Episode Transcript
Transcripts are displayed as originally observed. Some content, including advertisements may have changed.
Use Ctrl + F to search
0:00
So welcome back to the Edron
0:02
podcast. We are here today with
0:04
Akkiel Stokes. Very happy to have
0:06
you on. Thank you for taking
0:08
the time. It's been a few
0:10
years since we talked the last time.
0:12
So thank you for spending another
0:14
45, 60 minutes with us today.
0:16
Yeah, I appreciate you guys. I'm
0:18
pleasure to be here. Always love
0:20
talking trading in the markets
0:23
as you guys know. For landlords as
0:25
well with us here today. Hello
0:27
Moritz. So I want to go
0:29
right into the topics. There's a lot
0:31
of things that I've written down that
0:33
I would like to pick your brain
0:36
on. Let's start with what is
0:38
your trading style and how how would
0:40
you describe your trading strategy?
0:42
So I'm a price action trader.
0:44
I guess if I had to
0:47
describe it kind of a classical
0:49
price action trader, so looking at.
0:51
classic chart patterns. I do some
0:53
advanced patterns as well, but mainly
0:55
my trading strategy revolves around support
0:57
and resistance. So structure. So for
0:59
me, structure is the most important
1:01
clue in the market. It tells
1:03
you a lot about where price
1:05
action came from, where price is
1:07
likely to go, which levels the
1:09
markets are interested in, which levels
1:11
the markets may not be interested
1:13
in. So whether it's trend continuation
1:16
going with the trend, whether it's
1:18
counter trend, you know, playing reverse.
1:20
or something like that, it all
1:22
revolves around structure. And then kind
1:25
of within that, there are different
1:27
little patterns, flags, head and shoulders,
1:29
on double tops, double bottoms,
1:31
a lot of the classic stuff.
1:33
All right. Yeah, remember, you used
1:35
to trade more like a few
1:37
Nazi and those cartley and those
1:39
symmetry patterns, right? So there was a
1:42
shift going on. Yeah, so I still trade
1:44
those. For me. Those were the easiest, easy
1:46
in quotes I guess, the easiest to
1:48
pick up and start trading because when
1:50
I was taught them it was something
1:53
that was very rules based and as
1:55
a newer trader I was all over
1:57
place I didn't like rules I didn't
1:59
follow rules I kind of just wanted
2:01
to come into the marketing you know
2:03
go off like a feel like oh
2:05
I think it's gonna do this I
2:08
think it's gonna do that and I
2:10
got into a lot of trouble so
2:12
I had to take I don't know
2:14
how many steps back and you know
2:16
do something that was very straightforward black
2:18
and white or black and white as
2:21
possible and they're still a staple of
2:23
my my my trading strategy of they're
2:25
kind of slow boring methodical at this
2:27
point but they're consistent go back to
2:29
the stuff that I really enjoyed, which was
2:31
like actually reading and analyzing a price chart.
2:34
So it was a pretty cool transition is,
2:36
as I got better with one thing, I
2:38
was able to do that kind of just
2:40
on autopilot and it opened up more time
2:42
and energy to focus on kind of the,
2:44
I guess, the next evolution of my trading,
2:47
which was pretty cool. Yeah, that sounds interesting.
2:49
I definitely want to get more
2:51
into this, but how did you in the beginning
2:53
when you were just new to trading? How
2:55
did you choose your strategy? Did you
2:57
go through multiple strategies and how they
3:00
then settle on on this one that
3:02
you started with and you're still
3:04
using? Well, I was all over the
3:06
place. It's a little bit shameful, but I
3:08
guess most of us are like this when
3:10
I first started trading. I was looking for
3:12
the thing that would make me money the
3:14
quickest. Even my transition from the stock market
3:16
to the 4X market was because someone told
3:18
me that the 4X market is... bigger, it
3:21
offers more opportunity, you can start with less
3:23
money, it's higher leveraged, and everything in my
3:25
brain was like, I can take a little
3:27
bit of money and I can make a
3:29
lot of money. Now, I wasn't kind of,
3:31
you know, I wasn't as blinded as those
3:33
traders that think they're going to become like
3:36
millionaires in one day, but I thought success
3:38
would be pretty simple. And I knew nothing
3:40
about technical analysis going in the forex. So
3:42
when I first started, I would just go
3:44
around the internet watching the internet watching videos,
3:47
reading books, reading books and like... picking up
3:49
strategy after strategy that everyone made seem good
3:51
and I would try it and fail then
3:53
move on to the next one then try
3:56
it and fail to move on to the
3:58
next one and there was pretty much a
4:00
lot of trial and error. I did,
4:02
I played around for a few mechanical
4:04
strategies, which at the time I just
4:07
wasn't mature enough to trade, meaning that
4:09
I would trade them because they worked,
4:11
but psychologically I wasn't good enough to
4:13
kind of consistently trade them. So every
4:15
time they would lose, I would be
4:18
like, oh, the strategy sucks and I'd
4:20
throw it away. So going through a
4:22
long journey of that, eventually I got
4:24
to something that was price action related,
4:26
which is something I want it. but
4:28
didn't require, I guess,
4:31
the discretionary skill, meaning
4:33
me being able to kind
4:35
of analyze and judge. I
4:37
needed something more strict and
4:39
harmonic patterns, Fibonacci-based patterns were
4:41
very, very strict. It was
4:43
pretty much black or white
4:46
for the most part, and
4:48
that was something that kind
4:50
of... kept me grounded and kept me
4:52
straight and allowed me to actually, you
4:54
know, follow my rules without breaking them.
4:57
So that's how I got started in
4:59
them and obviously I fell in
5:01
love with them as well. Would you say that
5:03
these patterns because they took out the
5:05
discretion from your game, it was easier
5:08
for you to as a beginner and
5:10
also because you've trained so many people
5:12
now over the years, would you say
5:14
this is the easiest way to go
5:16
for beginners like with a... strategy
5:19
that has way less discretion
5:21
and then as they get
5:23
better introduce more discussion into
5:25
the trading? Yeah I agree 100% I
5:28
think as a newer trader we need
5:30
to kind of be as bade as
5:32
possible meaning we we we need
5:34
as little freedom as we can
5:36
get and so I'm a big
5:39
believer in trading intuition I'm also
5:41
a big believer that most traders
5:43
that believe they have intuition at the
5:46
beginning stages don't really have them. So
5:48
like intuition being like that feel that
5:50
sense like I see that and like
5:52
I know it's going to go short
5:54
where a lot of new traders kind
5:56
of like see that and they're just
5:58
you know recklessly gambling. a lot of
6:00
experience traders actually have that. And the
6:02
reason that we have that is because
6:04
we've seen probably millions of different patterns
6:07
at this point in the market over
6:09
and over again. And even if we
6:11
can't quite put our finger on it,
6:13
we know it's like, hey, I know
6:15
when the market does that, that's a
6:17
sign of this. As a newer trader,
6:19
we don't have that yet. We don't
6:21
have that experience in the market where
6:23
we've got all those repetitions of seeing
6:26
the same things over and over and
6:28
over again. Look at this, look at that,
6:30
only this, only that, whether it's price
6:32
action. I think mechanical systems are good
6:34
for newer traders because there is black
6:36
and white and possible. They take the
6:39
discretion and subjectivity out of it. But
6:41
I think as newer traders, we need
6:43
to start with that to kind of
6:45
get our feet wet. And then as
6:48
we gain experience in the market, we
6:50
can start kind of, I guess, earning
6:52
our discretion, earning our intuition, and we
6:54
can start kind of loosening up
6:56
the rules on how we trade. How do
6:58
you help traders when they come
7:01
to you? Because you've been working
7:03
with traders for many many years.
