Trump's Deportation Plans Backfire as Dems Hit Record Low

Trump's Deportation Plans Backfire as Dems Hit Record Low

Released Tuesday, 18th March 2025
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Trump's Deportation Plans Backfire as Dems Hit Record Low

Trump's Deportation Plans Backfire as Dems Hit Record Low

Trump's Deportation Plans Backfire as Dems Hit Record Low

Trump's Deportation Plans Backfire as Dems Hit Record Low

Tuesday, 18th March 2025
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0:00

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bucket for 25. prices and participation

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vary while supply glass, taxes,

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tips, and fees extra. Welcome to

1:14

Raging Moderates. I'm Scott Galloway. And

1:17

I'm Jessica Tarlove. Jess, so this is

1:19

going to be like every other show.

1:21

You're going to have to carry it.

1:24

I got home at about 2 a.m.

1:26

last night for Mexico, very jet-lagged, was

1:28

up to 4, to Gazanics, and I

1:30

woke up about 10 minutes ago. And I'm

1:32

feeling a little, I'm feeling a little, I

1:35

don't know. I don't know. I don't know.

1:37

And I'm looking for people to do my

1:39

work for me. And I have just absolutely

1:41

no understanding of my surroundings or the current

1:43

situation. So back to you, Jess, what's going

1:46

on? Okay, well, do you want to do

1:48

a whole show about what it was like

1:50

with little kids this weekend, since you

1:52

don't have the strength to fight me on

1:54

this? And I can tell you about having

1:57

my first fight with my husband about

1:59

parenting. front of other couples

2:01

with kids the same age. Did

2:03

you guys ever do this? It's

2:05

very uncomfortable and they probably think

2:07

we're getting divorced. So uncomfortable fights

2:09

are just part of it. Yeah,

2:11

just lean in. Yeah, just lean

2:13

in and what was the let

2:15

me help. So I'm very good

2:17

at running other people's lives. Give

2:19

me the situation out to you

2:21

who is right, who is wrong

2:23

and what you need to do.

2:25

Okay, we're in a public place.

2:27

It is quiet. But... People are

2:29

eating. So we're in like the

2:31

cafeteria part of a whole foods,

2:33

having lunch with three, three-year-olds and

2:35

the respective parents. The kids start

2:37

being really loud. Disrupting other people,

2:39

for sure. There are other kids

2:41

there, but they're not making noise.

2:43

They're younger than ours are. So

2:45

they're like in strollers just kind

2:47

of chilling, but people are working.

2:50

People are having low conversations. Anyway,

2:52

they start doing ring around the

2:54

rosy, real loud. My husband has

2:56

a very low threshold for this.

2:58

He also reflexively hands over his

3:00

phone for screen time. I feel

3:02

like he pushes screen time on

3:04

my child. But we're also with

3:06

two other families that don't do

3:08

screen time at all. So he

3:10

starts offering up his phone to

3:12

my daughter. I'm pushing back so

3:14

you can't do that because these

3:16

other kids, you can't even give

3:18

one kid a snack that the

3:20

other kids can't have. Anyway. It

3:22

got bad, you know, and they

3:24

the dads were intervening saying you

3:26

know you can't do this We

3:28

distracted them with food a little

3:30

bit, but there was big back

3:32

and forth and he said this

3:34

is the hill that I am

3:36

willing to die on you can't

3:38

disrupt other people's lives Because of

3:40

your children, so Who's right? Who's

3:42

wrong? Who's moving out? Who gets

3:44

to keep the house? Sure. No,

3:46

I understand. I understand. No, the

3:48

real fissure here is between you

3:50

and horrible couples who are those

3:52

couples who decide they're not giving

3:54

their kids screen time. Those are

3:56

awful people. No, they're not. They're

3:58

lovely and they're kids. kids aren't

4:00

addicted to screens. They don't yell

4:03

out for mawana in their sleep.

4:05

Yeah, those are the, you know, those

4:07

are the people that, oh, it's parenting

4:09

and they shouldn't have screen time. Those

4:11

are awful people. You need, you need

4:13

better friends too. The real key here

4:16

is you need to start hitting

4:18

your children. That immediately

4:20

resets the operating system and

4:22

brings a moment of shock, but

4:24

a moment of peace to everything. And

4:27

I'm in favor of. Giving them

4:29

screen touch. So first off, I

4:31

totally empathize. I go absolutely crazy

4:34

when our kids, my kids or

4:36

other kids, are loud and

4:38

distracting. If they're really loud

4:40

and distracting, I think you

4:42

take them outside and separate

4:44

them from the rest of the

4:46

crew. I have no patience for that.

4:48

Also, it's a very difficult

4:51

situation. I'm actually, I'm now

4:53

being serious because the reality

4:55

is. My gig accused of this a lot

4:58

and that is I decide I

5:00

understand parenting when it's bothering me,

5:02

but I'm not interested in participating

5:04

in parenting when everything's fine. And so

5:06

it's a little bit like selective,

5:08

selective parenting. But I think it's, I think

5:10

you're gonna, the good news is this is

5:12

only going to happen to you about every

5:15

two weeks for the restroom marriage until the

5:17

kids are out of the house. So, I

5:19

think, and also I think your husband needs

5:21

to realize as it relates to parenting, he's

5:23

an influencer, not a decision maker. I have

5:26

generally found, which is a bit of an

5:28

abdication, and I want to acknowledge that, but

5:30

I've generally found that mom has just much

5:32

better instincts around how to handle this stuff

5:35

than dad. I'm a sexist that way. I'll

5:37

provide input around parenting decisions, and then mom

5:39

gets to make the decision, because I find

5:41

she's just much more in tune with the

5:43

kids. But yeah, the way the kids

5:46

behave in public is absolutely a point

5:48

of tension from me because I think

5:50

what he's doing is just I think

5:52

he's reflecting on his own shortcomings

5:54

as a parent. Thank you. He feels as a

5:56

man. He's a disciplinarian and when the

5:58

kids are out of control. troll it's a

6:00

poor reflection on him. He also grew

6:03

up hypersensitive to this apparently. So I

6:05

and I get it my dad used

6:07

to just pick us up and take

6:10

us out of restaurants and say like

6:12

Judy my mom you know get the

6:14

check we'll be outside and that's the

6:16

end of it which I would have

6:19

understand I mean this wasn't you know

6:21

like a high-end restaurant we were in

6:23

the public space at Whole Foods but

6:25

I take the point anyway we ended

6:28

up in a good place. And I

6:30

appreciate your sexism when it's going in

6:32

a feminist direction, that you should try

6:34

to always hang in that direction. But

6:37

anyway, that was basically my weekend. Yeah,

6:39

I know. It's, so just, just recognize

6:41

that kids ruin everything. Kids are the

6:43

best thing that could happen to you

6:46

that will ruin your life, and it

6:48

does put a huge strain, I have

6:50

found. There's actually, just to be serious

6:52

for a moment. All the studies on

6:55

happiness show that you're at least happy

6:57

years or the years you're in, 25

6:59

to 45 specifically around child yearing. You'll

7:01

look back on the period we have

7:04

young children at home and reflect on

7:06

that as the happiest time of your

7:08

life. But what's interesting is in the

7:10

moment people without children are actually happier

7:13

on average than people with children because

7:15

of instances like this. But as they

7:17

get older, I do find it gets

7:19

easier and easier. Years are... Yours are

7:22

11 and 9? Three and not even

7:24

one. Have we met? Oh, you did?

7:26

Okay, that's a Mexico hangover joke? Okay.

7:28

Yeah, no, it gets, it gets, it

7:31

gets, it gets, it gets, uh, it

7:33

gets better. I know, there's a very,

7:35

I don't know, there's a very, I

7:37

don't know if it counts as a

7:40

meme, I don't know what the definition

7:42

of a meat miss, but anyway, something

7:44

that was passed around, all night until

7:46

we fall asleep. That's really nice. Yeah,

7:49

it's very sweet and very accurate. All

7:51

right, before we dive in, in a

7:53

quick announcement, Jess and I are taking

7:55

the show live. We are literally, we

7:58

are literally woke royalty ride. We are

8:00

the grand, we are literally the,

8:02

the Duchess of Wokistan now.

8:04

We're partnering with, get this, the

8:07

92nd Street Y in New York for

8:09

a special event on Thursday,

8:11

April 17th, that's right, Thursday, April

8:13

17th, and you can grab

8:15

your tickets right now, the link is

8:18

in the show notes, trust us, you

8:20

don't want to miss this one.

