Episode Transcript
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slash Yeah,
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2:00
your dreams and getting
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rich quick. They actually
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got me into reading
2:06
stats for anything. You're
2:08
tuned in to the
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Investing for Beginners podcast.
2:13
Led by Andrew Sather
2:15
and Dave Ahern. Step-by-step
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premium investing guidance for beginners. Your path
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to financial freedom starts now. Start now.
2:22
Welcome to the Investing for Beginners podcast.
2:24
Today we're going to do a bird's
2:26
eye view. We're going to take a
2:29
look at Uber Technologies or Uber. And
2:31
this is a company, frankly, I don't
2:33
know that much about, and Andrew recently
2:35
looked into a little bit. We had
2:38
a challenge in our value spotlight community
2:40
to take a look at companies that
2:42
were outside of our circle of competence
2:44
and see if we could build a
2:46
little bit. And this is one of
2:49
the companies that Andrew looked into. So
2:51
I thought it would be kind of
2:53
fun for us to talk for us
2:55
to talk about And since I just
2:58
got back from Brazil and used it
3:00
a whole bunch down there, I thought
3:02
it was kind of appropriate, at least
3:04
fresh in my mind, is to find
3:06
out what's what with Uber. So maybe
3:08
we'll start with, what do they do? What
3:10
are you? Yeah, pretty simple. Download
3:12
the app, get hooked up with a
3:15
random driver who also has the app,
3:17
he drives around and you pay and
3:19
go on your way. How was the
3:21
Uber experience over there in Brazil? It
3:23
was a seamless that is it is
3:25
it is here. It was kind of
3:27
interesting and in two of the bigger
3:30
cities that we were in Sao Paulo
3:32
and Cordichiba. They actually for safety reasons,
3:34
they instituted a pin. So when you
3:36
would call up a ride and they
3:38
would send you somebody, they would send you
3:40
a pin. And so to make sure you
3:43
could verify each other, they would ask me
3:45
for the pin and then I would have
3:47
to watch them enter it in and then
3:49
that was like, okay, we're verified that this
3:51
is a. Right driver so it felt very safe
3:54
just like it would here in the United
3:56
States So that was kind of cool. Well
3:58
as you were taking the ubers Did you
4:00
think like, oh, this might be interesting
4:02
to look as an investment? Yeah, for
4:04
sure, because it seemed like a few
4:07
of the people that we talked that
4:09
were driving us, we talked to mostly
4:11
through my life, because my Portuguese is
4:13
not the best. We talked a little
4:15
bit about like their experience with it
4:17
and whatnot, and they were very bullish
4:19
on the company, and they really liked
4:22
working for Uber. That was. Two of
4:24
the two people we talked to, that's
4:26
what they did for a living, and
4:28
they said they made a pretty good
4:30
living doing it. It was interesting.
4:32
After experiencing it, I frankly
4:35
have not used it much here in
4:37
the United States, but I have used
4:39
it in the two times that I've
4:42
gone to. to Brazil and it's
4:44
been very very very helpful because renting
4:46
a car there can be expensive and
4:48
driving especially in a place like
4:50
Sao Paulo is like taking your life
4:53
in your hand so I found it
4:55
interesting and it certainly intrigued me
4:57
enough to think about would this be
4:59
something that I would buy or not? You
5:02
mentioned the Circle of Competence
5:04
Challenge so if listeners out there
5:06
aren't subscribed they might not know
5:08
I haven't yet to this point.
5:10
recommended a stock that
5:12
actively dilutes shares, at least does
5:15
so on a very regular basis,
5:17
and is in that kind of
5:19
early growth stage of their life
5:21
cycle. Uber very much so, they're
5:23
at this inflection point where
5:26
they're reaching profitability
5:28
and they're basically, from
5:30
a financial perspective, they
5:32
are crossing the line from
5:35
unprofitability to profitability and burning
5:37
cash flow to generating cash
5:39
flow. At the same time,
5:42
they're still raising capital when
5:44
I looked at them. So they're
5:46
still in that growthy growth mode
5:48
where they're raising capital. It's an
5:50
interesting time in their life cycle
5:53
for sure, which was what drew me to
5:55
them as the challenge because I was
5:57
like, all right, I'm gonna try to
5:59
look at them. leaders jump outside my
6:01
circle comments and try to
6:03
look at those. And so
6:05
strictly from a numbers perspective,
6:07
company looks really good. Revenues,
6:10
like we said, the margins are
6:12
expanding so now all of a
6:14
sudden they have all these profits
6:16
on sheets, super, super strong, return
6:18
on capital. I looked them up
6:21
on new constructs of a
6:23
membership with them and they
6:25
calculate ROIC with adjustments so
6:27
it's not a distorted, suppressed
6:29
or overstated ROIC, it's just
6:32
crossed the whack, which means
6:34
they're creating value now instead
6:36
of destroying value with their
6:38
growth. So a lot of
6:40
good numbers, and from a
6:43
numbers perspective, it looks, I don't
6:45
know how to say, it just looks
6:47
really good. Yeah, it really does.
