Episode Transcript
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Sometimes a single performance can
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define an artist's legacy. Think about
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Hendrix's fiery woodstock National Anthem or
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on Switched On Pop, we're exploring
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artists who've had recent transformative live
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recently put on her first world
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tour where she taught everybody to
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get the freak on. And then
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there's her collaborator Timbalin, who recently
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evolved from Beatmaker to orchestra conductor
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at the Songwriter Hall of Fame.
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And then Lady Gaga, whose chromatic
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ball featured a theatrical museum of
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brutality revealing the darker side of Gagga's
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mayhem. Listen to these live moments on
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Switched on Pop wherever you get podcast.
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bucket for 25. prices and participation
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vary while supply glass, taxes,
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tips, and fees extra. Welcome to
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Raging Moderates. I'm Scott Galloway. And
1:17
I'm Jessica Tarlove. Jess, so this is
1:19
going to be like every other show.
1:21
You're going to have to carry it.
1:24
I got home at about 2 a.m.
1:26
last night for Mexico, very jet-lagged, was
1:28
up to 4, to Gazanics, and I
1:30
woke up about 10 minutes ago. And I'm
1:32
feeling a little, I'm feeling a little, I
1:35
don't know. I don't know. I don't know.
1:37
And I'm looking for people to do my
1:39
work for me. And I have just absolutely
1:41
no understanding of my surroundings or the current
1:43
situation. So back to you, Jess, what's going
1:46
on? Okay, well, do you want to do
1:48
a whole show about what it was like
1:50
with little kids this weekend, since you
1:52
don't have the strength to fight me on
1:54
this? And I can tell you about having
1:57
my first fight with my husband about
1:59
parenting. front of other couples
2:01
with kids the same age. Did
2:03
you guys ever do this? It's
2:05
very uncomfortable and they probably think
2:07
we're getting divorced. So uncomfortable fights
2:09
are just part of it. Yeah,
2:11
just lean in. Yeah, just lean
2:13
in and what was the let
2:15
me help. So I'm very good
2:17
at running other people's lives. Give
2:19
me the situation out to you
2:21
who is right, who is wrong
2:23
and what you need to do.
2:25
Okay, we're in a public place.
2:27
It is quiet. But... People are
2:29
eating. So we're in like the
2:31
cafeteria part of a whole foods,
2:33
having lunch with three, three-year-olds and
2:35
the respective parents. The kids start
2:37
being really loud. Disrupting other people,
2:39
for sure. There are other kids
2:41
there, but they're not making noise.
2:43
They're younger than ours are. So
2:45
they're like in strollers just kind
2:47
of chilling, but people are working.
2:50
People are having low conversations. Anyway,
2:52
they start doing ring around the
2:54
rosy, real loud. My husband has
2:56
a very low threshold for this.
2:58
He also reflexively hands over his
3:00
phone for screen time. I feel
3:02
like he pushes screen time on
3:04
my child. But we're also with
3:06
two other families that don't do
3:08
screen time at all. So he
3:10
starts offering up his phone to
3:12
my daughter. I'm pushing back so
3:14
you can't do that because these
3:16
other kids, you can't even give
3:18
one kid a snack that the
3:20
other kids can't have. Anyway. It
3:22
got bad, you know, and they
3:24
the dads were intervening saying you
3:26
know you can't do this We
3:28
distracted them with food a little
3:30
bit, but there was big back
3:32
and forth and he said this
3:34
is the hill that I am
3:36
willing to die on you can't
3:38
disrupt other people's lives Because of
3:40
your children, so Who's right? Who's
3:42
wrong? Who's moving out? Who gets
3:44
to keep the house? Sure. No,
3:46
I understand. I understand. No, the
3:48
real fissure here is between you
3:50
and horrible couples who are those
3:52
couples who decide they're not giving
3:54
their kids screen time. Those are
3:56
awful people. No, they're not. They're
3:58
lovely and they're kids. kids aren't
4:00
addicted to screens. They don't yell
4:03
out for mawana in their sleep.
4:05
Yeah, those are the, you know, those
4:07
are the people that, oh, it's parenting
4:09
and they shouldn't have screen time. Those
4:11
are awful people. You need, you need
4:13
better friends too. The real key here
4:16
is you need to start hitting
4:18
your children. That immediately
4:20
resets the operating system and
4:22
brings a moment of shock, but
4:24
a moment of peace to everything. And
4:27
I'm in favor of. Giving them
4:29
screen touch. So first off, I
4:31
totally empathize. I go absolutely crazy
4:34
when our kids, my kids or
4:36
other kids, are loud and
4:38
distracting. If they're really loud
4:40
and distracting, I think you
4:42
take them outside and separate
4:44
them from the rest of the
4:46
crew. I have no patience for that.
4:48
Also, it's a very difficult
4:51
situation. I'm actually, I'm now
4:53
being serious because the reality
4:55
is. My gig accused of this a lot
4:58
and that is I decide I
5:00
understand parenting when it's bothering me,
5:02
but I'm not interested in participating
5:04
in parenting when everything's fine. And so
5:06
it's a little bit like selective,
5:08
selective parenting. But I think it's, I think
5:10
you're gonna, the good news is this is
5:12
only going to happen to you about every
5:15
two weeks for the restroom marriage until the
5:17
kids are out of the house. So, I
5:19
think, and also I think your husband needs
5:21
to realize as it relates to parenting, he's
5:23
an influencer, not a decision maker. I have
5:26
generally found, which is a bit of an
5:28
abdication, and I want to acknowledge that, but
5:30
I've generally found that mom has just much
5:32
better instincts around how to handle this stuff
5:35
than dad. I'm a sexist that way. I'll
5:37
provide input around parenting decisions, and then mom
5:39
gets to make the decision, because I find
5:41
she's just much more in tune with the
5:43
kids. But yeah, the way the kids
5:46
behave in public is absolutely a point
5:48
of tension from me because I think
5:50
what he's doing is just I think
5:52
he's reflecting on his own shortcomings
5:54
as a parent. Thank you. He feels as a
5:56
man. He's a disciplinarian and when the
5:58
kids are out of control. troll it's a
6:00
poor reflection on him. He also grew
6:03
up hypersensitive to this apparently. So I
6:05
and I get it my dad used
6:07
to just pick us up and take
6:10
us out of restaurants and say like
6:12
Judy my mom you know get the
6:14
check we'll be outside and that's the
6:16
end of it which I would have
6:19
understand I mean this wasn't you know
6:21
like a high-end restaurant we were in
6:23
the public space at Whole Foods but
6:25
I take the point anyway we ended
6:28
up in a good place. And I
6:30
appreciate your sexism when it's going in
6:32
a feminist direction, that you should try
6:34
to always hang in that direction. But
6:37
anyway, that was basically my weekend. Yeah,
6:39
I know. It's, so just, just recognize
6:41
that kids ruin everything. Kids are the
6:43
best thing that could happen to you
6:46
that will ruin your life, and it
6:48
does put a huge strain, I have
6:50
found. There's actually, just to be serious
6:52
for a moment. All the studies on
6:55
happiness show that you're at least happy
6:57
years or the years you're in, 25
6:59
to 45 specifically around child yearing. You'll
7:01
look back on the period we have
7:04
young children at home and reflect on
7:06
that as the happiest time of your
7:08
life. But what's interesting is in the
7:10
moment people without children are actually happier
7:13
on average than people with children because
7:15
of instances like this. But as they
7:17
get older, I do find it gets
7:19
easier and easier. Years are... Yours are
7:22
11 and 9? Three and not even
7:24
one. Have we met? Oh, you did?
7:26
Okay, that's a Mexico hangover joke? Okay.
7:28
Yeah, no, it gets, it gets, it
7:31
gets, it gets, it gets, uh, it
7:33
gets better. I know, there's a very,
7:35
I don't know, there's a very, I
7:37
don't know if it counts as a
7:40
meme, I don't know what the definition
7:42
of a meat miss, but anyway, something
7:44
that was passed around, all night until
7:46
we fall asleep. That's really nice. Yeah,
7:49
it's very sweet and very accurate. All
7:51
right, before we dive in, in a
7:53
quick announcement, Jess and I are taking
7:55
the show live. We are literally, we
7:58
are literally woke royalty ride. We are
8:00
the grand, we are literally the,
8:02
the Duchess of Wokistan now.
