Tesla is Tanking. What That Means for Elon Musk and DOGE ft. Geoff Dembicki

Tesla is Tanking. What That Means for Elon Musk and DOGE ft. Geoff Dembicki

Released Friday, 25th April 2025
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Tesla is Tanking. What That Means for Elon Musk and DOGE ft. Geoff Dembicki

Tesla is Tanking. What That Means for Elon Musk and DOGE ft. Geoff Dembicki

Tesla is Tanking. What That Means for Elon Musk and DOGE ft. Geoff Dembicki

Tesla is Tanking. What That Means for Elon Musk and DOGE ft. Geoff Dembicki

Friday, 25th April 2025
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Episode Transcript

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0:09

This is System Crash, a weekly tech news show

0:12

willing to tell the hard truths about how

0:14

tech and the Titans who own and operate

0:16

it is really transforming the world. I'm Paris

0:18

Marks. And I'm Brian Merchant. This system has

0:20

just begun to crash, so support the show

0:22

by heading over to patron.com/system crash pod, where

0:24

you can sign up to give monthly bonus

0:27

episodes. Also, rate the show on Apple, Spotify.

0:29

or wherever you listen. This week we are

0:31

back to the news and of course Elon

0:33

Musk is making more news as he always

0:35

tends to do. We had this big Tesla

0:37

earnings call but also news about his future

0:40

with Doge what it might be and

0:42

so we figured We need to dig

0:44

into that. And then later in the

0:46

episode, we'll have an interview relating to

0:49

some more international questions, particularly around Canada

0:51

and the Canadian election that is about

0:53

to happen next week on Monday, actually,

0:55

so quite soon. But Brian, what did

0:58

you make of this Elon Musk news,

1:00

this earnings call, you know, his future

1:02

at Doge, what is happening there? Yeah,

1:05

seems like at this point, it's only

1:07

been two months, really, of the Trump

1:09

administration and Elon. It feels like two

1:11

years. as everybody will say, is by

1:13

design, they're flooding the zone and trying

1:15

to do what they can with the

1:17

social and political capital that they have,

1:20

you know, it makes it hard to.

1:22

resist or yell about any piece

1:24

of it if it's all happening at

1:26

once. Basically, you know, we saw signs

1:28

that the facade was cracking in the

1:31

Elon sort of power base, I guess,

1:33

in the Trump White House, going back

1:35

to when he failed to move the

1:37

needle on the Wisconsin Supreme Court election

1:40

and even maybe like was a liability

1:42

in the end despite spending millions of

1:44

dollars wearing his cheese hat and looking

1:47

a little bit like a dummy. I

1:49

don't know how the voters of Wisconsin...

1:51

Johnson didn't go for that. Elon Musk

1:53

and a cheese hat promising to fire

1:55

you. Yeah, it's so no appealing. I

1:57

can't. But he's also handing out check.

2:00

to connect people who the party wants

2:02

to make sure is in the circle.

2:04

Like literally trying to buy it. You

2:06

know, if all that shit works and

2:08

you win the election, then you can

2:10

stay in the good graces. But one

2:12

thing we know about Trump is that

2:14

he doesn't like losers. He doesn't like

2:16

people who lose. He doesn't like weakness.

2:18

And you know, as long as Musk

2:20

is the richest man in the world,

2:22

he's gonna have like, he's gonna get

2:24

a special aura, I think of invincibility

2:26

as far as far as Trump's concerned.

2:29

moment when I wish I could do a

2:31

Trump impression, but I really can't. Every time

2:33

I think about doing one, I'm just like,

2:35

yeah, better just, let's leave that on the

2:37

table. As we know, I can't do a

2:39

Brian merchant impression. I also can't do a

2:41

Trump impression. Unless you're doing one right now,

2:43

unless this is just you. I just

2:45

need to do more cross talk

2:48

to prove to all the haters

2:50

out there who think I'm a

2:52

figment of Paris's imagination. It is

2:54

interesting to me, like, it did

2:56

ultimately come down to the stock

2:58

price and the performance of Tesla

3:01

and the fact that it has

3:03

been materially affected by backlash against

3:05

his operations with those with the

3:07

organized protests which have really gotten

3:09

under his skin. So, you know,

3:11

a round of applause to all

3:14

the takedown. protesters who've been showing

3:16

up at dealerships and at protests

3:18

around the world because you have

3:20

deeply affected the outcome of this

3:22

of Musk's involvement in politics and

3:24

almost got him crying on national

3:26

television like it's beautiful you know

3:29

I listened to some of the

3:31

earnings call so I get what

3:33

you had to stay what that

3:35

is so on the earnings call

3:37

he announced a couple of things

3:39

Tesla announced number one that profits

3:42

are down seven Which is crazy.

3:44

Yeah, it's really crazy. And it

3:46

shows just how much consumer sentiment

3:48

has started. I mean, there's a

3:50

number of factors in there, right?

3:52

Like, they were actually, you know,

3:54

the company was failing to sort

3:56

of facilitate deliveries at the same

3:58

pace. There's some. with the brand models

4:01

that they have and cyber trucks have been

4:03

a failure by and large. I'm shocked. I

4:05

can't believe it. I can't believe people aren't

4:07

going for it. I know, I mean you

4:09

drive yours all the time. I know, you're

4:11

recording this podcast from the bed of a

4:13

cyber truck. Isn't that where you record? from

4:16

as well? All the time

4:18

roving around LA. Like, like,

4:20

it's in self-driving mode and

4:22

you're just in the back

4:24

recording a podcast. Didn't, like,

4:26

you too, catch some flack

4:28

for doing, like, a video

4:30

where they were, like, in

4:32

the bed of a truck

4:34

that drove around New York

4:36

and they were supposed to

4:38

be, like, cheering people up

4:40

as they performed, like, there's

4:42

a lot of things that

4:44

contributed, but... Clearly and we'll play

4:46

a little clip of the of the

4:49

earnings call right here so you can

4:51

hear it now the purchase that

4:53

you'll see out there they're very

4:55

organized they're paid for

4:58

They're obviously not going

5:00

to say it meant that the

5:02

reason that they're protesting is

5:04

because they're receiving

5:06

fraudulent money or that

5:09

they're the recipients of

5:11

wasteful largeness but

5:13

They're going to think I come

5:15

up with some other reason. But that

5:17

is the real reason for the

5:20

protests, the actual reason

5:22

is that the first receiving the

5:24

waste and fraud wish to

5:26

continue receiving it. That is the

5:28

real thing that's going on here,

5:30

obviously. He's really angry and

5:33

almost seething in his way

5:35

about what's happened to Tesla,

5:37

and he's fabricated this really

5:39

dumb narrative in his own

5:41

mind that the people showing

5:43

up to the Tesla takedown

5:45

protests are the people who

5:47

have been robbed of their

5:49

fraud and waste that Doge

5:51

has taken away. So in

5:53

his mind, it's just like

5:55

all people from USAID who

5:57

are coming out to Yale.

5:59

at Tesla and not just people who

6:02

are furious about what's happening to the

6:04

state of American democracy and how this

6:06

unelected oligarch is wielding power. It's either

6:08

that or they're paid protesters by George

6:10

Soros or something. Exactly. So they're paid

6:13

and they're organized as you can hear

6:15

in this clip. I was thinking it's

6:17

just like it's very sort of... One

6:19

dimensional, it's so simplistic, it's almost childish.

6:21

You're a Musk, childish? What? What are

6:23

you talking about? It comports so much

6:26

with this video game mindset where you

6:28

do one thing and then like the

6:30

bad guys do something else and their

6:32

motivations are just one to one and

6:34

he just can't. There's politicians who will

6:37

spin things and reach for the most

6:39

sort of salient message that's going to

6:41

be most popular or sort of play

6:43

the best. Elon Musk doesn't, I think

6:45

he really believes. I think he really

6:48

is this dumb on a social level.

