Episode Transcript
Transcripts are displayed as originally observed. Some content, including advertisements may have changed.
Use Ctrl + F to search
0:01
This is live
0:04
that Saturday on
0:06
the sand these
0:08
sports betting network
0:10
Tough moment for the Chicago Cubs outfield
0:12
right now, so we have let's
0:15
see I want to get exactly who
0:17
this is that was up right
0:19
now But Brown is on the hill
0:21
and bases loaded no outs for
0:23
the Philadelphia Phillies and it is Kepler
0:25
at the plate who it seems
0:27
just hits a shallow pop -up out
0:29
to left -wheel, but the outfielders don't
0:31
know what to do with it, and
0:33
whoever's in left field today, I
0:35
believe it's Hap, decides, no, that's gonna
0:37
hit, that's gonna drop foul, and
0:39
it doesn't. So, Schwerber gets to come
0:41
in, it is one, nothing, Philly up
0:43
on top, bases are loaded at the top
0:45
of the fourth inning, so Cubs might come
0:47
to rue that. Should also rue the fact
0:49
that Jackson Churio has tied this game up
0:51
in the ninth inning against the St. Louis
0:54
Cardinals. That was a five to three game
0:56
St. Louis up on top, but a
0:58
two -run shot, Churio and the Brewers has this
1:00
knotted up at five apiece updated numbers for
1:02
both of those games here. And then I
1:04
want your very smart intellect on all
1:06
of this. I think it's redundant to say
1:08
smart intellect 5 5 between the St. Louis
1:10
Cardinals and the Milwaukee Brewers minus 165 in
1:13
favor of the Cardinals plus 130 coming
1:15
back on the walkie total 11 and
1:17
a half. Look,
1:19
10 runs scored in a game that looks like
1:21
it might go to extras. We'll see if that actually
1:23
happens. But that seems so much cheaper considering we
1:25
have some extras in front of us with that ghost
1:27
runner. And then 2 -0, Philly's up on top. I'll
1:29
give you an updated number there as they play
1:31
another. What do you make of what's going
1:33
to have, of either of those two games? You were surprised
1:35
that Churio hit the 2 -run shot. Yeah,
1:38
did he get it off Hellsley too? Because I got the
1:40
split screen with all these games on at the same
1:42
time as Philly adds another run. I think the
1:45
bases are still going to be loaded. Yeah, the play
1:47
you were referring to with the pop -up dropping up,
1:49
that was one of those situations. You got it.
1:51
I got it. Nobody got it. And then it falls,
1:54
not harmlessly, but it falls for a base
1:56
hit. Even if it's value, you want to
1:58
catch the ball. That was very catchable. So
2:00
strange play. But yeah, impressive by Cheerio
2:02
to Homer. I think off Hellsley. It was really
2:04
good. was off Those are struggling. Yeah,
2:06
Klase, Halsey gives one up, Williams
2:08
for the Yankees. Basically, I
2:10
think turned it to unusable. And I
2:12
know it's only a month in, but he's
2:14
been awful. You'll wonder if... I
2:16
always think kickers are a lot like
2:18
closers where you blow on, especially in the
2:20
playoffs to cost your team a game.
2:22
I've seen kickers ruin their careers over it.
2:25
I've seen closers ruin their careers where
2:27
they're just never the same after. Mark Wollers,
2:29
Donnie Moore, kickers, Mike Vanderjot, Blair
2:31
Walsh, both of our guys, when you miss kicks
2:33
in the playoffs to cost your team a playoff game,
2:35
those guys' careers were over shortly after. It's
2:38
just, it's such a psychological position that
2:40
I worried a little bit about that with
2:42
Williams coming into the season and he's
2:44
been bad. So, Hellsley's been bad, Klase Williams
2:46
for the. Yankees that there's been some
2:48
closing issues. But no, as far as these
2:50
games here, 5 -5 looks like we're going
2:52
bottom nine, Milwaukee, St. Louis, Mets, Nats
2:54
still in a delay. The
2:57
Rockies are losing which you could just
2:59
copy and paste that sound and keep that for
3:01
the rest the year because that is a terrible,
3:03
terrible team. I don't know how you make their over
3:05
under low enough that this Rockies bunch boy. They
3:07
are really, really bad. So I don't know anything jump
3:09
out to you. How many games do you think
3:11
the Rockies way now? I'll put you in the spot
3:13
here. What's a fair over under for them at
3:15
the JVT Sports Bowl 11. It's
3:18
about right. I mean,
3:20
in all seriousness, teams are never really as bad
3:22
as we expect them to be. This Rockies team
3:24
is pretty bad though. If I
3:26
were to, if I were to hang up 58 and
3:28
a half, what would you bet? Oh,
3:30
under. Yeah, really? That far under,
3:32
huh? Yeah. Yeah. I mean, look at
3:34
that division. The Giants, the Dodgers, Podges, they're
3:36
going to get killed. They're really, really
3:39
bad. Just, I don't know if you could
3:41
build a legitimate team sustainably in that
3:43
building, just because it's so deep. Like the
3:45
breaking ball breaks differently. Pitchers,
3:47
it's hard to, it's almost like you need two
3:49
different teams. It's really hard to win there. but
3:51
they they are really bad. They're seemingly bad every
3:53
year, but they were thinking like through the worst
3:55
team, don't they? You think so? You think we're
3:57
going to push for 120 losses? By the way,
4:00
another goal for Minnesota underway right now
4:02
in the second period. About 90 seconds
4:04
in and the wild have taken a
4:06
2 -1 lead over the Vegas Golden Knights.
4:08
Wow, a big one there. Knights were
4:10
pretty strong favorites in this series. Very
4:12
strong favorites today and they trailed 2
4:14
-1 in the second 1836 left to
4:16
go. We'll give you the update, but
4:18
so we think they push for 120
4:20
losses. something like that. 50
4:22
and 112 sounds about right to me.
4:24
I don't know. OK, all right. Not too
4:26
far off. I think I believe,
4:28
but I agree with your premise. The National League
4:30
doesn't look like it's going anywhere. It's been
4:32
National League West. Yeah, looks like it's not going
4:34
anywhere anytime soon, despite some questions about the
4:36
San Francisco Giants and others. Alright, so real quick
4:39
heads are spinning because there's a lot going
4:41
on. A sack fly for Philly. They are up
4:43
3 -1 top of the fourth. So some first
4:45
five wagers, obviously those who are sweating that
4:47
out. Feeling a little Lansing three nothing, I think
4:49
right? Three nothing. Yeah, just so that three
4:51
nothing pop out fly. They got runners on the
4:53
corners right now in the top of the
4:55
fourth inning there. As we said, Minnesota of two.
4:57
1836 left to go in the second. We
4:59
are also underway again in our other playoff game
5:01
that is in the association and the OKC
5:03
Thunder coming out firing for those don't remember did
5:05
like 10 and a half here at halftime
5:07
with OKC. They were up 69 61 at a
5:09
break here. So let's get some updated numbers
5:11
really quickly and I want to hit on some
5:13
news coming out of the NBA. That is
5:15
pretty impactful. First off with this hockey game right
5:17
now. Minnesota Wild. A two to
5:19
one lead. They are two dollar favorites now.