8:04
We're partnering with, get this, the
8:07
92nd Street Y in New York for
8:09
a special event on Thursday,
8:11
April 17th, that's right, Thursday, April
8:13
17th, and you can grab
8:15
your tickets right now, the link is
8:18
in the show notes, trust us, you
8:20
don't want to miss this one.
8:22
Literally, I've been working my ass
8:24
off for 30 years and I'm
8:26
an overnight woke success because of
8:29
you, Jess. This is literally, like, I
8:31
feel like Patrick Moynihan is,
8:33
it could emerge from his crypt,
8:35
and who's the wokest person, every,
8:37
literally, we are, we are woke
8:39
royalty now. We're speaking at the
8:42
92nd wall, your thoughts. I would
8:44
love it if Daniel Patrick Moynihan
8:46
could come in chill with
8:48
us. I heard he's not doing that
8:50
well. I'm so excited. I grew up
8:52
in the city here and the 92nd Street
8:55
Y has always held some
8:57
of the most interesting and
8:59
exciting programming and where everyone
9:01
wants to go to be able
9:03
if they have a book coming
9:06
out or for serious conversations on
9:08
what's going on future of the
9:10
country and was totally floored when they
9:12
sent the email. I didn't know. It
9:15
was like when a boy that you
9:17
liked text you and you think
9:19
like how long... Should I wait to reply
9:21
when we got that email? I was like,
9:23
is four seconds too long to wait with
9:25
the unequivocal? Yes, I will do anything to
9:28
do this. It's a little daunting for me
9:30
because we we did a live show right
9:32
after we launched with like 100 people. This
9:34
is many more people than that, but
9:36
you say it's going to be fine. So
9:39
I'm just leaning in to your experience, but
9:41
it feels very special and exciting. And I
9:43
hope if whoever's listening, if you guys are
9:45
in the New York area that you'll get
9:47
tickets and. and come see us live at
9:50
the 92nd Street Y. Yeah, just as moment
9:52
of excitement. Let me just let me just relate
9:54
that or make it relatable to the 98% of
9:56
us that weren't really attractive in high school. It's
9:58
like when you found out you got an 80th
10:00
percentile in the SAT and he
10:02
said, oh, I might get into
10:04
UC Irvine. Anyways, but we feel
10:06
you, but this is so, this
10:08
is so exciting. I'm waiting for
10:10
the fallout of my other co-host,
10:13
Kara Swisher. She and I have
10:15
not been invited in 92nd Street
10:17
Web. But anyways, come see both,
10:19
come see both at the 92nd
10:21
Street Y. This is very exciting
10:23
on April 17th. Today, in today,
10:25
in today's episode of raging moderates,
10:27
we're discussing a Democrats' fury over
10:30
Schumer's vote on the spending bill.
10:32
Trump challenging the courts on deportations
10:34
and the latest on Ukraine-Russia ceasefire
10:36
talks. All right, let's jump into
10:38
it last week as the clock
10:40
ran down to a potential government
10:42
shutdown. Senator Leader Chuck Schumer found
10:44
himself in a tough spot trying
10:47
to balance a divided democratic party.
10:49
His unexpected decision to support the
10:51
GOP stopgap funding bill sparked major
10:53
backlash from House Democrats and members
10:55
of his own caucus. who wanted
10:57
a stronger stand against Trump's agenda.
10:59
The bill itself slashes about $7
11:01
billion in overall spending from fiscal
11:04
2024 levels, cutting $13 billion from
11:06
non-defense discretionary programs while boosting defense
11:08
spending by $6 billion. With no
11:10
easy path forward, Schumer's choice has
11:12
left Democrats questioning their strategy for
11:14
the battles ahead in his volatile
11:16
political climate. Jess, what led to
11:18
Schumer's decision to back the GOP
11:21
funding bill? And do you think
11:23
him folding was a mystery? What
11:25
do you think? I'm very upset.
11:27
like most Democrats are and that's
11:29
not because I don't think that
11:31
we ended up in the correct
11:33
place because the calculation was what's
11:35
scarier the government being open and
11:38
them operating the way that we
11:40
know which is very bad but
11:42
We have an insight into it
11:44
versus the government is shut down
11:46
and then they get to make
11:48
the decisions on absolutely everything and
11:50
it doesn't become Donald Trump's government.
11:52
It doesn't become Elon Musk's government.
11:55
It becomes Russ votes government, the
11:57
guy who's running OMB, the guy
11:59
who... is the most dedicated
12:01
to destroying the federal government,
12:03
I think, of anyone in this
12:06
administration. And he would decide who's
12:08
essential and who's not. He could
12:10
close entire bureaucracies and Democrats were
12:12
worried about, well, how are we
12:15
even going to get these open
12:17
again? What is the path forward?
12:19
So I understand the conundrum
12:21
and I think ultimately probably
12:24
Schumer was right that the devil, you
12:26
know, is better. But the way he
12:28
went about this was totally feckless,
12:30
totally spiedless, he screwed over his
12:33
caucus. I mean, just 24 hours
12:35
before he said that he was
12:37
voting for the continuing resolution, he
12:39
said they don't have the votes.
12:41
And then all of these moderates,
12:44
all of these Democrats that are
12:46
in swing districts up for re-election,
12:48
like John Osov and Georgia for
12:50
instance. came out against the continuing
12:52
resolution, thinking that this was a
12:54
unified front like it was in
12:57
the House. There was only one
12:59
Democrat in the House, Jared Golden
13:01
from Maine, who voted for it.
13:03
Hakim Jeffries had the caucus absolutely
13:05
in line in this. And I
13:07
think it's ultimately, and we're
13:09
almost broken records about this,
13:12
there's such a tremendous messaging
13:14
problem about this continuing resolution.
13:16
If you went out and
13:18
asked people on the street, what
13:20
the continuing resolution is. Obviously most people
13:22
would say, I don't even know what
13:25
you're talking about, but the people who
13:27
did know would likely tell you that
13:29
this was a clean continuing resolution and
13:32
that it was just an extension of
13:34
the Biden Harris spending plan. That is
13:36
absolutely not true. It's chock full of
13:38
cuts that we don't want things, you
13:41
know, to veterans, social security benefits. It's
13:43
giving them more and more authority, you
13:45
know, we know that... The executive
13:47
is after having full control of
13:50
everything. They don't care about oversight.
13:52
They don't care about congressionally appropriated
13:54
money, etc. But that's the going narrative
13:57
on this. I'm seeing it on social
13:59
media from Smart. people actually who usually
14:01
are paying attention they're like well this
14:03
is a clean CR and we'll deal
14:05
with it in September when it's up
14:08
when they're going to try to jam
14:10
through their trillions of dollars in tax
14:12
cuts and take away you know nearly
14:14
900 billion in Medicaid funding. The way
14:17
that the Democrats played this or Schumer
14:19
played this, it was like it was
14:21
a surprise to them. We have known
14:23
for months that March 14th was the
14:26
drop-dead date on this. That that's when
14:28
this vote was going to happen. And
14:30
it's like they woke up four days
14:32
before and were like, oh, holy shit,
14:35
something's happening. The House is on fire.
14:37
How did you not spend months recasting
14:39
the continuing resolution as, you know, something
14:42
like the Doge Act? Right? Or, I
14:44
don't know, give it some fancy name,
14:46
you're the branding guy, maybe you can
14:48
come up with something better, but how
14:51
did you waste that opportunity? And then
14:53
how did you not also have your
14:55
own continuing resolution to put forward to
14:57
say, okay, let's work together on this,
15:00
spending the government should be bipartisan, which
15:02
is one of the lines from one
15:04
of Schumer's speeches, maybe when he was
15:06
wearing the really bad suit, and you
15:09
say, all right. If you guys are
15:11
going to maintain this as a clean
15:13
CR, let's show you what an actual
15:15
clean CR is and force them, force
15:18
them to accept some amendments that keep
15:20
the government, you know, reflective of at
15:22
least how it has been, even though
15:24
that's not ideal. And so we missed
15:27
on absolutely every opportunity. The voters are
15:29
incensed to a crazy level. The Democratic
15:31
approval is the lowest it's been in
15:33
30 years of polling, 29 percent or
15:36
something. And 65% of self-identified Democrats now
15:38
want our elected officials to stick to
15:40
their positions, even if this means not
15:42
getting things done in Washington. That's a
15:45
complete reversal of what we saw coming
15:47
into this, where people were saying, you
15:49
know, pick and choose your spots, work
15:52
with them where it makes sense. Now
15:54
they're saying this is war. I thought
15:56
that was great. So, yeah, the graph
15:58
that sort of indicates this is the
16:01
very beginning of the line. Trump administration
16:03
in 17, 74% of Democrats wanted Democrats
16:05
to work with Republicans and
16:08
get things done. That number is
16:10
now 42%. And there's a difference
16:12
between being effective and being right,
16:14
and right now we look neither.
