Tariffs, Ukraine and Trump with Nick Gillespie

Tariffs, Ukraine and Trump with Nick Gillespie

Released Saturday, 5th April 2025
Good episode? Give it some love!
Tariffs, Ukraine and Trump with Nick Gillespie

Tariffs, Ukraine and Trump with Nick Gillespie

Tariffs, Ukraine and Trump with Nick Gillespie

Tariffs, Ukraine and Trump with Nick Gillespie

Saturday, 5th April 2025
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Episode Transcript

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0:00

Welcome to Live from the

0:02

Table, the official podcast for

0:04

the world-famous comedy cellar. I'm

0:06

Pariel, the producer of the show.

0:08

I'm here with Noam Dorman, the

0:10

owner of the comedy cellar. and

0:13

we have a very special guest

0:15

recurring guest Nick Gillespie editor at

0:17

large at Reason the libertarian magazine

0:19

of free minds and free markets

0:22

I like being recurring it's I

0:24

feel like herpes we well we like

0:26

you a little bit more than we

0:28

like herpes well you know we

0:31

all have herpes right this is

0:33

dormant like if you had chicken

0:35

pox or something like the herpes

0:38

virus and unprotected sex of course

0:40

never never and he is

0:42

also the host of the

0:44

reason interview with Nick Gillespie.

0:46

Thank you. Welcome to our show.

0:48

I will if I can just start

0:51

off out of the gate plugging

0:53

my own show I just released

0:55

a great episode. It comes out

0:57

on Wednesday, so whenever this comes

0:59

out, but with the novelist Lee

1:02

Stein and Julius Toronto talking about

1:04

whether or not we can do

1:06

satire anymore in America, because not

1:08

because we're not allowed to, but

1:11

because things are just so fucking

1:13

crazy. You know, like if... Truth

1:15

is stranger than satire. Yeah, and

1:18

there's a famous essay by Philip

1:20

Roth in commentary in 1961, where

1:22

he's like, you know... You know, he was

1:24

talking about like Charles Van Doren, you know,

1:26

the Columbia professor who cheated on the Game

1:28

Show 21. That got made into the movie

1:31

quiz show and stuff and he's like, you

1:33

know, you just can't keep up with this

1:35

kind of crazy reality. And it's like, Philip

1:37

Roth, you had no idea what America was

1:39

going to look like, you know, 60 years

1:41

later. Parial is blushing because she almost

1:44

slept with Philip Roth. Oh really? What

1:46

happened? It's a long story. You can read

1:48

about it. I don't want to take up

1:50

the episode, but it's a chapter in

1:52

my last book. Oh, really? Okay, that's

1:54

great. You know, the woman who wrote

1:56

Asymmetry got like a National Book Award

1:58

out of sleeping with film. Well, I

2:00

was trying to get a national book

2:03

award by sleeping with him, but

2:05

it didn't quite work out that

2:07

way. How could you not? It's

2:09

when he found out you were

2:11

Jewish, he's like, okay, now? Yeah,

2:13

he had no idea. She was

2:15

Jewish. He was pounding liver. I

2:17

think it was actually when she

2:19

started talking. That's not true. Some

2:21

people actually enjoy my company to talk

2:24

to me. So when you sat down,

2:26

you told me we were just

2:28

like chatting about the local New York

2:30

elections. Yeah. Anthony Wiener is running

2:33

to be my local city council. It's

2:35

not yours, isn't it, isn't it, at

2:37

the East Village or... The district runs

2:40

all the way here. Yeah, I was

2:42

on Mike Pesca's podcast with him

2:44

and I hate to sound like we're

2:46

in the old Tonight Show or something,

2:49

some crappy Hollywood circle jerk, but... Yeah,

2:51

Wiener, you know what, I think Wiener

2:53

is pretty sociopathic, which is not necessarily

2:55

bad in a politician, but when I

2:57

was on like the first thing he

3:00

did out of the gate is like

3:02

you knucklelehead, like he was, you know,

3:04

you know, nagging me, nagging me, and...

3:06

Anthony Wiener is a kind of pure

3:09

gain of function version of a New

3:11

Yorker where even if you agree with

3:13

him he just has to attack

3:15

you and you know he's a

3:17

function for he's a horrible You

3:19

know it has a horrible personal

3:21

matter a manner and manner and

3:24

I think he's probably won his

3:26

last election Did you think that before

3:28

you met him in person? You know

3:30

what I had followed him on TV

3:32

back when he was a congressman and

3:34

you know all the bright-bart stuff and

3:36

all of that stuff was coming out

3:38

and I had always he had always

3:40

struck me on Gab shows and I

3:42

think he would go on Fox as

3:44

well as like CNN or MSMBC and

3:47

what I liked about him is that

3:49

he was willing to argue with people

3:51

which is good you know and and

3:53

he has a deafen point of view

3:55

and he's not He's not a super

3:57

identity politics progressive. No, he's not which

3:59

is good but he is a noxious

4:01

kind of human being i think and

4:03

it he raises a lot of interesting

4:06

questions in in the context of the

4:08

show we were talking he brought up

4:10

the fact that in the new york

4:13

mayor's race you know there's at least

4:15

three of the candidates uh... scot stringer

4:17

eric Adams and uh... androquimo all have

4:19

you know either have uh... sexual assault

4:22

charges or impropriety charges against them that

4:24

were either you know taking seriously or

4:26

not and he pointed out which is

4:29

a kind of clever move you know

4:31

that he he paid his time literally

4:33

you know he did hard time by

4:35

the way so so just you know

4:38

i i i've met Anthony Wiener i

4:40

didn't know him until i don't six

4:42

months ago he when you picked up

4:45

your daughter's cell phone no no no

4:47

no no no no no no no

4:49

no no no no no when he

4:51

contacted me because he's running for office

4:54

here and I and I met with

4:56

him you know I mean this kind

4:58

of a pugnacious personality that you that

5:01

you're describing. I enjoyed that, you know,

5:03

I liked him in post somewhere after

5:05

this event. He's like the burp that

5:07

you have after eating a dishwater dog

5:10

on the sidewalk. Oh my God, you're

5:12

harsh. No, well, I mean, that's just

5:14

who he is and he doesn't hold

5:17

up. You know what's interesting and because

5:19

I would love to talk about the

5:21

New York City Mayor's race a little

5:23

bit, but in New York. their you

5:26

know ideology is less should be less

5:28

important but the more local the race

5:30

right and one of the things that

5:33

was that's frustrating about somebody like weener

5:35

who recognizes that the democrats you know

5:37

have fallen out of favor and that

5:39

that may only be for a couple

5:42

more months really until the midterms and

5:44

you know the republicans nationally are doing

5:46

everything they can to lose whatever advantages

5:49

they have uh... but you know when

5:51

you'll be like yeah we have to

5:53

fix things we have to change things

5:55

and then it's like okay well you

5:58

know what should we do about social

6:00

security absolutely nothing medicare nothing you know

6:02

everything is we shouldn't do anything other

6:05

than tax rich people more and give

6:07

more stuff to more people and to

6:09

me that is unbelievably frustrating to be

6:11

in those conversations where we went from

6:14

in 2019 at the federal level spending

6:16

4.4 trillion dollars to now we're going

6:18

to spend 7.2 trillion dollars this year

6:21

under a conservative Republican who's doging the

6:23

government and stuff like that and there's

6:25

just something fucked up if you can't

6:27

figure out How do you get back

6:30

close, if not below, $4.4 trillion, which

6:32

at the time was a record amount

6:34

of money that was being spent? So

6:37

let me just say, you know, it's

6:39

not my place to tell a guest

6:41

what they, you know, shouldn't say about

6:44

even people that I have friendships with.

6:46

I'm not a good friend of Anthony

6:48

Wiener, but we know each other and,

6:50

you know, the things that he got

6:53

in trouble for are quite serious. And

6:55

I told him that on the show

6:57

here. You know, I've had to process

7:00

it, but he did his time, he

7:02

did hard time, not minimum security time,

7:04

he did two years, and then afterwards

7:06

worked like a job that was only

7:09

for like ex-cons. And he's been very

7:11

forthright about it, and I do, one

7:13

part of me says, yes, people have

7:16

done their time, that should be the

7:18

end of it. Another part of me

7:20

can't be dishonest, and we know that

7:22

certain crimes which are based on kind

7:25

of a personal pathologies are not just,

7:27

you know. They can recur. But he

7:29

said he goes for regular counseling and

7:32

he calls himself an addict and you

7:34

know, to the extent that you, however

7:36

you'd want somebody like him to behave,

7:38

I think he's doing that. And so

7:41

I, um. I agree with that. And

7:43

now, you know, he spoke on this

7:45

show about, you know, being in recovery.