5:21
Plus one fifty five coming back on the
5:24
gold at Knights. Total seven and a half
5:26
shaded to the under minus two hundred over
5:28
at Bet MGM. Baseball as we
5:30
look at some of these games where keep
5:32
the track of the Phillies and Cubs. Phillies now
5:34
a twelve dollar favorite. Now that
5:36
guy cut down as I'm watching a
5:38
plus six fifty coming back on the
5:40
Cubs. And then for the
5:42
association really quickly thunder back up to
5:44
the pre flop number 14 and
5:46
a half point spread with a total
5:48
of 225 and a half. Will
5:50
I mentioned some news? We do have
5:52
in less than an hour tip
5:54
off between the Los Angeles Clippers and
5:56
the Denver Nuggets. Nuggets at least
5:58
one injury did not go their way.
6:00
Russell Westbrook officially out for the
6:02
game today for the Nuggets. Now
6:05
no movement because that I think was factored
6:07
in. You're looking at both of these injuries kind
6:09
of factored in here. I think the more
6:11
impactful one might be Porter and that's obviously a
6:13
that's now multiple injuries, right? Those are cluster
6:15
injuries. If Porter gets ruled out as well, we'll
6:17
probably see this get to seven consensus. Right
6:19
now it's still holding strong at six and a
6:21
half, but all the offshore shops are up
6:23
to seven right now in favor of the Clippers.
6:26
Wow with Westbrook out. I thought maybe the line would
6:28
come down a little bit for the Nuggets. I might
6:30
bet the Nuggets with Westbrook out. I mean, he's been
6:32
fine. He's been okay. Like look, like you, hey, you
6:34
said it, man. He's the reason why they're
6:36
not down three nothing in this series. He hits
6:38
that corner three and that changes everything for him in
6:40
game one in the game, which the Clippers blew.
6:43
And look, I've said this to you play that defensive
6:45
possession that way 100 times out of 100. You're
6:47
going to win that game, right? A vast majority of
6:49
the time, but he is one of the sole
6:51
reasons why they are sitting there with a win in
6:53
the wind column and only down to one as
6:55
opposed to three nothing. Yeah,
6:57
I just I'm starting to get the sense that might
6:59
be the only one Denver gets in the series and.
7:01
part of its tongue and cheek trying to not trying
7:03
to just pencil your team in the next round, but
7:05
I'd be surprised if we're not sitting here a week
7:07
from now. Well, I'll be sitting here week for
7:10
now. I'm not sure what you're going to be doing. You're on to
7:12
bigger and better things. Obviously, you're ditching me. A
7:14
Clippers Thunder second round series is so
7:16
good for so many reasons. Oh, we
7:18
deserve it. All of the talent, all
7:20
of the matchups. This is basically an
7:22
NBA Finals caliber series that we're getting
7:25
in the second round. It is so
7:27
overqualified for a second rounder. Plus, you
7:29
have all the subplots of the trade
7:31
that went from. You know,
7:33
the clippers giving up all that stuff
7:35
in SGA and can the clippers salvage
7:37
that trade to some extent? Well, look,
7:39
you still, you know, you gave
7:41
up a lot. You gave up SGA and Paul
7:43
George was obviously that era was not a success,
7:45
but that did bring Kawhi with it and just
7:48
all of that. all of those little subplots, plus
7:50
the actual basketball on the court. If the Clippers
7:52
could ever pull it off and win that series.
7:54
And if they did, I think the winner of
7:56
that series, regardless, is going to the finals. It's
7:59
just, man, it's such fantastic, fantastic series.
8:01
What's a series price on that look like
8:03
if we get there? I
8:05
would expect especially with the Clippers it like
8:07
it obviously depends on the way the series
8:09
ends like the Clippers need seven games or
8:11
whatever it is like the Nuggets clawed their
8:13
way back into it We're talking I would
8:15
say Thunder you're gonna float around like a
8:17
dollar eighty five favorite Like it's I don't
8:19
think it'll touch two dollars though, even if
8:21
this series gets extended out and the Clippers
8:23
I mean if they win in five I
8:26
mean I think this is you're
8:28
going to talk about like throw up whatever
8:30
the series prices between two teams that are
8:32
rated near equals to each other, right? With
8:34
the thunder getting slight advantage because of home
8:36
court dollar 45, whatever it is. But my
8:38
guess would be dollar 45 to dollar 85,
8:40
depending on the results of these series in
8:42
favor of OKC. Does that sound fair? I
8:44
think it would open up around two hours,
8:46
maybe even a little bit north, but then
8:48
come down similar to Clippers Nuggets how that
8:50
came down. So I think it'll open high.
8:52
But remember, OKC was odds on to win
8:54
the West. I mean, for
8:56
a long time. So that's saying they're headed
8:59
shoulders above these other teams. And now
9:01
they're, they have one more. I know the
9:03
Clippers have played well. So this power
9:05
rate on the clippers growing in a really
9:07
big way. Yeah. I know. And justifiably,
9:09
justifiably. By the way, OKC is pulling away
9:11
here up eight with eight minutes to
9:13
go in the third quarter. Looks like Pippin
9:15
Jr's headed to the line. So. any
9:18
hope of a miracle comeback here for the Grizzlies
9:20
in terms of, you know, getting back in this,
9:22
not getting back in the series, but even forcing
9:24
a game five down sevens. You wonder at some
9:26
point if they get down double digits. This is
9:29
the tricky part of betting the series when it's
9:31
3 -0 and you're betting game four. Do they
9:33
let go of the rope at some point and
9:35
OKC just runs away with this thing. So it
9:37
looks like you got a pretty good bet here
9:39
laying your 10 and a half. Yep, both three
9:41
throws good and it is 69 -63. Eight minutes left
9:43
to go and we should note that the Phillies
9:45
are now pouring it on here. happens
9:47
man. A little snowball becomes an
9:49
avalanche. You let that ball drop and
9:51
all a sudden this thing just will not
9:53
end and you mentioned it. So we're
9:55
referencing when the bases were loaded with no
9:57
outs for some reason Ian Hap and
9:59
the outfield for net the outfield just the
10:01
left side of the field there for
10:04
Chicago. It seemed like Ian Hap allowed the
10:06
ball to drop. Like you said I
10:08
don't know why because even if you think
10:10
it's foul that's an out regardless though
10:12
that has led to an avalanche here for
10:14
the Philadelphia Phillies. So he scoreless game
10:16
entering the fourth is now six nothing. with
10:18
Elvia on top with two outs now
10:20
after I believe the sack fly from Bryce
10:22
Harper. So runner on second two outs.
10:24
Filly up six to nothing right now in
10:26
that one. Let's see a couple of
10:28
other score updates is remandering these. Will and
10:30
I sweating out the bottom of the
10:32
fourth Texas San Francisco. We both have a
10:34
first five play on Texas in some
10:36
way or shape. You have Texas plus the
10:38
half run. I have Texas money line
10:40
up to nothing right now bottom of the
10:42
fourth inning. San Francisco up to bat
10:44
there and I believe we are. or is
10:46
this game over between Milwaukee and St.