7:05
How do you help them to
7:07
ditch a trading strategy when they
7:09
hit their first three, four, five
7:11
losing trades or maybe just two
7:13
losing trades in a row? How do you
7:16
help them stay on track? Are there
7:18
any techniques or tips? How do you
7:20
how do you help them? Well, it all
7:22
starts with. belief and you know obviously
7:24
you guys are big into back testing
7:26
your big into acquiring data and I
7:29
always tell them that that data is
7:31
purposeful like we if you've spent
7:33
time back testing if you spent time
7:35
acquiring data if you spent time proving
7:37
that your system or strategy works and
7:39
you have the numbers trust the numbers
7:41
right your numbers will show you that
7:44
over time this is profitable it'll show
7:46
you what your edges will show you're
7:48
biggest winning streaks, biggest losing streaks, max
7:50
drawdowns, all of that stuff. And when
7:52
you get into a little bit of
7:54
a rut where you're maybe on a
7:56
losing streak and you're starting to lead
7:58
confidence, I always say. refer to the data,
8:00
right? Click it open, look at it and
8:02
ask yourself, hey, I'm on a five trade losing
8:05
streak right now and you go through your
8:07
data, you know, find what is the biggest losing
8:09
streak? Oh, this system or
8:11
strategy routinely takes seven trade losing streak.
8:13
So you're still in kind of
8:15
a normal area. You're not in an
8:17
unnatural drawdown and that should give
8:19
you confidence that, hey, although it sucks
8:21
at the time that I'm going
8:23
through this, this is normal, this is
8:25
supposed to happen. And my numbers have shown
8:27
me that if I can fight through these times
8:30
that eventually I'll get back on the profitable
8:32
path. So I think having that belief in yourself
8:34
is key. When you have experience in the
8:36
market, when you've been doing it for years and
8:38
years and years, you kind of, you know,
8:40
you know it within yourself because you're like, ah,
8:42
I've been through five trade losing sheets before.
8:44
This is going to be fine. But as a
8:46
newer trader, you don't have that experience of
8:48
working through them. So that first one or those
8:50
first couple ones are extremely hard. And the
8:53
best thing that we can do is look at
8:55
the data, look at the work we put
8:57
in and use that to give us some confidence.
8:59
That and surrounding yourself of other traders, I
9:01
can't tell you how many times I've been in
9:03
a drawdown and I've reached out to another
9:05
trader that, you know, I've known for a while
9:07
and are like, yeah, trading sucks for me
9:09
right now too. And I'm like, yes, like we
9:11
both suck together. And it's just sometimes, you
9:14
know, especially with the everyone talking about their P
9:16
&L on the internet and stuff like that, it
9:18
seems like you're the only one that's in
9:20
a drawdown or only one that's kind of going
9:22
to a bad period. And having someone that
9:24
someone else that's kind of in the suck
9:26
with you, Misery loves company. It kind
9:28
of makes it feel a little bit better. Where it's like,
9:30
Hey, I'm not alone. I'm going through this with someone else
9:32
as well. Yeah, totally. It
9:34
gives you also a little bit more of the
9:36
realistic perspective on what trading is. It is compared
9:38
to what you see on social media. When
9:42
we talk about data,
9:44
did you tweak your system over the
9:46
years? Like meaning did you play around with
9:48
different take profit levels, what risk ratios, trade
9:50
management, and how did you how did you
9:52
go about this? Yeah,
9:55
so data is everything. And I
9:57
think that we talked about the
9:59
backtesting process. before you start trading, you're
10:01
going through and you're getting historical data
10:03
to prove that your system is correct
10:05
and make tweaks and stuff there. It's
10:07
very important that we continue to track
10:10
data and we should be doing that
10:12
anyway with our live journals and whatnot
10:14
to see if we're profitable. But the
10:16
markets change over time and as traders
10:18
we change as well and having that
10:20
data tracked over time can allow you
10:22
to make adjustments. I would say the
10:25
biggest change that I made in my
10:27
trading over the years. has been two things. One,
10:29
it was becoming a little bit more aggressive with my entries, and
10:31
that was because of what I saw in the market. I saw
10:33
that, hey, I'm missing a lot of trades, like a lot of
10:35
trades would come to certain levels. I'm like, okay, I'm going to
10:37
get involved, I'm going to get involved, I'm going to get involved,
10:39
I'm going to get involved, I'm going to get involved, I'm going
10:41
to get involved, I'm going to get involved, I'm going to get
10:43
involved, I just need this, I just need this, I just need this, I
10:45
just need this, I stashed for a stash of stash of stash of, I'm
10:47
going to get involved, I'm going to get involved, I'm going to get involved,
10:49
I'm going to get involved, I just need this, I just need this, I
10:52
just need this, I just need this, I just need this, I just need
10:54
this, I just need this, I just need this, I just need this,
10:56
I Maybe this is a way I
10:58
can enter a trade and it
11:00
allows me to have more opportunities
11:02
or get into a move quicker
11:04
and we can make that adjustment
11:06
to our strategy. Another thing that I
11:08
did, again, without really changing the
11:10
bigger philosophy of how I trade
11:12
is just I got better with
11:14
stops and targets. I got better
11:17
with understanding like how big or
11:19
how small of a stop loss
11:21
I need. Can I take a smaller
11:23
stop loss and still have the same
11:25
pretty much win percentage, meaning that I
11:27
can lose less per trade and it
11:29
doesn't really keep me out of winning
11:31
trades? Yes, check. Can I take a
11:33
little bit more profit, right? Do I
11:36
get better of technical analysis and understanding
11:38
profit levels? And can I get a
11:40
little bit more out of each win?
11:42
And it's amazing if you just take,
11:44
if you're, let's say your win percentage
11:46
remains the same, if you can just
11:48
kind of minimize your stop loss by
11:50
a little bit. and increase your average
11:52
profit by a little bit, you're working it
11:54
on both ends and that does wonders for
11:57
your return on investment at the end of
11:59
the month, quarter. year, whatever it is that you're
12:01
tracking, right? Yeah, it's
12:03
going to boost your reward risk ratio a lot.
12:05
And but you need to do it with data. As
12:07
you said, I see it a lot in the
12:09
journals that I review that traders do a lot
12:11
on guesswork and they don't listen to the
12:13
data. So that's, that's really
12:15
important that you do the things
12:17
that you have a feeling about
12:19
the intuition that you talked about,
12:21
which probably a lot of traders mistake for
12:24
just gambling, as you said, that you
12:26
back it up by data. Otherwise, there's no
12:28
way of verifying if it, if it
12:30
actually works. So
12:32
when you,
12:35
because we talked in the beginning,
12:37
a little bit before we started the podcast, you
12:39
made a transition from a more, because last time
12:41
we talked about you were more in the
12:43
short term trading. Now you transitioned a little bit
12:45
more. How was the, how was the transition for
12:47
you? It
12:49
was lovely. I'm going
12:51
to lie. It was
12:54
so I never intended to
12:56
be a day trader. I wanted to be
12:58
a swing trader, intraday trader hourly and
13:00
up. And I got into day trading when
13:02
I started teaching because I'm working with
13:04
students and we're going through live markets on,
13:06
you know, like in our live trading
13:08
room. So it's like a lower timeframe session.
