Episode Transcript
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0:00
Hey! Hey! Welcome to the
0:02
Bitcoin Matrix podcast. I'm your
0:04
host, Cedric Youngwoman. In this
0:06
episode, I had the pleasure
0:08
of being invited on the
0:11
Bight Federal podcast and sitting
0:13
down with my good friend
0:15
Paul Tarantino, for an engaging
0:17
conversation about Bitcoin's transformative impact
0:20
on personal identity, global economics,
0:22
and investment strategies. We explored
0:24
how Bitcoin challenges traditional finance
0:26
norms, like the concept of
0:29
diversification. and I shared my perspective
0:31
on the mindset shifts required to
0:33
thrive in a Bitcoin-driven future. It
0:35
was a dynamic and thought-provoking discussion
0:38
that I truly enjoyed. Now... Before
0:40
we get started, I want to
0:42
tell you about the most locally
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world-famous Bitcoin event of the year
0:46
happening this January in Naples, Florida,
0:49
and that is Bitcoin Day, Naples,
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on Saturday, January 18th, where Bitcoin
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with some of your favorite Bitcoiners
1:21
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by going to Bitcoin Day.io and
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1:32
Go to Bitcoin Day.io and enter promo
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code matrix. Hope to see you there
1:37
and I'll be there all weekend. So
1:39
I hope you enjoy this rip. Again,
1:41
the only thing I'm going to ask
1:44
of you is if you can please
1:46
go and subscribe to the RSS feed
1:48
and our YouTube channel. And if you
1:50
do want to get in touch with
1:52
me, it's Cedric at the Bitcoin Matrix.com.
1:55
And now. Let's enter
1:57
the Bitcoin matrix. What
2:01
is real? How do you define real?
2:03
You can't jump into cash. Cash is
2:05
trash. What do you do? You get
2:07
out. My guest today, Cedric Young Loman,
2:09
if you don't know him, he runs
2:12
the Bitcoin Matrix podcast. And he gets
2:14
to talk to lots of people in
2:16
this space. He's been doing it for
2:18
a number of years. And so he's...
2:20
got a lot of things on his
2:22
mind and I've enjoyed getting to know
2:25
Cedric over the last couple years because
2:27
he always opens my eyes to new
2:29
potential outcomes. I like to think of
2:31
you dude as like the guy on
2:33
the wall right like I find the
2:35
guy in the basement putting all the
2:38
strings and pinning them up to the
2:40
pictures and then you come down to
2:42
the basement with me and you're like
2:44
oh Paul you got it all wrong
2:46
and you just start moving the strings
2:49
around and you reconnect everything for me
2:51
and then I'm like I never thought
2:53
of it that way but I could
2:55
see the potential. What are you saying?
2:57
That's like my entire relationship with you.
2:59
And I think you have that impact
3:02
on a lot of people because you
3:04
think way outside the box in a
3:06
positive way because it's always good to
3:08
hold multiple potential outcomes, right? So I
3:10
appreciate that and you and I'm glad
3:12
you're here with me today. Well, thank
3:15
you so much for having me. It's
3:17
awesome to be here. It's awesome to
3:19
be here, especially with you. We've become
3:21
friends over the last, I don't two
3:23
years now. You guys are doing awesome
3:25
things and the space is really cool.
3:28
You know, I do like to be
3:30
the fly on the wall, not just
3:32
the guy at the wall maybe, but
3:34
like hearing what's going on and kind
3:36
of tapping in. Speaking maybe like the
3:38
guy at the wall, sometimes maybe, I
3:41
do like to think outside the box
3:43
and contrarian, not just like to be
3:45
contrarian, but to kind of float what
3:47
could happen. And I could kind of
3:49
have strong opinions that I could hold
3:51
loosely and move on. kind of having
3:54
one of those like you know moments
3:56
where I thought I was having a
3:58
lot of real thoughts and was getting
4:00
crazy and I was telling my wife
4:02
I'm like wow it's like a beautiful
4:05
mind in here like it's crazy and
4:07
she's like you haven't seen the movie
4:09
and I'm like I know but like
4:11
you got a picture like I'm at
4:13
the wall and this is going on
4:15
and that's going on she's like that's
4:18
that's nothing like the movie and I'm
4:20
sure it's nothing like that in your
4:22
mind and it's not you know but
4:24
yeah it's fun to kind of
4:26
get into that stuff and
4:28
you know it's kind of
4:31
See what's going on and
4:33
figure it out and try
4:35
to maybe prepare yourself or
4:37
especially mentally these days or
4:39
yeah, that's a great. That's
4:41
a great place to start.
4:44
I was literally doing
4:46
that this morning thinking
4:49
about all the Change geopolitical
4:52
financial Fiscal
4:54
and monetary policy
4:57
presidential Wars,
4:59
there's so much shit changing
5:01
rapidly that, and
5:04
Trump's about to step
5:06
into that, to me, it's going
5:08
to be an absolutely
5:10
chaotic first six months
5:12
to maybe a year. What are
5:15
your thoughts on that? Yeah, I
5:17
mean, I think that's really,
5:19
I think a lot
5:21
of weird things are
5:23
getting normalized, like just
5:26
this united healthcare CEO.
5:28
I mean murdered on the streets of New
5:30
York and it takes five days to find
5:32
the guy and they find him
5:34
in McDonald's and the whole thing
5:36
is kind of weird but it
5:38
just it forget about the particular
5:41
incident it's normalizing sort of vengeance
5:43
and violence against people, you
5:45
know, CEOs or, you know,
5:47
the elite, whatever you want
5:49
to call it, political assassinations,
5:51
economic assassinations are getting normalized.
5:53
And so, that's kind of
5:56
scary. That's like fourth turning
5:58
stuff. Yeah, it is. and I
6:00
you know I I just I don't know if
6:02
you've noticed it maybe it's just my
6:04
feed but the last month on X the
6:06
amount of violence I'm seeing like like
6:09
just watching on X maybe it's because
6:11
I'm so in shock and I'm actually
6:13
watching it that they're feeding me more
6:15
of it but it's well it got
6:17
really bad for me about six months
6:20
ago where a lot of pure sort
6:22
of things I were trying to drive
6:24
racism I thought a lot of racial
6:26
violence just a lot of violence in
6:28
general Somehow for me my feed that's
6:30
home down a bit But it is strange
6:33
how there's like a water cooler moments
6:35
of the feed that probably shouldn't be
6:37
there in terms of like we're all
6:40
looking at maybe some issues the same
6:42
At least maybe in our spheres or
6:44
bubbles and even like I'll talk about
6:46
it with my wife like we have the same
6:48
feed Really? Yeah, it's like we'll show bring
6:50
up a tweet and I'll be like yeah,
6:52
no, I was I just sent you that
6:55
yeah, yeah, yeah Well, I guess that makes
6:57
sense because you know, it's listening to you
6:59
talk to sure I guess Yeah, but it's
7:01
it's kind of we should have very different
7:04
we should have a lot more variety in
7:06
our feeds I feel like okay and the
7:08
issues that there shouldn't be as many issues
7:10
I feel like bubble up maybe or stay
7:13
there for so long right right that seems
7:15
the algorithm definitely seems like driven towards
7:18
some goal Yeah, for sure and
7:20
driving conversations and Maybe it's misinformation
7:22
or disinformation or just distraction
7:25
or maybe there's more to it.
7:27
And I wonder how many entities are fighting
7:29
over that algorithm. Like we're, you know,
7:31
trying to, you know, game it for those
7:33
purposes outside of Twitter. Yes. You know, and
7:35
have moles in Twitter and stuff. I mean,
7:37
I don't know how far it goes. I
7:39
don't know. That's a really important algorithm.
7:42
That's incredibly undervalued. What is it,
7:44
like a hundred billion dollar company
7:46
now since? I don't even know.
7:48
But it is nothing. It feels
7:50
totally different in there now. It does. It
7:52
feels a lot better. But at the
7:54
same time, I think that this is
7:56
going towards like being like the WhatsApp
7:58
platform where we're going to. They're IDing
8:00
everybody on the platform. They're incentivizing
8:02
the platform for you to be
8:04
verified. He's going, I mean, he
8:07
comes from the PayPal world. So
8:09
he's gonna roll out money on
8:11
some rails there with some sort
8:13
of currency. I mean, I think
8:15
he would do best if he
8:17
went with the dollar. And then,
8:19
obviously, Bitcoin would be the best,
8:21
but like I think he's not
8:23
going to do that. And so
8:26
maybe it's the dollar, maybe it's
8:28
Doge coin, maybe some coin, Elon
8:30
coin. Yeah, I don't know if
8:32
that far, but that's the scary
8:34
part of it. Yeah. Well, let's
8:36
let's talk about that I mean
8:38
that Trump is You know obviously
8:40
pro Bitcoin, but he's also very
8:43
pro crypto, right? Which could be
8:45
CBDCs and stable points and surveillance
8:47
and I have no idea He
8:49
could be the guy that just
8:51
says make your own money. Go
8:53
for it. Do whatever you want
8:55
to do. Well, I think there'll
8:57
be a lot of that. You
8:59
know in some way there should
9:02
be Sure, like I mean we
9:04
had private money in the 1800s.
9:06
It was successful. I mean there's
9:08
there's an argument to be made
9:10
there There's more libertarian perspective of
9:12
sure of let the market decide
9:14
and I can appreciate that as
9:16
long as it's not like out
9:18
you know rub poles Yeah, exactly
9:21
outright fraud and scams and you
9:23
know predatory behavior, right? Yeah, I
9:25
think you know that You know
9:27
you even look at something yeah,
9:29
I mean securities like don't have
9:31
to all be shit coins I
9:33
think in a Bitcoin will there'll
9:35
be a financialized world. Yes, they'll
9:38
be credit and there'll be equity
9:40
and there'll be securities and there'll
9:42
be bonds They'll just be structured
9:44
differently right I mean think about
9:46
it today think about all the
9:48
financial products that are available today
9:50
that have a huge treasury component
9:52
to them Sure, yeah, of course,
9:54
right right because it's your base
9:57
so in the future Why would
9:59
not BTC be a part of
10:01
all so many of these financial
10:03
products? Right and loans would just
10:05
have to outperform the rate of
10:07
Bitcoin's natural return, right? You know,
10:09
but back to like say Trump
10:11
and Musk and like I'm not
10:13
sure You know, I have an
10:16
optimistic view. It feels way more
10:18
optimistic now than it did six
10:20
weeks ago, I kind of feel
10:22
that the world feels a little
10:24
different, more orange, bright orange future.
10:26
I'm still really weary. They still
10:28
have like several steps to take.
10:30
I think Free Ross day one
10:33
is, I mean, if we don't
10:35
see that day one, I'm going
10:37
to start questioning a lot of
10:39
promises and everything. Right. I'm trying
10:41
not to get too into the
10:43
details of appointments and who has
10:45
this position. I just want to
10:47
see results. And in the economy,
10:49
like, where do you know, there's
10:52
the federal reserve and everything they
10:54
do they do there, make Bitcoin
10:56
legal tender? Do they get rid
10:58
of capital gains tax on Bitcoin?
11:00
I mean, these are real steps
11:02
they can take, that probably would
11:04
benefit themselves. I'm assuming they're positioning
11:06
themselves. I mean, you know, they're
11:08
incentivized too. Yeah, we can only
11:11
guess, right? But I think we've
11:13
got a really good chance that
11:15
we're going to see them try
11:17
all sorts of things. We're going
11:19
into a new monetary paradigm. The
11:21
United States is going to go
11:23
there. And it has to go
11:25
there because of the death spiral.
11:27
So with that transition, we're going
11:30
to see things tried, we're going
11:32
to see things failed, retried, etc.
11:34
Until they get something that's working
11:36
towards their desired goal. which is
11:38
going to be more dollars in
11:40
the system, a lower purchasing price
11:42
of dollars, so a weakening of
11:44
the currency, and massive economic growth.
11:47
To me, that all signals, no
11:49
matter, no matter all the steps
11:51
it takes to get there, that
11:53
all signals weakening the dollar. purchasing
11:55
or at least getting out of
11:57
the way of purchases of Bitcoin.
11:59
So Bitcoin... as Bitcoin price drives
12:02
up, it's going to drive
12:04
the use of stable coins.
12:06
So just like the issuance
12:08
of more treasuries drives more
12:11
dollars in the system, you're
12:13
going to get the price
12:15
rising of Bitcoin generating
12:17
the desire for more
12:19
stable coins globally being
12:22
the primary trading pair,
12:24
USD and Bitcoin. And
12:26
so I think like. However you
12:28
want to look at all these different
12:30
things that could transpire in us getting
12:33
there, that's the desired goal and how they
12:35
get there is going to be a rough
12:37
ride because there's going to be a lot
12:39
of fights to get to that point. What are
12:41
your thoughts on that? Yeah, I mean, I do
12:43
agree that it'll be a rough ride.
12:46
I mean, it's very optimistic in a
12:48
great way, like I, you know, struggling
12:50
with, thinking about the strategic Bitcoin reserve.
12:52
They have such an opportunity here
12:54
to recapitalize America's balance
12:57
sheet. You know I think there's sort of that
12:59
thing we'll get politicized down the road one
13:01
day where there'll be a future politician
13:03
who would be like wow we have
13:05
all these Bitcoin reserves we have 40
13:07
trillion in Bitcoin reserves like maybe someone
13:09
like AOCs like why don't we liquidate
13:11
that so we could pay for free
13:13
housing for everyone you know and destroy
13:16
our reserves and disheout the wealth to
13:18
the current generation but I would love
13:20
to even get that far and have
13:22
that problem yeah right I mean we
13:24
could recapitalize social security I mean, I
13:26
like the planned sailors rolling out where
13:28
we just, you know, recapitalize America
13:31
and demolish and demonetize gold and
13:33
our enemies' ability to like economically
13:35
fight against us and put them
13:37
all behind us. And this is
13:39
that moment where other countries are
13:41
obviously watching what we're talking about
13:43
and we are talking about that
13:45
as a nation. These are all things that
13:48
are on the table that as a Bitcoiner
13:50
for the last, I don't know how many, you've
13:52
been in a long time. It's hard
13:54
to fathom that we're here so fast. It's
13:57
like all these things we've been talking about
13:59
that are... that we're at some point
14:01
in the future and they boom they're
14:03
all right now but you know based
14:05
on our all our conclusions already like
14:07
we all kind of expected this and
14:10
that's these are grand things to say
14:12
and that's a broad generalization but like
14:14
you know if you believe in like
14:16
everything divided by 21 million that means
14:18
you have to blow through 10 thousand
14:20
a coin you have to blow through
14:22
a million you have to blow through
14:24
10 million like you know unless you're
14:27
just being sort of obnoxious or like
14:29
you know if you believe in that
14:31
math and that true sort of like
14:33
this is a denominator so all these
14:35
things aren't they're shocking that we're going
14:37
through it but we they're kind of
14:39
expected no that's what I mean I
14:41
didn't mean that's not shocking that we're
14:44
going through it's shocking that is all
14:46
coming right now to me at least
14:48
because like when you hear about you
14:50
know when I first heard Samson talk
14:52
about the Omega candle and going to
14:54
a million I was like you know
14:56
maybe the next cycle But now, I'm
14:59
seeing all these data points. I'm going,
15:01
Samson probably knew this before I knew
15:03
it. And that doesn't seem too far-fetched.