6:49
It's interesting too, because looking, I
6:51
mentioned that to you when we
6:54
were looking at the numbers before
6:56
we jumped on here, like it
6:58
looks. It looks good. It looks really good.
7:00
And, you know, I, some of my view
7:03
is jaded a little bit. I watched,
7:05
there was a series on Netflix
7:07
called Super Pump that they talked
7:09
about the early days of the
7:11
company with Travis, when Travis Callanick
7:13
was running the business. He's no
7:15
longer with the company anymore. He
7:17
was the one that kind of
7:19
got it off his feet and
7:21
kept it running when it was
7:23
going through hard times. And it's
7:25
a very interesting. documentary.
7:28
It's not really documentary.
7:30
It's kind of a, I don't know,
7:32
a biopic or something, but there
7:34
were some negative things that were
7:36
taking place during that. And so
7:39
I had that kind of a
7:41
little bit jaded look at at
7:43
the company, but then I heard
7:45
an interview with the current CEO,
7:47
and I really liked him. The
7:49
funny was very sharp, very well
7:52
spoken, clear-headed. And I thought he
7:54
had some good ideas for visions
7:56
of how the company could continue
7:58
to expand and grow. I wasn't
8:00
super up on the company and it's
8:03
always been kind of on a periphery
8:05
for me. I know that our friend
8:07
Vitali Katz and Elsa and Nelson invested
8:10
in them early on and has been
8:12
a big supporter of Uber way before
8:14
I even ever considered investing in it.
8:17
So it's interesting to see the company
8:19
kind of mature like come from a
8:21
child to now it's becoming an adult
8:24
and so that's interesting to observe. But
8:26
I guess what are your thoughts on
8:28
the whole. diluting part
8:31
of it? Like how does that
8:33
enter into your equation? I guess
8:35
it never got far enough along
8:37
where I ever felt like I
8:40
was entering that into the equation
8:42
for any of the companies I
8:44
looked at that were diluters. Kind
8:46
of along that note, you know,
8:49
when you think of dilution, you
8:51
think of capital allocation, what is
8:53
the company doing, what is management
8:55
doing with the money? One of
8:58
the things, if this is a
9:00
bird's having, we're talking about... trying
9:02
to look at companies from a
9:05
big picture. I like to use
9:07
quickfs.net and look at cash flow
9:09
statement. So it shows you like
9:11
a 10 year period of all
9:14
the different numbers. And so just
9:16
scanning through each column, I noticed
9:18
that, oh wow, $5 billion went
9:20
to investments in the last 12
9:23
months. So looking at the cash
9:25
flow statement, then you go on
9:27
the 10K, the annual report, one
9:29
of the things that I thought
9:32
was interesting, they have these non-markable
9:34
equity securities and marketable equity securities.
9:36
So they have 2.2 billion in
9:39
DD, which is, oh, the right
9:41
here in China, they have 1.8
9:43
billion in a company called Grab,
9:45
1.4 billion in a company called
9:48
Aurora. It was like two years
9:50
ago Something like that they took
9:52
like a seven billion dollar loss
9:54
unrealized on their investments in the
9:57
last 12 months they've made cash
9:59
from operations around 6.2 billion stock-based
10:01
compensation 1.8. So that 7 billion
10:03
was a pretty high, I guess,
10:06
mark down in value. It'll be
10:08
interesting to see is that something
10:10
that continues? Are they going to
10:13
be very aggressive in buying equity
10:15
securities and almost become like capital
10:17
allocators in that way versus expanding
10:19
Uber's business? I don't know enough
10:22
about the CEO or the company
10:24
to really make a statement one
10:26
way or the other, but that's
10:28
something that jumps out to me
10:31
that would say, okay, the numbers
10:33
look great, maybe I may or
10:35
may not like the company, but
10:37
what's going to be the cap
10:40
allocation story, particularly if stock-based compensation
10:42
so high and the dilution so
10:44
high. Have you, I have, I
10:47
frankly have never looked at a
10:49
company that's made kind of this
10:51
transition from. cash burner to cash
10:53
generator and I'm wondering I'm curious
10:56
why they would keep diluting when
10:58
they're getting into the whole profitability
11:00
thing that that's that's a question
11:02
that pops into my head. We're
11:05
not just looking at them but
11:07
other companies as they go through
11:09
the cycle like when does that
11:11
when does one turn on and
11:14
the other one turn off or
11:16
do some companies just continue to
11:18
do both? Right. Same here as
11:21
a complete outsider kind of opinion.
