yeah, I agree. It's like this

46:02

is just a snuff film. This

46:04

is weird people and also you

46:06

can't, don't hold Bibles when you

46:09

start taking people and sending them

46:11

incorrectly, unjustifiable. It's like For God's

46:13

sakes, have you no sense of

46:15

decency? It's just... And why wouldn't

46:17

Bouquetle take our money and create

46:19

a Guantanamo there? That's what he's

46:21

doing. Why wouldn't he take our

46:23

money? It's good for him. And

46:25

he doesn't care who is innocent.

46:27

By the way, it's not his

46:29

business to care who's innocent or

46:31

not. But if we send someone

46:33

who's innocent there, it looks like

46:35

many of them were or had

46:37

no criminal background that were sent

46:39

to these prisons. They're people back.

46:41

You can't send them to prison.

46:43

You just can't. Put them in

46:46

another country and let them go,

46:48

I guess, if you have to

46:50

do with the zenest stuff you're

46:52

doing. But to put them in

46:54

a prison and they're guilty, I

46:56

mean, was it 60 minutes showed

46:58

up? They had 75% of them

47:00

had no criminal background whatsoever. They

47:02

just had a tattoo to their

47:04

mother with a crown on it.

47:06

Just really. It's just, I mean,

47:08

I'm sorry, if that was the

47:10

case, Pete Heggseth would be in

47:12

a Salvador in prison. He's got

47:14

a lot of tattoos. So, it's

47:16

really, the worst thing is them

47:18

trying to parse what the, after

47:21

Trump promised he would follow, what

47:23

the Supreme Court said, he's not

47:25

following what the Supreme Court said.

47:27

The same thing they're doing, they

47:29

were supposed to let back in

47:31

AP into the press cycle. They're

47:33

not letting, they're barring AP even

47:35

though they were ruled against. do

47:37

it. They're lawless as a government.

47:39

I think you summarize it perfectly.

47:41

I don't understand the whole idea

47:43

of roundups. Just be careful. When

47:45

you tolerate this, just wait for

47:47

the knock on your door. And

47:49

the other thing that goes to

47:51

is the following. The only thing

47:53

I know about these people is

47:55

who's not being deported. rich people.

47:58

Yeah, I can think of a

48:00

lot of criminals, rich criminals. Well,

48:02

you're again in America, the whole

48:04

idea of a constitution and laws

48:06

is to protect the most vulnerable.

48:08

The rich are protected by the

48:10

law, they're not bound by it.

48:12

I love that line. And the

48:14

poor are bound by the law,

48:16

but not protected by it. And

48:18

I can't name a person. Nobody

48:20

in the top quintile of income

48:22

earning Americans or who was here

48:24

illegal who has money has been

48:26

taken. This is what is so

48:28

mendacious, so unchristian, so un-American, such

48:30

a violation of our constitution, is

48:32

that the basis of your quality

48:35

as a government is how the

48:37

poorest and most vulnerable are treated.

48:39

Whether it's a 14-year-old is a

48:41

victim of incest or an undocumented

48:43

worker, and by the way, folks.

48:45

I mean, this is good undocumented

48:47

workers as we demonize people for

48:49

a bump in our curating. A

48:51

third of fast food workers are

48:53

undocumented. You could take the top

48:55

10 fast food companies to a

48:57

statistically significant sample of raids and

48:59

say 22% 25% of McDonald's or

49:01

Jack in the Box workers are

49:03

undocumented. We're finding you $100,000 a

49:05

day per percentage. And guess what?

49:07

You'd end it. Here's the dirty

49:09

secret. Immigration is the secret sauce

49:12

of America, but the most profitable

49:14

part of immigration is the legal

49:16

immigration because they pay social security

49:18

taxes, but they don't... but they

49:20

don't collect social security. They pay

49:22

taxes for our cops and firemen,

49:24

but they don't call cops because

49:26

they're worried about being deported. So

49:28

we have turned a blind eye.

49:30

If we wanted to stop this

49:32

problem, we would find the employers.

