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0:15

Crypto and the stock market pumps

0:17

as Donald Trump pauses the tariffs

0:19

for 90 days. I'll share the

0:21

charts with you and what I'm

0:23

expecting. And new SEC chair Paul

0:25

Atkins has been officially confirmed by

0:27

the Senate. I'll talk to you

0:29

about the next steps there and

0:31

the SEC makes a major approval

0:33

with the Ethereum spot ETF. I'll

0:35

give you all the details. Let's

0:37

get into it. Hey

0:41

everybody welcome into the Thinking crypto podcast

0:43

your home for cryptocurrency news and interviews

0:45

I'm your host Tony Edward on your

0:48

way in please at that subscribe button

0:50

as well as a thumbs up button

0:52

and leave a comment below if you're

0:54

listening on a podcast platform such as

0:56

Spotify or Apple please leave a five-star

0:58

rating and review folks I'm sure many

1:00

of you have heard the news and

1:02

that is President Trump has paused the

1:05

tariffs for the majority of countries with

1:07

the exception of China for 90 days

1:09

so giving some relief overall to the

1:11

markets and the global economy and much

1:13

more. And this may be the signal,

1:15

the catalyst we are waiting for to

1:17

help us continue in the bull market

1:19

because we've been waiting for some sort

1:22

of bottom, some sort of reversal, but

1:24

we weren't sure what the catalyst would

1:26

have been, whether it was a resolution

1:28

with the tariff situation or the Fed

1:30

came out and said, hey, we're gonna

1:32

cut rates and start printing money again.

1:34

So if we look at Bitcoin, we

1:36

see a green candle, you look at

1:39

the stock market, the S&P. 500 huge

1:41

green candle out of the super oversold

1:43

zone with the daily RSI You look

1:45

at the NASDAQ huge green candle same

1:48

thing here It's it's the same pattern

1:50

for all these major indexes the Dow

1:52

Jones industrial even gold joined the party

1:55

look at the green candle and the

1:57

gold chart So overall markets looking good

1:59

feeling bullish year. However, guys, I want

2:02

to be cautiously optimistic because we're still

2:04

below the 200-day moving average, which is

2:06

very important. When we are above that,

2:08

we are definitively in a bull market.

2:11

When we are below it... there's the

2:13

risk of entering into a bear market.

2:15

I've shown you guys this time and

2:18

time again. Now last summer, as I

2:20

was telling you guys about the Japanese

2:22

yen carry trade situation, drove us below

2:24

that 200 day moving average. But we

2:27

chopped around there and we came out

2:29

of it in Q3 and then we

2:31

had a massive parabolic run up in

2:34

Q4, which many of you obviously remember

2:36

or don't because of what has been

2:38

going on. But nevertheless, we want to

2:41

see Bitcoin get out of here. We

2:43

want to see the stock market as

2:45

well. because the S&P 500, the NASDAQ,

2:47

the Dow Jones Industrial are all still

2:50

below that 200 day moving average. So

2:52

hope you understand the significance of this.

2:54

It's very important that we get the

2:57

hell out of there. Take the elevator

2:59

up, right, and get above that 200

3:01

day moving average. Now, overall, we're seeing

3:03

some strength from all coins, you know,

3:06

many of them rally today. Nothing significant

3:08

that we have to call home about,

3:10

but good to see some green following

3:13

the move of Bitcoin. If you look

3:15

at XRP. it rallied back above the

3:17

200 day moving average. Very good sign.

3:19

But we need more strength, we need

3:22

more confirmation, so we gotta be patient.

3:24

And hopefully this is not some sort

3:26

of fakeout and then we go below

3:29

again. That will really suck, but you

3:31

know, this is the market, cycles playing

3:33

out and we have to go with

3:35

the market. But this is where I

3:38

always tell you guys to exercise patience

3:40

and control your emotions. If you're investing

3:42

with your emotions, this will shake you

3:45

out. This will break you. They get

3:47

scared, they panic cell, but that's not

3:49

how you invest. You don't panic cell,

3:51

and likewise you don't FOMO buy. Those

3:54

are the wrong things to be doing.

