Episode Transcript
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0:00
It's time to review the highlights. I'm joined by
0:02
my co-anchor, Snoop. Hey, what up, dog? Snoop number
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one has to be getting the new iPhone 16
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On to highlight number two, at T-Mobile, families can
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Very impressive. Take it away, Snoop. Head to t-mobile.com
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Intelligence on them. Now drop that jingle. See
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how you can save versus the other big guys
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at t-mobile.com/switch. Apple Intelligence coming fall 2024. Hello
0:32
and welcome to VergeCast, the flagship podcast
0:34
of face computers and
0:36
the trademarked VergeCast matrix of
0:39
wearable stuff. I
0:41
don't want to start with a swear word, but if you
0:43
know, it's usually a swear word. Hi, I'm your friend, Neela.
0:45
Alex Kranz is here. I'm also wearing my augmented
0:47
reality glasses right now. Because
0:50
they pass light through them? Yeah, they pass light through them
0:52
and everything is augmented now. I can see. It's
0:55
been augmented into focus. Yeah. I got you.
0:57
David Pierce is here. Hello. And
0:59
Alex Heath is here. Alex, are you actually wearing
1:02
a face computer? I am, but
1:05
you'll never know. It's
1:08
big week in tech news. Quite a lot going on. It
1:11
was MetaConnect. Alex was there along
1:13
with Kylie Robison and Jay Peters.
1:16
Alex, you wore the Orion AR glasses, the
1:19
demo. You interviewed Zuckerberg. We got to talk
1:21
all about that. There's tons of other news
1:23
out of MetaConnect. And then there's Chaos at
1:25
OpenAI, which a company, for
1:28
being as successful as it is, remains
1:30
mired in nothing but pure chaos. We could
1:32
just snip that and play it every single
1:34
week on the first cast. Just that thing
1:36
you just said is like a, it's just
1:38
a universally true statement at this point. Yeah,
1:41
we have to talk about that. And then we
1:44
have Lightning Round. Unsponsored. Still.
1:48
I have walked into rooms at this company
1:50
and demanded why the Lightning Round is unsponsored.
1:53
Was anybody else in the room? No one else was in the rooms.
1:56
This is the, I'm getting, I'm working
1:58
up to the final results. But
2:01
you walk into a room, you know, where eaters
2:03
having a staff meeting, demanding the lightning round be
2:05
sponsored. And they're like, I don't, we're
2:07
doing a roundup on cakes. Like, get out of here. I'm
2:10
working on it every day, closer to the
2:12
goal. Okay. Let's
2:15
start with meta. Alex, you wore the Orion.
2:17
I think the Orion is the thing to talk about.
2:19
They've been working on this for 10 years at reality
2:21
labs, burning billions of dollars a year. They
2:23
did it. They made AR glasses, but you can't
2:25
buy them and they cost $10,000. Kind
2:28
of. You can't buy them. So
2:30
they are glasses in the sense that you can
2:32
put them on and they work to a degree.
2:36
I wrote this in the story and I had
2:39
a hard time writing about this because I've been
2:41
getting a lot of almost products
2:43
put on my face recently, like just
2:45
coming off of snap. We
2:48
do have a series of photos of you that is
2:50
incredible right now. Yeah. I need to
2:52
make like a, like a photo book to just have at
2:54
home and look at it and go like, that's a cry
2:56
for help. Me
2:59
wearing all these face computers. Um,
3:02
yeah, it's, it's a really impressive
3:04
demo. Um, I think
3:07
meta is doing the
3:09
demos because it knows it's impressive,
3:12
but it's not a product. So I mean,
3:14
I wrote this in the story. It's
3:16
not vaporware. Like it's very real and
3:19
it's not a simulation. It's not totally
3:21
on rails. I used it for
3:23
probably a total of two and a half hours between the
3:25
two days we were shooting and
3:28
I had enough opportunity to go off of
3:30
the beaten path a little bit and make
3:32
sure I wasn't just getting piped in a
3:35
complete simulation. And it's a real working piece
3:37
of kit. Um, but
3:39
it's not a product and that
3:41
says a lot about the state of AR
3:43
and these glasses. And
3:47
at the same time, I finally
3:49
feel like I've been running about this for
3:51
so long, banging my head against the wall
3:53
and being like, what am I doing?
3:55
This is never going to happen. I
3:57
finally feel after this week that. AR
4:00
glasses I may actually want to use are
4:02
not a pipe dream. Yeah, I want to
4:04
argue with you about the definition of the
4:06
word vaporware, which is very important to me,
4:08
personally. And holograms. And holograms. So let's start.
4:11
Alex and I have gotten a real fight about the
4:13
word hologram screens this week. We'll get into all of
4:15
this, I promise. But let's start with what it is,
4:17
right? Because AR glasses,
4:20
you're correct. The industry has been talking
4:22
about them for a long time. Magic
4:24
Leap promised AR glasses
4:26
years ago. If you
4:28
will remember their founder claimed
4:31
that he could hack the GPU of your brain. This
4:34
is a real thing. And that was in
4:36
reference to a display technology, because this is the
4:38
challenge. How do we build a display that you
4:40
can look through, that can augment reality, have
4:43
the processing power to see reality and
4:45
augment it, have connectivity, have a battery.
4:48
And no one can solve these problems,
4:50
most of all, the display. The
4:54
thing doesn't exist. The thing that you look
4:56
through to perceive the world and then layer
4:58
information over stuff, you
5:01
could maybe solve battery and processing and all
5:03
this stuff in your way in the backpack.
5:05
But the actual display technology to make it
5:07
good has more or
5:09
less not existed in any realistic way.
5:12
And Magic Leap had to give up on their idea,
5:14
and they tried another thing. And HoloLens was another thing
5:16
with a tiny field of view. And there's a long
5:18
list of things with bad fields of view. And
5:21
it seems like that's the thing that has solved
5:23
most of all here. Yeah. A
5:26
quote that really stuck out to me from the
5:28
product lead when I was getting my demo was
5:31
that the display was a
5:33
scientific breakthrough problem they had to
5:35
solve. And now they're in
5:37
the engineering problem-solving phase of making these
5:39
glasses work at a price point that
5:42
people can actually buy. And
5:44
that really stuck with me. You're right that
5:46
the display is the hardest part. The
5:48
distinction between AR glasses like
5:51
these in the Vision Pro or the Metacquest
5:53
is that yes, you can do mixed reality in the
5:56
Pro and the Quest, in the Vision and the Quest.
5:58
But what they're doing is... fully
6:00
enclosing your face in a computer, piping
6:02
video in and mixing all that in
6:05
the displays. These are literally just
6:07
these glasses, Orion, or letting light in their
6:09
actual glasses. And so the
6:13
challenge there is much different.
6:15
And Meta has
6:17
a lot of good ideas here. And
6:20
they also, I think, realized that
6:23
the specific optical stack that they
6:25
went with for Orion was just,
6:30
inexplicably hard to manufacture. And
6:33
these lenses are made of silicon carbide, which
6:36
is also used in space.
6:40
It's used in EVs. It's used in
6:42
like, Dremels. It's like what you
6:44
use for cutting tools. It's primarily like- It's
6:46
literally like a giant crystal. And so- Yeah,
6:48
it's also used for wedding rings sometimes. So
6:50
basically it's like having two fake diamonds on
6:53
your face. Yeah, and they were talking to
6:55
me about this and this challenge of the
6:57
yields on this. It's like, yeah, you have
6:59
to cut the crystal perfectly. He's like, and
7:01
there's not enough of it in the world.
7:03
So we're growing crystals. We're growing
7:05
like big ass silicon carbide rocks. I'm
7:08
sorry, the image of Mark Zuckerberg walking
7:10
into the basement of his lair, looking at
7:12
his like crystal farm in a haze of
7:14
like purple smoke and being like, I
7:17
will conquer the world. I
7:21
mean, like, go get it, Mark. Very
7:24
distinct image. But
7:26
you have to be that person to do this, I
7:28
think. Yeah, yeah. Yeah, and that's another
7:30
thing of all this that we'll get into. This is
7:32
like, I think this is a device that only Meta
7:35
could have built in a way that they
7:37
can show to the world because for a lot of reasons that
7:40
are very- Because everybody else would expect it to
7:42
ship. Yeah. Like everybody else does
7:45
hardware more often. So we'd be like, okay,
7:47
but when? I think if Meta
7:50
was not a founder mode
7:52
company to the fullest extent, this
7:55
thing would have been killed a long time ago. So can
7:57
I read you? I just want to read you a quote
7:59
from- Ben Thompson who writes a
8:01
newsletter called Shrekery. He tried on Orion
8:03
and he just said this thing that
8:06
it just made me start laughing a
8:08
lot. And I'll explain why it made me laugh so
8:10
hard. Here's the quote, the difference
8:12
from the quest and he is him talking about Orion.
8:15
The obvious limitations of display, particularly
8:18
low resolution felt immaterial. The difference
8:20
from the quest or vision pro
8:22
is that actually looking at reality
8:24
is so dramatically different from even
8:26
best in class pass-through that holographic
8:28
video quality doesn't really matter. Even
8:30
the highest quality presentation layer will
8:32
pale in comparison to reality. Yeah,
8:35
dude. I mean, this is very funny. He's presenting this
8:37
as like a, right? And it's Ben and that's how
8:39
he writes and that's fun. But if
8:41
you'll recall my review of the vision pro was
8:44
looking at display sucks. Like this is the
8:46
end of the road for video pass-through. If
8:49
you want to put a screen in front of your
8:51
head in a VR headset and then do camera based
8:53
pass-through, this is as good as it will
8:55
ever be. And it is nowhere near good enough. At
8:58
the time, many people disagree with me. I believe that
9:00
I have been proven to be correct about the value
9:02
of the vision pro over time. Still
9:06
not pleased with myself that I gave it a seven. Seven out of 10.
9:11
But like, this is the thing, right? Meta
9:13
built the displays, they grew the crystals, Zuckerberg
9:15
is like, I'm spending the money, I can't
9:17
be fired because I own super voting shares
9:19
of this company. Here it is. I
9:22
made the displays. When
9:25
you say it's not a product, did he make the rest of it? Is
9:28
the software good? There is an
9:30
OS. Right. So I guess I'll
9:32
just quickly explain how we got to where we are.
9:34
They started developing this about 10 years ago. This
9:37
is like Zuckerberg's big bet to maybe
9:40
control the next computing platform if you
9:42
buy into the idea that face computers
9:44
are maybe that. In
9:46
2022, it became, I think
9:49
everyone remembers the year of efficiency. Meta
9:52
stock was not doing as well. They
9:54
were cutting back budgets and they decided
9:56
looking at how expensive it was gonna
9:58
be to create a product. Orion, I'm
10:00
told that the cost to build a summer around
10:02
$10,000 per pair. Um,
10:05
and that the display stack, especially the
10:07
lenses, the silicon carbide was just not
10:10
something that would scale. They
10:12
decided to make it a prototype internally. And
10:15
then there was debate after that of, okay, do we show it
10:17
to the world at all? Is it good enough? And
10:19
I mean, a thing that stuck out
10:21
to me that Boz, the CTO told me was like,
10:24
we just, we just didn't think this was
10:26
going to work at all. We, when we set out to build
10:28
this, we thought maybe a 10% chance we actually get to a
10:30
working device. And I think
10:33
he's literally said, I was just like, holy
10:35
shit, it works. And
10:37
I think they were amazed that it works.
10:39
And so they started in earnest on the
10:41
software stack, like three months ago, deciding that
10:43
they were going to show it off at
10:46
connect. So it does have an
10:48
OS, you know, they
10:50
have pretty concrete ideas, especially on the
10:52
interaction elements of it, which we'll get
10:54
into the software is, is bare
10:56
bones, they've got some demo apps. They had
10:58
Instagram, you and I did a call over
11:00
messenger, Eli, um, they've got
11:02
a web browser, but these are like
11:05
the early primitives of how
11:07
you would bring 2d experiences into 3d space.
11:09
It's like a float. It's like vision pro.
11:11
It's like a floating pain. I
11:14
think the work they're doing now that they
11:16
have a working kit is in the
11:18
next couple of years. How do you actually make uniquely
11:21
3d augmented type
11:23
interfaces? Um, which is
11:26
like, you just have to have the thing on your face.
