Episode Transcript
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0:00
Hey guys, welcome to another huge
0:02
episode of Trigger. Things are moving
0:04
as fast as ever, myself included.
0:06
Every day, the news is happening
0:08
so rapidly it can be hard
0:11
to even keep up, but that's
0:13
why we're here, to tell you
0:15
all you need to know and
0:17
break down all of the biggest
0:20
stories. And today we actually have
0:22
two first-time guests. First, we'll get
0:24
into all things. Doge, DOJ, Department
0:26
of Education, with former Chief of
0:28
Investigations for the Education Department,
0:30
and former Senior Council
0:33
at the Justice Department,
0:35
Paul Moore, will also
0:37
reveal even more explosive revelations
0:39
about how our universities are selling
0:41
out to adversaries like China. Then,
0:43
we'll have CEO of MBS Highway,
0:45
entrepreneur and housing expert Barry Habib
0:48
to give you an inside look
0:50
at the economy and what to
0:52
expect next. So make sure you
0:54
guys are liking, sharing, subscribing, so
0:57
you never miss one of these
0:59
major episodes. Remember, you can get
1:01
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can get the mainstream news without the
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mainstream bias. And of course, support our
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out. And now, let's take a
2:25
look at the top headlines. Yesterday
2:27
Attorney General Pam Bondi announced that
2:29
D-O-J is filing a lawsuit against
2:32
the state of New York. Governor
2:34
Kathy Hochle and the State Attorney
2:37
General Leticia James for harboring illegal
2:39
aliens, protecting violent criminals, and defying
2:41
federal immigration law. Obviously, that's what's
2:44
happening. We've seen it. This is
2:46
nothing new. But finally, someone's doing
2:48
something about it. Here's a clip
2:51
from the announcement yesterday, where Attorney
2:53
General Bondi made it clear that
2:55
if you violate the laws, it
2:58
ain't going to work out so
3:00
well for you. And that's why
3:03
President Trump has directed this to-stop.
3:05
And if you don't comply with
3:07
federal law, we will hold you
3:10
accountable. We did it to Illinois.
3:12
Strike 1. Strike 2 is New
3:14
York. And if you are a
3:17
state not complying with federal law,
3:19
you're next. Get ready. And the
3:21
great men and women of law
3:24
enforcement are standing behind me today.
3:26
We have FBI DEA. DEA, ATF
3:29
agents. They put their lives on
3:31
the line every single day to
3:33
protect us. And what New York
3:36
has? They have green light laws,
3:38
meaning they're giving a green light
3:40
to any illegal alien in New
3:43
York where law enforcement officers cannot
3:45
check their identity if they pull
3:47
them over. Law enforcement officers do
3:50
not have access to their background.
3:52
And if these great men and
3:55
women pull over someone and don't
3:57
have access to their background, they
3:59
have no idea who they're dealing
4:02
with. And it puts their lives
4:04
on the line every single day.
4:06
Violent criminals, gang members. drug traffickers,
4:09
human smugglers will no longer terrorize
4:11
the American people. And that is
4:13
why we are here today. You
4:16
will be held accountable if you
4:18
do not follow federal law. It's
4:21
over, it ends, and we're coming
4:23
after you. And those remarks came
4:25
around the same time that we
4:28
learned that, yes, we were right
4:30
all along. As usual, every conspiracy
4:32
theory ends up being fact. It's
4:35
just a matter of how long
4:37
it takes to get there. FEMA
4:39
was in fact dishing out funds
4:42
to house illegal aliens. Even as
4:44
residents in North Carolina were being
4:46
left behind after the hurricane back
4:49
in October. Remember they got that
4:51
$700 check well. According to DHS,
4:54
$59 million was sent under Biden
4:56
to New York City. to put
4:58
illegals in luxury hotels while Americans
5:01
were suffering. $59 million for illegals,
5:03
if you lost your home, a
5:05
loved one, your business, in North
5:08
Carolina, you got like a $700
5:10
check. Okay, just so we're clear
5:12
where you stand relative to the
5:15
Democrat mentality and their prior administration.
5:17
Here's my father reacting to the
5:20
findings yesterday. Because this is a
5:22
massive fraud that's taken place and
5:24
then you have judges that are
5:27
activists and they sit there and
5:29
they say oh as an example
5:31
59 million dollars going to a
5:34
little small group in New York
5:36
City You get nothing going to
5:39
North Carolina that helped nothing they
5:41
say we don't have any money
5:43
because they've given it away on
5:46
the border But you have nothing
5:48
what they did to North Carolina
5:51
is a shame and then they
5:53
sent 59 to New York City
5:55
for a little a little bit
5:58
of nothing, what they've done, a
6:00
hotel that was not luxury, that's
6:02
getting luxury rates for migrants, where
6:05
they're making a fortune. and we
6:07
catch him we catch him and
6:10
but a judge says well even
6:12
though it may be a fraud
6:14
you have to send the money
6:17
in anyway send the money I
6:19
said wait a minute we have
6:21
money that shouldn't go because we
6:24
caught it before it was sent
6:26
out but they want the money
6:29
to go anyway and I think
6:31
you're gonna have a lot of
6:33
things to look at Pam I
6:36
really do what's going on with
6:38
this whole thing and this is
6:40
just one group Now under the
6:43
Trump DHS that 59 million has
6:45
been clawed back But we need
6:48
a full investigation into just what
6:50
possible criminal conduct occurred and who
6:52
all benefited from it It's of
6:55
course yet another reason why we
6:57
need Doge to root out all
7:00
of this corruption all of the
7:02
waste all of the fraud and
7:04
all of the abuse It's why
7:07
the Democrats are losing their mind.
7:09
Who wouldn't want to know what's
7:11
going on, unless, of course, you're
7:14
indirectly benefiting it from when you're
7:16
not supposed to? But rogue judges,
7:19
shockingly all Democrat appointees, in liberal
7:21
places, are doing everything they can
7:23
to try to stand in the
7:26
way. The judge who issued an
7:28
injunction to block the spending freeze,
7:30
Judge John McConnell Jr, is basically
7:33
a far-left activist. He's on tape
7:35
claiming that a middle-class white-privileged male
7:38
person needs to understand criminals who
7:40
are women, black, or transgender. Again,
7:42
I gotta put it all in
7:45
quotes so that doesn't get mixed
7:47
out and claims that the trans
7:50
community needs special sentencing treatment. Again,
7:52
like all things trans, they don't
7:54
want to be equal, they want
7:57
to be a lot more. Certainly
7:59
the activists. Don't believe me? Here's
8:01
the tape, folks. government actions when
8:04
you sentencing someone when we talk
8:06
about sentencing that you have to
8:09
take a moment and realize that
8:11
this you know middle class white
8:13
male privileged person needs to understand
8:16
the human being that comes before
8:18
us that maybe a woman and
8:20
maybe black maybe transgender may be
8:23
poor maybe rich maybe whatever may
8:25
may have experiences that aren't yours
8:28
and you have to you have
8:30
to walk in their shoes and
8:32
understand that the law applies to
8:35
them where they are and then
8:37
you have to apply the law
8:39
accordingly. So, um, now when issuing
8:42
the injunction, the judge did admit
8:44
that the administration has the right
8:47
to limit access to federal funds
8:49
on the basis of the applicable
8:51
authorizing statutes regulation and terms. I'm
8:54
shocked he believes any of the
8:56
law, which, you know, again, they've
8:59
been known to totally ignore, but
9:01
that sets the stage for further
9:03
litigation, maybe at the appellate. level
9:06
and maybe even at the Supreme
9:08
Court. The good news is on
9:10
the issue of the deferred resignation
9:13
program for federal workers, a different
9:15
federal judge yesterday did rule in
9:18
favor of the Trump administration clearing
9:20
the way to clean out the
9:22
rot in the federal bureaucracy, at
9:25
least for now. And if you're
9:27
wondering just how bad the waste
9:29
and inefficiency really is, just look
9:32
what Elon posted yesterday. Federal employee
9:34
retirements are processed using paper files
9:37
by hand in an old limestone
9:39
mine in Pennsylvania. Literally 700 mine
9:41
workers operate 230 feet underground to
9:44
process 10,000 applications per month, which
9:46
are stored in Manila envelopes and
9:49
cardboard boxes. The retirement process takes
9:51
multiple months. You can't
9:53
make it up. I mean they
9:55
don't want us mining anything else,
9:57
but you know we can use
10:00
it to store retirement paper and
10:02
possibly the most inefficient way imaginable,
10:04
that's obviously okay folks. But like
10:06
I've been saying, this is yet
10:08
another reason why we need Congress
10:10
to actually pass legislation to codify
10:13
some of these executive actions into
10:15
law. We don't have anti- Trump
10:17
federal judges doing everything. We can't
10:19
have that. They're doing everything in
10:21
their power to stand in the
10:24
way. We need to put it
10:26
into law and we need Congress
10:28
to help do that. and we
10:30
can fully clean house. And now
10:32
Doge is now setting its sights
10:34
on overhauling the Department
10:37
of Education. We spend more
10:39
per pupil than any other
10:41
country in the world, but
10:43
we're ranked 40th. Think of
10:46
that, America, like America, with
10:48
everything we've done. We're
10:50
40th in the world, spending
10:53
more per capita than any
10:55
other country. It's ridiculous. Here's
10:57
my father discussing. the next
10:59
steps from the Oval Office.