49:34

But we're not interested in doing

49:36

that. We want to pretend that

49:38

this is a runaway problem, and

49:40

to be clear, it did get

49:42

runaway. It got out of hand,

49:44

250 thousand people crossing the border

49:46

in December 23. But folks, we

49:49

have purposely ignored this problem. are

49:51

super fucking profitable. That's right. Except,

49:53

you know what, Scott? They're profitable

49:55

in terms of... creating prisons and

49:57

putting them in it. that's it's

49:59

profitable for a very different group

50:01

of people is that we round

50:03

them up and we put them

50:05

in these camps which is what

50:07

we did with the Japanese and

50:09

we were shameful part of our

50:11

history you know a lot of

50:13

these people are also like let's

50:15

figure out who like the woman

50:17

who got grabbed off the street

50:19

remember that video with all the

50:21

people in the masks coming up

50:24

to her she has not done

50:26

they found out she's done nothing

50:28

wrong except right an op-ed that

50:30

was vaguely and politely students here

50:32

in this country are so scared

50:34

and I've heard from many are

50:36

scared of saying anything or doing

50:38

anything and if you have even

50:40

a minor like weed violation you're

50:42

getting taken like whatever excuse they

50:44

can have something you wrote or

50:46

or something else you can get

50:49

taken and you should have to

50:51

appear it's called habeas corpus everyone

50:53

you choirs a person in custody

50:55

appear before a judge it's one

50:57

of the core fundamental rights that

50:59

protects against arbitrary state action and

51:01

he is trying to suspend Tabeas

51:04

corpus for ridiculous reasons, for ridiculous

51:06

and nonsensical reasons. We're all in

51:08

danger and we're not. So anyway,

51:11

world's coolest dictator, you're not, you're

51:13

not, you're not, you're not, if

51:15

you have to call yourself the

51:17

world's coolest dictator, you're not cool.

51:20

And speaking of not cool, let's

51:22

move on to some lighter news,

51:24

other wastes of time and money,

51:27

and a giant publicity sum for

51:29

Jeff. Lauren Sanchez, Katie Perry, Gail

51:31

King, and three others, made a

51:33

10-minute trip on Blue Origin's new

51:35

shepherd rocket and returned safely to

51:38

Earth, thank goodness. Noted science, officinadoes,

51:40

Oprah Winfrey, Chris Jenner, and Chloe

51:42

Kardashian watch from the launch site

51:44

in West Texas. It's the first

51:46

time, and all female crew has

51:48

been in space since 1963, and

51:50

yes, Scott, they did fly above

51:52

the Carmen line, just so you

51:54

know. So, reaction, Scott. their outfits.

51:57

I don't know if you heard, but

51:59

they called Houston. They said... Houston, we

52:01

have a problem and Houston said, what

52:03

is it? And he said, well, you

52:05

should know what it is. That's your

52:07

joke. Actually, I actually care. I was

52:09

hoping that we get to see them

52:12

masturbate because I'd like to see them

52:14

defile gravity. I could keep going. I

52:16

could keep going on. Oh my God.

52:18

I'm just at the end of the

52:21

day. It's such a fine good for

52:23

them. I'm fine. I'm fine. They can

52:25

fly up there with their outfits or

52:27

their slinky outfits, whatever they want to

52:29

do. Here's what I don't like. Pretending

52:32

it's a feminist movement. It's just not.

52:34

It's just a bunch of ladies. And

52:36

their interviews show that because they're talking

52:38

about their eyeshadow and their eyeliner and

52:40

etc. They're going to... save women, you'd

52:43

be saving the woman who was grabbed

52:45

off the street, you'd be saving all

52:47

kinds of things, or you'd be pushing

52:49

up against Facebook and saying really shouldn't

52:51

be doing things to young girls that

52:54

make them feel bad. Like this is

52:56

not, of all the things you could

52:58

do to help women, this is not

53:00

one of them, and that's how I

53:03

feel about it. But have fun. You

53:05

know who are a real female astronaut

53:07

is Sally Ride. A PhD in physics.