15:05
That's definitely a few different outcomes that
15:07
could get us to a million, like,
15:09
real fast. I think we have to
15:11
go to a million right fast in
15:13
a lot of ways whether it's this
15:16
cycle or next like they're gonna be
15:18
vicious swings up that I think a
15:20
lot of people are expecting lower returns
15:22
going forward or less volatility and I
15:24
don't think that's necessarily the case at
15:26
all you know that you have such
15:28
a small sample size behind us yeah
15:30
like you have that escur right there
15:33
you have to go up at one
15:35
point straight up straight up and if
15:37
you look at something like even like
15:39
you can look at something like Fidelity's
15:41
report Where they said that in 2038.
15:43
It's gonna be one billion dollars per
15:45
Bitcoin. Yeah, like to get there It's
15:47
violent and straight up and you know,
15:50
I was talking to a very Predominant
15:52
you could say famous Bitcoin or who's
15:54
one of those bill bullish bickows you
15:56
could ever meet I through he was
15:58
like how bullish you are and I
16:00
was like well. You got this article
16:02
from he's like oh, come on. That's
16:04
hocus focus numbers like no one could
16:07
even like you know, this is like
16:09
in a bar wasted numbers But like
16:11
out of line if you really believe
16:13
everything divided by 21 minutes? What? I
16:15
don't know who, I don't know what
16:17
her title was, but I just saw
16:19
a cryptocurrency analyst on CNBC from Fidelity
16:22
that said, this cycle 500 to a
16:24
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16:26
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river.com/matrix. Yeah, I mean, again, and I
16:53
think it's like, there could be unforeseen
16:56
events, like no one foresee China banning
16:58
mining for the ninth time. No, I'm
17:00
sure there's stuff coming on. No one
17:02
foreseeing FTX and Celsius and Luna. And
17:04
so there could be sort of black
17:06
swans. really weird things like again I'm
17:08
not rooting or for against it but
17:10
what if Trump got assassinated and the
17:13
you know Powell lowered what would it
17:15
be like he would lower rates no
17:17
raise rates dramatically and back the currency
17:19
for the next 10 to 20 years
17:21
with goal I mean like there could
17:23
be events or just the markets get
17:25
decimated because of world war there there
17:28
are bare cases that are you know
17:30
outside of maybe what we expect to
17:32
happen, but the more we all expect
17:34
one thing, maybe again, you have to
17:36
be a little contrarian, is like something
17:38
else could happen. And even if we
17:40
go up very fast, it's going to
17:42
happen in a way we can't expect.
17:45
Yeah, for sure. And that's the thing
17:47
about, like everyone thinks that bear markets
17:49
are harder than bull markets, but like
17:51
you'd, it's harder to ride a bull
17:53
than it is to a bear. Like
17:55
a bear is a less vicious. just
17:57
a really mobile animal. I'm not saying
17:59
you have a better chance against the
18:02
bear. I'm just saying like you could
18:04
ride the back of a bear probably
18:06
longer than the back of a bull.
18:08
And a bull literally tries to throw
18:10
you off by going lower. And like
18:12
the difference with the bull and the
18:14
bear is like in a bear market
18:16
like your losses are capped. It's like
18:19
options like you put in what you
18:21
put in and then you can only
18:23
lose that amount. It's finite. So you
18:25
could be like, yeah, I'm going to
18:27
zero, like I'd only lose that amount.
18:29
But in a bull market, like your
18:31
losses when you sell are infinite in
18:34
terms of what you miss out on
18:36
upside potentially. No, I know. This cycle
18:38
is going to be really hard to
18:40
sell. Well, I mean, but it's really
18:42
hard to sell. Well, think about if,
18:44
you know, if you go from like...
18:46
200,000 to 750,000 in a very short
18:48
period of time. And what that's gonna
18:51
do to people sort of, their own
18:53
wealth, like let's, whatever you are worth
18:55
at that $200,000 point of a Bitcoin.
18:57
So let's say you're lucky you got
18:59
to one Bitcoin. Are you really fortunate?
19:01
So you've written, now you're worth $200,000
19:03
with this one Bitcoin. I'm not saying
19:05
you don't have other things in your
19:08
life going on. And then it shoots
19:10
up to 750, now at that point
19:12
you could sell 200, and you know
19:14
what I mean you have all the
19:16
and then but but you really facing
19:18
this thing is like you're worth 750
19:20
right? And maybe you have a wife
19:22
and kids you have people dependent on
19:25
you and then that thing drops down
19:27
to 175 like you're gonna look like
19:29
a schmuck and feel horrible and maybe
19:31
still be better off at 175 than
19:33
you were at $15,000 Bitcoin but those
19:35
are psychologically really hard and all big
19:37
ones we've been around a while have
19:40
gone through this but the higher the
19:42
numbers go I think the harder those
19:44
things get to ride maybe in ways
19:46
that we we all don't expect yet.
19:48
I you know I've been I've been
19:50
that people have to make I've been
19:52
lucky enough or or unlucky or unlucky
19:54
enough however you want to look at
19:57
that to not sell any of it
19:59
ever but you know it is always
20:01
a it's unbelievable the the amount of
20:03
emotional pressure you have at those people
20:05
where you just, once you hit like,
20:07
I remember when we hit 17,000 back
20:09
in 2000, December of 2017, and we
20:11
were talking about ETFs back then. Right.
20:14
Because it was inevitable. We were like,
20:16
ETFs is going to happen like any,
20:18
eminently. Right. And we would go to
20:20
100K. We were thinking 100K back then.
20:22
Gemini was applying. There were also some,
20:24
somebody say, you know, it was like
20:26
Chinese New Year was going at Wall
20:28
Street bonuses. And then the futures, and
20:31
then futures came out. Yes, which demolished
20:33
the market and what it was. So
20:35
it was settled and there was a
20:37
way to manipulate. So, but you could
20:39
see how like every cycle when you
20:41
get into that emotional state where like
20:43
let's say we get to that 500,000
20:46
you're you're going to be going, oh
20:48
my god, it's literally like three bars
20:50
and we could be at a million.
20:52
You know, I mean, you also don't
20:54
know if so. back to the thing
20:56
like you're 500,000 are we going to
20:58
a million the cycle or back down
21:00
in 90K right and that's gonna be
21:03
really difficult for a lot of people
21:05
to ride that bull yeah exactly and
21:07
the uncertainty of that yeah and and
21:09
and face the people that are they're
21:11
responsible I'm sure you're experiencing this right
21:13
like I talked to a friend yesterday
21:15
I've been talking to him about Bitcoin
21:17
for a long time and I've never
21:20
sold either right way good for you
21:22
and he's asking me about Bitcoin now
21:24
ever since we broke all time, head
21:26
tonic, you know, it says, hey, I
21:28
want to talk to you, let's sit
21:30
down. And so I was talking to
21:32
him yesterday and he, you know, he's
21:34
going on like, where do you think
21:37
I could go? And I just said,
21:39
well, you know, we're certainly, you know,
21:41
within the next four to five years,
21:43
going to be at a million dollars
21:45
of coin. And he just looked at
21:47
me like, like, I know, it's hard
21:49
to me. Like it's just the start.
21:51
Like you just want to buy as
21:54
much as you can right now and
21:56
have it be money that you don't
21:58
worry about for the next 10-20 years.
22:00
And he's kind of looked at me
22:02
like just that mentality of shifting somebody.
22:04
away from, oh, here's a hot stock
22:06
tip, to this is the new monetary
22:09
system, this is becoming the pristine collateral
22:11
of the future financial system, you have
22:13
to hold this forever. That's how it
22:15
changes your life. If you sell it,
22:17
you're going to regret it. Like this
22:19
shift in the mindset of that blows
22:21
people away. And then I'll get the,
22:23
I literally, literally 30 seconds later goes,
22:26
but what do you think about Doge?
22:30
He's like, well, you know, he just
22:32
at that moment, he traded against you.
22:34
What's that? He's trading against you. What
22:36
do you mean by that? So he's
22:38
saying, okay, like, wow, like, Bitcoin might
22:40
still go from 100K to a million.
22:42
I would, 10X if that happened to
22:45
me. That's what he's saying. Right, right,
22:47
right, right. Right, right. Maybe I'm gonna
22:49
put 10 grand in this. You know,
22:51
and a lot of people when they
22:53
don't have any Bitcoin, they only consider
22:55
new money allocations. Like how much would
22:57
I go to the casino and spend
22:59
on this Bitcoin thing that might 5
23:01
or 10x from here. I'm a little
23:03
too late. I'll never catch Paul. So
23:06
and they're not trading with their future
23:08
self because they're not saying itself Whatever
23:10
I have wouldn't it be nice to
23:12
five or ten X that right in
23:14
a very sort of what I see
23:16
is a risk-free way if you study
23:18
your asset But they're saying no, this
23:20
is the most riskiest thing I could
23:22
do I'm gonna put it's very little
23:25
into as possible But if I could
23:27
buy this thing with very low price
23:29
point that Paul's not in especially Yeah,
23:31
yeah, yeah, then not only could I
23:33
do well, but I can might be
23:35
Paul, because that's really the whole game
23:37
at this point. What small amount can
23:39
I put into something else that I
23:41
don't care about that might be Paul?
23:43
How do we change that game? And
23:46
the other thing I saw, the other
23:48
thing I saw, the other thing I
23:50
saw, the other thing I saw that
23:52
is, because they're also like, because they're
23:54
also like, well, you know, I mean,
23:56
if like, if this thing is true,
23:58
then I'm going to do it. Very
24:00
few people at that point. Think like
24:02
Michael Sailor with like what can I
24:05
reallocate to Bitcoin? Yes, right? Like what
24:07
do I want to think? Oh, that
24:09
thing's better. I put in the work
24:11
and it's better than the things I
24:13
have because the point you're talking on,
24:15
they like the things they have. They're
24:17
up 10, 20, 30% in fiat terms.
24:19
It's doing well. They feel like that's
24:21
great. They would never sell this is
24:23
what they're investing in their guy told
24:26
them to buy that. And then the
24:28
other thing I noticed, you call like
24:30
the normy land, but I talked to
24:32
a lot of boomers over Thanksgiving. Like
24:34
a little on the older side of
24:36
boomers. But for so many people, 100K
24:38
feels like this natural, organic, limiting barrier.
24:40
And so like at Moek, we're at
24:42
another natural top. The thing is 100K.
24:45
Like you've achieved like now. For them,
24:47
that's not a million dollar thing, but
24:49
it's like a land beginning cost half
24:51
a million. It's like it is the
24:53
thing now. And the only way they
24:55
can go is really up a like
24:57
10 12% or down from here and
24:59
again, it's like and it's it's not
25:01
pristine collateral It's not money they could
25:04
spend and it's not to them. It's
25:06
newfangled Something they don't understand. It's like
25:08
why is this thing worth under K?
25:10
And it's over are you getting the
25:12
emails in the text? Congratulations I'm getting
25:14
at the dinner table over Thanksgiving like
25:16
wow I'm It's up a lot. I'd
25:18
never thought I've never thought it'd be
25:20
this price. I've been getting the messages
25:22
of like well, congratulations. It's the same.
25:25
It's the same sentiment. Right. It's over.
25:27
Like you made it. You made it.
25:29
You're over. It's over. Yeah. Like you
25:31
should get out. You know, like I
25:33
hope you got to point one coins
25:35
and you know, go get yourself like
25:37
some ice cream. Yeah. Disney. Yeah. And
25:39
again. I mean, I mean, I think
25:41
the point you made on when you
25:44
made on when you made on when
25:46
you came on when you came on
25:48
when you came on when you came
25:50
on my show when you came on
25:52
my show when you came on my
25:54
show when you came on my show.
25:56
I fundamentally believe in it, it goes
25:58
back to unit of account, but just
26:00
having a few sads, you don't have
26:02
to have a lot of a lot
26:05
of Bitcoin to be empowered by that,
26:07
by what this new paradigm shift is,
26:09
and that also one day you will
26:11
be wealthy because of everything divided by
26:13
21 million. life, right? But you have
26:15
to have patience. You've got to have
26:17
patience. And if you enter the cycle
26:19
now, I'd say to a lot of
26:21
people, like it takes like, I think
26:24
it takes three cycles, I think maybe
26:26
to retire yourself on Bitcoin, if you
26:28
do it in sort of a frugal
26:30
way. Like you're just setting aside new
26:32
money. A good friend of mine, and
26:34
I know you know her. I think
26:36
in 2000, I might have the date
26:38
wrong, 17 or something like that. She's
26:40
doing 30 bucks a day. Which is
26:42
amazing and awesome and now it's close
26:45
to 900,000 bucks Right and I think
26:47
87,000 dollars invested 900,000 roughly when it
26:49
hit about a hundred K and 30
26:51
bucks a day And what do you
26:53
think that's how many years? says several
26:55
several years. Yeah, I think it was
26:57
about 2017. Okay do that for the
26:59
next eight years now, right and I
27:01
think you'll see similar numbers if not
27:04
greater. Yeah, but at worst. What are
27:06
you can see? 10% of that? 500,000?
27:08
500,000? Right. And I think it's really
27:10
hard for people to see it as
27:12
a purchasing power increasing machine versus how
27:14
do I five X or nine X
27:16
and is that going to be enough?
27:18
And so if you use it as
27:20
a purchasing power machine you think of
27:23
it as more defensively like whatever I
27:25
have I want to convert into that
27:27
machine. It's like literally what what can
27:29
you afford to just put away every
27:31
day and do it? And do it.