11:02
Look, the Department of Education is a
11:04
big con job. We're ranked, so they
11:06
rank the top 40 countries in the
11:08
world. We're ranked number 40th. But we're
11:11
ranked number one in one department costs
11:13
per pupil. So we spend more per
11:15
pupil than any other country in the
11:18
world. But we're ranked number 40. We've
11:20
been between 38 and 40. The last
11:22
time I looked at was 38. And
11:25
then I looked two days ago. It
11:27
came out the new list. It came
11:29
out at number 40. So we're ranked
11:32
40. Norway, Denmark, Sweden. I hate
11:34
to say it China. As big
11:36
as it is, it's ranked in
11:38
the top five. And that's our
11:40
primary competitor. We're ranked number 40.
11:42
So if we're rank number 40,
11:45
that means something's really wrong, right?
11:47
And I say send it back
11:49
to Iowa, to Iowa, to Colorado,
11:51
send it back to places that
11:53
in a lot of Indiana, you
11:56
have a great new governor, you
11:58
have a great senator that... Jim
12:00
Banks just got elected, you got
12:02
great people. I'll tell you what,
12:04
Indiana's going to be fantastic. We
12:07
probably have 35, maybe 37 states
12:09
that will do as well as
12:11
Denmark, Norway, Finland, Sweden. They'll be
12:14
just as good. Then you have
12:16
the ones that we all know
12:18
about. It'll be the same story.
12:21
But you know what? Even they
12:23
will be good. Because you look
12:25
at New York, you give it
12:28
to Westchester County, you give it
12:30
to Long Island, you give it
12:32
to Nassau County, you give it
12:35
to Suffolk County. Same thing you
12:37
go out to, and you give
12:39
it to upstate New York. So
12:42
you have four or five sections.
12:44
You give it to Manhattan. Manhattan's
12:46
a little bit tougher. For some
12:48
reason, I don't know why it
12:51
would be tougher, but it is.
12:53
But generally, like if you go
12:55
to Iowa, you give it to
12:58
Iowa, you don't have subgroups, you
13:00
have Iowa and other places that
13:02
do a good job. If they
13:05
do a good job, they're going
13:07
to do a great job in
13:09
education. And meanwhile, yesterday, Tulsa Gabbard
13:12
was confirmed as the next director
13:14
of national intelligence, getting us one
13:16
more confirmation closer to getting the
13:19
cabinet that you all voted for
13:21
confirmed. But who did McConnell side
13:23
with? Uh, cocaine Mitch, who did
13:26
he side with? He sided with
13:28
the Democrats. He voted with them
13:30
as always, opposing yet another Trump
13:32
pick. This swamp runs deep, but
13:35
we're still winning bigger and better
13:37
anyway. I think when Mitch is
13:39
up in two years and he's
13:42
out of there, uh... Anyone he's
13:44
endorsing, you should probably vote against
13:46
Kentucky. No more of this crap
13:49
in the Senate. Enough is enough.
13:51
With Republicans like Mitch McConnell, you
13:53
might as well have Democrats. And
13:56
if you're wondering if the media
13:58
has learned anything... since January 20th?
14:00
The answer is clearly no. But
14:03
on CNN, Scott Jennings just keeps
14:05
delivering one reality check after another.
14:07
Check this out. That you have
14:09
these partisan hack Democrat attorney generals
14:12
they get together and the only
14:14
thing they know how to do
14:16
is try to nullify the results
14:19
of the last election by venue
14:21
shopping these district court judges They
14:23
find the most lunatic liberals they
14:26
can they file lawsuits knowing full
14:28
well They're going to try to
14:30
usurp the president's authority tie this
14:33
up in court for years. That
14:35
stuff is sacrosent, but you've got
14:37
people going in there who don't
14:40
know anything about it what you
14:42
just said is so profound. You
14:44
said these people don't know anything
14:47
and they don't know what they're
14:49
doing. That's right. But they're appointees,
14:51
but they are appointees of the
14:53
duly elected president. So your view,
14:56
you're here is our legal expert,
14:58
but your view is because you
15:00
don't personally believe they know enough
15:03
that the duly elected president who
15:05
appointed a treasury secretary and will
15:07
appoint special appointees like Elon Musk
15:10
shouldn't be able to act as
15:12
the president because... You don't personally
15:14
believe they know enough? Is that
15:17
how it works? No. Or do
15:19
elections mean anything? Well, it's got
15:21
nothing to do with elections. Of
15:24
course, the fact of the matter
15:26
is, the truth was true. And
15:28
perhaps the only ones more out
15:31
of touch than the media are
15:33
the Democrats themselves. Here's congressional Democrat,
15:35
John C. Lachowski, suggesting that the
15:37
word manufacturing, manufacturing folks is wait
15:40
for it. Drum
15:42
roll, manufacturing of a word
15:44
is sexist because it has
15:46
the word man in it.
15:49
Honestly guys, every time I
15:51
think the Democrats can't get
15:53
any more freaking... They do
15:55
this. And like I literally
15:57
have no words. It's literally
15:59
hard to believe how dumb
16:01
these people are. You know,
16:03
how many words do you
16:05
know? Can you come up
16:08
with the top of your
16:10
head that have ban in
16:12
it? Are we just gonna
16:14
ban all of those? Are
16:16
we gonna get rid of
16:18
any of the? I mean,
16:20
it's nuts. What about Manhattan?
16:22
I mean, you know, that's
16:25
a pretty liberal stronghold. Are
16:27
we going to change the
16:29
name of Manhattan? Because it
16:31
has the word man in
16:33
it. Does it mean that
16:35
there's no women in Manhattan,
16:37
you know, New York City?
