The cost of spending time alone

The cost of spending time alone

Released Monday, 3rd February 2025
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The cost of spending time alone

The cost of spending time alone

The cost of spending time alone

The cost of spending time alone

Monday, 3rd February 2025
Good episode? Give it some love!
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0:00

is taking a hard look at the

0:02

promise and the dark side of health

0:05

technology. From scientists who

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are trying to make artificial blood.

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Within minutes, the rabbits' ears

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started twitching again. They're

0:14

fine. To patients that are

0:16

stuck with implants in their brains after

0:18

the company that keeps them running disappears.

0:21

It's often the battery that's the

0:24

problem. It's something that simple. That's

0:27

on the next two weeks of Unexplainable. This

0:30

miniseries is presented by Roomba Robots.

0:42

Frenemy's Stephanie Smothers and Emily Nelson, played

0:44

by Anna Kendrick and Blake Lively, reunite

0:46

on the beautiful island of Capri for

0:48

Emily's grandiose wedding, where revenge is a

0:50

dish best served chilled with a twist.

0:53

And with more twists than the winding roads of Capri,

0:55

it will keep you on the edge of your seat

0:57

from start to finish. Another

0:59

simple favorite premieres May 1st only on

1:02

Prime Video. You've

1:10

no doubt heard the phrase loneliness

1:12

epidemic many times. But what does

1:14

it mean to say that there's

1:17

a loneliness problem? More

1:19

to the point, what does it mean to be

1:21

lonely? At the very

1:23

least, loneliness implies two things.

1:26

One, that you're alone. And

1:29

two, that you don't want to be. That

1:31

second part is important. To

1:33

feel lonely is to yearn for

1:36

connection and company. If you don't

1:38

want to connect with someone else,

1:40

you're alone, but you're not

1:42

lonely. Here's a question

1:44

we haven't really asked in these

1:46

conversations about loneliness. Are

1:49

Americans alone because they don't have anywhere

1:51

to go, or they don't have anyone

1:53

to go with, or are they choosing

1:55

to be alone? And if

1:57

they're choosing to be alone, even when we

1:59

know that's not good for us, why

2:02

are they doing this? And

2:05

what does it mean, long term, for

2:08

society. I'm

2:11

Sean Elling, and this is the Gray Area.

2:19

Today's guest is Derek Thompson. Derek

2:22

is a staff writer at The Atlantic

2:24

and the author of a recent essay

2:26

called The Antisocial Century. The

2:29

piece challenges the conventional wisdom

2:31

around loneliness. Derek

2:33

gathers a ton of data, much

2:35

of it alarming, and concludes that

2:38

we've mostly misunderstood the situation here.

2:40

It's not that we've become lonely.

2:43

It's that we've started to

2:45

prefer solitude. We've

2:47

become anti -social, and that's a very

2:50

different kind of problem, one we absolutely

2:52

have to solve as a country. So

2:55

I invited Derek on the show to

2:57

talk about what he discovered, and why

3:00

he thinks self -imposed solitude might just

3:02

be the most important social fact of

3:04

the 21st century in America. Derek

3:19

Thompson, welcome back to the

3:21

show. It's great to be here. Thank you,

3:23

Sean. Everyone's been saying

3:25

for years now that we

3:27

have a loneliness epidemic. And

3:30

you think that's not quite right.

3:32

So tell me what's actually going

3:34

on. So it's probably

3:36

worth defining loneliness. Loneliness

3:39

as the sociologist that I talked

3:41

to, in particular NYU's Eric Kleinberg,

3:43

is a very healthy thing to

3:45

feel. Loneliness is the felt gap

3:47

between the social connection that you have

3:50

and the social connection that you

3:52

want. And so when I'm home

3:54

working a lot, taking care of my kid,

3:56

not hanging out with friends that's at my

3:58

house, sometimes I feel lonely. And that inspires

4:00

me to reach out to my friends and

4:02

hang out with them, get a drink. But

4:05

something else I think is

4:07

the social crisis of this

4:10

moment and this century for

4:12

America. And that's social isolation.

4:15

If you're spending more and

4:17

more time alone, year after

4:19

year after year, and you

4:21

are choosing to socially isolate

4:23

yourself, And you're even, in

4:26

many cases, as I see sometimes happening

4:28

on TikTok, celebrating when your

4:30

friends cancel plans because it means

4:32

you can add another heaping scoop

4:34

of a loan time on top

4:36

of the historic amounts of a

4:38

loan time they're already spending. Well,

4:41

my feeling is that's not

4:44

loneliness. That is a

4:46

choice to socially isolate more and

4:48

more. month after month, year after

4:50

year, even decade after decade. This

4:52

is not loneliness. And the last

4:55

thing I would say is, if

4:57

you choose to see this moment

4:59

as a loneliness epidemic, you have

5:01

a research problem. You have an

5:03

empirical problem. Because right now, two

5:06

things are true from the numbers.