3:56

You have to be even keel, and

3:58

you have to follow the market principles,

4:01

buying the blood on the streets, and

4:03

the fear, and then selling the euphoria

4:05

and the greed, right? as we've seen

4:07

many times over. And if you don't

4:10

know what I'm talking about, you have

4:12

to go on that journey to learn

4:14

these things. And being subscribed to this

4:17

podcast and our newsletter will help you

4:19

get there. So guys, good sign. Very

4:21

good for the markets and 90 days

4:23

takes us out to towards the end

4:26

of June of course So could this

4:28

align with the seasonality where Q2 is

4:30

usually very strong in a bull market

4:33

right April May June are very good

4:35

months green new all-time highs and things

4:37

like that it's possible But like I

4:40

said, guys, cautiously optimistic, we need to

4:42

see the proof, we need the confirmation

4:44

on the charts, and we'll see if

4:46

Jerome Powell, the Fed, does anything. But

4:49

overall, guys, this is good. You know,

4:51

the market's showing some strength here, and

4:53

about $5.5 trillion was added to the

4:56

US stock market today. and shorts were

4:58

liquidated. So over $75 million in Bitcoin

5:00

shorts were liquidated today. And I think

5:02

that number is going to continue to

5:05

grow because we've seen it, you know,

5:07

in Q4, when all the longs were

5:09

piling up, they got liquidated, you know,

5:12

come January, February, now when all the

5:14

shorts are piling up. liquidation and short

5:16

squeeze happening, right? Funny how that plays

5:18

out. This is why I don't use

5:21

leverage and I just hold spot and

5:23

that has worked out for me and

5:25

I can sleep at night and I

5:28

don't have to worry and I played

5:30

a macro game versus trying to trade

5:32

every day. You know, look, there's people

5:34

who do that, but. It is a

5:37

very risky thing. Now, one thing that's

5:39

very important, which we've been tracking, and

5:41

that is global liquidity continues to rise,

5:44

and we know Bitcoin and risk assets

5:46

like the stock market follow it. There

5:48

is a lag, but global liquidity is

5:50

rising, guys. It's one of the bull

5:53

market catalysts. That's why I've been saying

5:55

bull market's not over. Bull market is

5:57

still alive. We can have some huge

6:00

corrections and swings in a bull market.

6:02

are the key metrics and factors there

6:04

that say the bull market's intact, right?

6:06

Are key support levels still? intact. And

6:09

this is what I've been sharing with

6:11

you guys. No feelings, no emotions, just

6:13

the data. And there were a lot

6:16

of people, you know, going crazy, see,

6:18

I told you it's over, it's all

6:20

that. But it's like, you're not showing

6:22

me any data, you're just making a

6:25

statement, you're just talking about out of

6:27

emotions. What data do you have? I'm

6:29

presenting data, I'm talking about. The market's

6:32

being oversold where the only way to

6:34

go is up because they're so oversold

6:36

and here Julian Patel who works with

6:39

Raul Powell a global macro investor You

6:41

know he said the following tech stocks

6:43

are currently the most oversold since COVID

6:45

and only seven other times since 1988

6:48

have we seen more than 55% of

6:50

stocks within the NASDAQ 100 trading with

6:52

a 14-day RSI below 30. What have

6:55

I told you guys on this podcast?

6:57

above 70, the RSI above 70, over

6:59

bought below 30, oversold, and we were

7:01

in the super oversold zone. So what

7:04

are markets going to do? They're going

7:06

to bounce, right? Even if it's like

7:08

a dead cat bounce, they have to

7:11

keep going. So the other thing I've

7:13

been sharing with you guys, the whales

7:15

are still bullish, on chain data from

7:17

Santiment, showing wallets with 10 or more

7:20

Bitcoin, controlled by whales and sharks. They

7:22

are still accumulating, they're not dumping. They

7:24

know. I think many of them are

7:27

connected. They know what's going on and

7:29

they look at the data and not

7:31

feelings or emotions. And metrics such as

7:33

the Bitcoin Picycltop indicator, not flashing. So

7:36

I hope you guys understand the data

7:38

here and we have to pay attention

7:40

to the data and not our feelings

7:43

and emotions. So guys. Very good sign.

