Episode Transcript
Transcripts are displayed as originally observed. Some content, including advertisements may have changed.
Use Ctrl + F to search
0:00
Hi, this is Eric Kim with New
0:02
York Times Cooking. As a recipe
0:04
developer, I spend a lot of
0:06
my time trying to come up
0:08
with dishes that are quick, easy,
0:11
but also very special. For me,
0:13
that means dishes like cochogato salmon.
0:15
It's a crispy salmon fillet with
0:17
a salty, sweet glaze that bubbles
0:19
up in candies. I love cooking
0:21
this because it only takes 20
0:23
minutes. You can get this recipe
0:25
and so many more ideas on
0:27
New York Times cooking. Visit NYU
0:29
cooking.com to get inspired. From
0:31
New York Times, I'm Michael
0:34
Balboro. This is the daily.
0:36
President Trump says that he
0:38
is pausing some of the
0:40
tariffs that took effect overnight.
0:43
He announced a 90-day pause
0:45
on most of his new
0:48
tariffs. After promising that tariffs
0:50
against dozens of countries
0:53
were here to stay. No matter
0:55
how much they heard businesses or
0:57
the stock market, President
0:59
Trump has abruptly reversed
1:01
course. A universal 10%
1:03
tariff is in place
1:05
while country-specific deals come
1:08
together and sector-specific tariffs
1:10
remain. It looks like the
1:12
US has blinked. Except when it
1:14
comes to China. The President also
1:16
saying that he will raise the
1:19
tariff on Chinese imports now up
1:21
to 125 percent.
1:23
Today. Today. Jonathan
1:25
Swan on
1:28
why the
1:30
president changed
1:33
his mind
1:35
and David
1:38
Pearson on
1:40
why China
1:43
won't back
1:45
down. It's
1:47
Thursday, April
1:51
10th. and joining
1:53
us. Thanks for having me. So
1:55
the question here is very simple. Why
1:57
did Donald Trump reverse himself?
2:00
here and take the off-ramp from
2:02
these tariffs that none of us
2:04
thought he was very likely to
2:06
take. What happened here? Well
2:08
if you listen to the
2:10
public explanations from his
2:13
aides... This negotiation went
2:15
exactly the way we had
2:17
hoped it would go. This was the
2:19
plan all along. As I told everyone
2:22
a week ago do not
2:24
retaliate and you will be
2:26
rewarded. The Treasury Secretary, the
2:28
press secretary... clearly
2:30
missed the art of the deal. You
2:32
clearly failed to see what President Trump
2:34
is doing here. The genius out of
2:37
the deal strategy to isolate China and,
2:39
you know, negotiate with the rest of
2:41
the world. The entire world is calling
2:43
the United States of America not
2:45
China because they need our markets,
2:47
they need our consumers, and they
2:50
need this president in the Oval
2:52
Office to talk to them. Right. This
2:54
was all pre-planned. Yeah. That's not true.
2:56
behind the scenes what actually happened and
2:58
we're still getting more detailed now you
3:01
know my colleagues Maggie Haber and myself
3:03
and others on our team have been
3:05
reporting this out but right it's all
3:07
it's only five o'clock we haven't had
3:09
all that much time to make sense
3:12
of basically a three-hour old pause yeah
3:14
but but based on the conversations I've
3:16
had in the last two hours I
3:18
can say with confidence that this was
3:21
a decision driven by fear of
3:23
a full-blown financial panic crisis It
3:25
is true that Scott Besant,
3:27
the Treasury Secretary, and others
3:30
in Trump's orbit, have been
3:32
for several days now trying
3:34
to talk him towards a
3:37
more tailored tariff strategy, one
3:39
that would not punish allies as
3:41
harshly as America's worst trade adversaries,
3:44
and one that would potentially isolate
3:46
China. while putting a freeze on
3:48
other countries to negotiate, which is
3:51
where they ended up. But as
3:53
has become clear in conversations I've
3:55
had in the last couple of
3:58
hours, the end of... that deserves
4:00
most credit for today's decision is
4:02
the bond markets and fear among
4:04
Trump's team that this could spiral
4:06
out into a full-blown financial panic.