13:10
And day trading was fun. But the
13:12
thing that I didn't like about it was
13:14
that it was a big time commitment.
13:16
Like I had to be locked in front
13:18
of my charts from this time to
13:20
this time every day. If there was a
13:23
trade that was still on the board,
13:25
I had to kind of cancel plans and
13:27
be around my computer to manage it
13:29
and make sure I'm rolling stops and
13:31
trailing, trailing stops and stuff like that. And
13:33
I started to ask myself, like, why
13:36
did I get into trading in the first
13:38
place? And yes, we all want to
13:40
make lots of money. I'm not going to
13:42
deny that. But really, it was time
13:44
freedom. Trading was cool because it allowed me
13:46
to really have complete freedom around my
13:48
day. Meaning I can, you know, I have
13:50
to do certain things for trading. Yes,
13:52
we have to do that. But we can
13:54
travel at will. We can go to
13:56
stuff. We don't have necessarily a set schedule
13:59
like a normal one. nine to five and
14:01
that's what I love, especially with having
14:03
kids where I can go see soccer
14:05
practices or go see recitals or like
14:07
I help out every year with field
14:09
days at my kid school because I
14:11
can be there at 12 o'clock in
14:13
the afternoon if I want to. And
14:15
I kind of lost track of that
14:17
and got sucked into being a slave
14:19
to the charts. So I made the
14:21
adjustment. after COVID, because COVID was big
14:23
where all the kids were home and like
14:26
my kids want to go play with me
14:28
and I'm on my computer and my getaway,
14:30
I can't do it. And I kind of
14:33
refought about my values. So going, getting away
14:35
from the lower time frames and sticking strictly
14:37
to the higher time frame has been amazing
14:39
because it opens up so much time. I
14:41
think as traders. If we understand what we're doing
14:44
in the market, meaning we're following a plan, we
14:46
have a strategy, we're not just recklessly gambling, I
14:48
think it's surprising to a lot of traders how
14:50
how little time you actually need to spend on
14:52
the chart, like you don't need to be locked
14:55
in for 10 hours a day at all. I
14:57
can literally come in probably about a half an
14:59
hour, see everything that's on my radar for today,
15:01
set alerts or whatever I need to do, and
15:03
then kind of. go off and do
15:06
whatever I want to do and
15:08
just make sure I come back
15:10
to check it if something is
15:12
close. So it's been refreshing. It's
15:15
been refreshing. It's been refreshing. I
15:17
do miss it sometimes. I miss
15:19
the action of day trading. You
15:21
know, sometimes you guys know trading
15:24
gets boring. You're like
15:26
you're waiting on something for
15:28
like a week and you're like,
15:30
come on, man, let's get on
15:32
with you. Time is everything to
15:34
me right now. And it's insane
15:37
how much the time these
15:39
little things eat up. I've
15:41
always been a day trader traditionally,
15:43
but also swing
15:45
trading on the side.
15:48
And right now I'm also
15:50
thinking about making some adjustments
15:52
to my approach just to free
15:55
up some time. Would you say
15:57
there's more profit potentially...
15:59
day trading or versus swing
16:01
trading? Does it's always the
16:03
question that I get all
16:06
the time from all the students
16:08
and in other people as
16:10
well? Like which trading style
16:12
makes the most money? What's
16:14
your experience? That's
16:16
a good one. Um, man, I don't know.
16:18
I don't want to say one
16:21
over the other because it's different.
16:23
You have much more frequency in
16:25
day training. So a lot
16:27
more opportunities. But a lot
16:29
more opportunities doesn't always equal
16:31
profit. A lot more opportunities,
16:34
a lot more chances to
16:36
make mistakes if a trader
16:38
isn't good, a lot more
16:40
opportunity to take losing trades.
16:42
Swing trading, the opportunities are
16:44
less, but they're typically a
16:47
little bit bigger. Your risk
16:49
management, your position sizing approach
16:51
is going to greatly impact that
16:53
as well. So I want to say
16:55
even it's... There's not one over the
16:57
other that can make more. I would
17:00
tell you this, if you are a
17:02
really good trader, and probably day
17:04
trading, just because if you're
17:06
really, really good and you have more
17:08
frequency, you can probably produce
17:11
a little bit more day
17:13
trade on a consistent basis,
17:15
but ultimately it all depends
17:17
on the trader, all depends
17:19
on their strategy, all depends
17:22
on their position sizing strategy
17:24
as well. But that's a.
17:26
That's a good, I like both, do
17:28
both. Make money on both ends. Yeah,
17:31
me too, yeah. And I have, I've
17:33
done some research, actually, talked
17:35
to some friends and prop
17:38
firms as well, and looked
17:40
at their data, etc.
17:42
And for them, interestingly, enough,
17:44
most of their successful traders,
17:47
they are more on the
17:49
one hour for daily charts.
17:52
Yeah, so day trading while
17:54
it can be really incredibly
17:56
profitable, it produces a lot more
17:59
losing trade. than swing traders. And
18:01
I think that is A, probably
18:03
because of the commissions, obviously
18:06
they impact your trading
18:08
a lot, but also because
18:10
the requirements, time requirements, you
18:12
need to focus, the trades
18:14
come way more often, you go easier
18:16
on tilt, all that stuff. So
18:18
psychologically it's probably a little
18:21
bit harder, I would say,
18:23
and because the margins or the
18:25
edges in trading are so razor
18:27
thin, that little bit harder. and
18:29
completely ruin your hatch in the end
18:31
right so yeah it's interesting you you say that
18:33
about the commissions I was I think it
18:35
was trading view had a competition I think
18:38
over the winter and they share over the
18:40
winter and they shared like there I think
18:42
they were top five and there's all different
18:44
type of traders and one of them was
18:46
like you know you could tell they were
18:48
a day trader because everyone else had like
18:50
maybe 20 trades taken or 30 trades taken
18:52
within like a month then there's one person
18:54
that had like like a hundred or something
18:56
crazy like that and the commissions that were
18:58
taken out were just like, it was so
19:00
much, it's sunken where they probably
19:02
should have been like a number
19:04
two finisher and they were already
19:07
fifth, but just because commissions, commissions, commissions,
19:09
and that's something that, like I
19:11
said, a lot of traders don't think
19:13
about that, especially with a razor-thin edge.
19:16
Edges aren't super big, they're very
19:18
small, so that's a really good point. Do
19:20
you think there's a there can be
19:22
a strategy misalignment between the strategy and
19:24
the trader? I just reviewed a journal
19:26
from a trader who sent it into
19:28
us for edge wrong and he's trading a
19:31
swing trading approach, but he has a lot
19:33
of problems with foremost. So he wrote in
19:35
his notes for the trades often that he
19:37
just wanted to get into a trade
19:39
and he needed to just he needed to
19:42
trade. He had the feeling and then jumped
19:44
onto trade. So you think certain people are
19:46
more aligned to a specific strategy or
19:48
Is there something else going on? I
19:50
100% agree and I got a personal story
19:53
about that as well, but something I
19:55
always tell the traders I work with
19:57
is like you want to align your
19:59
strategy with with your belief system and with
20:01
your personality. So like, if you're not, like,
20:03
you know, if you're gonna be a day
20:05
trader, right, you need to be locked in,
20:07
you need to be able to trade after
20:09
trade after trade after trade, have a short
20:11
memory, forget, all that stuff. If that's not
20:13
you, then you're probably gonna struggle. If you
20:16
don't have patience, probably be very hard to
20:18
be a trader in general, but especially a
20:20
swing trader on the four hour or one
20:22
hour, who's waiting hours, hours, hours days weeks
20:24
for opportunities for opportunities for opportunities for
20:26
opportunities for opportunities for. plug and play.