16:17
It just, it looks as if
16:19
we are the game that can't
16:22
shoot straight between these ridiculous, feckless
16:24
attempts to... be angry at the
16:26
joint address or march down to
16:29
federal buildings and wave arcane. It's
16:31
clear the leadership is divided
16:33
and has no control over
16:35
the caucus. They're responding like,
16:38
one of the strategies that the
16:40
GRU sort of invented and that
16:42
Trump has adopted is flooding the
16:44
zone. Every day throw so much shit
16:46
out that they react to and chase that
16:49
we can slip through almost everything
16:51
because they're not unified. They don't
16:53
know where They don't know which
16:55
arrow to put their wood behind.
16:57
And so let's announce they're letting
16:59
the tape brothers back into Florida.
17:01
Everyone goes ape shit. Let's blame
17:03
a helicopter crash on the, everyone
17:05
goes ape shit. And they're not
17:07
looking at kind of the bigger
17:09
issues that America cares about or
17:11
they could actually have some reasonable
17:14
chance of pushing back on. America
17:16
quite funny over the last couple
17:18
weeks has been the nation of
17:20
surrender. Trump surrendering to Putin. and the
17:22
Democrats surrendering to Republicans.
17:24
And his argument was that,
17:26
look, Schumer's argument was that all we
17:29
were going to do here was play
17:31
into Trump and Musk's hands by closing
17:33
the government, shutting it down, everyone in
17:35
the government, or nearly everyone in the
17:37
government, would be furloughed except where he
17:39
could invoke some sort of emergency powers
17:42
to keep air traffic controllers, and effectively
17:44
never run the furlough, and essentially shut
17:46
down the government. And they didn't want
17:48
to let them do that. We're at that point where
17:50
we need to take that risk. and that is
17:52
the government is no longer a government of the
17:54
people when you are sending plants when you are
17:56
denying court orders when you have the richest man
17:58
in the world who has no congressional oversight
18:01
or approval going upstream of those programs
18:03
and cutting out funding to things like
18:05
USAID which by late assessments is going
18:08
to cost three million lives this here
18:10
then okay it's no longer a government
18:12
of the people you have usurped government
18:15
and we're going to we're not down
18:17
with that we are fine let's shut
18:19
down government and they also miscalculated I
18:22
listened to Senator Schumer on his follow-up
18:24
on the daily and he said that
18:26
effectively he thought okay this is without
18:29
it the entire government would be shut
18:31
down and we would be blamed no
18:33
we wouldn't if if we then
18:35
whatever it is 45 days of inauguration
18:38
or what is it 60 days now
18:40
the government is shut down people would
18:42
feel this and I believe they would
18:45
hold Trump responsible okay he's inaugurated and
18:47
the government gets shut down and
18:49
it's not reopening and people aren't getting
18:51
their diabetes medication and we're having trouble
18:54
with with flights and we're getting people
18:56
like getting their Social Security payments. This
18:58
was essentially the Democrat showing we are
19:01
so fucking disorganized. We have such
19:03
an inability to punch back. I mean,
19:05
for God's sakes, the first thing they
19:07
should do, it's like when I was
19:10
in Sunday school, they used to say,
19:12
what would Jesus do? That was meant
19:14
to be a framework for decisions.
19:16
What would Jesus do? And now my
19:19
attitude is for the Democrats. I am
19:21
so... fed up with their feckless stupid
19:23
rationalization of doing the weakest thing possible,
19:26
what would Mitch McConnell do? And what
19:28
Mitch McConnell would have done here
19:30
was said, this is an unacceptable policy,
19:32
unfortunately Americans, and you could show data
19:35
don't agree with what's going on in
19:37
the government. We'd like to work with
19:39
the president, but the Republican Party is
19:42
so off the rails in terms of
19:44
American priorities. We refuse to sign this
19:46
bill and force them to negotiating table.
19:49
And also there was... There was an
19:51
in between. There were several steps along
19:53
the way, including a filibuster where we
19:56
probably could have got some. I mean,
19:58
this literally is like, oh, our biggest...
20:00
fears about how just incredibly weak in
20:03
our inability to punch back because we
20:05
have really weak, unstrategic leaders
20:07
with absolutely no command of
20:10
their constituents, that all bubbled up
20:12
and said, yeah, your worst fears are
20:14
being realized here, that there is no
20:16
adult supervision. The kids are running
20:18
wild at the Whole Foods, and
20:20
there's nothing we can do. There's
20:22
no, there's absolutely, absolutely.
20:25
No parenting here and the
20:27
outcome here is I'm now convinced
20:29
that the new junior senator from
20:31
New York is going to be
20:33
AOC in 2028 I Think Schumer's
20:36
out. I think he looks so
20:38
incredibly weak. I'm just sick of
20:40
being bested by people have
20:42
control of their of their caucus
20:44
thoughts. So yeah, it doesn't seem
20:47
like Schumer being minority or let
20:49
alone majority leader again is an
20:51
idea that's long for this world.
20:54
You know, Hakim Jeffrey is basically
20:56
dodged a question about it. I
20:58
think Senator Warnock, also from Georgia,
21:01
made a comment, which was basically
21:03
like, I'm not backing this guy, especially
21:05
after he hung all of us out
21:07
to dry. There is precedent, and
21:09
you say, what would Mitch
21:11
McConnell doing this in 2021
21:14
under similar circumstances, Senate Republicans?
21:16
successfully filibustered on a continuing
21:18
resolution and they got some of
21:21
what they wanted. People just want
21:23
to see the fight, right? They just want
21:25
to see that there is a pulse
21:28
and that that pulse understands the existential
21:30
threat to the constitutional republic that we
21:32
are witnessing. And I hate to be
21:34
that girl, that screaming constitutional crisis,
21:37
but all of the evidence
21:39
is just sitting out there in front of
21:41
us and Bill Maher used to always say,
21:43
it's a slow moving coup. It's a slow
21:45
moving coup. This coup is so fast,
21:47
you saying Bolt wouldn't be able to
21:50
catch it at this point. Like, when you
21:52
look at the continuing resolution
21:54
and it's a six months,
21:56
right, that's a quote-unquote short-term
21:59
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27:10
radio.com. Welcome back. The Trump administration
27:13
is facing sharp criticism after
27:15
ignoring a federal judge's order
27:17
to halt the deportation of
27:19
alleged Venezuelan gang members. The White House
27:21
argues the order came too late as
27:23
the planes were already over international waters.
27:25
It's weird, I heard planes can actually
27:27
turn around. But legal experts warned this
27:29
move could mark the start of a
27:32
serious constitutional showdown. Meanwhile, concerns
27:34
over immigration enforcement are also
27:36
growing on college campuses where
27:38
Palestinian activists and Columbia University's
27:41
student leader, Mahmoud Khalil, now
27:43
faces deportation. His arrest that sparked
27:45
fears the administration is targeting political
27:48
dissent under the guise of national
27:50
security. The administration claims it
27:52
wasn't actively defying a court order
27:54
rather than operating within the legal
27:56
gray areas. What are the legal consequences
27:58
of this move? I don't know, we're
28:01
going to find out. I feel
28:03
like I have a little bit
28:05
of interview egg on my face
28:07
because I talked to Mark Elias
28:09
last week. The interview went up
28:11
on Friday and it was all
28:13
about how the courts are the
28:15
only viable backstop for what's going
28:17
on and then you wake up
28:19
and you're like, okay, well that's
28:21
gone. So what do we have?
28:23
It feels like we got nothing
28:25
on this and I'm... watching Tom
28:28
Holman, the borders are, he's on
28:30
Fox and Friends this morning, so
28:32
we're recording this Monday morning, and
28:34
he's asked by Lawrence Jones, the
28:36
host, well what's next? And he
28:38
says another flight, another flight every
28:40
day, we are not stopping. I
28:42
don't care what the judges think,
28:44
I don't care what the left
28:46
things, we're coming. So they're laying
28:48
it all out on the field,
28:50
right, going back to a six-month
28:52
spending bill. That's tons of time
28:54
in Trump years. for them to
28:56
accomplish whatever it is that they
28:59
are going after. And, you know,
29:01
it's a difficult place to be
29:03
in because, like, I tweeted something
29:05
about this yesterday, and I said,
29:07
well, I guess the courts aren't
29:09
stopping him, and Tommy Laren, who
29:11
is, you know, a mag of
29:13
firebrand, one of my colleagues, we
29:15
actually get along really well. She
29:17
responded and said, you know, just,
29:19
I love you girl, but like,
29:21
why are you defending these people?
