Is TikTok really dead?

Is TikTok really dead?

Released Thursday, 12th December 2024
Good episode? Give it some love!
Is TikTok really dead?

Is TikTok really dead?

Is TikTok really dead?

Is TikTok really dead?

Thursday, 12th December 2024
Good episode? Give it some love!
Rate Episode

Episode Transcript

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0:39

I'm Taylor I'm Taylor Welcome

0:41

to User. Last

0:48

week, TikTok lost its challenge to stop

0:50

a ban of the app in the

0:52

United States. States. I've been in deep

0:54

denial about this, and a lot of

0:56

creators have been too, but the ban is

0:59

looking more and more likely. My guest My

1:01

guest today is honestly the best person

1:03

to talk about this. Louise Metzikas on on China

1:05

and tech for Wired. Hi Louise, Louise. Welcome to Power User.

1:07

Hey, it's so It's so great to be

1:09

here, Taylor. Taylor. Okay, so I I wanted to

1:11

talk to you because I feel like

1:13

you are the expert of all things

1:15

about sort of China and tech. tech. And

1:17

I think... You just got back from Taiwan,

1:20

learning Chinese. that correct? Yeah, that's that's very nice

1:22

of you to say. I was I was

1:24

just in Taiwan for... about 10 weeks doing

1:26

an intensive Chinese course. course. Well, I I feel

1:28

like we can't talk about China and

1:30

tech without talking about talking about TikTok. So what is is

1:32

going on with TikTok? catch Catch us up

1:34

to speed because obviously we see news see news

1:36

that the ban is back on. I What

1:38

is the latest? court I know they lost you

1:40

case. a Can you give us a kind

1:42

of 101 on where things stand right now?

1:44

now? Yeah, first First of all, I just want

1:46

to acknowledge that if you find this

1:48

difficult to follow to alone not

1:50

I think it's been about a and

1:52

a half years now we we first

1:55

started talking about TikTok being banned.

1:57

was about... about middle of 2020? Okay,

1:59

so maybe maybe. years. since we

2:01

started talking about this this. I kind

2:03

of feel like the like who cried

2:05

cried I've talked so many

2:07

times about about. Tik, maybe not being

2:09

know, not. available in the US or or the

2:12

app getting banned here, or what have you. but

2:14

maybe not all will all listeners

2:16

will but this time, but it's for real,

2:18

guys. Like, this is actually that that it's

2:20

like looking truly, truly bad. This This is

2:22

not just like that Trump is tweeting

2:24

or whatever. Like this is really this is

2:26

courts have made courts have made a really

2:28

specifics are that specifics

2:30

week. week. There

2:33

was a decision in this

2:35

case this case where the U .S. US

2:37

government for passing a law

2:39

that would basically force either

2:41

parent parent company Bite Dance

2:43

to sell its U .S. operations

2:45

to an American company by

2:47

January 19th, or the app would

2:49

be banned. So people the

2:51

law as like a ban

2:54

or sell law, basically. So Tiktok sued that

2:56

that the law was

2:58

unconstitutional because banning this platform

3:00

that 170 million Americans they

3:02

argued They argued a a

3:05

violation of the First Amendment,

3:07

a .k .a. it violated people's to

3:09

free speech. However, TikTok lost

3:11

that case, and the Court

3:13

of Appeals in Washington, with the US

3:15

government. U .S. the court said that the

3:17

court said that there national admit

3:19

national security issues here. So what

3:21

happens next is that case could go to

3:23

the Supreme Court. And how likely do likely do you

3:25

think that the Sufum Court would take this up? up?

3:27

I I think they are likely to take

3:30

this case, but it's hard to predict. which way

3:32

way they would rule. The seem

3:34

like they like they are interested free

3:36

protecting free speech, but have courts have

3:38

given a lot of leeway to

3:40

issues security issues and have given

3:42

a lot of sort of deference

3:44

to the executive branch and the

3:47

president to make judgments about now. security.

3:49

speaking of the national security security I

3:51

feel like one thing that's really concerning

3:53

to me is that there doesn't

3:55

seem to be any proof. We still

3:57

don't have this don't have gun smoking gun of

4:00

of the allegations, I guess, that

4:02

are made against made against and of

4:04

course, American companies also have been

4:06

involved like Facebook in foreign interference

4:08

and and elections and stuff. stuff. So has the US

4:10

the US government come with anything

4:12

new? new? Is there a smoking

4:14

gun at this point? point? No. And

4:17

and actually, if you read the

4:19

court's opinion, it's really interesting because

4:21

they they acknowledge a lot of the

4:23

concerns about TikTok being owned a Chinese

4:25

company were actually hypo... hypothetical,

4:27

but they said that those hypothetical

4:29

national security issues were enough

4:31

to determine that the law was

4:33

in fact. So yeah, we don't have a we

4:35

don't have a smoking have We don't have

4:37

a evidence that the Chinese government

4:39

is spying on Americans through Tik or

4:42

that that they're trying to to manipulate

4:44

people's for you page to certain

4:46

ideas. We really don't have that

4:48

that evidence, but that's not because

4:50

the Chinese government is benevolent. is What

4:52

we've seen time and time again

4:54

is that they're able to get

4:56

information that they want from Americans,

4:58

their personal data, their social security

5:01

numbers, their you know, where they

5:03

come and go through other means,

5:05

right? they come and go, vendors. right Yeah, exactly.

