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0:00
Welcome to Live from the
0:02
Table, the official podcast for
0:04
the world-famous comedy cellar. I'm
0:06
Pariel, the producer of the show.
0:08
I'm here with Noam Dorman, the
0:10
owner of the comedy cellar. and
0:13
we have a very special guest
0:15
recurring guest Nick Gillespie editor at
0:17
large at Reason the libertarian magazine
0:19
of free minds and free markets
0:22
I like being recurring it's I
0:24
feel like herpes we well we like
0:26
you a little bit more than we
0:28
like herpes well you know we
0:31
all have herpes right this is
0:33
dormant like if you had chicken
0:35
pox or something like the herpes
0:38
virus and unprotected sex of course
0:40
never never and he is
0:42
also the host of the
0:44
reason interview with Nick Gillespie.
0:46
Thank you. Welcome to our show.
0:48
I will if I can just start
0:51
off out of the gate plugging
0:53
my own show I just released
0:55
a great episode. It comes out
0:57
on Wednesday, so whenever this comes
0:59
out, but with the novelist Lee
1:02
Stein and Julius Toronto talking about
1:04
whether or not we can do
1:06
satire anymore in America, because not
1:08
because we're not allowed to, but
1:11
because things are just so fucking
1:13
crazy. You know, like if... Truth
1:15
is stranger than satire. Yeah, and
1:18
there's a famous essay by Philip
1:20
Roth in commentary in 1961, where
1:22
he's like, you know... You know, he was
1:24
talking about like Charles Van Doren, you know,
1:26
the Columbia professor who cheated on the Game
1:28
Show 21. That got made into the movie
1:31
quiz show and stuff and he's like, you
1:33
know, you just can't keep up with this
1:35
kind of crazy reality. And it's like, Philip
1:37
Roth, you had no idea what America was
1:39
going to look like, you know, 60 years
1:41
later. Parial is blushing because she almost
1:44
slept with Philip Roth. Oh really? What
1:46
happened? It's a long story. You can read
1:48
about it. I don't want to take up
1:50
the episode, but it's a chapter in
1:52
my last book. Oh, really? Okay, that's
1:54
great. You know, the woman who wrote
1:56
Asymmetry got like a National Book Award
1:58
out of sleeping with film. Well, I
2:00
was trying to get a national book
2:03
award by sleeping with him, but
2:05
it didn't quite work out that
2:07
way. How could you not? It's
2:09
when he found out you were
2:11
Jewish, he's like, okay, now? Yeah,
2:13
he had no idea. She was
2:15
Jewish. He was pounding liver. I
2:17
think it was actually when she
2:19
started talking. That's not true. Some
2:21
people actually enjoy my company to talk
2:24
to me. So when you sat down,
2:26
you told me we were just
2:28
like chatting about the local New York
2:30
elections. Yeah. Anthony Wiener is running
2:33
to be my local city council. It's
2:35
not yours, isn't it, isn't it, at
2:37
the East Village or... The district runs
2:40
all the way here. Yeah, I was
2:42
on Mike Pesca's podcast with him
2:44
and I hate to sound like we're
2:46
in the old Tonight Show or something,
2:49
some crappy Hollywood circle jerk, but... Yeah,
2:51
Wiener, you know what, I think Wiener
2:53
is pretty sociopathic, which is not necessarily
2:55
bad in a politician, but when I
2:57
was on like the first thing he
3:00
did out of the gate is like
3:02
you knucklelehead, like he was, you know,
3:04
you know, nagging me, nagging me, and...
3:06
Anthony Wiener is a kind of pure
3:09
gain of function version of a New
3:11
Yorker where even if you agree with
3:13
him he just has to attack
3:15
you and you know he's a
3:17
function for he's a horrible You
3:19
know it has a horrible personal
3:21
matter a manner and manner and
3:24
I think he's probably won his
3:26
last election Did you think that before
3:28
you met him in person? You know
3:30
what I had followed him on TV
3:32
back when he was a congressman and
3:34
you know all the bright-bart stuff and
3:36
all of that stuff was coming out
3:38
and I had always he had always
3:40
struck me on Gab shows and I
3:42
think he would go on Fox as
3:44
well as like CNN or MSMBC and
3:47
what I liked about him is that
3:49
he was willing to argue with people
3:51
which is good you know and and
3:53
he has a deafen point of view
3:55
and he's not He's not a super
3:57
identity politics progressive. No, he's not which
3:59
is good but he is a noxious
4:01
kind of human being i think and
4:03
it he raises a lot of interesting
4:06
questions in in the context of the
4:08
show we were talking he brought up
4:10
the fact that in the new york
4:13
mayor's race you know there's at least
4:15
three of the candidates uh... scot stringer
4:17
eric Adams and uh... androquimo all have
4:19
you know either have uh... sexual assault
4:22
charges or impropriety charges against them that
4:24
were either you know taking seriously or
4:26
not and he pointed out which is
4:29
a kind of clever move you know
4:31
that he he paid his time literally
4:33
you know he did hard time by
4:35
the way so so just you know
4:38
i i i've met Anthony Wiener i
4:40
didn't know him until i don't six
4:42
months ago he when you picked up
4:45
your daughter's cell phone no no no
4:47
no no no no no no no
4:49
no no no no no when he
4:51
contacted me because he's running for office
4:54
here and I and I met with
4:56
him you know I mean this kind
4:58
of a pugnacious personality that you that
5:01
you're describing. I enjoyed that, you know,
5:03
I liked him in post somewhere after
5:05
this event. He's like the burp that
5:07
you have after eating a dishwater dog
5:10
on the sidewalk. Oh my God, you're
5:12
harsh. No, well, I mean, that's just
5:14
who he is and he doesn't hold
5:17
up. You know what's interesting and because
5:19
I would love to talk about the
5:21
New York City Mayor's race a little
5:23
bit, but in New York. their you
5:26
know ideology is less should be less
5:28
important but the more local the race
5:30
right and one of the things that
5:33
was that's frustrating about somebody like weener
5:35
who recognizes that the democrats you know
5:37
have fallen out of favor and that
5:39
that may only be for a couple
5:42
more months really until the midterms and
5:44
you know the republicans nationally are doing
5:46
everything they can to lose whatever advantages
5:49
they have uh... but you know when
5:51
you'll be like yeah we have to
5:53
fix things we have to change things
5:55
and then it's like okay well you
5:58
know what should we do about social
6:00
security absolutely nothing medicare nothing you know
6:02
everything is we shouldn't do anything other
6:05
than tax rich people more and give
6:07
more stuff to more people and to
6:09
me that is unbelievably frustrating to be
6:11
in those conversations where we went from
6:14
in 2019 at the federal level spending
6:16
4.4 trillion dollars to now we're going
6:18
to spend 7.2 trillion dollars this year
6:21
under a conservative Republican who's doging the
6:23
government and stuff like that and there's
6:25
just something fucked up if you can't
6:27
figure out How do you get back
6:30
close, if not below, $4.4 trillion, which
6:32
at the time was a record amount
6:34
of money that was being spent? So
6:37
let me just say, you know, it's
6:39
not my place to tell a guest
6:41
what they, you know, shouldn't say about
6:44
even people that I have friendships with.
6:46
I'm not a good friend of Anthony
6:48
Wiener, but we know each other and,
6:50
you know, the things that he got
6:53
in trouble for are quite serious. And
6:55
I told him that on the show
6:57
here. You know, I've had to process
7:00
it, but he did his time, he
7:02
did hard time, not minimum security time,
7:04
he did two years, and then afterwards
7:06
worked like a job that was only
7:09
for like ex-cons. And he's been very
7:11
forthright about it, and I do, one
7:13
part of me says, yes, people have
7:16
done their time, that should be the
7:18
end of it. Another part of me
7:20
can't be dishonest, and we know that
7:22
certain crimes which are based on kind
7:25
of a personal pathologies are not just,
7:27
you know. They can recur. But he
7:29
said he goes for regular counseling and
7:32
he calls himself an addict and you
7:34
know, to the extent that you, however
7:36
you'd want somebody like him to behave,
7:38
I think he's doing that. And so
7:41
I, um. I agree with that. And
7:43
now, you know, he spoke on this
7:45
show about, you know, being in recovery.
7:48
and whatnot and he seems to take
7:50
it seriously does you know and by
7:52
the way there you know one thing
7:54
you were talking about like you know
7:57
we we assume that sex crimes are
7:59
categorically different than other crimes there is
8:01
actually very little criminal logical sociological data
8:04
that actually backs that up. It's considered
8:06
true, but people like Thomas Saz, the
8:08
great psychiatrist, who was a critic of
8:10
psychiatry, and the medicalization of everyday life,
8:13
he was a long time contributing editor
8:15
to reason, wrote a lot about that
8:17
as did others. And it turns out
8:20
that that's actually not true, which should
8:22
be a relief to people. And you
8:24
know, none of this means you don't
8:26
prosecute sex crimes, you know, rapidly and
8:29
effectively and all of that. You know,
8:31
if he's in, if he's taking, you
8:33
know, recovery seriously and all of that,
8:36
there's no reason to worry about him
8:38
with that. I mean, the harder questions
8:40
come, like, what do you do in
8:42
New York City? What are, you know,
8:45
what are the pressing issues and how
8:47
do you fix them? Because we have
8:49
an insane amount of, you know, of
8:52
political gridlock in the, in the, in
8:54
the, lived and worked in and then
8:56
moved away from and came back to
8:58
and it's frustrating. And when you look
9:01
at the mayor's race, you know, it's
9:03
just kind of like, holy cow, this
9:05
is, you know, this is not good.