53:09

And as Megan Kelly would say, openly

53:11

lesbian and spent a ton of time

53:14

in space, didn't make a lot of

53:16

money. I mean, Sally Ride is our

53:18

astronaut. These folks, yeah, I agree. There

53:20

were, there were from science people on

53:22

board. There were some science people on

53:25

board. Whatever, there were, but still, it's

53:27

just a stunt. It's not feminist, it's

53:29

just a stunt. How much fun Oprah

53:31

and all the rest of you have,

53:33

but there's some serious shit happening, so

53:36

maybe stop pretending you're doing something you're

53:38

not. How about, I don't resent them

53:40

for it, have out, have fun, go

53:42

up. Yeah, I just don't like the

53:45

feminist thing. Okay, okay, last thing. Sally

53:47

wasn't openly lesbian. No, she wasn't well,

53:49

I meant I was a play on

53:51

notice. No one has ever described me

53:53

as openly heterosexual No one has ever

53:56

said openly heterosexual podcaster. That was my

53:58

favorite part about her attack on you

54:00

as if as if you're not allowed

54:02

to be openly lesbian. I am openly.

54:04

She's openly lesbian. At least she's openly

54:07

lesbian. At least she'd have to. That's

54:09

a real old thing. At least good

54:11

madam you'd have the dignity to be

54:13

a closet and lesbian. I was never

54:15

really. I wasn't closet. That's not true.

54:18

I was not openly lesbian at the

54:20

beginning of my journey of lesbian. which

54:22

started at age four, but we're not

54:24

going into it with Megan Kelly, but

54:27

as she devil, she is. Anyway, last

54:29

thing, Bill Maher says he wasn't high

54:31

at his White House dinner with President

54:33

Trump, even though he also claims that

54:35

Trump was, quote, gracious in measure, the

54:38

comedian described his March 31st visit with

54:40

the president during a monologue at the

54:42

top of his Friday show. People felt

54:44

it was controversial. The cadet was organized

54:46

by illustrious statesman kid rock. Bill said

54:49

that he and musician, quote, quote, share

54:51

believed that there's got to be something

54:53

better. than hurling insults from 3,000 miles

54:55

away, although Bill's pretty fucking good at

54:57

that. Here's what he had to say

55:00

about his interaction with Trump. He's much

55:02

more self-aware than he lets on in

55:04

public. Look, I get it. It doesn't

55:06

matter who he is at a private

55:09

dinner with a comedian. It matters who

55:11

he is on the world stage. I'm

55:13

just taking as a positive that this

55:15

person exists, because everything I've ever not

55:17

liked about him was I swear to

55:20

God. absent at least on this night

55:22

with this guy. Okay. I'm going to

55:24

be on Bill Marsh show in a

55:26

couple of weeks. I think you are

55:28

too. Are you going to be on

55:31

a Tuesday? No, I was supposed to

55:33

be on Friday and I had a

55:35

tough time trying to figure out a

55:37

way to be on the way. I

55:39

had a tough time trying to figure

55:42

out a way to be on with

55:44

Steve Ben and I'm something about the

55:46

idea in a little way normalizing Nazi

55:48

salutes. I just I don't know how

55:51

to know how to thread it. Yeah,

55:53

you're a great panelist there. Go ahead.

55:55

You start. You start. I have some

55:57

thoughts too. Look, I think Bill Maher

55:59

and Joe and Mika did the right

56:02

thing. I think what the president calls

56:04

you and says come to the Oval

56:06

Office, I think you go. And I

56:08

think that him trying to show him

56:10

not immediately going to the kind of

56:13

polarized, this guy's a fucking idiot and

56:15

acknowledging that he's a charming guy or

56:17

that maybe trying to provide some comfort

56:19

that he's not. is not as crazy

56:21

as we think and he's self-wear and

56:24

he listens. I think that's important. The

56:26

only thing, and this might be my

56:28

bias, is that someone who is so

56:30

angry and aggressive, and I'm talking about

56:33

the president now, against people, I've heard

56:35

this about President Trump, that when he

56:37

meets you, he's nice and he's charming,

56:39

and then a few minutes later, he'll

56:41

basically... say vile things about you do

56:44

as 200 million followers. I think someone

56:46

who's nice to you to your face

56:48

and then should post you behind your

56:50

back in a way that really hurts

56:52

your reputation. I think there's a word

56:55

for that. Asshole. I much prefer someone,

56:57

I think you're like this, I think

56:59

you're more likely, who do you want?

