Episode Transcript
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0:00
I figured out that they were
0:02
going to have to print
0:04
money forever, and I figured
0:06
out as an individual holder
0:09
of that currency as a
0:11
problem, and that the logical
0:13
conclusion of it was that
0:16
it was going to stop
0:18
working as a currency system,
0:20
because you can't print
0:22
money and expect people
0:25
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0:27
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0:51
thank you for having me back in Austin.
0:54
Unbelievable to have you here in
0:56
Austin. It's been a phenomenal week. This
0:58
has been a good week. A great
1:00
way to cap it off. I'm tired.
1:03
But takeover was a massive success again.
1:05
I've been to Austin like, I don't
1:07
know how many times, five or six
1:09
times. I don't know if I've ever
1:11
actually seen it, because I don't know
1:13
how many times, five or six times.
1:15
I don't know if I've ever actually
1:18
seen it. I don't know if I've
1:20
ever actually seen some of it this time.
1:22
And this is a great, you
1:24
know, occasion because it's the first time
1:26
we're recording in person with
1:28
you, you know, taking over the
1:31
show. And you'll usually have a
1:33
Airbnb somewhere, you know, kind of
1:35
off the beaten path. And we just
1:37
don't leave for a week straight. Yeah.
1:39
So it's great to create to
1:42
have you here in person. Thank you.
1:44
So earlier this week, I recorded a
1:46
show with Jeff Snyder. I think Jeff's
1:48
great, like just for full framing, I really don't
1:51
think he's a bad actor, I think he's incredibly
1:53
smart, I think he knows like the plumbing of
1:55
the monetary system really well, but he always bots
1:57
heads with Bitcoiners and like if you look through...
1:59
the YouTube comments on that video,
2:02
it's just everyone calling me an idiot.
2:04
And I don't think that's a fair
2:06
framing. And he's also like, I feel
2:08
like he's 90% Bitcoiner. Like he
2:11
believes in free markets, he doesn't want
2:13
the central bank, he doesn't like the
2:15
current financial system. But he kind of
2:17
gets hung up on Bitcoin, and probably
2:19
for a few reasons, maybe the main
2:22
one being kind of the in a
2:24
last, like it's a fixed supply currency.
2:26
And he wants to see elasticity. It
2:28
was both good and frustrating at the
2:31
same time because you were kind of
2:33
talking past each other at a lot
2:35
of points. And I didn't feel like
2:37
he was really in the in the
2:39
place to be receptive to your ideas.
2:42
I don't know. Do you think that's
2:44
fair? Yeah. I how long ago is
2:46
that it's probably like six months ago?
2:48
Something like that. Yeah. Yeah. And he
2:50
had made a comment. And what's his
2:53
firm called? You're a dollar university. That's
2:55
his like podcast. I don't know if
2:57
he works. And some of the background
3:00
which we talk on the on the
3:02
podcast, but for people listen to
3:04
this one is back before
3:06
I had gotten interested in Bitcoin,
3:09
I was trying to understand
3:11
what would happen when the
3:13
Fed tried to unwind post-financial
3:15
crisis QE. This was
3:18
in about 2016. And somebody,
3:20
somebody the recommended
3:22
I read Jeff's writings or blog. But
3:24
I did, and one of the
3:26
exercises that Jeff had done was
3:28
going back and reading all the
3:31
transcripts of the Fed during the great
3:33
financial crisis are leading up
3:35
to and thereafter, which isn't just
3:38
the minutes, it's the actual
3:40
verbatim transcripts, and
3:42
they're released five years after
3:44
the fact, and that five years
3:46
is designed to allow for the
3:48
central bankers, the people that actually
3:50
run each of the different. You
3:53
know Minneapolis Fed, Dallas Fed,
3:55
San Francisco Fed, to have
3:57
open discussion and debate without
4:00
somebody immediately looking over
4:02
their shoulder, but to
4:04
also have transparency. I went
4:07
back and read like all the
4:09
meetings from 2008-9, some of
4:11
the meetings from 2011, each one
4:13
of these is a couple
4:15
hundred pages, double space. But
4:17
so they're long meetings.
4:19
Anyways, that was formative
4:22
to me in the conclusion that
4:24
Like people always look to
4:26
the essential bankers at the Fed
4:28
or the ECB is in control
4:30
Yep, and that they weren't in
4:32
control I Can conclusion they were
4:35
always gonna have to print money.
4:37
They were they were consistently in
4:39
an objective way wrong So anyways
4:41
Before we get into the meat of
4:43
this discussion just to say that I
4:45
do have a lot of respect for
4:47
Jeff as well I think He
4:50
is very much I think philosophically
4:52
lined with with Bitcoin And but
4:54
a lot of people do struggle
4:56
with this idea of a currency
4:58
with a fixed supply. I
5:00
was somebody who got an
5:02
economics degree and was very
5:04
much a Keynesian basis and
5:06
that and people just really
5:09
struggle. They they struggle to
5:11
evaluate first principles and
5:13
my micro economic decision
5:15
points that you know, lead to,
5:18
you know, or effectively praxeology of
5:20
like what will lead to certain
5:22
outcomes. And they look at it
5:24
from the top down and that's
5:26
very much a Keynesian outlook and
5:28
people have blind spots and
5:30
Jeff has a massive blind spot because
5:33
I think of that top down looking
5:35
at the system as a whole rather
5:37
than individual decision
5:39
points on what will dictate.
5:41
why things exist the way
5:43
they do. So coming from
5:45
like you studied Keynesian economics,
5:47
did you have the same blind
5:50
spot when you first saw Bitcoin?
5:52
I don't think I had the same
5:54
blind spot, but I like to
5:57
think that I was predisposed to...
6:00
be against it to not think
6:02
for the same reasons that I
6:04
would say someone like Jeff might
6:06
I was also somebody who like
6:09
all the debt in the world
6:11
never made sense to me.
6:13
Yeah, never had any personal
6:15
debt, always had an aversion to
6:18
it, always felt like there
6:20
was something broken about it.
6:23
So I think that that
6:25
was something that despite having
6:27
this classical Keynesian education allowed
6:30
me to question things that
6:32
other people might not and then
6:34
be open to an entirely opposite
6:37
world economic view or
6:39
kind of fundamental way to
6:41
think about economics then is
6:43
classically trained in most
6:45
Western universities which is
6:47
very much a Keynesian
6:49
dominated educational system.
6:51
Okay, but the actual fixed
6:54
supply of Bitcoin never stood out
6:56
to you as like a big red
6:58
flag? No. Because I, through this process,
7:00
in part, having Jeff, sent
7:02
me down, you know, not directly,
7:04
but indirectly through his
7:07
writings and recommendations, sending down
7:09
this rabbit hole of the
7:11
Fed and their logic and
7:13
how in control, how what
7:15
they, you know, whether they
7:17
understand the consequences of their
7:19
action or not, what guides them, that
7:21
I figured out that they were
7:24
always going to have to print
7:26
money, I figured out why, and...
7:28
at an individual level, and this is
7:30
where I think if people are looking at
7:32
it from a system level, rather than
7:34
an individual level, they can easily get
7:36
to the wrong conclusion, which was I
7:39
figured out that they were going to have
7:41
to print money forever, and I figured out
7:43
as an individual holder of that
7:45
currency, that's a problem, and that
7:47
the logical conclusion of it was that
7:49
it was going to stop working as
7:52
a currency system, because you can't print
7:54
money and expect people to... Trade
7:56
their time goods and services for it. So
7:58
I had started from that anchor point
8:00
and that was fresh in my mind
8:02
as I started going down the
8:04
Bitcoin rabbit hole in for other reasons
8:07
but but similar time frame so
8:09
I was staring at okay there's
8:11
this problem and I was and then
8:13
I figured out that Bitcoin's all
8:15
purpose was to be money that couldn't
8:18
be printed and I put those two and
8:20
two together so I had the benefit
8:22
of my college education or
8:24
university education that allowed
8:26
me to test the assumptions. I
8:28
just didn't necessarily assume that they were
8:31
true because I was staring at a massive
8:33
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8:35
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is anchorwatch.com. So that is another
10:06
one of Jeff's hang-ups that we we
10:08
may get to, we may not, so he
10:11
obviously doesn't look at money printing the
10:13
same way we necessarily do. We had
10:15
a whole show on the old what
10:17
Bitcoin did with him and Lynn debating
10:19
that. We might get into that, we
10:21
might not, but let's start. So his
10:23
his thinking, and I'm gonna butcher this,
10:25
but I'll try my best, is that
10:27
when... Like bank reserves aren't the
10:29
same as money printing and bank
10:31
reserves don't actually go into the
10:33
economy so it doesn't, the way
10:35
we look at money printing as
10:37
Bitcoin as he thinks that's
10:40
not actual money printing. He's
10:42
wrong. Okay, let's start there then.
10:44
And a lot of, a lot of people,
10:46
and I think the root of his problem,
10:48
which is the root of a lot of
10:50
people's problem on this whole line of
10:52
thought, is that they look at the system
10:55
as a whole and they start to
10:57
become and I don't say this
10:59
in a negative way but
11:01
they look at it from the
11:04
macro rather than
11:06
individual decision
11:08
points and they get a
11:10
little bit what should I say
11:12
like being counterish
11:15
they think about it
11:17
just as numbers not in
11:19
terms of like what
11:22
the actual substance is
11:24
and so they a lot of people
11:26
from the macro world will say well when
11:28
the Fed does quantitative easing they'll
11:30
just swap they'll say this
11:32
they're swapping one liability for
11:34
another yeah and they'll say another thing
11:37
which is that the the reserves don't
11:39
leave the banking system yeah and to
11:41
try and elaborate on that point and again
11:43
like this is something that should come from
11:45
Jeff not me but I think his take
11:47
is that bank reserves can't be used in
11:49
the same way as money so they don't
11:52
actually trickle down into the economy. And that's
11:54
a false statement. And do you think that's
11:56
false because bank reserves collateralize the banks and
11:58
allow them to go out? buy other
12:00
assets with that collateral?
12:02
The bank reserves, when a
12:05
bank creates credit, reserves
12:07
transfer between banks.
