(Preview) Apple Abandons Its Smart Glasses, Google as the Yellow Pages, LLMs and the Overton Window

(Preview) Apple Abandons Its Smart Glasses, Google as the Yellow Pages, LLMs and the Overton Window

Released Monday, 3rd February 2025
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(Preview) Apple Abandons Its Smart Glasses, Google as the Yellow Pages, LLMs and the Overton Window

(Preview) Apple Abandons Its Smart Glasses, Google as the Yellow Pages, LLMs and the Overton Window

(Preview) Apple Abandons Its Smart Glasses, Google as the Yellow Pages, LLMs and the Overton Window

(Preview) Apple Abandons Its Smart Glasses, Google as the Yellow Pages, LLMs and the Overton Window

Monday, 3rd February 2025
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Episode Transcript

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0:00

Hello and welcome to a

0:02

free preview of sharp tech.

0:04

We're going to start with

0:06

Jake who writes, In light

0:08

of Friday's news from Mark

0:10

German, I guess Ben was

0:12

right in his interview with

0:15

Hugo Barra last year. Apple

0:17

wasn't willing to risk

0:20

compromising the iPhone to

0:22

make tethered AR glasses work.

0:24

And I suppose it makes sense,

0:26

but between this, the cancellation of

0:28

the Apple Car Project and lagging

0:31

behind an AI, I can't help

0:33

but feel like Apple stagnating innovation,

0:35

other than the fantastic M-series chips,

0:38

of course, he puts in

0:40

parentheses, is going to catch up to

0:42

them over the next 10 to 15 years. I

0:44

know I'm saying this in the wake

0:46

of record earnings, but am I missing

0:48

something? Do they have anything cool on

0:51

the horizon? Or are they cementing themselves

0:53

as a legacy player as the next

0:55

paradigms of computing really come to bear?

0:57

I'd love a quick take on this.

1:00

So for people who aren't familiar,

1:02

I'm going to read the news

1:04

brief from German at Bloomberg on

1:06

Friday afternoon. just want to compliment

1:08

you for being familiar given that

1:11

this is news that's right down

1:13

over the weekend so I died

1:15

just in it Friday five o'clock

1:17

you know you're an accomplished multitasker

1:19

yes happy hour for some people

1:21

but I was still grinding he

1:23

wrote on Friday Apple has canceled

1:26

a project to build advanced augmented

1:28

reality glasses that would pair with

1:30

its devices marking the latest setback

1:32

in its effort to create a

1:34

headset that appeals to typical consumers

1:36

The company shuttered the program this

1:38

week according to people with knowledge

1:41

of the move. The now canceled product

1:43

would have looked like normal glasses

1:45

but include built-in displays and require

1:47

a connection to a max, said

1:49

the people who asked not to

1:51

be identified because the work wasn't

1:53

public. The project had been seen

1:55

as a potential way forward after the

1:57

week introduction of the Apple Vision Pro.

2:00

$3,499 model that was too cumbersome

2:02

and pricey to catch on with

2:04

consumers. The hope was to produce

2:06

something that everyday users could embrace,

2:08

but finding the right technology at

2:10

the right cost has proven to

2:12

be a challenge. So Ben, can

2:14

you refresh people on the back

2:16

and forth you had with Hugo

2:18

last year as to what Apple's

2:21

considerations might be as they decide

2:23

whether they want to enter this

2:25

smart glasses space going forward? Yeah,

2:27

it's interesting because there was actually

2:29

quite a few interesting bits of

2:31

information in this article. You focused

2:33

on sort of the main part,

2:35

which was... the project as it

2:37

was, was about sort of a

2:39

Mac paired glasses. But what is

2:41

notable, and what I think that,

2:44

you know, Jake is referring to,

2:46

is that these glasses started out

2:48

as an iPhone paired idea, and

2:50

what was the problem they had

2:52

with the iPhone? That it would

2:54

take away too much processing power,

2:56

it'd take away too much battery

2:58

power, there just wasn't sufficient, and

3:00

whereas the Mac would have more

3:02

of a surplus of those things.

3:04

And that is basically, to Jake's.

3:07

you know in our interview at

3:09

last fall very prescient sort of

3:11

take appears to be completely right

3:13

we'll put a link in the

3:15

show notes you can go check

3:17

it out but um so i

3:19

think just to call out that

3:21

it's it makes sense like apple

3:23

has this massive franchise that is

3:25

the iPhone even you know yes

3:27

it's down 1% year over year

3:30

but that still is worth you

3:32

know billions of dollars and and

3:34

tens of millions of millions of

3:36

millions of iPhones they're not going

3:38

to compromise that compromise that for

3:40

a smaller product and that's I

3:42

think that I didn't fully appreciate

3:44

until Hugo brought that up and

3:46

this seems like direct verification of

3:48

that. That said I find this

3:51

very disappointing and the reason I

3:53

find it disappointing is I think

3:55

that what the sense you get

3:58

from this article and again we're

4:00

dealing with telephone tag from Mark

4:02

Herman about a product that never

4:05

watched so it's always sort of

4:07

iffy to read too much into

4:09

these sorts of things but it sort

4:11

of speaks to this this go-big or

4:14

go-home mindset that honestly seems a

4:16

little weird in why the Vision

4:18

Pro but maybe explained some of

4:21

the Vision Pro sort of laxadaisical

4:23

follow-up in my respects over the

4:25

years where Apple is so accustomed

4:27

to and used to shipping things

4:30

at massive volume that it's like,

4:32

well, if it can't be big,

4:34

we're not interested. Why bother? Right.