9:08
So Wiener, you know, comes across in
9:10
this atmosphere, he comes across as a
9:12
right of center New York candidate. And,
9:14
you know, as a business owner, I
9:17
want to support the most right wing
9:19
local candidate. That there is when you
9:21
when you say right wing you mean
9:24
somebody who's pro business or somebody's pro
9:26
business Yeah, not the most right wing
9:28
Well, not maybe not most right right
9:30
wing on a national election or something
9:33
in terms of what's what's realistic in
9:35
a New York City election. Yeah to
9:37
be in the running, he is the
9:40
most right-wing guy we're going to get.
9:42
Is he going to win? Does he?
9:44
I don't think there's any really credible
9:46
polling, but he's out there apparently every
9:49
day shaking hands, whatever it is. People
9:51
are forgiving. I've spoken to people and
9:53
I spoke to like Tiano over here
9:56
and just people waitresses work for me
9:58
and stuff like that and they were
10:00
like, yeah, I could vote for a
10:03
guy. even though they knew what happened,
10:05
which was interesting to me. And so
10:07
maybe he will, with name recognition in
10:09
a local election, is very, very important.
10:12
And he is a winning. People like
10:14
him. You know, they do. Yeah, I'm
10:16
not sure of that. You know, you
10:19
know, why? Because that kind of in
10:21
your face, like, you know, right of
10:23
the box, he's like, you know, somebody's
10:25
electricating him and he's in your face.
10:28
I don't know if people like that.
10:30
I mean, I don't like it particularly
10:32
and I think I have a thicker
10:35
skin than a lot of people. But,
10:37
you know, ultimately what it comes down
10:39
to is like... Okay, what are you
10:41
going to do about the rats and
10:44
the garbage and how are you going
10:46
to make it easier for more? This
10:48
gets complicated very quickly, especially in a
10:51
place that's like the, you know, the
10:53
West, the, you know, Greenwich Village or
10:55
East Village or whatever, when you say,
10:57
how do we make it easier for
11:00
people to live here? How do we
11:02
make rents cheaper? And then people are
11:04
like pissed off because I don't want
11:07
anybody else living here. You know, it's,
11:09
I just came back from a trip.
11:11
to Austin, Texas, where Reason Magazine, you
11:13
know, where I work, had an annual
11:16
donor event. We have them in different
11:18
cities every year, and this time it
11:20
was in Austin. And before that was
11:23
a couple of colleagues, we were doing
11:25
a documentary about how Austin has had
11:27
massive growth, you know, really over the
11:29
past 50 years, but since COVID, like
11:32
a lot of people when the lockdown
11:34
started, they moved to Austin. Rents went
11:36
up and then Miracle of Miracles, the
11:39
city council and Texas at the state
11:41
level and there's county, you know, government,
11:43
they all were like, okay, we're going
11:45
to make it easier for developers to
11:48
build housing. And rents now are lower
11:50
than they were at, you know, right
11:52
after COVID when people started pouring into
11:55
the city. And it was amazing, like
11:57
you can imagine this, it's like New
11:59
Yorkers. when you go to people in
12:01
a city and you're saying like you
12:04
know the you know what's the secret
12:06
here runs grown down and it's like
12:08
well you know Nick it's like this
12:11
and this is left wingers and right
12:13
wingers and libertarians and you know left-wing
12:15
anarchists you know and homeless people you
12:17
know everybody there seems to be on
12:20
amphetamines the homeless people are really you
12:22
know in New York yeah they're kind
12:24
of low-key and fentanyl and in Texas
12:27
they are just really you know on
12:29
a lot of uppers but every one
12:31
of them just said Nick you know
12:33
here's you know this sit down because
12:36
this is kind of complicated but it's
12:38
like if more if there's more demand
12:40
for housing and then you build more
12:43
housing the prices go down and i
12:45
was like wow that it is amazing
12:47
that like no other city seriously like
12:49
no other big city has thought of
12:52
that so what do you what do
12:54
you make of this whole new Ezra
12:56
Klein movement to that it's like it's
12:59
like they discovered yeah the most they
13:01
elementary rules yeah well you're right it
13:03
is you know part of me is
13:06
like you know i love this stuff
13:08
and I loved it, you know, even
13:10
more when I read it in Reason
13:12
50 years ago or 25 years ago
13:15
or 20 years ago, but more, you
13:17
know, just, you know, without any reservations
13:19
or anything, I think it is great
13:22
to see people who identify as progressive,
13:24
saying, you know, that, you know, what
13:26
we're talking about here constantly are problems
13:28
in supply. rather than demand. And to
13:31
say, instead of being like, oh, well,
13:33
you know what we got to do
13:35
is like we have to make it
13:38
so people, you know, people don't want
13:40
as much health care, people don't want
13:42
as much housing, people don't want as
13:44
much education, because it's too expensive, and
13:47
instead of focusing on those old things
13:49
and trying to distribute things through the
13:51
government, you know, they're saying, okay, we
13:54
need to think about supply, and maximize
13:56
supply of everything. I think that's great.
13:58
So I like, you know, that they're
14:00
focused on this and that they're talking
14:03
about this. I'm uncomfortable. There are solutions
14:05
tend to be too top-down for me
14:07
and too technical. It's just that the
14:10
government is going to be very involved
14:12
with saying, okay, you can build this,
14:14
but not this. And, you know... you
14:16
know, these people get first crack. It's
14:19
just things like that. I mean, you,
14:21
we need to become Promesian. Again, I
14:23
think, you know, we need to be
14:26
stealing fire from the gods. And within
14:28
politics and outside of politics, like we
14:30
just need to become less governable and
14:32
let things go. I mean, in Austin.
14:35
I just said that to Corin in
14:37
the last hour. I said, you used
14:39
to be the Wild West and it
14:42
was good. Yeah. I mean, and it's,
14:44
you know, rules are there. I didn't
14:46
say for meathian, but the same way.
14:48
Okay. Now, actually, Wild West is better,
14:51
right? Like, who am I try to
14:53
impress? And, yeah, you know, it, we
14:55
need, one of the things that's fascinating
14:58
in Austin is that, you know, there's
15:00
the city of Austin, and then it's
15:02
within Travis County, and there's a bunch
15:04
of other counties around there, but in
15:07
most of these places, in unincorporated, And
15:09
so like there's a big chunk of
15:11
land and a developer can go and
15:14
as long as they get certain basic
15:16
permits and they build the infrastructure you
15:18
know the roads going in and out
15:20
and the sewers and the water and
15:23
all of that like they can do
15:25
what they want and God that's like
15:27
kind of amazing and in Texas I've
15:30
been thinking about this a lot because
15:32
I lived in Texas in the 90s.
15:34
I lived in the prison town in
15:36
Texas, Huntsville where the death chamber is.
15:39
And it was, you know, a weird...
15:41
Gary Gilmore was... No, now he was
15:43
out in Utah. He might have killed
15:46
people in Texas. He was a very
15:48
good driver. I loved those, you know,
15:50
those kind of serial killers who read
15:52
on the road because like Ted Bundy,
15:55
you know, he was in like Florida
15:57
and Washington State. It's like, you know,
15:59
you know, they really put a really
16:02
put a lot of a lot of
16:04
a lot of miles a lot of
16:06
miles on. But in Texas, unlike places
16:08
like California where I've lived in Florida
16:11
where I visited a fair amount, and
16:13
I guess Florida is a different, sorry,
16:15
or New York where I live, like
16:18
in Texas, they're like, you know what,
16:20
we got a lot of land. And
16:22
like the buildings can never reach up
16:25
to blot out the sun. So it's
16:27
like, let's just start building more. bigger,
16:29
higher, taller. And that's kind of exciting.