11:28
You have to be able to use it. And for the
11:30
longest time, this hasn't been something that
11:32
even resembles an actual pair of glasses. Like the, the
11:34
thing they showed me that it was even like in
11:36
2022, it had like a backpack,
11:39
I mean, it was just the iteration they'd done,
11:41
even in just the last couple of years is
11:43
pretty remarkable. Yeah. So yeah,
11:47
I, the software had
11:49
enough ideas in it to where I went,
11:52
okay, they have ideas of where this is
11:54
going. It's still super rough, but like the
11:57
AI stuff, especially it's compelling.
12:00
What all did you get to actually do in the
12:02
headset? Yeah, we did web
12:05
browsing, video calling, basic
12:08
kind of Instagram stuff, calling
12:11
in a 2D HD pane, which
12:13
like Neelai beamed in that way and I could see
12:15
him, he couldn't see me because there's
12:17
all these things in Orion that they just turned off
12:20
because they decided to not make it a product. Like
12:22
they have inward facing cameras that could potentially map your
12:24
face to an avatar to show someone and they just
12:26
have them turned off because it's not being used for
12:28
that now. Yeah, but they could also just look like
12:30
garbage. Yeah, so we did that.
12:33
Some meta employees came in as avatars,
12:35
like floating, like think of the horizon
12:37
quest avatar style. Legs or no
12:40
legs? Legs, legs and like full body scale
12:42
across the room. $10,000 a leg is what
12:44
I'm told. Yeah, and then
12:46
we did like a code, they
12:48
have their hyper realistic kind of
12:50
uncanny valley codec avatars, someone called
12:52
in as one of those as
12:54
well. And
12:56
then there were some games and the games were actually, you
12:58
know, I've done a lot of really kind of, I
13:01
would say just gimmicky AR games in
13:03
my career and the games were actually
13:05
decent, like the interactions because they've nailed
13:07
a lot of the interaction elements and
13:10
input elements of the glasses. The
13:12
game experience was actually surprisingly
13:14
good and they have some connected ones where like
13:16
you scan a QR code, you're in this Pong
13:19
game immediately with someone else wearing the glasses who
13:21
just scanned it. And that's how I did it
13:23
with Zuckerberg in the video. You can see on
13:25
all of the verges channels, he
13:27
beat me of course in Pong. Did
13:30
they have a laser tag game? That's
13:32
my AR dream. Yeah, that would be cool.
13:35
They had this kind of space invaders-esque game
13:37
where your head was moved the ship
13:39
and the band, which we'll talk about was
13:41
the lasers for the ship. So
13:44
here's what I'm curious about. They've built
13:46
a lot of stuff in the
13:49
quest, right? Like they've taken Android, they've
13:51
built an entire operating system, they
13:53
have a store, a lot
13:55
of that is complete. And I've always assumed based
13:58
on what Mark and others have said. is
14:00
that they're doing all that work there in that
14:02
form factor, and that lets
14:04
them build the software experiences. And
14:06
then they're building the Ray-Bans and the other
14:08
form factor. And then Orion
14:11
is the goal. Are
14:14
they using any of the stuff from the
14:16
Quest? Any of the
14:18
user interface gestures? Is
14:20
it Android? Yeah, it's Android-based. It's a
14:23
similar kind of app launcher UI. The
14:27
thing with the app launcher, though, that's different
14:29
is it's much more minimal, and your finger
14:31
gesture brings it up and then takes it
14:33
away just as quickly. They're
14:36
very different products. The avatar was
14:38
the same as what you would see on a Quest
14:41
game. But I'm just getting at it. Zuck
14:43
has laid out the idea that the
14:45
meta Ray-Bans are on one side of
14:47
the spectrum, and the headset is
14:49
on the other side, where this is not the
14:51
right form factor, but I can do everything in
14:54
it. And the Ray-Bans are the right
14:56
form factor. I can't do anything in them hardly. And
14:58
in the middle are these glasses. These products
15:00
are going to converge towards the glasses. It
15:03
just seems interesting to me that they haven't used
15:05
all the stuff from the Quest, because that was the plan
15:07
they articulated. Well, like I said, they started
15:10
doing the software for this three months ago. And
15:12
I will say the coolest thing, David, to your
15:15
earlier question that we did was this meta AI
15:17
thing, where they laid out all these ingredients for
15:19
a smoothie on a table. They
15:21
gave me the prompt, which means
15:24
they tuned it a little bit, right? There
15:26
was just a guy in the background. No,
15:28
I messed around with it to know that it
15:30
was actually, it was a model running, but- It
15:32
wasn't Tom Brady being like, all right, smoothie. Yeah,
15:34
but it was like, I asked it to make
15:36
a smoothie out of ingredients, and it popped up
15:38
like a recipe pane above me with, I could
15:40
like click through the different steps. Can I just
15:42
quickly be the turd in the punch bowl on
15:44
this particular demo? Because I've seen a bunch of
15:46
people talking about this particular demo, and I am
15:48
so spectacularly unimpressed with that demo, and I would
15:50
like you to tell me why I'm wrong. So
15:53
first of all, if you go to the challenge, every
15:56
single thing on that table says what it
15:58
is with big ass letters. And you know, it's
16:00
a really easy thing to do. It does. The bag
16:02
of dates says dates in big ass letters. And
16:04
the bag, the box of matcha says matcha in
16:06
big ass letters. Like those are not hard computer
16:09
problems to solve. It recognized the pineapple bit. If
16:11
you're listening to this in your car, I want
16:13
you to know that right now, Alex Heath is
16:15
scrolling through a picture to confirm or deny that
16:17
the bag of dates says dates on it. There
16:19
are two things on the table that don't say
16:21
in words what they are on
16:24
the box. It's the banana and it's the pineapple. And
16:26
it identifies the banana, which is again, a really easy
16:28
thing for a computer to do. And it misses the pineapple
16:30
entirely. Again, I'm just, I'm just putting this
16:32
out there. If you're listening, you
16:34
know, when you're on a Google meet call with
16:36
someone and their face instantly goes to, I'm browsing
16:39
the web face. I've never
16:41
seen anyone move to I'm browsing the
16:43
web face as fast as Alex did
16:45
when David said everything at the label.
16:48
Well, okay, you're right. So David. Big
16:50
box that says dates on it is
16:52
not a hard computer problem to solve.
16:54
David, so the pineapple it missed in
16:57
the video I did was Zuck. It got it
16:59
right the first day I did it. Okay, that's
17:01
good. That's encouraging. You still picked
17:04
the two most distinctive fruits that
17:06
you could have possibly picked. I'm just saying this
17:08
demo is the easiest possible version of this demo
17:10
and still it gives you a recipe that involves
17:12
not everything on the table and a bunch of
17:15
stuff you don't have on the table. So I
17:17
get to the end of that demo and I'm
17:19
like, what problem did we just solve? David, I
17:21
fully agree with your big point. Like, yes, there's
17:23
a lot of smoke and mirrors here. The
17:26
bar is also low. What
17:28
they were trying to communicate is like, oh, what
17:30
happens when you have the visual AI in the
17:32
Ray-Bans with a display? And so
17:35
what I'm talking about is not the fact that
17:37
it recognized everything right or wrong. It's just this
17:39
idea of like that
17:41
visual AI with a display and
17:43
then, oh, I can actually like, I don't have
17:45
to like just listen to the recipe. I can see it
17:47
and I can move it around and I can make it
17:49
big. That was cool. The thing in the demo where it
17:52
popped up above it saying what each thing was, I actually
17:54
thought was like, that's a really cool little bit of UI
17:56
that it was like, this is the cacao. Nevermind that there
17:58
was a box that said cacao right underneath the lip. But
18:00
still like I actually
18:03
thought the UI was very cool for what amounted to a
18:05
not particularly impressive problem. So
18:07
looking at it as like, here is how you
18:09
do this, I think is actually very clever. I
18:11
just was so like, there are
18:13
so many people were like, Oh my God, the smoothie thing. And
18:15
it's like, did we actually do anything here? Also
18:18
to make a smoothie, you just dump everything. I was going to say like,
18:20
yeah, it's blender. It'll
18:25
be fine. There's a technique here that the AI is
18:27
going to walk you through. You
18:29
hit pulse a couple of times and then you hit.
18:31
Shouldn't show this you make bread. So on the smoothie
18:33
thing, just really quick, I kind
18:36
of freaked out, not because of how crazy
18:38
I thought it was hit it correctly, identified
18:40
a pineapple the first time David, they
18:42
had been doing all these little Easter eggs for me throughout
18:44
my, I spent like a full day at meta and I'd
18:46
done a bunch of other demos before this. And
18:49
they were like dropping little things all throughout
18:51
my demos. Like the texts that came
18:53
up in the glasses was like an employee being like,
18:55
Hey, I've got the scoop for you on the next
18:57
AR glasses. I need to go like step
18:59
out of the room to like not get caught. And
19:02
then they, by the time
19:04
I got to the smoothie, I do, I
19:06
make smoothies every morning. And so by the,
19:08
I thought I was like, did they, they,
19:10
do they have cameras in my house? Like
19:13
I got to the point, I just turned around to the room. Cause
19:15
there's like 12 people in the room. And I'm just
19:17
like, are you guys like watching me
19:19
at home? To me on my phone, just
19:21
saying yes or no. Yeah. It was the
19:24
smoothie thing felt special. And so I was actually
19:26
very disappointed to see that everyone got the smoothie
19:29
demo, but that's okay. So
19:31
I want to come back to whether the demo
19:33
is real or fake and the debate about what
19:35
the word vaporware means. But you talked about the
19:38
control band, the wristband several times. Let's
19:40
explain that real quick first. Cause I, there's
19:42
a part of this where the, the
19:46
neural wristband is the most ready to go
19:48
product, which is fascinating in and of itself.
19:50
Kind of the coolest I think. Yeah. It's
19:52
done. It's one part of the dream for
19:54
sure. It's very clear that the band is
19:57
done. I also know this because they're releasing
19:59
a pair. of glasses with a very small
20:01
heads up display. It's not full AR that
20:03
will use the band. I'm pretty sure next
20:05
year. It was very
20:07
clear that the band is done. And that's why I spent more
20:10
time in the story than I originally thought writing about
20:12
the band. Also because it was
20:14
genuinely, I mean, I think I said
20:16
this in the video, it was one of the coolest experiences
20:18
with a new piece of technology I've ever had because
20:22
there's no calibration. You just, you put
20:24
it on, you go through the gestures
20:27
and it has this haptic feedback in the
20:29
band that kind of reinforces when you're doing
20:31
it correctly. I did that
20:33
for like 10 seconds and I was just flying
20:35
through the thing. Um, and
20:37
to the point where I had
20:40
to take them off at one point and put them back
20:42
on and like go back through the setup. And I didn't even,
20:44
I just did it on my own and like it just clicked
20:46
so fast and it's so precise
20:49
and yeah, it uses EMG electro
20:51
myography and it's not reading your
20:53
thoughts, but it's interpreting neural signals
20:55
through the movements of your wrist
20:58
and translating those into input in the
21:00
glasses and met a
21:03
metabata startup, um, that we have covered
21:05
extensively. I believe Addie covered this even
21:07
before they sold to, to Facebook. This
21:09
was like in 2019 control labs and
21:12
it's this tech and it's
21:15
really powerful. I think they've stumbled
21:17
onto something here that I
21:20
haven't seen for headsets, which is how do
21:22
you control them without putting your hands out
21:24
in front of you? You know, like I
21:26
use the spectacles which rely on just hand
21:29
tracking the week before. And
21:31
I was thinking when I was
21:33
like flying to meta the next week,
21:35
like in my airplane seat, it's like,
21:38
you're not going to stick your hands out like
21:40
in an airplane seat to control your glasses. North
21:42
glasses did that too, right? They had, they had
21:44
like a ring that would, they used to control
21:47
it. It was like a joystick on a ring.
