Episode Transcript
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0:00
The purpose of retire with Style
0:02
is to help you discover the
0:04
retirement income plan that is right
0:06
for you. The first step is
0:09
to discover your retirement income
0:11
personality. Start by going
0:14
to reso profile.com/Style and
0:16
sign up to take the
0:18
industry's first financial personality tool
0:21
for retirement planning. Retirement
0:42
planning without a framework
0:44
is kind of like a
0:46
road trip without a map. You might
0:49
get there, but it won't
0:51
be pretty. Wade and Alex
0:54
dive into the psychology of
0:56
financial planning, why a structured
0:59
approach matters, and how
1:01
considering your future self
1:03
can lead to better outcomes.
1:05
Hey, Wade, wait. And we're ready
1:07
to talk about having a framework for
1:10
a financial plan, which is going to
1:12
be a really important topic as we
1:14
get into the retirement income challenge at
1:17
retirement researcher on March 10th through March
1:19
13th. Before getting to all that, just
1:21
a few announcements for everyone. So the
1:24
2025 edition of the retirement planning guidebook
1:26
is now out there in the wild.
1:28
It's available. If you want a hard
1:30
copy that's paper back or hard cover,
1:33
those are available through Amazon. e-books are
1:35
available from a variety of outlets
1:37
and you can see the full
1:39
list at, well in the show
1:42
notes, but it'll point you to
1:44
books to read.com/retirement and that's the
1:47
number two. So books to number
1:49
two. Books to read.com/retirement. And other
1:51
news, on the day this comes
1:54
out, I'll be doing the tax
1:56
planning workshop the following day with
1:58
the retirement researcher. dive deep
2:00
into the whole tax planning conversation
2:03
and when you might realize long-term
2:05
capital gains at a potentially 0%
2:07
rate or maybe 15% if that's
2:09
beneficial and or looking at Roth
2:12
conversions and when there might be
2:14
opportunities to get the most power
2:16
out of your Roth conversions. Alex,
2:18
the other big announcement is we
2:21
do have the retirement income challenge
2:23
coming up. It'll be March 10th
2:25
through 13th. It's two hours a
2:27
day from 12 to 2 Eastern
2:30
time each day, so that's eight
2:32
hours with Wade and Alex and
2:34
Jason Rizcala and all the team
2:36
at retirement researcher. where we'll really
2:38
do a deep dive into making
2:41
sure you have a good financial
2:43
plan by the end of the
2:45
week using our funded ratio. Now
2:47
I mentioned funded ratio and that's
2:50
really kind of the end goal
2:52
of what we'd like to talk
2:54
about getting into these next couple
2:56
episodes is. really this idea of
2:59
building a framework around your retirement.
3:01
And in that regard, as I
3:03
know, we'll have a number of
3:05
excited fans on YouTube, this will
3:08
be more of an Alex-centric episode.
3:10
Alice is going to walk us
3:12
through why to even think about
3:14
having a framework as part of
3:16
the planning process. And so Alex,
3:19
you can listen to this at
3:21
five times feet. You're one of
3:23
the most humble guys I know
3:25
and did you refer to yourself
3:28
in the third person? I did
3:30
for the purposes and the challenges.
3:32
Oh for the purposes. The Weidmeister
3:34
is going to be a challenge.
3:37
The windmister. Yeah, no, we're kind
3:39
of leading these episodes up to
3:41
the challenge just because there's only
3:43
so much we can cover in
3:46
the challenge. I mean, we would
3:48
make it four hours a day.
3:50
Left to our own devices. But
3:52
we'll give you a little sprinkling
3:55
of what's to come because we
3:57
feel we feel very sanguine about.
3:59
the challenge when we run it.
4:01
And it's one of the most
4:03
professionally gratifying things we
4:06
do, frankly. I enjoy
4:08
it tremendously. So with that, we'd,
4:10
yeah, I recommend, go to the
4:12
show notes and sign up for
4:15
retirement income challenge. It's a nerd
4:17
party, if you will, of sorts.
4:19
Yeah, doing this, it's a lot
4:21
of fun. And we usually end
4:23
the week with 300 to 400
4:26
new financial plans. out in the
4:28
wild. So it's really gratifying in
4:30
that regard. All right, there
4:32
we go. Yeah, to start heading
4:34
us in that direction, Alex. So
4:36
I think maybe what's prompting this
4:38
episode in particular, a couple episodes
4:40
ago, I think two episodes back,
4:42
you let us do a look
4:44
at the year in review for
4:46
2024. And as we look back
4:48
in the past in 2024, we
4:51
can see that things end up.