16:31
I mean, you know, I'm a second
16:34
generation, born in America, or third generation,
16:36
second generation, whatever that is. And like
16:38
the whole reason, you know, I kept
16:41
hearing about why people came here was
16:43
because you could build stuff that you
16:45
couldn't do in like old Europe. You
16:47
know, and in New York, I mean,
16:50
you know, the way my parents talked
16:52
about New York in the, you know,
16:54
30s, 40s, 50s, especially, you could really,
16:57
you know, take big swings and like
16:59
build stuff out and just do what
17:01
you want it. And if you couldn't
17:03
do it in New York, then you
17:06
would go west and do it. State
17:08
where it's like you can't really do
17:10
anything. I was just reading a story
17:13
today You know the Pacific Palisades fires
17:15
and the mayor Karen Bass who is
17:17
Ridiculous and Gavin Newsome You know they
17:19
both were like okay. You know what
17:22
we're going to do now that you
17:24
know this whole part of Southern California
17:26
burned down. We're going to suspend all
17:29
of the normal bullshit that we require
17:31
Since then they've only approved four permits
17:33
in Pacific Palisades for houses, and it's
17:35
like okay. Well you're done people are
17:38
going to move to Texas where in
17:40
the time, you know, they leave LA
17:42
and drive to Austin like there'll be
17:45
a complex, you know, that has like
17:47
50 apartment, you know, apartment center or
17:49
something. Yeah, I mean, they talk about
17:51
reforming things and there is part of
17:54
this, it is, you know, when Elon
17:56
Musk has that chainsaw. Yeah, yeah. I'm
17:58
not a fan at all. I know
18:01
you're not either of, and I want
18:03
to talk about how the Trump administration
18:05
has been behaving itself. Yeah. But yeah,
18:07
the chainsaw is not a bad metaphor.
18:10
It is not a bad image for
18:12
what needs to be done. Yeah, he
18:14
kind of got that from Javier Malay,
18:17
the Argentine president. Who you're a fan
18:19
of. Yeah, yeah, I like a lot
18:21
so far. I mean, I don't, you
18:23
know, I have to admit I don't
18:26
fully understand the intricacies of Argentina. politics.
18:28
You don't know I know I've been
18:30
I'm faking it all these years but
18:33
you know he came around with a
18:35
chainsaw and you know and I think
18:37
in the past people like Ram Paul
18:39
might have shot did he use a
18:42
chainsaw or like a wood chipper or
18:44
he might have shot you know like
18:46
regulations like a stack of regulations things
18:49
like that but yeah I mean part
18:51
of it is you can spend your
18:53
whole life trying to fix things in
18:55
the place you are. or you can
18:58
like light out for the territory and
19:00
build on a kind of blank landscape.
19:02
And I don't know. Do you think
19:05
that as recline and all these Democrats
19:07
and liberals who have found the new
19:09
religion, do you think that would have
19:11
happened if Trump hadn't won? Yeah, I
19:14
do in this sense that Klein and
19:16
his co-author, Derek Thompson of the Atlantic,
19:18
had been working on this. kind of
19:21
material along with somebody like Matt Iglesias
19:23
who I believe actually grew up in
19:25
the village. Yeah. But you know, they
19:27
have, you know, they've been working towards
19:30
these ideas for a while. So, you
19:32
know, that's good. And I mean, to
19:34
me, the, in a lot of ways,
19:37
I mean, I'm a hardcore libertarian reasons,
19:39
you know, where the magazine of free
19:41
minds and free markets, we like civil
19:44
liberties and economic liberties and think they're
19:46
all together, you know, part of the
19:48
same thing and so you know we
19:50
like the idea of just if you
19:53
can dream it you can do it
19:55
as long as you're not you know
19:57
objectively hurting somebody else or stealing from
20:00
them, you know, within very large parameters.
20:02
And I think it's good to see
20:04
people that identify as being either liberal
20:06
or leftist starting to come to those
20:09
conclusions. You know, the guy who is
20:11
now the president of the nation, you
20:13
know, one of the oldest magazines in
20:16
the country and a very left-wing magazine,
20:18
Baskar Sankara, he found a Jacobin, a
20:20
socialist magazine, and he's, you know, he's
20:22
an ideological character. but he even calls
20:25
himself a market socialist. So, you know,
20:27
what he wants is a society that
20:29
is fairer and more kind of egalitarian,
20:32
but even he will say, you know,
20:34
in a lot of most cases, the
20:36
way you get there is through markets
20:38
and making sure people can participate in
20:41
them. So tell our, since it's related
20:43
to this, tell our audience who doesn't
20:45
understand it, because it is complicated, why
20:48
are tariffs such a bad idea? Yeah,
20:50
I'm presuming you think they're bad. Yeah,
20:52
I do. The worst. Yeah. I don't
20:54
know if they're the worst, but no
20:57
redeeming. No redeeming. Yeah, that's that's a
20:59
great way to put it. There's really
21:01
no social or cultural or scientific redeeming
21:04
value. What is the for porn? where
21:06
it's like the the test for porn
21:08
if you know a work part has
21:10
no no it has like no artistic
21:13
or social cultural man all it feels
21:15
like sure for it's interesting yeah I
21:17
mean tariffs the thing to understand about
21:20
tariffs is that they are a tax
21:22
that is you know that is not
21:24
levied on the producer the exporter you
21:26
know the the guy in China who's
21:29
sending stuff here, it is a tax
21:31
that is levied on the importer of
21:33
that, which then ends up being passed
21:36
on to the consumer. So it raises
21:38
our prices. Now let me just stop
21:40
you there because... Does 100% of that
21:42
price get passed along or does the
21:45
guy in China lower his prices? Sometimes
21:47
it all varies, right? And it varies
21:49
on a lot of things, but it's
21:52
definitely an increase. And you know, because
21:54
somebody's got to eat that somewhere and
21:56
it might be, you know, sometimes the
21:58
guy in China will... you know we'll
22:01
come up with a better way to
22:03
produce stuff so he can you know
22:05
he's got a fatter profit margin that
22:08
the tariff eats into because it's got
22:10
to lower his price to get it
22:12
in so it it costs less in
22:14
America sometimes it's the the importer will
22:17
eat eat some of the costs But
22:19
ultimately it ends up, you know, it
22:21
ends up increasing prices and those are
22:24
mostly borne by the consumer. And you
22:26
could imagine. Okay. And then I was,
22:28
you know, I was just going to
22:30
say that it has the effect, you
22:33
know, the intended effect is that if
22:35
terrorists are high enough and people know
22:37
they're high enough and they're going to
22:40
be around for a while, then the
22:42
argument is that, well, we'll start producing
22:44
these things that we were going to
22:46
import to import. because it's cheaper. That
22:49
is not nearly often the case. And
22:51
it's also partly because tariffs, people figure
22:53
out ways to get around them, or
22:56
they substitute products and goods and things
22:58
like that. And one of the other
23:00
bad things that happens is if you're
23:03
in a protectionist marketplace. You, as a
23:05
producer, you tend not to be as
23:07
competitive because you know that the government,
23:09
you know, or that nobody can compete
23:12
with you, so you have less competition.
23:14
The, you know, the classic case of
23:16
this was the... The auto industry in
23:19
the 70s. Yeah, I was going to
23:21
say the big three or big two
23:23
and a half auto manufacturers. where there
23:25
were heavy tariffs on imported cars, you
23:28
know, both high end and low end.
23:30
And, you know, this stuff never really
23:32
affects the high end because people who
23:35
are buying high end products can pay
23:37
more if they want. But it wasn't
23:39
simply that the US auto companies were
23:41
caught by surprise when tariffs started to
23:44
decline. But it was also that they
23:46
had like baked into their production processes
23:48
and their design processes and their labor
23:51
contracts, just so much inefficiency, because they
23:53
didn't have to work that hard for
23:55
sales. Yeah, I remember my father when
23:57
he first got a Toyota, it was
24:00
a revelation to him. He was like,
24:02
I can't believe it. Like if it
24:04
was an American car, the window thing,
24:07
the render regular will be falling off
24:09
by now. when the arm rest would
24:11
be falling off and he says, look,
24:13
the door is closed properly. He couldn't
24:16
believe that you could make a car
24:18
like this. And then sure enough, the
24:20
American car has got much, much better.
24:23
Oh yeah, yeah. And also, you know,
24:25
the other thing is worth thinking about
24:27
is like, what is an American car?
24:29
Because a lot of it is, you
24:32
know, a part of it is built
24:34
overseas or in Canada or Mexico or
24:36
Mexico. But here's my question. I could
24:39
imagine. in China and America where wages
24:41
are so much lower attack everything is
24:43
just cheaper cheaper it could be profoundly
24:45
different it could be it could cost
24:48
them 30% of what it costs an
24:50
American company to think about like with
24:52
avocados in Mexico you know they're so
24:55
cheap it's cheaper to like important avocados
24:57
from Mexico and ship them to New
24:59
York than to you to grow them
25:01
in Florida or California. So wait, wait,
25:04
so it's so it's much much cheaper
25:06
in China. And then I don't really
25:08
know if China has a free market
25:11
such that there's competition between two companies
25:13
in China making that item. So then
25:15
they can raise the price, you know,
25:17
just a little bit below what the
25:20
American guy can make it. And we
25:22
have our units and all like that.
25:24
And then they make a killing. The
25:27
Chinese company makes a killing. Actually, it's
25:29
not all passed on. Some small or
25:31
some percentage is passed on to the
25:33
American consumer. But a huge part of
25:36
it is going in the pocket of
25:38
a Chinese businessman. And I think I
25:40
know the answer to this, but I'm
25:43
asking it's also, because this is how
25:45
people are trying to understand this question.