5:08

Number one, we spend a historic

5:10

amount of time alone. And

5:12

number two, it doesn't seem...

5:15

for many Americans, loneliness

5:17

is spiking at the same rate

5:19

that social isolation is spiking. What

5:22

we have is not a crisis

5:24

of loneliness as it is broadly

5:26

understood, but actually something

5:29

much more gnarly, something much

5:31

more toxic, and actually something

5:33

much stranger than a mere

5:36

crisis of loneliness. Well,

5:38

just so we have a point of

5:40

reference, give me a sobering stat here.

5:42

How much more time? are

5:45

people spending alone? Relative

5:47

to how much time we used

5:49

to spend alone, 10, 20, 30,

5:51

40, 50 years ago. So between

5:54

the 1960s and the 1990s, Americans

5:56

were withdrawing from all kinds of

5:58

associations and clubs. This was the

6:00

thesis of and point of Robert

6:03

Putnam's book, Bowling Alone. But

6:05

in the last 25 years, the Bureau of

6:07

Labor Statistics has been running a survey called

6:09

the American Time Use Survey, which asks Americans

6:11

a bunch of questions about how they spend

6:13

their week. How much time do you spend

6:15

sleeping? How much time do you spend eating

6:17

dinner? And they also ask, how much

6:19

time do you spend in face -to -face socializing? And

6:22

the amount of time that all Americans

6:24

spend, the average American spends in face

6:26

-to -face socializing is declined by over

6:28

20 % in the last 25 years.

6:30

For some groups, like black men and

6:33

young people overall, the decline

6:35

is more like 40%, negative 40%.

6:37

face -to -face socializing over the

6:40

last 20, 25 years. So that

6:42

brings us to a point now

6:44

where there is no period in

6:47

modern historical record, going back to

6:49

the mid -1960s at least, and

6:51

probably going back decades before then,

6:54

that we have spent so much

6:56

time by ourselves. And

6:58

how does this break down across

7:01

class lines? Are we seeing the

7:03

same trends? across class lines, or

7:05

are there noteworthy differences? And if

7:07

there are, why might

7:09

that be? So what I

7:12

would say is, as a matter of

7:14

sort of coming to a firm answer

7:16

to this question, is this an income

7:18

-based phenomenon? Is maybe, but because the

7:20

best data we have doesn't have very

7:23

large sample sizes for the richest and

7:25

poorest Americans, it's hard to

7:27

say that this is a fact, the

7:29

same way we can say that it's

7:31

a fact that for all Americans, face

7:34

-to -face socializing is at its lowest

7:36

point in 25 years or maybe 60,

7:38

100 years, and alone time is at

7:40

its highest. Well, I just wanted to

7:43

ask because we have a tendency to

7:45

talk about upper class problems as though

7:47

they are universal problems, and this ain't

7:49

that. Whatever else it is, it's not

7:51

that. I think it's

7:53

really important to say that You're exactly

7:55

right. I mean, especially I would say

7:58

in this space, right? In talking about

8:00

like the way we live today, the

8:02

problems of modernity, always very difficult to

8:04

avoid the temptation to talk about the

8:06

upper middle class as if they are

8:08

representative of the entire country. So when

8:11

we talk about like the problems of

8:13

intensive parenting or anxiety, college

8:15

-based anxiety for kids, a lot

8:17

of times those fears are about

8:19

a large part of the country

8:21

that is not all of the

8:23

country. In this case, however, you

8:25

will find that face -to -face

8:27

socializing is declining for men and

8:29

for women, for literally every age

8:31

cohort, the young and the old,

8:33

for white and black and Hispanic

8:35

Americans, for the bottom quartile, for

8:37

the top quartile, for married Americans,

8:39

for unmarried Americans, for college graduates,

8:42

for non -high school graduates. This

8:44

is something that is absolutely

8:46

happening to everybody. And

8:48

so therefore, if you want to

8:51

understand it, I think we need

8:53

to look for causes that are

8:55

more universal than income inequality. So

8:58

why was the first half of

9:00

the 20th century so social? What

9:02

changed around the 70s? And why

9:04

is the answer clearly neoliberalism? And

9:06

why is the answer clearly the

9:08

election of Ronald Reagan? So

9:11

the simplest way to summarize what

9:14

happened is that there was a

9:16

revolution of individualism. that struck this

9:18

country and affected it at many

9:20

different levels, at the political economy

9:23

level, at the social level. And

9:25

it ended, as you said, a

9:27

very social century. Between

9:30

the 1910s and the 1950s

9:32

and early 60s, certainly, just

9:35

about every measure of sociality

9:38

in this country was rising.

