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over to PeterAteaMD.com forward slash
1:01
subscribe. My
1:04
guest this week is Dr. Susan
1:06
Desmond -Hellman. Sue is
1:08
a physician who is board certified in
1:10
internal medicine and medical oncology. Her
1:13
impressive career has spanned multiple fields. She
1:15
has been a leader in the
1:17
pharmaceutical industry where she helped develop several
1:19
ground -baking drugs, worked as the
1:21
chancellor of the Health Science campus, of
1:23
a major university system, UCSF, and
1:25
served as the CEO of the Bill
1:27
and Melinda Gates Foundation. She
1:29
also served on numerous boards of
1:31
both corporations and nonprofit organizations. She
1:34
co -chaired the National Academy of
1:36
Science Committee that pioneered precision medicine
1:38
and currently sits on the board of OpenAI. I
1:40
wanted to have Sue on this
1:42
podcast to speak about her
1:44
extraordinary career spanning medicine, oncology, biotech,
1:46
and global health leadership, and
1:49
to really explore her knowledge on how
1:51
scientific innovation and leadership can drive better
1:53
health care outcomes. In this
1:55
episode, we discuss her early days in medicine
1:57
training at UCSF during the start
1:59
of the AIDS crisis before people even
2:01
knew what it was and the lessons
2:03
that she learned on handling uncertainty, balancing
2:06
public health messaging and accelerating
2:08
treatment breakthroughs, the decision that she
2:10
made to specialize in oncology and
2:12
how her time treating HIV related
2:14
cancers in Uganda reinforced the need
2:16
for integrating epidemiology patient care, and
2:18
policy to combat global health crises.
2:21
We spoke about her transition into
2:23
biotech, helping develop breakthrough cancer
2:25
drugs like taxol, Herceptin and
2:27
Avastin, and the role of precision medicine
2:29
in improving outcomes. Sue talks
2:32
about her leadership roles at UCSF
2:34
and at the Gates Foundation, driving
2:36
innovation in healthcare and global health,
2:38
and the lessons learned from leading
2:40
health research institutions and global health
2:43
initiatives, balancing financial constraints with scientific
2:45
progress and building culture. We
2:47
end this discussion with a perspective
2:49
on the future of medicine,
2:51
including AI's role in healthcare, such
2:53
as the opportunities and challenges in
2:55
leveraging AI for drug development, diagnostics,
2:57
and expanding access to high -quality
2:59
care. So without further delay,
3:01
please enjoy my conversation with Dr.
3:04
Sue Desmond -Hellman. Sue,
3:10
thank you so much for making the trip
3:12
out to Austin. Really, really was excited to
3:14
meet you last year. Just an honor to
3:16
spend part of a day with you and
3:18
then realize that I could somehow twist your
3:20
arm into coming on the podcast. I'm happy
3:22
to be here. I look forward to it.
3:24
You've had just an unbelievable career. You are
3:26
an absolute giant in many ways. I love
3:28
to always give people a sense of how
3:30
someone got to where they got. So if
3:32
I recall, you grew up in Reno. Is
3:34
that right? I did. Yes. And you went
3:37
to high school and college and even medical
3:39
school. All the way through, right? I
3:41
went to Catholic school for 12 years in
3:43
Reno. I explained that when people wonder if I
3:45
was at a casino for my child. And
3:47
then I went to University of Nevada,
3:49
both to undergrad and to medical school. Then
3:52
you ended up at UCSF for your residency? You
3:55
know this with residencies. My
3:57
dream residency was internal medicine
3:59
at UCSF. My first pick, and
4:01
I got my first pick and
4:03
went to UCSF as an internal medicine
4:05
resident. And that would have been
4:08
what year that you landed there? 1982.
4:11
Okay, so remind me where we
4:13
were in the AIDS epidemic in
4:15
San Francisco in 82. What
4:17
was known? If you read
4:19
MMWR, that's 1981, was
4:21
the first indication. In
4:23
1982, we knew that there was
4:25
something happening, especially to gay
4:27
men, but there was a sense
4:29
it was homosexuals, hemophiliacs, and
4:31
Haitians. Remember that? Yeah. Three Hs.
4:33
There was so much mystery
4:35
still involved that I was and
4:37
my colleagues were in a
4:39
study to look at drawing our
4:41
blood to see if we
4:43
had been infected as a result
4:45
of treating patients. And what
4:47
were they presenting with at the
4:49
time? It's hard for anyone
4:51
of even my generation. You've never
4:53
seen a drug naive patient.
4:55
All of my experience with HIV,
4:57
which was a lot in
4:59
Baltimore many years later, but everyone
5:01
was on something. So how
5:04
would these men present to you
5:06
as a medicine resident? Pneumocystis.
5:08
Pneumocystis carinia pneumonia was
5:10
the number one diagnosis.
5:13
So that's what you saw in the
5:15
hospital that brought patients to attention.
5:17
Tell folks why that's so unusual. Oh,
5:20
it was a disease that
5:22
immunosuppressed patients could get very rarely.
5:24
Most clinicians had never seen
5:26
it before. What was
5:28
also clear is that there
5:30
were many other infections that
5:32
were not as obvious or
5:34
life -threatening as pneumocystis was when
5:36
we saw it right away.
5:39
What was interesting from an
5:41
outpatient perspective was Capsis sarcoma.
5:43
Tell folks what that is.
5:45
Capsis sarcoma is a really
5:47
unusual purple -colored tumor, very
5:49
visible externally. It caused
5:52
nodules. In patients with
5:54
HIV infection, it also
5:56
caused internal organ involvement.
5:58
And patients would cough up blood
6:01
or they would vomit blood. But
6:03
what was really sad and difficult
6:05
is the combination of catechia and
6:07
Capsis sarcoma meant that everybody knew
6:09
you had AIDS. They sort of
6:11
wore it. And what was interesting
6:14
for me was that this old -fashioned
6:16
Capsis sarcoma was fundamentally different than
6:18
what we were seeing. We also
6:20
saw a non -Hodgkin's lymphoma. in
6:22
numbers much smaller than Capsi Sarcoma.
6:25
But Capsi Sarcoma was a very
6:27
big problem in San Francisco. It
6:29
was very common in Game N,
6:31
and it was common in the
6:33
population we saw. And was
6:35
there ever a sense of fear among the
6:37
medical staff that we don't know what this
6:40
is, we don't know how it's transmitted, and
6:42
therefore we don't know how to protect each
6:44
other or ourselves or other patients for that
6:46
matter? It's hard for me to imagine that
6:48
given how much we take for granted today. I
6:51
think it's... a reflection of
6:53
my own personality and my own
6:55
wish to be a physician, that
6:58
my memories of those days
7:00
are much more about sadness,
7:02
about my patients, and
7:04
about people my age dying, or
7:06
being pretty clear they were going to
7:08
die. I mean, a story
7:10
that brings it to life is
7:12
many patients started selling their life insurance
7:14
because they were sure they wouldn't
7:16
live long enough. and they wanted the
7:18
money now. And then when the
7:20
antiretroviral therapy came along, they wished they
7:22
hadn't, which is a good thing
7:24
to have. But I was just really
7:26
sad. There were fears about the
7:28
residents and about contagion. But in San
7:30
Francisco, there was such a wish
7:32
to help the patients and such a
7:35
good spirit about playing a role
7:37
in helping that we all persevered. But
7:39
the first patients I took care
7:41
of in the hospital, I remember very
7:43
well in 1982, We were a
7:45
gown, gloved, masked, had a cap on.
7:47
It was like we were going
7:49
into an operating room. Got it. For
7:51
all intents and purposes, you were
7:53
acting like this was Ebola without knowing.
7:55
Absolutely. Absolutely. And so you
7:57
finished your residency in internal medicine.
7:59
Did you go directly into your
8:01
fellowship? I did a chief
8:03
residency at the university hospital. And
8:05
I think that was the first that
8:08
I knew I really liked managing. I
8:10
really liked interacting with people and helping
8:12
people succeed. So I did that for
8:14
a year and then went into my
8:16
oncology fellowship after that year. And why
8:18
did you pick oncology? Oh,
8:20
to this day, I love
8:23
oncology. If you love medicine and
8:25
I do, and you love patients and
8:27
I do, it's the combination of
8:29
you get to call on your
8:31
compassion gene and your nerdy science
8:33
gene. And when I
8:35
was in Reno at the
8:37
Reno VA, I had
8:39
an attending, Stephen Hall. And he
8:41
was the oncologist who was teaching
8:43
me about medicine, third year medical
8:46
student. And I loved
8:48
everything about how he showed up.
8:50
I loved his compassion. I
8:52
loved his intellect. And
8:54
after that, I had in my
8:56
mind this bug about, I
8:58
wanted to be like him. I
9:00
can really relate to that. When I
9:02
was in my third year of medical school,
9:05
I went to the NCI for three
9:07
months with Steve Rosenberg. Oh. And it was
9:09
the exact same experience. And I remember,
9:11
learning many lessons from Steve. One of them
9:13
was that cancer diagnosis, and of course,
9:15
at the NCI, as you know, nobody's showing
9:17
up with stage one, two, or three
9:19
cancer. By definition, every patient there is showing
9:21
up with metastatic cancer, and they've progressed
9:23
through all standard treatments. So these are people
9:25
that have six months to live, and
9:27
maybe 10 % of them you actually come
9:29
up with a durable remission for. But
9:31
he said, look, cancer will do one of
9:33
two things to a family. It will
9:36
take a strong family and bring them much
9:38
closer together. it will take a fractured
9:40
family and blow them wide apart. As
9:42
a doctor, as a nurse, as an
9:44
anybody in the field of oncology, your
9:46
ability to kind of be there for
9:48
that family is as important, potentially more important
9:51
than it is in any other specialty
9:53
of medicine. That's really well said. I love
9:55
that. So, tell me a
9:57
little bit about the state of
9:59
oncology in the mid -80s when you're
10:01
embarking on your medical oncology fellowship. Help
10:03
people understand what the world of
10:05
cancer looked like roughly 40 years ago.
10:08
Let me talk about breast cancer.
10:10
That's a cancer that is such a
10:12
good example. The common
10:14
therapy that was used, cytoxin,
10:17
methotrexate, 5FU, were very
10:19
old, decades old. There
10:21
were no new chemotherapy drugs, hadn't
10:23
been in a while. The field was
10:25
stifled, I would say, in terms
10:27
of medical oncology. There wasn't a lot
10:30
going on. I was really
10:32
interested in cancer epidemiology. That was
10:34
something to me that asking the question
10:36
why did people get cancer and
10:38
couldn't we do something about it seemed
10:40
really important to me. I
10:42
wanted in the second year
10:44
of my fellowship to study the
10:47
relationship between hepatitis B and
10:49
hepatocellular carcinoma and to understand that
10:51
better and to think about
10:53
the viral link with cancer. The
10:55
mentor I was supposed to work with
10:58
ended up not coming to San Francisco.
11:00
So I decided to go to Berkeley
11:02
and get a Master's in Public Health
11:04
as a backup strategy. I really scrambled
11:06
because I didn't want to waste a
11:08
year. What was the nature of the
11:10
program? It was a three -year fellowship
11:12
with a research track on the side
11:14
because obviously UCSF is such an academic
11:17
place. It's a very academic place, but
11:19
you could do two or three years
11:21
and many people went into the lab.
11:23
I didn't want to go into the
11:25
lab. I wanted to do epidemiology. I
11:27
wanted to learn more about statistics and
11:29
epidemiology. I thought I wanted to do
11:31
it because I wanted to be a
11:34
cancer epidemiologist. And to this
11:36
day, I still think that is
11:38
one of the great opportunities to
11:40
make a big impact, but you
11:42
have to be funded. So I'm
11:44
a pragmatist. The good news
11:46
was that all that learning
11:48
at Berkeley and at UCSF
11:50
in epi and biostat, I
11:52
brought to drug development. Clinical
11:55
trials have a lot in common
11:57
with doing epidemiology. You brought up
11:59
the example of Hep B and
12:01
Hepatocellular carcinoma. Was it understood at
12:03
the time, what we now know?
12:05
It was, yeah. Palmer Beasley, one
12:07
of the fathers of that relationship,
12:09
was the guy who was supposed
12:11
to come. There were preliminary papers
12:13
and something relatively early, but it
12:15
was emerging science. Do you recall
12:17
what the incidence of Hep B
12:19
was and Hep C back then?
12:21
You know, I don't. If you
12:23
weren't in Asia, it was actually,
12:25
I think, relatively low. but I
12:27
believe increasing, which is partly why
12:29
the vaccines are so important. Tell
12:31
me about how you wound up
12:33
in Uganda. After I
12:36
got my master's in public
12:38
health, I became the oncologist at
12:40
UCSF in the University Hospital
12:42
for the AIDS Clinic. This is
12:44
Moffitt? This is Moffitt. So
12:47
San Francisco General had a very
12:49
well -known program run by oncologists
12:51
for AIDS patients who were
12:53
in the safety net hospital. But
12:55
in the university hospital, if
12:58
you were very sick and you had Capsi
13:00
Sarcoma, you saw me. And my
13:02
husband, because we had just gotten married, we
13:04
were interns together, he was
13:06
in the lab in ID doing
13:08
immunology work. So two
13:10
of the chiefs of medicine
13:13
at UCSF were approached by
13:15
the Rockefeller Foundation, who had
13:17
started to become worried about
13:19
heterosexual transmission of HIV. Remember
13:21
I talked about the Haitians
13:23
and the hemophiliacs and homosexuals?
13:25
One H wasn't heterosexual. And
13:28
so there was a lot of
13:30
disbelief about African HIV. And
13:32
in fact, some people thought it
13:34
must be gay sex, but people are
13:36
too embarrassed to admit it. There
13:38
were other theories, but people just did
13:41
not understand what was going on
13:43
in Africa. So the Rockefeller said, we'll
13:45
give you a grant at UCSF.
13:47
We'll grant you money to study heterosexual
13:49
transmission of HIV. And this was
13:51
through an epidemiologic contact tracing lens, not
13:53
necessarily going into the lab and
13:56
trying to figure this out. Not going
13:58
to the lab, but really looking
14:00
at API. And particularly, there was a
14:02
hypothesis that if it was heterosexually
14:04
transmitted, there was something to do with
14:06
sexually transmitted diseases. And that there
14:08
was something about increasing your risk if
14:11
you had untreated STDs, sexually transmitted
14:13
diseases. So we were asked
14:15
to go. UCSF had no global
14:17
health to put this into context. We
14:19
had a flat and two Honda
14:21
Civics. I still remember this. We gave
14:23
my dad power of attorney. We
14:25
sublet our flat and we sold our
14:27
Hondas. And moved to Uganda. I'm
14:30
laughing in part because I had
14:32
never been east of Chicago. I
14:34
mean, this was a pretty
14:36
dramatic thing to do. And it was
14:38
only... And I'm sorry, you, your
14:41
husband and who else? The two of
14:43
us. That's the team. That's the
14:45
dream team. That's the team. That's the
14:47
team. And Uganda was a place
14:49
where On the positive side of things,
14:51
the NCI had set up a
14:53
collaboration with Uganda Cancer Institute, where they
14:55
did some really great things in
14:57
lymphoma and Burkitt's lymphoma, if you remember
14:59
those stories. And one of the
15:01
physicians at UCSF had been associated with
15:04
that, John Ziegler. So there
15:06
was a connection to the Uganda Cancer
15:08
Institute. So on the good side of
15:10
things, there was that. And there also
15:12
was and is the Entebbe Viral Institute.
15:14
So there was some infrastructure there. Unfortunately,
15:17
most of that infrastructure had
15:19
been ruined by the idioming
15:21
regime not long before we
15:23
went to Uganda. So
15:25
when we went there, it was
15:27
pretty lawless. There were roadblocks you
15:29
had to stop at. It was
15:31
difficult to live there. It was
15:33
really difficult. And what about safety?
15:35
I would say now that I'm
15:37
used to being in more safe
15:39
situations and older and wiser, it
15:41
was probably not that smart the
15:43
way we live there, but we
15:45
weren't reckless. It seemed dangerous when
15:47
you were in the car to
15:50
have carjacking or your money go
15:52
missing or things like that. Was
15:54
Idi Amin still ruler? Idi
15:56
Amin was gone, but when we were there,
15:58
he made that attempt to come back from
16:00
Saudi Arabia and go back to Uganda, but
16:02
it was thwarted. So that was good news.
16:05
So Nick, my husband, reestablished the
16:07
sexually transmitted disease clinic and
16:09
attended in the internal medicine ward.
16:11
And I like to say
16:13
I doubled the population of oncologists
16:16
in Uganda when I was
16:18
there. So my colleague, Edward
16:20
Ambiti, who's Ugandan, put all his
16:22
focus on the pediatric unit. And
16:24
I put all my focus on
16:26
the adult unit, which was so
16:28
many cases of Capsis sarcoma. Give
16:31
me a sense of what this
16:33
meant. So we're talking late 80s
16:35
now. This is 89, 90, and
16:37
91. Is AZT out yet? Not
16:39
yet. Okay. Just on the brink.
16:41
Okay. So we have nothing. And
16:43
what is the approximate conversion? So
16:46
for a patient who develops
16:48
AIDS, what fraction of those
16:50
will go on to develop KS?
16:52
If you were in Uganda
16:54
at the time, especially
16:56
amongst males, but also males
16:58
and females, it's so
17:00
hard to give those numbers. But I
17:03
would say about a third of
17:05
patients who sought medical attention probably had
17:07
KS, some KS. What was the
17:09
prevalence of HIV AIDS in the population
17:11
in Uganda? Depending on
17:13
the population you treated, it was
17:15
double digits in the country as a
17:17
whole. If you were 16 years
17:19
old, if you were a 16 -year -old
17:21
girl and you went to the STD clinic,
17:24
you had a 50 % chance of being
17:26
HIV positive. 16 and most of
17:28
those girls was their first and only
17:30
sexual partner. It was Russian roulette to have
17:33
sex. in Uganda then. I mean, worst
17:35
Russian rule, that's one in six if you've
17:37
only got one bullet in the chamber.