7:48

and whatnot and he seems to take

7:50

it seriously does you know and by

7:52

the way there you know one thing

7:54

you were talking about like you know

7:57

we we assume that sex crimes are

7:59

categorically different than other crimes there is

8:01

actually very little criminal logical sociological data

8:04

that actually backs that up. It's considered

8:06

true, but people like Thomas Saz, the

8:08

great psychiatrist, who was a critic of

8:10

psychiatry, and the medicalization of everyday life,

8:13

he was a long time contributing editor

8:15

to reason, wrote a lot about that

8:17

as did others. And it turns out

8:20

that that's actually not true, which should

8:22

be a relief to people. And you

8:24

know, none of this means you don't

8:26

prosecute sex crimes, you know, rapidly and

8:29

effectively and all of that. You know,

8:31

if he's in, if he's taking, you

8:33

know, recovery seriously and all of that,

8:36

there's no reason to worry about him

8:38

with that. I mean, the harder questions

8:40

come, like, what do you do in

8:42

New York City? What are, you know,

8:45

what are the pressing issues and how

8:47

do you fix them? Because we have

8:49

an insane amount of, you know, of

8:52

political gridlock in the, in the, in

8:54

the, lived and worked in and then

8:56

moved away from and came back to

8:58

and it's frustrating. And when you look

9:01

at the mayor's race, you know, it's

9:03

just kind of like, holy cow, this

9:05

is, you know, this is not good.

9:08

So Wiener, you know, comes across in

9:10

this atmosphere, he comes across as a

9:12

right of center New York candidate. And,

9:14

you know, as a business owner, I

9:17

want to support the most right wing

9:19

local candidate. That there is when you

9:21

when you say right wing you mean

9:24

somebody who's pro business or somebody's pro

9:26

business Yeah, not the most right wing

9:28

Well, not maybe not most right right

9:30

wing on a national election or something

9:33

in terms of what's what's realistic in

9:35

a New York City election. Yeah to

9:37

be in the running, he is the

9:40

most right-wing guy we're going to get.

9:42

Is he going to win? Does he?

9:44

I don't think there's any really credible

9:46

polling, but he's out there apparently every

9:49

day shaking hands, whatever it is. People

9:51

are forgiving. I've spoken to people and

9:53

I spoke to like Tiano over here

9:56

and just people waitresses work for me

9:58

and stuff like that and they were

10:00

like, yeah, I could vote for a

10:03

guy. even though they knew what happened,

10:05

which was interesting to me. And so

10:07

maybe he will, with name recognition in

10:09

a local election, is very, very important.

10:12

And he is a winning. People like

10:14

him. You know, they do. Yeah, I'm

10:16

not sure of that. You know, you

10:19

know, why? Because that kind of in

10:21

your face, like, you know, right of

10:23

the box, he's like, you know, somebody's

10:25

electricating him and he's in your face.

10:28

I don't know if people like that.

10:30

I mean, I don't like it particularly

10:32

and I think I have a thicker

10:35

skin than a lot of people. But,

10:37

you know, ultimately what it comes down

10:39

to is like... Okay, what are you

10:41

going to do about the rats and

10:44

the garbage and how are you going

10:46

to make it easier for more? This

10:48

gets complicated very quickly, especially in a

10:51

place that's like the, you know, the

10:53

West, the, you know, Greenwich Village or

10:55

East Village or whatever, when you say,

10:57

how do we make it easier for

11:00

people to live here? How do we

11:02

make rents cheaper? And then people are

11:04

like pissed off because I don't want

11:07

anybody else living here. You know, it's,

11:09

I just came back from a trip.

11:11

to Austin, Texas, where Reason Magazine, you

11:13

know, where I work, had an annual

11:16

donor event. We have them in different

11:18

cities every year, and this time it

11:20

was in Austin. And before that was

11:23

a couple of colleagues, we were doing

11:25

a documentary about how Austin has had

11:27

massive growth, you know, really over the

11:29

past 50 years, but since COVID, like

11:32

a lot of people when the lockdown

11:34

started, they moved to Austin. Rents went

11:36

up and then Miracle of Miracles, the

11:39

city council and Texas at the state

11:41

level and there's county, you know, government,

11:43

they all were like, okay, we're going

11:45

to make it easier for developers to

11:48

build housing. And rents now are lower

11:50

than they were at, you know, right

11:52

after COVID when people started pouring into

11:55

the city. And it was amazing, like

11:57

you can imagine this, it's like New

11:59

Yorkers. when you go to people in

12:01

a city and you're saying like you

12:04

know the you know what's the secret

12:06

here runs grown down and it's like

12:08

well you know Nick it's like this

12:11

and this is left wingers and right

12:13

wingers and libertarians and you know left-wing

12:15

anarchists you know and homeless people you

12:17

know everybody there seems to be on

12:20

amphetamines the homeless people are really you

12:22

know in New York yeah they're kind

12:24

of low-key and fentanyl and in Texas

12:27

they are just really you know on

12:29

a lot of uppers but every one

12:31

of them just said Nick you know

12:33

here's you know this sit down because

12:36

this is kind of complicated but it's

12:38

like if more if there's more demand

12:40

for housing and then you build more

12:43

housing the prices go down and i

12:45

was like wow that it is amazing

12:47

that like no other city seriously like

12:49

no other big city has thought of

12:52

that so what do you what do

12:54

you make of this whole new Ezra

12:56

Klein movement to that it's like it's

12:59

like they discovered yeah the most they

13:01

elementary rules yeah well you're right it

13:03

is you know part of me is

13:06

like you know i love this stuff

13:08

and I loved it, you know, even

13:10

more when I read it in Reason

13:12

50 years ago or 25 years ago

13:15

or 20 years ago, but more, you

13:17

know, just, you know, without any reservations

13:19

or anything, I think it is great

13:22

to see people who identify as progressive,

13:24

saying, you know, that, you know, what

13:26

we're talking about here constantly are problems

13:28

in supply. rather than demand. And to

13:31

say, instead of being like, oh, well,

13:33

you know what we got to do

13:35

is like we have to make it

13:38

so people, you know, people don't want

13:40

as much health care, people don't want

13:42

as much housing, people don't want as

13:44

much education, because it's too expensive, and

13:47

instead of focusing on those old things

13:49

and trying to distribute things through the

13:51

government, you know, they're saying, okay, we

13:54

need to think about supply, and maximize

13:56

supply of everything. I think that's great.

13:58

So I like, you know, that they're

14:00

focused on this and that they're talking

14:03

about this. I'm uncomfortable. There are solutions

14:05

tend to be too top-down for me

14:07

and too technical. It's just that the

14:10

government is going to be very involved

14:12

with saying, okay, you can build this,

14:14

but not this. And, you know... you

14:16

know, these people get first crack. It's

14:19

just things like that. I mean, you,

14:21

we need to become Promesian. Again, I

14:23

think, you know, we need to be

14:26

stealing fire from the gods. And within

14:28

politics and outside of politics, like we

14:30

just need to become less governable and

14:32

let things go. I mean, in Austin.

14:35

I just said that to Corin in

14:37

the last hour. I said, you used

14:39

to be the Wild West and it

14:42

was good. Yeah. I mean, and it's,

14:44

you know, rules are there. I didn't

14:46

say for meathian, but the same way.

14:48

Okay. Now, actually, Wild West is better,

14:51

right? Like, who am I try to

14:53

impress? And, yeah, you know, it, we

14:55

need, one of the things that's fascinating

14:58

in Austin is that, you know, there's

15:00

the city of Austin, and then it's

15:02

within Travis County, and there's a bunch

15:04

of other counties around there, but in

15:07

most of these places, in unincorporated, And

15:09

so like there's a big chunk of

15:11

land and a developer can go and

15:14

as long as they get certain basic

15:16

permits and they build the infrastructure you

15:18

know the roads going in and out

15:20

and the sewers and the water and

15:23

all of that like they can do

15:25

what they want and God that's like

15:27

kind of amazing and in Texas I've

15:30

been thinking about this a lot because

15:32

I lived in Texas in the 90s.

15:34

I lived in the prison town in

15:36

Texas, Huntsville where the death chamber is.

15:39

And it was, you know, a weird...

15:41

Gary Gilmore was... No, now he was

15:43

out in Utah. He might have killed

15:46

people in Texas. He was a very

15:48

good driver. I loved those, you know,

15:50

those kind of serial killers who read

15:52

on the road because like Ted Bundy,

15:55

you know, he was in like Florida

15:57

and Washington State. It's like, you know,

15:59

you know, they really put a really

16:02

put a lot of a lot of

16:04

a lot of miles a lot of

16:06

miles on. But in Texas, unlike places

16:08

like California where I've lived in Florida

16:11

where I visited a fair amount, and

16:13

I guess Florida is a different, sorry,

16:15

or New York where I live, like

16:18

in Texas, they're like, you know what,

16:20

we got a lot of land. And

16:22

like the buildings can never reach up

16:25

to blot out the sun. So it's

16:27

like, let's just start building more. bigger,

16:29

higher, taller. And that's kind of exciting.