11:23
I don't look at companies like
11:25
this hardly at all falls outside
11:27
my circle competence, but you would
11:30
just wonder if the stock base
11:32
compensation is so high, and if
11:34
you haven't announced a buyback plan,
11:36
do you just naturally get that
11:39
dilution from stock base compensation? I
11:41
don't know how hard is it
11:43
to reverse stock base compensation? I
11:45
guess a million different ways you
11:48
could do the stock base compensation.
11:50
2019 they did 4.5 billion almost
11:52
4.6 billion and then 2020 it
11:55
was like 800 million so that's
11:57
that's a pretty huge 2019 had
11:59
a huge one and I would
12:01
want to know why that's the
12:04
case too. So yeah, I mean,
12:06
stock-based compensation is one of those things.
12:08
Like, have we seen that fully play
12:10
out in this market cycle? I'm not
12:12
sure either. Right. Yeah, for sure. This
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get started that select
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quote.com/beginners what do you think are
14:57
some of the potential risks that
14:59
a company like Uber could be
15:01
facing the answer question like that you
15:03
gotta go the risk factors of the
15:06
10k and see what kind of things
15:08
stick out a few things I I
15:10
saw autonomous vehicles could be coming
15:12
for them. And I think
15:14
paired with that, they mention
15:16
in the risk factors about
15:18
criminal activity inside their oovers.
15:20
And so if that becomes
15:22
something that gets worse and worse,
15:24
would people prefer to have a
15:27
robot drive them who they know
15:29
can't be violent versus somebody who
15:31
might be? They also mentioned some
15:33
of the stuff in California
15:35
that's happening around electrification.
15:37
90% of ride share
15:39
miles are going to have
15:42
to come from zero
15:44
mission vehicles. Impact, Uber's
15:47
business, I don't know. Some of
15:49
those things, and I don't know
15:51
if I mentioned this specifically,
15:54
but it was something I wrote
15:57
in my notes, like low
15:59
switching. costs. If you don't
16:01
want to take an Uber anymore,
16:04
how hard is it to
16:06
download Lyft or take
16:08
a taxi? And that's some
16:10
of the problem I have
16:12
with some of the apps
16:14
in general. But obviously
16:17
every app is different.
16:19
But to install an app is
16:21
pretty easy. So we are in
16:23
a very unique time
16:25
where platforms like Uber
16:28
and Airbnb. crazy amounts of
16:30
cash on like very little
16:32
capital intensity. The first seems
16:34
to maybe be moving that
16:36
direction. But they're also just
16:38
apps on an app store. So, you know,
16:40
what's the switching cost? We don't know the
16:42
answer to that. And it makes for a
16:45
very interesting potential range of
16:47
outcomes. If it's something you feel like
16:49
you have an insight towards, maybe it's
16:51
your... one of your big wealth generation
16:53
drivers. If you don't and you're a
16:55
little more cautious, maybe you're just on
16:58
the sidelines going to see how it
17:00
all plays out. And I don't know,
17:02
those are some of the things that stood
17:04
out to me. Is there anything that
17:06
stands out to you? Kind of doubling
17:08
down a little bit on what you said
17:11
about the electrification slash robotic driver
17:13
with the news related to Waymo
17:15
and some of the things that
17:17
they've been doing recently, there's been...