17:39
You got the bullet in one of the
17:41
two chambers. Yeah. And
17:43
the best business in
17:45
town, coffin maker. We
17:48
would go, we would drive back
17:50
to where we stayed and you would
17:52
see if you've ever been in
17:54
an African village like they'll prop up
17:56
the coffins made of wood and
17:58
you just see them because that was
18:00
the feeling of being scared and
18:02
sad in San Francisco in 1982. multiply
18:05
that by 1 ,000
18:07
in 1989, it
18:10
was terrifying. If we
18:12
hadn't gotten ARVs, this was
18:14
killing people. But you know, the
18:16
same time, the first time
18:18
we went back to San Francisco
18:20
from Uganda was six months after we
18:22
had left. I went
18:24
back to the Capsis Sarcoma Clinic that
18:27
I had led and said to the
18:29
nurse, oh yeah, ask about your patients.
18:31
I had so many great guys who
18:33
I cared for. All my patients were
18:35
dead, all of them, six months. The
18:38
sense of how bad
18:40
HIV was before antiretrovirals,
18:42
it's impossible to overstate
18:44
it, just impossible. And
18:47
when we were in Uganda, it
18:50
was really clear that you could
18:52
see someone's immune status with a good
18:54
physical exam if they had Kaposi
18:56
sarcoma. I wrote a paper that I
18:58
think is a good paper if
19:01
you do global health and you have
19:03
limited resources. It was a
19:05
paper that had one observation. If
19:07
you had Kaposi sarcoma on your soft
19:09
palate, on the roof of your
19:11
mouth, you had HIV, 100 %
19:13
predictive. Kaposi sarcoma, there's
19:15
a Mediterranean form and an
19:17
African form. It happens on your
19:19
skin. It can cause elephantiasis,
19:21
but it doesn't go in. The
19:23
mouth is just a surrogate
19:25
for your GI tract. Doesn't happen
19:27
unless you're immunosuppressed with HIV. These
19:30
patients weren't... dying
19:32
from the KS directly.
19:35
That's a proxy for how weak their immune system
19:37
was. I assume they were ultimately dying from
19:39
pneumonia. Many would die
19:42
from pneumonia. There was severe catechia,
19:44
and then they were prone
19:46
to pneumonia and other problems. But
19:48
Kaposi's sarcoma in the lungs
19:50
or the stomach can also cause
19:52
bleeding, and you can die
19:54
from that. What did you know
19:56
at this point in time about HIV? Because
19:59
the virus had been identified by this point.
20:01
What was known and what was unknown? We
20:03
knew most of the clinical
20:05
syndromes associated with HIV. Gallow, was
20:07
it Gallow? Yeah, Bob Gallow
20:09
was one of the... Luke Monnier
20:11
was... They had a fight
20:14
over who deserved the credit. But
20:16
yeah, we knew about HIV then
20:18
and we knew the biology and we
20:20
knew as soon as we got
20:22
to Uganda and examined patients that this
20:24
was heterosexual transmission of HIV. And
20:27
we knew that untreated STDs
20:29
were a big reason. And that
20:31
was a very important thing.
20:33
Going back to these 16 -year -old
20:35
girls, is the reason
20:37
that the heterosexual transmission was so
20:39
high because the viral loads were
20:41
through the roof? Because today, if
20:43
a male with HIV had unprotected sex with
20:46
a female, it would not be that high, it?
20:48
It wouldn't be that high. No. So
20:50
one of the really
20:52
important aspects of STDs
20:54
is high frequency of
20:56
herpes and chancroid. really
20:58
open lesions that are
21:00
very, very, if not
21:02
treated. one -two punch. Super
21:05
high viral load. High viral load
21:07
and transmissible. opening. Yes. Yes. So
21:09
we knew all of
21:11
that. Now, we also knew
21:13
that some of these
21:16
were treatable, that both medication,
21:18
also Museveni, the still leader of
21:20
Uganda, had this very funny campaign
21:23
called Zero Grazing. So they raise
21:25
a lot of cows, and this
21:27
is very important in Uganda is
21:29
having a herd of cows. It
21:31
means you're an important man, you
21:33
know. Moose Avenue wears this hat
21:36
like he's raising cows. So zero
21:38
grazing, the farmers and many people knew what
21:40
that meant. One wife, one
21:42
partner, no grazing. And
21:44
so there was a pretty good public
21:46
campaign. We did a lot of condom
21:48
distribution. And so the
21:50
government was receptive to this. Yeah. They
21:52
understood the science. They understood
21:55
the epidemiology. And they were
21:57
completely on board with the campaign. They
21:59
were very on board. They also knew that
22:01
this was going to be a geopolitical
22:03
problem for them if people were dying in
22:05
the prime of their lives at the
22:07
rates they were. They got that. This was
22:09
really clear to them. What
22:11
other countries in Africa were afflicted to this
22:13
extent? In East Africa, there was quite
22:15
a bit. There was a lot of HIV
22:17
in Kenya, and there were programs like
22:20
the one that we had in Kenya. Tanzania,
22:22
there were others where it was more
22:24
unknown, I think not talked about. I
22:27
mean, the program I know
22:29
about most today is the program
22:31
my husband's been working with
22:33
for 15 years, which is Elizabeth
22:35
Glazer Pediatric AIDS Foundation. They
22:38
work now, I think, in 12 countries
22:40
in sub -Saharan Africa, and many of
22:42
the southernmost countries are heavily affected by
22:44
HIV still. Can you estimate in a
22:46
year how many people died from AIDS
22:48
in Uganda when you were there? Oh,
22:50
no, I can't estimate it. I guess
22:52
the point is it's a staggering number.
22:54
Yeah. And yet there were so few
22:56
of you that were on the front
22:58
lines. If there's 16 million people,
23:00
it wouldn't have surprised me if there
23:02
were a million people who died. I mean,
23:05
it's that kind of numbers. I'm probably
23:07
exaggerating, but not by much. And
23:09
I think the sense of feeling
23:11
overwhelmed is just really important. What
23:13
I realized I was doing I
23:15
don't know if you've interacted with
23:17
people in the military much, but
23:19
if they were on the battlefield,
23:21
they triage. I triaged. I triaged
23:23
in San Francisco. If you didn't
23:25
need chemotherapy, but you had Capsis
23:27
sarcoma, I didn't see you. What was the chemo?
23:30
The simple one was vincristine. Vincristine's
23:32
actually reasonably good against KS. I
23:34
used it in Uganda a lot.
23:36
It does cause some neuropathy, but
23:38
if you're careful about how much,
23:41
and then bleomycin. Again, you have
23:43
to be careful because of the
23:45
pulmonary toxicity. Good old -fashioned vincustine
23:47
and blio, and then Texel. Texel
23:49
was approved for Capsule Sarcoma after
23:51
I left Uganda. It wasn't a
23:53
drug before then. I would
23:55
see the patient and I would literally ask
23:57
them and their family, can you walk? If
23:59
you can walk. If yes, you're too healthy
24:02
for me. too healthy. We'll delay. There was
24:04
triage because I only had on the shelf
24:06
a certain amount of chemotherapy. How
24:08
did you manage the personal toll
24:10
of the grief and the death of
24:12
seeing this. I mean, look, I think
24:14
every doctor, to some extent, goes through
24:16
this where you try to sort of
24:18
compartmentalize what you're seeing. But the truth
24:21
of the matter is virtually no doctor
24:23
can really comprehend what you're describing there.
24:25
How did you process that? I
24:27
have this philosophy, which I
24:29
don't recommend it for others. It's
24:31
just my philosophy. I love people.
24:34
I love interacting with people. I
24:36
love getting to know the patients
24:38
who I care for. And
24:40
it makes me happy to think
24:42
I'm helping. Helping might be
24:44
helping them get better. Helping
24:46
might be helping with their pain or they
24:49
can talk about dying with me because
24:51
it doesn't make me scared. So I get
24:53
a lot of joy in trying to
24:55
contribute. Even if I feel overwhelmed and if
24:57
I step back and think, how can
24:59
we cope with this? My coping is... Is
25:01
leaning in. Yeah. Does your husband share
25:03
that? Was there a yin and a yang
25:05
to the relationship where you supported each
25:08
other in a way that was helpful in
25:10
that? I do understand what you're saying,
25:12
and I appreciate that there is a joy
25:14
that comes from helping people. But I
25:16
can also at least personally say that there
25:18
are moments when it breaks down and
25:20
you feel so overwhelmed by sadness. Well,
25:23
first of all, my husband is more
25:25
introverted and probably gets more sad. But
25:27
we are also a good team because
25:29
we're there for each other. And I
25:31
think it's a special thing done in
25:33
small amounts, not too much, to be
25:35
able to come home and say, boy,
25:38
that was tough. Here's what I dealt
25:40
with today, or I need to tell
25:42
this story, or I want to talk
25:44
about this. The other thing we did,
25:46
which is I think so important, is
25:48
I do drive a lot of joy
25:50
in trying to help, but I'm not
25:52
a martyr. I don't believe in it.
25:54
Okay, you worked hard, I worked harder.
25:57
You suffered, I suffered more. I hate
25:59
that, you know? So we went to
26:01
Greece. We still laugh about going to
26:03
Greece and eating our way through Greece
26:05
for a week. When we were in
26:07
Uganda, we had a couple
26:09
of other good trips. We went
26:11
on a hilarious safari to a place
26:13
that was Moya Lodge that had
26:15
been closed to all tourists, had just
26:17
reopened. And it was so
26:20
great. We saw hippos and elephants. And
26:22
we realized we were the only, what
26:24
you call in Uganda, a mazungu, which
26:26
is a white person there. So it
26:28
was a grand adventure. So we had
26:30
some grand adventures. played tennis,
26:32
enjoyed friends. We did as much
26:34
to keep our spirits up as one
26:36
can. And so you came back
26:38
to the US after about three
26:41
years. And did you go back
26:43
to UCSF? Well, we wanted to go
26:45
back to UCSF, but we had
26:47
not kept our academic careers going
26:49
as much as we should have.
26:51
We didn't publish enough and they didn't
26:53
have a global health program or
26:55
money for us. Taking care of
26:57
a million people with HIV wasn't
26:59
enough to justify coming back to UCSF.
27:01
It actually wasn't. So we said,
27:03
well, gee, when the chief of
27:06
medicine outlined for us the plan
27:08
for us to stay, a large part
27:10
of it was taking care of
27:12
patients to pay our way. So
27:14
we said, boy, taking care of
27:16
patients, we know what that looks like.
27:18
So we went into private practice.
27:20
In San Francisco? No, we moved
27:22
back to Kentucky where Nick is
27:24
from. Okay. So we moved back to
27:27
Kentucky and I was in a
27:29
two -person oncology practice with a former
27:31
classmate of Nick's in Lexington. And
27:33
you were doing at this point
27:35
oncology unrelated to, not necessarily focusing
27:37
on HIV and AIDS related cancer, breast
27:39
cancer. I was doing good old
27:41
fashioned American oncology. I didn't take
27:43
my oncology boards when we went
27:45
to Uganda because I was in Uganda.
27:48
So, I still sort of
27:50
laugh about taking the DeVita
27:52
oncology book with a yellow
27:54
sharpie. I reread the
27:57
big oncology book twice. Is
27:59
this the DeVita Hellman Rosenberg book? Yes. Yeah,
28:01
yeah, yeah. Of course. Yeah, it's brown these days,
28:03
I think. I reread it twice, took
28:05
my boards and did fine. So, I was
28:07
ready. This is
28:09
unbelievable. So, you're sitting in Kentucky
28:12
practicing garden variety oncology. Talk to
28:14
me about what that's like. completely
28:17
orthogonal to what you've been doing for the
28:19
past couple of years. was so, so, so,
28:21
so different. And Nick was in
28:23
a practice where he was more like a hospitalist.
28:25
Somebody'd get a fever in the ICU and they'd call
28:27
that ID group. And my practice was a two -person
28:29
practice. It was very classy. I saw a lot
28:31
of lung cancer. It was Kentucky. So there's
28:33
a lot of smoking, a lot of
28:36
people from Appalachian. I actually like
28:38
taking care of patients. So that part
28:40
I liked, but I really missed.
28:42
intellectual research, collegial stuff that I was
28:44
used to at UCSF because we
28:46
had been there nine years by that
28:48
time because we were still UCSF
28:51
faculty when we were in Uganda. Nick
28:53
was called about Bristol
28:56
-Meyer Squibb search for
28:58
an expert on HIV
29:00
because they were trying
29:02
to follow AZT with
29:04
the next antiretroviral. I
29:06
think it was DDI and D4T
29:08
were both in development then. And so
29:10
they recruited Nick to come and
29:12
work at Bristol Myers Squibb out of
29:15
private practice. And Nick
29:17
said, I won't come unless you have a
29:19
job for my wife. And they said, no,
29:21
we have a nepotism clause. We don't allow
29:23
couples to work at Bristol Myers Squibb. So
29:25
he said, fine, I won't come. He's a
29:27
good husband. This is
29:29
one of our favorite stories because it's a true
29:31
story. So they called him back and they
29:33
said, we really, really want you to come because
29:35
we want this program to do well. And
29:37
could your wife be a consultant? Would
29:40
she agree to be a consultant and not
29:42
a full -time employee? And he said, yeah,
29:44
that'll work. So we moved to Connecticut. He
29:46
had a job and I was the trailing spouse. And
29:49
I can just see what this looked like.
29:51
I'm making this up now. Oh,
29:54
God, we've got an LMD. You know
29:56
what an LMD is. We got this
29:58
lady from Lexington, Kentucky. She's in private
30:00
practice, oncology, and we're stuck with her.
30:03
Let's have her do drug safety on
30:05
tax law. We have this new drug
30:07
and it's really busy. It looks like
30:09
it might work. And so we'll put
30:11
her on drug safety. She can't hurt
30:13
anything doing that. But
30:15
did they not understand what you had spent
30:17
the last couple of years doing prior
30:19
to being in Kentucky? Did they not know
30:22
what you had done in Uganda? I
30:24
don't think that registered because
30:26
there were so many people
30:29
there. who were very traditionally
30:31
trained at NCI or at
30:33
Yale or wherever they were.
30:36
And they were traditionally trained in
30:38
oncology. My experience in Kampala
30:40
in Uganda didn't make an impact.
30:42
But here's what was funny. Nick
30:45
and I didn't have a statistician.
30:47
As I told you, we just, the
30:49
two of us went. So we
30:51
brought this little compact computer and all
30:53
the SAS manuals. We didn't have
30:55
a TV. We didn't have newspapers. We
30:57
didn't have anything. So we taught
30:59
ourselves how to do SAS programming. When
31:02
I got to Bristol Myers Squibb,
31:04
one of the really interesting things
31:06
about taxol is it causes severe
31:08
neutropenia, but it's short. It's like
31:10
this short severe neutropenia. And
31:12
so I wanted to study that
31:14
because I thought it was really important
31:16
in why people weren't really getting
31:18
infections. I always have to remind myself,
31:20
tell people what taxol is, how
31:22
it works. Just give them a quick,
31:24
what is neutropenia? Why would we
31:26
care? When I talked before about how
31:28
few new chemo drugs there were,
31:30
Taxol was one of the first new
31:32
chemotherapy drugs. So, taxol is a
31:34
product of the utri and it's a
31:36
microtubule poison. It is, if
31:39
you think about it coming from the
31:41
utri and you think about sap, think
31:43
about trying to dissolve sap in water
31:45
and give that to a patient. That's
31:47
plenty hard. The dissolving fluid
31:49
that's given with taxol. And the reason
31:51
we would give somebody with cancer
31:53
a microtubule inhibitor is because that prevents
31:55
cells that are dividing. You can't
31:58
divide. They need these microtubules when they
32:00
create new cells and we want
32:02
to block that. And we want to
32:04
block that. So this was not
32:06
just a good way to block cellular
32:08
division, which is so important in
32:10
cancer therapy. It's really important because it's
32:13
very different than some of the
32:15
old chemotherapy drugs. And if you're resistant
32:17
to those old drugs, here you
32:19
have a brand new mechanism of action.
32:21
So that's a terrific thing. But
32:23
it's not easy to dissolve it. So
32:26
the dissolving agents are like soap.
32:28
They dissolve the taxol. And when the
32:30
National Cancer Institute tried to use
32:32
it, some patients got severe allergic reactions
32:34
from that. And they got scared
32:36
and put it on the shelf. So
32:39
Bristol Myers Squibb went to the
32:41
National Cancer Institute and said, you know,
32:43
that drug might really be active.
32:45
We're willing to carefully go back in
32:47
the clinic and test it and
32:49
give people agents to counterbalance. the allergic
32:51
reactions and see if we can
32:53
get away with it. So they
32:56
did that and they got an
32:58
approval in ovarian cancer, a brand
33:00
new agent. Now, Taxol was
33:02
really exciting because first ovarian and
33:04
then breast cancer were these indications where
33:06
we had not had new drugs
33:08
or really any drugs that were active
33:10
in the case of ovarian for
33:12
a long time. And because I was
33:14
a safety person, I was really
33:16
trying to understand and put into context
33:18
all these safety issues so it
33:20
was possible to safely treat patients with
33:22
these drugs. It had already
33:25
been approved. It had been approved for ovarian
33:27
cancer when I showed up. So now
33:29
you're doing post -marketing surveillance on safety. We're
33:31
doing post -marketing surveillance on ovarian and putting
33:33
together a U .S. submission and a European
33:35
submission for cancer. For breast. So I started
33:37
talking to the statisticians there about how
33:39
I wanted them to program to get the
33:41
data we needed for the safety label.
33:44
And I'll never forget the guy looking at
33:46
me and saying, Do you know how
33:48
to do this?" I said, well, I had
33:50
to learn in Uganda because I didn't
33:52
have somebody like you, you know. So
33:54
it was sort of funny that
33:56
I was very happy to prove
33:58
myself. It didn't bug me. It
34:00
made me more feisty. Like, I'll
34:03
show you, I'm not underdosed in
34:05
the kinds of things you need
34:07
to do in this place. And
34:09
by the way, I loved every
34:11
minute of being at Bristol -Marsquibb.