6:50

Not only does he think that he

6:52

actually maybe is rooting out fraud and

6:54

abuse because he looked at a spreadsheet

6:56

and misread it and that was all

6:59

the evidence that he needed. He is

7:01

very sort of dull-brained in this way.

7:03

I do think he's sitting there on

7:05

this earnings call telling people, oh, well,

7:07

we're just succeeding so much that I

7:10

think that if we don't carry out

7:12

Doge, then it's going to lead to

7:14

the destruction of America. and then there'll

7:16

be no Tesla, so we have to

7:18

keep doing this. And he's, so, but

7:20

the big news is that Tesla's down,

7:23

71% profits are down. And automotive revenue

7:25

is down 20% on top of that

7:27

as well, right? Yeah, so Tesla said

7:29

it earned $409 million down from 1.4

7:31

billion in the first quarter of last

7:34

year of 2024. It's a huge stark

7:36

decline. Investors, you know, before this have

7:38

been sort of goading him to sort

7:40

of give up the dose stuff, both

7:42

because they know it's. bad for the

7:45

brand and because they know that him

7:47

returning will be this symbolic gesture and

7:49

the stock market will celebrate which is

7:51

pretty much exactly what happened because Musk

7:53

says that he's going after the end

7:56

of the month in May, he's going

7:58

to be allocating more of his time

8:00

away from Doge. And he's not leaving.

8:02

He's still gonna be doing a day

8:04

a week or something, he says. A

8:07

day a week instead of just kind

8:09

of like camping out in the White

8:11

House and being the first buddy, it

8:13

was enough to say. Yeah, Elon's going

8:15

back to Tesla to save the day.

8:17

And so the market was back up

8:20

at time of recording today. Yeah, which

8:22

is Wednesday, we should say, because who

8:24

knows by end of the week. Who

8:26

knows? We crash back down again. Might

8:28

be new tariffs or whatever. Well, I

8:31

feel like that also played in tariffs

8:33

or whatever. Well, I feel like that

8:35

also played into the story. Right. Well,

8:37

I feel like that also played into

8:39

the story as well, right. very much

8:42

is just like they realize the impact

8:44

of these tariffs is very negative for

8:46

the United States and so they're going

8:48

to be rolling them back and there's

8:50

also discussions of other potential like tariff

8:53

rollbacks and changes in the types of

8:55

approach there that could be beneficial to

8:57

Tesla but is not driven just solely

8:59

by Tesla but by the broader impacts

9:01

of Trump's global trade war and what

9:04

that is meaning for different places and

9:06

I believe on the call Elon Musk

9:08

like not just called out the impact

9:10

of tariffs specifically but how Tesla saw

9:12

diversification to Canada and Mexico as a

9:14

key part of kind of like future

9:17

growth and that this trade war really

9:19

gets in the way of. And that

9:21

is like the one thing that Musk

9:23

says that he's like I'm gonna keep

9:25

trying to sort of advocate for lower

9:28

tariffs to the Trump administration because it's

9:30

one of the clear points of. contention

9:32

between the two camps. But so far,

9:34

Trump hasn't really listened all that much.

9:36

You know, it's hard to say what

9:39

is even going on. He's cutting deals

9:41

and it's now turned into a patchwork

9:43

and who knows what's going to go

9:45

back into effect at the end of

9:47

the month. Clearly, all the hardcore capitalists

9:50

and the tech guys, they don't like

9:52

the tariffs. The tariffs have been, as

9:54

we've seen, have been one of the

9:56

hardest to dislodge ideas from Trump's addled

9:58

brain, because he just has such an

10:00

affinity for them, clearly. It's just something.

10:03

It's a beautiful word. It's a beautiful

10:05

word. It's a beautiful word, like groceries.

10:07

Yeah. So while I do think the

10:09

Tesla takedown folks should take a victory

10:11

lap and and I do think that

10:14

it's this is sort of a victory

10:16

and that like it does show the

10:18

power of sort of organized protest and

10:20

smart protest and that kind of resistance

10:22

it does worry me a little bit

10:25

that if Musk is less involved in

10:27

Doge and he's not wandering around the

10:29

capital and he's not sort of participating

10:31

directly that some of the media spotlight

10:33

will kind of fall away from the

10:36

program in general. He has done, I'd

10:38

say, most of the work, right? Like

10:40

he has organized the program, he's staffed

10:42

it up with his lackeys, and he's

10:44

sort of associated himself with it. He's

10:47

become the avatar of Doge instead of

10:49

someone from the Trump administration that everybody

10:51

can just sort of get mad at

10:53

and write off and then get fired

10:55

or whatever. He's become like kind of

10:57

a human blame shield from Trump for

11:00

doing these firings and doing these layoffs.

11:02

There's been some reporting that Russ Vot

11:04

who had architect and a lot of

11:06

the other sort of transformations in government

11:08

was initially seen as a rival to

11:11

Musk, but now they've, you know, sort

11:13

of linked up, and now he's kind

11:15

of getting to a wheeled influence with

11:17

the benefit of Musk's, or initially with

11:19

the benefit of Musk's, sort of celebrity,

11:22

now it's arguable whether it's become sort

11:24

of a liability or not, certainly he's

11:26

riled up the conservative wing of the

11:28

party, and they've been cheering Musk. And

11:30

so it does become this, I think

11:33

this sort of complicated moment. because Doge

11:35

is still going to continue gutting the

11:37

government as much as it can, because

11:39

that has been an objective of Trump's

11:41

program or those more activated folks within

11:44

it. So I do wonder what happens

11:46

to those narratives if Musk does like

11:48

go back to Tesla. I just worry

11:50

because the media love... a narrative. But

11:52

that's where I think I disagree with

11:54

you a bit, right? Is that yes,

11:57

they love a narrative, but I feel

11:59

like because Elon Musk has been so

12:01

central to this, so much of the

12:03

focus has been able to be like,

12:05

this is what Elon Musk is doing,

12:08

this is what Elon Musk is doing,

12:10

this is what Elon Musk's pros are

12:12

doing, Elon, Elon, Doj, Elon, and I

12:14

feel like if he is more separated

12:16

from it, he's going to be doing

12:19

like weekly work on this project, so

12:21

he's not fully If he actually does

12:23

that in practice, maybe he'll find that

12:25

more difficult to do, then he seems

12:27

to think or maybe that's just something

12:30

he's telling investors because he knows that

12:32

Tesla is in trouble right now and

12:34

he needs to try to save some

12:36

parts of the business because it has

12:38

been declining and doing so badly and

12:41

saying he's going to take a step

12:43

back from Doge is very helpful for

12:45

the share price and investor confidence and

12:47

stuff like that. But I think if

12:49

he realistically does step away a bit,

12:51

it also makes it easier to be

12:54

easier. Oh, here is what is actually

12:56

going on in Doge. Here are the

12:58

people who are actually like wielding the

13:00

levers of power and moving things forward,

13:02

because I don't think that Elon Musk

13:05

is the real mastermind behind Doge. He's

13:07

certainly the figurehead, he's the public face

13:09

of it. He is making tweets that

13:11

are shaping some of what it's doing,

13:13

but there are people who, you know,

13:16

like we've talked about Project 2025, there

13:18

are people in kind of this right

13:20

wing. project who have been designing this

13:22

whole campaign for years and I'm sure

13:24

are engaged in seeing it through making

13:27

sure it takes effect and I feel

13:29

like those people are not receiving the

13:31

kind of scrutiny that they maybe deserve

13:33

because it's easier to be like, look,

13:35

it's Elon and it's Elon's boys and

13:38

all this kind of stuff, right? No,

13:40

I totally agree. In fact, I just,

13:42

I think it really depends on how

13:44

effectively folks can keep the pressure on

13:46

and some of that onus is going

13:48

to fall to workers. And in fact,

13:51

this weekend, I wrote a piece about

13:53

what federal workers can do now at

13:55

this like sort of this point of

13:57

potential vulnerability, you know, like a lot

13:59

of these. big reduction in forces that

14:02

have been ordered by and by the

14:04

Trump administration, are not necessarily legal and

14:06

are, you know, they kind of depend

14:08

on department heads signing off on them

14:10

and going along with them or not

14:13

resisting them. And so it really does

14:15

remain to be seen how various parties

14:17

sort of respond to this vacuum because

14:19

I could see it going either way.