16:31

I mean, you know, I'm a second

16:34

generation, born in America, or third generation,

16:36

second generation, whatever that is. And like

16:38

the whole reason, you know, I kept

16:41

hearing about why people came here was

16:43

because you could build stuff that you

16:45

couldn't do in like old Europe. You

16:47

know, and in New York, I mean,

16:50

you know, the way my parents talked

16:52

about New York in the, you know,

16:54

30s, 40s, 50s, especially, you could really,

16:57

you know, take big swings and like

16:59

build stuff out and just do what

17:01

you want it. And if you couldn't

17:03

do it in New York, then you

17:06

would go west and do it. State

17:08

where it's like you can't really do

17:10

anything. I was just reading a story

17:13

today You know the Pacific Palisades fires

17:15

and the mayor Karen Bass who is

17:17

Ridiculous and Gavin Newsome You know they

17:19

both were like okay. You know what

17:22

we're going to do now that you

17:24

know this whole part of Southern California

17:26

burned down. We're going to suspend all

17:29

of the normal bullshit that we require

17:31

Since then they've only approved four permits

17:33

in Pacific Palisades for houses, and it's

17:35

like okay. Well you're done people are

17:38

going to move to Texas where in

17:40

the time, you know, they leave LA

17:42

and drive to Austin like there'll be

17:45

a complex, you know, that has like

17:47

50 apartment, you know, apartment center or

17:49

something. Yeah, I mean, they talk about

17:51

reforming things and there is part of

17:54

this, it is, you know, when Elon

17:56

Musk has that chainsaw. Yeah, yeah. I'm

17:58

not a fan at all. I know

18:01

you're not either of, and I want

18:03

to talk about how the Trump administration

18:05

has been behaving itself. Yeah. But yeah,

18:07

the chainsaw is not a bad metaphor.

18:10

It is not a bad image for

18:12

what needs to be done. Yeah, he

18:14

kind of got that from Javier Malay,

18:17

the Argentine president. Who you're a fan

18:19

of. Yeah, yeah, I like a lot

18:21

so far. I mean, I don't, you

18:23

know, I have to admit I don't

18:26

fully understand the intricacies of Argentina. politics.

18:28

You don't know I know I've been

18:30

I'm faking it all these years but

18:33

you know he came around with a

18:35

chainsaw and you know and I think

18:37

in the past people like Ram Paul

18:39

might have shot did he use a

18:42

chainsaw or like a wood chipper or

18:44

he might have shot you know like

18:46

regulations like a stack of regulations things

18:49

like that but yeah I mean part

18:51

of it is you can spend your

18:53

whole life trying to fix things in

18:55

the place you are. or you can

18:58

like light out for the territory and

19:00

build on a kind of blank landscape.

19:02

And I don't know. Do you think

19:05

that as recline and all these Democrats

19:07

and liberals who have found the new

19:09

religion, do you think that would have

19:11

happened if Trump hadn't won? Yeah, I

19:14

do in this sense that Klein and

19:16

his co-author, Derek Thompson of the Atlantic,

19:18

had been working on this. kind of

19:21

material along with somebody like Matt Iglesias

19:23

who I believe actually grew up in

19:25

the village. Yeah. But you know, they

19:27

have, you know, they've been working towards

19:30

these ideas for a while. So, you

19:32

know, that's good. And I mean, to

19:34

me, the, in a lot of ways,

19:37

I mean, I'm a hardcore libertarian reasons,

19:39

you know, where the magazine of free

19:41

minds and free markets, we like civil

19:44

liberties and economic liberties and think they're

19:46

all together, you know, part of the

19:48

same thing and so you know we

19:50

like the idea of just if you

19:53

can dream it you can do it

19:55

as long as you're not you know

19:57

objectively hurting somebody else or stealing from

20:00

them, you know, within very large parameters.

20:02

And I think it's good to see

20:04

people that identify as being either liberal

20:06

or leftist starting to come to those

20:09

conclusions. You know, the guy who is

20:11

now the president of the nation, you

20:13

know, one of the oldest magazines in

20:16

the country and a very left-wing magazine,

20:18

Baskar Sankara, he found a Jacobin, a

20:20

socialist magazine, and he's, you know, he's

20:22

an ideological character. but he even calls

20:25

himself a market socialist. So, you know,

20:27

what he wants is a society that

20:29

is fairer and more kind of egalitarian,

20:32

but even he will say, you know,

20:34

in a lot of most cases, the

20:36

way you get there is through markets

20:38

and making sure people can participate in

20:41

them. So tell our, since it's related

20:43

to this, tell our audience who doesn't

20:45

understand it, because it is complicated, why

20:48

are tariffs such a bad idea? Yeah,

20:50

I'm presuming you think they're bad. Yeah,

20:52

I do. The worst. Yeah. I don't

20:54

know if they're the worst, but no

20:57

redeeming. No redeeming. Yeah, that's that's a

20:59

great way to put it. There's really

21:01

no social or cultural or scientific redeeming

21:04

value. What is the for porn? where

21:06

it's like the the test for porn

21:08

if you know a work part has

21:10

no no it has like no artistic

21:13

or social cultural man all it feels

21:15

like sure for it's interesting yeah I

21:17

mean tariffs the thing to understand about

21:20

tariffs is that they are a tax

21:22

that is you know that is not

21:24

levied on the producer the exporter you

21:26

know the the guy in China who's

21:29

sending stuff here, it is a tax

21:31

that is levied on the importer of

21:33

that, which then ends up being passed

21:36

on to the consumer. So it raises

21:38

our prices. Now let me just stop

21:40

you there because... Does 100% of that

21:42

price get passed along or does the

21:45

guy in China lower his prices? Sometimes

21:47

it all varies, right? And it varies

21:49

on a lot of things, but it's

21:52

definitely an increase. And you know, because

21:54

somebody's got to eat that somewhere and

21:56

it might be, you know, sometimes the

21:58

guy in China will... you know we'll

22:01

come up with a better way to

22:03

produce stuff so he can you know

22:05

he's got a fatter profit margin that

22:08

the tariff eats into because it's got

22:10

to lower his price to get it

22:12

in so it it costs less in

22:14

America sometimes it's the the importer will

22:17

eat eat some of the costs But

22:19

ultimately it ends up, you know, it

22:21

ends up increasing prices and those are

22:24

mostly borne by the consumer. And you

22:26

could imagine. Okay. And then I was,

22:28

you know, I was just going to

22:30

say that it has the effect, you

22:33

know, the intended effect is that if

22:35

terrorists are high enough and people know

22:37

they're high enough and they're going to

22:40

be around for a while, then the

22:42

argument is that, well, we'll start producing

22:44

these things that we were going to

22:46

import to import. because it's cheaper. That

22:49

is not nearly often the case. And

22:51

it's also partly because tariffs, people figure

22:53

out ways to get around them, or

22:56

they substitute products and goods and things

22:58

like that. And one of the other

23:00

bad things that happens is if you're

23:03

in a protectionist marketplace. You, as a

23:05

producer, you tend not to be as

23:07

competitive because you know that the government,

23:09

you know, or that nobody can compete

23:12

with you, so you have less competition.

23:14

The, you know, the classic case of

23:16

this was the... The auto industry in

23:19

the 70s. Yeah, I was going to

23:21

say the big three or big two

23:23

and a half auto manufacturers. where there

23:25

were heavy tariffs on imported cars, you

23:28

know, both high end and low end.

23:30

And, you know, this stuff never really

23:32

affects the high end because people who

23:35

are buying high end products can pay

23:37

more if they want. But it wasn't

23:39

simply that the US auto companies were

23:41

caught by surprise when tariffs started to

23:44

decline. But it was also that they

23:46

had like baked into their production processes

23:48

and their design processes and their labor

23:51

contracts, just so much inefficiency, because they

23:53

didn't have to work that hard for

23:55

sales. Yeah, I remember my father when

23:57

he first got a Toyota, it was

24:00

a revelation to him. He was like,

24:02

I can't believe it. Like if it

24:04

was an American car, the window thing,

24:07

the render regular will be falling off

24:09

by now. when the arm rest would

24:11

be falling off and he says, look,

24:13

the door is closed properly. He couldn't

24:16

believe that you could make a car

24:18

like this. And then sure enough, the

24:20

American car has got much, much better.

24:23

Oh yeah, yeah. And also, you know,

24:25

the other thing is worth thinking about

24:27

is like, what is an American car?

24:29

Because a lot of it is, you

24:32

know, a part of it is built

24:34

overseas or in Canada or Mexico or

24:36

Mexico. But here's my question. I could

24:39

imagine. in China and America where wages

24:41

are so much lower attack everything is

24:43

just cheaper cheaper it could be profoundly

24:45

different it could be it could cost

24:48

them 30% of what it costs an

24:50

American company to think about like with

24:52

avocados in Mexico you know they're so

24:55

cheap it's cheaper to like important avocados

24:57

from Mexico and ship them to New

24:59

York than to you to grow them

25:01

in Florida or California. So wait, wait,

25:04

so it's so it's much much cheaper

25:06

in China. And then I don't really

25:08

know if China has a free market

25:11

such that there's competition between two companies

25:13

in China making that item. So then

25:15

they can raise the price, you know,

25:17

just a little bit below what the

25:20

American guy can make it. And we

25:22

have our units and all like that.