10:48
Louis? The St. Louis walk it off.
10:50
Oh, they walked it off in the bottom.
10:52
They took it off my little quad box
10:54
here. So I think St. Louis. I think
10:56
St. Louis walked it off. Yes, they did.
10:58
St. Louis Cardinals walk it off there in
11:00
the bottom of the ninth inning. Nolan Aronato
11:02
with a walk off solo shot to end
11:04
this thing. Cardinals get the win 6 to
11:06
5 at home over the Milwaukee Brewers. Graham
11:10
Mertz has just been drafted by the
11:12
Texans. Are we just picking random players now?
11:14
What are we doing? Graham Mertz? Edge
11:16
Boost, the first -ever bank account built for
11:18
betters. I will not slander Graham Mertz. Ensuring
11:20
all gambling transactions are approved, no usage
11:22
fees, no minimums, earned cashback rewards, 100 %
11:24
approval for all betting deposits signed up today.
11:27
Edge Boost .Bent promo code live. Deposit $25
11:29
at Edge Boost. So that's the deposit
11:31
that is Edge Boost .Bent. Did you see
11:33
all the cowheads that was in Quinn Ewer's
11:35
living room? It was crazy. I
11:37
did. I did. This
11:51
is live that Saturday on the
11:53
sand. These sports better work. Three
12:00
outs to the promised land for us. Texas Rangers
12:02
get out of the bottom of the fourth
12:04
one is free. It is two nothing top of
12:06
the fifth inning. San Francisco
12:08
Giants trail there the fourth
12:10
inning at least the top
12:12
of it ends Mercifully for
12:14
the Chicago Cubs a sixth
12:16
run avalanche for the Philadelphia
12:18
Phillies there So if you're
12:20
so inclined to look at
12:22
some of these in -game prices
12:24
right now Phillies Can I
12:26
borrow $10 ,000 will? sure
12:29
All right, cool. All right. I'm going to
12:31
throw that on the Phillies to win $100 because
12:33
that is their money line price right now.
12:35
1650 coming back on the Chicago Cubs. 10
12:38
and a half. nice straddle. a
12:40
nice straddle, right? Mine's 10 ,000, 16 to one
12:42
come the other way. I mean, you know, you
12:44
got to look at it in terms of the
12:46
percentages, not so much the payout, right? You know,
12:48
the bookmakers will tell you, well, in terms of
12:50
the hold, it's actually the right track. You know,
12:52
although that one might be a little. A little
12:54
strong end game there. The
12:57
other games that were monitoring, we
12:59
talked about this. I threw it out as
13:01
I thought whether or not this could be
13:03
something. Did not bet it, but the athletics
13:05
did get to put something on the board.
13:07
6 -1, fifth inning now. So they trail by
13:09
five. My thought was maybe taken four and
13:11
a half, about minus 120, asking them to
13:14
stay inside of that run line there. They
13:16
at least tack one on White Sox, though
13:18
a $9 favorite, plus $550 coming back on
13:20
the athletics. We're also still
13:22
suspended with Mets and Nationals. So
13:24
that game underway and obviously suspended due
13:26
to weather. So we will see
13:28
if that gets back on the field.
13:30
I wanted to ask you this. I
13:33
was going to say quickly on that early
13:35
delay. That's very unusual. You usually don't see a
13:37
bottom of the first rain delay. With the
13:39
technology they have now, if they expect rain that
13:42
early, they're just not going to start the
13:44
game on time. I didn't
13:46
see at what point in the first they started.
13:48
But did the Mets throw a pitch yet? Did
13:50
that pitcher warm up? Can he go back if
13:52
he continues? We're in the bottom of the first.
13:55
So at least they got to the top half of the
13:57
inning. Yeah. I'm wondering if the Mets guy threw a
13:59
pitch though, because that brings in a question. Hey,
14:01
if I bet, you know, the Mets pitcher
14:03
under strikeouts in the game resumes and he
14:05
doesn't, does he have to throw a pitch?
14:07
Does his name have to be submit the
14:09
lineup card? He's actually a third of the
14:11
way through the inning. So he's given up.
14:13
So he got it out through a pitch.
14:15
Yep. He's thrown 12 pitches. He
14:18
has actually given up a hit as well.
14:20
So in theory, we're delayed. The Washington Nationals do
14:22
have one out with a runner on first. That
14:25
might I mean we're getting up towards like an
14:27
hour delay I don't know if we come back here
14:29
and can resume play Do you bring them back
14:31
out there? It's getting dicey you're getting to the point
14:33
where usually anything over like 45 minutes They're very
14:35
careful with these pictures now So that would be one
14:37
where man check the weather if you're betting these
14:39
picture props and I like his over strikeouts Well, make
14:41
sure you're not gonna have a rain delay in
14:43
the first or second inning or something like that So
14:46
that's when to keep an eye on in terms
14:48
of the props that might be a bad beat if
14:50
you had the over enough one where
14:52
you could steal some stuff. If you have the
14:54
underouts under strikeouts under hits, whatever, if you
14:56
had an inkling that rain was coming, you could
14:58
you could find a nice one really on
15:00
both pictures because I don't know after an hour
15:02
delay. I'm not sure if we're going to
15:04
see both pictures again. Hasn't quite been that yet
15:06
yet. So but kind of running out of
15:08
time here before we see these pictures return. I
15:10
did want to ask you this as this
15:12
team is right now in this delay, but the
15:14
Mets before yesterday had won seven straight games
15:16
and did sweep a series from the Philadelphia Phillies.
15:19
What have we made of what we've seen from the
15:21
Mets in the early going in this run that
15:23
they're on that has them at about what, 18 and
15:25
eight right now? You talked about
15:27
big picture problems for some of these teams. Are
15:29
we buying what we're seeing from the Mets? Because
15:31
part of this run that they have been on
15:33
is also included two series with Miami Marlins, the
15:35
Minnesota Twins. Actually, they lost that series to Cardinals.
15:37
They did sweep to Phillies, but the schedule hasn't
15:39
been that tough for them. I
15:42
think they're good. I think they're really good.
15:44
I think that I mean they're 18 and
15:46
18 and seven going into yesterday. So 18
15:48
and eight. Soto hasn't even
15:50
hit yet. They've got Sean Minaya was what their
15:52
second best pitcher coming back. You know with Cohen
15:54
they're going to add guys at the deadline. The
15:57
Phillies it seems like possibly that
15:59
window is closed. Atlanta is playing well
16:01
but they've dug themselves a hole. I
16:03
actually think Mets in the minus 120, minus 125
16:05
range to win a division. I know it's odds
16:07
on and there's a lot of time to go.
16:10
That might be one where you look in a couple months
16:12
and say, man, I wish I grabbed the minus 125.