14:21

And I do think it's a tremendous

14:24

opportunity for federal workers, for activists, for

14:26

pro-democracy activists to get in there and

14:28

to sort of take advantage. of the

14:30

fact that Elon has fallen away and

14:32

these guys who are much less popular,

14:35

much more polarizing, the story is all

14:37

about big balls and not about Elon,

14:39

then I feel like you're right. It

14:41

is becomes much less sympathetic. But I

14:43

also think it's helpful to frame Doge

14:45

as like this tech invasion of government

14:48

that is trying to do efficiency through

14:50

tech and bringing the tech model to

14:52

the federal workforce than being like, oh

14:54

look, there's all these right-wing ghools who

14:56

are undertaking this campaign. and using this

14:59

like tech narrative, tech framing to get.

15:01

a degree of legitimacy that would never

15:03

be there if they didn't have Elon

15:05

Musk and the Doge boys and stuff,

15:07

taking the flag. 100% that's what it

15:10

is. It's, I mean, it is like

15:12

the veneer, it's, that's what the AI

15:14

first strategy is all about, but you

15:16

know, I feel like on a campaign

15:18

level, like that is completely true. And

15:21

you know, this is, all they've done

15:23

is that a veneer of sort of

15:25

like Silicon Valley trappings and sort of

15:27

mindset. are really just sort of, you

15:29

know, mass layoffs and, you know, sticking

15:32

a little widget in instead here and

15:34

there. We know there's a few chat

15:36

bots and things around, but I mean,

15:38

I think that's why these two movements,

15:40

you know, the Project 2025 movement and

15:42

like the Silicon Valley Wright has wound

15:45

up being so aligned because they're basically

15:47

after very similar things with certain points

15:49

of contention for sure, but that all

15:51

really does come down. down to the

15:53

details, like Musks and the Silicon Valley

15:56

crew really want to keep some level

15:58

of immigration only because they're used to

16:00

exploiting those workers at their tech companies,

16:02

whereas the 2025 cohort doesn't. want to

16:04

have any black or brown people coming

16:07

into the country at all, really. I

16:09

do think it's going to be a

16:11

really interesting moment, and I do think

16:13

it is a sign of the project's

16:15

flagging power. You know, don't get me

16:18

wrong. It's still quite estimable. It's still

16:20

quite potent and has the authority of

16:22

the state and has immense power behind

16:24

it. but there are vulnerabilities here now

16:26

that are beginning to show, which again,

16:29

as we talked about up top, like

16:31

this is what they're afraid of and

16:33

why they rushed into so many of

16:35

these things. Well, I would say we

16:37

could also see it as like the

16:39

fragilities or whatnot, but we could also

16:42

see it as kind of like moving

16:44

from stage one to stage two, right,

16:46

to a stage of destroying things to

16:48

like entrenchment of this new model of

16:50

running government, right? Like I think there's

16:53

still very clear risks. remains to be

16:55

seen whether they can do that at

16:57

all or whether they have a plan

16:59

for it at all I think as

17:01

much as this has been a little

17:04

bit better organized than Trump 1.0 it's

17:06

still unclear what does happen after you

17:08

swing the wrecking ball and whether or

17:10

not they actually think the AI chat

17:12

bots are actually going to do government

17:15

or whether they care or whether they've

17:17

thought about what actually happens when people

17:19

do care that government doesn't work or

17:21

that there's tens of thousands of more

17:23

people out of work and unemployed and

17:26

screaming at Republicans and town halls. It

17:28

is another moment with a lot of

17:30

question marks. That's when you beef up

17:32

the police budget and the military budget

17:34

I guess. And then you know you

17:36

have a guy who's in charge of

17:39

the military. who's just like chatting about

17:41

bombing Yemen on family group texts so

17:43

it's like is the military again I

17:45

do feel like it's going on like

17:47

seemingly drunken rants when he's called out

17:50

about it yeah exactly who is at

17:52

no drunk and just yeah person and

17:54

then you know literally has like Nazi

17:56

tattoos like literally does and they're circling

17:58

the wagons around him again and again

18:01

the party is but one thing that

18:03

you know I wonder about and I

18:05

would love to see more reporting on

18:07

is like how like what does like

18:09

rank and file military and soldiers and

18:12

and people what do they think of

18:14

this buffoon this guy's a clown clearly

18:16

there are departments and plenty of people

18:18

who are quite allied with Trump and

18:20

certainly ice and there are all these

18:23

ghouls who are completely willing to put

18:25

on a face mask and apprehend a

18:27

college student who wrote an op-ed and

18:29

throw her into an unmarked van. What

18:31

is the breadth of that support? Like,

18:33

I guess, maybe call me an optimist,

18:36

but I don't know how widespread it

18:38

is. We did see Trump taking more

18:40

effort to clear ranks of non-loyal, quote,

18:42

DoD officials and whatnot. I feel like

18:44

my vibe is that the police and

18:47

like CBP, the border services and stuff

18:49

tend to be much more kind of

18:51

like... fascist right wing more ideological yeah

18:53

yeah then like the military which is

18:55

not to say that the military is

18:58

like a hotbed of liberal support or

19:00

anything but I feel like it's distinct

19:02

from what you see in those other

19:04

kind of groups right I guess I'm

19:06

just trying to say that like there

19:09

are fissures in unexpected places as monstrous

19:11

as everything that's happening right now as

19:13

horrible as it is as certain as

19:15

Elon Musk is to continue wielding power

19:17

in in many ways I do think

19:19

that these vulnerabilities that are being exposed

19:22

on different fronts are real and are

19:24

there and can be exploited and people

19:26

need to keep standing up, keep showing

19:28

up, keep organizing, keep protesting. The piece

19:30

I wrote today was an interview with

19:33

the Labor Studies professor at Rutgers Eric

19:35

Blanc and he's been following the federal

19:37

workers jobs crisis and and its confrontations

19:39

with Doge and drawing lessons from the...

19:41

recent spate of organizing over the last

19:44

few years and seeing what's worked and

19:46

and he has made a lot of

19:48

good arguments that like you know now

19:50

we the time for federal workers to

19:52

really push back, make noise, do things

19:55

that might go viral, get more attention,

19:57

really sort of crystallize the opposition. It's

19:59

hard to do, it's risky, but at

20:01

this point the trend lines are all

20:03

towards sort of the risk is you're

20:06

just gonna, you might just fall victim

20:08

to a big doge cut anyways. I

20:10

thought that there was a lot of

20:12

wisdom in that and it's hard and

20:14

I've already had people after I published

20:16

this, about ways to resist more and

20:19

I do think that's an encouraging sign

20:21

for sure. Yeah it absolutely is and

20:23

I would say just to go back

20:25

to the Tesla call really briefly the

20:27

earnings call and stuff one of the

20:30

things that that stood out from that

20:32

too that I saw at Niedermeyer tweeting

20:34

about or blue-skying about or whatever we're

20:36

calling it now was basically that one

20:38

of the areas Tesla identified as a

20:41

growing part of its business that's still

20:43

doing well as the automotive part is

20:45

struggling is the battery business selling is

20:47

the battery business selling batteries to utilities

20:49

and he just kind of flagged that

20:52

like hey this might be another place

20:54

for Tesla takedown organizers to focus on

20:56

in the near future if we're looking

20:58

to continue damaging this company right because

21:00

yeah the auto business is one piece

21:03

of it but Tesla is involved in

21:05

other things as well. And I think

21:07

it stood out to me that on

21:09

that earnings call again, Elon Musk was

21:11

calling out the robots as this kind

21:13

of major future growth play, which many

21:16

people really don't believe is going anywhere.