25:24

And then they make a killing. The

25:27

Chinese company makes a killing. Actually, it's

25:29

not all passed on. Some small or

25:31

some percentage is passed on to the

25:33

American consumer. But a huge part of

25:36

it is going in the pocket of

25:38

a Chinese businessman. And I think I

25:40

know the answer to this, but I'm

25:43

asking it's also, because this is how

25:45

people are trying to understand this question.

25:47

And what is wrong with us saying,

25:49

well, you know what? We're going to

25:52

take a chunk of that money. Who's

25:54

we and the American government? We're going

25:56

to get revenue from that. Yeah, and

25:59

then what are they going to do

26:01

with that revenue? I mean, so you

26:03

know if you're a consumer, I don't

26:06

I don't service the deficit. Yeah, you

26:08

know that they're increasing because they're you

26:10

know, we're spending 7.2 trillion dollars instead

26:12

of 4.4 trillion or trillion dollars or

26:15

whatever. But is there something to that?

26:17

I mean the idea is that you

26:19

will raise, you know, and I'm trying

26:22

to remember now what the estimates are

26:24

on this round of, you know, of

26:26

goods like say it's, you know, you

26:28

know, hundreds of billions of dollars a

26:31

year, that one, it may not end

26:33

up being that much. Oftentimes these things

26:35

are over, the estimates are overly generous.

26:38

Every time somebody says I'm raising a

26:40

tax or I'm cutting a tax, it's

26:42

going to, you know, they always oversell

26:44

it for whatever reason. But then, you

26:47

know, the idea that the U.S. government

26:49

knows better what to do with money

26:51

that they take from American consumers. The

26:54

idea was we're going to use tariffs

26:56

to pay for the tax cuts the

26:58

extension of the of the Trump and

27:00

Republican tax cuts that got passed in

27:03

2017 or 18 and You know that

27:05

remains to be seen because like you

27:07

just don't You there you could tariff

27:10

everything and you're not going to get

27:12

enough money to make up for the

27:14

cost of those other tax cuts and

27:16

I like tax cuts. I think we

27:19

you know, I think we we pay

27:21

too much in taxes and we spend

27:23

too much, but I also think that

27:26

we need to pay for the government

27:28

that we're actually having. And this is

27:30

one of the things that happened, you

27:32

know, really it started in its modern

27:35

form under George W. Bush who inherited

27:37

a balanced budget. And it was a

27:39

balanced budget that had been balanced by

27:42

Bill Clinton and a Republican Congress. And

27:44

then they blew out everything by just

27:46

borrowing wildly. That continued under Obama, continued

27:48

under Trump 1.0, it continued under Bush,

27:51

or Biden rather, and it's probably going

27:53

to continue under Trump, you know, in

27:55

a second term. So it's not like

27:58

we're taking any of this new revenue

28:00

and actually using it to retire. the

28:02

debt or to cut, you know, really

28:04

cut taxes in a way that is

28:07

sustainable. Have you thought about if you

28:09

were emperor and you could reshape the

28:11

budget as you wish and without causing

28:14

any more hardship than you wish to

28:16

cause, you know, whatever health care you

28:18

want to give, whatever social security you

28:20

want to do, how much smaller you

28:23

think you could make the budget? Yeah,

28:25

I mean, you know, this is me

28:27

kind of already giving up. But to

28:30

say, you know what, maybe we should

28:32

be able to go back to the

28:34

2019 level, that's before COVID, right? So,

28:36

okay, you know. And we all know.

28:39

Why not 1992 level? I don't know.

28:41

I'm going to say, yeah. I'm just

28:43

saying as an easy thing to say,

28:46

like, you know, it shouldn't be that

28:48

hard to go from, you know, back

28:50

to $4.4 trillion. That's a starting point

28:52

and then. Cutting you know or stopping

28:55

growth and have us grow if we

28:57

grow the economy, you know, whatever we're

28:59

spending as government is less For me,

29:02

the big things, and you know, the

29:04

big drivers of spending at this point,

29:06

and something like 75% of the budget,

29:08

I started writing about federal budget issues

29:11

in the early 2000s, and this is

29:13

already boring me, so I apologize. No,

29:15

for this, but it's, you know, back

29:18

then... She just doesn't understand it, that's

29:20

one. You would talk about, well, she's

29:22

thinking of it, Philip Roth, you know,

29:25

who... I want to get back to

29:27

that. But you know you would always

29:29

say something like you know the federal

29:31

government is made you know has two

29:34

parts to it It's called discretionary spending

29:36

and mandatory spending each of which takes

29:38

up about 50% of the budget. That's

29:41

like what you would say, circuit 2002.

29:43

Now, and that means mandatory spending is

29:45

stuff that doesn't have to get re-up

29:47

every year. So that's like Social Security

29:50

and Medicare. And it's index to inflation

29:52

often. Yeah, in various ways. But like

29:54

that is on autopilot. And then discretionary

29:57

spending is stuff like defense and education,

29:59

which technically has... get renewed every year

30:01

and Congress actually has to fucking do

30:03

something which they never do and they

30:06

didn't this year but you know now

30:08

it's three quarters mandatory spending and it's

30:10

you know a quarter discretionary spending so

30:13

it's like because Social Security Medicare in

30:15

particular which the old agent entitlements they

30:17

keep growing even as the amount of

30:19

money that is taxed to fund them

30:22

just doesn't keep pace so for me

30:24

that would be like the primary if

30:26

i'm emperor and you would have to

30:29

be emperor because anybody who does this

30:31

is probably gonna get voted out of

30:33

office pretty quickly but we have to

30:35

tackle that and you know no you

30:38

and i are of a certain age

30:40

where we're nearing you know the official

30:42

retirement ages and you know it's wrong

30:45

for people like us who have the

30:47

means and the money and the ability

30:49

to pay for our retirements and to

30:51

pay for our health care to make

30:54

somebody's grandkids you know younger and poorer

30:56

people pay for that on the idea

30:58

that oh when you retire you know

31:01

in 50 years it'll be there for

31:03

you because it won't be i mean

31:05

it just can't right we have too

31:07

many people retiring with too few contributors

31:10

and it's a shitty deal like so

31:12

security is you know it it's not

31:14

just that it picks the pocket of

31:17

younger workers to pay for older workers

31:19

it is a bad kind of guaranteed

31:21

retirement plan. You would be much better

31:23

off saving that money and putting it

31:26

in, you know, a mutual fund and

31:28

just letting it ride for, you know,

31:30

30 years. So Bush wanted to do

31:33

it? Kind of. He screwed that up.

31:35

It's a real shame. I mean, George

31:37

W. Bush, it's hard. to remember how

31:39

unpopular he was and kind of how

31:42

bad he was at everything other than

31:44

blundering into really shitty wars. And it's

31:46

worth remembering that because he seems kind

31:49

of like a nice guy now as

31:51

does Obama who also made a lot

31:53

of really bad mistakes where is Trump

31:55

and Biden and Hillary Clinton like they're

31:58

more villainous, right? Yeah, Bush, when he

32:00

won re-election in 2004, by really amping

32:02

up the idea that we were about

32:05

to be destroyed by, you know, Islamic

32:07

terrorism and all of that, he said,

32:09

I'm going to, you know, I have

32:11

a lot of political capital and I'm

32:14

going to use it to fix immigration

32:16

and Social Security, and he had decent

32:18

plans for the beginning of that, but

32:21

he was just not the guy to

32:23

do it. Now, what are the odds

32:25

that, you know, I'm looking at these

32:27

flat screen TVs, I remember when they

32:30

first came out? They were like $10,000,

32:32

$12,000, now they're almost a couple hundred

32:34

dollars, right? Yeah, that's probably, it's a

32:37

physio, so you could get that at

32:39

Walmart, that's probably like 200 bucks. Yeah.

32:41

So what are the odds that when

32:44

all these pressures finally come to the

32:46

breaking point that technology will so decrease

32:48

the costs of various things like health

32:50

care, maybe will... Housing will come down

32:53

because more housing that will have a

32:55

much softer landing than you would Imagine

32:57

if everything was straight line projections based

33:00

on what we yeah, yeah, no, you

33:02

know that I mean, I kind of

33:04

believe in the singularity, you know, the

33:06

idea that eventually Machines and computers will

33:09

start talking Excuse me to each other

33:11

and and you know and i'd like

33:13

a i i mean i think we

33:16

have you know the replace twenty percent

33:18

of the workforce federal workforce now with

33:20

a i by the yeah and i

33:22

mean of course you know none of

33:25

these things you you i mean you

33:27

you don't want doctors deciding like okay

33:29

I'm checking the AI and it's said

33:32

okay I'm gonna cut off this leg

33:34

you know or whatever or I'm gonna

33:36

deport these people because in auto complete

33:38

in an auto complete field it's like

33:41

the name Dorman came up like your

33:43

MS-13 obviously I see from he wears

33:45

those long sleeves to hide the tattoos

33:48

I'm MS-18 yeah it's a Jewish joke

33:50

Go ahead. And, you know, so I

33:52

don't believe in apocalypse, like, you know,

33:54

things are never as bad as a...