16:39
I mean, I can't believe
16:42
this is real. But it
16:44
is. Yesterday, I met with
16:46
a manufacturing company, but they
16:48
also are engaged in getting
16:50
young people more engaged in
16:52
manufacturing. So I asked them,
16:54
so how many of those
16:56
students that are signing up
16:58
and want to do this,
17:01
how many are women? And
17:03
they said, well, I know
17:05
there's at least 13% or
17:07
something. It was a low
17:09
number. And you had mentioned
17:11
trying to engage more women
17:13
in manufacturing. I'm just wondering
17:15
if just the name manufacturing
17:18
sounds like a guy. Guys,
17:20
these are the same people
17:22
claiming your country is in
17:24
crisis because we want to
17:26
root out government waste. Think
17:28
about it. The geniuses that
17:30
gave you manufacturing is sexist
17:32
because it has the word
17:35
man in it. Want to
17:37
make sure we don't look
17:39
at government waste. We don't
17:41
do anything about it, and
17:43
we certainly can't expose it
17:45
to the American public. The
17:47
taxpayer. The people who pay
17:49
for everything, because that's not
17:51
a government funded program. There
17:54
are no government funded programs.
17:56
There are only taxpayer funded
17:58
programs, and they want to
18:00
make sure you don't know
18:02
where your money is going.
18:04
And lastly, guys, this week
18:06
we brought home yet another
18:08
American-held prisoner abroad. Mark Vogel
18:11
was a Pennsylvania teacher locked
18:13
up in a Russian prison
18:15
since 2021 for carrying medical
18:17
marijuana. His mother met my
18:19
father at a rally and
18:21
he promised he'd bring him
18:23
back home. Yet another promise
18:25
made and a promise kept.
18:32
Thank you. Guys, one more
18:35
thing to point out. Mark
18:37
Vogel, we didn't have to
18:39
trade the merchant of death
18:42
to get him back. We
18:44
just got him back because
18:46
strength and resolve in America
18:49
gets people to do things
18:51
that we want. That's how
18:53
it works. Remember when Biden
18:56
for Brittany Greiner, he had
18:58
to trade the merchant of
19:00
death, literally a terrorist arms
19:03
dealer who's apparently back in
19:05
action, probably using it against
19:07
either our Americans abroad, whatever
19:10
it may be. We just
19:12
got people back with strength
19:14
and resolve. Isn't it nice
19:17
to be strong again? Isn't
19:19
it nice to have America
19:21
first again? Don't forget to
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just like the name of
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Well, I'm doing okay. Doing
20:20
okay. It's been a long
20:22
day. Red eyes and no
20:25
sleep and all of that,
20:27
but we gotta keep fighting,
20:29
keep working. So, you were
20:32
chief of investigations at the
20:34
education department. So you've seen
20:36
everything that Doge is talking
20:39
about right now up close
20:41
and personal. What do you
20:43
think stands out most to
20:46
you about how the Democrats
20:48
have weaponized that entire department
20:50
to the detriment of students?
20:53
Well, there's so many things.
20:55
It's, you know, where do
20:57
you begin? You know, the
21:00
first thing I would say
21:02
is, at my age, I
21:04
have to have a colonoscopy
21:07
every five years, and I
21:09
kind of speak about close
21:11
and personal. And they don't.
21:14
Yeah. And, you know, it
21:16
was 1982 when Ronald Reagan
21:18
had the Grace Commission look
21:21
into waste of federal agencies.
21:23
And he was actually the
21:25
first to kind of make
21:28
popular drain the swamp. And
21:30
so we got to do
21:32
it, folks. And nothing happened.
21:35
All that happened was slow
21:37
the rate of growth for
21:40
some of these agencies for
21:42
a few years. You know,
21:44
what's gone on? We've got
21:47
this department that's out of
21:49
control, but it's been on
21:51
the front line of using
21:54
the FBI and DOJ to
21:56
terrorize parents. to actually classify
21:58
them as domestic terrorists if
22:01
they dared speak up in
22:03
an unfortunate way to PTA
22:05
meeting, things like that. Oh
22:08
yeah, we talk about that
22:10
one all the time, it's
22:12
disgusting, yeah. No, it is.
22:14
They've redefined sex. You know,
22:16
they've given away $400 billion
22:18
in taxpayer money from hardworking
22:20
people to graduates who promise
22:22
to pay off their student
22:24
loans. You know, they've quit
22:26
investigating China's money at our universities, And
22:28
they, in my opinion, they've disqualified themselves
22:31
from continuing. I mean, if you have
22:33
a doctor that abuses their patients, you
22:35
say you can't practice medicine anymore. I
22:37
mean, that's really where we are. We
22:39
found out where this, where Cardona and
22:41
Biden were going to go in the
22:43
first, first year of the administration, December
22:45
2021. They had this thing called the
22:47
Civil Rights Data Collection. And so they
22:50
actually ordered that elementary schools and secondary
22:52
schools had to ask one of the
22:54
questions was, are you, are you male,
22:56
female or non- or non-binaryinary or non-binary?
22:58
You know, so you're asking kidney gardeners,
23:00
first graders, etc. If they're non-binary,
23:02
you're introducing the whole thing, you
23:05
know, it's the gender madness, we
23:07
can't start too early. And I'm
23:09
sure they start thinking about that
23:11
right now, just to create confusion
23:13
and already, you know, impressionable minds.
23:15
Yeah, totally. Also, you've got all
23:17
these teachers who, you know, really aren't
23:19
trained or equipped to be addressing that
23:21
matter. Some people might be old-fashioned say,
23:23
hey, that's the parents job. Uh, and
23:26
you know, let's just keep, keep the,
23:28
you know, education industry out of it,
23:30
but not this department. And they actually,
23:32
they required, I mean, you know, if
23:35
you're tiny town in Missouri, you've
23:37
got to where I'm from, you've got
23:39
to ask these questions. You have no
23:41
choice. If you don't, you're going to
23:43
lose your federal funding. And so, you
23:46
know, it's just, there's been such an
23:48
abuse of use of the illegal. And
23:50
they didn't rain themselves in, they should
23:52
have, and they need to go. And
23:54
beyond that, it's not like we're overperforming, right?
23:57
I mean, we spend more per capita on
23:59
it, you know. on students than any nation
24:01
in the world. And I believe we're
24:03
like 28th or 29th in education. I
24:05
mean, there's literally third world countries that
24:08
are educating their children for pennies on
24:10
the dollar relative to what we spend
24:12
and doing a better job of it
24:14
than we have. So it's not like
24:17
they're banking on any kind of actual
24:19
success, are that? No, they're not. And
24:21
I mean, we've got, you know, we're
24:23
in a situation, if money was the
24:26
solution, we would be number one, We're
24:28
now 40, a couple years ago, I
24:30
think last year actually, we were 38
24:32
out of 40. Now we're number 40
24:34
in terms of results. I mean, here's
24:37
the situation, we've got two-thirds of eighth
24:39
graders in Detroit can't read at a
24:41
basic level. 70% nationwide, fourth graders can't
24:43
read at a basic level. Baltimore, 71%
24:46
of eighth graders can't read a basic
24:48
level. They're basically illiterate. You can't read,
24:50
you can't learn. We're saying these kids
24:52
up for failure and actually it's the
24:55
worst in the solid blue cities run
24:57
by progressives. You would think they'd be
24:59
the ones saying, hey we gotta change
25:01
this, it's not working. But yeah, it's
25:03
so it's absolutely horrible, we need to
25:06
stop and back up and what are
25:08
we doing and stop what we're doing?