17:20
speculation, if you will, that
17:22
there could be some consolidation
17:25
that goes on or that
17:27
there, for example, I think
17:29
I read somebody saying that
17:31
if Tesla continues to struggle
17:33
with their self-driving, maybe they maybe
17:35
they start to work with Uber
17:37
to develop the electric fleet
17:39
that Uber needs to meet
17:41
the requirements of California,
17:44
for example. I know there's
17:46
been some chatter about something
17:48
like that or there's been
17:50
chatter that maybe Tesla would
17:52
buy Waymo and they would
17:54
use the electric cars, robotic
17:56
cars, and maybe they would lease
17:59
them to Uber. there's a lot
18:01
of, I think there's a lot
18:03
of uncertainty on which way that's
18:05
gonna go. And then I don't
18:07
know if Uber is working specifically
18:10
on autonomous driving themselves, I have
18:12
no idea. But if they are,
18:14
then that could undermine the people
18:16
that are working with them now.
18:19
And if that becomes public. then
18:21
that could be very harmful to
18:23
the company too, because if you
18:25
know the company's coming for your
18:28
job, how loyal would you be
18:30
to drive for Uber if you
18:32
know that they're trying to basically
18:34
take away your livelihood? I'm not
18:37
saying that's happening, but there's been
18:39
some speculation that some of these
18:41
things could play out and be
18:43
an impact on Uber. And then
18:46
I think there's also been some
18:48
noise. about how they could perform
18:50
globally. The United States is right
18:52
now the biggest part of their
18:54
revenues. And there is some concern,
18:57
I think, that maybe regulation could
18:59
bite them in a butt in
19:01
other countries. There's certainly some uncertainty
19:03
with what's going on. And I
19:06
think your point about the whole
19:08
app thing is very apropos. I
19:10
mean, to your point, there's no
19:12
switching costs. When I lived in
19:15
Chicago. where we lived, more people
19:17
used lift than they did Uber,
19:19
and mostly because it was cheaper.
19:21
And my daughter lives in Milwaukee,
19:24
and I know she and her
19:26
friends prefer a lift because it's
19:28
cheaper. I think there is certainly
19:30
some uncertainty with the company and
19:33
some of the goings on. So
19:35
those are things that I know,
19:37
I guess, from an outsider's view,
19:39
that I have heard more recently.
19:42
Yeah, and I think for me...
19:44
Hearing from some of the people
19:46
in our community, because we talked
19:48
about this as one of our
19:51
live streams, just for fun and
19:53
diving into DCFs of, I can't
19:55
remember who the other. company was,
19:57
but we definitely looked at Uber.
20:00
And some of the numbers on
20:02
there are pretty compelling. 19 million
20:04
members across Uber One eats past
20:06
and rides pass. The fact that
20:09
when they get can Uber eats
20:11
customer, that they tend to convert
20:13
into a high revenue ride sharing
20:15
customer. So you start on the,
20:18
you start ordering some Taco Bell
20:20
late one night, now you're, you're,
20:22
you're in the ride sharing. Also,
20:24
the new ads segment, they have
20:27
550,000 active ad merchants now. How
20:29
does that, do investors start to
20:31
look at Uber as an advertising
20:33
business, having an advertising business, kind
20:35
of like they do Amazon now,
20:38
could also be something on the
20:40
upside. So those type of things,
20:42
again, with the numbers, with the
20:44
fact that the PE was what,
20:47
like very... Very cheap. Cook, if
20:49
I say in a 32 PE,
20:51
and I don't know what their
20:53
4P is, is probably under 25,
20:56
I would guess. They have four
20:58
PE of 28 on revenues, what
21:00
does Finn Chat say? Forty-one percent,
21:02
yeah, 41% over the last three
21:05
years. Cager, yeah, Cager, not 41%
21:07
total, 41%. Yeah, 41% Cager over
21:09
the last three years. 26% Cager.
21:11
past five years. Yeah. All of
21:14
those things just point to bull,
21:16
bull, bull, bull, bull, right? Right.
21:18
Yeah. But you go back to
21:20
the moat and the capital allocation
21:23
and those two things. How do
21:25
you feel about switching costs? How
21:27
do you feel about uncertainty of
21:29
the business and how willing are
21:32
you to have the appetite to
21:34
take those risks? And so for
21:36
me when we talked about it
21:38
with the community. There was a
21:41
lot of different insights and to
21:43
hear the different perspectives. Some people
21:45
were up on Uber, some people
21:47
were like, now it sucks. Some
21:50
people were like, ah, I can
21:52
switch between Uber or Lyft. And
21:54
that again, that was a very
21:56
cool thing to see in a
21:59
group of people with diverse viewpoints
22:01
that you might not get just
22:03
kind of in your head in
22:05
the 10K. So I found that
22:08
interesting and it helped for me
22:10
personally, I guess to reduce FOMO
22:12
if this does, if Uber does
22:14
become a huge thing and I'm
22:16
choosing not to buy now. At
22:19
least the thought process has happened
22:21
of like what risks are you
22:23
willing to? Take and and at
22:25
the end of the day, especially
22:28
the the further down the growth
22:30
cycle you are That's what it
22:32
boils down to right? What kind
22:34
of risks are you willing to
22:37
take and and how how is
22:39
that turning into action to you
22:41
as an investor? Yeah Yeah, I
22:43
mean the to your point the
22:46
revenue growth which is really nice
22:48
right now at some point it
22:50
will slow down and then it
22:52
becomes what kind of profitability can
22:55
they generate what kind of returns?