12:09
So a bank can run out of
12:11
reserves. That's one. That is
12:14
what functionally happened to or
12:16
was about to happen to
12:18
Silicon Valley Bank. So the
12:20
Fed inserts and controls
12:22
the number of reserves in
12:25
total, but... Reserves move between
12:27
banks and if you take your deposits
12:29
to go to another bank and one
12:32
bank is left without any reserves
12:34
that bank fails So that's number one
12:36
two Reserves are actually transferred. They
12:38
can be converted to physical notes
12:40
So this is one other example
12:43
where these guys just get it
12:45
completely wrong that at the beginning
12:47
of the financial crisis. There was
12:49
only 900 billion dollars in existence
12:51
and that and there was about
12:53
350 billion in the banks in the
12:55
banks The net amount of
12:58
cash like physical bills that
13:00
have been taken out of the
13:02
bank since is Well over a
13:04
trillion closer to two trillion so
13:07
if the reserves that the
13:09
that the Fed creates through QE
13:11
Don't quote trickle down how has
13:13
nearly twice as much money been
13:16
taken out of them that existed
13:18
at the time of the financial
13:20
crisis. Yeah, so what happens is
13:23
the Fed creates reserves and then
13:25
a bank goes to the Treasury
13:27
and the Fed and says, I need
13:29
a certain amount of these converted
13:32
to actual Treasury notes, physical
13:34
bills, and they swap from
13:36
digital reserves to physical bills.
13:39
There's been over functionally more
13:41
than two entire bank runs on
13:43
the system that could only be
13:45
made possible because the Fed
13:48
created more reserves. So reserves
13:50
are lent, reserves can be
13:52
contributed and are converted to
13:54
physical bills. Those
13:56
are two objective facts the
13:58
way that a bank actually goes
14:01
out of businesses because they run
14:03
out of reserves. And when these
14:05
macro economists say, oh,
14:07
they're just swapping one liability,
14:09
a reserve for, say, something
14:12
like a treasury, and through QE,
14:14
what the Fed does is they
14:16
say, hey, JP Morgan, here's another
14:18
reserve, give me your treasury. They
14:20
essentially, and what we would refer
14:22
to that, or I would refer
14:25
it as they're monetizing the debt.
14:27
But more realistically. The
14:29
macro people, like someone
14:31
like Jeff Sires, they're
14:33
just swapping reserves. It's
14:35
like, no, they're not. They're
14:38
two different types of assets.
14:40
A treasury is a future claim
14:42
on dollars, and a reserve is
14:45
a dollar. It can be converted
14:47
to a physical banknote,
14:49
right there. And a second thing
14:51
is, you've never walked into
14:54
a grocery store and seen
14:56
a grocery store except.
14:59
US Treasuries as payment and the
15:01
question is why is because they're
15:04
they're they're a claim in the
15:06
future you owe dollars in the future
15:08
a reserve one for one increases deposits
15:10
in the banking system so like on
15:13
all three of those the macro people
15:15
are just wrong technically like they they look
15:17
at this system and they like they
15:19
zero in too close on something and
15:21
then they can't explain something that is
15:24
common sense to be like well why
15:26
why does the Fed do this if they're
15:28
just the same? Well, they do it
15:30
because debt is an obligation owed
15:32
in the future and a reserve is
15:34
something that can be transferred in
15:36
the banking system on demand. And so
15:39
to throw one more thing in there
15:41
that I think is one of Jeff
15:43
Snyder's points, is that a bank reserve,
15:45
you can give a bank more bank
15:48
reserves, but it doesn't mean it creates
15:50
demand for credit from their
15:52
customer. I agree with that statement.
15:55
Okay. And then I think so for
15:57
that reason. if you assume that bank reserves
15:59
aren't money. you assume that's not
16:01
creating money because there's no demand
16:03
for it. Is that right? Yeah. But the
16:05
reality is it is money, the Fed's doing
16:08
it for a reason because there's a little
16:10
liquidity crisis, and they are actual dollars,
16:12
and the Fed says it's themselves. They're
16:14
like, yeah, it's more akin to money
16:17
printing than anything. And then, you know,
16:19
combination of Jerome Powell and Ben Bernanke
16:21
on 60 Minutes have said this, or
16:24
they basically say that we literally just
16:26
credit an account with more money on
16:28
a computer on a computer. They
16:30
have to do that because there's
16:32
too many debt liabilities and that's
16:35
what a treasury is or a
16:37
mortgage-backed security is or corporate debt
16:39
that they purchase and any sort
16:42
of debt instrument has a maturity
16:44
date and the dollars are due
16:46
on that maturity date a reserve that
16:48
the Fed creates is something that
16:50
is dollar good today. And this is
16:53
where like... I get a little bit lost
16:55
in Jeff's argument in that he tries
16:57
to separate different types of money. So
16:59
it's like money and I think he
17:01
would describe that as ledger money. And
17:03
I don't understand the distinction
17:05
there. So I mean, and this
17:07
is where like oftentimes these macro
17:09
economists are many ways to like too smart
17:11
for their britches and they can't look at
17:14
it from a common sense perspective to be
17:16
like, well, if all of these things
17:18
are functionally the same and just like.
17:20
marginally different than why does
17:23
the Fed do it? Yeah. That
17:25
there must be this reason.
17:27
And that there are, the way
17:30
that I would describe it is
17:32
that there's, there's different
17:35
definitions of money,
17:37
and this is something like
17:39
base money, M1, M2,
17:41
and. The difference between that
17:43
spectrum like I look at and
17:45
say like the base money is
17:47
is the true like that's the
17:49
inception of like the actual dollar
17:51
supply and then M2 is basically
17:53
Credit that's been created like
17:55
actual debt such that if the Fed
17:57
didn't create any more base money It
18:00
doesn't matter if banks create
18:02
more credit, that credit would
18:04
in the future shrink because
18:06
the actual underlying base
18:09
money M0, if you were, is what
18:11
creates the governor of it. Where it's
18:13
like, hey, people oftentimes
18:15
think of like the banks
18:17
is creating money, it's really
18:19
the central bank that creates
18:22
money, and then there's leverage
18:24
created on top of that. But
18:26
all of that would unwind if the
18:28
Fed... didn't create more and what
18:30
ends up happening in a practical
18:32
perspective is very logical is that
18:34
the banks create more credit the
18:36
Fed starts to take the base money out
18:39
and then everybody figures out that the
18:41
show stopping and that the degree of
18:43
debt relative to base money and to
18:45
give people perspective it's like right now
18:48
in the US it's about a hundred
18:50
and one trillion of total debt liabilities
18:52
like very vanilla debt and there's about
18:54
seven trillion base money. What I'm saying
18:56
is that 101 trillion, it would naturally
18:59
collapse if the Fed didn't continue to
19:01
supply base money. And so someone
19:03
like Jeff would be like, well,
19:05
they're functionally the same as like,
19:07
no, they're functionally the same, it's like, no,
19:09
they're not. The all that credit that
19:11
exists in the system would shrink, it would
19:13
go from 101 to 90 to 80, it
19:16
would essentially feed on itself. That's what
19:18
happened during the great financial crisis
19:20
in 2008-9, which induces the Fed
19:22
to have to have to put more
19:24
quote money overnight, the actual dollars
19:26
that can satisfy the debts to
19:28
prevent the debt from collapsing on
19:30
itself. So they are 100% different
19:33
in their function of how
19:35
they're created and what can happen
19:37
with them in the banking system.
19:39
And so the only one that can
19:42
create dollars is the Fed at the
19:44
end of the day. And even the
19:46
banks that are viewed as creating credit,
19:48
they're not creating money in
19:50
the same way that the central
19:53
bank is. But that dynamic between.
19:55
The debt and the dollars is what
19:57
dictates that they're always going to have
19:59
to print more. And that's, you know, that's an example
20:01
of something where like Jeff, someone like Jeff Snyder, thinks it's terrible
20:03
that the Fed can create money, but... I mean, he doesn't think
20:05
the Fed can create money. He thinks the only thing they do, they have
20:07
any impact on is interest rates, and they're basically just a signal. Yeah, and
20:09
it's just, you know, I don't know what the right analogy is of the
20:11
frog boiling in the water that you've been in the water that you've been
20:14
in the water that you've been in the water that you've been in the
20:16
water that you've been in the water that you've been in the water
20:18
that you've been in the water that you've been in the water that you've
20:20
been in the water that you've been in the water that
20:22
you've been in the water that you've been in
20:24
the water that you've been in the water that
20:26
you've been in the water that you've been in
20:28
the water that you've been in the water that
20:30
you've been in the water that you've been in
20:32
the you know, that you can't take a fresh
20:34
look at it because you've been boiling for too
20:36
long. So I want to, and real simply from,
20:38
sometimes people can get lost in
20:41
these economic terms and
20:43
debates, but it's like, hey, Jeff,
20:45
financial crisis, there were
20:47
only 900 billion physical, I'm
20:49
talking like physical bank, no, something
20:52
I'd get out of my wallet
20:54
right now, like a green paper
20:56
bill, 900 billion. 350
20:58
billion existed in the
21:01
banks and 550 billion
21:03
existed outside like in
21:05
people's in circulation
21:08
in circulation and
21:10
more than two trillion physical
21:12
bills have or somewhere approximately
21:16
two years have been taken
21:18
out like green greenbacks. How
21:21
does that happen? Like explain
21:23
that happen. Yeah. And what happens is
21:26
the Fed creates money through QI, the
21:28
reserves, and then the banks say, I
21:30
need more physical bills because people are
21:32
withdrawing it from the banks. That's that.
21:35
I mean, that makes sense to me.
21:37
Yeah. And there are other consequences
21:39
of it to the digital banking
21:41
system, but 100 absolutely the Fed
21:43
creates money through QI. You know that
21:46
that statement, when someone tells you who
21:48
they are, believe them. Like, when Jerome
21:50
Powell tells you that they're
21:52
functionally creating money. Believe it.
21:54
Yeah, that makes sense. I want to go
21:56
back because it's interesting that you read all
21:58
of those Fed documents. When they were
22:01
responding to 2008, was
22:04
this something they had in their plans or was
22:06
this a complete knee -jerk reaction? It
22:09
was a
22:12
knee -jerk reaction, I
22:14
would say. And was this Bernanke? Yeah.
22:17
Okay. Bernanke, I believe
22:19
Yellen too. Yellen
22:21
was in there because
22:23
Yellen later took over for Bernanke, but
22:25
she was, I believe, the president of the
22:27
San Francisco Fed during this time. Okay. Yeah,
22:30
I mean, what I would describe
22:33
it was reactive. Reactive,
22:36
like trying one thing, it not working,
22:38
trying the other thing, it not working, and
22:41
then continuing to
22:43
just throw shit at the
22:45
wall. What option did they actually
22:47
have there? Presumably they had to do something
22:49
like this to just to keep the whole
22:51
financial sector afloat. Right, but
22:53
if you remember, or whether you
22:56
remember or not, what they
22:58
did was they, in
23:01
early 2008, they
23:04
began lowering interest rates. And
23:06
they lowered interest rates, something
23:08
like six or seven times,
23:12
like two zero from some, I don't know
23:14
what interest rates were before that. Yeah. 5%.