34:13
They were pros at cancer drug
34:15
development. They were pros. at monitoring
34:17
safety. And I thought
34:19
it was so much fun because
34:21
you got to make drugs. What
34:24
was the pharma landscape like in the
34:26
early 90s? So you had Bristol -Meyer, you
34:28
had Pfizer, you had Merck. You had Merck,
34:30
you had Novartis. I think Novartis was
34:32
a combo of a couple. It
34:34
was smaller, much smaller and
34:36
cancer was Bristol -Meyer script. I
34:38
mean, they had made cisplatinum, carboplatinum.
34:40
They had a lot of those drugs
34:42
and people who had made those
34:45
drugs were still there. And I was
34:47
really happy to learn from them.
34:49
I felt very lucky to get to
34:51
be around these folks who knew
34:53
about Taxol. So we got Taxol approved
34:55
in the U .S. and in Europe
34:57
for breast cancer, it became Pristamar
34:59
Squibb's number one drug. I became the
35:01
project team leader for Taxol. How
35:03
long did it take them to thank
35:05
your husband for forcing them to
35:07
bring you along? Too
35:10
long. He
35:12
really enjoys that story because he, like
35:14
all good family stories, he gets embellished
35:17
over the years and he tells the
35:19
story like, you should actually want her.
35:21
You don't know this, but he's a
35:23
good husband. When you pause at where
35:25
we are in this story to think
35:27
of everything that would come from this
35:29
moment forward and to realize there's a
35:31
scenario under which nobody knows everything that's
35:34
about to happen and you're an oncologist
35:36
in Kentucky right now. That's right. That's
35:38
right. I'd be better at tennis. Yeah.
35:40
I had more, I had
35:42
more free time. But
35:44
yeah, no, I think that's the
35:46
thing that I love to mentor. I
35:49
think it's really underrated to listen
35:51
to students and hear what's on their
35:53
minds. And I remind students about
35:55
the role of serendipity. And I think
35:57
I'm a poster child for the
35:59
role of serendipity. So you
36:01
left Bristol Myers Squibb in 95.
36:03
95. And you went to Genentech.
36:05
Tell me where Genentech was in
36:07
its life cycle then. So Genentech
36:10
had been around for a while. I
36:12
mean, when did Genentech get founded in
36:14
the mid -70s? 1976. Okay. Give folks a
36:17
little bit of a history of Genentech. Genentech's
36:19
a storied company, but also a different
36:21
company in that it was founded on a
36:23
new technology. Genentech's a
36:25
really interesting company because it claims
36:27
to be the first biotech
36:29
company. There's some cedas back and
36:31
forth about that, but it
36:33
was based on genetic technology. That's
36:35
where the Genentech name came
36:37
from. And what Herb
36:40
and Bob, the co -founders of Genentech,
36:42
wanted to do is kind of
36:44
do a proof of concept that
36:46
you could use genetic technology and
36:48
make medicines, make big
36:50
medicines, proteins, antibodies, medicines
36:52
that would almost certainly have to be
36:54
injected rather than swallowed because they're
36:56
large and they're protein, so you break
36:58
them down if you swallow them. But
37:01
their initial goals were focused
37:03
on insulin. which they out
37:05
licensed to Lily and Pfizer,
37:08
and growth hormone, human growth hormone. Before
37:11
Genentech, when you were a
37:13
parent and your child was
37:15
short, you needed to
37:17
give that child growth hormone that
37:19
came from cadavers. That had
37:21
a risk of this slow virus
37:23
disease, and that was not a
37:26
good trade -off for parents. The
37:28
concept of having recombinant, of
37:31
having human -like growth hormone
37:33
was a really wonderful thing.
37:35
So Genentech's first drug was
37:37
human growth hormone. And it
37:39
was a tour de force. It
37:41
was really amazing that in the
37:43
late 70s, they were able to
37:45
do this fermentation and purification because
37:47
they had to prove to FDA
37:50
it was pure human growth hormone
37:52
with no contaminants. And it became
37:54
famous for that. And people were
37:56
excited and thought this was cool.
37:58
Tell people briefly how this worked.
38:00
What was recombinant DNA technology? What
38:02
were they putting the gene into? How
38:05
did they get the gene to make
38:07
the protein? We take this all for
38:09
granted today because we have... It's tricky.
38:12
Yeah. Yeah, but it's so incredible. So
38:14
what you see if you go to
38:16
Genentech or a company like Genentech is
38:18
you see these tanks and the tanks
38:21
are like a cell ICU, like an
38:23
ICU for a cell. So
38:25
the cell, what you're doing is
38:27
you're teaching the cell to make
38:29
it very high amounts growth hormone
38:31
way higher than your cells or
38:33
my cells would. And then you're
38:35
teaching the cell through this genetic
38:37
engineering to secrete it into a
38:39
medium, into this soup that is
38:41
really a lot of growth hormone.
38:43
And then you're taking away the
38:45
cells after they secrete it. You're
38:48
purifying that growth hormone and you
38:50
put in little vials. And that's
38:52
the process of biotechnology. And you
38:54
can trick a cell into making
38:56
almost anything you want, not completely,
38:58
but almost anything you want and
39:00
make it very much like human,
39:02
which is neat. So you don't
39:04
have to go to a human
39:06
to donate you with hormone because
39:08
it would be too small. Or
39:10
in the case of insulin, I
39:13
mean, they were using insulin from
39:15
pigs and - Poursine insulin that made
39:17
allergies and expensive. So human
39:19
insulin really changed how you thought
39:21
about treating people who have diabetes.
39:24
So Genentech made growth hormone, and Genentech
39:26
sold growth hormone and set up
39:28
something I actually think is a really
39:30
neat thing that Genentech did, which
39:32
people said, how do you know that
39:35
by giving kids extra growth hormone,
39:37
it won't cause leukemia or a fourth
39:39
arm to sprout out or, you
39:41
know, weird things to happen? And
39:43
Genentech said, well, we'll follow every child.
39:46
So they set up a patient
39:48
registry, one of the first patient
39:50
registries ever, and followed every child
39:52
until they reached their final adult
39:54
height. And the physicians and their
39:56
staff enter this into a computer. And
39:59
so this is an amazing amount of
40:01
information. So if the FDA ever asked
40:03
us, do you have this with growth
40:05
hormone? Did you have that with growth
40:07
hormone? We had not an example. You
40:09
wouldn't even do statistics on it. Every
40:11
child ever treated with genetic growth hormone.
40:13
Do you have a sense of how
40:15
many kids that was? Oh, hundreds of
40:17
kids, thousands of kids by now. Yeah,
40:19
yeah. So Genentech got really good at
40:21
that. And in fact, when I went
40:23
to Genentech in 1995, the
40:25
chief medical officer of Genentech was
40:28
a pediatric endocrinologist, an expert on short
40:30
stature and growth hormone. But
40:32
it's a pretty small market. This is
40:34
uncommon. By this point, it was
40:36
being used rampantly in sports. Yeah.
40:38
And the FDA was not happy about that
40:40
and pushed really hard on Genentech to
40:42
control that use. Was it being used by
40:45
this point also pretty heavily in HIV,
40:47
right? People were using it in HIV, they
40:49
were using it in sports, anything where
40:51
you wanted to have more muscle mass. That's
40:54
exactly right. Genetic had done some studies
40:56
to look at whether that was a
40:58
good idea and none of the studies
41:00
came out successful. Meaning there
41:02
was no benefit to an HIV
41:04
patient being on growth hormone? The
41:06
benefits did not outweigh risks of
41:08
having increased blood sugar and some
41:10
other things that would happen. So
41:12
one of the aspects of Genentech
41:14
that happened in the early years
41:16
before I was there is they
41:19
learned how to make enzymes. Same
41:21
genetic technology. Childing the cell make
41:23
these enzymes. And some of
41:25
the enzymes actually got out
41:27
licensed to make commercial enzymes like
41:29
that you use when you
41:31
wash clothes and things like that.
41:33
So that wasn't core to
41:35
Genentech. But they had an enzyme
41:37
activase, a TPA, tissue pledge
41:39
menogen activator that could break down blood
41:41
clots. Did they go after that
41:43
knowing what they were doing or was
41:45
this a bit of a fishing expedition
41:47
where they realized in the process
41:49
of trying to do many things that,
41:51
oh my god, we can actually make
41:53
TPA, which you're going to explain
41:55
in a minute why that changed the
41:58
game of cardiovascular medicine. It was intentional
42:00
that a really great... There's a
42:02
clinician researcher, Dave Stump, who
42:04
is a clotting expert. He's
42:06
he -monk on the heme side. He was
42:08
there and really pushed them to do
42:10
this. And the concept was that
42:12
if you could break down the blood
42:14
clot, you could cure the heart attack.
42:16
You could save lives. And
42:18
the interesting thing, if you are interested
42:20
in doing trials, is they started
42:22
the concept of a large, simple trial.
42:25
This was early on, and people
42:27
in cardiovascular gene Brownwald and his followers
42:29
had started these large, simple trials.
42:31
So, genetic kind of bet the farm
42:33
on this TPA. And the farm
42:35
was that they could change the outcomes
42:38
in 30 days. There'd be more
42:40
people alive than dead if they were
42:42
treated with Activase. And two of
42:44
the people involved in the studies, you
42:46
probably know their names, were Rob
42:48
Califf and Eric Topol. Was Eric at
42:50
Scripps at that time or where
42:53
was he? I think he was at
42:55
the Cleveland Clinic. And
42:57
they ran a group called the Timmy Group
42:59
and they did all these studies named Timmy. And
43:01
so they did this big trial and it
43:03
worked. If you treated with
43:05
Activase, you could break down the
43:07
blood clots. So Genentech
43:09
started this franchise in Cardiovascular, and
43:12
again, did this really interesting patient
43:14
registry to look at 30 -day
43:16
outcomes for post -marketing, but stents came
43:18
along. And so the franchise
43:20
of Genentech and people who were
43:22
treated with TPA really went down. And
43:24
the stroke indication was tricky. You
43:26
had to make sure it wasn't hemorrhagic
43:29
or you could make things so
43:31
much worse. Yeah. Stroke
43:33
indication on paper was really
43:35
cool, but pragmatically was really tough
43:37
for hospitals to execute. Genotech
43:39
also made another enzyme
43:42
-like molecule, DNAs, palmosyme,
43:44
for cystic fibrosis. And
43:46
that was approved very
43:48
tiny. It decreases how
43:51
thick your secretions are, but
43:53
with vertexes, CF drugs, it's
43:55
also been scooped. So when
43:57
I came in 95, Genotech
43:59
was really struggling. They had those
44:01
three drugs. They had growth hormone,
44:04
TPA, and Palmazyme. Why did
44:06
they out -license insulin? I think they needed the
44:08
money. Got it. I don't think they have
44:10
the scope to even it. And why did you
44:12
decide to leave? Bristol Meyer Squibb
44:14
is just crushing it. You finally earned
44:16
the respect you deserve. You've
44:18
got this struggling company,
44:21
Genentech. Was it the opportunity?
44:24
Oh, yeah. Yeah. For sure it was the opportunity. I
44:26
will tell you, if you were
44:28
me in 1995, sitting down
44:30
with Art Levinson, And they had
44:32
a research then. And he was talking
44:34
about the future in oncology, what the
44:36
plans were, you'd have gone to.
44:38
You'd have gone to. For sure it
44:41
was an opportunity. We were
44:43
doing well. I will say that further
44:45
down on the list of pros
44:47
and cons was West Coast's home. I
44:49
mean, Connecticut was snowy and cold. I
44:52
didn't come over on the Mayflower, it turns out.
44:55
I mean, I loved people at Bristol -Miresquibb. I
44:57
loved the job. But heading back to San
44:59
Francisco. in San Francisco. Yeah, that was a
45:01
big deal. But I believed Art when he
45:03
said we're going to be a cancer company.
45:05
So what was the first thing you worked on?
45:08
Ah, thrombopoetin. They
45:10
hired me to work on thrombopoetin. It
45:13
was going to be the third leg
45:15
of the stool, EPO. So make
45:17
your red cells go up, nupogen
45:19
for your white cells and TPO
45:21
for your platelets. And it was
45:23
a big race. Amgen
45:25
was in the race. Who developed EPO?
45:27
Amgen. Amgen, okay. EPO and nupogen.
45:29
Got it. Amgen and Genentech had always
45:32
been kind of rivals. And
45:34
when they cloned Trump a poet in
45:36
that Genentech, I read the paper and then
45:38
they called me, did I want to
45:40
come work on it? It was that kind
45:42
of thing. When you clone it, if
45:45
you publish it, that doesn't give you the
45:47
right, it's a race for everybody. It's
45:49
a race. So let me ask a silly
45:51
question. Why do you publish the results
45:53
of the cloning before you've gone and made
45:55
the recombinant protein yourself? So you patent
45:57
it, then you publish. then you make the
46:00
recombinant. Okay. So once it's published after
46:02
the patent, you get to make it. Genentech,
46:05
one of their great assets
46:07
started by her boyer is
46:09
they publish. They don't stop
46:11
the scientists from publishing. They get the lawyers and
46:13
they're quick and they make sure that they protect
46:15
the IP of the company, but they want people
46:17
to publish. It's very academic. So thrombopoietons,
46:19
Epo and Newpagen are as
46:21
if you design them. to make
46:23
recombinant forms and give them
46:25
for cancer patients or other patients
46:27
who need them. Thrombopoietin,
46:29
not so much. To make
46:32
it simple, if you said, okay,
46:34
your platelets are going way down
46:36
from your chemotherapy, and I'm
46:38
going to give you thrombopoietin to make them go
46:41
up, they come back
46:43
up really late and they
46:45
go too high. So I'm
46:47
making you at risk for a blood
46:49
clot by giving you a million platelets.
46:51
but later than you need to when
46:53
you're recovering on your own already. Was
46:55
that known only once you started developing
46:57
and you understood the kinetics of it?
46:59
Once we looked at how it worked
47:01
in patients, we knew better than we
47:03
had before. The kinetics of
47:05
really recovering from not all chemotherapy, as
47:07
you know, causes your platelets to go
47:09
low. Yeah, so you can't give it
47:11
prophylactically because you don't know who's going
47:13
to get thrombocytopenia. Right, right. And this
47:15
tricky thing about going too high if
47:17
you're wrong, it's a problem. What do
47:19
you do? You plasma -ferrice the patients if
47:21
you've overshot or not plasma -ferrice, platelet -ferrice.
47:23
You could platelet -ferrice them. I mean,
47:25
there are remedies, but you don't want
47:27
to do that. Yeah, that's it. Anyway,
47:29
so thrombopoietin proved to be very, very
47:31
difficult drug. And I learned
47:33
a lot about the cancer
47:36
equivalent or the product development
47:38
equivalent of tulip mania. When
47:41
everybody's so excited, you get
47:43
excited too. And it's like,
47:45
oh, I did learn a
47:47
lot. I've often reflected on
47:49
what might happen that I'm
47:51
not thinking about now. But
47:53
what also happened is the
47:55
labs at Genentech had been
47:57
working on Herceptin on Trestuzumab
47:59
for a while. Art
48:01
became the CEO. Art Levinson
48:03
became the CEO in 95. And
48:05
he wanted to push on having
48:07
Trestuzumab Herceptin get into the clinic.
48:09
Tell folks how that drug worked,
48:12
what it was for. Trestuzumab,
48:14
or I'll call it Herceptin because it's
48:16
less of a mouthful, is a antibody.
48:18
Like you and I have antibodies that
48:20
fight disease in our bodies. And
48:23
it's an antibody that
48:25
targets this protein called
48:27
HER2. And HER2 matters
48:30
because about one in four women
48:32
with breast cancer have too much of
48:34
it. And when you have too
48:36
much of it, if you've got too
48:38
much HER2 from the time you're
48:40
diagnosed, Your median
48:42
average survival is three
48:44
years. If you don't have
48:47
too much of it, it's seven years. So
48:49
you know what matters. So the concept with
48:51
this antibody is turn that off. Whatever
48:53
bad thing that drives it down to
48:55
three years, turn that off and go
48:57
back to seven years. Pretty simple concept.
48:59
Why do you mechanistically do you think
49:01
that the over expression of HER2 was
49:03
impeding immune clearance? What was the thesis
49:06
at the time for why overexpression of
49:08
her two was cutting life expectancy down?
49:10
The thesis was that it was telling
49:12
the cell to grow. That
49:14
it was getting a growth
49:16
signal to the nucleus to say
49:18
grow more. And if you could
49:20
shut that off, you'd grow less. Now,
49:22
later, we armed her
49:24
septum. We put a payload on it.
49:26
So then you could say, both change
49:29
the grow more signal and you've got
49:31
a little bomb on there. Yeah, kill
49:33
signal. Yeah. So you'd get a twofer.
49:35
In fact, another company has
49:37
one AstraZeneca that's so powerful with
49:39
a bystander effect, you don't
49:41
even have to have overexpression. So
49:44
that antibody, I'm talking
49:46
about it now because anybody in breast cancer
49:48
knows about her too. Of course, yeah.
49:50
You see it on TV and direct to
49:52
consumer ads. Yeah, but I think what
49:54
I really enjoy about this type of discussion
49:57
though, Sue, is One, it's the story
49:59
of your career, but it's also the story
50:01
of oncology. It is, yeah. It's the
50:03
story of modern oncology. So you're one of
50:05
the few people whose careers takes us
50:07
through the walk of modern oncology. I mentioned
50:09
that because it seems impossible. There
50:11
was a lot of people
50:14
at Genentech who were negative
50:16
about her septum, did not
50:18
think we should invest. why.
50:20
The dogma was that antibodies
50:22
were all hype. They'd been
50:24
overpromised. as smart bombs, smart
50:26
missiles, Time Magazine, all
50:28
of this, but that they had
50:30
flopped. What was the biggest failure
50:32
at that point commercially? I
50:34
don't think the things had even been commercialized.
