Live Bet Saturday | April 26, 2025 | Hour 2

Live Bet Saturday | April 26, 2025 | Hour 2

Released Saturday, 26th April 2025
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Live Bet Saturday | April 26, 2025 | Hour 2

Live Bet Saturday | April 26, 2025 | Hour 2

Live Bet Saturday | April 26, 2025 | Hour 2

Live Bet Saturday | April 26, 2025 | Hour 2

Saturday, 26th April 2025
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0:01

This is live

0:04

that Saturday on

0:06

the sand these

0:08

sports betting network

0:10

Tough moment for the Chicago Cubs outfield

0:12

right now, so we have let's

0:15

see I want to get exactly who

0:17

this is that was up right

0:19

now But Brown is on the hill

0:21

and bases loaded no outs for

0:23

the Philadelphia Phillies and it is Kepler

0:25

at the plate who it seems

0:27

just hits a shallow pop -up out

0:29

to left -wheel, but the outfielders don't

0:31

know what to do with it, and

0:33

whoever's in left field today, I

0:35

believe it's Hap, decides, no, that's gonna

0:37

hit, that's gonna drop foul, and

0:39

it doesn't. So, Schwerber gets to come

0:41

in, it is one, nothing, Philly up

0:43

on top, bases are loaded at the top

0:45

of the fourth inning, so Cubs might come

0:47

to rue that. Should also rue the fact

0:49

that Jackson Churio has tied this game up

0:51

in the ninth inning against the St. Louis

0:54

Cardinals. That was a five to three game

0:56

St. Louis up on top, but a

0:58

two -run shot, Churio and the Brewers has this

1:00

knotted up at five apiece updated numbers for

1:02

both of those games here. And then I

1:04

want your very smart intellect on all

1:06

of this. I think it's redundant to say

1:08

smart intellect 5 5 between the St. Louis

1:10

Cardinals and the Milwaukee Brewers minus 165 in

1:13

favor of the Cardinals plus 130 coming

1:15

back on the walkie total 11 and

1:17

a half. Look,

1:19

10 runs scored in a game that looks like

1:21

it might go to extras. We'll see if that actually

1:23

happens. But that seems so much cheaper considering we

1:25

have some extras in front of us with that ghost

1:27

runner. And then 2 -0, Philly's up on top. I'll

1:29

give you an updated number there as they play

1:31

another. What do you make of what's going

1:33

to have, of either of those two games? You were surprised

1:35

that Churio hit the 2 -run shot. Yeah,

1:38

did he get it off Hellsley too? Because I got the

1:40

split screen with all these games on at the same

1:42

time as Philly adds another run. I think the

1:45

bases are still going to be loaded. Yeah, the play

1:47

you were referring to with the pop -up dropping up,

1:49

that was one of those situations. You got it.

1:51

I got it. Nobody got it. And then it falls,

1:54

not harmlessly, but it falls for a base

1:56

hit. Even if it's value, you want to

1:58

catch the ball. That was very catchable. So

2:00

strange play. But yeah, impressive by Cheerio

2:02

to Homer. I think off Hellsley. It was really

2:04

good. was off Those are struggling. Yeah,

2:06

Klase, Halsey gives one up, Williams

2:08

for the Yankees. Basically, I

2:10

think turned it to unusable. And I

2:12

know it's only a month in, but he's

2:14

been awful. You'll wonder if... I

2:16

always think kickers are a lot like

2:18

closers where you blow on, especially in the

2:20

playoffs to cost your team a game.

2:22

I've seen kickers ruin their careers over it.

2:25

I've seen closers ruin their careers where

2:27

they're just never the same after. Mark Wollers,

2:29

Donnie Moore, kickers, Mike Vanderjot, Blair

2:31

Walsh, both of our guys, when you miss kicks

2:33

in the playoffs to cost your team a playoff game,

2:35

those guys' careers were over shortly after. It's

2:38

just, it's such a psychological position that

2:40

I worried a little bit about that with

2:42

Williams coming into the season and he's

2:44

been bad. So, Hellsley's been bad, Klase Williams

2:46

for the. Yankees that there's been some

2:48

closing issues. But no, as far as these

2:50

games here, 5 -5 looks like we're going

2:52

bottom nine, Milwaukee, St. Louis, Mets, Nats

2:54

still in a delay. The

2:57

Rockies are losing which you could just

2:59

copy and paste that sound and keep that for

3:01

the rest the year because that is a terrible,

3:03

terrible team. I don't know how you make their over

3:05

under low enough that this Rockies bunch boy. They

3:07

are really, really bad. So I don't know anything jump

3:09

out to you. How many games do you think

3:11

the Rockies way now? I'll put you in the spot

3:13

here. What's a fair over under for them at

3:15

the JVT Sports Bowl 11. It's

3:18

about right. I mean,

3:20

in all seriousness, teams are never really as bad

3:22

as we expect them to be. This Rockies team

3:24

is pretty bad though. If I

3:26

were to, if I were to hang up 58 and

3:28

a half, what would you bet? Oh,

3:30

under. Yeah, really? That far under,

3:32

huh? Yeah. Yeah. I mean, look at

3:34

that division. The Giants, the Dodgers, Podges, they're

3:36

going to get killed. They're really, really

3:39

bad. Just, I don't know if you could

3:41

build a legitimate team sustainably in that

3:43

building, just because it's so deep. Like the

3:45

breaking ball breaks differently. Pitchers,

3:47

it's hard to, it's almost like you need two

3:49

different teams. It's really hard to win there. but

3:51

they they are really bad. They're seemingly bad every

3:53

year, but they were thinking like through the worst

3:55

team, don't they? You think so? You think we're

3:57

going to push for 120 losses? By the way,

4:00

another goal for Minnesota underway right now

4:02

in the second period. About 90 seconds

4:04

in and the wild have taken a

4:06

2 -1 lead over the Vegas Golden Knights.

4:08

Wow, a big one there. Knights were

4:10

pretty strong favorites in this series. Very

4:12

strong favorites today and they trailed 2

4:14

-1 in the second 1836 left to

4:16

go. We'll give you the update, but

4:18

so we think they push for 120

4:20

losses. something like that. 50

4:22

and 112 sounds about right to me.

4:24

I don't know. OK, all right. Not too

4:26

far off. I think I believe,

4:28

but I agree with your premise. The National League

4:30

doesn't look like it's going anywhere. It's been

4:32

National League West. Yeah, looks like it's not going

4:34

anywhere anytime soon, despite some questions about the

4:36

San Francisco Giants and others. Alright, so real quick

4:39

heads are spinning because there's a lot going

4:41

on. A sack fly for Philly. They are up

4:43

3 -1 top of the fourth. So some first

4:45

five wagers, obviously those who are sweating that

4:47

out. Feeling a little Lansing three nothing, I think

4:49

right? Three nothing. Yeah, just so that three

4:51

nothing pop out fly. They got runners on the

4:53

corners right now in the top of the

4:55

fourth inning there. As we said, Minnesota of two.

