Tue. 09/24 – Sam Altman’s Few Thousand Days

Tue. 09/24 – Sam Altman’s Few Thousand Days

Released Tuesday, 24th September 2024
Good episode? Give it some love!
Tue. 09/24 – Sam Altman’s Few Thousand Days

Tue. 09/24 – Sam Altman’s Few Thousand Days

Tue. 09/24 – Sam Altman’s Few Thousand Days

Tue. 09/24 – Sam Altman’s Few Thousand Days

Tuesday, 24th September 2024
Good episode? Give it some love!
Rate Episode

Episode Transcript

Transcripts are displayed as originally observed. Some content, including advertisements may have changed.

Use Ctrl + F to search

0:04

Welcome to the Tech Meme Right Home for Tuesday, September 24th,

0:06

2024. I'm Brian

0:08

McCullough today. Sam Altman has a

0:10

manifesto around AI, kind of.

0:13

Telegram is beginning to walk things back a

0:15

bit. Cloudflare wants to help you block the

0:18

AI bots. New streaming device from Roku, and

0:20

I guess TikTok can't win at everything. Here's

0:22

what you missed today in the world of

0:24

tech. Sam

0:33

Altman released an essay yesterday where

0:35

he said that superintelligence is right

0:37

around the corner. Quote,

0:40

this may turn out to be the

0:42

most consequential fact about all of history

0:44

so far. It is possible that we

0:46

will have superintelligence in a few thousand

0:48

days. It may take longer,

0:50

but I'm confident we'll get there. How did we

0:53

get to the doorstep of the next leap in

0:55

prosperity? In three words, deep

0:57

learning worked. In 15 words,

0:59

deep learning worked, got predictably better

1:01

with scale, and we dedicated increasing

1:03

resources to it. That's really

1:06

it. Humanity discovered an algorithm that could

1:08

really, truly learn any distribution of data,

1:10

or really the underlying rules that produce

1:12

any distribution of data, to a shocking

1:14

degree of precision. The more compute and

1:17

data available, the better it gets at

1:19

helping people solve hard problems. I

1:21

find that no matter how much time I spend

1:23

thinking about this, I can never really internalize how

1:26

consequential that is. There

1:28

are a lot of details we still have to

1:30

figure out, but it's a mistake to get distracted

1:32

by any particular challenge. Deep

1:34

learning works, and we will solve the remaining

1:36

problems. We can say a lot of things

1:38

about what may happen next, but the main

1:40

one is that AI is going to get

1:42

better with scale, and that will lead to

1:44

meaningful improvements to the lives of people around

1:47

the world. End quote. Now,

1:49

I will be honest with you. Despite

1:52

all the attention this got online overnight, the

1:54

whole thing is sort of vague and

1:57

extremely cheer-lady kind of. like,

2:00

is this just some hype cycle chum?

2:02

I mean, probably, right? To a degree.

2:04

Though now we do have this clam

2:06

chowder, as Gruber used to call it,

2:08

to bring up and be like,

2:11

hey Sam, it's been a thousand days. Quoting

2:14

TechCrunch. In Altman's latest

2:16

post, the OpenAI leader presents an incredibly positive

2:18

update on the state of AI, hyping its

2:20

world-changing potential. Far from being

2:22

an occasionally helpful alternative to Google Search,

2:24

or a homework helper AI, as Altman

2:27

presents, will change humanity's progress for the

2:29

better, naturally. Through rose-tinted contacts,

2:31

Altman pitches the numerous ways he

2:33

believes AI will save the world.

2:36

But much of what he writes is seemingly

2:38

meant to convince the skeptics of how much

2:40

AI matters and could well have the opposite

2:42

result. Instead of creating new fans, posts like

2:44

this may well invite increased

2:46

scrutiny as to whether we're in an

2:48

Emperor's New Clothes situation. As

2:51

one commentator with the username Shark Jacobs on

2:53

the technical forum Hacker News writes, I'm not

2:55

an AI skeptic at all. I use LLMs

2:57

all the time and find them very useful,

3:00

but stuff like this makes me very skeptical

3:02

of the people who are making and selling

3:04

AI." Then

3:07

quoting from Ars Technica. The

3:09

OpenAI chief envisions AI assistants becoming

3:11

increasingly capable, eventually forming quote, personal

3:14

AI teams that can help individuals

3:16

accomplish almost anything they can imagine.

