How to Accurately Forecast Business Growth

How to Accurately Forecast Business Growth

Released Monday, 17th March 2025
Good episode? Give it some love!
How to Accurately Forecast Business Growth

How to Accurately Forecast Business Growth

How to Accurately Forecast Business Growth

How to Accurately Forecast Business Growth

Monday, 17th March 2025
Good episode? Give it some love!
Rate Episode

Episode Transcript

Transcripts are displayed as originally observed. Some content, including advertisements may have changed.

Use Ctrl + F to search

0:00

Hey business owners today is the

0:02

day to preorder our new book

0:04

build a business you love reserve

0:06

your copy from the Ramsey store

0:09

and get more than $350 in

0:11

bonuses for free go to entree

0:13

leadership.com slash build

0:15

or click the link in the show

0:17

notes From

0:27

the headquarters of Ramsey Solutions, this

0:30

is the Entree Leadership Podcast, where

0:32

I take calls from leaders like

0:34

you about what it takes to

0:36

win at any stage of business

0:39

and leadership. I'm Dave Ramsey, your

0:41

host with over 30 years of

0:43

experience, leading in the trenches right

0:45

alongside folks like you. If you

0:48

want to submit a question, well

0:50

you go to Entree leadership.com/ask, or

0:52

leave us a voicemail at 844-944.

0:55

That's 844-9441770. Jacob

0:57

is with us in

0:59

Idaho. Hi Jacob. Hi

1:01

Dave, thanks for having

1:04

me. Sure. I'm the

1:06

owner, CEO of

1:08

a materials testing

1:11

and inspection firm. Started

1:13

it back in 2016.

1:16

And this year, we

1:18

have just over 20

1:21

employees. and we're on track

1:23

to end up right at $4

1:25

million. Good for you. Well done.

1:28

With the 25% bottom line

1:30

on that, which is awesome.

1:32

Wow, that's amazing. Good

1:34

for you. My question

1:36

is, how do we more accurately

1:39

plan and forecast for

1:41

the upcoming season in

1:43

year? Well, I mean. I

1:46

think it's obvious that

1:48

generally forecasting is based

1:50

on the last few

1:52

years as a trend line,

1:54

right? And so if we go

1:56

back, you know, what did you do

1:59

in 2022? 2021, 2020 might

2:01

be weird, but the, I

2:03

mean, what's your trend line

2:05

on that? And what

2:08

information can you gather

2:10

from that that informs this

2:12

year, right? And so

2:14

we're always doing that.

2:16

And so your, your next

2:18

year is always like the

2:21

year before plus or minus.

2:24

the things that we are given. I

2:26

mean, we know we've got increasing cost,

2:28

or we know we've got this customer

2:30

is going away, or we know we've

2:32

got a new customer coming online that

2:35

we didn't have last year, so we

2:37

can add that to the forecast. But

2:39

you take last year's your baseline, and

2:41

then whatever differences there are, we add

2:43

and subtract those to try to come

2:46

up with this coming year. And the

2:48

longer you've been in business, the

2:50

more accurate... You'll be able to

2:52

forecast the longer you've had that

2:54

product line Or that service you're

2:57

the more accurate you'll be able

2:59

to forecast the first year you're

3:01

doing it your forecast is a

3:03

guess It's not even an estimate. It's just

3:05

a guess You know, it's based on

3:08

numbers, but it's I guess we're going

3:10

to sell this many units for this

3:12

much revenue and I guess we're

3:14

going to have these expenses and

3:16

but you're you're forecasting your first

3:19

two years as usually Should be

3:21

the most inaccurate of your

3:23

entire business career after that

3:25

it should get better and

3:27

better and better, but you're

3:29

probably already doing all of those

3:32

things aren't you? Yes, but my my

3:34

issue comes up of so last year

3:36

we did 1.6. Whoa and then we

3:39

jumped. Yeah. So what caused it to

3:41

more than double? Well, that's kind of

3:43

the part of my issue is

3:45

that we are you know, so working

3:47

in construction right where I say

3:50

that we're akin to a trade,

3:52

but we work more on the

3:54

engineering side. Yeah. But, but I have,

3:56

we're the last thought on whether

3:58

it's a contract. or hiring us

4:00

or an owner-developer, we're the last spot.

4:03

Like I've had times they're breaking ground

4:05

and then they call us, hey, we've

4:07

got this project for you. And it

4:10

turns into much bigger than we ever

4:12

anticipated. But I've also contacted some of

4:14

our larger clients that are, you know,

4:16

year after year, and I'm like, hey,

4:19

what do you have coming up? And

4:21

there's crickets because of their internal lack

4:23

of communication. And so that's where I'm

4:26

just trying to get better ideas of

4:28

how to how to communicate with with

4:30

some of these clients of ours of

4:33

so that we can not a four

4:35

million dollars how many clients are you

4:37

running oh 60 to 80 a month

4:39

we had the month where we were

4:42

on a hundred different projects well that's

4:44

a pipeline that's not that should that

4:46

you ought to be able to say

4:49

okay what did I do to get

4:51

60 in the pipeline versus 30 in

4:53

the pipeline? That's

4:56

not that's not based on their

4:58

whim. You've done something That's caused

5:00

you to get 30 in the

5:02

I mean two years ago you

5:04

had 30 and now you got

5:06

60 right? Yeah, if it was

5:08

three I could see the volatility

5:10

Because it was just you know,

5:12

it's on their whim and crap.

5:14

I don't know what that one's

5:16

gonna do and that's one-third of

5:18

the forecast right that that that

5:20

makes it inaccurate. It's very difficult

5:22

to put in to paper to

5:24

paper on that one, but where

5:26

you're going from 30 to 60

5:28

or 30 to 70 You're doing

5:31

something there. That's different projects, different

5:33

customers, right? Some of it is,

5:35

yes. And honestly, we don't do

5:37

any advertising. It's all word of

5:39

mouth, you know, and, which is

5:41

amazing. And it does speak, and

5:43

I do understand that speaks of

5:45

volume. How wide is your geography

5:47

footprint? How far out are you

5:49

going from Pocatello? Well, we'll travel

5:51

about two hours in any direction.