27:33
20 years from now. Because you're just
27:35
going to be a game changer. Then
27:37
you've, the switch flips, you know, what
27:39
can I afford not to put into
27:41
this thing? It does. Like, what do
27:44
I have on the sideline? Well, after
27:46
you go through one cycle. Reallocate. You
27:48
start to reallocate. Yes. Once you hit
27:50
that cycle, you'll be like, oh, I'm
27:52
not putting enough in. And you got
27:54
to get started. then I gotta put
27:56
in $10 a day for the next
27:58
five years to maybe get... they get
28:00
disappointed and they get like they're
28:02
like and it's demoralizing and it doesn't
28:05
sound fast enough in a weird way
28:07
like that's crazy because their plan is
28:09
to wait another 30 years at their
28:11
day job yeah but so five years
28:13
and Bitcoin's not fast enough for 30
28:15
years at work sure going to be
28:17
great at the job they hit right
28:19
and so they don't put in any
28:21
effort you begged them to put an effort
28:24
and The guilt rides up. They're like,
28:26
wow, I didn't put it in the
28:28
effort when they said, now we're here,
28:30
it's probably over for me, and they
28:32
want to go find something else that
28:35
they could go. And unfortunately, you have
28:37
things like maybe micro strategy now, or
28:39
if you could talk some sense into
28:41
them. Well I can't believe, dude, if
28:43
I get one more question about XRP,
28:46
I'm going to frick and shoot. It's
28:48
weird that that's the big thing right
28:50
now. Everyone's... Oh, the Garling House always
28:52
ramps up the marketing every cycle. It's
28:54
amazing how effective they are. Oh
28:56
my God, the proof of marketing
28:59
is massive. Because they're up
29:01
like 200% and they're not
29:03
higher than where they were. Yeah. Price it
29:05
in Bitcoin, don't price it in dollars, and
29:07
see how it's tracked against Bitcoin. If you
29:09
look at XRP, XLLM, and Cardano, which is
29:12
a three I just did for somebody, every
29:14
cycle is a lower peak. Every cycle
29:16
is a lower peak. Every cycle is
29:18
a lower peak. And it just keeps
29:21
driving towards zero. Everything goes to zero
29:23
against Bitcoin. That's a meme because it's
29:25
true. And the best thing you could
29:27
do is just buy the Bitcoin right
29:29
now, because that is where everything's going.
29:31
I like what Tracy Mayer got me doing,
29:33
which was track your net worth in
29:35
dollars, in gold, and Bitcoin. And
29:37
of course, they should all be trending up.
29:39
Sure. But you'll notice that the
29:41
Bitcoin is going the slowest and
29:44
trending towards the amount of Bitcoin
29:46
you have in your portfolio. So
29:48
if you start off with, you know, like,
29:50
one Bitcoin and so the Bitcoin is worth
29:52
100K and you have 100K in your 401K,
29:55
you know, after a year you're going to
29:57
have like a 500, 500,000 in Bitcoin
29:59
and... 110,000 in your 401k. You'll be
30:01
up in Fiat terms, you'll be up
30:03
nothing in Bitcoin terms, though, if you
30:06
didn't add. And so you're trending towards,
30:08
like your whole portfolio, you could have
30:10
a million in your 401k and 100,000
30:12
in your, and you're going to trend
30:14
towards 100% Bitcoin. And you'll see that
30:16
it's going to be harder and harder
30:18
for that, for you to grow your
30:20
stack over time. Which I think, you
30:22
know, as I think also, kind of
30:24
demoralizing for a lot of demoralizing for
30:27
a lot of coming to... Bitcoin now.
30:29
Again, I think, you know, dollar for
30:31
dollar, they'd be better off putting any
30:33
dollar they could into Bitcoin and improving
30:35
the purchasing power and getting their money
30:37
out of the system and all things
30:39
like that. Even like, just even a
30:41
401k, you might have tax advantages, but
30:43
they might raise taxes over different regimes
30:45
and administrations. Think about all the things
30:48
you could sell finance, if you can
30:50
access all your money, you could self-fund
30:52
your own health care, your own car
30:54
insurance maybe, your own, probably just get
30:56
rid of mortgage insurance bullshit, but like
30:58
property insurance, well, can we get property
31:00
tax, but a lot of things you
31:02
could self-fund if you had your own
31:04
money and access to your own money,
31:06
and probably even just live a better
31:09
lifestyle if you had access to your
31:11
money now, and even redeploy it differently
31:13
if you could take it out of
31:15
the system. And then you take so
31:17
much risk out of your life. So
31:19
speaking about one of those financial calculations,
31:21
I hear a lot of people making
31:23
today is like real estate versus Bitcoin.
31:25
Yeah, right. I have a couple of
31:27
friends, millennials, that are like just buying
31:30
their first home and would always ask
31:32
me like, how do you know, about
31:34
down payments and things like that? And
31:36
wait. and then have a bigger down
31:38
payment to get a better house. And
31:40
not sell all your Bitcoin, or borrow
31:42
against your Bitcoin to get the bigger
31:44
house. Whatever you want to do, you
31:46
know, but the economic calculation between real
31:48
estate and Bitcoin, that's a hot topic
31:51
I think. for millennials because so many
31:53
of them have been priced out of
31:55
the housing market for so many years.
31:57
And it continues to get tougher and
31:59
tougher with rates rising. So what are
32:01
your thoughts on that? My first thought,
32:03
and I love this topic though, and
32:05
I think it's very timely, and I
32:07
think there's two different ways of looking
32:09
at just to frame it up is.
32:12
People who don't have a lot of
32:14
Bitcoin and are thinking about buying a
32:16
house and people who have Bitcoin for
32:18
a while and maybe thinking about buying
32:20
a house. And then there's people who
32:22
are like, have a house and thinking
32:24
about selling their house for Bitcoin. Let's
32:26
start with the people that are at
32:28
zero. I think first no Bitcoin and
32:30
no house. I think to kind of
32:33
give some love maybe the real estate
32:35
people because I think before Bitcoin a
32:37
lot of people and I think about
32:39
that myself like I was a securities
32:41
person an equities guy before Bitcoin if
32:43
I was going to invest I was
32:45
interested in stocks from a very young
32:47
age and there are some people who
32:49
were just interested in real estate over
32:51
stocks and the differences are like I
32:54
think primarily around sweat equity and leverage.
32:56
So if you like leverage, there's more
32:58
accessible in real estate, you can leverage
33:00
in stocks, but harder when you have
33:02
less of a portfolio in starting out.
33:04
And in real estate, you can put
33:06
in work, physical work, to juice the
33:08
asset or protect the asset or enhance
33:10
profitability. So I think a lot of
33:12
people come into Bitcoin already loving real
33:15
estate or loving their stocks and whatever
33:17
evolution they have. And I think also
33:19
around a home is so much about
33:21
beyond the financial, unfortunately homes have been
33:23
priced beyond their utility value. Yeah, exactly.
33:25
And I think that's the hardest dilemma.
33:27
They're overpriced for their utility, but there's
33:29
an emotional component to housing that is
33:31
separate from the financing of it. For
33:33
some people, I think housing represents stability,
33:36
security, maybe you have children and you
33:38
want to position yourself in a certain
33:40
part of town. Whether it's public school
33:42
or private school or homeschooling, you want
33:44
to know that you're going to be
33:46
there for eight to ten years. You
33:48
want to, and you can debate, okay,
33:50
you can maybe rent in perpetuity in
33:52
place, but it's harder to know the
33:54
landlord's not going to want to move
33:57
in or kick you out of cell.
33:59
And you can do more improvements when
34:01
you're at home. You might not do
34:03
as well with your money. As a
34:05
rent, though, as a renter, I love
34:07
not doing any of the home repair
34:09
maintenance. I think that should be a
34:11
whole outside. You have a car mechanic.
34:13
I love renting and it's like, I'll
34:15
get a, like leasing a car, like
34:18
I'll get a new house every three
34:20
years. We'll try to do it in
34:22
the same area and I'll let the
34:24
other people who manage these properties learn
34:26
how to deal with windows and plumbing
34:28
and electricity and I can focus on
34:30
podcasting and Bitcoin and books and philosophy
34:32
you know and like just special you
34:34
know but There's so much to that.
34:36
So I think that there are a
34:39
lot of people now who maybe have
34:41
been in Bitcoin for a while or
34:43
like, when do I maybe provide that
34:45
for my family? That's stability. You know,
34:47
when you do rent, like maybe you're
34:49
not going to put reverse osmosis on
34:51
the entire house. Right. You know, maybe
34:53
you're not going to improve the... the
34:55
driveway and the look of it, but
34:57
maybe it'd be nice to have a
35:00
better looking driveway and spend that money
35:02
or better landscaping and pay for it,
35:04
but you don't when it's not yours.
35:06
That's true. There's different things, you know,
35:08
maybe you have a pool and you
35:10
want a jacuzzi or, you know, whatever
35:12
it might be, and you don't want
35:14
to add that because you're renting. So
35:16
I think it's a really personal decision.
35:18
I just did a show with Leon
35:21
Wian Wankhamk about Bitcoin, about Bitcoin versus
35:23
Bitcoin, about Bitcoin, about Bitcoin, about Bitcoin,
35:25
about Bitcoin, about Bitcoin, about Bitcoin, about
35:27
Bitcoin, about Bitcoin, about Bitcoin, about Bitcoin,
35:29
about Bitcoin, about Bitcoin, about Bitcoin, about
35:31
Bitcoin, about Bitcoin, about Bitcoin, about Bitcoin,
35:33
about Bitcoin, about Bitcoin, about Bitcoin, about
35:35
Bitcoin, versus real, I mean, I think
35:37
it, I think it, I think it,
35:39
and I think it, and I think
35:42
it, and I think it, and I
35:44
think it, about to stack Sats. Like
35:46
you were saying, to not put it
35:48
down to positive into home. But I
35:50
think if you're on the other side
35:52
of that equation and you're like, when
35:54
does housing look cheap enough in Bitcoin
35:56
terms, when do I, you know, and
35:58
there's also this like Fiat mindset I
36:00
think of like never, like never ever
36:03
selling ever ever. never ever selling your
36:05
Bitcoin is a little bit fiat yeah
36:07
right you're never gonna I mean it
36:09
is money it is savings well so
36:11
it you know can be used to
36:13
enhance your life at some point this
36:15
is where I've struggled with it with
36:17
these you might not live forever like
36:19
a shark when I've talked ha ha
36:21
ha ha we'll get there we'll get
36:24
there I when I've struggled with people
36:26
is it I think when they hear
36:28
me say what I'm about to say
36:30
they think I've lost my mind And
36:32
I tell them, like, don't buy the
36:34
house. Take your down payment, put it
36:36
at Bitcoin. And then just set up
36:38
a DCA and start. Take a hook
36:40
out of the house. No, but I
36:42
mean, be the guy who doesn't know
36:45
Bitcoin, right? And just, they think I'm
36:47
out of my mind when I tell
36:49
him this. Put however much you can
36:51
put in per week and just let
36:53
it grow. In four, five, 10 years,
36:55
you're going to have enough there that
36:57
you're going to be able to do
36:59
a transaction. to secure a home that
37:01
you never thought you could have. And
37:03
in that meantime, property prices are probably
37:06
going to be demonetized because Bitcoin is
37:08
stealing that monetization. And interest rates are
37:10
going to get lower because you have
37:12
the Bitcoin. So they're going to look
37:14
at you as a prime borrower. They're
37:16
going to be the best possible rate.
37:18
And you may not even have to
37:20
sell your Bitcoin to get the mortgage.
37:23
That's such a vastly different world than
37:25
they could have ever imagined and then
37:27
they hear that coming from the guy
37:29
down the street Who goes fishing and
37:31
surfing and and they they're like That's
37:33
a lot of killing I think I'll
37:35
just buy the I think I'll just
37:37
buy the I think I'll buy the
37:39
house. Well a lot of people I've
37:41
gone through this conversation with neighbors in
37:43
my community. Yeah who we you know
37:45
we all know we all not we
37:47
all some of us moved to Florida
37:50
in the last two three four years
37:52
we're renting to start some have gone
37:54
on they they were chasing the market
37:56
at its peak almost it seemed like
37:58
but there's a lot you know there's
38:00
a they don't put in the work
38:02
with Bitcoin but It's a really emotional
38:04
factor, I think, housing that's a little
38:06
beyond economics. And I think those things
38:08
are coming way quicker than everyone realizes.
38:10
you know, but for a lot of
38:12
people like building that bridge to that
38:14
world, even if you are a big
38:16
pointer, is not easy. And I think,
38:18
you know, the other thing around like
38:20
you're the guy who down the street
38:22
who fishes and all these things and
38:24
they might say like, oh, he drives
38:26
this car or like that thing. And
38:28
they don't see it as like, oh,
38:30
maybe like to save and afford stack.
38:33
If you look at my car, you
38:35
have no idea. But they're like, like,
38:37
My friend Paul Tarantino did not find
38:39
the new global reserve currency world before
38:41
MS NBC and CNN tell me that.
38:43
Like there's no way he found it
38:45
first. And they would want to see
38:47
more signs like in like what they
38:49
think about crypto rich for you to
38:51
like... And so, like, they have to
38:53
almost go through several cycles with the
38:55
scoreboard where, like, you told them at
38:57
X number, and the first time you
38:59
told them at Bitcoin, they probably looked
39:01
at the price, and they don't remember
39:03
the price. So, sometimes the price has
39:05
to go up several orders of magnitude
39:07
before they even notice the price, and
39:09
then it goes up several orders of
39:11
magnitude before they even notice the price,
39:13
and then it goes to several orders
39:16
of magnitude before they start, you have
39:18
credibility, because I just want to help
39:20
people. Yeah, but most people don't know
39:22
that most people are not looking to
39:24
help others because they see every trade
39:26
in their life as Against you or
39:28
you against them That's fear. That's fear.
39:30
That's fear. So there's no trade that
39:32
has ever existed Where we both win
39:34
right where we both win right where
39:36
we both win unless your cousin Bobby
39:38
who cut me in on the deal?
39:40
Yeah, yeah, right and we cut other
39:42
people out of the deal right right
39:44
and that's how everything is worked. That's
39:46
also why the game that goes up
39:48
a lot and price looks scammy Yeah,
39:50
it sounds like if you You should
39:52
buy Bitcoin because it goes up in
39:54
price. It's like, well, When I hear
39:56
like, people like, you know, I'll get
39:59
like people were like, oh, said, I
40:01
heard you're the Bitcoin guy, you're the
40:03
Bitcoin boy, you're the Bitcoin guy, go
40:05
do orange pill. Do it, do it,
40:07
orange pill now. And I'll be like,
40:09
no, orange pill now. I'll be like,
40:11
no, man, I'm cool. Orange pill now.