50:36
I don't think they had gotten out of
50:39
the clinic, that people just weren't seeing benefit. I
50:41
have a very good friend who's an
50:43
oncologist, and he said, you
50:45
just can't treat a solid tumor,
50:48
a solid tumor versus leukemia or lymphoma
50:50
with an antibody. you need something
50:52
more powerful. And remember what was happening
50:54
at the same time is, if
50:56
you want to talk about the history
50:58
of oncology, the amazing
51:00
thing is being at
51:02
ASCO, the American Society of
51:04
Clinical Oncology, and two
51:07
different rooms. One room, we
51:09
hear that her septum is going to
51:11
change forever how we think about antibodies and
51:13
breast cancer. It way better
51:15
than we thought, improved survival. The
51:17
other room doing bone
51:19
marrow transplant for breast
51:21
cancer and having the South African
51:23
group who published a paper saying it
51:25
worked, retract the paper and go
51:27
through and talk about how much of
51:29
it was fraudulent, fraud, fraud, fraud. So
51:32
at the same time, this
51:35
nearly toxic, nearly lethal bone
51:37
marrow transplant for breast cancer was
51:39
debunked at the same time
51:41
as we said what we call
51:43
now a naked antibody, no
51:45
payload, no chemo. You give her
51:47
septum, you're going to help
51:49
that patient with breast cancer. Just
51:51
an antibody. Welcome to modern
51:53
oncology. It could not have been
51:55
more clear. I almost
51:58
forgot the BMT stuff.
52:00
It's so archaic. And
52:02
it was a distraction because
52:04
people felt like you just
52:06
needed to hit the cancer
52:08
hard. You just needed to
52:10
hit the cancer smart. The
52:12
tarred wasn't the point. Yeah. I mean, we've
52:14
got to be getting close to a Vastin now
52:17
too, right? Yes, but don't
52:19
forget Ritux. Yes. So when
52:21
I said people didn't believe in
52:23
you could treat a solid
52:25
tumor, they thought you could treat
52:27
lymphoma because we did. Antibodies
52:30
were so disliked. People
52:32
did not believe in
52:34
antibodies that in 95,
52:36
96, IDEC was
52:38
going to run out of money.
52:40
So iDEC had made an
52:42
antibody to CD20, a very important
52:44
marker on all lymphomas. And
52:47
they were going to run out of money.
52:50
So some of our business development
52:52
folks talked to them about
52:54
Genentech doing a deal with them
52:56
on Rotexan. It is impossible
52:59
to overstate how important Rotexan is
53:01
in lymphoma. I often think
53:03
when I'm in product development of
53:05
patients I've cared for, I
53:07
had this great 83 -year -old pharmacist
53:10
when I was in practice
53:12
and he had a lymphoma that
53:14
was low grade, a little
53:16
tired, he was fine. And
53:19
so we did watch and wait.
53:21
My not favorite strategy of oncology.
53:23
Let's watch and wait as you
53:25
dwindle. He'd be a
53:27
perfect candidate for Rotexan.
53:29
Four doses, you can repeat
53:31
it. In fact, it works so
53:33
well. Here's when I changed
53:35
my mind on antibodies. Somebody runs
53:37
in my office and said, oh, we
53:40
have a case of tumor lysis syndrome. So
53:42
tumor lysis syndrome being somebody got
53:44
rituxand. They had a lot of lymphoma
53:47
and the cells are breaking down
53:49
so fast their kidneys can't keep up
53:51
and they have to be dialyzed.
53:53
Oh, that's only an antibody. No
53:55
chemo, no payload, nothing. That's
53:58
when you know you've got a good
54:00
drug. How many cells in the body, how
54:02
many types of cells in the body
54:04
express CD20? It's mainly a B cell. But
54:06
it's not as specific as CD19, is
54:08
it? I think 19 and 20 are both
54:10
B cells. I'd have to look at
54:12
it. I know CD19 is on the B
54:14
cell, but I didn't know the... Okay.
54:16
Yeah. We were talking about this earlier. This
54:18
is chimeric. It's chimeric, yeah. Yeah, so
54:20
tell folks what that implies, because that's another
54:22
wrinkle in the story. Well, that's the
54:24
other thing that I think is... There's so
54:26
many dogmas that we believe until data
54:28
proves otherwise. So one of the warts of
54:31
Rottuxen was thought that it was a
54:33
chimera. It had too many mouse parts to
54:35
human parts and that we would cause
54:37
human anti -chimeric antibody, HACA. And FDA was
54:39
very concerned about this. So we measured and
54:41
measured and measured. And it
54:43
turned out probably because the patients had
54:45
lymphoma that they didn't get HACA. Very
54:47
tiny numbers and they not clinically relevant.
54:49
And you can treat them a lot.
54:51
You can treat patients over and over
54:53
again. Perceptin's 93 % human,
54:55
so not a chimera, but
54:57
not fully humanized. And none of
54:59
the patients treated with antibodies
55:02
that I've seen, not with genetic
55:04
or idic antibodies, have really
55:06
had problems. They've had
55:08
other problems based on target related
55:10
problems, not based on the antibody.
55:12
And the CD20 antibody was just
55:14
also a straight naked antibody? Straight
55:16
naked antibody. And targeted for an
55:18
immune destruction? It's targeted to destroy
55:20
the CD20 positive cells, but it
55:22
turns out that if you have
55:24
lymphoma, you've got a reserve in
55:27
your marrow of other CD20 cells
55:29
of more immature that grow up
55:31
and replace. So it's not like
55:33
you're really at a huge risk
55:35
for untoward reactions from your CD20.
55:37
And why do those patients with
55:39
marrow that's still producing CD20 positive
55:41
cells not go on in a
55:43
constant state of lymphoma requiring.
55:45
In other words, why is it that you can
55:48
treat this and create a durable remission? I
55:50
can guess. I don't know if anyone's
55:52
done a formal study. I do think
55:54
at some point in oncology treatment, if
55:56
you have a tiny amount of disease
55:58
left, especially something like lymphoma, you may
56:01
take care of it yourself. So
56:03
it's just getting rid of enough of
56:05
the diseased B cells until you get
56:07
the load down low enough that the
56:09
immune system can wipe out the clone.
56:11
And honestly, if it comes back, That's
56:13
the other thing that I find really
56:15
interesting about antibodies. The
56:17
dogma with chemotherapy, if
56:19
you are on taxol and your tumor comes
56:21
back, I wouldn't give you taxol again. If
56:23
you're on Herceptin or Rituxin and your tumor
56:25
comes back, in a heartbeat, I'd give it
56:28
to you again. Yeah, it's a very different
56:30
thing than chemotherapy. What was
56:32
the price of these drugs at the
56:34
time they came out? Were these the
56:36
first chemotherapeutic agents or you kind of
56:38
want to distinguish them from traditional chemo,
56:40
but were these the first oncology drugs
56:42
that came with big price tags? Probably
56:44
they were. I think Taxol kind
56:46
of went to that next level
56:48
and then they went to the further
56:50
level compared to today's prices low. But
56:53
Rituxin, I think more than
56:55
Herceptin, because people started using it
56:57
more like you'd use four
56:59
times or eight times and recurring,
57:02
Rituxin sales went very high, very
57:04
fast. And about this time,
57:06
we get the whole anti -vegev story,
57:08
right? Yeah. Yeah, that was... So, Judah
57:10
Folkman over at Boston Children's. Yeah, I
57:12
never had the chance to meet him.
57:14
Oh, you didn't him? I've never met
57:16
Judah. He wrote a fantastic book that
57:19
I read in medical school, poured over
57:21
the book. I'm blanking on the name
57:23
of it. Do you remember the book?
57:25
It was his story. Yeah, I don't
57:27
remember. Again, a beautiful story. I'm smiling
57:29
because I had a word for Judah
57:31
Folkman talks, which I heard many of.
57:33
He was a phenomenologist. He
57:35
would say, this patient had this, so it
57:37
must mean that. He just connected dots all
57:39
the time. I mean, some of it made
57:41
no sense to me, but some of it
57:43
was like, wow, I wish I thought of
57:45
that. He was just a really fun person
57:47
to listen to. I used to
57:50
tell this story so many times. His
57:52
thing was the cancer can't grow larger
57:54
than a BB if it doesn't have
57:56
new blood vessels. That was
57:58
his thing. It stuck at
58:00
a certain size. And so VEGF
58:02
is the primary way, vascular
58:04
endothelial growth factor, is the primary
58:06
way that you grow new
58:09
blood vessels if you're a tumor
58:11
cell. People went crazy about
58:13
this hypothesis. It was more
58:15
than the TPO that I was describing.
58:18
Because it was due to fulcrum and
58:20
he's very compelling and very charismatic. And
58:22
just because the hypothesis It's
58:24
logical. It's logical. It resonates. It
58:26
sounds like a good thing. You
58:29
know, the saying that I love
58:31
is, it's the description of science
58:33
as a beautiful, compelling hypothesis slayed
58:35
by an ugly fact. That's
58:39
perfect. Yeah. Napa
58:41
Ferrara, also a great
58:43
character. Italian OBGYN, who
58:46
came to Genentech and worked
58:48
in one of the labs,
58:50
made an antibody, actually same
58:52
backbone as Herceptin, to VEGF.
58:54
Mostly human. mostly human again,
58:56
I think about 93, 94 %
58:58
human. And so
59:00
we decided we should go
59:02
after an antibody for VEGF
59:05
as our next big oncology
59:07
program. I still remember, by
59:09
the way, one of the things
59:11
that Gwen Fife, who's a great
59:13
clinical oncology trials expert, was in
59:15
charge of the program. And
59:17
Gwen and I talked the day before
59:19
the first patient was going to get treated
59:21
with anti -VEGF. And Glenn said, my nightmare
59:23
is that all the blood vessels fall
59:25
apart. We've just put that into
59:27
someone's body. And I said, well, you know, we
59:29
did all the talk studies. We're like, I
59:31
don't think it's going to be that bad, but
59:33
we have no idea what. I mean, it
59:35
just felt. And I'm sorry, this was before the
59:37
first phase one patient. This was the first
59:39
phase This was the first phase one. So you're
59:41
going very low dose. We're going to dose.
59:43
Very low. is the first time it's going into
59:45
a human. the first human dosing of anti -VegF,
59:47
and we knew how important VegF was. So
59:50
we were scared. And this is also mid -90s.
59:52
Yeah. Yeah. This is all happening when you arrive.
59:54
Yeah, they just got there. I
59:56
mean, what a time to be a Genentech.
59:58
Yeah, it was wild. It was wild. Wow.
1:00:00
So we're into the clinic and we
1:00:02
make progress and it's really good news. and
1:00:04
lots of studies and we're ambitious. We want
1:00:06
to do a lot of different, we wanted
1:00:08
to do lung cancer and we ought
1:00:10
to do breast cancer and... How are you
1:00:12
picking the cancer to study something like this?
1:00:14
Herceptin's obvious because you're targeting a receptor. Herceptin
1:00:16
and retoxin were easy. You know what you're
1:00:19
doing but here you could be targeting
1:00:21
anything. There is one tumor
1:00:23
where VEGF plays a seminal role
1:00:25
and that is renal cell carcinoma. And
1:00:28
yet renal cells are really tough
1:00:30
to study. It's just,
1:00:32
it's not set up clinical trials
1:00:34
wise. Why is that? You've
1:00:36
got the IL2 stuff going on where
1:00:39
you've got 10 % of people will respond
1:00:41
to it, but 90 % won't. It should
1:00:43
be easier. It may be the sites and
1:00:45
where the clinicians are who care for
1:00:47
it. It may just be that pragmatic. We
1:00:50
kept struggling to figure out how
1:00:52
to do a good renal cell
1:00:54
study. But we thought we could
1:00:56
do a breast cancer study because
1:00:58
we had a lot of networks
1:01:00
of breast cancer patients and particularly
1:01:02
patients who weren't eligible for herceptin
1:01:04
because many of them weren't. So
1:01:06
we wanted to do a late
1:01:08
-stage breast cancer study because if
1:01:10
we could help these patients, we
1:01:12
would find out right away. These
1:01:14
were patients with metastatic breast cancer?
1:01:17
Metastatic breast cancer who had already
1:01:19
progressed through everything. Everything. So really
1:01:21
tough high bar. And the standard
1:01:23
you're going to hold yourself to
1:01:25
in the phase two is 50 %
1:01:27
shrinkage. We wanted to have
1:01:29
at least 50 % shrinkage. We wanted to
1:01:31
change time progression. This is a great
1:01:33
time to actually hit pause. I wanted
1:01:35
to do this later, but I think
1:01:37
this is the right drug to go
1:01:39
through two things. One, even though
1:01:41
I've done this probably half a dozen
1:01:43
times on the podcast, you should never assume
1:01:45
somebody remembers it. I want people to
1:01:47
understand what the difference is between a phase
1:01:49
one, a phase two, a phase three
1:01:51
study, also understand what's preclinical. It's not
1:01:54
intuitive to people why it costs a billion dollars
1:01:56
to get a drug to market and why it can
1:01:58
take a decade. And then
1:02:00
within that, if you could just
1:02:02
embed enough of the details
1:02:04
about decisions that you can make
1:02:06
that will make or break
1:02:08
you, how many times has a
1:02:10
drug failed because the experimental
1:02:12
design, the wrong patient
1:02:14
selection, the wrong disease selection? You
1:02:16
have got to line up four
1:02:18
pieces of Swiss cheese just right
1:02:20
to get the pen through to
1:02:22
hit it. Sorry to interrupt, but
1:02:24
let's go back good.
1:02:27
You got Judah Folkman talking about Vegev,
1:02:29
Vegev, Vegev, that then turns into,
1:02:31
well, if we made an antibody to
1:02:33
Vegev, okay, so there's your idea. Now
1:02:36
start the clock and start
1:02:38
the dollars. So if you start
1:02:40
with a target, often in oncology
1:02:42
today, we'll start with a target. There's
1:02:45
two things you have to
1:02:47
start with. One is, what's
1:02:49
the best way to turn down
1:02:51
or turn off that target? Is
1:02:53
it a small molecule? Is it an
1:02:56
antibody? Tell folks the difference. How
1:02:58
do you think of small molecule versus antibody? Where
1:03:00
do we draw the line? So here's a really
1:03:02
simple way I think of that helps me. Small
1:03:04
molecule is chemistry. Small molecule,
1:03:06
it can be, not always,
1:03:08
a pill. A small molecule
1:03:10
you're impacting on often pathways
1:03:13
or enzymes or things that
1:03:15
happen in the cell. A
1:03:17
large molecule, whether it's a
1:03:19
protein or especially an antibody, an
1:03:22
antibody's biology. An antibody you're
1:03:24
trying to do something that may
1:03:26
be immune in nature or
1:03:29
you use the antibody as a
1:03:31
delivery device. You're getting something
1:03:33
to the cell. A company
1:03:35
like Genentech and many modern
1:03:37
companies really like antibodies. I like
1:03:39
antibodies because when something happens,
1:03:42
it's on target. It doesn't tend
1:03:44
to be off target. Small
1:03:46
molecules at chemistry tends to have
1:03:48
surprises in negative ways off
1:03:50
target, like liver toxicity or kidney
1:03:52
toxicity. I do this through
1:03:55
cardiovascular medicine to explain to people
1:03:57
the difference between a statin
1:03:59
and a PCSK9 inhibitor. You have
1:04:01
these two very common drugs
1:04:03
that are used to lower cholesterol,
1:04:06
but a statin is a small molecule.
1:04:08
I don't say this in an insulting
1:04:11
way, but we use the terminology it's
1:04:13
dirty. It does block an enzyme, but
1:04:15
it's got all these off -target things and
1:04:17
your liver function gets whacked, you get
1:04:19
insulin resistance, some people get horrible muscle
1:04:21
soreness. So five to 10
1:04:23
% of people taking this drug are
1:04:25
going to have a side effect
1:04:27
that prevents them from taking the drug.
1:04:29
I've never seen a person yet
1:04:32
who couldn't tolerate a PCSK9 inhibitor where
1:04:34
you inject an antibody into them
1:04:36
that binds to a protein and shuts
1:04:38
it off. That's really a good
1:04:40
example. And the choice of molecule is
1:04:42
driven by that. When I
1:04:44
was first in product development, there was this
1:04:46
thing of, oh, you need a pill,
1:04:48
especially for chronic indications. You need a pill
1:04:50
for compliance. Right. Who would take an
1:04:53
injection for cholesterol? Look at obesity drugs. Turns
1:04:55
out a lot of people would take
1:04:57
an injection if they want to. But once
1:04:59
you have your selection, you
1:05:01
need to make sure you can make
1:05:03
it. And one of the critical
1:05:05
things for a biotech company, if it's
1:05:07
a protein or an antibody, is
1:05:09
the small scale production of it. In
1:05:12
small, they call it a mini -firm.
1:05:14
The mini -firm has to resemble what is actually
1:05:16
going to be used, because the next thing
1:05:18
you start doing is a bunch of models.
1:05:21
Judah Folkman, giving a great talk, doesn't
1:05:23
mean you believe that blocking VEGF
1:05:25
will help cancer. So we
1:05:27
do models in mice. We may
1:05:29
do larger. animals. We do fewer
1:05:31
animal models than we used to
1:05:34
because they're really limited. I would
1:05:36
rather have a great target with
1:05:38
good biology than an animal model,
1:05:40
but it's still helpful. It's still
1:05:42
helpful. And then the critical
1:05:44
thing is the preclinical work that
1:05:46
you do, what FDA is going
1:05:48
to want to ask you when they should,
1:05:50
this is not them being bad, this is
1:05:52
them being good, they're going to want to
1:05:54
ask you about toxicology. What's your safety plan?
1:05:57
Based on biology of VEGF, what are you
1:05:59
most worried about? I'm most worried about bleeding.