21:18

And he was again promising that self-driving

21:20

is going to be here next year,

21:22

going to be making all this money,

21:24

blah blah blah, which like no one

21:27

really buys, right, except maybe some really

21:29

die hardcore Tesla people. And I do

21:31

wonder that like, okay. If Elon Musk

21:33

really says he's not spending as much

21:35

time at Doge and spending more time

21:38

at Tesla, you have to wonder if

21:40

that's actually a good thing, right? Like,

21:42

this is the guy who pushed the

21:44

cyber truck onto the company who wanted

21:46

it to look a particular way and

21:49

be a particular way and kind of

21:51

forced the company's designers to make what

21:53

he wanted, and it's been a total

21:55

flop. He's the guy who went in

21:57

and said, we don't want a cheaper

22:00

car, we want a robot taxi, and

22:02

now we see them getting like creamed

22:04

by these Chinese EV makers in the

22:06

rest of the world, and of course

22:08

also struggling in North America as well

22:10

for distinct reasons. So like is the

22:13

idea that Elon Musk were turning to

22:15

Tesla? I don't know, like obviously the

22:17

investors of Tesla are people who tend

22:19

to believe I would say that Elon

22:21

Musk is some great man or whatnot,

22:24

but. in reality he makes terrible decisions

22:26

for this company. But it's almost immaterial

22:28

and I would like for everybody who

22:30

also already listened to our Elon in

22:32

Power episode with Ed they know but

22:35

if you haven't I go listen to

22:37

that episode because it really sort of

22:39

articulates what's going on there and why

22:41

despite everything that you just said being

22:43

true Elon returning is still enough to

22:46

rally the stock market like he hasn't

22:48

made like a good sound financial decision

22:50

in a long time and all of

22:52

the promises of late, even excluding all

22:54

the dose stuff, just in the context

22:57

of Tesla, like the robot butlers and

22:59

cyber, yeah, the big thing that came

23:01

out of this was he like, he

23:03

did, he went cybercab, it was all

23:05

like, he's like, oh, and he's imagining

23:07

this time next year again, as he

23:10

said, like, it is all very fantastical,

23:12

but the market has just kind of

23:14

agreed that Elon is the Superman, the

23:16

actual revenues coming out of the company,

23:18

are secondary to this belief that Elon

23:21

can sort of... will more profits will

23:23

more expansion will more product lines and

23:25

companies into existence whether or not they

23:27

like work or a profitable or anything

23:29

I mean that's been the story of

23:32

Tesla over the last 10 years as

23:34

Ed Niedermeyer pointed out to us starting

23:36

with the full self-driving which has still

23:38

yet to actually materialize the promise it's

23:40

all you know a fantasy and Wall

23:43

Street was just so happy to go

23:45

back it's like doged if anything draws

23:47

everyone out of that fantasy and into

23:49

real people dealing with his decisions and

23:51

dealing with his politics. and real people

23:54

getting fired, real people getting angry, and

23:56

it complicates the picture in a way

23:58

that nobody who was invested in Tesla

24:00

wanted to see. And so it remains

24:02

to be seen whether it will go

24:04

back up to the height before the

24:07

whole dosh incursion, but there are clearly

24:09

a lot of people who are still

24:11

willing to just sort of be happy

24:13

with this deeply stupid sort of conception

24:15

of Musk as the entrepreneurial ironman that

24:18

he's working. so hard to cultivate over

24:20

the last 20 years. Yeah, that's why

24:22

I don't believe that like the Wednesday

24:24

stock bump actually lasts. Like, you know,

24:26

reality has the set in. Based on

24:29

what you were saying about the self-driving

24:31

and stuff, there was this funny part

24:33

in the earnings call when it got

24:35

to like the questions aspect of it,

24:37

where an analyst from Wells Fargo basically

24:40

asked Musk about like dusk and Fogg

24:42

and glare issues with the cameras when

24:44

you're thinking about driving automation because Musk's

24:46

big thing was like you don't need

24:48

this Lydar sensor. and that will be

24:51

perfectly fine. And he was like, isn't

24:53

this going to cause a problem, like

24:55

when the cameras are obscured by different

24:57

weather things, or the sun, or whatever.

24:59

And on the call, Musk claimed that

25:01

Tesla, quote, bypasses the digital signal processor

25:04

and does, quote, direct photon counting. And

25:06

so the guy followed up and he

25:08

was like, so the camera still works

25:10

when there's direct glare on the camera

25:12

that like obscures thing. Musk was like,

25:15

yeah, of course. Like, it was like,

25:17

this is such a such a bullshit.

25:19

lie like what are you talking about

25:21

he's just so adept at that level

25:23

of bullshit it just spews out of

25:26

him naturally like he died yeah on

25:28

some level he believes that probably he

25:30

just because he's willed himself to believe

25:32

it he just I'm sure I have

25:34

no doubt but it's like This is

25:37

a fraudster. Like why is he not?

25:39

Why is he still able to get

25:41

away with this? Yeah, exactly. He lives

25:43

in a video game world. This guy

25:45

is an NPC to him and this

25:48

is just like something that he could

25:50

select from the drop-down menu to say

25:52

to override it. What does not matter

25:54

if it's true or not? One of

25:56

those situations where you're like, I'm not

25:58

surprised that the... is rallying around this

26:01

but like also like the world is

26:03

so stupid like it's because yeah oh

26:05

Musk is back yeah yeah what is

26:07

he gonna do everybody's and I think

26:09

you're right that it's just gonna set

26:12

in again just like oh right like

26:14

no one's gonna forget that he's a

26:16

huge asshole he's still on Twitter he's

26:18

still on Twitter he's still on Twitter

26:20

he's still going to be showing up

26:23

in photo hops with with the president

26:25

and it's still like it's Hezbollah boycotts

26:27

are not ending just because he's spending

26:29

a few fewer days irreparable damage at

26:31

this point. Like it's just, it's done.

26:34

And there was a report in Reuters

26:36

the other day that even their attempts

26:38

to like do a cheaper car kind

26:40

of thing continue to get delayed. Like,

26:42

I don't know, this whole company is

26:45

a shambles. They just had the complete

26:47

recall of all the cyber trucks a

26:49

few weeks ago, which I believe we

26:51

discussed, like this company is a mess

26:53

and has fewer prospects. You know, it

26:55

was like the dominant company in the.

26:58

the kind of wrap-up at the end

27:00

that deals with that so we can

27:02

leave it until then. But like no

27:04

one in their right mind really believes

27:06

that Tesla is going to be like...

27:09

a dominant EV company in the future

27:11

or anything at this point, like, or

27:13

if they do, they're like delusional in

27:15

my view. Yeah, I think it's just

27:17

resting back on sort of like the

27:20

momentum and the inertia from the last

27:22

10 years and just like praying to

27:24

the gods of the marketplace that bygones

27:26

can be bygones and that like this

27:28

fantasy can continue to be propelled forward

27:31

because yeah, certainly based on any of

27:33

the numbers coming out of the company,

27:35

then if it's actual prospects, I wonder,

27:37

you know, you know, what it would

27:39

take it would take. to wake me,

27:42

you know, a recession, pretty remarkable that

27:44

we're back here. We'll see, we'll see,

27:46

we'll see what happens, yeah. But you

27:48

know, like as we've been talking about,

27:50

obviously people understand what Doge is at

27:52

this point, right? Like it's very clear

27:55

what this organization has done, what this

27:57

ideology is doing, but we still see

27:59

internationally. these efforts by right wing parties

28:01

to say that they are going to

28:03

pursue doge like programs, right, which is

28:06

kind of wild to see, especially like.

28:08

as the reality of what this project

28:10

is becomes clear and clear, but to

28:12

still see them talking about it is

28:14

kind of wild. I've written in the

28:17

past about how tech folks in Canada

28:19

have been embracing right-wing ideologies like what

28:21

we're seeing in the United States and

28:23

many of them in Canada, but other

28:25

places as well, calling for their own

28:28

versions of Doge to kind of dismantle

28:30

the government in their own countries. And

28:32

so as listeners will likely know, Canada

28:34

is in an election at the moment.

