Episode Transcript
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Sutton Bank, number FDIC, terms and conditions
1:01
apply. Before
1:08
I start today's episode, I want to share
1:10
with you an article that I
1:12
just stumbled across just before I hit
1:14
record just now that I thought was so
1:16
fascinating and got me thinking about a lot of
1:18
different things. There's an article
1:20
in Scientific American that talked
1:23
about these eye doctors who
1:25
recently, I have no idea
1:27
who would sign up to do
1:29
this experiment, but these eye doctors, Ibiscus
1:31
did a very extreme form of
1:33
LASIK eye surgery on five patients to
1:36
manipulate their retinas. And
1:38
after the surgery, this was the idea, these
1:41
patients, there are five of them, can
1:43
now see a color
1:45
that you and I and everybody else
1:48
cannot. Now, by definition,
1:50
it's impossible to explain what that color would
1:52
be because, like, how do you explain the
1:54
color red to someone who's never seen red
1:56
before? It's impossible. It's just red. And
1:58
so this color, they explain it as
2:00
a version of teal with a
2:02
level of saturation that my
2:04
brain and your brain cannot even
2:07
fathom. And that's amazing on its
2:09
own because the idea that You
2:11
and I think that we can see the
2:13
world. We have eyes. We can see everything. Everything
2:15
is in front of me. This plant, this
2:17
desk, this computer, this microphone I'm speaking to. We
2:20
can see it. And it's true, but there's
2:22
a lot out there that we cannot see. In
2:24
this case, literally. There are colors out there
2:26
that our eyes and our brains cannot even percept.
2:29
And once you do a surgery like this, all of
2:31
a sudden there's a world out there that you
2:33
didn't even know existed before. I think
2:35
that is a good analogy. for
2:37
how a lot of things in the
2:39
world works. We were talking about
2:41
politics, the economy, investing,
2:44
science, whatever it might be. It is
2:46
very common for everybody. The natural state
2:48
of affairs is to assume that you
2:50
can see all of the world, that
2:52
you understand at least the world that
2:54
you live in without the knowledge that
2:56
there is so much out there going
2:58
on that you cannot even perceive. Ideas
3:01
that you're unaware of, science
3:03
that you're unaware of, cultures
3:07
values, views of the world that are
3:09
having a big impact on the
3:12
world that you and I cannot even
3:14
perceive. That happens all the time.
3:16
And I think it explains a lot of what's
3:18
going on in the world today. Most
3:20
arguments in the world about the
3:22
economy, about politics, about culture are not
3:24
really people arguing with each other,
3:26
so to speak. They're not really disagreeing
3:28
with each other. It's people who
3:30
have seen a very different side of
3:32
the world talking over each other. And
3:35
I think when you View it through
3:37
the lens, no pun intended, of there are
3:39
literally colors in the world that our
3:41
brains cannot conceive. So of course,
3:43
are there ideas and values that we
3:46
are completely oblivious and unaware of? Of
3:48
course. I love that idea. I just
3:50
wanted to share it with you before we get into
3:52
the bigger idea that I want to talk about today. And
3:55
what I want to talk about today is a
3:57
topic that I think has always been important, that I
3:59
wrote a little bit about in my book, Same
4:01
As Ever. But I think it's
4:03
probably more important Today over the
4:05
last year and probably going forward
4:07
for the next couple years then
4:09
it's been in a long time
4:11
and that is understanding shifts and
4:13
expectations and what the average ordinary
4:16
American considers to be an average
4:18
ordinary life. It's very easy to
4:20
look over the fact that what
4:22
counts as a decent, dignified life
4:24
today has shifted dramatically over the
4:26
last 80 years. And why that's
4:28
important today is because, of course,
4:30
there is a lot of talk
4:32
about going back to a world
4:35
that we used to have. Tariffs
4:37
are largely based around that idea. We've
4:39
talked about this in previous episodes that
4:42
we used to have a very strong
4:44
manufacturing base and good manufacturing jobs, and
4:46
we don't anymore. Now, there
4:48
is truth to that. As I spoke about
4:50
two episodes ago, a lot of that is
4:52
simply automation. It's not necessarily shipping those jobs
4:54
elsewhere, although that has been a factor, of
4:56
course. But the general idea here
4:58
is that we want to go back to
5:00
a time that was better. We used to
5:03
have a great economy. We don't anymore. Let's
5:05
go back. This isn't working. Let's go
5:07
back to that. I understand and empathize
5:09
with those feelings. And to some extent,
5:11
a lot of that can be true.