57:01

If someone's, it's like, if you're gonna

57:03

be critical of someone, trying to in

57:06

a constructive way to them personally and

57:08

then speak well of them or at

57:10

least gently. behind their back. I think

57:12

that is the worst role model for

57:15

our young people. Yeah, I agree. I

57:17

agree. I agree. But I'm glad he

57:19

did it. I think he was smart

57:21

to do it. I think it's a

57:23

dignified thing to do. I thought it's

57:26

an impossible needle to thread because people

57:28

who hate Trump are angry at him

57:30

for acknowledging the president has some positive

57:32

qualities. I think it's kind of an

57:34

impossible position or needle to thread for

57:37

Bill. Well, here's what I think happened.

57:39

He was getting very sharp on Trump,

57:41

very sharp, very tough, and they decided

57:43

to neuter him a little bit by

57:45

being charming. I think he has been

57:48

doing some really, you know, he has

57:50

been, he tries to do the down

57:52

the middle country. and thing a lot

57:54

of the time, but he has been,

57:57

the sharpest attacks on Trump among comics,

57:59

and which there are mening, by the

58:01

way. So I think they were trying,

58:03

I thought they were trying to neuter

58:05

him and it worked in that regard.

58:08

Now, you know, look, I think it's

58:10

right to go to the dinner that

58:12

would be really interesting, but to say,

58:14

oh, look, he's charming in person, like

58:16

I'm sure Goebels was thrilling at a

58:19

cocktail party. put a hat, he put

58:21

a lampshade on his head and we

58:23

dance all night and you know and

58:25

you know the tarantella I like I

58:27

don't know what to say like I

58:30

just am like so Bill I will

58:32

bring this up with Bill if he

58:34

lets me on now but was he

58:36

was he lying to you a dinner

58:39

or to the world? Which one? Because

58:41

he is a terrible person publicly. Terrible.

58:43

The stuff he did today, terrible. And

58:45

it's not, there's nothing charming about keeping

58:47

a person who is unjustly jailed and

58:50

jail and then laughing about it and

58:52

then her wranging reporters about it. There's

58:54

nothing, you know, charming about most of

58:56

the things. There's not like charming about

58:58

ruining your friend's business. There's nothing charming

59:01

about it. So I just, honestly, that's

59:03

what I kept thinking of like I'm

59:05

sure. Like any nasty piece of shit

59:07

is charming person and there are a

59:09

lot of them that I have dealt

59:12

with but... You should have gone, but

59:14

don't give me this, he's charming, because

59:16

he's not, he's just not charming. And

59:18

he's, he'll probably, the minute you go

59:21

after him again, which I hope and

59:23

pray you will, and I know you

59:25

will, actually, because he doesn't pull punches

59:27

a lot, sometimes he does, but he

59:29

doesn't really, as a comic. So the

59:32

minute you go after him again, he's

59:34

like, I was so nice doing him,

59:36

I made him, Dana, I showed him

59:38

off the Whitehouse, I showed him off

59:40

the White House, I showed him my

59:43

bedroom, my bedroom, my bedroom, my bedroom,

59:45

whatever. But I probably, would you go

59:47

to dinner if you asked us? Do

59:49

you think you'd ever ask us to?

59:51

You just get to fuck about us.

59:54

Well, I agree with you. I was

59:56

straight or straight. I, I, I, I,

59:58

I said this about Joe Meeka, I

1:00:00

believe. this about Bill Marrow. I think

1:00:03

if the president calls you and asks

1:00:05

you to come to the White

1:00:07

House, you go. I just think

1:00:09

you go. I'll go. I just wouldn't

1:00:11

be as polite in person. I

1:00:13

wouldn't be like, oh, hey, can I

1:00:16

have a role? That's the kind

1:00:18

of thing. Anyway, we'll see. We'll see.