28:36

We go to the polls on Monday,

28:38

April 28. where it's looking like we're

28:41

going to elect a liberal government, not

28:43

a conservative government, so maybe discussions of

28:45

Doge are not as key right now,

28:47

though I'm going to write a piece

28:49

hopefully before the election on how the

28:52

liberal party isn't a great savior from

28:54

these tech ideologies either, and leader Mark

28:56

Kearney, because of his longstanding relationships to

28:58

the tech industry, you know, the liberals

29:00

released their platform just the other day,

29:03

and there's a whole section in there

29:05

about embracing AI, building AI data centers,

29:07

implementing it in the public service. And

29:09

it's like, yeah, these shitheads are going

29:11

to be doing a lot of terrible

29:14

stuff we still have to be on

29:16

guard for. But there was an article

29:18

published in De Smog in cooperation with

29:20

the lever. And it's basically explaining how

29:22

the right in Canada is kind of

29:25

organizing and discussing how it would look

29:27

to do something similar in the Canadian

29:29

context. So the author Jeff Dembiki, the

29:31

global managing editor of De Smog and

29:33

the author of the petroleum papers, basically

29:35

wrote this article because there was this.

29:38

recent kind of gathering of conservative voices,

29:40

and you had fossil fuel executives, you

29:42

had an Amazon web services, senior public

29:44

policy person, and you had people from

29:46

like libertarian think tanks on stage together

29:49

discussing what it would look like to

29:51

implement a doge in Canada and why

29:53

it would be good for their various

29:55

different interests. And so when I saw

29:57

this, given all that we discussed on

30:00

the show, given that the Canadian election

30:02

is so close, I was like, I

30:04

think we should have Jeff on for

30:06

a quick chat to understand what is

30:08

happening here, because this is important for

30:11

Canada, but I also think it's important

30:13

for the broader conversation about what the

30:15

right globally is doing and how they're

30:17

trying to approach this stuff. I think

30:19

it's really important. I do think it's

30:22

another open question, why this juncture again

30:24

is so important with like how we

30:26

respond to like how we respond to

30:28

like, musks, quote, quote, stepping away from

30:30

its own independent logics and how related

30:32

they are to that Silicon Valley mindset

30:35

and the AI mindset. It's an opportunity

30:37

to think about, yeah, how conservative movements

30:39

can export those ideologies for their own

30:41

benefit, whether or not they'll be successful

30:43

without a charismatic or at least notorious

30:46

figurehead-like musk. I think we should be

30:48

interrogating AI in general. And like what,

30:50

you know, as, you know, people sort

30:52

of like, well, it's AI as a,

30:54

you know, as a tool or it.

30:57

It's an exciting thing in this case,

30:59

but we don't like how it's being

31:01

used over here. But we have to

31:03

consider sort of the general suite of

31:05

ideologies and programs that it enables, like

31:08

this one, right? Like with everybody harping

31:10

on about AI and how it's going

31:12

to transform the world and how it's

31:14

going to disrupt whole economies and all

31:16

these, it opens up spaces for doges

31:19

and maybe what's going to happen in

31:21

Canada and other parties. So I think

31:23

it is really an interesting and important

31:25

time. to look at the ways that

31:27

they are trying to export these properties

31:29

elsewhere. I completely agree. And so here's

31:32

our interview with Jeff Dambickey. I was

31:34

really happy he could chat with me

31:36

to dig into all this and we'll

31:38

be back on the other side with

31:40

some final stories to wrap up this

31:43

week's episode. Jeff, thanks for coming

31:45

on System Crash. Yeah, thanks for having

31:47

me on. Absolutely, you know, you have

31:49

this fantastic story, and I just wanted

31:52

to dig into it even more, right,

31:54

to learn more about it, because I

31:56

think for our audience, it's going to

31:59

be really important to understand how these

32:01

things are working, not just in the

32:03

United States, but other parts of the

32:05

world. And so I wanted to start

32:08

before we dig into kind of the

32:10

meat of the story. We have an

32:12

election right now in Canada. Pierre Polyev

32:15

is the leader of the Conservative Party

32:17

and up until recently was running high

32:19

in the polls. Has Pierre Polyev said

32:22

anything about Doge or about a similar

32:24

kind of plan or is there anything

32:26

in the Conservative Party policy platform that

32:29

suggests that they want to pursue some

32:31

kind of program like that? conservatives find

32:33

exciting and trying to I think water

32:35

it down and make it seem more

32:38

like polite and palatable to Canadians. And

32:40

so Paulia released his platform this week

32:42

and he's calling for tens of billions

32:45

of dollars of tax cuts and he

32:47

says he's gonna cut the federal bureaucracy

32:49

by like 17,000 positions a year, but

32:52

he says he's gonna do it without

32:54

mass layoffs and there's no mention. of

32:56

Doge or Elon Musk or anything, even

32:58

though Pauli, I think senses in some

33:01

level that his supporters can read that

33:03

into the plan. Yeah, read between the

33:05

lines, you know what we're getting at.

33:08

That makes total sense. So this article

33:10

really focuses on some information that you

33:12

got from a conference called Canada Strong

33:15

and Free Network. Can you talk about

33:17

what this conference is, like who was

33:19

really coming together for something like this?

33:22

So this conference is sort of a

33:24

Canadian version of CPAC. And it represents

33:26

a big networking opportunity for Canada's conservative

33:28

movement. And so you have conservative premiers,

33:31

you have conservative thought leaders, and then

33:33

you have a bunch of corporate people

33:35

who have viewpoints that could also be

33:38

described as conservative. Basically, they all get

33:40

together in Ottawa and they hash out

33:42

a bunch of the big ideas and

33:45

policies that people in the movement and

33:47

people excited about. having conservative governments in

33:49

Canada should focus on. Were there any

33:52

like really big standout names there this

33:54

year that people should know about? They

33:56

invited Barry Weiss to talk and she

33:58

sort of did her like usual spiel

34:01

about leaving the liberal New York Times

34:03

and it seemed to get a big

34:05

reaction there. She was kind of like

34:08

playing the hits, the greatest hits I

34:10

guess. But nothing new for the for

34:12

the Canadian audience just to kind of

34:15

pick it up on the old stuff.

34:17

Yeah, it kind of was depressing to

34:19

me to me to listen to that.

34:22

Fair enough. I would be depressed listening

34:24

to Barry Weiss as well, so I

34:26

don't blame you on that. But you

34:28

know, the poor of your piece really

34:31

focuses on, I guess it's a specific

34:33

panel that happened there where they seem

34:35

to be talking about Doge. Can you

34:38

talk a bit about what that was

34:40

and who was arrayed here to talk

34:42

about this issue? So there was a

34:45

specific panel that I was very... interested

34:47

in, and it's what I ended up

34:49

doing this piece on De Smog and

34:51

the lever for. And the panel was

34:54

about addressing inefficiencies in government, so sort

34:56

of like boring sounding title. The panel

34:58

itself, it included a former chief of

35:01

staff to Canadian Conservative Prime Minister Stephen

35:03

Harper, really conservative guy from about 10

35:05

years or so ago. It also included

35:08

a representative from Amazon Web services. Canada,

35:10

an executive from the pipeline company TC

35:12

Energy, which tried to build the Keystone

35:15

Excel pipeline into the US, and it

35:17

included a senior fellow from a think

35:19

tank called the McDonald-Loree Institute, which is

35:21

part of a big coalition of free

35:24

market think tanks called Atlas Network. It's

35:26

based in Virginia. And so in terms

35:28

of the reporting I do on like

35:31

climate accountability in the conservative movement, this

35:33

was almost like the setup to a

35:35

joke or something like these four. people

35:38

walk into a bar like what happens

35:40

next. I love that and you know

35:42

there's an energy fossil fuel guy there

35:45

so you know there's going to be

35:47

some kind of climate adjacent stuff for

35:49

the reporting but this is a much

35:51

broader story as well that I feel

35:54

like we have been watching doge play

35:56

out for the past few months in

35:58

the United States you know the repercussions

36:01

of that everything happening in the United

36:03

States as a result of it the

36:05

upheaval in the US government what that

36:08

means for Americans more generally is it

36:10

surprising to you that you're still seeing

36:12

conservatives in Canada talk about doing something

36:14

similar even if they don't always you

36:17

want to use the term doge? Yeah

36:19

I mean I was totally surprised that

36:21

they just launched into talking about doge

36:24

because Obviously, that's been such a huge

36:26

news story in the US and has

36:28

become so politically toxic and has led

36:31

to nationwide protests and resulted in Elon

36:33

Musk being one of the most unpopular.