40:13
I'll be like, no, man, I'm cool.
40:15
I'm cool. I'm cool. Orange pill now.
40:17
I'll be like, no, man, man, man,
40:19
man, I'm cool. I'm cool. I'm cool.
40:21
I'm cool. I'm cool. I'm cool. I'm
40:23
cool. I'm cool. I'm cool. I'm cool.
40:25
I'm cool. I'm cool. I'm cool. I'm
40:27
cool. I'm cool. I'm cool. I'm cool.
40:29
I'm cool. I'm cool. I'm cool. I'm
40:31
cool. I'm cool. I'm cool. I'm cool.
40:33
I Best stock in the world or
40:35
some checking account got 19.2% Where you
40:37
could get them in construction bridge loans
40:39
at 67% over three months I mean
40:42
like these things don't sound real There's
40:44
always a catch right and and people
40:46
in the Fiat world They're doing so
40:48
much more than their day job They're
40:50
spending 30% of their times already trying
40:52
to create recreate money in their portfolio,
40:54
right? That's all a portfolio is is
40:56
your portfolio manager trying to recreate money
40:58
and maintain purchasing power in a fiat
41:00
world. Like let me get a basket
41:02
of goods that's going to outperform the
41:04
dollar by a little bit. Not too
41:06
much because we don't want too much
41:08
risk. It's got to be stable. It's
41:10
got to be like money. Right. We're
41:12
trying to create a currency in this
41:14
thing. Right. They're trying to engineer store
41:16
a value. But it takes a lot
41:18
of time. And we've already got the
41:20
best one on the... Right. Right. Even
41:22
if you have a guy. Like you're
41:25
sweating those decisions. You're sweating the decisions
41:27
your guy and what's also amazing is
41:29
everyone's guy You know down a fidelity
41:31
or Charles Schwab has never made money
41:33
in their lives for themselves Right, they're
41:35
you know, and I'm not trying to
41:37
diminish those jobs or whatever, but they
41:39
studied Canadian economics in college and they're
41:41
handed a playbook by management And they
41:43
don't have they have very little money
41:45
of their own in the market because
41:47
you know unless they're if they've made
41:49
any real money in the market. They're
41:51
not managinguring your money Right, it's a
41:53
much more exclusive network. You're not getting,
41:55
you know, a great broker down at
41:57
the mall's fidelity branch. Right. But a
41:59
lot of people are like, oh, you
42:01
know, I remember over the years, I've
42:03
tried to help people and people like,
42:05
whoa, you're not helping grandpa. Like, we
42:08
have a guy at Morgan Stanley and
42:10
we'll talk to him. And then the
42:12
guy Morgan Stanley says, like, he's doing
42:14
okay and he shouldn't sell his apartment
42:16
and buy Bitcoin and prepare for the
42:18
future because of Social Security. It's all
42:20
good. And this, you know, so many
42:22
people pay for just a pat on
42:24
the back. Yeah, I was doing good.
42:26
You know, yeah, I was wild. You
42:28
know, you know, and they want to
42:30
be told what to do because it's
42:32
stressful out there and it's overwhelming. I
42:34
think, you know, Bitcoin is... We sound
42:36
like such arrogant assholes. Yeah, probably. But
42:38
I think, well, because, you know, uh,
42:40
Bitcoin before you, maybe you have these
42:42
thoughts, but before Bitcoin, I started to
42:44
put all my questions on the back
42:46
burner. Because I could prove nothing in
42:48
Fiat Land. Like, everything was a Fugasey.
42:51
Right, like how money works, how those
42:53
stocks should perform, like everything's a fugase,
42:55
everything's manipulated, everything's corrupted, right? And so
42:57
you're just like, all right, I'm not,
42:59
I can't, like, you grow up like
43:01
wanting to fucking rage against the machine,
43:03
and by like 25, you're like, all
43:05
right, I just, I'm going to, I'm
43:07
going to grind through the day, I'll
43:09
go to the gym, you know, I
43:11
got other things to do, you're not
43:13
going to fight the world, like, And
43:15
you're like, wait a minute, there's this
43:17
thing that I can find a real
43:19
truth. Like you can't, no one can
43:21
debate that they'll never, like the way
43:23
the code is written, if you run
43:25
your node, that your node will never
43:27
accept more than 21 million. It doesn't
43:29
have to be written to the code,
43:31
it's how you run your node, right?
43:34
And no one can. to base your
43:36
units in the system and no one
43:38
can, like, again, back to the example,
43:40
like you want to get in business
43:42
and like you want to give up
43:44
your corporate job and like, oh, open
43:46
a bar. Are you going to be
43:48
able to get a license? Like, does
43:50
the mayor know you? Like, are you
43:52
close enough to the mayor? And any
43:54
of these games, like, everything has business
43:56
risk. Like, you got your life savings,
43:58
what, like, Jeff Basos, like, gets a
44:00
blow job on video. and that leaks
44:02
and like your retirement's gone now because
44:04
you thought you were in the best
44:06
stock and like you have like you
44:08
could read their 10K and be like
44:10
okay I know they're gonna come out
44:12
with like this amazing product and they
44:14
could fail to execute you're gonna put
44:17
your life savings in that and the
44:19
more you diversify like this and this
44:21
someone who grew up I mean finance
44:23
and accounting degrees is like they teach
44:25
you to diversify right it's like the
44:27
like no one builds wealth through diversification.
44:29
And literally when you boil it down,
44:31
you're like, okay, like, I'm going to
44:33
get more involved in things I know
44:35
less about. Like every bet you get
44:37
from your main bet is a deviation
44:39
from how much you know about the
44:41
main thing. And how much do you
44:43
know about Amazon stock? Are you really
44:45
reading the 10-K every year in the
44:47
quarterly and the, you know the minutes
44:49
and going to the calls? You know
44:51
nothing about these things. And you're going
44:53
to put your life savings into these
44:55
things. And so, Bitcoin finally gives you
44:57
this thing where I could stop arguing
45:00
at the parties about everything. Even national
45:02
politics. Like, fuck it. Like, I don't
45:04
have to get involved at all at
45:06
any national politics conversations with anyone I
45:08
don't want to. Because I now have
45:10
this tool that defends me against enough
45:12
of it. Right. And maybe I had
45:14
a vote with my feet and I
45:16
moved from Illinois to Florida, right, to
45:18
change some things around me. But like,
45:20
Bitcoin was a big part of that
45:22
journey. I'd like to think I would
45:24
do it without Bitcoin, but like, you
45:26
know, it's a financial tool. Yeah, it's
45:28
fuck you money. Right. And it's, it's,
45:30
so all of a sudden, like, you
45:32
have this thing where like, no one
45:34
can argue with you, like, you, it's,
45:36
no one can argue with you, like,
45:38
you, it's, no one can argue with
45:40
you, like, no one can argue with
45:43
you, like, those clouds look weird, and
45:45
like, you're like, you're like. No, I
45:47
was right. Like, you know. And I
45:49
was like, oh, like, remember when, like,
45:51
I was, like, questioning, like, food in
45:53
my 20s. And I did I, I
45:55
became a fucking vegetarian. or Presbyterian for
45:57
nine years, like why? Why was I
45:59
looking at sort of the massination and
46:01
industrialization of food? And you know, I
46:03
might have went down some wrong rabbit
46:05
holes, but I was still trying to
46:07
figure out like what I should be
46:09
doing better. Right. And I was still
46:11
finding that, and I couldn't find any
46:13
truth there until like that coin in
46:15
a lot of ways. Like just the
46:17
curious mindset that. Got
46:20
people in the Bitcoin earlier. I think
46:22
that's all it is is truth seekers
46:24
to see and then not just truth
46:26
seekers But having the humility to admit
46:28
you're wrong about right change you hold
46:30
dear and dear and change your mind Right
46:32
the willingness to change it might be
46:34
truth seekers that like are a little
46:36
too arrogant because they believe in the
46:38
truth there to hold Yes, and that's
46:40
what the humility thing comes right that's
46:42
why I love what you said earlier.
46:44
You know strong beliefs held lightly right
46:46
because how you go I think I've
46:48
used go I think if you used
46:50
to change your mind quickly in the
46:52
face of new information in the face
46:54
of new information Right because I know
46:56
you're just you're just fooling yourself. I
46:58
know everything I'm thinking about I'm lacking
47:00
a lot of information I'm trying to
47:02
gather as much as I can I'm
47:04
gonna spend more time on the things
47:06
that I need to know more about
47:08
but even Bitcoin like I don't I
47:10
mean I know nothing about it in terms
47:13
of like knowing everything that knowing everything
47:15
that's right right and so like there's
47:17
always so much about learning now there's
47:19
other subjects I know nothing about that
47:21
I don't feel the desire or the
47:23
necessity maybe when you first found out
47:25
about it. Was it your accounting background
47:27
that queued you in or was it?
47:29
I definitely think that was part of
47:31
it. I mean I was drawn to
47:33
like Pierre Richard, Stefan, Laverre, Robert Breedlev,
47:35
and these are all foreign accounts. But
47:37
I was like, and it's running the
47:39
numbers I think when I started hearing
47:41
about as a ledger, I think one
47:43
of the things I fell down wrongly
47:45
into was like triple ledger accounting. Why
47:47
did you say that was wrong? At
47:49
the time. Because I think that made
47:51
blockchain made blockchain more than it. So because
47:53
it made it sound more applicable to
47:55
other things outside of money and that's
47:57
one thing Right, so it's sort of
47:59
like a red herring at the time.
48:01
Maybe that'll come back into play in
48:03
a different way But, so yeah, I
48:05
definitely think it was accounting. It was
48:07
this ledger, it could run the numbers.
48:09
Like I said, like I said, like
48:11
you can't, the numbers are what they
48:13
are, and you can't change, like I
48:15
said, yeah, no, there's 42 million coins,
48:17
no, there aren't, bro, or whatever, you
48:19
wanna like, think about how you calculate
48:21
money or total market value, like, how
48:23
you use unit account, account account, very
48:25
important, because like. you're already used to
48:27
converting things from different currencies into this
48:29
currency. So I never really thought about
48:31
currency as something as a store value or
48:33
invest in it. I think that's why
48:35
I missed Bitcoin early on. I didn't
48:37
need black market money. I thought that
48:39
was cool for people who need, even
48:42
if it was white market money, like
48:44
whatever they were buying, I thought that
48:46
was cool, they had currency and rails.
48:48
But I didn't know it was something
48:50
you could store money and I never
48:52
went... Oh, I'm going to scale into
48:54
the end over the next three years
48:56
because I really feel like Japan's got
48:58
great central banking policy. And as a
49:00
23-year-old account at Ernst & Young, like
49:02
I'm going to take my $4,000 in
49:04
disposable income and go hard into currency.
49:06
And I wasn't going to, you know,
49:08
with limited vestible income or savings, I
49:10
wasn't looking at more esoteric plays like
49:12
options. And, you know, I was like, let's
49:14
just stick to the basics until I
49:16
grow some wealth, right. Bitcoin, yeah, I
49:18
mean, really as a ledger, from an
49:20
accounting perspective, sure. One of the other
49:22
things that really drew me, though, was
49:24
sort of like that, well, truth-seeking, but
49:26
sort of that really toxic, the toxicity
49:28
of Bitcoiners. And when they would say
49:30
things, that sounded that you could prove
49:32
it right, false, or right, or wrong.
49:34
So they would say things like, there
49:36
will only be 21 million Bitcoin, and
49:38
everything will be divisible. So I'd have
49:40
to learn. What does that mean? And
49:42
kind of refute what they're saying and
49:44
I found out I just couldn't like
49:46
what they said found sounded like I
49:48
would love to fight with these people
49:50
online and prove them wrong. This sounds
49:52
retarded Max Kaiser's awesome with that right like
49:54
he'll dump truth bombs on you and
49:56
you're like And as a big point
49:58
you have to go you have to
50:00
go test it Right, so you're like,
50:02
I'm going to test that out. I
50:04
would be like, I kept coming up
50:06
to like that. I can't get to
50:08
a place where I'm like, that sounds
50:11
like I can get to where they're
50:13
wrong. Right. Right. So then, then, then
50:15
when they would say things that were
50:17
very like, well, Bitcoin's going to the
50:19
moon, Bitcoin's going to a million a coin
50:21
or ten million a coin. Well, all
50:23
these other things were proving out a
50:25
speculative person. That's what's what's what's what's
50:27
really. You know, when I talk to
50:29
people of Bitcoin, they think I'm a
50:32
sound like a speculator. And I'm moving
50:34
to Bitcoin. D risk my life. And,
50:36
but back then, I was looking at
50:38
it as speculative. And I was like, wow,
50:40
like maybe if I put a small amount of
50:42
money in this way they're sounding, like maybe
50:45
this thing is going to a million, this
50:47
cycle. And, you know, they started learning about
50:49
this after that, the crash, because I got
50:51
into Bitcoin, like November, like November 2nd 2017,
50:54
2017. Oh yeah, I mean I got started
50:56
a little earlier than you but I remember
50:58
that's the same thing. But then you know
51:00
you crash and you go from genius to
51:02
idiot. And you like do I sell it
51:04
all and go back to Fiat or do
51:07
I stay in this thing? Do I stay
51:09
in it and leave my position or even
51:11
increase my position and see this as an
51:13
opportunity? Yeah, I mean I got started a
51:15
little earlier than you but I remember that's
51:17
the same emotions like because it's
51:20
like. The money grew so exponentially
51:22
fast and then give it all back
51:24
in 18 and 19. Right. You feel
51:26
like an idiot. You know, eventually the
51:29
price went below my industry. Am I
51:31
still excited about this thing? Do I
51:33
still want to learn about this thing?
51:36
I mean, Bitcoin went below my initial
51:38
purchase prices. So I was sitting on a
51:40
negative bag. Yeah. And, but you do, you
51:42
have all those questions. It's like,
51:44
like, was I wrong? Because I was, I
51:47
believed strongly that I know. Right, you questioned
51:49
everything. Was that right now we're wrong? But
51:51
I guess that's, like you said though, you,
51:53
that question, instead of just giving
51:55
up, questioning and questioning and
51:57
questioning and questioning, got me to.
52:00
point was like, oh my god, I just
52:02
need to be buying as much as possible.
52:04
But you value to do some work during
52:06
that period. Read tomorrow, close us in a
52:08
podcast. It was like five podcasts a day.