33:57

I remember after 9-11 and everybody was

33:59

talking about dirty bombs and it's like

34:01

somebody could walk into Times Square. I

34:04

was worried about that. You know with

34:06

the lease, as they used to call

34:08

them, and like, you know, a suitcase-sized

34:10

bomb and detonated and... And then like

34:13

when you read what people said, okay,

34:15

this is actually what would happen, you

34:17

would have to like, if you were

34:20

exposed to it, go inside, take a

34:22

shower and keep your blinds closed because

34:24

the amount of radiation that even a

34:26

dirty bomb would give off was like,

34:29

you know, it's like, I mean, it

34:31

was like. God, this is kind of

34:33

amazing. And when you look at this

34:36

century, we've had so many terrible things

34:38

thrown at us, you know, including, you

34:40

know, the COVID and the financial crisis

34:42

at 9-11. And it's like we're doing

34:45

pretty well, actually, in a lot of

34:47

ways. So I don't believe in Apocalypse,

34:49

but it is true. that the you

34:52

know the government is a primary cause

34:54

of volatility and uncertainty in the economy

34:56

and in our everyday lives and like

34:58

it behoves us really to figure out

35:01

how are we going to address entitlement

35:03

issues how are we going to make

35:05

it easier for people to get housing

35:08

whether they're renting or owning and you

35:10

know how how do we unleash market

35:12

forces that have made this you know

35:14

TV super great and cheap How do

35:17

we bring that to health care and

35:19

education and every other thing that we

35:21

care about? And of course government keeps

35:24

the prices high through all their... Yeah.

35:26

Yeah. So, Trump, I want to get

35:28

your take on... Do you know what

35:30

I said about Anthony Wiener? Yeah. As

35:33

a New Yorker, as a gain of

35:35

function New Yorkers, I was Donald Trump,

35:37

right? He is like, he's a cartoon

35:40

version. I think he's worse than those

35:42

of us who were not Trump apocalypse

35:44

predictors thought he would be. Obviously... Are

35:47

you moving to Canada? No, I'm not

35:49

moving to Canada. All of the Yale

35:51

faculty? No. We really don't know how

35:53

it's all going to play out. You

35:56

know, my daughter's in eighth grade and

35:58

quite often the entire administration... not often

36:00

always of a previous president gets

36:02

reduced down to three or four bullet

36:05

points that she has to memorize you

36:07

know and it's interesting because you could

36:09

imagine you know there's so many things

36:11

every day there's this story there's this

36:14

guy who's deported by mistake and you

36:16

you don't really and you wonder okay

36:18

but when it's all said and done

36:21

and we're ten years down the line what

36:23

will be the bullet points because that

36:25

and and will those bullet points make

36:27

it all worthwhile better than the Kamala

36:29

Harris bullet points with him or with...

36:32

I mean, I think so. I, you

36:34

know, I, or, you know, let's, let's

36:36

speculate what those bullet points. So, you

36:38

know, Trump, his first term bullet points

36:40

would have been pretty good. Very good.

36:42

Where it's like, you know, he brokered

36:45

the Abraham Accords, he, uh... He oversaw

36:47

a growing economy and the Trump court

36:49

got rid of racial preferences. Yeah, he

36:51

supercharged, you know, the COVID vaccine production

36:53

and stuff like that. Yeah, he doesn't

36:55

want to admit that, but I don't

36:58

know. That's a really interesting question. But

37:00

that's really the heart of the matter. Yeah.

37:02

Otherwise, you get caught up in the hysterics

37:04

of all of it. And they're valid.

37:06

I mean, he's the idea that somebody... Now

37:08

I read into it yesterday for the first

37:11

time, I was, oh, well, well, this

37:13

guy actually might have actually might have been...

37:15

It actually looks like this guy was

37:17

a gang member, but that really doesn't

37:20

matter. It doesn't. It doesn't matter to

37:22

the principle of government by shitshell. And

37:24

if this guy, if they got lucky

37:26

enough that this guy actually deserved it,

37:28

that does not sanitize the procedure as

37:31

being reckless and a violation of his

37:33

liberties, even if he's guilty. Yeah, I

37:35

mean, and he did have a valid

37:37

order where he could not be deported.

37:40

Yeah. So, you know, and then people

37:42

can argue about that. But that's also,

37:44

you know, it was everything. Yeah. And

37:46

taking a step back, you know, the

37:48

rhetoric that, oh, we are undergoing a

37:50

invasion, you know, by MS-13 and by

37:52

Mexicans and by Indians and by Indians

37:55

and by people who want to come

37:57

here and live here, you know, that's

37:59

wrong. There isn't. crime there isn't a

38:01

crime wave associated with immigration the reason

38:03

we have more illegal immigration than legal

38:05

immigration at times is because it's impossible

38:07

to move here legally I mean we

38:10

I we definitely want to get gang

38:12

members out yeah of course absolutely fair

38:14

and orderly and we want the border

38:16

to be secured which you know Trump

38:18

and actually Biden in his last six

38:21

months was doing you know this is

38:23

this is all to the good and

38:25

so I'm not apocalyptic about Trump but

38:27

You know, this is one of the

38:30

benefits and maybe this is also one

38:32

of the limits of being a libertarian.

38:34

Like, I, you know, every president, it

38:36

is this mix of things where it's

38:38

like, you know, George W. Bush was

38:40

not completely terrible, but he was terrible

38:43

on civil liberties. He was terrible on

38:45

foreign policy. He was terrible on spending,

38:47

you know, things like that, you know,

38:49

Obama. not terrible on everything but he

38:51

was he was worse than Bush in

38:54

a lot of ways and and you

38:56

know Trump was worse than Obama in

38:58

a lot of ways and Biden was

39:00

worse than Trump so it's kind of

39:02

a perpetual cycle and I don't think

39:05

one of the things that bugs me

39:07

is the idea that you know we're

39:09

not supposed to be critical of

39:11

the president you know this drives

39:13

me nuts and or Anthony Wiener

39:15

Yeah, well, yeah, you know, well,

39:17

I don't have to vote for

39:19

Anthony Wiener. And I don't have

39:21

to, I don't have to, I

39:23

don't have to live under his

39:25

foot. Yeah, what about, even on,

39:27

you know, even on Ukraine, I'm

39:29

optimistic that the outcome with Trump

39:32

will be better than it would

39:34

have been on to Harris, which just

39:36

seemed to be a policy that was

39:38

just, you know, floating in the wind,

39:41

it had no goal. It had, it

39:43

had no goal. I mean, I worry,

39:45

you know, with Trump and foreign

39:47

policy, and this is saying a

39:49

lot because we're coming off of

39:52

a quarter century of just terrible

39:54

foreign policy. I guess he was

39:56

involved in some of that. It's

39:58

not clear, you know. people may

40:00

remember that during the Bush years people like

40:02

it was a big gotcha question like whenever

40:05

anybody was on a talk show they'd always

40:07

be like well do you agree with the

40:09

Bush doctrine and people would be like yes

40:12

I do and then like well what is

40:14

it and nobody could define it even though

40:16

he you know was you know he was

40:18

like launching major wars and we had a

40:21

Charles Krauthammer term I think the Bush doctor

40:23

yeah and it was like it It wasn't

40:25

clear, and I can remember reading articles, like

40:27

actually there's three Bush doctrines and all of

40:30

this type of stuff, but we, you know,

40:32

it's good to have basic principles that

40:34

are thought through, that are debated, articulated,

40:36

and then actually govern how we do

40:39

things. And, you know, I don't think

40:41

we had that under Bush. We definitely

40:43

didn't have it under Obama who appeared,

40:45

you know, who didn't run as an

40:48

anti-war candidate, but was perceived as such

40:50

and did nothing to... you know, change

40:52

that thinking. And then he was kind

40:54

of a warmonger when he was in

40:57

office. And then Trump, it's not clear,

40:59

you know, what, you know, what is

41:01

his governing principles? Because there's something sickening

41:04

when he's telling a country that was invaded,

41:06

you know, that you are the problem and

41:08

that, you know, you know, if you don't

41:10

kiss my ass right now, like I'm gonna

41:13

say, you know, go straight ahead, you

41:15

know, Putin and go in. Having

41:17

said that, you know, and then

41:19

his position on Israel is different

41:21

and it's kind of obscure. And,

41:24

you know, but what is Trump's,

41:26

you know, set of basic coordinates

41:28

that he uses to determine foreign

41:31

policy? It's not clear. But just

41:33

to agree with you, I mean,

41:35

you know, it's better. I think

41:37

it's better than Biden, you know, where...

41:40

Whatever Biden was doing, he was

41:42

spending a lot, but then also

41:44

telling people you could do this,

41:46

but not this. And like he

41:48

was simultaneously giving a lot of

41:50

money and micromanaging or being kind

41:52

of vacant. So. Yeah, and I mean,

41:55

bogged down it, but obviously there were

41:57

certain kind of optimism early on in

41:59

the war. or that, you know, they

42:01

might just do this and maybe

42:03

the progression is gonna get rid

42:05

of puna, maybe has pancreatic cancer,

42:07

so there was reasons, but I

42:09

don't think anybody thinks that Ukraine

42:11

is gonna expel Russia from the

42:13

Donbas anymore, and if that's the

42:15

case, then time may be on

42:17

Russia's side. Like, you know, they

42:19

dick around for another two years,

42:22

Russia might roll into Kiev, so.