1:00:20

We'll see. We'll see. What happens?

1:00:22

I'll tell this to Bill's face.

1:00:24

That's the kind of thing. Anyway.

1:00:26

We'll say in front of your

1:00:29

back. Oh, gosh, is that

1:00:31

possible? Is that possible?

1:00:33

Good for you, Scott

1:00:35

Galloway. Good for you. I

1:00:37

know you like being on that

1:00:40

show, too. I do. I love

1:00:42

it. Have him back, Bells. Don't

1:00:44

be a, don't be a douchen.

1:00:46

Also, I'll have him

1:00:48

back. All right, Scott, one

1:00:51

more quick break. We'll

1:00:53

be back for Wins and

1:00:55

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you. Okay, Scott, let's hear some

1:03:28

wins and fails. May I start?

1:03:30

Yeah, you just go ahead. Let

1:03:33

me just say two things. Television

1:03:35

is so happy place for me

1:03:37

these days, watching different things, and

1:03:39

this weekend, there's two shows. G20,

1:03:41

with Viola Davis, where she plays

1:03:43

a kick-ass. woman president who like

1:03:45

kicks ass she acts they go

1:03:48

to the Jesus Summit there is

1:03:50

a South African guy who takes

1:03:52

over all the G20, excuse me,

1:03:54

and she kicks ass in Windsor.

1:03:56

It's like Harrison Ford's Air Force

1:03:58

one. And let me just say,

1:04:00

I love Viola Davis, I love

1:04:02

her kicking ass and killing South

1:04:05

African terrorists, or maybe they're from

1:04:07

Australia. I don't know, they have

1:04:09

that accent. So good. It was

1:04:11

so bad and so good at

1:04:13

the same time. It was Air

1:04:15

Force One, but Viola Davis. So

1:04:17

there was some good acting in

1:04:19

there too. Fantastic. Second one, Hacks,

1:04:22

the season premiere. Again, two women,

1:04:24

Hannah Einnder and, oh God, I'm

1:04:26

blanking up. Jean Smart. Oh my

1:04:28

god, it is, risen a level

1:04:30

of, like, it was already one

1:04:32

of my favorite shows. I've heard

1:04:34

it's great. This season, the two

1:04:37

of them go, at some point,

1:04:39

I'm like, just kiss you two,

1:04:41

because they're going, they're insults of

1:04:43

each other and they're going back

1:04:45

and forth, and then there's a

1:04:47

poignant moment in the first two

1:04:49

episodes about heartbreak, and I just

1:04:51

love this show so much. Obviously,

1:04:54

Doge falling short of its goal,

1:04:56

it was supposed to save $2

1:04:58

trillion, and it went to $1

1:05:00

trillion. Now he said, and Elon

1:05:02

said in a meeting, that it's

1:05:04

$150 billion. Dave Farhanold, as always,

1:05:06

he's now at the New York

1:05:08

Times, showed the math to be

1:05:11

wrong. Again, that is probably even

1:05:13

less money that he is, that

1:05:15

he's saving, but we don't even

1:05:17

know how much he's costing for

1:05:19

the savings. That's not in this.

1:05:21

So he's not saving any money

1:05:23

and he's causing incredible harm and

1:05:25

cutting things without thinking about it

1:05:28

and doing it surgically. So we're

1:05:30

not benefited as a people on

1:05:32

stuff we should reform government as

1:05:34

everybody thinks. So what an incredible.

1:05:36

waste of our time and energy

1:05:38

to have this ridiculous person prance

1:05:40

all over the place saying he's

1:05:43

saving money and then of course

1:05:45

He's not delivering. It's the same

1:05:47

thing that this is a theme

1:05:49

of his life right now is

1:05:51

over promising and under delivering, whether

1:05:53

it's the cyber truck, whether it's

1:05:55

autonomous cars. This is just such

1:05:57

a ridiculous thing, this doge thing,

1:06:00

given how much energy and time

1:06:02

and pain it has caused people

1:06:04

unnecessarily. That is my fail. I

1:06:06

like it. I was going to

1:06:08

do a prediction, but I'll try

1:06:10

and reshape it as a win

1:06:12

and a fail. The fail is

1:06:14

what you, I'll just pick it

1:06:17

back off what you said. Essentially.