25:47
And what is wrong with us saying,
25:49
well, you know what? We're going to
25:52
take a chunk of that money. Who's
25:54
we and the American government? We're going
25:56
to get revenue from that. Yeah, and
25:59
then what are they going to do
26:01
with that revenue? I mean, so you
26:03
know if you're a consumer, I don't
26:06
I don't service the deficit. Yeah, you
26:08
know that they're increasing because they're you
26:10
know, we're spending 7.2 trillion dollars instead
26:12
of 4.4 trillion or trillion dollars or
26:15
whatever. But is there something to that?
26:17
I mean the idea is that you
26:19
will raise, you know, and I'm trying
26:22
to remember now what the estimates are
26:24
on this round of, you know, of
26:26
goods like say it's, you know, you
26:28
know, hundreds of billions of dollars a
26:31
year, that one, it may not end
26:33
up being that much. Oftentimes these things
26:35
are over, the estimates are overly generous.
26:38
Every time somebody says I'm raising a
26:40
tax or I'm cutting a tax, it's
26:42
going to, you know, they always oversell
26:44
it for whatever reason. But then, you
26:47
know, the idea that the U.S. government
26:49
knows better what to do with money
26:51
that they take from American consumers. The
26:54
idea was we're going to use tariffs
26:56
to pay for the tax cuts the
26:58
extension of the of the Trump and
27:00
Republican tax cuts that got passed in
27:03
2017 or 18 and You know that
27:05
remains to be seen because like you
27:07
just don't You there you could tariff
27:10
everything and you're not going to get
27:12
enough money to make up for the
27:14
cost of those other tax cuts and
27:16
I like tax cuts. I think we
27:19
you know, I think we we pay
27:21
too much in taxes and we spend
27:23
too much, but I also think that
27:26
we need to pay for the government
27:28
that we're actually having. And this is
27:30
one of the things that happened, you
27:32
know, really it started in its modern
27:35
form under George W. Bush who inherited
27:37
a balanced budget. And it was a
27:39
balanced budget that had been balanced by
27:42
Bill Clinton and a Republican Congress. And
27:44
then they blew out everything by just
27:46
borrowing wildly. That continued under Obama, continued
27:48
under Trump 1.0, it continued under Bush,
27:51
or Biden rather, and it's probably going
27:53
to continue under Trump, you know, in
27:55
a second term. So it's not like
27:58
we're taking any of this new revenue
28:00
and actually using it to retire. the
28:02
debt or to cut, you know, really
28:04
cut taxes in a way that is
28:07
sustainable. Have you thought about if you
28:09
were emperor and you could reshape the
28:11
budget as you wish and without causing
28:14
any more hardship than you wish to
28:16
cause, you know, whatever health care you
28:18
want to give, whatever social security you
28:20
want to do, how much smaller you
28:23
think you could make the budget? Yeah,
28:25
I mean, you know, this is me
28:27
kind of already giving up. But to
28:30
say, you know what, maybe we should
28:32
be able to go back to the
28:34
2019 level, that's before COVID, right? So,
28:36
okay, you know. And we all know.
28:39
Why not 1992 level? I don't know.
28:41
I'm going to say, yeah. I'm just
28:43
saying as an easy thing to say,
28:46
like, you know, it shouldn't be that
28:48
hard to go from, you know, back
28:50
to $4.4 trillion. That's a starting point
28:52
and then. Cutting you know or stopping
28:55
growth and have us grow if we
28:57
grow the economy, you know, whatever we're
28:59
spending as government is less For me,
29:02
the big things, and you know, the
29:04
big drivers of spending at this point,
29:06
and something like 75% of the budget,
29:08
I started writing about federal budget issues
29:11
in the early 2000s, and this is
29:13
already boring me, so I apologize. No,
29:15
for this, but it's, you know, back
29:18
then... She just doesn't understand it, that's
29:20
one. You would talk about, well, she's
29:22
thinking of it, Philip Roth, you know,
29:25
who... I want to get back to
29:27
that. But you know you would always
29:29
say something like you know the federal
29:31
government is made you know has two
29:34
parts to it It's called discretionary spending
29:36
and mandatory spending each of which takes
29:38
up about 50% of the budget. That's
29:41
like what you would say, circuit 2002.
29:43
Now, and that means mandatory spending is
29:45
stuff that doesn't have to get re-up
29:47
every year. So that's like Social Security
29:50
and Medicare. And it's index to inflation
29:52
often. Yeah, in various ways. But like
29:54
that is on autopilot. And then discretionary
29:57
spending is stuff like defense and education,
29:59
which technically has... get renewed every year
30:01
and Congress actually has to fucking do
30:03
something which they never do and they
30:06
didn't this year but you know now
30:08
it's three quarters mandatory spending and it's
30:10
you know a quarter discretionary spending so
30:13
it's like because Social Security Medicare in
30:15
particular which the old agent entitlements they
30:17
keep growing even as the amount of
30:19
money that is taxed to fund them
30:22
just doesn't keep pace so for me
30:24
that would be like the primary if
30:26
i'm emperor and you would have to
30:29
be emperor because anybody who does this
30:31
is probably gonna get voted out of
30:33
office pretty quickly but we have to
30:35
tackle that and you know no you
30:38
and i are of a certain age
30:40
where we're nearing you know the official
30:42
retirement ages and you know it's wrong
30:45
for people like us who have the
30:47
means and the money and the ability
30:49
to pay for our retirements and to
30:51
pay for our health care to make
30:54
somebody's grandkids you know younger and poorer
30:56
people pay for that on the idea
30:58
that oh when you retire you know
31:01
in 50 years it'll be there for
31:03
you because it won't be i mean
31:05
it just can't right we have too
31:07
many people retiring with too few contributors
31:10
and it's a shitty deal like so
31:12
security is you know it it's not
31:14
just that it picks the pocket of
31:17
younger workers to pay for older workers
31:19
it is a bad kind of guaranteed
31:21
retirement plan. You would be much better
31:23
off saving that money and putting it
31:26
in, you know, a mutual fund and
31:28
just letting it ride for, you know,
31:30
30 years. So Bush wanted to do
31:33
it? Kind of. He screwed that up.
31:35
It's a real shame. I mean, George
31:37
W. Bush, it's hard. to remember how
31:39
unpopular he was and kind of how
31:42
bad he was at everything other than
31:44
blundering into really shitty wars. And it's
31:46
worth remembering that because he seems kind
31:49
of like a nice guy now as
31:51
does Obama who also made a lot
31:53
of really bad mistakes where is Trump
31:55
and Biden and Hillary Clinton like they're
31:58
more villainous, right? Yeah, Bush, when he
32:00
won re-election in 2004, by really amping
32:02
up the idea that we were about
32:05
to be destroyed by, you know, Islamic
32:07
terrorism and all of that, he said,
32:09
I'm going to, you know, I have
32:11
a lot of political capital and I'm
32:14
going to use it to fix immigration
32:16
and Social Security, and he had decent
32:18
plans for the beginning of that, but
32:21
he was just not the guy to
32:23
do it. Now, what are the odds
32:25
that, you know, I'm looking at these
32:27
flat screen TVs, I remember when they
32:30
first came out? They were like $10,000,
32:32
$12,000, now they're almost a couple hundred
32:34
dollars, right? Yeah, that's probably, it's a
32:37
physio, so you could get that at
32:39
Walmart, that's probably like 200 bucks. Yeah.
32:41
So what are the odds that when
32:44
all these pressures finally come to the
32:46
breaking point that technology will so decrease
32:48
the costs of various things like health
32:50
care, maybe will... Housing will come down
32:53
because more housing that will have a
32:55
much softer landing than you would Imagine
32:57
if everything was straight line projections based
33:00
on what we yeah, yeah, no, you
33:02
know that I mean, I kind of
33:04
believe in the singularity, you know, the
33:06
idea that eventually Machines and computers will
33:09
start talking Excuse me to each other
33:11
and and you know and i'd like
33:13
a i i mean i think we
33:16
have you know the replace twenty percent
33:18
of the workforce federal workforce now with
33:20
a i by the yeah and i
33:22
mean of course you know none of
33:25
these things you you i mean you
33:27
you don't want doctors deciding like okay
33:29
I'm checking the AI and it's said
33:32
okay I'm gonna cut off this leg
33:34
you know or whatever or I'm gonna
33:36
deport these people because in auto complete
33:38
in an auto complete field it's like
33:41
the name Dorman came up like your
33:43
MS-13 obviously I see from he wears
33:45
those long sleeves to hide the tattoos
33:48
I'm MS-18 yeah it's a Jewish joke
33:50
Go ahead. And, you know, so I
33:52
don't believe in apocalypse, like, you know,
33:54
things are never as bad as a...