21:49
It was cool. It wasn't cool. Yeah, but this
21:51
is like moving your hands
21:53
out in front of you. This is
21:55
like hyper precise click like input
21:58
that you can do with. very,
22:00
very small hand gestures in your pocket
22:02
or behind your back. And
22:04
I just, I
22:06
mean, I like audibly gasped when I started
22:09
using it. This is like cool
22:11
technology we've seen for ages, right? Well,
22:13
Control Labs has been around. Yeah, yeah,
22:15
Control Labs, we've seen like horrible
22:18
products from small startups using this stuff
22:20
before, but it's also like just regularly
22:22
used in prosthetics now, particularly
22:25
like hand prosthetics and arm prosthetics to
22:27
give that movement. So it's like, it's
22:29
really cool to see it come to
22:31
consumer products. Yeah, I've never seen EMG
22:33
in a consumer products. So
22:36
it was really cool. It was like one in 2014,
22:40
called like the frog or something. Does nobody remember
22:42
this? No. I swear
22:44
that there was a real product. You know that face when
22:46
I immediately started scootling? Yeah, we were like, that's my face
22:48
right now. No,
22:50
but Alex, the thing you said in your story
22:52
that most got me was the
22:54
moment where you're like, you had your hands in
22:56
your jacket pockets and you're controlling the thing. And
22:59
that's the moment where you're like, oh, this is
23:01
obviously the correct answer for
23:03
this. And I think I'm fascinated by
23:05
the whole kind of kit that
23:08
they put together where it's the glasses, there's
23:10
the wireless compute puck that feels like you
23:12
put it in like your jacket pocket or
23:14
your backpacker or your backpacker or whatever, and
23:17
then it's the band. And I think at
23:20
least for now, that strikes me as
23:22
like the
23:24
exact right three parts in the right
23:26
way. I think the Vision
23:28
Pro's cable thing is wrong. The
23:32
only hand motions that the cameras can see in
23:34
front of your face is wrong. I
23:37
honestly believe Meta got that part of this
23:39
thing exactly correct. And it just feels like
23:41
you instantly are using it in a way
23:43
that feels way more natural than even
23:46
like Nila's experience at the Vision Pro where you
23:49
still have to sort of keep your hands on
23:51
the front plane of your body and in view.
23:53
And that is just an amount of thinking that
23:56
you don't have to do with this and that
23:58
feels much better. Yeah, I totally. I
24:00
want to talk about the puck just I guess on
24:02
the band though too. What
24:04
meta hopes is that over time the band
24:06
becomes its own platform and that it
24:09
interfaces with appliances, it interfaces with
24:12
your car, other gadgets. And
24:14
the idea is like this is probably a 10 to 15
24:16
year out thing honestly for it to really, you know. It
24:19
interfaces with your car? Yeah,
24:22
so the idea is like you're walking around with
24:24
these glasses, you look at your car and
24:27
you want to start the engine as you're walking
24:29
up to it. You do a little tap because
24:31
it sees that you're looking at your car, the
24:33
band is connected, there's an API, you're logged in
24:36
and you turn your AC on or you turn
24:38
your... This is the idea of a man who
24:40
can grow crystals in the basement of his mansion.
24:42
Well, it's honestly, there's several leaps
24:44
to get there. It's not like the ecosystem
24:46
of it all will be tough to develop
24:48
until there's scale with these glasses, but
24:50
it's pretty obvious to think about, okay, if
24:53
I'm wearing contextually, spatially wear glasses
24:55
at all times and I'm walking
24:57
around my house and I look at my thermostat and
24:59
I want to change the setting, why
25:01
can my band not, because it's all connected,
25:04
why can't my band not adjust the thermostat?
25:06
And that's the idea they have. I think
25:08
it's really cool idea. Why can't I turn
25:10
reality into a bitmap display with your windows
25:13
and a mouse? Yeah,
25:15
with a camera and a controller
25:17
and good enough processing, you
25:19
can get a pretty long way towards
25:21
that. Yeah. So people will see
25:24
the band soon, like next year. And
25:27
I'm excited about that. I got to do an
25:29
update real fast. I found the band.
25:31
It was called the Myo. It cost
25:33
$200. They
25:35
first started reporting on it in 2013, came out in 2016, and
25:39
you wore it on the middle of your form to control your
25:41
laptop. And also
25:43
to keep this sweat away from you while you play
25:45
tennis. It's so ugly. Oh,
25:47
I remember this thing. I tried this thing. That thing
25:49
looks like a ball of angle. It
25:52
really does. And it uses EMG
25:54
currents? Yeah, yeah, it used EMG. That
25:57
particular technology, the EMG technology... has
26:00
been around a while, we've seen it in other
26:02
stuff, but it's always been kind
26:04
of, nobody's gotten the software part of it
26:06
right, and those interactions. And the form factor,
26:08
it looks like a fit. Yeah, like this
26:11
thing is not bulky, and it
26:13
just sits on your wrist. Did you have
26:15
to wear it tightly around your wrist? It's
26:17
tight, but it's not like, there are sensors
26:19
that indent a little bit into your skin,
26:21
but it wasn't uncomfortable. I wore
26:23
it, I left the demo room with it
26:26
still on to go interview Zuckerberg, and
26:28
they came running after me, and we're like, you still
26:30
got the band on. Keep running. Like,
26:32
please let us keep that. So if we're
26:34
talking about the three parts of this,
26:36
I guess on the puck, I just like,
26:40
David, I agree with you that this feels like
26:42
the right combination for now. They obviously don't want
26:45
the puck to be in the picture long term.
26:47
Sure, but I think we're a long way away
26:49
from that. Yeah, they made the decision, which I
26:51
think is the correct call, is that they want
26:54
the glasses to be as light as possible and
26:56
to not burn your face, which is what
26:58
I've experienced a lot, not literally burning, but just they
27:00
get really hot. And so
27:03
they'd made the decision to offload most of
27:05
the app logic onto the puck. They invented
27:08
their own wifi protocol, and it
27:10
has to be 12 to 13 feet max
27:12
away at all times where the glasses just don't work.
27:15
Why do we call it a puck and not a computer? I
27:18
mean, why do they call them glasses and not a
27:20
computer? Yeah, but like the- Is
27:22
it a circle? Yeah, it looks like
27:24
one of the big, iPhone
27:27
brick chargers you could like put on the
27:30
back of the iPhone with like MagSafe, like
27:32
a big ass anchor. Yeah, it looks like
27:34
you could put it in your back pocket, but you want
27:36
to wear a belt. I could
27:39
put it in my back pocket because I have huge back
27:41
pockets, but yeah, I mean, the idea is like- Are you
27:43
wearing Shinkos? Did we just learn something about flex? All
27:46
right. Yeah, you know. I know you live in LA,
27:48
but like, how bad has it gotten over there? It's
27:50
pretty bad. Wow. Yeah. Yeah.
27:53
So the puck is the right trade off
27:55
to make because the- These
28:00
glasses only weigh 98 grams, whereas
28:02
the Vision Pro is like five, six
28:05
X that. And like I
28:07
said, I wore them for two hours
28:09
and I never felt like uncomfortable. And
28:12
the funny thing about the two hours, I was
28:14
informed as we were wrapping, like,
28:16
you know, there's a bunch of men of employees in the
28:18
room. I think I was the
28:20
second journalist ever to try them. I've
28:23
also written about these extensively. So they were
28:25
really like on edge. And they,
28:28
towards the end, like I took them off and I could
28:30
just hear everyone like breathe a sigh of relief. And
28:33
they were like, you just broke the record for
28:35
longest demo. Actually longest
28:37
continuous wear of them at two hours. We were
28:39
like, yeah, we thought they would just like crap
28:41
out by now. So
28:44
that was- Was there a battery indicator or anything?
28:47
No, no, there wasn't. And they didn't swap them
28:49
out or anything. That's cool. Yeah.
28:52
Okay, you wear glasses. How heavy
28:55
versus the ones you're wearing now, which
28:57
seem fairly lightweight. Like you noticed, but like
28:59
I have a pair of chunky LA
29:01
glasses that honestly felt in the same
29:04
ballpark. Like it wasn't too
29:06
heavy. Cause like it was on the ears. It was just
29:08
those ear pieces are so good. No pressure on the ears. I mean,
29:10
if anything, it's a little in the front of your face. But, and
29:13
the thing that struck me was, you know, they
29:15
told me definitively, like the frames will be half
29:17
as thick in the consumer version, which means- Okay,
29:19
wait, that's it. That's my cue to our you.
29:21
There we go. There we go. Okay,
29:24
so just describe the product that you saw,
29:26
which is a very impressive demo, right? Lots
29:28
of people saw the demo. Everyone
29:31
is suitably impressed. Great.
29:33
The thing that they accomplished that
29:36
no one else has been able to accomplish
29:38
is getting that display to work in that
29:40
form factor. 98 grams on your face, two
29:42
hours of battery life. You can look at
29:44
reality through the lenses and it will put
29:47
from what I understand, labels above boxes of cocoa.
29:50
That's wonderful. Mark Zuckerberg can play along with you. They
29:53
had, right? They've iterated
29:55
it and developed the existing
29:57
EMG control band. We
30:00
put a computer in a giant battery and
30:02
are sending signals from it wirelessly to something
30:04
else. Challenging, because I got to do it
30:06
in real time, but
30:08
a thing that existed. We
30:11
put it all together in a product, and we sell it
30:14
far, far away. I'm
30:16
giving them credit for a bunch of stuff, some
30:18
stuff they iterated, some stuff they bought, some stuff
30:20
they had to build from scratch and spend billions
30:22
of dollars that basically no one else has managed
30:25
to crack yet. All great. It's
30:28
a long way from here to there. Three years. So
30:31
that's their promise. And so the
30:33
thing I would say is it's a vapor till it
30:35
ships. And Meta has the extraordinary
30:37
opportunity to show a thing
30:39
that isn't shipping. They're
30:42
all proud of it. You can see they're bursting
30:44
with pride. In
30:47
particular, built a display technology they can
30:49
demo for two hours with a variety
30:51
of people doing stuff that no one
30:53
else has been able to do. Magic
30:55
Leap hacking GPU of your brain,
30:58
I think, is the closest to this. And they
31:00
had people sitting down next to a box the
31:02
size of a refrigerator, and they couldn't ship it.
31:06
What is the, and
31:09
Meta doesn't have to do that, right? They're selling the Quest.
31:11
They make a bunch of money selling ads. They got Kristen
31:14
Bell being an AI voice. They have a
31:16
whole business that's running that can subsidize this
31:18
thing. It's
31:21
still vapor, in my opinion. They have to
31:23
ship it. They're just able to be confident
31:26
that they've gotten this far. But
31:28
it's unclear to me what this actually looks
31:30
like as a product, because I sincerely
31:32
doubt it will have a wireless compute puck. And
31:37
once they start shipping the neural wristband,
31:39
it won't take on a life of its own in some other
31:42
way. And it will be completely divorced
31:44
from the Quest ecosystem. There's
31:47
a set of unanswered questions here
31:49
that I think it's very tempting to pre-answer
31:51
or imagine. And that honestly is the fun part,
31:54
and I'm excited to do some of that with
31:56
all of you. But it's also like three
31:58
years a long time. a lot of things can change
32:01
in three years and a lot of
32:03
other things have to go right. Like the lenses
32:05
in your story, they're planning
32:07
to ship regular lenses, right?
32:10
They're gonna go from silicon carbide to glass. Well,
32:12
they wouldn't tell me the material. And the truth
32:14
is that they're parallel passing like
32:16
four or five different options. So
32:19
there- Right, but if your big innovation
32:21
is the display and you're
32:23
like, we have four options to bring this
32:25
display to market, you actually haven't picked. I
32:27
think you're being simplistic when you say display
32:29
because the display is the projectors, the wave
32:31
guides and the lenses. The
32:34
lenses specifically are what they
32:36
can't manufacture in a cheap enough
32:38
way at scale. So the lenses will be
32:40
different. The projectors are on the
32:42
path of what I saw going
32:44
to be the same kind of technology. They invented them
32:47
from scratch. The wave guides the
32:50
same. They wouldn't tell me what the
32:52
lenses are, not because I don't think they
32:54
don't know necessarily, but because they haven't
32:56
fully decided because they're locking these things
32:58
in on like a
33:01
timeline that is aggressive, but also
33:03
they don't wanna speak before they,
33:06
like if they would have said, let
33:10
me back up, like they decided to
33:12
not ship Orion two years ago. So
33:14
the timeline for this hardware stuff is
33:16
farther out. When they say, this is
33:19
coming in a few years, it's
33:21
not like we have not set anything up for this
33:23
to happen in three years. They have, they're on a,
33:26
believe me, heads will roll if there is not
33:28
a consumer version of these era classes in a
33:30
few years. Oh sure, but
33:32
those are the stakes. The stakes are either we're
33:34
all double clicking on cars, do
33:37
you know, see what happens? Or
33:39
heads will roll. Like I don't wanna shy away
33:41
from the stakes. The part
33:43
of me that says it's great to imagine how these
33:45
products might work, especially products that
33:48
are meant to deliver AI as a
33:50
new platform that replace smartphones, on
33:53
balance, I don't believe you know,
33:55
probably doesn't work is like the right answer. And
33:58
the fact that they got the display to work. Everything
38:00
that he ever described was Orion.
