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1:00
trillion, Charles Swab says they are
1:03
going to launch crypto trading.
1:05
This is bullish and huge
1:07
news. Another Wall Street domino
1:09
has fallen and Bitcoin moves past
1:11
$87 ,000. Are we seeing
1:13
the move towards the next run
1:15
up? I'll share all the
1:17
details with you. Let's get
1:19
into it. Hey
1:25
everybody, welcome into the Thinking Crypto Podcast, your
1:27
home for cryptocurrency news and interviews. I'm
1:29
your host Tony Edward. On your way in,
1:31
please hit that subscribe button as well
1:33
as the thumbs up button and leave a
1:36
comment below. If you're listening on a
1:38
podcast platform such as Spotify or Apple, please
1:40
leave a five store rating and review. Folks,
1:43
we're seeing some movements on Bitcoin.
1:45
It's currently over $87 ,000. When
1:47
you look at the daily chart, we
1:49
are seeing higher highs and higher lows.
1:51
So we're stair stepping our way out
1:53
of this hole and we're seeing some
1:55
strength here. It's really good. So Bitcoin
1:57
is very close to passing the 200
2:00
-day moving average. What have I told
2:02
you guys? When we are above
2:04
the 200 -day moving average, we are
2:06
certainly and definitively in a bull market.
2:08
When we are below it, if
2:10
Bitcoin hangs out there too long and
2:12
starts going into a downtrend, we're
2:14
in a bear market. Now, Bitcoin has
2:17
been teetering right below it, kind
2:19
of knocking on the door of a
2:21
bear market here. but looks like
2:23
it's starting to come out. This is
2:25
what we saw last summer with
2:27
the Japanese yen carry trade situation, the
2:29
markets all crashed, similar to what
2:31
took place with the terrorist stuff over
2:34
the past couple months, stock markets,
2:36
crypto, everything crashed. Same thing happened last
2:38
summer, not as bad of course.
2:40
But Bitcoin stayed down there, boring, chopping
2:42
sideways, even dipping down again and
2:44
retesting supports. Then it made its way
2:46
out in Q3 and in Q4,
2:48
melted phases. And we saw a lot
2:51
of all coins run up as
2:53
well. The same type of setup
2:55
is happening here. This is the data, not
2:57
my feelings or emotions. There are going
2:59
to be people in the comments, oh, it's
3:01
a fake out. It's still a bear
3:03
market. You guys are idiots. But they won't
3:06
give you data. They'll just give you
3:08
sentiment. I'm not here for the herd sentiment
3:10
because the herd right now thinks everything
3:12
is over, right? They look at the stock
3:14
market. They look at everything that's going
3:16
on with tariffs. But as I've been telling
3:18
you guys, there will be a resolution
3:20
to the tariffs and the markets are going
3:23
to price the tariffs and eventually because
3:25
they're going to become oversold. The markets don't
3:27
keep going down forever. They find their
3:29
bottoms and then they start moving up. Very
3:31
good sign. Here's another very bullish sign,
3:33
my friends, on the higher time frame with
3:35
the weekly chart, the Bitcoin weekly chart.
3:38
We're seeing the MACD, if you see where
3:40
my mouse cursor is, it
3:42
is showing bears are losing strength as
3:44
Bitcoin is starting to rise up
3:46
here. And you see the green candles
3:48
on the weekly chart. Very bullish.
3:50
Now, if you go back a few
3:52
months, going back to, I should
3:54
say four months, to November,
3:57
Or even October of last year,
3:59
when we had that big run
4:01
up, you saw the bears were
4:03
losing momentum towards the end of
4:05
September and then October the green
4:07
candles started on the MACD here
4:09
and that coincided with the massive
4:11
pump we saw. Same thing playing
4:13
out here, right? I'm seeing the
4:15
data showing me this now. Not
4:17
my feelings or emotion, guys. I'm
4:19
saying that because people get very
4:21
emotional about these things when they
4:23
shouldn't be. We don't invest our
4:25
emotions. So you see the MACD
4:27
showing the bears are losing strength
4:29
with the red candles diminishing, becoming
4:31
they're not dark red anymore. That's
4:34
how it's displayed. And then it
4:36
goes into the green, guys. So
4:38
things are setting up beautifully here.