25:10
Well I know you've also testified on
25:12
Capitol Hill about how much our universities
25:15
have gotten away with in terms of
25:17
shady foreign donations from China. They've even
25:19
funded Chinese research that ends up being
25:21
used against against against us. How much,
25:24
you know, is it beyond elementary education?
25:26
How much are the colleges a part
25:28
of the whole story here? Well, you
25:30
have to think about higher ed colleges
25:33
and universities as big business. And so
25:35
we call them non-profits, they call themselves
25:37
non-profits, and they're kind of treated with
25:39
kid gloves, if at all. But in
25:41
fact, they're the ones who are running
25:44
the department education's policies that are supposed
25:46
to be regulating them. So we have
25:48
regulatory capture by the regulated industry, and
25:50
that's higher ed. international conglomerates. And so,
25:53
you know, where is Elizabeth Warren when
25:55
you need her to beat up on
25:57
a on a big business, right? She
25:59
ought to be beating up on these
26:02
international conglomerates that call themselves not. non-profits
26:04
get preferential tax treatment and are just
26:06
doing horrible things in this country. And
26:08
they've also, I mean, we're billions of
26:10
dollars they've accepted from China. You know,
26:13
UPenn is particularly famous for having received.
26:15
I think it was $61 million in
26:17
the run-up to Joe Biden becoming president.
26:19
Once he launched the UPenn Biden Center,
26:22
all of a sudden the money starts
26:24
rolling in. The person who the president
26:26
of UPenn was the one who was,
26:28
you know. out there rattling. I think
26:31
it was Amy Gutman at the time
26:33
because that's my alma mater so it's
26:35
sort of embarrassing to see what happened
26:37
there. Well it is right and of
26:40
course she was rewarded with becoming ambassador
26:42
to Germany and you know but I
26:44
mean you just and there were I
26:46
think I think 12 senior members of
26:48
the Biden administration that were working at
26:51
the Penn Biden Center and so they
26:53
were essentially on the payroll of the
26:55
CCP. You just can't make it up
26:57
but I mean you look at other
27:00
universities I mean Stanford Yale Harvard. hundreds
27:02
of millions of dollars from from these
27:04
universities to have something like 493 million
27:06
dollars in contracts. They've they finally decided
27:09
they're going to get out of some
27:11
of their Chinese operations. But you know
27:13
what we're doing is handing over our
27:15
research product to the Chinese who aren't
27:17
stupid. As your father often says, you
27:20
know, we're the ones. Yeah, there are
27:22
many things. They're not dumb. I'm not
27:24
saying they're good. That's not being an
27:26
apologist for them. But if you're playing
27:29
in a war game, they are playing
27:31
a much better game than us and
27:33
there's no question to me that they're
27:35
at war with us. Our Department of
27:38
Defense funded more than 2000 scientific research
27:40
collaborations with Chinese scientists who are working
27:42
on emerging technologies, hypersonic and fourth grade
27:44
generation nuclear weapons, artificial intelligence, semiconductors, advanced
27:47
lasers, high performance explosives, and rocket fuels.
27:49
I mean, this is our Department of
27:51
Defense. Our new secretary has his hands
27:53
full. And by the way, where was
27:55
the IG at the Department of Defense?
27:58
when this is happening. You know, this
28:00
is extraordinary. Same thing's happening with NASA.
28:02
NASA is prohibited from using any of
28:04
its funds in scientific collaborations with China,
28:07
Chinese universities, Chinese scientists. And yet there's
28:09
evidence that's happening at many of our
28:11
top universities around the country, research universities.
28:13
Incredible. So, you know, with all these
28:16
problems in the schools, given all of
28:18
what we're talking about now and, you
28:20
know, obviously there's so much more. Just
28:22
how far has this set back our
28:24
students at both the kind of K
28:27
through 12 level and as well as
28:29
the college level? I mean, I see
28:31
these elite universities, they're graduating all these
28:33
people with gender studies degrees, they're happy
28:36
to, you know, rack up $300,000 worth
28:38
of debt, but no possible way of
28:40
paying it back because there's no market
28:42
for that skill if it's even a
28:45
skill. And how much worse was it
28:47
made during the Biden administration with all
28:49
this stuff? You started talking about sort
28:51
of paying off the student debt, having
28:54
a plumber pay off, again, some PhD,
28:56
because the plumber is actually far better
28:58
off than the PhD, but the PhD
29:00
racked up probably half a million dollars
29:02
in debt. It seems like a huge
29:05
transfer of wealth from the alleged elite,
29:07
from the working class of America who
29:09
made better decisions and didn't make irresponsible
29:11
ones. Yeah, you're right. And I mean,
29:14
the, I think the problem goes really
29:16
deep because we're not just looking at
29:18
reversing four years of Biden. We're looking
29:20
at the eight years of Obama. That's
29:23
when all this really started and was
29:25
serious. So during Trump 45, we put
29:27
the brakes on it. And it took
29:29
the brakes on it. So during Trump
29:31
45, we put the brakes on it.
29:34
And it took the brakes on it.
29:36
And it took the brakes on it.
29:38
And it was serious. So during Trump
29:40
45, we put the brakes on we
29:43
put the brakes on. You know. You
29:45
know. And that's what's happened. But I
29:47
mean, you really, I mean, these students
29:49
who are graduating in their 20s and
29:52
later with worthless degrees, advanced degrees from
29:54
these, you know, paper mills that produce
29:56
diplomas, no wonder they're resentful, no wonder
29:58
they're angry. No wonder they're on drugs.
30:01
I mean, they have a right to
30:03
be angry. You know, the system is
30:05
failing them. They're getting these worthless degrees
30:07
supported. And then they owe all this
30:09
money, hundreds of thousands of dollars. It's
30:12
like, of course, they're radicalized. And so
30:14
we're, you know, we really top to
30:16
bottom, we've got to reexamine the system
30:18
and what we're doing, because it's not
30:21
education. We need, you know, the other
30:23
thing too is their program participation agreements,
30:25
federal student loan money and grants for
30:27
their students, even private universities, they've got
30:30
to enter into these program participation agreements.
30:32
And that's that's the tool that the
30:34
department education has, even if it's in
30:36
its limited lifetime expectancy to yank that
30:38
spring and say, you're doing things that
30:41
are wrong, stop doing this, stop teaching
30:43
that, stop, you know, indoctrinating and all
30:45
the gender madness. So I mean, you
30:47
know, there's a great opportunity using this
30:50
program participation agreements to immediately. reach deep
30:52
down, you know, because the tentacles of
30:54
the Department of Education doing its kind
30:56
of evil over the last few years,
30:59
they're really deep. And one other thing
31:01
I should point out, there are only
31:03
4,400 employees that still a lot with
31:05
the Department of Education, but the Department
31:08
of Education actually funds about 48,000 employees,
31:10
state employees, they're being funded by money
31:12
from the Department of Education, you know,
31:14
they're kind of shock troops out there
31:16
in a lot of cases carrying out
31:19
the same programs. You need to go
31:21
deep into those folks, figure out who
31:23
they are, what they're doing, you know,
31:25
really cut off that money or open
31:28
it up so it's examined by their
31:30
states. So, you know, it seems like
31:32
obviously you're of the opinion of the
31:34
Department of Education should be abolished. My
31:37
father's obviously been talking about that as
31:39
recently as like yesterday. But, you know,
31:41
what would that look like? What would
31:43
the sequence of events to make it
31:45
happen be? How does that work, you
31:48
know, in practice? Because you're right, I'd
31:50
rather go to the states and have
31:52
their responsibilities, but if you're, if 4,000
31:54
people are funding for... 38,000 people throughout
31:57
the state, so that's, you know, plus
31:59
a little less than a thousand people
32:01
estate. How do you get that rot
32:03
out of there as well? Because if
32:06
you just transfer it to the states,
32:08
but it's the same people just with
32:10
different funding mechanisms, how do you make
32:12
that happen to effectuate actual change? Well,
32:14
I think the way it's happening right
32:17
now is exactly the worst. You've got
32:19
to start there, and that's, you know,
32:21
been happening rapidly since day one, which
32:23
is wonderful. It's amazing, not wasting any
32:26
time. So I mean, you begin there,
32:28
ultimately it's got to go to Congress.