4:09
So just explain the meltdown Jonathan
4:11
in the bond market. Well you've
4:13
got the worst person you can
4:15
possibly ask to explain the meltdown
4:17
in the bond market. You actually
4:19
need someone who knows what they're
4:21
talking about. Okay okay Jonathan we
4:23
figured this might be the case
4:25
that you are not the authority
4:28
on the bond market and so
4:30
in the grand tradition of... phoning
4:32
a friend and having Marshall McLuhan
4:34
behind the potted plant, we're going
4:36
to bring on someone who is
4:38
an authority on bonds to briefly
4:40
explain what the heck just happened
4:42
there. I think that's very wise
4:44
for your listeners. What I would
4:47
acknowledge in this moment too, which
4:49
is that the bond market is
4:51
pretty hard to explain so we
4:53
decided to call you and ask
4:55
you to just briefly explain What
4:57
happened in the bond market because
4:59
as Jonathan just put it That
5:01
felt decisive in the Trump administration's
5:04
decision to hit pause on the
5:06
tariffs that terrified them Jonathan just
5:08
said so what happened? Why would
5:10
it merit terror from this administration?
5:12
So there are not a lot
5:14
of sure things in this world,
5:16
but one of them is that
5:18
in times of crisis, people around
5:20
the world buy the US dollar,
5:23
and specifically they buy US government
5:25
bonds. Because there's this building assumption
5:27
that whatever happens, war, aliens invade,
5:29
you know, whatever, the US government's
5:31
going to endure, and that appears
5:33
to have broken down, not fully,
5:35
but at least in the margins.
5:37
This idea that the US is
5:39
the ultimate safe haven is broken
5:42
down. And when people are less
5:44
willing to... by US
5:46
government debt, the
5:48
US government has
5:50
to pay a
5:52
greater rate of
5:54
return to persuade
5:56
people to buy
5:58
our debt. They
6:01
have to pay
6:03
higher interest rates,
6:05
basically. And a
6:07
lot of other
6:09
interest rates are
6:11
paid to the
6:13
rates on US
6:15
government debt. Mortgages,
6:17
credit cards. And
6:23
so you've got both the message
6:25
of the bond market breaking out,
6:27
which is that people who trade
6:29
money for a living worry that
6:31
bad days are ahead. And then
6:33
you've got the direct consequences of
6:35
jacking up borrowing rates, which is
6:37
an easy way to end up
6:39
in a nasty recite. God,
6:44
just to make sure I understand,
6:46
traditionally, you buy a bond, you basically
6:48
loan the United States government some
6:50
money, you are a thousand percent sure
6:52
that money is going to come
6:55
back with a little extra. All of
6:57
a sudden, people are fearful that
6:59
might not be the case. The government
7:01
might not be so dependable. They
7:03
start selling these bonds and it starts
7:05
to mess up all other kinds
7:07
of borrowing rates around the economy. And
7:09
that's how you suddenly get into
7:11
a situation where this all starts to
7:13
go really sideways. Yeah, I mean,
7:16
your mortgage goes up, well, you're going
7:18
to spend less on other parts
7:20
of the economy, which means you're depriving
7:22
businesses of income. Maybe you're not
7:24
going to buy that house you were
7:26
thinking about. And now housing prices
7:28
don't go up as much and some
7:30
developers doesn't make as much money
7:32
as they hoped in construction companies. I
7:35
get less business as a result.
7:37
This is how economic downturns happen. One
7:39
key trigger is when the cost
7:41
of borrowing money goes up, especially quickly.
7:43
That can be a real shock
7:45
to the system. Got it. And that
7:47
shock is exactly what happened today
7:49
in the bond market. OK, Peter, this
7:51
is really helpful. So
7:54
thank you. Thank you. OK,
7:56
Jonathan, do you get it now?