5:53

Sometimes more just depending. Okay, what's

5:55

the what's this market cap out

5:57

at for you? Oh That I

5:59

don't know because right now we've

6:01

got a lot of heavy highway

6:03

projects from the infrastructure bill that

6:05

are happening and will continue for

6:08

the next couple of years. But

6:10

we've had just a lot of

6:12

developers in development here in East

6:14

Idaho happening and you know I

6:16

know some of my competition in

6:18

the area we've now kind of

6:20

exceeded some of their offices but

6:22

I also think they're probably at

6:24

the six to eight million dollar

6:26

range. So you

6:28

the idea that you could you

6:30

know you've been taking some of

6:32

their business here and there You

6:34

would end up taking more of

6:36

it Then there's plenty of market

6:38

cap. I mean you could take

6:40

this to 20 million hypothetical and

6:42

not ever leave your your geographical

6:44

footprint, right? I Wouldn't say quite

6:46

that much, but there can be

6:48

you know, we could probably three

6:50

to four X what we're at

6:52

now with additional four will be

6:54

16. Yeah, yeah, yeah All right,

6:57

that makes sense. Well, I think

6:59

what we've got to determine is

7:01

where the customer base is coming

7:03

from and can we predict that

7:05

that is replicatable? Can I continue

7:07

that? Or am I just? Totally

7:09

Totally going to be guessing for

7:11

the rest of my life. I

7:13

don't like guessing that scares me.

7:15

That's not forecasting So but but

7:17

basically we've got to say this

7:19

revenue stream What have we got

7:21

to do to feel good? That

7:23

when we say five it's going

7:25

to be five and That represents

7:27

a hundred clients a month and

7:29

we know what it takes to

7:31

get a client in a pipeline

7:33

And we've got to do, we've

7:35

got a staff to make sure

7:37

that that happens and we've got

7:39

to put resources and technology and

7:41

marketing dollars or whatever to make

7:43

sure that that happens. I think

7:45

you've got to get under the

7:47

hood here and not just say,

7:49

okay, these clients are just generally,

7:51

you know, they're just walking in,

7:53

they're staggering in and dying in

7:55

our lobby. We didn't kill anything.

7:57

No, you need to go, you

7:59

need to figure out how this

8:01

is occurring so that it's predictable,

8:03

replicable, sustainable. And then you've got

8:05

a forecastable model, but where you

8:07

don't have the sense that you're

8:09

controlling or contributing to the creation

8:12

of a client directly. then it

8:14

makes it very very hard to

8:16

forecast and very hard to do

8:18

that. So I think you need

8:20

to get out of the hood

8:22

and figure out where these clients

8:24

are coming from and then that'll

8:26

help you lay your revenue model

8:28

out. And of course you can

8:30

back into expenses after you lay

8:32

your revenue model out. But I

8:34

think you're doing something more than

8:36

you realize you're doing. That the

8:38

organization is doing something to put

8:40

these things in HAP. Maybe you

8:42

need to go back and survey.

8:44

a couple hundred of these people

8:46

and say, okay, how did you

8:48

choose us? What was the process?

8:50

How long is the pipeline? Where

8:52

did you hear about us? What

8:54

was the brand differentiation? What was

8:56

the value proposition? Why did you

8:58

choose us in other words? And

9:00

how did you hear about us?

9:02

And then, you know, you start

9:04

to put together a marketing plan

9:06

based on that because then your

9:08

customer starts to have a persona.

9:10

They start to be that our

9:12

general customer comes to us this

9:14

way, it takes five months to

9:16

develop them from initial contact, and

9:18

then I've got a predictable environment

9:20

that I can create a forecast

9:22

out of. And, you know, that's

9:25

going to be the route I

9:27

go if I'm in your situation.

9:29

You just got to get out

9:31

of the hood and figure out

9:33

where the money's coming from and

9:35

create a predictable model. and then

9:37

you can forecast accurately. But it's,

9:39

and it's worth doing because it's

9:41

going to drive you nuts otherwise.

9:43

You're going to feel like you're

9:45

at the whim of the wind

9:47

blowing and that'll drive you bananas.

9:49

This is the entree leadership podcast.

9:51

What does the future hold for

9:53

business? Ask nine experts, you'll get

9:55

ten different answers. Economic growth or

9:57

a recession. Business taxes will go

10:00

up or down. AI will help

10:02

us work or replace us all.

10:04

But there's no such thing as

10:06

a crystal ball. That's why more

10:08

than 40,000 businesses have future-proofed themselves

10:10

with Net Suite by Oracle. The

10:13

number one cloud enterprise resource planning

10:15

system. Ramsey Solutions uses Net Suite,

10:17

and you should too. Whether your

10:19

company is earning millions or even

10:21

hundreds of millions, Net Suite helps

10:24

you respond to immediate challenges and

10:26

sees your biggest opportunities with one

10:28

unified business management suite, there is

10:30

one source of truth for the

10:32

visibility and control you need to

10:34

make quick decisions. Net Suite's real-time

10:37

insights and forecasting help you see

10:39

into the future with actionable data.

10:41

And when you're closing the books

10:43

in days, not weeks, you spend

10:45

less time looking backward and more

10:48

time focusing on what's next. And

10:50

speaking of what's next, download the

10:52

CFO's guide to A.I.M. Machine Learning

10:54

at netsweet.com/Ramsey. It's free at netsweet.com/Ramsey.

10:56

Have you given up on the

10:58

freedom you dreamed of when you

11:01

first started your business? Does it

11:03

feel like your business owns you?

11:05

instead of you owning it. Well,

11:07

get ready to transform your business

11:09

because our latest book, Build a

11:11

Business You Love, mastering the five

11:14

stages of business, is now available

11:16

for pre-sale. In the book, we

11:18

teach you how to implement the

11:20

Ontario Leadership System. in your organization.

11:22

This proven system is what we

11:25

use to build Ramsey Solutions from

11:27

a card table in my living

11:29

room to a $250 million company.

11:31

You'll learn the five stages of

11:33

business and the unique challenges you'll

11:35

face in each stage. Plus I'll

11:38

show you how to solve the

11:40

right problems at the right time

11:42

in the right way using the

11:44

six drivers of business. Now's your

11:46

chance to be one of the

11:49

first people to get a copy.

