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0:00
You're listening to TIP. Hi there,
0:02
it's wonderful to be back
0:04
with you on the richer,
0:06
wiser, happier podcast. Today's episode
0:08
is one of my all-time
0:10
favorites. Our guest is a
0:12
legendary British investor named Terry
0:14
Smith, who manages the Fundsmith
0:17
Equity Fund. Since his funds
0:19
inception in 2010, Terry has
0:21
racked up an average return
0:23
of 14.8% a year by
0:25
investing in a global portfolio
0:27
of high quality companies. that
0:29
are extremely durable. Cumulatively,
0:32
he's beaten the MSCI World
0:34
Index by more than 200
0:36
percentage points over the last 14
0:38
years. The Financial Times describes Terry
0:41
as one of the UK's most
0:43
renowned stock pickers. Bloomberg,
0:45
which includes Terry on its
0:47
list of billionaires, calls him the
0:49
UK's most popular money manager.
0:52
Terry's success both in markets
0:54
and business. is even more
0:56
impressive when you consider the
0:58
odds that were stacked against
1:00
him. As you'll hear, he grew up
1:02
as the son of a truck driver in
1:04
the 1950s and 60s in a very rough
1:06
and tumble area of East London
1:08
that was best known for poverty
1:11
and deprivation and bomb damage
1:13
from World War II and
1:15
plenty of violence, including the
1:18
criminal enterprises run by the
1:20
infamous Kray twins. In this conversation...
1:22
Terry talks in depth about what
1:24
it took to drag himself out
1:27
of that environment to the pinnacle
1:29
of the investment game.
1:31
You'll get a keen sense
1:33
of the analytical skills, the
1:35
investment principles, and the
1:37
sheer grit and determination required
1:40
for him to become an
1:42
investing legend. He's come a
1:44
long way, both literally and
1:46
figuratively. Now in his early 70s,
1:48
he lives on the tropical island
1:50
of Mauritius off the coast of
1:52
Africa. about 6,000 miles from London.
1:54
In his spare time there,
1:56
he practices martial arts, spas
1:59
regularly. with much younger fighters
2:01
and also indulges in his hobby
2:03
of building a collection of more
2:05
than 200 cars. As you'll hear,
2:08
Terry is a remarkable
2:10
character, ferociously driven, fiercely
2:12
intelligent, charismatic, funny,
2:14
charming, charming, combative, shrewd
2:17
and I would say pretty tough. I
2:19
suspect he's not the easiest man in
2:21
the world to live with or work
2:23
with and I was slightly wary of
2:25
him going into our conversation
2:27
going into our conversation.
2:29
But I ended it by liking
2:32
him a good deal and hugely
2:34
admiring his strength of character
2:36
and really the sheer
2:38
resilience and indomitability of the
2:40
guy. In any case, I hope you
2:43
enjoy our conversation as much as I
2:45
did. Thanks so much for joining us.
2:49
You're listening to
2:51
the richer, wiser,
2:53
happier podcast where
2:55
your host William
2:57
Green interviews the
2:59
world's greatest investors and
3:02
explores how to win
3:04
in markets and life.
3:06
All right, hi folks,
3:08
I'm absolutely delighted
3:10
to welcome today's guest. The
3:12
legendary British investor, Terry Smith,
3:15
who's calling in from his
3:17
home on the island of
3:19
Mauritius, where he now lives.
3:21
Terry is the founder, CEO, and
3:23
chief investment officer of an
3:25
investment firm called FundSmith. His Fundsmith
3:28
Equity Fund is the largest stock
3:30
fund in the UK, I believe,
3:32
with more than $27 billion in
3:34
assets under management. Bloomberg, which
3:36
includes Terry on its index of
3:39
billionaires, often describes him as the
3:41
UK's most popular money manager. He's
3:43
definitely one of the most successful
3:46
with a cumulative return of over
3:48
600% since the funds inception
3:50
in 2010, which is roughly 200
3:53
percentage points also better than the
3:55
MSCI World Index. Terry, it's lovely
3:57
to see you. Thanks so much for joining
3:59
us. So far we'll see how it goes
4:01
from here. We're off to a good start.
4:03
I wanted to ask you about your early
4:05
years. I've read in different places that
4:08
you were born in the East End
4:10
of London in 1953 and that
4:12
you came from a very modest
4:14
background as the son of a guy who
4:16
I've read in different places that he drove
4:18
a bus or he drove a truck. And
4:20
my sense is either way that it was
4:22
a relatively poor area that was probably
4:24
damaged a lot by the blitz when
4:27
you were growing up there in the
4:29
1950s. And I wondered if you could just
4:31
give us a sense of what it was
4:33
like growing up in the East End, what
4:36
your family was like, and really how those
4:38
early years shape the person you'd become.
4:40
Yeah, I mean, it wasn't a very nice
4:42
place. As you rightly say, I mean,
4:44
it was still very damaged by the
4:47
war, the Blitz in particular with lots
4:49
of bomb sites, and some of the
4:51
housing was prefabricated housing, which was
4:53
built for temporary accommodation, and
4:56
it was a very poor, In terms
4:58
of educational facilities and achievement, it
5:00
was the worst metropolitan borough in
5:02
Western Europe at that time, West Ham,
5:04
which is where I technically was, for escape West
5:06
Ham is where I was saying pretty poor. The
5:08
story of how I tell people just to illustrate
5:10
it is I went to a deserode primary school
5:13
and in the very harsh winter of 1963, we
5:15
had outside toilets and they froze over. And so
5:17
we were sent home from school and when
5:19
I say sent them to God, I mean
5:21
for the day, I mean, this lasted for
5:23
about six weeks or something like six weeks
5:25
or something like something like that. And that
5:27
would have been great part of the fact
5:29
we also had an outside toilet home which
5:31
also froze over. So it wasn't a big
5:33
hell. And the house I lived in with
5:35
my grandparents and my parents and my uncle
5:38
and various other people was a very modest
5:40
house which has been knocked down in some
5:42
clearance program since I lived there. And he
5:44
had no hot running water and he had
5:46
no bathroom and he had no inside toilet. I
5:48
mean that's kind of where I was. And the
5:50
one thing I would say more than anything
5:52
else about all that is It gives you
5:54
a big incentive to try and do something
5:57
better. And tell me about your
5:59
parents. Yeah my father was as you've
6:01
touched upon already a lorry driver truck
6:03
driver very talented driver not down you
6:05
don't have to be to drive buses
6:07
and lorries but he drove other things
6:09
as well work for a company where
6:11
he's undoing was he worked for a
6:13
company embarking in Essex which amongst other
6:15
things may break linings which I guess
6:17
was where he got involved with them
6:20
and the problem was that they used
6:22
asbestos and that was his undoing he
6:24
got. people say asbestos but that's a
6:26
kind of loose term. He got mesothea over
6:28
in lung cancer and was wiped out by
6:30
that in due course as was the entire
6:32
shift at the place. And my mother
6:35
was worked in various very very very
6:37
modest jobs she was a cleaner she
6:39
worked in a factory making dartboard she
6:41
worked in a factory making brooms and
6:43
so on so they were yeah it
6:45
is a very poor sort of background
6:47
frankly yeah. And where do you think
6:49
you got... your intelligence from were both of
6:51
your parents really smart or my father I
6:53
think was one of these people who was
6:55
tracked by his background he was one of
6:58
12 children which is pretty amazing and I
7:00
had to leave school at 14 and go
7:02
to work so there was no alternative but
7:04
to that but he was clearly very intelligent
7:07
man he in the time when people did
7:09
crosswords in newspapers he regularly won crosswork competitions
7:11
day and every week a book or something
7:13
would arrive where he was winning cross and
7:15
he did eventually before he died. aspired and
7:18
became a manager of a cold storage transportation
7:20
facility and things like that. So he, you
7:22
know, he was clearly a guy who had
7:24
nature of intelligence sort of brain power who
7:26
hadn't backed the education to be able to
7:29
capitalize upon it, I would say. Yeah, I
7:31
often think of my grandfather who grew up
7:33
in London and who left school at 12
7:35
because he was like this poor, poor Jewish
7:37
kid and didn't have, you know, from an
7:39
immigrant family, he didn't have, at a certain
7:41
point, the soul in his shoe. had worn out
7:44
so much that he actually couldn't even hold
7:46
it together with newspaper because there was nothing
7:48
to hold the newspaper in. And so he
7:50
became an apprentice tailor, but he was a
7:52
world-class bridge player, which makes you realize how
7:54
God how much intelligence that must have been
7:56
that sort of got wasted because they were
7:58
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back to the show. term
44:03
will start to gravitate towards a return
44:05
that the company generates and he's not
44:07
putting forward a theory here it's a
44:09
fact and so we look at return on capital
44:11
employed and people look at all kinds of
44:14
earnings growth and so if you're prepared to
44:16
give me access to capital either by you
44:18
sending me more or me retaining your earnings
44:20
and you ignore the return on capital employed,
44:22
I'll generate earnings growth for you at lower
44:24
and lower returns, which plenty of companies have
44:26
done over time. See test code for details,
44:29
right? It's like, oh, it's a disaster, right?
44:31
So we look at return on capital, we
44:33
look at gross margins, we look at the
44:35
difference between sales revenues and cost of goods
44:37
sold, what they mark things up by. Because
44:39
companies take stuff in, they take in
44:41
components, ingredients, services, labour, and they put
44:43
a markup on it, right? And again,
44:46
in normal life, you're going to a
44:48
shop, you can imagine them having a
44:50
markup. Well, all companies have that markup.
44:52
What is it? And the size of
44:54
that tells you a lot of things. It
44:56
tells you about their pricing power, their brand
44:58
strength. It tells you about the defences against
45:00
inflation, if the cost of goods goes
45:02
up. We obviously look at profit
45:05
margins, but most people do. We look
45:07
at cash conversion and what percentage of
45:09
the profits arrive in cash? Is it
45:11
100% 80%? 120%? There are companies that
45:13
make more than 100% of profits in
45:16
cash, usually by the method of paying
45:18
people more slowly than they get paid.
45:20
And that's beneficial, fairly obviously,
45:22
because cash is the only thing in
45:24
the end. You can pay the dividend
45:26
within various things. So we look at
45:28
a raft of financial metrics for these
45:31
companies. And every year we give that
45:33
to people in terms of our portfolio
45:35
and how it looks and how it
45:37
looks against the indices and so on and
45:39
so forth. And then as I say, we start looking
45:41
at things like, well, what do they do?
45:43
So it all looks good. Do they have
45:46
brands that have control of distribution, that have
45:48
intellectual property, that have an installed base
45:50
of software or equipment that they service and
45:52
sell spares and so on and upgrades to?
45:55
How do they do they do this? We've
45:57
got to understand how do they get to
45:59
those numbers? them to get to those nuts and
46:01
then we look at things like the management.
46:03
They're not in the sense of you
46:05
know are they good managers bad managers.
46:07
Traditionally what most people mean by that
46:09
is they're meeting with them and how
46:12
did they come across. I've met people
46:14
who can present brilliantly but bad managers
46:16
and people who can't present to save
46:18
their lives who are very good managers.
46:20
Right. So and no no no let's
46:22
get to the nitty gritty of talking
46:24
to these people and ask them all
46:26
the issue of what's that product and
46:28
in this region. what we really want
46:30
to know is every year you have
46:32
this company that produces this return
46:34
these profits and cash flows are
46:36
right how do you decide whether
46:38
to give it back in a dividend
46:41
buy back shares invest in the business
46:43
or buy things right those are your
46:45
four basic choices that two are obviously
46:47
subsets of wow which is giving
46:49
money back how do you decide
46:51
between those and we're looking for people
46:53
who've got a grasp of how that
46:56
works and what they do which is
46:58
honest and that matches something like the way
47:00
that we think. So they go, well, actually,
47:02
I mean, I've met managers, I've done
47:04
projects for managers in public companies
47:06
over years where they say, my
47:09
stock's undervalued. You're busy acquiring
47:11
things, yes, yes, buying lots of things, right? Why
47:13
don't you buy your own stock? What? Well, why
47:15
would I do that? I drink. But surely
47:17
the company you know best is not
47:20
the companies you're acquiring, so when you've
47:22
already got. You must have that pretty
47:24
work, yeah. And you're telling me you
47:26
think it's undervalued. By the way, I've
47:28
checked and I think you're right. Why don't
47:30
you buy those? No, no. It's like you're
47:32
looking for people who've got an honest
47:34
and intelligible approach to that as well.
47:36
So great financials. How do they do
47:39
it? People are honest and straightforward
47:41
and intelligent in their application
47:43
of this. That's it. When you're interviewing
47:45
management and you're trying to
47:47
figure out whether they're rational
47:50
in the way that they allocate capital.
47:52
What do you find helps in terms
47:54
of your meeting style? Like is it
47:56
better to be charming? Is it better
47:58
to be combative? What... It actually works
48:00
for you when you're trying to
48:03
figure out whether these guys are
48:05
rational in the way they think
48:07
about allocation of capital. Usually it's
48:09
to try and start with going
48:11
down the route of trying to
48:13
get them to talk about how
48:15
they view it without giving them
48:17
too many clues as it were,
48:19
right? So, you know, something like,
48:21
you know, well, how do you
48:23
decide your priorities, you know? I don't say
48:25
how you could do this, you could measure
48:27
it. No, don't give them a road back.
48:29
Just leave it as obviously you want to
48:31
point them down the route of talking about this,
48:34
but you want to point them down the route
48:36
of talking about it with as few signposts as
48:38
possible to see whether they've actually got
48:40
a framework. And sometimes an angle of
48:43
framework. I mean, combative. It makes a
48:45
problem. We're not usually all that combative.
48:47
I mean, we are with people who
48:49
we think in the end are trying
48:51
to tubus or just not listening to
48:53
what we're trying to tell. Particularly we
48:56
have quite a lot of their shares.
48:58
you know, we will become confident. Like
49:00
we did with unity for in the
49:02
end, it's kind of like guys, we
49:04
will become competitive because we've only shared
49:07
for a long time, you're completely ignored,
49:09
you're ignoring us now, and we don't
49:11
think you should. And you're treating other
49:13
people who are right in the last
49:15
five minutes better than us, so we'd really like
49:17
you to, and we'd really like you to, like
49:20
the last five minutes better than us, so we'd
49:22
really like you to go on the point. And
49:24
we look, we can get you management who will
49:26
give you, I don't think you want it probably,
49:28
but we can get people management who will give
49:30
us a reference who say, Bunsmith turned up, they
49:32
did all this in turn about our business, they
49:34
bought a big stake, then we had an activist who said
49:36
we've got to cut costs and we've got to split the
49:39
business, we've got to do this, and not only did they
49:41
vote against that, but they talked to the proxy voting
49:43
agency and said, I think these people are wrong, what
49:45
they're going to do is injured, what they're going to
49:47
do is injured, is injured, into this, into this, into
49:49
this, I mean we will actually stand alongside them
49:51
and fight for the business if we
49:53
think that someone's doing something wrong in
49:56
that regard. So far from being competent
49:58
sometimes we're their best friend. One
50:00
of the things that's very striking about
50:02
your portfolio is that obviously you have
50:04
a lot of these very well-established self-financing
50:06
businesses with these high returns on equity
50:09
and durable competitive advantages very much Buffett
50:11
style companies But a lot of them
50:13
are really old I mean I remember
50:16
you once saying that the average company
50:18
in your portfolio was founded in 1883.
50:20
I don't know if that's still
50:22
true. Can you know I mean it's
50:25
about a hundred years now. It's 1920
50:27
something I think yeah That's extraordinary. Can
50:29
you can you explain that? Because we're
50:32
in an era where so many
50:34
people are just obsessed with the new
50:36
technology, right? And AI this and, you
50:38
know, biotech and drones or whatever it
50:40
is. And here are you focusing
50:42
very heavily on 100 year
50:45
old companies. What's going on
50:47
here? Because it's not that
50:49
you're ignorant about technology.