9:40

The marriage rate spiked in

9:42

the middle of the 20th

9:45

century. fertility rates spiked in

9:47

an incredibly unusual way. You

9:49

had a surge in unionization

9:51

rates. You had more associations

9:54

created, more clubs created. So

9:56

by so many different measures, socializing

9:59

was surging in the middle of

10:01

the 20th century. And that ended.

10:04

And I think that among many, many

10:06

things, two things that ended it were

10:09

the two most important technologies of the

10:11

20th century. The first was the car.

10:14

that allowed us to privatize our lives and

10:16

move away from other people. And

10:18

the second was the television, which allowed

10:20

us to privatize our leisure time so

10:22

that we could spend it alone looking

10:24

at a screen and not necessarily spend

10:26

it throwing a dinner party. Well, you

10:28

talk to a psychologist, you talk to

10:30

a sociologist. Why

10:33

do we choose solitude? If we know it,

10:35

it won't make us happy. in the

10:37

long term. And I say we know

10:39

not just in the sense that there's a

10:41

lot of research telling us so, but

10:43

we all pretty much know this from lived

10:46

experience as tempting as it is to

10:48

stay home and Netflix or whatever. Most of

10:50

the time we all feel better once

10:52

we actually get out of the house

10:54

and spend time with friends. So what's behind

10:56

this pathological behavior? I think

10:58

it's a very good and a very complex question. And

11:01

the first thing I'd say is that we do things

11:03

that we know aren't good for us all the time.

11:06

This is the whole problem with nutrition, is that

11:08

you have people coming up with ever more complicated

11:10

ways of explaining what's good for us, but you

11:12

inject anybody in the world with truth serum and

11:14

you say, you know, is the Twixbar good for

11:16

you? Is going to the gym good for you?

11:19

Is celery good for you? Everyone

11:21

knows the answers to these questions.

11:23

The problem is actualizing the answers

11:26

in your behavior because we're cross

11:28

-purpose machines and the relevant cross

11:31

pressure is that we are dopamine

11:34

-seeking creatures, and

11:37

we're also interpersonal creatures for social

11:39

animals. And sometimes those

11:41

drives are totally across purpose with

11:43

each other. That seeking dopamine in

11:46

the most efficient way necessarily means

11:48

not spending time around people, right?

11:50

Like if I were trying, for

11:53

example... simply solicit as much dopamine

11:55

as possible and be surrounded by

11:57

maximal stimulative novelty as much as

12:00

possible on a minute -to -minute

12:02

basis. What would I do? I

12:05

would never leave my house. Our

12:07

homes are so much more comfortable than they

12:09

used to be. They're so much more diverting

12:11

than they used to be with their television

12:13

sets and their smartphones and their speaker systems

12:15

and their streaming and their cable. there's

12:18

so much that is interesting that we

12:20

can do just staying at home. And

12:22

so I think many people just do.

12:24

Now, I'm not here to say the television's evil. I

12:27

am trying to say that the

12:29

invention of television was akin to

12:32

the discovery of this element of

12:34

human nature that fundamentally wants to

12:36

turn ourselves into passive audience members.

12:39

And so we invented this technology

12:41

that seemed to elicit from us

12:43

this aspect of ourselves that just

12:45

wants to lie back, open our

12:47

eyes, and be awash in novel

12:49

visual stimuli. And I

12:52

think that, unfortunately, when you ask, you know, why don't we

12:54

just leave the house? Why don't we just hang out with

12:56

people more? I think that

12:58

we are complex creatures and that this

13:00

is a really relevant cross -purpose for

13:02

us. Well, I mean, having an economy

13:05

increasingly built on personal convenience, it's just

13:07

such a huge part of this. You

13:09

know, I mean, from streaming services to

13:12

online shopping, I mean, everything is curated,

13:14

everything's on demand. Everything is easy. If

13:16

you have a phone and Wi -Fi,

13:18

you don't have to leave the house

13:21

for damn near anything. I mean, that

13:23

kind of economic order has to condition

13:25

us psychologically to want to avoid the

13:28

messiness and the unpredictability of the actual

13:30

world. It's a beautifully made point, and

13:32

I want to be really, really clear

13:34

about my reaction to it. The

13:37

on -demand economy is good. It's

13:39

good for busy families. It's good for

13:41

the disabled. It's good for the elderly. It's

13:44

good for the chronically sick. The

13:47

on -demand economy is an

13:49

absolute economic mitzvah. But

13:52

life is complicated and progress has

13:54

trade -offs. The Industrial

13:56

Revolution was good. It allowed

13:58

us to be rich enough to

14:00

take a world where the average

14:03

person had a 50 -50 shot

14:05

of living to see their 16th

14:07

birthday into a world where The

14:09

vast majority of people have a

14:11

very, very good chance to turn

14:14

16. But we also

14:16

know that the industrialized economy had

14:18

costs and trade -offs. One of

14:20

them being that it took us

14:22

a while to recognize that industrialization

14:24

was coughing up all of this

14:27

pollution that was choking the biosphere.