29:23
And I'm not defending Trentor Oahuagua,
29:25
gang members. I'm defending the rule
29:28
of law and the fact that,
29:30
according to immigration attorneys, there are
29:32
people on those flights who had
29:34
legitimate asylum claims and are not
29:36
in a gang. Like they've been
29:38
using tattoos as evidence of someone
29:40
being part of this gang, which
29:42
is a murderous gang. And I
29:44
want every single one of those
29:46
people out of this country. But
29:48
they're saying like about this one
29:50
person's client that they had the
29:52
gang tattoos. and she posted on
29:54
social media that that is not
29:56
the case that this person has
29:59
decorative tattoos part of the LGBTQ.
30:01
community here with a legitimate asylum
30:03
claim and their hearing was supposed
30:05
to have started last week but
30:07
this person was disappeared and
30:09
there's another person whose hearing was
30:11
supposed to be today on Monday
30:13
but they ended up on one
30:16
of these flights heading to El
30:18
Salvador to one of the scariest
30:20
prisons that apparently exists on the face
30:22
of the planet and I feel so
30:25
despondent about what to do and
30:27
worried that we used all of
30:29
our alarm bells and all of
30:31
our words about the constitutional crisis
30:34
and the end of the Republic too
30:36
early, right? That we were, this
30:38
was 2016, 2017, and it went
30:40
through 2020, and then he did
30:42
actually try to stay past his
30:44
cell by date, right? The voters decided
30:47
they wanted Joe Biden. He
30:49
stages and insurrection, gets away
30:51
with it. Now every prosecutor
30:54
that worked. on that is gone, he's
30:56
going after the lawyers that worked on
30:58
those cases, etc. But I don't know if
31:00
we should have just been quiet the
31:02
entire time, and certainly there were some
31:05
big swings and misses, right? We should
31:07
not have done Russia, Russia, Russia, even
31:09
though the Mueller report obviously did show
31:11
that the Russians were working to get
31:14
Trump elected. I am not trying to
31:16
minimize any of that, but it feels
31:18
like people completely tuned out the argument
31:21
that he is a threat to democracy.
31:23
They don't want to hear about January
31:25
6th again, which seems like a clear
31:27
precursor to what we're seeing now, and
31:30
that we're like the girl who cried
31:32
insurrection, and now we have nothing.
31:34
Yeah, this is really, if you think
31:36
about, I mean, it's sort of deciding,
31:38
all right, we don't have a country.
31:41
If we're not going to have laws,
31:43
an easy way to reduce a lot of
31:45
crime would be to do away with
31:47
search and seizure laws. And that is,
31:49
if for whatever reason. Your local
31:51
law enforcement or federal law enforcement can
31:53
just come raid your house, raid you,
31:56
incarcerate you, hold you for as long
31:58
as they want until they're satisfied. they're
32:00
either right or wrong, you would see
32:02
a drop in crime. But we've decided
32:05
that it might be you with that
32:07
knock of the door and that we're
32:09
going to pay for a certain level
32:12
of insecurity around overtime crime and those
32:14
rights and that rule of law and
32:16
that democracy attracts so many talented people
32:19
and makes people feel so good about
32:21
America that ultimately results in a greater
32:23
quality of life, greater prosperity, greater economic
32:26
growth. This is essentially saying, okay, we're
32:28
now on an autocracy and the people
32:30
in power get to kind of
32:32
make the laws and basically not listen
32:35
to the government. So there are literally
32:37
no checks and balances. The Republican Party,
32:39
who is in control, has said, I'm
32:42
willing for an unelected official who was
32:44
not born here to essentially usurp my
32:46
power as an elected representative, right? So
32:49
that branch of the government is gone.
32:51
Then sort of the last man standing
32:53
or the last defense between us and
32:56
total autocracy was supposed to be the
32:58
courts. And they have said, we don't
33:00
give a shit what the courts say.
33:03
Yeah. I mean, when I saw it,
33:05
the courts have ordered these flights
33:07
to stop, then that means the flights
33:09
can't go or can't turn around. Well,
33:12
they said, they basically stuck up the
33:14
middle finger and said, stop us. So
33:16
this is, this feels like when you
33:19
challenge the court, if nothing happens here.
33:21
They will have the incentives and the
33:23
signal that they are now the
33:25
law, that the White House, the Trump
33:28
administration and the supporters are now the
33:30
law. The judges are now similar to
33:32
Republican representatives who are so scared of
33:35
being primaried or a weak and feckless
33:37
Democratic Party that there's effectively, we've gone
33:39
from checks and balances to absolutely none
33:42
of them. They've all been sort of
33:44
shut down. And the one that kind
33:46
of tested my resolve around this, or
33:49
I had some... a moral dilemma, if
33:51
you will, is Mamu Kale's arrest. And
33:53
it did tickle my progressive censors. I
33:56
take an individual here on a green
33:58
card who is inciting violence and
34:00
view and shit posting America and making
34:02
a campus environment less productive and kids
34:05
can't go to can't go to class
34:07
and basically tearing at the fabric of
34:09
America and also the legal argument for
34:12
deporting him is that when you're here
34:14
on a grain card you are not
34:16
supposed to promote or endorse terrorist activities.
34:18
That is a legal argument for
34:20
deporting him and I can see making
34:23
that legal argument. The problem is the
34:25
way they went about it and that
34:27
is he was effectively disappeared. And that is,
34:29
he was arrested and detained, and his
34:31
family and his lawyer couldn't even find
34:33
out where he was. And then he
34:35
had been transferred to a facility, I
34:37
believe, in Louisiana. And that's the
34:39
thing that's really upsetting and bothers him.
34:41
And as much as I would like
34:43
to see this individual having had been
34:46
expelled and maybe losing his, I imagine,
34:48
I don't know if he's here on
34:50
a student visa or a green card.
34:52
Just green card? Not just green card.
34:54
It's the best. I shouldn't say that. Student
34:56
visa would be worse. But he has the
34:58
best you can have. He has the best
35:00
you can have. He has a great card.
35:03
The bottom line is this, is that regardless
35:05
of how shitty the speech may be, if
35:07
you start rounding up people and
35:09
deporting them for political speech,
35:11
be careful for when that knock comes
35:14
on the door. Because eventually it means
35:16
that if you have political
35:18
speech that is counter or
35:20
detrimental or disparaging of an
35:22
administration that now appears to
35:24
be ignoring court orders and
35:26
is... is suing and intimidating and
35:29
saying publicly now that
35:31
people at CNN and MS
35:33
NBC should be prosecuted.
35:35
I mean, we are, you know, we're
35:37
effectively in a full, I don't know
35:40
if you want to call it,
35:42
dictatorship where speech is now chilled.
35:44
So as much as I would
35:46
like to see bad things happen
35:48
to this individual because I
35:51
think he's created incredible,
35:53
incredible dissent and that
35:55
he's He hasn't really broken any
35:57
laws, and this is just political.
36:00
speech, and he's getting disappeared and
36:02
deported, you know, who's next? And
36:04
what qualifies as political speech that
36:06
is worthy of deportation? So there's
36:08
a lot here. It feels as
36:10
if, because we show absolutely no
36:13
resistance, no coordination, no backbone, and
36:15
quite frankly, it doesn't feel, it
36:17
feels as if the flooding the
36:19
zone has the public looking in
36:21
so many different directions over if
36:24
and what to respond to that
36:26
this is now, I used to
36:28
think that the focus should be
36:30
on Ukraine, our surrender to rush
36:32
over Ukraine, the deficits, but this
36:35
feels like it really is something
36:37
that Democrats should be focusing on
36:39
in messaging, and that is, have
36:41
we broken down all of our
36:43
constitutional checks and balances that in
36:45
fact make us a democracy in
36:48
a country? And the last week,
36:50
I would think the last week,
36:52
and I'm trying to think of
36:54
my being somewhat, If I'm catastrophizing,
36:56
it feels like the actions of
36:59
the last week, if they go
37:01
unchecked and the Democrats and the
37:03
public, don't coordinate, mature, just state
37:05
a really thoughtful, strong response to
37:07
this, that we have pretty much
37:09
taken a pretty strong step away
37:12
from a democracy to an autocracy.