50:51
No, but mostly winners keep on
50:53
winning. It's what kind of the way the world
50:55
is. The Stern Business School in New York
50:57
produces a table, I think they
50:59
produce it annually, and it's good or
51:02
bad companies. And what they have is
51:04
companies by sector. And there are thousands
51:06
of companies. So they have the sectors,
51:08
they're many, so there's consumer stables, and
51:10
consumer discretionary, and pharmaceuticals, and health care,
51:13
and mining, and minerals, all these
51:15
sectors, hundreds and hundreds of companies in
51:17
each one. And they do a very
51:19
simple calculation of whether a very simple
51:22
calculation, And what they look at is the
51:24
return on capital employed, you know, the
51:26
Buffett thing that he focused on in
51:28
79, that we focus on, less a
51:30
guess at the weighted average cost of
51:32
capital, people get their nickels in a
51:34
terrible twist about whether it's a guess,
51:36
right, exact number, exact number doesn't matter.
51:38
And so they take off the weight
51:40
average cost of capital and make a
51:42
positive spread, in which case it's creating
51:44
value, or is it making a negative
51:47
value, or is it making a negative
51:49
value, or is a negative? Almost every
51:51
year they do it, you go, oh
51:53
right, so the good companies and ones
51:55
creating value are the consumer staples,
51:57
consumer discretionary, health care.
51:59
here, information technology, and
52:01
then what's all the
52:03
bad stuff? Oh, it's
52:05
banks, real estate, insurance,
52:07
heavy engineering and manufacturing,
52:10
mining and minerals, oil
52:12
gas and transport in
52:14
particular airlines are all bad. Now,
52:16
every dog has his day, right? There
52:18
will be a year somewhere in the
52:20
cycle where mining is good or airlines
52:22
are okay, you know, of course there
52:24
is, you know, but good things don't
52:26
become bad and bad things
52:28
don't become good. So that's the first
52:31
point is, on the whole, we're not suddenly
52:33
going to find all the good companies will
52:35
become bad companies, all the bad companies, it
52:37
persists. And the reason it persists is
52:39
because of competitive advantages in those
52:41
sectors. There are certain competitive advantages
52:43
that those sectors and the leading
52:45
companies within it enjoy. So what
52:47
Buffett calls the moat, their defensive mechanism, how
52:49
do they keep those sharp elbows that keep
52:51
you out, right? Because we can all look
52:53
at Coca-Cola, or see it's got good returns,
52:55
but how are we're going to get
52:58
in there? and we've got to get
53:00
past PepsiCo of Dr Pepper first before
53:02
we even get a crack at them.
53:04
And they've got this means of defending
53:07
themselves. There's no doubt that we are in
53:09
the era where there's been change. And
53:11
we can sort of look around us
53:13
and go, well, in the time that
53:15
I've been in business, we've seen change
53:17
in terms of computing and the internet
53:20
and mobile telephony and social
53:22
networks. And maybe we're seeing something now
53:25
in AI, maybe, maybe not, I don't
53:27
know. And it is a period of
53:29
change. And there's no doubt that you've
53:31
got to be alive to it. And
53:33
I think we are alive to it.
53:35
Not everything that we've got was founded
53:38
in 1920. Now we've got meta, and
53:40
we've got Microsoft, and we've got some
53:42
stuff that's more recent. But before we
53:44
align upon the idea that there's never
53:47
been more change in this. Bear in
53:49
mind, I did the history. If you
53:51
were involved in the communications business across
53:53
the last sort of the two centuries,
53:56
you would have started in the telegraph
53:58
business where they put up wires. typically
54:00
alongside railway lines, and you sent Morse
54:02
code. That's how you communicated, right? dot
54:04
dash, dot dash. And then somebody came
54:07
up with a means of having a
54:09
microphone, so you could have the voice.
54:11
So we attached a microphone to the
54:13
wires. Now we could talk to each
54:15
other. And then somebody invented radio. And
54:17
after we'd had radio in place for
54:20
a while, two things involved from that.
54:22
One was we could talk to each
54:24
other without being connected by a wire.
54:26
Ah. That's different, isn't it? So, you
54:28
know, ships at sea and people who
54:30
are traveling and could communicate and know
54:33
that you could communicate to the many.
54:35
You could broadcast. That's a bit different,
54:37
isn't it? Then along came somebody who
54:39
said, never mind that, I've got this
54:41
thing, you can look at each other
54:43
while you're communicating, you can look at
54:46
each other while you're communicating, you can
54:48
have television. You can have either video
54:50
or you can have broadcast television. Then
54:52
along came the internet. So if you're
54:54
involved. It's tempting to think that we've
54:56
got more change now than we've ever
54:59
had before. I'm not actually convinced. There's
55:01
so much to unpack here and I
55:03
wanted to highlight a few things for
55:05
our listeners before we move on, right?
55:07
So one thing that's very distinctive about
55:09
what you do, which is very much
55:12
in tune with Charlie Munger, right, I
55:14
wrote a chapter in my book about
55:16
Munger and just not being a fool
55:18
avoiding standard stupidatives, a lot of what
55:20
you do. is just avoiding certain things,
55:22
right? So certain sectors you're avoiding. Right?
55:25
Don't do stupid. Munger is great, I
55:27
think, because he does have this idea
55:29
that if you invest in good stuff,
55:31
you'll be all right. Roughly speaking, you
55:33
could take our investment philosophy and boil
55:35
it down my head. If you've got
55:38
good stuff, you'll be all right. That's
55:40
it. That's it. You might not be
55:42
the best fund, or you might not
55:44
output of everybody in the world. But
55:46
you'll be all right. Good stuff. Sorry
55:49
I interrupted you in the middle of
55:51
talking about Mongolia. No, that's such a
55:53
it's such an important insight. I mean
55:55
it and the ability to sort of
55:57
make it very simple right just by
55:59
good stuff. I mean I remember you
56:02
saying at one point, you don't need
56:04
to own the absolute best stocks. You
56:06
need to own a lot of pretty
56:08
good, you know, really good companies that
56:10
are resilient and durable, and then avoid
56:12
the crap. And so tell us how
56:15
you figure out what bad companies look
56:17
like. Like when you're looking at the
56:19
financial statements and you're looking for warning
56:21
signs, because a lot of what you're
56:23
doing is A, getting rid of lousy
56:25
sectors. I mean an awful lot of
56:28
it comes down to just knowing. It's
56:30
like you, there are good airlines. I
56:32
mean, people say what about Ryan and
56:34
say, every rule has an exception somewhere
56:36
out there, but on the whole, there
56:38
aren't any. And if you look at
56:41
the last 20 years of data, it's
56:43
lost something like 5% versus its cost
56:45
of capital on average every year. It's
56:47
a machine for destroying value. That's just
56:49
what the statistics tell me. So that's
56:51
what analyzing the statements will tell you
56:54
either in aggregate or individually. Then you
56:56
go, I wonder why they are a
56:58
bad industry. Let's think for a moment.
57:00
Every single major factor involved in those
57:02
companies is outside their control. This is
57:04
another thing to look for. You're looking
57:07
for companies which have certain things they
57:09
can control and work on the things
57:11
they can't control. Airlines can't control the
57:13
frequency with which you fly. that load
57:15
factors vary, right? They can't control atmospheric
57:17
conditions. Things happen to stop them flying
57:20
from tunnel, volcanic dust clouds and the
57:22
things like that. They can't control their
57:24
main input costs, which are fuel, dollar
57:26
price, staff, largely unionized, and then so
57:28
on, and the cost of airplanes. Basically,
57:30
they are buying airplanes from two suppliers.
57:33
And then you get onto this, you
57:35
know, hopefully this is a rhetorical question.
57:37
Is an industry... a good industry or
57:39
a better industry if there are fewer
57:41
from an investment standpoint, if there are
57:43
few participants or many participants, well the
57:46
answer surely is few parts. I mean,
57:48
ideally one would be great, but you
57:50
know, if we've got to have it,
57:52
a duopoly is okay, you know, these
57:54
are a master card, coat and peps,
57:56
and so on. Last time I checked,
57:59
and I'm sure I'm out of date
58:01
before anybody, he sort of brings up,
58:03
well, right, some of your podcast, he's
58:05
an idiot, but the last time I
58:07
checked and I'm sure I'm out of
58:09
date before anybody, he sort of brings
58:12
out of your podcast, I had a
58:14
large number of the owners and operators
58:16
and operators, I'm not even trying to
58:18
make, I'm even trying to make, I'm
58:20
even trying to make, I'm trying to
58:22
make, They're owned and operated by governments
58:25
using your money. They don't care. They
58:27
really don't care. Or they're owned by
58:29
entrepreneurs who really like their names on
58:31
the side of planes. So when you
58:33
look at sectors, you say, well, I've
58:35
got the financial statistics and it's the
58:38
opposite of what we do. Okay, so
58:40
there's decisions that look good. How do
58:42
they make that? How do they make
58:44
that? This is, they're really terrible. Why?
58:46
Well, we can look at all the
58:48
reasons why. mining and minerals or oil
58:51
and gas or transport including airlines and
58:53
banking and investment banking and insurance and
58:55
real estate. It's dire. Just dire sectors.
58:57
You need to begin, you almost need
58:59
to begin this discussion about the individual
59:01
companies, somebody's telling you about, you almost
59:04
need to think about it. Think back
59:06
to the Stern Business School and it's
59:08
good versus the best. Trick here is
59:10
when you get into a sector which
59:12
is commonly populated by quite good companies.
59:14
but you get businesses in there which
59:17
are not good. And that does happen
59:19
sometimes. Just like you occasionally get sectors
59:21
where they're bad sectors, but there's a
59:23
good one. Let me give you a
59:25
couple of examples, you know, out of
59:27
there. You know, if we looked at
59:30
in consumer staples, just sector that is
59:32
generally good, and we looked at Kimberly
59:34
Clark, the company that makes toilet tissue
59:36
and kitchen towel and tissues and so
59:38
on. It's not a great business I'm
59:40
afraid. The business of making paper towels
59:43
isn't something where there's a great deal
59:45
of brand loyalty. I don't know how
59:47
many people go down the supermarket feel
59:49
they've got to buy scotics or they've
59:51
got to buy clean. They just want
59:53
a paper towel. They're really not concerned
59:56
about it as much as they would
59:58
be if they put this into their
1:00:00
body, if it were to have food
1:00:02
and drink and medicine, so on. It's
1:00:04
not got the same kind of brainstorm.
1:00:06
And, you know, it's in the consumer's
1:00:09
table, but it's not great, but it's
1:00:11
not great, but it's not great, but
1:00:13
it's not great, is it? And then
1:00:15
you mustn't get hooked up on sector
1:00:17
descriptions, what it was, was, was a...
1:00:19
How many? Yeah, it literally made chemicals,
1:00:22
but it made little pots of chemicals,
1:00:24
which it supplied to biochemists doing experiments
1:00:26
and tests. And so they were trained
1:00:28
as biochemists to use its catalog, its
1:00:30
online catalogs. So when they got a
1:00:32
experiment or test to do tomorrow or
1:00:35
the after, they gone to the catalog
1:00:37
and ordered their ingredients and the little
1:00:39
pots turned up with all the stuff
1:00:41
that's what they supply. And what they're
1:00:43
really in is in the full film
1:00:45
of business. they're supplying stuff to help
1:00:48
you do, they're supplying the stuff that
1:00:50
will do. You don't really work out
1:00:52
what the bulk cost of the container
1:00:54
of chemicals is, you just want to
1:00:56
know that it's going to be there
1:00:58
waiting in a laboratory the morning when
1:01:01
you come in. And then of course
1:01:03
the final frontier is they have a
1:01:05
certain amount they supply which is corrosive
1:01:07
or poisonous or radioactive, in other words
1:01:09
difficult. And that gives them an edge
1:01:11
as well in terms of the ability
1:01:14
to safely supply ingredients like that. And
1:01:16
so it literally had chemical chemical on
1:01:18
the tin, but it, but it, but
1:01:20
it, but it wasn't really, but it
1:01:22
wasn't really. But it wasn't really. But
1:01:24
it wasn't really. But it wasn't really.
1:01:27
But it wasn't really. it was actually
1:01:29
a company which had trained scientists to
1:01:31
use its ingredients in experiments and its
1:01:33
average supply it wasn't you know it's
1:01:35
not like a bulk chemical company supplying
1:01:37
thousands of tons of phosphate or something
1:01:40
their average pot cost 400 bucks last
1:01:42
time I looked and that so it
1:01:44
says it's chemical but it's not really
1:01:46
so you've got to be careful about
1:01:48
those the ones that crossover there are
1:01:50
in a sector that's good but are
1:01:53
in a sector that's bad but is
1:01:55
the odd good one you have to
1:01:57
be careful. So when I look at
1:01:59
your list of top 10 holdings in
1:02:01
your flagship fund and i see things
1:02:03
like meta and microsoft and nova nor
1:02:06
disk and striker and which i think
1:02:08
you've owned since the inception of the
1:02:10
fund fourteen years ago or L'Oreal or
1:02:12
Automatic Data Processing, Visa, Philip Morris Waters,
1:02:14
and Alphabet. Can you take a couple
1:02:16
of those that kind of illustrate what
1:02:19
you're looking for in a business that
1:02:21
sort of embody what you love? Yeah,
1:02:23
yeah, I know. Let's take a couple
1:02:25
of words. Microsoft, you know, it's the
1:02:27
world's leading supplier of computer operating systems.
1:02:29
Your computer probably works on it. My
1:02:32
computer definitely works on it. The vast
1:02:34
majority of business computing is done using
1:02:36
its operating systems. If you go back
1:02:38
to when we bought it, that was
1:02:40
its leading business. Windows, only had the
1:02:42
services and tools professional business. It had
1:02:45
a change of management, which we were
1:02:47
hoping for shortly after we bought it,
1:02:49
and its new management took it into
1:02:51
other things which were linked in tears.
1:02:53
So, you know, it's now advised with
1:02:55
Amazon web services to being a leader
1:02:58
in the provision of cloud computing services.
1:03:00
So, you know, using distributed computing sitting
1:03:02
here on our desktop. using the cloud
1:03:04
to back up our information and process
1:03:06
it and do it on a common
1:03:08
platform is something which is they've basically
1:03:11
been one of the two leaders in
1:03:13
since that thing. They're also leading in
1:03:15
gaming. Although they screwed up the mobile
1:03:17
telephony thing and handed that to Apple
1:03:19
basically, that was before we bought it
1:03:21
and they have actually made a comeback
1:03:24
in business computing in terms of mobile
1:03:26
devices with the Microsoft surface. and so
1:03:28
on and so forth and you know
1:03:30
we'll see where they go in now
1:03:32
but all of this is built into
1:03:34
a company which has regularly produced high
1:03:37
growth in revenues and and high high
1:03:39
returns on capital I'll tell you what
1:03:41
they are what we're talking give me
1:03:43
a second I just log on to
1:03:45
my system and tell you what's relevant
1:03:47
Terry is you bought it during a
1:03:50
period where it was out of favor
1:03:52
so so I mean you often talk
1:03:54
about This is your evaluation with quality
1:03:56
companies. There's a very interesting thing, a
1:03:58
chart that you have in the introduction
1:04:00
to your book, Investing for Growth, where
1:04:03
you talk about how you would actually
1:04:05
have been justified paying a 281 PE
1:04:07
for L'Oreal back in 1973 or 120.