7:45

I still need more confirmation, but overall

7:47

bullmarket intact in my opinion and the

7:49

pseudo black so on event that we

7:52

had with tariffs seems to be put

7:54

at ease for the moment and I

7:56

think there's to be some resolution come

7:59

soon, I think China and the United

8:01

States will figure it out. I wrote

8:03

an article which I published in my

8:05

newsletter that I think this whole situation

8:08

with the tariffs is about renegotiating the

8:10

trade deals because there's no longer the

8:12

need for the United States to have

8:15

a lot of these countries to buy

8:17

the treasuries because stable coins are coming

8:19

and stable coin issues are going to

8:21

buy. That's my opinion. I put out

8:24

the thesis out there. I don't know

8:26

if people agree with me or they

8:28

disagree, but I think that's a big

8:31

part of it. Folks, quick word from

8:33

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9:23

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9:26

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9:30

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9:35

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the description. as the first pro-cripto SEC

9:51

chairman. Here, Parian Boring of the digital

9:53

chamber said a new era begins. Folks,

9:55

huge news. We know Paul is pro-scripto.

9:58

He's criticized Gary Genser over the years

10:00

and we know the SEC has been.

10:02

really doing a great job under has

10:04

the person mark you waited with the

10:07

crypto task force, the crypto roundtable, dropping

10:09

cases. And I think Paul's going to

10:11

continue that. I think he's going to

10:14

help spearhead the approval of all coin

10:16

ETS. We may get clarity on NFTs

10:18

and overall crypto legislation and clarity on

10:21

utility tokens and much more. So huge,

10:23

huge. And here Senator Cynthia Lumis. posted

10:25

a photo of her and Paul and

10:27

said, I am please Paul Atkins is

10:30

confirmed as chairman of the SEC. I

10:32

sat down with Mr Atkins to discuss

10:34

digital asset legislation. empowering Wyoming's blockchain feature

10:37

and implementing reforms to the regulatory rule-making

10:39

process. I'm confident his leadership will bring

10:41

positive change. So really great news. Now

10:43

the SEC today approved options trading for

10:46

Ethereum Spot ETF. So if you recall

10:48

they did this for Bitcoin and Spot

10:50

EDFs. So this is really great. We're

10:53

seeing additional products being built around these

10:55

ETLs which is going to bring in

10:57

more capital into the asset class. And

10:59

I can't wait for when they add

11:02

staking. to the Ethereum Spot ETF. I

11:04

think that's going to be huge for

11:06

E.T. Now look at this. 21 shares

11:09

Filesbury Doge Coin ETF informs exclusive partnership

11:11

with House of Doge. So guys, look,

11:13

I think Doge Coin is one of

11:15

the reputable meme coins, been around for

11:18

a long time, has staying power, has

11:20

a community, has developers working on its

11:22

blockchain, so it's not one of those

11:25

fly-by-night meme coins being launched on pump

11:27

dot fun and getting rug pulled and

11:29

all that stuff, right? And 21 shares

11:31

is not the first. In fact, bit

11:34

wise, they were the first to file

11:36

for this. So incredible stuff here and

11:38

it just shows there's an appetite for

11:41

crypto, there's an expansion happening. Would I

11:43

personally be investing a lot in Doish

11:45

coin? No, but I'm not saying you

11:47

shouldn't. Obviously. your research understand the risk

11:50

and the pros and cons and all

11:52

that right because there's no cap on

11:54

the doge coin supply it is open-ended

11:57

it kind of into infinity and beyond

11:59

right so just understand that that doesn't

12:01

mean it can't move in the market

12:03

because there are other factors that can

12:06

drive it it's in the top 10

12:08

believe it or not still so Elon

12:10

of course is a big promoter of

12:13

doge coin so It is what it

12:15

is. Now look at this news, Crack

12:17

in Exchange taps MasterCard to launch crypto

12:20

debit cards in the Europe and UK.