22:57
Can they generate on the profits
22:59
that they have and it becomes
23:01
a different kind of story to
23:04
kind of go back to the
23:06
whole app thing like if I
23:08
think about If you think about
23:10
Netflix compared to Uber the switching
23:13
costs, I feel like and I
23:15
could be wrong But I feel
23:17
like the switching cost for Netflix
23:19
are stronger than they would be
23:22
for Uber because nobody in their
23:24
brother wants to cancel Netflix, but
23:26
Uber you could take it or
23:28
leave it. Like I think there's
23:31
some people that really love it,
23:33
but I also think there's a
23:35
lot of people that are very
23:37
ambivalent or don't like it at
23:40
all because they've had bad experiences
23:42
or maybe they're in an area
23:44
where they just don't have adequate
23:46
service. I don't feel like the
23:49
same rules apply to Netflix. And
23:51
so that's why I feel like
23:53
they're both app-based businesses, but one
23:55
feels certainly a lot stronger of
23:57
a moat than the other. I
24:00
wonder about the whole autonomous driving
24:02
thing and what that does. I
24:04
don't know, I don't follow autonomous
24:07
driving too closely. Did see a
24:09
kind of funny video on Instagram
24:11
of a guy got stuck in
24:13
an airport parking lot and
24:15
the Waymo was just going in
24:18
circles and just continuing in circles.
24:20
That was pretty funny. He was
24:22
being kind of stubborn with the
24:25
customer service person, but made for
24:27
a funny. comedic bit. But
24:29
you know, does that technology continue
24:32
to improve and what does that
24:34
do for Uber? And then to your
24:36
point, can Uber actually benefit
24:38
from that? When we look at
24:40
stories like Tesla, in hindsight, we all
24:42
like to pretend like we all knew
24:45
that Tesla was going to, like it
24:47
would have been, it should have been
24:49
so obvious, you know, Tesla started popping
24:51
up everywhere, we should have just owned
24:54
his talk. They were 24 hours away
24:56
from going bankrupt. So not saying
24:58
that that's the case for Uber,
25:00
but I'm just saying there are
25:02
risks to investing in these
25:04
types of businesses. But the flip
25:06
side is also the payout can
25:09
be really huge, depending on what
25:11
business you're talking about. It's really
25:13
just, I think, a really different way
25:15
of investing. But what's fun about it
25:17
is you can learn more information. and
25:20
if backs change you can change your
25:22
mind or if your circle of competence
25:24
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25:26
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stockmarket pdf.com. Yeah, absolutely.
27:15
You could. And that's, I think that's
27:17
the, to me, that's exciting thing
27:19
about investing is the more you
27:21
studied businesses and worn. about the
27:24
different companies because there's so
27:26
many of them they're so
27:28
diverse and there's so many great
27:30
opportunities and maybe things you want
27:32
to stay away from but the more
27:34
that you learn about them you can apply
27:37
that knowledge to this business and this
27:39
business and even to your point about
27:41
the foam all earlier we don't have
27:43
to swing at every pitch and I
27:45
think that's one thing we always
27:48
have to remember is you can
27:50
find you can find companies that
27:52
have attractive qualities to them, but
27:54
maybe there's parts of it that
27:56
don't fit your personality investing
27:59
style. And that's okay. You
28:01
don't have to swing at this
28:03
pitch. You can swing at another
28:05
pitch. And you can go in
28:07
a different direction. And it doesn't
28:09
mean like the more like you
28:11
did some work on Uber, right?
28:13
And you decided that this doesn't
28:16
fit your type of company right
28:18
now. But the work that you
28:20
do now compounds. such that let's
28:22
say two or three years from
28:24
now, maybe you come back to
28:26
it. And you learn, okay, so
28:28
you kind of learn on top
28:30
of what you already learned and
28:32
you have other experiences in analyzing
28:34
other companies that you can bring
28:37
to what you're looking at now.