11:51

Build a business you love is

11:53

the essential guide for a business

11:55

owner like you, who wants to

11:57

grow yourself, lead your team, and

11:59

scale your business. To place your

12:02

pre-sale order, go to entree leadership.com/build,

12:04

or click the link in the

12:06

description if you're listening on YouTube

12:08

or podcast. Jen is in Canada.

12:10

Hey Jen, welcome to entree leadership

12:13

podcast. What's up. Well, that sounds

12:15

like what I need because I'm

12:17

looking at my business and going,

12:19

should I stick with it or

12:21

should I let it float over

12:23

here at the side and I

12:26

go back to my day job?

12:28

That's where I'm currently at. I

12:30

left my career of 20 years

12:32

where I was always very successful

12:34

and turned my side hustle, got

12:37

so big that it became my

12:39

full-time job. And now I've since

12:41

taken it out of my basement.

12:43

I've got a bricks and mortar

12:45

location, we're doing about $870,000 worth

12:47

of sales a year, but I'm

12:50

still not paying myself since getting

12:52

the bricks and mortar location. And

12:54

I have an opportunity to go

12:56

back to work in my previous

12:58

field, you know, make a hundred

13:00

grand again and get back to

13:03

earning for my family instead of

13:05

now having what feels like my

13:07

business just drain me. you know

13:09

when I'm staring at the debt

13:11

that the business has and staring

13:14

at you know all the expenses

13:16

of having this overhead now and

13:18

just thinking like every to every

13:20

payroll I go oh well I

13:22

pay myself no no no no

13:24

don't do it this week how

13:27

much debt did you take on

13:29

for this well we have the

13:31

we bought the building so we've

13:33

got the mortgage on the building

13:35

and then we've got some renovations

13:38

that we had to do and

13:40

some startup inventory costs so I

13:42

would say we probably owe 450

13:44

What's the building worth? I'd say

13:46

probably we paid three. 90 for

13:48

the building and the place next

13:51

door just sold in the sixes

13:53

so I'm confident that if we

13:55

sold it right now we get

13:57

at least probably 550 for it

13:59

so I think the building is

14:02

an investment I guess but that

14:04

doesn't help the mortgage payment every

14:06

month. So if you didn't have

14:08

the building your business would be

14:10

profitable? I think our expenses every

14:12

month are about $20,000. That's payroll

14:15

and rent if you didn't have

14:17

the if you didn't have the

14:19

more. That's it. I think it

14:21

would be a wash. I honestly

14:23

think that the mortgage every month

14:26

isn't what's bringing us down. I

14:28

think that like overall, sales are

14:30

kind of tight or tighter than

14:32

when we first like 875 is

14:34

what we did last year. I

14:36

would say we're down to 550.

14:39

We're on track to big 550

14:41

this year. And I think that's

14:43

just, I think that's like economy

14:45

and people doing just shopping less.

14:47

That's what I'm seeing. I don't

14:50

see us doing a whole lot

14:52

different. We used to do a

14:54

lot, a lot, a lot of

14:56

online courses and now everybody wants

14:58

to come in person. So COVID

15:00

was great for us doing online.

15:03

So we had a lot of

15:05

online revenue. And now people are

15:07

like, well, we'd rather come in

15:09

person. And well, you can only

15:11

fit 10 people in a classroom

15:13

where you could do the course

15:16

before for 100 people. And so

15:18

we try to now do online

15:20

and in person, but people want

15:22

in person. And you just can't,

15:24

you just can't do as many,

15:27

it seems. So my question really

15:29

is, if I'm trying to adhere

15:31

to the baby steps at home,

15:33

which I am, but I'm never

15:35

bringing in any income, should I

15:37

allow my business. to run as

15:40

is no without me here every

15:42

day making money that i trust

15:44

it's not making money there's no

15:46

point in key it. I'll just

15:48

shut it down, sell the building.

15:51

Or you've got to see a

15:53

way to make it profitable, one

15:55

of the two. If you can

15:57

figure a business model that gives

15:59

you hope, a business model shift,

16:01

a pricing shift, a delivery of

16:04

product shift, whatever it is, the

16:06

way you're doing the classroom thing,

16:08

to where you actually are making

16:10

a profit. and you are paying

16:12

yourself and you can see your

16:15

way to that. If I try

16:17

these three things and they don't

16:19

work, then I don't know what

16:21

to do, then I need to

16:23

close it. If you've tried everything

16:25

and you don't know what to

16:28

do and you're just waiting on

16:30

lightning to strike, then it's time

16:32

to close it. You close something,

16:34

you end a relationship, you end

16:36

a business, you end a job,

16:39

you bring an ending to something

16:41

when you lose hope that it's

16:43

going to get any better. it

16:45

making enough to pay the employees.

16:47

No thank you. Not enough to

16:49

pay me too. No thank you.

16:52

It's not a hobby, it's a

16:54

business. It's not your job to

16:56

do only create jobs. It's wonderful

16:58

that you create jobs and that's

17:00

a that's a cool thing. But

17:02

you're supposed to be making money

17:05

owning a business. That's the point.

17:07

It's not a hobby. And so

17:09

you need to have a way

17:11

to get this profitable or you

17:13

need to close it and sell

17:16

the building and get out of

17:18

the debt. And I don't know

17:20

which one. I don't hear the

17:22

idea of floating in our conversation

17:24

that saves this, but it may

17:26

be there. I just don't know

17:29

what it is. And so I

17:31

don't know what the idea is

17:33

either. I think I would sit

17:35

and spend some time in prayer,

17:37

spend some time maybe even with

17:40

your leadership team, if you're married

17:42

with your husband and talking about

17:44

this and saying, okay, before we

17:46

close it, is there anything else

17:48

we want to try. And

17:51

if we try those things and

17:53

we can't get it profitable, we

17:55

don't see a way to scale

17:57

this. We don't see a way

18:00

to break this log jam. than

18:02

me working for free, me owning

18:04

a business and being $450,000 in

18:06

debt to make zero money is

18:08

a bad idea. Yeah. That needs

18:11

to go away. And the great

18:13

news is it can go away

18:15

and you can clear the debt

18:17

and maybe put a little money

18:19

in your pocket and start restart

18:22

your career. But I'm going to

18:24

try to figure out a way

18:26

to deliver this service in a

18:28

way that I can get enough

18:30

scale to it at enough price

18:33

that it makes me money. You

18:35

know, if the people want to

18:37

come in, there's only room for

18:39

10, then maybe your pricing is

18:41

too low per unit. If we

18:44

raise prices, we have the same

18:46

number of customers. I don't know.