8:22

Literally, I've been working my ass

8:24

off for 30 years and I'm

8:26

an overnight woke success because of

8:29

you, Jess. This is literally, like, I

8:31

feel like Patrick Moynihan is,

8:33

it could emerge from his crypt,

8:35

and who's the wokest person, every,

8:37

literally, we are, we are woke

8:39

royalty now. We're speaking at the

8:42

92nd wall, your thoughts. I would

8:44

love it if Daniel Patrick Moynihan

8:46

could come in chill with

8:48

us. I heard he's not doing that

8:50

well. I'm so excited. I grew up

8:52

in the city here and the 92nd Street

8:55

Y has always held some

8:57

of the most interesting and

8:59

exciting programming and where everyone

9:01

wants to go to be able

9:03

if they have a book coming

9:06

out or for serious conversations on

9:08

what's going on future of the

9:10

country and was totally floored when they

9:12

sent the email. I didn't know. It

9:15

was like when a boy that you

9:17

liked text you and you think

9:19

like how long... Should I wait to reply

9:21

when we got that email? I was like,

9:23

is four seconds too long to wait with

9:25

the unequivocal? Yes, I will do anything to

9:28

do this. It's a little daunting for me

9:30

because we we did a live show right

9:32

after we launched with like 100 people. This

9:34

is many more people than that, but

9:36

you say it's going to be fine. So

9:39

I'm just leaning in to your experience, but

9:41

it feels very special and exciting. And I

9:43

hope if whoever's listening, if you guys are

9:45

in the New York area that you'll get

9:47

tickets and. and come see us live at

9:50

the 92nd Street Y. Yeah, just as moment

9:52

of excitement. Let me just let me just relate

9:54

that or make it relatable to the 98% of

9:56

us that weren't really attractive in high school. It's

9:58

like when you found out you got an 80th

10:00

percentile in the SAT and he

10:02

said, oh, I might get into

10:04

UC Irvine. Anyways, but we feel

10:06

you, but this is so, this

10:08

is so exciting. I'm waiting for

10:10

the fallout of my other co-host,

10:13

Kara Swisher. She and I have

10:15

not been invited in 92nd Street

10:17

Web. But anyways, come see both,

10:19

come see both at the 92nd

10:21

Street Y. This is very exciting

10:23

on April 17th. Today, in today,

10:25

in today's episode of raging moderates,

10:27

we're discussing a Democrats' fury over

10:30

Schumer's vote on the spending bill.

10:32

Trump challenging the courts on deportations

10:34

and the latest on Ukraine-Russia ceasefire

10:36

talks. All right, let's jump into

10:38

it last week as the clock

10:40

ran down to a potential government

10:42

shutdown. Senator Leader Chuck Schumer found

10:44

himself in a tough spot trying

10:47

to balance a divided democratic party.

10:49

His unexpected decision to support the

10:51

GOP stopgap funding bill sparked major

10:53

backlash from House Democrats and members

10:55

of his own caucus. who wanted

10:57

a stronger stand against Trump's agenda.

10:59

The bill itself slashes about $7

11:01

billion in overall spending from fiscal

11:04

2024 levels, cutting $13 billion from

11:06

non-defense discretionary programs while boosting defense

11:08

spending by $6 billion. With no

11:10

easy path forward, Schumer's choice has

11:12

left Democrats questioning their strategy for

11:14

the battles ahead in his volatile

11:16

political climate. Jess, what led to

11:18

Schumer's decision to back the GOP

11:21

funding bill? And do you think

11:23

him folding was a mystery? What

11:25

do you think? I'm very upset.

11:27

like most Democrats are and that's

11:29

not because I don't think that

11:31

we ended up in the correct

11:33

place because the calculation was what's

11:35

scarier the government being open and

11:38

them operating the way that we

11:40

know which is very bad but

11:42

We have an insight into it

11:44

versus the government is shut down

11:46

and then they get to make

11:48

the decisions on absolutely everything and

11:50

it doesn't become Donald Trump's government.

11:52

It doesn't become Elon Musk's government.

11:55

It becomes Russ votes government, the

11:57

guy who's running OMB, the guy

11:59

who... is the most dedicated

12:01

to destroying the federal government,

12:03

I think, of anyone in this

12:06

administration. And he would decide who's

12:08

essential and who's not. He could

12:10

close entire bureaucracies and Democrats were

12:12

worried about, well, how are we

12:15

even going to get these open

12:17

again? What is the path forward?

12:19

So I understand the conundrum

12:21

and I think ultimately probably

12:24

Schumer was right that the devil, you

12:26

know, is better. But the way he

12:28

went about this was totally feckless,

12:30

totally spiedless, he screwed over his

12:33

caucus. I mean, just 24 hours

12:35

before he said that he was

12:37

voting for the continuing resolution, he

12:39

said they don't have the votes.

12:41

And then all of these moderates,

12:44

all of these Democrats that are

12:46

in swing districts up for re-election,

12:48

like John Osov and Georgia for

12:50

instance. came out against the continuing

12:52

resolution, thinking that this was a

12:54

unified front like it was in

12:57

the House. There was only one

12:59

Democrat in the House, Jared Golden

13:01

from Maine, who voted for it.

13:03

Hakim Jeffries had the caucus absolutely

13:05

in line in this. And I

13:07

think it's ultimately, and we're

13:09

almost broken records about this,

13:12

there's such a tremendous messaging

13:14

problem about this continuing resolution.

13:16

If you went out and

13:18

asked people on the street, what

13:20

the continuing resolution is. Obviously most people

13:22

would say, I don't even know what

13:25

you're talking about, but the people who

13:27

did know would likely tell you that

13:29

this was a clean continuing resolution and

13:32

that it was just an extension of

13:34

the Biden Harris spending plan. That is

13:36

absolutely not true. It's chock full of

13:38

cuts that we don't want things, you

13:41

know, to veterans, social security benefits. It's

13:43

giving them more and more authority, you

13:45

know, we know that... The executive

13:47

is after having full control of

13:50

everything. They don't care about oversight.

13:52

They don't care about congressionally appropriated

13:54

money, etc. But that's the going narrative

13:57

on this. I'm seeing it on social

13:59

media from Smart. people actually who usually

14:01

are paying attention they're like well this

14:03

is a clean CR and we'll deal

14:05

with it in September when it's up

14:08

when they're going to try to jam

14:10

through their trillions of dollars in tax

14:12

cuts and take away you know nearly

14:14

900 billion in Medicaid funding. The way

14:17

that the Democrats played this or Schumer

14:19

played this, it was like it was

14:21

a surprise to them. We have known

14:23

for months that March 14th was the

14:26

drop-dead date on this. That that's when

14:28

this vote was going to happen. And

14:30

it's like they woke up four days

14:32

before and were like, oh, holy shit,

14:35

something's happening. The House is on fire.

14:37

How did you not spend months recasting

14:39

the continuing resolution as, you know, something

14:42

like the Doge Act? Right? Or, I

14:44

don't know, give it some fancy name,

14:46

you're the branding guy, maybe you can

14:48

come up with something better, but how

14:51

did you waste that opportunity? And then

14:53

how did you not also have your

14:55

own continuing resolution to put forward to

14:57

say, okay, let's work together on this,

15:00

spending the government should be bipartisan, which

15:02

is one of the lines from one

15:04

of Schumer's speeches, maybe when he was

15:06

wearing the really bad suit, and you

15:09

say, all right. If you guys are

15:11

going to maintain this as a clean

15:13

CR, let's show you what an actual

15:15

clean CR is and force them, force

15:18

them to accept some amendments that keep

15:20

the government, you know, reflective of at

15:22

least how it has been, even though

15:24

that's not ideal. And so we missed

15:27

on absolutely every opportunity. The voters are

15:29

incensed to a crazy level. The Democratic

15:31

approval is the lowest it's been in

15:33

30 years of polling, 29 percent or

15:36

something. And 65% of self-identified Democrats now

15:38

want our elected officials to stick to

15:40

their positions, even if this means not

15:42

getting things done in Washington. That's a

15:45

complete reversal of what we saw coming

15:47

into this, where people were saying, you

15:49

know, pick and choose your spots, work

15:52

with them where it makes sense. Now

15:54

they're saying this is war. I thought

15:56

that was great. So, yeah, the graph

15:58

that sort of indicates this is the

16:01

very beginning of the line. Trump administration

16:03

in 17, 74% of Democrats wanted Democrats

16:05

to work with Republicans and

16:08

get things done. That number is

16:10

now 42%. And there's a difference

16:12

between being effective and being right,

16:14

and right now we look neither.