14:29

It took us a while to realize

14:32

the cost of progress. And it took

14:34

us a while to recognize what the

14:36

cost of this economic mitzvah was. And

14:38

in the same way, I think a

14:41

world of entertainment and a world of

14:43

on -demand convenience is wonderful in many,

14:45

many ways. It just takes

14:47

us a while to figure out what the costs

14:49

of that progress are. And one thing I'm trying

14:51

to do in this piece is to hold up

14:53

a mirror to Americans' behavior and say, this is

14:56

the receipt. What you bought

14:58

is an economy of extraordinary dopaminergic reward

15:00

systems. And it's helped your life in

15:02

many ways and made life more fun

15:05

in many ways. But here's part of

15:07

the cost. Here's the receipt that you

15:09

haven't seen for the progress that you've

15:12

purchased. And it's not so much to

15:14

say that I want to move progress

15:16

back. I think we just need to

15:19

find a way to adapt to it.

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16:34

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utterly wrong, being

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no idea. A fun fact.

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and the century of self the

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way he uses it isn't quite

19:02

Solitude or antisocial, but it's part

19:04

of the same story. I mean

19:07

there's this shift from a needs

19:09

-based culture to a desires -based

19:11

culture and more of life becomes

19:14

about eliminating inconvenience and friction and

19:16

that ultimately leads to eliminating other

19:18

people because other people

19:20

involved in convenience and friction. It

19:23

reminds me of what the University

19:25

of Chicago psychologist Nick Epley said

19:27

to me. And he talks about

19:29

the ways in which there's an

19:32

expectations gap that we suffer from

19:34

or several expectations gaps that we

19:36

suffer from in our social relations.

19:39

And one is

19:41

that often we

19:44

withhold ourselves from

19:46

talking to strangers.

19:48

or asking people to hang out with

19:51

us, because we're afraid that we might

19:53

be boring to them. We're afraid that

19:55

we might disappoint ourselves by being in

19:58

that conversation and seeing other people react

20:00

negatively to us. And he

20:02

points out that a lot of human interaction

20:04

is instead governed by a principle of reciprocity,

20:06

such that when you're nice to someone, they

20:08

tend to be nice back. When you initiate

20:11

a little bit of conversation, they tend to

20:13

talk back to you. And so

20:15

there's an expectations gap between the

20:17

withdrawal that we sometimes conduct ourselves

20:20

with and the social interaction that

20:22

would actually make us much more

20:24

happy in the next 15 minutes

20:26

of life. And the second gap

20:29

that he talks about that I

20:31

think is really profound is an

20:33

expectations gap about depth of conversation.

20:36

And I think that people, they

20:38

wanna be asked deep questions. They

20:40

like talking about things that matter

20:42

to them. And

20:45

often, We're afraid

20:47

of initiating deep conversations with people.

20:50

So I think that one of

20:52

these just really wonderful points is

20:55

that despite the fact that we're

20:57

social animals, we live

20:59

under this patina of illusion about

21:01

asociality where we withhold deep and

21:04

meaningful conversations both from ourselves and

21:06

the people around us because we

21:09

have false expectations about how those

21:11

conversations are going to go. Well,

21:13

speaking of connections and depth of

21:16

connections or lack thereof, it leads

21:18

to I think a very important

21:20

part of the piece where you're

21:23

talking about these three rings of

21:25

connection, inner, middle, and outer, and

21:27

how this middle ring, which is

21:30

key to social cohesion, that's disappearing.

21:32

Can you say a bit about

21:35

that? Because it seems really, really

21:37

important. So Mark Dunkelman, who's

21:39

an author and a researcher at Brown

21:41

University, when I called him to talk

21:44

about this piece, what he

21:46

said was that ironically, our digital

21:48

devices, which might seem like they alienate us from

21:50

each other, actually make some relationships

21:52

much closer than they used to be.