1:04:09
of Colgate or 63 for Coca-Cola. So
1:04:11
you're willing to pay a reasonably high
1:04:14
price for high quality, but then there
1:04:16
are things like Microsoft, where actually you
1:04:18
bought it when it was really undervalued.
1:04:20
Can you also talk about how you
1:04:22
think about this issue evaluation when it
1:04:24
comes to high quality growth companies? Because
1:04:27
it's very, it's very thorny, particularly at
1:04:29
the moment with a lot of the
1:04:31
magnificent seven. For a really good company,
1:04:33
we are very bad. One of the
1:04:35
things we're very bad at is estimating
1:04:37
the impact of compound returns as human
1:04:40
beings. When you look at the difference
1:04:42
between a 10% or an upset compound
1:04:44
return, the difference over 20 or 30
1:04:46
years isn't 25%. People don't realize that
1:04:48
actually quadruples the capital value in that
1:04:50
differential. Wow. And we're very bad at
1:04:53
that, you know, unless you sit down
1:04:55
and compute it yourself. And so people
1:04:57
don't figure that out, I think, very
1:04:59
well, which means that commonly, things which
1:05:01
are able to make persistent eye returns
1:05:03
and growth, do not get full valuation.
1:05:06
L'Oreal is a great placing point with
1:05:08
that particular calculation. It's astonishing. But if
1:05:10
you look at that table, L'Orenn, you
1:05:12
could have paid 100 for Pepsi, 100
1:05:14
times P for P for Pepsi in
1:05:16
that. But look, as much as much
1:05:19
as we acknowledge, we acknowledge, we acknowledge,
1:05:21
as we acknowledge, as we acknowledge, as
1:05:23
they're not completely perfect, aren't completely imperfect
1:05:25
either. They generally, on average, they price
1:05:27
good companies better than bad companies, right?
1:05:29
And so we're going to have to
1:05:32
pay a higher price for our good
1:05:34
companies than the average. People keep coming
1:05:36
at all and it's a bit expensive.
1:05:38
Yeah, well it's going to be because
1:05:40
it's a better company. But once in
1:05:42
a while, some form of madness overtakes
1:05:45
them and they offer you something which
1:05:47
they really shouldn't. How does it happen?
1:05:49
So we started buying Microsoft when it
1:05:51
was 25 bucks a share. It's 420
1:05:53
something today, right? and it's been in
1:05:55
our top performance eight years running. This
1:05:58
shouldn't happen with a company this size.
1:06:00
It was trading on a pea of
1:06:02
about eight when we bought it because
1:06:04
you know Steve Balmer, I don't know
1:06:06
Mr. Balmer, I don't really want to...
1:06:08
a big critical inmate, he hadn't been
1:06:11
a happy period when he was there
1:06:13
and they'd missed out on the whole
1:06:15
mobile telephony thing, then they bought Nokia
1:06:17
and that'd been pretty disastrous and they
1:06:19
bought Skype which had been pretty disastrous
1:06:21
too which is ironic given that teams
1:06:24
is now such a success. And so
1:06:26
there we were and when we have
1:06:28
looking at things like that, so we
1:06:30
look at something like this, it's a
1:06:32
company with returns on capital around 30%
1:06:34
right and revenue growth now, you know,
1:06:37
it's been coasting about 20% for a
1:06:39
long period for a long period of
1:06:41
time. This shouldn't happen. We think we
1:06:43
found one of these and we have
1:06:45
found them in fact, we found it
1:06:47
in index, in factory equipment, we found
1:06:50
it in Microsoft, we found it in
1:06:52
Domino's Pizza back in the day. We
1:06:54
sit down and think, are we missing
1:06:56
something here? And what we tend to
1:06:58
do as a sort of check on
1:07:00
sanity as much as anything else is
1:07:03
go and look at what the detractors
1:07:05
are saying? What are they saying is
1:07:07
the reason? And I remember an awful
1:07:09
lot of these. Well, no, it's not,
1:07:11
is it? We figured that out all
1:07:13
on our own. Very famously, the, in
1:07:16
my view, the Financial Times Lexcom, and
1:07:18
I do know which journalists wrote it
1:07:20
at the time, but obviously they haven't
1:07:22
got a byline on it. Fortunately, said
1:07:24
when it was $26 a share, nobody
1:07:26
should own it at this price, and
1:07:29
they were right, but not in the
1:07:31
way that they meant it. And it's
1:07:33
like, sometimes when people are just absolutely
1:07:35
mad about things about you couldn't own
1:07:37
this, you do get this opportunity where
1:07:39
a large very good business gets offered
1:07:42
to you at a price where you
1:07:44
just shouldn't get mether was another one
1:07:46
after the Cambridge Analytica thing you know
1:07:48
mether really was a giving in terms
1:07:50
of I mean it's gone up five
1:07:52
hundred percent or something like that since
1:07:55
that point where we owed it and
1:07:57
you know that we received a cacophony
1:07:59
over of inventive from people about how
1:08:01
we shouldn't own it. I mean I
1:08:03
mentioned in the, I quote my previous
1:08:05
annual letter and this year's annual letter
1:08:08
saying, I'm always thinking of having a
1:08:10
fund that just buys the ones that
1:08:12
everybody tells me not to own. Because
1:08:14
they're working off emotion and anecdote, right?
1:08:16
You know. people were saying nobody's using
1:08:18
Facebook anymore. I mean, I remember saying
1:08:21
nobody's using Facebook. I said, oh, right,
1:08:23
okay. Where do you live? Well, Tumbridge
1:08:25
Wells. I said, oh, how am I
1:08:27
in Jakarta? Are kids using it in
1:08:29
Jakarta at all? Well, how would I
1:08:31
know? I said, well, I think that's
1:08:34
kind of more important, don't you, than
1:08:36
Tumbridge Wells? Well, the plural of anecdote
1:08:38
isn't data. Just deal with the facts.
1:08:40
There's an old TV series from the
1:08:42
50s called Dragnet and the detective whose
1:08:44
name I can't remember would always be
1:08:47
interviewing a suspect, a witness to something
1:08:49
that had just occurred, a murder or
1:08:51
robbery or something like that. And they'd
1:08:53
be gabbling and he'd say, the facts
1:08:55
man, just the facts. It was a
1:08:57
very nice thing and I think it
1:09:00
was in Investing for Growth, your book
1:09:02
which collected your letters from the first
1:09:04
10 years of the fund where you
1:09:06
quoted the Simona Garfunkel song, the boxer,
1:09:08
where you said a man. Here's what
1:09:10
he wants to hear, disregards the rest.
1:09:13
Yeah, I mean look, you can get
1:09:15
an awful, I'm quite serious now, you
1:09:17
can get an awful lot of stuff.
1:09:19
from the movies and from song lyrics
1:09:21
because people spend a lot of time
1:09:23
sometimes on movies and on film lyrics.
1:09:26
Yeah. And on song lyrics. And so
1:09:28
sometimes they've got... a bit more meaning
1:09:30
than just somebody who's on a garfunkle
1:09:32
playing a nice tune. I mean, one
1:09:34
that we quote all the time is
1:09:36
the movie All the Presidents Men about
1:09:39
the Watergate affair, which has got so
1:09:41
many quotes out anywhere. And you know,
1:09:43
the bit where Deep Throws, the FBI
1:09:45
deputy director, I don't know it is,
1:09:47
but he's giving information to Woodward, paid
1:09:49
by Robert Redford, and he meets him
1:09:52
in the car park. One of his
1:09:54
critical piece of advice is, follow the
1:09:56
follow the money. Yeah. money. If you
1:09:58
want to just follow the money, right?
1:10:00
And there's lots of examples of things
1:10:02
like that. You know, we play to
1:10:05
ourselves, clips when we're explaining things day
1:10:07
and day. There's the bit in Casablanca
1:10:09
where the gondante goes to close down
1:10:11
Rick's cafe and he blows his whistle
1:10:13
and he says, this place is closed
1:10:15
down. I'm shocked, shocked to hear there's
1:10:18
been gambling here. One of the waiting
1:10:20
stuff comes by and goes, you know,
1:10:22
winning surf. Whenever we read one of
1:10:24
these things about, yes, apparently somebody has
1:10:26
been bribing people to do business in
1:10:28
Nigeria. We always played the Casablanca, right?
1:10:31
I remember Howard Marx quoting to me.
1:10:33
I quote that one too all the
1:10:35
time. A good man knows his limitations.
1:10:37
He's told by the chief of police,
1:10:39
he's being asked to deliver the ransom
1:10:41
to the bad guy. And he says,
1:10:44
we don't want any gunplay from you,
1:10:46
can I? And he said, I was
1:10:48
a cop for 20 years and I
1:10:50
never ran off of my weapon and
1:10:52
he says, that's good. Or what has
1:10:54
man knows his limitations? It's a great
1:10:57
quote. The movie is littered with great
1:10:59
quotes that you can learn something from
1:11:01
in my view. So this idea of...
1:11:03
how people hear what they want and
1:11:05
disregard the rest is really important and
1:11:07
you've operated in a in a team
1:11:10
for a long time right you've had
1:11:12
Julian Robbins I think you've worked with
1:11:14
38 years and he's your head of
1:11:16
research and he helped you co-found the
1:11:18
firm you sometimes talk to him as
1:11:20
you're dedicated you're designated successor if you
1:11:23
retire at the age of 145 and
1:11:25
yeah tell me tell me how it
1:11:27
helps to have a partner like that,
1:11:29
because I see this a lot, right,
1:11:31
with, I mean, look, Howard Marx talked
1:11:33
to me about Bruce Cash, Joe Greenback
1:11:36
talked to me about Rob Goldstein, I've
1:11:38
interviewed Charlie a lot, right, who, you
1:11:40
know, obviously was the abominable no man
1:11:42
for Warren. Talk about how it helps
1:11:44
in terms of just dealing with your
1:11:46
own blind spots and potential biases and
1:11:49
the like to have partners. Yeah. I
1:11:51
think that Julian is... very intelligent. He's
1:11:53
also got a first in history by
1:11:55
the way and very honest and he's
1:11:57
different to me and amongst the differences
1:11:59
are that he sometimes sees things in
1:12:02
terms of the subtleties of what's going
1:12:04
on that I miss and he's got
1:12:06
a very very good way of pointing
1:12:08
them out to me without pissing me
1:12:10
off. Basically he can get me to
1:12:12
understand something without getting into a fight
1:12:15
over it and that's quite important that
1:12:17
he says no I wouldn't buy that
1:12:19
because of this and have you thought
1:12:21
about this in terms of and he's
1:12:23
almost got a way of saying like
1:12:25
you're buying L'oriali. He'll go well. You
1:12:28
know, I think if you take the
1:12:30
PE ratio, roughly look at it in
1:12:32
a mirror and add your car license
1:12:34
plate, it's okay. And really, he's just
1:12:36
duping me, right? I mean, and somehow
1:12:39
he manages to get my... He might
1:12:41
have a point about looking at it
1:12:43
that way. And I go and buy
1:12:45
it. And really, I realize, no, he
1:12:47
just talked me into that, didn't he
1:12:49
realize that if I hadn't been talking
1:12:52
to it, I would always have been
1:12:54
sitting there going, going, no, it's a
1:12:56
bit too expensive, it's a bit too
1:12:58
expensive, it's a bit too expensive, and
1:13:00
I mean. And he did. And he's
1:13:02
got a great inquiring mind. He actually
1:13:05
really likes the stock market. And he
1:13:07
likes, he's lived in America for, I
1:13:09
don't know, 30 years now. And he's
1:13:11
got a wealth of knowledge about America
1:13:13
and the stock market that he brings
1:13:15
to bear in a way that I
1:13:18
simply can't. As much as I deal
1:13:20
with Wall Street and I've worked on
1:13:22
Wall Street and various, I'll never have
1:13:24
that length and depth and depth of
1:13:26
knowledge that he's got, you know. You
1:13:28
have a very interesting sort of emphasis
1:13:31
on the US in what purports to
1:13:33
be a global fund, right? I mean,
1:13:35
when I checked the other day, I
1:13:37
think it was 74% in the US
1:13:39
and obviously, you know, there are these
1:13:41
issues over where a company is domiciled
1:13:44
and all the like, you know, France
1:13:46
is about 9%. We had a company
1:13:48
that was US and in that number,
1:13:50
that's zero and sales in the US.
1:13:52
But it's clear that the US is
1:13:54
a massive hunting round for you. I
1:13:57
mean, with all these companies like Microsoft
1:13:59
and Meta. When you think about this
1:14:01
issue of what makes the US special
1:14:03
and whether this is just a sort
1:14:05
of a permanent, if anything is permanent,
1:14:07
advantage or whether it's just another kind
1:14:10
of pendulum swing and sooner or later,
1:14:12
you know, the pendulum will swing back
1:14:14
to emerging markets or whatever else. What
1:14:16
do you think? I mean, you used
1:14:18
to have an emerging markets fund and
1:14:20
then you closed it at a certain
1:14:23
point. Because is the US just a
1:14:25
persistent winner? We've continued in a sense
1:14:27
that we're right. Look, the US is
1:14:29
the biggest economy in the world. Let's
1:14:31
just start with that, shall we? Secondly,
1:14:33
it has the most active capital market
1:14:36
in the world. So when we're talking
1:14:38
about where companies are listed, you know,
1:14:40
increasingly, as you'll see much to the
1:14:42
shagrant of people in London, companies are
1:14:44
listing, which are not in America. So
1:14:46
I mean, you know, given that it's
1:14:49
the biggest economy and given that it's
1:14:51
got the most active capital market, right.
1:14:53
Because if you are a company thinking
1:14:55
of listing, if I were thinking of
1:14:57
listing, why would I think about doing
1:14:59
it in London? The greatest debt of
1:15:02
market, the biggest liquidity, the most investor
1:15:04
attraction is in New York, isn't it?
1:15:06
You know? And then you think about
1:15:08
how companies become big and very profitable
1:15:10
companies. One of the things that helps
1:15:12
American companies is that they get the
1:15:15
opportunity to build their strength in the
1:15:17
biggest market in the world before they
1:15:19
move out and take on the world.
1:15:21
So, you know, whether it's in technology
1:15:23
or health care or consumer and so,
1:15:25
they sit there and they become the
1:15:28
dominant player then. Then when they reach
1:15:30
out to the wider world, it's very
1:15:32
difficult for people to compete with them.
1:15:34
You know, when Coca-Cola and Pepsi-Cola arrive
1:15:36
in the UK, do you really think
1:15:38
that Britain can get it going to
1:15:41
give them for their money? And once,
1:15:43
so that's in their own market, how
1:15:45
about once we get to an adjacent
1:15:47
market? So in Europe, how's Britain going
1:15:49
to do there against Coca-Cola? When they've,
1:15:51
you know, it's, they're like a boxer
1:15:54
who's pumped up in the gym, who's
1:15:56
been fighting. He's been in the cronk
1:15:58
gym in Chicago fighting the best heavy
1:16:00
weights in the world and sparring and
1:16:02
then he turns out and he's finding
1:16:04
a hometown fighter somewhere in another country
1:16:07
like I wonder how this is going
1:16:09
to go. So you just got to
1:16:11
bear mind it's the biggest economy with
1:16:13
the biggest capital market and the companies
1:16:15
the Coca-Cola's and the Microsoft and the
1:16:17
strikers and so on have had the
1:16:20
ability to build a fantastic base there
1:16:22
before they move out into the wider
1:16:24
world and take on the local competition.