4:57

1836 left to go in the second. We

4:59

are also underway again in our other playoff game

5:01

that is in the association and the OKC

5:03

Thunder coming out firing for those don't remember did

5:05

like 10 and a half here at halftime

5:07

with OKC. They were up 69 61 at a

5:09

break here. So let's get some updated numbers

5:11

really quickly and I want to hit on some

5:13

news coming out of the NBA. That is

5:15

pretty impactful. First off with this hockey game right

5:17

now. Minnesota Wild. A two to

5:19

one lead. They are two dollar favorites now.

5:21

Plus one fifty five coming back on the

5:24

gold at Knights. Total seven and a half

5:26

shaded to the under minus two hundred over

5:28

at Bet MGM. Baseball as we

5:30

look at some of these games where keep

5:32

the track of the Phillies and Cubs. Phillies now

5:34

a twelve dollar favorite. Now that

5:36

guy cut down as I'm watching a

5:38

plus six fifty coming back on the

5:40

Cubs. And then for the

5:42

association really quickly thunder back up to

5:44

the pre flop number 14 and

5:46

a half point spread with a total

5:48

of 225 and a half. Will

5:50

I mentioned some news? We do have

5:52

in less than an hour tip

5:54

off between the Los Angeles Clippers and

5:56

the Denver Nuggets. Nuggets at least

5:58

one injury did not go their way.

6:00

Russell Westbrook officially out for the

6:02

game today for the Nuggets. Now

6:05

no movement because that I think was factored

6:07

in. You're looking at both of these injuries kind

6:09

of factored in here. I think the more

6:11

impactful one might be Porter and that's obviously a

6:13

that's now multiple injuries, right? Those are cluster

6:15

injuries. If Porter gets ruled out as well, we'll

6:17

probably see this get to seven consensus. Right

6:19

now it's still holding strong at six and a

6:21

half, but all the offshore shops are up

6:23

to seven right now in favor of the Clippers.

6:26

Wow with Westbrook out. I thought maybe the line would

6:28

come down a little bit for the Nuggets. I might

6:30

bet the Nuggets with Westbrook out. I mean, he's been

6:32

fine. He's been okay. Like look, like you, hey, you

6:34

said it, man. He's the reason why they're

6:36

not down three nothing in this series. He hits

6:38

that corner three and that changes everything for him in

6:40

game one in the game, which the Clippers blew.

6:43

And look, I've said this to you play that defensive

6:45

possession that way 100 times out of 100. You're

6:47

going to win that game, right? A vast majority of

6:49

the time, but he is one of the sole

6:51

reasons why they are sitting there with a win in

6:53

the wind column and only down to one as

6:55

opposed to three nothing. Yeah,

6:57

I just I'm starting to get the sense that might

6:59

be the only one Denver gets in the series and.

7:01

part of its tongue and cheek trying to not trying

7:03

to just pencil your team in the next round, but

7:05

I'd be surprised if we're not sitting here a week

7:07

from now. Well, I'll be sitting here week for

7:10

now. I'm not sure what you're going to be doing. You're on to

7:12

bigger and better things. Obviously, you're ditching me. A

7:14

Clippers Thunder second round series is so

7:16

good for so many reasons. Oh, we

7:18

deserve it. All of the talent, all

7:20

of the matchups. This is basically an

7:22

NBA Finals caliber series that we're getting

7:25

in the second round. It is so

7:27

overqualified for a second rounder. Plus, you

7:29

have all the subplots of the trade

7:31

that went from. You know,

7:33

the clippers giving up all that stuff

7:35

in SGA and can the clippers salvage

7:37

that trade to some extent? Well, look,

7:39

you still, you know, you gave

7:41

up a lot. You gave up SGA and Paul

7:43

George was obviously that era was not a success,

7:45

but that did bring Kawhi with it and just

7:48

all of that. all of those little subplots, plus

7:50

the actual basketball on the court. If the Clippers

7:52

could ever pull it off and win that series.

7:54

And if they did, I think the winner of

7:56

that series, regardless, is going to the finals. It's

7:59

just, man, it's such fantastic, fantastic series.

8:01

What's a series price on that look like

8:03

if we get there? I

8:05

would expect especially with the Clippers it like

8:07

it obviously depends on the way the series

8:09

ends like the Clippers need seven games or

8:11

whatever it is like the Nuggets clawed their

8:13

way back into it We're talking I would

8:15

say Thunder you're gonna float around like a

8:17

dollar eighty five favorite Like it's I don't

8:19

think it'll touch two dollars though, even if

8:21

this series gets extended out and the Clippers

8:23

I mean if they win in five I

8:26

mean I think this is you're

8:28

going to talk about like throw up whatever

8:30

the series prices between two teams that are

8:32

rated near equals to each other, right? With

8:34

the thunder getting slight advantage because of home

8:36

court dollar 45, whatever it is. But my

8:38

guess would be dollar 45 to dollar 85,

8:40

depending on the results of these series in

8:42

favor of OKC. Does that sound fair? I

8:44

think it would open up around two hours,

8:46

maybe even a little bit north, but then

8:48

come down similar to Clippers Nuggets how that

8:50

came down. So I think it'll open high.

8:52

But remember, OKC was odds on to win

8:54

the West. I mean, for

8:56

a long time. So that's saying they're headed

8:59

shoulders above these other teams. And now

9:01

they're, they have one more. I know the

9:03

Clippers have played well. So this power

9:05

rate on the clippers growing in a really

9:07

big way. Yeah. I know. And justifiably,

9:09

justifiably. By the way, OKC is pulling away

9:11

here up eight with eight minutes to

9:13

go in the third quarter. Looks like Pippin

9:15

Jr's headed to the line. So. any

9:18

hope of a miracle comeback here for the Grizzlies

9:20

in terms of, you know, getting back in this,

9:22

not getting back in the series, but even forcing

9:24

a game five down sevens. You wonder at some

9:26

point if they get down double digits. This is

9:29

the tricky part of betting the series when it's

9:31

3 -0 and you're betting game four. Do they

9:33

let go of the rope at some point and

9:35

OKC just runs away with this thing. So it

9:37

looks like you got a pretty good bet here

9:39

laying your 10 and a half. Yep, both three

9:41

throws good and it is 69 -63. Eight minutes left

9:43

to go and we should note that the Phillies

9:45

are now pouring it on here. happens

9:47

man. A little snowball becomes an

9:49

avalanche. You let that ball drop and

9:51

all a sudden this thing just will not

9:53

end and you mentioned it. So we're

9:55

referencing when the bases were loaded with no

9:57

outs for some reason Ian Hap and

9:59

the outfield for net the outfield just the

10:01

left side of the field there for

10:04

Chicago. It seemed like Ian Hap allowed the

10:06

ball to drop. Like you said I

10:08

don't know why because even if you think

10:10

it's foul that's an out regardless though

10:12

that has led to an avalanche here for

10:14

the Philadelphia Phillies. So he scoreless game

10:16

entering the fourth is now six nothing. with

10:18

Elvia on top with two outs now

10:20

after I believe the sack fly from Bryce

10:22

Harper. So runner on second two outs.