33:57
I remember after 9-11 and everybody was
33:59
talking about dirty bombs and it's like
34:01
somebody could walk into Times Square. I
34:04
was worried about that. You know with
34:06
the lease, as they used to call
34:08
them, and like, you know, a suitcase-sized
34:10
bomb and detonated and... And then like
34:13
when you read what people said, okay,
34:15
this is actually what would happen, you
34:17
would have to like, if you were
34:20
exposed to it, go inside, take a
34:22
shower and keep your blinds closed because
34:24
the amount of radiation that even a
34:26
dirty bomb would give off was like,
34:29
you know, it's like, I mean, it
34:31
was like. God, this is kind of
34:33
amazing. And when you look at this
34:36
century, we've had so many terrible things
34:38
thrown at us, you know, including, you
34:40
know, the COVID and the financial crisis
34:42
at 9-11. And it's like we're doing
34:45
pretty well, actually, in a lot of
34:47
ways. So I don't believe in Apocalypse,
34:49
but it is true. that the you
34:52
know the government is a primary cause
34:54
of volatility and uncertainty in the economy
34:56
and in our everyday lives and like
34:58
it behoves us really to figure out
35:01
how are we going to address entitlement
35:03
issues how are we going to make
35:05
it easier for people to get housing
35:08
whether they're renting or owning and you
35:10
know how how do we unleash market
35:12
forces that have made this you know
35:14
TV super great and cheap How do
35:17
we bring that to health care and
35:19
education and every other thing that we
35:21
care about? And of course government keeps
35:24
the prices high through all their... Yeah.
35:26
Yeah. So, Trump, I want to get
35:28
your take on... Do you know what
35:30
I said about Anthony Wiener? Yeah. As
35:33
a New Yorker, as a gain of
35:35
function New Yorkers, I was Donald Trump,
35:37
right? He is like, he's a cartoon
35:40
version. I think he's worse than those
35:42
of us who were not Trump apocalypse
35:44
predictors thought he would be. Obviously... Are
35:47
you moving to Canada? No, I'm not
35:49
moving to Canada. All of the Yale
35:51
faculty? No. We really don't know how
35:53
it's all going to play out. You
35:56
know, my daughter's in eighth grade and
35:58
quite often the entire administration... not often
36:00
always of a previous president gets
36:02
reduced down to three or four bullet
36:05
points that she has to memorize you
36:07
know and it's interesting because you could
36:09
imagine you know there's so many things
36:11
every day there's this story there's this
36:14
guy who's deported by mistake and you
36:16
you don't really and you wonder okay
36:18
but when it's all said and done
36:21
and we're ten years down the line what
36:23
will be the bullet points because that
36:25
and and will those bullet points make
36:27
it all worthwhile better than the Kamala
36:29
Harris bullet points with him or with...
36:32
I mean, I think so. I, you
36:34
know, I, or, you know, let's, let's
36:36
speculate what those bullet points. So, you
36:38
know, Trump, his first term bullet points
36:40
would have been pretty good. Very good.
36:42
Where it's like, you know, he brokered
36:45
the Abraham Accords, he, uh... He oversaw
36:47
a growing economy and the Trump court
36:49
got rid of racial preferences. Yeah, he
36:51
supercharged, you know, the COVID vaccine production
36:53
and stuff like that. Yeah, he doesn't
36:55
want to admit that, but I don't
36:58
know. That's a really interesting question. But
37:00
that's really the heart of the matter. Yeah.
37:02
Otherwise, you get caught up in the hysterics
37:04
of all of it. And they're valid.
37:06
I mean, he's the idea that somebody... Now
37:08
I read into it yesterday for the first
37:11
time, I was, oh, well, well, this
37:13
guy actually might have actually might have been...
37:15
It actually looks like this guy was
37:17
a gang member, but that really doesn't
37:20
matter. It doesn't. It doesn't matter to
37:22
the principle of government by shitshell. And
37:24
if this guy, if they got lucky
37:26
enough that this guy actually deserved it,
37:28
that does not sanitize the procedure as
37:31
being reckless and a violation of his
37:33
liberties, even if he's guilty. Yeah, I
37:35
mean, and he did have a valid
37:37
order where he could not be deported.
37:40
Yeah. So, you know, and then people
37:42
can argue about that. But that's also,
37:44
you know, it was everything. Yeah. And
37:46
taking a step back, you know, the
37:48
rhetoric that, oh, we are undergoing a
37:50
invasion, you know, by MS-13 and by
37:52
Mexicans and by Indians and by Indians
37:55
and by people who want to come
37:57
here and live here, you know, that's
37:59
wrong. There isn't. crime there isn't a
38:01
crime wave associated with immigration the reason
38:03
we have more illegal immigration than legal
38:05
immigration at times is because it's impossible
38:07
to move here legally I mean we
38:10
I we definitely want to get gang
38:12
members out yeah of course absolutely fair
38:14
and orderly and we want the border
38:16
to be secured which you know Trump
38:18
and actually Biden in his last six
38:21
months was doing you know this is
38:23
this is all to the good and
38:25
so I'm not apocalyptic about Trump but
38:27
You know, this is one of the
38:30
benefits and maybe this is also one
38:32
of the limits of being a libertarian.
38:34
Like, I, you know, every president, it
38:36
is this mix of things where it's
38:38
like, you know, George W. Bush was
38:40
not completely terrible, but he was terrible
38:43
on civil liberties. He was terrible on
38:45
foreign policy. He was terrible on spending,
38:47
you know, things like that, you know,
38:49
Obama. not terrible on everything but he
38:51
was he was worse than Bush in
38:54
a lot of ways and and you
38:56
know Trump was worse than Obama in
38:58
a lot of ways and Biden was
39:00
worse than Trump so it's kind of
39:02
a perpetual cycle and I don't think
39:05
one of the things that bugs me
39:07
is the idea that you know we're
39:09
not supposed to be critical of
39:11
the president you know this drives
39:13
me nuts and or Anthony Wiener
39:15
Yeah, well, yeah, you know, well,
39:17
I don't have to vote for
39:19
Anthony Wiener. And I don't have
39:21
to, I don't have to, I
39:23
don't have to live under his
39:25
foot. Yeah, what about, even on,
39:27
you know, even on Ukraine, I'm
39:29
optimistic that the outcome with Trump
39:32
will be better than it would
39:34
have been on to Harris, which just
39:36
seemed to be a policy that was
39:38
just, you know, floating in the wind,
39:41
it had no goal. It had, it
39:43
had no goal. I mean, I worry,
39:45
you know, with Trump and foreign
39:47
policy, and this is saying a
39:49
lot because we're coming off of
39:52
a quarter century of just terrible
39:54
foreign policy. I guess he was
39:56
involved in some of that. It's
39:58
not clear, you know. people may
40:00
remember that during the Bush years people like
40:02
it was a big gotcha question like whenever
40:05
anybody was on a talk show they'd always
40:07
be like well do you agree with the
40:09
Bush doctrine and people would be like yes
40:12
I do and then like well what is
40:14
it and nobody could define it even though
40:16
he you know was you know he was
40:18
like launching major wars and we had a
40:21
Charles Krauthammer term I think the Bush doctor
40:23
yeah and it was like it It wasn't
40:25
clear, and I can remember reading articles, like
40:27
actually there's three Bush doctrines and all of
40:30
this type of stuff, but we, you know,
40:32
it's good to have basic principles that
40:34
are thought through, that are debated, articulated,
40:36
and then actually govern how we do
40:39
things. And, you know, I don't think
40:41
we had that under Bush. We definitely
40:43
didn't have it under Obama who appeared,
40:45
you know, who didn't run as an
40:48
anti-war candidate, but was perceived as such
40:50
and did nothing to... you know, change
40:52
that thinking. And then he was kind
40:54
of a warmonger when he was in
40:57
office. And then Trump, it's not clear,
40:59
you know, what, you know, what is
41:01
his governing principles? Because there's something sickening
41:04
when he's telling a country that was invaded,
41:06
you know, that you are the problem and
41:08
that, you know, you know, if you don't
41:10
kiss my ass right now, like I'm gonna
41:13
say, you know, go straight ahead, you
41:15
know, Putin and go in. Having
41:17
said that, you know, and then
41:19
his position on Israel is different
41:21
and it's kind of obscure. And,
41:24
you know, but what is Trump's,
41:26
you know, set of basic coordinates
41:28
that he uses to determine foreign
41:31
policy? It's not clear. But just
41:33
to agree with you, I mean,
41:35
you know, it's better. I think
41:37
it's better than Biden, you know, where...
41:40
Whatever Biden was doing, he was
41:42
spending a lot, but then also
41:44
telling people you could do this,
41:46
but not this. And like he
41:48
was simultaneously giving a lot of
41:50
money and micromanaging or being kind
41:52
of vacant. So. Yeah, and I mean,
41:55
bogged down it, but obviously there were
41:57
certain kind of optimism early on in
41:59
the war. or that, you know, they
42:01
might just do this and maybe
42:03
the progression is gonna get rid
42:05
of puna, maybe has pancreatic cancer,
42:07
so there was reasons, but I
42:09
don't think anybody thinks that Ukraine
42:11
is gonna expel Russia from the
42:13
Donbas anymore, and if that's the
42:15
case, then time may be on
42:17
Russia's side. Like, you know, they
42:19
dick around for another two years,
42:22
Russia might roll into Kiev, so.