16:14
Because I think the Mets, hell, once you get to the
16:16
playoffs, who knows? Everyone's 0 -0. And
16:19
you're no luck to even get a buy with how
16:21
good the National League is. got to get one of
16:24
these top two seeds. Otherwise, you're in that best of
16:26
three scenario, which they benefited from last year. Those are
16:28
such a crapshoot. But as far as the regular season
16:30
to me, this looks like. You know,
16:32
high 90s win team, a division champion. I think
16:34
Soto eventually is going to hit, especially as
16:36
the weather gets warmer. I think they're really, really
16:38
good. I understand you could poke holes a
16:40
little bit and say, oh, the schedule hasn't been
16:42
there, but Alonzo is mashing the ball. You
16:44
got Lindor, Soto, Alonzo, and some of the other
16:46
complimentary guys. That's a really, really
16:49
good lineup. Yeah, to me
16:51
it was the fact that you're talking about here.
16:53
The fact that Soto really has not been
16:55
Soto and you're here doing what you're doing has
16:57
been pretty impressive so far. If
16:59
you were listening anywhere watching, you heard
17:01
a roar on my end. VGK
17:03
with a pretty big opportunity that goes
17:05
to the wayside. A strong save
17:07
from Minnesota, but puck on the rebound
17:09
is just out in the out
17:11
of the crease with nobody around. VGK
17:14
gets to it. They got an easy goal,
17:16
but instead Minnesota knocks it away. I think
17:18
we have an icing call right now, but
17:20
either way, Minnesota. Minnesota still up 2 to
17:22
1 despite the fact that shots on goal
17:24
Vegas really having a sizable edge here 1710.
17:26
So I believe they're monitoring whether or not
17:28
this is an icing call or whatever it
17:30
is. I don't know. My intricacy when it
17:32
comes to rules is not the strongest. So
17:34
we'll see what exactly the rule is here.
17:36
But again, Minnesota 2 -1 despite trailing in
17:38
terms of shots on goal 1224 left to
17:40
go in the second sizable favorites there. All
17:42
right, Will. We head to the bottom of
17:44
the fifth. How we feel in Texas Rangers
17:46
up to nothing over San Francisco. You got
17:48
the game on right? You can see it. Got
17:51
it on. We're going to the fifth. White Langford
17:53
looks like just struck out on a change up
17:55
from Robbie Ray. So two nothing heading to the
17:57
bottom of the fifth. We are three outs away
17:59
from cashing the ticket. And if you got that
18:01
half a run and you laid the extra juice,
18:03
only a three or three or more spot beats
18:05
you here. So you're in really good shape. So
18:07
never over till it's over. But I feel pretty
18:09
good here. If you got Texas in the first
18:11
five in a game, the market really, really liked
18:13
San Francisco and. I understand the Texas
18:16
has used a bunch of guys in their bullpen on
18:18
the last couple of nights. So it's going to be
18:20
maybe dice here for them to hang on to this
18:22
lead. And maybe they have to push Molly deep into
18:24
this game, try to get six, maybe even seven out
18:26
of them. But the Rangers in terms of the first
18:28
five, very. Very good shape here
18:30
as we need three hours. We are 40
18:32
minutes away. A little bit less than that from
18:34
Clippers and Nuggets. We finally have the last
18:36
bit of information on the injuries for Denver. Michael
18:38
Porter Jr. is available to play. He will
18:40
be out there tonight for the Denver Nuggets. We're
18:42
starting to see those offshore shops which were
18:44
as high as seven. Now back down to six
18:46
and a half at a couple of places.
18:48
Still plenty of sevens out there if you're shopping
18:50
offshore that you can go and grab. But
18:52
Michael Porter Jr. will be available. Does that change
18:54
anything for you? Chris Haines. No,
18:57
excuse me, not Chris Haines. Mark Spears.
18:59
the other day had a pretty interesting tweet
19:01
and report which was essentially if Porter
19:03
Jr. told him if I feel like this
19:05
again I am definitely not feeling like
19:07
I can contribute it and I'm paraphrasing to
19:09
that so that shoulder clearly bothered him
19:11
the other day and you do have to
19:13
wonder if just with one day off
19:15
how much better that feels for him. What's
19:18
the prop fallout here the domino effect with
19:20
the props because you've been watching the series
19:22
Very keenly as I have to although I
19:24
didn't watch what the draft going on in
19:26
the blowout I didn't watch every play do
19:28
that day. Can I say two games? I
19:30
want to check really quickly. That was a
19:32
day where as much as we enjoy sports
19:34
That was one rose like broke and we
19:36
calm down here a little bit. I know
19:38
we had we had three NBA games on
19:40
that day We had two really good series
19:42
to yes two games are really looking forward
19:44
to you really looking forward to and another
19:46
where there was a historic comeback happening with
19:48
the Oklahoma City Thunder against the Memphis Grizzlies.
19:50
We had multiple playoff hockey games, obviously baseball,
19:52
the NFL draft. Like I sat there and
19:54
it was one of those days where I paid attention to everything and I
19:56
felt like I paid attention to nothing at the same time. I agree. I
19:59
agree. I wonder if it would get to the point.
20:01
It hasn't yet, so maybe it won't. And I don't know
20:03
how I'd feel about this because the way I am,
20:05
if they change it, I miss it the old way because
20:07
it was such a good night. I wonder if they'd
20:09
ever get to a point where the NBA just kind of
20:11
sits it out and says, you know what, it's the
20:14
NFL drafts night. Let's not go head to head.
20:16
We can afford to take a night off and we'll just we'll
20:18
kind of punt on the night of the draft the first
20:20
night. They're not going to worry about the second third day. You
20:22
think that would ever come? Would that make sense? Maybe,
20:24
maybe not. I don't know. I think you're probably going to
20:26
try to just keep it going because you set the schedule
20:28
back a day just for the NFL draft. Who knows? The
20:32
NBA shown a bit of stubbornness and look, I
20:34
mean, they do maybe feel a little bit better.
20:36
I don't know if you saw the story about
20:38
the ratings, but like it was the first like
20:40
most watch opening weekend of the postseason in like
20:42
a while. So they're probably feeling somewhat good about
20:44
this thing. Do want to know big scoring on.
20:46
opportunity here potentially coming VGK on another power play
20:48
where about 40 seconds in. So the Knights try
20:50
to tie this game up. They are down to
20:52
one and on their third power play of the
20:54
game so far scored on the first one did
20:56
nothing on the second. We'll see if third time's
20:58
a charm or they can find Peter once more.