18:48

I'm amazed at what people will

18:50

pay for small group engagement situations

18:52

versus being in an online setting.

18:54

And for the personal attention of...

18:57

It's almost like having a personal

18:59

one-on-one coach because there's only 10

19:01

people in the room. You know,

19:03

and so I'm amazed at that

19:05

price point and what it will

19:08

do in some areas. It might

19:10

not do in your area. It

19:12

might be the area of business

19:14

you're in, what you're teaching, or

19:16

how you're doing it. It might

19:19

not work for you. But so

19:21

I'm going to give myself, you've

19:23

got a lot invested in this

19:25

emotionally, financially, financially, and everything else.

19:27

So I'm not going to close

19:30

it today. I'm going to give

19:32

myself 30, 45 days to come

19:34

up with an idea, or maybe

19:36

to try a couple things. And,

19:38

you know, once I have exhausted

19:41

all reasonable possibilities, and then the

19:43

conclusion is that I'm going to

19:45

stay $450,000 in debt to break

19:47

even. And no, no, thank you.

19:49

And make no, you know, no,

19:52

I'll just close it, sell the

19:54

building and go get a job.

19:56

And you'll make a lot more

19:58

for your family, a lot more

20:00

for your family in that whole

20:03

process. And that's exactly the, you

20:05

know, the route I would go

20:07

with that. Wow. I feel for

20:09

you. I wish I had the

20:11

perfect thing I could just throw

20:13

at you and go, just do

20:16

that. But I don't understand enough

20:18

of what you're doing to throw

20:20

that at you. I'm sorry. This

20:22

is the Entree Leadership Podcast. This

20:24

episode is brought to you by

20:27

Tranual. The app for organizing your

20:29

business chaos. If your business is

20:31

growing fast, like adding new team

20:33

members quicker than you can train

20:35

them or opening new locations left

20:38

and right. It could feel like

20:40

things are spinning out of control.

20:42

Different ways of doing the same

20:44

task, the same question popping up

20:46

a hundred times, processes that are

20:49

anything but consistent. Does that sound

20:51

familiar? Well, that's where trainewal will

20:53

help. Easily document your standard operating

20:55

procedures, organize your workflows, and systemize

20:57

how work gets done, across every

21:00

role, team, and location. With trainewal,

21:02

you can create a single source

21:04

of truth and structure for your

21:06

business. So, no matter who's doing

21:08

the work, they're trained to do

21:11

it the right way. Say goodbye

21:13

to confusion, cut out repetitive questions,

21:15

and get back hours in your

21:17

data focus on what really matters,

21:19

growing your business, without all the

21:22

chaos. Ready to see it in

21:24

action? Head to train yule.com/entree for

21:26

a demo, and 15% off your

21:28

first year. That's T-R-A-I-N-U-A-L-S-L-S-S-A-S-A-L-S-S-L-S-S-L-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-A-A-S-A-A-A-S-A-S-A-A-A-S-A-A-S-A-S-S-S-S-S-A-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S-S I'm Dave

21:30

Ramsey your host. This is the

21:32

Entree Leadership Podcast. One thing I

21:35

am sure of as a leader

21:37

that when you have a team

21:39

that is not unified, not all

21:41

dancing to the same sheet of

21:43

music, not all aligned and heading

21:46

in the same direction, it is

21:48

almost impossible to create a productive

21:50

profitable environment that people love working

21:52

in and that the customer loves

21:54

doing business with. And

21:56

yet very few teams are

21:59

actually unified. People get away

22:01

with it all the time.

22:03

They seem to outear their

22:05

stupidity on this subject. It's

22:07

crazy. And I have looked

22:09

at the unity and studied

22:11

the power of unity for

22:13

a very long time. The

22:15

power of synergy, the power

22:17

of when three people are

22:19

agreed on something, when five

22:21

or more are agreed on

22:23

something, and we're all aimed

22:25

at that direction, and we're

22:27

all pulling out all the

22:29

emotional and spiritual stops to

22:31

cause it to happen. It's

22:33

amazing. what you can pull

22:35

off with a team is

22:37

doing that. And I really

22:39

don't know after 30 years

22:41

of doing this what creates

22:43

unity. But what I do

22:45

know, and what I recognized

22:47

a long time ago, is

22:49

what destroys unity. And one

22:52

of the things we teach

22:54

in entree leadership are the

22:56

five enemies of team unity.

22:58

And what I have discovered

23:00

at Ramsey, and many of

23:02

you have discovered after I

23:04

taught it to you that

23:06

when you fight back with

23:08

everything that's within you against

23:10

the five enemies of unity,

23:12

when the enemies of unity

23:14

are all put outside the

23:16

walls of your building, then

23:18

unity will occur. But these

23:20

things will, they're poison, they're

23:22

acid in the system, and

23:24

as long as it's in

23:26

the system, you're gonna struggle.

23:28

The first of the five

23:30

enemies of unity is poor

23:32

communication. When the right hand

23:34

doesn't know what the left

23:36

hand is doing, you can

23:38

be guaranteed somebody's pissed off.

23:40

It frustrates things. It's hard

23:42

to move forward. And when

23:45

people don't know what's going

23:47

on, they will write a

23:49

script in their head, or

23:51

with their mouth, that makes

23:53

the situation much worse than

23:55

it really is. So communicate

23:57

communicate communicate over communicate over

23:59

Share. Share your story with

24:01

your team, collect weekly reports

24:03

from your team so you

24:05

know what's going on with

24:07

your team. You know, push,

24:09

push, push, push, push, push,

24:11

push, push through all of

24:13

these things. Absolutely vital. Keep

24:15

talking, keep talking, keep pushing.

24:17

Have staff meetings, have anything

24:19

you can do to create

24:21

wonderful communication. It's absolutely necessary.