10:24

Filly up six to nothing right now in

10:26

that one. Let's see a couple of

10:28

other score updates is remandering these. Will and

10:30

I sweating out the bottom of the

10:32

fourth Texas San Francisco. We both have a

10:34

first five play on Texas in some

10:36

way or shape. You have Texas plus the

10:38

half run. I have Texas money line

10:40

up to nothing right now bottom of the

10:42

fourth inning. San Francisco up to bat

10:44

there and I believe we are. or is

10:46

this game over between Milwaukee and St.

10:48

Louis? The St. Louis walk it off.

10:50

Oh, they walked it off in the bottom.

10:52

They took it off my little quad box

10:54

here. So I think St. Louis. I think

10:56

St. Louis walked it off. Yes, they did.

10:58

St. Louis Cardinals walk it off there in

11:00

the bottom of the ninth inning. Nolan Aronato

11:02

with a walk off solo shot to end

11:04

this thing. Cardinals get the win 6 to

11:06

5 at home over the Milwaukee Brewers. Graham

11:10

Mertz has just been drafted by the

11:12

Texans. Are we just picking random players now?

11:14

What are we doing? Graham Mertz? Edge

11:16

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11:18

betters. I will not slander Graham Mertz. Ensuring

11:20

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11:22

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11:27

Edge Boost .Bent promo code live. Deposit $25

11:29

at Edge Boost. So that's the deposit

11:31

that is Edge Boost .Bent. Did you see

11:33

all the cowheads that was in Quinn Ewer's

11:35

living room? It was crazy. I

11:37

did. I did. This

11:51

is live that Saturday on the

11:53

sand. These sports better work. Three

12:00

outs to the promised land for us. Texas Rangers

12:02

get out of the bottom of the fourth

12:04

one is free. It is two nothing top of

12:06

the fifth inning. San Francisco

12:08

Giants trail there the fourth

12:10

inning at least the top

12:12

of it ends Mercifully for

12:14

the Chicago Cubs a sixth

12:16

run avalanche for the Philadelphia

12:18

Phillies there So if you're

12:20

so inclined to look at

12:22

some of these in -game prices

12:24

right now Phillies Can I

12:26

borrow $10 ,000 will? sure

12:29

All right, cool. All right. I'm going to

12:31

throw that on the Phillies to win $100 because

12:33

that is their money line price right now.

12:35

1650 coming back on the Chicago Cubs. 10

12:38

and a half. nice straddle. a

12:40

nice straddle, right? Mine's 10 ,000, 16 to one

12:42

come the other way. I mean, you know, you

12:44

got to look at it in terms of the

12:46

percentages, not so much the payout, right? You know,

12:48

the bookmakers will tell you, well, in terms of

12:50

the hold, it's actually the right track. You know,

12:52

although that one might be a little. A little

12:54

strong end game there. The

12:57

other games that were monitoring, we

12:59

talked about this. I threw it out as

13:01

I thought whether or not this could be

13:03

something. Did not bet it, but the athletics

13:05

did get to put something on the board.

13:07

6 -1, fifth inning now. So they trail by

13:09

five. My thought was maybe taken four and

13:11

a half, about minus 120, asking them to

13:14

stay inside of that run line there. They

13:16

at least tack one on White Sox, though

13:18

a $9 favorite, plus $550 coming back on

13:20

the athletics. We're also still

13:22

suspended with Mets and Nationals. So

13:24

that game underway and obviously suspended due

13:26

to weather. So we will see

13:28

if that gets back on the field.

13:30

I wanted to ask you this. I

13:33

was going to say quickly on that early

13:35

delay. That's very unusual. You usually don't see a

13:37

bottom of the first rain delay. With the

13:39

technology they have now, if they expect rain that

13:42

early, they're just not going to start the

13:44

game on time. I didn't

13:46

see at what point in the first they started.

13:48

But did the Mets throw a pitch yet? Did

13:50

that pitcher warm up? Can he go back if

13:52

he continues? We're in the bottom of the first.

13:55

So at least they got to the top half of the

13:57

inning. Yeah. I'm wondering if the Mets guy threw a

13:59

pitch though, because that brings in a question. Hey,

14:01

if I bet, you know, the Mets pitcher

14:03

under strikeouts in the game resumes and he

14:05

doesn't, does he have to throw a pitch?

14:07

Does his name have to be submit the

14:09

lineup card? He's actually a third of the

14:11

way through the inning. So he's given up.

14:13

So he got it out through a pitch.

14:15

Yep. He's thrown 12 pitches. He

14:18

has actually given up a hit as well.

14:20

So in theory, we're delayed. The Washington Nationals do

14:22

have one out with a runner on first. That

14:25

might I mean we're getting up towards like an

14:27

hour delay I don't know if we come back here

14:29

and can resume play Do you bring them back

14:31

out there? It's getting dicey you're getting to the point

14:33

where usually anything over like 45 minutes They're very

14:35

careful with these pictures now So that would be one

14:37

where man check the weather if you're betting these

14:39

picture props and I like his over strikeouts Well, make

14:41

sure you're not gonna have a rain delay in

14:43

the first or second inning or something like that So

14:46

that's when to keep an eye on in terms

14:48

of the props that might be a bad beat if

14:50

you had the over enough one where

14:52

you could steal some stuff. If you have the

14:54

underouts under strikeouts under hits, whatever, if you

14:56

had an inkling that rain was coming, you could

14:58

you could find a nice one really on

15:00

both pictures because I don't know after an hour

15:02

delay. I'm not sure if we're going to

15:04

see both pictures again. Hasn't quite been that yet

15:06

yet. So but kind of running out of

15:08

time here before we see these pictures return. I

15:10

did want to ask you this as this

15:12

team is right now in this delay, but the

15:14

Mets before yesterday had won seven straight games

15:16

and did sweep a series from the Philadelphia Phillies.

15:19

What have we made of what we've seen from the

15:21

Mets in the early going in this run that

15:23

they're on that has them at about what, 18 and

15:25

eight right now? You talked about

15:27

big picture problems for some of these teams. Are

15:29

we buying what we're seeing from the Mets? Because

15:31

part of this run that they have been on

15:33

is also included two series with Miami Marlins, the

15:35

Minnesota Twins. Actually, they lost that series to Cardinals.

15:37

They did sweep to Phillies, but the schedule hasn't

15:39

been that tough for them. I

15:42

think they're good. I think they're really good.

15:44

I think that I mean they're 18 and

15:46

18 and seven going into yesterday. So 18

15:48

and eight. Soto hasn't even

15:50

hit yet. They've got Sean Minaya was what their

15:52

second best pitcher coming back. You know with Cohen

15:54

they're going to add guys at the deadline. The

15:57

Phillies it seems like possibly that

15:59

window is closed. Atlanta is playing well

16:01

but they've dug themselves a hole. I

16:03

actually think Mets in the minus 120, minus 125

16:05

range to win a division. I know it's odds

16:07

on and there's a lot of time to go.