37:14
What are your thoughts about Mahmoud
37:16
Kaleel's arrest? I share a lot
37:18
of your same sentiments. And you
37:20
know, this is someone... who is
37:23
completely abhorrent to me. And I
37:25
see this also as a major
37:27
failing of Columbia University that could
37:29
have nipped this in the bud
37:31
last year. Yep. You know. And
37:33
it is part of the Trump
37:36
administration's plan to got higher education
37:38
in this country. So they took
37:40
$400 million away from Columbia. They're
37:42
doing the same at Harvard. I
37:44
saw that they're taking 800 million
37:47
in USAID grants from Johns Hopkins,
37:49
which is the biggest employer for
37:51
Baltimore. writ large and there's no
37:53
accusation of an anti-Semitism problem at
37:55
Johns Hopkins. You know, they just
37:58
don't want people to be able
38:00
to continue with their research grants
38:02
and you know, they say, oh,
38:04
we have to maintain that we're
38:06
going to be competitive with China
38:08
and the rest of the world.
38:11
Well, why don't you just take
38:13
away our innovation, which is happening
38:15
in all of these labs that
38:17
have NIH funding and it's as
38:19
someone who... believes in higher education
38:22
was part of a quote-unquote elite
38:24
institution for my PhD work taught
38:26
there, loves the Ivory Tower even
38:28
though I accept that there are
38:30
problems with it. This is gut-wrenching
38:32
and I worry about the fact
38:35
that the people that we're seeing
38:37
going to the mats for are
38:39
folks like... Mahmoud Khalil. And I
38:41
know that the point of the
38:43
First Amendment is that it's not
38:46
about the speech that you like,
38:48
it's about the speech that makes
38:50
your blood boil. And that is
38:52
exactly the kind of speech that
38:54
this man engaged in. But I
38:57
really wish that the administration would
38:59
go out there and find the
39:01
law that he violated. the law
39:03
that's on the books for that,
39:05
or even the Columbia University laws
39:07
that he definitely violated. Because what
39:10
went on last year at Hamilton
39:12
Hall and that Jews were prevented
39:14
from going to the library, to
39:16
their classes, to their habods, that
39:18
seems like grounds for him to
39:21
have been kicked out of school.
39:23
So we have to retrace our
39:25
steps. And all of this is
39:27
making Marco Rubio, who... gave a
39:29
pretty impassion defense of what the
39:31
administration was doing, seemed pretty sane.
39:34
Like, this is the hill that
39:36
you want to die on for
39:38
this guy who sympathizes with a
39:40
terrorist organization that is at this
39:42
moment holding Americans hostage. This isn't
39:45
some group that has no relevance
39:47
to our lives right now. There
39:49
are Americans sitting in tunnels, in
39:51
Gaza, God knows. what
39:53
has happened to
39:56
them over the
39:58
last, what is
40:00
it, 450 days
40:02
now at this
40:04
point and we have
40:06
to be on the side of
40:08
this guy. Now, we have, I
40:11
guess, good company, Ann Coulter is
40:13
with us now, Eli Lake, someone
40:15
who really hates Mamut Khalil, came
40:18
out and said as well, like, you
40:20
need some law that the guy
40:22
broke in order to take away
40:24
a green card, which is
40:27
basically sacrosanct on top of the fact that
40:29
he's married to an American who's eight months
40:31
pregnant, which creates, you know, a lot
40:33
of sympathy for the
40:35
situation. But I was
40:37
taken, there was, it was just a
40:39
White House official, there was no name
40:41
attached to it, but there was reporting
40:43
in the free press last week, where
40:46
this official told the free press
40:48
reporter, essentially, we don't need
40:50
to say that any law was broken.
40:52
We're just going for aiding and abetting
40:54
a terrorist organization. And the
40:56
American public gets that.
40:59
And I think when push comes to shove,
41:01
and when you look at those immigration numbers,
41:03
that that's the only area in which Trump is
41:05
above watering is a 55 % approval in
41:07
the new NBC poll, that I think that
41:09
they're going to win this one. And
41:12
he is not going
41:14
to be a sympathetic figure for
41:16
many people kind of in the
41:18
moderate middle of this, who are
41:20
looking for examples of people who
41:22
they don't think hold beliefs that
41:24
run counter to the American project,
41:26
who are not siding with violent
41:28
terrorists that are holding us captive
41:31
at this particular moment, and think
41:33
that October 7th was a day
41:35
of love, right? And that there
41:37
was nothing wrong with this. And,
41:39
you know, their anti Zionism certainly
41:41
steps over the line into anti
41:43
Semitism, which is what was going
41:45
on in these campuses and continues
41:47
to go on on a number
41:49
of them with these spineless leaderships who
41:51
sat in front of Congress and
41:53
basically said, we're not going to
41:55
do anything when we know if
41:57
this hadn't been about Jews. about
42:00
black kids, trans kids, gay kids,
42:02
they would have been shut down
42:04
in minutes. There is no chance
42:06
that they would have been able
42:08
to go forward. And so it's
42:10
complicated, of course, and I'm torn
42:12
about it, but I'm looking at
42:15
this as the precursor for what
42:17
they're going to continue to do.
42:19
You know, they reportedly. held a
42:21
green card holder at Logan Airport.
42:23
Did you see this story? A
42:25
German who's been here on a
42:28
green card since 07-08, married to
42:30
an American. He's an engineer. According
42:32
to his mother, they detained him,
42:34
put him in an ice-cold shower.
42:36
There's no evidence that this
42:38
guy is sympathetic to anything
42:40
that runs counter to the
42:42
United States. And there, no one
42:44
is safe. They should really just... change
42:47
this to we only want
42:49
natural-born citizens plus Elon Musk
42:51
and if you have a
42:53
green card that doesn't mean
42:55
anything to us and we're
42:57
gonna completely rewrite the way
42:59
we do immigration law in
43:01
this country asylum get over
43:03
it's done it means there
43:05
are no legitimate asylum claims
43:07
and Tom Holman is the king
43:09
yeah the I do think that
43:12
Democrats have a a habit of sticking
43:14
out our chin and having this fist
43:16
of autocracy stone come for it.
43:18
And to your point, if I had
43:20
gone down as a faculty member of
43:23
NYU with a big sign saying, burn
43:25
the gaze or lynch the blacks, they
43:27
would have had no need for context,
43:29
I would have been, my ID would
43:31
have been turned off, I would have
43:34
been shut out of academia, fired, never
43:36
allowed back on the campus, never
43:38
been able to work in academia
43:41
again. But when... Yeah, free speech
43:43
has never been freer when it's
43:45
hate speech against Jews. And the
43:47
Republican administration has now
43:50
found an opportunity to tap
43:52
into that rage and that wrong and
43:54
go way too far and deny the
43:56
rights of everyday Americans. And
43:58
this is just a huge... feeling in
44:00
my opinion and has created an
44:02
opening the size of the Grand
44:05
Canyon for the Republicans to come
44:07
in or for the Trump administration
44:09
to come in and start violating
44:11
everybody's rights. And I actually did
44:13
advise or have been advising the
44:16
Regency of the University of California
44:18
on this issue and their general
44:20
viewpoint is my advice was this
44:22
is super easy. They were really
44:25
worried about fall. What happens when
44:27
the students return last fall? And
44:29
because UCLA, I think probably, I
44:31
think the most shameful moment I've
44:33
ever felt in there hasn't been
44:36
a lot of them, for my
44:38
alma mater, UCLA, was when kids
44:40
were passing out bans to non-Jews,
44:42
and if you didn't have a
44:44
band, you couldn't access certain parts
44:47
of the campus. So they basically
44:49
decided to prohibit Jews from certain,
44:51
you know, from campus activities. And
44:53
I thought, okay, what's going to
44:55
happen here? And I don't know
44:58
what happened, which probably means nothing.