38:03
So I think Zuck loves the fact that he showed
38:05
off the thing that Apple has been describing for years,
38:07
well before Apple was ready to do it. I
38:10
do wonder, like, when
38:13
Apple's like, we need chips, they go to
38:15
TSMC and they're like, we're gonna buy all
38:17
the chips. We're gonna build
38:19
you a factory Corning, but
38:21
it's your, we don't wanna own it. We just wanna
38:23
build it for you so we have the capacity for it. You
38:25
run it. We're not putting that on our books. That's
38:28
the level that Apple makes investments at. And
38:32
I don't think they were able to pull off this form
38:34
factor. And even with the
38:36
Vision Pro, the form factor compromises are like
38:38
now in retrospect, like ludicrous, right?
38:41
Like the battery pack, all the stuff, right?
38:43
The hand tracking. I'm
38:45
actually, even the Orion, right? That
38:47
uses your eyes to the pointers still feels like a
38:49
miss to me. That's still overloading
38:51
an input within output. I disagree because of
38:54
the band. The eyes, when they're your drag
38:56
and not your click, it's,
38:58
and the click is not sticking hands up.
39:01
It works pretty well. Like I
39:04
thought the same thing with the Vision Pro. If
39:07
you try Orion at some point, I'd be
39:10
curious to hear how you think when you
39:12
try it because the eye tracking was surprisingly
39:14
good with the band. When you
39:16
were having like the conversation with Neelai, were you able
39:18
to also do other stuff at the same time? Like,
39:21
yeah. Cause I'm just curious like how that works if
39:23
you're like looking at him and then you need
39:25
to move something over here. And that means
39:27
you have to drag it. So you have to kind
39:29
of like look away from him in a potentially
39:31
awkward way. You could stick your hand out
39:33
and pinch it and drag it. Or you
39:36
could glance at it really quick, tap your
39:38
fingers together to. Oh, cause
39:40
it does hand tracking too. It does hand tracking. It
39:42
will merge hand tracking with all of it anytime
39:44
you put your hands up. That's smart. Well, the reason
39:46
I brought all this up is like Apple
39:49
solved, Apple punted on the big problem
39:51
and the display problem and then tried to solve a bunch
39:53
of the other problems. Or at least show you
39:55
what a bunch of the other problems could look like if they were solved.
39:58
Like hand tracking like windows. that
42:00
kind of look like the size and
42:02
shape of Orion. Like this stuff is just
42:04
out there. I just, as the verges foremost
42:06
phase computer expert, again, this is a cry
42:08
for help. This is not a brag. Um,
42:11
I actually will push back on you
42:13
guys. I do not think anyone has
42:15
anything working in this form factor as
42:17
a standalone kit that is not completely
42:20
on rails or something on a desk
42:22
that you look through. Yeah.
42:24
I don't think that actually exists. Can I just for
42:26
the sake of our own comments, can I just say
42:28
a bunch of nouns so that people, what?
42:32
How a lens X
42:34
real to pro air or whatever it's called the
42:37
HTC other companies.
42:39
Yes. I know other companies have made glasses before.
42:41
I know that the hall, Alex
42:43
and I have both changed spark plugs
42:45
wearing a hollow lens, like
42:47
the, the form factor innovation here is real,
42:49
like getting it down to glasses, I'm not
42:51
trying to take away from that. I'm just
42:53
pointing at like it's
42:56
vapor till it ships. Like it's one of our
42:58
rules. Right. Um, and the, the
43:00
distance from what we see today
43:02
to a product, all
43:04
of the questions I have to answer in the middle,
43:07
this is what I was asking at the quest is
43:09
like, they've answered a bunch of these questions with the
43:11
quest. I suspect they think that some of those answers
43:13
are the wrong answers actually. And they
43:15
need to go in a different way to enable some
43:17
of the things they want with true air glasses. I
43:19
think that's right. I also just think that before this
43:21
week, I honestly didn't
43:24
know where they were at
43:26
with this in terms of how
43:29
they were going to do it. And I feel
43:31
like after this week, they actually have the right
43:33
approach of how they're going about it, which is
43:35
just relentlessly focusing
43:37
on the form factor, which
43:39
meta has made a lot of hardware
43:41
mistakes over the years and has I
43:44
think just not had the right priorities in terms of
43:47
what they're building and what it's for, or even
43:49
understanding what it's for. It took them 10 years
43:51
really to understand that the quest is really just
43:53
a gaming device, even still. How
43:56
much do you think that's the Ray Ban lesson?
43:58
That's part of it. But I just, I think.
44:00
I think there's clarity here about
44:03
why people would want these. And
44:05
like something Zuckerberg told me was, I
44:07
thought pretty, um, illustrative of this
44:09
as like, we want them to be just
44:11
as good when they're off, because we know
44:14
that you're not going to have the AR
44:16
on maybe most of the day. And
44:18
so focusing on that
44:20
first and letting the technology then kind
44:22
of fill in, I think
44:25
is the right approach versus just how they've approached
44:27
hardware so far, which is like, let's just put
44:29
as much technology in something as we can and
44:32
see how people will use it. And here they're like, no,
44:34
we know how people will use this. It's
44:36
utility. It's like heads up,
44:38
lightweight interactions, video calling, um,
44:41
and AI. And the
44:44
form factor is, is primary.
44:46
And that's what like, that's the intro
44:48
of the piece. Like I walk in and I'm
44:50
looking at them, you know, I'm probably four feet
44:53
away and I, you can't tell, you can't tell
44:55
that they're AR glasses. And it's like, even
44:58
that in as a prototype, and
45:00
I struggle with this cause yeah, Neelai this is vapor until
45:02
it ships, but it's, it's also not
45:04
like, it's somewhere between a mirage
45:06
and a product. Like it's, it is real. Like
45:09
I touched it, I used it, but
45:11
it's not, it's not productized. So
45:13
seeing that and going, wow, like the form, like, and it's
45:16
going to be half as thick in a few years. Like,
45:19
okay. I finally see where this is going, especially with the
45:21
band. And I feel like before this week, even
45:23
I as someone who's been reporting on this a lot, couldn't
45:25
really see where they were going. And I
45:27
think they feel so confident in where they're going and
45:29
the clarity of what they're going to do that that's
45:31
why they shut it off this week. And also I
45:33
think just thinks it's really cool. Yeah.
45:36
And he's right. It is really cool. No one
45:39
else has done. I, again, I'm just not taking
45:41
anything away from, no one else has pulled off
45:43
the display. Like hundreds of millions of dollars, if
45:46
not billions of dollars have been thrown at
45:48
this problem of, can I put lenses
45:50
in front of your face that can convincingly
45:53
in 3d augment reality, not just show
45:55
you a TV like the X real glasses
45:57
do. Um, and not require
45:59
you to wear a. a whole lens and still have no field
46:01
of view, like billions upon
46:03
billions of dollars in the scenario, even thrown out
46:05
as problem. And only meta has allowed people to
46:07
wear it for two hours. And it's not an
46:10
overestimation to say that they have
46:12
probably spent snaps market cap on
46:14
Orion in the last 10 years. And
46:17
it's like no other company would do this. Like,
46:19
like Apple killed the car project because it's like,
46:22
we don't see a realistic
46:24
timeline to shipping. We're not
46:26
even sure what it is. Like, this is a
46:28
uniquely meta thing. And it's, it's like a
46:30
personal thing for Zuckerberg, which is just like,
46:33
screw Apple and Google. I'm never going through this
46:35
shit again on mobile,
46:37
you know, that he's gone through. Actually, hold right there,
46:39
Alex. I want to talk about Zuck versus
46:41
Apple and Google. And I want to talk to the Ray Bands a bit, but
46:43
we got to take a break. So let's take a break and then come back
46:45
and then we can talk about Zuck's war with
46:47
Tim Cook. We'll be right back. It's
46:52
time to review the top three highlights of the
46:54
day. I'm joined as always by my co-anchor, Snoop.
46:57
Hey, what up, though? Snoop number one has to
46:59
be getting the new iPhone 16 Pro with Apple
47:01
Intelligence at T-Mobile. Yeah, you should hustle
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down at T-Mobile like a dog chasing a
47:05
squirrel chasing a nut. Nice analogy, Snoop. Dogs
47:07
do love to chase squirrels. And squirrels love
47:09
to chase those nuts. On the highlight number
47:11
two, at T-Mobile, families can save 20% every
47:13
month versus the other big
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guys. That is very impressive. You know, y'all can
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take some of those savings and buy some Snoop
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fall 2024. All
47:52
right, we're back. Keith, right
47:54
before the break, we're talking
47:56
about Zuck and you said he
47:58
doesn't want to go through this shit again. people
50:01
start using it and they ship a cheaper
50:03
one and these become, you know, they
50:06
start selling. Um, maybe they don't let met
50:08
his apps on there at all. And there's
50:11
this just real tension there of
50:13
who has the distribution control. It's
50:16
why Google pays billions of dollars to Apple
50:18
to have search and Safari. Whoever
50:21
controls how you access your thing ultimately
50:23
has leverage over you. And
50:25
Zuckerberg's been feeling that pretty acutely for 10
50:28
plus years. And so, yeah, this
50:30
is like a, this is a, as much
50:32
about like inventing the future as it is
50:34
correcting the past. And, um,
50:37
I don't think any company without that unique
50:39
context would be doing this. And
50:41
I think that, so that's a uniquely meta thing. Can
50:43
I just read a quote from the interview that I
50:45
thought was, was very telling. Um, you,
50:48
you, you guys spent a long time talking about basically
50:50
what AR and AI are going to do
50:52
to the next generation of gadgets. And then he, what
50:54
he says is, uh, for what it's worth. I also think that
50:56
all the AI work is going to make phones a lot more
50:58
exciting. Uh, you know, blah, blah, blah. AI is cool. If
51:02
I were at any of the other companies trying
51:04
to design what the next few versions of iPhone
51:06
or Google's phones should be, I think that there's
51:08
a long and interesting roadmap of things that they
51:10
can do with AI that as an app developer,
51:12
we can't like to me, that's the whole thing.
51:15
Right. He's like, if I am convinced that if
51:17
meta had its way, the puck
51:19
wouldn't exist on Orion, the puck would be your
51:21
phone. That's what those companies
51:23
want. And they just can't do it because the only
51:26
companies that are ever going to be allowed to do it
51:29
are Google and Apple. And, and like, and so if I'm
51:31
Mark, I'm like, oh, a gigantic part of what I am
51:33
doing should be tethered to this thing that I'm just not
51:35
allowed to touch. And that would piss me off. They
51:40
are so mad that they can't automatically sink photos
51:42
off your Ray-Bans into your iPhone camera
51:44
roll. They can do it on Android. It's super
51:46
annoying. It's so dumb. They can do it on
51:48
Android because the APIs are there. Android is a
51:51
little looser. IOS, no, like the reason the first
51:53
ones, the first Ray-Bans also had a lot of
51:55
issues. They had a
51:57
lot of Bluetooth pairing issues and like limitations with
51:59
what they have. that could do with Apple. And
52:01
Apple is because of the EU gradually being forced
52:04
to open up its APIs. But
52:06
yeah, they're pissed they can't sync photos
52:08
to a camera roll. But why doesn't
52:11
Meta complain more, I guess?
52:13
We saw this with Epic. They complain all the time.