4:53
working out, at least in terms
4:55
of the financial markets, at the
4:57
very least. But that's not necessarily
4:59
clear at the time. There's always
5:01
different things going on. And so, what should
5:03
we be thinking about just as we read
5:05
the news each day and we see all
5:07
these events happening? What do we do
5:10
about that? Well, I mean, before we
5:12
even get into the financial plan, we
5:14
need to be in a good mindset,
5:16
right? And I'll take a brow from I
5:18
know you. somewhere in the Bible or
5:20
something like that. But effectively I take
5:22
a page out of George Harrison's
5:25
This Two Shall Pass album. You know
5:27
that's that's really the too long didn't
5:29
read version. But when the news is
5:32
coming fast and furious like you know
5:34
we saw it 2024 and already first
5:36
first month and a half of this
5:38
year you're seeing that as well. It's
5:40
very easy to fall into the what's
5:43
going to happen next the world's going
5:45
to a hell in a ham basket or
5:47
the flip side is. happy times are
5:49
here again forever and ever and nothing
5:51
else will harm us you know kind of
5:54
kind of vibe and so you really want
5:56
to take a step back from all of
5:58
that and from a psychological perspective, there's
6:00
many ways to begin to interpret news
6:02
that could be jarring. And one of
6:05
the things that I've always gravitated towards
6:07
that, you know, stroke accord with me
6:09
when I heard it the first time
6:12
and was used a lot during my
6:14
training. And again, just for those of
6:16
you, I'm by education, I'm a clinical
6:19
psychologist, but I'm more of a research.
6:21
I wasn't necessarily a therapist, but you
6:23
are exposed to a lot of these
6:26
modalities, if you will. in the training
6:28
and something that always stroke a cord
6:30
that I've always tried to have in
6:33
my back pocket that's pretty interesting is
6:35
what's known as the rain model and
6:37
that speaks to actually a lot of
6:40
the things that are going on right
6:42
now you see a lot in mindfulness
6:44
and you see it a lot in
6:46
like the idea of being present right
6:49
and the rain model is interesting and
6:51
it stands for recognize allow investigate non-identification
6:53
and non-identification. Wait, did you think I
6:56
was going to get those in one
6:58
shot without like stumbling through them? Yeah,
7:00
that's great. Although we talked about before
7:03
the episode, pretty much my only role
7:05
was going to be to prompt you
7:07
on each letter. So you covered it.
7:10
Oh, OK. Now we're ready for your
7:12
hamlet. I'd be like, oh, what is
7:14
A again? No, no. But all right.
7:17
And so I'll go through these real
7:19
quick before we get into the plan
7:21
because. Before we can even talk about
7:24
planning and this and that, it has
7:26
to, you have to be able to
7:28
listen. You have to be able to
7:30
be able to, again, be in the
7:33
moment. If not, you come across like
7:35
those Charlie Brown cartoons when the teacher
7:37
is talking and it's just wah, wah,
7:40
wah. And you're just phased out because
7:42
you're thinking about something else that's happening
7:44
in the doom scroll. And so the
7:47
R is for recognize. And this is
7:49
where you purposely want to observe and
7:51
label what's going on inside of you.
7:54
There's nothing wrong with feeling stressful, you
7:56
know, but the difference is being owned
7:58
by that stress. one of the first
8:01
steps you can do is just the
8:03
recognition of it. You know, and
8:05
this goes back to, I'm not angry,
8:08
I'm not nervous, you know, those kind
8:10
of responses. Maybe you are, enough people
8:12
are telling you that, you know, who
8:14
knows, maybe they're onto something, right? And
8:17
so you want to be able to,
8:19
as a first step of the rain
8:21
model, recognize that something
8:23
is off, right? What is it that's
8:26
throwing off that feeling off that feeling?
8:28
The A is the allow. And
8:30
this is not necessarily trying
8:32
to actually now repress that
8:34
stress or just, you know, stamp
8:36
it down, but just, you know,
8:39
you're recognizing this there and then
8:41
acknowledging and accepting its presence.
8:43
You know, you're giving it permission
8:46
to feel it. And that's fine.
8:48
And in many ways, you know,
8:50
when you're going through that relaxation,
8:52
when you're trying to meditate... You're
8:55
not trying to fight the feelings, the
8:57
fleeting thoughts that are coming through your
8:59
head. You accept them and you let
9:01
them drift in and out, right? And
9:03
so that's a little bit of what
9:05
that allow is. There's a recognized allow.