16:10

That might be one where you look in a couple months

16:12

and say, man, I wish I grabbed the minus 125.

16:14

Because I think the Mets, hell, once you get to the

16:16

playoffs, who knows? Everyone's 0 -0. And

16:19

you're no luck to even get a buy with how

16:21

good the National League is. got to get one of

16:24

these top two seeds. Otherwise, you're in that best of

16:26

three scenario, which they benefited from last year. Those are

16:28

such a crapshoot. But as far as the regular season

16:30

to me, this looks like. You know,

16:32

high 90s win team, a division champion. I think

16:34

Soto eventually is going to hit, especially as

16:36

the weather gets warmer. I think they're really, really

16:38

good. I understand you could poke holes a

16:40

little bit and say, oh, the schedule hasn't been

16:42

there, but Alonzo is mashing the ball. You

16:44

got Lindor, Soto, Alonzo, and some of the other

16:46

complimentary guys. That's a really, really

16:49

good lineup. Yeah, to me

16:51

it was the fact that you're talking about here.

16:53

The fact that Soto really has not been

16:55

Soto and you're here doing what you're doing has

16:57

been pretty impressive so far. If

16:59

you were listening anywhere watching, you heard

17:01

a roar on my end. VGK

17:03

with a pretty big opportunity that goes

17:05

to the wayside. A strong save

17:07

from Minnesota, but puck on the rebound

17:09

is just out in the out

17:11

of the crease with nobody around. VGK

17:14

gets to it. They got an easy goal,

17:16

but instead Minnesota knocks it away. I think

17:18

we have an icing call right now, but

17:20

either way, Minnesota. Minnesota still up 2 to

17:22

1 despite the fact that shots on goal

17:24

Vegas really having a sizable edge here 1710.

17:26

So I believe they're monitoring whether or not

17:28

this is an icing call or whatever it

17:30

is. I don't know. My intricacy when it

17:32

comes to rules is not the strongest. So

17:34

we'll see what exactly the rule is here.

17:36

But again, Minnesota 2 -1 despite trailing in

17:38

terms of shots on goal 1224 left to

17:40

go in the second sizable favorites there. All

17:42

right, Will. We head to the bottom of

17:44

the fifth. How we feel in Texas Rangers

17:46

up to nothing over San Francisco. You got

17:48

the game on right? You can see it. Got

17:51

it on. We're going to the fifth. White Langford

17:53

looks like just struck out on a change up

17:55

from Robbie Ray. So two nothing heading to the

17:57

bottom of the fifth. We are three outs away

17:59

from cashing the ticket. And if you got that

18:01

half a run and you laid the extra juice,

18:03

only a three or three or more spot beats

18:05

you here. So you're in really good shape. So

18:07

never over till it's over. But I feel pretty

18:09

good here. If you got Texas in the first

18:11

five in a game, the market really, really liked

18:13

San Francisco and. I understand the Texas

18:16

has used a bunch of guys in their bullpen on

18:18

the last couple of nights. So it's going to be

18:20

maybe dice here for them to hang on to this

18:22

lead. And maybe they have to push Molly deep into

18:24

this game, try to get six, maybe even seven out

18:26

of them. But the Rangers in terms of the first

18:28

five, very. Very good shape here

18:30

as we need three hours. We are 40

18:32

minutes away. A little bit less than that from

18:34

Clippers and Nuggets. We finally have the last

18:36

bit of information on the injuries for Denver. Michael

18:38

Porter Jr. is available to play. He will

18:40

be out there tonight for the Denver Nuggets. We're

18:42

starting to see those offshore shops which were

18:44

as high as seven. Now back down to six

18:46

and a half at a couple of places.

18:48

Still plenty of sevens out there if you're shopping

18:50

offshore that you can go and grab. But

18:52

Michael Porter Jr. will be available. Does that change

18:54

anything for you? Chris Haines. No,

18:57

excuse me, not Chris Haines. Mark Spears.

18:59

the other day had a pretty interesting tweet

19:01

and report which was essentially if Porter

19:03

Jr. told him if I feel like this

19:05

again I am definitely not feeling like

19:07

I can contribute it and I'm paraphrasing to

19:09

that so that shoulder clearly bothered him

19:11

the other day and you do have to

19:13

wonder if just with one day off

19:15

how much better that feels for him. What's

19:18

the prop fallout here the domino effect with

19:20

the props because you've been watching the series

19:22

Very keenly as I have to although I

19:24

didn't watch what the draft going on in

19:26

the blowout I didn't watch every play do

19:28

that day. Can I say two games? I

19:30

want to check really quickly. That was a

19:32

day where as much as we enjoy sports

19:34

That was one rose like broke and we

19:36

calm down here a little bit. I know

19:38

we had we had three NBA games on

19:40

that day We had two really good series

19:42

to yes two games are really looking forward

19:44

to you really looking forward to and another

19:46

where there was a historic comeback happening with

19:48

the Oklahoma City Thunder against the Memphis Grizzlies.

19:50

We had multiple playoff hockey games, obviously baseball,

19:52

the NFL draft. Like I sat there and

19:54

it was one of those days where I paid attention to everything and I

19:56

felt like I paid attention to nothing at the same time. I agree. I

19:59

agree. I wonder if it would get to the point.

20:01

It hasn't yet, so maybe it won't. And I don't know

20:03

how I'd feel about this because the way I am,

20:05

if they change it, I miss it the old way because

20:07

it was such a good night. I wonder if they'd

20:09

ever get to a point where the NBA just kind of

20:11

sits it out and says, you know what, it's the

20:14

NFL drafts night. Let's not go head to head.

20:16

We can afford to take a night off and we'll just we'll

20:18

kind of punt on the night of the draft the first

20:20

night. They're not going to worry about the second third day. You

20:22

think that would ever come? Would that make sense? Maybe,

20:24

maybe not. I don't know. I think you're probably going to

20:26

try to just keep it going because you set the schedule

20:28

back a day just for the NFL draft. Who knows? The

20:32

NBA shown a bit of stubbornness and look, I

20:34

mean, they do maybe feel a little bit better.

20:36

I don't know if you saw the story about

20:38

the ratings, but like it was the first like

20:40

most watch opening weekend of the postseason in like

20:42

a while. So they're probably feeling somewhat good about

20:44

this thing. Do want to know big scoring on.

20:46

opportunity here potentially coming VGK on another power play

20:48

where about 40 seconds in. So the Knights try

20:50

to tie this game up. They are down to

20:52

one and on their third power play of the

20:54

game so far scored on the first one did

20:56

nothing on the second. We'll see if third time's

20:58

a charm or they can find Peter once more.