23:16
But it went down to close to zero, yeah.
23:18
To zero, to actual zero. Oh, it went
23:21
to actual zero. Yeah. Okay. But they
23:23
did that over the course of six or seven times,
23:25
they're like, oh, we're gonna lower it to 4%. And we're
23:27
gonna load three and a half, now we're gonna load
23:29
the three, now we're gonna load two and a half. It's
23:31
like, if they knew what they were doing, if
23:34
they had some end in mind, why
23:36
did they keep swinging and missing? And too often
23:38
people look at them and say, oh, the Fed's
23:40
in control, they know what they're doing. And you
23:42
go through and read this, you
23:45
would just understand how reactive that they
23:47
take one action and it doesn't work,
23:49
and then they take another, and then
23:51
eventually, whether something quote
23:53
works, whatever end they
23:56
wanted to see, starts
23:58
to happen, whether they were the causal relationship. to
24:00
it or not. And so they literally
24:02
reduce interest rates all these
24:04
times and then there was
24:06
the liquidity crisis. Then Lehman
24:08
Brothers failed and then they figured
24:10
out that they needed to print a
24:12
bunch of money as the solution. Because
24:14
rates can't go lower. Yeah. And the
24:17
way that I think about it, which
24:19
it's not necessarily the way that they
24:21
think about it, but they had a
24:23
liquidity crisis. In their minds
24:25
they were trying to target
24:28
lower interest rates, which you
24:30
need to supply more dollars
24:32
to lower interest rates, but
24:34
I don't know that they
24:36
were expressly targeting the
24:38
liquidity crisis instead
24:40
saying like, oh, if I lower interest
24:43
rates long enough, then
24:45
people will get more demand.
24:47
Yeah. Yeah. But the other side
24:49
of that is, you lower
24:51
interest rates from a
24:53
central control manipulation,
24:56
it reduces the incentive
24:59
to lend. Yeah, of course,
25:01
makes sense. Right. So,
25:03
like, even that as
25:05
a policy decision
25:07
of what will, what
25:09
will induce lending? Oh,
25:11
let's create a lower
25:14
incentive to lend. Well,
25:16
the only way that
25:18
that can actually
25:20
have the incentive
25:22
is to create so much
25:24
money and basically
25:26
break the... economic incentive
25:29
between the people that are lending
25:31
and the money, the people's money
25:33
who it is. So that actually
25:35
kind of leads quite nicely on
25:37
the elasticity thing because I think maybe
25:39
what Jeff would say, I don't know,
25:42
don't quote me on this, is that
25:44
when interest rates are being lowered
25:46
that much it also reduces
25:48
demand because it's signifying
25:50
something's broken or very wrong in
25:52
the system. I think that that's wrong
25:55
because If
25:58
interest rates are low
26:00
from a organic perspective.
26:03
If the economic environment
26:07
is driving the costs
26:09
of interest down,
26:11
the lower the rate of interest,
26:14
the more your incentive
26:16
to borrow. And so, but
26:19
that is not necessarily true
26:21
if it's. an
26:23
exogenous force that's manipulating it to
26:25
be so. So the way I was,
26:28
the central planning is the problem. Right,
26:30
in the way that I would think
26:32
about in the financial crisis, there
26:34
was a credit crisis. At the
26:37
time of the great financial crisis,
26:39
there was 52 trillion in the
26:41
US, 52 trillion of dollar denominated
26:43
debt. There were that 900 billion of
26:46
all dollars that existing, but
26:48
there were only 350 billion in
26:50
the US banking banking system. So
26:52
the way I look is like
26:54
52 trillion to 350
26:56
billion. Everybody needed
26:58
loans. So the fact that
27:00
you manipulate interest
27:03
rates lower doesn't increase
27:05
demand. It's that everyone
27:08
was going bankrupt. So
27:10
everyone needed credit. Yeah.
27:13
The only thing that was
27:15
going to satisfy that
27:17
was more dollars to flood
27:19
the system. present demand
27:21
to prevent them, you know,
27:23
any individual stakeholder from
27:26
blowing up, they needed money and
27:28
they were functionally willing to probably
27:30
pay whatever rate they could get
27:32
it at. Yeah. But when everyone figures
27:35
out that the music is stopping, no
27:37
one wants to lend money. Right. Which
27:39
when the Fed steps in? Was when
27:42
the Fed steps and to be
27:44
the lender of last resort, but
27:46
they're not lending. Capital
27:48
that actually exists are creating money out of thin
27:50
air to do that. Okay, so let's get on
27:52
to the the Bitcoin side of thing. So in
27:54
the debate you did, Jeff said something that I
27:56
thought was quite interesting. He said if Bitcoin had
27:58
an elastic supply, he thinks it take over the
28:01
world. Like we obviously think it's going
28:03
to take over the world anyway. But
28:05
I think we should probably start by
28:07
framing this. This is something you've said
28:09
a thousand times the last eight or
28:11
nine years or however long, but explain
28:14
why Bitcoin's fixed play is important.
28:16
Yeah, so this is one of those
28:18
examples where like a macro economist is
28:20
looking at the system as a total
28:22
of like what are the systems
28:24
needs? what is the goal
28:26
of the system to create
28:29
economic activity and economic output
28:31
and how do we optimize
28:33
the system top down? And
28:35
you start to look at that
28:37
system and say, man, if things
28:40
were just slowing down and I
28:42
could just access a little bit
28:44
of money to inject into
28:46
the system, then wouldn't
28:48
we all be better off? And
28:50
that there's this bean counter mathematical...
28:54
to myopic way of looking at
28:56
things that make you think that something's
28:59
possible and it's really not.
29:01
And in this context here,
29:03
direct question, it is that when
29:05
a macro economist can get lost
29:08
thinking about the system as
29:10
a whole or the top
29:12
down and lose sight of
29:14
the individual decision points and
29:16
the individual logic, it's that
29:19
any individual, if they were...
29:21
posed with this dilemma of can I be
29:23
paid in a form of money that can't
29:25
be printed versus one that can, which
29:27
one would you choose? 99 out of 100, 100
29:30
out of 100, 100, of 100. Jeff might
29:32
be the only one or I guess
29:34
even in Jeff's case, if I gave
29:36
him the chance to be paid in
29:38
a form of money that couldn't be
29:40
printed, he himself would probably accept that.
29:42
And if you add all those
29:44
individuals up from the bottom, the bottom
29:47
going up, you'll realize that that that
29:49
is why the It's an AB test,
29:51
and I can either opt into a
29:53
system that can't be printed or one
29:55
that does get printed easily and often,
29:58
the individual rational economic actor. saves
30:00
in the form of money that
30:02
can't be printed because it's what's
30:04
going to store value more. The
30:06
macroeconomist looks at it and says,
30:08
that's too rigid. But the Austrian
30:11
view is describing why things occur
30:13
the way they do rather than
30:15
trying to dictate a system-level top-down
30:17
control. someone might accept, yeah, if
30:19
it were possible to do without
30:21
some massively negative derivative consequence, maybe
30:23
we do that, but describing the
30:25
way the world actually works is
30:27
that 100% of the world would
30:29
choose the alternative, basically not granting
30:32
somebody else the authority to print
30:34
money. So again, just trying to
30:36
like steal man Jeff's point, I
30:38
think what he would say to
30:40
that is that like, Bitcoin is
30:42
great as a store of value,
30:44
but the free market has chosen.
30:46
an elastic supply currency in the
30:48
dollar as the like the choice
30:51
over and and that's not been
30:53
I even had this discussion with
30:55
them like well do you agree
30:57
that more people are adopting Bitcoin
30:59
that you know more people in
31:01
2025 own it and are adopting
31:03
that in 2021 and he would
31:05
say yes yeah so my point
31:07
of that is because he makes
31:09
those two points and they're in
31:12
conflict they contradict each other okay
31:14
explain that well He's saying that
31:16
the market has chosen a last
31:18
occurrence of the dollar, but then
31:20
he'll admit that more people are
31:22
choosing Bitcoin progressively. But would he
31:24
then talk about, say, stable coins
31:26
in Argentina and how they're choosing
31:28
a dollar over Bitcoin in those
31:30
places? Well, it doesn't matter because
31:33
they're just trading one fiat currency
31:35
with the last supply. He'll admit
31:37
that people are increasingly choosing to
31:39
store value in Bitcoin. So he
31:41
can't reconcile or he needs to
31:43
reconcile. Well, why is that happening?
31:45
If a quote, because the market
31:47
is actually in the process of
31:49
unselecting the dollar. They're, they're selecting
31:51
Bitcoin because that is a great
31:54
store of value, if you accept
31:56
that even though Bitcoin adoption is
31:58
increasing for the reason that it
32:00
stores value better, that still only
32:02
one in a hundred people probably
32:04
have any material exposure to it.
32:06
Well, what happens when 99 out
32:08
of 100 have material exposure? Because
32:10
it's the same incentive that's the
32:12
same incentive that's driven the first
32:15
one out of 100 is going
32:17
to be the incentive that drives
32:19
the next 99. That fixed supply
32:21
that opting into the opting into
32:23
the... to the system that no
32:25
one can print. So do you
32:27
see like he has a conflict
32:29
or a contradiction? He says the
32:31
market has chosen the Alaska supply,
32:34
but then he will admit people
32:36
are increasingly choosing the currency with
32:38
the fixed supply. Yeah. And he
32:40
can't bridge those two. He can't
32:42
say, well, the same thing that's
32:44
that's dictated that people have increasingly
32:46
chosen Bitcoin, what is going to
32:48
cause that to stop? He won't
32:50
sit and stop and stop and
32:52
say. What is it that's causing
32:55
those people? And it's the same
32:57
thing that's causing the first movers
32:59
to go going to cause all
33:01
the others. So this is like,
33:03
Alan Farrington wrote a piece on
33:05
this called Wittgenstein's Money, where he
33:07
talks about the economist that will
33:09
say, it's not a story value,
33:11
it's too volatile, it's not a
33:13
medium exchange, because no one's using
33:16
it, and it's not a account
33:18
for kind of the same reasons.
33:20
And his argument is that semantics
33:22
don't matter, and reality, people are
33:24
choosing Bitcoin. People are choosing Bitcoin.