8:00
I kind of got it before,
8:02
but not in a way that
8:04
was going to be very useful
8:06
to your listeners. I'm glad you
8:08
got Peter on. Well, perhaps you
8:10
could have done it just as
8:12
well. We'll never know. No, no,
8:15
no, no, no. You made the
8:17
right decision. So what else is
8:19
factoring into the White House decision
8:21
beyond the bond market? When
8:23
we had been talking to you a
8:26
couple of days ago, it was
8:28
just the bond market? Suddenly
8:30
going haywire? Or was it
8:32
all kind of becoming one
8:34
big collective untenable situation? Well, I
8:36
don't want to pretend omniscience
8:39
here. It's very hard to kind of
8:41
get inside Trump's head. As I said
8:43
to you in the last time we
8:46
talked, the only thing you could really
8:48
go by is what he's saying privately
8:50
and what he's saying publicly. And the
8:52
two things were pretty much the same,
8:55
which was these tariffs are great. They're
8:57
bringing in money. coming and begging to
8:59
me and kissing my ass, but I
9:01
think things pretty clearly start to shift
9:04
Sunday night, Monday morning in the direction
9:06
of being open to negotiations. My colleague
9:08
Maggie Haberman has some reporting that
9:10
Scott Bessen, the Treasury Secretary, flew
9:12
with Trump to Washington from Palm
9:14
Beach on Sunday nights and had
9:16
a really important conversation with him
9:19
on the plane steering him more
9:21
in this direction. JD Vance, actually,
9:23
the vice president, was supportive of
9:25
this idea of... being more structured
9:27
with the tariffs focusing more on
9:29
China. So these conversations were happening,
9:31
but when we last spoke, which
9:33
was Monday, I didn't have any
9:36
sense, and neither, this is the
9:38
more important part, neither did Trump's
9:40
most senior advisors, that he was
9:42
going to back off these tariffs.
9:44
Mr. Trade, Representative, are you aware
9:47
that the tariffs have been paused?
9:49
I am, yes. When were you made aware
9:51
of that? The US Trade Representative Jamison Greer
9:53
was on the hill. Right. What are the
9:55
details? How long is the pause? How many
9:58
days? How many weeks? I understand it. 90
10:00
days. I haven't spoken to the president
10:02
since I've been here. So the trade
10:04
representative hasn't spoken to the president of
10:06
the United States. He didn't know about
10:08
it before it happened. Right, and that
10:10
earned him some serious mockery from Democrats
10:12
who said who is in charge here?
10:15
Because if the US trade representative is
10:17
in front of Congress defending these tariffs
10:19
while the tariffs are paused, it did
10:21
not seem to the members of that
10:23
congressional committee that there was any unified
10:26
vision of what was happening. Right, but
10:28
this just goes to show how quickly
10:30
this all came together and how much
10:32
it was driven by pressure, external
10:35
pressure, and anxiety rather than
10:37
something that was preordained, you
10:39
know, the plan all along.
10:41
I mean, give me a
10:43
break. So, Jonathan, we're learning
10:45
something it seems pretty important
10:47
about this president, which
10:49
is contrary to our belief that
10:52
after the first term, he was no
10:54
longer swayable by market forces.
10:56
when it came to something
10:58
like tariffs, that if the
11:00
markets went down, even if
11:02
perhaps the bond market started
11:04
to go haywire, he was
11:06
deeply committed to this vision
11:08
of tariffs. That was our
11:10
thinking, and the markets were not
11:12
going to take him off that
11:14
position. And then... Can you walk
11:16
us through, but you're thinking about
11:18
why you decided to put a
11:20
90-day pause? Well, I thought that
11:22
people were jumping a little bit
11:24
out of line that were getting... Yepy,
11:27
you know, we're getting a little bit yippy,
11:29
a little bit afraid. We hear
11:31
something very different, including the president
11:33
personally in front of the White
11:36
House, acknowledging that people were getting
11:38
the yippies. That was his word. The
11:40
bond market right now is beautiful. But
11:42
yeah, I saw last night where people
11:45
were getting a little queasy. And so
11:47
clearly this is the president conceding that
11:49
he is at the mercy of the
11:51
markets, to a degree. for sure and
11:53
and what we did today
11:55
was we located his pain
11:57
threshold he actually withstood way
11:59
more pain. Like $10 trillion in
12:02
wealth wiped out. Yes, this was
12:04
not term one Trump until now.