21:00

You mentioned player props. Michael Porter Jr. 10 and

21:02

a half shaded to the under at minus one

21:04

25 in terms of overall points. Player

21:07

threes for Michael Porter Jr. One and

21:09

a half. I would say I think the

21:11

way that you attack this to be honest

21:13

with you. I think you go

21:15

under, maybe I'm getting too cute here, so you

21:17

tell me or not. I think you go

21:19

under rebounds, because if your shoulder's bothering you, I

21:21

don't think you're going up with both arms

21:23

to grab a rebound and a contested one at

21:25

that if you're Porter. You're probably fighting through

21:27

the pain to put up a couple of shots,

21:29

but in terms of actually fighting for a

21:31

contested rebound, I think you're leaning under

21:33

rebounds with Porter Jr. If we're assuming he

21:36

is still feeling the effects of the shoulder

21:38

injury. What about a couple

21:40

things that if anything was going to go over

21:42

assist because maybe he's just more differential and the

21:44

one thing you can do is pass. Sure. But

21:46

I don't know if you're getting a fair payout

21:48

parlaying the points assists in rebounds all under with

21:50

the hope that he starts the game and he's

21:52

just not 100 percent in the minutes aren't there

21:54

that maybe you can just you can cash all

21:56

my did that with Pajemski the other night where

21:58

there was a report he was sick who knows

22:00

who plays. So you know what I'm going to

22:02

do I'm going to parlay all of his unders

22:04

in case he starts can't really go he ended

22:06

up with zero zero zero and like. 10, 12

22:08

minutes, whatever it was. So if it's an injured

22:11

player and you can get a fair price on

22:13

the correlation here, despite the correlation, I might just

22:15

look at all the numbers. Although assists could be

22:17

dicey. The bubbleguts really bothering Brandon Poginski the other

22:19

day was somewhat rough. All right. 10 seconds left

22:21

to go. I will let you guess whether or

22:23

not the Knights did anything on this power play.

22:25

The answer is no. We come back. We continue

22:27

to look at the updated numbers for everything going

22:29

on. We also have some baseball games getting started

22:31

in the next 30 or 40 minutes. Don't go

22:33

anywhere. It is live. That's Saturday. This

22:41

is live that Saturday on V -SAN.

22:43

These sports better yet work. Will,

22:49

what is your strategy? We were talking

22:51

about this earlier. When it comes

22:53

to rain, rain delays, would it apply

22:55

to what's going on between Chicago and Sacramento

22:57

right now? Because it is going down

22:59

hard in Sacramento. No,

23:02

just because you're already in the sixth

23:04

inning. So my strategy is ideally before

23:06

the game. Kevin Roth is a great.

23:09

follow on Twitter as it looks like San Francisco

23:11

is tied the game on a base hit one

23:13

out in the fifth so cheese. That's

23:15

a tough one. Find a

23:17

game where there is expected

23:19

rain but expected rain early

23:21

second third fourth inning where

23:23

delay happens in ideally an

23:26

extended delay where. the pitchers

23:28

start, but they only throw

23:30

two, three innings, 40, 50

23:32

pitches. Then you get your extended

23:34

delay, and they aren't able to come back

23:36

onto the mound, and you can cash them

23:38

under, strikeouts, hits, whatever it is. You

23:40

can get some wins that way, and you

23:42

can parlay both pitchers in a lot of these

23:45

books. And parlays are not always the way

23:47

to go, but when there's correlation, parlays are just

23:49

fine to make. So those are ones to

23:51

look at. But when you're already in the sixth

23:53

inning, like the A's, through springs the White

23:55

Sox use an opener for the second straight day

23:57

with uh with uh who's the lefty here

23:59

Gilbert so yeah cannon came in so there's really

24:01

no way to attack it once you're deep

24:03

into this game so uh but but keep an

24:05

eye on the weather it's very important for

24:07

those things especially even if you're not looking to

24:09

parlay the outs you want to know hey

24:11

i like this guy over strikeouts well it's gonna

24:13

raid in the third or fourth inning that

24:15

that makes it very dicey uh to attack it

24:17

from that perspective so We, uh, boy, we

24:19

got to sweat out this Texas one now. Jeez.

24:21

I know it's never easy. Is it? I

24:23

mean, I had a Texas Rangers money line. Come

24:25

on now. These

24:28

guys, I'm also for good. That's a

24:30

bad feeling when you have a team in the first

24:32

five, the road team in the first five on the money

24:34

line and you have to sit there and sweat out

24:36

a push where you cannot win the bet. Yep. when

24:38

your own your loss or only that's just

24:40

that's not a fun sweat. No, no, it is

24:43

not. So come on now. Let's let's get

24:45

this done here. Texas at least get out and

24:47

we can get our money back. Power play

24:49

for Minnesota. Not really going anywhere, although they're being

24:51

a little bit more aggressive than Vegas. 13

24:53

seconds left. They lead two to one 713

24:55

left to go in the second period. Some

24:57

updated numbers for you here on this. The

24:59

total has been of interest. We saw this

25:01

get as high as seven and a half.

25:03

We're now down to five and a half

25:05

shaded to the over minus 140 with the

25:07

wild. up to one. This power

25:09

play is going to end with no

25:12

damage done here so it is still a

25:14

2 -1 lead with about 645 left to

25:16

go in the second period but they

25:18

are 2 -25 favorites on the money line

25:20

plus 180 coming back on the Vegas Golden

25:22

Knights trailing only by one goal. So

25:24

I get there at home but it's only

25:26

a one goal deficit. I'm curious to

25:28

see as this continues to climb. if there's

25:31

going to be an opportunity where the

25:33

Vegas Golden Knights become enticing for some, but

25:35

do have VGK to win the series

25:37

that I made before this game began. So

25:39

very much like the Knights to get this done.

25:41

All right, with that other baseball games, let's hit

25:44

on the ones that are about to start here

25:46

in the next 30, because we'll have some pretty

25:48

deep divey stuff on what's going to happen again.

25:50

and our playoff game set to begin. We should

25:52

also note that we are back underway between Mets

25:54

and Nationals. So we're waiting for that game, whether

25:56

or not it's going to get started. And I

25:58

think we are now in the second inning. So

26:00

we have resumed play there between Washington and New

26:02

York. But Will Walker -Bueller gets the start. against

26:05

the Cleveland Guardians here. The second

26:07

of a double header today between

26:09

these two. Did you see anything

26:11

here? $1 .20 price tag in

26:13

favor of the Boston Red Sox.

26:15

Red Sox starting to turn it

26:18

to the team. I think many

26:20

expected them to be. Breitman

26:22

has been a pretty good solid addition for

26:24

them as many expected them to be. They

26:26

have lost three straight, but it looked like

26:28

they were starting to turn things around for

26:30

the positive. But now sitting at 500, anything

26:32

here in the road spot double header against.