1:16:26
Then you get on to other factors
1:16:28
as well when you look at the
1:16:30
world at large. You know, Europe, you
1:16:33
know, the greatest saying is, America innovates,
1:16:35
Europe, China replicates, China or Japan replicates,
1:16:37
and Europe regulates. I mean, some of
1:16:39
the stuff that's going on in Europe,
1:16:41
like the Digital Markets Act, they may
1:16:43
as well put up a sign here
1:16:46
saying high tech not welcome, obviously. And
1:16:48
it's kind of sad if you see
1:16:50
what's driven the market in recent times,
1:16:52
because... Look at the heights of technology
1:16:54
in terms of the companies and I
1:16:56
know I am a billion other people
1:16:59
going well that's a bit worrying in
1:17:01
terms of the size of their domination
1:17:03
of returns but what's the biggest UK
1:17:05
technology company? There's nothing really famous is
1:17:07
there? Well I'm talking about listing UK
1:17:09
Sage and account which by the way
1:17:12
it's a good business I've got nothing
1:17:14
against Sage. Please don't take it as
1:17:16
that being that it's a very good
1:17:18
business in fact but that's it an
1:17:20
accounting software company based in UK's the
1:17:22
UK's biggest biggest. indigenous technology company. And
1:17:25
I'm embarrassed to say I've never even
1:17:27
heard of it. So that's, I mean
1:17:29
I'm based in New York and I've
1:17:31
never heard of it. It's funny you
1:17:33
should say that. We happen to know
1:17:35
that when they were looking for a
1:17:38
chief executive, and by the way this
1:17:40
is not meant to be in any
1:17:42
way, because of the courage, but I
1:17:44
think it's a good guy, but he's
1:17:46
an internal appointment. The reason he's internal
1:17:48
appointment in Mexico, is they went out
1:17:51
to head hunters to try and get
1:17:53
a... a CEO and when we start
1:17:55
if you're looking for a head hammer
1:17:57
for a software for me to start
1:17:59
in Silicon Valley pretty much when you
1:18:01
so they got a head down to
1:18:04
there and said go around see if
1:18:06
you can find any COOs or number
1:18:08
two or whatever we'd like to step
1:18:10
up and the response you just had
1:18:12
is the response they got from everybody
1:18:14
never heard of it. Go on. I
1:18:17
don't think that Europe is about to
1:18:19
overtake the United States in any of
1:18:21
the areas that we've identified as being
1:18:23
good businesses. China is difficult because you
1:18:25
don't truly own the business. China is
1:18:27
difficult because you don't truly own the
1:18:30
business. You are actually in partnership with
1:18:32
the Chinese government for good or real,
1:18:34
particularly in the high-tech businesses. And Japan,
1:18:36
at least until very recently, businesses weren't
1:18:38
run for the benefit of shareholders. They
1:18:40
were run for the benefit of the
1:18:43
employees and wider Japan. as it were,
1:18:45
you know, returns on capital and things
1:18:47
like we're discussing, we're like, hmm, okay.
1:18:49
So that's why we haven't got very
1:18:51
much. It's not that we don't like
1:18:53
them. We actually have a bit of
1:18:56
a soft spot for European companies in
1:18:58
the industries that we like, which are
1:19:00
run by families, and have a very
1:19:02
long-term perspective. So if you have a
1:19:04
look in Applephoeia, things like L'OLLL, V-V-V-H,
1:19:06
Atlas, Atlas, Atlas, Atlas Copco, you know.
1:19:09
We do like we do like we
1:19:11
do like them. It's interesting that there's
1:19:13
a discussion between two Englishmen who are
1:19:15
not living in England, so that tells
1:19:17
us something about... We're not coincidence, that
1:19:19
is it? Right. I mean, and both
1:19:22
of us, I think, love England and
1:19:24
love being there, but there is a
1:19:26
dynamism when you move out, certainly when
1:19:28
you move to New York. But when
1:19:30
you think about the future of the
1:19:32
British economy, when I go back, I
1:19:35
sometimes feel like... I mean, I only
1:19:37
really go to London, but... and I'm
1:19:39
no doubt going to annoy lots of
1:19:41
lots of people here, lots of people
1:19:43
here, but... I feel like it's almost
1:19:45
become a kind of playground, at least
1:19:48
in the areas I go to, which
1:19:50
is not that representative, it's become a
1:19:52
playground for the foreign rich, right? It's
1:19:54
not really dynamic as an economy, it's
1:19:56
more a really wonderful place for other
1:19:58
people to come and spend. It's true
1:20:01
London, I think, and I'm a Londoner,
1:20:03
so I feel strongly about London. I
1:20:05
think it's the greatest city in the
1:20:07
world probably, but I'm obviously not exactly
1:20:09
objective in that opinion. And it's sad,
1:20:11
I think that what you described is
1:20:14
at least parlatory. Well, that really explains
1:20:16
the British economy and where it stands
1:20:18
for. I think also... So what the
1:20:20
British economy has been good at in
1:20:22
terms of innovation, and it's got a
1:20:24
great record of innovation in healthcare, it's
1:20:27
got great drugs and other areas, it's
1:20:29
got it in technology in a number
1:20:31
of regards, arm in terms of low
1:20:33
power chips for mobile telephony, they dominated
1:20:35
that over time. very good. But it's
1:20:37
some, I think that the problems that
1:20:40
it exhibits are in the end I
1:20:42
think there is in my view an
1:20:44
anti-entrepreneurial, anti-capitalist, what do we want to
1:20:46
call it, spirit abroad in the UK
1:20:48
and it's been problematic I think for
1:20:50
a very long time. I don't think,
1:20:53
I think one of the biggest differences
1:20:55
with America and like you I love
1:20:57
New York, you know and the apartment
1:20:59
in York for some time and spend
1:21:01
a lot of time there, is I
1:21:04
think on the whole and I realize
1:21:06
this as a generalisation as a generalisation.
1:21:08
Americans wish to emulate success, Britain's wish
1:21:10
to destroy or criticize it. And that's
1:21:12
my take on it. And I'm afraid,
1:21:14
you know, I don't think that's helpful
1:21:17
really. You know, we've got to, got
1:21:19
to learn to appreciate people who are
1:21:21
successful and applaud it and wish to
1:21:23
emulate them and multiply it, not to
1:21:25
not bring them down in some way.
1:21:27
So the other thing about the UK
1:21:30
is I think you're probably right about
1:21:32
London, but once you go outside London,
1:21:34
the thing that becomes evident to me
1:21:36
is a number of it's being somewhat
1:21:38
hollowed out. I mean, I mean, the
1:21:40
industries which we used to rely on
1:21:43
for manufacturing have by and large gone.
1:21:45
But going back to what I was
1:21:47
saying earlier about progress, that's not new,
1:21:49
you know, if you take the textile
1:21:51
industry, it originated in the North of
1:21:53
England Industrial Revolution, then it migrated to
1:21:56
America in the North East after the
1:21:58
Civil War, and then it migrated to
1:22:00
places like Hong Kong, and then it's
1:22:02
migrated from places like Hong Kong to
1:22:04
places like Mauritius, and then it's gone
1:22:06
as this become a middle and middling,
1:22:09
has become a... And it keeps moving
1:22:11
and you have to move on yourself.
1:22:13
There's no word saying, well I think
1:22:15
we'll start. I'm not lamenting the absence
1:22:17
of the textile industry from the dark
1:22:19
satanic bill. of all England. You have
1:22:22
to move to new industries, but you
1:22:24
do need to move to new industries.
1:22:26
You don't need to have half the
1:22:28
population employed by the public sector, which
1:22:30
it is. That's not going to be
1:22:32
helpful, right? Because they aren't actually going
1:22:35
to create anything whatsoever. Here's a statistic
1:22:37
for you. The poorest state in America
1:22:39
is Mississippi, and the median income in
1:22:41
Mississippi, and I can give you an
1:22:43
exact figure, but not on this call,
1:22:45
but is about $44, US, US, now.
1:22:48
that's the same as the median income
1:22:50
of the UK. What went wrong? Because
1:22:52
something's definitely gone wrong. I mean, think
1:22:54
about, because I think one of the
1:22:56
things that strikes a lot of people
1:22:58
when they travel around America, outside of
1:23:01
the main conurbations, is how poor America
1:23:03
is once you get out into the
1:23:05
out of the boonies. Well, yeah, but
1:23:07
the UK is pretty poor all over.
1:23:09
You know, outside of those enclaves of
1:23:11
London and a few other major cities,
1:23:14
the UK is bad as not just
1:23:16
America, but the poorest state in America.
1:23:18
I'm not being party political in terms
1:23:20
of my views on this. I'm, you
1:23:22
know, my view is if they, I
1:23:24
don't vote in elections and you come
1:23:27
not on the electoral register, but if
1:23:29
they had an election, they had a
1:23:31
draw, they could bring me and I
1:23:33
let them know which way I would
1:23:35
have voted. But, because that's my view
1:23:37
on them essentially, but both sides of
1:23:40
the divide in the UK seem to
1:23:42
me to have a rather large responsibility
1:23:44
for this lamentable state of affairs. Let's
1:23:46
take a quick break and hear from
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All right, back to the show. There's certainly
1:26:55
tremendous dynamism in the US that I
1:26:58
think I definitely remember when during the
1:27:00
financial crisis when you know obviously the
1:27:02
US kind of triggered a lot of
1:27:04
the world's problems and everyone everyone was
1:27:07
sort of gleefully saying you know well
1:27:09
the US is finished and you know
1:27:11
now things and if you lived here
1:27:13
you just had this sense that it's
1:27:16
so dynamic and the flow of capital
1:27:18
to good ideas is so quick. Speaking
1:27:20
of which... But the willingness to deal
1:27:22
with things when they go wrong, I
1:27:24
quoted in my letter that I said,
1:27:26
you know, we had Unilever where we
1:27:28
had a, you know, a battle that
1:27:30
lasted many years. I mean, you could
1:27:32
say through two CEOs to try and
1:27:34
get the place straightened out. In comparison
1:27:36
with Nike, you know, the chief executive
1:27:38
screwed up the bricks and mortar, he's
1:27:41
gone. Right, that's it. And I, people
1:27:43
are terrible. I don't think it should
1:27:45
ever be allowed to fire people unless
1:27:47
you've been fired yourself. Because you need
1:27:49
to know what this feels like. And if you're going
1:27:52
to sit in a room and you're going to
1:27:54
actually fire people, you need to be able to talk
1:27:56
to them from a position of empathy, I think, in
1:27:58
my view. So I'm not in favour. of just,
1:28:00
you know, going like a chainsaw
1:28:02
of people. But I am in
1:28:04
favor of dynamism and dynamism only
1:28:06
comes that you're describing in part
1:28:08
from grasping not just money going
1:28:10
for new ideas, but also how
1:28:12
to deal with problems. The dynamism
1:28:15
of changing where people are living,
1:28:17
what jobs they're doing, who they
1:28:19
work for, is, you know, the
1:28:21
US is in another league, I think.
1:28:23
I think you're unusual also in
1:28:25
that... you've not only been a
1:28:27
very successful stock picker, but you were
1:28:29
actually a very successful CEO. I mean,
1:28:32
you've been a CEO of two public
1:28:34
brokerage companies, one of which I think
1:28:36
you've built into having about 3,000 employees
1:28:38
and the other you've floated and there
1:28:40
were lots of merges and demerges and the
1:28:43
like. And this is back in the
1:28:45
1990s and 2000s and it reminded me when
1:28:47
I was reading about your past as
1:28:49
a CEO of the quote from Buffett
1:28:51
where he famously said, I'm a better
1:28:53
investor because I'm a businessman and a
1:28:55
better businessman because I'm an investor. And
1:28:57
so I was wondering if you could talk a
1:29:00
little bit about what you learn as a CEO
1:29:02
that's helped you as an investor. Yeah, I
1:29:04
mean, one of them is that change requires
1:29:06
time quite often, notwithstanding me saying, you
1:29:08
know, acting quickly is good, because even
1:29:11
if you act quickly, you've still got
1:29:13
change to implement, you may change the
1:29:15
person. and quite often money and effort
1:29:17
and lots of other things. I got
1:29:20
a very good friend of mine who's
1:29:22
got a steel business in the UK
1:29:24
and he said when he was a
1:29:26
quoted company, which he's not anymore, he
1:29:29
went private, and that was a, he
1:29:31
said the analysts ringing up, asked him
1:29:33
about, asked him about how to change
1:29:35
things, they think that I've got these
1:29:37
two buttons on my office wall, red
1:29:39
one and a green one, when I come
1:29:42
in the morning I press the old
1:29:44
red button. He said it's a bit
1:29:46
more complex. We've got to design products,
1:29:48
we've got to get orders, we've
1:29:50
got to build mold. And I think
1:29:52
unless you've actually done that, it's
1:29:54
difficult to understand. I mean, it's
1:29:57
like people who sometimes come out of
1:29:59
running a... and then try and build
1:30:01
a fund management business. And I said,
1:30:03
well, it's like when I was head
1:30:05
of research at UPS, people used to
1:30:07
come to me because one of our
1:30:09
analysts was a very heavy guy, had
1:30:11
been a hammer thrower at college and
1:30:13
put on a lot of weight. And
1:30:15
when he sat on the toilet seats,
1:30:17
he used to break them because you
1:30:20
know, they stand on these little blocks.
1:30:22
They're up there. This guy, if he
1:30:24
wasn't killed. And people came in. It's
1:30:26
like. The way I would put it
1:30:28
is the day job isn't glamorous when
1:30:30
it comes to managing businesses. Quite a
1:30:32
lot of the day job isn't isn't
1:30:34
sort of striking a pose like road
1:30:36
out as the thinker and having great
1:30:38
strategic thoughts, right? It's actually about execution
1:30:40
implementation and a lot of execution implementation
1:30:42
does involve dealing with toilet seats and
1:30:44
the like. It just does. And it's
1:30:46
not that different with your investing, you've
1:30:48
talked about how so much of it.
1:30:50
Yeah, you have these grand theories and
1:30:53
principles and stuff that are kind of
1:30:55
timeless. But then there's the blocking and
1:30:57
tackling day to day where you're listening
1:30:59
to conference calls and you're doing modeling
1:31:01
of, you know, free cash flow. I
1:31:03
say to every new recruit that we've
1:31:05
had, with some success, but not universal,
1:31:07
I say before they begin, I say,
1:31:09
the day job is not glamorous. sitting
1:31:11
here having great thoughts on investment. I
1:31:13
said we don't sometimes have one for
1:31:15
a couple of years or more of
1:31:17
a time. You know, the number of
1:31:19
Microsoft and NIDXs and things that we
1:31:21
pull out that is relatively rare. And
1:31:23
if you've got one, we'd love to
1:31:26
hear about it, but we don't, you
1:31:28
know, when you've got three in the
1:31:30
first week, we're going to get a
1:31:32
bit suspicious. The reality is it's about
1:31:34
modeling and collecting and collecting data and
1:31:36
listening to calls and writing up notes.
1:31:38
looking so that we've got a record
1:31:40
that we can read back through and
1:31:42
read what's gone on historically and that's
1:31:44
really the vast majority of what we
1:31:46
do. And you told me right before
1:31:48
we started before we started recording about
1:31:50
a sign that you had in the
1:31:52
office. Can you tell us about that?
1:31:54
Because in a way it embodies this
1:31:56
mindset of kind of dogged incremental progress
1:31:59
and not screwing up. I put up
1:32:01
the five P's. So five application P's
1:32:03
in a frame and the five P
1:32:05
stands for preparation prevents piss poor performance.
1:32:07
Don't turn up for something without having
1:32:09
prepared. Don't go to a company meeting
1:32:11
and you haven't read the last results
1:32:13
and the note that you wrote before.
1:32:15
You know? And it originated from a
1:32:17
time when I was in Broking and
1:32:19
I went on a trip to Scotland.