5:07

It's not that I'm trying to

5:09

say. Oh, the Chinese government

5:11

doesn't have an interest in of

5:14

espionage and hacking. It's that that I

5:16

don't think do to do it through No,

5:18

they can do it through they can do it

5:20

through any and all brokers data all of

5:22

the data that's being harvested on

5:24

every American social app. along with of law, then,

5:26

of does that take I mean. kind

5:28

that take intending account? there any sort of

5:30

comprehensive data privacy reform that's going to

5:32

be passed along with this ban to ensure

5:34

that Americans are kept safe from? safe from

5:37

China? That's a very a very

5:39

nice thought, the Taylor. is no.

5:41

reality is stopping is

5:43

nothing stopping along and from coming

5:45

along the same thing doing the

5:47

same thing and it being owned

5:50

potentially by another or an adversary

5:52

or a different country your

5:54

data and data it to the into

5:56

the Chinese government. through some some

5:58

complicated supply chain. is nothing

6:00

here that really applies in a broader

6:03

context that is designed to protect your

6:05

privacy in a general sense. This is

6:07

really a law that was specifically designed

6:10

in order to target TikTok and to

6:12

target its subsidiaries. And that was part

6:14

of what TikTok tried to argue to

6:17

the court, right? That this is not

6:19

actually about national security in China. It's

6:21

about cracking down on one platform, right?

6:24

I personally think so. Yeah, it's kind

6:26

of been really frustrating over the last

6:28

four years to watch as people in

6:31

DC in particular lawmakers on both sides

6:33

of the spectrum. We should say like

6:35

this was originally sort of something that

6:38

came from Republicans, but then really became

6:40

a bipartisan issue that all of the

6:42

focus was on this. single app and

6:45

what this app could and couldn't do,

6:47

what kind of data it was collecting.

6:49

And I think, honestly, a lot of

6:52

that has to do with the fact

6:54

that increasingly less so, but generally, TikTok

6:56

is known for having a pretty young

6:59

user base and a progressive user base.

7:01

Yeah, and a very progressive user base.

7:03

And I think it was really telling

7:06

that you saw time and time again

7:08

that politicians who are really worried about

7:10

this would readily admit in interviews that

7:13

they haven't actually used the app themselves.

7:15

And I think Tikjak is really the

7:17

type of thing where if you haven't

7:20

spent a good amount of time using

7:22

it yourself, you don't really know what

7:24

it's about and you can't really get

7:27

the vibe from like reading a think

7:29

tank report or something like that. Well,

7:31

it's also, I mean, I feel like

7:34

I've reported on this a bit too,

7:36

but meta and Google have aggressively campaigned

7:38

against TikTok and led smear campaigns that

7:41

I think the media has fed into.

7:43

I mean, there's been a lot of

7:45

reports of these fake TikTok challenges that

7:48

then end up in Senate hearings and

7:50

other things brought up. What role do

7:52

you think those sorts of campaigns, those

7:55

lobbying campaigns, those PR campaigns in the

7:57

media, played in this decision? I

8:00

think there's no doubt that if TikTok

8:02

went away, it would be incredibly beneficial

8:04

for Facebook and their Instagram reels product.

8:07

Certainly, a lot of people would try

8:09

and find the same content on YouTube,

8:11

which also now has a vertical short

8:14

form. video platform as well. But I

8:16

think that really TikTok became a symbol

8:18

of rising geopolitical tensions between the US

8:21

and China and that Google and Facebook

8:23

didn't really need to do anything. It

8:25

just became sort of a household name.

8:28

It became this incredible I don't know

8:30

how to put it, like almost, I

8:32

guess a symbol is sort of the

8:35

right word. It's a buggy man. It's

8:37

used to push a moral panic. And

8:39

it's like, I mean, so much of

8:42

the conversation around this is moral panic.

8:44

And sort of like you said, these

8:46

hypothetical fears, but of course, if those

8:49

hypothetical fears were actual legitimate concerns, we

8:51

would be doing things to address them.

8:53

And it seems like they're not interested

8:56

in that. The impetus for bringing back

8:58

this ban last year from Rep Gallagher,

9:00

who really spearheaded this effort, was around

9:03

speech on the app and young people,

9:05

especially espousing progressive values and pro-Palestinian sentiment.

9:07

And that was sort of what put

9:10

it back on his radar. And that

9:12

seems really concerning that so much of

9:14

the, even the hearings about TikTok, it

9:17

wasn't really about China. It was about

9:19

the speech happening on the app and

9:21

the desire to censor speech. I totally

9:24

agree. I think one of the really

9:26

interesting things about reporting on US-China relations

9:28

is that a lot of the time,

9:31

particularly with older conservative lawmakers, but across

9:33

the spectrum, this issue with China or

9:35

this thing we're afraid of, really has

9:38

very little basis in China or is

9:40

not really relevant to China, but it

9:42

becomes this bogeyman or this thing that

9:45

we can talk about. is actually a

9:47

vessel for our own anxiety. So I

9:49

think towards the end of the tick-talk

9:52

saga, you know, as the bill was

9:54

passing, I saw a lot of lawmakers,

9:56

and I think you probably saw this

9:59

too, Taylor, when the CEO of tick-talk

10:01

testified before Congress, a lot of those

10:03

questions weren't about China. They were about

10:06

kids and social media, right? They were

10:08

about, you know, like, fears about, like,

10:10

what kids are learning online. Yes, it

10:13

all feeds into, I mean, we've been

10:15

covering a lot on this show, this

10:17

broad moral panic about kids and technology

10:20

use. Yeah, it was like, kids are

10:22

boiling NyQuil chicken and other conspiracies. And

10:24

it's terrifying, I think, because of course,

10:27

this law has pretty significant ramifications, right?