45:00
They said, well, what would you
45:02
do? And I said, it's very
45:04
easy. The first protest for a
45:06
sign of any protest around where
45:09
there's hate speech, or there are
45:11
people trespassing who aren't students, or
45:13
the students are doing anything resembling
45:15
what would qualify as hate speech,
45:17
of which there's a lot. If
45:20
it's a peaceful protest, of course
45:22
you do nothing. But if it's
45:24
not, and it turns ugly, or
45:26
they're occupying facilities, like what recently
45:28
happened a Columbia, you give them
45:31
15 minutes to vacate. And then
45:33
you start expelling students and let
45:35
them call their parents and say,
45:37
oh, that $72,000 tuition, I'm coming
45:39
home. And you do that right
45:42
away. And word gets out really
45:44
fast. And there was this bullshit
45:46
argument that Scott, these are young
45:48
people, we can't just start expelling
45:50
them in a wanton kind of
45:53
reckless fashion. And my response to
45:55
the following. At Columbia, they expelled
45:57
91% of freshmenmen every year. It's
45:59
called the admissions process. And the
46:01
notion that somehow you have a
46:04
birthright to attend a private university
46:06
and that you're protected by these
46:08
first, you have. You are at
46:10
a private organization. It's like no
46:12
shoes, no shirt, no service. They
46:15
have the right to kind of
46:17
determine the laws as long as
46:19
they're not breaking the law. And
46:21
the fact that they have come
46:23
across is so incredibly anti-Semitic. They
46:26
have stuck their chin out and
46:28
the result is an overreaction in
46:30
the Trump administration taking advantage of
46:32
this weak... They get it thinking
46:35
to go the other way and
46:37
have an overreaction. I do think
46:39
to your point, this is a
46:41
response to an incredible lack of
46:43
leadership and insanity on university campuses.
46:46
I'm about to do a college
46:48
tour with my son. And I'm
46:50
fascinated by colleges and admission standards
46:52
and data and enrollment trends. And
46:54
it's interesting, the schools that are
46:57
booming in terms. are these southern
46:59
schools that are seen as apolitical
47:01
or even a little less, or
47:03
even a little conservative. Parents are
47:05
sending their kids, they want their
47:08
kids to go to college. They
47:10
don't want a political orthodoxy, they
47:12
don't want a school and administration
47:14
that sees themselves as engineers of
47:16
social engineers. It's really interesting. Southern
47:19
schools or schools that are distinctly
47:21
seen as somewhat center left are
47:23
booming in terms of applications. But
47:25
Columbia University leadership goes down as
47:27
such incredibly misguided weak leadership that
47:30
has set up an overreaction that
47:32
has been justified. And the cloud
47:34
cover for the justification of an
47:36
overreaction has been what have been
47:38
an incredible lack of leadership in
47:41
blatant anti-Semitism. So this is, like
47:43
a lot of democratic policies, we
47:45
start on the right foot, we
47:47
take it too far. and we
47:49
set up an overreaction because people
47:52
are just rolling their eyes and
47:54
thinking, okay, making an argument for
47:56
a six foot four swimmer to...
47:58
show up to a swim meet,
48:00
to a swim meet, who presents his
48:02
female and then blow away everything. Didn't
48:05
win a single race as a male swimmer,
48:07
but is absolutely winning everything. And then
48:09
having everyone on the left applaud and
48:11
say, isn't that inspiring, you set up
48:14
an overreaction where we begin demonizing a
48:16
special interest group for no real reason.
48:18
And the same has happened here. We
48:20
take things too far. We stick our
48:23
chin out and we set ourselves up
48:25
for an overreaction that makes things much
48:27
worse than if we'd had a less
48:29
insane thoughtful reaction. I'm totally with
48:32
you. I'm noticing the higher education
48:34
trend myself that parents are saying,
48:36
oh, we're going to look at
48:39
University of South Carolina. We're going
48:41
to look at Clemson. Or Wake
48:43
Forest. People love Vanderbilt. UNC
48:45
Chapel Hill. Vanderbilt is now
48:47
as difficult to get into as many
48:50
Ivy leagues. There's so many
48:52
applications. That feels right to me.
48:55
Not just on this point, but the
48:57
way that academia and higher
48:59
education has been going, it's
49:01
exclusionary. It's not
49:04
providing what it purports to.
49:06
Right. You know, people think it's
49:08
the golden ticket, right? That you
49:10
got to the Wanka factory and
49:12
your life is going to be
49:14
set. But guess what? The only
49:16
thing that makes your life set
49:19
is hustle and reading. preparing
49:21
and you're seeing that more and more
49:23
in these high positions everywhere from
49:26
investment banks law firms down to of
49:28
course like the tech in the startup
49:30
world where it's just how hard you're
49:32
going to work how good are your
49:34
ideas and how intense is your grind
49:37
and by the time my kids are
49:39
going to college you know I went
49:41
to private school here in New York
49:43
City I went and talked to who's
49:45
now the head of the school prestigious
49:48
progressive institution he was like it's not
49:50
even necessarily going to be a
49:52
requirement by the time your kids are going to
49:54
college that you have to be thinking about this
49:56
because I said I have two little Jewish babies.
49:58
What am I going to do? Right? I'm not
50:00
going to send them off to Harvard
50:03
or Columbia under these conditions. Even if
50:05
there aren't protests in the streets, the
50:07
academics have shown themselves to not be
50:09
interested in treating Jews equally to the
50:11
other kids that are there. And he
50:14
said, just don't worry. It's going to
50:16
be a completely different game by the
50:18
time your kids are going and you're
50:20
going to see it, even on the
50:23
tour that you're organizing for your son,
50:25
schools that you wouldn't have even thought
50:27
of, that you were going to go
50:29
and consider. he's going to be dying
50:31
to get into. Say like this is
50:34
the right place for me both academically
50:36
and socially. So maybe that will be
50:38
a silver lining in all of this,
50:40
but these huge endowments, Harvard with what
50:42
is it, 50 billion dollars are sitting
50:45
on? Yeah. They should start paying for
50:47
all these kids to come for free.
50:49
Now is the time. If the government's
50:51
going to take away your funding, you
50:53
say you know what, we're going to
50:56
go it alone. Get rid of all
50:58
the anti-Semitic, ruining the quality of life
51:00
for other students clearly violating your policies
51:02
and put that money back into the
51:04
system so that the smart kids that
51:07
are going to be the leaders of
51:09
tomorrow can come there without landing themselves
51:11
in hundreds of thousands of debt for
51:13
the rest of their lives and make
51:15
this bit more of an equal playing
51:18
field. Yeah, well, as you can imagine,
51:20
I think a lot about this and
51:22
I do think unfortunately, I do think
51:24
it's tempting to think that because there's
51:27
so much manufactured artificial stresses, someone who's
51:29
going through it right now. from universities
51:31
who have adopted a rejectionist exclusionary strategy.
51:33
And despite sitting on an endowment, the
51:35
size of the GDP of a Latin
51:38
American nation only led in 500 students.
51:40
Dartmouth sits on an endowment of $8
51:42
billion and lets in 500 freshmen. Harvard
51:44
sits on an endowment of $52 billion
51:46
and decides to only led in 1,500.
51:49
That is morally corrupt. If you had
51:51
a drug that made people less likely
51:53
to kill themselves, more likely to get
51:55
married, more likely to pay a lot
51:57
of taxes. less likely to be obese,
52:00
less likely to be depressed, would you
52:02
hoard that drug? We in higher education
52:04
hoard that drug. We have the resource...
52:06
we have the capability, there would be
52:08
absolutely no sacrifice in the quality of
52:11
the students. People say, oh, but the
52:13
brand would go down. When I applied
52:15
to UCLA, the acceptance rate was 76
52:17
percent. It's now 9 percent. And it
52:19
wasn't exactly a Joey Bag of Donuts
52:22
brand back then. We have become the
52:24
enforcers of the caste system and as
52:26
much as we like to believe that,
52:28
oh, don't worry, the college won't matter,
52:31
it does, because America is turning into
52:33
a caste system and the easiest way
52:35
for corporations to evaluate human capital is
52:37
based on the school they went to.
52:39
So the notion that a quote-unquote doesn't
52:42
matter anymore is a lie we tell
52:44
ourselves, such that we feel better about
52:46
the massive amount of stress and the
52:48
inequity. and our disappointment in higher ed.
52:50
And what has slowly happened in higher
52:53
education is me and my faculty sometimes
52:55
who are 15 administrators to everyone who
52:57
actually teaches have decided that we would
52:59
rather not have accountability. So we teach
53:01
bullshit, ridiculous courses that have no measurable
53:04
outcomes. Leadership, sustainability, DI, ethics. Show me
53:06
someone teaching ethics. I'm going to show
53:08
you a fit, a formerly important person.