16:17

It just, it looks as if

16:19

we are the game that can't

16:22

shoot straight between these ridiculous, feckless

16:24

attempts to... be angry at the

16:26

joint address or march down to

16:29

federal buildings and wave arcane. It's

16:31

clear the leadership is divided

16:33

and has no control over

16:35

the caucus. They're responding like,

16:38

one of the strategies that the

16:40

GRU sort of invented and that

16:42

Trump has adopted is flooding the

16:44

zone. Every day throw so much shit

16:46

out that they react to and chase that

16:49

we can slip through almost everything

16:51

because they're not unified. They don't

16:53

know where They don't know which

16:55

arrow to put their wood behind.

16:57

And so let's announce they're letting

16:59

the tape brothers back into Florida.

17:01

Everyone goes ape shit. Let's blame

17:03

a helicopter crash on the, everyone

17:05

goes ape shit. And they're not

17:07

looking at kind of the bigger

17:09

issues that America cares about or

17:11

they could actually have some reasonable

17:14

chance of pushing back on. America

17:16

quite funny over the last couple

17:18

weeks has been the nation of

17:20

surrender. Trump surrendering to Putin. and the

17:22

Democrats surrendering to Republicans.

17:24

And his argument was that,

17:26

look, Schumer's argument was that all we

17:29

were going to do here was play

17:31

into Trump and Musk's hands by closing

17:33

the government, shutting it down, everyone in

17:35

the government, or nearly everyone in the

17:37

government, would be furloughed except where he

17:39

could invoke some sort of emergency powers

17:42

to keep air traffic controllers, and effectively

17:44

never run the furlough, and essentially shut

17:46

down the government. And they didn't want

17:48

to let them do that. We're at that point where

17:50

we need to take that risk. and that is

17:52

the government is no longer a government of the

17:54

people when you are sending plants when you are

17:56

denying court orders when you have the richest man

17:58

in the world who has no congressional oversight

18:01

or approval going upstream of those programs

18:03

and cutting out funding to things like

18:05

USAID which by late assessments is going

18:08

to cost three million lives this here

18:10

then okay it's no longer a government

18:12

of the people you have usurped government

18:15

and we're going to we're not down

18:17

with that we are fine let's shut

18:19

down government and they also miscalculated I

18:22

listened to Senator Schumer on his follow-up

18:24

on the daily and he said that

18:26

effectively he thought okay this is without

18:29

it the entire government would be shut

18:31

down and we would be blamed no

18:33

we wouldn't if if we then

18:35

whatever it is 45 days of inauguration

18:38

or what is it 60 days now

18:40

the government is shut down people would

18:42

feel this and I believe they would

18:45

hold Trump responsible okay he's inaugurated and

18:47

the government gets shut down and

18:49

it's not reopening and people aren't getting

18:51

their diabetes medication and we're having trouble

18:54

with with flights and we're getting people

18:56

like getting their Social Security payments. This

18:58

was essentially the Democrat showing we are

19:01

so fucking disorganized. We have such

19:03

an inability to punch back. I mean,

19:05

for God's sakes, the first thing they

19:07

should do, it's like when I was

19:10

in Sunday school, they used to say,

19:12

what would Jesus do? That was meant

19:14

to be a framework for decisions.

19:16

What would Jesus do? And now my

19:19

attitude is for the Democrats. I am

19:21

so... fed up with their feckless stupid

19:23

rationalization of doing the weakest thing possible,

19:26

what would Mitch McConnell do? And what

19:28

Mitch McConnell would have done here

19:30

was said, this is an unacceptable policy,

19:32

unfortunately Americans, and you could show data

19:35

don't agree with what's going on in

19:37

the government. We'd like to work with

19:39

the president, but the Republican Party is

19:42

so off the rails in terms of

19:44

American priorities. We refuse to sign this

19:46

bill and force them to negotiating table.

19:49

And also there was... There was an

19:51

in between. There were several steps along

19:53

the way, including a filibuster where we

19:56

probably could have got some. I mean,

19:58

this literally is like, oh, our biggest...

20:00

fears about how just incredibly weak in

20:03

our inability to punch back because we

20:05

have really weak, unstrategic leaders

20:07

with absolutely no command of

20:10

their constituents, that all bubbled up

20:12

and said, yeah, your worst fears are

20:14

being realized here, that there is no

20:16

adult supervision. The kids are running

20:18

wild at the Whole Foods, and

20:20

there's nothing we can do. There's

20:22

no, there's absolutely, absolutely.

20:25

No parenting here and the

20:27

outcome here is I'm now convinced

20:29

that the new junior senator from

20:31

New York is going to be

20:33

AOC in 2028 I Think Schumer's

20:36

out. I think he looks so

20:38

incredibly weak. I'm just sick of

20:40

being bested by people have

20:42

control of their of their caucus

20:44

thoughts. So yeah, it doesn't seem

20:47

like Schumer being minority or let

20:49

alone majority leader again is an

20:51

idea that's long for this world.

20:54

You know, Hakim Jeffrey is basically

20:56

dodged a question about it. I

20:58

think Senator Warnock, also from Georgia,

21:01

made a comment, which was basically

21:03

like, I'm not backing this guy, especially

21:05

after he hung all of us out

21:07

to dry. There is precedent, and

21:09

you say, what would Mitch

21:11

McConnell doing this in 2021

21:14

under similar circumstances, Senate Republicans?

21:16

successfully filibustered on a continuing

21:18

resolution and they got some of

21:21

what they wanted. People just want

21:23

to see the fight, right? They just want

21:25

to see that there is a pulse

21:28

and that that pulse understands the existential

21:30

threat to the constitutional republic that we

21:32

are witnessing. And I hate to be

21:34

that girl, that screaming constitutional crisis,

21:37

but all of the evidence

21:39

is just sitting out there in front of

21:41

us and Bill Maher used to always say,

21:43

it's a slow moving coup. It's a slow

21:45

moving coup. This coup is so fast,

21:47

you saying Bolt wouldn't be able to

21:50

catch it at this point. Like, when you

21:52

look at the continuing resolution

21:54

and it's a six months,

21:56

right, that's a quote-unquote short-term

21:59

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26:07

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27:10

radio.com. Welcome back. The Trump administration

27:13

is facing sharp criticism after

27:15

ignoring a federal judge's order

27:17

to halt the deportation of

27:19

alleged Venezuelan gang members. The White House

27:21

argues the order came too late as

27:23

the planes were already over international waters.

27:25

It's weird, I heard planes can actually

27:27

turn around. But legal experts warned this

27:29

move could mark the start of a

27:32

serious constitutional showdown. Meanwhile, concerns

27:34

over immigration enforcement are also

27:36

growing on college campuses where

27:38

Palestinian activists and Columbia University's

27:41

student leader, Mahmoud Khalil, now

27:43

faces deportation. His arrest that sparked

27:45

fears the administration is targeting political

27:48

dissent under the guise of national

27:50

security. The administration claims it

27:52

wasn't actively defying a court order

27:54

rather than operating within the legal

27:56

gray areas. What are the legal consequences

27:58

of this move? I don't know, we're

28:01

going to find out. I feel

28:03

like I have a little bit

28:05

of interview egg on my face

28:07

because I talked to Mark Elias

28:09

last week. The interview went up

28:11

on Friday and it was all

28:13

about how the courts are the

28:15

only viable backstop for what's going

28:17

on and then you wake up

28:19

and you're like, okay, well that's

28:21

gone. So what do we have?

28:23

It feels like we got nothing

28:25

on this and I'm... watching Tom

28:28

Holman, the borders are, he's on

28:30

Fox and Friends this morning, so

28:32

we're recording this Monday morning, and

28:34

he's asked by Lawrence Jones, the

28:36

host, well what's next? And he

28:38

says another flight, another flight every

28:40

day, we are not stopping. I

28:42

don't care what the judges think,

28:44

I don't care what the left

28:46

things, we're coming. So they're laying

28:48

it all out on the field,

28:50

right, going back to a six-month

28:52

spending bill. That's tons of time

28:54

in Trump years. for them to

28:56

accomplish whatever it is that they

28:59

are going after. And, you know,

29:01

it's a difficult place to be

29:03

in because, like, I tweeted something

29:05

about this yesterday, and I said,

29:07

well, I guess the courts aren't

29:09

stopping him, and Tommy Laren, who

29:11

is, you know, a mag of

29:13

firebrand, one of my colleagues, we

29:15

actually get along really well. She

29:17

responded and said, you know, just,

29:19

I love you girl, but like,

29:21

why are you defending these people?