32:30
Congress needs to do something. But here's
32:32
what I would do. I would transfer
32:35
like the $1.7 million student loan portfolio
32:37
that's backstopped by the current education. The
32:39
Department of Education, financial aid, they have
32:41
no expertise in handling money. All they
32:44
do, they write checks. It's their job.
32:46
They write checks. So get it out
32:48
of their hands. They don't have the
32:50
expertise. Move it to the Treasury or
32:52
somewhere or private sector. But I mean,
32:55
at least have that portfolio overseen by
32:57
people that are trained to handle money
32:59
and know how to look at qualifications.
33:01
I mean, the rollout of the FFSSA,
33:04
which has happened a year and a
33:06
year and a half or so ago
33:08
by the department. is a perfect example
33:10
of apartments in competency when it comes
33:13
to handling financial. That's the application that
33:15
was supposed to be simplified from 100
33:17
questions, 18 questions for people who want
33:19
to go to college to apply to
33:21
the department to see if they qualify
33:24
for student aid financial aid. And they
33:26
completely bungled that. There was a GAO
33:28
study of it. I mean, they did.
33:30
rejected incorrectly about 500,000 applicants who then
33:33
couldn't proceed with their college plans. Maybe
33:35
a good thing, they have done them
33:37
favor, who knows. But I mean, you
33:39
know, just the ability this department handle,
33:42
that's about half of what the department
33:44
does. So get rid of that, move
33:46
into Treasury, there's some important things that
33:48
do happen. I think Doge needs to
33:51
have the council of people who say,
33:53
look, this is actually something important the
33:55
department does. Let's get it somewhere where
33:57
it can be done effectively. and competently
33:59
and if there are good people working
34:02
around that move them with it so
34:04
that the institutional knowledge isn't lost but
34:06
I mean that's a very small handful
34:08
of people so you know move things out
34:10
get them to the right places and then
34:13
have Congress pass a loss as we're done
34:15
with the Department of Education it is abused
34:17
its trust and no more. So
34:19
what do you do about
34:21
what's going on with the
34:23
student loan, you know, forgiveness,
34:25
so to speak? You know,
34:27
Biden did it. It was
34:29
ruled unconstitutional by the Supreme
34:31
Court. He did it again. It
34:34
didn't matter. It was pretty clear.
34:36
He was just trying to buy,
34:38
you know, buy votes. Where does
34:40
that sit right now? You know,
34:43
has it been actually forgiven? Is
34:45
it, you know, on a pause?
34:47
Yeah, well, that's I think you know from
34:49
everything I understand that's one thing that they
34:52
did competently They give way other people's money
34:54
very well and they you know even though frankly
34:56
they mangled that a few times But they because
34:58
they were rushing it for it to be done
35:00
right before elections and by the way they had
35:02
contracts to have Calling people like
35:04
right before the election weeks before the
35:06
election they had automated calls going out
35:09
saying President Biden has canceled your student
35:11
loan. Did you know that? make sure
35:13
you go to the polls in a
35:15
few weeks. I mean, it's just extraordinary
35:17
that these things were happening. But I
35:19
think that most of that, you know, $400
35:21
billion has already been, you know, granted. I
35:23
don't know if you claw that back somehow
35:26
from the people that no longer have to
35:28
make the payments. I can't imagine how you
35:30
do it, but I mean, it needs to
35:32
be exposed very thoroughly. And by the way,
35:35
the people that came in the Biden administration,
35:37
you know, largely from Massachusetts and Senator
35:39
Warrens, had promised to do exactly what
35:41
they did. And, you know, and, you
35:43
know, and also, you know, one of
35:45
their big purposes has been this story
35:47
for-profit educational institutions. So there's no competition.
35:49
So, you know, the other thing that
35:51
they've done incredibly well is protect the
35:54
NEA, the American Federation of Teachers. It's
35:56
like, if you want to know where
35:58
the department excels, it's in protecting. those
36:00
organizations not the suits yeah well you
36:02
saw that with the whole teachers union
36:04
during COVID you know well we don't
36:06
want to teach because it's not safe
36:08
well we don't want to do remote
36:10
learning because we don't really like it
36:12
we do want to get paid no
36:15
matter what you know it was sort
36:17
of it was so disgusting to me
36:19
to to watch that you know and
36:21
every time it's always a fight for
36:23
more vacation I'm like I don't know
36:25
anyone who has more vacation time than
36:27
you know teachers that get paid for
36:29
a full year it's It's sort of
36:32
wild. I'm not saying it's an easy
36:34
job or you know, there's not great
36:36
teachers out there, but the teachers union
36:38
itself has weaponized all of these things
36:40
so badly to the detriment of our
36:42
students. And again, it's not like we're
36:44
over performing. So I mean, I do
36:46
feel like something has to be done
36:49
about that one. The other thing too
36:51
is there was $190 billion thrown at
36:53
elementary and secondary and secondary schools, you
36:55
know, under the guys of code. And
36:57
so, you know, in the crazy year
36:59
2020. that was passed by Congress, but
37:01
most of them was then, you know,
37:03
doled out during the Biden administration. So
37:06
one of the first things the Biden
37:08
administration did is said states and localities
37:10
if you did at the school districts,
37:12
if you want any of this money,
37:14
you have to submit an equity plan
37:16
to the prior education. Otherwise, we won't
37:18
even consider it. So DEI was so
37:20
infused from day one, you know, tied
37:23
to any kind of money these these
37:25
agencies that any grant could be awarded.
37:27
So I mean, you know, this is
37:29
how abuse have been disgusting. The DEI
37:31
was a way to channel money to
37:33
their friends and to hold it back
37:35
from people that they didn't like, probably
37:37
mainly in red states. But they basically,
37:40
you know, they got four years of
37:42
everyone, you know, local school districts on
37:44
up through state agencies marching in between
37:46
their drummer. And so it's like the
37:48
executive orders that are coming out now
37:50
been wonderful and keep going down, down,
37:52
down, down to remove, you know, the
37:54
last. you know, vestiges of cancer. I
37:57
mean, you've got to keep treating this
37:59
patient until it's all gone, every state,
38:01
every local school district. Well, so you've
38:03
also worked at the DOJ. You know,
38:05
talk about what you think Pam Bond.
38:07
these top priorities should be, you know,
38:09
as she sort of, you know, really
38:11
gets rolling, is it to stop the
38:14
law fair and restore credibility? Is it,
38:16
you know, deeper than that? And what
38:18
can we do to stop those abuses
38:20
from the office of civil rights and
38:22
others? You know, civil rights except for
38:24
those they disagree with. Those people don't
38:26
get any civil rights. Yeah, that's exactly
38:28
right. And again, this is something where...
38:31
We're really decades. We're not, this isn't
38:33
following up on four years of law
38:35
for fair, we're decades into law fair.