42:24
And it was, I think we
42:26
all breathed a sigh of relief
42:28
to hear Trump actually say out
42:30
loud that he's pissed off at
42:32
Vladimir Putin. So that we hope
42:34
you try to divine where Trump's
42:36
coming from. I'm much, much more
42:38
off-put and scared of JD Vance
42:40
and this post- trump, magga, motley
42:42
crew of nuts. I see them
42:44
as nuts. People who praise Alex
42:46
Jones and whatever it is. And,
42:48
you know, Trump's 78 years old.
42:50
It's not like crazy to think...
42:52
advance could be president even in
42:54
this term yeah how do you
42:56
feel about this guy you know
42:58
it's a this you you would
43:00
mention earlier on that you don't
43:02
like Elon Musk right I'm kind
43:04
of I have a better opinion
43:06
of musk than I do advance
43:08
yeah well what I was going
43:10
to say that you know what's
43:12
interesting and I think you know
43:14
the doge project is a good
43:16
idea and I don't like the
43:18
way it's being executed and my
43:20
colleague Matt Welch has talked about
43:22
this in other context of you
43:25
know when when Something gets going,
43:27
like you don't have the ability
43:29
to try a bunch of different
43:31
things to see what works, like
43:33
in terms of cutting government or
43:35
whatever, like the moment happens, and
43:37
then like if your first cut
43:39
is going to be what you
43:41
get, like your first take, and
43:43
I think they're doing it wrong
43:45
in a way that's going to
43:47
discredit the idea of like cutting
43:49
government for a long time, and
43:51
that bothers me a lot. But
43:53
on another level, you know, within
43:55
Trump world. Elon Musk does, you
43:57
know, he he earlier, I guess
43:59
late last year and earlier this
44:01
year, he was talking about being
44:03
in favor of high wage or
44:05
high skilled. immigration and that he
44:07
would fight the magga people including
44:09
JD Vance on that. Yeah and
44:11
you know it worries me because
44:13
you know everybody there's a flurry
44:15
of stories and I suspect there's
44:17
some truth to it that he's
44:19
going to be leaving the White
44:21
House you know the the sphere
44:23
of influence pretty soon and if
44:25
Trump becomes fully just magga all
44:28
the way and there is no
44:30
kind of... people on you know
44:32
there who are saying you know
44:34
what maybe we need to be
44:36
more economically minded maybe we need
44:38
to be the thing about immigration
44:40
and other you know pulling back
44:42
from the strict magga world I
44:44
think that's very disturbing scares the
44:46
shit out of me I mean
44:48
by the Trump has always been
44:50
for these H1B visas this isn't
44:52
this is a issue that he
44:54
championed in 2015 yeah I remember
44:56
hearing him arguing with banning about
44:58
it one thing about the mics
45:00
yeah yeah he doesn't changes positions
45:02
that he's, you know, like he's,
45:04
so I think he'll stick by
45:06
it. But this, uh, may as
45:08
well, last thing we'll talk about
45:10
the new respect that all these
45:12
conspiracy theorists have in that world,
45:14
that Tucker Carlson and Alex Jones
45:16
and who, whoever else there is,
45:18
seemed to have the president's ear
45:20
and they have Vance's ear and
45:22
then Cash Patel and, uh, you
45:24
know all these various knucklehead appointees
45:26
Matt Gates who didn't you know
45:28
they got to be pissed right
45:30
now you might be a fan
45:33
of Tulsa I don't know because
45:35
I know if you have share
45:37
her politics yeah no you know
45:39
but to me she's a flake
45:41
even if I agree with her
45:43
on some things you know yeah
45:45
I mean it's it's odd because
45:47
she you know everybody's a critic
45:49
of the deep state and then
45:51
when you start running it like
45:53
you start to find reasons to
45:55
keep it or to do certain
45:57
things at all that all that
45:59
but Yeah, I share your concerns
46:01
about a lot of this stuff
46:03
because the conspiracy theory world and
46:05
you know there's a left-wing version
46:07
of it, but it's not in
46:09
power right now. It's disturbing because
46:11
I don't know, you know, I
46:13
don't know how you know, I
46:15
don't know how you engage. It
46:17
mixes with Ukraine because, all right,
46:19
Trump, you know, seems to want
46:21
to impose a settlement, a kind
46:23
of common sense way, you know,
46:25
where Vance hates Zolenski. Yeah. He
46:27
hates somebody. The guy's done something
46:29
wrong. Yeah. The guy's done anything
46:31
wrong. He was invaded. They prep
46:33
there's the landscape. I mean, it's
46:36
the landscape because he's Jewish. They
46:38
come out and say it. And
46:40
then there's the classic trope of
46:42
where Zelenski is Jewish and he's
46:44
really a Nazi. Yes. You know,
46:46
he's a Bolshevik they call. That's
46:48
right. And Tucker Carlson will, you
46:50
know, talk about me rat-like and
46:52
sweaty and then Glenn Greenwall will
46:54
talk, they'll talk about how our
46:56
support for Ukraine is really about
46:58
Israel. So this is all very
47:00
ominous to me. I kind of
47:02
trust Trump on this stuff. Why
47:04
in the world do they hate
47:06
Salenski like this? What is it's
47:08
psychotic? Yeah, they hate him. I
47:10
don't know. How could you please
47:12
them by just rolling over and
47:14
let the Russians in? Yeah, and
47:16
this is the whole, you know,
47:18
thing too is that like it's
47:20
one thing to be against America,
47:22
you know, giving aid much less
47:24
troops or anything. to Ukraine. That's
47:26
on us, not on Salinsky. Yeah,
47:28
and I mean he's asking for,
47:30
you know, help and things like
47:32
that. And I think, you know,
47:34
he's made mistakes in all of
47:36
that, but it is a, it's
47:39
a very strange position where you're
47:41
basically arguing, you know, that this
47:43
guy who... Really rose to the
47:45
occasion. I mean, I'm regardless of
47:47
ideology in a lot of ways
47:49
because Yeltsin was like this too
47:51
where You know, he rose to
47:53
his moment in history and then
47:55
couldn't sustain it And I you
47:57
know that we have reverberations of
47:59
that, but it's kind of amazing
48:01
and when you know Zalenski, you
48:03
know, who who's the what it's
48:05
the equivalent George Lopez? Very somebody,
48:07
you know, like a sitcom comedian,
48:09
you know, Jerry sign you know,
48:11
becoming like a meaningful leader. It's
48:13
very strange. What was that Russian
48:15
comics name? Oh, Yakov Smirnoff. Yeah,
48:17
who has a very good podcast
48:19
now. Does he? Yeah, he, I
48:21
don't know if he's still there,
48:23
if he does it from there,
48:25
but he moved to Branson, Missouri,
48:27
and had a regular show there.
48:29
He's very patriotic American, right? Yeah,
48:31
yeah, yeah. Breeze in Foundation, the
48:33
non-profit that published the magazine actually
48:35
gave him an award sometime in
48:37
like the 80, or like the
48:39
80s, or very early early early
48:42
90s. That is a, I don't
48:44
know where he is on, you
48:46
know, the Ukraine, Russia split, because
48:48
you never know, you know, when
48:50
people who left the Soviet Union,
48:52
they have odd allegiances. Now before
48:54
we go, because, you know, I'm
48:56
always feuding with Dave Smith, who
48:58
was supposedly a libertarian. Yeah. Can
49:00
you explain the split between the
49:02
Gillespie wing and the Smith wing
49:04
of the libertarian movement? Yeah, that's
49:06
a good question. Because I agree
49:08
with you guys so much, and
49:10
I think everything they say is
49:12
out to lunch. Yeah, you know,
49:14
it's, without going into details too
49:16
much, part of it is the
49:18
difference between somebody like Friedrich Hayek
49:20
as a thinker or organizing principal
49:22
and Murray Rothbard. Murray Rothbard is
49:24
a very influential. at the groups
49:26
that Dave, you know, is particularly
49:28
at home with, like the Mises
49:30
Institute. And Rothbard was an anarcho
49:32
capitalist and he through a lot
49:34
of complicated kind of thinking about
49:36
stuff. He's an anarcho-capitalist, but then
49:38
ended up rolling for a time
49:40
with David Duke or, you know,
49:42
being very interested in the kind
49:45
of populist right in the, you
49:47
know, years ago and then, I
49:49
mean, Rothward's been dead for a
49:51
while, but his followers are kind
49:53
of interesting. in that and you
49:55
know and that immigration is somehow
49:57
you know we shouldn't have any
49:59
government but we should have like
50:01
a really strict order until all
50:03
property is privately owned so but
50:05
and there's I to put it
50:07
more bluntly, and I don't mean
50:09
this pejoratively, like I mean this
50:11
descriptively, but I think part of
50:13
it is also, it's dispositional, and
50:15
a lot of libertarians are, I
50:17
hate to use the word cosmopolitan
50:19
because that gets used as an
50:21
invective against me, but you know,
50:23
some people like living in kind
50:25
of sloppy, heterodox places where all
50:27
sorts of weird shit and weird
50:29
people happen. right and you know
50:31
and it's you know it's and
50:33
and then some people don't some
50:35
people like living in in you
50:37
know more hierarchical and more monocultural
50:39
places you know and that could
50:41
be ethnic ethnically it could be
50:43
class it could be all sorts
50:45
of things or people who believe
50:47
the same thing and that's a
50:50
big split in the broad libertarian
50:52
movement okay but so just like
50:54
if you're about liberty and liberty
50:56
is what moves you your heart
50:58
It swells to the sultry strains
51:00
of liberty, whatever it is. Then
51:02
Ukraine, you would think, would be
51:04
something that you would support. Here
51:06
is a country about to be
51:08
overrun by a tyrannical dictator, and
51:10
they're fighting for their freedom. They
51:12
may not be a perfect democracy,
51:14
but certainly their future is brighter
51:16
under the Ukrainian government than it
51:18
is going to be. So, but
51:20
their instinct is vehemently in the
51:22
other direction. I mean, what's going
51:24
on here? Is this, why would
51:26
a libertarian movement ever speak this
51:28
way about a people fighting for
51:30
their freedom? Yeah, I don't understand
51:32
that. You know, and again, I'm
51:34
not committed to American troops being
51:36
in Ukraine and I'm, you know,
51:38
I think we need a good
51:40
accounting of all the aid that
51:42
we give and in general. against
51:44
foreign aid, but yeah, when you
51:46
look at the optics of the
51:48
picture where there is, you know,
51:50
where there's a David and a
51:53
Goliath, you would think that most
51:55
libertarians are always going to be
51:57
on the side of the David.