12:22

Folks, MasterCard is a legacy credit card

12:24

company. Why are they getting involved in

12:26

crypto? Some people say crypto is a

12:29

scam. It's a fad. It's a Ponzi,

12:31

right? It's this and that and all

12:33

that. It's all a scam. Folks, the

12:36

biggest institutions in the world, credit card

12:38

companies, bang, stock exchanges, hedge ones. VCs,

12:40

they're all getting involved and I hope

12:42

you see what's happening. This is amazing.

12:45

So Cracken's MasterCard, crypto debit cards will

12:47

be available in the coming weeks with

12:49

clients currently joining a waitlist for the

12:52

product. So the on and off rounds

12:54

being built here. Now I want to

12:56

end it with this amazing news. So

12:58

Treasury Secretary Scott Bissent, he spoke of

13:01

the American Bankers Association today and folks,

13:03

let me play a clip of what

13:05

he had to say about. stable coins,

13:08

blockchain and more, it's pretty bullish. We

13:10

will take a close look at regulatory

13:12

impediments to blockchain, stable coins, and new

13:14

payment systems. And we will consider reforms

13:17

to unleash the awesome power of the

13:19

American capital markets. Americans deserve a financial

13:21

services industry that works for all Americans,

13:24

including and especially Main Street. Under President

13:26

Trump's leadership, the Treasury Department and I

13:28

will deliver that to you. Thank you.

13:30

Wow, very bullish statements, right? Speaking to

13:33

the American... Bankers Association highlighting they're going

13:35

to provide the proper guidelines for blockchain

13:37

stable coins and new payment systems. Folks,

13:40

this is why I'm bullish despite what

13:42

the hell is happening in the market

13:44

over the past three months because the

13:46

setup here for mass adoption. for banks

13:49

to be able to go all in

13:51

on crypto, launching their own stable coins

13:53

and more. The foundations being laid here,

13:56

guys, the path is being cleared for

13:58

mass adoption. And it's not just in

14:00

the US, but globally. I've been sharing

14:02

with you guys nonstop the moves that

14:05

are happening in different countries with legislation

14:07

and clarity being provided. They're not banning

14:09

this thing. We were just talking about

14:12

Pakistan hiring former Bionananan CEO. Right? I

14:14

mean, just look at, it's just mind

14:16

blowing if you think about it. And

14:19

I've been here since 2016, so to

14:21

see these things happening and coming to

14:23

fruition, it's pretty surreal. So sometimes I

14:25

have to pinch myself, is this really

14:28

happening? Because this is the technology that's

14:30

going to power the future of the

14:32

economy and the markets and government much

14:35

more. It's going to be a very

14:37

different world. So I'm bullish. I hope

14:39

you understand what's going on here and

14:41

you're looking at the macro view. because

14:44

if you're looking at the one minute

14:46

chart or the hourly and oh no

14:48

the prices down today right I often

14:51

see the comments oh look you shared

14:53

some bullish news but the price is

14:55

not moving people think that positive news

14:57

automatically has to result in the price

15:00

moving because they're not educated about how

15:02

markets work they don't understand that there

15:04

are moments where the sentiments down we

15:07

are in a correction and nothing's gonna

15:09

pump like what we've been in recently

15:11

but if we are in a rally

15:13

and there's positive news that does help

15:16

the price. So the timing is all

15:18

important and the microcycle as well as

15:20

the macro cycle. So this is where

15:23

I'm trying to share this knowledge. I

15:25

still see the bearish comments, the ignorant

15:27

comments unfortunately, but look I was

15:29

in the ignorant place at some

15:32

at point and I had

15:34

I had to learn.

15:36

make sure make sure

15:39

you're educating yourself guys in

15:41

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15:43

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15:45

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15:48

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16:34

digital. in you for watching

16:36

and listening. I appreciate you all for I'll

16:38

talk to you all later. you all

16:40

and I'll talk to you all later.