9:07
You don't want to fight or deny
9:09
it, because that usually will just make
9:11
things worse. It'll exacerbate it. And
9:14
so the more you resist, the stronger it
9:16
may become, and you want to let it
9:18
breathe. Wait. Yeah, and then what just
9:20
so I is then, so we're recognizing,
9:22
allowing allowing. eye for investigate. There you
9:25
go. In Sacramento Peter Brown.
9:27
Yeah, you're right. Investigate. That's
9:29
when you're now trying to
9:31
gain insight into it. Right?
9:34
You've recognized it a lot.
9:36
Now you're investigating. What's going
9:38
on here? What was the
9:40
precursor that may have led to
9:42
this? Things along those lines. And
9:44
if you catch yourself doing this,
9:46
trying to get insight from it,
9:48
you become more measured. about it.
9:50
You know, you start thinking, okay,
9:53
what would it take for this
9:55
to be different? Those kind of things.
9:57
And again, this is one of these
9:59
things. that if you recognize that
10:01
this too shall pass theme, that
10:03
you'll draw from previous experiences and
10:06
you'll probably draw the similar conclusion
10:08
with regards to that. The other
10:10
one is non-identification, right? And this
10:12
is where you, you know, think
10:14
about how you feel as a
10:16
state or a trait. We brought
10:18
that up many times with the
10:20
reset, right? And most likely what
10:22
you're feeling as a state. And
10:25
so it's okay. You're not defined
10:27
by that. It's all right. You
10:29
know, you cannot will your thoughts
10:31
or feelings as they arise, but
10:33
you recognize them as they are.
10:35
You recognize that you're more than
10:37
your emotions. And that's very powerful,
10:39
because once you take the steps,
10:42
now you can have these feelings
10:44
without being a stimulus response person.
10:46
You know, you don't need to
10:48
act on them without thinking of
10:50
it, but you have to go
10:52
through this process first, and you'll
10:54
see that it'll pay off in
10:56
spades. And this is all leading
10:58
into the financial plan, because... You
11:01
want to be able to and
11:03
the every day there's always going
11:05
to be news That's going to
11:07
be jarring and if you know
11:09
if you don't give yourself that
11:11
chance They say freedom is the
11:13
space between stimulus response Well, what
11:15
we're trying to do is amplify
11:18
that freedom right here Right with
11:20
regards to the the rain model
11:22
if you will and once once
11:24
you can begin to do this
11:26
and I'm not I mean by
11:28
no means do I think listening
11:30
to me you know, two minutes
11:32
later, you're fine, right? But there
11:34
is a way. And if you
11:37
look into this, you'll find that
11:39
it can it can generalize very
11:41
well to many other things that
11:43
you're doing as I'm generalizing this
11:45
into the financial planning process. Okay.
11:47
So in that regard, then you're
11:49
talking about like centering yourself. being
11:51
able to take a step outside,
11:54
making sure that you're remembering that
11:56
this is just a state of
11:58
what's going on in the world.
12:00
Why is that really important then?
12:02
Is the new cycles really always
12:04
filtering us with new stories, new
12:06
concerns, new worries, negative news, and
12:08
so on and so forth? No,
12:11
absolutely right. We're creatures of habit.
12:13
If we're bombarded 24-7 with a certain
12:15
type of new cycle, it's hard to
12:17
really, you know, put yourself out there and
12:19
think, oh well, never mind, right? And
12:22
part of that is, really thinking
12:24
about it, we're not wired for
12:26
investing. We can't undo 300,000
12:28
years of evolution. And the
12:30
reality is we were made
12:32
to continue to live, you know,
12:34
to breathe air, you know, in
12:36
perpetuity, as far as we can
12:38
take it, not necessarily to be
12:41
successful investors. And what's made
12:43
us, you know, the Apex, whatever,
12:45
living organisms, if
12:47
you will, in the world, has
12:49
been very conducive to keeping us
12:52
alive, but not... for investing. And
12:54
I would point out there's three
12:56
things that I think really bring
12:59
home, bring this home. The first
13:01
one is loss aversion, our
13:03
use of mental shortcuts, and
13:06
the fact that we're gregarious
13:08
beings or more social beings. And
13:11
what do I mean by all
13:13
that? Loss aversion, you know, we're
13:15
two and a half times greater
13:17
than that of a game, right? And
13:19
so we're wired not to lose. And
13:21
you can take that to its
13:24
exclusive, you know, natural conclusion, which
13:26
is no pain, even physical, you
13:28
know, stay alive. And, you know, simply
13:30
put, when you heard a noise in
13:33
the Savannah, you ran first and then
13:35
asked questions later. It kept
13:37
you alive. Even though there was a lot
13:39
of, you know, type two errors, who type
13:41
one error, who cares, it kept you
13:44
alive, right? The other one, the mental
13:46
shortcuts. From that standpoint,
13:48
look. The brain will not, you will
13:50
not be able to function if you thought
13:53
out every single action that you take.