29:23

And I'm not defending Trentor Oahuagua,

29:25

gang members. I'm defending the rule

29:28

of law and the fact that,

29:30

according to immigration attorneys, there are

29:32

people on those flights who had

29:34

legitimate asylum claims and are not

29:36

in a gang. Like they've been

29:38

using tattoos as evidence of someone

29:40

being part of this gang, which

29:42

is a murderous gang. And I

29:44

want every single one of those

29:46

people out of this country. But

29:48

they're saying like about this one

29:50

person's client that they had the

29:52

gang tattoos. and she posted on

29:54

social media that that is not

29:56

the case that this person has

29:59

decorative tattoos part of the LGBTQ.

30:01

community here with a legitimate asylum

30:03

claim and their hearing was supposed

30:05

to have started last week but

30:07

this person was disappeared and

30:09

there's another person whose hearing was

30:11

supposed to be today on Monday

30:13

but they ended up on one

30:16

of these flights heading to El

30:18

Salvador to one of the scariest

30:20

prisons that apparently exists on the face

30:22

of the planet and I feel so

30:25

despondent about what to do and

30:27

worried that we used all of

30:29

our alarm bells and all of

30:31

our words about the constitutional crisis

30:34

and the end of the Republic too

30:36

early, right? That we were, this

30:38

was 2016, 2017, and it went

30:40

through 2020, and then he did

30:42

actually try to stay past his

30:44

cell by date, right? The voters decided

30:47

they wanted Joe Biden. He

30:49

stages and insurrection, gets away

30:51

with it. Now every prosecutor

30:54

that worked. on that is gone, he's

30:56

going after the lawyers that worked on

30:58

those cases, etc. But I don't know if

31:00

we should have just been quiet the

31:02

entire time, and certainly there were some

31:05

big swings and misses, right? We should

31:07

not have done Russia, Russia, Russia, even

31:09

though the Mueller report obviously did show

31:11

that the Russians were working to get

31:14

Trump elected. I am not trying to

31:16

minimize any of that, but it feels

31:18

like people completely tuned out the argument

31:21

that he is a threat to democracy.

31:23

They don't want to hear about January

31:25

6th again, which seems like a clear

31:27

precursor to what we're seeing now, and

31:30

that we're like the girl who cried

31:32

insurrection, and now we have nothing.

31:34

Yeah, this is really, if you think

31:36

about, I mean, it's sort of deciding,

31:38

all right, we don't have a country.

31:41

If we're not going to have laws,

31:43

an easy way to reduce a lot of

31:45

crime would be to do away with

31:47

search and seizure laws. And that is,

31:49

if for whatever reason. Your local

31:51

law enforcement or federal law enforcement can

31:53

just come raid your house, raid you,

31:56

incarcerate you, hold you for as long

31:58

as they want until they're satisfied. they're

32:00

either right or wrong, you would see

32:02

a drop in crime. But we've decided

32:05

that it might be you with that

32:07

knock of the door and that we're

32:09

going to pay for a certain level

32:12

of insecurity around overtime crime and those

32:14

rights and that rule of law and

32:16

that democracy attracts so many talented people

32:19

and makes people feel so good about

32:21

America that ultimately results in a greater

32:23

quality of life, greater prosperity, greater economic

32:26

growth. This is essentially saying, okay, we're

32:28

now on an autocracy and the people

32:30

in power get to kind of

32:32

make the laws and basically not listen

32:35

to the government. So there are literally

32:37

no checks and balances. The Republican Party,

32:39

who is in control, has said, I'm

32:42

willing for an unelected official who was

32:44

not born here to essentially usurp my

32:46

power as an elected representative, right? So

32:49

that branch of the government is gone.

32:51

Then sort of the last man standing

32:53

or the last defense between us and

32:56

total autocracy was supposed to be the

32:58

courts. And they have said, we don't

33:00

give a shit what the courts say.

33:03

Yeah. I mean, when I saw it,

33:05

the courts have ordered these flights

33:07

to stop, then that means the flights

33:09

can't go or can't turn around. Well,

33:12

they said, they basically stuck up the

33:14

middle finger and said, stop us. So

33:16

this is, this feels like when you

33:19

challenge the court, if nothing happens here.

33:21

They will have the incentives and the

33:23

signal that they are now the

33:25

law, that the White House, the Trump

33:28

administration and the supporters are now the

33:30

law. The judges are now similar to

33:32

Republican representatives who are so scared of

33:35

being primaried or a weak and feckless

33:37

Democratic Party that there's effectively, we've gone

33:39

from checks and balances to absolutely none

33:42

of them. They've all been sort of

33:44

shut down. And the one that kind

33:46

of tested my resolve around this, or

33:49

I had some... a moral dilemma, if

33:51

you will, is Mamu Kale's arrest. And

33:53

it did tickle my progressive censors. I

33:56

take an individual here on a green

33:58

card who is inciting violence and

34:00

view and shit posting America and making

34:02

a campus environment less productive and kids

34:05

can't go to can't go to class

34:07

and basically tearing at the fabric of

34:09

America and also the legal argument for

34:12

deporting him is that when you're here

34:14

on a grain card you are not

34:16

supposed to promote or endorse terrorist activities.

34:18

That is a legal argument for

34:20

deporting him and I can see making

34:23

that legal argument. The problem is the

34:25

way they went about it and that

34:27

is he was effectively disappeared. And that is,

34:29

he was arrested and detained, and his

34:31

family and his lawyer couldn't even find

34:33

out where he was. And then he

34:35

had been transferred to a facility, I

34:37

believe, in Louisiana. And that's the

34:39

thing that's really upsetting and bothers him.

34:41

And as much as I would like

34:43

to see this individual having had been

34:46

expelled and maybe losing his, I imagine,

34:48

I don't know if he's here on

34:50

a student visa or a green card.

34:52

Just green card? Not just green card.

34:54

It's the best. I shouldn't say that. Student

34:56

visa would be worse. But he has the

34:58

best you can have. He has the best

35:00

you can have. He has a great card.

35:03

The bottom line is this, is that regardless

35:05

of how shitty the speech may be, if

35:07

you start rounding up people and

35:09

deporting them for political speech,

35:11

be careful for when that knock comes

35:14

on the door. Because eventually it means

35:16

that if you have political

35:18

speech that is counter or

35:20

detrimental or disparaging of an

35:22

administration that now appears to

35:24

be ignoring court orders and

35:26

is... is suing and intimidating and

35:29

saying publicly now that

35:31

people at CNN and MS

35:33

NBC should be prosecuted.

35:35

I mean, we are, you know, we're

35:37

effectively in a full, I don't know

35:40

if you want to call it,

35:42

dictatorship where speech is now chilled.

35:44

So as much as I would

35:46

like to see bad things happen

35:48

to this individual because I

35:51

think he's created incredible,

35:53

incredible dissent and that

35:55

he's He hasn't really broken any

35:57

laws, and this is just political.

36:00

speech, and he's getting disappeared and

36:02

deported, you know, who's next? And

36:04

what qualifies as political speech that

36:06

is worthy of deportation? So there's

36:08

a lot here. It feels as

36:10

if, because we show absolutely no

36:13

resistance, no coordination, no backbone, and

36:15

quite frankly, it doesn't feel, it

36:17

feels as if the flooding the

36:19

zone has the public looking in

36:21

so many different directions over if

36:24

and what to respond to that

36:26

this is now, I used to

36:28

think that the focus should be

36:30

on Ukraine, our surrender to rush

36:32

over Ukraine, the deficits, but this

36:35

feels like it really is something

36:37

that Democrats should be focusing on

36:39

in messaging, and that is, have

36:41

we broken down all of our

36:43

constitutional checks and balances that in

36:45

fact make us a democracy in

36:48

a country? And the last week,

36:50

I would think the last week,

36:52

and I'm trying to think of

36:54

my being somewhat, If I'm catastrophizing,

36:56

it feels like the actions of

36:59

the last week, if they go

37:01

unchecked and the Democrats and the

37:03

public, don't coordinate, mature, just state

37:05

a really thoughtful, strong response to

37:07

this, that we have pretty much

37:09

taken a pretty strong step away

37:12

from a democracy to an autocracy.