53:10
who hangs out at the university makes
53:12
$200,000 to $400,000 a year for trying
53:15
to teach a 27-year-old in business school
53:17
how to be more ethical, which is
53:19
such the height of arrogance, instead of
53:21
being centers of excellence, we've turned it
53:23
into a political orthodoxy machine with a
53:26
vast majority of the faculty are very
53:28
left, not reflecting any diverse thought, and
53:30
where you can get in trouble for
53:32
certain words. We have totally lost the
53:35
script. Our job is to give you
53:37
the skills to go out and create
53:39
economic security for you and your family
53:41
and do great work and power the
53:43
economy. And the fact that we have
53:46
become this exclusionary and this arrogant and
53:48
teaching all of these bullshit courses with
53:50
no measurable outcome, the result is we
53:52
constrain supply and it's not about who
53:54
gets in it should be about how
53:57
many. If a school doesn't increase its
53:59
freshman seats faster than population... growth, it
54:01
should lose its tax-free status as it's
54:03
no longer a public servant,
54:05
but it's a hedge fund
54:08
with classes. Higher education absolutely
54:10
needs to be reformed. Anyways,
54:13
that's my TED Talk. It was
54:15
good and I guess I'm wrong, so there
54:17
we go. There you go. Well, we just,
54:19
there's some nuance there, that's
54:21
what I call it, it's nuance.
54:24
All right, Jess, let's take one
54:26
more quick break, stay with Ready for
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to upgrade Visit shopify.com to upgrade your selling today. Welcome back
55:49
before your selling today. Welcome back before we go. Talks
55:51
between the US, Ukraine, and Russia
55:53
over a possible ceasefire are picking
55:55
up... we go. Talks between the US, Ukraine, and Russia over a possible ceasefire are picking up steam. And the Kremlin is saying
55:57
there's some reason to be hopeful.
56:00
the world's largest nation, has become
56:02
a surrender monkey. Anyways, after meeting
56:05
with Trump's envoy in Moscow, Putin
56:07
signaled he's open to a 30-day
56:09
truce, but with conditions that are
56:11
pretty one-sided. He wants formal recognition
56:13
of Russia's land grabs and a
56:15
promise that Ukraine will never join
56:18
NATO. Salenski has stood firm on
56:20
not giving up land, but lately
56:22
he's prioritizing security guarantees over getting
56:24
territory back right away. Meanwhile, Americans
56:26
are skeptical of Trump's handling of
56:28
the situation. A new CNN poll
56:30
shows 59% think Trump's approach won't
56:33
lead to long-term peace. 50% say
56:35
it's flat out bad for the
56:37
US. And nearly 6 in 10
56:39
disapprove of his handling of the
56:41
US's relations with Russia. Just your
56:43
thoughts here. Well, I think that
56:45
Oval Office debacle actually did something
56:48
and moved public opinion in how
56:50
Trump is handling this. So that
56:52
week of calling Zelenski a dictator,
56:54
saying he only had a 4%
56:56
approval, and then... that back and
56:58
forth in the oval, you know,
57:01
first with JD Vance and then
57:03
with Trump, obviously has people soured
57:05
a bit on this approach. And,
57:07
you know, with Russia saying that
57:09
we're making progress, that's the S
57:11
to me. I don't trust them
57:13
as far as I could throw
57:16
them, which would be zero feet
57:18
anyway. And there is no evidence
57:20
that they have... compromise any of
57:22
their positions. They're still at the
57:24
maximalist position in all of this.
57:26
And so all of the compromising
57:29
is going to have to come
57:31
on the part of Ukraine. Now
57:33
Zelenski has been signaling for months
57:35
now that he is willing to
57:37
make some concessions. He even said
57:39
when he was speaking in Kiev
57:41
a few weeks ago, I'll resign
57:44
right now if it means that
57:46
we can put a stop to
57:48
this and that we're going to
57:50
have the security guarantees that we
57:52
need. So I basically just don't.
57:54
believe it. I think that Zelenski
57:57
continues to be between a rock
57:59
and a hard place, having to
58:01
negotiate with two forces that just
58:03
want this over with. Putin and
58:05
he wants to get whatever he
58:07
wants and us that wants this
58:09
mineral rights deal which is going
58:12
to go through and If there's
58:14
a tentative ceasefire, they're going to
58:16
break it. You know Putin and
58:18
Medvedev come out and say we're
58:20
making progress and that night There
58:22
are 27 drones launched into Ukraine.
58:25
So they spare me basically is
58:27
where I am. Yeah, this is
58:29
I see a silver lining here
58:31
and that is the US is
58:33
surrender to Putin, the decision to
58:35
ignore these 80-year alliances with the
58:37
largest economies in the world such
58:40
that they can have sort of
58:42
this, if you will, this mob
58:44
deal with another autocrat and potentially
58:46
thinking they can divide up the
58:48
world. It's economically just really stupid.
58:50
And the silver line here is
58:53
the following. Europe may be a
58:55
union for the first time, and
58:57
that is the 27 member states
58:59
of the European Union have finally
59:01
recognized. that they need to get
59:03
their shit together and can't be
59:05
this rich nephew relying on Uncle
59:08
Sam's large ass. They now actually
59:10
believe there's just not getting around
59:12
it. Uncle Sam has lost his
59:14
shit and we can't depend upon
59:16
him for a military umbrella. The
59:18
U.S. spends about $800 billion in
59:20
defense. NATO and all EU-27 member
59:23
nations spend a total of about
59:25
$400 and $450. They have not
59:27
been coordinated. They've lacked risk capital.
59:29
And this might be actually the
59:31
moment for them to command the
59:33
space they occupy. And you have
59:36
seen some signs of a pulse
59:38
and of real leadership from the
59:40
biggest leaders in the EU. And
59:42
I believe that they basically, the
59:44
bad news is that America can't
59:46
be counted on, which is really
59:48
unfortunate and tragic to support the
59:51
post-World War II 80-year alliance that
59:53
has created more prosperity in the
59:55
last 80 years than the world
59:57
has created in the modern economy.
59:59
But the silver lining is that
1:00:01
the EU may get more coordinated.
1:00:04
They're talking about increasing their defense
1:00:06
budgets from 1.9% of GDP. to
1:00:08
3%. And what you've seen is
1:00:10
the markets are responding. The quote
1:00:12
unquote magnificent seven, which consists of
1:00:14
US Tech mega caps, Apple, Amazon,
1:00:16
Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft, and Invidian, Tesla,
1:00:19
have been incredible performers. But this
1:00:21
year, this year, their year to
1:00:23
date, they're down 8%. Whereas the
1:00:25
European defense seven, that's the second
1:00:27
biggest, that's the seven largest military
1:00:29
contractors, are up 46% and 65%
1:00:32
over the last year, and the
1:00:34
stock 600, which is the European
1:00:36
kind of S&P, if you will,
1:00:38
is up 9% this year, and
1:00:40
the S&P 500 is down 2%.
1:00:42
If you look at military spending,
1:00:44
as much as, and there's a
1:00:47
decent argument here that it withdraws
1:00:49
from more productive means of spending
1:00:51
on social services, There is, one,
1:00:53
a stimulative effect, and two, there
1:00:55
is a spillover. If you look
1:00:57
at the most valuable companies in
1:01:00
the world, whether it's Apple or
1:01:02
Google, they're essentially built on the
1:01:04
backbone of defense technologies developed early
1:01:06
on, whether it's DARPA, which was
1:01:08
built to establish a communications network
1:01:10
such that we could communicate in
1:01:12
a post-Soviet nuclear attack that was
1:01:15
hubless or nodeless. or GPS, which
1:01:17
is what essentially Apple and Android
1:01:19
are built on, and that was
1:01:21
developed such that we could put
1:01:23
an ICBM in Gorbachev's pocket. All
1:01:25
of these military technologies do have
1:01:28
a stimulative and a spillover effect,
1:01:30
and I believe, and this is
1:01:32
one of my big predictions late
1:01:34
last year for 2025, that European
1:01:36
stocks are going to vastly outperform
1:01:38
US stocks. And the nice thing
1:01:40
about this is we're all talking
1:01:43
as if at the negotiation table
1:01:45
that it's up to. first and
1:01:47
foremost, the US who kind of
1:01:49
is acting as the propaganda wing
1:01:51
of Russia at this point, and
1:01:53
then Russia, and Ukraine is invited
1:01:55
to the table around these defense
1:01:58
stocks, and Europe plays absolutely no
1:02:00
role. Well, here's the good news.