21:00
You mentioned player props. Michael Porter Jr. 10 and
21:02
a half shaded to the under at minus one
21:04
25 in terms of overall points. Player
21:07
threes for Michael Porter Jr. One and
21:09
a half. I would say I think the
21:11
way that you attack this to be honest
21:13
with you. I think you go
21:15
under, maybe I'm getting too cute here, so you
21:17
tell me or not. I think you go
21:19
under rebounds, because if your shoulder's bothering you, I
21:21
don't think you're going up with both arms
21:23
to grab a rebound and a contested one at
21:25
that if you're Porter. You're probably fighting through
21:27
the pain to put up a couple of shots,
21:29
but in terms of actually fighting for a
21:31
contested rebound, I think you're leaning under
21:33
rebounds with Porter Jr. If we're assuming he
21:36
is still feeling the effects of the shoulder
21:38
injury. What about a couple
21:40
things that if anything was going to go over
21:42
assist because maybe he's just more differential and the
21:44
one thing you can do is pass. Sure. But
21:46
I don't know if you're getting a fair payout
21:48
parlaying the points assists in rebounds all under with
21:50
the hope that he starts the game and he's
21:52
just not 100 percent in the minutes aren't there
21:54
that maybe you can just you can cash all
21:56
my did that with Pajemski the other night where
21:58
there was a report he was sick who knows
22:00
who plays. So you know what I'm going to
22:02
do I'm going to parlay all of his unders
22:04
in case he starts can't really go he ended
22:06
up with zero zero zero and like. 10, 12
22:08
minutes, whatever it was. So if it's an injured
22:11
player and you can get a fair price on
22:13
the correlation here, despite the correlation, I might just
22:15
look at all the numbers. Although assists could be
22:17
dicey. The bubbleguts really bothering Brandon Poginski the other
22:19
day was somewhat rough. All right. 10 seconds left
22:21
to go. I will let you guess whether or
22:23
not the Knights did anything on this power play.
22:25
The answer is no. We come back. We continue
22:27
to look at the updated numbers for everything going
22:29
on. We also have some baseball games getting started
22:31
in the next 30 or 40 minutes. Don't go
22:33
anywhere. It is live. That's Saturday. This
22:41
is live that Saturday on V -SAN.
22:43
These sports better yet work. Will,
22:49
what is your strategy? We were talking
22:51
about this earlier. When it comes
22:53
to rain, rain delays, would it apply
22:55
to what's going on between Chicago and Sacramento
22:57
right now? Because it is going down
22:59
hard in Sacramento. No,
23:02
just because you're already in the sixth
23:04
inning. So my strategy is ideally before
23:06
the game. Kevin Roth is a great.
23:09
follow on Twitter as it looks like San Francisco
23:11
is tied the game on a base hit one
23:13
out in the fifth so cheese. That's
23:15
a tough one. Find a
23:17
game where there is expected
23:19
rain but expected rain early
23:21
second third fourth inning where
23:23
delay happens in ideally an
23:26
extended delay where. the pitchers
23:28
start, but they only throw
23:30
two, three innings, 40, 50
23:32
pitches. Then you get your extended
23:34
delay, and they aren't able to come back
23:36
onto the mound, and you can cash them
23:38
under, strikeouts, hits, whatever it is. You
23:40
can get some wins that way, and you
23:42
can parlay both pitchers in a lot of these
23:45
books. And parlays are not always the way
23:47
to go, but when there's correlation, parlays are just
23:49
fine to make. So those are ones to
23:51
look at. But when you're already in the sixth
23:53
inning, like the A's, through springs the White
23:55
Sox use an opener for the second straight day
23:57
with uh with uh who's the lefty here
23:59
Gilbert so yeah cannon came in so there's really
24:01
no way to attack it once you're deep
24:03
into this game so uh but but keep an
24:05
eye on the weather it's very important for
24:07
those things especially even if you're not looking to
24:09
parlay the outs you want to know hey
24:11
i like this guy over strikeouts well it's gonna
24:13
raid in the third or fourth inning that
24:15
that makes it very dicey uh to attack it
24:17
from that perspective so We, uh, boy, we
24:19
got to sweat out this Texas one now. Jeez.
24:21
I know it's never easy. Is it? I
24:23
mean, I had a Texas Rangers money line. Come
24:25
on now. These
24:28
guys, I'm also for good. That's a
24:30
bad feeling when you have a team in the first
24:32
five, the road team in the first five on the money
24:34
line and you have to sit there and sweat out
24:36
a push where you cannot win the bet. Yep. when
24:38
your own your loss or only that's just
24:40
that's not a fun sweat. No, no, it is
24:43
not. So come on now. Let's let's get
24:45
this done here. Texas at least get out and
24:47
we can get our money back. Power play
24:49
for Minnesota. Not really going anywhere, although they're being
24:51
a little bit more aggressive than Vegas. 13
24:53
seconds left. They lead two to one 713
24:55
left to go in the second period. Some
24:57
updated numbers for you here on this. The
24:59
total has been of interest. We saw this
25:01
get as high as seven and a half.
25:03
We're now down to five and a half
25:05
shaded to the over minus 140 with the
25:07
wild. up to one. This power
25:09
play is going to end with no
25:12
damage done here so it is still a
25:14
2 -1 lead with about 645 left to
25:16
go in the second period but they
25:18
are 2 -25 favorites on the money line
25:20
plus 180 coming back on the Vegas Golden
25:22
Knights trailing only by one goal. So
25:24
I get there at home but it's only
25:26
a one goal deficit. I'm curious to
25:28
see as this continues to climb. if there's
25:31
going to be an opportunity where the
25:33
Vegas Golden Knights become enticing for some, but
25:35
do have VGK to win the series
25:37
that I made before this game began. So
25:39
very much like the Knights to get this done.
25:41
All right, with that other baseball games, let's hit
25:44
on the ones that are about to start here
25:46
in the next 30, because we'll have some pretty
25:48
deep divey stuff on what's going to happen again.
25:50
and our playoff game set to begin. We should
25:52
also note that we are back underway between Mets
25:54
and Nationals. So we're waiting for that game, whether
25:56
or not it's going to get started. And I
25:58
think we are now in the second inning. So
26:00
we have resumed play there between Washington and New
26:02
York. But Will Walker -Bueller gets the start. against
26:05
the Cleveland Guardians here. The second
26:07
of a double header today between
26:09
these two. Did you see anything
26:11
here? $1 .20 price tag in
26:13
favor of the Boston Red Sox.
26:15
Red Sox starting to turn it
26:18
to the team. I think many
26:20
expected them to be. Breitman
26:22
has been a pretty good solid addition for
26:24
them as many expected them to be. They
26:26
have lost three straight, but it looked like
26:28
they were starting to turn things around for
26:30
the positive. But now sitting at 500, anything
26:32
here in the road spot double header against.
26:34
Cleveland. Yeah, I didn't
26:36
play anything here and I think you said it
26:38
well where this is a team that everybody was
26:40
on a lot of people were on and a
26:42
lot of sharp betters too. It's not like this
26:45
was just kind of a square play. A lot
26:47
of a lot of people are on this team
26:49
only 14 and 14. It's a really mediocre American
26:51
League as we talked about and it's a bad
26:53
14 and 14 too because they've played seven games
26:55
against the White Sox so. That's one
26:57
where you play a pretty soft schedule, seven
26:59
games against the White Sox. You figure you
27:01
bank five, maybe six wins, and you can
27:03
build yourself a cushion up to only be
27:05
500. I know it's early, but
27:07
a disappointing start here for the Red Sox. I
27:09
haven't played anything in this game. Is there
27:11
anything you're looking at? No, I mean, I think
27:13
to your point of what we're talking about here,
27:15
I'd be curious to see what Bueller brings
27:17
to the table. Some of the underlying metrics to
27:19
Bueller would paint a little bit more of a
27:22
positive picture, not like by a massive amount,
27:24
but a 382 expected fielding, or maybe a 345
27:26
expected field. 382 expected ERA not
27:28
too far off from where he's at right now.