37:14

What are your thoughts about Mahmoud

37:16

Kaleel's arrest? I share a lot

37:18

of your same sentiments. And you

37:20

know, this is someone... who is

37:23

completely abhorrent to me. And I

37:25

see this also as a major

37:27

failing of Columbia University that could

37:29

have nipped this in the bud

37:31

last year. Yep. You know. And

37:33

it is part of the Trump

37:36

administration's plan to got higher education

37:38

in this country. So they took

37:40

$400 million away from Columbia. They're

37:42

doing the same at Harvard. I

37:44

saw that they're taking 800 million

37:47

in USAID grants from Johns Hopkins,

37:49

which is the biggest employer for

37:51

Baltimore. writ large and there's no

37:53

accusation of an anti-Semitism problem at

37:55

Johns Hopkins. You know, they just

37:58

don't want people to be able

38:00

to continue with their research grants

38:02

and you know, they say, oh,

38:04

we have to maintain that we're

38:06

going to be competitive with China

38:08

and the rest of the world.

38:11

Well, why don't you just take

38:13

away our innovation, which is happening

38:15

in all of these labs that

38:17

have NIH funding and it's as

38:19

someone who... believes in higher education

38:22

was part of a quote-unquote elite

38:24

institution for my PhD work taught

38:26

there, loves the Ivory Tower even

38:28

though I accept that there are

38:30

problems with it. This is gut-wrenching

38:32

and I worry about the fact

38:35

that the people that we're seeing

38:37

going to the mats for are

38:39

folks like... Mahmoud Khalil. And I

38:41

know that the point of the

38:43

First Amendment is that it's not

38:46

about the speech that you like,

38:48

it's about the speech that makes

38:50

your blood boil. And that is

38:52

exactly the kind of speech that

38:54

this man engaged in. But I

38:57

really wish that the administration would

38:59

go out there and find the

39:01

law that he violated. the law

39:03

that's on the books for that,

39:05

or even the Columbia University laws

39:07

that he definitely violated. Because what

39:10

went on last year at Hamilton

39:12

Hall and that Jews were prevented

39:14

from going to the library, to

39:16

their classes, to their habods, that

39:18

seems like grounds for him to

39:21

have been kicked out of school.

39:23

So we have to retrace our

39:25

steps. And all of this is

39:27

making Marco Rubio, who... gave a

39:29

pretty impassion defense of what the

39:31

administration was doing, seemed pretty sane.

39:34

Like, this is the hill that

39:36

you want to die on for

39:38

this guy who sympathizes with a

39:40

terrorist organization that is at this

39:42

moment holding Americans hostage. This isn't

39:45

some group that has no relevance

39:47

to our lives right now. There

39:49

are Americans sitting in tunnels, in

39:51

Gaza, God knows. what

39:53

has happened to

39:56

them over the

39:58

last, what is

40:00

it, 450 days

40:02

now at this

40:04

point and we have

40:06

to be on the side of

40:08

this guy. Now, we have, I

40:11

guess, good company, Ann Coulter is

40:13

with us now, Eli Lake, someone

40:15

who really hates Mamut Khalil, came

40:18

out and said as well, like, you

40:20

need some law that the guy

40:22

broke in order to take away

40:24

a green card, which is

40:27

basically sacrosanct on top of the fact that

40:29

he's married to an American who's eight months

40:31

pregnant, which creates, you know, a lot

40:33

of sympathy for the

40:35

situation. But I was

40:37

taken, there was, it was just a

40:39

White House official, there was no name

40:41

attached to it, but there was reporting

40:43

in the free press last week, where

40:46

this official told the free press

40:48

reporter, essentially, we don't need

40:50

to say that any law was broken.

40:52

We're just going for aiding and abetting

40:54

a terrorist organization. And the

40:56

American public gets that.

40:59

And I think when push comes to shove,

41:01

and when you look at those immigration numbers,

41:03

that that's the only area in which Trump is

41:05

above watering is a 55 % approval in

41:07

the new NBC poll, that I think that

41:09

they're going to win this one. And

41:12

he is not going

41:14

to be a sympathetic figure for

41:16

many people kind of in the

41:18

moderate middle of this, who are

41:20

looking for examples of people who

41:22

they don't think hold beliefs that

41:24

run counter to the American project,

41:26

who are not siding with violent

41:28

terrorists that are holding us captive

41:31

at this particular moment, and think

41:33

that October 7th was a day

41:35

of love, right? And that there

41:37

was nothing wrong with this. And,

41:39

you know, their anti Zionism certainly

41:41

steps over the line into anti

41:43

Semitism, which is what was going

41:45

on in these campuses and continues

41:47

to go on on a number

41:49

of them with these spineless leaderships who

41:51

sat in front of Congress and

41:53

basically said, we're not going to

41:55

do anything when we know if

41:57

this hadn't been about Jews. about

42:00

black kids, trans kids, gay kids,

42:02

they would have been shut down

42:04

in minutes. There is no chance

42:06

that they would have been able

42:08

to go forward. And so it's

42:10

complicated, of course, and I'm torn

42:12

about it, but I'm looking at

42:15

this as the precursor for what

42:17

they're going to continue to do.

42:19

You know, they reportedly. held a

42:21

green card holder at Logan Airport.

42:23

Did you see this story? A

42:25

German who's been here on a

42:28

green card since 07-08, married to

42:30

an American. He's an engineer. According

42:32

to his mother, they detained him,

42:34

put him in an ice-cold shower.

42:36

There's no evidence that this

42:38

guy is sympathetic to anything

42:40

that runs counter to the

42:42

United States. And there, no one

42:44

is safe. They should really just... change

42:47

this to we only want

42:49

natural-born citizens plus Elon Musk

42:51

and if you have a

42:53

green card that doesn't mean

42:55

anything to us and we're

42:57

gonna completely rewrite the way

42:59

we do immigration law in

43:01

this country asylum get over

43:03

it's done it means there

43:05

are no legitimate asylum claims

43:07

and Tom Holman is the king

43:09

yeah the I do think that

43:12

Democrats have a a habit of sticking

43:14

out our chin and having this fist

43:16

of autocracy stone come for it.

43:18

And to your point, if I had

43:20

gone down as a faculty member of

43:23

NYU with a big sign saying, burn

43:25

the gaze or lynch the blacks, they

43:27

would have had no need for context,

43:29

I would have been, my ID would

43:31

have been turned off, I would have

43:34

been shut out of academia, fired, never

43:36

allowed back on the campus, never

43:38

been able to work in academia

43:41

again. But when... Yeah, free speech

43:43

has never been freer when it's

43:45

hate speech against Jews. And the

43:47

Republican administration has now

43:50

found an opportunity to tap

43:52

into that rage and that wrong and

43:54

go way too far and deny the

43:56

rights of everyday Americans. And

43:58

this is just a huge... feeling in

44:00

my opinion and has created an

44:02

opening the size of the Grand

44:05

Canyon for the Republicans to come

44:07

in or for the Trump administration

44:09

to come in and start violating

44:11

everybody's rights. And I actually did

44:13

advise or have been advising the

44:16

Regency of the University of California

44:18

on this issue and their general

44:20

viewpoint is my advice was this

44:22

is super easy. They were really

44:25

worried about fall. What happens when

44:27

the students return last fall? And

44:29

because UCLA, I think probably, I

44:31

think the most shameful moment I've

44:33

ever felt in there hasn't been

44:36

a lot of them, for my

44:38

alma mater, UCLA, was when kids

44:40

were passing out bans to non-Jews,

44:42

and if you didn't have a

44:44

band, you couldn't access certain parts

44:47

of the campus. So they basically

44:49

decided to prohibit Jews from certain,

44:51

you know, from campus activities. And

44:53

I thought, okay, what's going to

44:55

happen here? And I don't know

44:58

what happened, which probably means nothing.