5:14
There are parts of the economy that
5:16
used to be more prosperous than
5:18
there are today. There are cities and
5:20
towns and regions that used to
5:22
be more prosperous than they are. Of
5:24
course, that is true. But I
5:26
want to use an example of what
5:29
I think was the peak of
5:31
Americana middle class prosperity that I think
5:33
if you wanted to put an
5:35
image on the nostalgia that we're trying
5:37
to go back to, it would
5:39
be this. I'm going
5:41
to start the story. at the
5:43
end of World War II,
5:45
1945, when 16 million American soldiers
5:47
came home. And of
5:49
course, when they came home, they had
5:51
just suffered and adored and took part
5:53
in the ravages of World War II,
5:55
the most horrific event of the 20th
5:57
century. And before that, before that began,
6:00
most of the GIs grew up as
6:02
children during the Great Depression. and
6:04
experience the poverty, watch their parents
6:06
endure the poverty of those eight years
6:08
or so of the Great Depression.
6:10
So when they came home in 1945,
6:12
there was such an overwhelming desire
6:14
to relax and enjoy the life that
6:16
they had not been able to
6:18
enjoy up until that point, at any
6:21
point during their adult lives, or
6:23
even in any part of their life
6:25
that they could remember. So
6:27
much what happened during the Great
6:29
Depression was people moved Inwards physically inwards
6:31
you had if you had a
6:33
house or an apartment your grandmother your
6:35
cousin maybe even your neighbors moved
6:37
in with you That was what happened
6:39
when you lost your house to
6:41
foreclosure You couldn't for the rent anymore
6:43
people moved in housing got very
6:45
very dense and as World War two
6:47
ended and the people came home
6:49
What was so common among the soldiers
6:52
who returned home was I want
6:54
space I don't want to live
6:56
in a tiny apartment in Brooklyn with
6:58
my grandmother and my cousins and my
7:00
aunt and my uncle. I want my
7:02
own space. I deserved it. I've earned
7:04
it. And that view was noted very
7:06
clearly by a guy named William Levitt. William
7:09
Levitt worked in what was kind of like
7:11
the Army Corps of Engineers in World War
7:13
II. And when he came home from the
7:15
war, he noticed there was going to be
7:17
incredible demand to take farmland
7:19
that was on the outskirts of big
7:21
cities and turn them into what we know
7:23
today as suburbs. That was kind of
7:25
a new idea back in the 1940s and
7:27
1950s. Up until that point, you pretty
7:30
much had two places to live, a
7:32
farm in the middle of nowhere or a
7:34
dense urban city. William Levitt
7:36
really pioneered the idea of the
7:38
suburb. A lot of these were on
7:40
the outskirts of cities, not not far
7:42
from New York or Philadelphia, where
7:44
you could live in a nice area
7:46
where you had your own house.
7:48
in a backyard. It wasn't a
7:50
cramped apartment, but you could still
7:53
drive into the city to work. That
7:55
was a new pioneering idea made
7:57
part by and large by the automobile,
7:59
which that too was a fairly
8:01
new idea and the new interstate highway
8:03
system and roads that were being
8:05
built. And so Leviton Sons, the home
8:08
building company, started buying up hundreds
8:10
of acres of farmland in New York
8:12
and Pennsylvania and later in other
8:14
areas around the United States to build
8:16
what were known then and now
8:18
as Levittown. The first was
8:20
Levittown, New York, and then it moved
8:23
into Pennsylvania. I think there's one in New
8:25
Jersey. And Levittowns are kind of the
8:27
peak ideal of what Americana was. It
8:29
was these gigantic communities. They eventually
8:31
built more than 50 ,000 homes in
8:33
America. And this there are
8:35
so many documentaries that were made about
8:37
Levittown because it is the ideal
8:39
leave it to beaver neighborhood. That was
8:41
the view then and I think
8:43
to a large extent the view now.