1:06:19

If this audit proved anything, it's

1:06:21

that there's a lot less inefficiency

1:06:23

and waste and fraud than we

1:06:25

thought. I mean, this is about

1:06:27

as clean a bill of health

1:06:29

as anyway, because they were dying

1:06:31

to find fraud, and they just

1:06:34

didn't find very much. And most

1:06:36

of their claims of fraud and

1:06:38

savings ended up to be fraudulent

1:06:40

themselves and that they were lies.

1:06:42

And we predicted he would exit.

1:06:44

He's gone. I think he's already

1:06:46

gone. I think he's already figured

1:06:49

out. He was with Trump the

1:06:51

other night at that stupid WDB.

1:06:53

Yeah, but that's proximity to power.

1:06:55

I think Doge, I think Doge

1:06:57

is basically the curtain is closing

1:06:59

on Doge. It just didn't work.

1:07:01

It was a distraction fine, but

1:07:03

it's not working. The reality is

1:07:06

Americans against the above not willing

1:07:08

to endure pain. They have to

1:07:10

face a hard decision here. It's

1:07:12

the hard thing about the hard

1:07:14

thing. being a country that doesn't

1:07:16

spend seven trillion dollars and taking

1:07:18

five trillion in tax receipts, there's

1:07:20

only two things you can do,

1:07:23

folks. You either have to cut

1:07:25

entitlements or raise taxes. And the

1:07:27

answer is yes. And at some

1:07:29

point, we're going to have to

1:07:31

figure out a way to do

1:07:33

that. And or just wait till

1:07:35

we get shoved in a corner

1:07:38

and the people who own our

1:07:40

debt can basically start calling the

1:07:42

shots, which they're doing now. In

1:07:44

a company that gets so highly

1:07:46

levered, basically the bank owes you.

1:07:48

And this is what's happening to

1:07:50

us. Our creditors are beginning to

1:07:52

owe us. This is Doge. Doge

1:07:55

was jazz hands. It didn't, a

1:07:57

clean bill of health when we.

1:07:59

I decided to elect a grown-up,

1:08:01

we're going to have to make

1:08:03

some very hard decisions here. My

1:08:05

win, and it's sort of win, but

1:08:08

this really was my prediction, you're

1:08:10

going to see a flurry of deals.

1:08:12

You know, the art of the deal, the

1:08:14

basic premise was, okay. We're, he's a negotiator,

1:08:16

he's bringing these people to the table.

1:08:18

First off, we just need to dispel

1:08:20

the notion this guy's a good business

1:08:23

person. He's a rich kid that would

1:08:25

have made more money if he'd given,

1:08:27

taken all of his massive inheritance and

1:08:29

put it into ETFs. His business career

1:08:31

is basically a series of bankrupted companies

1:08:34

and unpaid subcontractors. So let's just stop

1:08:36

this nonsense that he has any fucking

1:08:38

clue what he's doing in terms of

1:08:40

business. He has unwittinglyingly inspired... Unbelievable

1:08:43

and unbelievable torrent tsunami of

1:08:45

deals, cross-border trade deals, but

1:08:48

it won't be with us.

1:08:50

The EU is talking to

1:08:52

Latin America, Japan, South

1:08:54

Korea, and China are talking.

1:08:57

This has set off incredible

1:08:59

incentive for a ton of

1:09:01

nations around the world to start

1:09:04

thinking about free trade zones, to

1:09:06

become more dependent upon each other,

1:09:08

to take the cost of... reconfiguring

1:09:11

their supply chain and excising America

1:09:13

from the supply chain. They're thinking,

1:09:15

how can we make up for

1:09:18

some of that lost economic growth

1:09:20

that this is going to cost

1:09:22

us? I know, let's lower each

1:09:25

other's trade barriers. The unwitting unintended

1:09:27

consequence of this is that the

1:09:29

US is about to trade off

1:09:31

a lot of its own prosperity

1:09:33

and it's going to leak to

1:09:35

other Western nations who are talking

1:09:37

to each other. and cooperating and

1:09:39

coordinating now. You're going to see

1:09:42

trade deals between Mexico and Canada.