42:24

And it was, I think we

42:26

all breathed a sigh of relief

42:28

to hear Trump actually say out

42:30

loud that he's pissed off at

42:32

Vladimir Putin. So that we hope

42:34

you try to divine where Trump's

42:36

coming from. I'm much, much more

42:38

off-put and scared of JD Vance

42:40

and this post- trump, magga, motley

42:42

crew of nuts. I see them

42:44

as nuts. People who praise Alex

42:46

Jones and whatever it is. And,

42:48

you know, Trump's 78 years old.

42:50

It's not like crazy to think...

42:52

advance could be president even in

42:54

this term yeah how do you

42:56

feel about this guy you know

42:58

it's a this you you would

43:00

mention earlier on that you don't

43:02

like Elon Musk right I'm kind

43:04

of I have a better opinion

43:06

of musk than I do advance

43:08

yeah well what I was going

43:10

to say that you know what's

43:12

interesting and I think you know

43:14

the doge project is a good

43:16

idea and I don't like the

43:18

way it's being executed and my

43:20

colleague Matt Welch has talked about

43:22

this in other context of you

43:25

know when when Something gets going,

43:27

like you don't have the ability

43:29

to try a bunch of different

43:31

things to see what works, like

43:33

in terms of cutting government or

43:35

whatever, like the moment happens, and

43:37

then like if your first cut

43:39

is going to be what you

43:41

get, like your first take, and

43:43

I think they're doing it wrong

43:45

in a way that's going to

43:47

discredit the idea of like cutting

43:49

government for a long time, and

43:51

that bothers me a lot. But

43:53

on another level, you know, within

43:55

Trump world. Elon Musk does, you

43:57

know, he he earlier, I guess

43:59

late last year and earlier this

44:01

year, he was talking about being

44:03

in favor of high wage or

44:05

high skilled. immigration and that he

44:07

would fight the magga people including

44:09

JD Vance on that. Yeah and

44:11

you know it worries me because

44:13

you know everybody there's a flurry

44:15

of stories and I suspect there's

44:17

some truth to it that he's

44:19

going to be leaving the White

44:21

House you know the the sphere

44:23

of influence pretty soon and if

44:25

Trump becomes fully just magga all

44:28

the way and there is no

44:30

kind of... people on you know

44:32

there who are saying you know

44:34

what maybe we need to be

44:36

more economically minded maybe we need

44:38

to be the thing about immigration

44:40

and other you know pulling back

44:42

from the strict magga world I

44:44

think that's very disturbing scares the

44:46

shit out of me I mean

44:48

by the Trump has always been

44:50

for these H1B visas this isn't

44:52

this is a issue that he

44:54

championed in 2015 yeah I remember

44:56

hearing him arguing with banning about

44:58

it one thing about the mics

45:00

yeah yeah he doesn't changes positions

45:02

that he's, you know, like he's,

45:04

so I think he'll stick by

45:06

it. But this, uh, may as

45:08

well, last thing we'll talk about

45:10

the new respect that all these

45:12

conspiracy theorists have in that world,

45:14

that Tucker Carlson and Alex Jones

45:16

and who, whoever else there is,

45:18

seemed to have the president's ear

45:20

and they have Vance's ear and

45:22

then Cash Patel and, uh, you

45:24

know all these various knucklehead appointees

45:26

Matt Gates who didn't you know

45:28

they got to be pissed right

45:30

now you might be a fan

45:33

of Tulsa I don't know because

45:35

I know if you have share

45:37

her politics yeah no you know

45:39

but to me she's a flake

45:41

even if I agree with her

45:43

on some things you know yeah

45:45

I mean it's it's odd because

45:47

she you know everybody's a critic

45:49

of the deep state and then

45:51

when you start running it like

45:53

you start to find reasons to

45:55

keep it or to do certain

45:57

things at all that all that

45:59

but Yeah, I share your concerns

46:01

about a lot of this stuff

46:03

because the conspiracy theory world and

46:05

you know there's a left-wing version

46:07

of it, but it's not in

46:09

power right now. It's disturbing because

46:11

I don't know, you know, I

46:13

don't know how you know, I

46:15

don't know how you engage. It

46:17

mixes with Ukraine because, all right,

46:19

Trump, you know, seems to want

46:21

to impose a settlement, a kind

46:23

of common sense way, you know,

46:25

where Vance hates Zolenski. Yeah. He

46:27

hates somebody. The guy's done something

46:29

wrong. Yeah. The guy's done anything

46:31

wrong. He was invaded. They prep

46:33

there's the landscape. I mean, it's

46:36

the landscape because he's Jewish. They

46:38

come out and say it. And

46:40

then there's the classic trope of

46:42

where Zelenski is Jewish and he's

46:44

really a Nazi. Yes. You know,

46:46

he's a Bolshevik they call. That's

46:48

right. And Tucker Carlson will, you

46:50

know, talk about me rat-like and

46:52

sweaty and then Glenn Greenwall will

46:54

talk, they'll talk about how our

46:56

support for Ukraine is really about

46:58

Israel. So this is all very

47:00

ominous to me. I kind of

47:02

trust Trump on this stuff. Why

47:04

in the world do they hate

47:06

Salenski like this? What is it's

47:08

psychotic? Yeah, they hate him. I

47:10

don't know. How could you please

47:12

them by just rolling over and

47:14

let the Russians in? Yeah, and

47:16

this is the whole, you know,

47:18

thing too is that like it's

47:20

one thing to be against America,

47:22

you know, giving aid much less

47:24

troops or anything. to Ukraine. That's

47:26

on us, not on Salinsky. Yeah,

47:28

and I mean he's asking for,

47:30

you know, help and things like

47:32

that. And I think, you know,

47:34

he's made mistakes in all of

47:36

that, but it is a, it's

47:39

a very strange position where you're

47:41

basically arguing, you know, that this

47:43

guy who... Really rose to the

47:45

occasion. I mean, I'm regardless of

47:47

ideology in a lot of ways

47:49

because Yeltsin was like this too

47:51

where You know, he rose to

47:53

his moment in history and then

47:55

couldn't sustain it And I you

47:57

know that we have reverberations of

47:59

that, but it's kind of amazing

48:01

and when you know Zalenski, you

48:03

know, who who's the what it's

48:05

the equivalent George Lopez? Very somebody,

48:07

you know, like a sitcom comedian,

48:09

you know, Jerry sign you know,

48:11

becoming like a meaningful leader. It's

48:13

very strange. What was that Russian

48:15

comics name? Oh, Yakov Smirnoff. Yeah,

48:17

who has a very good podcast

48:19

now. Does he? Yeah, he, I

48:21

don't know if he's still there,

48:23

if he does it from there,

48:25

but he moved to Branson, Missouri,

48:27

and had a regular show there.