3:18

He predicts AI will enable breakthroughs in

3:21

education, healthcare, software development, and other fields.

3:23

While acknowledging potential downsides and labor

3:26

market disruptions, Altman remains optimistic about

3:28

AI's overall impact on society. He

3:30

writes quote, "...prosperity alone doesn't

3:32

necessarily make people happy. There are plenty

3:34

of miserable rich people, but it would

3:36

meaningfully improve the lives of people around

3:38

the world." End quote. Even with AI

3:41

regulation like SB 1047, the

3:43

hot topic of the day, Altman

3:45

didn't mention sci-fi dangers from AI

3:47

in particular. On X,

3:49

Bloomberg columnist Matthew Iglesias wrote, "...notable

3:52

that at Sama is no longer even

3:54

paying lip service to existential risk concerns,

3:57

the only downsides he's contemplating are labor market

3:59

adorables." adjustment issues." While

4:02

enthusiastic about AI's potential, Altman urges caution

4:04

too, but vaguely. He writes,

4:06

we need to act wisely but with

4:08

conviction. The dawn of the intelligence age

4:11

is a momentous development with very complex

4:13

and extremely high stakes challenges. It

4:15

will not be an entirely positive story, but the upside

4:17

is so tremendous that we owe it to ourselves and

4:19

the future to figure out how to navigate the risks

4:21

in front of us. US

4:29

customers of Kaspersky antivirus, guess

4:31

what? You have a

4:34

new antivirus program whether you know

4:36

it or not. That's because Ultra

4:38

AV was installed remotely to replace

4:40

Kaspersky on your PCs after a

4:42

Kaspersky deal with Ultra AV owner

4:45

Pango. Quoting TechCrunch, customers

4:47

of Kaspersky antivirus in the United States

4:49

found out in the last few days

4:51

that their cybersecurity software was automatically replaced

4:54

with a new one called Ultra AV according

4:56

to several customers who posted on social media.

4:59

Some of the customers said they had no idea this was going

5:01

to happen. Quote, woke up

5:03

to Kaspersky completely gone from my system

5:06

with Ultra AV and Ultra VPN freshly

5:08

installed, not by me, just automatically while

5:10

I slept, a user on Reddit

5:12

wrote. Others in the same Reddit thread

5:14

as well as in other threads reported having the

5:17

same experience. A reseller who

5:19

until recently sold Kaspersky products prior to

5:21

the recent salesman told TechCrunch that he

5:23

was left annoyed by the move to

5:25

automatically remove Kaspersky software and replace it

5:27

with an entirely different antivirus. A

5:30

former senior US government cybersecurity official said

5:32

that this was an example of the

5:34

huge risk posed by the access granted

5:36

by Kaspersky software. It's worth

5:38

noting that on the other hand, other customers

5:41

did report receiving an email from Kaspersky about

5:43

the transition to Ultra AV. The

5:45

transition to Ultra AV comes months after the

5:48

US government took the unprecedented decision to ban

5:50

all sales of Kaspersky software across the United

5:52

States. In June, the Commerce Department

5:54

announced that sales of the antivirus software would

5:56

be banned starting July 20th. to

6:00

provide limited security updates to customers until

6:02

September 29th. In early September,

6:04

Axios reported that Kaspersky had reached

6:06

a deal to offload its customers

6:08

to American cybersecurity firm Pango, which

6:11

owns UltraAV, a relatively new antivirus

6:13

software." Telegram

6:20

now says it will give users IP

6:22

addresses and phone numbers to authorities in

6:24

response to valid legal requests, changing

6:27

its terms of service to deter criminal

6:29

activity on the platform. Quoting

6:31

Bloomberg, The platform changed its terms of

6:33

service to deter criminals from abusing it,

6:35

Durov said in a post on Telegram

6:37

Monday. The move comes less than a

6:39

month after his arrest in France, where

6:41

he faces charges of alleged complicity in

6:43

the spread of child sexual abuse materials.