24:23

Have something like a vision

24:25

statement, have something like a

24:27

mission statement. This is who

24:29

we are. When we're not

24:31

doing this, we're not a

24:33

we. This is who we

24:36

are. Communicate, communicate, communicate, communicate.

24:38

If things are going bad,

24:40

tell the truth. Tell people

24:42

what's going on. Now don't

24:44

make them worse. Don't be

24:46

super negative than any about

24:48

it. Don't be Debbie Downer,

24:50

but tell them, we're not

24:52

profitable this month because we

24:54

have this problem. You know

24:56

when things are going great

24:58

tell people tell them what's

25:00

going on tell them about

25:02

the future tell them what

25:04

you believe? About good about

25:06

what's going to happen and

25:08

what's happening. You know where

25:10

we're going from here communicate

25:12

communicate communicate communicate George Bernard

25:14

shall said the biggest illusion

25:16

of communication is that it

25:18

has actually occurred And

25:21

Andy Stanley used to say, you

25:23

have to tell people something 21

25:26

times before they hear it. Talk

25:28

about everything over until you're sick

25:30

of it, over and over and

25:33

over and over again. The second

25:35

enemy of unity is gossip. We

25:38

have a core value at Ramsey

25:40

that we have zero tolerance for

25:42

gossip. It's not actually true. We

25:45

actually will have a little tolerance.

25:47

We'll warn you one time before

25:50

we fire you. Hand your negatives

25:52

up. You're going to have negatives

25:54

if you weren't here pushing things

25:57

if you weren't here moving things

25:59

around if you weren't if there

26:02

wasn't you probably wouldn't have a

26:04

job, so expect problems. Expect frustrations.

26:06

Expect speed bumps. And when you

26:09

have a problem, not if you

26:11

have a problem, hand your negatives

26:14

up to someone in leadership that

26:16

can do something about it. Don't

26:18

spread your negatives all around. If

26:21

you hand your negatives down or

26:23

spread them around, we will warn

26:26

you one time. And

26:28

then we will say, you know,

26:30

you can't gossip and be here.

26:32

And you can't talk negatively about

26:35

other people. You can't do anything.

26:37

You can talk to leadership about

26:39

anything. You can vent there. You

26:42

can't be belligerent. But you know,

26:44

you can bring in a concern.

26:46

You can talk about this situation

26:49

with this person. You can this

26:51

relationship breakdown. Anything you want to

26:53

do. And so we're going to

26:56

fire you if you gossip at

26:58

Ramsey. And by the way, if

27:00

you were to take a poll

27:03

or a survey, which we have

27:05

done, of the people at Ramsey,

27:07

it is one of their favorite

27:10

reasons for working here. They work

27:12

in a non-gossipping environment, because gossip

27:14

destroys the environment. And the worst

27:17

form of gossip, in my mind,

27:19

is where you're running the company

27:21

down. You're running the leadership down.

27:24

And my friend Henry Cloud says,

27:26

I don't understand people pee in

27:28

their own cereal and then gripe

27:31

because it tastes bad. You work

27:33

there. This is where your money

27:35

that feeds your family comes from.

27:37

Your children, you know, have food

27:39

because of this place. And then

27:42

you are tearing down the place.

27:44

What kind of moron are you?

27:46

I might not even warn you

27:48

once for that one. I might

27:50

just fire you for that one,

27:53

because that's not only gossip, but

27:55

disloyalty. And it's a lack of

27:57

integrity. But you know depending on

27:59

the situation and how extreme and

28:01

so forth we're there, but you

28:04

know Well, I hate this or

28:06

I hate that or whatever. That's

28:08

fine. Talk to leadership about it

28:10

in a non belligerent way and

28:12

you're safe to do that here.

28:15

But we have a zero gossip

28:17

policy at Ramsey. That simple. The

28:19

third enemy of unity is unresolved

28:21

disagreements. Where you have a disagreement

28:23

with someone, someone has two people

28:26

on your team have a disagreement.

28:28

and they do not come to

28:30

closure healthy conflict, mental health closure

28:32

on that disagreement. It just boils

28:34

in festers inside and becomes a

28:37

splinter in the organization and eventually

28:39

infects everything because it will spill

28:41

out of their mouth as gossip

28:43

eventually. It will spill out of

28:45

their mouth as some kind of

28:48

negative situation. teach the idea that

28:50

good organizations, my friend Patlin Cheney

28:52

talks about this, the best organizations

28:54

to learn how to do conflict

28:56

well. It's mental health, it's organizational

28:59

mental health to learn how to

29:01

do conflict well. We do a

29:03

lot of conflict at Ramsey, but

29:05

we're not destroying the human beings

29:07

that are involved. We're destroying bad

29:10

ideas. We argue about which play

29:12

to call to win the Super

29:14

Bowl. We do not argue. about

29:16

whether so and so is capable

29:18

or not. If that's a different

29:21

discussion and that's not a, that's

29:23

not an argument, that's deciding whether

29:25

somebody can stay or not based

29:27

on competency. But this idea that

29:30

you can just, everybody can disagree,

29:32

everybody can not like each other,

29:34

everybody can disrespect the value system

29:36

of the other person and still

29:38

have productivity and still have unity

29:41

is crazy. So you got to

29:43

have difficult conversations. You've got to

29:45

bring stuff out. You got to

29:47

talk about it I had one

29:49

person coming to my office and

29:52

say well, I needed tell you

29:54

this about so and so, but

29:56

you can't tell them where it

29:58

came from. You don't need to

30:00

tell me anything then. If you

30:03

can't stand behind your words, then

30:05

you don't need to come in

30:07

my office and tell me something.