13:55
In investing, there's a 2 and 20,
13:57
right, where some hedge funds will charge you
13:59
2%. 20% of the profits, the real
14:01
two and 20 is the brain is
14:04
roughly 2% of your body weight, but
14:06
eats up roughly 20% of your calories.
14:08
So think about it. It's always functioning.
14:10
And if you thought this, you know,
14:12
this morning when you got up, did
14:14
you think, okay, now I'm going to
14:17
supinate my hands and grab the toothbrush
14:19
and now I'm going to pull it
14:21
towards me. Then with my other hand,
14:23
I am going to grab the... you
14:25
won't get past the day. Although I
14:27
think my younger son does that because
14:30
to get him out of the house
14:32
and not being made for school is
14:34
a challenge. But the reality is you
14:36
can't. You do things on automatic mode,
14:38
right? And so you have these mental
14:40
shortcuts, which again, if you're in Savannah,
14:43
you hear a noise, you're not going
14:45
to all of a sudden say, I
14:47
am going to thrust my hips to
14:49
the right. and you know start putting
14:51
my right foot down on the balls
14:53
of my feet and yet you don't
14:56
do that you just run along right
14:58
and so from an investing standpoint we
15:00
suffer from a lot of those mental
15:02
shortcuts that are sort of counterintuitive to
15:04
what a successful investor would do such
15:06
as the affinity effect right this is
15:09
where you see someone every day if
15:11
you see them every day and all
15:13
of a sudden you like them you
15:15
tend to trust them a little bit
15:17
more on things that they may not
15:19
be they may not have a competence
15:21
to provide advice on. You can see
15:24
that on CNN BC. After a while,
15:26
you kind of see, I'm gonna take
15:28
Jim Kramer not because I think poorly
15:30
or good about his investment advice for
15:32
the purposes of this podcast, but just
15:34
from the standpoint of that could be
15:37
somebody you see every day. And after
15:39
a while, he may be picking stocks
15:41
by just throwing darts, right? But you
15:43
hear him enough, all of a sudden
15:45
you think, hey, I like this guy
15:47
must know what he's talking about. So
15:50
that's a shortcut that you take so
15:52
you don't have to think through things
15:54
too much, which again for surviving is
15:56
great, but for investing not so great.
15:58
Recency effect. That's another shortcut, right? You
16:00
take what's happening now and you extrapolate
16:03
that into the future. I'm going to
16:05
revisit this when we talk about
16:07
the financial plan itself. Survivor ship
16:09
buys. You just remember all
16:11
the Bitcoin millionaires, but you
16:13
forget all the ones that lost money
16:15
off of it. Right? And even though
16:17
the numbers could be staggering on the
16:20
ones that lost money versus made money,
16:22
it doesn't it doesn't hit you the
16:24
same way. Right? And so those are
16:26
mental shortcuts that you begin to have.
16:28
Just because it... helps you be
16:30
more productive in the everyday of life.
16:33
If not, you'd just be stuck in
16:35
paralysis. And the last one that you
16:37
have to fight is we're social beings,
16:39
right? That's where you bring in
16:42
the herd mentality a little bit.
16:44
We're social beings. We like being in
16:46
groups. You know, the example I always
16:48
give is if you put a monkey
16:50
and myself in an island and you
16:52
come back a year, monkey will probably
16:55
be alive, I will not. If you put
16:57
20 human beings. in an island
16:59
and 20 monkeys, it'll be a
17:01
different story. Right? And so
17:03
that social fabric that we have
17:06
lends itself very well to surviving.
17:08
But sometimes you can be lemmings
17:10
going off a cliff, right? And
17:13
so that's where it becomes tricky
17:15
from an investing standpoint.
17:17
So we're great at surviving, but
17:19
poor investors. Now the trick is,
17:21
even though I've said all of this,
17:24
and you know, if you read
17:26
the Kahneman... books and all of
17:28
that and every behavior finance person
17:30
out there. Their conclusion is we have
17:32
these but you can't really overcome
17:34
them. They're just ingrained.