48:29

He's very patriotic American, right? Yeah,

48:31

yeah, yeah. Breeze in Foundation, the

48:33

non-profit that published the magazine actually

48:35

gave him an award sometime in

48:37

like the 80, or like the

48:39

80s, or very early early early

48:42

90s. That is a, I don't

48:44

know where he is on, you

48:46

know, the Ukraine, Russia split, because

48:48

you never know, you know, when

48:50

people who left the Soviet Union,

48:52

they have odd allegiances. Now before

48:54

we go, because, you know, I'm

48:56

always feuding with Dave Smith, who

48:58

was supposedly a libertarian. Yeah. Can

49:00

you explain the split between the

49:02

Gillespie wing and the Smith wing

49:04

of the libertarian movement? Yeah, that's

49:06

a good question. Because I agree

49:08

with you guys so much, and

49:10

I think everything they say is

49:12

out to lunch. Yeah, you know,

49:14

it's, without going into details too

49:16

much, part of it is the

49:18

difference between somebody like Friedrich Hayek

49:20

as a thinker or organizing principal

49:22

and Murray Rothbard. Murray Rothbard is

49:24

a very influential. at the groups

49:26

that Dave, you know, is particularly

49:28

at home with, like the Mises

49:30

Institute. And Rothbard was an anarcho

49:32

capitalist and he through a lot

49:34

of complicated kind of thinking about

49:36

stuff. He's an anarcho-capitalist, but then

49:38

ended up rolling for a time

49:40

with David Duke or, you know,

49:42

being very interested in the kind

49:45

of populist right in the, you

49:47

know, years ago and then, I

49:49

mean, Rothward's been dead for a

49:51

while, but his followers are kind

49:53

of interesting. in that and you

49:55

know and that immigration is somehow

49:57

you know we shouldn't have any

49:59

government but we should have like

50:01

a really strict order until all

50:03

property is privately owned so but

50:05

and there's I to put it

50:07

more bluntly, and I don't mean

50:09

this pejoratively, like I mean this

50:11

descriptively, but I think part of

50:13

it is also, it's dispositional, and

50:15

a lot of libertarians are, I

50:17

hate to use the word cosmopolitan

50:19

because that gets used as an

50:21

invective against me, but you know,

50:23

some people like living in kind

50:25

of sloppy, heterodox places where all

50:27

sorts of weird shit and weird

50:29

people happen. right and you know

50:31

and it's you know it's and

50:33

and then some people don't some

50:35

people like living in in you

50:37

know more hierarchical and more monocultural

50:39

places you know and that could

50:41

be ethnic ethnically it could be

50:43

class it could be all sorts

50:45

of things or people who believe

50:47

the same thing and that's a

50:50

big split in the broad libertarian

50:52

movement okay but so just like

50:54

if you're about liberty and liberty

50:56

is what moves you your heart

50:58

It swells to the sultry strains

51:00

of liberty, whatever it is. Then

51:02

Ukraine, you would think, would be

51:04

something that you would support. Here

51:06

is a country about to be

51:08

overrun by a tyrannical dictator, and

51:10

they're fighting for their freedom. They

51:12

may not be a perfect democracy,

51:14

but certainly their future is brighter

51:16

under the Ukrainian government than it

51:18

is going to be. So, but

51:20

their instinct is vehemently in the

51:22

other direction. I mean, what's going

51:24

on here? Is this, why would

51:26

a libertarian movement ever speak this

51:28

way about a people fighting for

51:30

their freedom? Yeah, I don't understand

51:32

that. You know, and again, I'm

51:34

not committed to American troops being

51:36

in Ukraine and I'm, you know,

51:38

I think we need a good

51:40

accounting of all the aid that

51:42

we give and in general. against

51:44

foreign aid, but yeah, when you

51:46

look at the optics of the

51:48

picture where there is, you know,

51:50

where there's a David and a

51:53

Goliath, you would think that most

51:55

libertarians are always going to be

51:57

on the side of the David.

51:59

And, you know, that... matters. And

52:01

it's also, you know, this, Tucker

52:03

Carlson went through a libertarian phase.

52:05

I mean, he was an adjunct

52:07

scholar at the Cato Institute in

52:09

D.C. shortly before he formed the

52:11

Daily caller. And I have an

52:13

old, I used to do a

52:15

reason talk show with Michael Moynihan

52:17

when he worked at Reason. And

52:19

we had an episode where Tucker

52:21

was on and he was talking

52:23

in ways. It's like you would

52:25

not recognize the same person because

52:27

he was anti-government and he was...

52:29

Yeah, he was very libertarian and

52:31

you know to see him going

52:33

to Russia and doing a kind

52:35

of, you know, reverse minstrel show

52:37

of Paul Robeson or like, you

52:39

know, a black leftist in Stalin's

52:41

Moscow, you know, and talk about

52:43

how great the supermarkets are and

52:45

the subways and all of that.

52:47

It's very peculiar. And I think

52:49

some of it is, and again,

52:51

I don't know that this is,

52:53

you know, particularly libertarian, but there's,

52:56

you know, some people like tradition

52:58

and hierarchy and hierarchy. clarity in

53:00

social relations. You know, a man

53:02

is a man and a woman

53:04

is a woman and we don't,

53:06

you know, and gays are problematic

53:08

because they don't, you know, they

53:10

don't fit into categories and things

53:12

like that. And then other people

53:14

are like, you know, whatever, you

53:16

know, do whatever you want and,

53:18

you know, as long as you're

53:20

not hurting somebody. And they have

53:22

this urge. Now, of course, it's

53:24

always very, very, very hard. It's

53:26

the unanswerable question in a certain.

53:28

dying and that it was worth

53:30

it for those lives to be

53:32

lost in order to fight for

53:34

a certain way of life. Yeah.

53:36

Is it better to have them

53:38

be slaves or is it better

53:40

to support the war? or 30,000

53:42

innocent people will die, but will

53:44

end slavery. These are, you know,

53:46

very, very tough questions, right? But

53:48

you would think that the libertarian

53:50

somehow would have a tougher time

53:52

with that question because they value

53:54

liberty. And then, of course, you

53:56

know, there seems to be, I

53:59

don't see the libertarianism at all

54:01

on what they're saying, and then

54:03

just, you know, my pet peeve

54:05

is if this notion that, let's

54:07

say you accept all their arguments

54:09

that Putin was... provoked by whatever

54:11

nonsense there is. An offhand comment

54:13

by Baker, and to the extent

54:15

that you think that his, the

54:17

non-pretextual part of his concerns about

54:19

whatever is going on in Ukraine

54:21

and provocations from ethnic rushes, whatever

54:23

it is. So he was provoked

54:25

and therefore he had no choice

54:27

but to go into Ukraine and

54:29

now he should be entitled to

54:31

keep 20% of the country. Okay,

54:33

fine. Let's come, now that, so

54:35

that's your kind of principles, okay.

54:37

Now let's take those principles and

54:39

use them to examine another chapter.

54:41

Let's look at the 1967 situation

54:43

that Israel was in. Egypt puts

54:45

100,000 troops on the borders, removes

54:47

the UN peacekeepers, has a blockade,

54:49

has genocidal rhetoric. Egypt, Israel is

54:51

provoked. They take out the Egyptian

54:53

army. They didn't, and then Jordan

54:55

attacks, that's more than provoked, and

54:57

they take this land. These same

54:59

people say, no, not one square

55:01

inch should Israel be able to

55:04

keep. Not one inch, I don't

55:06

care if you were provoked. Or

55:08

they'll say, you weren't provoked, you

55:10

had a choice, they'll say, of

55:12

course they had a choice. They

55:14

had less of a choice than

55:16

Putin did, right? So, unless there's

55:18

something I'm missing, or on being

55:20

unfair, which you know I don't

55:22

like to be, I'm calling bullshit

55:24

on the whole point of view.

55:26

You know, I, and I'm yet

55:28

to hear someone push back. I

55:30

mean, this is what you're missing

55:32

now. Well, I'm not, you know,

55:34

I, you know, my libertarianism, I

55:36

think is, you know, it's pretty

55:38

open and forthright. So I mean,

55:40

I stand for what I stand

55:42

for. You want to, I mean,

55:44

I said in a conversation with

55:46

the people we're going to have

55:48

dinner with us. Everybody's entitled to

55:50

due process. Even if in my

55:52

opinion, even if it's not a

55:54

constitutional requirement. It's basic fairness and

55:56

morality that people should be treated

55:58

fairly when they can be. People

56:00

should not suffer consequences without some

56:02

procedure that allows them to state

56:04

their case. I don't have to

56:07

give my employees due process. I

56:09

can say to my employee, you

56:11

know what, I think you were

56:13

stealing. You're out. But I don't

56:15

do that. I say, listen, I

56:17

think you were stealing. What do

56:19

you have to say for yourself?

56:21

Listen to here, here's a witness.

56:23

I embark on that because it's...

56:25

Well, it's so these immigrants... He

56:27

doesn't deserve due process. He's hearing

56:29

hugely worse, too. I mean, you

56:31

know, business owners are one thing,

56:33

but when it's the government, you

56:35

know, they have... Yes, of course.

56:37

I stand to believe a monopoly

56:39

on force, so they do... They're

56:41

held to a higher standard, you

56:43

know, because you can't... you can

56:45

fire somebody that can get a

56:47

job somewhere else if you're running

56:49

the government and you put somebody

56:51

away or do the same thing

56:53

by i don't think business should

56:55

have the requirement i'm saying but

56:57

yeah what when when it's not

56:59

to onerous a burden on me

57:01

i will reserve the right to

57:03

say listen i don't trust it

57:05

you got to go well you

57:07

know here but this is where

57:10

i really the libertarian point of

57:12

view in general really moves me

57:14

because it's it's it's a respect

57:16

for people and for fairness And

57:18

for freedom in a way. Yeah.

57:20

Well, I think whenever you can

57:22

find it. One of the, you

57:24

know, kind of paradoxes of the

57:26

current moment or of, you know,

57:28

certainly of the past 25 years,

57:30

I'm really starting to see, you

57:32

know, the 21st century, like it's

57:34

worth talking about it because a

57:36

lot of negative trends accelerated some

57:38

positive things. during it. But you

57:40

know this concept that we've lost

57:42

so much trust and confidence in

57:44

government and I think we've done

57:46

that rightly because government has acted

57:48

poorly you know they you know

57:50

in the first Gulf or not

57:52

the first Gulf War in the

57:54

Iraq war and you know throughout

57:56

the war on terror our government

57:58

just lied to us they lied

58:00

about what they were doing and

58:02

they also lied about how much

58:04

it costs and what they how

58:06

they were spending money. You know,

58:08

they lied about the financial crisis,

58:10

the causes of it, and the

58:13

remedies to it. They lied about

58:15

COVID in all sorts of ways

58:17

and made a lot of stoop.