10:29

I'm curious, will it only affect TikTok

10:31

or will it also affect other bite

10:34

dance apps like Lemonade and Capcut, Lemonade

10:36

being their sort of Pinterest competitor and

10:38

Capcut being. I think like the main

10:41

mobile video editor for the entire content

10:43

creator industry. So what is the fate

10:45

of some of those other bite dance

10:48

apps? Is this like a bite dance

10:50

ban or will it be more limited?

10:52

This is a by dance band. So

10:55

it will definitely apply to the other

10:57

by dance subsidiaries because they are, you

10:59

know, share the same parent company. No,

11:02

not Cap Cut. Don't make you learn

11:04

Premier again. I know, I know. Cap

11:06

Cut is so much better than Premier.

11:09

I really think it's understated the role

11:11

that it's played in allowing so many

11:13

more people to become creators because it

11:16

was so much easier to like edit

11:18

a video right on your phone and

11:20

then upload it right away and to

11:23

have it look at least like. somewhat

11:25

professional or like have some cuts or

11:27

some different views. There's nothing like it.

11:30

There is nothing like it. And it's

11:32

actually interesting, like, I'm curious to our

11:34

thoughts too, how quickly TikTok pushed these

11:37

other companies, like we basically have a

11:39

duopoly outside of TikTok between meta and

11:41

Google, and neither meta or Google has

11:44

ever invested in creator tools, never really

11:46

prioritized creator, well, you do of course,

11:48

prioritized creators, but not like, like, they

11:51

don't have a editing suite, like cap

11:53

cut that's available that's available to them

11:55

to them. And it's available to them.

11:58

And it. And it seems like, like,

12:00

able to really challenge them and force

12:02

them to innovate and force them to

12:05

actually better serve users. And now that

12:07

they're eliminating that competition, it seems like

12:09

users are the ones that are going

12:12

to lose out. I think

12:14

that's right. And I think the reason

12:16

that TikTok was able to do that

12:18

and Bightance was able to do that

12:21

is that they're really the only major

12:23

social media company, I would venture to

12:25

say in the last 10 years, that

12:28

has been able to take lessons it

12:30

learned in the biggest and most online

12:32

market in the world, which is China,

12:34

and then take those lessons and use

12:37

them to succeed and to compete in

12:39

the US market. And I think that's

12:41

part of what makes TikTok competitors afraid

12:44

because they've been shut out of the

12:46

Chinese market. Right? Like there is an

12:48

argument that I think you can make

12:50

that's, okay, why is bite dance able

12:53

to dominate both the US market and

12:55

the Chinese market when meta Google, a

12:57

ton of other American companies were shut

13:00

out of that market, right? That's what

13:02

makes bite dance so interesting. And I

13:04

think one of the things they learned

13:06

was, hey, if you want people to

13:09

upload good content, you have to give

13:11

them the tools in order to do

13:13

that. Well, of course, the irony is

13:16

that it was all built out of

13:18

Musically, which was right here and which

13:20

could have sold to Viacom or another

13:23

American company, and which it could, it

13:25

didn't, and it, I mean, Musically was

13:27

forced to sell in large part as

13:29

I reported in my book, because Meadow

13:32

was driving them out of business. And

13:34

it does seem sort of anti-competitive. to

13:36

hand this win to meta and Google

13:39

in a way. It's going to obviously

13:41

also have huge economic impacts. It seems

13:43

like it's, I mean, it's going to

13:45

devastate millions of Americans that rely on

13:48

the app for income, millions of small

13:50

businesses. Like, what is the fallout going

13:52

to be from this ban? I think

13:55

it's going to be catastrophic in a

13:57

lot of ways, and it's going to

13:59

be particularly loud because these are small

14:01

businesses, small creators. have built an audience

14:04

on this platform that they cannot build

14:06

elsewhere. I think in the environment of

14:08

like five to ten years ago, there

14:11

were a lot of small businesses were

14:13

like, you know, they were great, they

14:15

were beloved, and they sort of had

14:18

like a kind of popular Instagram page,

14:20

maybe like a few thousand likes on

14:22

their Facebook page. and that was it

14:24

right maybe a few hundred on their

14:27

YouTube if they were lucky and that

14:29

was like the extent of their digital

14:31

presence that is not how tic-toc works

14:34

if you do well as a small

14:36

business on tic-toc that can transform your

14:38

entire company overnight you know we're talking

14:40

like one really passionate baker who bakes

14:43

in her home kitchen and in a

14:45

few months she can like have two

14:47

store friends and a staff of a

14:50

dozen employees and like credit almost all

14:52

of that success to the audience that

14:54

she was able to find rapidly on

14:56

TikTok and That's not to say that

14:59

Tik Talk is some kind company that

15:01

wants to make these small businesses do

15:03

well. What it is is that their

15:06

strategy is always to diffuse, diffuse, diffuse.

15:08

They would rather have, you know, 10,000

15:10

stay-at-home moms who each sell like three

15:13

sweaters through the Tik Top shop. then

15:15

try and lure one big celebrity that

15:17

sells 30,000 in a night or whatever

15:19

it is. They think that the way

15:22

to build a sustainable platform is to

15:24

hedge your bets by turning as many

15:26

people as possible into sort of like

15:29

micro influencers or trying to lure these

15:31

small businesses. And I think that one

15:33

consequence of that strategy which has been

15:35

very successful is now you have really

15:38

a lot of people all over the

15:40

country who probably are not making a

15:42

million dollars a year although there are

15:45

some here in Los Angeles for sure

15:47

but they're making five ten thousand dollars

15:49

from the platform and that's really meaningful

15:52

for their life yeah i mean i

15:54

did a story months ago where i

15:56

was interviewing small business owners about this

15:58

and i mean these are like and

16:01

pop businesses across the country, these are

16:03

people where they, this is how they're

16:05

feeding their family, this is how they're

16:08

paying for health care. Like, it just

16:10

seems so wild that these lawmakers truly

16:12

don't give a shit about. any of

16:14

them. I mean, there is no alternative.