1:32:21
when I was at UPS has had
1:32:23
a research with the CEO and a
1:32:25
salesman. The salesman, I'd come from another
1:32:27
broken firm and I'd looked at our
1:32:30
Scottish bio figures and they were terrible
1:32:32
and the salesman said we were number
1:32:34
one or top three or something Scotland,
1:32:36
we clearly weren't. And so we decided
1:32:38
we'd resolve this by going to Scotland
1:32:40
or by going to Scotland or by
1:32:42
going to Scotland. Why not? And we
1:32:44
were there having a meeting with the
1:32:46
general accident as it was in purse.
1:32:48
They were lovely guys I knew them.
1:32:50
But you know they were lovely guys
1:32:52
but with that with that nice steely,
1:32:54
but with that nice steely, you know,
1:32:56
you know, you know, you know, you
1:32:58
know, you know, you know, you know,
1:33:00
you know, you know, you know, you
1:33:03
know, you know, you know, you know,
1:33:05
you know, you know, you know, you
1:33:07
know, you know, you know, you know,
1:33:09
you know, you know, you know, you
1:33:11
know, you know, you know, you know,
1:33:13
you know, you And they were having
1:33:15
a conversation about what they thought about
1:33:17
the service and they said, well, what
1:33:19
do we think about the service? How
1:33:21
much do we pay you last year
1:33:23
in commission as a broken man? I
1:33:25
kind of looked at the salesman and
1:33:27
he said, I don't know. I said,
1:33:29
you don't know. They said, we're paying
1:33:31
you four million pounds or something like
1:33:33
that. Well, this is how much we
1:33:36
pay you the year before. I don't
1:33:38
know, five minutes. So they said, well,
1:33:40
they were telling us was their wallet,
1:33:42
they were telling us was, right. Anyway,
1:33:44
I came out of the meeting and
1:33:46
I said to the CEO, I would
1:33:48
fire that guy. I said, going to
1:33:50
a meeting with you in the room,
1:33:52
not me in the room, and you
1:33:54
don't have the basic information on the
1:33:56
client to head is just a no-no.
1:33:58
I mean, that tells you right off
1:34:00
the back what we're doing with here.
1:34:02
And it's like, you know, there is
1:34:04
no excuse for turning up to interview
1:34:06
a company. be interviewed by an investor.
1:34:09
If I'm being interviewed by an investor,
1:34:11
if you were, you know, coming on,
1:34:13
say, Terry, I want to, you know,
1:34:15
interview you about my holding in for,
1:34:17
and you go, well, how much, do
1:34:19
you know how much I got invested
1:34:21
in for? No, I haven't actually got
1:34:23
a clue. Will you mow? How much
1:34:25
have you got? It would be a
1:34:27
bad start, wouldn't it? When did I
1:34:29
invest? I don't know, actually. I mean,
1:34:31
we've got a data on this, but
1:34:33
if I hadn't taken the trouble, have
1:34:35
you made money or have you lost
1:34:37
money with me? How much money have
1:34:39
you made? Have you been putting money
1:34:42
in your use, right? Where you, you
1:34:44
know, you came from this poor background
1:34:46
and then... you know, you're like this
1:34:48
working class kid going to university college
1:34:50
in Cardiff and then you, you know,
1:34:52
you get your NBA, but it's not,
1:34:54
it's not from Harvard or Wharton, right?
1:34:56
It's from Henley School of Management, you
1:34:58
know, and I'm wondering if like there's
1:35:00
something about having been an outsider and
1:35:02
having to fight for everything that you've
1:35:04
had to kind of scrap and be
1:35:06
tenacious and work harder. And you were
1:35:08
always sort of this super competitive outsider.
1:35:10
Does that resonate with you? Yeah, I
1:35:12
think that's pretty accurate actually. I think
1:35:15
that's a large part of this. I've
1:35:17
never been part of whatever the establishment
1:35:19
is. I mean, I suspect we've got
1:35:21
a new establishment now that's replaced some
1:35:23
of the old establishment in time. I've
1:35:25
never been part of that. I've never
1:35:27
wanted to be part of it either
1:35:29
actually. Never struck me I particularly wanted
1:35:31
to join any club or anything like
1:35:33
that. Yeah I have always felt that
1:35:35
I was a bit of an outsider
1:35:37
and I had to work for things
1:35:39
and I think it's probably a good
1:35:41
thing on the whole to be in
1:35:43
that situation. I had a conversation with
1:35:45
somebody who were having dinner and at
1:35:48
the dinner was someone's son who was
1:35:50
eating and when we were Paris were
1:35:52
leaving and he said to me I
1:35:54
got five son I'd send him to
1:35:56
eat and I said would you I
1:35:58
wouldn't. He said why? He said it's
1:36:00
where everybody runs the world goes I
1:36:02
said no. I just don't see this
1:36:04
as a great positive I think you
1:36:06
know I would rather that he went
1:36:08
to a very ordinary school and found
1:36:10
out how the world really works. My
1:36:12
friend the steelman who I'm telling you
1:36:14
about, it's a family business, he's a
1:36:16
asylum family that's owned it for several
1:36:18
generations and he refused to go to
1:36:21
public school and put himself into grammar
1:36:23
school. And I think it's to his
1:36:25
credit. but also to his benefit because
1:36:27
I think you know when you're walking
1:36:29
through a founder and talking to people
1:36:31
you might be able to understand a
1:36:33
little more what their issues are and
1:36:35
what they're doing if you actually have
1:36:37
been alongside them from time to time
1:36:39
you know. It's such an interesting issue
1:36:41
you know I went to and I
1:36:43
went to Oxford but I'm a Jewish
1:36:45
kid with a you know from a
1:36:47
family that fled from Russia and Ukraine
1:36:49
and Poland and so I remember going
1:36:51
to a friend's house for an outsider
1:36:54
and an insider somewhere between the two.
1:36:56
I think there were a few who
1:36:58
were pretending not to be I think
1:37:00
there were that many. I think there
1:37:02
were a few who were pretending not
1:37:04
to be. I mean I think there
1:37:06
were some who concealed that they would
1:37:08
use and so I think I think
1:37:10
being an outsider and an insider somewhere
1:37:12
between the two so I'm comfortable interviewing
1:37:14
anyone or talking to anyone because I.
1:37:16
I mean, I was at school with
1:37:18
people like Boris Johnson and David Cameron,
1:37:20
so I know they were nothing really
1:37:22
that special, right? You're not that intimidated,
1:37:24
because you... Got, do you use my,
1:37:27
my cast of blood? I'm shocked, got
1:37:29
to hear that. They were very, I
1:37:31
mean, Boris, I remember when I was
1:37:33
a little boy. I mean, I was
1:37:35
13 and he was the head boy
1:37:37
and he was, he was clearly incredibly
1:37:39
charismatic, charismatic, and a big personality. But
1:37:41
the idea that these sort of... entitled
1:37:43
very bright Etonians who knew how to
1:37:45
write Greek verse. We should be making
1:37:47
big impactful decisions about the future of
1:37:49
the company, the country, just because they'd
1:37:51
gone to Eaton and Oxford. I mean
1:37:53
it was kind of laughable if you
1:37:55
knew them, because I knew what a
1:37:57
fool. was and I you know I
1:38:00
mean I can't talk in English in
1:38:02
my class I mean I was as
1:38:04
smart as a lot of those kids
1:38:06
and I know that I'm a moron.
1:38:08
But I think the ideal place if
1:38:10
you can get to it and I
1:38:12
don't think many do is to be
1:38:14
able to get along with and communicate
1:38:16
people with people whatever pretty much whatever
1:38:18
their background and if you're going to
1:38:20
I think then you've got to about
1:38:22
the right place. If you can be
1:38:24
at Buckingham Palace with Boris sitting alongside
1:38:26
you having lunch, and I have been
1:38:28
at Buckingham Palace, and at the same
1:38:31
time you can go to the boxing
1:38:33
gym with the young black kids, then
1:38:35
I think he reached a good place
1:38:37
is my view and I feel sometimes
1:38:39
I'm fortunate in that regard that I
1:38:41
can do both those things and not
1:38:43
feel particularly out of place in either
1:38:45
one. It's interesting to me that one
1:38:47
of your clients early on. was Sir
1:38:49
John Templeton and you've talked in the
1:38:51
past about going off to the Bahamas
1:38:53
to Life at Key to see him
1:38:55
and Mark Haloesco, his chief investment officer.
1:38:57
And I write in my book about
1:38:59
Sir John because I went off and
1:39:01
interviewed him in the Bahamas and spent
1:39:04
a day with him, so 25, 26
1:39:06
years ago. And in some ways, you
1:39:08
seem to have kind of recreated his
1:39:10
life where you've gone off to Mauritius
1:39:12
and you're sort of away from the
1:39:14
matting crowd thinking for yourself. Can you
1:39:16
talk about... in some ways that, whether
1:39:18
I'm, whether I'm, A, I'm right in
1:39:20
thinking that Templeton somehow influenced you, maybe
1:39:22
in the same way that that movie
1:39:24
early on influenced you and you thought,
1:39:26
oh, there's another way to do this.
1:39:28
And also how it's kind of been
1:39:30
an advantage to you to set yourself
1:39:32
up in this very independent, non-tribal way,
1:39:34
far, far away from Wall Street and
1:39:37
the city of London. A lot, I
1:39:39
actually emulate Templeton in more ways you
1:39:41
might think, because he, as you probably
1:39:43
know, used to walk in the walk
1:39:45
in the sea every day, I go
1:39:47
for a swim out to the reef
1:39:49
and back whenever I can, which is,
1:39:51
you know, two or three times a
1:39:53
week at least, and my colleagues say,
1:39:55
oh, it's interesting, doing what, and I
1:39:57
do, weirdly, if there's nothing else going
1:39:59
on when I'm doing it, I do
1:40:01
think about it. It's strange, isn't it?
1:40:03
Just doing an activity similar to what
1:40:05
he did in the Bahamas. But yeah,
1:40:07
it definitely didn't. It influenced me to
1:40:10
see somebody like that at work. And
1:40:12
I was remember very early on when
1:40:14
he talked about how to react or
1:40:16
not to events. He said, you know,
1:40:18
I mean, obviously between way free internet,
1:40:20
you know, he said, you know, the
1:40:22
papers arrive a day later, I get
1:40:24
the Wall Street Journal the day after
1:40:26
it's published. So by the time there's
1:40:28
a problem, it's too late to panic.
1:40:30
It's too late to panic. And he
1:40:32
was making an important point in a
1:40:34
trivial way about that. The events, we
1:40:36
often write up in our daily news
1:40:38
write-ups, we write to each other, and
1:40:40
we look back over periods of time,
1:40:43
sometimes only a few weeks, sometimes a
1:40:45
few months or months and so on,
1:40:47
say, if somebody had gone to sleep
1:40:49
on that day and woken up on
1:40:51
today, and we've had all these events
1:40:53
in the middle that happened where, you
1:40:55
know, terrible, great things have happened in
1:40:57
terms of elections of elections, or wars,
1:40:59
or pandemics and so on. Since the
1:41:01
market is at the same level, if
1:41:03
they didn't look at any of the
1:41:05
intervening events, I wonder what they would
1:41:07
conclude. Nothing's happening. So was anything that
1:41:09
happened terribly important then? Because mostly the
1:41:11
answer is no. No, it's not. And
1:41:13
I think he and Buffett, although I've
1:41:16
never met Buffett and so on, from
1:41:18
the way that he's explained it, it
1:41:20
is valuable. And there have been other
1:41:22
people, I think they're not the only
1:41:24
people who've done the, I don't want
1:41:26
to be in the industry, who operate.
1:41:28
from London or New York. I mean,
1:41:30
I always say a lot of these
1:41:32
guys need GPS to get outside West
1:41:34
One or SW1. I mean, we don't
1:41:36
know how you do it, right? And
1:41:38
I say to them, why are you
1:41:40
there? And they go, well, I like
1:41:42
to stay in touch with the companies.
1:41:44
I say, you're an investor in Pakistan.
1:41:46
I say, yes, I'm like, they're in
1:41:49
Cincinnati. And the other reality is, you're
1:41:51
scratching and. They like to be able
1:41:53
to go and talk to other people
1:41:55
doing what they're doing, whether they're brokers
1:41:57
or other managers, and they like to
1:41:59
be able to meet them for lunch
1:42:01
and meet them for drinks and pick
1:42:03
up. And they like to compare notes
1:42:05
on what they're all doing. And the
1:42:07
reality. years they don't really want to
1:42:09
stand out from the pack too much.
1:42:11
Which is fine. I mean that's there's
1:42:13
the old John Maine Arkansas quote there
1:42:15
that the worst thing you can have
1:42:17
from your career is to is to
1:42:19
differ from the norm even if you're
1:42:22
successful it's still it's still with asthma
1:42:24
to people and that they mainly don't
1:42:26
want to get that far out from
1:42:28
from the norm. And if you're trying
1:42:30
to invest for the real long term
1:42:32
being in that is unhelp is unhelpful
1:42:34
really unhelpful. How do you actually structure?
1:42:36
lifestyle and your ecosystem there so that
1:42:38
you're able to operate in this very
1:42:40
long-term patient independent-spirited way and sort of
1:42:42
resist, you know, even the pressure to
1:42:44
think about short-term results and stuff in
1:42:46
an increasingly short-term world. We don't speak
1:42:48
to any brokers, not one. We don't
1:42:50
take any research from brokers, we don't
1:42:52
speak to them, we do it ourselves.
1:42:55
So we've got why? Well, you know...
1:42:57
Boxers are paid to fight, so they
1:42:59
like to have fights. Lawyers are paid
1:43:01
to have disputes, so they like to
1:43:03
have disputes and prolong them. Brokers are
1:43:05
made on transactions. Guess what they like
1:43:07
to do? We were brokers. I was
1:43:09
a broker, right? Julian was a broker.
1:43:11
We've done this job. We know what's
1:43:13
involved, right? We don't speak to any
1:43:15
of them. We don't take any of
1:43:17
that. We're completely cut off of that.
1:43:19
The fact that I'm in a different
1:43:21
time zone helps as well, I mean
1:43:23
for the first four hours of the
1:43:25
day, I don't have anyone outside Mauritius,
1:43:28
my car, I've got a dozen colleagues
1:43:30
here who are awake. So I've got
1:43:32
quite a large part of the day
1:43:34
where I can mull over what I've
1:43:36
read and what I've taken in the
1:43:38
previous day and think if there's anything
1:43:40
that I need to do about it
1:43:42
or say about it or ask about
1:43:44
it, without any incoming whatsoever from people,
1:43:46
you know? And so that that really
1:43:48
does sort of, and also with regard
1:43:50
to Wall Street, you know, I'm going
1:43:52
to switch off looking at things after
1:43:54
I've been speaking to you, I'll go
1:43:56
on and have a look at. switch
1:43:58
off, and this is something really, really
1:44:01
big, somebody, you know, Microsoft goes bus,
1:44:03
give me a call, but you know,
1:44:05
outside of that, don't boil. And so,
1:44:07
you know, the remoteness does help. The
1:44:09
other thing about Mauritius in particular is,
1:44:11
I think people talk about the world,
1:44:13
and living in another part of it
1:44:15
can be quite important, I think. You
1:44:17
know, I'm living in an island that's
1:44:19
about 800 kilometers off the coast of
1:44:21
Africa, which has got a majority Indian
1:44:23
population. And you can tell almost everything
1:44:25
you need to know about, Mauritius, from
1:44:27
the national holiday system. There are two
1:44:29
days a year for Christians, two days
1:44:32
a year for Hindus, two days a
1:44:34
year for Tamils, two days a year
1:44:36
for Muslims, two days a year for
1:44:38
Muslims, two days years for the Chinese,
1:44:40
plus national day and the abolition of
1:44:42
slavery. In other words, people talk about
1:44:44
diverse societies, it's a diverse society, you
1:44:46
know. People who in the street, if
1:44:48
they don't know who you are, we'll
1:44:50
speak to you in French, first of.