1:06:01
It's an antibody. I'm most worried about an
1:06:03
allergy to the antibody. Did any of the
1:06:05
tox studies show allergy to the antibody? What
1:06:08
are you going to look for and how
1:06:10
are you going to look? How often are you
1:06:12
going to measure the patient? So the preclinical
1:06:14
safety plan is really important and based on what
1:06:16
you find in toxicology. The
1:06:18
other thing that's essential is, and
1:06:20
especially modern oncology, if you
1:06:22
have a targeted therapy, you must
1:06:25
have a diagnostic. And that
1:06:27
is wicked hard because you've got
1:06:29
the therapeutic and the diagnostic
1:06:31
at the same time. Now,
1:06:33
things like CD20, things
1:06:35
like VEGF are very ubiquitous, so
1:06:37
it's not really targeted in the sense
1:06:39
of HER2, where we needed a
1:06:41
diagnostic. But if you need to have
1:06:43
that, we had what we call
1:06:45
the clinical trials assay for Herceptin that
1:06:47
wasn't to be marketed. Did you
1:06:50
guys have to have somebody in parallel
1:06:52
developing a CLIA certified assay? that
1:06:54
a pathologist was going to use, or
1:06:56
did you do that in -house? So
1:06:58
we had an in -house clinical trials
1:07:00
assay that we used all the
1:07:02
way through phase three. And you could
1:07:04
quality control the hell out of
1:07:06
it? It was fine. It was nothing
1:07:08
wrong with it, except it wasn't
1:07:10
approved. So not fine. So
1:07:12
when we went to FDA, they said we're
1:07:14
not approving her sept until you have an
1:07:17
approved diagnostic. So whose responsibility is like, how
1:07:19
do you encourage the world to make that
1:07:21
happen? So we went to DACO. We went
1:07:23
to several diagnostic companies and DACO said, we'll
1:07:25
make you an immunohistochemistry test for her too.
1:07:27
And her sub -test is made by DACO.
1:07:29
But we had to go back and correlate
1:07:31
that with the clinical trials to make sure
1:07:33
that it was the same as the clinical
1:07:35
trials acid. Now, why didn't you guys do
1:07:37
that in parallel? Was the cost too great?
1:07:39
And did you want to de -risk the drug
1:07:41
before you sunk the cost into that? We
1:07:44
were... an experience to realize we should have.
1:07:46
I see. Okay, so nowadays we're doing that
1:07:48
in parallel. Oh, for sure on parallel. Yeah,
1:07:50
for sure. It was a mistake. So how
1:07:52
long, just to again go back to helping
1:07:54
people think through the arc of time, from
1:07:56
the moment you guys hit a go decision on,
1:07:59
we want to do this, we want to pursue
1:08:01
this path, how long until you file the IND?
1:08:03
Oh gosh. It could be
1:08:05
years. It could be two, three years
1:08:07
because you're doing animal models. Maybe
1:08:10
tell folks what the IND is so
1:08:12
they understand why that's an important
1:08:14
milestone. So the investigational new drug is
1:08:16
asking the Food and Drug Administration
1:08:18
permission to ship an unapproved drug across
1:08:20
state lines. If you and I
1:08:22
wanted to do something in Austin, we
1:08:24
could actually do it, which is sort of
1:08:26
weird when you think about it, but most people
1:08:29
don't really want to do that. Peter Sue
1:08:31
drug. It's going to be amazing. We're going to
1:08:33
set the lab up right over there. But
1:08:35
the moment we want to run a clinical trial.
1:08:37
And ship it. And get it out of
1:08:39
the state. You got to have the IND. So
1:08:41
the investigational new drug is the request. And
1:08:43
what happens is that you take all this information
1:08:46
I've been talking about, that you know you
1:08:48
have a molecule, you trust
1:08:50
the way you're producing the molecule,
1:08:52
you understand the biology enough,
1:08:54
you have a safety plan, and
1:08:56
you have a phase one
1:08:59
protocol. So phase one has one
1:09:01
purpose. We're all greedy. I've
1:09:03
been there. It is only
1:09:05
for safety. Phase one is is it
1:09:07
safe to give humans this molecule? Is it
1:09:09
safe to give it once? Is
1:09:11
it safe to give it multiple times?
1:09:13
And there's an art to knowing where to
1:09:15
start the dose because it's an escalating
1:09:18
dose trial. That's right. But you're extrapolating. from
1:09:20
what you learned about toxicity in a
1:09:22
totally different organism that never translates one to
1:09:24
one to the organism of choice. It's
1:09:26
absolutely true. And it's not uncommon. And you
1:09:28
see people all the time backing up
1:09:30
on the dose thinking, oh, that was more
1:09:32
than we needed or more than we
1:09:34
wanted. But phase one, with a
1:09:37
good preclinical package, a good IND,
1:09:39
phase one should be uneventful. And because
1:09:41
we are greedy in oncology, we
1:09:43
always look to see if anybody responds
1:09:45
just because... what we do. But
1:09:47
phase one often, to be fair, has
1:09:49
some really tough patients who are
1:09:51
trying something and have tried a lot
1:09:53
of other things. So the patient
1:09:55
population can be tough to find any
1:09:57
efficacy in. So phase one, I
1:09:59
always think of phase one as it
1:10:01
might be a year that you're
1:10:03
in phase one if you're doing really
1:10:05
good job. And typical cost given
1:10:07
the relatively low numbers of patients. Oh
1:10:10
gosh, in the tens
1:10:12
of millions? Tens of millions, yep. Yeah, tens of
1:10:14
millions. And then you get into the 20s
1:10:16
and 30s and 40s of millions with
1:10:18
the phase two, depending on how big
1:10:20
your phase two is. And phase two,
1:10:23
I think, that's where people can use
1:10:25
their intellect, I think in many ways.
1:10:27
Phase two, you start to look at
1:10:29
what's the right dose and schedule. Very,
1:10:31
very important to get the right dose
1:10:33
and schedule and... What's the right outcome?
1:10:35
What's the right patient? Who do you
1:10:37
want to treat? And really
1:10:39
what phase two is supposed to do,
1:10:42
with one exception, phase two is supposed to
1:10:44
get you ready for phase three. You've
1:10:46
got a dose, you've got a schedule, you've
1:10:48
got a patient selection criteria, and
1:10:50
you've got a hypothesis of where this is going
1:10:52
to be a drug. The exception in
1:10:54
oncology is sometimes you want to get
1:10:56
an approval off phase two. When we tested
1:10:58
anti -veg F in breast cancer in phase
1:11:00
two, we wanted to use that as
1:11:02
an approval study because we would go in
1:11:05
and say, look, it can be a
1:11:07
contingent approval, but these patients have nothing else
1:11:09
to do. And so I think that
1:11:11
can happen, especially targeted therapy. where you've got
1:11:13
the perfect target and FDA is feeling
1:11:15
good about it too. That can be a
1:11:17
phase two study. But most the time
1:11:20
you're getting ready for phase three. So
1:11:22
where were you guys with anti -vegetarian
1:11:24
phase two? You're at breast cancer
1:11:26
and did you do colon? We did
1:11:28
colon but not the kind of
1:11:30
study that I just mentioned for approval.
1:11:32
We did a traditional phase two
1:11:34
and colon. So what happened is the
1:11:36
breast cancer study failed. And I
1:11:38
was so disappointed. I was so hoping
1:11:40
that that would work. I still
1:11:42
remember that day. For me, it was
1:11:44
like, oh, we need more better
1:11:46
drugs for breast cancer because I often
1:11:48
heard from people when they're the
1:11:50
three out of four patients to her
1:11:52
septum wasn't for them. If you
1:11:54
looked at your stock that day, it
1:11:56
also looked really bad because all
1:11:58
the hype about Avastin was there. But
1:12:01
in colon cancer, we had a phase
1:12:03
two, got ready on the dose and schedule,
1:12:05
and then we went to a phase
1:12:07
three study in colon cancer, much more traditional.
1:12:09
just plus minus a vast. 5FU and
1:12:11
the usual suspects. 5FU and the usual suspects
1:12:13
plus minus a vast. And that succeeded.
1:12:15
That was a stage four? Only stage four.
1:12:17
This is a median survival study. You're
1:12:19
not doing overall survival, correct? That was a
1:12:22
median survival study. Actually, I don't remember
1:12:24
all the details of that one. I feel
1:12:26
like it was eight more months of
1:12:28
median survival. Does that sound about right? Probably
1:12:30
right. It was the first new thing
1:12:32
in colon cancer for a while too. So
1:12:34
people were pretty excited. Now, at this
1:12:36
point, I'm in medical school just down the
1:12:38
street. I'm at Stanford. And I remember
1:12:40
we had a big discussion about this. I'm
1:12:42
in my first year of medical school,
1:12:44
and the discussion we had in class was,
1:12:47
I think at the time we've asked them was
1:12:49
$100 ,000 for the treatment. Extends median survival
1:12:51
by whatever, but I think it was eight months.
1:12:54
The UK said no. The NHS said
1:12:56
we are not paying for this because
1:12:58
at the time the NHS had this
1:13:00
$100 ,000 quality adjusted life year hurdle. which
1:13:02
is understandable, right? That's how the Uthrottle
1:13:04
supply site economics. They said, look, we
1:13:06
can't pay for a drug. We can't
1:13:08
pay more than $100 ,000 for an
1:13:10
incremental year of quality adjusted life year.
1:13:12
This is only giving you eight months.
1:13:14
That's why I know it was less
1:13:16
than 12. And so the NHS
1:13:18
flatly said, we're not paying for this. And I
1:13:20
do believe people in the UK could pay out
1:13:22
of pocket for it. You can get it out
1:13:24
of pocket, but not through the National Health Service.
1:13:27
That's right. People in Canada could not because you
1:13:29
couldn't have private insurance in Canada, though you could
1:13:31
come to the US for treatment. So of course,
1:13:33
this just became a great topic of discussion for
1:13:35
med school freshman, what was your
1:13:37
thought at the time of, have
1:13:39
we moved the needle enough? How do we
1:13:41
think about the economics of this? So
1:13:43
I had a lot of different
1:13:45
reactions. First of all, with Avastin, it
1:13:47
was the first time I remember
1:13:49
reading, and I think it was one
1:13:51
of those curtain raiser things in
1:13:53
the Wall Street Journal for the breast
1:13:55
cancer study. The headline was, Avastin
1:13:58
might help breast cancer patients, but
1:14:00
can they afford to take it? I
1:14:02
was shocked that was the first
1:14:04
time I had read and as long
1:14:06
as I had been at Genentech
1:14:08
that somebody couldn't afford one of our
1:14:10
drugs. That instead of saying, oh,
1:14:12
isn't that cool? Britaxin, Herceptin, Avastin, it
1:14:14
was too much money. And
1:14:16
that felt really important to me and
1:14:18
really not good. We had as a company
1:14:21
a philosophy that no patient should go
1:14:23
without any of our drugs because of an
1:14:25
inability to pay. So we had a
1:14:27
bunch of patient, what do you call those?
1:14:29
Patient support programs, whatever. So we had
1:14:31
a bunch of different things in place. So
1:14:33
I knew we had those programs, but
1:14:35
that doesn't help the patients in the UK.
1:14:38
And it doesn't help the overall cost
1:14:40
because we're actually supplementing, but the cost is
1:14:42
still really high. And we started to
1:14:44
have a lot more discussion at the executive
1:14:46
committee about the price and how we
1:14:48
would think about it and how we would
1:14:50
price the drugs because that was, like
1:14:53
I say, that was not good. Did you
1:14:55
go straight from Genentech to being a
1:14:57
chancellor at UCSF? Just because I
1:14:59
want to stay with the story, I want to continue
1:15:01
the arc of your career. We're at the halfway point,
1:15:03
right? We're one -third of the way
1:15:05
into... Early days. We're in
1:15:07
the 90s. How did you, given
1:15:09
you are truly on the
1:15:11
cusp? of what is happening in
1:15:13
oncology and biotechnology. And
1:15:15
now the same institution that said, you
1:15:17
can't come back here to have
1:15:19
a clinical appointment after saving the people
1:15:21
of Uganda is now offering you
1:15:23
the highest post essentially outside of a
1:15:25
provost, I'm guessing, right? I don't
1:15:28
even know where the is the highest
1:15:30
post. It is the highest post.
1:15:32
Okay, so that's kind of remarkable. And
1:15:34
does that just speak to what
1:15:36
they saw as the vision of that
1:15:38
institution, which was... people have learned
1:15:40
what Sue has learned in the last
1:15:42
10 years, and we want that
1:15:44
type of leadership here. So first of
1:15:46
all, on the genetic side of
1:15:48
things, Roche bought us. That's right. That
1:15:50
was 99. That
1:15:52
was 2009. Oh,
1:15:55
2009. Oh my God. Okay. I'm off
1:15:57
by a whole decade. I thought that was
1:15:59
sooner. 2009, which was not what we
1:16:01
wanted. It was a... It's a hostile takeover.
1:16:03
A hostile takeover. Yeah. They call it in the
1:16:05
business world, a squeeze out. They squeezed us out. So
1:16:07
I knew I was going to leave. I knew
1:16:09
I was going to do something different. And
1:16:12
UCSF, I had been really
1:16:14
close with the chief of medicine
1:16:16
who was my chief of medicine
1:16:18
when I was an intern, Holly
1:16:20
Smith. Do you know Holly
1:16:23
Smith? No, I don't. So Holly
1:16:25
Smith was a South Carolinian,
1:16:27
Harvard trained, amazing person. And between
1:16:29
him and Bill Rutter, who
1:16:31
founded Chiron, who's a biochemist, they
1:16:33
decided a long time ago
1:16:36
that UCSF should not be a
1:16:38
backwater medical school and should
1:16:40
be a serious medical school. So
1:16:42
Holly on the clinical front and
1:16:44
Bill on the scientific front just decided
1:16:46
they would start recruiting people to
1:16:49
have a great institution, like a pretty
1:16:51
amazing thing. Matt was starting
1:16:53
in the 80s. It was
1:16:55
probably 80s, 70s, 80s. I was
1:16:57
still friends with Holly. I
1:16:59
just think there's so many wonderful
1:17:01
things about Holly that I
1:17:03
admired. that I was still
1:17:05
friends with him. So Holly called
1:17:08
me and said, Mike Bishop is
1:17:10
stepping down of Bishop Envarmus, that
1:17:12
Mike Bishop. Of Nobel fame. And
1:17:14
you should be Chancellor. Of
1:17:17
course, I said to Holly, I'm not a professor.
1:17:19
And I said, well, if they're interested
1:17:21
in me, I'd be open to talking
1:17:23
to them. They were, and I went
1:17:25
through the interview process. I'm sure that
1:17:27
when you're going through that, sorry to interrupt.
1:17:30
Because you're now interviewing with the Board of
1:17:32
Trustees. They have a search committee. Yeah. Yeah.
1:17:34
And so they must be asking you to
1:17:36
present a vision. They're not interviewing you to
1:17:38
make sure you know how to use PowerPoint.
1:17:40
Yeah. Do you remember what the vision is
1:17:42
that you presented to them? What
1:17:44
I do remember, and I remember
1:17:46
if you remember 2009, was
1:17:48
just... Post -apocalypse. Horrible recession
1:17:50
and California being particularly
1:17:53
in a bad place. So
1:17:55
I just talked to
1:17:57
them about how I think
1:17:59
about managing people, how
1:18:01
I think about making sure that you
1:18:03
use whatever assets you have maximally. I
1:18:05
admitted that I had never done fundraising,
1:18:07
but I had done a lot of
1:18:09
work with Wall Street and I could
1:18:11
talk. You were the president. What was
1:18:13
your title at Genentech before left? President.
1:18:15
Yeah. Yeah. And I did a massive
1:18:17
amount of investor relations because art didn't
1:18:19
like traveling or talking. So...
1:18:22
My kind of guy. Mine
1:18:25
too. No, we were a good
1:18:27
partnership. But I also said, look, if
1:18:29
you think about running the faculty
1:18:31
meeting, I'm probably not your guy, but
1:18:33
that's what the provost does. I
1:18:35
think they really thought they wanted somebody
1:18:37
who could work on the business
1:18:39
aspects of the campus. We needed to
1:18:41
finish Bay. You're really the CEO
1:18:43
of the system. doing. Yeah. Yeah. And
1:18:45
you manage the hospital CEO and
1:18:47
it's a big hospital system. There's no
1:18:49
undergrads at UCSF. So that was
1:18:51
what they were looking for. And I
1:18:53
thought, well, why not? Were
1:18:55
you nervous? I mean, when they called you
1:18:57
and said you've got the job, was there
1:18:59
a moment where you thought, have I bit
1:19:01
off more than I can chew? This is
1:19:03
a huge responsibility. I was really concerned. I
1:19:06
was really concerned about it. And I also
1:19:08
realized, because some of the faculty were pretty
1:19:10
negative when I first started. Because you were
1:19:12
an outsider, you were an alum, but you
1:19:14
weren't coming up through the ranks as the
1:19:16
CEO of the hospital or something. I actually
1:19:18
think they were just as nervous as I
1:19:20
was about money. They weren't convinced that I
1:19:23
knew how to get them money. Because, you
1:19:25
know, if you're running a program, you need
1:19:27
money. It's the mother's milk of doing science.
1:19:30
So tell me about the budget
1:19:32
of UCSF, because it's a state
1:19:34
school, presumably California provides what fraction
1:19:36
of it? Almost nothing. So what's
1:19:38
the benefit of being a UC? The
1:19:40
brand. There's a curriculum thing. There's some
1:19:42
things that. So in that sense, you
1:19:44
and Stanford aren't that far apart? Not
1:19:46
that different. I mean, the most important
1:19:48
things, you've got clinical income. You've got
1:19:50
NIH -driven income, right? You've got other
1:19:52
grant income and you have philanthropy. Show
1:19:55
me the P &L on those things there.
1:19:57
So NIH is bringing in how much?
1:19:59
Oh gosh. Percentage -wise, roughly. Of
1:20:01
the money that you use every day,
1:20:03
there's this discussion of overheads now. yeah.
1:20:05
It probably gets up to a third.