36:35

political figures in the country at the

36:38

moment. But this event starts at the

36:40

Canadian Conservative Conference and the moderator who

36:42

is this oil and gas executive, he

36:44

basically launches into it and he's like,

36:47

we've been paying very careful attention to

36:49

Doge and he addresses the former Stephen

36:51

Harper guy and he says, so what

36:54

do you think? Like how could we

36:56

do a Doge in Canada? And the

36:58

former Harper guy's name is Ian Brody.

37:01

To my kind of surprise and amazement,

37:03

he just like... launches into a very

37:05

specific playbook for how a Pierre Polyev

37:08

government could replicate Doge. And because of

37:10

some like legal and constitutional differences between

37:12

Canada and the US, that frankly, I'm

37:14

not going to pretend to like really

37:17

understand this guy Brody is like, actually

37:19

in Canada, we could do it faster.

37:21

than Trump is doing in the US

37:24

right now. Absolutely incredible. You know, like

37:26

you would even want to do it

37:28

faster after all that you've seen down

37:31

there. But of course, you know, this

37:33

is coming from a particular perspective, right?

37:35

These are the people who would be

37:38

probably enjoying what they're seeing in the

37:40

United States and think that it is

37:42

a good thing. I was a bit

37:44

struck by this formulation of this panel,

37:47

the type of people who were on

37:49

it, and how open they were to

37:51

be making these. arguments, right? Because one

37:54

of the things that we saw in

37:56

the past week was some of the

37:58

tech folks trying to distance themselves from

38:01

the idea of Adoge specifically and that

38:03

their group build Canada is Adoge, but

38:05

here you have people from many different

38:07

parts of this conservative movement from corporate

38:10

Canada, making this explicit argument for Adoge,

38:12

saying that this is something they want

38:14

to see and how we would potentially

38:17

even achieve it. Yeah, and the part

38:19

that really stuck out to me is

38:21

when the executive from the pipeline company,

38:24

T.C. Energy, he starts riffing a little

38:26

bit on what you do with the

38:28

critics of development. in Canada. And he

38:31

sort of goes, you know, these are

38:33

like anti-development groups. They're sort of opposed

38:35

to resource extraction. And this pipeline guy,

38:37

you know, sort of asked to the

38:40

room, like, how do we do with

38:42

these groups who obviously would be critics

38:44

of any Doge-style program? And so this

38:47

is when it gets sort of like

38:49

a little bit. chilling for me and

38:51

others have pointed this out and sharing

38:54

the piece. This guy Tim Sargent, who's

38:56

a senior fellow with McDonald-Loria Institute, like

38:58

very libertarian guy, he jumps in and

39:01

he says basically like, we could create

39:03

a list of like 20 billion dollars

39:05

worth of cuts like tomorrow. We have

39:07

to just start like doing them as

39:10

hard and fast as possible at the

39:12

same time we're cutting government funding to

39:14

these potentially critical groups. And then Sargent

39:17

is basically like, if we do it

39:19

so fast that this same time that

39:21

we're implementing all these other policies that

39:24

the critics don't like, they won't know

39:26

what, like where to look, how to

39:28

act, they'll just be overwhelmed. It's sort

39:30

of like, it reminded me of like

39:33

Steve Bannon's flooding the zone. Yeah, that's

39:35

a really good comparison. And even when

39:37

you're talking about that, it makes me

39:40

think about how we've been seeing these

39:42

stories about how the Trump administration is

39:44

potentially looking at targeting environmental groups, potentially

39:47

on Earth Day, right? in Canada as

39:49

well as in terms of how these

39:51

concerns folks would want to approach it.

39:54

I wanted to go back to Ian

39:56

Brody for just a second and you

39:58

were talking about there how he was

40:00

kind of laying out a program for

40:03

what Adoge in Canada could potentially look

40:05

like. And I know you said, you

40:07

know, obviously the constitutional differences and stuff

40:10

are a bit above I think both

40:12

of our pay grades or you know,

40:14

knowledge levels on these specific aspects of

40:17

how government works and what not. But

40:19

what was the idea that he had

40:21

for how Adoge would be implemented in

40:24

Canada and what it would look like?

40:26

in Canada, and he very much seemed

40:28

to be referring to like a Pierre

40:30

Polyev government. This new Prime Minister would

40:33

gather together the privy council, which are

40:35

basically like, they help. advise the prime

40:37

minister and sort of like top level

40:40

federal policy in the country. You get

40:42

this privy council all on board and

40:44

sort of give them targets for the

40:47

type of cuts to government they need

40:49

to do. You pull your cabinet together

40:51

and then you basically have some of

40:53

the most powerful people in the country

40:56

sort of just like going at the

40:58

bureaucracy with a chainsaw, similar to what

41:00

Elon Musk is doing. And actually the

41:03

pipeline guy at one point in this

41:05

conversation. where they're all sort of like

41:07

dreaming about what this could look like

41:10

in Canada. He brings up the Malay

41:12

government in Argentina as another possible example

41:14

that Canadians could look to as a

41:17

way to slash government, which I just

41:19

thought was like totally insane given what's

41:21

playing out in Argentina. It's absolutely incredible

41:23

that these people, I don't know, I

41:26

guess they're among friends, right? You know,

41:28

they're at this conservative conference, but just

41:30

to be like so open with so

41:33

many of these things. Yeah, we want

41:35

to do a go after. our enemies.

41:37

Yeah, we think Javier Milai has been

41:40

a great example for us. And I

41:42

wanted to talk about the tech piece

41:44

of this as well, right? Because as

41:47

you said, and as you wrote about

41:49

it in the piece, there was a

41:51

senior public policy person from Amazon Web

41:53

Services Canada on this panel as well,

41:56

which feels like a bit of a

41:58

weird place for someone like that to

42:00

be. What was she saying? about how

42:03

Amazon or the tech industry would potentially

42:05

contribute to a project like this? If

42:07

she felt that any of this was

42:10

bad or offensive or shouldn't be done

42:12

in Canada, she definitely didn't express that.

42:14

And instead she seemed to be offering

42:17

the full support of Canada's tech

42:19

industry to implementing some sort of...

42:21

Doge program and there were a

42:23

few lines from her that really

42:26

stuck out to me. So she

42:28

was imagining that like a federal

42:30

minister could have an iPad and

42:32

some sort of tech I guess

42:34

provided by Amazon or another company in

42:37

Canada and it would have a list of

42:39

all of the federal departments and programs how

42:41

much money was being spent on them what

42:43

they were kind of doing and then I

42:46

guess this minister would just go along and

42:48

be like oops I don't like that program

42:50

like slash I don't like this program slash

42:53

just do your little swipe to the left

42:55

or whatever I kill the program yeah There

42:57

goes climate research in the North, whoops. And

42:59

she had some line, I'm kind of paraphrasing

43:02

from the piece, where she said having this

43:04

data provided by the tech industry can

43:06

give you the political cover to

43:08

make some of these decisions because

43:10

you're able to defend them with

43:12

hard data to the Canadian public.