20:28
So I had a mentor that gave
20:30
me a system. He said it was
20:32
profitable. It was as simple as pretty
20:35
much like following a red arrow and
20:37
following a green arrow. When a green
20:39
hour came, you pushed the buy button.
20:41
When a red hour came, you pushed
20:43
the sell button. And I'm like, OK,
20:45
this is the quick fix. And it
20:47
was a trend continuation strategy, which at
20:49
the time I didn't know that I
20:51
was more counter trend base. So I would
20:53
sell on a red arrow. and the profit
20:55
target would be like, let's say,
20:57
like a couple hundred pips away,
20:59
like really, really far away, but
21:01
you're supposed to kind of ride
21:03
this trend. And time after time,
21:05
it would go, it would be
21:07
like up 100 pips, then back
21:10
up 50, then up 150, then
21:12
back up 150, then back up
21:14
to 50, like this, you know,
21:16
the normal roller coaster rise that trades
21:18
take you on. And I found myself,
21:20
like, always stopping myself out of trades,
21:22
taking profits early because I didn't trust
21:25
it to get all the way down
21:27
there and like a million other things
21:29
but I kept sabotaging my edge. There
21:31
were also signals that came where it
21:34
would tell me to like buy and I'd look
21:36
at the chart and be like No, I want
21:38
to sell because like my my counter trend
21:40
brain is saying, we're at resistance like sell,
21:42
but the system is saying buy and it
21:44
was just this this conflict of interest there.
21:47
And that's what led to, you know, again,
21:49
me not trusting the system and sabotaging it.
21:51
So I found out the hard way that,
21:53
you know, at the time, like I didn't,
21:55
especially in the Forex market, I wasn't a
21:57
big trend continuation believer.
22:00
nor does my personality fit with
22:02
someone that can kind of sit
22:04
in trades for a very long
22:06
time and ride those waves of
22:08
being yo -yoed from profit to loss,
22:10
profit to loss. And that's something
22:12
that made me go to advanced patterns,
22:14
maybe go to a more counter -trend trading
22:16
style. So yeah, I certainly
22:18
think that I, I think it's up to the
22:20
trader, and we don't know what we're doing in
22:22
the beginning, but as you're trading a strategy and
22:24
as you're like you're taking notes like you mentioned, if
22:27
you feel that you just can't trust it
22:29
or you just don't believe it, it
22:31
may be worth investigating another type of style
22:33
that's, that's more aligned with kind of
22:35
your personality and your belief system, because I
22:37
think it's only a matter of time
22:39
before you shoot yourself in the foot if
22:41
you're trying to trade something that you
22:43
don't actually trust. What
22:46
I find often, because I was drawn to counter -trend
22:48
trading in the beginning and I now
22:50
have seen over the years that a lot of new traders
22:52
seem to be drawn towards it. I
22:54
think it's not about the
22:56
systems, I think it has a lot to do with how
22:58
the trades are looking. When you see that
23:01
the price is already in the top right corner of your, of
23:03
your screen, then you don't believe that there's
23:05
a lot more to go and you see
23:07
all the free space that is at the
23:09
bottom. That's how I always felt looking back
23:11
now that this might also be related to
23:13
that, because I was, I was never
23:15
comfortable with the counter -trend following in the beginning, but
23:17
it has shifted over the years as well. That's
23:21
a good point, I never thought about that. That
23:23
does, visually, you're right, when you see it there,
23:25
there's no space here, lots of space down there.
23:28
And then people believe it has gone so
23:30
far, it has to turn around, but I think
23:32
that's a very important belief that you need
23:34
to work on. And the more you see it,
23:36
then you realize, okay, price can keep going
23:38
actually for quite a long time. It's
23:41
actually the biggest thing I
23:43
think we see in Edgewong that
23:45
traders get out of their profitable
23:47
trades too early. I think besides
23:50
jumping into four more trades, I think
23:52
that's the number to a close second. People
23:54
jumping out of profitable trades way too early and they
23:56
leave so much on the table. that
24:00
as well? Yeah, yeah, a lot. And again,
24:02
this is when I was when I
24:04
was younger, less mature, less educated
24:06
on the market, didn't really
24:08
worry about data collection and
24:10
back testing and trust and
24:12
all that stuff. Yeah, for me, and
24:15
this is one of the dumb terms
24:17
I always hear, it's like you, you
24:19
know, you can't go broke taking profit.
24:21
So I would justify doing like that,
24:24
where it's like, oh, I'm only halfway
24:26
to my projected profit target, but I'm
24:28
going to get out because it's a
24:30
profitable trade. Like that's all that matters.
24:33
And, you know, back then, I wasn't,
24:35
I didn't understand risk reward or risk
24:37
ratio and all that fun stuff and
24:39
how like, hey, my wins need to
24:41
be full so they make up for
24:44
my losses. It was just like any
24:46
type of winning trade is good. Like,
24:48
higher win percentage, I'm awesome. I
24:50
remember working with a guy, his whole
24:52
goal was to have a 90% win percentage. And
24:54
I kept trying to tell him like, like, Why? Like,
24:56
dude, does it, like, doesn't really matter? He's like, I
24:59
just want to get it, I want to get it,
25:01
want to get it. Okay. So I only worked with
25:03
him for probably like a month or so, and then, you
25:05
know, our philosophies didn't kind of mesh. I remember getting an
25:07
email from him, like, a couple months later, he's like, a
25:09
keel? I don't know if you remember me, but I finally
25:12
did it. I had mine, like, like, like, like, like, a 95% month.
25:14
I'm like, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah,
25:16
blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah,
25:18
blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah,
25:20
blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah,
25:22
blah, blah, blah And I'm like what? And the
25:25
dude was taking, he would take
25:27
profit every time he was like two
25:29
pips in the green, but then he
25:31
would take full losses. So like he
25:33
only had like two losing trades all
25:36
month, but like those two losing trades
25:38
wiped out all of his profits because
25:40
he never like let them go to
25:42
where they were supposed to be. But
25:45
he was happy with his 95% win
25:47
percentage, which makes zero sense, but
25:49
it's tough. But I think being.
25:51
being educated, being knowledgeable, understanding how
25:53
the full picture works. And again, that goes
25:56
back to your back testing. When you have
25:58
your data, you can see your. average
26:00
wins and how they make up for
26:02
losses and how the whole pie works
26:04
together, you start to understand more or
26:07
it's like, hey, like, I have to let
26:09
this ride, like I chose this level for
26:11
a reason, trust myself, trust my analysis,
26:13
just get away from my charts, don't look
26:15
at it and, and, you know, I need
26:18
to follow the rules of this plan to,
26:20
to be successful. Right. Only talking
26:22
about trading personality, are you more
26:24
of a risk reward or win
26:27
right guy? More of a
26:29
risk reward, win rate to a
26:31
certain level. It was funny, a
26:33
couple years ago, I almost invented
26:36
the strategy, but I had the
26:38
strategy using like Keltner channels and
26:40
stuff like that. And it was
26:43
a really profitable strategy.
