Episode Transcript
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0:00
Hello and welcome to a
0:02
free preview of sharp tech.
0:04
We're going to start with
0:06
Jake who writes, In light
0:08
of Friday's news from Mark
0:10
German, I guess Ben was
0:12
right in his interview with
0:15
Hugo Barra last year. Apple
0:17
wasn't willing to risk
0:20
compromising the iPhone to
0:22
make tethered AR glasses work.
0:24
And I suppose it makes sense,
0:26
but between this, the cancellation of
0:28
the Apple Car Project and lagging
0:31
behind an AI, I can't help
0:33
but feel like Apple stagnating innovation,
0:35
other than the fantastic M-series chips,
0:38
of course, he puts in
0:40
parentheses, is going to catch up to
0:42
them over the next 10 to 15 years. I
0:44
know I'm saying this in the wake
0:46
of record earnings, but am I missing
0:48
something? Do they have anything cool on
0:51
the horizon? Or are they cementing themselves
0:53
as a legacy player as the next
0:55
paradigms of computing really come to bear?
0:57
I'd love a quick take on this.
1:00
So for people who aren't familiar,
1:02
I'm going to read the news
1:04
brief from German at Bloomberg on
1:06
Friday afternoon. just want to compliment
1:08
you for being familiar given that
1:11
this is news that's right down
1:13
over the weekend so I died
1:15
just in it Friday five o'clock
1:17
you know you're an accomplished multitasker
1:19
yes happy hour for some people
1:21
but I was still grinding he
1:23
wrote on Friday Apple has canceled
1:26
a project to build advanced augmented
1:28
reality glasses that would pair with
1:30
its devices marking the latest setback
1:32
in its effort to create a
1:34
headset that appeals to typical consumers
1:36
The company shuttered the program this
1:38
week according to people with knowledge
1:41
of the move. The now canceled product
1:43
would have looked like normal glasses
1:45
but include built-in displays and require
1:47
a connection to a max, said
1:49
the people who asked not to
1:51
be identified because the work wasn't
1:53
public. The project had been seen
1:55
as a potential way forward after the
1:57
week introduction of the Apple Vision Pro.
2:00
$3,499 model that was too cumbersome
2:02
and pricey to catch on with
2:04
consumers. The hope was to produce
2:06
something that everyday users could embrace,
2:08
but finding the right technology at
2:10
the right cost has proven to
2:12
be a challenge. So Ben, can
2:14
you refresh people on the back
2:16
and forth you had with Hugo
2:18
last year as to what Apple's
2:21
considerations might be as they decide
2:23
whether they want to enter this
2:25
smart glasses space going forward? Yeah,
2:27
it's interesting because there was actually
2:29
quite a few interesting bits of
2:31
information in this article. You focused
2:33
on sort of the main part,
2:35
which was... the project as it
2:37
was, was about sort of a
2:39
Mac paired glasses. But what is
2:41
notable, and what I think that,
2:44
you know, Jake is referring to,
2:46
is that these glasses started out
2:48
as an iPhone paired idea, and
2:50
what was the problem they had
2:52
with the iPhone? That it would
2:54
take away too much processing power,
2:56
it'd take away too much battery
2:58
power, there just wasn't sufficient, and
3:00
whereas the Mac would have more
3:02
of a surplus of those things.
3:04
And that is basically, to Jake's.
3:07
you know in our interview at
3:09
last fall very prescient sort of
3:11
take appears to be completely right
3:13
we'll put a link in the
3:15
show notes you can go check
3:17
it out but um so i
3:19
think just to call out that
3:21
it's it makes sense like apple
3:23
has this massive franchise that is
3:25
the iPhone even you know yes
3:27
it's down 1% year over year
3:30
but that still is worth you
3:32
know billions of dollars and and
3:34
tens of millions of millions of
3:36
millions of iPhones they're not going
3:38
to compromise that compromise that for
3:40
a smaller product and that's I
3:42
think that I didn't fully appreciate
3:44
until Hugo brought that up and
3:46
this seems like direct verification of
3:48
that. That said I find this
3:51
very disappointing and the reason I
3:53
find it disappointing is I think
3:55
that what the sense you get
3:58
from this article and again we're
4:00
dealing with telephone tag from Mark
4:02
Herman about a product that never
4:05
watched so it's always sort of
4:07
iffy to read too much into
4:09
these sorts of things but it sort
4:11
of speaks to this this go-big or
4:14
go-home mindset that honestly seems a
4:16
little weird in why the Vision
4:18
Pro but maybe explained some of
4:21
the Vision Pro sort of laxadaisical
4:23
follow-up in my respects over the
4:25
years where Apple is so accustomed
4:27
to and used to shipping things
4:30
at massive volume that it's like,
4:32
well, if it can't be big,
4:34
we're not interested. Why bother? Right.