52:10
It was like a second job. Yeah, it
52:12
was a second job for sure. And but
52:14
you get to the point and I remember making
52:16
this sense like I just have to buy a
52:18
lot, I have to buy a lot. And then it
52:20
went down to 3,000 and I was like, maybe
52:22
I'm wrong and I was afraid to touch it.
52:25
And then it came back up to
52:27
like, I don't know, six or seven or
52:30
ten and then it went and I'm like,
52:32
I got to buy, I got to buy, I got
52:34
to buy, and then boom back down to
52:36
3800. I was like, maybe I'm wrong.
52:38
Well, I remember. So, you know, you're
52:41
not alone if you're having these kind
52:43
of emotions, and which is why guys
52:45
that have been in a long time, like
52:47
Cedric, just say, like, buy it
52:49
to hold it to hold it, to
52:51
hold it, to never sell it, to
52:53
never sell it. And I don't know
52:55
how many opportunities we're going to have
52:57
like that going forward from, you know,
52:59
getting the crashes. Like, it's not making
53:01
you puke anymore, but for somebody else,
53:03
there might be things that make me
53:05
puke, I don't know, 500K and it
53:07
goes down to 100K, they're going to
53:09
feel pretty ill. Yeah, 100%. No, but
53:11
at 100K is when they should buy
53:13
and it should make them puke. I
53:15
remember American Hottle, like, so around 2019,
53:17
you know, I've done work now, I've done work
53:20
now, conviction through numbers, and then there's
53:22
like learning about other people's roller coaster
53:24
rides and hearing the anecdotes. And someone
53:26
like American Harrow was just really influential
53:28
from two perspectives from maybe like smash
53:30
buying during Lowe's, so like he was
53:32
like, he was like, he did a
53:34
tweet, he was like, wow, I just
53:37
bought a shit ton of GBTC at the time, I
53:39
guess he had money stuck in an account, and he
53:41
was like, and I just had to walk around
53:43
the block from not to not puke, you know,
53:45
and he's like that probably means it's a good
53:47
buy means it's a good buy, it's a good
53:50
buy. Yeah, you know and that over and so
53:52
you realize like when you don't want to buy
53:54
is when you should and you know, but the
53:56
man just hearing those things and so
53:58
the knowing that you you maybe miss
54:00
that moment, but then the next time
54:03
it goes from like 32 to 21,
54:05
you're like, oh man, like maybe this
54:07
is my American huddle moment, right? And
54:10
maybe this is my opportunity. And so
54:12
it's good to hear from other Bitcoiners
54:14
so that you can kind of learn
54:16
the ropes in advance of touching, so
54:19
you don't have to touch the stove
54:21
and make mistakes. But you can make
54:23
the most of your opportunities. I always
54:25
feel like everybody's gonna touch the stove
54:28
and get burned the first time. So
54:30
that's why I always try and set
54:32
people up to just. start small, let
54:34
that confidence build over time, and educate
54:37
yourself. As much as you want them
54:39
to, you know, you'll lo in with
54:41
everything they have, because you know... Well
54:43
now we're in a weird place with
54:46
Wall Street, like the ETF being the
54:48
most successful ETF of all time, I
54:50
mean, uh... The Powell's comparing Bitcoin to
54:53
gold. Like, you know, when I was
54:55
at 65, when I, when Bitcoin was
54:57
at 65K, and I was standing with
54:59
a neighbor, who's just, a guy in
55:02
IT. The last cycle, you mean, the
55:04
last cycle? The year, uh, just five
55:06
months ago. Okay, okay. Nine months ago,
55:08
whatever it was, when we were at
55:11
65K. Yeah. And, uh, this was after
55:13
the ETF. You know. kind of getting
55:15
to know each other and he's you
55:17
know another father in neighborhood he's in
55:20
IT you think he'd get it and
55:22
so at 65K I was like so
55:24
I just wanted to do a poll
55:27
like what do you think what do
55:29
you think of Bitcoin now and he's
55:31
like Bitcoin now what do I think
55:33
him I just don't know so you
55:36
could see there was just no work
55:38
yeah all you see is the movement
55:40
in price and he turned to me
55:42
and he said you know He had
55:45
just bought the house, you know, and
55:47
I think at peak, and he was
55:49
like, I wish I bought this house
55:51
in 2016. And you could see the
55:54
mindset of always being behind, right? And
55:56
so like, if you're bringing me something,
55:58
it must be behind. Like, there's nothing
56:00
I can get in front. of in
56:03
this world. And that's a mindset. Like
56:05
the first, like, Kahado talks about, the
56:07
first thing you have to do in
56:10
Bitcoin is love yourself. Like, start there,
56:12
like, believe that, like, what you find
56:14
and what you believe in is true.
56:16
And so, Bitcoin, like, helps people move
56:19
from belief to, like, it's just fact.
56:21
Okay, it's better built money. Like, it's
56:23
literally, like, it's hard to be like,
56:25
this is designed to go off forever,
56:28
what does that mean? What does that?
56:30
I agree. I mean, my first buy
56:32
was like 500 bucks. And then it
56:34
became 3,000. I was like, why the
56:37
hell did I not just yellow in
56:39
with everything? I thought it was an
56:41
unbelievable tech. Like, you know, you start
56:44
having all these self doubts. And so
56:46
it takes time to learn it. And
56:48
you can't be hard on yourself. I
56:50
mean, but the beauty is that takes
56:53
you to love yourself and believe in
56:55
yourself and that you could miss something
56:57
and still not miss out in time.
56:59
I mean, there's just so many factors
57:02
to that. Right. You have to not
57:04
want to be like everyone else in
57:06
a lot of ways. You just have
57:08
to, yeah, right, benefit yourself. Do what
57:11
you can do and benefit yourself. Right.
57:13
Because I think a lot of people
57:15
are like, wow, like if I go
57:17
into this weird thing and I lose,
57:20
and I lose it. right no and
57:22
someone will know and I'd rather go
57:24
down with everybody and not take a
57:27
chance yeah and hope that we all
57:29
you know all boats rise with the
57:31
tie yeah you know and it's like
57:33
you think about so the tide for
57:36
them is the S&P 500 and I
57:38
love saying this and young people kind
57:40
of get a kick out of it
57:42
but like and I consider myself young
57:45
so I'm not saying it like like
57:47
that but if say like anyone a
57:49
young set of mindset but like I'll
57:51
be like you know standard and poor
57:54
like what does it stand for it
57:56
stands for standard and poor I mean
57:58
like literally like that's the name of
58:00
like what you're putting your life saving
58:03
this standard and poor like like that's
58:05
it's built for you to be one
58:07
of the standard and poor is like
58:10
I mean that's what is designed for
58:12
And like, I don't know, you know,
58:14
there's like no one who's been like,
58:16
yeah, man, I got rich from investing
58:19
in the standard and pours. I mean,
58:21
they might. We need the exceptional and
58:23
rich index. So it's hard. I mean,
58:25
I don't know. And then there's a
58:28
link back, I mean, there's so much
58:30
that they have to be, not happy,
58:32
that they are thinking of beyond Bitcoin.
58:34
I mean, even just if they got
58:37
kids, they got brothers and sisters and
58:39
sisters, parents, I mean, I mean, lives
58:41
are so busy now. Wait a minute,
58:44
and you're telling me my money is
58:46
fucked. That's the, uh... Because the whole
58:48
game is to get more of this
58:50
money. That was the boss pitch, right?
58:53
For the kids. Do it for the
58:55
kids. And that is a good way,
58:57
I guess, to frame people's minds, if
58:59
they have kids. Sure, low time to
59:02
be like, low time to build, especially,
59:04
and build, you know. And I think,
59:06
you know, I think it's very fiat
59:08
to be like, like, I don't have
59:11
to get into... The conversation about politics
59:13
doesn't mean that I'm not concerned with
59:15
these issues or want to help do
59:17
things locally where it can have an
59:20
impact. But I just don't want to
59:22
talk to someone ad nauseum about something
59:24
that we can't solve and they're never
59:27
going to kind of agree on some
59:29
sort of North Pole of truth. Right?
59:31
Speaking of geopolitics. Excuse me. What do
59:33
you think about the ramping up of
59:36
the war right now? I don't, I
59:38
try not to think about it. I
59:40
know, it's horrid and disgusting, but this
59:42
is what I'm getting at. So when
59:45
I see, I see geopolitics, the debt
59:47
spiral, this new monetary frontier, all meeting
59:49
in the next three months, and it's
59:51
like fireworks. It's, it's, it's moment.
59:54
Or maybe it's maybe everything just
59:56
kind of keeps going. I don't
59:59
think so. It's possible though. Or
1:00:01
it's possible. Everything's possible. And Bitcoin
1:00:03
rises in price dramatically. I'm just
1:00:05
outlining my highest probability is shit's
1:00:08
about to get really chaotic. I
1:00:10
think we're kind of like in
1:00:12
the eye of the storm right
1:00:14
now. Obviously, I mean, I felt
1:00:17
like I was on the edge
1:00:19
of a hurricane literally and figuratively
1:00:21
going into the election. But now
1:00:23
I feel like we're kind of
1:00:26
the eye of the storm. and
1:00:29
we're just starting to feel the
1:00:31
winds blowing again and it's going
1:00:33
to get freaking nuts in the
1:00:35
first six months of his administration.
1:00:38
And I think that is literally
1:00:40
like Bitcoin's time to shine to
1:00:42
show the world that it is
1:00:44
a safe haven asset. This will
1:00:47
be like the first opportunity where
1:00:49
Bitcoin says it's a safe haven
1:00:51
asset and it becomes a safe
1:00:53
haven asset because So
1:00:56
many global fiat currencies are
1:00:58
going to be under stress
1:01:01
and decay. So many governments
1:01:03
are going to be under
1:01:05
stress and decay. And this
1:01:07
is literally the time when
1:01:09
Bitcoin becomes the life raft
1:01:11
for sovereigns. So if you
1:01:14
can get in there, if
1:01:16
you get into the boat
1:01:18
now, I think a year
1:01:20
from now, it'll be a
1:01:22
whole different world. I
1:01:25
think it's like literally the setting
1:01:28
of the new playing field, the
1:01:30
setting of new rules, the Breton
1:01:32
Woods 2.0, if you want to
1:01:34
call it that, but we're going
1:01:37
to have that level of change
1:01:39
over the next six months to
1:01:41
a year. And it doesn't feel
1:01:43
that way right now. I feel
1:01:45
totally hopeful, but when I look
1:01:48
at the little cauldrons that are
1:01:50
spinning around the globe and in
1:01:52
economics and in the financial system,
1:01:54
I'm like, oh, this is going
1:01:57
to get, this thing's about to
1:01:59
blow to blow. Where is the
1:02:01
gold? And I don't know I
1:02:03
know I know you mean I
1:02:06
don't mean like the other conspiracy.
1:02:08
I mean like I know there's
1:02:10
a lot of gold in America
1:02:12
Where is more gold? Where is
1:02:15
more gold? Where? Apparently there's three
1:02:17
more trillion in El Salvador than
1:02:19
yesterday. Known gold. Where are the
1:02:21
biggest vaults of gold? Switzerland? Switzerland?
1:02:24
Anywhere else? I mean, I know
1:02:26
there's others, but I don't know
1:02:28
exactly. I think there's something like
1:02:30
in Argentina, right? I don't know
1:02:32
if they hold it with the
1:02:35
Bank of England. I don't know
1:02:37
where the gold is. And I
1:02:39
wonder for- There's vaults, obviously, in-
1:02:41
lots of parts of the world,
1:02:44
but I mean the big vaults,
1:02:46
the store bullion, the big, big,
1:02:48
big, big vaults, I believe, are
1:02:50
all in Switzerland for the most
1:02:53
part. But then you got... I
1:02:55
ran Syria, like, uh... Yeah, are
1:02:57
they buying a store in there?
1:02:59
Because, well, my question is if
1:03:02
you're getting... Well, what I'm really
1:03:04
getting at is if there's actual
1:03:06
ground war. Yeah. And assets are
1:03:08
actually being at risk of risk
1:03:10
of being stolen. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.
1:03:13
Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.
1:03:15
Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. If you've got
1:03:17
to sell the gold out the
1:03:19
back door before it gets taken
1:03:22
from you. Yeah, I hadn't thought
1:03:24
about that. Right. Or even your
1:03:26
IOU, maybe, you know, your gold
1:03:28
is in America, but it's not
1:03:31
being repatriated ever. Right. Like if
1:03:33
you have gold in America and
1:03:35
you're not an ally of America,
1:03:37
you would want to sell it
1:03:40
or get it out or, you
1:03:42
know, or you lose it. And
1:03:44
then China is trying to move
1:03:46
as much gold into their own
1:03:49
country. Right. you know, could we
1:03:51
get their gold? Or, you know,
1:03:53
not we being like, oh, it's
1:03:55
root for that, but I mean,
1:03:57
like, if actual gold is at
1:04:00
risk, then most people need to
1:04:02
move away from physical assets that
1:04:04
are at risk towards digital assets
1:04:06
that are not, that are more
1:04:09
highly more defensible. I was thinking
1:04:11
more in terms of like, as
1:04:13
war, like, Ukraine heats up. Syria
1:04:15
gets worse, Libya, all the stands,
1:04:18
you know, everything's right. The Israeli
1:04:20
front, I think it all heats
1:04:22
up. And as that happens, that's
1:04:24
gonna put immense amount of stress
1:04:27
on Fiat. Fiat's gonna get debased.
1:04:29
Sure, to pay for war. Pay
1:04:31
for war, also the risk of
1:04:33
having your dollars in a financial
1:04:36
system that is under the stress
1:04:38
of war. And if that does
1:04:40
what I think it's going to
1:04:42
do, I think there's going to
1:04:44
be a flight to Bitcoin, like
1:04:47
you can't imagine. Right, and the
1:04:49
national winner of that race, the
1:04:51
state winner of that race gets
1:04:53
to set the new Brenton Woods.
1:04:56
Yes. Right, I see where you're
1:04:58
going with this. Yeah. That makes,
1:05:00
that's like a two-a-four-year process before
1:05:02
we even get to that moment.
1:05:05
But I think the race starts
1:05:07
in Trump. Right, right. So they
1:05:09
have to mess a stockpile before
1:05:11
you go to the next agreement.
1:05:14
This is why we blew out
1:05:16
to 100 game. We're probably going
1:05:18
120, 150 before Trump gets into
1:05:20
office. Trump gets into office and
1:05:22
then it's a formal game on.