6:46

The move represents a marked difference from

6:48

Telegram's approach to government requests for data

6:50

and its reputation for lax moderation. The

6:53

United Arab Emirates-based platform has been notoriously

6:55

non-responsive to take down requests from governments

6:57

around the world and often ignored requests

6:59

for information about suspected criminals. The

7:02

app, using artificial intelligence and a team

7:04

of moderators, has now begun to conceal

7:06

problematic content from its search results as

7:09

part of its efforts to prevent misuse,

7:11

Durov said. French prosecutors in

7:13

August charged the Russian-born Durov in connection with

7:15

alleged crimes committed on the app. The case

7:17

portrays the billionaire CEO as the head of

7:20

a company that refused to provide law enforcement

7:22

with data to assist legal wiretaps on suspected

7:24

criminals. Durov's arrest has led

7:26

to a number of policy changes at

7:28

Telegram. Earlier this month, Telegram disabled new

7:30

media uploads, which Durov said was aimed

7:32

at stopping bots and scammers." CloudFlare

7:41

has rolled out bot management, a

7:43

suite of free AI auditing tools

7:45

meant to help monitor and selectively

7:47

block AI-scraping bots to

7:50

all of its customers. Quoting Wired, crawl

8:00

for data. Today it's giving all of

8:02

its customers, including the estimated 33 million using

8:04

its free services, the ability to monitor

8:06

and selectively block AI data scraping bots.

8:09

That preventative measure comes in the form of

8:11

a suite of free AI auditing tools it

8:13

calls bot management, the first of which allows

8:15

real-time bot monitoring. Customers will have

8:17

access to a dashboard showing which AI crawlers

8:20

are visiting their websites and scraping data, including

8:22

those attempting to camouflage their behavior. We've

8:25

labeled all the AI crawlers, even if

8:27

they try to hide their identity, says

8:29

CloudFlare co-founder and CEO Matthew Prince, who

8:31

spoke to Wired from the company's European

8:33

headquarters in Lisbon, Portugal, where he's been

8:35

based the past few months. CloudFlare

8:37

has also rolled out an expanded bot

8:39

blocking service, which gives customers the option

8:41

to block all known AI agents or

8:43

block some and allow others. Earlier

8:46

this year, CloudFlare debuted a tool that allowed

8:48

customers to block all known AI bots in

8:50

one go. This new version offers more control

8:52

to pick and choose which bots they want

8:54

to block or permit. It's a

8:56

chisel rather than a sledgehammer, increasingly useful as

8:58

publishers and platforms strike deals with AI companies

9:01

that allow bots to roam free. We want

9:03

to make it easy for anyone, regardless of

9:05

their budget or their level of technical sophistication,

9:07

to have control over how AI bots use

9:10

their content, Prince says. CloudFlare

9:12

labels bots according to their functions,

9:14

so AI agents used to scrape

9:16

training data are distinguished from AI

9:18

agents pulling data for newer search

9:20

products like OpenAI's search GPT. Websites

9:23

typically try to control how AI bots

9:26

crawl their data by updating a text

9:28

file called robots exclusion protocol or robots.txt.

9:30

This file has governed how bots scrape

9:32

the web for decades. It's not illegal

9:34

to ignore robots.txt, but before the age

9:36

of AI, it was generally considered part

9:39

of the web's social code to honor

9:41

the instructions in the file. Since the

9:43

influx of AI scraping agents, many

9:45

websites have attempted to curtail unwanted

9:48

crawling by editing their robots.txt files.

9:50

Services like the AI agent watchdog DarkVisitors

9:52

offer tools to help website owners stay

9:55

on top of the ever increasing number

9:57

of crawlers they might want to block,

9:59

but they've been limited by a

10:01

major loophole. Unscrupulous companies tend to

10:03

simply ignore or evade robots.txt commands.

10:06

According to Dark Visitors founder Gavin King,

10:08

most of the major AI agents still

10:10

abide by robots.txt. That's been

10:12

pretty consistent, he says. But not all

10:14

website owners have the time or knowledge

10:16

to constantly update their robots.txt files, and

10:19

even when they do, some bots will

10:21

skirt the files' directives. They try to

10:23

disguise the traffic. Prince says

10:25

Cloudflare's bot-blocking won't be a command that

10:27

this kind of bad actor can ignore.