12:06
It required genuine fear of some
12:08
of his top officials that this
12:10
really could spiral out of control.
12:13
This could bring about a recession
12:15
on his watch. Trump has privately,
12:17
certainly in the last two years,
12:20
he's been talking about, I don't
12:22
want to be Herbert Hoover, I
12:24
don't want, talks about 1929 a
12:26
lot privately, this idea that some
12:28
catastrophic great depression type of event
12:30
could happen on his watch. He
12:32
really fears that. And up until
12:34
now, what he had seen in
12:36
the markets obviously did not lead
12:38
him to the conclusion that he
12:40
could be Herbert Hoover. And I
12:43
think the signals that they were
12:45
seeing today tipped him over the edge.
12:47
I'm curious what it does to Trump's
12:49
credibility going forward to have that pain
12:51
threshold reached in such a short period
12:53
of time, less than a week when
12:56
it came to these tariffs. And so
12:58
if you're the rest of the world
13:00
looking at whether Trump and his
13:03
administration can stand by these
13:05
difficult positions like tariffs that
13:07
he said were a long-term project
13:09
to bring jobs back to the US,
13:11
who's going to believe him the next
13:13
time he wants to create leverage
13:16
in one of these situations? Well,
13:18
I don't want to speculate because I
13:20
haven't talked to any foreign leaders
13:22
since the pause, and I'd like
13:25
to talk to a few before
13:27
I... give you any commentary on
13:29
that, but what I will say
13:32
is even before this decision today
13:34
you had a crisis of credibility
13:36
in which allies, foreign governments,
13:39
did not know whether they could
13:41
trust the president's word, whether his
13:44
negotiators actually spoke on his behalf. I
13:46
have spoken to a number of foreign
13:48
officials who really struggle negotiating with this
13:50
White House because they don't know if
13:53
their interlocutors are going to have the
13:55
rug pulled out from under them from
13:57
the president any minute. So Scott Besson.
14:00
the Treasury Secretary talked today about
14:02
more than 75 countries have reached
14:04
out for negotiations. They're going to
14:06
be quote unquote bespoke. You know,
14:08
each one is individual blah blah
14:11
blah blah. Well, that's fine, but I
14:13
think that it's not going to be
14:15
so easy to negotiate necessarily with all
14:17
these different countries because they don't necessarily
14:19
know that they can rely on the
14:22
word of the United States after all
14:24
of this turmoil, all of this rug
14:26
pulling. And I think that's actually... going
14:28
to be the real challenge. Again, asking
14:31
you to do something that
14:33
perhaps is a little uncomfortable
14:35
for you, which is to speculate
14:37
on what happens next. But is
14:39
there any sense that in 90
14:41
days, the president would ever restore
14:43
these tariffs knowing the amount of
14:45
trauma they inflicted on the US
14:48
and the global economy? Or is
14:50
the sense that they have every
14:52
incentive to do deals and not
14:54
bring these tariffs back across the
14:56
world? Well, I'm not going to... make a
14:58
speculation about what Trump might do,
15:01
but I think the markets already
15:03
have. I think the market reaction
15:06
to this, as exuberant as
15:08
it was, suggests that people think
15:10
that the idea of Trump launching
15:13
a global trade war against allies
15:15
and adversaries alike has passed. Yes,
15:17
and that this is more likely
15:19
to be an America versus China
15:22
trade war with a baseline tariff
15:24
of 10%, which is much more
15:26
tolerable for... not just foreign governments
15:29
but the markets. Right, and we
15:31
should say the state of play
15:33
at this moment is that tariffs
15:35
that were varied based on countries
15:37
and in some cases extremely high
15:39
have gone down to a much
15:41
much smaller universal tariff of
15:44
10% the rest have been paused but
15:46
not when it comes to China those
15:48
originally very high tariffs remain
15:50
and in fact through tit for tat
15:53
and back and back and forth they've
15:55
gone up... past 100% from
15:57
the US as of Wednesday.