1:20:07
A third of the revenue for general
1:20:09
operations is coming out of the NIH
1:20:11
overhead. Probably, yeah. And then clinical revenue.
1:20:13
Clinical is a lot, but a lot
1:20:15
of it goes back to the hospital.
1:20:17
You know, it's a not -for -profit. They
1:20:19
spend it on the hospital. Okay. And
1:20:21
then philanthropy is some direct, some into
1:20:23
the endowment where you're living off the
1:20:25
interest. Yeah. And that's basically what your
1:20:27
revenue streams are, those four things. And
1:20:29
then the tuition is tiny. Well, especially
1:20:31
because you don't have undergrads, right? Yeah.
1:20:33
Right. Because the number of students is
1:20:35
really low. And the really good news
1:20:37
at UCSF. I didn't even apply to
1:20:39
UCSF, by the way, because I mean,
1:20:42
I was not in California when I
1:20:44
was applying to medical school. I
1:20:46
was told, well, such a great medical school
1:20:48
that I was like, there's no way I'm
1:20:50
going to get in. as a non -Californian. So
1:20:52
I didn't even apply. So the funny thing
1:20:54
for me is... But you did and you
1:20:56
got in. Well, there's a story there. We
1:20:58
talked about me being at University of Nevada.
1:21:00
What we didn't talk about is my first
1:21:02
year at University of Nevada, my
1:21:04
youngest sister was born. So
1:21:06
I lived at home and helped
1:21:08
my mom in Reno. Because there's like
1:21:10
seven of you, right? There's seven
1:21:13
of us. Yeah. And number seven was
1:21:15
born when I was a freshman.
1:21:17
It was kind of crazy. But when
1:21:19
I went to medical school, I
1:21:21
used to have like this sign on
1:21:23
the stairs, be quiet. I'm studying
1:21:25
down here. It's like probably a giant
1:21:27
pain. But I wanted to
1:21:29
go to San Francisco. My dad was
1:21:31
born and raised in San Francisco. My
1:21:33
grandma lived in San Francisco. So even
1:21:35
though I was still pretty young in
1:21:38
terms of ever living outside the home,
1:21:40
I knew San Francisco and wanted to
1:21:42
go. But UCSF had never taken. a
1:21:44
university in Nevada student because we were
1:21:46
a pretty new medical school. I was
1:21:48
only in the second four -year class. Oh,
1:21:50
wow. Yeah. And I was excited like
1:21:53
my head would blow off. Like I
1:21:55
wanted to go to UCSF so big
1:21:57
time. So I'm going
1:21:59
back to UCSF and the
1:22:01
really good news, what saved
1:22:03
me as chancellor is philanthropy. It
1:22:06
turns out that we needed people
1:22:08
to care about the mission and the
1:22:11
projects at UCSF. right at the
1:22:13
same time as the Mark Zuckerbergs of
1:22:15
the world and the venture capitalists
1:22:17
of the world. And a lot of
1:22:19
people had come into a lot
1:22:21
of money. Even though the overall economy
1:22:23
was bad, it was coming back. And
1:22:26
we had some spectacular
1:22:28
successes. And my successor, Sam
1:22:30
Hoggard, continues to have that kind of
1:22:33
success. And people are just really
1:22:35
generous. Americans are hands down
1:22:37
the most generous people in the
1:22:39
world. I think that's a demonstrable
1:22:41
fact. Yeah, I'm big on New
1:22:43
Year's resolutions. One of
1:22:45
my New Year's resolutions. I
1:22:47
have a mini list. One
1:22:49
thing that's always on the list is be more
1:22:51
generous. I'm no Mark Zuckerberg, but
1:22:53
I can be generous in other ways. I'm
1:22:55
sure that you must deserve some of
1:22:57
the credit for that. I don't think it's
1:23:00
just that a bunch of people in
1:23:02
the Bay Area came into money at that
1:23:04
period of time. What was the approach
1:23:06
you took towards philanthropy and how did you
1:23:08
reach donors that maybe previously hadn't been
1:23:10
involved in UCSF because again one of the
1:23:12
things that's working against you is you
1:23:14
don't have an undergraduate. So Stanford
1:23:16
has a big advantage over you in
1:23:18
which you've got a lot of people
1:23:20
that are coming through doing engineering degrees,
1:23:23
doing CS degrees who are going
1:23:25
on to create enormous enterprises. Anyone
1:23:27
who's an alum of UCSF went
1:23:29
to graduate school there. There's no
1:23:31
business school. There's no law school.
1:23:33
So you're missing out on a
1:23:35
lot of Don't forget the hospital.
1:23:37
Yes. The most important donor base
1:23:39
is Grateful Patients. Yes. Or people
1:23:41
who love science, technology. I
1:23:43
hired John Ford, who had
1:23:45
retired as the head of
1:23:47
Stanford's fundraising. Moved up
1:23:49
to the Northeast and he was my head
1:23:51
of development. And I talked to John
1:23:53
and I said, how do you do this?
1:23:56
Teach me how to be a good
1:23:58
fundraiser. And he talked about tell people your
1:24:00
hopes and dreams, tell people what you're
1:24:02
excited about and ask them what they're excited
1:24:04
about and see if there's a match.
1:24:06
And I think that was really important. And
1:24:08
then I also think that because I
1:24:11
had been at Genentech and I was sort
1:24:13
of gregarious and knew a lot of
1:24:15
people and people knew that I had a
1:24:17
decent business savvy. I wasn't going to
1:24:19
waste their money. We were very committed to
1:24:21
use the money wisely, especially in the
1:24:23
hard times and do special things at UCSF.
1:24:26
I was surprised. I
1:24:28
sort of worried that I would be sad
1:24:30
if people said no. That
1:24:32
it would be weird, especially if I knew
1:24:34
them well. So I would get myself psyched up
1:24:36
for the beginning of it. And then by
1:24:38
the end, I'd be like, oh, that's fine. Next
1:24:40
time if you're in town, let's talk again
1:24:42
and maybe it'll change or whatever. But it was
1:24:44
actually fun. I got to talk to and
1:24:47
meet a lot of great people. What
1:24:49
percentage of your time was
1:24:51
spent externally versus internally? Probably
1:24:54
40 % externally. a lot external. And
1:24:56
what was the internal focus then? Working
1:24:58
with the team. So who were your
1:25:00
direct reports? The provost? Provost, CEO of
1:25:02
the hospital, lawyer, all
1:25:05
the deans, that was really
1:25:07
important. And then part of
1:25:09
it was monthly we met with all
1:25:11
the chancellors with the president of the university.
1:25:13
We was marked off at the time
1:25:16
and then he stepped down after a while.
1:25:18
But the chancellors meetings were funny because
1:25:20
they all had undergrads. I always felt like
1:25:22
I was squirming like, are we done
1:25:24
yet? I thought
1:25:26
it was just really important. My favorite thing,
1:25:29
every Friday, lunch, Mission
1:25:31
Bay, they had a science talk. And
1:25:34
they'd have some pizza, Chinese food,
1:25:36
something, and you'd look around
1:25:38
the room and it'd be like Bruce
1:25:40
Alberts, Liz Blackburn, there'd be four Nobel
1:25:42
Prize winners in this little cramped room
1:25:44
listening to science. This would be something
1:25:46
you did as a scientist, not necessarily
1:25:48
as the chancellor. Not as a chancellor.
1:25:50
The chancellors weren't doing this all the
1:25:53
time. I just go over on the
1:25:55
shuttle bus, eat a slice of pizza
1:25:57
and enjoy. Yeah, amazing. It was really
1:25:59
good. So then let's get to
1:26:01
the next chapter. What all of a
1:26:03
sudden in 2013, 2014 leads to the next
1:26:05
transition to being the CEO of the
1:26:07
Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation? Well,
1:26:09
to my surprise, I think I
1:26:11
got an email or I think
1:26:13
it was an email from Melinda.
1:26:16
Did I have time to talk?
1:26:18
And UCSF throws a big event
1:26:20
every year that's kind of friend
1:26:22
-making, fundraising, everything, and we give
1:26:24
out awards, recognition to people whose
1:26:26
work we respect a lot. So
1:26:28
I had invited Melinda the year
1:26:30
before and thought, she'll never come. You
1:26:33
invite people, the throwaway invite. And she
1:26:35
accepted and came, actually came with her
1:26:37
mom and dad even better. And I
1:26:39
thought that was nice. So
1:26:41
she sent me an email and
1:26:43
she said that she and Bill wanted
1:26:46
me to look at being the
1:26:48
next CEO of the Gates Foundation.
1:26:51
And I was surprised. I had
1:26:53
not expected that. And I started
1:26:55
having discussions with them. It was
1:26:57
actually funny. I went up to
1:26:59
Seattle and they were having all
1:27:01
this hush -hush. You know, this was
1:27:03
very cloak and dagger. So
1:27:05
I went to their house because I had
1:27:07
had a meeting with Melinda and I needed
1:27:09
to meet with Bill. And it was Halloween.
1:27:13
The kids are coming and going. It was
1:27:15
kind of crazy. as I had talked to
1:27:17
him. And I talked to my husband. You know,
1:27:19
my husband worked at the Gates Foundation. He
1:27:21
led the HIV and TB programs
1:27:23
about five years before. Was
1:27:26
he still there? No, no, he had gone.
1:27:28
He was commuting to Seattle, which was dreadful. But
1:27:30
he knew the Gates Foundation. So he and
1:27:32
I were talking about this and I was like,
1:27:34
oh, God, you know, I've only been at
1:27:36
UCSF five years. I just found where the bathrooms
1:27:38
are, you know, that kind of thing. And
1:27:40
it was going well. I was happy with that.
1:27:42
They asked for a teleconference and
1:27:44
they got on the phone and
1:27:46
Especially Bill made this big pitch
1:27:48
that a lot of people could
1:27:50
do the UCSF job with all
1:27:52
due respect as Bill went for
1:27:54
it. But I was the only
1:27:57
person who they both wanted and
1:27:59
who could do this job. I
1:28:01
was perfect for the job and
1:28:03
it's really important for the world
1:28:05
and I needed to do it.
1:28:07
I assume that the rationale for
1:28:09
that was obviously their focus is
1:28:11
on global health and You
1:28:13
have the background in the clinical side,
1:28:15
the research side, the epidemiologic side,
1:28:17
the management side. So there's kind of
1:28:19
those are four legs of a
1:28:21
chair. Were there other things that I'm
1:28:23
missing that they felt were kind
1:28:25
of essential pillars? I think it
1:28:27
was less obvious then, but I think
1:28:29
now they had started to kind of have
1:28:32
disparate views of how the foundation should
1:28:34
operate. Melinda has been
1:28:36
really all over women's issues, all
1:28:38
over. And Bill would do another
1:28:41
run at polio. It's like the
1:28:43
goal broadly that all lives have
1:28:45
equal value, which by the way,
1:28:47
I think is a wonderful thing.
1:28:49
They share, but they come at
1:28:51
it from different ways. And
1:28:53
so I think that the thing
1:28:55
that resonated for me is that I
1:28:58
could see both those points of
1:29:00
view. But those points of view don't
1:29:02
strike me as mutually exclusive for
1:29:04
an organization with enormous resources. Yes and
1:29:06
no. It's one thing to have
1:29:08
enormous resources. It's another to know where
1:29:10
one of the most important assets
1:29:12
they have is the time and energy
1:29:14
of Bill and Melinda. They actually
1:29:16
show up. Things happen. So
1:29:18
how did you weigh this
1:29:20
decision? I thought that I
1:29:22
could add value. I thought I would learn
1:29:24
a lot. And I did think that UCSF
1:29:27
would be fine without me. I felt like
1:29:29
we were back on our feet financially. I
1:29:31
thought that Sam Hoggood, who was the Dean
1:29:33
of the School of Medicine, I had a
1:29:35
ton of respect for him and thought he
1:29:37
was the obvious person to take my place
1:29:39
and that it would be okay. Were they
1:29:41
surprised? Did they try to talk you out
1:29:44
of this? I don't think they did. I
1:29:46
actually think they had a lot of respect
1:29:48
for the Gates Foundation and thought, oh, well,
1:29:50
that's a cool job. At least the
1:29:52
way they showed up with me. Maybe when I wasn't
1:29:54
there, they did. Okay. So you head up to
1:29:56
Seattle now. Yes. When you show up to the foundation,
1:29:58
how many employees are there? What does it look
1:30:01
like? It's not for profit, but does it run like
1:30:03
Microsoft? I mean, how does it operate? It's
1:30:05
a couple thousand. It's a big
1:30:07
foundation, big building, big foundation with
1:30:09
people all over the world now.
1:30:12
There was a lot I wasn't
1:30:14
surprised by, like the global
1:30:16
health stuff I knew what they
1:30:18
were doing, and I thought
1:30:20
it was interesting and great. And
1:30:22
the challenge for me was
1:30:25
Bill's endless appetite for things like
1:30:27
learning things. driving things, funding
1:30:29
things, and me feeling like
1:30:31
I could get my hands around a
1:30:33
strategic plan. It was a little bit
1:30:35
like, okay, this staff would be like,
1:30:37
Bill's gonna love this. Let's present that,
1:30:39
you know, it was that kind of
1:30:41
feeling and lots of money. So I
1:30:43
kept trying to get my hands around
1:30:46
like, okay, what should we do? So
1:30:48
it's just a little more orderly and
1:30:50
we get a great return on our
1:30:52
investment. That was the most important focus.
1:30:55
I feel good about that. The funny
1:30:57
thing was I sent the finance
1:30:59
team to Genentech, and we had this
1:31:01
really great portfolio management process that
1:31:03
we put in place when I was
1:31:05
there, and they still use it
1:31:07
apparently. And because I recommended
1:31:09
to Bill, we just have a portfolio
1:31:11
management process. Pretty simple. Everybody knows how you
1:31:13
make decisions, what money's up, what we'll
1:31:15
do, and we can use that here. Doesn't
1:31:17
need to be bureaucratic, Bill, so we
1:31:19
don't need it. It's all in my head.
1:31:22
And I remember that conversation. And
1:31:25
I thought, if it wasn't you, I would think that
1:31:27
was a smart ass thing to say. But
1:31:30
I actually think you're just being honest. So
1:31:32
I encouraged him to understand that just because
1:31:34
it was in his head didn't mean that the
1:31:36
rest of us were there. We
1:31:38
had a little more ability to
1:31:40
make things orderly, I'd say. It
1:31:42
was a wild ride. It was
1:31:45
six years of a wild ride.
1:31:47
What was the most difficult thing
1:31:49
for you to impact that you
1:31:51
wanted to change? Meaning, was there
1:31:53
a global initiative that you wanted
1:31:55
to get your hands around that
1:31:57
you just couldn't do organizationally or
1:31:59
technically or what were the challenges?
1:32:02
I would say far the opposite. The
1:32:04
things that I felt like I knew about, I
1:32:06
felt like really good about the
1:32:08
TV stuff. There's a HIV cure program
1:32:10
now that I'm really psyched about. Technically,
1:32:13
I felt really good. Probably
1:32:15
the hardest thing for me
1:32:17
was the people side of
1:32:19
things. I have a very
1:32:22
strong sense of how people
1:32:24
should treat each other and
1:32:26
the competencies that managers should
1:32:28
have. And I'm not
1:32:30
willing to move on that because
1:32:32
you're a technical expert. And I found
1:32:34
that if you do move on
1:32:36
that, it just changes the culture.
1:32:38
And I struggle with that. Say
1:32:40
a little bit more on that. Is
1:32:42
that because In the not -for -profit
1:32:44
space, you have a different talent
1:32:47
pool than you do at Genentech? No,
1:32:49
I think it's because Bill really
1:32:51
likes technical experts. And if
1:32:53
he likes a technical expert, he
1:32:55
doesn't want the CEO to come and
1:32:57
say anything, but yes, they are
1:32:59
very smart. What did the org
1:33:01
chart look like? So I assume Bill and
1:33:03
Melinda are co -chairs. They were, yeah. And
1:33:05
then as the CEO, who are
1:33:07
your direct reports? Is it organized by
1:33:10
a bunch of GMs in different programs?
1:33:12
Yeah. So there's a TB person,
1:33:14
an HIV person, a polio person, malaria
1:33:16
person? a global health person. There's a
1:33:18
global development person. There's an ag person.
1:33:20
So under global health, you then have
1:33:22
sub? Then you have the subs. Yeah.
1:33:24
Global health is a big job,
1:33:26
obviously. a very job. That's the biggest.
1:33:29
Yeah. It's the biggest P &L. And then
1:33:31
U .S. education is a pretty big
1:33:33
job too. Oh, I don't even realize.
1:33:35
I'm not as familiar with the portfolio.
1:33:37
Yeah. The one that has been
1:33:39
ag is now ag financial services for
1:33:41
the poor, So it's a pretty broad
1:33:43
group. What's the annual budget? 8 billion. Wow.
1:33:46
So much money. It's
1:33:48
amazing. Yeah. So what
1:33:50
are things that you could not
1:33:53
have done there in that role
1:33:55
had you not had the leadership
1:33:57
roles at Genentech and UCSF? Oh
1:33:59
gosh. I think more
1:34:01
the people side of things. I
1:34:04
remember there was an employee who was
1:34:06
really struggling at Genentech and her boss, I
1:34:08
was his boss and he kept talking
1:34:10
to me about how she was struggling. How
1:34:12
she was struggling. Could we do this?
1:34:14
Did we need to give her fewer reports,
1:34:16
more reports, make her job harder, make
1:34:18
her job easier? We couldn't figure it out.
1:34:20
Couldn't figure it out. Performance was struggling,
1:34:22
you mean? Performance was struggling. And just not
1:34:25
acting like she had been. We just
1:34:27
couldn't figure it out. And
1:34:29
finally one day, she said, oh, I'm
1:34:31
getting a divorce. And after a
1:34:33
little while, things got better. And
1:34:35
I thought, you know, not everything's work. Not
1:34:38
everything's work. So I think as
1:34:40
a manager, I really care about people
1:34:42
thriving at work. I really care
1:34:44
about it. And when
1:34:46
I went to Gates Foundation, I
1:34:48
think I understood better given
1:34:51
Genentech and UCSF that a very
1:34:53
important principle, work never
1:34:55
fills in for home, ever. It
1:34:57
never makes up for bad home.