1:09:44

You're going to see trade deals

1:09:46

between the EU and China. This

1:09:48

is going to the intended, what

1:09:50

they claim they were going to

1:09:52

accomplish from America, they have accomplished

1:09:54

for everyone else but America. Yes,

1:09:56

true. They're going to get all the

1:09:58

avocados in Canada and... and Mexicans are

1:10:00

going to get all the good maple

1:10:03

syrup. Do you hear that, people? It's

1:10:05

finished. Avocado toast and pancakes are done

1:10:07

for us, as Americans. Much less lumber

1:10:09

or gypsum drywall. You want to talk

1:10:11

about the cost of building right now?

1:10:14

Gypsum drywall for Mexico or lumber? I

1:10:16

just renovated my house. I'm so pleased

1:10:18

that I did it last year. My

1:10:20

contractor said it would have been double.

1:10:23

I'm interviewing Mark Kearney this afternoon. What

1:10:25

would you asking? Yeah, he reached out.

1:10:27

For what? Which show? Which show? I

1:10:29

wanted to do it for pivot or

1:10:31

raging moderates. He said he wanted to

1:10:34

do it for profity conversations. I think

1:10:36

he wants to talk about young men.

1:10:38

Yeah, good. Well, I heard you have,

1:10:40

by the way, you have another podcast

1:10:42

you didn't tell me about? Which one's

1:10:45

this? The man, the men thing. Scaringuchi

1:10:47

and this. Oh, that's a limited series.

1:10:49

He called me and said, let's do

1:10:51

four pods. Yeah, that's good for your

1:10:53

book coming out. Good, I'm very excited.

1:10:56

You cat around on me quite a

1:10:58

bit. That's okay, I don't mind. I

1:11:00

just want to know about it. I

1:11:02

just know about that. It's alcohol. I

1:11:05

hope it has nothing to do with

1:11:07

our relationship. I just like to wake

1:11:09

up with a strange man's lipstick all

1:11:11

over my day. I want, okay. I

1:11:13

know you did. I'm ignoring it completely.

1:11:16

I would like to make your book

1:11:18

like bestseller. Defile gravity! Defile gravity, Katie

1:11:20

Barry. I want to make your book

1:11:22

a ton of habits. Let me hear

1:11:24

you roar. You 90s pop star, one

1:11:27

ton, bitch! I'm sorry, go ahead. She

1:11:29

defied gravity. Anyway, let me just say,

1:11:31

for one thing Scott said, there's a

1:11:33

lot of reporting from Rolling Stone and

1:11:36

Puck that he's annoying people at the

1:11:38

White House. They question if he's high

1:11:40

and Republicans on Capitol Hill are no

1:11:42

longer terrified him either. That said, Scott,

1:11:44

only thing is he's leaving. The Washington

1:11:47

Post reported today and the security implications

1:11:49

and... other people you don't know about

1:11:51

that don't look like Elon Musk will

1:11:53

still remain problematic for our country in

1:11:55

those positions. So just remember that. All

1:11:58

right, okay, there you have. it. Those

1:12:00

are good. But please, for the love

1:12:02

of God, watch Viola Davis kick some

1:12:04

ass. It's so good. It's so good.

1:12:07

It's so good. I think that's just

1:12:09

an attempt to address your PTSD and

1:12:11

pretend that Vice President Harris won the

1:12:13

election. No, no, no. She could. Justice

1:12:15

Burns, couldn't have done this. This was

1:12:18

just what. Trust me, watch it and

1:12:20

then call me back. Just I'm just

1:12:22

telling you. You'll love it. It's so

1:12:24

much fun. Like, she's won an Oscar.

1:12:26

Isn't she? She won an Oscar? Whatever.