10:30

Robots.txt is like putting up a no trespassing

10:32

sign, he says. This is like having a

10:34

physical wall patrolled by armed guards. Just

10:37

as it flags other types of suspicious

10:39

web behavior like price-scraping bots used for

10:41

illegal price monitoring, the company has created

10:43

processes to spot even the most carefully

10:45

concealed AI crawlers, end quote. Lumen

10:54

is the world's first handheld metabolic coach.

10:56

It's a device that measures your metabolism

10:58

through your breath, and on the

11:00

app, it lets you know if you're burning fat

11:02

or carbs and gives you tailored guidance to improve

11:04

your nutrition, your workouts, sleep, even stress management. All

11:06

you have to do is breathe into your lumen

11:09

first thing in the morning and you'll know what's

11:11

going on with your metabolism, whether you're burning mostly

11:13

fats or carbs. Then Lumen gives

11:15

you a personalized nutrition plan for that

11:18

day based on your measurements. I've been

11:20

using Lumen, I used it this morning.

11:22

You can also breathe into it before and

11:24

after workouts and meals, which I found really

11:26

useful so you know exactly what's going on in your body in

11:28

real time, and Lumen will give you tips to keep you on

11:31

top of your health game. It can

11:33

also track your cycle as well as

11:35

the onset of menopause and adjust your

11:37

recommendations to keep your metabolism healthy through

11:39

hormonal shifts, so you can keep up

11:41

your energy and stave off cravings. So

11:43

if you want to take the next

11:45

step in improving your health, go to

11:47

lumen.me slash ride to get 15% off

11:49

your Lumen. That's L-U-M-E-N dot

11:52

M-E slash ride for 15% off

11:54

your purchase. Thank you, Lumen, for sponsoring this

11:56

episode. Man,

12:01

when we leave the house, it's phone wallet

12:03

keys, how's my hair look, right? But if

12:05

you're experiencing hair loss, you may not be

12:07

so confident when you step outside your door.

12:10

So it's time to get that confidence back and

12:12

restore your hair with HIMS. HIMS

12:14

provides access to a range of hair loss treatments that

12:16

work, all from the comfort of your couch. HIMS

12:19

makes treating hair loss simple with doctor-trusted

12:21

treatment options and clinically proven ingredients like

12:24

finasteride and minoxidil that can regrow hair in

12:26

as little as three to six months. For

12:28

personalized, chewable, oral spray and serum treatment options

12:30

so you can find what works best for

12:33

you. The process is simple and 100% online.

12:36

Just answer a few questions and a medical provider

12:38

will determine if treatment is right for you. If

12:40

prescribed, your treatment is sent directly to your door.

12:43

Start your free online visit

12:46

today at hims.com/Ride. That's hims.com/Ride

12:48

for your personalized hair loss

12:51

treatment options. hims.com/Ride. Results

12:53

vary based on studies of topical

12:55

and oral minoxidil prescription products, requests,

12:57

and online consultation with a healthcare

12:59

provider who will determine if a

13:02

prescription is appropriate. Restrictions apply, see

13:04

website for full details and important

13:06

safety information. Roku

13:10

has unveiled the $100 Roku Ultra,

13:12

which they say is 30% faster

13:14

than other streaming players,

13:16

has Wi-Fi 6, HDMI

13:19

2.1, Dolby Atmos, and the Voice

13:21

Remote Pro and more. Quoting

13:24

the Verge. One day

13:26

after the Google TV streamer hit stores,

13:28

Roku is announcing its latest streaming player

13:30

and unlike Google's big design overhaul, the

13:32

new Roku Ultra is playing things safe.