45:00

They said, well, what would you

45:02

do? And I said, it's very

45:04

easy. The first protest for a

45:06

sign of any protest around where

45:09

there's hate speech, or there are

45:11

people trespassing who aren't students, or

45:13

the students are doing anything resembling

45:15

what would qualify as hate speech,

45:17

of which there's a lot. If

45:20

it's a peaceful protest, of course

45:22

you do nothing. But if it's

45:24

not, and it turns ugly, or

45:26

they're occupying facilities, like what recently

45:28

happened a Columbia, you give them

45:31

15 minutes to vacate. And then

45:33

you start expelling students and let

45:35

them call their parents and say,

45:37

oh, that $72,000 tuition, I'm coming

45:39

home. And you do that right

45:42

away. And word gets out really

45:44

fast. And there was this bullshit

45:46

argument that Scott, these are young

45:48

people, we can't just start expelling

45:50

them in a wanton kind of

45:53

reckless fashion. And my response to

45:55

the following. At Columbia, they expelled

45:57

91% of freshmenmen every year. It's

45:59

called the admissions process. And the

46:01

notion that somehow you have a

46:04

birthright to attend a private university

46:06

and that you're protected by these

46:08

first, you have. You are at

46:10

a private organization. It's like no

46:12

shoes, no shirt, no service. They

46:15

have the right to kind of

46:17

determine the laws as long as

46:19

they're not breaking the law. And

46:21

the fact that they have come

46:23

across is so incredibly anti-Semitic. They

46:26

have stuck their chin out and

46:28

the result is an overreaction in

46:30

the Trump administration taking advantage of

46:32

this weak... They get it thinking

46:35

to go the other way and

46:37

have an overreaction. I do think

46:39

to your point, this is a

46:41

response to an incredible lack of

46:43

leadership and insanity on university campuses.

46:46

I'm about to do a college

46:48

tour with my son. And I'm

46:50

fascinated by colleges and admission standards

46:52

and data and enrollment trends. And

46:54

it's interesting, the schools that are

46:57

booming in terms. are these southern

46:59

schools that are seen as apolitical

47:01

or even a little less, or

47:03

even a little conservative. Parents are

47:05

sending their kids, they want their

47:08

kids to go to college. They

47:10

don't want a political orthodoxy, they

47:12

don't want a school and administration

47:14

that sees themselves as engineers of

47:16

social engineers. It's really interesting. Southern

47:19

schools or schools that are distinctly

47:21

seen as somewhat center left are

47:23

booming in terms of applications. But

47:25

Columbia University leadership goes down as

47:27

such incredibly misguided weak leadership that

47:30

has set up an overreaction that

47:32

has been justified. And the cloud

47:34

cover for the justification of an

47:36

overreaction has been what have been

47:38

an incredible lack of leadership in

47:41

blatant anti-Semitism. So this is, like

47:43

a lot of democratic policies, we

47:45

start on the right foot, we

47:47

take it too far. and we

47:49

set up an overreaction because people

47:52

are just rolling their eyes and

47:54

thinking, okay, making an argument for

47:56

a six foot four swimmer to...

47:58

show up to a swim meet,

48:00

to a swim meet, who presents his

48:02

female and then blow away everything. Didn't

48:05

win a single race as a male swimmer,

48:07

but is absolutely winning everything. And then

48:09

having everyone on the left applaud and

48:11

say, isn't that inspiring, you set up

48:14

an overreaction where we begin demonizing a

48:16

special interest group for no real reason.

48:18

And the same has happened here. We

48:20

take things too far. We stick our

48:23

chin out and we set ourselves up

48:25

for an overreaction that makes things much

48:27

worse than if we'd had a less

48:29

insane thoughtful reaction. I'm totally with

48:32

you. I'm noticing the higher education

48:34

trend myself that parents are saying,

48:36

oh, we're going to look at

48:39

University of South Carolina. We're going

48:41

to look at Clemson. Or Wake

48:43

Forest. People love Vanderbilt. UNC

48:45

Chapel Hill. Vanderbilt is now

48:47

as difficult to get into as many

48:50

Ivy leagues. There's so many

48:52

applications. That feels right to me.

48:55

Not just on this point, but the

48:57

way that academia and higher

48:59

education has been going, it's

49:01

exclusionary. It's not

49:04

providing what it purports to.

49:06

Right. You know, people think it's

49:08

the golden ticket, right? That you

49:10

got to the Wanka factory and

49:12

your life is going to be

49:14

set. But guess what? The only

49:16

thing that makes your life set

49:19

is hustle and reading. preparing

49:21

and you're seeing that more and more

49:23

in these high positions everywhere from

49:26

investment banks law firms down to of

49:28

course like the tech in the startup

49:30

world where it's just how hard you're

49:32

going to work how good are your

49:34

ideas and how intense is your grind

49:37

and by the time my kids are

49:39

going to college you know I went

49:41

to private school here in New York

49:43

City I went and talked to who's

49:45

now the head of the school prestigious

49:48

progressive institution he was like it's not

49:50

even necessarily going to be a

49:52

requirement by the time your kids are going to

49:54

college that you have to be thinking about this

49:56

because I said I have two little Jewish babies.

49:58

What am I going to do? Right? I'm not

50:00

going to send them off to Harvard

50:03

or Columbia under these conditions. Even if

50:05

there aren't protests in the streets, the

50:07

academics have shown themselves to not be

50:09

interested in treating Jews equally to the

50:11

other kids that are there. And he

50:14

said, just don't worry. It's going to

50:16

be a completely different game by the

50:18

time your kids are going and you're

50:20

going to see it, even on the

50:23

tour that you're organizing for your son,

50:25

schools that you wouldn't have even thought

50:27

of, that you were going to go

50:29

and consider. he's going to be dying

50:31

to get into. Say like this is

50:34

the right place for me both academically

50:36

and socially. So maybe that will be

50:38

a silver lining in all of this,

50:40

but these huge endowments, Harvard with what

50:42

is it, 50 billion dollars are sitting

50:45

on? Yeah. They should start paying for

50:47

all these kids to come for free.

50:49

Now is the time. If the government's

50:51

going to take away your funding, you

50:53

say you know what, we're going to

50:56

go it alone. Get rid of all

50:58

the anti-Semitic, ruining the quality of life

51:00

for other students clearly violating your policies

51:02

and put that money back into the

51:04

system so that the smart kids that

51:07

are going to be the leaders of

51:09

tomorrow can come there without landing themselves

51:11

in hundreds of thousands of debt for

51:13

the rest of their lives and make

51:15

this bit more of an equal playing

51:18

field. Yeah, well, as you can imagine,

51:20

I think a lot about this and

51:22

I do think unfortunately, I do think

51:24

it's tempting to think that because there's

51:27

so much manufactured artificial stresses, someone who's

51:29

going through it right now. from universities

51:31

who have adopted a rejectionist exclusionary strategy.

51:33

And despite sitting on an endowment, the

51:35

size of the GDP of a Latin

51:38

American nation only led in 500 students.

51:40

Dartmouth sits on an endowment of $8

51:42

billion and lets in 500 freshmen. Harvard

51:44

sits on an endowment of $52 billion

51:46

and decides to only led in 1,500.

51:49

That is morally corrupt. If you had

51:51

a drug that made people less likely

51:53

to kill themselves, more likely to get

51:55

married, more likely to pay a lot

51:57

of taxes. less likely to be obese,

52:00

less likely to be depressed, would you

52:02

hoard that drug? We in higher education

52:04

hoard that drug. We have the resource...

52:06

we have the capability, there would be

52:08

absolutely no sacrifice in the quality of

52:11

the students. People say, oh, but the

52:13

brand would go down. When I applied

52:15

to UCLA, the acceptance rate was 76

52:17

percent. It's now 9 percent. And it

52:19

wasn't exactly a Joey Bag of Donuts

52:22

brand back then. We have become the

52:24

enforcers of the caste system and as

52:26

much as we like to believe that,

52:28

oh, don't worry, the college won't matter,

52:31

it does, because America is turning into

52:33

a caste system and the easiest way

52:35

for corporations to evaluate human capital is

52:37

based on the school they went to.

52:39

So the notion that a quote-unquote doesn't

52:42

matter anymore is a lie we tell

52:44

ourselves, such that we feel better about

52:46

the massive amount of stress and the

52:48

inequity. and our disappointment in higher ed.

52:50

And what has slowly happened in higher

52:53

education is me and my faculty sometimes

52:55

who are 15 administrators to everyone who

52:57

actually teaches have decided that we would

52:59

rather not have accountability. So we teach

53:01

bullshit, ridiculous courses that have no measurable

53:04

outcomes. Leadership, sustainability, DI, ethics. Show me

53:06

someone teaching ethics. I'm going to show

53:08

you a fit, a formerly important person.