1:44:52
Right. Those are the commoner languages here
1:44:54
and they're they're pretty good connecting flights
1:44:56
into China and India and we're the
1:44:58
same time zone as Dubai and gradually
1:45:00
by various means a different perspective on
1:45:02
the world begins to enter your consciousness
1:45:05
I think if you live somewhere else
1:45:07
you know. So you've set yourself up
1:45:09
in a very in a very free
1:45:11
and independent way. I mean it's been
1:45:13
a long journey from I mean, literally
1:45:15
a long journey, you're like 10,000 kilometers
1:45:17
away from London. But I mean, you've
1:45:19
in a way, the fact that you
1:45:21
weren't part of the in crowd, that
1:45:23
you weren't sort of growing up, you
1:45:25
know, going to par schools and then
1:45:27
going to work in Mayfair at a
1:45:29
hedge fund and stuff, has enabled you
1:45:31
to kind of chart your own course
1:45:33
in a very unusual way. Yeah, I
1:45:35
think it has. Yeah, absolutely. Yeah, absolutely.
1:45:38
Yeah, absolutely. Yeah, absolutely. Yeah, absolutely. I
1:45:40
had some mentors along the way, you
1:45:42
know, I've mentioned a couple of them
1:45:44
and probably two or three four mentors
1:45:46
along a lot. When people ask me
1:45:48
about careers and what to do and
1:45:50
they're you know, they want to set
1:45:52
up the latest FinTech as a matter.
1:45:54
I always say, get a job, but
1:45:56
an organisation will provide you with training,
1:45:58
right? Take everything that they offer, and
1:46:00
if you can, find a mentor, somebody
1:46:02
who will teach you how this works,
1:46:04
and in doing so, give you experience
1:46:06
that you otherwise won't get, you know?
1:46:08
And sometimes it's quite painful. I mean,
1:46:11
being mentored is not always a positive
1:46:13
experience. You have difficult ones as well.
1:46:15
I always remember when I was working
1:46:17
in March banking. and we used to
1:46:19
have to balance the accounts, the branch
1:46:21
itself has a balance sheet for its
1:46:23
operations, you don't have to load and
1:46:25
deposits and everything like that, and capital
1:46:27
that we're operating on, the supply, and
1:46:29
you used to have to balance those,
1:46:31
and all the individual accounts there, the
1:46:33
ledges that went into it. And I
1:46:35
remember not being able to balance one
1:46:37
of the ledgers, and I was a
1:46:39
graduate training, and the manager's assistant took
1:46:41
it off him and said, yeah, okay,
1:46:44
well, when he went to his office,
1:46:46
and came back and came back to
1:46:48
it, I didn't go to it, I
1:46:50
didn't go to university, I didn't go
1:46:52
to university, I didn't go to university.
1:46:54
You do need people from time to
1:46:56
time to tell you you can do,
1:46:58
you should be doing better than this.
1:47:00
It's not all people think, you know,
1:47:02
the whole world of positive reinforcement. But
1:47:04
once in a while, someone needs to
1:47:06
tell you got it wrong. Yeah. It's
1:47:08
an interesting balance, right? Because in some
1:47:10
ways, when I look at your life,
1:47:12
I think, you know, you're this tough
1:47:14
sort of indomitable guy, and in some
1:47:17
ways, there is a, you know, you're
1:47:19
obviously a very likable, and charming, and
1:47:21
charming guy, and gregarious, and you've worked
1:47:23
for you've worked for you've worked for
1:47:25
you. for or with you for a
1:47:27
very long time, for decades. But at
1:47:29
the same time, you're clearly an intense
1:47:31
and tough and slightly combative, scrappy guy.
1:47:33
And I'm wondering how that works in
1:47:35
the rest of life, out of business
1:47:37
and investing, because I look at so
1:47:39
many of the great investors. I mean,
1:47:41
this is one of the things I
1:47:43
often quote on this show, Charlie Munger
1:47:45
said to me that what struck him
1:47:47
when he read my book was just
1:47:50
how many of them ended up divorced
1:47:52
or separated or separated. When you look
1:47:54
back on your life and obviously you've
1:47:56
got divorced, you've had contentious relations. in
1:47:58
the life in your life. How do
1:48:00
you turn off the intensity that makes
1:48:02
you very successful in work so that
1:48:04
then you can come back into dealing
1:48:06
with a wife or a girlfriend or
1:48:08
kids or whatever and actually not have
1:48:10
that same mentality kind of overrun everything?
1:48:12
I don't think if I've got a
1:48:14
problem that regard. I don't think my
1:48:16
problem is is is approaching the remainder
1:48:18
of my life with the same approach
1:48:20
that I approach business. I think I
1:48:23
am able to see the two things
1:48:25
quite separately and approach differently. I think
1:48:27
what is difficult, however, is when you
1:48:29
get into situations which are very intense,
1:48:31
the matter how much you think, well,
1:48:33
this is home life and I'm going
1:48:35
to cook dinner or your bath or
1:48:37
baby or whatever you're going to do,
1:48:39
you may not still be able to
1:48:41
get that out of your head. So
1:48:43
whether or not you can engage properly,
1:48:45
sleep properly, is... it's not something that
1:48:47
you can just do by thinking about
1:48:49
it, you know, it does stay with
1:48:51
you sometimes and I think that can
1:48:53
be problematic. You know, it's not whether
1:48:56
you are, you're treating everybody like they're
1:48:58
in work and you want to see
1:49:00
their numbers and you want to, you
1:49:02
know, get them to engage in P,
1:49:04
P, P, B, or that's not. I
1:49:06
don't think it's as simple as if
1:49:08
you've had an intense time, it can
1:49:10
be difficult to switch it off. in
1:49:12
you and therefore whatever it is you're
1:49:14
doing you may not perform very well
1:49:16
in relation to it to the simplest
1:49:18
level of sleeping for example or something
1:49:20
like that you got something running through
1:49:22
your mind it may keep running through
1:49:24
your mind and you know you may
1:49:26
not be very comfortable to be with
1:49:29
at that time and and that's probably
1:49:31
the only thing is I think if
1:49:33
you do do things like running your
1:49:35
own business and you do do you
1:49:37
know run businesses including your own business
1:49:39
and you do it intentionally and successfully
1:49:41
and all that kind of thing. One
1:49:43
of the things that people who are
1:49:45
with you have to buy into or
1:49:47
not is you will do whatever it
1:49:49
takes. And some people can't buy that.
1:49:51
They want to be the center of
1:49:53
your world and you say, well, You
1:49:55
can't always be there. I've got this
1:49:57
thing over here that I do. And
1:49:59
maybe you've got things that you do.
1:50:02
Maybe you haven't. I don't know. But
1:50:04
there are times where I go, no,
1:50:06
I'm going to go and do that
1:50:08
now. And they go, well, that's not
1:50:10
very good. Because I really like to
1:50:12
go and do this. You go and
1:50:14
do it. I'll pay. But I'm going
1:50:16
over here to do this right now.
1:50:18
I just, I feel I've got to
1:50:20
do it because it's required. And some
1:50:22
people find that quite difficult to quite
1:50:24
difficult to it quite difficult to accept.
1:50:26
ferocity and intensity of drive and focus
1:50:28
comes from for you? Is it just
1:50:30
competitive? Is it kind of a bit
1:50:33
like being a fighter, being a boxer?
1:50:35
Where does it come from for you?
1:50:37
I think it comes from a balance
1:50:39
of things. I mean, one is growing
1:50:41
up in very bad circumstances, not like
1:50:43
that. Yeah, but how many of them
1:50:45
escape is it worth? And I think
1:50:47
it mainly comes from that. You know,
1:50:49
if you were, you know, you're in
1:50:51
very poor circumstances in, you know, bad
1:50:53
weather conditions and living in a terrible
1:50:55
place and it's quite violent and one
1:50:57
thing enough, it probably does read within
1:50:59
you a determination that's otherwise difficult to
1:51:01
encapsulate with people, you know, very difficult
1:51:03
to encapsulate with people. And I think
1:51:06
that's it, you know, it's, you know,
1:51:08
when I went to see the kids
1:51:10
in Mauritius who we set up the
1:51:12
boxing gym for, and it was, you
1:51:14
know, you know, you know, you know,
1:51:16
The girl that they got me involved
1:51:18
in, and people know I'm a bit
1:51:20
of a suck up at these things,
1:51:22
she was, she won some fights and
1:51:24
got a few trophies and so on,
1:51:26
but Amal was a prostitute, right? And
1:51:28
she was living in a shack and
1:51:30
so on, and they know that I'm
1:51:32
like that, but anyway, I went to
1:51:34
see her and I went to see
1:51:36
the club and I saw their circumstances
1:51:39
and said, oh, it's terrible, I said,
1:51:41
yeah, I'm going to help, I'm going
1:51:43
to help. Let me tell you something,
1:51:45
I said, I said, I said, I
1:51:47
said, let me tell you something, I
1:51:49
said, I said, I said, I said,
1:51:51
I said, I said, I said, I
1:51:53
said, I said, I said, I said,
1:51:55
I said, I said, I said, I
1:51:57
said, I said, I said, I said,
1:51:59
I said, I said, I said, I
1:52:01
said, I said, I said, I said,
1:52:03
I said, I said, I said, I
1:52:05
they don't come out of air conditioned
1:52:07
gyms, right, with drinking fountains, right? They
1:52:09
come out of gyms where, you know,
1:52:12
basically, you know, there's buckets of people
1:52:14
spitting to them. That's where they come
1:52:16
from, right? Real, you know, real grit
1:52:18
down there. That's that, that forms. kind
1:52:20
of on in the cell, I think.
1:52:22
And it does. Yeah. How do you
1:52:24
think about this whole issue of giving
1:52:26
back and sharing and lifting up other
1:52:28
people? Because I was talking to my
1:52:30
mother yesterday and I said to her,
1:52:32
she's in London, I said to her,
1:52:34
I'm going to, she's in London, I
1:52:36
said to her, I'm going to interview
1:52:38
this guy and I told her about
1:52:40
you. And she said, I disapproved of
1:52:42
him. And I said, you know, he
1:52:45
makes too much money, he doesn't. And
1:52:47
she's like, why isn't he doing more
1:52:49
to solve society's problems? And I said
1:52:51
to her, I'll ask him, like how
1:52:53
do you think about that? Well, first
1:52:55
of all, I'd like to say that
1:52:57
your mother, obviously I'm criticizing a man's
1:52:59
mother is dangerous Turkey, and she doesn't
1:53:01
know how much tax I pay with
1:53:03
a great respect. No, I'll introduce you
1:53:05
to my mother. You'll find she's about
1:53:07
as formidable as you are. Great. Yeah,
1:53:09
we recruited somebody a while back who
1:53:11
told me the story about his mother
1:53:13
and I said, I want to hire
1:53:15
your mother. Yeah. Yeah. I think she
1:53:18
sounds like a perfect employee for us.
1:53:20
Let's get it. And so, it's funny
1:53:22
you should ask that because it will
1:53:24
at least maybe in part answer your
1:53:26
mother's question, which is to say that
1:53:28
I believe that. philanthropy or giving back
1:53:30
or whatever you do. There are a
1:53:32
number of things I'm very strongly guided
1:53:34
on by. It should be private and
1:53:36
it should be with your own money.
1:53:38
I am anti to the point of
1:53:40
disparagement with the people who go in
1:53:42
for glitzy events, you know, absolute return
1:53:44
for kids kind of thing, and we'll
1:53:46
have a big event, and we'll invite
1:53:48
the Prime Minister and we'll all bid,
1:53:51
you know, a million pounds for a
1:53:53
pair of socks or whatever the hell
1:53:55
it is, and we'll give it, and
1:53:57
we'll give it, and the second thing
1:53:59
about it is you're quite often in
1:54:01
those circles and the number of people
1:54:03
are going to go but I've got
1:54:05
this charity and I want this and
1:54:07
you could take part and do that
1:54:09
before I'm going to happen here is
1:54:11
I'm going to give you the money
1:54:13
and then you're going to go up
1:54:15
front it up and do all this
1:54:17
and there's a certain degree to which
1:54:19
I have to have people like that
1:54:21
because I'm not going to run any
1:54:24
things because I mean... I try by
1:54:26
and large to keep to both rules.
1:54:28
And so, again, what you're really saying
1:54:30
is, can I pay for you to
1:54:32
go and get credit? That's what in
1:54:34
some cases, a lot of people who
1:54:36
raise money for charity. I think, first
1:54:38
of all, they don't keep to my
1:54:40
private rule. And secondly, they don't keep
1:54:42
to the, it should be your own
1:54:44
money rule. I try, by and large,
1:54:46
to keep to both rules. And so,
1:54:48
again, going back to your mother, she
1:54:50
doesn't know what I do with my
1:54:52
money. But I do give what I
1:54:54
would personally, every card is very significant
1:54:57
sums of money to a wide range
1:54:59
of things, not just boxing gyms for
1:55:01
kids, but a lot of other things
1:55:03
as well. But how do you think
1:55:05
of the parameters, because I'm assuming that
1:55:07
there's something about helping to give people
1:55:09
opportunity that resonates for you as someone
1:55:11
who managed to get out of. Like
1:55:13
how do you think about a good
1:55:15
way to help people? Well, that was
1:55:17
another part of going on private. with
1:55:19
your own money and in practical ways
1:55:21
wherever possible that affects them in the
1:55:23
way that you've just touched upon which
1:55:25
is opportunity and the ability to grasp
1:55:27
it. So I have a new wife
1:55:30
I'm pleased to say and she has
1:55:32
a stepson I have a stepson as
1:55:34
a result and we've got him into
1:55:36
school in the UK and we've actually
1:55:38
got what do you want to do
1:55:40
here I can stay in government school
1:55:42
and basically be trained in the underclass
1:55:44
here to be a gas pump attendant
1:55:46
or a guard or a security man.
1:55:48
all we can send in the UK
1:55:50
if he passes admission obviously and so
1:55:52
on and we send in the UK
1:55:54
that's good and he seems to be
1:55:56
prospering which is good so what I've
1:55:58
now moved on to is a scheme
1:56:00
to take two Creole children around from
1:56:03
Mauritius into the school so that once
1:56:05
we've got it full we will have
1:56:07
at least two children in every year
1:56:09
in that school now you know I'm
1:56:11
sure you're aware of the school haven't
1:56:13
been eating the price of schooling in
1:56:15
the UK by the time we take
1:56:17
this the phase the new VAT the
1:56:19
uniform the equipment and the flights into
1:56:21
account we're getting into some reasonable dough
1:56:23
there basically but the thing I really
1:56:25
like about it is it will be
1:56:27
of practical help to lift those some
1:56:29
of those group of children out of
1:56:31
their background to give them an opportunity
1:56:34
and and this is the really important
1:56:36
part I think some of them I
1:56:38
hope will think of coming back to
1:56:40
Mauritius to change the community in general
1:56:42
by the fact that they have the
1:56:44
ability to hold down important roles in
1:56:46
government or the private sector and so
1:56:48
on and that's that's the sort of
1:56:50
thing that really I like. enjoy that
1:56:52
a lot because I can see the
1:56:54
practical consequences of doing it now. I
1:56:56
don't want them to name the Terry
1:56:58
Smith wing after me. Yeah. I don't
1:57:00
think about the story at all in
1:57:02
fact. In fact, in terms of getting
1:57:04
these things to work quite often does
1:57:07
require some sort of input from the
1:57:09
government to get schools to respond here
1:57:11
and do that. So I say them
1:57:13
as... You can put your name on
1:57:15
it. You can say this great initiative
1:57:17
by me. I mean, you're a politician,
1:57:19
you love this, right? Put your name
1:57:21
on it, right? I don't want my
1:57:23
name on it. So your mother's never
1:57:25
going to be, almost never going to
1:57:27
be reading about me doing this. She
1:57:29
might read, she might read, she might
1:57:31
read, she might read that, she might
1:57:33
read that, the, the president of the
1:57:35
Labour Party of Maurit to account. She'll
1:57:37
listen to my episode. Yeah, I didn't
1:57:40
like that summer, you know what. that
1:57:42
guy was great or you know so
1:57:44
having exacting parents is helpful. Apart from
1:57:46
her lack of knowledge of my personal
1:57:48
affairs which is understandable but she should
1:57:50
perhaps try and tell you something before
1:57:52
it is I think she's viewing a
1:57:54
little close to that UK just like
1:57:56
of success that I was talking about.