33:26
He'll admit the people are choosing
33:28
Bitcoin. He then won't bridge to
33:30
Let me accept that the reason
33:32
why they are doing that is
33:34
because it's the form of money
33:37
that can't be printed and that
33:39
is the reason why it's storing
33:41
value and then trying to reconcile
33:43
well That is actually the market
33:45
choosing the opposite way of what
33:47
his First statement is that the
33:49
market has chosen the dollars like
33:51
no, they're actually in the process
33:53
of un choosing that it doesn't
33:56
just flash cut overnight where everyone
33:58
starts to figure out what money
34:00
actually is. One of these options
34:02
is something that cannon is printed
34:04
out of thin air. The other
34:06
one is one that no one
34:08
can control and that no one
34:10
can create more of and that,
34:12
you know, the reason of that
34:14
property is why it's a better
34:17
solution for them. Yeah, one thing
34:19
that bugged me in that is
34:21
he talked, he basically said the
34:23
world has store value assets and
34:25
we, like, it's not that interesting
34:27
to have another one and he
34:29
kept. comparing Bitcoin to like a
34:31
NASDAQ stock. Right. And I'd like
34:33
you to dive into why that's
34:35
not the case. So I think
34:38
I probably will have given a
34:40
better answer there, but don't say
34:42
that. They're listening to this one.
34:44
No, I'm trying to remember because
34:46
I felt like I nailed it.
34:48
But so, you know, people oftentimes
34:50
say, because, okay, he made that
34:52
comment. And it's that. You
34:55
know I made the comment before
34:57
that there's there's a reason why
35:00
you've never showed up at your
35:02
grocery store and been able to
35:04
spend US treasuries stocks like Apple
35:06
stock or Google stock their companies
35:09
and Their their goal is to
35:11
make a profit in money right,
35:13
but just like you've never showed
35:15
up at the grocery store and
35:17
been able to pay with your
35:20
US Treasury bill You've also never
35:22
shown up at the grocery store
35:24
and been able to pay with
35:26
your Apple stock or your Google
35:29
stock that money is the asset
35:31
that you save in and financial
35:33
securities like Google or Apple are
35:35
businesses that are taking risk with
35:38
the goal of making money. Bitcoin
35:40
is replacing the world's money and
35:42
companies like Google and Apple are
35:44
going to have to adopt Bitcoin.
35:47
But I had a fundamental level.
35:49
The way to think about it
35:51
is the value of that stock.
35:54
is valuable based on those
35:57
individuals' company's ability to earn
35:59
money. That a financial asset
36:01
like a stock or a bond
36:04
derives as value through cash flows
36:06
and Bitcoin is the cash flow.
36:08
And so with something like a
36:10
stock or a bond, there's
36:13
counterparty risk. There's performance
36:15
risk. The business has
36:17
to perform, but you also have
36:19
to trust the issuer of the
36:21
stock. There's a central issuer to
36:24
not issue more stock. There's also
36:26
like macroeconomic risk. There's competitive risk
36:28
in terms of, you know, how
36:30
many people are going to buy
36:32
iPhones? Yeah. How many people are
36:34
going to pay Google for advertising?
36:37
How's AI going to distort the
36:39
market? What if Brock comes out
36:41
and then, you know, steals all
36:43
the search from Google, their ability
36:45
to generate cash flow to generate
36:47
Bitcoin is impaired. So the reason why
36:50
that you've never shown up at a
36:52
grocery store with the ability to pay
36:54
in an Apple stock is because it's not
36:56
money. You know, and that people. generally
36:59
have been forced into monetary
37:01
substitutes as substitutes
37:04
stores of value because
37:06
central banks create money.
37:08
That's what Bitcoin is fixing.
37:11
And so it's like people
37:13
are using many things to
37:15
quote store value passively for
37:17
this reason that money is
37:20
engineered to lose value. In
37:22
reality, what a lot of that
37:24
quote store of value
37:26
substitution is is a function of
37:28
the bad money and it will be
37:30
replaced through sound money, which Bitcoin
37:32
is ultimately here to, you know,
37:35
what it's intending to solve. And so
37:37
someone might say, well, you haven't ever
37:39
showed up to a grocery store to
37:41
be able to spend Bitcoin. Well,
37:43
I've bought food with Bitcoin, I've
37:46
paid my rancher in Bitcoin and
37:48
there's a reason why he doesn't
37:50
take Apple stock that I can't transfer
37:52
a bear token like Bitcoin
37:54
to somebody. Like, I
37:56
can't transfer. So it
37:58
is a. It is, Bitcoin
38:00
is a, and money generally is an
38:02
asset without counterparty risk. And when I
38:05
send it to you, it's yours. You
38:07
can't do that with a stock. And
38:09
so I think in, in Jeff's, like
38:11
if Jeff slows down, he understands that
38:13
there's difference between money and a financial
38:15
asset, and that a financial asset is
38:17
valuable and its ability to earn money
38:19
and money is money at something. He's
38:21
just trying to make a point with
38:23
that properly. I think one of the
38:26
last things that's quite important to address
38:28
here is that, so Jeff likes the
38:30
idea of Bitcoin or so he says,
38:32
but he wants it to have an
38:34
elastic supply. So let's say somehow he
38:36
figured out how to make Bitcoin with
38:38
all the same properties, but just with
38:40
one difference where he figures out like
38:42
a way of making an elastic supply
38:44
with no central authority, why does Bitcoin
38:47
still win and like to steal trace
38:49
Mayors line? Why is it the Apex
38:51
Predator? Because
38:53
the form of money that
38:55
can't be printed is the
38:58
optimal form of money. And
39:00
that the only way that
39:02
Bitcoin is able to credibly
39:04
enforce its fixed supply is
39:06
because it works in a
39:09
system that removes the need
39:11
for a trusted third party.
39:13
That if you go to
39:15
100 out of 100 individuals,
39:17
again, you have to start
39:20
from that. Yeah, and
39:22
what Jeff's view is functionally,
39:24
if, if you could have,
39:26
if you, you know, say
39:28
there's 21 million and say
39:30
there's this economic calamity, if
39:32
there were a mechanism to
39:34
allow that 21 million to
39:36
be dynamic, so that you
39:38
could create, you know, not
39:40
necessarily by, he's not saying,
39:42
you need a central bank
39:44
to do this, he's expressly
39:46
saying, there needs to be
39:48
some other market mechanism, that
39:50
you need some dynamic way.
39:52
that everyone would be better
39:55
off if that 21 million
39:57
could go to say 21
39:59
million five hundred thousand to
40:01
ease that. Is that. pain
40:03
in that moment. But what
40:05
like one of the dilemmas
40:07
is what is the what
40:09
is the mechanism and who
40:11
is better off because what
40:13
I talk about when I'm
40:15
when I'm talking about individual
40:17
economic decision points is there's
40:19
the holders of the 21
40:21
million Bitcoin. There's a way
40:23
in theory for everyone to
40:25
get together to the supply.
40:27
Yeah, more. It's never going
40:29
to happen, but it could
40:31
happen. But the reason why
40:33
it never would is because
40:35
there's never going to be
40:37
an overwhelming majority of currency
40:39
holders that will all take
40:41
an economic action to harm
40:43
themselves. Yeah. They've adopted this
40:45
form of money. So that
40:47
individual decision point is there's
40:49
currency A and currency B.
40:51
Currency A has a fixed
40:53
supply. Currency B does not.
40:55
Currency B is... increase by
40:57
some market mechanism like Jeff
40:59
wants. Which one do you
41:01
want? Oh, I want the
41:03
one that can't be printed
41:06
at all. From a more
41:08
fundamental economic perspective, the form
41:10
of money that has the
41:12
lowest rate of change in
41:14
the supply is going to
41:16
have the most efficient trade
41:18
that the ability to price
41:20
things and have reliable pricing
41:22
is going to drive. It's
41:24
going to drive. more efficient
41:26
economic activity and what Jeff
41:28
misses fundamentally when the prices
41:30
of money is changing because
41:32
and the reason why Bitcoin
41:34
is such perfect money is
41:36
because the supply is cap
41:38
but demand for the currency
41:40
can change and supply and
41:42
demand for all the other
41:44
goods in the market change
41:46
that the thing that provides
41:48
the constant thing that makes
41:50
the money work is the
41:52
fixed nature or the relative
41:54
scarcity of the supply that
41:56
When the market is either
41:58
increasing demand for money or
42:00
reducing demand for for money
42:02
and prices are changing, that's
42:04
actually the market mechanism to
42:06
create equilibrium. And one of
42:08
the examples I used for
42:10
them was that when the
42:12
price of Bitcoin rises significantly,
42:14
money is supplied to the
42:17
market. That that is the
42:19
most efficient way to, that
42:21
the available supply of Bitcoin
42:23
is actually highly elastic to
42:25
price elasticity. So you start
42:27
with well if you went
42:29
to individual one through a
42:31
hundred or one through a
42:33
thousand or one through eight
42:35
billions of which one of
42:37
these two things would you
42:39
rather have if you you
42:41
know A versus B printed
42:43
versus not nothing about that
42:45
economic decision point changes because
42:47
the market is responding to
42:49
prices in a way that's
42:51
causing say people to want
42:53
to save more and invest
42:55
less or spend less It's
42:57
like self-referencing the market is
42:59
saying No, we've already over-invested.
43:01
What we need is more
43:03
savings. And so the prices
43:05
are changing and Jeff's saying,
43:07
well, wouldn't it be great
43:09
if there's this countervailing force?
43:11
But by definition, it would
43:13
be a force working against
43:15
the market itself. The market
43:17
resetting prices is responding to
43:19
some imbalance to eliminate that
43:21
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Bitcoin today. Does it also kind
44:31
of break the whole idea of
44:33
like the boom and bus cycle?
44:35
And I mean that in like
44:37
the healthier sense of the boom
44:39
and bus cycle. Because if the
44:41
supply could change when we had
44:43
things like FDX and Celsius and
44:45
Block Phi, like, I think we
44:47
all agree that it's a good
44:49
thing those were washed out of
44:51
the market. But if the supply
44:53
of Bitcoin could have changed at
44:55
that point, who knows if any
44:57
of those or something similar could
44:59
have survived? Right. Or what happened
45:01
in 2008 was all the banks
45:03
that created this problem, they got
45:05
bailed out. So then the problem
45:07
persists for a long longer. In
45:10
the Bitcoin world, that was Bitcoin
45:12
working. Those entities, they functionally ran
45:14
out of Bitcoin. The bank run
45:16
was over. And those Bitcoin were
45:18
in somebody else's pocket. The bad
45:20
apples. they're out of business, they
45:22
don't get bailed out. And even
45:24
though it's harsh, like for a
45:26
price perspective at the time, like
45:28
we're in a much healthier spot
45:30
now. Yes, imbalance was eliminated rather
45:32
than allowed to persist into the
45:34
future. Yeah. Yeah, so the other
45:36
point that Jeff made, last thing
45:38
on Jeff, I know I said
45:40
that before, but on the show
45:42
that I did within this week,
45:44
this is the thing that surprised
45:46
me most. This is probably like,
45:48
like, quote unquote digital currency asset
45:50
whatever will be the future but
45:52
he thinks it'll be many competing
45:54
ones rather than the world converging
45:56
on one currency and I know
45:58
that's something you would definitely disagree
46:00
with. Definitely disagree.