1:02:02
If Europe gets a... together and
1:02:04
show sort of the commitment and
1:02:06
resolve from a spending and a
1:02:08
boots on the ground resolve that
1:02:11
the US and Russia have shown
1:02:13
in spades. They don't need the
1:02:15
US. The Russian economy is smaller
1:02:17
than the Canadian economy. It's less
1:02:19
than two trillion dollars and the
1:02:21
EU or the EU member nations
1:02:23
add up to about 19 trillion.
1:02:26
The European Union, should it show
1:02:28
coordination, fiscal commitment, and perhaps even
1:02:30
boots on the ground commitment, which
1:02:32
I don't think we'll ever need
1:02:34
to do, but show a willingness
1:02:36
and a resolve, they don't need
1:02:39
the US. And I'm hopeful that
1:02:41
this additional spending and coordination might
1:02:43
finally kind of stir a sleeping
1:02:45
giant, and that is the EU.
1:02:47
So I think this is a
1:02:49
new era, or could signal a
1:02:51
new era, where there's some great
1:02:54
leadership in Europe, whether it's Macron,
1:02:56
whether it's a cure stormer. There
1:02:58
is an opportunity here for Europe
1:03:00
to finally be a union and
1:03:02
command the space they occupy, push
1:03:04
back on Putin with or without
1:03:07
the US's help, and coordinate and
1:03:09
spend and show some resolve here.
1:03:11
They are acquiescing to a gas
1:03:13
station that has nuclear weapons on
1:03:15
the roof, and they shouldn't be.
1:03:17
They are a bigger economy. They
1:03:19
have fantastic IP, fantastic weapons producers.
1:03:22
Both France and the UK are
1:03:24
nuclear powers. It is time for
1:03:26
the Europeans to step up. It's
1:03:28
going to be costly. That's the
1:03:30
bad news. The good news is
1:03:32
they can absolutely step up and
1:03:35
push back on a murderous autocrat.
1:03:37
And what's just so tragic here
1:03:39
is that Trump appears to be
1:03:41
acting like a Russian asset. There's
1:03:43
no evidence that he is, in
1:03:45
fact, a Russian asset. But if
1:03:47
you were to define the actions
1:03:50
of a Russian asset, he would
1:03:52
fit them to a tea. But
1:03:54
the good news is I'm not
1:03:56
sure the European Union actually needs
1:03:58
us. I think they have all
1:04:00
of the spending power. all of
1:04:03
the military technology to push back
1:04:05
on their own, the question is
1:04:07
do they have the resolve and
1:04:09
the leadership. I just want to
1:04:11
add quickly to that that while
1:04:13
I share those sentiments and as
1:04:15
someone who spent a lot of
1:04:18
time living in a former EU
1:04:20
country, but I have a deep
1:04:22
affection for the European project and
1:04:24
I think it's incredible. You could
1:04:26
design something with the free flow
1:04:28
of humans and goods and that
1:04:31
we're all the better for culture
1:04:33
sharing and economic sharing, etc. But
1:04:35
all of these silver linings or
1:04:37
all of these good things that
1:04:39
are happening are happening for somebody
1:04:41
else besides us. And that feels
1:04:43
terrible. I don't ever want to
1:04:46
be rooting against my own country.
1:04:48
I don't want to be rooting
1:04:50
against my own government and in
1:04:52
every single conversation that we've had
1:04:54
today that has had to be
1:04:56
a stipulation in this that i
1:04:58
don't want to be seen to
1:05:01
be on the side of v
1:05:03
Venezuelan gang members i don't want
1:05:05
to be seen to be on
1:05:07
the side of the u.s. not
1:05:09
having the important and central role
1:05:11
that we should be playing in
1:05:14
geopolitics in favor of a stronger
1:05:16
EU or a chance for Ukraine
1:05:18
to be able to survive as
1:05:20
a sovereign nation. I think I
1:05:22
said it used the same word
1:05:24
at the start of the podcast.
1:05:26
I just feel despondent about all
1:05:29
of this and it makes me
1:05:31
feel a bit like a shitty
1:05:33
American too and I love America.
1:05:35
I think it's the most fantastic
1:05:37
country on the planet. And there's
1:05:39
just so much that has made
1:05:42
me feel sour about the way
1:05:44
that we're behaving and what the
1:05:46
future looks like for all of
1:05:48
us here. Well, I go back
1:05:50
to, I feel the same way.
1:05:52
And I think a lot of
1:05:54
Americans do. They feel despondent. And
1:05:57
what helps me is that I
1:05:59
realize that. Yes,
1:06:01
Winston Churchill said, the Americans, after
1:06:03
exhausting every other option, will do the
1:06:05
right thing, or will do the right
1:06:08
thing after exhausting every other option. And
1:06:10
we faced really dark moments before. 80
1:06:12
years ago, we were rounding up Japanese-American
1:06:14
and putting them in camps, and some
1:06:16
of them had sons fighting in the
1:06:19
European theater in our own uniform. We
1:06:21
do get it wrong a lot, but
1:06:23
generally over the medium in the long term,
1:06:25
the arc of American justice bends towards the
1:06:27
righteous. We waited... A couple of years
1:06:29
before entering World War II, Canada went
1:06:32
over there first and started training Allied
1:06:34
pilots and finally we decided to enter
1:06:36
the war. And I do think Americans are
1:06:39
going to recognize that the Ukrainian
1:06:41
people who are fighting for liberty
1:06:43
and American values, that Canada with
1:06:45
the largest undefended border in the
1:06:47
world are actually our friends, that
1:06:49
this move towards autocracy is so
1:06:51
counter to everything that's wonderful and
1:06:53
has created so much prosperity in the
1:06:55
US, that those values matter and that
1:06:57
they're willing... you know, they're worth fighting for.
1:06:59
So I have a lot of confidence
1:07:02
that Americans, should we actually find leadership
1:07:04
in the Democratic Party, and I believe
1:07:06
we will, to your point. You know,
1:07:08
you've always said this, we have a
1:07:10
great bench. I think they're going to
1:07:12
realize that a murderous autocrat invading
1:07:15
Europe usually does not end well
1:07:17
for Europe, and then eventually for us.
1:07:19
And I do believe there's a real
1:07:21
moment, a kind of a, you know,
1:07:23
people were calling Kiery starmor, or a...
1:07:25
There's a moment here for a leader
1:07:27
to step up and say that America
1:07:29
needs to be America again. And I'd
1:07:32
like to think we're getting to that point,
1:07:34
but we have been in these types of
1:07:36
dark places before, and American values do
1:07:38
seem to do seem to show up,
1:07:41
and I'm confident that's going to happen
1:07:43
again here. But this is, I would
1:07:45
describe, you know, and I think you're
1:07:47
articulating a well, this does feel like
1:07:49
a dark moment where we are, our
1:07:51
American values are taking a back seat.
1:07:54
to the temptation to have a strong
1:07:56
man and that's going to solve what
1:07:58
are some very real problems. here in
1:08:00
the U.S. But I'd like to
1:08:02
think that over the long term,
1:08:04
after again, exhausting every other solution,
1:08:06
that we get it right. Me
1:08:08
too. There you go. All right,
1:08:11
that's it for this episode. Thank
1:08:13
you for listening to Raging Moderates.
1:08:15
Our producers are David Toledo and
1:08:17
Cheneya Onikai. Our technical directors, Drew
1:08:19
Burrows. You can find Raging Moderates
1:08:21
on its own feed every Tuesday.
1:08:23
That's right, its own feed. That
1:08:25
means exclusive interviews, exclusive interviews with
1:08:27
sharp political minds you won't hear
1:08:29
anywhere else. Make sure to follow
1:08:32
us wherever you get your podcast.
1:08:34
And one last plug, join us
1:08:36
for our live show on April
1:08:38
17th in New York. Grab your
1:08:40
tickets now. The last time tickets
1:08:42
went on sale, they were sold
1:08:44
out in 24 hours, no joke.
1:08:46
Link in the show notes. See
1:08:48
you there. Just as kids will
1:08:50
not be there. Just have a
1:08:52
great. rest of the week realize
1:08:55
just just make it clear to
1:08:57
your husband always defer to mom
1:08:59
ADM he's an influencer not a
1:09:01
decision-maker. I love it he's listening
1:09:03
so there you go honey love
1:09:05
you see you at home
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