1:05:25
And at that point, I think
1:05:27
it becomes such a mad dash
1:05:29
for the exit that the Fiat
1:05:31
globally starts to feel the pressure.
1:05:34
So you could do a lot
1:05:36
of Like he could do tariffs
1:05:38
and he could do other things
1:05:40
that are pro dollar strength, but
1:05:43
people around the world could be
1:05:45
dumping dollars to buy Bitcoin. Net,
1:05:47
we could have a dropping dollar.
1:05:49
It's in our best interest to
1:05:52
have a dropping dollar. If he
1:05:54
wants to reshore manufacturing, if he
1:05:56
wants to drive economic growth, he
1:05:58
needs a weaker dollar. But normally
1:06:01
in a time of war. You
1:06:03
would see the dollar as a
1:06:05
safe haven asset and you would
1:06:07
see that dollar rise. I think
1:06:09
the dollar... going to get sold
1:06:12
along with everything else and the
1:06:14
flight to gold and Bitcoin is
1:06:16
going to be real. That's good.
1:06:18
That stress actually kind of supports
1:06:21
the long term Trump administration goals
1:06:23
of rebuilding America as a manufacturing
1:06:25
base, re employing people, creating an
1:06:27
export market market that goes. So
1:06:30
I think that this is like
1:06:32
the point in history that we've
1:06:34
been waiting for where Bitcoin just
1:06:37
all of a sudden becomes like,
1:06:39
oh, it is a safe haven
1:06:41
asset. And then coming out of
1:06:43
the back of that, like you
1:06:45
said, if we have the strategic
1:06:47
reserve or the Bitcoin stockpile or
1:06:50
however it gets defined, and we're
1:06:52
actually adding Bitcoin to our balance
1:06:54
sheet, then yeah, I think we
1:06:56
have a seat at that table
1:06:58
and maybe the strongest seat of
1:07:00
that table. I want to invite
1:07:02
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1:07:58
excited to see you guys there.
1:08:00
And now, back to the show.
1:08:03
I mean, I would love to
1:08:05
see Bitcoin extremely more non-correlated with
1:08:07
the rest of the market and
1:08:09
demonstrate that value that you're saying.
1:08:11
I mean, I just get nervous
1:08:13
thinking about. Let me ask you
1:08:15
this though. Do you think that
1:08:18
that correlation is... I think that
1:08:20
just is a factor of the
1:08:22
four-year cycle. Right because you could
1:08:24
look at Bitcoin in any part
1:08:26
of the cycle But that four-year
1:08:28
cycle is so so consistent You
1:08:30
can be like oh, yeah. Well
1:08:33
in this part of the four-year
1:08:35
cycle We are trending with the
1:08:37
expansion of the monetary system and
1:08:39
therefore everything's bullish right and at
1:08:41
this part of the cycle We're
1:08:43
trending down because you know, we're
1:08:45
pulling monetary units out of the
1:08:48
system and and Bitcoin is dropping
1:08:50
and so is everything else. I
1:08:52
think that I don't think that's
1:08:54
a Bitcoin being correlated, I think
1:08:56
that's Bitcoin just being a monetary
1:08:58
sponge. Right. And we're at a
1:09:00
point in time in history where
1:09:03
the debt spiral so big that
1:09:05
it's everything up, everything down, everything
1:09:07
down, everything down, everything's one, right?
1:09:09
And so you just, you know,
1:09:11
Bitcoin being the asset that goes
1:09:13
up the most. Right, right. So
1:09:16
in a world where everything is
1:09:18
correlated and you look across that
1:09:20
world, it's hard to invest in
1:09:22
anything but I
1:09:24
would agree, I mean, it's a simply
1:09:26
a B test. And so surprising now,
1:09:28
just discussing with people Bitcoin, I mean,
1:09:31
just the evidence we have in front
1:09:33
of us of what's happening geopolitically, what's
1:09:35
happening economically, the financialization of Bitcoin, the
1:09:37
conversation. It's surprising, more people aren't just
1:09:40
catching on. But I think a lot
1:09:42
of that is just, I don't know
1:09:44
if it's nihilism, I don't know if
1:09:46
it's arrogance or, you know, lack of
1:09:48
humility, but it's... still surprising to see
1:09:51
it just not being a no-brainer for
1:09:53
more people. And like you said, I
1:09:55
think we're getting very close to the
1:09:57
suddenly part. Yes, the suddenly part, exactly.
1:09:59
That's another. to say it. Yeah, and
1:10:02
you know, I think even if, you
1:10:04
know, I'd love to say, you know,
1:10:06
we all hope for like, you know,
1:10:08
things like retail, our friends and family
1:10:10
to, you know, get on the Bitcoin
1:10:13
standard. And I think anyone who gets
1:10:15
on now is still early. I think
1:10:17
we sell greater returns in front of
1:10:19
us. But I think just quite frankly,
1:10:21
you know, the real money that's going
1:10:24
to move us is not going to
1:10:26
be retail. Like retail, I don't think
1:10:28
we can't come back in a stampede.
1:10:30
I think if institutions come in as
1:10:32
stampede, they just have that much more
1:10:35
capital and will drive the market that
1:10:37
much more. I think that's absolutely where
1:10:39
we're at. Yeah, and we're seeing it
1:10:41
now with, I mean, Microsoft is voting
1:10:43
on it today. I don't think they'll
1:10:46
pass, but like Amazon, I think it
1:10:48
gets to vote on it. Like, it's
1:10:50
just becoming way more of like, that's
1:10:52
now going to be standard protocol. Yes.
1:10:54
And it's going to be. You know,
1:10:57
the Microsoft thing, if they don't take
1:10:59
it, is going to be one of
1:11:01
those sort of like Paul Krogwin fax
1:11:03
machine moments. Yes. Right. And the real
1:11:05
irony and the laugh is going to
1:11:08
be when micro strategy buys Microsoft. Oh
1:11:10
my God. You know, at the end
1:11:12
of this cycle. You know, because micro
1:11:14
strategy is like, yeah, we could use
1:11:17
a little software business. Yeah. Right. and
1:11:19
FASB is really a game changer right
1:11:21
from an accounting perspective. It's just it's
1:11:23
beyond the scope of like game changer.
1:11:25
Maybe explain explain to me how how
1:11:28
you think that's going to impact you
1:11:30
mean do you think that just mean
1:11:32
a flood of corporates are coming because
1:11:34
of that? Well it makes it a
1:11:36
lot easier to carry Bitcoin on your
1:11:39
balance sheet and benefit from the price
1:11:41
appreciation. So right now the way Bitcoin
1:11:43
is carried on the balance sheet you
1:11:45
can only recognize price depreciation. So you
1:11:47
take a hit and the only you
1:11:50
basically mark the market on every low
1:11:52
is that to the low, right? And
1:11:54
then you don't mark to market back
1:11:56
to any highs or any increases in
1:11:58
price. The new rules have had. will
1:12:01
allow you to market to market and
1:12:03
take I believe the earnings to maybe
1:12:05
even realized earnings. But so
1:12:07
over the last year or
1:12:09
so I mean Microsoft micro
1:12:11
strategy has been showing negative earnings
1:12:14
every quarter. So to in Q1
1:12:16
which will be like when they
1:12:18
report like will be in April
1:12:20
of 2025 or May of 2025
1:12:22
they'll have to restate the prior
1:12:25
year and capture all the losses
1:12:27
as earnings in Q1. So
1:12:29
but I mean they don't have to
1:12:31
pay tax on that do they if
1:12:33
it's just capital gains? Is that's getting
1:12:36
a little bit above my pay grade?
1:12:38
No, I don't think you're going to
1:12:40
pay tax on it because I don't
1:12:42
think it's going to flow through net
1:12:45
income like that. Okay. But it's not
1:12:47
earnings per se, but it's a yeah, so
1:12:49
it's not taxable earnings. It's their
1:12:51
balance sheet. Yeah, but it'll flow
1:12:53
through EPS I believe. If a
1:12:56
company owned a bunch of brick
1:12:58
and mortar. and the value of the
1:13:00
real estate was going up. Right, but
1:13:02
you only, like, you marked it down
1:13:05
when, like, there was a real estate
1:13:07
crash, now you own all this real
1:13:09
estate. I mean, most small businesses and
1:13:11
even corporations, how they really have made
1:13:14
money over the last 50 years was
1:13:16
from the real estate assets. You know,
1:13:18
the plumber, like, he bought the shop,
1:13:20
he made his salary every year, you
1:13:23
know, you hear all these stories nowadays
1:13:25
on Twitter, I don't know if they're
1:13:27
all true, and I don't think. just
1:13:29
enhancing marketing. I think that's a lot
1:13:32
of it's bullshit. But think about it.
1:13:34
Think about what you just said, and
1:13:36
it just struck me real quickly. You're,
1:13:38
these guys would, I mean, all of
1:13:40
us, right? We go work for our salary,
1:13:42
and it was the assets that made
1:13:44
us wealthy. Yes. And if you made
1:13:46
just, if you could just extract 5%
1:13:48
out of that income. and you put
1:13:51
that into assets, that's how you got
1:13:53
wealthy. Or leverage the asset that you
1:13:55
own, the existing asset. No. And use,
1:13:57
because you didn't need repairs and maintenance
1:13:59
on your building. So you need maintenance reserves,
1:14:01
put those in Bitcoin, take the cash flow
1:14:03
from the tenants or whatever, and put that
1:14:05
in Bitcoin. Right. This is what I was
1:14:07
getting at, is that imagine a future where
1:14:09
you're still the plumber, you're still the electrician,
1:14:11
you're still the guy mowing lawns, you're still
1:14:14
making your 10% margin, you're going to use
1:14:16
95% of that to pay your bills, and
1:14:18
you're going to take that little 5% that's
1:14:20
left, and you're going to invest in a
1:14:22
Bitcoin. Or imagine you'd just get paid in
1:14:24
Bitcoin. Right. And you're getting paid in the
1:14:26
asset. So now you take that point five
1:14:28
percent, you don't even have to convert it,
1:14:31
it just sits on your balance sheet and
1:14:33
that builds your wealth. So running a business
1:14:35
where you're earning Bitcoin, I don't know, Peter
1:14:37
McCormick did this, right? I mean, that's just
1:14:39
running in his podcast and saving his Bitcoin.
1:14:41
Well, biblically speaking, you'd want to have a
1:14:43
third of your wealth in like your home.
1:14:45
a third of your wealth in your business,
1:14:48
maybe you have a garment business and you
1:14:50
have to have inventory, you own a third
1:14:52
of your wealth in money, at the time
1:14:54
it was gold, right? So you have, that's
1:14:56
your savings, you have a third of your
1:14:58
wealth in liquid savings, a third of your
1:15:00
wealth in liquid savings, a third of your
1:15:02
wealth probably in the business you run, maybe
1:15:04
your W-2, so your balance, your balance, you
1:15:07
look different. But if you own your business,
1:15:09
you own inventory, then maybe a third of
1:15:11
your balance, a third of your balance, a
1:15:13
third of your balance, a third of your
1:15:15
balance, a third of your balance, balance, a
1:15:17
third of your balance, balance, a third of
1:15:19
your balance, a third of your balance, balance,
1:15:21
a third of your balance, balance, your balance,
1:15:24
your balance, your balance, your balance, your balance,
1:15:26
your balance, You know property taxes sort of
1:15:28
changed the conversation about owning a home, but
1:15:30
this is from the perspective of like stability
1:15:32
in owning a home. Maybe some of your
1:15:34
wealth is in there. And that makes sense
1:15:36
when your home has just been sold to
1:15:38
you at utility value, right? By the way,
1:15:41
I've been talking to a company, Orange Bridge.
1:15:43
These guys... They're going back loans? No. So
1:15:45
what they're doing is they're doing a non-interest
1:15:47
line of credit... I mean, the interest of
1:15:49
Cruz, but you don't have to pay monthly
1:15:51
interest. Line of credit against your home that
1:15:53
has to be used to buy Bitcoin. And
1:15:55
then when you buy the Bitcoin, it's... they
1:15:58
record the value that you paid for and
1:16:00
they're watching the value and then they start
1:16:02
messaging when it's up 300% like you should
1:16:04
pay off your loan, you should pay off
1:16:06
your loan, you should pay off your loan.
1:16:08
They try and get you to sell and
1:16:10
clear out that loan, but it's like a
1:16:12
10-year loan. We don't have to make a
1:16:15
payment, but the interest just accrues. And as
1:16:17
long as your Bitcoin is growing faster than
1:16:19
that accrument, it's basically double secured, right? The
1:16:21
loan is secured against the Bitcoin and the
1:16:23
Bitcoin and the real estate and the real
1:16:25
estate. Right and every
1:16:27
vertical from life insurance that's all health
1:16:29
insurance It all should be backed by
1:16:32
Bitcoin. Yeah, the reserves right right now
1:16:34
life insurance companies or insurance companies can't
1:16:36
buy spot Bitcoin right FEMA needs to
1:16:38
get off their button by Bitcoin to
1:16:41
pay for all these hurricanes Or maybe
1:16:43
stop causing the hurricanes. I don't know.
1:16:45
Yeah, right exactly maybe spend less on
1:16:47
the hurricane production. That's our other podcast
1:16:49
right But I mean there's a whole
1:16:52
market for people like what micro strategy
1:16:54
is sort of brilliantly engineering is refining
1:16:56
Bitcoin for the market that can't buy
1:16:58
spot Bitcoin and wants price exposure to
1:17:00
Bitcoin. So I mean that's brilliant. I
1:17:03
wonder when he went from like I'm
1:17:05
using Bitcoin as a story value to
1:17:07
like I'm gonna be a Bitcoin evangelist.
1:17:09
and you know get other companies on
1:17:12
board and like get my store value
1:17:14
to better to I'm refining Bitcoin because
1:17:16
those are defining you know the refining
1:17:18
Bitcoin moment to me is sort of
1:17:20
like you know you know Jeff Bezos
1:17:23
knew he was attacking he probably knew
1:17:25
he was attacking all realist all Retail
1:17:27
verticals before everyone else because everyone else
1:17:29
just thought he was attacking books Right
1:17:31
yeah, but he's like I'm doing every
1:17:34
vertical. It just hasn't happened yet But
1:17:36
he didn't see AWS and cloud computing
1:17:38
coming Right like he even he didn't
1:17:40
know that was going to be you
1:17:43
know 66% of Amazon's business 20 years
1:17:45
from when he started so I don't
1:17:47
think Michael Sailor necessarily saw Bitcoin refining
1:17:49
the way, you know, he's describing how
1:17:51
Rockefeller refined oil from the gas market
1:17:54
the way. I don't think he thought
1:17:56
of that four years ago. I wonder
1:17:58
when he had that light bulb moment
1:18:00
that it was much bigger than just,
1:18:02
you know, stacking his own balance sheet
1:18:05
with reserves. You know. I mean, do
1:18:07
you think he's building essentially a Bitcoin
1:18:09
financial services firm over the long term?