13:35

I'd argue maybe too safe. It's

13:37

still $99.99, still delivers Dolby

13:39

Vision and Atmos, and it looks exactly the same

13:41

as before, though the company says

13:43

there are notable improvements inside. The

13:46

2024 Ultra is 30% faster than any

13:48

of Roku's other players and it now features Wi-Fi

13:50

6. That upgrade

13:52

puts it ahead of the Google TV streamer,

13:54

which stuck with Wi-Fi 5. Roku

13:57

is now on par with the Apple

13:59

TV, but behind Amazon's flagship Fire TV

14:01

streamers, which include Wi-Fi 6E connectivity. And

14:03

yes, there's still a built-in ethernet jack

14:05

for those of you who prefer wired

14:08

setups. Plus, as an

14:10

HDMI 2.1 streaming player, Roku

14:12

Ultra offers quick media switching, QMS,

14:15

delivering seamless, judder-free transitions between different

14:17

refresh rates or content sources on

14:19

premium TVs. Roku's Paul

14:21

Nagaroni wrote in a blog post, note that

14:24

your TV must also support QMS for this

14:26

to work. And we're still in the

14:28

very, very early stages of that. The

14:30

Ultra ships with Roku's best remote, the

14:32

Voice Remote Pro, which itself has been

14:34

upgraded with backlit buttons, USB-C charging, and

14:36

new quick launch and live TV buttons.

14:39

The former lets you, quote, see your personalized

14:41

shortcuts, your go-to apps, your favorite voice command,

14:43

switching the captions on and off right on

14:45

your TV screen. The

14:47

2024 Roku Ultra also, quote, uses advanced machine

14:50

learning to anticipate which app you are going

14:52

to open next and tease it up for

14:54

our snappiest app loading to date, end quote.

14:57

Spotify has rolled out its AI playlist

15:00

feature in beta to premium subscribers in

15:02

the US, Canada, Ireland, and New Zealand

15:04

after launching in the UK and Australia,

15:10

quoting The Verge. Subscribers

15:13

can locate the feature within the mobile app by

15:15

tapping the plus button at the top right of

15:18

their Spotify library. Selecting AI

15:20

playlist from the dropdown menu will then open a

15:22

chat box to describe the

15:24

playlist you want, such as spooky songs

15:26

to play during Halloween or something folk

15:28

music for a chill bath time. The

15:31

feature will also provide suggested prompts. The

15:33

AI playlist beta isn't currently available on

15:36

the Spotify desktop or web apps. The

15:39

generated playlists contain 30 songs that can

15:41

be adjusted with additional prompts to better

15:43

match the desired vibe, such as asking

15:45

for more upbeat music, descriptions that specify

15:47

things like genres, decades, moods, or artists

15:50

will see better results. But

15:52

in my own testing, I found it

15:54

was impressively capable of mashing songs to

15:56

even niche descriptions like, make me feel

15:58

like a vampire hunter from Blade 1998."

16:00

And finally, TikTok says it plans to

16:02

shut down

16:11

TikTok Music on November

16:14

28th will be deleting all customer data.

16:16

Did you even know TikTok had a

16:18

music app? Exactly. Quoting

16:21

Bloomberg, Bite Dance TikTok's owner

16:23

created the music service to capitalize on the

16:26

app's power and popularity with music fans. TikTok

16:28

videos have been credited with the rise of

16:30

hit songs and new artists and have led

16:32

to clashes with record labels which have demanded

16:34

higher payments for using their clips. The

16:37

music app, originally called Resso, was launched initially in

16:39

2019 in a bet that the company

16:42

could funnel TikTok users into a

16:44

new standalone music service. It was

16:46

available in Brazil, Indonesia, Australia, Mexico,

16:48

and Singapore. Instead of competing

16:50

with music streaming services, TikTok will drive

16:53

users to them via its add to

16:55

music app feature, the company said in

16:57

a statement on Tuesday. The feature, which

16:59

was introduced last year, lets users save

17:01

tracks they like on TikTok to playlists

17:03

on partner services such as Spotify, Apple

17:05

Music, and Amazon, end quote. So

17:15

there is a big meta event tomorrow at

17:17

1 Eastern. I'm not

17:19

sure what I'm gonna do about

17:21

that yet. You'll either get the show way early if

17:24

I feel like there's enough news that I

17:26

don't want to get crowded out, but

17:28

I think chances are I will wait to cover

17:31

the event itself and the show will be a

17:33

bit later than usual. We'll see. Talk

17:35

to you then.

Rate

Join Podchaser to...

  • Rate podcasts and episodes
  • Follow podcasts and creators
  • Create podcast and episode lists
  • & much more

Episode Tags

Do you host or manage this podcast?
Claim and edit this page to your liking.
,

Unlock more with Podchaser Pro

  • Audience Insights
  • Contact Information
  • Demographics
  • Charts
  • Sponsor History
  • and More!
Pro Features