1:57:58
That's it's an interesting question that yeah
1:58:00
I mean tell me about you know
1:58:02
obviously having grown up without money and
1:58:04
then over the years you become very
1:58:06
wealthy and you know you bought a
1:58:08
couple of hundred beautiful cars and the
1:58:10
like and a yacht and the stuff
1:58:13
and a lot of the very, I
1:58:15
mean I write about this in the
1:58:17
epilogue of my book Richa Wise Happier
1:58:19
where I talk to a lot of
1:58:21
people who've won the you know hit
1:58:23
the jackpot financially and my sense is
1:58:25
that you know as I would put
1:58:27
it the toys and baubles are kind
1:58:29
of nice but they only go so
1:58:31
far. that in some ways the real
1:58:33
gift of the money is that it...
1:58:35
Say again? Worse than that. In what
1:58:37
sense? The toys and the ballballs actually
1:58:39
get in the way of pleasure quite
1:58:41
often. You know, owning things of that
1:58:43
sort mainly is a headache. You know,
1:58:46
so if you've got a boat, you
1:58:48
end up having a crew and then
1:58:50
the crew, you know, somebody quits, somebody
1:58:52
has sex with somebody else, somebody's found
1:58:54
out doing something here, they're running into
1:58:56
the key side at the top. And
1:58:58
so, you know, really, I've got to
1:59:00
say the amount of real pleasure that
1:59:02
one gets from doing those kind of
1:59:04
things is not high in my view,
1:59:06
right? So what, I mean, like, if
1:59:08
you take the car collection, for example,
1:59:10
I think buying expensive and fast cars,
1:59:12
and I've got some expensive and fast
1:59:14
cars, I don't know about that. But
1:59:16
I've got a very wide range of
1:59:19
cars, my earliest cars from 1903, which
1:59:21
are failures, I deliberately collect failures. And
1:59:23
so, you know, and the reason for
1:59:25
that is I think that they tell
1:59:27
us things. If you, if you, why
1:59:29
do we have, why do we have
1:59:31
post-mortoms on human beings? Well, isn't just
1:59:33
because doctors like messing around with cadavers,
1:59:35
it's because if we die in suspicious
1:59:37
circumstances or difficult situations, they might want
1:59:39
to know why just in cases of
1:59:41
new illness or foul play and something
1:59:43
needs to be done about it, if
1:59:45
anything, we can learn. I mean, learn
1:59:47
how these things, because it might be
1:59:49
useful to learn something from time to
1:59:52
time about how other people have screwed
1:59:54
up in history, you know. Has it
1:59:56
informed your skepticism about Tesla? Because you're,
1:59:58
I mean, it's interesting, when you think
2:00:00
of the magnificent seven, right? I mean,
2:00:02
you own a bunch of them, but
2:00:04
you've said that Tesla and Invidia wouldn't
2:00:06
get through your quality parameters and the
2:00:08
Tesla probably never will. And I hadn't
2:00:10
really made the connection that here you
2:00:12
are a car expert. Like is there
2:00:14
some connection between your car collection of
2:00:16
the failures and your skepticism about Tesla?
2:00:18
Remember my stern business school, you know,
2:00:20
good company, bad company saying automobile companies
2:00:22
are all bad without without any... kind
2:00:25
of exception. Every single one, Toyota Ford,
2:00:27
BMW, Mercedes, the whole lot, right? They
2:00:29
destroy value. If you really like them,
2:00:31
you can go and buy them all
2:00:33
on a PEA-4 if you want, and
2:00:35
there's Tesla on 99 times, right? It's
2:00:37
a bad business. Why is it a
2:00:39
bad business? It's very capital intensive. You
2:00:41
have to build factories, right, fairly obvious.
2:00:43
And models development costs a lot of
2:00:45
time and money, and then here's a
2:00:47
problem. If I'm invested in consumer staples
2:00:49
and you buy some toothpaste or cat
2:00:51
litter or whatever you buy, when you
2:00:53
run out you have to go buy
2:00:55
some more. And so that keeps, even
2:00:58
in a downturn, you might eke it
2:01:00
out, might squeeze the tube a bit
2:01:02
better, might go buy some cheaper cat
2:01:04
litter and a number two brand or
2:01:06
one brand, I don't know. So that's
2:01:08
a little bit problematic, but it's not
2:01:10
big problematic. Whereas if you've you've got
2:01:12
a car and you've got a car
2:01:14
and you've got a car and you've
2:01:16
got a car, I always quote Mr
2:01:18
Mahadam, who is my taxi driver here
2:01:20
in Mauritius, who is an exemplar of
2:01:22
this. He drove me around in his
2:01:24
Toyota axio for 360,000 kilometers. The poor
2:01:26
chap died. And now his son's driving
2:01:28
it. Toyota haven't made a bean off
2:01:31
that car in 20 years, right? And
2:01:33
it's still going strong, I can tell
2:01:35
you. I see it on the roads
2:01:37
floating around with his son driving it.
2:01:39
It's a really bad business because what
2:01:41
that means is that it's hugely hugely
2:01:43
cyclical. And so it's huge capital involved,
2:01:45
big development costs, and demand, which goes
2:01:47
up and down enormously. And then you
2:01:49
can get on to the other subjects
2:01:51
involved, which is, so that's car companies,
2:01:53
and as a car company, which is,
2:01:55
you know, our battery is the future
2:01:57
of electric vehicle transport. I mean, I
2:01:59
don't know the answer, but there's certainly
2:02:01
some reasons to be skeptical about it
2:02:04
in terms of range, in terms of
2:02:06
use of depletion of resources, etc. etc.
2:02:08
the hydrogen fuel cell is an alternative
2:02:10
to if there is any reinstructure. So
2:02:12
not put it all together and I
2:02:14
just think I'm a big... sort of
2:02:16
a mirer of many of Mr Musk's
2:02:18
achievements in a lot of respects. That
2:02:20
man's got energy and balls, there's no
2:02:22
doubt about that. But I'm not sure
2:02:24
cars is the way forward. I mean
2:02:26
if cars are the way forward, why
2:02:28
don't you just go and round up
2:02:30
all the other ones and buy them?
2:02:32
It's interesting. I mean the fact that
2:02:35
you've been collecting cars that date back
2:02:37
to 1903, owning sectors that tend to...
2:02:39
you know, persevere and be valuable through
2:02:41
good times and bad. I mean, there's
2:02:43
some interesting through line there in your
2:02:45
life. Well, they got the 90-0-3 is
2:02:47
an Oldsmobile curved dash just to let
2:02:49
you know, it's not going to steer
2:02:51
it or it's got a tiller that
2:02:53
you steer it with. And it was
2:02:55
the first mass production car. The Mockety
2:02:57
Ford was not the first mass production
2:02:59
car. And there's history involved in that.
2:03:01
There's history involved in the Model 2
2:03:03
Ford. The Model 2 Ford is a
2:03:05
fantastic story of an industrialist than what
2:03:08
he achieved, I think. I've got one.
2:03:10
And I think it's the stories behind
2:03:12
the cars, in my view, are more
2:03:14
important than mostly the cars themselves. I'm
2:03:16
interested in the full GT40 from 1966
2:03:18
from Ford V Ferrari. and I've got
2:03:20
one and I like it. I can
2:03:22
remember that those episodes when I was
2:03:24
a child of how you know Ford
2:03:26
worked out, went on Sunday, sell on
2:03:28
Monday and tried to buy Ferrari and
2:03:30
not only did they not get Ferrari
2:03:32
but he sold out a fear and
2:03:34
dished Henry Ford and you know upsetting
2:03:36
Henry Ford was a bad thing to
2:03:38
have done really because he went and
2:03:41
built a car that beat him. And
2:03:43
in fact Enzo Ferrari managed to cause
2:03:45
the development of at least. Two cars
2:03:47
by upsetting, but at least two by
2:03:49
upsetting, with the full GT40 being one.
2:03:51
And the Lamborghini being another. Mr Lamborghini
2:03:53
made tractors. He still does make tractors.
2:03:55
Oh, they made tractors. And he bought
2:03:57
a Ferrari, which didn't work, like they
2:03:59
quite often didn't work there, and took
2:04:01
it back to Ferrari. at Maranella and
2:04:03
said, you know, this is wrong with
2:04:05
a clutch, that's wrong with a clear
2:04:07
box and so on. And apparently Amzo
2:04:09
Ferrari said, what do you do for
2:04:11
an event? He said, I make tractors.
2:04:14
And Lamborghini was so upset, he went
2:04:16
and hired a team of six young
2:04:18
automotive engineers and designers, the oldest of
2:04:20
whom I think was 26, and built
2:04:22
the Lamborghini mural and demolished Ferrari's, nearly
2:04:24
as many good cars to be built
2:04:26
by annoying people as he did by
2:04:28
actually making cars. Yeah, you also have
2:04:30
things like the 1968 Ford Mustang, right,
2:04:32
which was the car that Steve McQueen
2:04:34
drove in bullet and you have, I
2:04:36
think, the Aston Martin, D.B.5, the James
2:04:38
Bond drove in Goldfinger. So you're living
2:04:40
out the movies. Yeah, well, yeah, well,
2:04:42
yeah, I like movie cars. I think
2:04:44
if you said what you're trying to
2:04:47
do with the car collection, I mean,
2:04:49
it's about, there's a guy, he's got
2:04:51
a museum in Naples in Florida called
2:04:53
the Reds Institute, the Reds Institute. And
2:04:55
he's got a book called The Archaeological
2:04:57
Automobile and his thesis is that the
2:04:59
car is the single most important object
2:05:01
with which human beings interacted in the
2:05:03
20th century. It's not a bad thesis.
2:05:05
And I think he's certainly got a
2:05:07
point. And I think there's an awful
2:05:09
lot of human development history in cars
2:05:11
through the multi-folded industrialization and all those
2:05:13
sort of things. The rise of Japan,
2:05:15
the movies, TV shows, Morse's Jaguar, the
2:05:17
Saints, the Saints, Volvo. their part in
2:05:20
our consciousness is enormous I think and
2:05:22
they invoke quite a lot with people
2:05:24
you know and quite a lot of
2:05:26
it particularly of a certain age group
2:05:28
I think you find people talking in
2:05:30
motor museums and I've talked to a
2:05:32
lot of people in motor museums about
2:05:34
cars is they'll say they'll find families
2:05:36
walking around and somebody will be in
2:05:38
tears and I say is there a
2:05:40
problem I go my father one of
2:05:42
those you know I remember as a
2:05:44
child it invokes emotion in them and
2:05:46
so I'm a believer in the stories,
2:05:48
you know. I mean, the one I
2:05:50
like on the Model G4 is Henry
2:05:53
Ford, with the Model G4, put it
2:05:55
on the production line. In so doing,
2:05:57
he cut the production time of a
2:05:59
car from 12 hours to 93 minutes.
2:06:01
And in doing so, he cut the
2:06:03
cost of production very significantly. Then he
2:06:05
did the really clever bit. He cut
2:06:07
the price. Well, most people would have
2:06:09
done face with that. He just made
2:06:11
more profit. He cut the price. In
2:06:13
so doing, he took the car from
2:06:15
being a placing of the money classes
2:06:17
into something where he invented the middle
2:06:19
class in cars, the middle class market
2:06:21
in cars. Cars then were sold to
2:06:23
doctors and bank managers and lawyers and
2:06:26
dentists. He invented the middle market by
2:06:28
doing that. It's just a fantastic story,
2:06:30
I think, for a man who, going
2:06:32
back to how people are viewed, a
2:06:34
man who many would review as a
2:06:36
sort of robber baron industrialist. Yeah, Nick
2:06:38
Sleep in Case of Korea, who you
2:06:40
may have come across, or from Nomad,
2:06:42
who I wrote about a lot of
2:06:44
my book, talk a lot about just
2:06:46
seeing that scale economies shared model that
2:06:48
they saw in Ford, and then they
2:06:50
saw it in Amazon. So it comes
2:06:52
up again and again, this ability to
2:06:54
resist, you know, pocketing as much money
2:06:56
as you can. Yeah, I agree. I
2:06:59
agree. Is there anything you take from
2:07:01
your history as a collector that you
2:07:03
can actually apply to investing? Like a
2:07:05
there, I mean, I assume it's sort
2:07:07
of somewhat different art, but there's something
2:07:09
in terms of the pursuit of quality
2:07:11
that runs through both. There's also the
2:07:13
fact that most things will come around,
2:07:15
you know, you know, I'll give in,
2:07:17
I'll buy a Lamborghini Diablo in black
2:07:19
because a red one is never going
2:07:21
to come up. Guess what happens one
2:07:23
minute after you bought the black one?
2:07:25
Oops, see, there's that also don't trust
2:07:27
auctions. I know from cars that I've
2:07:29
been involved in auction that people auction
2:07:32
put other people logged on to bid
2:07:34
and let them bid against their car
2:07:36
to get the price up. And so
2:07:38
you don't don't trust what a bit.
2:07:40
It's the same with dealing with markets.
2:07:42
Do not trust what you see on
2:07:44
the screen. in share price action as
2:07:46
equaling reality. You know, there could be
2:07:48
a lot of reasons why that price
2:07:50
is moving or somebody's dealing, you know.
2:07:52
Yeah, I've seen more than one example,
2:07:54
I think there's one coming up this
2:07:56
weekend at Kissimmee in Florida where there's
2:07:58
a very important car for sale where
2:08:00
if I were bidding on it, I'm
2:08:02
not, I would look at that and
2:08:05
say, I wonder if there's anybody else
2:08:07
there who is in fact the vendor,
2:08:09
because once the bidding starts and it's
2:08:11
coming to buying it, the vendor might
2:08:13
use somebody to put in competing bits.
2:08:15
Automatically, we get stuck with his own
2:08:17
car. Well, yes and no, because if
2:08:19
he gets stuck with his own car,
2:08:21
they'll just ring you up later if
2:08:23
you were the highest bid and say
2:08:25
that guy didn't come through with the
2:08:27
money, do you want to be good
2:08:29
for your bid? Before I let you
2:08:31
go, Terry, because you've been incredibly generous
2:08:33
with your time, I just want to
2:08:35
ask you one final thing, which is
2:08:38
actually about Sir Keith Park, who's this
2:08:40
care of. And one of the really
2:08:42
tangible marks that you've left in the
2:08:44
world is that there's now a statue
2:08:46
of him in Travago Square in the
2:08:48
heart of London that was unveiled in
2:08:50
2010 because you led this campaign to
2:08:52
get him honoured. Tell us just a
2:08:54
little bit about him and why history
2:08:56
resonated so deeply for you. He's a
2:08:58
New Zealander and he came from New
2:09:00
Zealand in World War I with the
2:09:02
Anzac Corps who fought gallipally, which of
2:09:04
course was athlete disastrous. and most people
2:09:06
would have gone home then I guess
2:09:09
he didn't he volunteered for the British
2:09:11
army and fought in the song he
2:09:13
was invalided out from the song after
2:09:15
being blown off a horse artillery horse
2:09:17
by a shell and it was just
2:09:19
unfit for the army so he volunteered
2:09:21
for the newly formed Royal Flying Corps
2:09:23
where he flew Bristol fighters and was
2:09:25
credited with 18 kills quite good going.