26:45
The problem was it only won
26:47
about 30% in the time. And
26:49
knowing myself over the years, like
26:52
my threshold is probably about. 40% if
26:54
I'm 40% win rate like I'm fine
26:56
obviously anything above that is great but
26:58
under 40% is where I get kind
27:00
of like fidgety and I'm telling myself
27:03
a keel you know that was like many
27:05
years ago like you know the game
27:07
more now that's gonna be a little
27:09
bit different so I started trading a
27:11
strategy that had 30% win rate and
27:13
this thing would routinely take like 10 to
27:16
12 trade losing streaks in a row.
27:18
But I'm telling myself, like, okay, you
27:20
know, like, you got this, you know,
27:22
you know, you know, you know, you
27:25
know, you're a different person now, and
27:27
even then it was
27:29
still uncomfortable, like the psychological
27:31
battle of like coming in every
27:33
day and like losing like 12
27:36
times, like it just. It tore
27:38
me apart. Like I can I
27:40
didn't make any mistakes, but I
27:42
can feel myself like wanting to
27:44
ignore signals and or do dumb
27:46
stuff just to get just to get
27:48
the winds going again. And so I ended
27:51
up ditching it just because it didn't. I
27:53
knew I was going to get myself
27:55
in trouble. So definitely win percentage
27:57
matters. But for me, it's a.
27:59
you know I would say 40%
28:01
is probably my floor. Anything under
28:03
40% is I probably would
28:06
start getting a little a
28:08
little fidgety and I would open
28:10
up the door to some mistakes
28:12
but me personally I'm like 55%
28:14
55 60 max like I don't
28:16
need a 70% 80% women percentage.
28:18
I'm fine if I can win
28:21
a little bit more than I
28:23
lose mentally. Yeah, that's yep. It's 50%
28:25
with a good risk reward, that'll get the
28:27
job done. It cuts down the pressures too.
28:29
Because now it's like, my expectation isn't like
28:32
I have to come in and win every
28:34
trade. It's like, hey, I'll win a few,
28:36
I'll lose a few. And like I'm very
28:38
comfortable knowing that I can win half the
28:41
time and make money. Like that's, it's
28:43
a very comfortable place to be
28:45
and for me personally. Is there
28:47
something like you track market data?
28:49
Do you think your strategy is
28:51
maybe out of alignment, the market
28:53
is different? Is there any way
28:55
how you assess your strategy doing a
28:57
losing streak? Yeah, so I'm always journaling,
29:00
I'm always reviewing, I'm always reviewing trades.
29:02
I think that's something that a lot
29:04
of traders don't do enough is reviewing
29:06
trades. I'm reviewing them to see if
29:08
I did everything right. I'm also reviewing
29:11
them to see like, what could I
29:13
have done better? Is there any way
29:15
I could have gotten here earlier or
29:17
got out sooner? Just to see if
29:19
there's any clues in there. And in
29:21
that review process, I start to learn
29:24
a lot about the tendencies in the
29:26
market because the market conditions do change
29:28
as you mentioned it. And sometimes, but
29:30
not sometimes, your strategy will perform differently.
29:32
For me, a lot of it doesn't
29:35
necessarily come with the entry technique or
29:37
the actual trade. It's more so like
29:39
the profit target or a stop loss.
29:42
So I've noticed that. In low volatility times,
29:44
I think one of the last ones that
29:46
I had that was bad was like 2000,
29:48
when I say 16 or 14, where like
29:50
the volatility was sucked out of the market
29:52
and my performance numbers weren't as good as
29:55
I thought they should be. But my win
29:57
percentage was about the same and so it
29:59
didn't really... make sense. And what I notice is
30:01
that, especially with my
30:03
secondary targets, right, price action just
30:05
wasn't moving enough to hit them. So
30:08
the location was good. The entry was
30:10
good. It just wasn't getting to the
30:12
level that I thought. And I was
30:14
able to catch that by reviewing it
30:16
and just journaling on a consistent basis,
30:18
make some changes about halfway through the
30:20
year and end up surviving the year
30:22
wasn't my best year in the world,
30:24
but I stopped it from being a
30:26
negative year. So I think that consistent
30:28
review process is key because markets are
30:30
different. They will change. And I'm not
30:32
saying you need to make a complete
30:34
overhaul of your strategy. You don't want
30:36
to ditch it. But you should be
30:39
willing, in my opinion, to make small
30:41
tweaks to adjust with the times
30:43
if you need to. Totally.
30:46
Yeah, just this week, we actually introduced an edge
30:48
one, the new metric showing you how many
30:50
times the price is hitting your stop loss and
30:52
how many times it's hitting your target. Because
30:55
that's, I think, I see it
30:57
often when I review the journals that they are too
30:59
aggressive or too, yeah, too aggressive with their targets, they
31:01
set it too far. Price moves in
31:03
their favor quite a bit, but because they're shooting
31:05
for so white targets, price doesn't make it
31:07
there. So looking at
31:09
your target placement and how price is
31:11
moving into your targets is, I
31:13
think, really, really can be really helpful. Because
31:16
the entry, there's only so much you
31:18
can do before you get into FOMO
31:20
or missing trades, but to take profit and
31:22
the stop loss, I think there's a lot of
31:24
room for tweaking. I
31:26
agree. It's funny you mentioned that
31:29
because it's, I agree 100%.
31:31
I think that I don't want to
31:33
say most traders because there's a lot of trade,
31:35
most traders that I work with from probably
31:37
a lot of trades that you work with, the
31:39
entry isn't the issue. It's just like you're
31:41
making the right prediction, you're calling it in the right
31:43
place, you're just shooting for too
31:46
much of targets. And like, for me, there's
31:48
nothing worse than the market doing everything you
31:50
thought it was going to do, but like
31:52
not going to where you thought it would be.
31:54
So, but I think too many people spend time
31:56
worrying about the magic entry, the magic entry, how
31:58
do I get in? How do I and I
32:00
don't want to say it's irrelevant, but
32:02
like there's so many, there's different ways
32:04
to do it. There's only so many ways
32:06
to do it. Like I think the prediction of
32:09
where you think that move is going to
32:11
happen and where you think it's going to
32:13
go to, I think that's much more important
32:15
than just like the entry. Right. Yeah, it's
32:17
such a big mindset shift if you can
32:19
get away from this entry focused trading and
32:22
look at your strategy as a whole with
32:24
a lot of different moving parts instead of
32:26
only at the entry. Talking
32:28
about that, what is your take
32:30
on setting take profits versus simply
32:33
letting the market take you out
32:35
of your trade when you're trailing
32:37
your stop until the infinity?
32:39
So I think it depends on
32:41
your trading style. I think it depends
32:44
on the market as well. So
32:46
I was just having a conversation
32:48
with this with a trader yesterday
32:51
who... So let's say you're investing in
32:53
an index, let's say like the S&P,
32:55
where the S&P, the footsie, something like
32:57
that, like we're the Dax even, right,
33:00
we're at all-time highs right now. If
33:02
you're in like an index where they
33:04
traditionally kind of go higher, that's just
33:06
what they do, I don't think it's
33:09
a bad strategy to kind of put
33:11
a position in, obviously if you're going
33:13
with the trend. and then letting it
33:15
ride, trailing stops and trying to get
33:18
as much as you can out of
33:20
it, kind of like an old
33:22
school train continuation way. On
33:24
the other hand, you can also get
33:26
into a lot of trouble doing that
33:28
because like we just mentioned, if you're
33:31
trailing stops, you're going to get
33:33
stopped out when the market goes
33:35
against you. So at some point,
33:37
you're going to reach a profit
33:39
level that's higher than what you end up taking.