38:37
And I was at the OJ for
38:39
most of your father's previous administration. And,
38:41
you know, the open sabotage by high-ranking
38:43
department officials, by the Deputy Attorney General,
38:45
others there, was just extraordinary. And it's,
38:48
it's, you know, the, the, completely beyond
38:50
their mission. It's an agency too that
38:52
has grown tremendously. If you pair it
38:54
back all of a sudden, they'll have
38:56
to focus on the things that actually
38:58
matter. To me, what I've seen, the
39:00
new internal general doing, you know, really
39:02
good stuff, focusing, you know, going after
39:05
these cities and saying, you're not going
39:07
to get any more funding if you're
39:09
going to be a sanctuary city, if
39:11
you're going to be a sanctuary state.
39:13
we're going to come after you because
39:15
you're actively passing these laws and enforcing
39:17
them to prevent the federal government from
39:19
doing its job on immigration and other
39:22
things. So I mean, I think she's
39:24
off to a great start. And, you
39:26
know, that's what the American people expect.
39:28
So, you know, it's finally being delivered.
39:30
I think there's a lot of shock
39:32
right now because, you know, a lot
39:34
of Republican presence and presidential candidates have
39:36
talked about it. No one's ever done
39:39
it. So it's absolutely shocking. I think
39:41
it's great how they're going at things
39:43
and get the FBI back in the
39:45
business of investigating and not counter intelligence,
39:47
not visiting its tools to go after
39:49
its political opponents or to go after
39:51
school school parents that express a different
39:53
viewpoint. I mean, it's just extraordinary. So
39:56
again, the technical of what's been done.
39:58
This has been a disease really from
40:00
the left. There's got to be a
40:02
lot of active work to pull out.
40:04
To have Elon Musk, you know, I
40:06
mean, the Twitter files, with Matt Taibi,
40:08
I think one of the best things
40:10
that's happened in this country, to have
40:13
that man leading the effort now to
40:15
expose what's been happening at different agencies,
40:17
I think it's terrific. No one better.
40:19
Paul I really appreciate it thank you
40:21
so much for your time a lot
40:23
of work to be done hopefully they
40:25
call you for some other tips if
40:28
they're not if they're not on it
40:30
already otherwise we'll have to just make
40:32
it very vocal in you know the
40:34
Twitter sphere absolutely happy to help thank
40:36
you on appreciate it man thanks a
40:38
lot have a great day and guys
40:40
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Check them. joining me now CEO of
41:16
MBS Highway entrepreneur and housing expert and
41:19
a good friend Barry Habb Barry great
41:21
to have you man. How are you?
41:23
I'm great. Thanks for having me. So
41:25
first I want to get to sort
41:27
of January's inflation numbers. They were worth
41:29
worse than expected which tells us that
41:31
the invited administration did in fact leave
41:33
us with a mess. We knew it
41:36
was building up. You saw all the
41:38
waste fraud abuse that they were throwing
41:40
in the last weeks after of the
41:42
election. Is it even worse than we
41:44
anticipated? We knew some of it was
41:46
going on. How much were we perhaps
41:48
missing? So yeah, the inflation numbers certainly
41:50
were hotter than expected. The thing is
41:53
that you look at inflation two ways,
41:55
the way that an economist looks at
41:57
the rate of change, the way that
41:59
a customer or consumer just everyday person
42:01
looks is how much is costing me
42:03
at the grocery store, which is a
42:05
cumulative effect. So even saying the rate
42:07
of change came down, which it did
42:10
to some extent. over the last year,
42:12
it still is adding to the inflation
42:14
that the consumer is feeling. So it's
42:16
just a little bit of a different
42:18
way to gauge the inflation numbers. So
42:20
look, I think that inflation while extraordinarily
42:22
hot under the Biden administration, we had
42:24
proficate spending, we also had the Fed
42:27
that was complicit in this because they
42:29
were looking at antiquated indicators. What I
42:31
am seeing now is that the actual
42:33
rate of change still adding to inflation
42:35
actually... is lower than what we're seeing
42:37
in the report, and that's because the
42:39
way that it's computed. And I know
42:41
that President Trump would like interest rates
42:44
to come down, but a key function
42:46
of this is seeing the correct information
42:48
on inflation going forward. Yeah, it feels
42:50
like they're always moving the goalpost. You're
42:52
right. The rate of change, that was
42:54
the metric that they used to say.
42:56
Inflation's coming down. It's like, no, no,
42:58
no. Inflation's still here. It's still going
43:01
up. It's just not going up as
43:03
fast. So they tried to say it's
43:05
coming down when it's actually going up,
43:07
and it's actually going up, and it's
43:09
not going up. this cost that is
43:11
essentially entirely self-flicted, specifically in housing. You
43:13
have illegal immigrants overwhelming the country, then
43:15
there's also a mass influx of foreign
43:18
ownership, especially in high-end markets. I mean,
43:20
just how hard is it to buy
43:22
a house for, let's call them, common
43:24
sense? middle class Americans these days relative
43:26
to what you would have seen five
43:28
or six years ago? Well it's a
43:30
challenge it's a challenge especially if you're
43:32
a first-time home buyer even people that
43:35
own a home they say well I
43:37
couldn't afford to buy my own home
43:39
today part of that's good they've gained
43:41
equity in their home because the value
43:43
has gone up but the other is
43:45
that mortgage costs have gone up rather
43:47
significantly yet again that goes back to
43:49
the inflation issue because in order to
43:52
get a real rate of return an
43:54
investor is going to lend money and
43:56
say well blended out at this rate,
43:58
but inflation is going to erode this
44:00
amount, so I got to preserve this
44:02
railroad return. So as inflation goes up,
44:04
it drives interest rates higher. So what
44:06
we need is we need to see
44:09
inflation come down. Now, fortunately, the way
44:11
that this is computed is, it's interesting,
44:13
Don, in that what we have to
44:15
look at is the biggest component in,
44:17
let's say, the consumer price index that
44:19
we got yesterday. is called shelter. Now
44:21
people think of shelter as a roof
44:23
over their head. The way that the
44:26
government looks at this is very antiquated.
44:28
They don't look at mortgage payments. They
44:30
don't look at what the value of
44:32
the home is. They simply convert it
44:34
into rent. So they look at housing
44:36
as a service and it's either rent
44:38
or the equivalent rent that if you
44:40
own a house that you could charge.
44:43
Now, if you were looking at these
44:45
numbers, the problem with the way the
44:47
government looks at it is it's antiquated.
44:49
in dividing the country up into panels
44:51
because they're understaff, meaning that they look
44:53
at one-sixth of the country every month.
44:55
So that means if you look at
44:57
an area of the country in January,
45:00
the next time you're going to revisit
45:02
it is in July. As things change,
45:04
you could see big influxes. The problem
45:06
with that is that you are not
45:08
going to capture what's actually happening, and
45:10
the result is this. Right now, the
45:12
government's telling us that rents are going
45:14
up on an annualized basis at four
45:17
and a half percent a year. If
45:19
you take a peek at what they're
45:21
really going up, it's only 1.5% by
45:23
all the real-time data we have, by
45:25
whether it's Zillow, Core Logic, realtor.com, apartment
45:27
list, redbed. The metrics that you have
45:29
available that were not available 50 years
45:31
ago when they came up with these
45:34
could be used. It's like adding instant
45:36
replay to football. So if you were
45:38
to simply make this change, inflation would
45:40
be at the Fed's target of 2%.