4:40
Now, you may say, Okay Tony,
4:42
but this is only one or
4:44
two factors you're showing here. Okay,
4:46
let's look at other data points.
4:48
The DXY crashing guys, it is
4:50
below 99. It's currently at a
4:52
98. This is bull market
4:54
setup right here. The DXY historically,
4:56
and this is correlated to the stock
4:58
market, when it is down and
5:00
is crashing, risk assets are moving up
5:02
now there is a macro factor
5:04
of the tariffs slowing things down and
5:07
there's a bit of a lag
5:09
so you have to understand that but
5:11
this is not a bear market
5:13
set up for risk assets and that
5:15
includes crypto in the stock market
5:17
this is bullish And then
5:19
you look at global liquidity, it
5:21
is surging. It's breaking out. We
5:23
see China and different central banks
5:26
are printing. And I expect
5:28
the United States to print sometime
5:30
this year. They've already done some liquidity
5:32
injections from the Treasury general account,
5:34
but we need the signal from Jerome
5:36
Powell and the Fed. And we
5:38
know they have just ramped down QT
5:40
significantly. So what comes next? QE.
5:43
Now, they may not call it QE.
5:45
They may name it something else, but it
5:47
doesn't matter. As long as it contributes
5:49
to liquidity going up, risk assets will follow,
5:51
guys. This is what we've
5:53
seen historically. It's the data. And
5:55
you throw into the mix, whales are
5:57
buying. So look at this. Abrac's
6:00
capital linked wallet withdraws 505 Bitcoin
6:02
from Binance adding to a $250
6:05
million haul over four days. So
6:07
people who are tracking the on
6:09
-chain data and you may say,
6:11
well, Tony, why didn't this move
6:13
the price? Why isn't Bitcoin pumping
6:15
like crazy? They buy OTC. They
6:17
don't buy or even if they
6:20
buy off the market, they buy
6:22
in small increments. They don't put
6:24
a buy order for 500 Bitcoin
6:26
because then everybody can pretty much,
6:28
you know, see what's happening. They
6:30
buy in small increments or they
6:32
buy OTC so people who know
6:34
the wallets are linked to these
6:37
respective institutional investors are tracking it
6:39
and they're seeing the movements of
6:41
the Bitcoin guys incredible stuff and
6:43
The data I've been showing you
6:45
from our partner sentiment. I've been
6:47
showing this to you guys for
6:49
years, right? And it's been in
6:52
our newsletter Bitcoin whales with wallets
6:54
of ten or more Bitcoin continue
6:56
to accumulate look at the chart
6:58
here Despite the drop we saw
7:00
a bit of a sell -off in
7:02
late February into early March, then
7:05
a plateauing, then a spike,
7:07
and a continuation of accumulation.
7:10
I mean, this is the data, look
7:12
at what it's telling us guys. And
7:14
as I've been writing in my newsletter,
7:16
the whales know something they know, the
7:18
guys who are connected and they, these
7:20
are the guys that move the market.
7:22
So I'm following this data and it's
7:24
helping me to navigate the market guys.
7:26
And you throw into the mix the
7:28
fear and greed index, the market has
7:30
been in a fear zone. These
7:33
are all conditions that are conducive
7:35
to higher prices and a bull market.
7:37
Now, if you have fear in
7:39
a bear market, it's not
7:41
bullish. But in a bull market, when
7:43
there hasn't been an invalidation of
7:45
the bull market, this is so bullish
7:47
that people are fearful in a
7:49
bull market. So, you know, the same
7:51
crowd, the same herd will fomo
7:54
in. It's the same story over
7:56
and over. Now, count yourself lucky.