4:37

Yeah, because to my mind, what's

4:39

kind of bugs me about this

4:41

is that it feels like it

4:43

started out as an iPhone adjacent

4:45

project. It got killed for

4:48

very good reasons, which

4:50

Hugo explained. And then, what were

4:52

the very good reasons that they killed

4:54

it as an iPhone adjacent product? Because

4:57

it would seem to be like a

4:59

natural outgrowth of the iPhone and people

5:01

were talking about maybe meta needs a

5:04

phone. Like technically speaking, what were

5:06

the concerns that Apple had about

5:08

tying this to the iPhone going

5:10

forward? Well, because the idea is you're

5:13

pairing it to it. So you go back

5:15

to the Orion Glasses, it has its own

5:17

sort of brick. And this was sort of

5:19

the context of my conversation with Hugo, which

5:22

is, well, you know, meta is disadvantaged because

5:24

they have to have this brick you carry

5:26

in your pocket. The brick contains all the

5:29

battery, it contains the sort of more powerful

5:31

processor, like there's processors in the lenses, but

5:33

then there's a more powerful one to do

5:35

the actual computing in the brick, and it

5:38

contains the battery. like to do so you

5:40

can have a light thing on your

5:42

head. And so the initial response to

5:44

that is this is great, but are

5:47

you really going to carry a

5:49

phone and a brick? Exactly. Apple

5:51

has a big advantage because you

5:53

already have a phone in your

5:55

pocket. And Hugo's point is that

5:57

the problem is that these devices.

5:59

take a lot of battery and

6:01

they take a lot of processing power.

6:04

And if you're powering it from the

6:06

iPhone, you're making the iPhone. You're screwing

6:08

with the performance of the iPhone and

6:11

that's right. Okay. That's right. And so

6:13

if you want to make a better

6:15

iPhone that can do both, it's going

6:18

to be bigger, it's going to need

6:20

a much larger battery and suddenly you're

6:22

compromising a product that people buy on

6:25

its own. to support a much smaller

6:27

product that only a few people are

6:29

going to buy. So do you have

6:31

like the AR iPhone, that's this big

6:33

bulky thing in your pocket? Like like

6:36

there, it's just a much more challenging

6:38

question than your sort of surface level

6:40

analysis would suggest. And if you look

6:43

in here, like this project, the N107

6:45

device, they say in here, it started

6:47

out with the idea being that it

6:50

paired to the iPhone. And what they

6:52

found is that if you paired to

6:54

the iPhone, It takes too much processing

6:56

power and it takes too much battery

6:58

power. And so the, so the, so

7:00

being right points go to Hugo for

7:02

sure in the wake of last year's

7:05

conversation. Absolutely, yeah, absolutely. And so the,

7:07

what sort of depresses me about this

7:09

article is the way, again, we're depending

7:11

on German sort of framing of what

7:13

happened. And again, there's no one better

7:15

than him. So, so we'll roll with

7:17

it, but it's still an internal decision

7:19

making process, not a public product. that

7:21

carrying out of the way, what you

7:24

get from this is you had a

7:26

team making these glasses, the iPhone team

7:28

is basically like, no, no way, not going

7:30

to happen. And so then they're like

7:32

casting about for a reason to still

7:34

do it, like, what if we did it

7:36

with the MAC, right? And then, you know,

7:39

I don't know what the, why it got

7:41

killed then, maybe it's some aspect of, well,

7:43

that market's not that big, the MAC is

7:45

a legacy product, we still support, I don't

7:47

know, we're just sort of theorizing, we're just

7:49

sort of theorizing, Not that they killed

7:52

the iPhone integration in part because

7:54

Hugo primed me to understand why

7:56

that was a much bigger problem

7:58

than you realized, but But because,

8:00

and again, maybe this is

8:03

personal preference speaking, this is what

8:05

I want. I want a Mac accessory

8:07

where I can get that, like the

8:09

thing with the Vision Pro, the

8:11

most compelling use case that I

8:13

see for the Vision Pro right

8:15

now, is that widescreen Mac display,

8:17

which by the way, almost everything

8:20

about the Vision Pro is. Not

8:22

necessary for a Mac external display. Like

8:24

it doesn't need all this on its

8:26

own processing. It doesn't even need a

8:28

battery. You could just plug it into

8:30

the Macbook Pro or whatever it might

8:32

be. It doesn't need the eyesight thing.