2:09:27
He then transferred from the RFC to
2:09:29
the newly formed RAF and won the
2:09:31
trust of Hugh doubting who was there
2:09:33
to fight a command who had a
2:09:35
theory on how to combat German air
2:09:37
power. The Germans had about 2800 planes
2:09:39
in the Wolfbalfa. The RAF had about
2:09:42
650 fighter planes. So they were heavily
2:09:44
outnumbered. And Downing realized that what they
2:09:46
needed to do was not try and
2:09:48
win the battle. There were lots of
2:09:50
people, as you can imagine, that time,
2:09:52
particularly Lee Mallory, the guy ran the
2:09:54
group in Cambridge, who were, let's give
2:09:56
Jerry a bloody nose. We don't need
2:09:58
to win the battle. We just need
2:10:00
to not lose. This is a bit
2:10:02
like companies. We don't need one of
2:10:04
the best company. We just don't want
2:10:06
to want to only a bad ones.
2:10:08
he would feed the fighters in in
2:10:10
penny packets if you like and it
2:10:12
became a standing joke with the lufeward
2:10:15
for pilots as it were sort of
2:10:17
gallows humor the bomber pilots who those
2:10:19
the battle ground on would say oh
2:10:21
here they come again those last ten
2:10:23
split fires gone because they've been told
2:10:25
they've wiped out there and they had
2:10:27
so they would always have some fighter
2:10:29
planes in the sky because operation sea
2:10:31
lion the invasion order for the invasion
2:10:33
of Britain the first requirement was air
2:10:35
supremacy because they were terrified of the
2:10:37
roller crossing the English Channel with the
2:10:39
Royal Navy at large. So they had
2:10:41
to be able to neutralize the Royal
2:10:43
Navy from the air supremacy, and he
2:10:45
was going to deny the air supremacy.
2:10:48
Now he needed a trusted associate who
2:10:50
would implement that strategy, and that was
2:10:52
Park. And Park did it to the
2:10:54
letter, and people of war gained Park's
2:10:56
decisions over that summer, from June through
2:10:58
to October, roughly. He made daily decisions
2:11:00
about deployment. and they never managed to
2:11:02
significantly improve on his decisions in terms
2:11:04
of trying to do it. He, under
2:11:06
intense pressure every day, did that. And
2:11:08
of course he was himself a fighter
2:11:10
pilot. He'd been in World War I
2:11:12
as a fighter pilot and he flew
2:11:14
his hook, I reckon, okay one registration
2:11:16
around the airfields from day to day,
2:11:18
at the end of the day, finding
2:11:21
out what had happened, what was happening
2:11:23
in tactics, what morale was, what the
2:11:25
damage was, etc. So he had that.
2:11:27
Anyway, he won the battle. In one
2:11:29
of those wonderful pieces that only the
2:11:31
Brits could do, Lee Mallory, then interceded
2:11:33
with Churchill to say that Dowding and
2:11:35
Park weren't aggressive enough and so after
2:11:37
they'd won the freaking battle and got
2:11:39
Dowding fired and Park sent off to
2:11:41
training command. Anyway, he was sitting in
2:11:43
training command when they realized that a
2:11:45
bit of a problem with Malta. Malta
2:11:47
was the... Key Island for trying to
2:11:49
stop the Africa Corps being reinforced from
2:11:51
mainland Italy and was in the way
2:11:54
and it was being bombed to hell
2:11:56
and back and so they put they
2:11:58
put park in there to man-ear defence.
2:12:00
Smiling Albert Kesselring who ran the lufeau
2:12:02
for must have thought he was a
2:12:04
very unlucky chap because he managed to
2:12:06
lose to park twice because Park then
2:12:08
beat him in bloody water as well.
2:12:10
And he was a fighter on his
2:12:12
way there. He was being flown in
2:12:14
by a Bristol bow fighter and they
2:12:16
spotted a German warship. on their way
2:12:18
into Malta and part insisted that they
2:12:20
press an attack. They were nearly shot
2:12:22
down. He was a fighter, he would
2:12:24
fight, but he understood the men, there
2:12:27
were lots of good photographs of him
2:12:29
having Christmas lunch with the men and
2:12:31
all that sort of thing. He would
2:12:33
fly around the air fields and so
2:12:35
on. Anyway, again, in typical British style,
2:12:37
and in something I much admire in
2:12:39
his regards, he left at the end
2:12:41
of the war, went off to Asia
2:12:43
for the end of the war on
2:12:45
command, went back to New Zealand, was
2:12:47
mayor of Auckland, mayor of Auckland, and
2:12:49
then disappeared into obscurity and was gone.
2:12:51
And there was a book by Stephen
2:12:53
Bungay, the historian, who actually fun enough
2:12:55
was a historian who worked in lawyers
2:12:57
and insurance, turned to history, which other
2:13:00
was the best book on the battle,
2:13:02
the most dangerous enemy. And in it
2:13:04
he has this wonderful phrase. He says
2:13:06
something that really caught me in the
2:13:08
end. He said, Hart was like a
2:13:10
wizard in an Arthurian tale. He traveled
2:13:12
literally halfway around the world to defend
2:13:14
the country, which wasn't even his own
2:13:16
country. And then having successfully done so,
2:13:18
he just disappeared. And he said there
2:13:20
is no memorial to him anywhere in
2:13:22
the world, neither in England nor in
2:13:24
the museum. He said there's a Keith
2:13:26
Park resin that begins your way or
2:13:28
drive. That's it. And I, my father
2:13:30
was in the R.I.F. and I was
2:13:33
a keen flyer when I was young.
2:13:35
I used to fly gliders and planes
2:13:37
and helicopters qualified to fly all the
2:13:39
other. And I guess being a historian,
2:13:41
reading bungaim with that background, I thought
2:13:43
I'm going to do something about it.
2:13:45
and so I got the planning commission
2:13:47
and I got the statute fabricated and
2:13:49
I put up the memorial to him
2:13:51
and got the park family involved fortunately
2:13:53
the park family supplied some very good
2:13:55
members it's great great nephew was a
2:13:57
movie guy and his great great niece
2:13:59
turned up and pulled the call to
2:14:01
unveil it. The surviving Battle of Britain
2:14:03
pilots all took part in the campaign
2:14:06
and turned up for the events dropped
2:14:08
because getting a statue put up in
2:14:10
central London of a white straight. war
2:14:12
hero is not exactly what you call
2:14:14
easy in this day and age. Yeah,
2:14:16
that's so interesting. So in some ways,
2:14:18
part of, I mean obviously there's this
2:14:20
extraordinary heroism and his historic role is
2:14:22
really important. I mean there was a
2:14:24
wonderful quote from one of the vice
2:14:26
marshals saying he was the only man
2:14:28
who could have lost the war in
2:14:30
a day or even in an afternoon.
2:14:32
So I mean his his role in
2:14:34
in actually defending Britain was hugely important.
2:14:36
But there's also the aspect of him
2:14:39
just being an unsung hero and him
2:14:41
being an outsider and I can see
2:14:43
why that would resonate for you as
2:14:45
well. Yeah it was. I think so.
2:14:47
Yeah I think absolutely so. It's interesting
2:14:49
because when I was doing the you
2:14:51
can't for more as I'm out of
2:14:53
this I went to New Zealand I
2:14:55
went to New Zealand I went to
2:14:57
New Zealand and I went to New
2:14:59
Zealand I went to New Zealand I
2:15:01
went to New Zealand I went to
2:15:03
New Zealand I've got every parliament in
2:15:05
Parliament in New Zealand we got every
2:15:07
party in Parliament. And we got to
2:15:10
the unveiling and invited as many of
2:15:12
the family to come as could and
2:15:14
we got his great great niche to
2:15:16
pull the cord with one of the
2:15:18
her mouth about the Brit and place.
2:15:20
But I said in the build up
2:15:22
to it, it was interesting, I said,
2:15:24
what do you think about inviting the
2:15:26
jurist ceremony? Because I said in some
2:15:28
respects in a spirit of reconciliation, maybe
2:15:30
we should, but I think you should
2:15:32
tell me what you want to do.
2:15:34
And they said Uncle Keith never forgave
2:15:36
him. He every day he had to
2:15:38
make these decisions to send young men
2:15:40
to their death. ever left him, right?
2:15:43
And that comes back to your saying
2:15:45
about him being unsung and outsider and
2:15:47
he saw those things and he made
2:15:49
good tactical decisions every day which worked
2:15:51
and under extreme pressure over long periods
2:15:53
of time and every time he knew
2:15:55
that he took those decisions, he knew
2:15:57
he was sending guys who were 20
2:15:59
years of age, many of them undertrained
2:16:01
out to die. And he knew that,
2:16:03
and he did it, because that was
2:16:05
what his job was. But it didn't
2:16:07
mean that he did it, feeling very
2:16:09
cheerful about it, sometimes, I imagine. Yeah,
2:16:11
such a rich and interesting story. Thanks
2:16:13
so much for sharing that with us,
2:16:16
and thanks for being so generous with
2:16:18
your time and your insights. I just
2:16:20
really enjoyed spending the last few days
2:16:22
deeply immersing myself in... in the mind
2:16:24
of Terry Smith. So thank you. It's
2:16:26
been a great pleasure getting to getting
2:16:28
to speak with you. One story to
2:16:30
go with is about a car. And
2:16:32
I think it's a car that exemplifies
2:16:34
if you were trying to get a
2:16:36
link between cars and an investment. And
2:16:38
there's a video on YouTube which you
2:16:40
can look up called how one man
2:16:42
made the perfect car. I commend it.
2:16:44
And are you familiar with the McLaren
2:16:46
F1? I mean somewhat. I know that
2:16:49
you have one. What happened was Gordon
2:16:51
Murray who was the man behind the
2:16:53
wild success of McLaren under out and
2:16:55
Santa and so on literally decided one
2:16:57
day, actually at Geneva Airport I think
2:16:59
with wrong Dennis and so on, they
2:17:01
never made a road car before, they
2:17:03
were going to make a road car
2:17:05
and he decided that the basis for
2:17:07
making it was they were going to
2:17:09
make the best road car that ever
2:17:11
had been built and I would suggest
2:17:13
ever will be built given the way
2:17:15
that things have moved on since then
2:17:17
and I think he achieved it. He
2:17:19
made a car which is extraordinary. It's
2:17:22
a, I've got a 1995 example, it
2:17:24
does 243 miles per hour. This is
2:17:26
a 30 year old car, right? Okay,
2:17:28
it's extraordinary. And if you watch that,
2:17:30
one of the things you can find
2:17:32
striking is he made a very fast
2:17:34
car, it's also a very safe car,
2:17:36
because it's carbon fibre monococque and so
2:17:38
on, but, and it's actually a practical
2:17:40
car, where it's got three seats and
2:17:42
it's got luggage, you can even get
2:17:44
it, it comes with a golf bag,
2:17:46
you can get your golf clubs in
2:17:48
it, I don't, I don't play it,
2:17:50
I don't play it, but it. And
2:17:52
if you remember my owner's manual, one
2:17:55
of the things I mentioned in there
2:17:57
is obliquity, not aiming for the sort
2:17:59
of objective. I say, I've been forced
2:18:01
to meet an awful lot. of very
2:18:03
rich people. I can't think of one
2:18:05
of them who got very rich trying
2:18:07
to make money. They tried to make
2:18:09
things and services. They tried to do
2:18:11
things better than other people. They had
2:18:13
an idea or an impetus to do
2:18:15
things better than other people. And I
2:18:17
think Henry Ford didn't want to make
2:18:19
money. He wanted to make them better
2:18:21
than other people made cars. And that's
2:18:23
what got into where he went. And
2:18:25
I think that McLaren F1 is a
2:18:28
perfect example of a victory. It's a
2:18:30
fantasticly fast car. And when you think
2:18:32
that that was 30 years ago, making
2:18:34
that thing, and by all accounts called
2:18:36
Murray never once asked them to do
2:18:38
any kind of calculation about how fast
2:18:40
the car would go. It went fast
2:18:42
as a result of how he designed
2:18:44
and built it, not as a name.
2:18:46
So in a way, I guess, to
2:18:48
ride this off, it all goes back
2:18:50
to the slogan on the ice cream
2:18:52
track. It's quality that counts. I think
2:18:54
it does. I think it is. I
2:18:56
think it is. And look, my view
2:18:58
of that car is there will never
2:19:01
be another car like it in the
2:19:03
history of cars. I mean, you know,
2:19:05
the idea that you have this thing
2:19:07
that does 243 miles an hour, it
2:19:09
has no power brakes, it has no
2:19:11
power steering, there's no anti-lock brakes, it
2:19:13
has no four-wheel drive. The only thing
2:19:15
that that car has is you and
2:19:17
the car, all got crashed. the car
2:19:19
is more capable than the person sitting
2:19:21
in the seat most of the time.
2:19:23
Huh, really interesting. It's been such a
2:19:25
delight chatting with you. That's back to
2:19:27
the magnum force quote. Yeah. You could
2:19:29
sit in that car and drive it,
2:19:31
but you should be aware of something.
2:19:34
Yeah, man's got no limitations. That is
2:19:36
what you wanted or something like what
2:19:38
you wanted. Oh, it's been a great
2:19:40
pleasure. And one of these days I'll
2:19:42
make it out to Mauritius and hopefully
2:19:44
I'll actually see what it's like there.
2:19:46
I'm without letting us know, we'd make
2:19:48
you very welcome and tell your mother
2:19:50
that my check is going off in
2:19:52
16 days time and she would be
2:19:54
shocked, shocked, roll out in Specter Reno
2:19:56
and guess a blanket, the number on
2:19:58
it. Excellent. I certainly am. She'll be
2:20:00
very happy to hear it. Terry, lovely
2:20:03
meeting you. A real pleasure. Take
2:20:05
care. All right, folks. Thanks so
2:20:07
much for listening to this
2:20:09
conversation with the remarkable Terry
2:20:12
Smith. If you'd like to
2:20:14
learn more from Terry, you
2:20:16
may want to check out the
2:20:18
website of his investment firm, which
2:20:21
you can find at www.fundsmith.co.
2:20:23
UK. He's also written a couple
2:20:25
of books, including an anthology of
2:20:27
his writings from 2010 to 2020.
2:20:30
It's titled Investing for Growth,
2:20:32
and it's subtitled How to Make
2:20:34
Money by Only Buying the Best
2:20:36
Companies in the World. I'll be back
2:20:38
very soon with some more terrific
2:20:41
guests, including the return of two
2:20:43
of my all-time favorites, author Pico
2:20:45
Iyer, and hedge fund manager Christopher
2:20:48
Begg. In the meantime, please feel free
2:20:50
to follow me on X at
2:20:52
William Green 72. or connect with
2:20:54
me on LinkedIn. And as always,
2:20:56
do let me know how you're
2:20:58
enjoying the podcast. It's always a
2:21:00
pleasure here from you. Stay
2:21:03
well. Thank you for listening to TIP.
2:21:05
Make sure to follow Richard
2:21:08
Weiser happier on your favorite
2:21:10
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2:21:12
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2:21:14
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2:21:16
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2:21:18
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2:21:20
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2:21:23
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2:21:25
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2:21:27
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2:21:29
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2:21:31
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