43:15

So it seemed based on this

43:17

Amazon person's comments that the tech

43:19

industry would be all in on

43:21

this type of program in Canada,

43:23

which is not particularly surprised. right,

43:25

because we have already seen these

43:27

initiatives like Build Canada and Canada

43:30

Spends that are coming out of

43:32

Canada's tech industry supported by many

43:34

Canadian tech executives that are effectively arguing

43:36

the same things. Some of them, like Jen

43:38

St. Dennis's report in the Thai has shown,

43:41

you know, have explicitly argued on Twitter and

43:43

in other forums for a Canadian doge, even

43:45

if now some of them are trying to

43:47

kind of roll that back or walk away

43:49

from it. And we've also had this open

43:52

letter from the Council of Canadian Innovators, this

43:54

tech lobby group. basically saying that they want

43:56

to see these changes in procurement and how

43:58

the economy works try to. benefit themselves, right?

44:01

But I think what was more surprising.

44:03

was, okay, yeah, you have these executives

44:05

or whatnot from various Canadian tech companies

44:07

coming out and saying these things, but

44:10

to actually have someone, a public policy

44:12

person from Amazon, on stage, at a

44:14

conservative conference, basically being like, here's the

44:17

way we could support your program to

44:19

gut the Canadian government, is just like,

44:21

kind of mind-blowing. Yeah, and like, it

44:23

will give you political cover, we'll provide

44:26

you a bit of cover to do

44:28

this. And yeah, you're right. It's interesting

44:30

with some of the bill Canada

44:32

stuff. a little of their message

44:34

and said, we're not trying to

44:37

do a Doge in Canada, even

44:39

though members of build Canada, have

44:41

specifically said online, let's do Doge

44:43

in Canada. But I think it

44:45

signals that they're starting to realize

44:48

how politically toxic all of this

44:50

stuff looks like outside of their

44:52

little worlds. Because at this conservative

44:54

conference in Ottawa, it seemed like

44:56

the crowd was really into this,

44:59

and they weren't getting any objections.

45:01

Canadians or Americans or whatever

45:03

country where this sort of

45:05

thing takes place are rightly

45:07

kind of horrified by the

45:09

assault on programs that that

45:11

make government function. But I

45:13

do think on one level,

45:15

the way people talk about

45:17

Doge in Canada is their

45:19

way of signaling that they

45:21

like Trump without having to

45:23

say Trump's name out loud

45:25

because Trump himself has become

45:28

so politically toxic and radioactive

45:30

in Canada due to him launching like

45:32

a terror for on the country in

45:34

the rest of the world. And so

45:36

a lot of leading conservatives, they're advocating

45:38

for like a Canada first policy, they're

45:40

criticizing Trump, but then at the same

45:42

time they'll go ahead and say like,

45:44

oh, we should do doge here. And

45:46

we actually like what Trump is doing

45:48

in the US. It's sort of this

45:51

weird dichotomy. We've been talking a lot

45:53

about the conservatives, but I wanted to

45:55

shift. to the liberals, right? Because a

45:57

few months ago it looked like Pierre

45:59

Polyev was going to be the next

46:01

Prime Minister. That was all kind of

46:03

in the can, but now things have

46:06

completely changed and it looks like the

46:08

Liberals and Mark Kearney are going to

46:10

be our next government and likely even

46:12

have a majority government. But Mark Kearney

46:15

has been talking a lot about promoting

46:17

AI, about rolling it out in the

46:19

federal public service, and government more efficient

46:22

and reducing spending. Is there any concern

46:24

that some program like this might actually

46:26

come to fruition under the liberal party

46:28

as well? effectively stop the growth of

46:31

the federal bureaucracy. And you're right, he's

46:33

kind of been pretty supportive of AI

46:35

and also the oil and gas sector.

46:37

He said we need to build all

46:40

of these new pipelines in order to

46:42

counter the economic threat from Trump in

46:44

the US. So I wouldn't want to

46:47

say that the liberals and conservatives are

46:49

like totally equivalent in how they're viewing

46:51

these types of initiatives. But it does

46:53

seem that even with all the chaos

46:56

and public pushback to Doge in the

46:58

Trump administration, But in some way, they

47:00

are sort of like stretching the Overton

47:02

window on some of this stuff. And

47:05

you're seeing the liberals who aren't exactly

47:07

like a leftist party or anything, but

47:09

they sort of portray themselves as center

47:11

or center left. They're sort of being

47:14

like pulled in this subtle direction towards

47:16

these type of government cutting policies. I

47:18

mean, I think personally, that's the exact

47:21

wrong way to go. And we've had

47:23

decades of evidence since the Thatcher Reagan

47:25

years. that austerity is actually really horrible

47:27

for society and makes inequality worse. So

47:30

I think that there should be public

47:32

concern and push back against the whole

47:34

range of this type of stuff and

47:36

not just the most extreme forms we're

47:39

seeing coming from the conservatives. I definitely

47:41

agree, right? I'm more than happy to

47:43

have a liberal government over a conservative

47:46

one, but that doesn't mean that they

47:48

get a free hand to do whatever

47:50

they want. We still need to be

47:52

concerned about what they might do as

47:55

well. Jeff, it was really great to

47:57

read to read this report. on how

47:59

the conservatives are thinking about this, keep

48:01

up the great work. and thanks so

48:04

much for taking the time to speak

48:06

with me. Yeah, thanks for having Beyond.

48:08

I really appreciate it. So that was

48:11

our interview with Jeff. You can see

48:13

how there is some really crazy stuff

48:15

in this story and basically that happened

48:17

at this gathering, right? You had fossil

48:20

fuel executives pointing to Javier Milai as

48:22

a good example for Canada to follow.

48:24

You had the senior public policy person

48:26

at Amazon Web Services Canada talking about

48:29

how cloud services and the tech industry

48:31

could help create a platform to do

48:33

these massive cuts to the federal government

48:35

and the public service like these are

48:38

wild things to be seeing and how

48:40

this conservative move feels that this would

48:42

actually be easier to implement in Canada

48:45

than it would be in the United

48:47

States because of the different structures of

48:49

government. So again, this is something we

48:51

need to be on guard for. Luckily,

48:54

it looks like the Conservative Party is

48:56

not going to win this election. If

48:58

it looks like the Conservative Party is

49:00

not going to win this election. If

49:03

you're in Canada, make sure to go

49:05

out and vote. If you haven't already

49:07

in the advanced polls, but I think

49:10

we should still be on guard for

49:12

what the Liberal it has a chance.

49:14

to be born Canadians go get them

49:16

obviously here if you're not going to

49:19

vote for the conservatives if you're listening

49:21

to no we don't need to worry

49:23

about that unless it's like Intel gathering

49:25

or something final stories of the week.

49:28

How about you start us off, Brian?

49:30

It's always good to have a fairly

49:32

inconsequential, but just absurd and humorous story

49:35

included in these roundups. So how could

49:37

we not bring up the story of

49:39

Henry Blodgett, the founder of Business Insider,

49:41

who That's started a sub stack and

49:44

felt like he was maybe missing out

49:46

on the AI boom. So he used

49:48

AI to make a newsroom and to

49:50

craft a whole media c-sweet and then

49:53

he generated a headshot for his his

49:55

AI media executive who was a woman

49:57

and then he promptly decided to hit

49:59

on her and to sexually harass his

50:02

AI. subordinate and then to write about

50:04

it and then to publish this online

50:06

where it was as you might expect

50:09

roundly mocked. So insane to me. Like

50:11

I just I guess this is you

50:13

know a true innovator. You can't we

50:15

can't empathize because they're just so far

50:18

beyond us. I guess he's this man

50:20

is richer than any of us ever

50:22

will be. I'm happy to see that

50:24

the woke ideology has not made it

50:27

into his newsroom and he can still

50:29

sexually harass his which is so absurd.

50:31

Oh my God, man. And bleak, but

50:34

it also like, there is like this

50:36

kernel in there that I do think

50:38

it's worth underlining and pulling out. This

50:40

is why AI is so alluring to

50:43

so many executives and CFOs, because they

50:45

do see a future where they're like,

50:47

oh, you know, if all of our

50:49

workers are AI, you know, we don't

50:52

have to worry about a toxic work

50:54

environment or we don't have to worry

50:56

about sexual harassment lawsuits, even as we've

50:58

seen. the mixed results of actually adopting

51:01

AI enterprise software. Companies are still trying

51:03

to do it. The AI companies are

51:05

still selling it on these grounds because

51:08

this dream is so alluring to them.