4:37
Yeah, because to my mind, what's
4:39
kind of bugs me about this
4:41
is that it feels like it
4:43
started out as an iPhone adjacent
4:45
project. It got killed for
4:48
very good reasons, which
4:50
Hugo explained. And then, what were
4:52
the very good reasons that they killed
4:54
it as an iPhone adjacent product? Because
4:57
it would seem to be like a
4:59
natural outgrowth of the iPhone and people
5:01
were talking about maybe meta needs a
5:04
phone. Like technically speaking, what were
5:06
the concerns that Apple had about
5:08
tying this to the iPhone going
5:10
forward? Well, because the idea is you're
5:13
pairing it to it. So you go back
5:15
to the Orion Glasses, it has its own
5:17
sort of brick. And this was sort of
5:19
the context of my conversation with Hugo, which
5:22
is, well, you know, meta is disadvantaged because
5:24
they have to have this brick you carry
5:26
in your pocket. The brick contains all the
5:29
battery, it contains the sort of more powerful
5:31
processor, like there's processors in the lenses, but
5:33
then there's a more powerful one to do
5:35
the actual computing in the brick, and it
5:38
contains the battery. like to do so you
5:40
can have a light thing on your
5:42
head. And so the initial response to
5:44
that is this is great, but are
5:47
you really going to carry a
5:49
phone and a brick? Exactly. Apple
5:51
has a big advantage because you
5:53
already have a phone in your
5:55
pocket. And Hugo's point is that
5:57
the problem is that these devices.
5:59
take a lot of battery and
6:01
they take a lot of processing power.
6:04
And if you're powering it from the
6:06
iPhone, you're making the iPhone. You're screwing
6:08
with the performance of the iPhone and
6:11
that's right. Okay. That's right. And so
6:13
if you want to make a better
6:15
iPhone that can do both, it's going
6:18
to be bigger, it's going to need
6:20
a much larger battery and suddenly you're
6:22
compromising a product that people buy on
6:25
its own. to support a much smaller
6:27
product that only a few people are
6:29
going to buy. So do you have
6:31
like the AR iPhone, that's this big
6:33
bulky thing in your pocket? Like like
6:36
there, it's just a much more challenging
6:38
question than your sort of surface level
6:40
analysis would suggest. And if you look
6:43
in here, like this project, the N107
6:45
device, they say in here, it started
6:47
out with the idea being that it
6:50
paired to the iPhone. And what they
6:52
found is that if you paired to
6:54
the iPhone, It takes too much processing
6:56
power and it takes too much battery
6:58
power. And so the, so the, so
7:00
being right points go to Hugo for
7:02
sure in the wake of last year's
7:05
conversation. Absolutely, yeah, absolutely. And so the,
7:07
what sort of depresses me about this
7:09
article is the way, again, we're depending
7:11
on German sort of framing of what
7:13
happened. And again, there's no one better
7:15
than him. So, so we'll roll with
7:17
it, but it's still an internal decision
7:19
making process, not a public product. that
7:21
carrying out of the way, what you
7:24
get from this is you had a
7:26
team making these glasses, the iPhone team
7:28
is basically like, no, no way, not going
7:30
to happen. And so then they're like
7:32
casting about for a reason to still
7:34
do it, like, what if we did it
7:36
with the MAC, right? And then, you know,
7:39
I don't know what the, why it got
7:41
killed then, maybe it's some aspect of, well,
7:43
that market's not that big, the MAC is
7:45
a legacy product, we still support, I don't
7:47
know, we're just sort of theorizing, we're just
7:49
sort of theorizing, Not that they killed
7:52
the iPhone integration in part because
7:54
Hugo primed me to understand why
7:56
that was a much bigger problem
7:58
than you realized, but But because,
8:00
and again, maybe this is
8:03
personal preference speaking, this is what
8:05
I want. I want a Mac accessory
8:07
where I can get that, like the
8:09
thing with the Vision Pro, the
8:11
most compelling use case that I
8:13
see for the Vision Pro right
8:15
now, is that widescreen Mac display,
8:17
which by the way, almost everything
8:20
about the Vision Pro is. Not
8:22
necessary for a Mac external display. Like
8:24
it doesn't need all this on its
8:26
own processing. It doesn't even need a
8:28
battery. You could just plug it into
8:30
the Macbook Pro or whatever it might
8:32
be. It doesn't need the eyesight thing.