16:17

There simply is no US alternative. There's

16:19

no other platform that has that level

16:21

of e-commerce integration and discovery. Like, TikTok,

16:24

as you mentioned, there's something very democratic

16:26

about it because it is so built

16:28

around discovery that small creators can thrive

16:30

there in different ways and be discovered.

16:33

And YouTube and meta are just so

16:35

incredibly saturated. It makes me nervous. I

16:37

really do wonder sort of what that

16:40

follow is going to be and also

16:42

like who people are going to blame

16:44

for it. Totally I think one possible

16:47

scenario here and I don't know how

16:49

legally viable it is, is that actually

16:51

what happens is that Trump does make

16:53

good on his promise to quote unquote

16:56

save the platform and one way he

16:58

could do that is even if the

17:00

Supreme Court decides to let the law

17:03

stay to uphold the law. Trump could

17:05

basically just not really enforce it. It's

17:07

not clear how long he would necessarily

17:09

get away with that, but I feel

17:12

like the platforms are just gonna abide

17:14

by the law though, even if he's

17:16

like, I'm not gonna enforce it. No

17:19

one's gonna believe him. He changes his

17:21

mind all the time and that shifts

17:23

the burden, like the risk is then

17:25

solely on. Apple and Google. Do you

17:28

know what I mean? So I feel

17:30

like. Yeah, but we could end up

17:32

in sort of a weird liminal space.

17:35

I think again, like it's so hard

17:37

to know where like you can't download

17:39

it from the app store, but it

17:42

still works on your phone until it

17:44

doesn't. Yeah, until it doesn't for sure.

17:46

But I just maybe, maybe I'm just

17:48

in denial, but I can't believe just

17:51

that like on January 19th, you'll open

17:53

the app and it won't work anymore.

17:55

One of the reasons that I remain

17:58

somewhat optimistic that Trump will want to

18:00

intervene is that it was interesting to

18:02

see how as this law got closer

18:04

and closer to passing and as more

18:07

and more lawmakers became convinced that banning

18:09

TikTok was the right move, you saw

18:11

the public go in the complete opposite

18:14

direction. There was a really great poll

18:16

from the Pew Research Center, which showed

18:18

that. as the TikTok saga unfolded, a

18:20

lot more people became unsure about whether

18:23

they wanted to see Tiktak get banned.

18:25

And a number of people also said,

18:27

no, I actually don't think this is

18:30

a good idea. Now that I've watched

18:32

the news for the last 18 months

18:34

or whatever and seen how this is

18:37

gone, I don't actually think this is

18:39

a good idea. So I wonder if

18:41

the risk to... voters, the risk to

18:43

losing public sentiment, losing public trust, and

18:46

also, you know, the big elephant in

18:48

the room is that these politicians, particularly

18:50

Trump, rely on TikTok to reach voters,

18:53

right? Like this has become a really

18:55

important platform for politics. That was the

18:57

irony of Biden doing all of this,

18:59

which is like at the same time

19:02

that Biden is spewing misinformation about Tik

19:04

and... pushing this moral panic about the

19:06

app and his whole administration is pushing

19:09

really dangerous censorship. They're leveraging it. They're

19:11

like celebrating and then Kamala HQ account.

19:13

It's like they're using TikTok. So it

19:15

just, it seems like this mind fuck,

19:18

you know, or it's like, it seems

19:20

so incongruous. These politicians just seem willing

19:22

to talk out of both sides of

19:25

their mouth. Yeah, you know, I used

19:27

to think like, Hey, I'm going to

19:29

give the lawmakers, the suits in DC,

19:32

a little bit of the benefit of

19:34

the doubt, like I don't have a

19:36

security clearance, like maybe they've seen some

19:38

sort of classified information that's really, really

19:41

troubling, right? And I've seen plenty of

19:43

really wild sort of Chinese hacking incidents,

19:45

you know, in the news this week

19:48

is that China was able to get

19:50

a lot of information from U.S. telecoms,

19:52

right, phone numbers, all sorts of personal

19:54

information from people, and that they were

19:57

really sophisticated sort of espionage, sort of

19:59

espionage, operation and they're very interesting. getting

20:01

data from Americans, but if that was

20:04

surely the case, then why is the

20:06

Kamala Harris campaign posting on TikTok every

20:08

day and like why is she risking

20:10

her staffers, you know, logging in and

20:13

out of the app, right? Like it

20:15

doesn't actually make sense. We'll be back

20:17

after the break to talk more about

20:20

kids and technology and China's role in

20:22

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out of whatever you're into. So