51:10

It's just so just imagine if we

51:12

could if we could just a just

51:14

like hit on our hot AI avatar

51:17

subordinates and no one would get mad

51:19

and we could just do that all

51:21

day long and if other people do

51:23

it then we don't have to pay

51:26

for it. There's no lawsuit like when

51:28

that would that be great. Yeah they're

51:30

clearly not spinning up the AI agent

51:33

for the HR department. That one's staying

51:35

away. Great story. Great find. I hadn't

51:37

heard of this one before you brought

51:39

it up. So yeah, wild. Our next

51:42

story is on X-A-I back to Elon

51:44

Musk. People might have seen an earlier

51:46

story earlier this year about a data

51:48

center that X-A-I had been spinning up

51:51

in Memphis, Tennessee. and the potential kind

51:53

of like environmental implications of that. Well,

51:55

more recent reporting based on leaked aerial

51:58

images show that. The data center is

52:00

now operating 35 methane gas burning generators.

52:02

It has permits for none of them

52:04

and has only applied for permits to

52:07

run 15. And we know that this

52:09

data center is located in like, you

52:11

know, near a traditionally black part of

52:13

the city, which has experienced greater environmental

52:16

impacts and health effects over the past

52:18

number of years, you know, air pollution,

52:20

things like that. And X AI is

52:22

only continuing that problem. is doing so

52:25

illegally. It doesn't have the permits to

52:27

operate these things and is not even

52:29

seeking them. It's a wild story. As

52:32

always, like the AI is going to

52:34

help us solve climate change, right? AI

52:36

is going to bring us into this

52:38

brighter future. It sure seems on the

52:41

ground to be accelerating all of the

52:43

trends that were already well underway. Another

52:45

great example of what's actually happening on

52:47

the ground here versus the promises, and

52:50

it does, it makes me think of

52:52

I've been reading Empire of AI by

52:54

Karen Howe, it's not out yet, but

52:57

it's such a great book that just...

52:59

No spoilers. Anyways. Anyways. Anyways. Anyways. It

53:01

argues that AI development is taking place

53:03

under a very imperial sort of framework

53:06

based on exacerbating certain conditions, extracting labor,

53:08

exacerbating environmental conditions, only to concentrate profits

53:10

at the top stuff that listeners of

53:12

System Crash will be quite familiar with,

53:15

but articulated in such a beautiful way.

53:17

Anyways, thanks for highlighting that, Paris. Open

53:19

AI released a new model. as those

53:21

who follow this kind of stuff will

53:24

already know. The news that came out

53:26

of it was initially that, oh, it's

53:28

so great. I think Tyler Cohen said

53:31

it felt like AGI was here when

53:33

he used it. But then, of course,

53:35

subjected to actual empirical use cases and

53:37

benchmarks, it runs into same of the

53:40

same flaws that a lot of the

53:42

old models do. And in fact, sometimes

53:44

more PC World notes that Open AI's

53:46

in-house benchmark. Mark Person QA, which is

53:49

used to measure the factual accuracy of

53:51

AI models when talking about people, found

53:53

that O3, the new model from Open

53:56

AI, hallucinated in 33% of responses while

53:58

O4 Many did even worse at 48%.

54:00

That is like a ton of hallucinations,

54:02

which means it's getting things factually wrong.

54:05

It's just making shit up at a

54:07

rate that is much higher than the

54:09

old ones, which 2001 and 2003 mini

54:11

which were yesterday years models hallucinated at

54:14

16% and 14% That's a huge jump

54:16

and there's a number of things to

54:18

glean from this number one We hear

54:21

an awful lot if you ever have

54:23

to listen to people talk about AI

54:25

about how this is the worst that

54:27

it will ever be and I just

54:30

case like this are pretty clear indicators

54:32

that that's not true It could get

54:34

better things could get better. They could

54:36

resolve issues like this, but there are

54:39

so many different factors in and number

54:41

two. It's we have to face the

54:43

possibility the possibility to face the possibility

54:45

that maybe they don't really care about

54:48

getting these things factually accurate. If they're

54:50

more convincing seeming, if they're more fluid,

54:52

if the interface is better, if all

54:55

of these factors are good enough, then

54:57

maybe they're just ultimately abandoning sort of

54:59

the accuracy element because it doesn't matter

55:01

as much as it doesn't matter because

55:04

it doesn't matter as much to them

55:06

if they can still sell it. They're

55:08

talking about building a social media network.

55:10

Like give me a great. They also

55:13

talked about buying Chrome. And I was

55:15

like, yeah, that's the last thing we

55:17

need is Chrome with even more AI

55:20

features. Like, if there's anything that's gonna

55:22

spur browser innovation, it's open AI taking

55:24

over Chrome. Well, that's where we are

55:26

now. And yeah, I guess, obviously, it

55:29

could go the way of Open AI's

55:31

app store, which has been just a

55:33

dud, a huge, but also, people are

55:35

chatting with ChatGPT endlessly. They still have

55:38

to solve the compute and energy issues,

55:40

if that's ever going to be profitable

55:42

in any kind of way. But we're

55:44

truly in the throwing shit at the

55:47

wall and seeing what sticks phase of

55:49

Open AI. just say some people are

55:51

chatting with chat TVT endlessly. I think

55:54

that's actually still quite a small percentage.

55:56

Our final story is just about battery

55:58

developments that we're seeing from these Chinese

56:00

automakers and battery companies, you know, going

56:03

back to what I was mentioning earlier.

56:05

You might remember the story from, I

56:07

guess it was a few weeks ago

56:09

or a month or so ago or

56:12

something like that, where B-Y-D, you know,

56:14

this massive battery and electric vehicle company

56:16

or vehicle company in general, in China,

56:19

announced that it had made this breakthrough

56:21

on fast charging abilities that it's going

56:23

to slowly start rolling out because it

56:25

will require new chargers in a different

56:28

kind of battery in kind of future

56:30

vehicles future vehicles. ATL which is again

56:32

a major battery maker in China has

56:34

announced that it has an even bigger

56:37

breakthrough now that will allow even even

56:39

quicker charging and things like that and

56:41

you know there's still some skepticism as

56:44

to how realistic these advancements will be

56:46

in the real world and I think

56:48

we're going to need to wait to

56:50

see about real world testing on those

56:53

sorts of things but I do think

56:55

that we're clearly seeing the Chinese companies

56:57

move further move faster they're dominating more

56:59

market share they're making technological advancements that

57:02

we're not seeing by Western automakers to

57:04

the same degree, and certainly not by

57:06

Tesla, going back to what we're seeing

57:08

there. I think again and again we

57:11

see that these companies are leaving Tesla

57:13

in the dust because Tesla can't innovate.

57:15

It's not updating its vehicle line. It's

57:18

not actually achieving the technological breakthroughs that

57:20

Elon Musk claims are constantly on the

57:22

horizon, but these Chinese companies are actually

57:24

doing things, are actually innovating. And I

57:27

don't. think that we're going to see

57:29

these companies be held to China, be

57:31

kind of restricted in the way that

57:33

the United States would like to see,

57:36

and they are just going to continue

57:38

dominating more and more market share globally

57:40

as American companies, as Western Automakers, more

57:43

broadly, cannot make us, as Western Automakers,

57:45

more broadly, cannot keep up. So I

57:47

think this is a story. We're just

57:49

going to continue watching and seeing how

57:52

it plays out. System Crash every

57:54

week. Crash is is hosted

57:56

by Marks and Prime Partners.

57:58

us. us. is by

58:01

Eric Arab Our theme theme

58:03

is this, is This Topia

58:05

friends in Yacht. in

58:07

yacht.

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