52:15
No, no, but they complain all the time. We saw
52:17
Epic put their money where their mouth is. Does
52:20
Meta do that? It doesn't seem like
52:22
they do. Well, Meta's also monopolistic. Yeah,
52:24
I was like, is it because they
52:26
know that Lina will be like, yeah,
52:28
yeah, that's true. And
52:30
this is what I mean by the politics
52:32
of it all. And Alex, in your talk,
52:35
Mark, there's just
52:37
hard shots to the EU throughout your interview,
52:39
where he's like, they should figure out what
52:41
they want. And it's like, dude, what they
52:43
want is slightly better Bluetooth and headphones. They
52:46
want to open, interop between messaging
52:48
platforms. And so that is
52:51
bad for WhatsApp. Straight
52:53
up, I think they're trapped between, we would
52:55
love for you to kick open the doors
52:57
on iOS, but also don't do that to
52:59
any of our platforms that have the same
53:02
kind of restrictions. I mean, they're being forced to
53:04
do interop with WhatsApp. We just wrote about, you're
53:06
going to be able to message people outside of
53:08
WhatsApp. Yeah,
53:11
yes, there's truth to what you're saying. I would
53:13
argue Apple is still super locked down, and
53:16
it's opening up over time. But I don't
53:18
think they think Apple will open up soon
53:22
enough. And so it's like, we need to just invent
53:24
the next thing. Well, and I think my read of
53:26
this is that if you're meta,
53:28
the easiest way to get where you're
53:31
going would be to start all
53:33
of this cool AR stuff as an accessory to
53:35
your phone. And the reason that the Ray-Bans have
53:37
worked is that they are an accessory to your
53:40
phone. They're a vastly underpowered
53:43
accessory to your phone just because of what they're allowed
53:45
to do, but also the restrictions of the technology and
53:47
stuff. But the 1.5 step
53:49
of this transition you would want to be, your
53:53
phone becomes the computer, and then you
53:55
have a bunch of new wearable accessories
53:57
that you use. You're just not allowed
53:59
to use. to build that. And so
54:01
what all these companies have to do
54:03
is basically like engineer a giant societal
54:05
shift out of nowhere because the like
54:07
gradual change that actually would make this
54:09
make sense is just walled off to
54:12
all but two companies on the planet. And if I were
54:14
anybody but one of those two companies, I would be really
54:16
pissed about that. So what has Zuckerberg
54:18
done? He has gone and linked up
54:20
with the Italians and the French because
54:22
it's technically Elisaur, Luxottica,
54:24
the parent company of Ray Ban is
54:27
French and I'm glad, but what did you
54:29
think, Eli, of his comment? So they've just
54:31
done a 10 year deal with Elisaur, Luxottica.
54:34
The idea is that metas tech stack is
54:36
something Elisaur will be able to put into
54:38
any of its lines. It owns a ton
54:40
of brands, Oakley, Ray Ban. It's a monopoly.
54:42
It's a monopoly of eyewear. You and I
54:45
are both wearing glasses made by them right
54:47
now, presumably. Yeah. Yeah. Pull
54:50
over in your car. Look at your glasses.
54:52
Probably made by Xlora. They just bought Supreme.
54:54
So Supreme glasses. He
54:57
confirmed in our review that they're buying a steak in
54:59
Elisaur, Luxottica, which was news. But
55:01
his comment about he
55:03
thinks that Elisaur will be for
55:05
Europe and smart glasses what Samsung
55:07
was for Korea and phones. Incredible.
55:10
If you think about that, it's a good line.
55:13
It's a great line. It is
55:15
extraordinarily presumptuous in the best possible
55:18
way. Like if
55:20
you're at Samsung, you're like, yo, we
55:22
were Samsung before. We make ships.
55:28
Our nuclear reactor division is doing
55:30
just fine. So
55:33
that is confusing. But
55:35
what he means is Android is
55:37
the operating system enabled Samsung
55:40
to enter the mobile phone market. Samsung
55:42
is now even more Samsung than it was before. I would
55:44
point out, by the way, a Saturday
55:46
Samsung alert, if you are a virtualist, you
55:49
know that Samsung required all of its executives
55:51
to work six days in the office to
55:53
insert a sense of urgency and crisis into
55:55
the company. They don't make anything. So all
55:58
they can do is come up with deals.
56:01
They cut the price of one of their gaming monitors by 50% and
56:03
gave you not one, but two TVs for free if you
56:05
buy one. Incredible. It's on the website. Saturday
56:08
Samsung, everybody. You had to go on that tangent. You
56:10
had to. It's just incredible. Every
56:12
part of Saturday Samsung is better than last.
56:15
Makes me happy. But
56:17
what he's saying is there was a
56:19
hardware vendor in Samsung, and
56:21
Android came along, provided at the operating system and
56:23
the opportunity to go address the world market, and
56:26
now they are Samsung. Again, extraordinarily
56:28
presumptuous in the best way. Are
56:30
you saying that Est is
56:32
a hardware maker and something
56:34
is the operating system that
56:36
will let you go become
56:38
Samsung? Well, you're missing some
56:40
key components, right? Est doesn't
56:43
make chips. Samsung makes fucking
56:45
DRAM. Like the
56:47
hardware maker. They make OLED displays
56:49
and chips. The first
56:51
processor in iPhone was a
56:53
Samsung ARM processor. So
56:56
the industry was built on top
56:58
of Samsung from the jump. I'm
57:00
pretty sure I'm looking at these new transparent
57:03
Ray Bands they announced. I'm sorry, Tom Warren,
57:05
translucent Ray Bands. She
57:08
really ran into like, I work with a
57:10
bunch of nerds this week. Yeah. We're going
57:12
to go on speeds. And I think it's
57:14
a Qualcomm chip inside, actually. I'm just saying,
57:16
like all of that, like Samsung's latent capabilities
57:19
were brought together because
57:21
Google provided them an operating system that let them
57:23
become dominant in phones. Maybe Microsoft
57:26
could have provided an operating system. You remember
57:28
Samsung made a bunch of weird Windows phones
57:31
in the early days. But
57:34
does Luxottica have chips
57:36
and RAM? Or does it just have design
57:39
chops and retail distribution? I think that whole
57:41
comment was basically another
57:43
shot at the EU.
57:46
Because the big criticism of all the EU
57:48
regulatory stuff is the
57:50
United States, deeply
57:53
weird libertarian unregulated United States makes
57:55
the tech companies. And you make
57:57
the taxes. And all you have
57:59
is spot. which only ever complains about
58:01
not having access to iOS. And
58:04
that basically is the shape
58:06
of the complaint. We have European listeners are
58:08
gonna argue with me about something or the other, it's fine.
58:10
But that is the shape of the complaint from Silicon Valley.
58:12
And I think Mark is saying, look, I'll take one of
58:14
your companies and I'll turn them into Samsung, just get the
58:16
hell out of my way. And I
58:19
don't know that that comparison holds up because
58:22
again, Luxottica does own everything, but instead of
58:25
DRAM fabs, they own Supreme.
58:28
Yeah. It's just a
58:30
very different thing. But
58:32
potentially like as the proprietor of
58:34
the Neel eyes insane
58:37
theory of wearable bullshit. I'm
58:39
ready. I'm ready for this. If you're opening a
58:41
store, I'm walking right in. You have to acknowledge
58:44
that making the DRAM and owning Supreme might be
58:46
equally important in this. Like. Oh,
58:48
they are. They think that. You
58:50
can't sit here and tell me that
58:52
fiddliness and value are opposing things unless
58:54
you agree that looking good on your
58:57
face is important. And there are a
58:59
small number of companies that are very,
59:01
very good at making things that people
59:03
like wearing on their face. And
59:06
I think you could argue that a lot of companies
59:08
in tech have tried to like acquire
59:10
or develop that capability and can't do it.
59:13
There's no way Meta would have made these.
59:15
There's no way they would look anything
59:17
like these. It honestly, it might be easier to
59:19
learn how to make DRAM as a company than
59:21
to learn how to be cool. Yeah. Okay.
59:24
So you just clip that line and
59:27
just put it on TikTok and just let
59:29
it live its own life. I sincerely believe
59:31
that. The history of technology said that is
59:33
probably true. David Pierce, easier to make DRAM
59:35
than glasses that look good. I
59:37
mean, the ones that they wear, they got just a
59:40
little, right? The Orions, because they look like buddy Holly
59:42
glasses from the 50s. Which are actually
59:44
kind of coming back. Like that was another thing. That
59:46
was another thing Zuckerberg said is like, it's kind of
59:48
nice that chunky glasses are back in style. Like,
59:51
because. This is like a Zuckerberg long game,
59:53
right? Like. Yeah. He bought off
59:55
a bunch of fashion houses in the background. I was like,
59:57
make the glasses bigger. And like, you know, it's like that.
59:59
that scene from Devil Horse Prada. He turned all
1:00:01
the knobs on Instagram to make vintage cool again
1:00:04
and now it's back. I mean, he's right, he's
1:00:06
right. I was at the snap event the week
1:00:08
before and I saw someone wearing what I thought
1:00:10
were the new spectacles and they were Prada glasses.
1:00:13
I'm just saying, Cerulean was picked
1:00:15
in this room for you, Alex. That's what's
1:00:17
happening here. No,
1:00:20
but like, look, I'm saying, I
1:00:23
agree. I'm very excited to get my
1:00:25
clear Ray-Bans on Monday. They look so good.
1:00:27
They're pretty cool. I'm in the small size
1:00:30
and I have a huge head and I'm furious about this. You're 49 or
1:00:32
50 or 52. Whatever,
1:00:36
what's the bigger? Go bigger, figure number. 52 is
1:00:38
like, you know. 60, just as
1:00:40
big as they can be. No, no. 52 is
1:00:42
like, most brands are like, sorry. Yeah,
1:00:45
I know, which is why I can't. So you're probably a 50. I'm
1:00:47
like a 49, 50. These are
1:00:49
comfortable. Stop measuring my head, first of all.
1:00:52
I've just been enough with you in person to kind
1:00:54
of, you know, map it in my mind. I
1:00:57
have a side hobby of head measurement. It's
1:01:00
not problematic at all. I'm
1:01:04
just saying as big as they can get, and I know Bos
1:01:06
has an equally sized noggin. And I
1:01:08
know that he should have built the bigger ones. Because
1:01:10
the regular ones come in two sizes and these only
1:01:13
come in medium. But I'm getting them on Monday. I'm
1:01:15
very excited. It's the first time I've got them. I
1:01:17
think the clear ones look sick. I'm excited to do
1:01:19
all the stuff with them. The jump
1:01:22
that I'm curious about, right? Because now meta AI
1:01:24
is more conversational. It can
1:01:26
remember things. They've added some capability
1:01:28
to it. That's all running
1:01:31
in their cloud still, right? You talk
1:01:33
to the glasses, it talks to your
1:01:36
phone. It uses your phone's connection. They've got a
1:01:38
decent amount that's on device now. On the glasses,
1:01:40
on device, yeah. Because they're
1:01:42
doing with llama these super fine-tuned
1:01:45
distilled models. So the
1:01:47
latency on these is like pretty incredible in
1:01:49
terms of how quick the AI is. It's not humane
1:01:52
pen, wait a minute to set a timer. It's
1:01:54
like answer something in like
1:01:56
a second, right? Or like, tell me what's
1:01:59
in there. in this photo and it does
1:02:01
it in a couple seconds. And
1:02:04
I got the demo of the new AI stuff
1:02:06
that they're adding to the Ray-Bans. So did Kylie,
1:02:08
so did Jay. And it's
1:02:10
like, wow, okay, they're understanding
1:02:12
this form factor and what's unique about it. So
1:02:14
being able to like look at a phone number
1:02:16
and say call that phone number and it just
1:02:19
calls it and the call comes in on your
1:02:21
glasses because it's paired to your phone or scan
1:02:24
that QR code like you're looking at a
1:02:26
menu, the webpage for the menu just gets
1:02:28
sent to your phone. Breaking
1:02:31
down some of the interactions
1:02:33
you would do with a phone that require
1:02:35
extra steps and just like taking a step
1:02:37
away is like kind of an
1:02:40
aha moment when you do it. You're like, oh,
1:02:42
like this is where it's going. Yeah,
1:02:44
and it's the first time that I
1:02:46
feel like AI makes sense in a wearable.
1:02:50
And did you guys watch the
1:02:52
keynote in the live translation demo that Zuk did?
1:02:54
Yeah, that's when he brought out the MMA fighter.
1:02:56
Yeah, he said, yell some words at me in
1:02:59
Spanish. That is wild, that is
1:03:01
wild. That is like Putin's earpiece
1:03:03
on stage, like at scale for
1:03:05
like anyone and
1:03:08
it works. I mean, it was a
1:03:10
thing like Google promised a couple of years ago, right?
1:03:12
Yeah, I think the really interesting part of this is
1:03:16
these ideas are all just the ideas.
1:03:18
Like these are the demos we have
1:03:20
been hearing about or promised for a
1:03:22
decade, if not more, right?