21:10

regardless of whether it ends, and

21:12

it seems like it will be

21:15

banned, this threat of China doesn't

21:17

seem to be going away. And

21:19

it seems like China is playing

21:21

a bigger and bigger role in

21:24

the US tech ecosystem. Is that

21:26

accurate to say? And what do

21:28

you think is there sort of

21:30

long-term goal in Silicon Valley? So

21:33

I think there are two broad

21:35

things happening. One is that the

21:37

new Cold War geopolitical competition, the

21:39

threat of China getting to a

21:42

super intelligence first has become this

21:44

enormous sort of narrative that is

21:46

being used by Facebook, by open

21:48

AI, by a bunch of defense

21:51

companies in Silicon Valley that are

21:53

now trying to be the new

21:55

defense contractors. And I think that

21:57

that narrative is sort of like

22:00

everywhere in tech and is something that is

22:02

very is very popular is that is bipartisan

22:04

and I I don't think that that's going. going

22:07

anywhere that's going to continue to

22:09

be a huge of rhetoric of

22:11

rhetoric from these companies, I and I think

22:13

it's worth pushing back, back are you actually

22:15

afraid of? What is the real concern

22:17

here? Like, why this app? Why are we

22:19

worried about this specific thing? What is

22:21

the consequence of this? What are the trade

22:23

-offs of making everything about national security? The

22:26

second thing, which is really

22:28

the amazing irony, is that is that

22:30

while has been under all the

22:32

scrutiny over the last few

22:34

years, few two companies in particular

22:36

that are also Chinese also Chinese, have A

22:38

huge part of the everyday

22:40

lives of literally tens of of

22:42

millions of Americans. And those

22:45

are are Timu and which which are

22:47

both fast sort of Amazon

22:49

competitors. My mother-in-law the other -law the other day

22:51

texted me do you you shop on T And I

22:53

I think it just showed that that like these shopping

22:55

shopping platforms, which collect a a

22:58

lot of data about you you are also owned

23:00

by two really big Chinese companies were

23:02

allowed to thrive and grow all

23:04

of the all of the focus

23:06

was on Timu had a Super Bowl commercial last

23:09

year. Yeah, I Bowl commercial last year. I

23:11

checked, I think the last time I

23:13

checked, 100 has been downloaded in million

23:15

times in the U .S. that, And no

23:17

moral panic about that, of course. been

23:19

a little bit, but been a little bit,

23:21

but think literally I think that like, sort

23:23

of of interest because I think

23:25

that I think that there's also

23:27

this understanding that one thing that

23:29

keeps that keeps is their ability to

23:31

buy cheap stuff. to I think

23:34

that lawmakers are less interested in getting

23:36

in the way of that in they

23:38

are in, than they this dancing app

23:40

that's poisoning the youth and making them,

23:42

like, more making right? Like, that is

23:44

a more compelling narrative a more the

23:46

stuff is too cheap on this app,

23:48

right? on this app, right? Well, I guess guess

23:50

it back to, like, the data privacy

23:52

concerns. I concerns. I mean, if you were,

23:54

again, so concerned about China

23:56

getting access to our highly sensitive

23:58

data, we would. have more protections. And

24:01

I think, as you mentioned, companies like that,

24:03

also gaming companies, right? There's a ton of

24:05

Chinese investment in gaming companies. These are also,

24:07

I would argue, de facto social platforms that

24:10

are harvesting data and connecting people. And the

24:12

focus is obviously very singular, sort of on

24:14

TikTok in that way. I guess what do

24:17

you see in the future in the next

24:19

five years as you mentioned this sort of

24:21

cold war happening? How do you think that

24:23

will play out? I definitely think you're going

24:26

to see more of this and I think

24:28

what you are going to notice when maybe

24:30

you travel to other parts of the world

24:32

is that we're going to see this split

24:35

between Chinese platforms and products right like such

24:37

as electric cars and American ones and I

24:39

think that you're going to maybe have this

24:42

weird experience of like you go to Mexico

24:44

and you're like oh There's all the electric

24:46

cars here and like I've never seen any

24:48

of these in the US. Oh, that's because

24:51

they're all Chinese and maybe you go and

24:53

call an Uber and it's like, oh, actually

24:55

everyone uses DD here, which we can't use

24:57

in the US because we've cracked down on

25:00

Chinese apps and like maybe, like, there is

25:02

a crackdown on Timu and Shin. Well, then,

25:04

you know, when you're on vacation in Thailand

25:07

and you need something that's for sale on

25:09

Timu, that's what you'll use there. move to

25:11

other parts of the world. And I think

25:13

that Chinese companies have in a lot of

25:16

cases exhausted the domestic market. So if they

25:18

want to keep growing, they need to go

25:20

somewhere. And I think that they're going to

25:23

continue to try and compete in places where

25:25

maybe Facebook and Google's hold on the market

25:27

is not as tight as it is here,

25:29

right? We're not going to stop using these

25:32

American platforms that are headquartered here. I don't

25:34

necessarily think that Vietnam is going to want

25:36

to keep using Facebook over TikTok necessarily. I

25:38

feel like that's what the threat is and

25:41

also why they want to ban it so

25:43

bad or why Meadow is pushing it so

25:45

hard is this is their first real competitor

25:48

and it's a much better product and it's

25:50

appealing and it is just undeniably more engaging.

25:52

I think it's also kind of weird and

25:54

I'm curious your thoughts of this of like

25:57

you know we've always criticized China as a

25:59

country for being so closed off and like

26:01

you said like they don't allow our apps

26:03

so why should we allow their apps or

26:06

whatever but It does seem like this focus

26:08

on China is ironically making us more kind

26:10

of China-like, where it seems like we're cracking

26:13

down, we're developing our own tech ecosystem, where

26:15

we're further cut off from the world. I

26:17

mean, I think of just TikTok in terms

26:19

of how much we learn and engage with

26:22

the world and international discussions and knowledge sharing

26:24

that happens on there. And it seems very

26:26

bizarre that we're sort of receding back into

26:29

the boundaries of our own country and being

26:31

cut off from all of those. discussions and

26:33

connections and the global market. Totally, isn't it

26:35

really depressing? Like, I think that that's bad.