21:55

For example, at the inner ring of family, it

21:58

is possible for families to be

22:00

connected throughout the day, throughout the

22:02

week in ways that were totally

22:04

impossible 50 years ago. I mean,

22:06

the amount of times per day

22:08

that I text my wife or

22:10

my wife texts me is just

22:12

enormous. We're just in constant. contact

22:14

and constant communication. He

22:17

said at one point, you know, if my daughter buys

22:19

a Butterfinger from the CVS, I get a notification on

22:21

my phone, which, you

22:23

know, intensive parenting, take it or leave it. Like

22:25

at least it's a connection that you could not

22:28

imagine happening 30 years ago. And

22:30

then so at the inner ring, you have

22:32

lots of intimacy. And then there's

22:34

an outer ring that he describes which

22:36

is, you can sort of think of it as

22:38

tribe, people who share your affinities. So

22:40

if you're a Cincinnati Bengals fan, or if

22:43

you're a New Orleans Saints fan, for example,

22:45

for the NFL, you can

22:47

follow the world of Saints fans

22:50

and be in touch with them

22:52

in a way that was absolutely

22:55

impossible 40 years ago. Mark

22:57

talks about the fact that he lives in Providence, Rhode

22:59

Island, and he's texting the beat reporters from Cincinnati Ohio

23:02

about how the Bengals should change their offense.

23:04

I mean that is a connection that you

23:06

could just never have before the rise of

23:08

group chats and acts and things like that.

23:11

So what he says is you sort of in

23:13

a weird way have this inner ring of family

23:15

and friends which can be strengthened by digital communications.

23:18

And this outer ring of tribe, which can

23:20

be strengthened by digital communications, because it puts

23:22

us in touch with the crowd. But there's

23:24

an inner ring that atrophies, and that inner

23:26

ring he calls the village. And the village

23:28

is the people that live next to us.

23:30

It's the people that we live around. It's

23:32

the people that we might see at grocery

23:34

stores or form clubs with. It's people we're

23:36

not related to and that don't necessarily share.

23:38

our opinion about everything in the world. And

23:41

that's what makes it so important, because

23:43

if the inner ring teaches us love

23:45

and the outer ring teaches us loyalty

23:47

or ideology, it's that middle ring that

23:49

teaches us tolerance. It requires

23:51

tolerance to be in the world of

23:53

people you're not related to who might

23:55

disagree with you about things. And in

23:57

a world where that middle ring is

23:59

atrophying, you would predict, if you knew nothing

24:01

else about the world, that our politics

24:03

would become a lot less tolerant. There's

24:05

a section in the piece titled, This

24:07

is your politics on solitude. And

24:11

you make the case that this

24:13

drift towards solitude is really rewiring

24:15

our civic and political identity. Is

24:18

this how it's rewiring it? That

24:20

it's basically teaching us to love

24:22

the people we love, perhaps even

24:25

more, but also hate the people

24:27

we don't really know? I

24:30

think it might be that. The two

24:32

implications that I draw from the piece

24:34

are one that you would expect the

24:37

political winners of a native solitude to

24:39

exist in that sort of all -tribe,

24:41

no -village level. They'd be great at

24:43

stoking out crude animosity, and they would

24:46

be almost celebratory of their lack of

24:48

tolerance. And certainly, I think both

24:50

those things describe Donald Trump. The

24:53

second is that the conventional wisdom used

24:55

to be that all politics is local,

24:57

that people vote based on issues that

24:59

are local to the village. But in

25:02

a world where the village atrophies and

25:04

a more global... of reality concretizes. It's

25:08

not that all politics is local.

25:11

It's that all politics is focal

25:13

with an F. All politics is

25:15

what national media gets us to

25:17

focus on, whether or not it's

25:19

relevant to our local interests. So

25:21

one example from the right, and then maybe one

25:23

example from the left. Some of them

25:25

from the right, and this anecdote didn't make it

25:28

in the final piece, but are the Russell Hawks

25:30

child, who's a sociologist in California, just

25:32

published a book and I was emailing her

25:34

about that book as I was writing this

25:37

piece and she pointed out that there are

25:39

folks in rural Kentucky where she was doing

25:41

some of her ethnography where you walk into

25:43

their trailer homes, you walk into their houses

25:45

and the television is just the biggest piece

25:48

of furniture in the house. And

25:50

for them, the most important issue

25:52

in the 2024 election was the

25:54

rise of illegal immigration and the

25:56

hordes of migrants crossing the border.

25:58

This was incredibly alarming to them.

26:01

And you look at these census reports

26:03

of rural Kentucky, and these are some

26:05

of the places with the least, the

26:07

smallest share of immigrants in the country.

26:10

So in a world where all politics is

26:12

local, rural Kentucky does not

26:14

care about immigration politics at all.