8:45
The idea of a middle -class family,
8:48
a working husband, a stay -at
8:50
-home mom, three kids, a dog named
8:52
Spot, a white picket fence. The
8:54
kids came home and they were well
8:56
behaved and they played baseball in the
8:58
front yard and everyone was happy and
9:00
they had picnics and they took the
9:02
canoe out on the lake on the
9:05
weekend. Like the ideal perfect Norman Rockwell
9:07
American life. That was Levittown. I
9:09
found this documentary about Levittown. It
9:11
was made in the 1990s. And
9:13
the name of the documentary, I
9:15
think sums up the feeling that
9:17
people had for Levittown then and
9:19
in modern times. The name of
9:21
the documentary is Wonderland because that
9:24
was what Levittown felt like. It
9:26
was absolutely incredible that a middle
9:28
class. working American family, the
9:30
vast majority of whom were GIs
9:32
could come home and buy their
9:34
own house. They weren't
9:36
renting an apartment. They weren't even living
9:38
in a cramped apartment. They had
9:40
their own house with a backyard and
9:43
a driveway. That was absurd. That
9:45
was amazing. It felt just
9:47
bonkers to people that you could
9:49
do this. And when you contrasted that,
9:51
that life when they were buying
9:53
these homes in the 1950s to the
9:55
war and the Great Depression and
9:57
the cramped apartment in Brooklyn that they
9:59
had experienced up until then, Levittown,
10:01
the American suburb, felt like
10:03
a dream. There's
10:05
a quote in the documentary of a woman
10:08
who had lived in Levittown for 40
10:10
years at that point. And she says, quote,
10:12
when we moved to Levittown, it was like
10:14
a utopia. That was
10:16
that was the only way that you could describe
10:19
it. a wonderland, a utopia. It was the ideal
10:21
of America, like this leave it to beaver land.
10:23
One other guy who had lived there since he
10:25
was a child, he'd been there for about 40
10:27
years at this point. He said, quote, it
10:29
was so perfect. It was like a sitcom. We
10:32
were expecting there to be a laugh track in
10:34
the background. Just these perfect,
10:36
ideal family suburb. Everyone's
10:38
happy. That's the view of it. But
10:41
there's another part in the documentary that
10:43
I think is the most important. And
10:45
this was back in the
10:47
1990s. Levittown was just starting
10:49
to lose its charm, lose
10:51
the glamour, lose this Americana
10:53
utopia that it used to
10:56
be. And it interviewed
10:58
someone who had been there since the original
11:00
1940s. Remember, this is in the 90s. So
11:02
there were a couple of residents who had
11:04
been there since day one. And
11:06
he's talking about how
11:08
he, for his generation, the
11:10
greatest generation, Levittown
11:12
was as good as it got. Even when
11:14
they lived there for decades, it still felt
11:16
like a utopia. But for his children and
11:18
maybe his grandchildren, it wasn't. They
11:20
wanted to get out. They hated it. They wanted to
11:23
make as soon as they graduated high school or college,
11:25
they couldn't wait to get out of there. And so
11:27
this guy who lived there for 50 years said, quote,
11:30
the idea was probably great 40 years
11:32
ago, but something happened along the way
11:34
to take away the dream. He
11:36
said, quote, this is my
11:39
dream come true because this is what I
11:41
expected to have in my lifetime. I
11:43
don't know what my children expect, but
11:45
this is what I wanted. This
11:47
is my dream come true. And
11:50
what he was pointing to is that Levittown
11:52
for him was amazing. It exceeded his expectations by
11:54
so much that even when he had lived
11:56
there for almost half a century, it was still
11:58
the utopia that it felt like when he
12:00
moved in. But for his children's
12:03
generation, it wasn't. They
12:05
didn't like it. They hated it. They wanted to
12:07
move. And so we
12:09
could go down that idea for
12:11
a long time, but I want
12:13
to sum this up. I mean,
12:15
I put a pin in this
12:17
idea with one statistic of the
12:19
50 ,000 Levittown homes that were built.
12:22
How many today have been altered
12:24
as in have a new
12:26
addition put on them? A
12:28
garage that was added on a
12:30
third or fourth bedroom that was
12:32
added on a new family room
12:34
or dining room that was added
12:36
on to them? And the answer
12:38
is virtually every single one of
12:40
them. except for one. Apparently the
12:42
address is 52 Oak Tree Lane
12:44
that is effectively untouched in its
12:46
original footprint. Virtually all
12:49
of the other 50 ,000
12:51
plus Levittown homes have been
12:53
added to. Because this
12:55
is really important, the original
12:57
Levittown house, the original footprint,
12:59
they were all virtually the
13:01
same, was 750 square feet.