26:38

And I think one of the most frustrating

26:40

things about the China obsession, I think it's

26:42

fair to call it an obsession. Like, it

26:44

really is. The imaginary China that looms large

26:47

in the heads of some of these lawmakers

26:49

is really wild and has little basis in

26:51

reality a lot of the time. But what

26:54

really makes me sad about it is, yeah,

26:56

like, a more closed off world, a more

26:58

closed off country, but also, like, I want

27:00

us to do things. because we want to

27:03

do them and because we believe in America,

27:05

not out of fear or competition with this

27:07

other place, right? Often when I look at

27:09

like Chinese legislation, it's coming from like, oh,

27:12

we've identified this domestic issue, right? Or like,

27:14

we've identified this problem that people are concerned

27:16

about or that, you know, whatever the authoritarian

27:19

government is concerned about to be. completely honest,

27:21

but at least it's coming from a place

27:23

of like we're focused on us and like

27:25

doing our thing and trying to make it

27:28

better for what we want. I hate that

27:30

like so much of these policies come out

27:32

of this idea of oh no there's this

27:35

app from somewhere else like we could do

27:37

something about that app rather than like privacy

27:39

is a fundamental right that we believe is

27:41

part of our American values and something that

27:44

we want to protect for our own and

27:46

our own morals. And that's the worst part

27:48

about it. When you're so worried and anxious

27:50

about that guy over there, it's really hard

27:53

to just think about what you need and

27:55

what your country needs and like what is

27:57

best for your own people. Yeah, and I

28:00

feel like we're losing relevance, right? Like America

28:02

is already losing global relevance and this I

28:04

think will just escalate it in the sense

28:06

that we're not part of those international conversations

28:09

or that global ecosystem. What are some things

28:11

that you're seeing in terms of tech trends

28:13

and just interesting product developments when you say

28:15

that five years ago you were sort of

28:18

thinking, oh, there might be a lot of

28:20

this stuff in China coming to the US?

28:22

What are you seeing today that might sort

28:25

of give us a peek into the tech

28:27

landscape of the future in America and elsewhere?

28:29

That's a great question. I'm going to give

28:31

you just like one fun example and then

28:34

I could talk a little bit more broadly.

28:36

So it was in China recently and their

28:38

version of Uber which is called DD has

28:41

this amazing service where you literally can call

28:43

a DD like as in like a designated

28:45

driver and so a man or a woman

28:47

but it's usually a man will literally roll

28:50

up on a tiny electric scooter fold up

28:52

the electric scooter put it in your trunk

28:54

and then drive you home. Oh my gosh,

28:56

we need this in Los Angeles like immediately.

28:59

Truly, the amount of times I've seen like

29:01

obviously drunk drivers on the road in LA

29:03

is so concerning. So sometimes it's things like

29:06

that where I feel like it's such a

29:08

big market and there's so much competition that

29:10

that pressure creates a lot of innovation. And

29:12

I think that there's a lot of interest

29:15

in sort of like iteration. So like, I

29:17

think in the US, we say to ourselves,

29:19

oh, like, that genius male founder came up

29:21

with that idea and like, that thing already

29:24

exists. And so like, the myth of that

29:26

is already there and I can't do that.

29:28

I have to like, sit by myself in

29:31

my room and close my eyes and come

29:33

up with an original idea. Whereas in China,

29:35

it's like, oh, well, like, I can see

29:37

a tiny hole in that guy's app and

29:40

I'm just going to exploit it and, like,

29:42

basically, copy his app and make it slightly

29:44

better. And then the next guy's going to

29:46

do the same thing and the next guy's

29:49

going to do the same thing. And so

29:51

I think that that kind iterative environment creates

29:53

a lot of things like the DD driver

29:56

service or like these little conveniences that I

29:58

think yeah are just really indicative. Also like

30:00

it's just a place where people spend so

30:02

much of their time online even more than

30:05

in the US if you can believe it.

30:07

And what I think that results in is

30:09

a lot of like the sort of like

30:12

the Chinese app aesthetic where there's so many

30:14

things coming at you, there's all these discounts

30:16

that could be ever spent time. on Timu,

30:18

but if you look at it for a

30:21

little bit longer, you can like really see

30:23

the genius in a lot of it. Like

30:25

the other day, I was on trip.com, which

30:27

is like the Chinese Expedia, and I like

30:30

looked at a hotel that I was almost

30:32

sure I was gonna book, and then I,

30:34

whatever, when I did something else, and then

30:37

I went back to the hotel, and it

30:39

was like. $3 cheaper than the last time

30:41

you looked at it. And it's like, that

30:43

is so genius. And I like booked the

30:46

hotel right away. And that was enough to

30:48

like push me over the edge. And there's

30:50

a lot of things like that where I'm

30:52

like, this is kind of invasive and icky,

30:55

but also brilliant sort of. And you start

30:57

to see over time when you pay enough

30:59

attention those little tricks. make their way into

31:02

the U.S. market often, but they're never credited,

31:04

right? Like no one's ever like, oh, I

31:06

like took this from DD or I took

31:08

this from Doean, which is the Chinese version

31:11

of Tiktok or whatever it is. But why

31:13

don't we have that spirit of iteration? Is

31:15

it just that it's so tough to compete

31:18

with these duopoly, basically? I think it comes

31:20

back to like that founder mentality, right? Like

31:22

I need to have this original idea rather

31:24

than I'm just going to iterate on the

31:27

thing that somebody else is doing. I think

31:29

that's part of it. I think also there's

31:31

a lot of focus on being in an

31:33

environment where like this is the city literally

31:36

where we make this type of car part,

31:38

right? And if you live in that city,

31:40

it's like you need to figure out a

31:43

way to like have a job there. So

31:45

maybe it's that you make the car part

31:47

for slightly cheaper. Whereas I think in the

31:49

US, we have such a service economy where

31:52

it's more about being in a group of

31:54

founders, we're all going to talk about our

31:56

next idea rather than sort of like, I

31:58

think it's a cultural thing to some extent.