27:30
But it just paints a slightly better picture than what
27:32
they've gotten from him. But he has looked look
27:34
he's looked better this year than he did last year
27:36
and I know a lot of people are kind
27:38
of selling on it. And if he starts to even
27:40
out they've got a pretty good guy. Not anything
27:42
though that's worth jumping on. I like to find these
27:44
guys that have these big differentials. ERA
27:47
field fielding independent and really pounce on those guys
27:49
to see if there's any bit of value or
27:51
maybe that the market's not accounting for. But
27:53
Bueller doesn't really have a lot of good indicators
27:55
through. That's the case. So didn't really have anything to
27:57
curious. See if they can get off this night,
27:59
but that's really about it when it came to this.
28:01
Just what Bueller's performance is going to be here
28:03
today against the Guardians. Yeah,
28:05
that makes sense as we're trying to get this
28:07
final out. Then we got two outs here. Bottom
28:10
of the fifth Texas San Francisco as
28:12
we're trying to get through the fifth year.
28:14
You want the push? I want to
28:16
win with my hook here. These half runs.
28:18
If you can find. cheap price
28:20
where you only have to lay $1 .30, $1 .40.
28:22
Getting a half run in the first five is so
28:25
valuable. How many times you see
28:27
it where it's two, two after five, something
28:29
like that. So that's one I've started to
28:31
play. And honestly, I need to start playing
28:33
it more because I think these are solid
28:35
underrated bets. Especially you've got two good pitchers.
28:37
You got a low total. Getting a half
28:39
run is extremely valuable in the first five.
28:41
Yes, absolutely. There's been many a first
28:43
five bet that I have won on a half run. So
28:47
it's a good feeling. Yes, it is
28:49
a you feel like you got away with
28:51
one for the most part. Yes. All
28:53
right. As you keep an eye on that
28:55
real quick, want to get your thoughts
28:57
on one more as well. Orioles taking on
28:59
the Tigers here today right now. Current
29:01
number. We'll try to find it here in
29:03
favor of Baltimore because this one's going
29:05
to get started at 310 as well. But
29:07
Tigers right now. Yeah, like a pick
29:10
minus 110 minus 105 total is nine, depending
29:12
where you look. Orioles will roll with
29:14
an opener. Keegan Aiken will. the start. He
29:16
will not be out there for long.
29:18
And then on the other side, you're going
29:20
to get Montero getting the start for
29:22
the Tigers. There are two starts, nine and
29:24
a third. Montero has been getting wrecked.
29:26
Walks are an issue. He's got a 771
29:28
ERA. Fielding independence at 817. Woodwin
29:30
think that it's not going to be a
29:32
long outing for Montero and not a successful one
29:34
at that. Haven't seen anything positive from him.
29:36
Think the Orioles can get to him here in
29:38
a near picked money line price. Would lean
29:41
a little bit toward Baltimore, which seems pretty cheap
29:43
given what we've seen from Montero. but nothing
29:45
strong for me. Yeah, I
29:47
would look towards and over just because like
29:49
you said, Montero's numbers are awful. The
29:51
Orioles, it doesn't matter who they throw. They
29:53
have no pitching. It feels like the bloom has
29:55
come off the rose for this team a
29:57
little bit where it's not that long ago where,
29:59
man, the Orioles are set almost like OKC
30:01
like where they're so good. They're so young. They've
30:03
got so many prospects. They're headed for great
30:05
things. Well, they got swept in the playoffs two
30:07
years ago. They got swept again this year
30:09
and all of their pitching injuries make it a
30:11
situation where, man, I don't even know. I
30:14
think there are underdogs who even make the playoffs
30:16
with the six teams making it. They just
30:18
they got no pitching. Charlie Morton is shot. They
30:20
throw these guys at the mound every day or
30:22
just boy, you hold your breath that you can get
30:24
five innings three runs and just turn it over
30:27
to the bullpen. So it'd be over nothing. I still
30:29
like their lineup. I just I don't think they
30:31
have much pitching. I didn't see who they had for
30:33
a bulk guy. That's what made this game hard
30:35
to handicaps. It'll be like who's coming in after the
30:37
opener. do we have for a bullpen? So they've
30:39
got either. So they have ESPN has Morton listed, but
30:41
I've got an opener or two other screens here.
30:43
Yeah, that's what I saw. Yeah. So I think I
30:45
don't know who's going to come in after Aiken
30:47
at this point right now, but Aiken is going to
30:49
get the start. He's going to open the game
30:51
for sure. So maybe
30:53
they go Morton for bulk and Morton's been
30:55
bad. Morton's been really, really bad. We talked
30:58
about 10 points, 1089 eras, not terrible. It's
31:01
not a good career, but it might might
31:03
be over for Charlie. I would agree. All
31:05
right, really quick. Also NBA postseason Grizzlies not
31:07
going away. Don't know if the Thunder are
31:09
going to have anything here to get me
31:11
home late 10 and a half. They're up
31:13
by 592 87. We've got nine and a
31:16
half minutes left to go in the fourth.
31:18
We have seen teams late in fourth quarters
31:20
end up giving up the ghosts. We saw
31:22
that from Miami in the first game against
31:24
Cleveland. Maybe that'll be the case here, but
31:26
did late 10 and a half would like
31:28
this thing to end. And on the other
31:30
end in baseball Cubs doing their best. get
31:32
back into this thing. Base is loaded. They
31:34
finally get a knock against Lazardo. It is
31:36
six to two bottom of the fifth right
31:38
now out there in Chicago. So
31:41
let me double check to see what this number is
31:43
right now. But oh, hey, we got out of it.
31:45
Huh? Top of the sixth inning. San Francisco, Texas
31:48
2 -2. You get the win. I get the push. Yes.
31:50
Yes. There was, I don't if it was a
31:52
caught steal or it was as the grizzly. get
31:55
the roll here on a three. Pippin Jr. gets
31:57
a friendly shooter's bounce. It's now a two -point game.
31:59
Yeah, guy for San Francisco tried to advance on a
32:01
ball in the dirt. He got thrown out. So
32:03
we go 2 -2 into the six. And we're just
32:05
saying, OK, he answers with the three of their own.