1:34:59
So if somebody needs a time out,
1:35:01
I always think, how can I
1:35:03
improve work? And sometimes it's good to
1:35:05
just understand that that's not always
1:35:07
the case. Especially if you're working in
1:35:09
global health or global development, you
1:35:11
might be in South Africa. You might
1:35:13
be in China. It's
1:35:15
rough. So just thinking
1:35:18
a little bit about how people can
1:35:20
show up in ways, it's $8
1:35:22
billion. How do they maximize the benefit
1:35:24
of that $8 billion? And what can
1:35:26
I do to enable that? Are
1:35:28
you basically only able to
1:35:30
affect that through your interaction with
1:35:32
your direct reports and just
1:35:34
hope that that's the infusion of
1:35:36
culture that then trickles down
1:35:38
because it's hard to go two
1:35:41
levels below your management. And
1:35:43
yet the people who probably need this
1:35:45
compassion the most are people you're not even
1:35:47
going to meet. Yes and no.
1:35:49
One thing about traveling a lot, you
1:35:51
have big events or things like that is
1:35:53
you meet people on trips. And
1:35:55
that's different people throughout the organization. So
1:35:57
I think there are opportunities. I also set
1:36:00
up meetings when people would have a
1:36:02
grant that needed to be signed, the business
1:36:04
process was it would show up on
1:36:06
my computer. So I changed the business process
1:36:08
so I got the group that could
1:36:10
fit around the table in my office and
1:36:12
we would talk about the grant. So
1:36:14
I could interact with more people that weren't
1:36:16
my reports, which I really liked. So
1:36:19
I do think it is mostly
1:36:21
through your reports, but I think there
1:36:23
are ways that at a senior
1:36:25
level, you can interact with people culture
1:36:28
-wise. Yeah. The word culture,
1:36:30
it's very misunderstood. When you
1:36:32
think about the culture that you wanted
1:36:34
to bring to the Gates Foundation, I'd
1:36:36
like to understand what that was and
1:36:38
how successful you think you were able
1:36:40
to be. And I say that because
1:36:42
you were in an organization where you
1:36:44
also had very powerful other present people
1:36:46
whose culture was also a part of
1:36:48
the organization. So for me,
1:36:50
I define culture in a
1:36:52
really specific way that When
1:36:54
you come to work, you
1:36:56
feel like the atmosphere, the surround
1:36:58
sound brings out the best
1:37:00
in you and that you have
1:37:02
some ownership of tweaking it
1:37:04
if it doesn't. So that's something
1:37:06
that you feel like you
1:37:08
can control because if you're in
1:37:10
thousands of people or hundreds,
1:37:13
thousands, tens of thousands of people
1:37:15
and you're the CEO, you're
1:37:17
not going to do that. But
1:37:19
that you set up that
1:37:21
culture. One of my favorite stories
1:37:23
from Genentech was being at
1:37:25
a product development meeting that my
1:37:27
successor as medical officer, Hal
1:37:29
Baron, was running. And
1:37:31
Art and I both attended just because we loved
1:37:33
it and we wanted to be there, but we
1:37:35
weren't decision makers. We were just attendees. Which is
1:37:37
kind of odd. The person who's the decision maker
1:37:39
is sitting in the presence of the two most
1:37:41
senior people in the company, leaving it to him
1:37:43
to decision. We're leaving it to him. Yeah. But
1:37:46
in this case, there was someone who
1:37:48
the discussion was about her septin and
1:37:50
how well the test to find who
1:37:52
was her two positive performed. And
1:37:54
if you got more patients, you would get
1:37:56
more commercial, but you would have patients who
1:37:59
wouldn't benefit. And someone who
1:38:01
I won't name said, but if we
1:38:03
have a test that does like this,
1:38:05
we can get more money. And as
1:38:07
if in unison, Art and I both
1:38:09
rose up from our chairs and said,
1:38:11
we never do that. We don't do
1:38:13
that here. Done. Everyone kind of sat
1:38:15
down and we weren't the decision makers.
1:38:18
But see that's culture. If you wondered,
1:38:20
it's right where the decisions are being
1:38:22
made and everything else. That for me
1:38:24
is culture. The other one that because
1:38:26
I'm in so many meetings and wasn't
1:38:28
so many meetings at Gates Foundation, I
1:38:31
had a practice. I
1:38:33
would sit, Bill would be there or
1:38:35
Melinda would be there, but often Bill and
1:38:37
me there and you're presenting. And
1:38:39
Bill's peppering you with questions, some of them
1:38:41
very tough. in a very tough way. I
1:38:43
would look at you. You
1:38:45
got this. I can't tell you how
1:38:47
many people, I actually didn't even know
1:38:50
I did it, that I would nod.
1:38:52
You were the coach. Smile, coach. I
1:38:54
would also stall. Hey, hold on
1:38:56
a minute, Bill. I think he's just getting ready to
1:38:58
answer that question. You're talking over
1:39:00
him right now. In a nice way, not
1:39:02
confrontational. That for me is culture.
1:39:05
I want you to succeed. I want you
1:39:07
to know I want you to succeed. It's
1:39:09
the guy who runs the foundation. It's the
1:39:11
two people who are the chairs. So it's
1:39:13
gonna be scary. That's why I
1:39:15
think that bringing out the best in
1:39:17
people and giving people agency to do
1:39:19
that on their own means that if
1:39:22
somebody sees Art Levinson say, that's not
1:39:24
the way we do it here, they'll
1:39:26
go down the hall in a different
1:39:28
meaning and say, you know, I heard
1:39:30
Art say, I think that's really powerful.
1:39:32
That's really powerful. So this
1:39:34
brings us up to 2020.
1:39:36
And were you at the
1:39:38
foundation when COVID hit? I
1:39:41
had announced that I was
1:39:43
leaving and literally packing the house
1:39:45
as COVID hit. Actually, a few
1:39:47
miles from us, the first case
1:39:49
in Washington State, nursing home. Yeah,
1:39:51
interesting. Let's talk a little bit
1:39:54
about COVID. So I've talked
1:39:56
before about this idea of the
1:39:58
difference between science and advocacy. And
1:40:00
I still haven't really wrapped my
1:40:02
mind fully around it other than kind
1:40:04
of a sense of lost opportunity
1:40:06
with COVID. What do I
1:40:09
mean by that? Well, on the one
1:40:11
level, there was so many pretty incredible
1:40:13
things that happened with respect to the
1:40:15
speed with which a vaccine could be
1:40:17
developed that really made a difference in
1:40:19
terms of mortality for a subset of
1:40:21
the population. But a lot
1:40:23
of that's overshadowed today by
1:40:25
the lingering doubts, the
1:40:27
lingering suspicions, the
1:40:29
mistakes that were frankly made,
1:40:31
and My fear is I'm
1:40:33
not convinced we're better off
1:40:36
today in terms of preparedness
1:40:38
for a pandemic than we
1:40:40
were in 2019, which seems
1:40:42
like an unimaginable statement given
1:40:44
what we've been through. Do
1:40:46
you think I'm too pessimistic? How do you
1:40:48
feel? I do not
1:40:50
think you're too pessimistic. I am
1:40:52
absolutely horrified. Horrified. It's
1:40:55
shocking to me that the
1:40:57
narrative is in the place
1:40:59
it is today. And I'm
1:41:01
honestly still processing how we
1:41:03
got here from there. It
1:41:05
is a really bad place.
1:41:07
And I think you're right.
1:41:09
I think if it happened
1:41:11
again today, it would be
1:41:13
the way it was with worst of
1:41:15
COVID, but even worse. Because
1:41:17
trust and the need
1:41:20
to have sides and
1:41:22
winning and losing, I
1:41:24
don't remember health and medicine
1:41:26
being winning and losing and sides.
1:41:28
as I've been in this
1:41:30
business for 40 years. It's just
1:41:33
weird. I don't get it. Yep.
1:41:35
I concur with all of
1:41:37
that. And I do wonder
1:41:39
what it will take to
1:41:41
restore confidence. Look, we could
1:41:43
sit here and talk about
1:41:45
mistakes. It might be
1:41:47
that the medical community and the
1:41:49
scientific community need to be more vocal
1:41:52
about acknowledging mistakes. And I do
1:41:54
think an enormous mistake though it's understandable
1:41:56
to me why it happened because
1:41:58
so much was happening so But
1:42:01
I believe deep down it was an enormous
1:42:03
mistake to be the head of science, to be
1:42:05
the head of advocacy. I think
1:42:07
having Dr. Fauci as being
1:42:09
both of those hats was a
1:42:11
cataclysmic error. And it's not
1:42:13
about him. No human can do
1:42:15
that. A scientist
1:42:18
has to be an
1:42:20
impartial observer of fact. who
1:42:22
is happy to change his or
1:42:25
her mind in the presence of
1:42:27
new information with no attachment to
1:42:29
what has been said in the
1:42:31
past. An advocate has to be
1:42:33
driving policy and action, and sometimes
1:42:35
they have to settle for the
1:42:37
best you can do, any port
1:42:39
in a storm. When
1:42:41
you put those two hats on the same
1:42:43
people, I worry that you lose
1:42:45
all trust. I do wish the
1:42:47
medical community could have an open and
1:42:50
honest discussion about that. I would say that
1:42:52
Not if, but when. We will have
1:42:54
another pandemic. There's zero doubt in my mind.
1:42:56
Bird flu is working hard on it
1:42:58
right now. we will absolutely have another pandemic.
1:43:00
I hope it is decades from now,
1:43:02
but we will. I hope
1:43:04
somebody will remember that lesson and
1:43:06
say, we want our chief communicator
1:43:08
of the state of the science
1:43:10
to be completely uninvolved in telling
1:43:12
the public what to do, simply
1:43:14
there to report what we know
1:43:16
today. Today we think masks work.
1:43:18
You know what? We just did
1:43:21
a study and we realized they
1:43:23
don't work worth a lick. Today
1:43:25
we believe vaccines prevent
1:43:27
transmission. We just did a
1:43:29
follow -up survey. They don't prevent
1:43:32
transmission. It's okay. It's okay. I think
1:43:34
that's a very forgivable position. I
1:43:36
think the public would welcome... Look, I
1:43:38
just told you about bone marrow
1:43:40
transplants for breast cancer. If you tell
1:43:42
people, look, here's what we thought.
1:43:44
We thought harder treatment was better for
1:43:46
people. It's now proven that it's
1:43:48
not. Science changes, people know that, but
1:43:50
you're right. I think that being
1:43:52
honest and open when it changes and
1:43:54
how it changes matters a lot.
1:43:57
It really does. I also think you
1:43:59
didn't say, but I would add
1:44:01
to your recommendation, which I think is
1:44:03
a really smart one. The
1:44:05
pace of communication, the
1:44:08
social media and
1:44:10
misinformation or just stuff
1:44:12
gets out there
1:44:14
really fast and having
1:44:16
something slow. doesn't
1:44:18
keep up. I don't
1:44:20
have a solution to that. I
1:44:22
mean, the great example, which is
1:44:25
a very good example, and I
1:44:27
don't know the solution, is in
1:44:29
May of 2020, if
1:44:31
you suggested that this came out of
1:44:33
the Wuhan lab, I mean,
1:44:35
you were kicked off social media, you
1:44:37
were kicked off YouTube, you were
1:44:39
in the doghouse, that was misinformation. Well,
1:44:42
I think almost any observer today would agree
1:44:44
that that was actually information. But where do
1:44:46
you draw the line? I don't have an
1:44:48
insight. This is so far above my pay
1:44:50
grade. Yeah, I don't think it's a matter
1:44:52
of kicking people off because actually I think
1:44:54
you enhance that and you may be wrong,
1:44:56
but being part of the dialogue. I'll give
1:44:58
you an example that I've been reading the
1:45:01
last couple of weeks. Iver Mectin
1:45:03
for cancer. Actually, I'm glad you brought
1:45:05
that up. I wanted to have a discussion
1:45:07
about this. Okay, finish your point
1:45:09
and then I want to make a broader point
1:45:11
about oncology. So my point's a simple one. The
1:45:14
nature of pores of vacuum. So if you
1:45:16
say I'm not going to kick off people,
1:45:18
the lab is a good example, but
1:45:20
I'm not going to remain
1:45:22
silent. Here's what I know about
1:45:24
that thing about the lab.
1:45:26
Here's the facts. Here's the publication.
1:45:28
You know, I think that
1:45:30
the absence seeds that space to
1:45:32
people. I feel like the
1:45:35
anti -vax. specifically things like autism, many
1:45:37
people have seated that space on social
1:45:39
media because you are kicked in the
1:45:41
butt if you don't. So I do
1:45:43
think you can't leave a vacuum. Yeah,
1:45:46
I think that's a great point. I'm
1:45:48
glad you brought the ivermectin and cancer
1:45:50
thing up. So a couple of my
1:45:52
patients, which is a statement, I'm
1:45:54
going to acknowledge that my patients are
1:45:56
educated and affluent people for the most part.
1:45:59
A couple of my patients have
1:46:01
sent me clips of various
1:46:03
people claiming that Ivermectin is curing
1:46:05
people with stage four cancer. Now,
1:46:08
because they're sending these to
1:46:10
me in text and I'm really,
1:46:12
really busy, I'm responding in
1:46:14
a rather glib way, which is
1:46:16
usually using phrases like, this
1:46:18
is effing bullshit. But
1:46:21
I usually follow it up a few minutes
1:46:23
later with a text that says, happy to
1:46:25
discuss. And usually they say, no,
1:46:27
Peter, I just needed to know that this was
1:46:29
nonsense. But I also agree that I don't think people
1:46:31
should just be taking thing on faith and I
1:46:33
really want to be able to offer. So I think
1:46:35
I made a note that actually I wanted to
1:46:37
discuss this exact example and hopefully we'll be able to
1:46:39
clip this particular segment so people understand why this
1:46:41
is such a idiotic statement. To believe
1:46:43
that ivermectin cures cancer and
1:46:45
to listen to the stories of
1:46:48
multiple people with all sorts
1:46:50
of different metastatic cancers that are
1:46:52
cured, you're almost explaining that
1:46:54
cancer is a single disease. So
1:46:57
explain why at face
1:46:59
value, the idea that anything
1:47:01
could cure multiple forms
1:47:03
of cancer is an impossibility.
1:47:06
It is an impossibility. There's
1:47:08
no doubt about it.
1:47:11
Every cancer has very specific
1:47:13
biologies that allow it
1:47:15
to grow and spread and
1:47:17
cause humans problems. And
1:47:20
that's why you don't go to
1:47:22
the cancer doctor. You go for
1:47:24
prostate cancer, you go for gastric
1:47:26
cancer, you go... the biology of
1:47:28
each of the cancers is different.
1:47:30
And when you go even one
1:47:32
step further, as you've alluded to,
1:47:34
it's not just that colon cancer
1:47:36
and breast cancer are as different
1:47:38
as kidney disease and heart disease.
1:47:41
It's that breast cancer with an
1:47:43
estrogen receptor that lights up
1:47:45
versus a HER2NE receptor that lights
1:47:47
up versus no receptors that
1:47:49
lights up, those pretty much have
1:47:51
nothing in common other than
1:47:53
the fact that they originated from
1:47:55
the mammary cell of a
1:47:57
woman's breast. Right. So we use
1:47:59
anatomy to describe where the
1:48:01
tumors are, but it is not
1:48:03
irrational to use different doses
1:48:06
of medicines in combination with other
1:48:08
doses. The thing that we
1:48:10
went over is the preclinical phase
1:48:12
one, phase two, phase three is
1:48:14
meant to give whatever cancer patient,
1:48:16
whether it's in this case, I
1:48:18
think prostate cancer has been talked
1:48:20
about a lot. all the information
1:48:22
they deserve on both safety and
1:48:24
efficacy. Does it work? Does it
1:48:26
shrink the tumor? Does it help
1:48:28
them live longer? I haven't read
1:48:30
anything about ivermectin doing that in
1:48:32
patients and what the side effects
1:48:34
are and how it could harm
1:48:37
patients. So I think patients deserve
1:48:39
that kind of information. The
1:48:41
other issue I have with
1:48:43
this type of rhetoric is the
1:48:45
next line that follows is, the
1:48:48
pharma companies all know this
1:48:50
works. and the reason they're keeping
1:48:52
it from you is so
1:48:54
that they can make more money
1:48:56
giving ineffective drugs. Now, again, I'm
1:48:59
going to offer my point of view on this,
1:49:01
but you being the veteran of some of the biggest
1:49:03
pharma companies in the world, feel free to correct
1:49:05
me. I think pharma would be
1:49:07
happy to have a drug like
1:49:09
ivermectin that cured all cancer because the
1:49:11
first thing they would do is
1:49:13
put a slightly different modification to it
1:49:15
to make it more efficacious, basically
1:49:17
less side effects, and they would patent
1:49:19
it and they would make all
1:49:21
the money in the world. They'd be
1:49:23
all over this. If they're able
1:49:25
to make $100 ,000 on a drug
1:49:27
that extends your life by eight months,
1:49:29
I promise you they will be
1:49:31
making millions per drug if it's curative.