46:03
So one of the things
46:05
I write about in Grashton
46:07
suddenly is that economic systems
46:10
converge on one form
46:12
of money and they do
46:14
so for reasons fundamental
46:17
to actually solving the
46:20
problem which is trade. That
46:22
trade is an intersubjective problem
46:24
if we, you know, the way
46:26
I would describe it. need to
46:29
trade, we have to have, before
46:31
we can trade, we previously have to have
46:33
arrived at a consensus of money. Yeah.
46:35
You have to accept the form of money
46:38
I have and I have to have the money
46:40
that you're willing to accept. We evaluate
46:42
all the different things that could be
46:44
money in the market on very objective
46:46
relative properties. Part of our evaluation
46:49
is what other people will value,
46:51
what other people consider to be money,
46:53
what other people, what other people, what
46:56
other people, what other people, what other
46:58
people, other properties people value in
47:00
money. And if I have to
47:02
have the form of money that
47:04
you're willing to accept and you
47:07
vice versa, but part of your
47:09
evaluation is the next
47:11
person, it's not a
47:13
one-to-one problem. It's functionally a
47:16
one-to-one to everybody in
47:18
the world problem. And
47:20
that's the core problem and
47:22
that forming the consensus. Like
47:25
opting into the foreign
47:27
money that has the
47:29
widest acceptance allows you
47:31
the greatest future
47:33
optionality and That if you
47:36
accept that the reason
47:38
why that it's this
47:40
this intersubjective problem that
47:42
it's your decision of
47:44
money is dependent on
47:46
the next That then you look
47:48
at the real world And
47:52
the real world says the world previously
47:54
converged on one standard of money that
47:56
was gold. So that's the macro. Why
47:59
and was it by? coincidence. Did people just
48:01
coincidentally over thousands of years act
48:03
irrationally to solve this very important
48:05
rational problem, which is how do
48:07
you trade? Yeah, of course not.
48:09
Of course not. Then 99.9% of
48:11
all people in the world only
48:13
interact with one form of money
48:15
on a daily basis. There might
48:17
be a few large multinational corporations
48:19
that deal in multiple currencies every
48:21
day, but 99.9% of individuals and
48:23
businesses only interact with one. And
48:25
then the question is, why, like,
48:27
is everyone, is everyone just hallucinating
48:29
into this thing that's very rational?
48:31
No, of course not. And so
48:33
because money is an intersubjective problem,
48:35
because it solves a problem of
48:37
trade, and also this recognition that
48:39
the only way that you get
48:41
a price system, some people like
48:43
to think about this world of
48:45
many currencies and the reason why
48:47
they think that is because there's
48:49
many fiat currencies, but all those
48:51
fiat currencies derived functionally off of
48:53
the gold standard, there might be
48:55
one or two exceptions, but. but
48:57
it was some other commodity money,
48:59
if not gold. And that, like
49:01
everyone takes prices for granted, the
49:03
price of beef, the price of
49:05
gas at the gasoline station, the
49:07
prices of going to see the
49:09
doctor, the price of rent, that
49:11
the only reason, the only way
49:13
that prices exist is by very
49:15
large group of people converging on
49:17
one form of money to begin
49:19
to price it. price their goods
49:21
and services in a denomination of
49:23
the currency that they all accept.
49:25
And that then allows the money
49:27
system to work. So, and then
49:29
coming back to this heuristic of
49:31
wealth, there's a form of money
49:33
that can't be printed and that
49:35
no one controls, everyone has an
49:37
ability to opt into that. And
49:39
then the alternative is some form
49:42
of money that can be printed.
49:44
Everyone has the incentive to opt
49:46
into the... money that is hardest
49:48
to produce and that will also
49:50
then be the money that is
49:52
most widely adopted for the reason
49:54
that it's global, it's permissionless, and
49:56
nobody can print it and no
49:58
one controls it. And the only
50:00
reason we can trust it is
50:02
because it's trustless. And therefore it
50:04
has the best information signal. Yeah.
50:06
So all of the all of
50:08
the fundamental economic things say, no,
50:10
like create a basis, like if
50:12
you have, if there's a form
50:14
of money, Bitcoin, that can't be
50:16
printed. And this is what Jeff's
50:18
dilemma is as a, as a
50:20
macro person. Where's the other form
50:22
of money that can't be printed?
50:24
And then how does that come
50:26
to exist when everyone can opt
50:28
into Bitcoin? Because they're always choosing
50:30
between A or B. So here's
50:32
this thing. Bitcoin has this credibly
50:34
enforced fix supply. It's been around
50:36
for a long time. It's adopted,
50:38
you know, whatever, you know, somewhere
50:40
between five and tenth largest currency
50:42
system in the world. The best
50:44
that any other currency could do
50:46
would be to match Bitcoin. But
50:48
everyone has the opportunity to choose
50:50
Bitcoin today versus something that's so
50:52
much more speculative. I could create
50:54
a form of money that can't
50:56
be printed or I could even
50:58
create the form of money that
51:00
Jeff envisions that could have some
51:02
mechanism to go against the market
51:04
to work in opposition to the
51:06
market for so they're trying to
51:08
reprice money. Everyone still has the
51:10
chance to opt into Bitcoin. So
51:12
the question is, hey, if I
51:14
create this currency that has this
51:16
flexible fixed supply. And someone's looking
51:18
at to say, well, I'd just
51:20
rather the money that can't be
51:22
printed. Yeah. And so six, you
51:24
know, six ways from Sunday, whatever
51:26
that's saying is, they'll all just
51:28
adopt the form of money that
51:30
can be printed, but adopting that
51:32
form of money and everyone converging
51:34
and forming consensus is a necessity
51:36
to solving the problem that money
51:38
works to solve, which is trade.
51:40
So there will not be. Tens
51:42
of currencies or hundreds of currencies
51:44
the other thing people think is
51:46
oh well the machines will do
51:48
the calculations. It's like no it's
51:50
the Humans have to adopt the
51:52
money and then they write software
51:54
and money doesn't work if there's
51:56
not convergence and if there's one,
51:58
if there is a best money
52:00
which there is and the only
52:02
reason why there have been these
52:04
hundred of currencies is because there's
52:06
been this jurisdictional friction by force,
52:08
by fiat and Bitcoin is this
52:10
perfected money that can't be printed
52:13
that no one controls and water
52:15
moves downhill so everyone has, it's
52:17
realistically the first time that anybody
52:19
could opt into a farm money.
52:21
that literally can't be printed at
52:23
all. Yeah, that's why that that
52:25
statement confused me so much. I
52:27
was surprised to hear him say
52:29
it because all you have to
52:31
do is look at history and
52:33
see like the world did converge
52:35
among currency and to think it
52:37
won't do that again seems crazy
52:39
to me. Yeah. But anyway, this
52:41
has been like a very long
52:43
intro into your recent paper that
52:45
you've written, which is Bitcoin is
52:47
money and currency. Yeah. You've obviously
52:49
talked a lot about Bitcoin as
52:51
money here, but there's let's talk
52:53
about Michael Sayloraler for a minute.
52:55
I have a huge amount of
52:57
respect for Microsoft. He's done incredible
52:59
things with Bitcoin. But he is
53:01
kind of pushing this narrative that
53:03
Bitcoin is not necessarily money and
53:05
instead it's like more a kin's
53:07
digital goal as an asset. And
53:09
I'm not 100% sure why that
53:11
is. It could be just to
53:13
kind of get the foot in
53:15
the door at DC and he
53:17
may not believe that or he
53:19
may. But that narrative is growing
53:21
either way. Is that kind of
53:23
why you wrote this piece? a
53:25
lot of respect for Michael Saylor
53:27
and both for his contributions to
53:29
Bitcoin and everything that he does
53:31
to help educate Bitcoin and further
53:33
Bitcoin. I would say that his,
53:35
if I would describe his position,
53:37
it's not that it's not money.
53:39
He'll say it's not currency. It's
53:41
not competing against the dollar. It's
53:43
money, but it's not currency. And
53:45
I think that the... analogy
53:48
or parallel would be that gold
53:51
was money but the dollar was
53:53
currency? So maybe you should explain
53:55
that because before I read your
53:58
piece I think I would have
54:00
thought money and currency were of
54:03
like just an interchangeable term. I,
54:05
and I did, I did as
54:07
well. The first time I was
54:10
asked about the distinction a year
54:12
or two ago on Daniel Prince's
54:14
podcast, but then the more that
54:17
I listened to people talk, because
54:19
Michael so I was not the
54:21
only one that draw this distinction,
54:24
the questions like, are they being
54:26
pedantic? That currency has been a
54:29
subset of money, but that, There's
54:31
been an issue of currency that
54:33
is either coining gold, right? And
54:36
that if you coin gold into
54:38
a, I would screw it up,
54:40
is it like the South African
54:43
Cougar Inn or? I don't know.
54:45
Okay. You can say that because
54:47
I don't know. Well, what's the
54:50
Australian currency? Dollar. Australian dollar. Okay.
54:52
Yeah. That that process of coinage
54:55
is part of something that takes
54:57
a raw. material turns
54:59
it into a more functional
55:01
currency. You're setting a standard
55:04
weight measure. And so there
55:06
is a, prior to Bitcoin,
55:08
there was a real distinction
55:10
between money and currency historically.
55:12
Even under like gold standard.
55:15
Yeah. So that's the part.
55:17
My, my, my, because think
55:19
about this distinction of imagine,
55:21
have you ever, have you
55:23
ever held a gold bar?
55:26
I've held a gold coin,
55:28
I'm not held a gold
55:30
bar. Okay, well, but if
55:32
you could picture a gold
55:34
bar that is just gold.