32:07
They were just saying on the broadcast of the
32:09
Rangers Giants game that they asked Bochi how he's going
32:11
to get the final, you know, six -nine out to
32:13
the game with his bullpen rested. He goes, that's
32:15
a great question. I guess we'll have to see. Maybe
32:18
the Giants on a live line is where you
32:20
jump in here because Texas is really going to have
32:22
a hard time piecing together these final few winnings
32:24
with the state of their bullpen. Yep. We're looking at
32:26
right now in game right now for the San
32:28
Francisco Giants. If you want to go in that direction
32:31
is minus 180 with a total seven. That's a
32:33
little much. That might be a little much. If you
32:35
want to lay the run and a half, you
32:37
can go plus 240. Nah. not tied
32:39
and tied going into the sixth inning. It's
32:41
just, I don't want to get burned by
32:43
the hook. The 180s, it's properly priced. Might
32:45
even be inflated there. for
33:08
everything we do through August 1st. It
33:10
is at vson.com slash subscribe to run
33:12
shot for the New York Mets and
33:14
they are up to nothing over the
33:16
Washington Nationals in that raid delayed contest.
33:18
We got eight a half minutes left
33:20
to go between OKC and Memphis and
33:22
we are approaching tip off between Clippers
33:24
and Nuggets. 15
33:32
minutes away from tip off a little bit
33:34
more. From tip off between
33:36
the Denver Nuggets and the Los Angeles Clippers.
33:38
A smattering of six and a half's across the
33:40
board with a couple of sevens. Quite a
33:42
few sevens out there. Total at two eleven and
33:44
a half. You're just joining us. We are
33:46
approaching the start of this game. Game four between
33:48
the Nuggets and the Clippers. Los Angeles looking
33:50
to take a three one series lead into a
33:52
road game against the Nuggets. Coming
33:54
up next week now. should note injury report.
33:57
Important number important names to know here. Russell
33:59
Westbrook will not play today. That foot injury
34:01
a little too much. He will not be
34:03
available, but Michael Porter Jr with the shoulder
34:05
is indeed available. He will get the start
34:07
for the Denver Nuggets today. So with that
34:09
information out there, should note the line moves
34:11
opened up five and a half or up
34:13
to six and a half total open to
34:15
13 and a half. We're down to 211
34:18
and a half. Will everything now on the
34:20
table? What are your expectations for Clippers and
34:22
Nuggets coming up here in a couple of
34:24
minutes? a Clippers
34:26
decisive victory. Another Clippers decisive victory.
34:28
I just don't think Denver outside of
34:30
Yokech has enough and then look
34:32
he's Yokech. It's like having my homes.
34:35
That guy's on the court on the field. There's
34:37
always a chance outside of that man. It's
34:39
just. It feels like it's one on five. There's
34:41
just so many answers. Zubas can give Yoko
34:44
to hard time. Tyrem out. Don,
34:46
to me, is a tremendous defensive
34:48
player. I don't know. Did he
34:50
play enough to get defensive player of the
34:52
year consideration? Because he is that level of defender.
34:54
Kawhi is Kawhi. Man, there's so much talent
34:56
on the Clippers. The Nuggets, I didn't think were
34:58
as good as the Clippers to begin with.
35:00
Now they're banged up. I think
35:03
the Clippers win this decisively. I don't love
35:05
laying seven. It gets to a point where You
35:07
missed it, and it's unplayable, but I don't think
35:09
we're there yet. I still think the Clippers is good,
35:11
even though you're not getting the best the number
35:13
if I had to take it away. I would lay
35:15
it. Let me ask you, I'll put it this
35:17
way, because I think we're pretty lined up on the
35:19
game, and you could get into your thoughts on
35:21
it. What number would you need to take on the
35:23
Nuggets? What number would make you pull the trigger? Seven
35:27
a half, eight. OK,
35:29
so you're almost there. Yeah, like you're almost there. I just,
35:31
look, I laid five and a half early. I just. I'm
35:34
with you. Everything you've hit on
35:36
here done is a great defender
35:38
to put on Jamal Murray. One
35:40
of the very few shot creators
35:42
on this roster, not named Nikola
35:44
Jokic. They have Kawhi Leonard to
35:46
defend multiple positions. They
35:48
have Avicius Zubat, who has statistically been
35:51
the best defensive option. for
35:53
Nikol Jokic. You're never going to shut him
35:55
down. They're also playing them really well. Like they're
35:57
letting them, they're letting them actually, they're kind
35:59
of allowing him on these pick and pops to
36:01
be open along the perimeter. They
36:03
don't want him in that mid range area of
36:05
the floor. So they're letting that happen, but closing
36:07
out on him really well. They're actually big enough.
36:10
The Clippers are on the wings with Kawhi with
36:12
Batum that when they do that where they're just,
36:14
hey, cut off the rim, don't let them get
36:16
there. They're actually able to close out really well
36:18
on him and even put like Kawhi to contest
36:20
a shot or Patu on him to contest a
36:22
shot. And you would think, all right, that's a
36:24
big size mismatch. But sure, when those guys are
36:26
closing out on him, they're closing out on him
36:29
on the perimeter. So it's like they Jeff
36:31
in Gundy's done such a smart job with the way
36:33
they're scheming up this defense. Porter's
36:35
injured. If we're right about the potential
36:37
angle, we'll get to some of the player props here. That's
36:40
one, we'll put like a half rebounder out there on
36:42
the floor that really can't do it. It's been a big
36:44
thing that has actually worked for the Nuggets in terms
36:46
of the offensive rebounding, but that takes a hit with Russell
36:48
Westbrook not out there and with Michael Porter Jr. injured. I
36:51
think when you look at it from the
36:53
perspective of the nuggets on defense as well, they
36:55
don't have anybody for James Harden. I think
36:57
it's fair to ask this Clippers team to get
36:59
a win. Take a 3 -1 series lead and
37:01
go out there with a commanding win tonight.
37:03
Player prop wise, we hit on this when we
37:05
talked about the news that Porter would start.
37:07
his rebound prop at six and a half with
37:09
a fair price to the under. I'd be
37:11
curious to see if that's going to happen. I'll
37:13
put a small bet on that today to
37:15
see if that's going to play. Just because again,
37:17
you got to you got to put both
37:19
hands up there. And if that shoulder is really
37:21
bothering him, are we going to really see
37:23
him fight for some contested rebounds or are you
37:25
going to save some of your bullets with
37:27
a bum shoulder for some of those three. Some
37:29
of these three point shots that the Nuggets
37:31
desperately need. Well, like that's the other part. I've
37:34
mentioned the math battle that the magic find
37:36
themselves in in this series with the Celtics. The
37:38
Nuggets are in a math battle themselves. And
37:40
you saw that in this last game. I think
37:42
the Clippers made 11 more three -pointers in game
37:44
three against them. They're not a high -volume, high
37:46
-efficiency team like the Clippers are. That's
37:48
going to be something, too, where you've got to save
37:50
Porter for the ability. Because if he can't shoot, now
37:52
you're really up against it from a three -point shooting
37:55
standpoint. Totally
37:57
agree. Completely agree. I like the
37:59
Porter under rebounds. I think that's a
38:01
good look. One and
38:03
a half assists. That's one that makes me afraid.