30:09

You're just whining. So if you

30:11

don't feel strongly enough that this

30:14

matters to the good for the

30:16

good of the person you're talking

30:18

about, the good of the company,

30:20

the good of the organization, that

30:22

you can stand by your own

30:25

words, then you don't need to

30:27

utter those words. That's cowardly. That's

30:29

cowardly. Because I've

30:31

got to go deal with it

30:33

once you tell me and I'm

30:35

not going to go deal with

30:38

it with an anonymous source How

30:40

cowardly is that? Anonymous source came

30:42

to me and told me that

30:44

you were doing a bull What

30:46

a wuss? So you know, don't

30:48

come in my office and tell

30:50

me that you were doing a

30:53

bull What a wuss? So you

30:55

know, don't come in my office

30:57

and tell me that just say

30:59

hey got a problem with so

31:01

and so I heard so and

31:03

so I don't know how to

31:06

talk to him about that you

31:08

back in here And we all

31:10

may all sit here and talk

31:12

about it, but we're going to

31:14

have a resolved conflict, not an

31:16

unresolved disagreement when we finish, 100%

31:19

of the time. At another lady

31:21

came in and she said, well,

31:23

I've got to talk to you

31:25

about my leader, they're incompetent this

31:27

way, and I said, yeah, I

31:29

understand. And I appreciate you bringing

31:32

that to me, and actually a

31:34

couple of points you brought up

31:36

are right, and we're working with

31:38

your leader on that. And you

31:40

know, no one in the building

31:42

is perfect, but we're working with

31:45

them. Thank you for bringing it

31:47

to me. I appreciate that and

31:49

know that this is a project

31:51

that's underway. Well, three weeks later,

31:53

she's in my office with the

31:55

exact same issues. And I'm like,

31:58

I told you we're working on

32:00

this. And she's like, well, it's

32:02

still there. It's... This is a

32:04

process where we don't shoot our

32:06

one. And we worked with folks

32:08

and bring them back to wholeness

32:11

and move on to the next

32:13

thing. And three weeks later, she'd

32:15

back in my office again. And

32:17

I said, look, now you're not

32:19

questioning that person's competence. Now you're

32:21

questioning my competence. Bringing the same

32:24

thing in here three times after

32:26

I've explained it to you is.

32:28

Now you're saying I'm not competent

32:30

because I haven't fixed it at

32:32

the speed at which you think

32:34

it should be fixed. So now

32:36

you and I are starting to

32:39

have a problem. Because you can't

32:41

think I'm incompetent and work here.

32:43

That won't be okay. I'm the

32:45

owner. And she ended up leaving.

32:47

So which is okay. It's perfect.

32:49

That was a resolved disagreement. The

32:52

fourth one is lack of shared

32:54

purpose. The team needs to know

32:56

what your desired future is. We

32:58

help you with that in entree

33:00

leadership. The team needs to know

33:02

what your defining objectives are. We

33:05

help you with that in entree

33:07

leadership. We work you through all

33:09

of these processes. The team needs

33:11

to know what's going on and

33:13

be aligned. And this is where

33:15

we're going to get there. These

33:18

are the processes. This is what

33:20

winning looks like. This is what

33:22

the end of the year. We

33:24

need this many numbers on this

33:26

revenue, on this sales units, whatever

33:28

it is, and we're all aligned

33:31

on that. We have a shared

33:33

purpose. We're not running in 14

33:35

different directions. If you run in

33:37

14 different directions, all you do

33:39

is destroy the wagon. You don't

33:41

pull the wagon. You just tear

33:44

it apart. So we have to

33:46

pull the wagon up the hill

33:48

and we have to be walking

33:50

in the same direction And aligned

33:52

in our steps and in our

33:54

processes and that comes from communication

33:57

And that comes from having a

33:59

shared purpose and then aligning everyone

34:01

to it So when the right

34:03

end doesn't know what the left

34:05

hand is doing because they don't

34:07

know what they're doing because nobody

34:10

knows what they're doing there's not

34:12

a shared purpose. You can't win.

34:14

If we can all agree that

34:16

we're trying to score a touchdown

34:18

and what a touchdown looks like,

34:20

there's a line over there when

34:22

you get the football across that

34:25

line, then the only thing we've

34:27

got to fight through is what

34:29

the most efficient way to get

34:31

that ball across that line is.

34:33

That we have a shared purpose.

34:35

It's a clear goal that we're

34:38

all aligned to. And then the

34:40

fifth. enemy of unity is sanctioned

34:42

incompetence. This comes from a friend

34:44

John Maxwell. And it's a really

34:46

nice phrase, sanctioned incompetence. What it

34:48

means is when you are a

34:51

weak leader and you allow people

34:53

to continually not do their work

34:55

for whatever reason, you give everyone

34:57

else permission to not do their

34:59

work. and to not be unified

35:01

because they don't have respect for

35:04

that person that's not doing their

35:06

work and they don't have respect

35:08

for you as a leader because

35:10

you're weak. You're not willing to

35:12

step into the conflict and require

35:14

excellence of the team. And when

35:17

you're not willing to do that,

35:19

when you're willing to go along

35:21

to get along, well, so and

35:23

so gets a pass because they're

35:25

a friend. You're screwed that you're

35:27

not going to have team unity

35:30

around that. Team unity comes when

35:32

we expect excellence of ourselves. and

35:34

of everyone around us consistently all

35:36

the time. The only exception of

35:38

that is if someone's going through

35:40

a hard personal time, their child

35:43

is ill. Well, they're not going

35:45

to be excellent when their child

35:47

is ill. And you're giving that

35:49

person grace. And someone comes to

35:51

you and says, well, you know,

35:53

someone says not pulling their weight.

35:56

Yeah, I know. But they've got

35:58

a personal issue at home and

36:00

we're giving them some grace. So

36:02

we've all got a cover for

36:04

them. Right now until they and

36:06

then when they get past this

36:08

thing then they'll be back in

36:11

the back in the harness again

36:13

with us But right now we're

36:15

picking up their slack That's not

36:17

sanctioned incompetence. That's great Sanction and

36:19

competence is when I'm too weak-need

36:21

to wussified to face the person

36:24

that's not doing their job and

36:26

call them out in a kind

36:28

way in a very clear way

36:30

and have the uncomfortable conversations to

36:32

say you have got to get

36:34

aligned to excellence again or you're

36:37

not going to be here. And

36:39

that's a process too. So those

36:41

are the five enemies of unity.

36:43

When you toss them over the

36:45

wall outside your organization, well then

36:47

you're going to start to see

36:50

unity occur. When you've got good

36:52

communication instead of poor communication, when

36:54

you've got no gossip, when there

36:56

aren't unresolved disagreements, when we learn

36:58

how to do conflict well. and

37:00

come to a good mental health

37:03

organizationally. We have a very clear

37:05

shared purpose. And when the leadership

37:07

is not wussified and they are

37:09

actually addressing incompetence for whatever reason,

37:11

other than a grace pass on

37:13

something, when you do those five

37:16

things, you're gonna see the whole

37:18

air change inside your organization. That's

37:20

how it works. The five enemies

37:22

of unity must be. removed. Organizations

37:24

are never limited by their opportunity.