53:10

who hangs out at the university makes

53:12

$200,000 to $400,000 a year for trying

53:15

to teach a 27-year-old in business school

53:17

how to be more ethical, which is

53:19

such the height of arrogance, instead of

53:21

being centers of excellence, we've turned it

53:23

into a political orthodoxy machine with a

53:26

vast majority of the faculty are very

53:28

left, not reflecting any diverse thought, and

53:30

where you can get in trouble for

53:32

certain words. We have totally lost the

53:35

script. Our job is to give you

53:37

the skills to go out and create

53:39

economic security for you and your family

53:41

and do great work and power the

53:43

economy. And the fact that we have

53:46

become this exclusionary and this arrogant and

53:48

teaching all of these bullshit courses with

53:50

no measurable outcome, the result is we

53:52

constrain supply and it's not about who

53:54

gets in it should be about how

53:57

many. If a school doesn't increase its

53:59

freshman seats faster than population... growth, it

54:01

should lose its tax-free status as it's

54:03

no longer a public servant,

54:05

but it's a hedge fund

54:08

with classes. Higher education absolutely

54:10

needs to be reformed. Anyways,

54:13

that's my TED Talk. It was

54:15

good and I guess I'm wrong, so there

54:17

we go. There you go. Well, we just,

54:19

there's some nuance there, that's

54:21

what I call it, it's nuance.

54:24

All right, Jess, let's take one

54:26

more quick break, stay with Ready for

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to upgrade Visit shopify.com to upgrade your selling today. Welcome back

55:49

before your selling today. Welcome back before we go. Talks

55:51

between the US, Ukraine, and Russia

55:53

over a possible ceasefire are picking

55:55

up... we go. Talks between the US, Ukraine, and Russia over a possible ceasefire are picking up steam. And the Kremlin is saying

55:57

there's some reason to be hopeful.

56:00

the world's largest nation, has become

56:02

a surrender monkey. Anyways, after meeting

56:05

with Trump's envoy in Moscow, Putin

56:07

signaled he's open to a 30-day

56:09

truce, but with conditions that are

56:11

pretty one-sided. He wants formal recognition

56:13

of Russia's land grabs and a

56:15

promise that Ukraine will never join

56:18

NATO. Salenski has stood firm on

56:20

not giving up land, but lately

56:22

he's prioritizing security guarantees over getting

56:24

territory back right away. Meanwhile, Americans

56:26

are skeptical of Trump's handling of

56:28

the situation. A new CNN poll

56:30

shows 59% think Trump's approach won't

56:33

lead to long-term peace. 50% say

56:35

it's flat out bad for the

56:37

US. And nearly 6 in 10

56:39

disapprove of his handling of the

56:41

US's relations with Russia. Just your

56:43

thoughts here. Well, I think that

56:45

Oval Office debacle actually did something

56:48

and moved public opinion in how

56:50

Trump is handling this. So that

56:52

week of calling Zelenski a dictator,

56:54

saying he only had a 4%

56:56

approval, and then... that back and

56:58

forth in the oval, you know,

57:01

first with JD Vance and then

57:03

with Trump, obviously has people soured

57:05

a bit on this approach. And,

57:07

you know, with Russia saying that

57:09

we're making progress, that's the S

57:11

to me. I don't trust them

57:13

as far as I could throw

57:16

them, which would be zero feet

57:18

anyway. And there is no evidence

57:20

that they have... compromise any of

57:22

their positions. They're still at the

57:24

maximalist position in all of this.

57:26

And so all of the compromising

57:29

is going to have to come

57:31

on the part of Ukraine. Now

57:33

Zelenski has been signaling for months

57:35

now that he is willing to

57:37

make some concessions. He even said

57:39

when he was speaking in Kiev

57:41

a few weeks ago, I'll resign

57:44

right now if it means that

57:46

we can put a stop to

57:48

this and that we're going to

57:50

have the security guarantees that we

57:52

need. So I basically just don't.

57:54

believe it. I think that Zelenski

57:57

continues to be between a rock

57:59

and a hard place, having to

58:01

negotiate with two forces that just

58:03

want this over with. Putin and

58:05

he wants to get whatever he

58:07

wants and us that wants this

58:09

mineral rights deal which is going

58:12

to go through and If there's

58:14

a tentative ceasefire, they're going to

58:16

break it. You know Putin and

58:18

Medvedev come out and say we're

58:20

making progress and that night There

58:22

are 27 drones launched into Ukraine.

58:25

So they spare me basically is

58:27

where I am. Yeah, this is

58:29

I see a silver lining here

58:31

and that is the US is

58:33

surrender to Putin, the decision to

58:35

ignore these 80-year alliances with the

58:37

largest economies in the world such

58:40

that they can have sort of

58:42

this, if you will, this mob

58:44

deal with another autocrat and potentially

58:46

thinking they can divide up the

58:48

world. It's economically just really stupid.

58:50

And the silver line here is

58:53

the following. Europe may be a

58:55

union for the first time, and

58:57

that is the 27 member states

58:59

of the European Union have finally

59:01

recognized. that they need to get

59:03

their shit together and can't be

59:05

this rich nephew relying on Uncle

59:08

Sam's large ass. They now actually

59:10

believe there's just not getting around

59:12

it. Uncle Sam has lost his

59:14

shit and we can't depend upon

59:16

him for a military umbrella. The

59:18

U.S. spends about $800 billion in

59:20

defense. NATO and all EU-27 member

59:23

nations spend a total of about

59:25

$400 and $450. They have not

59:27

been coordinated. They've lacked risk capital.

59:29

And this might be actually the

59:31

moment for them to command the

59:33

space they occupy. And you have

59:36

seen some signs of a pulse

59:38

and of real leadership from the

59:40

biggest leaders in the EU. And

59:42

I believe that they basically, the

59:44

bad news is that America can't

59:46

be counted on, which is really

59:48

unfortunate and tragic to support the

59:51

post-World War II 80-year alliance that

59:53

has created more prosperity in the

59:55

last 80 years than the world

59:57

has created in the modern economy.

59:59

But the silver lining is that

1:00:01

the EU may get more coordinated.

1:00:04

They're talking about increasing their defense

1:00:06

budgets from 1.9% of GDP. to

1:00:08

3%. And what you've seen is

1:00:10

the markets are responding. The quote

1:00:12

unquote magnificent seven, which consists of

1:00:14

US Tech mega caps, Apple, Amazon,

1:00:16

Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft, and Invidian, Tesla,

1:00:19

have been incredible performers. But this

1:00:21

year, this year, their year to

1:00:23

date, they're down 8%. Whereas the

1:00:25

European defense seven, that's the second

1:00:27

biggest, that's the seven largest military

1:00:29

contractors, are up 46% and 65%

1:00:32

over the last year, and the

1:00:34

stock 600, which is the European

1:00:36

kind of S&P, if you will,

1:00:38

is up 9% this year, and

1:00:40

the S&P 500 is down 2%.

1:00:42

If you look at military spending,

1:00:44

as much as, and there's a

1:00:47

decent argument here that it withdraws

1:00:49

from more productive means of spending

1:00:51

on social services, There is, one,

1:00:53

a stimulative effect, and two, there

1:00:55

is a spillover. If you look

1:00:57

at the most valuable companies in

1:01:00

the world, whether it's Apple or

1:01:02

Google, they're essentially built on the

1:01:04

backbone of defense technologies developed early

1:01:06

on, whether it's DARPA, which was

1:01:08

built to establish a communications network

1:01:10

such that we could communicate in

1:01:12

a post-Soviet nuclear attack that was

1:01:15

hubless or nodeless. or GPS, which

1:01:17

is what essentially Apple and Android

1:01:19

are built on, and that was

1:01:21

developed such that we could put

1:01:23

an ICBM in Gorbachev's pocket. All

1:01:25

of these military technologies do have

1:01:28

a stimulative and a spillover effect,

1:01:30

and I believe, and this is

1:01:32

one of my big predictions late

1:01:34

last year for 2025, that European

1:01:36

stocks are going to vastly outperform

1:01:38

US stocks. And the nice thing

1:01:40

about this is we're all talking

1:01:43

as if at the negotiation table

1:01:45

that it's up to. first and

1:01:47

foremost, the US who kind of

1:01:49

is acting as the propaganda wing

1:01:51

of Russia at this point, and

1:01:53

then Russia, and Ukraine is invited

1:01:55

to the table around these defense

1:01:58

stocks, and Europe plays absolutely no

1:02:00

role. Well, here's the good news.