55:37
There's nothing that... Just pure
55:39
gold. Just pure gold. Something
55:41
that's a coin that puts
55:43
the crown on it that
55:45
says this was issued by
55:48
the crown. This is the
55:50
actual unit, this is the
55:52
actual unit, this is one
55:54
else. that that process
55:56
of refinement from the raw
55:59
gold to that coin improves
56:01
the utility of the money. And
56:03
that would be the distinction that
56:05
people would make. Like if it
56:07
was just the raw material, you
56:09
wouldn't know how much its weight was. You
56:12
wouldn't necessarily know that
56:14
it was gold, because you'd have
56:16
to validate that against something that
56:18
you know to be gold, and
56:21
that if you see this mark of the
56:23
of the crown, and that if anybody
56:25
counterfeited it, then the crown
56:27
would... So that's where I had
56:29
a misunderstanding when I read the
56:31
piece, because I thought you were
56:34
talking about like the denominator. So
56:36
whether it was like a grammar
56:38
or an ounce, but you mean
56:40
it's like the stamp of
56:42
approval? It's both. It's recognizable,
56:44
but it's like that the
56:46
issuer, which historically was the
56:49
crown of the state, they would refine
56:51
the gold into a standard
56:53
unit, which was also important,
56:55
but... It was the standard unit
56:58
as well as the stamping
57:00
of it so that somebody, when
57:02
they saw it, they could trust,
57:04
oh, okay, this actually is an
57:06
ounce of gold, and that if
57:08
this person that's giving to me
57:10
is counterfeiting it, there's also
57:13
someone going around ensuring
57:15
that the money is not counterfeit.
57:17
So I'm making the point that
57:19
that process of refinement of gold into
57:21
a currency is not counterfeit. was part
57:23
of what made what made the money
57:26
work. Otherwise, if you're the person receiving
57:28
gold for goods or services, you have
57:30
to then go and validate it if
57:32
it doesn't have that stamp. Right. If
57:34
to validate it, you have to weigh
57:36
it. You got to, you have to
57:38
weigh it. You got to assay, like
57:40
the process is called assaying. You
57:42
have to assay gold to make sure that
57:44
it's actually gold. It's a highly technical
57:47
process to do and not something that
57:49
you could do if you're sitting at
57:51
a counterabout. make a transaction. Right.
57:53
And in the Bitcoin parlance, the way
57:55
to think about that is when a
57:58
Bitcoin is accepted to a node. It's
58:01
validated. It's functionally acid.
58:03
And the distinction that I
58:05
draw on my piece is
58:07
that Bitcoin is the first
58:09
money that is also functional
58:12
as a currency, and that that's
58:14
never been true of any other
58:17
money before. That with gold,
58:19
you know, and this point might
58:21
have been lost on some
58:23
people, even if you've read
58:25
it, but Bitcoin does a few
58:28
things that make it. on its
58:30
own, capable of being both great
58:32
money and a great currency system.
58:34
So whereas gold needed
58:36
some refinement either into coin,
58:38
like physical coin, or to become
58:40
convertible to a paper note in
58:43
order to solve this problem of
58:45
standard weights of measure, the trust
58:47
in the currency, that the currency
58:49
was actually the currency, to essentially
58:51
make it easier to not have
58:54
to assay a bar of gold every
58:56
time that it's being transferred.
58:58
That process of refinement
59:01
always required there to be
59:03
an issuer and that the
59:05
issuer was playing a part
59:07
to make the raw material
59:10
the money more functional
59:12
as a utility in
59:14
trade and that Bitcoin
59:16
eliminates the issuer from
59:18
all parts of the currency
59:21
function in the sense that
59:23
any role an issuer of currency
59:25
previously played in the refinement
59:28
of money to make the money
59:30
a utility and trade is not technically
59:33
needed in the Bitcoin world
59:35
because Bitcoin can do all of
59:37
those things. So what I would
59:39
describe it as there's several different
59:42
functions that Bitcoin's able
59:44
to do itself within the network.
59:46
It's able to issue the 21
59:48
million fixed supply. It's able
59:50
to enforce that that supply can't
59:52
be. Broken it big the Bitcoin
59:55
network controls the rate of
59:57
issuance that every 10 minutes on
1:00:00
average and it resets but
1:00:02
it targets that. It is able
1:00:04
to the Bitcoin network to transmit
1:00:06
currency. It's able to validate currency.
1:00:09
Very easily for basically no cost.
1:00:11
Yeah and importantly it has this
1:00:14
standard unit inherent to the system.
1:00:16
You can't just have one gold.
1:00:18
You have to have like an
1:00:21
ounce of gold or a 10
1:00:23
kilogram bar. Those were set by
1:00:25
issuers now a standard may have
1:00:28
emerged on the markets. I'm sure
1:00:30
people tried different standards and then
1:00:33
settled on one ounce or settled
1:00:35
on a 10 kilogram bar 1
1:00:37
kilogram bar But But you can't
1:00:40
you can have one Bitcoin or
1:00:42
you can have one satoshi You
1:00:44
can't just have one gold. You
1:00:47
need some one ounce you need
1:00:49
someone to convert the raw material
1:00:52
into that. And so because Bitcoin
1:00:54
has the standard unit, because currency
1:00:56
can be transmitted, because currency can
1:00:59
be validated, and because the supply
1:01:01
is both issued and enforced all
1:01:04
in one closed loop system, there's
1:01:06
no other function that Bitcoin can't
1:01:08
do on its own, which also
1:01:11
isn't true of any thing that
1:01:13
had previously been money or at
1:01:15
least any. commodity money and commodity
1:01:18
money has emerged as the most
1:01:20
functional forms of money that has
1:01:23
ever existed. So when this piece
1:01:25
was at least partially directed like
1:01:27
policy makes in DC. Yeah, and
1:01:30
I'm not, you know, I mentioned
1:01:32
Michael Saylor and the piece saying
1:01:34
like, hey, he's someone that disagrees
1:01:37
with this, I'm going to explain
1:01:39
the logic as to why this
1:01:42
is the case that the Bitcoin
1:01:44
operates as a currency system, it's
1:01:46
the first type of money and
1:01:49
this is why that is able
1:01:51
to do this and that If
1:01:53
these certain facts are true, that
1:01:56
Bitcoin does have a credibly enforced
1:01:58
fix supply and that that is
1:02:01
why people adopted as money, that
1:02:03
It's just a matter of time
1:02:05
before everyone figures it out. And
1:02:08
there might be a world today
1:02:10
where people can save Bitcoin and
1:02:12
spend their dollars. But once everyone
1:02:15
figures out that Bitcoin is the
1:02:17
better form of money, then because
1:02:20
Bitcoin is able to also facilitate
1:02:22
the transfer directly. And what I
1:02:24
mean by that is you don't
1:02:27
need, like if Bitcoin wasn't capable
1:02:29
of being sent, but somehow all
1:02:31
these other properties happen to be
1:02:34
true, which realistically... They all have
1:02:36
to be true or none of
1:02:39
them are true. But let's just
1:02:41
say theoretically, say it wasn't possible,
1:02:43
all the other things were true,
1:02:46
but it wasn't possible to send
1:02:48
Bitcoin between peers and the network.
1:02:50
Then maybe you need some outside
1:02:53
currency system to affect that. But
1:02:55
that's not the case. People can
1:02:58
actually because if you couldn't transmit
1:03:00
it between people then. Okay, maybe
1:03:02
I need to go to this
1:03:05
other system and then use that
1:03:07
system for the transmission, but Bitcoin
1:03:09
is capable of being sent. So
1:03:12
as the market learns, it has
1:03:14
this fixed supply and that that's
1:03:17
better than any other form of
1:03:19
money, everyone adopts it, and once
1:03:21
everyone's adopted it, there's no need
1:03:24
to go back out into this
1:03:26
other currency system. So was part
1:03:28
of this because you're worried about
1:03:31
stable coin regulation? Because that's obviously
1:03:33
like another growing thing in DC
1:03:36
and like... in charge. Is that
1:03:38
one of your fears with this?
1:03:40
What I would say is that
1:03:43
the, there's no sense, there's no
1:03:45
good that comes in my mind
1:03:48
from defining Bitcoin expressly as not
1:03:50
being something that it is. Because
1:03:52
two things end up happening. Either
1:03:56
people figure it out on
1:03:58
their own. and neither of
1:04:00
those are good outcomes. Yep.
1:04:02
And that when they do
1:04:04
figure it out, that you
1:04:06
were, I don't say a
1:04:09
lot, that you were either
1:04:11
being untruthful or that you
1:04:13
were ignorant. You didn't know.
1:04:15
And neither of those are
1:04:17
good outcomes. Yep. And that
1:04:19
when they do figure it
1:04:21
out, that they're more likely
1:04:23
to. Overregulate and so if
1:04:25
you've put something in a
1:04:27
box today that says Bitcoin
1:04:29
is expressly not currency Then
1:04:32
And that something else is
1:04:34
a stable stable coin is
1:04:36
currency and that Bitcoin is
1:04:38
not what what is that
1:04:40
it is not? Like what
1:04:42
purpose does it serve if
1:04:44
Bitcoin is currency in my
1:04:46
view and I don't believe
1:04:48
that this is at all
1:04:50
Michael's intention But if you
1:04:52
put it into that box,
1:04:54
it then makes it, you've
1:04:57
created the framework to then
1:04:59
say, oh, and you can't
1:05:01
use it for transactional purposes.
1:05:03
It's not currency. This is
1:05:05
currency. The person that's framing
1:05:07
the policy might not have
1:05:09
that intention, but that's how
1:05:11
it becomes, you've essentially created
1:05:13
the framework to then affect
1:05:15
a policy like that at
1:05:17
least legally. And it is
1:05:20
problematic. when Bitcoin is currency,
1:05:22
you're essentially putting Bitcoin in
1:05:24
a box, like a square
1:05:26
peg round hole situation, because
1:05:28
people are using it as
1:05:30
currency every day. And then
1:05:32
this is the other thing
1:05:34
is, functionally, if you were
1:05:36
to say that, that it's
1:05:38
not currency and that it
1:05:40
shouldn't be used as currency,
1:05:43
you're also then saying, because
1:05:45
this is what happens every
1:05:47
day, is that Bitcoin is
1:05:49
traded for dollars. That you're
1:05:51
then, you're steering toward a
1:05:53
path where... It's
1:05:56
okay to transact Bitcoin for dollars, but
1:05:58
not anything else. Yeah. And why would
1:06:00
you do that? And I think that
1:06:02
the root of it is that you
1:06:04
don't want to be seen as
1:06:07
competing with a dollar. Yeah, I was
1:06:09
going to say, is there an
1:06:11
argument to be made that as
1:06:13
like a Trojan horse mechanism, just
1:06:16
pretend it doesn't compete with a
1:06:18
dollar, get Bitcoin in office as
1:06:20
much as possible, and then people
1:06:23
figure out later. I can't. Can
1:06:25
a speed run the policy side of
1:06:27
that? That's one side of
1:06:29
the logic. I think that's short-sided.