37:26

They're only limited by their leader,

37:29

which is why it's so important

37:31

to invest in your leadership through

37:33

life-changing experiences like on-tray leadership summit.

37:35

You'll be poured into by top

37:37

leadership experts so you can catapult

37:39

your business forward in 2025. To

37:42

join us in Denver, Colorado, May

37:44

18th through 21, go to entree

37:46

leadership.com/summit or click the link in

37:48

the description if you're listening on

37:50

YouTube or podcast. I'm Dave Ramsey,

37:52

your host. This is the entree

37:54

leadership podcast. Thank you for joining

37:57

us. We could use your help

37:59

if you will follow this show.

38:01

Click the follow button, the subscribe

38:03

button. It helps us a bunch.

38:05

Leave a nice five-star review and

38:07

share the show. Share the link

38:10

with someone or click the share

38:12

button however it is your particular

38:14

platform allows you to do that.

38:16

It's a big help to us. And

38:18

we need it, please. It has made a

38:20

lot of difference in the numbers since I

38:23

came on the air with this a couple

38:25

years ago. taking over this

38:27

whole podcast that we've had a long

38:29

time and took it to this caller

38:31

driven format. The numbers have gone way

38:34

up, but they didn't go up because

38:36

of me. They went up because you

38:38

guys told people about it. Thank

38:40

you for doing that. David is

38:42

with us in Virginia. Hi David,

38:44

welcome to the entree podcast. Hey Dave

38:47

is an honor to talk to you. A

38:49

long time listener, first time caller.

38:51

Thank you. How can we help? I am an

38:54

owner of a deck building company.

38:56

We did about 1.4 million

38:58

this year and we have

39:00

about 12 members on our

39:03

team We went to some of

39:05

this year got all hooked

39:07

up with a coach and

39:10

advisory group and we've been

39:12

killing it this year

39:14

Question I have for you

39:16

is I want to keep

39:18

growing, but I'm I'm

39:21

struggling with feeling the

39:23

burnout of having so

39:25

much stress of having so

39:27

many people on the team

39:29

now. I know it's just

39:32

12, but it's 12 families

39:34

that we're close with and

39:36

there depend on our company

39:38

for their livelihood.

39:41

So how do I weigh wind

39:43

is growing enough and how

39:45

much do we keep growing?

39:47

What's the stress from?

39:51

Well, we are. How

39:54

is the team causing

39:56

you stress? Right.

39:59

We. there I've become the

40:01

chief accountability officer

40:03

and that's not

40:06

exactly my strength

40:08

accountability for what for their

40:11

KRA's they're hitting

40:13

their numbers profitability

40:15

training and it's we we

40:17

hired up a lot of guys this

40:19

year and then we had to let

40:22

some go and now I think we're

40:24

in a good place now but it's

40:26

still we got a very

40:28

young team. What's the stress

40:31

again? Where's the stress coming

40:33

from? Really, it's the payroll

40:36

every couple weeks. You know,

40:38

it's a heavy payroll every

40:40

two weeks. Are you

40:42

not profitable? It's tight. We're

40:45

getting, I think the last

40:47

three months, we've really

40:49

got to the, got to a

40:51

good place. Have you hired too

40:54

many people or did you

40:56

lose jobs? Why would you?

40:58

I mean at a given payroll

41:00

at 1.4 million with 12

41:02

people you should be

41:04

profitable. Yeah over the summer

41:07

we hired too many and

41:09

then we let some people

41:11

go in the last three

41:13

months and we actually

41:15

saw our revenue increase and

41:18

so it's kind of

41:20

like relieving pressure on

41:22

like lower performing jobs

41:24

taking too long callbacks.

41:27

What I think I'm hearing is

41:29

that the size of the team

41:31

is not stressing you. The

41:34

payroll is not stressing

41:36

you. Underperforming team

41:38

members and underperforming

41:41

jobs that you went through

41:43

as a learning experience

41:45

in the last 12 months

41:47

brought you stress, but it's

41:49

not the 12 people that

41:51

are there now, and it's

41:53

not the revenue that's there

41:56

now. That's all running fine,

41:58

I think. Right, right.

42:00

So I'm looking at if I

42:03

want to keep growing, doing that

42:05

again next year is overwhelming. Why

42:07

would you do it the same?

42:09

What you've got today is working,

42:12

right? Right, right. If you had

42:14

double the number of people that

42:16

you have today and they were

42:18

all the same quality of the

42:21

people you have today, and you

42:23

had... 3 million in revenue. There's

42:25

no downside to that. There's no

42:27

stress to that. The stress came

42:30

from the underperforming projects and the

42:32

underperforming people, not the fact that

42:34

you merely had payroll. Right. My

42:36

point is you're assigning in your

42:39

brain this stress or burnout or

42:41

uncomfortable feeling to the wrong thing.

42:43

You've assigned it to team size

42:45

and to revenue size or payroll

42:48

size and that wasn't what was

42:50

causing you stress. What you told

42:52

me was causing you stress was

42:54

crappy people and crappy jobs. Right.

42:57

And if you keep doing the

42:59

same crappy people and crappy jobs

43:01

over and over, well, you would

43:03

deserve the stress. But that's not

43:06

a reason to downsize. You wouldn't

43:08

do that. That'd be silly. Right.

43:10

So why is it you would

43:12

think that I have a thousand

43:15

people and I'm not stressed? Awesome

43:17

team members. Uh-huh. Why else? They're

43:19

great at what they do and

43:21

they... Plenty of revenue to pay

43:24

them. Right, right. We don't hire

43:26

more people than we have revenue.

43:28

Now, the stress that I do

43:31

have, you know, can come from

43:33

the exact same places you had

43:35

last year. It can come when

43:37

crappy people get in the building

43:40

and removing crappy people's a stressful

43:42

process. Right? Removing the donkeys because

43:44

I accidentally hired one. Or we

43:46

accidentally hired one wouldn't be me.