33:41
And it may be more efficient. is going to
33:43
be at or we're at that that that we're
33:45
the highest point of profit is going to be
33:48
at and getting out there close to never get
33:50
up to very high but close to instead of
33:52
waiting for the market to come all the way
33:54
back down and take you out. But again I
33:57
think it depends on what type of market
33:59
you in if you are, if you are a trend
34:01
trader in a heavily trending market, then
34:03
yes, it's much safer to kind of
34:05
do something like that. If you are
34:07
a counter trend trader in a market
34:09
that is consolidating, you probably don't want
34:11
to let it ride. Me personally, what
34:13
I do in situations like that, where
34:15
I think there's kind of this extended move,
34:17
I do a combination of both, right?
34:19
I'll split my position up into two
34:21
or three or something like that, and
34:23
I'll always have a take profit at. a
34:25
level where I think prices likely to
34:27
go. I call it my security cat
34:30
level, where it's like, I'm not super
34:32
aggressive of targets. It's like, I want
34:34
a nice target level where I think
34:36
price action will go, I want to
34:38
get some money, I want to put
34:41
it in my pocket, move my stops
34:43
to break even, and I know it's
34:45
a freebie trade. With the second half
34:47
of that position, though, now that I've
34:49
already made money off the trade, that's
34:52
where I could be more aggressive. Mentally,
34:54
it's much better for me because at least
34:56
in the back of my mind, I know
34:58
that hey, at least I made something out
35:01
of the trade and I don't have to
35:03
worry about kind of getting stopped out for
35:05
break even or less than what I desired
35:07
if it were to retrace. You have been
35:09
working with traders for so long
35:11
and by the way, the links
35:13
to your program, your Twitter, everything
35:15
will be in the video description,
35:17
the podcast. The traders who come
35:20
out of your program with the best.
35:22
results and the biggest progress. Do they
35:24
have something in common? Is there something
35:26
that you see among them just for
35:29
how they approach trading the way
35:31
they're thinking? Yeah, so the ones that
35:33
are most successful are usually the
35:35
most knowing. I mean, I mean that
35:37
in the most respectful way possible. I know
35:40
what you mean, yes. I was annoying to
35:42
my mentor, Jason Greystone, when I taught him,
35:44
he was annoying to me. And it's like,
35:46
these are the ones that are always asking
35:48
questions. They're always emailing you, they're always sending
35:51
you messages on the chat. And it could
35:53
be like about the smallest, simplest things. There's
35:55
one guy I'm working with now who like, it
35:57
seems like he's asking me the same question every
35:59
day. like I told him like it's
36:01
annoying but don't stop because to me
36:03
it just means like he's double
36:06
checking triple checking and he's doing his
36:08
work. You tend to see those
36:10
people have the most success because they're
36:12
just putting in the most effort.
36:14
I also see a lot of success
36:16
from people who are well obviously the
36:18
most disciplined traders so a
36:20
lot of sports people a lot
36:22
of ex military people anyone
36:24
that is just like very very strict
36:27
and disciplined I see a
36:29
lot of success from them
36:31
because they just don't fall
36:33
into those psychological battles. So
36:36
I would say that you know the ones
36:38
that ask ask and honestly just put
36:40
into work they do all the small things
36:43
they pay attention to the details I
36:45
tend to see those have the most success
36:47
the ones that are kind of like
36:49
they're doing it but not fully doing it they
36:51
kind of stay in that like break even
36:53
bubble forever until they kind of you know
36:55
figure out that hey trading isn't for me
36:57
and they quit or they understand like hey
36:59
if I want to actually be successful like
37:01
I've got to start doing all these small
37:03
things. Yeah we
37:05
interviewed Dr. Steenbagger a while ago and he
37:08
said the number one trade that
37:10
he sees in the best traders that he's working
37:12
with is curiosity and I had to think
37:14
about just what you said it's just asking and
37:16
asking and just yeah
37:18
being curious to just don't be
37:20
afraid to ask. I know
37:22
especially when in a group setting it can
37:24
sometimes be intimidating but
37:26
asking question I think
37:29
is so important whenever
37:31
something comes up because it
37:33
can lead you to a new place give you new
37:35
impulses I think it's so important. Yeah
37:37
I think curiosity is key at 100 percent
37:40
I love I still spend time even
37:42
after what 18 years of doing this like
37:44
just going on random charts like loading
37:46
up random indicators just like looking around and
37:48
I call it like playing in the
37:50
sandbox or I'm like oh what is that
37:52
I don't use that that looks cool
37:54
and just like you know I love the
37:56
back testing process of like trying new
37:58
things again especially with indicators since - I'm newer
38:00
indicators or what started with indicators just like
38:02
most traders just throwing like a bunch of
38:04
my chart and thinking they would work and
38:06
kind of coming back to him and seeing
38:08
like hey what happens if I tweak this
38:10
setting or do this and just like it's
38:12
fun and most of the stuff doesn't work
38:15
but every once in a while you find
38:17
one thing it's like oh. Like that could be
38:19
helpful and like you said before with
38:21
razor thin edges in the market if
38:23
you can find one thing that just
38:25
like increases it by a little bit
38:27
like that's a massive win. So yeah
38:30
staying curious is key to don't get
38:32
too locked in. It's also one of
38:34
my favorite times on the weekend when
38:36
I dig into my edge walk and
38:39
review the week because especially after a
38:41
month or after a quarter. you can
38:43
sometimes find these golden nuggets like you
38:45
repeat a mistake two or three times
38:48
that quarter which doesn't sound like
38:50
a lot when you take 50 60
38:52
traits in a quarter but then you
38:54
you know you see how much those mistakes
38:57
cost you and then you add it up
38:59
over a year there might be like 12
39:01
15% or so at the end of the year
39:03
when you're making 40 50% a year
39:05
that's that's a massive increase in
39:07
your baseline. finding digging for those
39:09
gold nuggets in edge form is
39:11
just I this is my sandbox
39:13
right it's always amazing curiosity yeah and
39:16
the dad is all there we have
39:18
like we have if you're doing it the dad
39:20
is all there it's like it's it's I
39:22
don't want to say it amazes me that
39:24
more traders don't take advantage of stuff like
39:26
that but we know that a lot of
39:28
people were are lazy and they're just like
39:30
I don't want to track it I just
39:32
you know I just you know I want
39:34
to dig into it and look at it
39:36
just you know but it's that's where the
39:38
that's where the nuggets are man I agree
39:40
100% that's so true. I want to ask you
39:42
a question because I think you're the
39:44
perfect person to ask this because you
39:47
have a family of a very busy life
39:49
I see you're into athletics and sports
39:51
people who have limited time they have a
39:53
day job maybe still and they want to
39:55
get into trading what are some tips
39:57
that you can give them to use that
39:59
time that that they have in the
40:01
best possible way? Schedule
40:05
it out. Start by
40:07
taking all 24 hours
40:09
of the day and
40:11
schedule it out. So schedule, start off
40:13
with the things that you have to do.
40:15
It's like you have to sleep. So fill
40:17
in your sleep time. You have to go
40:19
to your day job. So fill in that
40:21
time. Maybe you put in like, hey, I
40:23
have to spend at least two hours with
40:25
the wife and kids, the family put in
40:28
that time. And then first, see what's left.