26:16

But in a world where all

26:18

politics is focal, they're paying

26:20

attention to the same news stories that

26:22

a conservative living in downtown Chicago or

26:25

New York or San Francisco is paying

26:27

attention to. And that struck me

26:29

as very interesting. And the

26:31

point that I made about the

26:33

left, which got me into trouble

26:35

among sunk people, is that I

26:38

think that progressives have comforted themselves

26:40

with the understanding that Trump is

26:42

a kind of political alien who

26:45

is inexplicable to anyone who shares

26:47

progressive values. But it's led them

26:49

to... not understand Trump as

26:52

a political phenomenon in a way that

26:54

I think has hurt the left by

26:56

not allowing them to take seriously some

26:58

of the values that underlie this incredibly

27:01

successful right populist movement. The

27:03

left would be better at understanding

27:05

itself, which is to say the

27:07

country that it lives in if

27:09

we spent more time around other

27:11

people who lived in our so

27:13

-called village. I never thought of

27:15

the village as a moderating. mechanism in that way,

27:17

but it makes all the sense in the world.

27:20

The lack of engagement, the lack

27:22

of understanding that has been

27:24

brewing because of this disconnection,

27:27

it's just been toxic to

27:29

our politics. And I don't

27:31

know. I'm just whining out

27:33

loud here. No, I accept your whining in the

27:35

spirit in which it's intended, I think. I'm

27:40

not particularly optimistic

27:42

about Americans. agreeing

27:45

with each other. And one

27:47

thing that I don't want to

27:49

happen and that I can see

27:51

happening is a world where people

27:53

fall so out of touch with

27:55

where they live and the issues

27:58

that are material to their communities.

28:00

that they vote for people that are giving them

28:03

something that's bad for them and bad for their

28:05

neighbors who agree and disagree with whoever's in the

28:07

White House. So I think

28:09

there are material consequences to a

28:11

world where voters are fundamentally disconnected

28:14

from their local material realities. How

28:17

does the antisocial turn, especially among

28:19

men, lead to what you call

28:21

chaos politics? I think even use

28:23

the phrase grotesque style of politics.

28:26

Yeah, it's a term of art

28:28

from a Danish researcher, a Danish

28:30

political scientist named Michael Bank Peterson

28:33

called Need for Chaos. And he's

28:35

done a series of studies with

28:37

some of his co -researchers, and

28:39

they've essentially felt that there's a

28:42

certain demographic that responds very positively

28:44

to conspiracy theories about any establishment

28:46

politician left or right. And they

28:49

tend to agree with statements like,

28:51

I don't believe in the political

28:53

process, I just want to see

28:56

everything burned down. And he

28:58

calls them need for chaos because his

29:00

theory is that this is a cohort

29:02

of the electorate that is essentially given

29:04

up on institutions and establishment processes. And

29:07

they see politics at a

29:09

distance as a kind of,

29:12

as a piece of entertainment

29:14

where the most destruction visited

29:16

on existing institutions, the better.

29:18

And while Certainly, it

29:20

sounds like this movement would lean far

29:22

right. There are elements of the left

29:24

that he sees associated with it as

29:26

well. And what he

29:29

found, and the reason that I included

29:31

his findings in my piece, is that

29:33

one of the things that correlates most

29:35

highly with need for chaos is self

29:37

-described self -isolation. And he

29:39

says, these people aren't seeking out friendships

29:41

the way that someone might, if they

29:44

were lonely, in a typical way that

29:46

is seeking out a friend because you

29:48

feel that gap between felt and desired

29:50

social connection. Rather, they

29:52

take stock of their own

29:54

social isolation and they seek

29:57

to remedy it by going

29:59

online and seeking power in

30:01

some way, typically by joining

30:04

some online whore trying to

30:06

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30:08

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32:20

the radio? Okay

32:22

So what are

32:25

the different paths

32:27

we can go

32:30

down at this

32:32

point, I mean

32:34

if the antisocial

32:37

trend continues Where

32:39

does that leave

32:42

us if we

32:44

course correct? What

32:47

might that look like? So,

32:49

should we do gate to hell

32:51

first, then gate to heaven so

32:54

we can end in a happy

32:56

note? Yeah, let's lead with gate

32:58

to hell. Okay, good. I

33:03

can't imagine a world where artificial

33:05

intelligence continues to advance at the

33:07

rate it's advancing and it not

33:09

meaningfully inflecting this space. How

33:12

so? We already see that if

33:14

there was a big article in

33:16

The New York Times just a

33:18

few days ago about people falling

33:20

in love with chat GPT and

33:22

having deep personal relationships with a

33:25

genitive AI software whose guts live

33:27

in some data center in the

33:29

Dallas corridor of Virginia. That's

33:32

weird, but it's going to get less weird because

33:34

it's become more common. Jason

33:36

Fagone, who's a journalist who I

33:39

spoke to, is writing a book

33:41

about people's relationship with AI companions.

33:43

And the stories that he told me, some of which I reported

33:45

in the piece and some of which were off the record, were

33:47

just absolutely extraordinary. I mean, mothers

33:50

with families married to a man,

33:52

but who feels bisexual and has

33:54

a engaged emotional relationship with an

33:57

AI that identifies as a woman.