7:58
If you have learned, and hopefully I've
8:00
helped you to learn how to
8:02
navigate these markets, Even as hard as
8:04
it is that you are not
8:06
panic selling and you're not panic buying
8:08
You're hodling your dollar cost averaging
8:10
in and you have a macro view
8:13
that will pay off beautifully And
8:15
I want to share this video from
8:17
Warren Buffett. It was just circulating
8:19
the other day I picked it up
8:21
on April 16th and it pretty
8:23
much talks to what is happening right
8:25
now Let me play it for
8:27
you. People behave very peculiarly in
8:30
terms of the reactions because
8:32
they're human beings and they get
8:34
excited when others get excited
8:36
they get greedy when others get
8:38
greedy they get fearful when
8:40
others get fearful and they'll continue
8:42
to do so and you
8:45
will see things you won't believe
8:47
in your lifetime and securities
8:49
markets and the country will do
8:51
very well over time but
8:53
you will see these huge waves
8:55
and if you can stay
8:58
objective throughout that If you detach
9:00
yourself temperamentally from the crowd, you
9:03
get very rich. And you
9:05
won't have to be very bright.
9:07
I mean, I'm sure you are.
9:09
But it doesn't take brains. It
9:11
takes temperament. It takes the ability
9:13
to sit there and look at something. When
9:15
I started out in 1950, I would go
9:17
through and find things at two times earnings.
9:19
And they were perfectly decent businesses. And people
9:21
wanted jobs at those companies. And everybody knew
9:23
they were going to be around. And
9:26
they wouldn't buy them at two times
9:28
earnings. And that's when interest rates were
9:30
2 .5%. I started selling securities when
9:32
I was 21. And Kansas
9:34
City Life Insurance Company happened to
9:36
be a fairly prominent company in Omaha.
9:39
And the policies they sold you,
9:41
if you were buying life insurance
9:43
from them, had a build -in assumption
9:45
of 2 % interest. The
9:48
stock of Kansas City Life was
9:50
selling at less than three times earnings.
9:52
You were getting 35 % if you
9:54
bought the stock. No question
9:56
about the soundness of the company. I went to
9:58
the local agent. I figured, hell, I
10:00
ought to be able to sell him a few shares of
10:02
stock. I mean, the guy, don't understand. He's got his whole
10:04
life invested in this company. I went to the local agent,
10:06
we've been with him for 20 years, and
10:09
his name was Moussa. said, Mr. Moussa said, you're
10:12
selling these policies with 2%. You may
10:14
even have a few members of your own
10:16
family, and you can buy into this
10:18
company whose paycheck you depend on every month
10:20
and whose future your beneficiaries of these
10:23
life policies depend on. and who
10:25
you're selling him, you know, a 2 % investment on,
10:27
and you can get 35 % on your money. You
10:30
know, stocks aren't any good. And
10:33
I couldn't sell you, you know, I was
10:35
a lousy salesman. I mean, well, you have
10:37
to start with that. But, but it just
10:39
blew me away. It blew me away. I
10:41
thought sometimes I used to wonder if I
10:43
was nuts. So notice the big takeaways he
10:45
talked about and temperament, right? If you detach
10:47
yourself from the crowd, you'll get rich, he
10:49
said. Now, it doesn't mean you're going to
10:51
become a multimillionaire like him, but you can
10:53
make money, right? Because it depends how much
10:55
you're putting into the market, of course. And
10:58
he essentially said, it doesn't take brains. You
11:00
don't have to be a rocket scientist, but
11:02
it takes temperament. It takes going against the
11:04
herd. This is why I keep saying, don't
11:06
be emotional about the markets. Yes,
11:08
it sucks to see price going down.
11:10
Yes, it's boring as hell when Bitcoin chops
11:12
sideways like it has been, right? It
11:15
is boring. It is annoying. And
11:17
don't get me wrong, I've been here
11:19
since 2016. I still feel those emotions, but
11:21
I put them in check. I
11:23
make sure I go to the data and say,
11:25
OK, What is the data telling me? What is
11:28
happening here? And then I
11:30
am able to put my feelings
11:32
and emotions in check, leave them
11:34
at the door and say, okay.