17:36
Remember you're fighting 300,000
17:39
years. Markets have only been
17:41
around roughly let's say 300 and
17:43
that's being generous 300 years.
17:45
Right. I'm going back to the you
17:47
know the Dutch if you will wait
17:49
from that perspective. Yeah, exactly right. I
17:52
was thinking more the ships. But yeah,
17:54
yeah, yeah, that kind of thing. But
17:56
the reality is, you're not going to
17:59
just overcome this. just because you've
18:01
read a book on it or
18:03
anything like that, right? And so
18:05
to me, the trick is having
18:08
a process and framework in place
18:10
to work from to give ourselves
18:12
the best chance of success. Similar
18:15
to that, any Duke book where,
18:17
you know, good decision doesn't necessarily
18:19
guarantee a good outcome, but if
18:21
you make enough good decisions over
18:24
time, you improve your probabilities, if
18:26
you will. So it's basically a
18:28
matter that what it takes to
18:31
survive in the short run, fleeing
18:33
danger and so forth. is really
18:35
the opposite of what it takes
18:38
to be a successful long-term investor,
18:40
which requires a process to overcome
18:42
all these behavioral instincts to flee
18:45
when the reality is staying the
18:47
course has always historically been a
18:49
better strategy. So could you talk
18:51
more about what exactly that process
18:54
is that you're referring to? If
18:56
you're looking for more personal advice,
18:58
take a look at this episode
19:01
sponsor. McLean Asset Management. You can
19:03
learn more of McLeanam.com. That's M.C.L.
19:05
E-A-N-A-M.com. McLean Asset Management is there
19:08
to help you on your path
19:10
to the retirement that you deserve.
19:12
And don't forget to check the
19:15
show notes to get your free
19:17
e-book on retirement income planning. Yeah,
19:19
it simply put. To me, that's
19:22
the financial planning process. begins to
19:24
incorporate a systematic way of thinking
19:26
through things as it as it
19:28
regarding dollar signs for your life.
19:31
This has nothing to do with
19:33
becoming a better person, you know,
19:35
in times of stress or anything
19:38
like that. This is just strictly
19:40
driven to anything that intersects money.
19:42
This is where the financial planning
19:45
process really serves as that counterbalance
19:47
balance to... you know to what
19:49
you're fighting against from the standpoint
19:52
of your your biases right it
19:54
provides the context as to why
19:56
you're investing you know then in
19:58
the background it does a lot
20:01
more than providing a framework because
20:03
the trick is it's it's actually
20:05
trying to amplify some of
20:08
the things that you that you
20:10
can incorporate and intervene to maybe
20:12
minimize to some extent
20:14
the biases by focusing on other
20:17
sort of human tendencies that
20:19
you have. So there it's focusing
20:21
on how to use behavioral insights
20:23
or insights from some of this
20:25
behavioral research to help manage the
20:27
biases that we're, we experience. Yeah,
20:29
that's a better way of saying
20:31
it. Exactly right. It's almost like
20:34
I'll use a pickleball example, right?
20:36
Wait. It's the third shot drop.
20:38
It's neutralizing the ball in the
20:40
kitchen when there's nothing there. You
20:42
know, it helps kind of reset
20:44
and level set. Now, some of
20:46
the things in the financial planning
20:48
process, so the financial planning process
20:50
serves up that framework and we could
20:52
get into the underlying framework of the
20:55
planning process, but really. a financial plan,
20:57
I think we get caught up in
20:59
a cash flow base plan and ledgers
21:01
and taking things to the fifth
21:03
decimal point, or we get cut
21:05
up in Monte Carlo. Oh, someone could
21:07
say, oh, Monte Carlo, oh, but you
21:09
know what, those inputs are terrible
21:11
and I don't trust anything with
21:14
lepto, curtic curves, you know, these kind
21:16
of distributions, you know, they get all
21:18
up in it like that, and to
21:20
me that's missing the forest for the
21:22
trees. At the end of the end
21:24
of the day, It is important, I'm
21:27
not saying it's not important,
21:29
but the true value of planning,
21:31
why everyone should engage in
21:33
a planning, are the things that
21:35
it helps neutralize. And it does
21:37
that by, let's, the first one
21:39
out there is backcasting. It
21:42
helps you backcast your future. And
21:44
what do I mean by that? That's,
21:46
you're working backwards from
21:48
an angle. It's the, what's
21:51
the Alice in Wonderland, Wonderland,
21:53
uh... If you don't know
21:55
where you're going, then anywhere
21:57
will do something like that. Right?