34:00

Men who having lost

34:02

a girlfriend or fiance

34:04

creating avatars of their

34:06

lost loves out of

34:08

silicon and having

34:10

ongoing relationships with ChatGBT

34:13

or with other AI

34:15

companions that essentially mimic

34:17

the emotional life of

34:19

their ex. This

34:22

is all going to get more common and

34:24

it's all going to get weirder because the

34:26

technology is going to improve and also because

34:28

these technologies are going to become more multimodal,

34:30

which is, I guess, maybe just a fancy

34:32

way of saying they're going to get better

34:34

at talking to us, literally talking to us

34:36

and not just texting us back. And in

34:38

some ways, people are going to find that

34:40

silicon -based friendships and relationships are just richer

34:42

than carbon -based relationships to put things somewhat

34:44

frequently. So I think this is

34:47

coming. And I think we need to see

34:49

it clearly for the threat that it could

34:51

have to the way that humans deal with

34:53

each other in the physical world. You

34:56

know, I have to say, I

34:58

think this is where some of

35:00

those old, curmudgeonly cultural critics like

35:02

Christopher Lash, you know, who famously

35:05

wrote. the culture of narcissism are

35:07

a little vindicated as you point

35:09

out in the article you know

35:11

like one of the reasons we're

35:13

so prepared for chatbot friendships is

35:15

that we have come to expect

35:18

different things from our relationships and

35:20

what a lot of us really

35:22

want is a set of feelings

35:24

we want validation we want sympathy

35:26

we want someone or something to

35:28

make us feel a certain way

35:31

about ourselves. That's

35:34

about self -fulfillment that is

35:36

kind of narcissism and It's

35:38

kind of where we are

35:40

Yeah, I mean You know

35:42

this is maybe where we

35:45

we dust us some of

35:47

your favorite existentialist writers and

35:49

you know think about like

35:51

what what like phenomenologically what

35:53

is Friendship for the most

35:56

part It's a lot of

35:58

spending time with people in

36:00

the physical world. Hopefully But

36:03

for a lot of people, it's phone

36:05

calls and it's texts. And

36:07

it's the feeling of, hey, I'm having an issue with work, or

36:09

hey, I'm having an issue with my kid, or I'm having an

36:11

issue with my relationship. Hey, man, can we

36:13

just talk on the phone? Can I just give you a call? Can

36:16

you just respond to a couple of texts while we both

36:18

watch the national championship game at home? What's

36:20

happening there? You're picking up a

36:23

piece of hardware, and you're

36:25

holding it to your ear, or you're holding it in

36:27

your palm. and you're having

36:29

a voice -based or text -based

36:31

conversation with an entity who is

36:33

not there, but an

36:35

entity within which you entrust

36:38

with love and a host

36:40

of complex feelings that make

36:42

it so that you want

36:45

to spend time with someone

36:47

who is physically a ghost

36:49

to you. Well, like, you're

36:52

just talking to someone who isn't there, that

36:54

you've decided to put trust in. What's

36:57

phenomenologically so different than it being

36:59

an AI? Hell,

37:01

I probably have half a dozen

37:03

friendships now that exist solely through

37:05

the exchange of funny memes on

37:07

Instagram. My point isn't

37:09

that my best friend or your best friend

37:11

is no different than an AI. I

37:14

want people to think

37:16

capaciously about the ways

37:18

in which relationships with

37:20

AI won't be weird

37:22

to lots of people.

37:25

It's weird to me. I

37:27

have no relationship with an artificial intelligence.

37:29

I'd be surprised if you did. I'd

37:31

certainly be surprised if my wife did.

37:33

But I don't think that many people

37:35

growing up in an age, especially young

37:37

people, who by the way, one of

37:39

the first points made in the show,

37:41

spent a historic amount of time alone

37:43

on their couches interacting with the world

37:45

through their smartphone screen, is it really

37:47

going to be so strange for them

37:49

to have friends at school and friends

37:51

on their phone? I just don't think

37:53

it takes an enormous amount of imagination

37:55

to see how this is coming. Yeah,

37:57

and I should say, I don't think

37:59

people today are any more inherently narcissistic

38:01

or self -involved than people were really

38:03

at any other point. We have built

38:05

a world optimized to cater to these

38:08

sorts of impulses. Oh, yeah. No, we're

38:10

no different. I mean, biologically, how can

38:12

we be different than our grandfather's grandfather's

38:14

grandfather's grandfather? We're not. Nothing's

38:16

changed about human biology. Nothing's changed about

38:18

human biochemistry or very little. Very little's

38:20

changed about human psychology. We're different because

38:23

of technology. And technology

38:25

of different times elicits

38:27

different aspects of our

38:29

personalities because we're incredibly

38:31

cross -purposed. We are

38:33

designed to replicate our

38:35

genome through history. But

38:37

that's not all. We're designed to seek

38:40

novel stimuli and also designed to seek

38:42

familiarity and designed to seek safety and

38:44

designed to seek adventure. We're so, so

38:46

complex and we just live in a

38:49

world right now where I want people

38:51

to recognize just how much intelligence and

38:53

treasure and talent has been devoted to

38:55

the job of keeping us stimulated inside

38:58

of our homes. And what if we

39:00

actually confronted the costs of that world?