32:01

it's also like, I already feel like the

32:03

US is so cutthroat and competitive, it's like,

32:05

just add like four times the amount of

32:08

people, right? And like, imagine what would happen.

32:10

It's like, of course it would probably get

32:12

more competitive. Yeah, I think, but also with

32:14

four times as many people, you can support

32:17

small niches and things that you can't support

32:19

in a market that doesn't have that scale.

32:21

Yeah, I also think part of it too,

32:24

and like this is a big thing that

32:26

I think about a lot that scares me,

32:28

is no one is going to China anymore.

32:30

And so what I worry about, like, these

32:33

sorts of pretty basic observations that I'm sharing

32:35

with you now, sound more insightful than they

32:37

should, I think, because it's so hard to

32:39

go there. Like there are so few students

32:42

now who are studying there, like, you know,

32:44

the Peace Corps program, the Fulbright scholarship, both

32:46

of those were ended during the Trump administration.

32:49

And so it's a lot easier to be

32:51

afraid of this place if you've never been

32:53

or you don't know anyone who lives there.

32:55

And I think that that makes. all

32:58

of the things we've been discussing a

33:00

lot worse and harder to combat because

33:02

it used to be like I don't

33:05

know if you've had this experience but

33:07

I feel like in the last five

33:09

years like when I first started reporting

33:11

in China people would be like oh

33:14

yeah I went on like a great

33:16

wall tourist trip or whatever with my

33:18

family or something or like oh yeah

33:20

I went on like a great wall

33:22

tourist trip or whatever with my family

33:25

or something like And so that's what

33:27

I worry about is that it's not

33:29

happening in the reverse. Well, I don't

33:31

think Americans are also that fundamentally curious

33:34

about other countries generally compared to other

33:36

nations. It's true. One thing that you

33:38

wrote about a while ago too that

33:40

I wanted to touch back on is

33:42

just because we were talking about sort

33:45

of like the moral panic around kids

33:47

in tech and how so many fears

33:49

about China end up just basically like

33:51

sort of it's really just like sort

33:54

of domestic fears of like our children.

33:56

And I think you wrote this piece

33:58

for the Atlantic last year, Act, this

34:00

horrible, horrible, horrible, dangerous piece of censorship

34:02

legislation, and so much of the conversation

34:05

is, you know, while China protects their

34:07

children, how true is that? So that

34:09

is and isn't true, which is sort

34:11

of what I went to in the

34:13

piece. So I think that the first

34:16

thing that was interesting and why I

34:18

wanted to pursue that story is that

34:20

it was fascinating to me that these

34:22

two countries that claimed to be so

34:25

different different political systems were

34:27

home to parents who had the same

34:29

concerns, right, about like, you know, rising

34:32

social media use, about bullying, about their

34:34

kids talking to people who were predators

34:36

online, seeing inappropriate content online, or too

34:39

much screen time for like really little

34:41

kids. But the difference between these two

34:43

places is that. China already has the

34:46

most sophisticated surveillance regime in the world

34:48

and they track the activity of everyone

34:50

on the internet. And so they were

34:53

able to sort of wield that system

34:55

in order to try and crack down

34:57

specifically on minors. And so there are

35:00

these rules now that I think it's

35:02

about an hour a week now

35:04

during the school week that kids are

35:06

allowed, quote unquote, to play video games,

35:09

right? But the reality, and this is

35:11

exactly what would happen here if we

35:13

pass the same kind of laws, is

35:16

that when the toddler is crying, like,

35:18

their mom just hands them their phone,

35:20

that they're using their national ID to

35:23

log into, right? Or like, if your

35:25

kid is begging you to play video

35:27

games and you wanna play video games

35:30

with your kid, right? Like, you're just

35:32

gonna log in under your name.

35:34

It always ends up being. a parental

35:36

issue and it is about the decisions

35:39

that parents make privately within their own

35:41

families. And that's still the case, even

35:43

in this elaborate surveillance regime, that we

35:46

don't have here. We don't have the

35:48

ability to. We don't have it yet,

35:50

but I think that's the whole issue,

35:53

right, is that there is this desire

35:55

to create and replicate that surveillance machine

35:57

through bills like Cosa that require age.

36:00

right, or like facial scans or just

36:03

all of these efforts to tie your

36:05

offline identity to your online. I actually

36:07

think this was like one of the

36:09

most terrifying moments of my career was

36:11

at the White House Content Creators Day

36:14

or whatever back in August that they

36:16

had with Biden. Yeah, I remember this.

36:18

Nira Tandens, a Biden admin official, and

36:20

she was asking this crowd of hundreds

36:22

of content creators, who wants to remove

36:24

anonymity from the internet? Raise your hand

36:27

if you wish that basically all your

36:29

trolls could be unmasked and we could

36:31

eliminate anonymity from the internet. And everyone

36:33

pretty much raised their hand and cheered

36:35

and was rooting for this. And then

36:38

she proceeded to give this whole Q&A.