22:00
of that quote and the reality is
22:02
it's that I lose your weight I
22:04
think that the rabbit or the the
22:06
guy with a clock if you don't
22:08
know where you're going anywhere we'll do
22:11
something like that you know roughly speaking
22:13
and so backcasting helps stop that and
22:15
and what it really is it's If
22:17
you work backwards from an angle, then
22:19
you always have a reason for what
22:22
you're doing. You decide what you want
22:24
to describe as a successful outcome. It's
22:26
up to you. You decide it. What
22:28
Wade thinks is a successful outcome is
22:30
very different than what I want as
22:33
a successful outcome is very different than
22:35
what I want as a successful outcome,
22:37
etc. But you work backwards from there,
22:39
and you work how to systematically get
22:41
there. Because when you work backwards, it's
22:44
the step before that, and before you
22:46
know it. Here you are, right? And
22:48
now you've laid out that path, right?
22:50
And so you can always refer back
22:52
to that plan because you've done it
22:55
from a backcasting standpoint. And that's part
22:57
of the reason why we want to
22:59
do this, the retirement income challenge. It's
23:01
not good enough to just say, I'm
23:03
just going to use a million dollars
23:06
to say a million dollars. I have
23:08
a million dollars now, I'm getting ready
23:10
to retire in five years, and by
23:12
20 years, I want a lot more
23:14
than a million dollars. And I'll just
23:17
live my life with whatever's there. That's
23:19
effectively what I think is a default
23:21
financial plan for many, although it may
23:23
not be a million dollars, it's whatever
23:25
money it is, but that's what it
23:28
is. That's the same thinking. And you
23:30
don't want to do that. You really
23:32
want to give yourself what's the end
23:34
goal, now let's backtrack from there. And
23:36
that will reinforce the discipline needed in
23:39
times where you're going to be stressed
23:41
about things. That's the first thing that
23:43
I know that a financial plan does
23:45
that you see that it gives you
23:47
that sort of plan Regardless the fact
23:50
that you have a plan is is
23:52
an intervention in and of itself The
23:54
other piece and this has been coming
23:56
around a lot and that's the I've
23:58
even seen commercial of this now. Your
24:01
future self. You've seen that
24:03
right? What would your future self
24:05
think? I even used that with
24:07
my kid the other day. Grades
24:10
were coming in and I
24:12
said, look and imagine yourself
24:14
six years from now. Are
24:16
you doing yourself a favor
24:18
then? You know, similar conversations
24:20
to I'm sure your mom had with
24:22
you, Wade, right? About your grades.
24:24
or at least I've had with
24:26
my children as well. Yeah, yeah,
24:29
yeah. I assume, well, you're high
24:31
school, were you like an all-e
24:33
student? I assume you are, you're very
24:35
diligent. Were you like a pretty
24:38
much a 4.0? Yeah, yeah, I was
24:40
more diligent in high school. Oh, you
24:42
still are. But yeah, yeah. And so,
24:44
and the reality is, when you frame
24:46
things in your future self,
24:48
you're combating against temporal
24:51
discount. That's a fancy
24:53
way of saying it's hard for
24:55
people to think in to think
24:57
long term because the the the valence
25:00
of shorter term time arises
25:02
just overwhelmed longer term horizons.
25:04
And so by by thinking
25:07
in terms of your future version
25:09
you're really doing yourself a
25:11
great service. And what is a
25:14
financial plan? Remember through backcasting is
25:16
what do you want to accomplish
25:18
with this wealth? Where do you
25:20
want to be 25 years ago?
25:23
25 years from now. I'm using 25
25:25
years as a standard, but you can
25:27
say 10 years from now, 15 years
25:29
from now, whatever. And so that helps.
25:32
That mindset helps tremendously. And if you
25:34
think about your future self, what would
25:36
your future think? Then you're becoming
25:38
accountable to yourself in a manner
25:41
that's kind of interesting. And in
25:43
a manner that actually has results.
25:45
There's been a lot of work
25:47
with that and and I thought my
25:50
head I can't remember the folks that
25:52
did it, but it's the who's a
25:54
professor at UCLA Hal Hirschfeld
25:56
He's yeah, yeah, he's exactly he
25:59
started this this sort of, I
26:01
think he coined that term, frankly,
26:03
but it's a great simple concept,
26:05
construct that helps you really think
26:07
about it. Another, and so the
26:10
financial plan, you know, answers that
26:12
what about your future self, a
26:14
little hack when you're deciding to
26:16
do something, at least from a
26:18
financial planning standpoint, is to ask
26:20
yourself, how will you feel about
26:23
this in 10 minutes? How will
26:25
you feel about this in 10
26:27
months? How will you
26:29
feel about this in 10 years?