1:03:25
Live translation, like Apple has live translation on your iPhone,
1:03:27
you just open the app and it'll do it. Google
1:03:30
can do it. It's the form factor, like
1:03:32
you're saying, Alex, that like, okay, we've put
1:03:34
this in glasses, your phone is away, there's
1:03:36
no screen, there's just an ambient computer, another
1:03:39
thing that has been promised for a billion
1:03:41
years and it's just paying attention and helping you
1:03:43
out as you go through your day. Does
1:03:46
that ambient computer require sending an awful
1:03:48
lot of data to Meta? It sure
1:03:50
does, right? It just really, really
1:03:52
does. But that's the trade off. All the
1:03:54
way down to one day, I'm
1:03:56
guessing Orion will have my dream feature, which is
1:03:58
I will look at some. and it will tell me
1:04:00
their name. And that will absolutely
1:04:02
require Meta searching its gigantic worldwide surveillance
1:04:05
database of names and places. But like
1:04:07
they're gonna build that. What's the technical
1:04:09
name? I was waiting for you to
1:04:11
bring this up in my Orion demo.
1:04:15
The VP of wearables at Meta
1:04:17
said, we're excited about name
1:04:19
tags. Yeah, it
1:04:21
is the feature. If you can do name tags, it
1:04:24
doesn't matter. I will wear the backpack. Yeah, right?
1:04:26
Like all day long. Everybody at CES. I
1:04:30
wanna double click on what you said, that the
1:04:32
phones have live translation because I think this is
1:04:34
important when we're talking about like these form factors.
1:04:36
Yes, they do. Like especially iOS 18, it's really
1:04:38
easy to just do like live
1:04:40
language translation from the action button. There's
1:04:44
something about not having your phone out though
1:04:46
that feels like, oh, I would actually use
1:04:48
this. Think about like talking to
1:04:50
someone in another language and holding
1:04:52
your phone between you. It's like an
1:04:54
interview. Like it's just awkward. But it's like, oh wait,
1:04:57
when this isn't a form factor where like they can't
1:04:59
even hear that what they're saying is being translated
1:05:01
to me in my language and
1:05:03
I'm not even pulling a device out. Like
1:05:06
all of a sudden these features make sense as like something
1:05:08
you would use in the world. And I
1:05:10
think that's what these mean. Like these, it's like
1:05:12
taking all these concepts and like putting in a
1:05:14
device that like, oh, like you'd actually do this.
1:05:17
Yeah, cause they are cuter than the Pixel Buds. No
1:05:20
disrespect. Well, so here, these are,
1:05:22
they're just, again, the ideas, the
1:05:25
end state, the goals, very
1:05:27
familiar. Everybody shares them. The
1:05:29
demos as described, very
1:05:32
familiar. Everybody has the same ones. It's
1:05:35
really down to where is the form factor? How fast
1:05:37
can we get there? Can we ship it at scale?
1:05:39
Are the phone makers, the operating system vendors gonna
1:05:41
get in our way, which is a big deal.
1:05:44
And you're kind of like, okay, well, the closest
1:05:46
Apple is fundamentally is AirPods. Yeah.
1:05:50
Right? Like fundamentally the closest they are
1:05:52
to this kind of idea is AirPods. They haven't put
1:05:54
glasses in their face yet. They have an Apple Watch
1:05:56
and they don't really do any AR stuff. Yeah.
1:06:00
You can tap away with an Apple watch. I
1:06:03
wear my metal ray bands. The number one feeling
1:06:05
I have is boy, I wish this actually tied
1:06:07
in with my phone. So I could use Siri
1:06:09
because then I would have access to all my
1:06:11
stuff. Yeah, Siri could just like,
1:06:14
you know, like text the wrong person at
1:06:16
any point. I could just play my music.
1:06:19
Okay, so that's AirPods for Apple.
1:06:22
Alex, you were just bringing up the Pixel Buds. Yeah. That
1:06:25
is Google's, although does Google remember that it
1:06:27
made the Pixel Buds? It made the Pixel
1:06:29
Buds too, which... Sure, Neelai. Yeah,
1:06:31
the review came up the same time,
1:06:33
the metal event. So Neelai,
1:06:35
AirPods, great example. With my AirPods, I can
1:06:37
say, hey, remind me about whatever. I can
1:06:39
say whatever I want it to remind me
1:06:41
about at a certain time, right? And I'll
1:06:43
get the notification and the reminders app. With
1:06:45
the ray bands, you can say, hey, look
1:06:47
at this and remind me about it at
1:06:49
whatever time. Right, because it can see. Yeah,
1:06:52
that's like, that's wildly useful to me. I cannot
1:06:54
tell you how many times throughout the day, I
1:06:57
just wanna have a snapshot of whatever I'm looking
1:06:59
at and go back to it later. And
1:07:02
those ideas, because you literally have a camera
1:07:04
on your face, you can't
1:07:06
do that with AirPods. And so you're right, the
1:07:08
closest we have are these earbuds that are internet
1:07:11
connected and can hear our
1:07:13
voice. There's something about adding the cameras though,
1:07:15
that's big. So the prevailing theory
1:07:17
of why the camera control button is not
1:07:19
just on the pro phone, but also on
1:07:21
the regular 16, is that Apple
1:07:23
at visual intelligence, and then you'll be able to
1:07:25
quickly access the camera and look at stuff. When
1:07:28
you say theory, you mean Apple just said that
1:07:30
out loud in that many words. Well,
1:07:32
they haven't shipped yet. It's vapor till it ships. No, but
1:07:34
I mean, whether it's good
1:07:36
or not is a question, but that is clearly, that
1:07:38
is half the purpose of the thing. They have just
1:07:40
said as much. At this point,
1:07:43
my theory, whether Apple has its own
1:07:45
unified theory of what it's doing, it's
1:07:47
like, sure. I've used Control Center and
1:07:49
iOS 18 enough to be like, did
1:07:52
anybody pay attention to that slide? But
1:07:54
also there are increasingly convincing and well-sourced
1:07:56
rumors about things like AirPods with a
1:07:58
camera. which will be that look like
1:08:00
and an Apple watch with a camera,
1:08:03
because I agree with you Heath, like the camera is
1:08:06
the thing, both
1:08:08
as the input and as like the activity,
1:08:10
right? Like I hear from people all
1:08:12
the time for whom the reason to have the smart glasses
1:08:14
is to take pictures of your kids, like or your pets
1:08:16
or whoever, like I'm convinced my dog knows when I take
1:08:18
out my phone to take a picture of her. I'm a
1:08:21
hundred percent sure and she runs away and now she doesn't
1:08:23
anymore, I can take a picture of her, it's awesome. I
1:08:25
can't wait to get these glasses. Did you buy the glasses
1:08:27
too David? I already have two pairs. I
1:08:30
don't have a great answer for why I have two pairs. Do you
1:08:32
have like the large size or the small size? Because if you don't
1:08:34
need the large size, I'm in the market. I
1:08:37
have, I don't know, I also have a big
1:08:39
head. So we'll have to figure this out together.
1:08:42
Alex, how big do you think David's head is? We're getting
1:08:44
49? I'm gonna guess he's like a 48, 47. Neil
1:08:49
has like a 65. I'm saying, the
1:08:51
better. It's not insulting to me,
1:08:53
80, let's go. The bigger, the better. All
1:08:56
right, so we talked a lot
1:08:58
about the meta stuff. I
1:09:01
wanna make sure we talk about two other pieces of
1:09:03
Meta Connect that are important and
1:09:05
then spend a little time in OpenAI before
1:09:08
we go to the later end. The other piece
1:09:10
of Meta Connect that I think is deeply fascinating is,
1:09:14
you guys did talk about AI a lot and
1:09:16
how it will be expressed. It seems like they're
1:09:18
chasing a big distribution advantage with glasses that maybe
1:09:21
other people will catch up to. But then
1:09:23
there's like training data and open source
1:09:25
models. Zuckerberg said,
1:09:27
and I think this is one of the shots
1:09:29
at Google. Like I think all of the, we're
1:09:31
doing live demos, we're shots at Apple for doing
1:09:33
infomercials. I think when he says things
1:09:36
like, we are the Linux of open source, because
1:09:38
llamas, like that's a shot at Google, right? We're
1:09:40
just gonna have more distribution, we're gonna have more
1:09:42
development, we're gonna be better at everybody else because
1:09:44
open always beats close, which is usually Google's model.
1:09:47
And that's just not how Google's doing it. They
1:09:51
had to suck up a lot of training data
1:09:53
and you asked about people wanting to opt out.
1:09:56
There's all the celebrities on Instagram right now saying
1:09:58
opt me out of this. His
1:10:00
answer, explain his answer, then
1:10:02
we should talk about it a little bit, because it was really interesting. Yeah,
1:10:05
he said the quiet part out loud,
1:10:07
which is that everyone
1:10:09
thinks their data is more valuable than it
1:10:11
actually is for these models. In aggregate, it's
1:10:13
valuable, but when
1:10:18
you're a company like Meta, and it's
1:10:20
like the entire world is your corpus
1:10:22
of information and the internet at large,
1:10:26
what exactly do you have to have? And
1:10:29
I think we were talking a lot about
1:10:31
publishers and about how Meta's basically thrown its
1:10:33
hands up on news. And
1:10:35
Rupert Murdoch is in Australia saying, pay
1:10:37
me or I'm gonna take your news
1:10:39
off. And Zuckerberg's like, fine, whatever. People
1:10:41
don't even like this. So
1:10:45
we were talking a lot about publishers, but I
1:10:48
think he's kind of just saying that,
1:10:50
look, yes, people have feelings about their
1:10:52
data being
1:10:56
used to train these models. And
1:11:00
yes, we're all doing it, but we
1:11:02
also, if you don't like it, go
1:11:04
away, whatever. So
1:11:08
it's really interesting to me about this is
1:11:11
that's the lines to the publishers. We
1:11:13
will derank your news, we won't have news on
1:11:15
threads however you want to interpret all
1:11:17
of the many things Adam Osteria said about that. There's
1:11:21
no opt-out for any user of these services,
1:11:23
unless you're in the EU from having yourself
1:11:25
trained on. And guess where Meta AI is
1:11:27
not available in the EU. Right.
1:11:30
And so, and he did say, I remain what, eternally
1:11:32
confident that we will launch this in the EU. Something
1:11:35
like that. On stage. But there's just,
1:11:37
I would just draw a connection. I think it
1:11:39
is very funny to dunk on
1:11:41
people posting what amounts to chain letters on
1:11:43
their Instagram stories, being like, dear
1:11:46
Zuckerberg by the statute of Rome,
1:11:48
I command you from not. We were doing
1:11:50
this on our Facebook walls like 15 years
1:11:52
ago. Yeah, this keeps happening. This is a
1:11:54
chain letter. Like that's what it is. And
1:11:56
it's like, people think the law is magic
1:11:58
words. and he just
1:12:00
like issued an incantation to the internet. Like someone
1:12:02
has to do with his sentence. Usually
1:12:05
chain letters have a lot more like
1:12:07
promising death than these. Yeah. And
1:12:09
I really miss that. I wish if it was like send
1:12:11
this to 12 of your friends or Zuckerberg will appear in
1:12:13
your house in his Latin shirt and beat the shit out
1:12:15
of you. That would be great. Have
1:12:18
you ever fallen down the whole of courtroom
1:12:20
videos of people invoking the
1:12:23
sovereign citizen defense in
1:12:25
like local courtrooms? And then they're
1:12:27
like, shut up. And the judges are like, that
1:12:29
doesn't mean anything. You're going to
1:12:31
jail. They're like, by what authority?
1:12:33
And the judge is always like, because I'm the
1:12:36
judge. And it's just like that's
1:12:38
happening on. And it is very funny. It's Michael
1:12:40
Scott on the office yelling, I declare bankruptcy. It is
1:12:42
exactly that. And then somebody pulls him aside and says,
1:12:44
that's nothing. And he goes, I didn't say it. I
1:12:47
declared it. That's what these people are doing.