40:30
See what time is available to work on
40:32
your trading. And then
40:34
make adjustments. So for
40:36
example, if you can
40:38
go to bed one
40:40
hour later or if you can
40:42
wake up one hour earlier, you just opened
40:44
up one extra hour of time. I remember
40:46
talking to a guy a while ago. I
40:48
call him the Xbox guy. We're asking the
40:50
same question. He's like, hey, I have
40:53
a day job. I don't have a lot of, I
40:55
only learned how to trade, but I don't have enough
40:57
time. And I'm like, hey, okay, walk me through your
40:59
schedule. And he's walked me through his schedule. And he's
41:01
like, yeah, I spent about three, four hours a day
41:03
playing video games. And I'm like, cool.
41:05
Like I used to love games. I used
41:07
to be a gamer trading in kids, both kind
41:09
of crushed that, although my kids are getting older.
41:11
So maybe I can get back into it, but
41:13
I'm afraid they'll embarrass me. But I told him,
41:15
I said, hey, like those three, four
41:17
hours of Xbox time you have each
41:20
day, like, take that away.
41:22
That could be your trading time or
41:24
take half of it away. And unfortunately
41:26
he was like, nah, I'm not willing
41:28
to give that up, which tells you
41:30
your priorities. But, you know, you can
41:32
always find time in a day. So I
41:34
think schedule out your day, find those little
41:36
pockets that can give you time of, you
41:39
know, when can you work on your trading? And if
41:41
you're at the point where you are trading, it's gonna
41:43
help tell you what type of trader you can be.
41:45
Like, if you don't have a good pocket of time,
41:47
you can't be a day trader because you need to
41:49
be in front of your charts. Maybe you're a swing
41:51
trader. If you're on a four hour chart and you
41:53
see that, hey, I have a time block every four
41:55
hours where I can take a break and look at
41:57
the charts, maybe that's the better style for you. But
42:00
I think it's important to remember that,
42:02
especially in the beginning, you always want
42:04
to work your trading around your life,
42:06
right? Your real life is what matters
42:08
most. That's what pays the bills, right?
42:10
So work your trading around your life.
42:12
And then if you're fortunate enough, then
42:14
you can kind of start changing your
42:16
life as your trading gets better and kind
42:18
of doing the opposite. Right. And I've seen,
42:21
it's not always the right answer to become
42:23
a full-time trader. We work with a trader.
42:25
I don't know, seven years ago, he
42:27
had very good results, but he had
42:29
a day job. Then he quit his
42:31
job to become full and profitable trader,
42:33
and he immediately started becoming a
42:35
losing trader. And I talked to
42:37
him, he said, he was also missing
42:39
the social interactions, and he didn't
42:41
feel like sitting at home all day. Then he
42:44
made the adjustment to work half-time and
42:46
trade the other half of the day at
42:48
home. And that was such a massive improvement
42:50
for him, because he also felt
42:52
better. So I think it's really important that
42:54
you find out who you are. People
42:56
put this on a pedestal to say, I want
42:59
to sit at home all day by myself and
43:01
just click the mouse. I don't think it's the
43:03
right answer for everyone. There are people
43:05
who are social and people who maybe
43:07
don't even know that they are social and
43:09
it's not the right approach for them. Yeah,
43:11
I agree. And I'm not the most social
43:14
person in the world, but it's like. Yeah, I
43:16
couldn't imagine. So I coach track and field still.
43:18
I started doing that about the same time I
43:20
started trading. And I always get asked the question.
43:22
And I was like, you know, why do you
43:24
do that? And it's not, you know, track and
43:27
field coaches don't get any money. But it's like,
43:29
what it does is it takes me out of
43:31
the house for three or four hours a day,
43:33
gets me around people in an athletic setting where
43:35
I'm more likely to kind of work out or
43:38
do something to stay in shape. And it gives
43:40
me that time away that that relief time
43:42
to clear to mine and what I found
43:44
in my trading especially in comparison to when
43:46
I first started and I was doing like
43:49
12 hours a day and then just getting like
43:51
mind melted is that when I come back
43:53
to the charts like I'm more inspired like
43:55
it's because you know it's like your your
43:57
partner going away and then like they come.
44:00
and you're like, oh man, like I'm excited
44:02
to see you again. It's one of those
44:04
type of deals and I feel like it's
44:06
a new spark when I look at the
44:09
chart or do anything trading related because I
44:11
had that time away. When you go through
44:13
those sessions like a back testing session where
44:15
you're in the charts for like multiple
44:17
hours, it kind of gets bland and
44:20
boring and like you can kind of
44:22
get on autopilot and just like, like
44:24
you said, you need that break. We all
44:26
need a break as human beings. or
44:28
how trading can benefit your life when
44:30
you have those chunks of time where you
44:33
can just in the middle of the day do
44:35
something that you absolutely love? And
44:37
I think that you start to appreciate
44:39
it much more. Agreed. What advice
44:41
would you give someone who's coming to
44:43
you new interested in trading maybe has
44:46
a little bit of experience how to
44:48
make the most or how to make
44:50
the biggest progress and where should they
44:52
start? So come into like our program
44:55
specifically or just like in general?
44:57
Um, you or yeah. Um, I would always
44:59
say no matter where you're at,
45:01
um, start with the basics. Um,
45:03
I believe that the advance is
45:05
nothing more than a mastery
45:07
of the basics. Even myself
45:09
and my trading career, I
45:12
went back to like learning
45:14
the simple stuff like candlestick
45:16
patterns and simple patterns, like a
45:18
lot of stuff that you guys
45:20
talk about in your book. And
45:22
I found that once. Once I
45:24
went back and really mastered those small
45:26
things, the things that seem insignificant to
45:28
like the bigger strategy, I became better
45:31
at my analysis because now I can
45:33
see different clues that the market is
45:35
giving because I think especially if you're
45:37
doing technical trading, the market gives
45:39
a lot of clues just hidden between
45:42
like a bunch of junk. So the
45:44
better knowledge you have at seeing those
45:46
clues. the better chance you have of
45:48
kind of creating your edge. So I
45:51
would say start at the beginning, even
45:53
if it's review, review it, there's nothing
45:55
wrong with that. And then work up
45:57
and see how you can use those
45:59
small. basic things in your bigger trading.
46:02
But in general, I kind of say
46:04
this, I say learn everything the first
46:06
time, but just to experience
46:08
it. So understand this, understand
46:10
different strategies, see mechanical strategies,
46:12
price action strategies, Fibonacci base
46:14
patterns, moving average, like experience
46:16
it all, and try to
46:19
get a feel of what
46:21
you think works well with you.
46:23
Like, oh man, like this
46:25
trend continuation thing using the moving
46:27
average. Like I really like. That felt
46:29
good. I picked it up pretty quickly
46:31
or, oh, this strategy over here, that
46:34
was confusing. I don't quite understand it.
46:36
And then you can kind of start
46:38
separating and kind of figuring out, hey,
46:40
I like this. This was easy to
46:42
understand. This didn't make sense. And you
46:44
can kind of lock in on what
46:46
type of trader you think you're going to
46:49
become. Then do everything again, right? But
46:51
now when you learn the stuff, learn it
46:53
in reference to kind of the strategy
46:55
that you plan on approaching. So instead
46:57
of just learning like, hey, this is a moving
47:00
average and it does this and does that, learn
47:02
it, but kind of in the mindset of,
47:04
okay, I'm learning moving averages, how does
47:06
this directly relate to this moving average
47:08
space strategy or learning candlestick formations, how
47:11
does this pinbar directly relate to entries?