11:36
I'm still in this investment. I
11:38
believe in the macro thesis and
11:40
things are still in play for
11:42
a bull market and I'm just
11:44
going to wait patiently and that's
11:46
the big part of investing. That
11:48
is how smart money has beaten
11:50
retail for years upon years because
11:53
the mainstream media also sells the
11:55
fear and the sensationalism and it
11:57
gets people to panic sell and
11:59
panic buy. And that's not investing, right?
12:01
You might as well go play the lottery. So
12:04
really great advice here and
12:06
I think timely that this
12:08
has been circulating. Now,
12:10
folks, the big news from
12:12
Charles Schwab. Charles Schwab CEO says,
12:14
spot crypto trading will likely
12:16
launch within 12 months. My
12:18
OG subscribers and listeners, remember
12:21
when I was talking about Charles Schwab,
12:24
eTrade, all of them would capitulate. I've been
12:26
saying this for years. They
12:28
are all going to capitulate because this
12:30
is the next layer on top of
12:32
the internet and you would have to
12:34
be an idiot to ignore it and
12:36
to go against it. This technology is
12:38
going to power the way we transact
12:40
with each other. I've often said blockchains
12:43
will be powering the economy, the markets,
12:45
the governments. So even Charles
12:47
Schwab has to bend the knee here. Let
12:49
me give you the details. Charles
12:51
Schwab Corp. CEO Rick Worster,
12:53
who assumed a position in January,
12:55
has pursued offering spot crypto
12:57
trading support to the financial services
12:59
firm's clients, predicting a change
13:01
in the U .S. government's crypto
13:03
regulatory environment. On a recent earnings
13:06
call, Worster laid out a
13:08
more solid timeline for the company's
13:10
crypto efforts. He said, Our
13:12
expectation is that with the changing
13:14
regulatory environment, we are hopeful
13:16
and likely to be able to
13:18
launch direct spot crypto trading.
13:20
And our goal is to do
13:22
that in the next 12
13:24
months. Imagine
13:26
if you panic sold with all this
13:28
tariff craziness that was going on. But these
13:31
institutional investors, they don't care about this
13:33
stuff. They know terror stuff is not going
13:35
to last forever. They know markets don't
13:37
go down forever. They're going to bounce and
13:39
recover. And they recognize what
13:41
is on the horizon here and that
13:43
this technology is here to stay
13:45
folks. So. This is incredible. So
13:48
Schwab reported a surge of
13:50
40 % in quarterly profits on
13:52
the call as investors rebalance their
13:54
portfolios amid the volatile market
13:56
environment. Some of those investors may
13:58
be looking to invest in
14:00
crypto. According to Worcester, he said,
14:03
we saw a 400 % increase
14:05
in traffic to Schwab's crypto
14:07
site recently, 70 % of whom
14:09
were prospects. Wow. I
14:11
mean, the demand is there. This is
14:13
the next macro trade and I'm glad
14:15
I'm here early. And
14:18
here's what Nature Racy of the
14:20
ETF store had to say. As
14:22
I've said numerous times in the
14:24
past, spot crypto trading will be
14:26
table stakes for every major brokerage.
14:28
I wonder if the folks
14:30
at Vanguard are really questioning
14:33
their decisions and what their
14:35
previous CEO said they would
14:37
not touch crypto. But if
14:39
they don't get on board,
14:41
they will have a blockbuster
14:43
moment sooner than later because
14:45
all of the assets, stocks,
14:47
and commodities will all be
14:49
tokenized on the blockchain and
14:51
will be offered in tokenized
14:53
form. And Larry Fink, CEO
14:55
of BlackRock. gave the blueprint
14:58
already. And he talked about
15:00
tokenization as the future of finance.