15:59
And so therefore we now
16:02
have a trade war that
16:04
has seemingly been narrowed down
16:06
to China, and I wonder
16:09
how you think about that
16:11
and how far we think
16:14
the president is willing to
16:16
take that particular face off.
16:18
My sense is quite far,
16:21
and he won't want to
16:23
be the one to back
16:25
down first, but he can't
16:28
be happy about this having
16:30
to blink and having to
16:32
put the pause on all
16:35
of this. So China... will
16:37
assume even more importance for
16:40
him, quote unquote, winning that
16:42
trade war. And remember, Trump
16:44
is not someone who views
16:47
international trade as win-win, as
16:49
cooperation, coming to an agreement
16:51
where both sides come out
16:54
happy. He sees it as
16:56
zero-sum with a clear winner
16:59
and a clear loser, and
17:01
he will not want to
17:03
be the first person to
17:06
back down and quote-unquote lose
17:08
this trade war against China.
17:10
Depending on what China does,
17:13
I think, is the real
17:15
question about where this ends
17:17
up, because I don't see
17:20
Trump wanting to back down
17:22
first. Hmm. Well, Jonathan, thank
17:25
you very much. Thanks, Michael.
17:27
After the break, Rachel Abrams
17:29
talks to our colleague, David
17:32
Pearson, about how China and
17:34
its leader, are likely to
17:36
respond. We'll be right back.
17:49
David, good morning. I should say you
17:51
are in Hong Kong, which is 12
17:53
hours ahead of us here in New
17:55
York City. And I do want to
17:57
share that when this story about the
17:59
new tariffs on China broke at a
18:01
around 2 p.m. Eastern time on Wednesday,
18:03
we here at the Daily, we're debating
18:05
how early is too early to call
18:07
you and wake you up 5 a.m.,
18:09
maybe 6 a.m., but being the generous
18:11
colleagues that we are, we decided to
18:13
let you sleep in, but nevertheless, it's
18:16
early and thank you so much for
18:18
being here with us. I'm so happy
18:20
to be here, thank you. So while
18:22
you were sleeping. Trump announced a pause
18:24
on his so-called reciprocal tariffs everywhere except
18:26
for China. And you cover China for
18:28
the New York Times. You've been following
18:30
the standoff between the United States and
18:32
China very closely. Just to start off,
18:34
were you surprised by the news when
18:36
you woke up? So
18:38
I was surprised that the terrorists
18:40
were paused on most of the
18:43
world, but I was not surprised
18:45
that the terrorists were actually increased
18:47
on China, because we've seen such
18:49
a ratcheting up of this trade
18:51
war between these two countries in
18:54
the last week or so. And
18:56
China is the only country that
18:58
has decided to go toe to
19:00
toe with Donald Trump. When the
19:02
Trump administration slapped terrorists on them
19:05
last week, China returned the volley
19:07
with the same. tariff on the
19:09
United States and then when Trump
19:11
increased it again, China responded with
19:13
the exact same levy and now
19:16
here we are today with a
19:18
whopping 125% tariff on Chinese goods.
19:20
Now we're waiting for China's response
19:22
to that. Right, China will now
19:24
be subjected to sort of a
19:27
staggering figure, 125% tariff. That number
19:29
has just been going up and
19:31
up and up and up. What
19:33
is the state of play in
19:35
this trade war at the moment?
19:38
Like, what is China's appetite for
19:40
negotiating right now? I think China
19:42
wants this trade war to end.