45:42
Again, still adding to inflation, but we
45:44
could actually see 2% inflation, you'd see
45:46
mortgage rates come down, and you'd see
45:48
housing become a lot more affordable, because
45:51
rates should really be at 6%, not
45:53
7% right now. That would help those
45:55
people buying a home because currently they're
45:57
under a lot of pain in trying
45:59
to make. a lot of wealth for
46:01
themselves for the future. Yeah, I mean,
46:03
that's a big one. I mean, just
46:05
that the notion of that home ownership
46:08
being there, but you're right, they, you
46:10
know, sort of, they, they utilize metrics
46:12
to see, to sort of suit their
46:14
needs. I remember, it was, I guess,
46:16
18 months ago or something, I was
46:18
talking about Paul Krugman, he wrote this
46:20
thing, inflation is great, it's totally under
46:22
control, and then you look at the
46:25
bar graph, you know, he's a Nobel
46:27
Laureate economist, he's, he's an economist, he
46:29
won, he won, he won a Nobel
46:31
Prize, he won a Nobel Prize, an
46:33
economics, an economics, an economics, he's an
46:35
economics, he's, he's, he's, he's, is clearly
46:37
just a liberal shill functioning, you know,
46:39
as a, you know, the arm of
46:42
the, you know, Democrat party, because you
46:44
look at the chart and it goes,
46:46
Asterix, if you exclude housing, food, transportation,
46:48
and energy, and I'm like, wait a
46:50
minute, like, for the average American, like,
46:52
you know, maybe, like, you know, there's
46:54
some nice ideas that you could have
46:56
in there, but like, in the grand
46:59
scheme of your life, like, It's like
47:01
90% of your life is housing food,
47:03
transportation, and energy. So that's all a
47:05
disaster. But like if you exclude that,
47:07
the inflation numbers look great. It's wild,
47:09
and they'll gas light you, and then
47:11
everyone else never gets past the headline.
47:13
They don't bother to check out what
47:16
the asterisk says. And so they just
47:18
lie to your face. Who would do
47:20
that? Just like with CPI, when they
47:22
exclude, you know, gas prices. It's like,
47:24
I don't know. Well to your point
47:26
I've had a few dinners with with
47:28
Krugman and he just the way his
47:30
thinking is is is it's bizarre let's
47:33
leave it at that okay and he's
47:35
just has an agenda in the way
47:37
he But really, the problem does come
47:39
not just in the inflation numbers done,
47:41
and it is the way that the
47:43
BLS reports, the employment numbers. They have
47:45
made several errors, and it's, let's put
47:47
it this way, it is at least
47:50
questionable what they did near the election.
47:52
Because around the time of election, they
47:54
did it every time, Barry. They put
47:56
up a great number. Oh, the jobs
47:58
reports, it's looking great. You know, two
48:00
months later, it gets revised down to,
48:02
like literally what would be... disaster level
48:04
numbers and they did it each and
48:07
every time and they certainly did it
48:09
right before the election it was like
48:11
but when they revised it and corrected
48:13
it to a bad number from a
48:15
glowing number you know that's on the
48:17
page 12 that was revised no one
48:19
don't worry about it you know no
48:21
one no one ever sees it no
48:24
one ever reports on it so I
48:26
mean it is sort of you know
48:28
this mafia of people gathered together to
48:30
sell you misinformation you misinformation they you
48:32
don't get it wrong every time and
48:34
by the Shouldn't there be a consequence
48:36
there? Shouldn't those people get changed? Shouldn't
48:38
there be other objective people looking at
48:41
it and, you know, doing a peer
48:43
review to say this is actually accurate,
48:45
not weaponized politics? It is reviewed. It's
48:47
reviewed by the Q CW, the quarterly
48:49
census of employment and wages. And what
48:51
they found was that although the Bureau
48:53
of Labor Statistics said. after they themselves
48:55
revise the numbers lower, there wasn't two
48:58
and a half million jobs created. There
49:00
was 1.25 million jobs created. So essentially
49:02
a hundred thousand jobs a month was
49:04
a BS number. And look, it's a
49:06
Herculean effort to do this, but you
49:08
have to be curious, especially around the
49:10
liberties that they took with something called
49:12
a seasonal adjustment. Now seasonal adjustment done
49:15
is meant to say, look, look, during
49:17
the holiday shopping season. You get all
49:19
of these hires. It doesn't mean the
49:21
economy is going gangbusters and when they're
49:23
let go in January, it doesn't mean
49:25
the economy is falling off a clip.
49:27
The same with teachers in June and
49:29
September. So they use a seasonal adjustment
49:32
to smooth it. But the last time
49:34
they did this before the election, they
49:36
did something they hadn't done in 49
49:38
years and gave the most generous seasonal
49:40
adjustment. to make the numbers look as
49:42
pretty as possible right before the election.
49:44
Now again, I'd have to say it's
49:46
at least questionable as to why they
49:49
did something like this and the timing
49:51
of why they did it. And we
49:53
know these folks did not want to
49:55
go back to work, which they have
49:57
to do now. We know that the
49:59
heads were Obama appointees. We know that.
50:01
So you have to at least go
50:03
in with eyes wide open and say,
50:06
is there a bias there? You're much
50:08
nicer than me Barry. I'm going to
50:10
go out there and say they definitely
50:12
did this. There's almost zero question in
50:14
my mind that they did this because
50:16
it was pretty consistent throughout. You know
50:18
where they stand. You know what they
50:20
want to do. What do you expect
50:23
right now as far as a possible
50:25
rate cut from the Fed? You touched
50:27
it on it a little bit before,
50:29
but what does that look like to
50:31
you? How do we get to that
50:33
point? Will some of the savings on
50:35
those, if we're not racking up the
50:37
extra debt that we don't need to
50:40
be doing, if Elon's able to cut
50:42
a trillion dollars out of the budget?
50:44
You know, you're still running a deficit,
50:46
but it's not racking up as much.
50:48
You know, what does all of that
50:50
look like to you? Because I mean,
50:52
I feel like if we can get
50:54
to a place where interest rates go
50:57
down, you know, that's going to be
50:59
when people start investing. That's when people
51:01
are going to start trying to buy
51:03
homes. That's when it's going to be
51:05
affordable for other people who aren't already
51:07
in a home to buy a home.