1:02:02

If Europe gets a... together and

1:02:04

show sort of the commitment and

1:02:06

resolve from a spending and a

1:02:08

boots on the ground resolve that

1:02:11

the US and Russia have shown

1:02:13

in spades. They don't need the

1:02:15

US. The Russian economy is smaller

1:02:17

than the Canadian economy. It's less

1:02:19

than two trillion dollars and the

1:02:21

EU or the EU member nations

1:02:23

add up to about 19 trillion.

1:02:26

The European Union, should it show

1:02:28

coordination, fiscal commitment, and perhaps even

1:02:30

boots on the ground commitment, which

1:02:32

I don't think we'll ever need

1:02:34

to do, but show a willingness

1:02:36

and a resolve, they don't need

1:02:39

the US. And I'm hopeful that

1:02:41

this additional spending and coordination might

1:02:43

finally kind of stir a sleeping

1:02:45

giant, and that is the EU.

1:02:47

So I think this is a

1:02:49

new era, or could signal a

1:02:51

new era, where there's some great

1:02:54

leadership in Europe, whether it's Macron,

1:02:56

whether it's a cure stormer. There

1:02:58

is an opportunity here for Europe

1:03:00

to finally be a union and

1:03:02

command the space they occupy, push

1:03:04

back on Putin with or without

1:03:07

the US's help, and coordinate and

1:03:09

spend and show some resolve here.

1:03:11

They are acquiescing to a gas

1:03:13

station that has nuclear weapons on

1:03:15

the roof, and they shouldn't be.

1:03:17

They are a bigger economy. They

1:03:19

have fantastic IP, fantastic weapons producers.

1:03:22

Both France and the UK are

1:03:24

nuclear powers. It is time for

1:03:26

the Europeans to step up. It's

1:03:28

going to be costly. That's the

1:03:30

bad news. The good news is

1:03:32

they can absolutely step up and

1:03:35

push back on a murderous autocrat.

1:03:37

And what's just so tragic here

1:03:39

is that Trump appears to be

1:03:41

acting like a Russian asset. There's

1:03:43

no evidence that he is, in

1:03:45

fact, a Russian asset. But if

1:03:47

you were to define the actions

1:03:50

of a Russian asset, he would

1:03:52

fit them to a tea. But

1:03:54

the good news is I'm not

1:03:56

sure the European Union actually needs

1:03:58

us. I think they have all

1:04:00

of the spending power. all of

1:04:03

the military technology to push back

1:04:05

on their own, the question is

1:04:07

do they have the resolve and

1:04:09

the leadership. I just want to

1:04:11

add quickly to that that while

1:04:13

I share those sentiments and as

1:04:15

someone who spent a lot of

1:04:18

time living in a former EU

1:04:20

country, but I have a deep

1:04:22

affection for the European project and

1:04:24

I think it's incredible. You could

1:04:26

design something with the free flow

1:04:28

of humans and goods and that

1:04:31

we're all the better for culture

1:04:33

sharing and economic sharing, etc. But

1:04:35

all of these silver linings or

1:04:37

all of these good things that

1:04:39

are happening are happening for somebody

1:04:41

else besides us. And that feels

1:04:43

terrible. I don't ever want to

1:04:46

be rooting against my own country.

1:04:48

I don't want to be rooting

1:04:50

against my own government and in

1:04:52

every single conversation that we've had

1:04:54

today that has had to be

1:04:56

a stipulation in this that i

1:04:58

don't want to be seen to

1:05:01

be on the side of v

1:05:03

Venezuelan gang members i don't want

1:05:05

to be seen to be on

1:05:07

the side of the u.s. not

1:05:09

having the important and central role

1:05:11

that we should be playing in

1:05:14

geopolitics in favor of a stronger

1:05:16

EU or a chance for Ukraine

1:05:18

to be able to survive as

1:05:20

a sovereign nation. I think I

1:05:22

said it used the same word

1:05:24

at the start of the podcast.

1:05:26

I just feel despondent about all

1:05:29

of this and it makes me

1:05:31

feel a bit like a shitty

1:05:33

American too and I love America.

1:05:35

I think it's the most fantastic

1:05:37

country on the planet. And there's

1:05:39

just so much that has made

1:05:42

me feel sour about the way

1:05:44

that we're behaving and what the

1:05:46

future looks like for all of

1:05:48

us here. Well, I go back

1:05:50

to, I feel the same way.

1:05:52

And I think a lot of

1:05:54

Americans do. They feel despondent. And

1:05:57

what helps me is that I

1:05:59

realize that. Yes,

1:06:01

Winston Churchill said, the Americans, after

1:06:03

exhausting every other option, will do the

1:06:05

right thing, or will do the right

1:06:08

thing after exhausting every other option. And

1:06:10

we faced really dark moments before. 80

1:06:12

years ago, we were rounding up Japanese-American

1:06:14

and putting them in camps, and some

1:06:16

of them had sons fighting in the

1:06:19

European theater in our own uniform. We

1:06:21

do get it wrong a lot, but

1:06:23

generally over the medium in the long term,

1:06:25

the arc of American justice bends towards the

1:06:27

righteous. We waited... A couple of years

1:06:29

before entering World War II, Canada went

1:06:32

over there first and started training Allied

1:06:34

pilots and finally we decided to enter

1:06:36

the war. And I do think Americans are

1:06:39

going to recognize that the Ukrainian

1:06:41

people who are fighting for liberty

1:06:43

and American values, that Canada with

1:06:45

the largest undefended border in the

1:06:47

world are actually our friends, that

1:06:49

this move towards autocracy is so

1:06:51

counter to everything that's wonderful and

1:06:53

has created so much prosperity in the

1:06:55

US, that those values matter and that

1:06:57

they're willing... you know, they're worth fighting for.

1:06:59

So I have a lot of confidence

1:07:02

that Americans, should we actually find leadership

1:07:04

in the Democratic Party, and I believe

1:07:06

we will, to your point. You know,

1:07:08

you've always said this, we have a

1:07:10

great bench. I think they're going to

1:07:12

realize that a murderous autocrat invading

1:07:15

Europe usually does not end well

1:07:17

for Europe, and then eventually for us.

1:07:19

And I do believe there's a real

1:07:21

moment, a kind of a, you know,

1:07:23

people were calling Kiery starmor, or a...

1:07:25

There's a moment here for a leader

1:07:27

to step up and say that America

1:07:29

needs to be America again. And I'd

1:07:32

like to think we're getting to that point,

1:07:34

but we have been in these types of

1:07:36

dark places before, and American values do

1:07:38

seem to do seem to show up,

1:07:41

and I'm confident that's going to happen

1:07:43

again here. But this is, I would

1:07:45

describe, you know, and I think you're

1:07:47

articulating a well, this does feel like

1:07:49

a dark moment where we are, our

1:07:51

American values are taking a back seat.

1:07:54

to the temptation to have a strong

1:07:56

man and that's going to solve what

1:07:58

are some very real problems. here in

1:08:00

the U.S. But I'd like to

1:08:02

think that over the long term,

1:08:04

after again, exhausting every other solution,

1:08:06

that we get it right. Me

1:08:08

too. There you go. All right,

1:08:11

that's it for this episode. Thank

1:08:13

you for listening to Raging Moderates.

1:08:15

Our producers are David Toledo and

1:08:17

Cheneya Onikai. Our technical directors, Drew

1:08:19

Burrows. You can find Raging Moderates

1:08:21

on its own feed every Tuesday.

1:08:23

That's right, its own feed. That

1:08:25

means exclusive interviews, exclusive interviews with

1:08:27

sharp political minds you won't hear

1:08:29

anywhere else. Make sure to follow

1:08:32

us wherever you get your podcast.

1:08:34

And one last plug, join us

1:08:36

for our live show on April

1:08:38

17th in New York. Grab your

1:08:40

tickets now. The last time tickets

1:08:42

went on sale, they were sold

1:08:44

out in 24 hours, no joke.

1:08:46

Link in the show notes. See

1:08:48

you there. Just as kids will

1:08:50

not be there. Just have a

1:08:52

great. rest of the week realize

1:08:55

just just make it clear to

1:08:57

your husband always defer to mom

1:08:59

ADM he's an influencer not a

1:09:01

decision-maker. I love it he's listening

1:09:03

so there you go honey love

1:09:05

you see you at home

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