1:49:33
So again, such illogical arguments are
1:49:35
put forth and it drives me sort
1:49:37
of bananas. But if we want
1:49:39
to go back and say, how did
1:49:41
we get here? I think when
1:49:43
my friend Joe Rogan took ivermectin for
1:49:45
COVID, which When Joe asked me
1:49:47
what do I think, I said, Joe,
1:49:50
I think it's a totally safe
1:49:52
drug. I'm pretty sure it has nothing
1:49:54
to do with why you're feeling
1:49:56
better today. I think you're feeling better
1:49:58
today because you have an amazing
1:50:00
immune system. You're an insanely healthy human
1:50:02
being. You did 10 other things,
1:50:04
two of which might have worked. I'm
1:50:06
pretty sure the ivermectin had nothing to do
1:50:08
with it. That said, the medical community didn't
1:50:10
say that to him. What they said is
1:50:12
you're taking horse dewormer, you idiot. Well, that
1:50:14
was a strategic error. That's an awful way
1:50:16
to talk to somebody. And Ivermectin
1:50:18
might be a horse dewormer. It also
1:50:21
happens to be, and I look this up,
1:50:23
Sue, there is no drug on planet
1:50:25
Earth that has been taken by more human
1:50:27
beings than Ivermectin. And it
1:50:29
might have the fewest side effects
1:50:31
of any drug out there. And
1:50:33
look, there may be human conditions
1:50:35
for which Ivermectin helps. Works beyond,
1:50:38
yeah, exactly. Beyond what we know.
1:50:40
And I think that's an opportunity
1:50:42
for somebody to study it. Good
1:50:44
for them. But again, it's something
1:50:46
about the elitist nature in which
1:50:49
that was handled that has now
1:50:51
created this terminal effect of ivermectin
1:50:53
as a cause celeb for, I
1:50:55
mean, pretty soon someone's going to say it
1:50:57
cures Alzheimer's disease, I'm sure. Well, I think
1:50:59
it's a drug that's an anti -smarty -pants drug.
1:51:02
Yeah, that's a great way to put it.
1:51:04
That's what it is. To me, that's heartbreaking
1:51:06
because the answer should have been, I talked
1:51:08
about this with Joe very openly on his
1:51:10
podcast. I said, look, I've looked at all
1:51:12
the RCTs of ivermectin and COVID. There's
1:51:14
no signal, except my memory could be
1:51:16
off on this, but there's a little
1:51:18
signal in this Brazilian trial, but the
1:51:20
methodology of that trial was horrible. So
1:51:23
I have to believe this is not
1:51:25
working. It's a good try, all about
1:51:27
trying. It was a great idea to
1:51:29
take off the shelf drugs and see
1:51:31
if they worked. Nothing wrong with that.
1:51:33
We've done that for other things. When
1:51:35
they don't, we have to move on
1:51:37
by demonizing it and by demonizing the
1:51:39
people that felt it might work. We
1:51:41
find ourselves in a situation right now
1:51:43
where it's very irrational. One of the
1:51:45
things that I've did over the last
1:51:47
four years is participate in the President's
1:51:49
Council of Advisors on Science and Technology
1:51:51
and co -chair to report on the
1:51:53
future of public health. And
1:51:55
we ended up thinking that
1:51:58
we're focusing on the workforce. One
1:52:00
of the remedies for the issue
1:52:02
you and I just talked about
1:52:04
is having a broader set of
1:52:06
people who we think of as
1:52:08
the public health workforce. And I
1:52:10
think people who are interested in
1:52:12
ivermectin, farmers, people who are up
1:52:15
close and personal to some of the things with
1:52:17
this bird flu, there are a
1:52:19
number of different folks who would be
1:52:21
really interesting to involve in public
1:52:23
health efforts, and we typically don't. And
1:52:25
so I think that's one of
1:52:27
the ways that we can go forward
1:52:29
in public health is to think
1:52:31
about how do we define public health
1:52:33
and what does it look like?
1:52:35
Yeah. I agree with that. Public health
1:52:37
has really struggled in some ways.
1:52:39
You've had these incredible success stories and
1:52:41
then some awful failures. On
1:52:43
the surface, it's such a great
1:52:45
thing. I think that's why Make America
1:52:47
Healthy Again resonates for people. People
1:52:49
universally want... Yeah, how could you disagree
1:52:51
with that? ...want to be healthy.
1:52:53
They want their families to be healthy.
1:52:55
This is a universal thing and
1:52:58
how to capture that. and make that
1:53:00
real, not ivory tower, but real
1:53:02
for people who just want their families
1:53:04
to have a chance at being
1:53:06
healthy. I think that's a real positive.
1:53:09
Yeah. I want to talk a little bit about AI. A
1:53:11
lot of people might not realize you're
1:53:13
on the board of open AI and
1:53:15
you're the only person in medicine on
1:53:18
that board. So talk to me
1:53:20
a little bit about how that came about.
1:53:22
And I want to obviously talk about the implications
1:53:24
of that, what you're excited about and what
1:53:26
you're afraid of. So I joined
1:53:28
the OpenAI board almost a
1:53:30
year ago now, when they
1:53:32
had had in November of
1:53:34
2023, what they call the
1:53:36
blip, which is CEO fired,
1:53:39
board changed over. And
1:53:41
I have been
1:53:43
so impressed by
1:53:46
the intellect, the
1:53:48
commitment, the sense
1:53:50
of responsibility of folks
1:53:52
at OpenAI. I
1:53:54
hope this is maybe a little
1:53:56
crazy, but here's what I hope.
1:53:58
If I had a top two
1:54:00
things for AI, one
1:54:02
is in some of the things we've been talking
1:54:04
about in product development. mean, I
1:54:06
love product development. I think it is the
1:54:08
best job on earth. You get to make
1:54:10
new medicines for people who are sick. You
1:54:13
go home and tell your mom and dad that they're happy. So
1:54:15
what if we could take the
1:54:17
tool of AI and make easy the
1:54:19
things we can make easy? So
1:54:22
you don't use AI to change a
1:54:24
clinical trial. I still want to
1:54:26
know, does your tumor shrink? Do you
1:54:28
feel better? Do you have side
1:54:30
effects? But there's a lot
1:54:32
of study reports. There's toxicology
1:54:34
reports. There are a lot
1:54:36
of things that are labor and
1:54:38
paperwork that are actually very
1:54:40
important to establishing the safety, especially
1:54:42
but also the efficacy of
1:54:45
a drug. I think using AI
1:54:47
more and more on pieces
1:54:49
of the clinical trials process so
1:54:51
that If something takes time,
1:54:53
it's because it's benefiting a human,
1:54:55
not because we just couldn't
1:54:57
do it fast enough. So
1:54:59
the clinical trials, I think, still
1:55:02
has some opportunities for that. Give me
1:55:04
a time and money sense in
1:55:06
terms of savings. This is a very
1:55:08
important question. If you said
1:55:10
the entire clinical trials program for a drug
1:55:12
is six years, let's just make that
1:55:14
up. I indeed to approval. I indeed to
1:55:16
approval. I would want to
1:55:18
cut it down by two years. And you
1:55:20
believe AI can do that right now?
1:55:22
Or we're on the path to that? I
1:55:24
think we could be on a path
1:55:26
to that. Now, the challenge of it is
1:55:28
going to be if you say this
1:55:30
example I like to give because it makes
1:55:32
sense for people, if I'm changing five -year
1:55:34
survival, if this is sort of a
1:55:36
mature, established thing, I got to wait five
1:55:38
years. I can estimate things and I can
1:55:40
work with FDA to make sure if
1:55:42
people can benefit. And you could argue with
1:55:44
a regulatory change in the FDA, if
1:55:46
we said greater emphasis on safety, to
1:55:49
approval, greater emphasis on post -market surveillance
1:55:51
for efficacy. We shift this thing a
1:55:53
little bit. Now you could say at
1:55:55
three years we're trending, you get a
1:55:57
provisional approval, and now we're going to
1:55:59
follow you. There's an example, like Paxlivid
1:56:01
in my mind, you could argue maybe
1:56:03
should have been pulled, maybe it wasn't
1:56:05
as effective as it looked in the
1:56:07
trials, and that doesn't mean they were
1:56:09
wrong to approve it, because it was
1:56:11
any port in a storm. But
1:56:13
after the fact, we could have been, oh,
1:56:15
you know what? No harm, no foul. It
1:56:17
was safe. You can always do that. And
1:56:19
so maybe we do that for oncology. I
1:56:21
think that the other thing is you and
1:56:23
I both know if you have 500 patients
1:56:25
in a trial and you look at safety,
1:56:27
that's so limited. If you have a
1:56:30
much more A .I. driven, why don't we
1:56:32
follow safety in every patient on the drug?
1:56:34
Exactly, ongoing. So I
1:56:36
think the opportunities in clinical trials are
1:56:38
massive. The other thing I
1:56:40
would love to see is a change in
1:56:42
the things that cause burnout of nurses
1:56:44
and physicians and others in the hospital.
1:56:46
This is across the board, not just in
1:56:48
clinical trials. Not in clinical trials. This
1:56:50
is healthcare. Healthcare should
1:56:52
have tools where it's
1:56:54
easier to decrease the load,
1:56:56
the burden on both
1:56:58
caregivers and families. I think
1:57:01
that should be doable. It's
1:57:03
not that hard. I think
1:57:05
that that is absolutely
1:57:07
correct. On the nursing front,
1:57:09
There's a huge demand, obviously.
1:57:12
How much of this do you think of
1:57:14
absent robotics? So robots can really change
1:57:16
the game. I'm not close enough to that. Are
1:57:18
you? I'm not close enough to the robotics piece
1:57:20
of it. Yeah. So I don't know how long
1:57:22
until a robot is doing what a nurse is
1:57:24
doing. But when you think
1:57:26
of medical and chart reconciliation and
1:57:29
things like that, is that where you
1:57:31
think the greatest opportunity is? I
1:57:33
think it is when you're trying to
1:57:35
connect all the dots. That's the
1:57:37
thing. AI does so brilliantly
1:57:39
is it just takes a lot of
1:57:41
data and it comes out with
1:57:43
observations. And if there are
1:57:45
ways that that can assist
1:57:47
at the bedside, that's a massive
1:57:50
improvement, especially when people are
1:57:52
changing, even me, University of Washington
1:57:54
to UCSF. It's so hard
1:57:56
to change caregivers, to change health
1:57:58
systems. Those kinds of
1:58:00
things can decrease workloads. But
1:58:02
I also think it's the
1:58:04
kinds of things where clinical
1:58:06
observations could be AI driven. So
1:58:09
the Nobel Prize last year
1:58:11
was awarded for protein folding AI
1:58:14
driven analysis. Explain to
1:58:16
people why that is significant. How
1:58:18
much do you think that particular
1:58:20
achievement is going to advance biotechnology
1:58:22
and what remains ahead of it
1:58:24
as far as even greater molecule
1:58:26
selection? These guys, what
1:58:28
they did is they
1:58:30
made possible And we talked
1:58:32
about preclinical. This is
1:58:35
pre -preclinical. This is how you even...
1:58:37
Just figuring out what you're gonna do. Just figuring out what you're
1:58:39
gonna do. If you can make
1:58:41
figuring out what you're gonna do
1:58:43
much, much faster, which they did,
1:58:45
you're gonna have the opportunity. The
1:58:47
way I think of it is you've
1:58:49
got like a mountain of opportunity, but
1:58:52
it's shown a light on just a
1:58:54
limited number of things where you can
1:58:56
see the opportunity and take advantage of
1:58:58
the opportunity. I think it's a start,
1:59:00
but I think it's great that they
1:59:02
were recognized. Do you think
1:59:04
this is the most important thing
1:59:06
from a promise perspective that AI is
1:59:08
brought to medicine since? So far.
1:59:10
Yeah. So far. And so what do
1:59:13
you think would be the next
1:59:15
mega unlock? Would it be on the
1:59:17
data front? Would it be a
1:59:19
predictive model? How could we shorten a
1:59:21
clinical trial by 60 %? Anything
1:59:23
where AI can help us
1:59:25
with outcome measures. I told
1:59:28
him that my husband's an
1:59:30
HIV doc. When we
1:59:32
were both at Bristol Myers Squibb, I
1:59:34
was doing two by two measurements
1:59:36
of tumors on X -rays for taxol,
1:59:38
and he was looking at viral load.
1:59:41
Viral load allowed us to have
1:59:43
20 HIV drugs in like five
1:59:45
years. It was crazy how good
1:59:47
it was. I want a
1:59:49
viral load for everything. You need a
1:59:51
good biomarker. We need a good biomarker
1:59:54
for more things. And you were talking
1:59:56
about all the different types of breast
1:59:58
cancer. So think about what
2:00:00
you just talked about with breast cancer
2:00:02
that you have ER positive, ER negative,
2:00:04
HER2 positive, triple negative. There's all
2:00:06
these. What if actually there's 15?
2:00:08
Yeah, there undoubtedly are. We know
2:00:10
there are. probably are. So
2:00:12
then you're in 15 trials, but you only
2:00:14
need 10 patients in each trial because it's
2:00:16
so obvious you have the perfect remedy for
2:00:18
each of those patients. I always
2:00:21
think of it as switches on.
2:00:23
turn it off and you see clinical
2:00:25
benefit. Anything we do that sets
2:00:27
up like that, especially if we can
2:00:29
not just measure switch on, but
2:00:31
switch off. That's why viral load is
2:00:33
so powerful. So what's your
2:00:35
level of optimism or pessimism around
2:00:37
liquid biopsies? And do you think
2:00:39
that AI can help us with
2:00:42
these? I have been
2:00:44
pretty negative based on the data.
2:00:46
I just have not seen the
2:00:48
data that suggests to me that
2:00:50
we're helping. And is this on
2:00:52
the sensitivity front? Yeah. So
2:00:54
can AI help us? Possibly. The
2:00:56
problem is just really hard. Yeah, I
2:00:58
was going to say, do you think
2:01:00
the problem is tumors don't shed enough
2:01:02
DNA? I think that
2:01:04
appears to be the problem because if
2:01:07
they did, I think it would
2:01:09
work. So that's the most important problem.
2:01:11
The other problem is something that
2:01:13
I think we all tend to underestimate
2:01:15
because I love the concept of
2:01:17
prevention and I think make America healthy
2:01:19
again, in part is we'll go
2:01:21
to preventive therapy and stop all these.
2:01:24
And I understand that in oncology,
2:01:26
we've often celebrated tiny successes, but
2:01:28
you can't have big successes before you have
2:01:30
tiny successes. I don't think
2:01:32
it's easy to do early
2:01:34
detection. The only two
2:01:36
things that are one out
2:01:38
of three, colonoscopy
2:01:40
works. The first cervical
2:01:42
cancer, a pap smear, works. Even
2:01:45
better, HPV vaccine is my ad. And
2:01:47
now you can do a spiral CT
2:01:49
for lung cancer. I'm not even using
2:01:51
one handful of fingers, and we've been
2:01:53
trying to do early detection as long
2:01:55
as I've been an oncologist. I
2:01:57
agree with you, by the way. I would
2:01:59
add to that PSA in the hands of someone
2:02:01
who understands what to do with it. So
2:02:03
PSA by itself, pretty bad. PSA
2:02:05
density when you know prostate volume and
2:02:08
PSA velocity when you have serial measurements
2:02:10
starts to become very predictive. So you
2:02:12
take a man who has not had
2:02:14
a prostate biopsy. and you stratify his
2:02:16
PSA according to PSA density, the ability
2:02:18
to predict if he has a Gleason
2:02:20
3 plus 3 or 3 plus 4
2:02:22
or 4 plus 3 is really quite
2:02:25
high. And at least you can
2:02:27
then stratify those patients more quickly into
2:02:29
a PHI or a 4K and ultimately decide
2:02:31
do they need a multi -parametric MRI and
2:02:33
you go down that path. So it's
2:02:35
not turnkey and I completely understand why they've
2:02:37
said, we're going to make no recommendation.
2:02:39
I do take comfort in knowing. It's sad
2:02:41
to me, but I take comfort in
2:02:43
knowing. Too many men are dying
2:02:46
of prostate cancer. It should not be the
2:02:48
third leading cause of cancer death. It
2:02:50
shouldn't. And yet I understand that it's a
2:02:52
big ask to get every doctor fully
2:02:54
up to speed on the algorithm. You know
2:02:56
what, you just said that's something that
2:02:58
if someone wanted to start a company, they
2:03:00
could simplify that and make something more
2:03:02
turnkey for patients and physicians. Yes. When you
2:03:04
go through the four leading causes of
2:03:06
cancer death, two of them don't need to
2:03:08
be on the list. colon cancer and
2:03:10
prostate cancer don't need to be on the
2:03:12
list. They shouldn't be on the list,
2:03:14
yes. Now, lung, I think we can reduce
2:03:16
it a lot, but it's going to
2:03:18
be awfully tough. It's tough. And breast is
2:03:20
still really tough because it's not halsteadian.
2:03:22
It doesn't have that straightforward progression from polyp
2:03:24
to cancer. No, it's true. That's the
2:03:26
neat thing is you can just take out
2:03:28
the polyp. That's always been the beauty
2:03:30
of colonoscopy. What is your level of optimism
2:03:32
that we could ever? So instead
2:03:34
of just talking about a broad liquid biopsy, let's just
2:03:36
talk about breast cancer. What do you think it
2:03:38
would take? And do you think it would be a
2:03:41
protein? Do you think it would be DNA? Do
2:03:43
you think it would be RNA? If you had to
2:03:45
guess, what would be the
2:03:47
earliest signature in the blood of different
2:03:49
breast cancers, where would you put
2:03:51
your money? I think it'd be interesting
2:03:53
to look at protein. Think
2:03:55
about how that would change breast cancer
2:03:57
treatment. It would be tremendous. It's
2:03:59
funny I say the following deliberately not
2:04:01
acknowledging your gender because I'm sure
2:04:03
you hear all the time sue you
2:04:05
are the most remarkable example of
2:04:07
a woman in medicine gender aside you
2:04:09
are just a remarkable inspiration period
2:04:11
as a physician as a business leader
2:04:13
as a public health official I
2:04:15
have been a fan of yours for
2:04:17
so long when I walked into
2:04:20
that room you know last year and
2:04:22
saw you sitting there. I was
2:04:24
giddy. So thank you for humoring
2:04:26
me and making the trip. It was fun.
2:04:28
I'm delighted to talk with you. I really
2:04:30
enjoyed it. Thank you
2:04:32
for listening to this week's episode
2:04:34
of The Drive. Head over
2:04:36
to peteratiamd.com forward slash show notes
2:04:38
if you want to dig
2:04:40
deeper into this episode. You
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2:04:47
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