51:59
And, you know, that... matters. And
52:01
it's also, you know, this, Tucker
52:03
Carlson went through a libertarian phase.
52:05
I mean, he was an adjunct
52:07
scholar at the Cato Institute in
52:09
D.C. shortly before he formed the
52:11
Daily caller. And I have an
52:13
old, I used to do a
52:15
reason talk show with Michael Moynihan
52:17
when he worked at Reason. And
52:19
we had an episode where Tucker
52:21
was on and he was talking
52:23
in ways. It's like you would
52:25
not recognize the same person because
52:27
he was anti-government and he was...
52:29
Yeah, he was very libertarian and
52:31
you know to see him going
52:33
to Russia and doing a kind
52:35
of, you know, reverse minstrel show
52:37
of Paul Robeson or like, you
52:39
know, a black leftist in Stalin's
52:41
Moscow, you know, and talk about
52:43
how great the supermarkets are and
52:45
the subways and all of that.
52:47
It's very peculiar. And I think
52:49
some of it is, and again,
52:51
I don't know that this is,
52:53
you know, particularly libertarian, but there's,
52:56
you know, some people like tradition
52:58
and hierarchy and hierarchy. clarity in
53:00
social relations. You know, a man
53:02
is a man and a woman
53:04
is a woman and we don't,
53:06
you know, and gays are problematic
53:08
because they don't, you know, they
53:10
don't fit into categories and things
53:12
like that. And then other people
53:14
are like, you know, whatever, you
53:16
know, do whatever you want and,
53:18
you know, as long as you're
53:20
not hurting somebody. And they have
53:22
this urge. Now, of course, it's
53:24
always very, very, very hard. It's
53:26
the unanswerable question in a certain.
53:28
dying and that it was worth
53:30
it for those lives to be
53:32
lost in order to fight for
53:34
a certain way of life. Yeah.
53:36
Is it better to have them
53:38
be slaves or is it better
53:40
to support the war? or 30,000
53:42
innocent people will die, but will
53:44
end slavery. These are, you know,
53:46
very, very tough questions, right? But
53:48
you would think that the libertarian
53:50
somehow would have a tougher time
53:52
with that question because they value
53:54
liberty. And then, of course, you
53:56
know, there seems to be, I
53:59
don't see the libertarianism at all
54:01
on what they're saying, and then
54:03
just, you know, my pet peeve
54:05
is if this notion that, let's
54:07
say you accept all their arguments
54:09
that Putin was... provoked by whatever
54:11
nonsense there is. An offhand comment
54:13
by Baker, and to the extent
54:15
that you think that his, the
54:17
non-pretextual part of his concerns about
54:19
whatever is going on in Ukraine
54:21
and provocations from ethnic rushes, whatever
54:23
it is. So he was provoked
54:25
and therefore he had no choice
54:27
but to go into Ukraine and
54:29
now he should be entitled to
54:31
keep 20% of the country. Okay,
54:33
fine. Let's come, now that, so
54:35
that's your kind of principles, okay.
54:37
Now let's take those principles and
54:39
use them to examine another chapter.
54:41
Let's look at the 1967 situation
54:43
that Israel was in. Egypt puts
54:45
100,000 troops on the borders, removes
54:47
the UN peacekeepers, has a blockade,
54:49
has genocidal rhetoric. Egypt, Israel is
54:51
provoked. They take out the Egyptian
54:53
army. They didn't, and then Jordan
54:55
attacks, that's more than provoked, and
54:57
they take this land. These same
54:59
people say, no, not one square
55:01
inch should Israel be able to
55:04
keep. Not one inch, I don't
55:06
care if you were provoked. Or
55:08
they'll say, you weren't provoked, you
55:10
had a choice, they'll say, of
55:12
course they had a choice. They
55:14
had less of a choice than
55:16
Putin did, right? So, unless there's
55:18
something I'm missing, or on being
55:20
unfair, which you know I don't
55:22
like to be, I'm calling bullshit
55:24
on the whole point of view.
55:26
You know, I, and I'm yet
55:28
to hear someone push back. I
55:30
mean, this is what you're missing
55:32
now. Well, I'm not, you know,
55:34
I, you know, my libertarianism, I
55:36
think is, you know, it's pretty
55:38
open and forthright. So I mean,
55:40
I stand for what I stand
55:42
for. You want to, I mean,
55:44
I said in a conversation with
55:46
the people we're going to have
55:48
dinner with us. Everybody's entitled to
55:50
due process. Even if in my
55:52
opinion, even if it's not a
55:54
constitutional requirement. It's basic fairness and
55:56
morality that people should be treated
55:58
fairly when they can be. People
56:00
should not suffer consequences without some
56:02
procedure that allows them to state
56:04
their case. I don't have to
56:07
give my employees due process. I
56:09
can say to my employee, you
56:11
know what, I think you were
56:13
stealing. You're out. But I don't
56:15
do that. I say, listen, I
56:17
think you were stealing. What do
56:19
you have to say for yourself?
56:21
Listen to here, here's a witness.
56:23
I embark on that because it's...
56:25
Well, it's so these immigrants... He
56:27
doesn't deserve due process. He's hearing
56:29
hugely worse, too. I mean, you
56:31
know, business owners are one thing,
56:33
but when it's the government, you
56:35
know, they have... Yes, of course.
56:37
I stand to believe a monopoly
56:39
on force, so they do... They're
56:41
held to a higher standard, you
56:43
know, because you can't... you can
56:45
fire somebody that can get a
56:47
job somewhere else if you're running
56:49
the government and you put somebody
56:51
away or do the same thing
56:53
by i don't think business should
56:55
have the requirement i'm saying but
56:57
yeah what when when it's not
56:59
to onerous a burden on me
57:01
i will reserve the right to
57:03
say listen i don't trust it
57:05
you got to go well you
57:07
know here but this is where
57:10
i really the libertarian point of
57:12
view in general really moves me
57:14
because it's it's it's a respect
57:16
for people and for fairness And
57:18
for freedom in a way. Yeah.
57:20
Well, I think whenever you can
57:22
find it. One of the, you
57:24
know, kind of paradoxes of the
57:26
current moment or of, you know,
57:28
certainly of the past 25 years,
57:30
I'm really starting to see, you
57:32
know, the 21st century, like it's
57:34
worth talking about it because a
57:36
lot of negative trends accelerated some
57:38
positive things. during it. But you
57:40
know this concept that we've lost
57:42
so much trust and confidence in
57:44
government and I think we've done
57:46
that rightly because government has acted
57:48
poorly you know they you know
57:50
in the first Gulf or not
57:52
the first Gulf War in the
57:54
Iraq war and you know throughout
57:56
the war on terror our government
57:58
just lied to us they lied
58:00
about what they were doing and
58:02
they also lied about how much
58:04
it costs and what they how
58:06
they were spending money. You know,
58:08
they lied about the financial crisis,
58:10
the causes of it, and the
58:13
remedies to it. They lied about
58:15
COVID in all sorts of ways
58:17
and made a lot of stoop.