28:39
And so you may look at
28:41
it like the facts have changed
28:43
and so you change your mind.
28:45
And that happens all the time.
28:47
And I think that's, to me,
28:49
that's the exciting kind of fun
28:51
part about investing. and looking at
28:53
these companies that that to me
28:55
is the thing that I find
28:58
the most exciting is trying to
29:00
learn about all these new businesses
29:02
and it's just endlessly fascinating to
29:04
me. Do you think that's why
29:06
the mature industries aren't that fascinating
29:08
to study because the facts really
29:10
don't change that much? It could
29:12
be. I mean that could be
29:14
that could be part of it
29:16
too, but then certainly a company
29:19
that's more mature. or air quote
29:21
longer in the tooth than somebody
29:23
like Uber may not be as
29:25
exciting because yeah like you said
29:27
the facts don't change much it
29:29
just kind of keeps doing what
29:31
it does a company like American
29:33
water that's been paying a dividend
29:35
for what a hundred some years
29:37
or what our crazy number it
29:40
is that probably doesn't change a
29:42
whole lot I've never looked into
29:44
it so I'm just I'm just
29:46
guessing here but I think that's
29:48
probably why but the flip side
29:50
of that is that at least
29:52
for me and I think somewhat
29:54
to you too, my psychology is
29:56
more along the lines of heads
29:58
that win, tails I don't lose
30:01
that much. And so my mentality
30:03
fits into maybe the old boring
30:05
companies more so than it does
30:07
to something like an Uber. I'm
30:09
not saying that I can't slide
30:11
down the scale some, but it's
30:13
harder for me to move in
30:15
a direction like towards a company
30:17
like an Uber than it would
30:19
be to something that's a little
30:22
more, a little more, I guess,
30:24
boring. Could you argue though that
30:26
that work should be done anyway?
30:28
Let's say you were invested in
30:30
newspapers. And all you did was
30:32
analyze Buffalo News versus Washington Post
30:34
or whatever, and just completely ignored
30:36
looking at Google. Is that, is
30:38
that a good way to, that
30:40
even if you're investing in a
30:42
mature industry, you should still be
30:45
on top of the places where
30:47
the facts do change? I think
30:49
you should. As a well-rounded investor.
30:51
or somebody that is interested in
30:53
investing, I think you need to
30:55
keep your eyes open. And I
30:57
think you need to have an
30:59
open mind to be able to
31:01
look at something. To use your
31:03
example, if you're looking at Buffalo
31:06
News, Washington Post, and New York
31:08
Times, you still should look at
31:10
Google and understand what it is
31:12
they do. And even though it
31:14
may not be something that you
31:16
invest in potentially, it could be
31:18
because maybe the trends are. or
31:20
drifting that way. And you can
31:22
make a great return, even if
31:24
you don't get in early. If
31:27
you don't buy Google at an
31:29
IPO, but you buy it 10
31:31
years later, you can still have
31:33
a fabulous return. So it doesn't
31:35
mean that you have to change
31:37
your investing style or what you're
31:39
comfortable with just to partaken things.
31:41
But I think as the more
31:43
you learn about something like Uber,
31:45
the more it can apply to.
31:48
Something like an Amazon, a Google,
31:50
a Netflix, any of those kinds
31:52
of businesses because there's parts of
31:54
what they're doing that also fit
31:56
into air. and they're different businesses,
31:58
but they're related in what they
32:00
do. And the more you learn
32:02
about Uber, the more you can
32:04
learn about Airbnb, you could start
32:06
to understand both of them and
32:09
maybe go, okay, Airbnb to me
32:11
right now, the way I invest,
32:13
it fits better than maybe Uber
32:15
does. But doesn't mean that someday
32:17
Uber wouldn't slide into that slot,
32:19
if you will. And I think
32:21
that's how you grow and learn
32:23
as an investor. And I think
32:25
if you look at, if we
32:27
look at any of the people
32:30
that we like and admire and
32:32
have taught us a lot, I
32:34
think that's what they've done, is
32:36
they've evolved as they've experienced more.
32:38
Yeah, and I mean, I think
32:40
of like Nick's sleep and Lincoln
32:42
on their second guy's name, Zach,
32:44
Zacharias, or Zachariah, yeah, I don't
32:46
want to butcher it. No, I
32:48
don't either. That's as far as
32:51
I'm willing to go. Okay. They
32:53
kind of, they looked at everything.