26:31
Right? You see the difference there?
26:33
Will your future self in 10
26:36
minutes? Thank you for this? If
26:38
you do something rash, the answer
26:40
is probably yes. If you do
26:43
something rash and you ask yourself
26:45
in 10 months, your answer is
26:47
probably, probably, I know it, I
26:50
can feel it. If you ask
26:52
yourself in 10 years, I think
26:54
at the very least you give
26:57
it. a significant amount of greater
26:59
contemplation. And so the plan really
27:01
helps emphasize your future version a
27:03
lot better than just not having
27:06
something. Because not having something, again,
27:08
you just tilt back to your
27:10
biases. You're quick, you know, you
27:13
don't want to think about it.
27:15
And so you're going to be
27:17
more intuitive about it. And as
27:20
much as you think you have
27:22
great intuition, I would say, yeah,
27:24
you probably do for surviving. But
27:26
not necessarily for being a great
27:29
investor, and I'm using investor to
27:31
generalize all things financial planning right
27:33
now. And the other piece is,
27:36
by thinking about your future self,
27:38
you're externalizing yourself. And that's what,
27:40
when we talked about the rain
27:43
model, that's effectively what's happening, right?
27:45
If you're all of a sudden
27:47
recognizing an emotion, you're allowing it
27:50
to exist inside of yourself, but
27:52
you're also giving it that separation,
27:54
saying this doesn't define me, let
27:56
me now investigate this a little
27:59
bit more. Right? You've
28:01
effectively, the financial
28:03
plan is beginning to
28:05
personify what the rain model should
28:07
be for you in many ways. And
28:10
so it's a very interesting
28:12
piece right there. And frankly, the
28:14
last one is it's a
28:17
rules-based decision-making process. And
28:19
go back to the rain
28:22
model, right? It's objective and
28:24
dispassionate. It's decision-making,
28:26
but it's pre-made during the times where
28:29
you were in the harbor, not in
28:31
the tempest. And that's where
28:33
you're going to naturally be
28:36
more rational about things, having
28:38
that decision-making process. And so,
28:40
to me, the financial plan
28:42
serves that financial planning
28:45
statement, if you will, where
28:47
you're pre-setting what to do. And
28:49
people do this on investing all the
28:51
time, right? Oh, I'm going to rebalance.
28:54
Not this month. Right? No,
28:56
you shouldn't. You should be
28:58
actually robotic about it, if
29:00
you will. And so to me, wait,
29:03
because you're hearing this,
29:05
and you know, if there was
29:07
ever a numbers guy, that would be
29:09
you, correct? We talked about the
29:11
benefits of a financial plan,
29:14
and I didn't discuss,
29:16
hey, is this cash flow versus
29:18
goals base, or within goals base,
29:20
are you doing? You know, Monty
29:22
Carlo and how many runs are you
29:25
doing and all of that stuff? I'm
29:27
not saying it's not important, but
29:29
to me, the most important
29:31
part of a financial plan is
29:34
you're giving yourself a quiver
29:36
full of arrows to help you against
29:38
your biases when the moment of
29:41
truth arises. Yeah, it's a form.
29:43
Commit yourself to following this plan
29:45
that you've created at a time
29:47
when there's not as much stress
29:50
so that you have the framework
29:52
to get through that stress.
29:54
And again, this is something
29:56
that we feel very passionate
29:58
about and I, I. I encourage everyone to
30:01
sign up for our retirement income challenge
30:03
where we're going to get into this
30:05
with more detail and we're going to
30:07
get into the nuts and bolts of
30:09
actually doing a plan as well. So
30:12
all of that will be in the
30:14
show notes and I highly encourage you.
30:16
Now, now a little teaser for the
30:18
next episode I would say is once
30:20
you have all of these in place,
30:23
what kind of framework is it beneficial
30:25
for you to lay out your financial
30:27
plan on? Right,
30:30
wait, is that a, did I
30:32
do a good cliffhanger? It didn't
30:34
sound that. It didn't sound that
30:36
like, ooh. Yeah, are we gonna
30:38
put some concreteness around this? Yeah,
30:40
but that would be your job
30:42
in the next episode, right, wait?