58:19
You know, we have every reason
58:21
to have less trust and confidence
58:23
in government. And from a libertarian
58:25
perspective, superficially, that's like a good
58:27
thing because once people don't trust
58:29
the government, they're going to, you
58:31
know, say we want less of
58:33
it. But that isn't the way
58:35
it works. And ironically, and I
58:37
wrote a story about this a
58:39
few years ago, a few years
58:41
ago, you know, semi-controversial within libertarian
58:43
circles, whereas saying, you know, we've
58:45
won that idea, that argument of
58:47
the idea that you shouldn't trust
58:49
the government because it is incompetent
58:51
at best and kind of malevolent
58:53
at worst. But that doesn't lead
58:55
to less government. It actually leads
58:57
predictably around the world to people
58:59
wanting more like a strong man
59:01
or strong governments that can, you
59:03
know, stop the chaos. And I
59:05
feel like this is what's happening.
59:07
under Trump, you know, he came
59:09
in and he said, I'm going
59:11
to destroy the deep set, I'm
59:13
going to get rid of all
59:15
of these administrative bureaucrats who are
59:18
just doing whatever they want without
59:20
any restraint. And he's modeling that
59:22
now in a lot of ways.
59:24
And so, you know, it isn't
59:26
going, you're not going to change
59:28
direction by doing more. more and
59:30
better of what you're combating. And
59:32
ironically, I think, you know, libertarians
59:34
would do well in this, I'm
59:36
in a minority position in the
59:38
libertarian movement because I'm not an
59:40
anarchist in this sense, but like,
59:42
we need to, you know, show
59:44
where government legitimately has an interest
59:46
and how it can be effective
59:48
and efficient. And I actually think
59:50
once people understand that can happen
59:52
they will vote you know they'll
59:54
vote for less government this happened
59:56
in the 90s throughout the 90s
59:58
at the state and federal level
1:00:00
as the government started doing less
1:00:02
things and it did them more
1:00:04
effectively you know the the burden
1:00:06
of government shifted so you know
1:00:08
we have a lot of work
1:00:10
to do and Trump is a
1:00:12
shame right because he came into
1:00:14
office now and he's got such
1:00:16
a cult-like power Yeah, that he
1:00:18
could have literally chosen, you know,
1:00:21
any subtle direction to go in,
1:00:23
and the country would have come
1:00:25
along. It also remains to be
1:00:27
seen, you're right, that he is
1:00:29
remarkably consistent in many of his
1:00:31
beliefs. I mean, he changes them
1:00:33
because like when he first ran,
1:00:35
he was anti-bit coin. and now
1:00:37
he's kind of like pro-bit coin
1:00:39
and certainly crypto etc. Those are
1:00:41
not his deeply helpful yet. But
1:00:43
you're right that he's pretty predictable
1:00:45
but the other thing to remember
1:00:47
you know it's weird because this
1:00:49
is his second term so he's
1:00:51
kind of a lame duck already
1:00:53
but then you know he as
1:00:55
he approaches the midterms he's going
1:00:57
to be very lame duck but
1:00:59
what's going to say you know
1:01:01
when you look at somebody like
1:01:03
Ronald Reagan at this point in
1:01:05
his first term. he was a
1:01:07
complete disaster. Like, you know, he
1:01:09
got what he wanted and things
1:01:11
went really poorly. And then by,
1:01:13
you know, by 1984, he was
1:01:15
about to win 49 states and
1:01:17
probably 50. I think they gave
1:01:19
him, they gave Walter Mondale, Minnesota
1:01:21
to, you know, so he wasn't
1:01:24
completely humiliated. But, so things can
1:01:26
change pretty quickly. And Trump is
1:01:28
probably adaptable. And like, as the
1:01:30
tariffs go into place and the,
1:01:32
you know, if the economy tanks,
1:01:34
he can't. he can't live with
1:01:36
that now and he'll start to
1:01:38
change that i i agree with
1:01:40
it he more than anything he
1:01:42
wants to be popular and actually
1:01:44
i think he wants the country
1:01:46
to do well and of course
1:01:48
i mean you know i i
1:01:50
i don't i don't know people
1:01:52
have this horrible impression of the
1:01:54
guy i think he's more complicated
1:01:56
than that but i don't think
1:01:58
or and it's not I mean,
1:02:00
all, you know, I think Biden,
1:02:02
you know, to the extent that
1:02:04
he had anything going on at
1:02:06
the end, like he didn't want
1:02:08
to leave office being a bum,
1:02:10
right? You know, and it's an
1:02:12
interesting point. I hope somebody close
1:02:14
to Trump is saying, like, what
1:02:16
are the three bullet points you
1:02:18
want people to remember? And it's
1:02:20
not going to be, I deported,
1:02:22
they all want the country to
1:02:24
do well. But I think
1:02:27
the country a picture of a country
1:02:29
doing well according to Donald Trump In
1:02:31
many ways would be closer to what
1:02:33
you and I would think of than
1:02:36
what Joe Biden Who knows what a
1:02:38
left-wing? Democratic vision of the country doing
1:02:40
well is it's certainly not I don't
1:02:42
even know if they even business even
1:02:45
occurs to them free speech occurs to
1:02:47
them Yeah, I mean Trump on free
1:02:49
speech is really incredibly bad. You know,
1:02:52
and he had an executive order that
1:02:54
was great where he basically said, you
1:02:56
know, this Biden era, a jaw-boning of
1:02:58
social media and actually leaning on people,
1:03:01
that's done, which is good, but then
1:03:03
he's, you know, going after people for
1:03:05
all sorts of things, and he has
1:03:07
an FCC, you know, who is... you
1:03:10
know going after networks and programs for
1:03:12
the way they edit videos and you
1:03:14
know this is insanity I mean it's
1:03:16
like where they edit videos about him
1:03:19
yeah yeah yeah in an ironic listen
1:03:21
the guy is so thin-skinned and he
1:03:23
makes a fool of himself yeah but
1:03:25
I don't see any anti-free speech movement
1:03:28
coming out of his movement, they're the
1:03:30
free speech people, even if he's a
1:03:32
disgraceful guy. And I don't like the
1:03:35
way they're going out to the universe,
1:03:37
I'm sure we agree. Yeah, you know,
1:03:39
and it's one thing to cut... Let
1:03:41
the people protest for Hamas. Yeah, it's
1:03:44
one thing to cut, you know, money,
1:03:46
and it's one thing to cut, you
1:03:48
know, even funding for research, because there
1:03:50
are ways around that, but to, you
1:03:53
know, be going after people because of
1:03:55
the things they say... I don't think
1:03:57
writing editorials in a student newspaper is
1:03:59
an incitement to violence. Is it for
1:04:02
what they're saying or are they falling
1:04:04
under things like inciting violence or harassing
1:04:06
people? I don't know. I mean, it's,
1:04:08
you know, and the idea. Well, it's
1:04:11
not what they're saying. I mean, it's
1:04:13
what. I don't show anything the Trump
1:04:15
administration is saying. Sure. just like the
1:04:17
pardons. I'm totally persuadable about almost anything.
1:04:20
Be a professional, write a document, present
1:04:22
it to the American people, this guy's
1:04:24
pardon for this, this, and this reason,
1:04:27
this person being deported, he did this,
1:04:29
this, and that, have it ready to
1:04:31
present to the people at the time
1:04:33
he deported him. Sure, I'm, I'm, I'm,
1:04:36
yeah. But they don't do that. Yeah.
1:04:38
They, they, they put the cart before
1:04:40
the horse and throw him out. Can
1:04:42
I, you know, I mean, I mean,
1:04:45
I mean, I mean, I mean, I
1:04:47
mean, I mean, I mean, I mean,
1:04:49
I, I mean, I, I, I, I,
1:04:51
I, I mean, I, Hopefully this will
1:04:54
be the legacy of Donald Trump is
1:04:56
that he will have made him if
1:04:58
he makes America more like New York.
1:05:00
I think that would be a good
1:05:03
thing because what's great about New York,
1:05:05
everybody disagrees and you know there's a
1:05:07
ton of different types of people living
1:05:10
different kinds of lives here and it
1:05:12
all kind of works. And like to
1:05:14
me... That's my vision of America. It
1:05:16
is, you know, it is like, you
1:05:19
know, it is the Lower East Side.
1:05:21
It is Greenwich Village, you know, it's
1:05:23
Hell's Kitchen, and it's just people doing
1:05:25
what they want to do to make
1:05:28
their lives interesting and express themselves and
1:05:30
make money. And, you know, in a
1:05:32
way, you're right, I think Trump... Trump
1:05:34
understands that kind of on a cellular
1:05:37
level even if he doesn't know how
1:05:39
to articulate it and often works against
1:05:41
that and I think a lot of
1:05:43
the people around him don't share that.
1:05:46
They're very uncomfortable with that kind of
1:05:48
thriving hub of you know just weirdness
1:05:50
of individualism and weirdness and that worries
1:05:53
me. We gotta go. Are you coming
1:05:55
to take a cab with me? I
1:05:57
guess I have to. Maybe a walk.
1:05:59
Thank you very much
1:06:02
as always, Nick
1:06:04
Gillespie, Reason magazine, free free
1:06:06
markets, free markets, and free everything.
1:06:08
Bye everybody. Bye Free
1:06:11
sex. Free Mumia.
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