32:55
They, they spent like a very
32:57
intense period of time looking at
32:59
literally everything for I think it
33:01
was like seven or eight years
33:03
and then decided on, okay, I
33:05
think we found something where the
33:07
facts don't change much and loaded
33:09
up and that's done really well
33:11
for them. You could argue maybe
33:14
Buffett's done something similar with things
33:16
like Coca-Cola or Apple because he
33:18
has such a long time horizon.
33:20
You've got to think that he's
33:22
thinking like, what are the risks
33:24
that? I can't even think of
33:26
right now. And how will the
33:28
company fight against those? Right. That's
33:30
gotta come with experience though. I
33:32
mean, that's, that's like taking it
33:35
to a whole, the whole next
33:37
level, right? Yeah, yeah, for sure.
33:39
Yeah, for sure. Yeah, for sure.
33:41
I mean, if you, you know,
33:43
Buffett's an easy example of that
33:45
because if you look at his
33:47
young, younger years, he was, I
33:49
would say he was buying growth
33:51
companies, but he was certainly. He
33:53
was buying way different types of
33:56
businesses and holding them for much
33:58
shorter periods of time than as
34:00
he got older when he was
34:02
in his 30 he was investing
34:04
completely different than the way he
34:06
was when he was in his
34:08
50s. And now in his 70s
34:10
and now in his 90s, he's
34:12
maybe solidified a little bit more,
34:14
but he still is investing way
34:17
differently than he was when he
34:19
was 34, for examples. I think
34:21
that's a perfect example of how
34:23
the more you learn, the more
34:25
experience you get, the more burned
34:27
you get by bad choices. the
34:29
more you learn and more you
34:31
grow. You become a better investor.
34:33
I think that's the way you
34:35
do it. What is your word
34:38
of advice for somebody who maybe
34:40
feels overwhelmed about learning about businesses
34:42
or discouraged? Maybe ran into a
34:44
roadblock and they're trying to analyze
34:46
businesses. What would be a word
34:48
or two of encouragement for them?
34:50
Number one. I think the thing
34:52
that I've always tried to remember
34:54
is water dripping on a stone
34:56
eventually makes an impression. And so
34:59
even though you don't understand, I
35:01
use this example so everybody's listening
35:03
to us for a while is
35:05
sick of me here and saying
35:07
this, but I'm going to say
35:09
one more time. Visa. I didn't
35:11
understand it. I kept trying and
35:13
trying and trying and then finally
35:15
one day I got it. And
35:17
if I can do it anybody
35:20
can do it. So it's just
35:22
a matter of spending the time
35:24
and trying and it's okay to
35:26
not understand something and move on
35:28
and come back to it another
35:30
time because the experience you get
35:32
learning about Google and Microsoft could
35:34
help you learn way more about
35:36
Amazon down the road if that's
35:38
what you're really trying to understand.
35:41
And I think the more. the
35:43
more that you experience the more
35:45
that you learn and the more
35:47
that you learn the easier to
35:49
get to learn about other things
35:51
and I think the most I
35:53
guess the two most important parts
35:55
are for follow your curiosity follow
35:57
things that you find interesting doesn't
35:59
mean that they necessarily It will
36:01
be investments for you, but just
36:04
follow your curiosity because that will
36:06
encourage you to keep going.
36:08
And number two is persistence.
36:10
Just keep trying. Just keep
36:12
picking up the 10Ks and reading them
36:14
as much as you can. And the
36:17
more that you do that, the easier to
36:19
get. I promise you. That's awesome.
36:21
That's gonna do it for us
36:23
today. I hope you found something
36:26
useful. I hope you found encouragement.
36:28
And I hope you found inspiration.
36:30
Maybe not all those three, maybe at
36:33
least one. We would be happy
36:35
with that. You can reach out
36:37
to us at newsletter at e-investing
36:39
for beginners.com, send us your questions.
36:42
We love to answer them on
36:44
the show. Connect, learn, and grow
36:46
with value spotlight. Peace. We
36:48
hope you enjoyed this
36:51
content. Seven steps to
36:53
understanding the stock market
36:55
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36:57
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36:59
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37:01
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37:04
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37:06
today at stockmarketpedia.com. Until
37:08
next time, have a
37:10
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37:24
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