58:19

You know, we have every reason

58:21

to have less trust and confidence

58:23

in government. And from a libertarian

58:25

perspective, superficially, that's like a good

58:27

thing because once people don't trust

58:29

the government, they're going to, you

58:31

know, say we want less of

58:33

it. But that isn't the way

58:35

it works. And ironically, and I

58:37

wrote a story about this a

58:39

few years ago, a few years

58:41

ago, you know, semi-controversial within libertarian

58:43

circles, whereas saying, you know, we've

58:45

won that idea, that argument of

58:47

the idea that you shouldn't trust

58:49

the government because it is incompetent

58:51

at best and kind of malevolent

58:53

at worst. But that doesn't lead

58:55

to less government. It actually leads

58:57

predictably around the world to people

58:59

wanting more like a strong man

59:01

or strong governments that can, you

59:03

know, stop the chaos. And I

59:05

feel like this is what's happening.

59:07

under Trump, you know, he came

59:09

in and he said, I'm going

59:11

to destroy the deep set, I'm

59:13

going to get rid of all

59:15

of these administrative bureaucrats who are

59:18

just doing whatever they want without

59:20

any restraint. And he's modeling that

59:22

now in a lot of ways.

59:24

And so, you know, it isn't

59:26

going, you're not going to change

59:28

direction by doing more. more and

59:30

better of what you're combating. And

59:32

ironically, I think, you know, libertarians

59:34

would do well in this, I'm

59:36

in a minority position in the

59:38

libertarian movement because I'm not an

59:40

anarchist in this sense, but like,

59:42

we need to, you know, show

59:44

where government legitimately has an interest

59:46

and how it can be effective

59:48

and efficient. And I actually think

59:50

once people understand that can happen

59:52

they will vote you know they'll

59:54

vote for less government this happened

59:56

in the 90s throughout the 90s

59:58

at the state and federal level

1:00:00

as the government started doing less

1:00:02

things and it did them more

1:00:04

effectively you know the the burden

1:00:06

of government shifted so you know

1:00:08

we have a lot of work

1:00:10

to do and Trump is a

1:00:12

shame right because he came into

1:00:14

office now and he's got such

1:00:16

a cult-like power Yeah, that he

1:00:18

could have literally chosen, you know,

1:00:21

any subtle direction to go in,

1:00:23

and the country would have come

1:00:25

along. It also remains to be

1:00:27

seen, you're right, that he is

1:00:29

remarkably consistent in many of his

1:00:31

beliefs. I mean, he changes them

1:00:33

because like when he first ran,

1:00:35

he was anti-bit coin. and now

1:00:37

he's kind of like pro-bit coin

1:00:39

and certainly crypto etc. Those are

1:00:41

not his deeply helpful yet. But

1:00:43

you're right that he's pretty predictable

1:00:45

but the other thing to remember

1:00:47

you know it's weird because this

1:00:49

is his second term so he's

1:00:51

kind of a lame duck already

1:00:53

but then you know he as

1:00:55

he approaches the midterms he's going

1:00:57

to be very lame duck but

1:00:59

what's going to say you know

1:01:01

when you look at somebody like

1:01:03

Ronald Reagan at this point in

1:01:05

his first term. he was a

1:01:07

complete disaster. Like, you know, he

1:01:09

got what he wanted and things

1:01:11

went really poorly. And then by,

1:01:13

you know, by 1984, he was

1:01:15

about to win 49 states and

1:01:17

probably 50. I think they gave

1:01:19

him, they gave Walter Mondale, Minnesota

1:01:21

to, you know, so he wasn't

1:01:24

completely humiliated. But, so things can

1:01:26

change pretty quickly. And Trump is

1:01:28

probably adaptable. And like, as the

1:01:30

tariffs go into place and the,

1:01:32

you know, if the economy tanks,

1:01:34

he can't. he can't live with

1:01:36

that now and he'll start to

1:01:38

change that i i agree with

1:01:40

it he more than anything he

1:01:42

wants to be popular and actually

1:01:44

i think he wants the country

1:01:46

to do well and of course

1:01:48

i mean you know i i

1:01:50

i don't i don't know people

1:01:52

have this horrible impression of the

1:01:54

guy i think he's more complicated

1:01:56

than that but i don't think

1:01:58

or and it's not I mean,

1:02:00

all, you know, I think Biden,

1:02:02

you know, to the extent that

1:02:04

he had anything going on at

1:02:06

the end, like he didn't want

1:02:08

to leave office being a bum,

1:02:10

right? You know, and it's an

1:02:12

interesting point. I hope somebody close

1:02:14

to Trump is saying, like, what

1:02:16

are the three bullet points you

1:02:18

want people to remember? And it's

1:02:20

not going to be, I deported,

1:02:22

they all want the country to

1:02:24

do well. But I think

1:02:27

the country a picture of a country

1:02:29

doing well according to Donald Trump In

1:02:31

many ways would be closer to what

1:02:33

you and I would think of than

1:02:36

what Joe Biden Who knows what a

1:02:38

left-wing? Democratic vision of the country doing

1:02:40

well is it's certainly not I don't

1:02:42

even know if they even business even

1:02:45

occurs to them free speech occurs to

1:02:47

them Yeah, I mean Trump on free

1:02:49

speech is really incredibly bad. You know,

1:02:52

and he had an executive order that

1:02:54

was great where he basically said, you

1:02:56

know, this Biden era, a jaw-boning of

1:02:58

social media and actually leaning on people,

1:03:01

that's done, which is good, but then

1:03:03

he's, you know, going after people for

1:03:05

all sorts of things, and he has

1:03:07

an FCC, you know, who is... you

1:03:10

know going after networks and programs for

1:03:12

the way they edit videos and you

1:03:14

know this is insanity I mean it's

1:03:16

like where they edit videos about him

1:03:19

yeah yeah yeah in an ironic listen

1:03:21

the guy is so thin-skinned and he

1:03:23

makes a fool of himself yeah but

1:03:25

I don't see any anti-free speech movement

1:03:28

coming out of his movement, they're the

1:03:30

free speech people, even if he's a

1:03:32

disgraceful guy. And I don't like the

1:03:35

way they're going out to the universe,

1:03:37

I'm sure we agree. Yeah, you know,

1:03:39

and it's one thing to cut... Let

1:03:41

the people protest for Hamas. Yeah, it's

1:03:44

one thing to cut, you know, money,

1:03:46

and it's one thing to cut, you

1:03:48

know, even funding for research, because there

1:03:50

are ways around that, but to, you

1:03:53

know, be going after people because of

1:03:55

the things they say... I don't think

1:03:57

writing editorials in a student newspaper is

1:03:59

an incitement to violence. Is it for

1:04:02

what they're saying or are they falling

1:04:04

under things like inciting violence or harassing

1:04:06

people? I don't know. I mean, it's,

1:04:08

you know, and the idea. Well, it's

1:04:11

not what they're saying. I mean, it's

1:04:13

what. I don't show anything the Trump

1:04:15

administration is saying. Sure. just like the

1:04:17

pardons. I'm totally persuadable about almost anything.

1:04:20

Be a professional, write a document, present

1:04:22

it to the American people, this guy's

1:04:24

pardon for this, this, and this reason,

1:04:27

this person being deported, he did this,

1:04:29

this, and that, have it ready to

1:04:31

present to the people at the time

1:04:33

he deported him. Sure, I'm, I'm, I'm,

1:04:36

yeah. But they don't do that. Yeah.

1:04:38

They, they, they put the cart before

1:04:40

the horse and throw him out. Can

1:04:42

I, you know, I mean, I mean,

1:04:45

I mean, I mean, I mean, I

1:04:47

mean, I mean, I mean, I mean,

1:04:49

I, I mean, I, I, I, I,

1:04:51

I, I mean, I, Hopefully this will

1:04:54

be the legacy of Donald Trump is

1:04:56

that he will have made him if

1:04:58

he makes America more like New York.

1:05:00

I think that would be a good

1:05:03

thing because what's great about New York,

1:05:05

everybody disagrees and you know there's a

1:05:07

ton of different types of people living

1:05:10

different kinds of lives here and it

1:05:12

all kind of works. And like to

1:05:14

me... That's my vision of America. It

1:05:16

is, you know, it is like, you

1:05:19

know, it is the Lower East Side.

1:05:21

It is Greenwich Village, you know, it's

1:05:23

Hell's Kitchen, and it's just people doing

1:05:25

what they want to do to make

1:05:28

their lives interesting and express themselves and

1:05:30

make money. And, you know, in a

1:05:32

way, you're right, I think Trump... Trump

1:05:34

understands that kind of on a cellular

1:05:37

level even if he doesn't know how

1:05:39

to articulate it and often works against

1:05:41

that and I think a lot of

1:05:43

the people around him don't share that.

1:05:46

They're very uncomfortable with that kind of

1:05:48

thriving hub of you know just weirdness

1:05:50

of individualism and weirdness and that worries

1:05:53

me. We gotta go. Are you coming

1:05:55

to take a cab with me? I

1:05:57

guess I have to. Maybe a walk.

1:05:59

Thank you very much

1:06:02

as always, Nick

1:06:04

Gillespie, Reason magazine, free free

1:06:06

markets, free markets, and free everything.

1:06:08

Bye everybody. Bye Free

1:06:11

sex. Free Mumia.

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