30:44
Yeah, and to follow up on
30:46
your Alice in Wonderland. So yes,
30:48
the Cheshire cat. So, one day
30:50
Alice came to a fork in
30:52
the road and saw a Cheshire
30:54
cat in a tree. Which road
30:56
do I take? Where do you
30:58
want to go? What's his response?
31:00
I don't know, Alice answered. Then,
31:02
said the cat, it doesn't matter.
31:04
Did I get it? I did
31:06
say rabbit, I think, so I
31:08
got it wrong. And that's it.
31:10
I didn't know. It was a
31:12
cat. Yeah, at least. Yeah, you
31:14
were. It was right. More or
31:16
less. I was right. I was
31:18
right. I was right. I was
31:20
right. I was right. It's good
31:22
enough for government work, if you're
31:24
asking horse shoes and hand grenades.
31:26
All right, everyone. Well, that's it
31:28
for this week's. Oh, no. We
31:30
do want to do a question.
31:32
Oh, yeah, right. Our new theme
31:34
here. So listener mail. Yes. Had
31:36
a very nice message that was
31:38
covering a number of topics, but
31:40
one that I thought was really
31:42
worth mentioning here. And it was
31:44
a reference in reference to reading
31:46
the retirement planning guidebook. So she
31:48
wrote, it's becoming increasingly obvious that
31:50
Medicare Advantage is a scam. you
31:52
should not be presenting it as
31:54
a rational option, since nearly everyone
31:56
who has it and gets seriously
31:58
ill, which is all of us
32:01
someday. Regret's signing up for it
32:03
as a bad financial deal they're
32:05
stuck with. Yeah, so that's good
32:07
feedback. Thank you. Wouldn't go so
32:09
far as calling it a scam,
32:11
though nonetheless. I hope I do
32:13
get the message across in the
32:15
retirement planning guidebook that at least
32:17
for risk-averse individuals, you really do
32:19
want to think seriously about original
32:21
Medicare with a comprehensive supplement. that
32:23
if you don't get your, also
32:25
known as Medicare, if you don't
32:27
get your Medicare supplement or Medicare,
32:29
when you're first eligible, you have
32:31
to go through underwriting at a
32:33
future date and you may not
32:35
be able to get it at
32:37
that point. So a lot of
32:39
people get enticed by Medicare Advantage.
32:41
That's the program that's running all
32:43
the commercials all the time. More
32:45
than half of Americans now use
32:47
Medicare Advantage. It could have, it's
32:49
kind of sold as lower premiums,
32:51
some additional benefits, things like maybe
32:53
dental coverage and so forth. I
32:55
care and so forth. But at
32:57
the end of the day, I
32:59
think the strategy people might have
33:01
is let's pay these lower costs
33:03
on Medicare Advantage while we're still
33:05
healthy someday if we get sick,
33:07
then I'll switch to original Medicare
33:09
with a supplement. the reality is
33:11
that that's not always feasible or
33:13
possible. And so in the long
33:15
run, if you're building that long-term
33:17
financial plan and your risk averse
33:19
and so forth, Medicare Advantage can
33:21
sound really great in the commercials,
33:23
but you really do want to
33:25
do your due diligence and research
33:27
about whether that's the right plan
33:29
for you. So I hope I
33:31
get that message across in the
33:34
book. I wouldn't call this scam,
33:36
but at the very least, I
33:38
do try to encourage people to
33:40
think twice before signing up for
33:42
Medicare Advantage. So what would your
33:44
future self say, Wade, if you
33:46
signed up for a Medicare advantage?
33:48
My future self would say, oh,
33:50
why didn't you just go with
33:52
originally Medicare plus a Plan G
33:54
supplement? You would have been so
33:56
much better off in the long
33:58
run. There you go. And would
34:00
you have the same intonations? Probably.
34:02
Wait and Alex are both principles
34:04
of McLean Asset
34:06
Management and
34:08
Retirement Researcher.
34:10
Both are SEC
34:13
registered investment advisors
34:16
located in Tyson's
34:19
Virginia. The opinions expressed
34:21
in this program are for
34:23
general informational and educational purposes
34:25
only, and are not intended
34:27
to provide specific advice or
34:29
recommendations for any individual or
34:31
on any specific securities.
34:34
To determine which investments may be
34:36
appropriate for you, consult your
34:38
financial advisor. All investing comes with
34:41
a risk, including risk of loss.
34:43
Past performance does not guarantee future
34:45
results.
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