36:40

Basically, the entire day was about removing

36:42

anonymity from the internet and tying your

36:44

offline. identity to your online behavior. And

36:46

I think the fact that they're trying

36:49

to get these content creators on board

36:51

with it who don't know any better

36:53

is really terrifying. Removing anonymity from the

36:55

internet is very bad. Like we know

36:57

that it doesn't actually lead to less

37:00

harassment. We know that. We've seen studies

37:02

on that. But also it is exactly

37:04

what we criticize China for is this

37:06

deep surveillance state. So it seems kind

37:08

of disingenuous. I completely agree. And it's

37:10

troubling to think that US lawmakers want

37:13

to build a system or I think

37:15

that there's a need for a system

37:17

that is similar to China. Like one

37:19

of the most heartbreaking repeated things that

37:21

I go through in my reporting is

37:24

seeing people trying to express themselves whether

37:26

online or offline in China and seeing

37:28

that brutally crushed and seeing their families

37:30

get harassed. And often the reason that

37:32

they're able to find them is because

37:35

now in China you have to basically

37:37

tie your national ID to everything you

37:39

do, every app you log into everywhere

37:41

you log into, everywhere you go. And

37:43

that's very similar like you said to

37:46

like these types of laws were like

37:48

in order to like get on Facebook

37:50

after 10 p.m. or whatever you would

37:52

need to like scan your driver's license

37:54

right like that's a very frightening and

37:56

I think what's been sort of I

37:59

guess clarifying for me is I'm reading

38:01

about the USSR right now. I'm reading

38:03

Moshegesen's book, which is called The Future's

38:05

History. It's so good. And it was

38:07

really striking to me how as Russia

38:10

became more authoritarian, there was this enormous

38:12

focus on we have to protect the

38:14

children. We have to protect the children

38:16

from like this type of content and

38:18

like how that snowballs into like these

38:21

more authoritarian concerns. Like while I do

38:23

sympathize with parents who are trying to

38:25

navigate a really different world than like

38:27

the one that they probably grew up

38:29

in right like it's just for all

38:32

generations by the way every yeah this

38:34

is always the case a different generation

38:36

than they're totally I totally get it

38:38

like I understand that maybe that is

38:40

bewildering and since maybe the industrial evolution

38:42

is something that every parent has to

38:45

go through, and I have a lot

38:47

of sympathy for that, and I think

38:49

like there are like discussions to be

38:51

had that are reasonable, but I really

38:53

think it's worrisome when that then gets

38:56

weaponized by the government, right? It's so

38:58

anti-American, this idea of like begging the

39:00

government to restrict how you can interact

39:02

with your own children and what you

39:04

should be allowed to show them and

39:07

when and how much time they should

39:09

spend using different types of media. I

39:11

think if we just look at this

39:13

for what it is, it's a very

39:15

troubling idea and it's not good that

39:18

I'm like, oh, I'm reading this book

39:20

about the rise of Putin and I

39:22

see similarities and I see similarities. using

39:24

China or using some sort of like

39:26

scary other place that like you can't

39:28

really imagine and that you have to

39:31

listen to like our description of is

39:33

a really great way to sort of

39:35

mask what's going on here right which

39:37

is more government control of what kinds

39:39

of content, what kinds of apps are

39:42

available, and it's in this context of,

39:44

well, we have to protect you from

39:46

China, we have to protect the children,

39:48

just sort of like, you know, overall,

39:50

right? Like those are really nice justifications

39:53

for something that I think fundamentally is

39:55

really questionable. Yeah, and of course they

39:57

don't want to protect. vulnerable children who

39:59

would suffer under these types of laws,

40:01

the LGBTQ kids that rely on the

40:03

internet, you know, for community, and it's

40:06

just a lifeline. But I think it's,

40:08

as you mentioned, it's just really important

40:10

to point out the authoritarian kind of

40:12

tendencies beneath that. And I think Jonathan

40:14

Hyatt, all of these other kind of

40:17

like prominent media figures have really fomented

40:19

this moral panic, and they're pushing really

40:21

authoritarian things. I think it's important to

40:23

call that out. because I think they've

40:25

gotten a lot of liberals on board,

40:28

right? Like you mentioned, these parents that

40:30

care about these things are authoritarian or

40:32

necessarily want to feed authoritarianism, but they

40:34

end up doing it. And parents, like

40:36

you mentioned, so much of the like

40:39

moral panics of the past are all

40:41

about like. save the

40:43

children and even just like the comic

40:45

book band in the 1950s was very

40:47

much under the sort of premise of

40:50

the Cold War and a lot of

40:52

that sort of political climate so it

40:54

does seem like we're entering into kind

40:56

of scary times. Yeah I think it's

40:59

just like to step back and acknowledge

41:01

that all of this and like why

41:03

it's so interesting and why it's a

41:05

triggering for a lot of people is

41:07

that it's two really primal fears the

41:10

fear of protecting your children and like

41:12

the fear of a scary mysterious other

41:14

right which in like this case is

41:16

China and tic-toc sort of got caught

41:19

between those two forces and I think

41:21

that that's why the app has sort

41:23

of ended up in this really unfortunate

41:25

legal position that it has it's not

41:28

really anything having to do with the

41:30

app itself. It's the lawmakers, the politicians

41:32

capitalizing on two tried and true trusted

41:34

ways to pass legislation that is troubling

41:37

or to further a moral panic. Well,

41:39

Louise, thank you so much for chatting

41:41

with me today. Thanks for having me,

41:43

Taylor. That's

41:46

all for the show. You can watch full episodes of

41:48

Power User on my YouTube channel at Taylor Lorenz. Power

41:50

User is produced by Travis Larchik and Jalani Carter. Our

41:52

executive producer is Zach Mac. Our video editor is Sam

41:54

Essex. Power User is part of the Fox Media Podcast

41:56

Network. you like the show,

41:58

give us a rating and

42:00

review on review on Spotify, or

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wherever you listen. or in the

42:04

meantime, you subscribe to my in

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online culture updates. Thanks and

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