8:34
Like all these bits and pieces, it
8:36
could be paired down to basically,
8:39
like it's like the Vision Pro
8:41
should not be a standalone category.
8:43
If you go to Apple.com and
8:45
click on other headers, it should
8:47
be under displays. You have the
8:49
studio display. you have the not
8:51
cinema display, whatever the the crazy
8:53
pro display is. And you should
8:55
have an apple nerd to know
8:57
the tabs on the Apple website.
8:59
But yeah, that's okay. Are you
9:01
envisioning like a plastic, a plastic
9:03
like high res display that you
9:05
could use? I want the vision
9:07
display right next to the studio display
9:09
where you can buy this accessory for
9:12
a Mac. To me, that's like, like,
9:14
and then you lean into the productivity
9:16
use case. Apple can do all the,
9:19
you know, all these sort of integration
9:21
that they're so great at. It actually
9:23
fits in my bag. Like, what are
9:26
the big problems with the Vision Pro
9:28
where I want to retry the virtual
9:30
display thing, but I'm not gonna do it
9:32
at home. At home, I have four monitors,
9:34
I have like, I'm drinking coffee, I'm getting
9:37
up and down. Like, like, like, I, but
9:39
I, on the road, would I like, would
9:41
I like, would I like, Yeah, that'd be great
9:43
absolutely but then there's this big bulky
9:46
thing that's kind of like I got
9:48
a way small travel counts Well not
9:50
just that but it's like a square
9:52
it doesn't like fit in my fit
9:54
in my bag and and like if there was
9:56
actually a device built from the
9:59
ground up to be Mac accessory. That
10:01
feels like number one, it's immediately
10:03
useful today. Number two, I think
10:05
there's a market for that today.
10:08
And number three, it's a place
10:10
to start where there's an aspect
10:12
of the Vision Pro that was
10:15
too ambitious. And it had to
10:17
do like, it was trying to
10:20
do too many things while not
10:22
doing the things that it like,
10:24
things that would help people today.
10:27
Yeah. Right. And the fact that.
10:29
What I get from this article
10:31
is number one that they didn't
10:34
go this route. I'm personally disappointed.
10:36
Number two, it really feels like
10:38
you have this team in Apple
10:40
that really believes this technology and
10:42
no one else at the company
10:44
wants to support them and believes
10:46
in them. And again, maybe that's
10:48
justified given the Vision Pro sales,
10:50
but you don't get the sense
10:52
of a whole of company effort.
10:54
You get the sense of a
10:56
very dedicated team pushing on this
10:58
and no one else in the
11:00
company is helping them out. And
11:02
that's kind of what we seem
11:04
to see in the market and
11:07
that's just kind of a bummer.
11:09
Well, and Mark said on the
11:11
other side of the spectrum here,
11:13
Apple is canceling its plans for
11:15
smart classes. Isn't this major news
11:17
for meta? The stock barely moved
11:19
at all. Do you think this
11:21
is major news for meta? I
11:23
think the bigger question for meta
11:25
is, is this ever going to
11:27
be a category? That's the question
11:29
I have. It's like, why should
11:31
the stock spike years in advance
11:33
of this product actually hitting shelves
11:35
and gaining a following? And I
11:37
don't know whether that will ever
11:40
actually materialize. I think it's interesting
11:42
because what you've laid out for
11:44
Apple, where they tie it to
11:46
the Mac. and potentially see more
11:48
adoption among their customers, that could
11:50
be sort of an intermediate step
11:52
to really like throwing their weight
11:54
behind something that people use every
11:56
day because if smart glasses are
11:58
going to be like. the way like
12:00
the point of integration and the
12:03
way a lot of people interact
12:05
with technology in their daily lives
12:07
10 years from now then Apple could
12:09
really be way behind and just
12:12
missed the boat entirely on that
12:14
market if they don't have anything
12:16
in the works and so tying
12:18
it to the Mac would have
12:20
been kind of an interesting halfway
12:22
commitment to investigating that market,
12:25
but they've chosen not to do that
12:27
at all and look like they're just
12:29
gonna double down on the iPhone ecosystem.
12:31
Well, just one more thing to sort
12:33
of double down on this point. All right,
12:35
and that is the end of the free
12:37
preview. If you'd like to hear more from
12:39
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12:41
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