26:34

Cleveland. Yeah, I didn't

26:36

play anything here and I think you said it

26:38

well where this is a team that everybody was

26:40

on a lot of people were on and a

26:42

lot of sharp betters too. It's not like this

26:45

was just kind of a square play. A lot

26:47

of a lot of people are on this team

26:49

only 14 and 14. It's a really mediocre American

26:51

League as we talked about and it's a bad

26:53

14 and 14 too because they've played seven games

26:55

against the White Sox so. That's one

26:57

where you play a pretty soft schedule, seven

26:59

games against the White Sox. You figure you

27:01

bank five, maybe six wins, and you can

27:03

build yourself a cushion up to only be

27:05

500. I know it's early, but

27:07

a disappointing start here for the Red Sox. I

27:09

haven't played anything in this game. Is there

27:11

anything you're looking at? No, I mean, I think

27:13

to your point of what we're talking about here,

27:15

I'd be curious to see what Bueller brings

27:17

to the table. Some of the underlying metrics to

27:19

Bueller would paint a little bit more of a

27:22

positive picture, not like by a massive amount,

27:24

but a 382 expected fielding, or maybe a 345

27:26

expected field. 382 expected ERA not

27:28

too far off from where he's at right now.

27:30

But it just paints a slightly better picture than what

27:32

they've gotten from him. But he has looked look

27:34

he's looked better this year than he did last year

27:36

and I know a lot of people are kind

27:38

of selling on it. And if he starts to even

27:40

out they've got a pretty good guy. Not anything

27:42

though that's worth jumping on. I like to find these

27:44

guys that have these big differentials. ERA

27:47

field fielding independent and really pounce on those guys

27:49

to see if there's any bit of value or

27:51

maybe that the market's not accounting for. But

27:53

Bueller doesn't really have a lot of good indicators

27:55

through. That's the case. So didn't really have anything to

27:57

curious. See if they can get off this night,

27:59

but that's really about it when it came to this.

28:01

Just what Bueller's performance is going to be here

28:03

today against the Guardians. Yeah,

28:05

that makes sense as we're trying to get this

28:07

final out. Then we got two outs here. Bottom

28:10

of the fifth Texas San Francisco as

28:12

we're trying to get through the fifth year.

28:14

You want the push? I want to

28:16

win with my hook here. These half runs.

28:18

If you can find. cheap price

28:20

where you only have to lay $1 .30, $1 .40.

28:22

Getting a half run in the first five is so

28:25

valuable. How many times you see

28:27

it where it's two, two after five, something

28:29

like that. So that's one I've started to

28:31

play. And honestly, I need to start playing

28:33

it more because I think these are solid

28:35

underrated bets. Especially you've got two good pitchers.

28:37

You got a low total. Getting a half

28:39

run is extremely valuable in the first five.

28:41

Yes, absolutely. There's been many a first

28:43

five bet that I have won on a half run. So

28:47

it's a good feeling. Yes, it is

28:49

a you feel like you got away with

28:51

one for the most part. Yes. All

28:53

right. As you keep an eye on that

28:55

real quick, want to get your thoughts

28:57

on one more as well. Orioles taking on

28:59

the Tigers here today right now. Current

29:01

number. We'll try to find it here in

29:03

favor of Baltimore because this one's going

29:05

to get started at 310 as well. But

29:07

Tigers right now. Yeah, like a pick

29:10

minus 110 minus 105 total is nine, depending

29:12

where you look. Orioles will roll with

29:14

an opener. Keegan Aiken will. the start. He

29:16

will not be out there for long.

29:18

And then on the other side, you're going

29:20

to get Montero getting the start for

29:22

the Tigers. There are two starts, nine and

29:24

a third. Montero has been getting wrecked.

29:26

Walks are an issue. He's got a 771

29:28

ERA. Fielding independence at 817. Woodwin

29:30

think that it's not going to be a

29:32

long outing for Montero and not a successful one

29:34

at that. Haven't seen anything positive from him.

29:36

Think the Orioles can get to him here in

29:38

a near picked money line price. Would lean

29:41

a little bit toward Baltimore, which seems pretty cheap

29:43

given what we've seen from Montero. but nothing

29:45

strong for me. Yeah, I

29:47

would look towards and over just because like

29:49

you said, Montero's numbers are awful. The

29:51

Orioles, it doesn't matter who they throw. They

29:53

have no pitching. It feels like the bloom has

29:55

come off the rose for this team a

29:57

little bit where it's not that long ago where,

29:59

man, the Orioles are set almost like OKC

30:01

like where they're so good. They're so young. They've

30:03

got so many prospects. They're headed for great

30:05

things. Well, they got swept in the playoffs two

30:07

years ago. They got swept again this year

30:09

and all of their pitching injuries make it a

30:11

situation where, man, I don't even know. I

30:14

think there are underdogs who even make the playoffs

30:16

with the six teams making it. They just

30:18

they got no pitching. Charlie Morton is shot. They

30:20

throw these guys at the mound every day or

30:22

just boy, you hold your breath that you can get

30:24

five innings three runs and just turn it over

30:27

to the bullpen. So it'd be over nothing. I still

30:29

like their lineup. I just I don't think they

30:31

have much pitching. I didn't see who they had for

30:33

a bulk guy. That's what made this game hard

30:35

to handicaps. It'll be like who's coming in after the

30:37

opener. do we have for a bullpen? So they've

30:39

got either. So they have ESPN has Morton listed, but

30:41

I've got an opener or two other screens here.

30:43

Yeah, that's what I saw. Yeah. So I think I

30:45

don't know who's going to come in after Aiken

30:47

at this point right now, but Aiken is going to

30:49

get the start. He's going to open the game

30:51

for sure. So maybe

30:53

they go Morton for bulk and Morton's been

30:55

bad. Morton's been really, really bad. We talked

30:58

about 10 points, 1089 eras, not terrible. It's

31:01

not a good career, but it might might

31:03

be over for Charlie. I would agree. All

31:05

right, really quick. Also NBA postseason Grizzlies not

31:07

going away. Don't know if the Thunder are

31:09

going to have anything here to get me

31:11

home late 10 and a half. They're up

31:13

by 592 87. We've got nine and a

31:16

half minutes left to go in the fourth.

31:18

We have seen teams late in fourth quarters

31:20

end up giving up the ghosts. We saw

31:22

that from Miami in the first game against

31:24

Cleveland. Maybe that'll be the case here, but

31:26

did late 10 and a half would like

31:28

this thing to end. And on the other

31:30

end in baseball Cubs doing their best. get

31:32

back into this thing. Base is loaded. They

31:34

finally get a knock against Lazardo. It is

31:36

six to two bottom of the fifth right

31:38

now out there in Chicago. So

31:41

let me double check to see what this number is

31:43

right now. But oh, hey, we got out of it.

31:45

Huh? Top of the sixth inning. San Francisco, Texas

31:48

2 -2. You get the win. I get the push. Yes.

31:50

Yes. There was, I don't if it was a

31:52

caught steal or it was as the grizzly. get

31:55

the roll here on a three. Pippin Jr. gets

31:57

a friendly shooter's bounce. It's now a two -point game.

31:59

Yeah, guy for San Francisco tried to advance on a

32:01

ball in the dirt. He got thrown out. So

32:03

we go 2 -2 into the six. And we're just

32:05

saying, OK, he answers with the three of their own.