15:02
So expect guys like Vanguard to
15:04
capitulate very soon. If not, they
15:06
will have that blockbuster moment. And
15:08
for those of you who don't
15:10
know what I'm talking about, Netflix
15:12
coming to blockbuster saying, hey, let's
15:14
join forces. You know, you want to
15:16
acquire us? No, we are not
15:18
going to acquire you. We love
15:20
our brick and mortar stores. And
15:23
the rest is history.
15:25
Go research it guys. Now
15:27
Vitalik Buterin floats swapping
15:29
Ethereum's EVM for RISC -V
15:31
to boost scalability. This is
15:33
interesting because the EVM
15:35
is used by many other
15:37
blockchains, even the XRP
15:39
ledger. So this is a
15:41
very important update and something
15:43
that could help Ethereum. And
15:45
I say could because we
15:48
need to see it actually work,
15:50
of course. So in a
15:52
new forum post, Ethereum co -founder
15:54
Vitalik Buterin proposes boosting Ethereum scalability
15:56
by using RISC -V as the
15:58
virtual machine language of smart
16:00
contracts rather than the current EVM
16:02
bytecode. Buterin said the radical
16:05
and ambitious idea would be the
16:07
only viable path for significantly
16:09
scaling Ethereum's execution layer. So
16:11
adopting RISC -V, pronounced risk
16:13
five, okay, risk five,
16:15
that's what it has pronounced,
16:17
an open source processing
16:19
architecture capable or comparable to
16:21
its proprietary competitors like
16:23
ARM and x86 could slash
16:26
on -chain execution costs buy
16:28
as much as 100x
16:30
in some cases Boudrein argues.
16:32
old -style EVM contracts will continue
16:35
to work and will be
16:37
fully two -way interoperable with
16:39
the new -style RISC -5 contracts,
16:41
Buterin notes. So this could
16:43
be big. This could be a
16:45
strong narrative -free theorem if they are
16:47
able to do this as the bull
16:49
market continues. And it could be
16:51
the catalyst that helps ETH to rally
16:53
because it's been suffering. It's taking
16:55
a beating in this bull market. But
16:57
things like this could really help
16:59
because what's going to happen is a
17:01
lot of the liquidity that has
17:03
went to the layer twos and there's
17:05
so many on top of Ethereum
17:07
will start the liquidity will start flowing
17:09
back to eat the layer one
17:11
and Allow more people to build on
17:13
a theorem directly versus on those
17:15
layer twos not saying layer twos are
17:17
gonna completely go away. I think
17:19
some of them have unique aspects, but
17:21
It will help improve the adoption
17:23
and usage of ethereum is layer one.
17:25
So we'll see if they're able
17:27
to do this, but This could be
17:29
a strong narrative for ETH, the
17:31
second largest crypto in the market. So
17:33
let's see what happens. Folks, that's
17:35
the news. Let me know what you
17:37
think. Be sure to check out
17:39
our sponsor VeChain. They are
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I have the vet token in my
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portfolio. I recently interviewed the CEO, Sunny
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Liu. So if you'd like to learn
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more, check out the link in the
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description. Also, check out my newsletter.
18:17
It's 100 % free. Sign up there.
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You can support the podcast that way.
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Check out my book on Amazon. It's
18:23
available in paperback and digital. And my
18:25
new course at MyCryptoCourse.com. Guys, thank you
18:27
so much for watching and listening. I
18:30
appreciate you all, and I'll talk to
18:32
you all later. Sachs
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and get a music frame on Samsung with
19:39
a qualifying 2025 TV and audio purchase.
19:42
Visit Samsung.com to learn more. Valid 416 to
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5 .4 and qualifying 2025 Neo QLED OLED
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in the frame TVs with Vision AI
19:48
while supplies last. See Samsung.com for terms and
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conditions. Vision AI features vary by model.
19:52
Upscaling utilizes AI based formulas and results may
19:54
vary based on source content. Translation accuracy
19:56
not guaranteed.
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