51:09
Well, again, as we mentioned, the accurate
51:11
information on where the rate of change
51:14
on inflation is will be critical. But
51:16
in addition to that, I do believe
51:18
that the labor market is not as
51:20
strong. When you look at more indicative
51:22
numbers. Job openings, which is a leading
51:24
indicator, has precipitously fallen. And the Wall
51:26
Street Journal said that one out of
51:28
five job postings is bullshit. In addition
51:31
to that, you also have the fact
51:33
that there's double counting. Nobody thinks about
51:35
this on job postings years ago. If
51:37
I wanted to hire somebody, I had
51:39
to post it locally. But with work
51:41
from anywhere, I can post it in
51:43
every state, and each one of those
51:45
states counts the same job opening as
51:48
it gets aggregated. because plus people. on
51:50
unemployment benefits is rising at a time
51:52
when they told us that the unemployment
51:54
rate was falling. So there's a lot
51:56
of moving parts here that lead me
51:58
to believe that the job market is
52:00
not as strong. If the job market
52:02
slows, which I think it will, if
52:05
inflation comes down, which I do think
52:07
it will as well, that means rates
52:09
will come down. And it also means
52:11
that the Fed... who can quickly change
52:13
their mind, maybe talking very tough now
52:15
about less rate hikes or even less
52:17
rate cuts or even potentially would they
52:19
do a rate hike? They can quickly
52:22
change their mind if they see the
52:24
data change. They give us their summary
52:26
of economic projections. And I think if
52:28
we get the unemployment rate to 4.4%,
52:30
14 of the 19 Fed members are
52:32
going to say, oh my gosh, we
52:34
got this wrong. We got to get
52:36
aggressive with rate cuts. So that's kind
52:39
of the magic number for everybody to
52:41
look at. 4.4% unemployment rate and watch
52:43
that interest rate, watch the inflation rate
52:45
of change come down closer to 2.3
52:47
from its current level of 2.8. Those
52:49
are the magic numbers that will help
52:51
interest rates come down. And by the
52:53
way, Don, housing is at a point
52:56
right now where people think, well, it's
52:58
overvalued. Housing has continued to be very
53:00
resilient. And I think that when you
53:02
just look at the sheer numbers of
53:04
the laws of economic supply and demand,
53:06
you get interest rates a little bit
53:08
lower in real estate may be one
53:10
of the best investments out there because
53:13
I do see a lot more price
53:15
appreciation. Yeah no that's interesting so I
53:17
had no idea about that on the
53:19
job postings that it just you know
53:21
each you know each time it's in
53:23
a newspaper or a different state it
53:25
counts as a new job posting I
53:27
mean How do you, you know, two
53:30
audits, I guess you asked, how do
53:32
you audit that? Where does that have
53:34
to take place? How do you get
53:36
that right so that the Fed is
53:38
actually looking at objective numbers or your
53:40
actual numbers? Or, you know, again, I
53:42
saw, you know, in the original job
53:44
numbers, a lot of people, well, if
53:47
you took on a second part-time job
53:49
because you needed it to make ends
53:51
meet, that was two jobs in the
53:53
job market, but it's one person just
53:55
struggling to struggling struggling. that they're putting
53:57
out and then you have Elon now
53:59
talking about auditing the Fed. Is that
54:01
feasible? What needs to be done? There's
54:04
a lot of good information right there
54:06
and a lot of good questions. So
54:08
starting with the data itself, yes it
54:10
is a Herculean effort to do it.
54:12
So I understand that. However, just like
54:14
we talked about earlier, you made. pro
54:16
sports better by introducing instant replay and
54:18
making it more modernized to get better
54:21
data. We need to be taking these
54:23
steps. You need to be taking the
54:25
data that is readily available and accessible
54:27
and using and implementing the data that's
54:29
there instead of going back to these
54:31
things. As far as the Fed goes,
54:33
you've got to remember Don that you've
54:35
got Fed members, people like Michelle Bowman,
54:38
even our Fed chair, Jerome Powell, these
54:40
are not economists. These are lawyers. Okay.
54:42
Yeah. It's there's a big difference between
54:44
understanding economic conditions and being an attorney.
54:46
I believe that these are things that
54:48
need to be looked at as far
54:50
as who is voting on the most
54:52
important price in the world, the price
54:55
of money, the US is the US
54:57
dollars, the world's reserve currency, and you've
54:59
got 19 people determining the value of
55:01
that. Are these 19 people really qualified
55:03
in order to make those decisions? when
55:05
it comes to what the Fed will
55:07
do going forward. As I mentioned, I
55:09
think that the Fed definitely should be
55:12
looking at these numbers much more objectively
55:14
and looking a little deeper. They aren't
55:16
looking at the numbers other than for
55:18
the most part just on the surface
55:20
what the headline is, but you have
55:22
to look under the hood. For example,
55:24
the same thing we talked about with
55:26
the delay that lag in the shelter
55:29
numbers, it made the Fed complicit. in
55:31
adding to the inflation problem, you had
55:33
the Biden budget buster of $1.9 trillion
55:35
that we did not need, and that
55:37
definitely added a lot of issues. Plus,
55:39
you had a lot of the fraud
55:41
that occurred with the spending that went
55:43
on, which of course, Doge is uncovering.
55:46
This is something that created a lot
55:48
of the inflation. But remember the Fed
55:50
continued with QE, they continued with zero
55:52
interest rate policy. Why? Because they were
55:54
looking at inflation numbers that were lagging
55:56
because of the same shelter component. And
55:58
while rent... in real time we're going
56:00
up and the inflation numbers were going
56:02
up because of the lack they said oh we're
56:05
okay to keep QE, oh we're okay to keep
56:07
interest rates at zero because what we're looking at
56:09
on the data remember they keep saying data dependent
56:11
shows that inflation is under control when in
56:13
real time how they had looked at that
56:16
they could have responded more quickly and at
56:18
least to some degree contained that level of
56:20
inflation. They're making the same mistakes today in
56:22
the opposite direction in the opposite direction. Would
56:25
you abolish the Fed? Does it
56:27
even serve a purpose anymore? Does
56:29
it, you know, obviously that's a
56:31
big thing for a lot of
56:33
people on, you know, my side
56:35
of the political spectrum, but, you
56:37
know, I'm sure there is some
56:39
purpose. What would your ideal scenario
56:41
be, whether it's, you know, sort
56:43
of extreme modification to make sure
56:45
that, you know, there aren't just
56:47
lawyers making economic decisions with, you
56:49
know, and just because they get
56:51
appointed to a prestigious position that...
56:53
probably they have no business being
56:55
in. So the latter point is excellent.
56:57
You need to have vetted qualified
57:00
individuals in this really critical position.
57:02
I do think an independent Fed
57:04
can be a good thing because
57:07
look, whoever is in control, whoever
57:09
it is, to have the ability
57:12
to set interest rate policy. You'd
57:14
have to think that there's potential
57:16
conflicts there that could occur. So
57:19
if you truly have an independent
57:21
Fed that is truly qualified, it's
57:23
probably a good thing that's probably
57:26
a good idea. And in many cases,
57:28
it does work well. This particular Fed
57:30
has bungled things. Again, I believe it's
57:33
because the way that they've looked at
57:35
the data look. When you have points
57:37
where things are relatively stable. Lagging data
57:39
doesn't really matter, but in points of
57:41
inflection, and we certainly have seen that
57:44
after the COVID disturbances and what it
57:46
caused in the economy, looking at lagging
57:48
data can be very, very painful in
57:50
the wrong thing to do, and having
57:53
people who aren't vetted, who aren't sharp,
57:55
who are bureaucrats, instead of sharp economists,
57:57
that will cause the pain that all of
57:59
us have. gone through. I mean, inflation
58:01
affects everyone. These changes in interest rates
58:03
affects everyone stealing the ability for someone
58:06
to purchase a home creates an enormous,
58:08
enormous issue for them generationally. Just think
58:10
about this, Don, you have currently in
58:13
the housing market, right? You have 136
58:15
million households in the United States. Of
58:17
those 136 million, you have about 45
58:19
million that are renters. They have zero
58:22
equity, zero equity. The 91 million that
58:24
have households. They have 91 million of
58:26
them have 37 trillion dollars in equity.
58:29
They average 571,000 per household versus zero.
58:31
We want to help people. You've got
58:33
to get people into homes. That's how
58:36
you could create generational wealth for them.
58:38
And also it's the best hedge against
58:40
inflation. Well, Barry, I really appreciate it,
58:42
man. There's so much to go here.
58:45
As we discover more stuff, I'll definitely
58:47
have to get you back on and
58:49
let you do the full thing with
58:52
the charts and the grass, because it's
58:54
fascinating. And there's just a lot of
58:56
nuance there that I think a lot
58:58
of people miss, that they should be
59:01
informed about, because we're all about getting
59:03
that information out there. So great seeing
59:05
you, man. I appreciate the time, and
59:08
I look forward to seeing you again
59:10
soon. Thank you, brother. Guys, thank you
59:12
so much for tuning in. Remember to
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59:40
it, send it to your friends. Thank
59:42
you guys, and I'll talk to you
59:44
all again very, very soon.
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