13:04
It didn't have a garage. It didn't
13:06
have a basement. It didn't have a deck, it
13:08
didn't have a porch, didn't have air conditioning. It
13:11
was two bedrooms, a
13:13
living room, and a kitchen, and one bathroom,
13:15
and that was it. So
13:17
imagine, by the way, the typical 1950s
13:19
leave -it -to -beaver family that had three
13:21
and a half kids, they were living
13:23
in a house with two bedrooms. Your
13:26
three and a half kids shared a
13:28
bedroom. Everybody shared one bathroom. Air
13:30
conditioning. forget about it. Garage, forget
13:32
about it. Porch, forget about it. The
13:34
average lot size for the Levittown
13:36
house was 6 ,000 square feet, which
13:38
I had looked this up so I
13:40
can't really contextualize that, is very
13:42
small. The average new house
13:44
today in the United States, the
13:46
lot is almost 9 ,000 square
13:48
feet. So almost 50 % bigger than
13:50
it was back then. The point
13:52
I want to make is that
13:54
what was considered to be a
13:57
life that was so incredible you
13:59
could only describe it as a
14:01
utopia. Those Levittown houses back in
14:03
the 1950s would be considered barely
14:05
livable by today's standards. Again,
14:07
let me explain that with
14:09
some statistics. The median new
14:12
house in the United States
14:14
in 2024 was 2 ,157
14:16
square feet. It was
14:18
three times the size of the Levittown
14:20
utopia house. three times the size. The
14:22
average new house today is, of course,
14:24
two stories. It has a two -car garage.
14:26
It has air conditioning. It has a
14:28
porch made from half a deck. The
14:31
Levittown houses had none of those
14:33
things. And I found
14:35
this New York Times article from 2007
14:37
that was trying to find an
14:39
original Levittown house. And this journalist is
14:41
on the hunt for an untouched
14:43
Levittown house. And he can't find one
14:45
anywhere. Because as we now know,
14:47
virtually none of them exist. Every one
14:49
of them has had another bedroom
14:51
attached, a garage attached, a huge new
14:53
addition that has a new kitchen
14:55
or a new living room. They've all
14:57
been added to because nobody in
15:00
the year 2024 or for a long
15:02
time wants to live in a
15:04
700 square foot house with no garage
15:06
and no air conditioning. And
15:08
this article finds this guy who buys an
15:10
original Levittown house and he's very quickly about
15:12
to add to it. He's going to add
15:14
a garage and add a bedroom to it.
15:16
And there was a museum back then that
15:18
wanted to buy the original Levittown house. And
15:20
when they learned that this gentleman bought one,
15:22
but he's about to alter it and turn
15:24
it into a modern house, they're like, no,
15:27
no, no, please don't do it. And this
15:29
guy who buys a house, his name is
15:31
Mr. Schrader. He says, quote, I
15:33
hate to disappoint the historical society, but
15:35
I need a home, not a
15:37
museum. I mean, it's cool
15:39
living in a bare bones Levittown house.
15:41
People do tell me, wow, it's an
15:43
original levite. That must be very rare.
15:45
But people don't want to raise a
15:47
family in a house that size anymore. That
15:51
last line is so important. People
15:53
don't want to raise a family in a house
15:55
that size anymore. The world
15:57
that we have so much nostalgia
15:59
to for the 1950s would be considered
16:01
a deep poverty today. I don't
16:04
think that's an exaggeration whatsoever. In
16:06
2024, America, if you're trying to
16:08
raise four kids, in a house
16:10
that has two bedrooms, no air
16:12
conditioning, no garage, 700 square feet, that
16:14
would not be considered within 10
16:16
miles of middle class. In the vast
16:18
majority of America, I don't think
16:20
that's an exaggeration whatsoever. Now,
16:23
of course, people do that, or many
16:25
people who do that in the United States
16:27
in apartments and whatnot, but nobody in
16:29
that situation, literally nobody would be using words
16:31
like wonderland and utopia to describe raising
16:33
four kids in a 700 square foot house.
16:36
And so look, the very simple, but I think
16:39
very important point that I want to make
16:41
is that the definition of what a good life
16:43
is has shifted. It's increased
16:45
substantially in the last 80 years
16:47
or so. By the way, what do
16:49
you call that shift in expectations? Progress
16:52
is what you call it. It's wonderful.
16:54
It's not a bad thing that it used
16:56
to be a 700 square foot house
16:58
with no air conditioning was utopia. And now
17:00
We have 2 ,200 square foot houses with
17:02
three car garages and four bathrooms and
17:04
air conditioning and going down the list. And
17:07
that's considered average. That's what
17:09
progress looks like. That's great. I
17:11
want to live in a world in which our
17:13
definition of a good life expands. But
17:15
I think this is true, too, for
17:17
the jobs that we yearn for. As
17:20
we go through tariffs, we're trying to
17:22
bring manufacturing back to the United States
17:24
and yearning for a time when middle
17:26
class people could work in manufacturing jobs
17:28
that we now think have been disappeared
17:30
to China and Mexico and Canada and
17:32
other places. It's true.