1:06:32
I don't know if that's
1:06:34
the side of it that is dictating
1:06:36
this but Or in terms of
1:06:38
the any anybody like Michael
1:06:40
sailor again is somebody that
1:06:42
I have a lot of respect for
1:06:44
I can't say I can't I can't speak
1:06:47
for for him. I do think that
1:06:49
it is inconsistent with
1:06:51
the economic gravity is
1:06:53
inconsistent with the economic
1:06:56
reality and that It is
1:06:58
problematic for anybody that's working
1:07:00
on, like I'm working on Bitcoin
1:07:03
payment. So part of it
1:07:05
is a policy perspective and saying,
1:07:07
hey, this actually is the economic
1:07:10
reality. This is why it
1:07:12
is currency from a fundamental perspective,
1:07:14
just in terms of what the actual
1:07:17
distinction between money and
1:07:19
currency is and why Bitcoin is
1:07:21
unique and it's able to affect
1:07:23
all of these currency functions there
1:07:26
thereby. or therefore its currency.
1:07:28
But when you're actually
1:07:30
working on helping businesses
1:07:33
right here in the US or you
1:07:35
know around the world, except Bitcoin
1:07:37
is payment, it is problematic
1:07:41
when there's a active movement
1:07:43
in DC to try to
1:07:45
say this is expressly not
1:07:47
that thing. Yeah. And so because like
1:07:49
on that same thread, it. Do you see
1:07:51
the stable coin side of things and the
1:07:53
stable coin regulation they're trying to put in
1:07:55
at the moment as kind of like a misnomer
1:07:57
and if everyone converged on one currency that?
1:08:00
it's kind of irrelevant anyway.
1:08:02
Yes. Yeah. That it's kind of, you
1:08:04
know. It's like a short-term thing.
1:08:06
It's not going to be here
1:08:08
for the long time. Yeah, and I
1:08:10
think it's so funny because I
1:08:12
think it's not to go down
1:08:15
another tangent, but it's like
1:08:17
calling solar energy and wind
1:08:19
energy, and clean when it's only
1:08:22
quote, quote, renewable if
1:08:24
it's economically sustainable.
1:08:26
Yeah. But you put this word
1:08:28
on it that is a pejorative.
1:08:30
It's like, oh, it's renewable. Therefore,
1:08:33
it's good. It's renewable. And you're
1:08:35
like, what do you mean? It's
1:08:37
renewable. You still have to
1:08:39
refine it. They put this term stable
1:08:41
coin on it. It's like, well, it's
1:08:44
only as stable as the
1:08:46
underlying fiat currency is not
1:08:48
stable. The fiat currency is losing
1:08:51
its value. So you're just
1:08:53
putting this word on it. And
1:08:55
in reality, what it is, is
1:08:57
it's more akin to a
1:08:59
credit card. It is more a different
1:09:02
method of payment of
1:09:04
a existing currency. We
1:09:07
don't consider Visa MasterCard
1:09:09
as being a different
1:09:11
money. We didn't have to create
1:09:14
a new coin. So in my
1:09:16
mind, it's kind of crazy
1:09:19
that one is not a
1:09:21
stable coin. It's not a
1:09:23
stable coin. A dollar token.
1:09:25
It's a different way to
1:09:28
transact dollars. It's more of
1:09:30
a method of payment than
1:09:32
it is a currency. So you
1:09:35
don't need to define this
1:09:37
expressly as currency.
1:09:39
No one needed to
1:09:41
define what happened when
1:09:43
Venmo are selling, you know,
1:09:45
transacting dollar claims
1:09:48
as Venmo coin. Right. And
1:09:50
so the basis of it is
1:09:52
a logical. The thing that it the
1:09:55
only thing that would be problematic in
1:09:57
the context of Bitcoin is if you
1:09:59
say this thing. is expressly currency and
1:10:01
this thing Bitcoin is expressly not
1:10:03
currency. Yeah. I don't care if
1:10:05
people spend their time monking around
1:10:07
with, you know, public-private key encryption
1:10:09
as a way to move claims
1:10:11
on dollars. I haven't, whatever, do
1:10:13
it. But don't try to put
1:10:15
Bitcoin in a box, contra it,
1:10:17
because you think that instantiates and
1:10:19
it's like, you know, what you're
1:10:22
working on over. Yeah, no, I
1:10:24
totally agree with that. And so
1:10:26
is this really like the edge
1:10:28
you see at Zapright that people
1:10:30
aren't appreciating that Bitcoin is also
1:10:32
a currency? No, I think that
1:10:34
the single thing that is holding
1:10:36
back Bitcoin payments, or there's a
1:10:38
number of things, but... The greatest
1:10:40
thing holding it back is just
1:10:42
adoption of Bitcoin. That you have
1:10:44
to understand why that coin will
1:10:46
store value over time before you
1:10:49
want to be paid in it.
1:10:51
If you accept that still very
1:10:53
few number of people in the
1:10:55
world understand the basis of Bitcoin
1:10:57
is money, then it's also logical
1:10:59
that not many people are accepting
1:11:01
it. At the same time, what
1:11:03
is true is that going down
1:11:05
the money rabbit hole is something
1:11:07
that's very esoteric. It's very difficult
1:11:09
to understand money is in tan,
1:11:11
in the concept of money. So
1:11:13
I always want to say intangible,
1:11:16
but it's just not tangible. And
1:11:18
that one of the biggest, Elena
1:11:20
Medevia was here over the weekend,
1:11:22
and she got a question, I
1:11:24
can't remember where the question was,
1:11:26
but she mentioned that some of
1:11:28
the biggest pushbacks, she gets to
1:11:30
Bitcoin, well, you can't spend it
1:11:32
anywhere. And so it appears to
1:11:34
be this chicken and egg problem,
1:11:36
which I don't really think is,
1:11:38
it's more so. People first have
1:11:40
to understand why the coin stores
1:11:42
value. It stores value because of
1:11:45
its fixed supply. But if you're
1:11:47
not yet there, then it very
1:11:49
much feels like this chicken egg
1:11:51
problem of, well, no one accepts
1:11:53
it, so therefore it's unintuitive to
1:11:55
me as money, and that part
1:11:57
of what will help people understand
1:11:59
Bitcoin as money, it's like the
1:12:01
first people that go down that
1:12:03
rabbit will have to think about
1:12:05
these economic concepts, but when someone
1:12:07
sees Bitcoin being accepted at the
1:12:09
gas station. it's going to become
1:12:12
much more intuitive as money and
1:12:14
that the vast majority of people
1:12:16
are going to begin to understand
1:12:18
Bitcoin is money because it's able
1:12:20
to be used as money. So
1:12:22
tax policy can hold Bitcoin payments
1:12:24
back. But it's not the principal
1:12:26
thing. It's Bitcoin adoption. You know,
1:12:28
that when we go from a
1:12:30
world where one in a hundred
1:12:32
people understand Bitcoin to two and
1:12:34
a hundred to three and a
1:12:36
hundred to four and a hundred
1:12:38
to five and a hundred. to
1:12:41
one out of 10. As the
1:12:43
density of Bitcoin holders increases, the
1:12:45
opportunities for trade increase. We have
1:12:47
to, you know, the way we
1:12:49
think about it as Zapright is
1:12:51
we have to put the tools
1:12:53
out into the world that the
1:12:55
people that already understand Bitcoin that
1:12:57
run businesses will make it easy
1:12:59
for them to make that option
1:13:01
available. As we do that, Bitcoin
1:13:03
becomes better money. It becomes... a
1:13:05
greater utility. You can't, you don't
1:13:08
have to just convert it to
1:13:10
dollars. You can actually just take
1:13:12
it as money and then go
1:13:14
onto the next person. But that
1:13:16
through that process, the next wave
1:13:18
of people, they'll start to be
1:13:20
seeing it used as they have
1:13:22
no money to be, but then
1:13:24
they also won't be able to
1:13:26
say, well, it's not accepted. Yeah,
1:13:28
it just takes time. So are
1:13:30
you seeing Bitcoin payments grow because
1:13:32
I use that right? And every
1:13:35
time I send an invoice I
1:13:37
have the option for them to
1:13:39
pay in dollars or in Bitcoin.
1:13:41
And I'm sending these to Bitcoin
1:13:43
companies. and the vast majority, like
1:13:45
almost all of them are still
1:13:47
choosing to pay in dollars. Do
1:13:49
you put a premium on dollars?
1:13:51
I don't yet. Because it's not
1:13:53
in the contract for me to
1:13:55
do that. Okay, but then put
1:13:57
a discount. So we actually, so
1:13:59
I was the big, or I
1:14:01
don't say that, I don't take,
1:14:04
okay, like for me personally, I
1:14:06
charge a 10% premium when I
1:14:08
sell my books. Okay. When you
1:14:10
put a premium on Fiat. People
1:14:12
respond to that. incentive more so
1:14:14
than when you put a discount
1:14:16
on Bitcoin. The way the BTC
1:14:18
session, I've seen him describe it
1:14:20
is that, so say like the
1:14:22
book costs, when I sell the
1:14:24
book, it's $30 if you pay
1:14:26
in Bitcoin, but if you want
1:14:28
to pay in fee, I'll take
1:14:31
it, but it's 33, there's a
1:14:33
10% premium. Yeah. And when you
1:14:35
put a premium on it, not
1:14:37
only does it communicate to the
1:14:39
buyer without having to have a
1:14:41
conversation. This is part of what
1:14:43
we think about it. The way
1:14:45
that we deliver value is not
1:14:47
just by making the option available
1:14:49
to pay in Bitcoin, but to
1:14:51
actually drive the Bitcoin payments. Because
1:14:53
what that allows you to do
1:14:55
is it dollar for dollar or
1:14:58
sat for sat allows you to
1:15:00
get more sets. Like if you're
1:15:02
going to get the dollars and
1:15:04
then convert them to sat so
1:15:06
you're going to end up with
1:15:08
fewer sets. That are us as
1:15:10
app right. The way we deliver
1:15:12
value to you, the podcast, Danny,
1:15:14
is not simply by making that
1:15:16
option available. It's by actually driving
1:15:18
the customer to follow through and
1:15:20
pay it so that you can
1:15:22
get more saps, right? So that
1:15:24
you can get more money. Well,
1:15:27
when I give people for my
1:15:29
book, the tradeoff, when they're paying
1:15:31
the premium, it feels like something's
1:15:33
being taken from them. Yeah, it's
1:15:35
just a reframing. It's a reframing,
1:15:37
but it causes them to change
1:15:39
their actual behavior. Yeah, well, what's
1:15:41
the difference? It's like, well, no,
1:15:43
because... when they feel like, I'm
1:15:45
actually paying more than I otherwise
1:15:47
would. they're more likely too. Like
1:15:49
it's just statistical, I can prove
1:15:51
it to you, if I could
1:15:54
show you all my statistics, it's
1:15:56
provable. Now, we also give the
1:15:58
opportunity to put discounts for a
1:16:00
lot of people that use the
1:16:02
invoices because of what you just
1:16:04
said. I've got a contract, such
1:16:06
that it will feel like I'm
1:16:08
breaking my contract if I said,
1:16:10
well, it costs X to advertise
1:16:12
with me, but it's actually X
1:16:14
plus 10% if you pay me
1:16:16
in the currency that you want
1:16:18
to pay me in. So you
1:16:20
can put the discount on it.