8:34

Like all these bits and pieces, it

8:36

could be paired down to basically,

8:39

like it's like the Vision Pro

8:41

should not be a standalone category.

8:43

If you go to Apple.com and

8:45

click on other headers, it should

8:47

be under displays. You have the

8:49

studio display. you have the not

8:51

cinema display, whatever the the crazy

8:53

pro display is. And you should

8:55

have an apple nerd to know

8:57

the tabs on the Apple website.

8:59

But yeah, that's okay. Are you

9:01

envisioning like a plastic, a plastic

9:03

like high res display that you

9:05

could use? I want the vision

9:07

display right next to the studio display

9:09

where you can buy this accessory for

9:12

a Mac. To me, that's like, like,

9:14

and then you lean into the productivity

9:16

use case. Apple can do all the,

9:19

you know, all these sort of integration

9:21

that they're so great at. It actually

9:23

fits in my bag. Like, what are

9:26

the big problems with the Vision Pro

9:28

where I want to retry the virtual

9:30

display thing, but I'm not gonna do it

9:32

at home. At home, I have four monitors,

9:34

I have like, I'm drinking coffee, I'm getting

9:37

up and down. Like, like, like, I, but

9:39

I, on the road, would I like, would

9:41

I like, would I like, Yeah, that'd be great

9:43

absolutely but then there's this big bulky

9:46

thing that's kind of like I got

9:48

a way small travel counts Well not

9:50

just that but it's like a square

9:52

it doesn't like fit in my fit

9:54

in my bag and and like if there was

9:56

actually a device built from the

9:59

ground up to be Mac accessory. That

10:01

feels like number one, it's immediately

10:03

useful today. Number two, I think

10:05

there's a market for that today.

10:08

And number three, it's a place

10:10

to start where there's an aspect

10:12

of the Vision Pro that was

10:15

too ambitious. And it had to

10:17

do like, it was trying to

10:20

do too many things while not

10:22

doing the things that it like,

10:24

things that would help people today.

10:27

Yeah. Right. And the fact that.

10:29

What I get from this article

10:31

is number one that they didn't

10:34

go this route. I'm personally disappointed.

10:36

Number two, it really feels like

10:38

you have this team in Apple

10:40

that really believes this technology and

10:42

no one else at the company

10:44

wants to support them and believes

10:46

in them. And again, maybe that's

10:48

justified given the Vision Pro sales,

10:50

but you don't get the sense

10:52

of a whole of company effort.

10:54

You get the sense of a

10:56

very dedicated team pushing on this

10:58

and no one else in the

11:00

company is helping them out. And

11:02

that's kind of what we seem

11:04

to see in the market and

11:07

that's just kind of a bummer.

11:09

Well, and Mark said on the

11:11

other side of the spectrum here,

11:13

Apple is canceling its plans for

11:15

smart classes. Isn't this major news

11:17

for meta? The stock barely moved

11:19

at all. Do you think this

11:21

is major news for meta? I

11:23

think the bigger question for meta

11:25

is, is this ever going to

11:27

be a category? That's the question

11:29

I have. It's like, why should

11:31

the stock spike years in advance

11:33

of this product actually hitting shelves

11:35

and gaining a following? And I

11:37

don't know whether that will ever

11:40

actually materialize. I think it's interesting

11:42

because what you've laid out for

11:44

Apple, where they tie it to

11:46

the Mac. and potentially see more

11:48

adoption among their customers, that could

11:50

be sort of an intermediate step

11:52

to really like throwing their weight

11:54

behind something that people use every

11:56

day because if smart glasses are

11:58

going to be like. the way like

12:00

the point of integration and the

12:03

way a lot of people interact

12:05

with technology in their daily lives

12:07

10 years from now then Apple could

12:09

really be way behind and just

12:12

missed the boat entirely on that

12:14

market if they don't have anything

12:16

in the works and so tying

12:18

it to the Mac would have

12:20

been kind of an interesting halfway

12:22

commitment to investigating that market,

12:25

but they've chosen not to do that

12:27

at all and look like they're just

12:29

gonna double down on the iPhone ecosystem.

12:31

Well, just one more thing to sort

12:33

of double down on this point. All right,

12:35

and that is the end of the free

12:37

preview. If you'd like to hear more from

12:39

Ben and I, there are links to subscribe

12:41

in the show notes where you can also

12:43

go to sharp tech.f.f. Either option will

12:45

get you access to a personalized

12:47

feed that has all the shows

12:50

we do every week, plus lots

12:52

more great content from Strutecory and

12:54

the Strutecory Plus bundle. Check it

12:56

out, and if you've got feedback,

12:59

please email us at email at

13:01

sharptech.fm.

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