39:03

When I asked you earlier about

39:05

the different ways forward you gave

39:08

me the vision for the road

39:10

to the gates To hell you

39:13

didn't give me the vision of

39:15

the path to the gates of

39:17

heaven. What's the utopian optimistic sunny

39:20

scenario so the difference between science

39:22

and culture is that science tends

39:24

to move linearly and culture is

39:27

a cycle Culture goes up and

39:29

down culture is backlash Culture

39:32

is not just one thing accumulating over and

39:34

over and over again. It's backlash. And

39:37

a proper understanding of the antisocial century,

39:39

I think, will inspire its own backlash.

39:42

And we've backlashed before. The

39:45

late 19th century was a

39:47

highly individualistic time. And

39:50

around the progressive era of the

39:52

early 20th century, up until the

39:54

middle of the 1900s, we had

39:56

a social revolution in this country.

39:58

that was inspired by religion in

40:00

the social gospel, that

40:02

was inspired by a change of political economy, the

40:04

New Deal, and the rise of collectivism, and

40:07

was reinforced by everything

40:10

from behavior and habit

40:12

to technology. It

40:14

was a physical time, a time of

40:16

physical togetherness. And we can have it

40:18

again. People need to make new choices

40:20

with their lives, and those new choices need to be

40:22

inspired by a clear understanding of what we've done to

40:24

ourselves in the social century. that year

40:27

after year of being alone is unacceptable.

40:29

And we can make choices as small as

40:31

I'm going to call my friend when I

40:34

feel like I miss them. I'm going to

40:36

spend more time outside of my house. I'm

40:38

going to go out every single weekend absolutely

40:40

for sure to make sure that I prioritize

40:42

a Friday or Saturday hangout. The people who

40:44

are in my life that I text but

40:46

don't see physically, I'm going to make a

40:48

point to see them. I

40:50

think that behaviors can cascade

40:52

and they can create norms.

40:55

And I think norms can cascade and they can

40:57

create movements. And this is

40:59

a disease, the anti -social century is

41:01

a disease, the cure is

41:03

free and is well known. And

41:06

that makes me optimistic. Is

41:08

all of what you just said

41:10

personally aspirational or are you becoming

41:13

the change you want to see

41:15

in the world, Derek? After having

41:17

thought this through so deeply and

41:19

reported this out, are you changing

41:22

the decisions you make day to

41:24

day? Are you out in the

41:26

world engaging with more? People a

41:28

thousand percent. Yeah, I'm an introvert.

41:31

I'm a couch potato. I'm a

41:33

bookworm. I I love to stay

41:35

home and read and think about

41:37

things and You know writing this

41:40

piece Was a reckoning for my

41:42

own behavior and the ways that

41:44

my own hour -to -hour minutes

41:46

minute preferences were affecting my life

41:49

and affecting my happiness You know

41:51

as Nick Epley says You

41:53

have a great conversation for 15 minutes rather than be

41:55

alone. That doesn't change your

41:57

life. It just changes the next 15

42:01

But life is just one 15 -minute block

42:03

of time after another. And

42:05

the way we spend our minutes is the way we spend our life. And

42:08

that understanding has affected me really

42:11

deeply. And I'm thinking so much

42:13

more about how I spend more

42:15

time around people and how I

42:17

reach out to people more. That's

42:21

such a beautiful place to end. We love your work

42:23

around here. So thanks for coming back on the show,

42:25

man. Thank you, man. Total pleasure to be here. All

42:30

right. I hope you enjoyed this

42:32

episode. I always love talking to

42:34

Derek. As always, we want

42:36

to know what you think. So drop

42:38

us the line at the gray area

42:40

at Vox.com and tell us. And if

42:42

you can spare just another few minutes,

42:45

please rate and review the podcast. That

42:47

stuff really helps our show grow. This

42:53

episode was produced by Beth

42:55

Morrissey, edited by Jorge

42:57

Just, engineered by Christian Ayala,

43:00

backed checked by Anouk Dussot, and

43:02

Alex Overington wrote our theme music.

43:05

New episodes of The Gray Area drop

43:07

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43:10

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43:13

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43:15

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