43:49

But we accidentally hired a donkey

43:51

instead of a thoroughbred, which is

43:53

what happened to you. Or we

43:55

have a business unit that is

43:58

not performing and the revenue starts

44:00

getting tight and always the biggest

44:02

line item in a business unit,

44:04

the expense-wise is going to be

44:07

payroll, just like you have. You

44:09

know, when things are screwed up,

44:11

it's the screwed up stuff that

44:13

causes stress. It's not the scale.

44:16

That's my point. Right, right. And

44:18

that's manageable. because I can do

44:20

something about the screwed up stuff

44:22

and okay, find out why Crazy

44:25

got in the building and close

44:27

that door. Crazy can't use that

44:29

door anymore. And so we, you

44:31

know, we add an element to

44:34

the interview process to keep the

44:36

nut burgers out of the building

44:38

or at least attempt to, right?

44:40

Right, right. And because I got

44:43

to tell you, man, you got

44:45

12 people, one or two bad

44:47

ones out of 12 people can

44:49

screw up the whole, I mean,

44:52

it just takes all the fun

44:54

out of the fun out of

44:56

the business. Yeah, yeah, we because

44:58

they take up all your they

45:01

burn all your calories and they're

45:03

10% of your people and they

45:05

burn all your calories because they're

45:08

doefices and It's just a pain,

45:10

you know, that's the reality It's

45:12

you know business is awesome till

45:14

people get involved the greatest blessings

45:17

in your life or your crappy

45:19

ones that got in the door

45:21

and that's where it comes from

45:23

so no, I wouldn't I think

45:26

you're calling out the downsizing for

45:28

the wrong reason because you've assigned

45:30

the stress to the wrong thing.

45:32

You've said it's payroll size or

45:35

revenue size, it's not. If you

45:37

could do 10 million, if you

45:39

could do 10 million and you

45:41

had 50 people, you'd have an

45:44

incredible life. But they had to

45:46

be the right 50 people. Right.

45:48

And if you got 10 bad

45:50

ones out of those 50, God.

45:53

You got a nightmare. So

45:55

no, I think you need

45:57

to scale the business. I

45:59

think you need to continue

46:01

to grow your business but

46:03

what you're learning is a

46:05

hiring process that keeps problems

46:07

away. I'll bet you've even

46:09

run into that. How long

46:11

you been doing this? We're

46:13

just finishing up our third

46:16

year. Okay. Have you seen,

46:18

have you noticed a pattern

46:20

with the customers that are

46:22

crazy? Yeah, for

46:24

sure. Yeah, to where you can say

46:26

I see that one coming. I'm just

46:28

not going to take that job This

46:31

is more trouble than it's worth Oh,

46:33

yeah, yeah, so that lowers your stress

46:35

When you when you identify a pattern

46:37

with crazy customers you go, uh The

46:40

last time someone acted like that when

46:42

we were signing them up, they were

46:44

a pain. The last three times someone

46:46

acted like that, they signed up, they

46:49

were up, they weren't worth the trouble.

46:51

We ended up losing money on the

46:53

job and they still were pissed when

46:55

we were done. I don't want them

46:58

as a customer and you just go,

47:00

you just shut your notebook and go,

47:02

you know, I'm sorry, we're not going

47:05

to be able to do this particular

47:07

deck for you. You're going to have

47:09

to get someone else. less energy burned

47:11

than that one crazy one would have

47:14

burned. Once you identify the pattern of

47:16

how you acquire a crazy customer and

47:18

how a crazy customer acts in the

47:20

initial interviews and we don't do business

47:23

with them, they take up too many

47:25

calories. Hiring a team is the same

47:27

exact thing. You're gonna get better at

47:29

it. I'm a lot better at it

47:32

than I was in the old days.

47:34

I used to use a mirror and

47:36

if they fogged it up, we hired

47:38

them. That's how bad I was. That

47:41

was dumb. And man, you want to

47:43

talk about getting some idiots in the

47:45

building that method right there will do

47:47

it and you got a problem And

47:50

you're trying to hurt cats and they're

47:52

all crazy cats You know, it's it's

47:54

it's just a mess. So David, I

47:56

think you're better at this than You

47:59

feel like you are and your lack

48:01

of confidence. I think you've learned more

48:03

in the last 18 months than you're

48:06

giving yourself credit for. I don't think

48:08

you're ever going to have the exact

48:10

same mistakes again. You'll have new ones.

48:12

But you won't make the exact same

48:15

mistakes in hiring or in crappy projects

48:17

that aren't profitable that you did in

48:19

the last 18 months. I don't think

48:21

that cause of stress will reoccur. You'll

48:24

have a different one later, but it

48:26

is not associated with the size of

48:28

your payroll. And it's not associated with

48:30

the size of your business. That's not

48:33

causing your stress. The fact that you're

48:35

assigning that is... Caused by you got

48:37

you got some of your confidence stolen

48:39

When you got your nose bloodied on

48:42

those other two things And now when

48:44

I look up I go gosh, I

48:46

don't know if I've got what it

48:48

takes to do this. Well, you do

48:51

have what it takes I can tell

48:53

by talking to you You've got the

48:55

right stuff to do this. I think

48:57

you've just framed it wrong and Once

49:00

you reframe it and say okay, I

49:02

am not a guy that has a

49:04

bad team. I have a good team

49:07

I had a couple of bad ones,

49:09

but that's not who I am. And

49:11

now I've learned from those bad ones,

49:13

and I may get other bad ones

49:16

in the future, but I won't get

49:18

them for the same reason. And I'm

49:20

not a guy that has bad projects

49:22

that take too long and aren't profitable.

49:25

I know exactly what caused that, and

49:27

we won't do that process again to

49:29

create that style of business again. That's

49:31

no fun. I'm going to pass on

49:34

that. You're a good man. You need

49:36

to keep fighting fighting, brother. Remember better,

49:38

a wary warrior than a quivering critic.

49:40

This world needs more high quality leaders.

49:43

Take courage and lead. I'm Dave Ramsey,

49:45

your host. Thanks for listening to the

49:47

entree leadership podcast.

Unlock more with Podchaser Pro

  • Audience Insights
  • Contact Information
  • Demographics
  • Charts
  • Sponsor History
  • and More!
Pro Features