32:07

They were just saying on the broadcast of the

32:09

Rangers Giants game that they asked Bochi how he's going

32:11

to get the final, you know, six -nine out to

32:13

the game with his bullpen rested. He goes, that's

32:15

a great question. I guess we'll have to see. Maybe

32:18

the Giants on a live line is where you

32:20

jump in here because Texas is really going to have

32:22

a hard time piecing together these final few winnings

32:24

with the state of their bullpen. Yep. We're looking at

32:26

right now in game right now for the San

32:28

Francisco Giants. If you want to go in that direction

32:31

is minus 180 with a total seven. That's a

32:33

little much. That might be a little much. If you

32:35

want to lay the run and a half, you

32:37

can go plus 240. Nah. not tied

32:39

and tied going into the sixth inning. It's

32:41

just, I don't want to get burned by

32:43

the hook. The 180s, it's properly priced. Might

32:45

even be inflated there. for

33:08

everything we do through August 1st. It

33:10

is at vson.com slash subscribe to run

33:12

shot for the New York Mets and

33:14

they are up to nothing over the

33:16

Washington Nationals in that raid delayed contest.

33:18

We got eight a half minutes left

33:20

to go between OKC and Memphis and

33:22

we are approaching tip off between Clippers

33:24

and Nuggets. 15

33:32

minutes away from tip off a little bit

33:34

more. From tip off between

33:36

the Denver Nuggets and the Los Angeles Clippers.

33:38

A smattering of six and a half's across the

33:40

board with a couple of sevens. Quite a

33:42

few sevens out there. Total at two eleven and

33:44

a half. You're just joining us. We are

33:46

approaching the start of this game. Game four between

33:48

the Nuggets and the Clippers. Los Angeles looking

33:50

to take a three one series lead into a

33:52

road game against the Nuggets. Coming

33:54

up next week now. should note injury report.

33:57

Important number important names to know here. Russell

33:59

Westbrook will not play today. That foot injury

34:01

a little too much. He will not be

34:03

available, but Michael Porter Jr with the shoulder

34:05

is indeed available. He will get the start

34:07

for the Denver Nuggets today. So with that

34:09

information out there, should note the line moves

34:11

opened up five and a half or up

34:13

to six and a half total open to

34:15

13 and a half. We're down to 211

34:18

and a half. Will everything now on the

34:20

table? What are your expectations for Clippers and

34:22

Nuggets coming up here in a couple of

34:24

minutes? a Clippers

34:26

decisive victory. Another Clippers decisive victory.

34:28

I just don't think Denver outside of

34:30

Yokech has enough and then look

34:32

he's Yokech. It's like having my homes.

34:35

That guy's on the court on the field. There's

34:37

always a chance outside of that man. It's

34:39

just. It feels like it's one on five. There's

34:41

just so many answers. Zubas can give Yoko

34:44

to hard time. Tyrem out. Don,

34:46

to me, is a tremendous defensive

34:48

player. I don't know. Did he

34:50

play enough to get defensive player of the

34:52

year consideration? Because he is that level of defender.

34:54

Kawhi is Kawhi. Man, there's so much talent

34:56

on the Clippers. The Nuggets, I didn't think were

34:58

as good as the Clippers to begin with.

35:00

Now they're banged up. I think

35:03

the Clippers win this decisively. I don't love

35:05

laying seven. It gets to a point where You

35:07

missed it, and it's unplayable, but I don't think

35:09

we're there yet. I still think the Clippers is good,

35:11

even though you're not getting the best the number

35:13

if I had to take it away. I would lay

35:15

it. Let me ask you, I'll put it this

35:17

way, because I think we're pretty lined up on the

35:19

game, and you could get into your thoughts on

35:21

it. What number would you need to take on the

35:23

Nuggets? What number would make you pull the trigger? Seven

35:27

a half, eight. OK,

35:29

so you're almost there. Yeah, like you're almost there. I just,

35:31

look, I laid five and a half early. I just. I'm

35:34

with you. Everything you've hit on

35:36

here done is a great defender

35:38

to put on Jamal Murray. One

35:40

of the very few shot creators

35:42

on this roster, not named Nikola

35:44

Jokic. They have Kawhi Leonard to

35:46

defend multiple positions. They

35:48

have Avicius Zubat, who has statistically been

35:51

the best defensive option. for

35:53

Nikol Jokic. You're never going to shut him

35:55

down. They're also playing them really well. Like they're

35:57

letting them, they're letting them actually, they're kind

35:59

of allowing him on these pick and pops to

36:01

be open along the perimeter. They

36:03

don't want him in that mid range area of

36:05

the floor. So they're letting that happen, but closing

36:07

out on him really well. They're actually big enough.

36:10

The Clippers are on the wings with Kawhi with

36:12

Batum that when they do that where they're just,

36:14

hey, cut off the rim, don't let them get

36:16

there. They're actually able to close out really well

36:18

on him and even put like Kawhi to contest

36:20

a shot or Patu on him to contest a

36:22

shot. And you would think, all right, that's a

36:24

big size mismatch. But sure, when those guys are

36:26

closing out on him, they're closing out on him

36:29

on the perimeter. So it's like they Jeff

36:31

in Gundy's done such a smart job with the way

36:33

they're scheming up this defense. Porter's

36:35

injured. If we're right about the potential

36:37

angle, we'll get to some of the player props here. That's

36:40

one, we'll put like a half rebounder out there on

36:42

the floor that really can't do it. It's been a big

36:44

thing that has actually worked for the Nuggets in terms

36:46

of the offensive rebounding, but that takes a hit with Russell

36:48

Westbrook not out there and with Michael Porter Jr. injured. I

36:51

think when you look at it from the

36:53

perspective of the nuggets on defense as well, they

36:55

don't have anybody for James Harden. I think

36:57

it's fair to ask this Clippers team to get

36:59

a win. Take a 3 -1 series lead and

37:01

go out there with a commanding win tonight.

37:03

Player prop wise, we hit on this when we

37:05

talked about the news that Porter would start.

37:07

his rebound prop at six and a half with

37:09

a fair price to the under. I'd be

37:11

curious to see if that's going to happen. I'll

37:13

put a small bet on that today to

37:15

see if that's going to play. Just because again,

37:17

you got to you got to put both

37:19

hands up there. And if that shoulder is really

37:21

bothering him, are we going to really see

37:23

him fight for some contested rebounds or are you

37:25

going to save some of your bullets with

37:27

a bum shoulder for some of those three. Some

37:29

of these three point shots that the Nuggets

37:31

desperately need. Well, like that's the other part. I've

37:34

mentioned the math battle that the magic find

37:36

themselves in in this series with the Celtics. The

37:38

Nuggets are in a math battle themselves. And

37:40

you saw that in this last game. I think

37:42

the Clippers made 11 more three -pointers in game

37:44

three against them. They're not a high -volume, high

37:46

-efficiency team like the Clippers are. That's

37:48

going to be something, too, where you've got to save

37:50

Porter for the ability. Because if he can't shoot, now

37:52

you're really up against it from a three -point shooting

37:55

standpoint. Totally

37:57

agree. Completely agree. I like the

37:59

Porter under rebounds. I think that's a

38:01

good look. One and

38:03

a half assists. That's one that makes me afraid.