1:12:29

She deserves an Oscar. She won an

1:12:31

Emmy, an Oscar, whatever. This woman is

1:12:33

like top actor, just chewing up the

1:12:35

scenery. It's so enjoyable. She did one

1:12:37

a TV show years ago called How

1:12:40

to Get Away with Murder, which you

1:12:42

should watch again. She also chewed up

1:12:44

the scenery with her Oscar winning acting

1:12:46

abilities. Anyway. She's so talented, but I

1:12:49

love that she's doing this and just

1:12:51

punching people in the face with the

1:12:53

machine, the whole thing, it's fantastic. Anyway,

1:12:55

we want to hear from you, send

1:12:57

us your questions about business tech or

1:13:00

whatever is on your mind, go to

1:13:02

nymag.com/pivot to submit a question for the

1:13:04

show, or call 855.1 pivot. Also, pivot

1:13:06

is up for a webby award for

1:13:08

Best Business Podcast and we are asking

1:13:11

for your vote and some of other,

1:13:13

your other podcasts are also up. So

1:13:15

vote for profgee. vote for us. Go

1:13:17

to vote dot webyawards.com to cast your

1:13:20

ballot. We won last year and we're

1:13:22

hoping for a twofer. Elsewhere in the

1:13:24

Scott and Carra universe I just did

1:13:26

a whole panel on tariffs with trade

1:13:28

law expert Raj Bala, Pux, Bill Cohen,

1:13:31

and Catherine Rampel from the Washington Post.

1:13:33

Let's listen to a quick clip. The

1:13:35

only way I can explain it is

1:13:37

that we're dealing with the madness of

1:13:39

King George type moment. Maybe Trump is

1:13:42

trading on the volatility and... Certainly there's

1:13:44

a lot of money to be made

1:13:46

if you know what he's going to

1:13:48

do from one minute to the next,

1:13:51

which only he seems to know. But

1:13:53

all of his explanations for what he

1:13:55

is trying to do are completely incoherent

1:13:57

and self-contradictory and... come back to, well,

1:13:59

he's just like tariffs for a really

1:14:02

long time. Anyway, it was a great

1:14:04

interview. All of them had different things

1:14:06

to add. Just FYI, just, I think

1:14:08

Catherine Rampel is a total comer. I

1:14:10

think she's going to be... Really? I

1:14:13

think you're going to hear her name

1:14:15

a lot. I think she is exceptionally

1:14:17

talented. She's great. She had an outstanding

1:14:19

moment on that show. think it's a

1:14:21

fucking food fight, whatever it's called. On

1:14:24

Abby's phone, yeah. And whoever the Republican

1:14:26

is, was trying to defend. Scott Jennings.

1:14:28

Whoever the Republican is was trying to

1:14:30

defend. I call him bad Scott. He's

1:14:33

bad Scott. He's trying to defend Bannon.

1:14:35

He's saying, it was a wave. And

1:14:37

Catherine Rampell goes, give us that wave.

1:14:39

Give us that way. And he just

1:14:41

sat there like someone had just been

1:14:44

caught masturbating or defiling gravity. Yeah, defiling

1:14:46

gravity. Yeah, anyway, we love her. All

1:14:48

right, Scott, that's another show. Thanks for

1:14:50

listening to pivot. Be sure to like

1:14:52

and subscribe our YouTube channel. We'll be

1:14:55

back on Friday. Scott, read us out.

1:14:57

Today's show was produced by Larry Neymanzui,

1:14:59

Marcus, Taylor Griffin, Arin Ruff, and Kate

1:15:01

Gallagher. Ernie Intertot engineered this episode, Jim

1:15:04

Mackel edited the video. Thanks also to

1:15:06

Drew Burroughs, Miss Everio, and Dan Shalon.

1:15:08

Nishakhawa is the Vox Media's executive producer

1:15:10

of podcast. Make sure you're subscribed to

1:15:12

the show or ever you listen to

1:15:15

a podcast. Thanks for listening to pivot

1:15:17

from New York magazine, Vox Media. You

1:15:19

can subscribe to the magazine at nymic.com/pod.

1:15:21

We'll be back later this week for

1:15:23

another breakdown of all things, tech, and

1:15:26

business care. Have a great rest of

1:15:28

the week.

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