1:18:11
Yeah, I think it goes way beyond
1:18:14
that. I think it's like a perfect
1:18:16
pathway type entity. It's just a massive
1:18:18
conglomerate. Like what I'm trying to say,
1:18:20
there's so many things he's as large
1:18:22
as holder. So you think they're going
1:18:25
to buy other other businesses. I don't
1:18:27
know what they're going to do, but
1:18:29
as the largest holder of Bitcoin, there'll
1:18:31
be things that we can't even dream
1:18:33
of that they'll be able to exploit
1:18:36
from a monetization, financialization perspective, whether it's
1:18:38
loaning out the Bitcoin or, I don't
1:18:40
know. But they're going to use that
1:18:42
in ways that in ways that would
1:18:45
be very profitable. Right now, it's just
1:18:47
profitable buying the Bitcoin and giving the
1:18:49
bond market exposure. I mean, that's a
1:18:51
hundred trillion dollar market or two hundred
1:18:53
trillion dollar market that he's gonna, that
1:18:56
every company is copycatting him. And that's
1:18:58
the thing, it's back to what we
1:19:00
talked about in the beginning of the
1:19:02
show, like he can do this and
1:19:04
he can open source what he's doing.
1:19:07
And two things. One, it's a win-win
1:19:09
for everybody. He's in a special situation.
1:19:11
He's the first mover. there is first
1:19:13
mover advantage to buying Bitcoin in 2010
1:19:16
than there is to buying in 2020.
1:19:18
You might have bought in 2020, 2010,
1:19:20
sold in 2014, and maybe the guy
1:19:22
in 2020 who buys has a second
1:19:24
weird mover advantage over you, but like
1:19:27
it definitely would have been better to
1:19:29
hold from 2010. All right, so like
1:19:31
micro strategy could fumble this somehow, but
1:19:33
like no one's gonna catch them, no
1:19:36
private entity. Right, right. So whatever like
1:19:38
any entity is able to do with
1:19:40
sort of a large size of Bitcoin,
1:19:42
they will be able to do to
1:19:44
do to the greatest extent. to the
1:19:47
greatest extent. Like other companies can copy
1:19:49
Berks or halfway, but if you don't
1:19:51
have the capital pool Like there's only
1:19:53
so many deals you can make you
1:19:55
have less and you have less of
1:19:58
a deal flow Less people coming to
1:20:00
you right so you have less is
1:20:02
let me think about like if it's
1:20:04
like he buys a financial they buy
1:20:07
a country It's gonna get crazy It's
1:20:09
gonna get crazy. And I don't know
1:20:11
what he's gonna do. But like and
1:20:13
I think new ideas are gonna be
1:20:15
brought to from the smartest people in
1:20:18
the world because it's kind of like
1:20:20
if you want to build somewhere where
1:20:22
it's gonna last forever, then you gotta
1:20:24
build on Bitcoin, right? Does he own
1:20:26
more than Satoshi, no? Does the company
1:20:29
own more than Satoshi? No, I don't
1:20:31
think so. That's also something I thought
1:20:33
about on the way over here, like,
1:20:35
it's been extremely quiet, his buys. Like,
1:20:38
we always hear every week now microstrategies
1:20:40
buys, but like, we even heard a
1:20:42
peep about his personal holdings, and I
1:20:44
think a long time. And you'd have
1:20:46
to think from a personal standpoint, from
1:20:49
a personal standpoint, even whatever his end
1:20:51
goal is to give it's end goal
1:20:53
is to give it's to give it,
1:20:55
like, like, like, Ego wise like he
1:20:57
has to be buying he has to
1:21:00
be buying a shit ton personally Because
1:21:02
he doesn't even his shares in micro
1:21:04
strategy are not real Bitcoin right so
1:21:06
yeah, and you know, he's not the
1:21:09
largest probably shareholder of micro strategy So
1:21:11
he probably wants just from his own
1:21:13
personal standpoint his own stash, but we
1:21:15
don't hear about it. Oh, I wonder
1:21:17
if he even can be in charge
1:21:20
of that as his personal stat or
1:21:22
like the like can he deduct the
1:21:24
buys and Be working at microstrategies saying
1:21:26
yeah, we should buy more Bitcoin like
1:21:28
engineering debt to buy more Bitcoin a
1:21:31
micro strategy while Simultaneously buying it for
1:21:33
himself. I hope he's allowed to at
1:21:35
least maybe algorithmically buy and just something
1:21:37
like that I'm gonna buy a minute
1:21:40
He might have somebody doing it for
1:21:42
him right on his behalf like a
1:21:44
blind trust. Yeah, something like that right
1:21:46
sure I don't know then how you
1:21:48
know, I'd also wonder how someone maybe
1:21:51
it's not because it's commodity maybe it's
1:21:53
not even an issue I don't know.
1:21:55
But I really, I also think like,
1:21:57
so he's in a position where he
1:21:59
just sees even from a personal, like,
1:22:02
I couldn't see things as a minor's
1:22:04
perspective truly until I start. being part
1:22:06
of a mining farm. Like you could
1:22:08
read an article, you think that's a
1:22:11
terror, you could philosophize about it, you
1:22:13
could intellectualize about it, but you're going
1:22:15
to discover new things as a minor
1:22:17
than you would have before. And so
1:22:19
like I think for Michael Saylor he's
1:22:22
brilliant, but he had a $500 million
1:22:24
melting ice cube, right? So he had
1:22:26
a problem to solve. And so it's
1:22:28
interesting how I wonder what he's trying
1:22:30
to look at now and where he's
1:22:33
angling to figure out new things. develop
1:22:35
new solutions or come to solutions sooner
1:22:37
than people who don't have that problem.
1:22:39
And the size of the problem brings
1:22:42
it to the forefront of your life,
1:22:44
I think, faster. He seems very pro-America
1:22:46
also. Do you think there's any plans
1:22:48
there to gift America, Bitcoin? I mean,
1:22:50
I'm, I'm, I think there could be,
1:22:53
I mean, why couldn't America be looking
1:22:55
at his. Stash and it is a
1:22:57
massive honeypot. No, I know, like putting
1:22:59
the 60 102 aside, like thinking in
1:23:01
terms of like, his own personal stash,
1:23:04
like, could he gift some of that
1:23:06
to the treasury? I mean, micro strategy,
1:23:08
I mean, America might just come to
1:23:10
micro strategy and say, we're going to
1:23:13
give you $100,000 per share. Right. We're
1:23:15
literally going to print some number that
1:23:17
you're going to be OK with, and
1:23:19
we're going to be OK with, and
1:23:21
we're going to be OK. take the,
1:23:24
I mean they could just do things.
1:23:26
Yeah, no, absolutely. And I think your
1:23:28
question inside is like, is Michael Seller
1:23:30
aware of anything ahead of time? Like
1:23:32
is there, you know, a handshake that
1:23:35
I'm acquiring all this? On behalf of?
1:23:37
On behalf of the government for future
1:23:39
use. Yeah. And I think, you know,
1:23:41
I think that's where I think, regardless
1:23:44
of whether that happened or not, I
1:23:46
still think it's the most brilliantly engineered
1:23:48
security in the history of the stock
1:23:50
market, not just for what he's already
1:23:52
accomplished, but for what is going to
1:23:55
be accomplished. And that just, but it
1:23:57
also points out very clear, it's. not
1:23:59
Bitcoin. You're not getting any of the
1:24:01
attributes of Bitcoin. You have, you have
1:24:03
counterparty risk. You have managerial risk. You
1:24:06
have custodian risk. You have all of
1:24:08
it. So, you know, it's not, it's
1:24:10
not for people who want the qualities
1:24:12
of Bitcoin. And maybe there are Bitcoiners
1:24:15
who have money trapped in the system,
1:24:17
but he's not. he's not trying to
1:24:19
sell you and me micro strategy shares
1:24:21
right he is really going after an
1:24:23
institutional market it's not for retail retail
1:24:26
might capitalize on it want to get
1:24:28
involved in it but yeah you you
1:24:30
can get rug pulled you have to
1:24:32
think defensively with him just like or
1:24:34
not him personally maybe i mean you
1:24:37
should but just anybody personally and any
1:24:39
company and so it's not real Bitcoin
1:24:41
and all those fears and concerns to
1:24:43
be there right i think it's like
1:24:46
a weird thing because i think like
1:24:48
Also for Bitcoiners is the sort of
1:24:50
the trying to figure out the balance
1:24:52
of like okay I have This this
1:24:54
wealth in this new paradigm and I
1:24:57
now have custody of it But now
1:24:59
you become your own counterparty risk, right?
1:25:01
How do you manage your Bitcoin? And
1:25:03
your counterparty risk to your maybe relatives
1:25:05
and your heirs right because like just
1:25:08
like if you lose your money at
1:25:10
the bank you go to the bank
1:25:12
and you get back from them Well
1:25:14
your family is like well now you're
1:25:17
the bank Right? Dad, mom, like, if
1:25:19
you lose the Bitcoin, like, what do
1:25:21
we get? Right? You're our counterparty risk.
1:25:23
And so you have to learn how
1:25:25
to manage. Like, I wonder how Michael
1:25:28
Seller manages his personal stack. Like, how
1:25:30
does he get comfort with the guy
1:25:32
who owns the blind trust and manages
1:25:34
a stack for him, maybe? Right. Like,
1:25:37
does he have a key of three?
1:25:39
You know, is he had on chain
1:25:41
and coin base and him and on
1:25:43
chain to get on a call? He's
1:25:45
like, and I got me. But like
1:25:48
only one of you could lose a
1:25:50
key, like, so can I see your
1:25:52
system? Like, you know, is he at
1:25:54
on ramp and it's at 100 different
1:25:56
places? Is he with the Bitcoin advisor?
1:25:59
Like, what is he doing? Is he
1:26:01
just got his own little, like, coal
1:26:03
card? Like, and what does my strategy
1:26:05
do? And like, I really do think
1:26:08
if you have- My best strategy, if
1:26:10
I remember- I think his, didn't he
1:26:12
buy originally a coin base? I don't
1:26:14
know if they still do. Yeah, and
1:26:16
I think they still have, but what
1:26:19
does that look like? And how do
1:26:21
you gain comfort, right? And how does
1:26:23
coin base? gain comfort. And it's a
1:26:25
much different thing. If you have a
1:26:27
thousand dollars in Bitcoin, your security system
1:26:30
is different than if you have 10,000,
1:26:32
then if you're 100,000, and there are
1:26:34
numbers that you and I can't even
1:26:36
can fathom what it's like to protect
1:26:39
that. Because we're nowhere near these levels,
1:26:41
right? Because you have a billion dollars
1:26:43
in a multi-sig, like who's in the
1:26:45
multi-sig? Is it a, you know, is
1:26:47
it an end of 12? Like, what
1:26:50
are we doing, what are we doing
1:26:52
here? You know, is there an article
1:26:54
that like 97 keys is worse than
1:26:56
a three? I saw that didn't Black
1:26:58
Rock just split their entire pile up
1:27:01
into like wallets with 400 400 coins
1:27:03
each? Maybe. I think they're diversifying even.
1:27:05
And I'm sure there's a multiple multi-six.
1:27:07
I'm sure you can find some guru
1:27:10
on Twitter is like that's the worst
1:27:12
way to go. Right, sure. Right. And
1:27:14
then Coinbase has their guy who's like,
1:27:16
we thought about this very deeply and
1:27:18
we have our reasons why we don't
1:27:21
like your solution because we're, because we
1:27:23
can't do that and we're a public
1:27:25
company. So like we just, we literally
1:27:27
cannot do what you just suggested, even
1:27:29
though it's better. Right. So good luck.
1:27:32
Parnman and grow your stack up to
1:27:34
$400,000 coin and utilize your plan then.
1:27:36
And then people who say like, like,
1:27:38
oh, this might be bad for the
1:27:41
for the network. who holds the coins,
1:27:43
right? And whether it's an IOU or
1:27:45
there's shares involved or whatever, I mean,
1:27:47
but there's no way to fathom the
1:27:49
way he's looking at these problems. And
1:27:52
there's no way to fathom the solutions
1:27:54
that are being brought to him and
1:27:56
weighing through that. And like, could you
1:27:58
imagine, like, you think about it for
1:28:00
three months and then have to, like,
1:28:03
you, like, we're the proof of reserves
1:28:05
on. You know, I'd like to see
1:28:07
that on micro strategy coins. Yeah, you
1:28:09
know, that would be good to see
1:28:12
as a public company that's at the
1:28:14
forefront of Yeah, I think it just
1:28:16
disclosed. It's just disclosed more I think
1:28:18
there and that's I mean, maybe they
1:28:20
can't for some reason Yeah, maybe not
1:28:23
with their current setup. I don't mean
1:28:25
like they can't because of laws or
1:28:27
something I don't know yeah but like
1:28:29
we don't know the issues they're facing
1:28:31
and and the risk they're trying to
1:28:34
avoid or decrease or minimize like yeah
1:28:36
we could do that but then we
1:28:38
open ourselves up to this conversation and
1:28:40
that and maybe we'll do that in
1:28:43
six months if we can you know
1:28:45
I think I saw south door protect
1:28:47
their coins like how do they know
1:28:49
this guy doesn't get on a plane
1:28:51
how did the Central Reserve think I
1:28:54
don't know how does like how does
1:28:56
bouquetly get comfortable that it's not going
1:28:58
to be taken be taken from the
1:29:00
country That's not going to be taken
1:29:02
from him. How does the country get
1:29:05
comfortable that he's not going to take
1:29:07
it? I mean, and it's not like
1:29:09
they can have a real open forum
1:29:11
discussion on this. Right? But I would,
1:29:14
their solutions would probably be of interest
1:29:16
to people trying to figure out the
1:29:18
pros and cons of different, because there
1:29:20
are always pros and cons of your
1:29:22
choices. And you're never getting until like
1:29:25
no cons. That's an interesting question, because
1:29:27
it is a central reserve bank holding
1:29:29
Bitcoin. Right. I mean, do they have
1:29:31
a key and Antarctica buried? We're like
1:29:33
three guys know about it, you know?