38:05
I mean, I would only look to the unders because
38:07
it's an injured player and there's a chance he
38:09
goes out there and he gives it the old college
38:11
try and then whatever eight minutes in the game,
38:13
he re aggravates it or somebody bangs him and then
38:15
all of a sudden he goes from 50 % to
38:18
20 % and he can't play anymore. So I'd be
38:20
afraid to play any of his overs. But if
38:22
there was one over, you figure he could. If
38:24
he's banged up, he can at least
38:26
get off some passes and look to defer
38:28
more. I don't know. It's an interesting
38:30
handicap, but I think the nuggets are in
38:33
some trouble here. Anything first half, first
38:35
quarter, anything else on this one? No,
38:37
not entirely. mean, look, I think you can, I
38:39
think a lot of people, it's so funny how you
38:41
find how you can evaluate series and in terms
38:43
of desperation. By the way, Thunder have opened up a
38:45
10 point lead here, 102 to 92, 541 left
38:47
to go in the contest. So we'll see if they
38:49
can cover that 10 and a half that I'm
38:51
sitting on. There's a lot of different
38:53
ways to look at it. You can go with the
38:55
angle of the nuggets are desperate. They put their best foot
38:57
forward, but that's going to happen either way. And
39:00
look, the Clippers were still waiting for them
39:02
to get off to like really strong starts in
39:04
this series. It hasn't really happened. Remember in
39:06
game three, they trailed in the first quarter relatively
39:08
early. I think it was like 20 to
39:10
16. They eventually led 35 to 28, but they
39:12
trailed there in the first quarter of game
39:15
two. They were down 31 to 25 in that
39:17
one. And it took them a minute before
39:19
they opened up a double digit lead in the
39:21
game in game one as well. So you
39:23
do wonder if maybe the Clippers finally get off
39:25
to a very good start of their own.
39:27
because the nuggets have gotten off some relatively strong
39:29
starts in this series. And maybe that's the
39:32
way to look at it, because that has not
39:34
been the case either for LA. So
39:36
I would lean toward the Clippers in the
39:38
first quarter, first half angle, only because I
39:40
do expect them at home. You're
39:42
smelling blood in the water if you're LA. Again,
39:45
you can not convince yourself, but tell
39:47
yourself, guys, we could be up 3 -0
39:49
right now in this series. We are better
39:51
than them. They are injured. Let's
39:53
go and put the foot on the
39:55
throat if I could spit it out. and
39:58
get this thing done with a really strong
40:00
home court. Also, I
40:02
mean, we all feel good about the Clippers winning
40:04
this game, winning the series. If they
40:06
ever lost this game and Jokic has one of his
40:08
vintage Jokic's performances and they get contributions, however, anyone
40:10
can win a game pretty much. Then all a sudden
40:12
it's 2 -2 and your five is on the road,
40:14
seven is on the road, then all of a
40:16
sudden you don't feel great about it. So I think
40:18
the Clippers take care of business, but this is
40:20
not like some gravy game. I always say this, I
40:22
always think this, this is a little different because
40:24
the lower seed is the better team. I think we
40:26
all agree. But if you're serious,
40:28
when you're the underdog, when you're the lower
40:30
seat, if you're serious about winning the series,
40:32
I feel like you really need to be
40:35
up 3 -1 after 4. Because when you're
40:37
2 -2 and 5 is on the road, 7
40:39
is on the road, 2 -2 is just
40:41
not good enough. Usually yeah, I would completely
40:43
agree like you said you fought hard to
40:45
get home field or home court advantage here
40:47
Your your goal now at the very least
40:49
would to be end of this at home
40:51
in game six But the reality is you
40:53
could go to Denver and win this series
40:55
two if you're up 3 -1 So you would
40:57
think that that's it, but there's also like
40:59
that that angle of potentially being a a
41:01
pressure situation having to get this done.
41:03
Starting lineups have been announced. James Harden,
41:05
Nord Powell, Chris Dunn, Kawhi Leonard, Avija
41:08
Zubac, Jamal Murray, Christian Brown, Michael Porter
41:10
Jr., Aaron Gordon, Nikola Yoko, it's your
41:12
same starting five that we have seen
41:14
for both teams throughout this series. You
41:16
should note the total down to 211
41:18
.5. This series so far. has been
41:20
a not a slog in terms of
41:22
pace, but it has been a relatively
41:24
slow pace. They're both half court oriented
41:26
teams. Clippers are an efficient team when
41:28
you talk about their ability to score
41:30
in transition, but they're not going to
41:32
get in transition very often. We saw
41:35
in garbage time just over 75 possessions
41:37
in game three in the two games
41:39
in Denver. You were well under 95
41:41
possession, so low scoring affair potentially because
41:43
of pace, but we've seen this total
41:45
get adjusted here too. So. maybe lean
41:47
toward the over just because of where
41:49
we're at with this series, but nothing
41:51
really strong. What did you make of
41:53
it? They
41:55
didn't play anything. It's about right. Yeah,
41:58
it's about right. It'd be interesting early
42:00
to see the pace of this. What
42:03
do we got? We had to you said we
42:05
I know we had two wonders. Oh no, the
42:07
first game once they under even with overtime. Yes,
42:09
because I had that in our contest. I had
42:11
that over and that was 224 a half on
42:13
the close and I think it ended on 224
42:15
in overtime. Yeah. and that
42:17
was with a three almost at the buzzer and then
42:19
even with 0 .9 left they weren't able to get
42:21
the foul with usually with 0 .9 you get that
42:23
one token foul but there was enough space between
42:26
the inbounder, the receiver of
42:28
the inbounding pass and the defender where he
42:30
caught it and the clock just expired, which
42:32
affected the total and affected the spread because
42:34
Denver didn't cover. No, they did not. Thank
42:36
you, Norm Powell. That's also worth
42:38
noting here through three games. Clippers are 3 and
42:40
0 ATS in this series. We should point that out
42:42
too. Real quick, let me
42:45
ask you this in the last minute. Is it
42:47
as simple as if the Nuggets win this game? We're
42:49
looking at Yolk. It's props over because he goes
42:51
nuclear. Same potential with Jamal Murray. Yes,
42:53
I think so, right? See sometimes it is
42:55
as easy as it looks like you think the
42:58
nuggets are going to cover. I think you've
43:00
got some sort of like pro yokich props in
43:02
your pocket. And
43:04
again, the problem for Denver and there's plenty
43:06
of him in the series. You just can't afford
43:08
to rest much. You can't win the minutes.
43:10
He's on the bench, so he's playing more. He's
43:12
getting tired. I think it's just it's it's
43:14
whack -a -mole in terms of the problems. You one
43:16
problem gets solved. It creates another one. It's
43:18
just I think Denver. Hard to say
43:20
they're drawing dead, but they're really, really up
43:22
against it in the series. If you want
43:24
to bet smarter, not louder, check out the
43:26
sharp place at sharpplays.com where real betters go
43:28
to get ahead. The sharp plays jump on
43:31
the side. The line racks every single time.
43:33
Get insider info, powerful AI tools. You're not
43:35
guessing folks, you're getting ahead. Sign up for
43:37
free betting reports, real -time alerts, next level
43:39
intel via email or on X.
Podchaser is the ultimate destination for podcast data, search, and discovery. Learn More