17:34
Look, to some extent, that is true.
17:36
And this gets more touchy because you're talking
17:38
about people's dignity of their work and
17:40
their employment. But what's true is that a
17:43
lot of the manufacturing jobs that existed
17:45
50 or 80 or 100 years ago would
17:47
not be considered good jobs at all
17:49
anymore, would not be considered acceptable jobs in
17:51
the slightest. Let me give
17:53
you one statistic to put a point on this. Building
17:55
the Hoover Dam, which is
17:57
like incredible feat of engineering when
17:59
it took place. Just an amazing thing
18:02
that happened. 96
18:04
workers died building the
18:06
Hoover Dam. If something
18:08
like that happened today, before we got even
18:10
remotely close to that, before when 10 people
18:12
died, we would have shut the whole project
18:14
down. Workplace deaths in the
18:16
1950s, that's not when the Hoover Dam was
18:18
built, but just using that as a
18:20
reference point, were almost four times higher than
18:23
than they are today. People just
18:25
had much more tolerance for the indignity,
18:27
the physical pain, the physical suffering, and
18:29
even the death that was required of
18:31
the manufacturing jobs back then than they
18:33
are today. And look, maybe this is
18:35
the wrong way to phrase it. But
18:37
to the extent that people are softer
18:40
now than they used to be, that
18:42
they will not put up with a
18:44
job where 96 of your coworkers are
18:46
going to die around you building one
18:48
project, the fact that we don't put
18:50
up with that anymore, that
18:52
too is progress. Isn't that great? Don't you
18:54
want to live in a world where dying
18:56
on the job is not acceptable anymore like
18:58
it used to be? But
19:01
that too is an example that
19:03
our definition of a good job
19:05
has shifted over time. I
19:07
think it is largely true
19:09
that a big chunk of
19:12
America, particularly in urban and
19:14
suburban America, the definition
19:16
of a good life in the
19:18
eyes of let's say a 22 year
19:20
old is a bachelor's
19:22
degree from a flagship university, a
19:25
six -figure job waiting for them when they're done, a
19:28
2 ,500 -square -foot house with a
19:30
30 -year fixed -rate mortgage to buy
19:32
it with. That's like
19:34
the baseline level of success. That's what
19:36
they expect. Now, that
19:38
too, I'll say for the 10th time on
19:40
this podcast, that's progress. Compare Levittown
19:43
and dying on the job
19:45
to that today, that's progress, but
19:47
is a massive shift in
19:49
expectations. And I
19:51
think when we fall for the siren
19:53
song of nostalgia, of wanting to go
19:55
back, we should always keep that in
19:57
mind that the definition of a good
19:59
life has changed substantially and that we
20:01
might be surprised and shocked in a
20:03
bad way if we are constantly yearning
20:05
to go back and we actually take
20:07
a step back. Because I
20:09
think the fact is if you and I
20:11
had a time machine and we can
20:14
go back to Levittown in 1958, let's say,
20:17
and we stepped off that time machine.
20:19
we would instantly see two things. One
20:22
is, I think, yes, people were
20:24
happy. They were pretty satisfied. They
20:27
couldn't believe that they were living in this utopia.
20:30
That would be our first realization. The second realization
20:32
is, I think, we would look around and
20:34
say, that's the house you live in. That's
20:37
where you live. That tiny little thing, that's
20:39
your house. That's your utopia. I
20:41
think a lot of us would say that. Now,
20:44
I know that could be a touchy point. It's different
20:46
for everybody. Maybe it's actually good.
20:48
This was unintentional that I started this
20:50
podcast with the Experimental Surgery and these
20:52
people who can see new colors because
20:54
all of us me included everybody Has
20:56
that in their own world When we're
20:58
trying to make sense of the world
21:01
and defining what a good life is
21:03
and taking stock of how other people
21:05
live how we live and our expectations
21:07
Everybody is a little blind to what
21:09
others are going through But more importantly,
21:11
I think it's easy to become blind
21:13
to what we ourselves used
21:15
to be in the past, the lives
21:18
that we used to live, the definition
21:20
of success that we used to have. That's
21:22
true in your individual life, and
21:24
it's true for society as a whole.
21:29
That's it for this episode. Thanks
21:31
again for listening, and we'll see you next time.
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