1:12:49
So it is very funny. And Tom
1:12:52
Brady, who has a meta deal to use
1:12:54
his face for a chat bot, has done
1:12:56
it. He did. They
1:12:58
canceled the deal because that idea was bad. And
1:13:00
they came up with a better idea of what
1:13:02
if we just used the celebrities' voices and said
1:13:04
they were the celebrities instead of pretending
1:13:07
they were other characters? Yeah, it was Tom
1:13:09
Brady as like Barry, your workout partner or
1:13:11
something. Not great. But
1:13:14
it was his face. And then Kristen Bell, you
1:13:16
can just chat with Kristen Bell. She put up one
1:13:18
of these that Kylie noticed because she's a Kristen Bell
1:13:20
fan. And so she's like, you have a deal with
1:13:22
meta AI and you have an Instagram post saying, don't
1:13:24
use my stuff for meta AI. That
1:13:28
was before she saw the zeros on the check. Yeah,
1:13:31
money. Money is cool. Yeah, they're paying for
1:13:33
these celebrity voices. They're
1:13:35
not paying for the rest of us. So
1:13:37
here's what I will just say about that thing.
1:13:41
The idea that you can
1:13:43
negotiate with meta feels
1:13:45
intuitive to everyone, right?
1:13:48
Or any platform. I'm
1:13:50
posting my stuff here. I should be able to tell
1:13:52
you how I want you to use it. But
1:13:55
you don't. And the answer is, well, you already signed the Terms of Service
1:13:57
and you go away. But everyone knows
1:13:59
nobody reads. that shit. When
1:14:02
half of your users are like collectively
1:14:05
trying to renegotiate the terms of their
1:14:07
agreement with you, that means there's a
1:14:09
problem. Like kind of they're doing it
1:14:12
on your platform though. That's the thing.
1:14:15
Like, well, that's fine. But like
1:14:17
you can't, there's, there's so other
1:14:19
things in the world where like
1:14:22
you don't get to negotiate on this
1:14:24
level except for weird internet terms of
1:14:26
service that everyone agrees no one reads.
1:14:29
Right? Like, and I would just say like, if
1:14:32
you are one of the many, many, many young
1:14:34
staffers in DC who listens to the show, which
1:14:36
is a weird audience that we have and I
1:14:38
love you. I'm glad that
1:14:40
we're making the commute to your basement office in the
1:14:42
capital better. Um, you
1:14:44
should look at all the people posting.
1:14:46
I don't want you to train on
1:14:48
my data on metas own platform and
1:14:51
the basic response of, yeah, go
1:14:53
fuck yourself and be like,
1:14:55
Oh, this is actually what regulations are for. Right?
1:14:58
Like the people are expressing that
1:15:00
they do not like that the
1:15:02
terms of this arrangement are not
1:15:04
in their favor and no
1:15:07
one as an individual has enough power to
1:15:11
change it. And Mark Zuckerberg is
1:15:13
like, everyone overvalues the vote. They're working this
1:15:15
context. So I don't have to pay attention
1:15:17
to it. Like that is actually
1:15:19
the problem that like, it doesn't
1:15:22
matter if you're a Republican or a Democrat or a
1:15:24
libertarian or whatever, that thing is
1:15:26
the problem that governments are meant to
1:15:28
equalize. How is this any different from
1:15:30
using data for ad targeting? Think about
1:15:32
when we copy and pasted protest messages
1:15:34
on Facebook 15 years ago, what was
1:15:36
it about? It was there. I'm putting
1:15:38
this all in the same line. Right.
1:15:41
This is all the same line. If my
1:15:43
point is when everyone is like, I signed
1:15:45
this agreement, I didn't read it. Right. And
1:15:47
now I've handed over whatever leverage I might've
1:15:49
had because I signed this agreement that I
1:15:51
didn't read. And the second I made aware
1:15:53
that I, that by saying,
1:15:55
abracadabra, this is like, go back in
1:15:57
my favor. I will just hapless. start
1:16:00
yelling African Dabra as loudly as I
1:16:02
can. Like that is, that's the problem.
1:16:05
Yeah, but that's also just like no one
1:16:07
reads Yula's and that's, that's. But like, so
1:16:09
who should read the Yula for you? Should
1:16:11
we hire, and you can't do AI. And
1:16:13
then what? Do you have
1:16:15
bargaining power if you disagree with the terms?
1:16:18
No. If the user, I do use
1:16:20
the Instagram. Using Instagram's terms of service and ships
1:16:22
it to you. Are you like, you know, Tim,
1:16:25
paragraph five, couple notes. Are
1:16:27
you saying that social media needs to unionize?
1:16:30
I am saying terms of service agreement should
1:16:32
be illegal. Like flatly. Because
1:16:34
they're a contract. Christen Bell for president. They
1:16:36
are contracts no one reads. And it's these
1:16:38
moments, I just have a lot of empathy.
1:16:40
I have written the don't
1:16:43
believe the Instagram meme story five
1:16:45
times in my career. And
1:16:48
one time I got a call from Instagram, and I'm like, thank
1:16:50
you so much. And I was like, I just, I don't like
1:16:52
this. Because
1:16:54
it happens over and over again for a
1:16:56
reason. Which is whenever you
1:16:58
offer somebody back the mechanism
1:17:00
of control over their own information. They're like,
1:17:02
yeah, I'd like that back, please. Yeah.
1:17:05
Universally. Yeah. And
1:17:07
no one reads the agreements. The agreements change all the time.
1:17:10
The agreements always change in favor of the platform using your
1:17:12
data for more and more and more things. And
1:17:14
then you get Zuckerberg saying, everyone
1:17:16
overestimates the value of their individual data. And it's
1:17:19
like, who? What is
1:17:21
the mechanism that you would rebalance
1:17:23
this equation with? There isn't
1:17:25
one. There isn't one. And I think Zuckerberg's also
1:17:27
thinking, yeah, guess what? You're using Instagram and you're
1:17:29
gonna keep using Instagram. He's not incentivized to say,
1:17:31
actually. Yeah, we should deliver more value to you.
1:17:34
Yeah, he doesn't care. He's like, yeah, give me
1:17:36
all of your data for free so I can
1:17:38
make lots of money and afford my cool shirts.
1:17:40
Like, of course he is. Look, I'm not saying
1:17:42
we all shouldn't dunk on a bunch of people
1:17:45
posting, advocate, abrac to Instagram. Like, we absolutely should.
1:17:47
We should. It
1:17:49
is one of the funniest repeat memes
1:17:51
that can possibly exist, is
1:17:54
people basically doing sovereign citizen in Instagram.
1:17:56
I'm like, very funny. But if
1:17:58
you just, I'm just trying. But one step back
1:18:00
from a place of empathy, it's
1:18:02
a bunch of people communicating that they don't
1:18:04
like the terms of the agreement. And there's
1:18:07
no mechanism to channel that into any change.
1:18:09
That agreement is not changing. I fully agree
1:18:11
with you. And that's how I frame it
1:18:13
to him. I'm like, do you sympathize with
1:18:15
this icky feeling people have about this trade-off
1:18:17
and the sense that value is not flowing
1:18:19
back to them? And he said
1:18:21
the thing about how everyone overvalues their data. You
1:18:24
can run. Well, there's also a sense of,
1:18:26
yeah, if you feel this way, you would
1:18:29
stop using the product. We were doing this
1:18:31
about ad targeting and our data being used
1:18:33
for ad targeting 15 years ago and
1:18:36
copy paste messages on Facebook. Everyone's
1:18:39
still using, well, not everyone. 3
1:18:41
billion people apparently are still on Facebook. So
1:18:45
for them, it's like the platforms, they
1:18:48
don't see any data to
1:18:50
suggest that this value exchange is actually
1:18:52
unfair because in their mind, we would
1:18:54
stop using the services. Yeah. Yeah,
1:18:56
and that just presumes that people have that power and
1:19:00
can afford to do that. What do you mean? You
1:19:02
can delete Instagram? Yeah, I would say these things are
1:19:04
businesses for a lot of people, right? Like this is
1:19:06
a way they advertise their businesses. This is a way
1:19:08
they advertise themselves if they're influencers.
1:19:10
But most people in the
1:19:12
Verge's newsroom are no longer posting on X. People
1:19:15
can make decisions about the apps that they post
1:19:17
on. People can. Even when they have career implications.
1:19:19
I think there's also a lot of journalists who
1:19:21
are still on X. I mean, I think there
1:19:23
is a power imbalance there that Neelai is speaking
1:19:25
to of, these people have no power
1:19:27
in this relationship. It
1:19:30
is if you wanna use this, suck
1:19:32
it up. And I think people slowly get tired of that.
1:19:35
Right, I think it's just that there
1:19:37
are very few other relationships you have.
1:19:39
If you are a creator,
1:19:41
and creators are mostly just business people at
1:19:44
this point. They're all running content businesses on
1:19:46
the terms of the platforms. If
1:19:48
you're a celebrity, you're just a content business on
1:19:50
the platform. Which is why I think the
1:19:52
celebrities are so fast to be like, don't use my stuff. They
1:19:55
know, they do not want their voice and likeness to
1:19:57
use without payment. All
1:20:00
I'm saying is from a place of empathy, one step back, there's
1:20:03
no mechanism to channel this frustration
1:20:05
into anything. And that is
1:20:07
actually, again, I don't think
1:20:09
you have to be very political on either side of
1:20:12
the spectrum. It's like, oh, this is actually the thing
1:20:14
we should, this is what it's for, right?
1:20:17
A lot of people, like most people in the
1:20:19
society would like to renegotiate the terms of their
1:20:21
agreement with the large platforms. That
1:20:23
is called a privacy law, right?
1:20:26
Where we're just gonna reset the floor of the agreement.
1:20:28
A lot of people wanna reset the terms of how
1:20:31
their content can be used for training. That's
1:20:33
just an AI training law. Like
1:20:36
that, it's just very simple. And
1:20:38
like, I don't know what those laws
1:20:40
should do or how they should read or whether
1:20:42
you are a conservative and
1:20:44
you think the answer is like,
1:20:46
I don't know, some weird public-private
1:20:49
partnership that the Heritage Foundation
1:20:51
runs. Like those are those ideas. Or you're a
1:20:53
hardcore liberal and you're like, I will start a government
1:20:55
commission and we will, the government
1:20:58
will set the rates, which is what
1:21:00
we do in copyright law. Like there's a million solutions to this. And
1:21:02
I think that's a very liberal solution in copyright law. I'm just
1:21:05
saying there are government entities that set rates in other parts of
1:21:07
this world. But it's
1:21:09
just, I would just point like, we're
1:21:11
talking about AI and distributing it and who
1:21:13
has the power, where the models run and
1:21:15
how powerful the experiences can
1:21:18
be that you had, Alex. And
1:21:20
underneath it all is like, hey,
1:21:23
do all of these people feel ripped off? Is
1:21:26
that okay? And Zuckerberg's answer is Zuckerberg's answer.
1:21:28
I asked Sundar Pichai this about YouTube in
1:21:30
the same kind of framework of a question.
1:21:33
How do you feel about OpenAI training on
1:21:35
YouTube? And he was like, I
1:21:37
think that would be inappropriate. And it's like, do you understand
1:21:40
why all of your creators think that's inappropriate? And he just like,
1:21:42
sighed at me. And I
1:21:44
suspect something else is gonna happen there.
1:21:47
Like some set of lawsuits or some
1:21:50
Scarlett Johansson OpenAI situation
1:21:53
where it just becomes less and less tenable to
1:21:56
be this blithe about it. We
1:21:59
should get off the line. point because we could do this for hours
1:22:01
and we'll end up talking about the feta verse and we'll be a whole thing.
1:22:03
Oh my God. Let's do it. But the
1:22:05
thing is no one has
1:22:07
any reason to believe that any of what you just
1:22:10
said is true. And what's actually happening is everybody is
1:22:12
now saying the quiet part out loud. Eric Schmidt is
1:22:14
out here being like, Oh, you want data from the
1:22:16
internet? Just steal it. Mustafa Suleiman was like, Oh, it's
1:22:18
all free. It's on the internet. You can just have
1:22:20
it. Like this is what everybody thinks. And there has
1:22:22
been absolutely nothing to convince them
1:22:24
otherwise so far. So if I'm Mark Zuckerberg, why
1:22:26
I'm going to look around and be like, Oh,
1:22:28
I'm going to be the good guy here. And
1:22:31
it's going to cost me in this race
1:22:33
to AI. That is suddenly the only thing anyone cares about.
1:22:35
Like, no, of course he's not going to do that. He's
1:22:38
going to say, Oh, you like Instagram? Keep using Instagram. We
1:22:40
can do this for another hour, but also his new attitude,
1:22:42
which is like, I no longer apologize for everything. Apologizing was
1:22:44
a 20 year mistake that I'm not going to make anymore.