38:05

I mean, I would only look to the unders because

38:07

it's an injured player and there's a chance he

38:09

goes out there and he gives it the old college

38:11

try and then whatever eight minutes in the game,

38:13

he re aggravates it or somebody bangs him and then

38:15

all of a sudden he goes from 50 % to

38:18

20 % and he can't play anymore. So I'd be

38:20

afraid to play any of his overs. But if

38:22

there was one over, you figure he could. If

38:24

he's banged up, he can at least

38:26

get off some passes and look to defer

38:28

more. I don't know. It's an interesting

38:30

handicap, but I think the nuggets are in

38:33

some trouble here. Anything first half, first

38:35

quarter, anything else on this one? No,

38:37

not entirely. mean, look, I think you can, I

38:39

think a lot of people, it's so funny how you

38:41

find how you can evaluate series and in terms

38:43

of desperation. By the way, Thunder have opened up a

38:45

10 point lead here, 102 to 92, 541 left

38:47

to go in the contest. So we'll see if they

38:49

can cover that 10 and a half that I'm

38:51

sitting on. There's a lot of different

38:53

ways to look at it. You can go with the

38:55

angle of the nuggets are desperate. They put their best foot

38:57

forward, but that's going to happen either way. And

39:00

look, the Clippers were still waiting for them

39:02

to get off to like really strong starts in

39:04

this series. It hasn't really happened. Remember in

39:06

game three, they trailed in the first quarter relatively

39:08

early. I think it was like 20 to

39:10

16. They eventually led 35 to 28, but they

39:12

trailed there in the first quarter of game

39:15

two. They were down 31 to 25 in that

39:17

one. And it took them a minute before

39:19

they opened up a double digit lead in the

39:21

game in game one as well. So you

39:23

do wonder if maybe the Clippers finally get off

39:25

to a very good start of their own.

39:27

because the nuggets have gotten off some relatively strong

39:29

starts in this series. And maybe that's the

39:32

way to look at it, because that has not

39:34

been the case either for LA. So

39:36

I would lean toward the Clippers in the

39:38

first quarter, first half angle, only because I

39:40

do expect them at home. You're

39:42

smelling blood in the water if you're LA. Again,

39:45

you can not convince yourself, but tell

39:47

yourself, guys, we could be up 3 -0

39:49

right now in this series. We are better

39:51

than them. They are injured. Let's

39:53

go and put the foot on the

39:55

throat if I could spit it out. and

39:58

get this thing done with a really strong

40:00

home court. Also, I

40:02

mean, we all feel good about the Clippers winning

40:04

this game, winning the series. If they

40:06

ever lost this game and Jokic has one of his

40:08

vintage Jokic's performances and they get contributions, however, anyone

40:10

can win a game pretty much. Then all a sudden

40:12

it's 2 -2 and your five is on the road,

40:14

seven is on the road, then all of a

40:16

sudden you don't feel great about it. So I think

40:18

the Clippers take care of business, but this is

40:20

not like some gravy game. I always say this, I

40:22

always think this, this is a little different because

40:24

the lower seed is the better team. I think we

40:26

all agree. But if you're serious,

40:28

when you're the underdog, when you're the lower

40:30

seat, if you're serious about winning the series,

40:32

I feel like you really need to be

40:35

up 3 -1 after 4. Because when you're

40:37

2 -2 and 5 is on the road, 7

40:39

is on the road, 2 -2 is just

40:41

not good enough. Usually yeah, I would completely

40:43

agree like you said you fought hard to

40:45

get home field or home court advantage here

40:47

Your your goal now at the very least

40:49

would to be end of this at home

40:51

in game six But the reality is you

40:53

could go to Denver and win this series

40:55

two if you're up 3 -1 So you would

40:57

think that that's it, but there's also like

40:59

that that angle of potentially being a a

41:01

pressure situation having to get this done.

41:03

Starting lineups have been announced. James Harden,

41:05

Nord Powell, Chris Dunn, Kawhi Leonard, Avija

41:08

Zubac, Jamal Murray, Christian Brown, Michael Porter

41:10

Jr., Aaron Gordon, Nikola Yoko, it's your

41:12

same starting five that we have seen

41:14

for both teams throughout this series. You

41:16

should note the total down to 211

41:18

.5. This series so far. has been

41:20

a not a slog in terms of

41:22

pace, but it has been a relatively

41:24

slow pace. They're both half court oriented

41:26

teams. Clippers are an efficient team when

41:28

you talk about their ability to score

41:30

in transition, but they're not going to

41:32

get in transition very often. We saw

41:35

in garbage time just over 75 possessions

41:37

in game three in the two games

41:39

in Denver. You were well under 95

41:41

possession, so low scoring affair potentially because

41:43

of pace, but we've seen this total

41:45

get adjusted here too. So. maybe lean

41:47

toward the over just because of where

41:49

we're at with this series, but nothing

41:51

really strong. What did you make of

41:53

it? They

41:55

didn't play anything. It's about right. Yeah,

41:58

it's about right. It'd be interesting early

42:00

to see the pace of this. What

42:03

do we got? We had to you said we

42:05

I know we had two wonders. Oh no, the

42:07

first game once they under even with overtime. Yes,

42:09

because I had that in our contest. I had

42:11

that over and that was 224 a half on

42:13

the close and I think it ended on 224

42:15

in overtime. Yeah. and that

42:17

was with a three almost at the buzzer and then

42:19

even with 0 .9 left they weren't able to get

42:21

the foul with usually with 0 .9 you get that

42:23

one token foul but there was enough space between

42:26

the inbounder, the receiver of

42:28

the inbounding pass and the defender where he

42:30

caught it and the clock just expired, which

42:32

affected the total and affected the spread because

42:34

Denver didn't cover. No, they did not. Thank

42:36

you, Norm Powell. That's also worth

42:38

noting here through three games. Clippers are 3 and

42:40

0 ATS in this series. We should point that out

42:42

too. Real quick, let me

42:45

ask you this in the last minute. Is it

42:47

as simple as if the Nuggets win this game? We're

42:49

looking at Yolk. It's props over because he goes

42:51

nuclear. Same potential with Jamal Murray. Yes,

42:53

I think so, right? See sometimes it is

42:55

as easy as it looks like you think the

42:58

nuggets are going to cover. I think you've

43:00

got some sort of like pro yokich props in

43:02

your pocket. And

43:04

again, the problem for Denver and there's plenty

43:06

of him in the series. You just can't afford

43:08

to rest much. You can't win the minutes.

43:10

He's on the bench, so he's playing more. He's

43:12

getting tired. I think it's just it's it's

43:14

whack -a -mole in terms of the problems. You one

43:16

problem gets solved. It creates another one. It's

43:18

just I think Denver. Hard to say

43:20

they're drawing dead, but they're really, really up

43:22

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