47:13
And then you kind of like have
47:15
a different appreciation for the beginner knowledge
47:18
in respect to the strategy that you're
47:20
trading. And then after that, after you
47:22
kind of locked it on a strategy,
47:24
Go to the back testing process. I always say
47:27
do kind of two rounds of back testing.
47:29
There's a pre-back testing. This is just
47:31
like you have an idea. You're looking
47:33
through the market. You're not really taking
47:36
too much detailed notes, but you're looking
47:38
for different ideas like, hey, stop loss
47:40
ideas, different type of entry filters, exit
47:42
filters like that. And then once you
47:44
kind of have in your notes, everything you
47:46
want to test, lock in, test it. If it
47:49
works well, after all the adjustments and everything,
47:51
go through some demo trading experiences, that way
47:53
you can make sure you can actually trade
47:55
it live because sometimes you can do things
47:57
in back testing that you can't actually execute
47:59
in the law. markets and then start
48:01
small, you know, start with a
48:03
little bit of money. And as
48:06
you progress and then set some
48:08
goals, whatever it may be, allow
48:10
yourself to trade more and more
48:12
capital as you have time to kind of
48:14
iron out those mistakes. David, talking
48:16
about that, how, what is your
48:19
approach to scaling up capital once
48:21
you are profitable? I mean,
48:23
how, how would you approach it maybe
48:25
with prop firms, adding your own
48:28
capital, what's your, Would you increase your
48:30
trade your risk per trade? How would
48:32
you to approach that? So from from
48:34
a personal capital perspective, I
48:37
would start small. So if you have,
48:39
let's just say a $10,000 account, maybe
48:41
start with trading a quarter of
48:43
it and say that for the
48:45
first three months, six months, depending
48:48
on your, you're your style, if you're
48:50
a day trader, maybe a little bit smaller
48:52
than that. But for the first
48:54
X amount of months, I'm only
48:56
going to trade a quarter a
48:58
quarter. of my available capital because
49:00
we have to understand that at the beginning
49:03
of our trading especially our live trading that's
49:05
probably when we're going to be at our
49:07
worst like we're most likely to do the
49:09
dumb stuff in the beginning and mess up
49:11
so it's like why mess up when you
49:13
have the most amount of capital available to
49:15
mess up right mess up when you have
49:18
like a little bit of money and then
49:20
whatever that time frame is for you and
49:22
I always like judging it off of
49:24
not just profitability But good trades, because
49:26
you could be profitable taking bad trades.
49:28
We all know that you can just
49:30
get lucky in the market it happens.
49:32
But base it off of a good
49:34
trade percentage, meaning trades that you follow
49:36
your rules, and then also base it
49:38
off kind of profitability. And once you've
49:40
achieved whatever that goal is after the
49:42
blank amount of months period. then maybe
49:44
add another quarter of your capitals. Now,
49:46
instead of trading, what, 2,500, maybe you're
49:48
trading 5,000, and then do that for
49:50
another blank amount of months, and then
49:52
work your way up to your full
49:54
allotment. So I think that's the best way
49:57
to scale up if you're just talking about
49:59
personal capital. As far as prop firms goes,
50:01
I would have loved if I knew about
50:03
prop firms, online prop firms when I
50:05
first started trading. I went into managing
50:08
money because I didn't have enough money
50:10
to trade just with my own capital.
50:12
Once I kind of realized that I
50:14
wasn't going to turn $10,000 into a
50:16
million dollars in a year, I was
50:18
like, okay, well, I got to do
50:21
something else. So I did the old
50:23
school route of like. going to people
50:25
and giving presentations and begging them to
50:27
like give me money to trade and
50:29
it was horrible experience, but it's fun.
50:31
It hardened to me, I guess you
50:33
can say. But I like the prop
50:36
firm idea. The goal is to build
50:38
a bigger account, right? So we can
50:40
use the power of compounding. How you
50:42
build that bigger account is. up to
50:44
you. You can trade your own capital,
50:46
you can work for a prop firm,
50:48
do a challenge, win the challenge, and
50:50
then get paid off the prop firm
50:52
capital and then that capital gets or
50:54
your profits from that get put back
50:56
into your personal account. You can even
50:58
do stuff where you write out a
51:00
plan where it's like, hey, I'm on
51:02
a five-year plan, I'm going to pick
51:04
up a part-time job and the money
51:06
I make from this part-time job is
51:08
simply to go right back into my
51:10
trading account. probably isn't going
51:13
to change too much. Like, I don't think
51:15
you're going to go from like a
51:17
10% trader to a thousand percent return
51:19
on investment. But let's say you're locked
51:22
in at like a 50% return a
51:24
year. Well, the question is, how do
51:26
you grow that? Well, 50% return a
51:28
year with $1,000 is like no big
51:30
deal. And people are like, ah, that
51:32
stinks. I only made, what, what,
51:35
let's say, $500? But think about
51:37
the future. You can get a
51:39
50% return with $10,000, $20,000, with
51:41
$30,000, and then that profit is
51:44
much bigger. So the goal is
51:46
to grow that trading account. And
51:48
I was going to say, by
51:50
any means necessary, but I don't
51:53
want people going out there like
51:55
robbing and killing people for money.
51:57
But like, just ruin your podcast.
52:00
for money. But aside from murder
52:02
and stealing, try to grow
52:04
that capital by any means. And
52:06
I think prop firms are
52:08
a great way that you can
52:10
use a skill to supplement
52:12
your trading income. It's
52:14
brilliant. It gives hope to traders that don't have
52:16
a lot of capital but are really, really good. And
52:18
there are a lot of people out there like
52:20
that who are really, really, really good. They just don't
52:22
have a lot of money to trade with. Agree,
52:26
yeah. I mean, I always say just
52:28
because, for example, there are some people
52:30
that have nice chunk of savings, say
52:32
50 ,000 US or so, then just because
52:34
you have that kind of money doesn't
52:36
mean that you should immediately risk 500
52:38
bucks per trader. So that's obviously insane.
52:41
What I always tell my
52:43
students is it should hurt a
52:45
little bit when you lose, but when you
52:47
win, it should also feel a little bit
52:49
good, you know. So for me, that
52:52
amount in the beginning was like 50
52:54
bucks, losing 50 bucks, the student really
52:56
sucked, but if you make 100 bucks,
52:58
like two to one, then oh, fantastic.
53:01
And then you can pay yourself
53:03
sometimes and take your girlfriend out to
53:05
dinner, etc. And then
53:07
you think, oh, okay, my friend, he
53:09
has to work. How many hours, 10
53:11
hours in the library in the university
53:13
to make 100 bucks? Oh, fantastic. I
53:15
just made that on one trade. And
53:18
that motivates you, right? You don't have
53:20
to shoot for the
53:22
moon immediately. That will come with
53:24
time, right? So
53:30
I want to be mindful of your
53:32
time. I think we covered a lot
53:35
of ground. I think this was a
53:37
masterclass in strategy development and building a
53:39
strategy and getting to the next level.
53:41
So thank you so much for taking
53:43
the time today to talk to us once again. Everything
53:45
will be in the show notes about you if people want to
53:47
connect. I love your content. I've been
53:49
following you for, I think, over 10 years. It's
53:52
been a while, but thank you for being here
53:54
with us today. Yes, you
53:56
guys have me. Always love what you guys do. You
53:58
guys are Venus is
54:00
in the trading community man. It's, it's,
54:02
yeah, I think everyone should look into
54:05
what you guys are doing if they
54:07
haven't already. Thank you. Thank you.
Podchaser is the ultimate destination for podcast data, search, and discovery. Learn More