1:16:23
Right? Because it's still, you're, you're,
1:16:25
you're providing a discount to whatever
1:16:27
your contract was. Now, the reality
1:16:29
is that even though I said
1:16:31
that adoption is the greatest barrier
1:16:33
to Bitcoin payments, that it's, you
1:16:35
need more density of Bitcoin holders.
1:16:37
The, the tax is still an
1:16:39
impediment. I just recently wrote a
1:16:41
piece explaining why, you know, you
1:16:43
know, when you're spending your Bitcoin,
1:16:45
if you have a, if you
1:16:47
have a gain on it, it.
1:16:50
It's only because you're, Fiat didn't
1:16:52
lose value. You saved in a
1:16:54
form of money. So it's more
1:16:56
of a, it's not a spending
1:16:58
Bitcoin dilemma, it's more spending versus
1:17:00
savings. But the tax is still,
1:17:02
it is a friction. Yeah. You
1:17:04
know, if there weren't taxes on
1:17:06
it, that would be a fresh,
1:17:08
removed. It's not the greatest friction.
1:17:10
The greatest friction is adoption. But
1:17:12
they say they were saying to
1:17:14
Odell in Nashville. Yeah. But in
1:17:17
your case, like there might be
1:17:19
companies with Bitcoin companies don't yet.
1:17:21
accept Bitcoin for transactional purposes and
1:17:23
their accounting is the friction. Yeah,
1:17:25
I spoke to one in particular,
1:17:27
that's the reason they can't do
1:17:29
it. Like they would like to
1:17:31
do it as well, but it's
1:17:33
an accounting issue. Yeah, and realistically
1:17:35
that's a human issue. They have
1:17:37
someone in the accounting department that's
1:17:39
saying no. Yeah. And that if
1:17:41
the CEO of that business said
1:17:43
yes, they'd have to just go
1:17:46
to their CFO or their account
1:17:48
and say like it's important for
1:17:50
us to do this. Figure it
1:17:52
out. Yeah, because it's a it's
1:17:54
a solvable problem other other companies
1:17:56
are doing it. You know, so
1:17:58
what I would say is that
1:18:00
using Bitcoin as a currency, it's
1:18:02
like, because the article I wrote
1:18:04
just the other day was explaining
1:18:07
why like the logic of spending
1:18:09
Bitcoin of like, you're not worried
1:18:11
about foregoing future appreciation because if
1:18:14
you're spending dollars, it's the same
1:18:16
foregoing because you could convert those
1:18:18
dollars to Bitcoin. The next one
1:18:20
I'm gonna write is the efficiency
1:18:23
of Bitcoin transactions that if you
1:18:25
have two Bitcoin holders on either
1:18:27
side, and. somebody wants to
1:18:29
receive Bitcoin and someone has
1:18:32
Bitcoin that's technically capable of
1:18:34
sent regardless of the friction that
1:18:36
those two economic parties are going to
1:18:39
save about 5% if they don't have
1:18:41
to interface with the Fiat system.
1:18:43
So that makes sense. It's funny. So
1:18:45
like two years ago, let's say, I
1:18:47
was living on as close to a
1:18:50
Bitcoin as possible. Like I was spending
1:18:52
everything on my credit card throughout the
1:18:54
month. paying the office once I got
1:18:56
paid and everything else I went to
1:18:59
Bitcoin. So I never had a single
1:19:01
dollar in the bank account. Now with
1:19:03
the business that I've now got, I
1:19:05
have to have some form of dollars
1:19:07
there. And also just personally, like I've
1:19:09
had a kid since then and I
1:19:12
feel like it's, I need something in
1:19:14
reserve. Do you think that's the wrong way
1:19:16
of looking at it? No, I think it's,
1:19:18
I think it's the right way to look
1:19:20
at it. I mean, everybody has to
1:19:22
volatility is real. And even
1:19:25
though Bitcoin is functional
1:19:27
as a currency system,
1:19:30
it's in the process
1:19:32
of being improved such
1:19:35
that we're going to get
1:19:37
to a world in the
1:19:39
future where everyone accepts
1:19:41
it. Yeah. The reality
1:19:44
is still that that future
1:19:46
is not yet here. So,
1:19:48
you know, having some
1:19:50
dollar reserves. is
1:19:54
perfectly logical. It kills me every time
1:19:56
I look at it like when the price
1:19:58
crashes. I know, but, but. But if
1:20:00
you think about that over time,
1:20:03
you know, it's like, go back
1:20:05
to when Bitcoin was $10,000 or
1:20:07
$15,000, you know, that functionally over
1:20:09
time, you're, what you're going to
1:20:12
optimize for is how you can
1:20:14
most comfortably hold the most amount
1:20:16
of stats. Yeah. And that, you
1:20:18
know, the economic energy that you
1:20:21
would spend trying to time things.
1:20:23
is an actual cost to you.
1:20:25
So, you know, that's one of
1:20:27
the arguments to having some dollars,
1:20:30
which is like, you know, for
1:20:32
a month or two months, I
1:20:34
don't want to have to worry
1:20:36
about, do I have, you know,
1:20:39
do any, and have dollars in
1:20:41
the bank to cover expenses for
1:20:43
the month, right? Well, I don't
1:20:45
know, though, is if, like, in
1:20:48
the scenario where I would need
1:20:50
to dip into, like, the Bitcoin
1:20:52
stack, if I'd have still been
1:20:54
better to have held Bitcoin in
1:20:57
the Bitcoin in the interim. Remember
1:20:59
the guy who defined, or the
1:21:01
hottle thing? He's like, yeah, if
1:21:03
I knew exactly when the next
1:21:06
guy was gonna sell and then
1:21:08
be able to perfectly time buys,
1:21:10
yeah, I would do that. But
1:21:12
if holding for the long term
1:21:15
is the best thing, then if
1:21:17
you need to dip into that,
1:21:19
like say, if you needed to
1:21:21
dip into 5,000 pounds or dollars,
1:21:24
whatever. Yeah, if you had been
1:21:26
able to sell it at when
1:21:28
Bitcoin was $100,000 or $100,000, you'd
1:21:30
have more stats left. Yeah. But
1:21:33
life doesn't work that way. I
1:21:35
mean, life doesn't work that way,
1:21:37
but also zoom out. If you
1:21:39
had chosen not to save that
1:21:42
$5,000 in Bitcoin when it was
1:21:44
$10,000, you'd be in a much
1:21:46
worse. Yeah. So as long as
1:21:48
your... This is the thing. As
1:21:51
long as you're consistently delivering value
1:21:53
says that you can build up
1:21:55
savings, you're going to get more
1:21:57
Bitcoin in the future. And... Volatility
1:22:00
is real, so there's some distribution of Bitcoin
1:22:02
versus dollars or Bitcoin versus pounds. However, you
1:22:04
can comfortably hold the largest amount in Bitcoin,
1:22:06
you're going to be better off. But you
1:22:08
don't want to constantly be sitting there thinking,
1:22:10
you know, do I have enough to add
1:22:12
not? Yeah, this is the, what Bitcoin does
1:22:14
to you though, you're always thinking. But one
1:22:16
of the points that I make about like,
1:22:18
because people are well, people don't want to
1:22:20
spend their Bitcoin. Imagine someone that has, you
1:22:22
know, like myself, I almost have, I almost
1:22:24
have 100% such that if someone did, you
1:22:26
know, allow me to pay in Bitcoin, I'll
1:22:28
pay in Bitcoin because it just makes my
1:22:30
life easier. Yeah. Because the alternative would be
1:22:32
I would sell those for dollars and then
1:22:34
dollars that one of the one of people's
1:22:36
hang ups, whether they're a merchant or a
1:22:38
consumer, is I don't want to part with
1:22:40
my Bitcoin. because it's going to go up
1:22:42
in the future. And that is the incorrect
1:22:44
frame because what your real dilemma is, is
1:22:47
whether you should spend it all. Yeah, it's
1:22:49
all opportunity cost. It's all opportunity costs. And
1:22:51
because you have this expectation of Bitcoin going
1:22:53
up in the future, you're spending for savings
1:22:55
decision is necessarily sharpened. Say imagine I had
1:22:57
a thousand dollars and $500 of it was
1:22:59
in Bitcoin and it was in Fiat and
1:23:01
I went out and got a steak for
1:23:03
$50 and just spent the dollars. Makes no
1:23:05
difference because that could have been Bitcoin. I
1:23:07
could have spent the $50 on Bitcoin. Now
1:23:09
say if I... Have a thousand dollars, and
1:23:11
it's all in Bitcoin, and I'm evaluating whether
1:23:13
or not to go buy that fifty dollar
1:23:15
steak I'm sitting there thinking And this money
1:23:17
money is going to
1:23:19
appreciate versus in the
1:23:21
other one, I was
1:23:23
thinking, I my fiat
1:23:25
is going to depreciate.
1:23:27
I might as well
1:23:29
go to depreciate, I might as well
1:23:31
It is the same
1:23:33
dilemma. same if you're hungry,
1:23:35
you're going to go
1:23:37
and do it. Right.
1:23:39
hungry, And that we
1:23:41
all have needs and
1:23:43
wants and both are
1:23:45
valid. that we all have needs and wants
1:23:47
them really should you
1:23:49
save or spend, not
1:23:51
whether you should save
1:23:53
or spend the on whether you
1:23:55
And then or I
1:23:57
mentioned before, And the tax
1:23:59
I you know, you
1:24:01
only have a quoted
1:24:03
gain only have a quote gain if. It's
1:24:05
gone gone down, your
1:24:07
fiat's gone down and
1:24:09
you've made a good
1:24:11
savings decision. decision. Yeah, so. Amazing. Thank
1:24:13
you for Thank you for
1:24:15
this, It's It's been
1:24:17
a great week. week. appreciate
1:24:19
you coming back on
1:24:21
the podcast. on the I
1:24:23
appreciate I appreciate you coming and
1:24:25
out during the the and
1:24:27
being a part of
1:24:29
it. a part of it. You know,
1:24:31
appreciate you. M you of the takeover
1:24:33
a portion of the
1:24:35
the live then doing the
1:24:37
live Marty. It Marty. the
1:24:39
It made the event more
1:24:41
much more special. of fun.
1:24:43
was a lot of
1:24:45
fun. Appreciate you being
1:24:47
a part of it.
1:24:49
Thank you, Parker. Parker.
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