1:29:36
I hope not. That's where all the
1:29:38
Rotillians are. Right. So, yeah, fair enough.
1:29:40
So, but he knows about them, right?
1:29:42
But like, yeah, I don't know how
1:29:45
they manage that. And it'd be interesting,
1:29:47
it'd be interesting conversation between Buchaley and
1:29:49
Sailor. Like, if they felt they weren't
1:29:51
recorded, like, what would they talk about?
1:29:53
Right. And would they... Hey bro, how
1:29:56
are you holding rookies? Yeah, like, what's
1:29:58
your plan? Like, you know, and just,
1:30:00
you know, what they would share, what
1:30:02
people in that position would share if
1:30:04
they could speak off the record? Right.
1:30:07
Because they're having experiences that most people
1:30:09
can't relate to. Yeah. You know, even
1:30:11
if it's just scary. you know. Yeah,
1:30:13
that's surprise. It's wild. The coin base
1:30:16
is the one that's getting so much
1:30:18
of this custody. Yeah, I don't like
1:30:20
that. I mean, they must be according.
1:30:22
I mean, they must be good at
1:30:24
it. But I wonder if it's just
1:30:27
because they're publicly traded. That's a big.
1:30:29
Hopefully it's not. Hopefully it's because their
1:30:31
security practices are so good. Yeah, I
1:30:33
mean I don't know if it's because
1:30:35
it's I think it's because they got
1:30:38
first mover advantage and they're the largest
1:30:40
I think But I would think that
1:30:42
if any company took it further to
1:30:44
do their due diligence who do micro
1:30:47
strategy I guess you a lot of
1:30:49
companies like because Fidelity is the only
1:30:51
one that custody is their own Right
1:30:53
and that's another company like I hate
1:30:55
you the word trust, but like you
1:30:58
argue there's an element of trust in
1:31:00
everything you do besides and everything you
1:31:02
do besides and your your stash of
1:31:04
satosies. for hundreds of years they manage
1:31:06
trillions of dollars it seems like a
1:31:09
very reputable incredible institution. Do you think
1:31:11
there'll be I got this is just
1:31:13
a gut feeling that there will be
1:31:15
the first ETF that will have an
1:31:18
in-kind distribution? Like out of the fun.
1:31:20
Let you take the Bitcoin. I don't
1:31:22
know if any UTFs ever going to
1:31:24
do that you think that's I think
1:31:26
Fidelity is going to do that to
1:31:29
be more competitive Maybe if that's part
1:31:31
of their wealth management business and getting
1:31:33
people to I know that they offer
1:31:35
They offer real Bitcoin they offer real
1:31:38
Bitcoin to their real Bitcoin to their
1:31:40
real Bitcoin They offer real Bitcoin to
1:31:42
their high net worth individuals and they're
1:31:44
very pro Bitcoin and have been for
1:31:46
a long time so maybe that's a
1:31:49
way to that's a way to that
1:31:51
for a not going to close But
1:31:53
then after you really... I wonder if
1:31:55
they could offer it just to people
1:31:57
to have X amount of dollars. Sure,
1:32:00
some sort of limiting factor. Yeah. And
1:32:02
it might even be like you can
1:32:04
get Bitcoin, but you can't take it
1:32:06
out of Fidelity. I would think that
1:32:09
would, you know, I don't know. I
1:32:11
don't know. Because, I mean, my friend
1:32:13
who's a high net worth client in
1:32:15
Fidelity, he can take it straight into
1:32:17
self-cost. Oh, okay. No, but I mean
1:32:20
from the fund? from the ETS. No,
1:32:22
no, no. Right. So I don't know
1:32:24
if they'll allow that. I mean, who
1:32:26
knows what kind of. I've only heard
1:32:28
through hearsay, but basically he's, he has
1:32:31
a multi-sig with them where they have
1:32:33
two keys, he has one, but it
1:32:35
can be shifted to where he maintains
1:32:37
two keys and they have one, though,
1:32:40
you are at the point where you're
1:32:42
like. you are your 100% counterparty risk
1:32:44
because if you can put you can
1:32:46
screw yourself. Yeah, it's really interesting. And
1:32:48
I think the next step for that
1:32:51
too is just in terms of inheritance
1:32:53
and legacy planning. I think that's just
1:32:55
a completely explored area and Bitcoin and
1:32:57
one that's getting more in people's faces
1:32:59
as Bitcoin goes higher up the suddenly
1:33:02
part. Yeah, that's coming in a big
1:33:04
way. maybe didn't care or maybe it
1:33:06
wasn't a big enough part of the
1:33:08
portfolio to be concerned about but I
1:33:11
think for a lot of people now
1:33:13
that if you're basing your family on
1:33:15
it and your legacy and your planning
1:33:17
it's like it's got to make it
1:33:19
there. I just hosted a well no
1:33:22
I don't know were you there we're
1:33:24
at the Naples Wealth Symposium? No. I
1:33:26
hosted a few people Matt McClintock was
1:33:28
one of them on a panel yeah
1:33:30
and talking about estate planning for Bitcoin
1:33:33
and the stuff he's doing is just
1:33:35
phenomenal phenomenal. I mean if you guys
1:33:37
can find clips of him online and
1:33:39
listen to the way he's structuring stuff,
1:33:42
I think Maddie Ice just did an
1:33:44
interview with him not too long ago,
1:33:46
you should definitely have him on your
1:33:48
show. Yeah, it's a good topic. You
1:33:50
know, he's working with mega whales, but
1:33:53
the strategies, the structures can be somewhat
1:33:55
simplified for plubs. And it's just, it's
1:33:57
a good listen. He's really kind of
1:33:59
leading the charge in that front. So
1:34:01
I'm sure there's a lot of people
1:34:04
coming behind him Yeah, I think for
1:34:06
a lot of people it was that
1:34:08
kind of thinking was a little cross
1:34:10
the bridge when we get there kind
1:34:13
of thing for a lot of people
1:34:15
that crossing that bridge. And they're like,
1:34:17
what do I do now? And how
1:34:19
do I handle this? I just had
1:34:21
that discussion when I was in El
1:34:24
Salvador two weeks ago. I just kept
1:34:26
bumping into this couple everywhere I went.
1:34:28
And so we had lunch together and
1:34:30
just came up. And we were just
1:34:32
talking about state planning and what needs
1:34:35
to be done is basic structures for
1:34:37
that. My favorite stories on Twitter are
1:34:39
the guys and girls who were like.
1:34:41
Either talking about how like the little
1:34:44
money they put into bitcoins really changed
1:34:46
their lives now from just even paying
1:34:48
for like a new refrigerator for the
1:34:50
household or some of the more fortunate
1:34:52
people who are like I'm thinking about
1:34:55
quitting my day job that I really
1:34:57
hate and where they just did quit
1:34:59
and they're like I'm gonna do the
1:35:01
side gig that I've always dreamed about
1:35:03
and do it for me. And that's
1:35:06
been really amazing to see those stories.
1:35:08
I really love that topic because well.
1:35:10
Zach, our producer, and I were just
1:35:12
talking about his trip to Europe, right,
1:35:15
and how amazing the architecture was, and
1:35:17
how much of that architecture was built
1:35:19
in the golden era, right, of hard
1:35:21
money, and that we're going back to
1:35:23
that future where you could endow a
1:35:26
child with X amount of Bitcoin that
1:35:28
could sustain them for life, whether they
1:35:30
just borrow against it, they can earn
1:35:32
interest on it, whatever that might be.
1:35:34
and allow them to truly pursue a
1:35:37
passion, a master of whatever thing motivates
1:35:39
them, whatever their mission is in life,
1:35:41
right? And that's how we got such
1:35:43
great innovation and such beautiful architecture and
1:35:46
amazing art during the hard money era.
1:35:48
And if we're going back, I think
1:35:50
we're going back there from a vision
1:35:52
of... Or with the power of technology
1:35:54
also, right? So I think the things
1:35:57
that humans are going to create over
1:35:59
the next hundred years are going to
1:36:01
be mind-blowing. And again, I think this
1:36:03
all starts next quarter. The transition, meaning
1:36:05
the disruption, Donald Trump's massively a massive
1:36:08
disruptor, and if anybody can handle the
1:36:10
heat of everybody hating on him because
1:36:12
it's not immediately fixed, he's the guy.
1:36:14
So he's going to be totally comfortable
1:36:17
reconstructing America, and then I think coming
1:36:19
out of that, we're going to then
1:36:21
be on a course for 100 years
1:36:23
of innovation and progress into a future
1:36:25
that we can even imagine. All funded
1:36:28
by this new hard asset. So it's
1:36:30
like the Golden Age 2.0 America 2.0
1:36:32
And I'm so excited for for my
1:36:34
kids, right? Wasn't that way 10 years
1:36:36
ago 10 years ago. I was like
1:36:39
You know, fuck have fun now because
1:36:41
who knows what the future looks like
1:36:43
But now that's totally changed that
1:36:45
perspective has totally changed and I
1:36:48
think we're on an awesome trajectory
1:36:50
and I tell them all the
1:36:52
time when they get worried about
1:36:54
all these things for happening in
1:36:57
the world You're actually
1:36:59
be be happy. You're dealing with this
1:37:01
now Because that means we're bottoming and
1:37:03
we're going to be going into an
1:37:06
amazing future So hopefully that that gives
1:37:08
people some hope. Yeah, I mean we
1:37:10
all dream of Multigenerable wealth generational wealth
1:37:13
and and creating a legacy and being
1:37:15
able to I mean for me. It's
1:37:17
I'm The real dream is fantasy is
1:37:20
multi-generational wealth. The real dream is just
1:37:22
being able to be there for my
1:37:24
kids in very practical and pragmatic ways
1:37:27
and help them and give them opportunities
1:37:29
as best I can. I do wonder
1:37:31
though like if great wealth is achieved
1:37:34
by Bitcoiners, right? And some Bitcoin children
1:37:36
might get like a great inheritance when
1:37:38
they're like 28 or 34 and be
1:37:41
able to like... focus after they've been
1:37:43
well raised and all that they focus
1:37:45
on maybe things that they're more passionate
1:37:47
about. But I wonder about kids who
1:37:50
maybe get great wealth of like 18
1:37:52
and like do they really go follow
1:37:54
their like or do they just like
1:37:57
because most wealth that gets passed on
1:37:59
like you know first generation works really
1:38:01
hard. Sure. The second generation saw that
1:38:04
and so they kind of work as
1:38:06
hard as they can but a little
1:38:08
less but they saw and then the
1:38:11
third generation didn't see any of the
1:38:13
hard work of the first generation and
1:38:15
wants to extract all the wealth and
1:38:18
use it. I can tell you from
1:38:20
having worked in in financial management and
1:38:22
wealth management and trust company, meeting with
1:38:25
families with their kids in attendance, every
1:38:27
family's different. Every kid is different, right?
1:38:29
And so you can have two identical,
1:38:32
I mean, you have the parents raise
1:38:34
two kids exactly the same way, but
1:38:36
two totally different personalities. One kid could
1:38:39
be different at different ages. Yes, yeah,
1:38:41
it's like, it's so, you can't plan
1:38:43
that, but you can't, all I can
1:38:46
tell you is that from what I
1:38:48
have seen, work and what I've seen
1:38:50
be successful is people. really taking the
1:38:53
time to get their children involved. I
1:38:55
think the, and what I mean by
1:38:57
that getting them involved is like, okay,
1:39:00
hey, we have this responsibility. This is
1:39:02
a family responsibility. You need to be
1:39:04
present. You need to be thinking about
1:39:07
this. You need to start making decisions,
1:39:09
giving them sort of ownership and. You
1:39:11
know a vote a say getting them
1:39:14
involved because the people that don't that
1:39:16
just Just like hey, I don't want
1:39:18
to tell you anything I don't want
1:39:20
my kids know how much I have
1:39:23
I don't want the kids to know
1:39:25
this or know that and then they'll
1:39:27
just get it It's a 50-50. It's
1:39:30
what who is that personality that's receiving
1:39:32
this money versus? Having them being involved
1:39:34
in the process for 20-30 years before
1:39:37
you die and then Maybe it becomes
1:39:39
evident to Joney and Jody that Joney's
1:39:41
better with money and says Jody goes,
1:39:44
you know, yeah, I mean, you know
1:39:46
I mean you had the opportunity We're
1:39:48
all there. We're all witnessing it like
1:39:51
mass transparency Dealing with hard realities and
1:39:53
There in a family that's just like
1:39:55
very honest with what that is so
1:39:58
that you don't get because I mean,
1:40:00
these kids that inherit some
1:40:02
of this money where there's
1:40:04
so much hatred and resent
1:40:06
between the two. Oh, you know,
1:40:08
so and so has all the control
1:40:10
and they're not giving me my money
1:40:13
and I know they're screwing me
1:40:15
and that goes beyond the money,
1:40:17
right? That started years ago.
1:40:19
So I don't know, it's an
1:40:21
undertaking. Running your family is
1:40:23
like running a business. Yeah, I'm
1:40:25
running a business like running
1:40:27
your family out of the
1:40:30
other. You most they start
1:40:32
off as cost centers before
1:40:34
they become profit centers. It
1:40:36
takes a long time. That's
1:40:38
your goal. R&D. Yes, exactly
1:40:40
right. G and A expense
1:40:42
and H.R. That's the goal.
1:40:44
That's the goal. R&D. Yes,
1:40:47
exactly right. G and A
1:40:49
expense and H.R. That's the
1:40:51
goal. G and A expense
1:40:53
and H. And some kids
1:40:55
are the executive committee and other kids
1:40:57
are the builders and other kids are
1:41:00
the compliance officer. So it's like, what
1:41:02
is your kid good at? What's their
1:41:04
personality type? Where can you fit them
1:41:07
into the family structure so that they
1:41:09
add value? And then how can you
1:41:11
make each or have each separate child
1:41:14
realize that the other ones providing value
1:41:16
they can't? provide. So that it becomes
1:41:18
like a business as opposed to like,
1:41:20
well, you're always just fucking off and
1:41:23
you're always surfing or you're always doing
1:41:25
whatever and I do have to do
1:41:27
everything for you and creating all that
1:41:30
resentment. Yeah, that's not easy. Yeah, well,
1:41:32
it's tough of like one kid that's
1:41:34
got the skills of a janitor and
1:41:36
no disinjanitors, but he wants to be
1:41:39
the CEO. Yes. You know, the ego
1:41:41
is getting involved, you know, with the
1:41:43
kids, but that is what it's all about. I
1:41:45
do. I do.
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