19:44
It's economy has been struggling for
19:46
a few years now because of
19:49
a property crisis. They've built too
19:51
many houses and there aren't enough
19:53
buyers right now. And so there's
19:55
been a... with deflation, with rising
19:57
debt, and the only thing that's
20:00
been driving growth in the economy
20:02
is manufacturing and exports. And the
20:04
biggest single market for China is
20:06
the United States. About 15% of
20:09
its exports go to the United
20:11
States. Now that's a smaller share
20:13
than it was a few years
20:15
ago, but it's still a massive
20:17
part of China's business model. Because
20:20
China has all of their eggs
20:22
in this export basket, so to
20:24
speak, they're extremely vulnerable if all
20:26
of those exports suddenly become much
20:28
more expensive to export. Exactly. They're
20:31
going to have to find new
20:33
markets, and there just isn't enough
20:35
out there to absorb all these
20:37
things that China usually sells to
20:39
the United States. If a trade
20:42
war is going to be so
20:44
painful for China, potentially, why wouldn't
20:46
they just be motivated to cut
20:48
some kind of a deal? Like,
20:50
even if it's a deal that
20:53
is really just a victory in
20:55
name only for President Trump, why
20:57
would they not be motivated to
20:59
give that to him? National pride
21:01
and political legitimacy is on the
21:04
line for China's leader, Shee Jin
21:06
Ping. He is not going to
21:08
come to the negotiation table under
21:10
duress. He wants China to be
21:12
treated like an equal to the
21:15
United States. He has built up
21:17
an image of himself as a
21:19
strong man in China, someone who's
21:21
responsible for rejuvenating China's sort of
21:23
greatness, and so he cannot afford
21:26
to look weak at all. The
21:28
legitimacy of his rule, of the
21:30
Communist Party, rests on him being
21:32
able to stand up to the
21:34
United States. So it really feels
21:37
like you have... two leaders of
21:39
two of the world's largest economic
21:41
powers who both feel like they
21:43
need to project power. They cannot
21:45
back down, they cannot capitulate any
21:48
deal that they strike would need
21:50
to save face. And all of
21:52
that seems like sort of a
21:54
bad combination from the standpoint of
21:56
trying to de-escalate and strike some
21:59
kind of a deal. that's productive
22:01
for both sides. So I'm curious,
22:03
David, what could they do here?
22:05
So China, of course, still has
22:07
other levers that it can pull
22:10
to inflict some pain on the
22:12
United States. There are still many
22:14
big American companies that are invested
22:17
in the Chinese market. You know,
22:19
it's something that American businesses have
22:22
drilled over for decades. And they
22:24
can go after those companies. It
22:26
can also go after Hollywood. It
22:29
could block more films coming into
22:31
China. It could then also target
22:34
some of the states that produce
22:36
agricultural commodities that China imports
22:38
from the United States. Those
22:40
are generally states that voted
22:42
heavily for Donald Trump. It
22:44
could also decide not to
22:46
allow a sale of TikTok,
22:48
which has been a front
22:50
burner issue for President Trump.
22:52
Lastly, and this is the
22:54
most risky of the options,
22:56
it could also devalue its
22:58
currency to make its exports
23:00
more competitive in the global
23:02
marketplace. The problem with that,
23:04
though, is it would raise
23:06
tensions with other countries that
23:09
are worried about Chinese overcapacity
23:11
and having too many Chinese
23:13
cheap goods flood their country.
23:16
If both sides don't reach a deal
23:18
and this whole thing does keep ratcheting
23:20
up and escalating in the ways that
23:23
we've already been seeing, what does that
23:25
look like? Just practically speaking, for both
23:27
China and the United States. Well,
23:30
from the United States, American consumers
23:32
are just going to see prices
23:34
go up. They're going to order
23:36
things from Amazon and be shocked
23:38
by what they're paying for whatever
23:40
you're ordering from China, which is
23:42
a lot of things. From the
23:44
Chinese side... This is going to
23:46
make a bad economic situation
23:49
even worse. That means higher
23:51
unemployment, that means factories going
23:53
idle, that means goods that
23:55
are just sitting in warehouses,
23:58
and not being in... to
24:00
offload it onto
24:02
other countries. But
24:04
ironically, in the long run,
24:06
this could actually help
24:08
China. It could actually accelerate
24:10
the one thing they really
24:13
really need, which is to
24:15
reform their economy away from
24:17
exports. They can't be this
24:20
one-trick pony. They have to
24:22
find a way to get
24:24
more people in China. to
24:26
consume things kind of like
24:29
Americans so that their economy
24:31
is on a more sustainable
24:33
footing. And the problem is
24:35
the government knows this, but
24:38
to make that reform requires painful
24:40
changes that have been really slow
24:42
and hard to make so far.