1:22:46
No, dude,
1:22:51
you grow the hair out. You get a little older, you know,
1:22:53
like I'm thinking about growing my hair out.
1:22:55
I watched that interview. I was like, Oh, I could get
1:22:57
the, is it the cauliflower hair? Is that what they call
1:23:00
it? Look, when every, every 12 year old in your boy
1:23:02
is gifted a gold chain and you have to make a
1:23:04
decision and I made one decision
1:23:06
and I'm saying I could remake that decision. You could.
1:23:08
The hair is getting long. You could, yeah. I
1:23:11
feel like you're like, you're a few months away
1:23:13
from curls. Oh, this hair is very
1:23:15
curly. I could tomorrow. We're not talking
1:23:17
about this right now. We are changing the
1:23:19
subject. So French and we need to go
1:23:21
to a break. Can we just before we get a break, I
1:23:23
do want to talk about open AI. Oh
1:23:25
yeah. It, it God seems
1:23:28
like chaos over there. What is going on over there? Ox. Did
1:23:30
you guys know that open AI is a nonprofit? Do
1:23:34
they know that? I'm not sure
1:23:36
they do. I think they're finding out and
1:23:39
that's what's going on. Honestly, like at a
1:23:41
very high level, but everyone's leaving like Mira
1:23:43
Marati, the CTO is leaving Greg
1:23:45
Brockman, the president, apparently
1:23:48
he just vanished. Yeah. There's this
1:23:50
great photo of all of the exact, Greg,
1:23:54
Mira and Sam together for this big
1:23:56
New York times profile. This was like
1:23:58
right before the boardroom boardroom coup. which
1:24:00
Neelai was almost a year ago when
1:24:02
you were at Disney. No way. Yeah.
1:24:05
Isn't that crazy? You were at Disney not
1:24:07
getting to ride the rides almost a year ago,
1:24:09
cause we were reporting on this, which is, yeah,
1:24:11
that's to me. But there's this photo of him
1:24:13
and all these execs. And now they just Photoshopped
1:24:15
out everyone except Sam Altman, who's the only one
1:24:17
left. And what's
1:24:20
happening is that OpenAI just raised the largest
1:24:22
round of funding of all time. I think
1:24:24
they just went above Elon's mega round for
1:24:26
XAI, which was I think six
1:24:28
billion on purpose. Of
1:24:31
course, Optics, they're valued at $150 billion, which
1:24:34
is more than the market cap of Goldman Sachs. Guess
1:24:37
what? OpenAI is legally still a
1:24:39
nonprofit. They get tax
1:24:41
breaks in
1:24:43
the state of California as a
1:24:45
nonprofit. They make billions of dollars
1:24:47
a year. And so what's
1:24:49
happening is this very chaotic fast transition
1:24:52
from what was a research
1:24:55
lab, we're going to invent AGI, all
1:24:58
the Ilia stuff to in the last
1:25:00
year when Sam won the board coup.
1:25:03
No, we are a large
1:25:05
commercial for-profit next
1:25:08
big mega tech company. And
1:25:10
they hired a CFO, they hired
1:25:12
a CPO who used to run product at Instagram,
1:25:15
not the other one who used to run product at Instagram who's
1:25:17
an anthropic. And they are
1:25:20
very chaotically turning into a
1:25:22
real big company. And
1:25:24
I think what you're seeing is a lot
1:25:26
of the previous era being
1:25:29
abruptly managed out, quitting,
1:25:32
what have you. And it's the Altman
1:25:34
show. And he famously does not
1:25:36
have equity in OpenAI, has been doing
1:25:38
a ton of interesting
1:25:41
dealings with other startups and
1:25:43
investments around OpenAI. It
1:25:45
is now reportedly going to be getting a
1:25:47
large stake in this new for-profit company that
1:25:50
they're creating. I will
1:25:52
love to see how what the tax
1:25:54
implications are of this transition, more to
1:25:56
come on that. And the state of
1:25:58
California really... doesn't like
1:26:00
when nonprofits become for profits. It's
1:26:02
a very, very contested thing. Um,
1:26:05
and yeah, I think that's what's happening at
1:26:08
high level. So Mira, the CTO is out,
1:26:10
um, who was memed with her reaction to,
1:26:12
did you use YouTube to train Sora? They
1:26:15
were very unhappy about that from what I understand.
1:26:17
And then they're ahead of research who literally just
1:26:19
did an interview about the new reasoning model with
1:26:21
Kylie a couple of weeks ago, um, who
1:26:24
won out against Ilya in the research kind
1:26:27
of group battle a year ago. So yeah,
1:26:29
it's just like stuff's happening very fast and
1:26:32
yeah, big picture. This is
1:26:34
open AI entering a decidedly
1:26:36
commercial big tech company
1:26:38
phase. They are speed running. Should that be
1:26:40
terrifying for us? Given that they were supposed
1:26:42
to be the safeguards of AI. Well, yeah,
1:26:45
now he was doing, Billy is doing super safe, whatever
1:26:47
AI. So it's going to be super safe. But he
1:26:49
doesn't have the money. He
1:26:52
raised a bunch of money. Yeah, he raised a bunch of money. Um,
1:26:54
but not as much. No, not as
1:26:56
much. But I mean,
1:26:58
they are speed running the Facebook, Google playbook, which
1:27:01
is move incredibly
1:27:03
fast. Let regulation
1:27:05
catch up. Let, you know, just
1:27:07
outrun your competitors. And it's
1:27:09
intense. I mean, the vibes that we hear is
1:27:11
that working inside open AI is just, it's way
1:27:14
different than it was a couple of years ago,
1:27:16
the pressure to ship the pressure to make things
1:27:18
commercial. And so that research
1:27:20
culture that built the company originally is
1:27:22
being just broken down. And it's
1:27:25
very messy right now. Yeah. My
1:27:27
sense of it, uh, David mentioned Mustafa
1:27:29
Saliman earlier, who is now
1:27:31
the CEO of Microsoft AI is
1:27:34
Microsoft is reacting to
1:27:36
their former research investment becoming a product
1:27:38
company by being like, now we have
1:27:40
a CEO of products, uh, which
1:27:43
I'm very curious to see how that relationship manages
1:27:45
over time. All right. We should take a break.
1:27:48
We're going to go through the lightning round. It's
1:27:50
lightning speed because we are so over at this
1:27:52
point. We'll be right back with the lightning round.
1:27:58
It's time to review the top three highlights. the
1:28:00
day, I'm joined as always by my co-anchor Snoop.
1:28:03
Snoop number one has to be getting the
1:28:05
new iPhone 16 Pro with Apple Intelligence at
1:28:07
T-Mobile. Yeah, you should hustle down to T-Mobile
1:28:10
like a dog chasing a squirrel chasing a
1:28:12
nut. Nice analogy Snoop, dogs do love to
1:28:14
chase squirrels. And squirrels love to chase those
1:28:16
nuts. On to highlight number two, at T-Mobile
1:28:18
families can save 20% every month
1:28:20
versus the other big guys. That is very impressive.
1:28:22
You know, y'all can take some of those savings
1:28:25
and buy some Snoop merchandise. That's exactly what I'm
1:28:27
planning on doing with my saving Snoop. Now take
1:28:29
it away Snoop. Head to
1:28:31
t-mobile.com and get the new iPhone 16
1:28:33
Pro with Apple Intelligence on them. Now
1:28:36
drop that jingle. Alright,
1:28:59
we're back. We are so over.
1:29:03
We are often asked how long the show is supposed to be
1:29:05
and the answer is not this long. Six
1:29:07
and a half minutes. But we're never going to tell you how
1:29:10
long it's supposed to be. Actually a 90 second show. We've
1:29:12
gotten some incoming on Lightning Round sponsorships. Again, I
1:29:15
don't make the deals. I just walk
1:29:17
around Voxmute and demanding why the deals aren't made, which
1:29:20
has proven to be ineffective. So
1:29:22
I'm going to try some new strategies,
1:29:24
but today we remain unsponsored. Which
1:29:27
is a personal failure. For
1:29:30
somebody who complains about Creator, like influence and
1:29:32
brand deals as much as I do, I'm
1:29:34
horrible at this. Which makes it
1:29:36
that money. Anyway, the Lightning Round is available to sponsor. I
1:29:38
might say your company's name
1:29:41
if you give us a bunch of money or I might not
1:29:43
because of ethics policy. You won't know
1:29:45
until you pay me money. That's Lightning Round. Alright,
1:29:48
Alex, let's start with you because I think
1:29:50
you've got the most relevant Lightning Round item
1:29:52
after that previous conversation. Yeah, Tripp, Nickelton New
1:29:54
York Times has this great story about what
1:29:56
Johnny Ive has been up to post Apple
1:29:59
and this design. firm he founded called love
1:30:01
from lots of nuggets in here.
1:30:03
I thought it was very interesting that he
1:30:06
says in the story he interviewed Ivan June and
1:30:08
this came out the week of iPhone 16. Um,
1:30:12
the timing was interesting. Um,
1:30:15
but yeah, Johnny's he's working. I
1:30:17
think the time's kind of buried the lead
1:30:20
here. Um, he's literally, it's like the last
1:30:22
paragraph story. He
1:30:24
confirms that he's working on some kind of
1:30:26
AI device with open AI. It sounds like
1:30:28
they haven't quite nailed down what it will
1:30:30
be. Um, it was the first time he'd
1:30:32
confirmed it on the record. Um, my understanding
1:30:34
is that love from a super small, it's like 40
1:30:37
ish 50 people. And there's
1:30:39
only 10 people working on this project. Yeah.
1:30:41
And a wild detail in this story
1:30:43
is, is as Mr. I've
1:30:46
climbed a wooden staircase to the studio second floor
1:30:48
that morning. And by the way, he bought like
1:30:50
a whole block, a city block of downtown San
1:30:53
Francisco for their office. Um, he
1:30:56
said he spoke about love firms, clients, love
1:30:58
firms, clients, which pay the firm as much
1:31:00
as $200 million annually. And
1:31:04
that includes like Airbnb Ferrari. He just designed
1:31:06
a $3,000 jacket with Montclair. Love
1:31:10
from is like 50 people. So
1:31:13
how much money are they making? Johnny. I,
1:31:15
well, this is crazy block in San Francisco.
1:31:17
Like they doing good. Brian Chesky is
1:31:19
paying him $200 million a year to
1:31:21
like riff on what the Airbnb logo
1:31:23
should be. Can I, can I just tell
1:31:26
you a story about the Airbnb Johnny
1:31:28
I've connection, which I was reading
1:31:30
this and it says what he worked on. Like
1:31:32
they did the experiences where you can like live
1:31:34
in a pineapple house or something, whatever.
1:31:37
I mean, $200 million nonsense is happening. Right.
1:31:40
Um, Airbnb last year,
1:31:42
the year before, after
1:31:44
the Johnny I've stuff was out, um,
1:31:47
like announced a bunch of redesign stuff and like an
1:31:49
app redesign and all this stuff and we emailed them
1:31:52
and we're like, was this the stuff Johnny I've worked
1:31:54
on because obviously that is very relevant and interesting detail.
1:31:56
And they're like, yeah, yeah. And then we like, And
1:44:02
that's it for the VergeCast this week. Hey, we'd
1:44:04
love to hear from you. Give us a call
1:44:06
at 866-Verge-11. The VergeCast
1:44:09
is a production of The Verge and Vox
1:44:11
Media Podcast Network. Our show is produced by
1:44:13
Liam James, Will Poor, and Eric Gomez. And
1:44:16
that's it. We'll see you next week.
1:44:22
It's time to review the highlights. I'm joined by
1:44:24
my co-anchor, Snoop. Hey, what up, Dope? Number one
1:44:27
has to be getting the new iPhone 16 Pro
1:44:29
with Apple Intelligence at T-Mobile. Yeah, you should hustle
1:44:31
down at T-Mobile like a dog chasing a squirrel,
1:44:33
chasing a nut. That's a nice analogy, Snoop. On
1:44:35
to highlight number two with T-Mobile, families can save
1:44:37
20% every month versus the other big guys. Very
1:44:40
impressive. Take it away, Snoop. Head
1:44:42
to t-mobile.com and get the new iPhone 16 Pro
1:44:44
with Apple Intelligence on them. Now drop that jingle. See
1:44:48
how you can save versus the other big guys
1:44:50
at t-mobile.com/Switch. Apple Intelligence coming Fall 2024.
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