24:45
This is also interesting because
24:47
it is so similar to the
24:49
arguments that Trump has been making,
24:51
like both of these leaders feel
24:53
like. What's happening now could be
24:55
better for each of their countries
24:57
in the long term after some
25:00
short-term pain, short-term pain, long-term gain.
25:02
Yeah, that's true, except economists
25:04
have been telling China that
25:06
it needs to reform its
25:08
economy for years, whereas economists
25:11
in the United States are
25:13
very skeptical about President Trump's
25:15
plan and how would bring
25:17
manufacturing back to the United
25:19
States. In the meantime, China
25:22
would... definitely prefer status quo
25:24
because then it could work
25:26
on reforming its economy without
25:28
facing the pressure of a trade war.
25:30
David you've been watching this dynamic between
25:33
China and the United States for
25:35
years and what we've seen in
25:37
the last few weeks and obviously
25:39
in the last 24 hours represents
25:41
just a massive disruption to that
25:43
relationship and I'm just curious what
25:46
you think is the most fundamental
25:48
shift that all of this represents.
25:51
So right now we're still in
25:53
the brinksmanship phase, I think, of
25:56
the trade war. There's still some
25:58
room where they're jockeying. for
26:00
some sort of acceptable
26:03
solution where both leaders save
26:05
face. But what this disruption
26:08
has reminded us is that
26:10
there's a chance these
26:12
two largest economies in
26:14
the world could actually
26:16
divorce what we call
26:18
the coupling. And if that
26:20
actually happens, we'll speak of
26:22
it as a sort of
26:25
before and after times. To
26:30
be sure, we're not there yet,
26:32
but we're closer than ever
26:34
before. And you have to think
26:37
about the US-China
26:39
relationship for the last
26:41
five decades. The glue has
26:43
been business. It is the
26:46
bedrock of almost 50 years
26:48
of bilateral relations. You take
26:50
that glue away, then everything
26:52
is on the table now.
26:55
The two most powerful countries
26:58
can't get together and talk
27:00
about all the other problems
27:02
facing the world today, like
27:04
climate change, like pandemics, like
27:07
financial crises. But it also
27:09
means they can't get together
27:11
and talk about things they
27:14
disagree on, because they'll
27:16
have less reason to, things
27:18
like the fate of Taiwan,
27:21
fentanyl, and human rights.
27:23
And if China and the
27:25
US aren't talking, if
27:27
they're not engaging on
27:29
these big issues, then
27:32
we're suddenly plunged
27:34
into a far
27:36
more dangerous world.
27:38
David, thank you
27:40
so much. Thank you,
27:42
Rachel. We'll
27:54
be right back. Here's
28:03
what else you need today. On Wednesday,
28:05
the House of Representatives
28:07
passed legislation that would
28:09
bar federal district judges
28:11
from issuing nationwide injunctions,
28:13
the latest attempt by
28:15
Republicans, to undercut judges
28:17
who have blocked President Trump's
28:20
agenda. Trump and his allies
28:22
have been frustrated by
28:24
how frequently district court judges
28:27
have struck down his executive
28:29
orders. on issues ranging
28:31
from deportations to mass firings
28:34
at federal agencies. But the
28:36
bill faces an uphill battle
28:39
in the Senate where Democrats
28:41
and moderate Republicans are expected
28:44
to oppose it. Today's episode
28:46
was produced by Claire
28:49
Tennis Getter, Mary Wilson,
28:51
Carlos Prieto, and Nina
28:53
Feldman. It was edited
28:56
by Maria Barn and
28:58
Paige Cowan. Contains original
29:00
music by Marian Lozano,
29:03
Alicia But E2, and
29:05
Rowanimisto, and was engineered
29:07
by Lissamoxley. Our theme
29:10
music is by Jim
29:12
Blunberg and Ben Landsberg
29:14
of Wonder League. That's
29:16
it for the Daily.
29:18
I'm Michael Bobbog. See
29:20
you tomorrow.
Podchaser is the ultimate destination for podcast data, search, and discovery. Learn More